Market Form Morning Brief: Tuesday 22 September 2026
Tuesday 22 September 2026 · bookmaker prices only · historical context from the Market Form database.
Official non-runner price effects are measured and removed from signal calculations. Genuine market movement before and after each withdrawal is retained.
1. The market in 60 seconds
Strongest support: Call Me Tomorrow — 02:40 Beverley · 6/4 → 10/11 · +12.36pp.
Biggest drift: Snooker McCrew — 01:30 Beverley · 7/4 → 3/1 · -11.36pp.
2. Three moves you need to know
Strongest support recorded across 5 previous 10am market snapshots.
Historical percentile: 100th.
Trainer context: Richard Hannon has a baseline win rate of 12.3%. At 10pp+ support by 1pm, that record is 16/51 (31.4%) — an uplift of +19.1 points.
Strongest support recorded across 6 previous 10am market snapshots.
Historical percentile: 100th.
Trainer context: James Horton has a baseline win rate of 10.3%. At 10pp+ support by 1pm, that record is 2/6 (33.3%) — an uplift of +23 points.
Strongest support recorded across 10 previous 10am market snapshots.
Historical percentile: 100th.
Trainer context: Michael Dods has a baseline win rate of 10.9%. At 10pp+ support by 1pm, that record is 6/16 (37.5%) — an uplift of +26.6 points.
3. The market warning
Largest drift recorded across 4 previous 10am market snapshots.
Historical percentile: 100th.
A drift is not automatically a lay. The point is whether today's weakness resembles the markets in which this horse has previously failed — or whether it has historically ignored market weakness.
4. Trainer money: which yards are attracting support?
Strongest: Call Me Tomorrow (02:40 Beverley) at +12.36pp.
Yard baseline: 12.3%. When receiving 10pp+ support by 1pm: 16/51 won (31.4%).
Strongest: Last Flight (07:30 Southwell (AW)) at +11.25pp.
Yard baseline: 10.3%. When receiving 10pp+ support by 1pm: 2/6 won (33.3%).
Strongest: Glenfinnan (05:00 Beverley) at +10.39pp.
Yard baseline: 10.9%. When receiving 10pp+ support by 1pm: 6/16 won (37.5%).
5. The race everyone should open
This is the most active race in the 9am snapshot: 4 meaningful market signals, including 1 supported and 3 drifting runners.
Key market activity: Tattie Bogle (-10.00pp) · Glenfinnan (+10.39pp) · Nursia (-4.44pp) · Style of Life (-5.68pp).
6. The historical signal of the morning
Today's move sits in the 100th historical percentile for this horse at the comparable morning stage. Only 0 of 5 previous runs produced a stronger move.
7. What to watch before 1pm
- Call Me Tomorrow — if support reaches 15pp+, this yard's historical win rate rises to 34.6%.
- Last Flight — if support reaches 15pp+, this yard's historical win rate rises to 66.7%.
- Glenfinnan — if support reaches 15pp+, this yard's historical win rate rises to 50%.
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