Stable Gambles - Get ahead of the game!

STABLE GAMBLES SHOWS TRAINER INTENT THROUGH MARKET CONTEXT. Know what it has meant before when a yard has backed their horses like this.
Trainers with runners attracting meaningful market support today (Calculated via Bet365 timeline). Qualifying move: 10%+ shorter from 10/1 or under, or 40%+ shorter from 11/1+. (10% for discovery) Official non-runner price effects are measured and removed; genuine Bet365 movement before and after each withdrawal is retained. ⚠️ Flashing borders indicate 2+ runners from the same trainer moving ≥10 pp each.
Bet365 database odds: checking…

Market Exhaustion Guide

🎛️ Live Scale Testing Tool
This price change represents an active contraction of 8.3 Probability Points.
← Click what price the horse opened
Already Shortened +1pp +2pp +3pp +5pp Samples
0–2pp 38% 28% 21% 13% 19,618
2–4pp 39% 31% 24% 15% 13,263
4–6pp 40% 32% 24% 15% 10,015
6–8pp 42% 32% 26% 17% 7,154
8–10pp 41% 32% 26% 17% 5,209
10–12pp 40% 32% 25% 15% 4,096
12–15pp 39% 31% 24% 16% 3,280
15pp+ 40% 32% 24% 15% 2,957

How to use the Market Exhaustion Guide

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Refreshed daily. Metrics measure the historical remaining market contraction volume relative to overall baseline opening lines.

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Mark Usher 1 supported runner

🔮 COURSE MATCH GAMBLE DETECTED: This stable has historically pulled off a successful market gamble at Wolverhampton (aw)!
💡 This stable showcases exceptional market strike capabilities. Blind backing their supported entries has proven historically profitable to SP (+14.0 units). Performance hits an elite tier at the 15pp+ threshold with a stunning 50% strike rate, making today's high-conviction moves explicit high-priority betting targets.
STABLE ACTIVITY PROFILE
Historical trainer days: 115
Average runners per day: 1.6
Average supported runners: 0.6
Stable baseline strike rate: 8.9% (16/180)
When 2+ runners are backed: 44.4% of days won.
★ Neutral
Historical Gamble Performance Matrix
Strike rate: stable baseline → supported bracket
Bracket Bets Wins Strike Rate 1PM P/L SP P/L
5pp+ 19 3 8.9% → 15.8% -11.6 -10.1
10pp+ 7 1 8.9% → 14.3% -5.1 -5.4
15pp+ 3 0 8.9% → 0.0% -3.0 -3.0
20pp+ 1 0 8.9% → 0.0% -1.0 -1.0
Bracket Bets Wins Strike Rate 1PM P/L SP P/L
5pp+ 22 6 8.9% → 27.3% +1.7 +6.0
10pp+ 11 3 8.9% → 27.3% -3.6 -2.1
15pp+ 6 2 8.9% → 33.3% -1.2 0.0
20pp+ 1 0 8.9% → 0.0% -1.0 -1.0
Bracket Bets Wins Strike Rate 1PM P/L SP P/L
5pp+ 23 7 8.9% → 30.4% +19.9 +14.0
10pp+ 8 1 8.9% → 12.5% -6.1 -6.4
15pp+ 2 1 8.9% → 50.0% -0.1 -0.4
20pp+ 1 1 8.9% → 100.0% +0.9 +0.6
Bracket Bets Wins Strike Rate 1PM P/L SP P/L
5pp+ 6 2 8.9% → 33.3% +5.4 +1.6
10pp+ 0 0 — +0.0 +0.0
15pp+ 0 0 — +0.0 +0.0
20pp+ 0 0 — +0.0 +0.0
TimeCourseHorse Open Lowest Touched Current Bet365 True Move (pp)
2026-10-02 13:31:00 13:31 Wolverhampton (AW) Arlecchino's Rex 📊 DNA Match 3.75 3.25 ⏱ 03:31:21 3.25 +4.1 pp
⚡ This horse has shortened from Open → SP on 6 previous occasions. Today's current move is +4.10pp.