Today's racing intelligence
Today's Market Form Watchlist
Today's runners with the strongest historical betting-market profiles. These are not selections. They are horses whose previous market behaviour gives today's support or weakness added significance.
Monday 17 August 2026
How to use this page
Start with the race. Then study the market condition.
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1Choose a racePrioritise High-Information and Conflicting-Market races.
2Read the watch conditionThis is the market behaviour that would make the history relevant.
3Confirm in the terminalUse live prices to establish whether the expected pattern actually develops.
6Meetings scanned
41Races scanned
363Runners analysed
30Serious profiles
Jump to a race
Historically positive
Historical warning
Support Has Been Significant
Papa Don't Preach
Trainer: Kevin & Lauren Frost
When supported by at least 10 probability points, this horse made the first three on 3 of 3 occasions (100.0%), including 0 wins.
What to watch for today
Support reaching 10 probability points would place this runner back inside a historically productive market range. Give the move more weight if it is broad, sustained and still present near the off.
How to confirm or dismiss this angle
Positive confirmationSeveral bookmakers shorten together and the stronger price holds, rather than appearing as a brief isolated move.
What would invalidate itThe threshold is never reached, or early support fades and is replaced by sustained weakness.
Profile created from last evening's analysis — now reassess it against today's live market
Drift Has Been a Material Negative
Jm Jhingree
Trainer: Ewan Whillans
When drifting by at least 4 probability points, this horse failed to make the first three on 3 of 3 occasions (100.0% failure rate).
What to watch for today
A sustained drift reaching 4 probability points would recreate a market condition that has previously coincided with underperformance. Treat broad weakness as a material warning.
How to confirm or dismiss this angle
Positive confirmationSeveral bookmakers ease the price together and the weakness persists or intensifies toward the race.
What would invalidate itThe drift reverses decisively and is replaced by broad, sustained support.
Profile created from last evening's analysis — now reassess it against today's live market
Drift Has Been a Material Negative
One Of Our Own
Trainer: Rebecca Menzies
When drifting by at least 4 probability points, this horse failed to make the first three on 3 of 3 occasions (100.0% failure rate).
What to watch for today
A sustained drift reaching 4 probability points would recreate a market condition that has previously coincided with underperformance. Treat broad weakness as a material warning.
How to confirm or dismiss this angle
Positive confirmationSeveral bookmakers ease the price together and the weakness persists or intensifies toward the race.
What would invalidate itThe drift reverses decisively and is replaced by broad, sustained support.
Profile created from last evening's analysis — now reassess it against today's live market
Support Has Been Significant
Miss Rainbow
Trainer: Tracy Waggott
When supported by at least 4 probability points, this horse made the first three on 3 of 4 occasions (75.0%), including 2 wins.
What to watch for today
Support reaching 4 probability points would place this runner back inside a historically productive market range. Give the move more weight if it is broad, sustained and still present near the off.
How to confirm or dismiss this angle
Positive confirmationSeveral bookmakers shorten together and the stronger price holds, rather than appearing as a brief isolated move.
What would invalidate itThe threshold is never reached, or early support fades and is replaced by sustained weakness.
Profile created from last evening's analysis — now reassess it against today's live market
Support Has Been Significant
Classy Clarets
Trainer: Iain Jardine
When supported by at least 6 probability points, this horse made the first three on 4 of 4 occasions (100.0%), including 3 wins.
What to watch for today
Support reaching 6 probability points would place this runner back inside a historically productive market range. Give the move more weight if it is broad, sustained and still present near the off.
How to confirm or dismiss this angle
Positive confirmationSeveral bookmakers shorten together and the stronger price holds, rather than appearing as a brief isolated move.
What would invalidate itThe threshold is never reached, or early support fades and is replaced by sustained weakness.
Profile created from last evening's analysis — now reassess it against today's live market
Support Has Been Significant
Vince Le Prince
Trainer: Tim Easterby
When supported by at least 6 probability points, this horse made the first three on 3 of 3 occasions (100.0%), including 0 wins.
What to watch for today
Support reaching 6 probability points would place this runner back inside a historically productive market range. Give the move more weight if it is broad, sustained and still present near the off.
How to confirm or dismiss this angle
Positive confirmationSeveral bookmakers shorten together and the stronger price holds, rather than appearing as a brief isolated move.
What would invalidate itThe threshold is never reached, or early support fades and is replaced by sustained weakness.
Profile created from last evening's analysis — now reassess it against today's live market
Support Has Not Converted
Emerald Army
Trainer: Ruth Carr
Comparable support of at least 4 probability points has produced only 1 place from 5 occasions (20.0%), with 4 failures to make the first three.
What to watch for today
Do not treat shortening alone as positive. Even if support reaches 4 probability points, demand stronger confirmation from the wider race and a move that persists across the market.
How to confirm or dismiss this angle
Positive confirmationThe price shortens, but the move remains isolated or fails to strengthen as the race approaches.
What would invalidate itSupport becomes materially broader and stronger than the previous unsuccessful examples, changing the historical comparison.
Profile created from last evening's analysis — now reassess it against today's live market
Support Has Been Significant
Evocative Spark
Trainer: John David Riches
When supported by at least 4 probability points, this horse made the first three on 2 of 3 occasions (66.7%), including 2 wins.
What to watch for today
Support reaching 4 probability points would place this runner back inside a historically productive market range. Give the move more weight if it is broad, sustained and still present near the off.
How to confirm or dismiss this angle
Positive confirmationSeveral bookmakers shorten together and the stronger price holds, rather than appearing as a brief isolated move.
What would invalidate itThe threshold is never reached, or early support fades and is replaced by sustained weakness.
Profile created from last evening's analysis — now reassess it against today's live market
Capable Despite Market Weakness
Beaumadier
Trainer: Mark Loughnane
Despite drifting by at least 15 probability points, this horse still made the first three on 3 of 3 occasions (100.0%).
What to watch for today
If weakness reaches 15 probability points, treat it as context rather than an automatic rejection. The key question is whether the drift stabilises while the horse’s wider form case remains intact.
How to confirm or dismiss this angle
Positive confirmationThe drift levels out within its previous range and there is no broader deterioration in the horse’s race profile.
What would invalidate itWeakness accelerates beyond the historical range or continues across the market without stabilising.
Profile created from last evening's analysis — now reassess it against today's live market
Drift Has Been a Material Negative
Tees Aggregates
Trainer: Adrian Nicholls
When drifting by at least 4 probability points, this horse failed to make the first three on 3 of 3 occasions (100.0% failure rate).
What to watch for today
A sustained drift reaching 4 probability points would recreate a market condition that has previously coincided with underperformance. Treat broad weakness as a material warning.
How to confirm or dismiss this angle
Positive confirmationSeveral bookmakers ease the price together and the weakness persists or intensifies toward the race.
What would invalidate itThe drift reverses decisively and is replaced by broad, sustained support.
Profile created from last evening's analysis — now reassess it against today's live market
Support Has Been Significant
Betweenthesticks
Trainer: Ruth Carr
When supported by at least 4 probability points, this horse made the first three on 2 of 3 occasions (66.7%), including 1 win.
What to watch for today
Support reaching 4 probability points would place this runner back inside a historically productive market range. Give the move more weight if it is broad, sustained and still present near the off.
How to confirm or dismiss this angle
Positive confirmationSeveral bookmakers shorten together and the stronger price holds, rather than appearing as a brief isolated move.
What would invalidate itThe threshold is never reached, or early support fades and is replaced by sustained weakness.
Profile created from last evening's analysis — now reassess it against today's live market
Drift Has Been a Material Negative
She Went Whoosh
Trainer: Scott Dixon
When drifting by at least 6 probability points, this horse failed to make the first three on 4 of 4 occasions (100.0% failure rate).
What to watch for today
A sustained drift reaching 6 probability points would recreate a market condition that has previously coincided with underperformance. Treat broad weakness as a material warning.
How to confirm or dismiss this angle
Positive confirmationSeveral bookmakers ease the price together and the weakness persists or intensifies toward the race.
What would invalidate itThe drift reverses decisively and is replaced by broad, sustained support.
Profile created from last evening's analysis — now reassess it against today's live market
Drift Has Been a Material Negative
Alafdhal
Trainer: Phil McEntee
When drifting by at least 4 probability points, this horse failed to make the first three on 3 of 3 occasions (100.0% failure rate).
What to watch for today
A sustained drift reaching 4 probability points would recreate a market condition that has previously coincided with underperformance. Treat broad weakness as a material warning.
How to confirm or dismiss this angle
Positive confirmationSeveral bookmakers ease the price together and the weakness persists or intensifies toward the race.
What would invalidate itThe drift reverses decisively and is replaced by broad, sustained support.
Profile created from last evening's analysis — now reassess it against today's live market
Capable Despite Market Weakness
Mister McGregor
Trainer: M Mullineaux
Despite drifting by at least 4 probability points, this horse still made the first three on 3 of 5 occasions (60.0%).
What to watch for today
If weakness reaches 4 probability points, treat it as context rather than an automatic rejection. The key question is whether the drift stabilises while the horse’s wider form case remains intact.
How to confirm or dismiss this angle
Positive confirmationThe drift levels out within its previous range and there is no broader deterioration in the horse’s race profile.
What would invalidate itWeakness accelerates beyond the historical range or continues across the market without stabilising.
Profile created from last evening's analysis — now reassess it against today's live market
Support Has Been Significant
Highland Harvey
Trainer: Gihan Arnolda
When supported by at least 10 probability points, this horse made the first three on 4 of 4 occasions (100.0%), including 1 win.
What to watch for today
Support reaching 10 probability points would place this runner back inside a historically productive market range. Give the move more weight if it is broad, sustained and still present near the off.
How to confirm or dismiss this angle
Positive confirmationSeveral bookmakers shorten together and the stronger price holds, rather than appearing as a brief isolated move.
What would invalidate itThe threshold is never reached, or early support fades and is replaced by sustained weakness.
Profile created from last evening's analysis — now reassess it against today's live market
Support Has Not Converted
Judge Frank
Trainer: John & Rhys Flint
Comparable support of at least 6 probability points has produced only 0 places from 3 occasions (0.0%), with 3 failures to make the first three.
What to watch for today
Do not treat shortening alone as positive. Even if support reaches 6 probability points, demand stronger confirmation from the wider race and a move that persists across the market.
How to confirm or dismiss this angle
Positive confirmationThe price shortens, but the move remains isolated or fails to strengthen as the race approaches.
What would invalidate itSupport becomes materially broader and stronger than the previous unsuccessful examples, changing the historical comparison.
Profile created from last evening's analysis — now reassess it against today's live market
Support Has Been Significant
Guinness Lad
Trainer: Neil Mulholland
When supported by at least 4 probability points, this horse made the first three on 2 of 3 occasions (66.7%), including 1 win.
What to watch for today
Support reaching 4 probability points would place this runner back inside a historically productive market range. Give the move more weight if it is broad, sustained and still present near the off.
How to confirm or dismiss this angle
Positive confirmationSeveral bookmakers shorten together and the stronger price holds, rather than appearing as a brief isolated move.
What would invalidate itThe threshold is never reached, or early support fades and is replaced by sustained weakness.
Profile created from last evening's analysis — now reassess it against today's live market
Support Has Been Significant
Stellarmasterpiece
Trainer: Micky Hammond
When supported by at least 6 probability points, this horse made the first three on 2 of 3 occasions (66.7%), including 2 wins.
What to watch for today
Support reaching 6 probability points would place this runner back inside a historically productive market range. Give the move more weight if it is broad, sustained and still present near the off.
How to confirm or dismiss this angle
Positive confirmationSeveral bookmakers shorten together and the stronger price holds, rather than appearing as a brief isolated move.
What would invalidate itThe threshold is never reached, or early support fades and is replaced by sustained weakness.
Profile created from last evening's analysis — now reassess it against today's live market
Support Has Been Significant
Super Hit
Trainer: James Owen
When supported by at least 6 probability points, this horse made the first three on 2 of 3 occasions (66.7%), including 0 wins.
What to watch for today
Support reaching 6 probability points would place this runner back inside a historically productive market range. Give the move more weight if it is broad, sustained and still present near the off.
How to confirm or dismiss this angle
Positive confirmationSeveral bookmakers shorten together and the stronger price holds, rather than appearing as a brief isolated move.
What would invalidate itThe threshold is never reached, or early support fades and is replaced by sustained weakness.
Profile created from last evening's analysis — now reassess it against today's live market
Capable Despite Market Weakness
Bergamo Gold
Trainer: Charlie Johnston
Despite drifting by at least 6 probability points, this horse still made the first three on 3 of 4 occasions (75.0%), including 1 win.
What to watch for today
If weakness reaches 6 probability points, treat it as context rather than an automatic rejection. The key question is whether the drift stabilises while the horse’s wider form case remains intact.
How to confirm or dismiss this angle
Positive confirmationThe drift levels out within its previous range and there is no broader deterioration in the horse’s race profile.
What would invalidate itWeakness accelerates beyond the historical range or continues across the market without stabilising.
Profile created from last evening's analysis — now reassess it against today's live market
Capable Despite Market Weakness
Hove Ranger
Trainer: Gary & Josh Moore
Despite drifting by at least 6 probability points, this horse still made the first three on 2 of 3 occasions (66.7%), including 1 win.
What to watch for today
If weakness reaches 6 probability points, treat it as context rather than an automatic rejection. The key question is whether the drift stabilises while the horse’s wider form case remains intact.
How to confirm or dismiss this angle
Positive confirmationThe drift levels out within its previous range and there is no broader deterioration in the horse’s race profile.
What would invalidate itWeakness accelerates beyond the historical range or continues across the market without stabilising.
Profile created from last evening's analysis — now reassess it against today's live market
Support Has Been Significant
Lequinto
Trainer: Tony Carroll
When supported by at least 4 probability points, this horse made the first three on 3 of 3 occasions (100.0%), including 1 win.
What to watch for today
Support reaching 4 probability points would place this runner back inside a historically productive market range. Give the move more weight if it is broad, sustained and still present near the off.
How to confirm or dismiss this angle
Positive confirmationSeveral bookmakers shorten together and the stronger price holds, rather than appearing as a brief isolated move.
What would invalidate itThe threshold is never reached, or early support fades and is replaced by sustained weakness.
Profile created from last evening's analysis — now reassess it against today's live market
Support Has Been Significant
Buccabay
Trainer: Eve Johnson Houghton
When supported by at least 6 probability points, this horse made the first three on 2 of 3 occasions (66.7%), including 0 wins.
What to watch for today
Support reaching 6 probability points would place this runner back inside a historically productive market range. Give the move more weight if it is broad, sustained and still present near the off.
How to confirm or dismiss this angle
Positive confirmationSeveral bookmakers shorten together and the stronger price holds, rather than appearing as a brief isolated move.
What would invalidate itThe threshold is never reached, or early support fades and is replaced by sustained weakness.
Profile created from last evening's analysis — now reassess it against today's live market
Drift Has Been a Material Negative
Invicta Rose
Trainer: Ollie Sangster
When drifting by at least 4 probability points, this horse failed to make the first three on 3 of 3 occasions (100.0% failure rate).
What to watch for today
A sustained drift reaching 4 probability points would recreate a market condition that has previously coincided with underperformance. Treat broad weakness as a material warning.
How to confirm or dismiss this angle
Positive confirmationSeveral bookmakers ease the price together and the weakness persists or intensifies toward the race.
What would invalidate itThe drift reverses decisively and is replaced by broad, sustained support.
Profile created from last evening's analysis — now reassess it against today's live market
Capable Despite Market Weakness
Belle Of Kt
Trainer: J S Moore
Despite drifting by at least 6 probability points, this horse still made the first three on 3 of 3 occasions (100.0%), including 2 wins.
What to watch for today
If weakness reaches 6 probability points, treat it as context rather than an automatic rejection. The key question is whether the drift stabilises while the horse’s wider form case remains intact.
How to confirm or dismiss this angle
Positive confirmationThe drift levels out within its previous range and there is no broader deterioration in the horse’s race profile.
What would invalidate itWeakness accelerates beyond the historical range or continues across the market without stabilising.
Profile created from last evening's analysis — now reassess it against today's live market
Drift Has Been a Material Negative
Star Marian
Trainer: David Loughnane
When drifting by at least 4 probability points, this horse failed to make the first three on 3 of 3 occasions (100.0% failure rate).
What to watch for today
A sustained drift reaching 4 probability points would recreate a market condition that has previously coincided with underperformance. Treat broad weakness as a material warning.
How to confirm or dismiss this angle
Positive confirmationSeveral bookmakers ease the price together and the weakness persists or intensifies toward the race.
What would invalidate itThe drift reverses decisively and is replaced by broad, sustained support.
Profile created from last evening's analysis — now reassess it against today's live market
Drift Has Been a Material Negative
Dream Illusion
Trainer: Michael Herrington
When drifting by at least 6 probability points, this horse failed to make the first three on 3 of 3 occasions (100.0% failure rate).
What to watch for today
A sustained drift reaching 6 probability points would recreate a market condition that has previously coincided with underperformance. Treat broad weakness as a material warning.
How to confirm or dismiss this angle
Positive confirmationSeveral bookmakers ease the price together and the weakness persists or intensifies toward the race.
What would invalidate itThe drift reverses decisively and is replaced by broad, sustained support.
Profile created from last evening's analysis — now reassess it against today's live market
Support Has Been Significant
South Shore
Trainer: Robert Cowell
When supported by at least 6 probability points, this horse made the first three on 2 of 3 occasions (66.7%), including 1 win.
What to watch for today
Support reaching 6 probability points would place this runner back inside a historically productive market range. Give the move more weight if it is broad, sustained and still present near the off.
How to confirm or dismiss this angle
Positive confirmationSeveral bookmakers shorten together and the stronger price holds, rather than appearing as a brief isolated move.
What would invalidate itThe threshold is never reached, or early support fades and is replaced by sustained weakness.
Profile created from last evening's analysis — now reassess it against today's live market
Support Has Not Converted
Dicko The Legend
Trainer: Liam Bailey
Comparable support of at least 4 probability points has produced only 0 places from 3 occasions (0.0%), with 3 failures to make the first three.
What to watch for today
Do not treat shortening alone as positive. Even if support reaches 4 probability points, demand stronger confirmation from the wider race and a move that persists across the market.
How to confirm or dismiss this angle
Positive confirmationThe price shortens, but the move remains isolated or fails to strengthen as the race approaches.
What would invalidate itSupport becomes materially broader and stronger than the previous unsuccessful examples, changing the historical comparison.
Profile created from last evening's analysis — now reassess it against today's live market
Capable Despite Market Weakness
Clansman
Trainer: Liam Bailey
Despite drifting by at least 10 probability points, this horse still made the first three on 3 of 3 occasions (100.0%), including 1 win.
What to watch for today
If weakness reaches 10 probability points, treat it as context rather than an automatic rejection. The key question is whether the drift stabilises while the horse’s wider form case remains intact.
How to confirm or dismiss this angle
Positive confirmationThe drift levels out within its previous range and there is no broader deterioration in the horse’s race profile.
What would invalidate itWeakness accelerates beyond the historical range or continues across the market without stabilising.
Profile created from last evening's analysis — now reassess it against today's live market
Historical Market Form is contextual evidence, not a guarantee of future performance.