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| Already Shortened | +1pp | +2pp | +3pp | +5pp | Samples |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–2pp | 38% | 28% | 21% | 13% | 19,618 |
| 2–4pp | 39% | 31% | 24% | 15% | 13,263 |
| 4–6pp | 40% | 32% | 24% | 15% | 10,015 |
| 6–8pp | 42% | 32% | 26% | 17% | 7,154 |
| 8–10pp | 41% | 32% | 26% | 17% | 5,209 |
| 10–12pp | 40% | 32% | 25% | 15% | 4,096 |
| 12–15pp | 39% | 31% | 24% | 16% | 3,280 |
| 15pp+ | 40% | 32% | 24% | 15% | 2,957 |
| Already Shortened | +1pp | +2pp | +3pp | +5pp | Samples |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–2pp | 56% | 50% | 44% | 34% | 1,052 |
| 2–4pp | 56% | 52% | 42% | 34% | 912 |
| 4–6pp | 55% | 50% | 41% | 30% | 715 |
| 6–8pp | 52% | 48% | 40% | 27% | 669 |
| 8–10pp | 53% | 45% | 40% | 30% | 507 |
| 10–12pp | 46% | 43% | 33% | 22% | 587 |
| 12–15pp | 47% | 44% | 32% | 23% | 527 |
| 15pp+ | 43% | 38% | 26% | 18% | 589 |
| Already Shortened | +1pp | +2pp | +3pp | +5pp | Samples |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–2pp | 48% | 40% | 33% | 22% | 3,604 |
| 2–4pp | 45% | 38% | 31% | 23% | 2,504 |
| 4–6pp | 43% | 35% | 28% | 20% | 2,754 |
| 6–8pp | 49% | 39% | 34% | 22% | 2,119 |
| 8–10pp | 46% | 37% | 30% | 20% | 1,830 |
| 10–12pp | 45% | 37% | 29% | 17% | 1,310 |
| 12–15pp | 43% | 35% | 29% | 19% | 1,156 |
| 15pp+ | 44% | 36% | 28% | 19% | 1,096 |
| Already Shortened | +1pp | +2pp | +3pp | +5pp | Samples |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–2pp | 46% | 36% | 28% | 17% | 3,569 |
| 2–4pp | 47% | 35% | 28% | 16% | 3,053 |
| 4–6pp | 44% | 33% | 26% | 15% | 2,402 |
| 6–8pp | 38% | 29% | 23% | 14% | 2,009 |
| 8–10pp | 36% | 29% | 22% | 14% | 1,545 |
| 10–12pp | 34% | 23% | 19% | 11% | 1,254 |
| 12–15pp | 36% | 24% | 19% | 13% | 866 |
| 15pp+ | 36% | 29% | 20% | 11% | 716 |
| Already Shortened | +1pp | +2pp | +3pp | +5pp | Samples |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–2pp | 30% | 19% | 13% | 6% | 11,393 |
| 2–4pp | 32% | 23% | 16% | 9% | 6,794 |
| 4–6pp | 34% | 25% | 17% | 9% | 4,144 |
| 6–8pp | 36% | 24% | 17% | 10% | 2,357 |
| 8–10pp | 36% | 23% | 20% | 10% | 1,327 |
| 10–12pp | 37% | 28% | 21% | 12% | 945 |
| 12–15pp | 28% | 24% | 15% | 11% | 731 |
| 15pp+ | 34% | 24% | 19% | 11% | 556 |
This guide shows you the exact historical probabilities of a horse's price continuing to shorten after it has already made an initial move. Every calculation is permanently anchored to the horse's Opening Price, and each runner is strictly limited to one observation per move band to ensure completely unbiased, accurate data.
Prices, form, fair odds and connections at a glance. Click any horse name to open its complete intelligence.
| MF / No. ▲▼ | Runner | Connections | Draw | Weight | OR | Headgear | Age | Form | Last run | Market move | Best Fixed Odds ▲▼ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Pure Logic
1st tp✓Distance winner✓Going winner |
Jockey
Harry Sexton(7)
Trainer
John Joseph Hanlon🟡 BACK BY 10AM
|
0 | 12-0 | 100 | TP | 6 |
Latest
P3123
|
6d | — |
Best fixed odds · live database
-68.8% vs avg
|
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| 5 |
Friar Hogan
Gelding1st t2ndBest on going |
Jockey
Alan O'Sullivan(5)
Trainer
Donal Hassett
|
0 | 11-8 | 94 | T | 5 |
Latest
0026
|
69d | — |
Best fixed odds · live database
-70.1% vs avg
|
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| 11 |
Il Silenzio
Gelding1st tp |
Jockey
Conor Smithers(7)
Trainer
Martin Brassil⚪ NO EDGE
|
0 | 11-1 | 87 | TP | 9 |
Latest
P1413
|
20d | — |
Best fixed odds · live database
-25% vs avg
|
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| 3 |
Land Of Punt
Gelding1st tp6thBest on going |
Jockey
Keith Donoghue
Trainer
Ian Patrick Donoghue⚪ NO EDGE
|
0 | 11-10 | 96 | TP | 5 |
Latest
95336
|
139d | — |
Best fixed odds · live database
-29.3% vs avg
|
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| NR |
Colesberg
Gelding7thBest on going |
Jockey
Trainer
J P Flavin⚪ NO EDGE
|
0 | 11-9 | 95 | - | 5 |
Latest
96734
|
3d | — |
No current fixed odds
-89.1% vs avg
|
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| NR |
Centreofattention
Gelding1st b2ndBest on going |
Jockey
Trainer
E Bolger⚪ NO EDGE
|
0 | 11-13 | 99 | B | 7 |
Latest
08P23
|
54d |
OP 11.00↑ 8.00(27.3%) |
No current fixed odds
-58.4% vs avg
|
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| 2 |
Codger's Rock
Gelding1st t6thBest on going |
Jockey
Danny Gilligan
Trainer
Cian Collins🟢 BACK EARLY
|
0 | 11-10 | 96 | T | 5 |
Latest
26069
|
24d |
OP 10.00↑ 7.50(25%) |
Best fixed odds · live database
-83.6% vs avg
|
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|
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| 16 |
Doyen Og
4thBest on going |
Jockey
Michael Kenneally(5)
Trainer
Adrian Sexton🔵 SP VALUE
|
0 | 10-0 | 72 | - | 7 |
Latest
P7874
|
13d | — |
Best fixed odds · live database
-55.6% vs avg
|
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| NR |
Ballyredinkingston
Gelding1st p6thBest on going |
Jockey
Trainer
John Patrick Ryan🟡 BACK BY 10AM
|
0 | 10-5 | 77 | P | 6 |
Latest
0B666
|
58d | — |
No current fixed odds
-12.8% vs avg
|
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|
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| 7 |
Bobby Kirova
Gelding1st tp3rdBest on going |
Jockey
Daniel King
Trainer
Michael Butler🔵 SP VALUE
|
0 | 11-4 | 92 | TP | 4 |
Latest
3663
|
28d | — |
Best fixed odds · live database
-55.8% vs avg
|
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| 9 |
Boomerang Breeze
Gelding7thBest on going |
Jockey
Mr D Doyle(7)
Trainer
Timothy Doyle⚪ NO EDGE
|
0 | 11-2 | 88 | - | 8 |
Latest
097
|
52d | — |
Best fixed odds · live database
-87.6% vs avg
|
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| 15 |
Depeche Mo
Gelding1st t |
Jockey
Shane O'Callaghan(3)
Trainer
Eric Larkin
|
0 | 10-0 | 72 | T | 8 |
Latest
3060
|
46d | — |
Best fixed odds · live database
+70.6% vs avg
|
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| 13 |
Jolly Potter
Gelding1st h15thBest on going |
Jockey
Phillip Enright
Trainer
James Andrew Fahey⚪ NO EDGE
|
0 | 10-5 | 77 | H | 7 |
Latest
8000
|
72d | — |
Best fixed odds · live database
-75.9% vs avg
|
|
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|
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| 8 |
G N Jefferson
Gelding1st t6thBest on going |
Jockey
Alex Harvey
Trainer
John McConnell
|
0 | 11-3 | 89 | T | 5 |
Latest
30967
|
53d | — |
Best fixed odds · live database
-15.5% vs avg
|
|
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|
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| 10 |
Portetta
6thBest on going |
Jockey
Josh Younge(7)
Trainer
John Joseph Hanlon🟡 BACK BY 10AM
|
0 | 11-2 | 88 | - | 5 |
Latest
8P069
|
92d | — |
Best fixed odds · live database
+100% vs avg
|
|
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|
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| 4 |
Like An Ocean
✓Going winner |
Jockey
Conor Lamon(7)
Trainer
Adrian Sexton🔵 SP VALUE
|
0 | 11-10 | 98 | - | 4 |
Latest
177
|
48d | — |
Best fixed odds · live database
+81.1% vs avg
|
|
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|
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| 12 |
Sum Story
Gelding10thBest on going |
Jockey
Tiernan Power Roche
Trainer
P J Rothwell🟡 BACK BY 10AM
|
0 | 11-1 | 87 | - | 5 |
Latest
55000
|
36d |
OP 34.00↑ 19.00(44.1%) |
Best fixed odds · live database
-50.1% vs avg
|
|
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|
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| 14 |
Nunya
|
Jockey
J J Slevin
Trainer
Leonard Paul Flynn
|
0 | 10-5 | 77 | - | 5 |
Latest
7900
|
298d | — |
Best fixed odds · live database
|
|
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| 6 |
South Of Killerig
Gelding1st p9thBest on going |
Jockey
Mr R Sugrue(7)
Trainer
E Sheehy⚪ NO EDGE
|
0 | 11-5 | 91 | P | 6 |
Latest
0PP69
|
31d | — |
Best fixed odds · live database
+50% vs avg
|
|
Click View to load this runner’s Market Form intelligence.
|
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You’re viewing the standard data tier. Pro members instantly unlock deep-dive market intelligence grids, historical signals, and smart movement graphs for every entry.
| Trainer | Runs | Wins | Strike Rate | 30%+ Backed | 50%+ Backed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Joseph Hanlon | 20 | 1 | 5% | 5 (0W) | 1 (0W) |
| Donal Hassett | 3 | 0 | 0% | 0 (0W) | 0 (0W) |
| Martin Brassil | 4 | 0 | 0% | 0 (0W) | 0 (0W) |
| Ian Patrick Donoghue | 10 | 1 | 10% | 0 (0W) | 0 (0W) |
| J P Flavin | 2 | 0 | 0% | 0 (0W) | 0 (0W) |
| E Bolger | 2 | 0 | 0% | 0 (0W) | 0 (0W) |
| Cian Collins | 11 | 2 | 18% | 0 (0W) | 0 (0W) |
| Adrian Sexton | 3 | 0 | 0% | 2 (0W) | 0 (0W) |
| John Patrick Ryan | 18 | 2 | 11% | 3 (1W) | 0 (0W) |
| Michael Butler | 3 | 0 | 0% | 0 (0W) | 0 (0W) |
| Timothy Doyle | 4 | 1 | 25% | 0 (0W) | 0 (0W) |
| Eric Larkin | 1 | 0 | 0% | 0 (0W) | 0 (0W) |
| James Andrew Fahey | 5 | 0 | 0% | 0 (0W) | 0 (0W) |
| John McConnell | 22 | 0 | 0% | 2 (0W) | 0 (0W) |
| P J Rothwell | 24 | 2 | 8% | 2 (0W) | 1 (0W) |
| Leonard Paul Flynn | 1 | 0 | 0% | 0 (0W) | 0 (0W) |
| E Sheehy | 1 | 0 | 0% | 0 (0W) | 0 (0W) |
Historical bookmaker-market evidence—not a tip or prediction.