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| Already Shortened | +1pp | +2pp | +3pp | +5pp | Samples |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–2pp | 38% | 28% | 21% | 13% | 19,618 |
| 2–4pp | 39% | 31% | 24% | 15% | 13,263 |
| 4–6pp | 40% | 32% | 24% | 15% | 10,015 |
| 6–8pp | 42% | 32% | 26% | 17% | 7,154 |
| 8–10pp | 41% | 32% | 26% | 17% | 5,209 |
| 10–12pp | 40% | 32% | 25% | 15% | 4,096 |
| 12–15pp | 39% | 31% | 24% | 16% | 3,280 |
| 15pp+ | 40% | 32% | 24% | 15% | 2,957 |
| Already Shortened | +1pp | +2pp | +3pp | +5pp | Samples |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–2pp | 56% | 50% | 44% | 34% | 1,052 |
| 2–4pp | 56% | 52% | 42% | 34% | 912 |
| 4–6pp | 55% | 50% | 41% | 30% | 715 |
| 6–8pp | 52% | 48% | 40% | 27% | 669 |
| 8–10pp | 53% | 45% | 40% | 30% | 507 |
| 10–12pp | 46% | 43% | 33% | 22% | 587 |
| 12–15pp | 47% | 44% | 32% | 23% | 527 |
| 15pp+ | 43% | 38% | 26% | 18% | 589 |
| Already Shortened | +1pp | +2pp | +3pp | +5pp | Samples |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–2pp | 48% | 40% | 33% | 22% | 3,604 |
| 2–4pp | 45% | 38% | 31% | 23% | 2,504 |
| 4–6pp | 43% | 35% | 28% | 20% | 2,754 |
| 6–8pp | 49% | 39% | 34% | 22% | 2,119 |
| 8–10pp | 46% | 37% | 30% | 20% | 1,830 |
| 10–12pp | 45% | 37% | 29% | 17% | 1,310 |
| 12–15pp | 43% | 35% | 29% | 19% | 1,156 |
| 15pp+ | 44% | 36% | 28% | 19% | 1,096 |
| Already Shortened | +1pp | +2pp | +3pp | +5pp | Samples |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–2pp | 46% | 36% | 28% | 17% | 3,569 |
| 2–4pp | 47% | 35% | 28% | 16% | 3,053 |
| 4–6pp | 44% | 33% | 26% | 15% | 2,402 |
| 6–8pp | 38% | 29% | 23% | 14% | 2,009 |
| 8–10pp | 36% | 29% | 22% | 14% | 1,545 |
| 10–12pp | 34% | 23% | 19% | 11% | 1,254 |
| 12–15pp | 36% | 24% | 19% | 13% | 866 |
| 15pp+ | 36% | 29% | 20% | 11% | 716 |
| Already Shortened | +1pp | +2pp | +3pp | +5pp | Samples |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–2pp | 30% | 19% | 13% | 6% | 11,393 |
| 2–4pp | 32% | 23% | 16% | 9% | 6,794 |
| 4–6pp | 34% | 25% | 17% | 9% | 4,144 |
| 6–8pp | 36% | 24% | 17% | 10% | 2,357 |
| 8–10pp | 36% | 23% | 20% | 10% | 1,327 |
| 10–12pp | 37% | 28% | 21% | 12% | 945 |
| 12–15pp | 28% | 24% | 15% | 11% | 731 |
| 15pp+ | 34% | 24% | 19% | 11% | 556 |
This guide shows you the exact historical probabilities of a horse's price continuing to shorten after it has already made an initial move. Every calculation is permanently anchored to the horse's Opening Price, and each runner is strictly limited to one observation per move band to ensure completely unbiased, accurate data.
Prices, form, fair odds and connections at a glance. Click any horse name to open its complete intelligence.
| MF / No. ▲▼ | Runner | Connections | Draw | Weight | OR | Headgear | Age | Form | Last run | Market move | Best Fixed Odds ▲▼ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 |
Eternal Reward
Gelding16thBest on going |
Jockey
Danny Mullins
Trainer
Ms Margaret Mullins🟡 BACK BY 10AM
|
0 | 11-12 | - | - | 5 |
Latest
0F06
|
28d |
OP 13.00↑ 4.33(66.7%) |
Best fixed odds · live database
-93.3% vs avg
|
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| 5 |
Lincall
Gelding1st tp9thBest on going |
Jockey
John Shinnick
Trainer
Michael Paul Ryan
|
0 | 11-12 | 99 | TP | 5 |
Latest
55P69
|
34d |
OP 6.50↑ 4.50(30.8%) |
Best fixed odds · live database
-72.7% vs avg
|
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| 7 |
Vargas
Gelding5thBest on going |
Jockey
Jack Kennedy
Trainer
Gordon Elliott🔵 SP VALUE
|
0 | 11-12 | - | - | 5 |
Latest
P565
|
12d | — |
Best fixed odds · live database
-79.3% vs avg
|
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| 12 |
Howyasox
6thBest on going |
Jockey
Mr J L Gleeson
Trainer
John Queally
|
0 | 11-5 | 94 | - | 6 |
Latest
5P76F
|
83d | — |
Best fixed odds · live database
-93.2% vs avg
|
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| 4 |
Kalico Leader
Gelding1st h5thBest on going |
Jockey
Kieren Buckley
Trainer
Edward Buckley⚪ NO EDGE
|
0 | 11-12 | - | H | 7 |
Latest
F425F
|
12d | — |
Best fixed odds · live database
-78.7% vs avg
|
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| 1 |
Akako
Gelding5thBest on going |
Jockey
John Aherne(7)
Trainer
John Patrick Ryan🟡 BACK BY 10AM
|
0 | 11-12 | - | - | 6 |
Latest
P075
|
124d | — |
Best fixed odds · live database
-91.6% vs avg
|
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| NR |
Pixie Hill
6thBest on going |
Jockey
Donagh Meyler
Trainer
Daniel Joseph O'Leary
|
0 | 11-5 | 85 | - | 6 |
Latest
P0960
|
8d | — |
No current fixed odds
-89.6% vs avg
|
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| NR |
Ddakji
Gelding |
Jockey
Mike O'Connor
Trainer
Conor Houlihan
|
0 | 11-10 | - | - | 4 |
Latest
098
|
41d | — |
No current fixed odds
+55.4% vs avg
|
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| 8 |
Woodie Wiley
Gelding7thBest on going |
Jockey
Sean Houlihan
Trainer
Conor Houlihan
|
0 | 11-12 | - | - | 5 |
Latest
P700
|
12d | — |
Best fixed odds · live database
-32% vs avg
|
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| 6 |
Rodeo Joe
Gelding1st v |
Jockey
Paddy Cody(7)
Trainer
David K Walsh
|
0 | 11-12 | - | V | 6 |
Latest
PP0P
|
48d | — |
Best fixed odds · live database
-75.7% vs avg
|
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| 3 |
It's Buster's Way
Gelding14thBest on going |
Jockey
Simon Torrens
Trainer
Sabrina J Harty
|
0 | 11-12 | - | - | 5 |
Latest
00
|
59d |
OP 51.00↑ 26.00(49%) |
Best fixed odds · live database
+75.7% vs avg
|
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| 11 |
C'Mere Girleen
|
Jockey
Luke Burke Ott(7)
Trainer
Alexander Ott
|
0 | 11-5 | - | - | 6 |
Latest
07
|
440d | — |
Best fixed odds · live database
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| 10 |
Down After Dark
Gelding1st h |
Jockey
Phillip Enright
Trainer
S Curling⚪ NO EDGE
|
0 | 11-10 | - | H | 4 |
Latest
U90
|
6d | — |
Best fixed odds · live database
-7.8% vs avg
|
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Click View to load this runner’s Market Form intelligence.
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You’re viewing the standard data tier. Pro members instantly unlock deep-dive market intelligence grids, historical signals, and smart movement graphs for every entry.
| Trainer | Runs | Wins | Strike Rate | 30%+ Backed | 50%+ Backed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ms Margaret Mullins | 7 | 1 | 14% | 3 (1W) | 2 (1W) |
| Michael Paul Ryan | 1 | 0 | 0% | 0 (0W) | 0 (0W) |
| Gordon Elliott | 41 | 3 | 7% | 5 (1W) | 1 (0W) |
| John Queally | 7 | 2 | 29% | 1 (1W) | 1 (1W) |
| Edward Buckley | 3 | 1 | 33% | 0 (0W) | 0 (0W) |
| John Patrick Ryan | 18 | 2 | 11% | 3 (1W) | 0 (0W) |
| Daniel Joseph O'Leary | 2 | 0 | 0% | 0 (0W) | 0 (0W) |
| Conor Houlihan | 1 | 0 | 0% | 0 (0W) | 0 (0W) |
| David K Walsh | 0 | 0 | None% | 0 (0W) | 0 (0W) |
| Sabrina J Harty | 0 | 0 | None% | 0 (0W) | 0 (0W) |
| Alexander Ott | 2 | 0 | 0% | 0 (0W) | 0 (0W) |
| S Curling | 11 | 3 | 27% | 2 (0W) | 1 (0W) |
Historical bookmaker-market evidence—not a tip or prediction.