FULL MARKET FORM ACCESS
Try Market Form free for 7 days.
Explore every tool, signal and live market feature. Then continue for £49.99 per month.
START FREE TRIAL
| Already Shortened | +1pp | +2pp | +3pp | +5pp | Samples |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–2pp | 38% | 28% | 21% | 13% | 19,150 |
| 2–4pp | 39% | 31% | 23% | 15% | 12,949 |
| 4–6pp | 40% | 32% | 24% | 15% | 9,752 |
| 6–8pp | 42% | 32% | 25% | 16% | 6,957 |
| 8–10pp | 41% | 32% | 26% | 17% | 5,061 |
| 10–12pp | 40% | 32% | 25% | 15% | 3,985 |
| 12–15pp | 39% | 32% | 24% | 16% | 3,176 |
| 15pp+ | 40% | 32% | 24% | 15% | 2,853 |
| Already Shortened | +1pp | +2pp | +3pp | +5pp | Samples |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–2pp | 56% | 49% | 43% | 33% | 1,010 |
| 2–4pp | 56% | 52% | 42% | 34% | 894 |
| 4–6pp | 55% | 50% | 41% | 29% | 707 |
| 6–8pp | 53% | 50% | 41% | 27% | 648 |
| 8–10pp | 54% | 46% | 41% | 30% | 488 |
| 10–12pp | 46% | 43% | 33% | 22% | 564 |
| 12–15pp | 46% | 43% | 32% | 23% | 505 |
| 15pp+ | 43% | 37% | 26% | 18% | 565 |
| Already Shortened | +1pp | +2pp | +3pp | +5pp | Samples |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–2pp | 48% | 40% | 33% | 22% | 3,524 |
| 2–4pp | 45% | 39% | 31% | 23% | 2,441 |
| 4–6pp | 42% | 35% | 28% | 20% | 2,655 |
| 6–8pp | 48% | 38% | 33% | 22% | 2,052 |
| 8–10pp | 45% | 37% | 30% | 20% | 1,776 |
| 10–12pp | 44% | 37% | 29% | 18% | 1,269 |
| 12–15pp | 44% | 35% | 29% | 19% | 1,117 |
| 15pp+ | 44% | 36% | 28% | 19% | 1,053 |
| Already Shortened | +1pp | +2pp | +3pp | +5pp | Samples |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–2pp | 46% | 36% | 27% | 18% | 3,529 |
| 2–4pp | 47% | 35% | 28% | 16% | 2,969 |
| 4–6pp | 44% | 33% | 26% | 15% | 2,344 |
| 6–8pp | 38% | 29% | 22% | 14% | 1,949 |
| 8–10pp | 36% | 29% | 22% | 15% | 1,508 |
| 10–12pp | 35% | 23% | 19% | 11% | 1,224 |
| 12–15pp | 37% | 25% | 20% | 13% | 841 |
| 15pp+ | 37% | 29% | 21% | 11% | 695 |
| Already Shortened | +1pp | +2pp | +3pp | +5pp | Samples |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–2pp | 30% | 19% | 13% | 6% | 11,087 |
| 2–4pp | 32% | 23% | 16% | 8% | 6,645 |
| 4–6pp | 34% | 25% | 17% | 9% | 4,046 |
| 6–8pp | 36% | 24% | 17% | 10% | 2,308 |
| 8–10pp | 35% | 22% | 19% | 10% | 1,289 |
| 10–12pp | 37% | 28% | 21% | 12% | 928 |
| 12–15pp | 30% | 25% | 16% | 11% | 713 |
| 15pp+ | 35% | 24% | 19% | 11% | 540 |
This guide shows you the exact historical probabilities of a horse's price continuing to shorten after it has already made an initial move. Every calculation is permanently anchored to the horse's Opening Price, and each runner is strictly limited to one observation per move band to ensure completely unbiased, accurate data.
Prices, form, fair odds and connections at a glance. Click any horse name to open its complete intelligence.
| MF / No. ▲▼ | Runner | Connections | Draw | Weight | OR | Headgear | Age | Form | Last run | Market move | Best Fixed Odds ▲▼ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Adaay of Scarlett
✓Course winner
Adaay of Scarlett: wins after market supportThese are previous wins where the horse shortened between its recorded opening price and SP. Probability points (pp) measure the change in its implied chance. 14 Apr 2026 · NewmarketBacked by 5.3pp
Class 4 · Good
Opening price 2.88SP 2.50
|
Jockey
Trainer
Hugo Palmer🟡 BACK BY 10AM
|
0 | 9-2 | 106 | - | 2 |
Latest
22225
|
36d | — |
No current fixed odds
+9671.8% vs avg
|
|
|
Click View to load this runner’s Market Form intelligence.
|
|||||||||||
|
Al Hudaiba
✓✓Course + distance winner
Al Hudaiba: wins after market supportThese are previous wins where the horse shortened between its recorded opening price and SP. Probability points (pp) measure the change in its implied chance. 20 Jun 2026 · Newmarket (July)Backed by 14.6pp
Class 3 · Good To Firm
Opening price 1.53SP 1.25
|
Jockey
Trainer
Charlie Appleby🔵 SP VALUE
|
0 | 9-2 | 111 | - | 2 |
Latest
1U113
|
60d | — |
No current fixed odds
+33468.5% vs avg
|
|
|
Click View to load this runner’s Market Form intelligence.
|
|||||||||||
|
Bengal Tiger
|
Jockey
Trainer
Aidan O'Brien
|
0 | 9-2 | - | - | 2 |
Latest
0
|
48d | — |
No current fixed odds
+3344.8% vs avg
|
|
|
Click View to load this runner’s Market Form intelligence.
|
|||||||||||
|
Carry The Flag
Carry The Flag: wins after market supportThese are previous wins where the horse shortened between its recorded opening price and SP. Probability points (pp) measure the change in its implied chance. 9 May 2026 · Naas (IRE)Backed by 6.9pp
Class unavailable · Good
Opening price 1.50SP 1.36
|
Jockey
Trainer
Aidan O'Brien
|
0 | 9-2 | 101 | - | 2 |
Latest
91742
|
34d | — |
No current fixed odds
+12707.7% vs avg
|
|
|
Click View to load this runner’s Market Form intelligence.
|
|||||||||||
|
Confucius
✓Distance winner
Confucius: wins after market supportThese are previous wins where the horse shortened between its recorded opening price and SP. Probability points (pp) measure the change in its implied chance. 9 May 2026 · Naas (IRE)Backed by 9.8pp
Class unavailable · Good
Opening price 1.36SP 1.20
|
Jockey
Trainer
Aidan O'Brien
|
0 | 9-2 | 102 | - | 2 |
Latest
21633
|
70d | — |
No current fixed odds
+50456.7% vs avg
|
|
|
Click View to load this runner’s Market Form intelligence.
|
|||||||||||
|
Dance A Jig
Dance A Jig: wins after market supportThese are previous wins where the horse shortened between its recorded opening price and SP. Probability points (pp) measure the change in its implied chance. 7 Aug 2026 · HaydockBacked by 11.6pp
Class 3 · Good
Opening price 4.33SP 2.88
|
Jockey
Trainer
Ralph Beckett🔵 SP VALUE
|
0 | 9-2 | 96 | - | 2 |
Latest
22019
|
35d | — |
No current fixed odds
+14744% vs avg
|
|
|
Click View to load this runner’s Market Form intelligence.
|
|||||||||||
|
Etienne
Etienne: wins after market supportThese are previous wins where the horse shortened between its recorded opening price and SP. Probability points (pp) measure the change in its implied chance. 2 Sep 2026 · BathBacked by 10.0pp
Class 5 · Good
Opening price 1.16SP 1.04
|
Jockey
Trainer
Richard Spencer⚪ NO EDGE
|
0 | 9-2 | 86 | - | 2 |
Latest
24
|
70d | — |
No current fixed odds
+29750.6% vs avg
|
|
|
Click View to load this runner’s Market Form intelligence.
|
|||||||||||
|
Flann Sunna
✓Distance winner
Flann Sunna: wins after market supportThese are previous wins where the horse shortened between its recorded opening price and SP. Probability points (pp) measure the change in its implied chance. 10 Jul 2026 · AscotBacked by 11.4pp
Class 3 · Good To Firm
Opening price 4.00SP 2.75
22 Jun 2026 · WindsorBacked by 7.7pp
Class 4 · Good To Firm
Opening price 6.50SP 4.33
|
Jockey
Trainer
Simon & Ed Crisford⚪ NO EDGE
|
0 | 9-2 | 99 | - | 2 |
Latest
115
|
58d | — |
No current fixed odds
+29765.5% vs avg
|
|
|
Click View to load this runner’s Market Form intelligence.
|
|||||||||||
|
Folsom Blues
Folsom Blues: wins after market supportThese are previous wins where the horse shortened between its recorded opening price and SP. Probability points (pp) measure the change in its implied chance. 13 Sep 2026 · Curragh (IRE)Backed by 2.4pp
Class 1 · Yielding
Opening price 7.00SP 6.00
12 Jun 2026 · Gowran Park (IRE)Backed by 21.2pp
Class unavailable · Soft
Opening price 2.20SP 1.50
|
Jockey
Trainer
Joseph Patrick O'Brien🟡 BACK BY 10AM
|
0 | 9-2 | 113 | - | 2 |
Latest
3122
|
48d | — |
No current fixed odds
+20337.8% vs avg
|
|
|
Click View to load this runner’s Market Form intelligence.
|
|||||||||||
|
Great Barrier Reef
✓Distance winner
Great Barrier Reef: wins after market supportThese are previous wins where the horse shortened between its recorded opening price and SP. Probability points (pp) measure the change in its implied chance. 24 May 2026 · Curragh (IRE)Backed by 4.9pp
Class unavailable · Good
Opening price 1.62SP 1.50
19 Apr 2026 · Curragh (IRE)Backed by 7.6pp
Class unavailable · Soft
Opening price 1.73SP 1.53
|
Jockey
Trainer
Aidan O'Brien
|
0 | 9-2 | 109 | - | 2 |
Latest
1112
|
28d | — |
No current fixed odds
+33850.7% vs avg
|
|
|
Click View to load this runner’s Market Form intelligence.
|
|||||||||||
|
Great Oak
✓Distance winner |
Jockey
Trainer
K. R. Burke⚪ NO EDGE
|
0 | 9-2 | - | - | 2 |
Latest
1
|
68d | — |
No current fixed odds
+75012.8% vs avg
|
|
|
Click View to load this runner’s Market Form intelligence.
|
|||||||||||
|
Hell of A Spin
|
Jockey
Trainer
Adrian Keatley⚪ NO EDGE
|
0 | 9-2 | 100 | - | 2 |
Latest
2133
|
36d | — |
No current fixed odds
+3946.6% vs avg
|
|
|
Click View to load this runner’s Market Form intelligence.
|
|||||||||||
|
Inner City Blues
✓Distance winner
Inner City Blues: wins after market supportThese are previous wins where the horse shortened between its recorded opening price and SP. Probability points (pp) measure the change in its implied chance. 13 Jun 2026 · YorkBacked by 5.2pp
Class 3 · Good
Opening price 1.83SP 1.67
|
Jockey
Trainer
Charlie Appleby🔵 SP VALUE
|
0 | 9-2 | 109 | - | 2 |
Latest
11
|
79d | — |
No current fixed odds
+61000.9% vs avg
|
|
|
Click View to load this runner’s Market Form intelligence.
|
|||||||||||
|
Innichen
✓Distance winner
Innichen: wins after market supportThese are previous wins where the horse shortened between its recorded opening price and SP. Probability points (pp) measure the change in its implied chance. 2 Jul 2026 · NottinghamBacked by 11.1pp
Class 5 · Good To Firm
Opening price 4.50SP 3.00
29 Apr 2026 · PontefractBacked by 1.0pp
Class 4 · Good
Opening price 2.25SP 2.20
|
Jockey
Trainer
Jack Channon🔵 SP VALUE
|
0 | 9-2 | 85 | - | 2 |
Latest
11303
|
29d | — |
No current fixed odds
+14194.4% vs avg
|
|
|
Click View to load this runner’s Market Form intelligence.
|
|||||||||||
|
Launch Sequence
|
Jockey
Trainer
K. R. Burke⚪ NO EDGE
|
0 | 9-2 | 85 | - | 2 |
Latest
336
|
36d | — |
No current fixed odds
+22527.4% vs avg
|
|
|
Click View to load this runner’s Market Form intelligence.
|
|||||||||||
|
Man's Best Friend
✓Distance winner
Man's Best Friend: wins after market supportThese are previous wins where the horse shortened between its recorded opening price and SP. Probability points (pp) measure the change in its implied chance. 30 Jul 2026 · GoodwoodBacked by 4.9pp
Class 1 · Good To Firm
Opening price 7.50SP 5.50
|
Jockey
Trainer
Aidan O'Brien
|
0 | 9-2 | 109 | - | 2 |
Latest
4114
|
34d | — |
No current fixed odds
+10415.8% vs avg
|
|
|
Click View to load this runner’s Market Form intelligence.
|
|||||||||||
|
Marco Polo
Marco Polo: wins after market supportThese are previous wins where the horse shortened between its recorded opening price and SP. Probability points (pp) measure the change in its implied chance. 9 Sep 2026 · Cork (IRE)Backed by 5.5pp
Class unavailable · Good
Opening price 1.25SP 1.17
|
Jockey
Trainer
Aidan O'Brien
|
0 | 9-2 | - | - | 2 |
Latest
28
|
36d | — |
No current fixed odds
+15892.5% vs avg
|
|
|
Click View to load this runner’s Market Form intelligence.
|
|||||||||||
|
Matteo
Matteo: wins after market supportThese are previous wins where the horse shortened between its recorded opening price and SP. Probability points (pp) measure the change in its implied chance. 30 May 2026 · BeverleyBacked by 21.0pp
Class 2 · Good To Firm
Opening price 3.75SP 2.10
23 Apr 2026 · BeverleyBacked by 6.7pp
Class 5 · Good
Opening price 5.00SP 3.75
|
Jockey
Trainer
Kevin Ryan⚪ NO EDGE
|
0 | 9-2 | 91 | - | 2 |
Latest
117
|
36d | — |
No current fixed odds
+6038.2% vs avg
|
|
|
Click View to load this runner’s Market Form intelligence.
|
|||||||||||
|
Mrair
✓Distance winner
Mrair: wins after market supportThese are previous wins where the horse shortened between its recorded opening price and SP. Probability points (pp) measure the change in its implied chance. 1 Jun 2026 · LingfieldBacked by 16.3pp
Class 2 · Good
Opening price 1.40SP 1.14
|
Jockey
Trainer
George Scott⚪ NO EDGE
|
0 | 9-2 | 102 | - | 2 |
Latest
218
|
102d | — |
No current fixed odds
+13685.6% vs avg
|
|
|
Click View to load this runner’s Market Form intelligence.
|
|||||||||||
|
Nabati
✓Distance winner
Nabati: wins after market supportThese are previous wins where the horse shortened between its recorded opening price and SP. Probability points (pp) measure the change in its implied chance. 19 Sep 2026 · NewburyBacked by 14.1pp
Class 1 · Good To Firm
Opening price 4.50SP 2.75
|
Jockey
Trainer
Charlie Appleby🔵 SP VALUE
|
0 | 9-2 | 103 | - | 2 |
Latest
121
|
50d | — |
No current fixed odds
+43831.4% vs avg
|
|
|
Click View to load this runner’s Market Form intelligence.
|
|||||||||||
|
Never Enough
✓Distance winner
Never Enough: wins after market supportThese are previous wins where the horse shortened between its recorded opening price and SP. Probability points (pp) measure the change in its implied chance. 25 Jul 2026 · AscotBacked by 14.2pp
Class 2 · Good To Firm
Opening price 2.62SP 1.91
|
Jockey
Trainer
Ed Walker🟢 BACK EARLY
|
0 | 9-2 | 86 | - | 2 |
Latest
219
|
36d | — |
No current fixed odds
+9930.1% vs avg
|
|
|
Click View to load this runner’s Market Form intelligence.
|
|||||||||||
|
Orthodox
Orthodox: wins after market supportThese are previous wins where the horse shortened between its recorded opening price and SP. Probability points (pp) measure the change in its implied chance. 14 May 2026 · SalisburyBacked by 3.2pp
Class 3 · Good
Opening price 1.91SP 1.80
|
Jockey
Trainer
Clive Cox🔵 SP VALUE
|
0 | 9-2 | 110 | - | 2 |
Latest
116
|
34d | — |
No current fixed odds
+27766.1% vs avg
|
|
|
Click View to load this runner’s Market Form intelligence.
|
|||||||||||
|
Supreme Lord
✓Distance winner |
Jockey
Trainer
Robson De Aguiar🔵 SP VALUE
|
0 | 9-2 | 79 | - | 2 |
Latest
3551
|
30d | — |
No current fixed odds
+13482.6% vs avg
|
|
|
Click View to load this runner’s Market Form intelligence.
|
|||||||||||
|
Tawakal
✓Distance winner |
Jockey
Trainer
Simon & Ed Crisford⚪ NO EDGE
|
0 | 9-2 | 93 | - | 2 |
Latest
12
|
50d | — |
No current fixed odds
+37645.6% vs avg
|
|
|
Click View to load this runner’s Market Form intelligence.
|
|||||||||||
|
Where Love Lives
Where Love Lives: wins after market supportThese are previous wins where the horse shortened between its recorded opening price and SP. Probability points (pp) measure the change in its implied chance. 28 May 2026 · SandownBacked by 4.4pp
Class 1 · Good
Opening price 4.50SP 3.75
10 Apr 2026 · ThirskBacked by 19.7pp
Class 4 · Good
Opening price 6.00SP 2.75
|
Jockey
Trainer
Donnacha Aidan O'Brien⚪ NO EDGE
|
0 | 9-2 | 99 | - | 2 |
Latest
11045
|
28d | — |
No current fixed odds
+8819.6% vs avg
|
|
|
Click View to load this runner’s Market Form intelligence.
|
|||||||||||
|
Zoar
✓Distance winner |
Jockey
Trainer
Donnacha Aidan O'Brien⚪ NO EDGE
|
0 | 9-2 | - | - | 2 |
Latest
21
|
34d | — |
No current fixed odds
+13852.5% vs avg
|
|
|
Click View to load this runner’s Market Form intelligence.
|
|||||||||||
You’re viewing the standard data tier. Pro members instantly unlock deep-dive market intelligence grids, historical signals, and smart movement graphs for every entry.
| Trainer | Runs | Wins | Places | Win % | A/E Index |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hugo Palmer | 260 | 24 | 84 | 9% | 0.72 |
| Charlie Appleby | 718 | 203 | 419 | 28% | 1.11 |
| Aidan O'Brien | 558 | 81 | 226 | 15% | 0.8 |
| Ralph Beckett | 549 | 72 | 191 | 13% | 0.94 |
| Richard Spencer | 113 | 1 | 21 | 1% | 0.14 |
| Simon & Ed Crisford | 92 | 11 | 33 | 12% | 0.75 |
| Joseph Patrick O'Brien | 23 | 2 | 8 | 9% | 0.77 |
| K. R. Burke | 352 | 33 | 105 | 9% | 0.94 |
| Adrian Keatley | 19 | 1 | 3 | 5% | 0.67 |
| Jack Channon | 48 | 2 | 15 | 4% | 0.39 |
| Kevin Ryan | 295 | 20 | 76 | 7% | 0.76 |
| George Scott | 91 | 8 | 20 | 9% | 1.09 |
| Ed Walker | 250 | 25 | 76 | 10% | 0.92 |
| Clive Cox | 286 | 26 | 83 | 9% | 0.84 |
| Robson De Aguiar | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 |
| Donnacha Aidan O'Brien | 13 | 1 | 5 | 8% | 0.92 |
| Trainer | Runs | Wins | Strike Rate | 30%+ Backed | 50%+ Backed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hugo Palmer | 45 | 3 | 7% | 5 (1W) | 2 (0W) |
| Charlie Appleby | 22 | 12 | 55% | 2 (1W) | 0 (0W) |
| Aidan O'Brien | 65 | 6 | 9% | 0 (0W) | 0 (0W) |
| Ralph Beckett | 47 | 6 | 13% | 7 (2W) | 2 (1W) |
| Richard Spencer | 32 | 6 | 19% | 6 (1W) | 2 (1W) |
| Simon & Ed Crisford | 24 | 4 | 17% | 6 (1W) | 0 (0W) |
| Joseph Patrick O'Brien | 75 | 12 | 16% | 6 (1W) | 2 (0W) |
| K. R. Burke | 62 | 11 | 18% | 9 (0W) | 1 (0W) |
| Adrian Keatley | 15 | 2 | 13% | 2 (0W) | 0 (0W) |
| Jack Channon | 22 | 2 | 9% | 3 (0W) | 1 (0W) |
| Kevin Ryan | 44 | 2 | 5% | 10 (1W) | 2 (0W) |
| George Scott | 13 | 1 | 8% | 1 (0W) | 0 (0W) |
| Ed Walker | 41 | 4 | 10% | 7 (1W) | 1 (0W) |
| Clive Cox | 24 | 4 | 17% | 3 (1W) | 0 (0W) |
| Robson De Aguiar | 17 | 2 | 12% | 3 (1W) | 0 (0W) |
| Donnacha Aidan O'Brien | 12 | 3 | 25% | 0 (0W) | 0 (0W) |
Explore every tool, signal and live market feature. Then continue for £49.99 per month.
START FREE TRIAL →Get support and drift alerts before the off when meaningful movement is detected.
ACTIVATE ALERTS →Open Market Form on your laptop or desktop for the full workspace and a wider view of the market.
OPEN MARKET FORM →Historical bookmaker-market evidence—not a tip or prediction.