Try Market Form free for 7 days.
Explore every tool, signal and live market feature. Then continue for £49.99 per month.
START FREE TRIAL| Already Shortened | +1pp | +2pp | +3pp | +5pp | Samples |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–2pp | 38% | 28% | 21% | 13% | 19,150 |
| 2–4pp | 39% | 31% | 23% | 15% | 12,949 |
| 4–6pp | 40% | 32% | 24% | 15% | 9,752 |
| 6–8pp | 42% | 32% | 25% | 16% | 6,957 |
| 8–10pp | 41% | 32% | 26% | 17% | 5,061 |
| 10–12pp | 40% | 32% | 25% | 15% | 3,985 |
| 12–15pp | 39% | 32% | 24% | 16% | 3,176 |
| 15pp+ | 40% | 32% | 24% | 15% | 2,853 |
| Already Shortened | +1pp | +2pp | +3pp | +5pp | Samples |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–2pp | 56% | 49% | 43% | 33% | 1,010 |
| 2–4pp | 56% | 52% | 42% | 34% | 894 |
| 4–6pp | 55% | 50% | 41% | 29% | 707 |
| 6–8pp | 53% | 50% | 41% | 27% | 648 |
| 8–10pp | 54% | 46% | 41% | 30% | 488 |
| 10–12pp | 46% | 43% | 33% | 22% | 564 |
| 12–15pp | 46% | 43% | 32% | 23% | 505 |
| 15pp+ | 43% | 37% | 26% | 18% | 565 |
| Already Shortened | +1pp | +2pp | +3pp | +5pp | Samples |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–2pp | 48% | 40% | 33% | 22% | 3,524 |
| 2–4pp | 45% | 39% | 31% | 23% | 2,441 |
| 4–6pp | 42% | 35% | 28% | 20% | 2,655 |
| 6–8pp | 48% | 38% | 33% | 22% | 2,052 |
| 8–10pp | 45% | 37% | 30% | 20% | 1,776 |
| 10–12pp | 44% | 37% | 29% | 18% | 1,269 |
| 12–15pp | 44% | 35% | 29% | 19% | 1,117 |
| 15pp+ | 44% | 36% | 28% | 19% | 1,053 |
| Already Shortened | +1pp | +2pp | +3pp | +5pp | Samples |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–2pp | 46% | 36% | 27% | 18% | 3,529 |
| 2–4pp | 47% | 35% | 28% | 16% | 2,969 |
| 4–6pp | 44% | 33% | 26% | 15% | 2,344 |
| 6–8pp | 38% | 29% | 22% | 14% | 1,949 |
| 8–10pp | 36% | 29% | 22% | 15% | 1,508 |
| 10–12pp | 35% | 23% | 19% | 11% | 1,224 |
| 12–15pp | 37% | 25% | 20% | 13% | 841 |
| 15pp+ | 37% | 29% | 21% | 11% | 695 |
| Already Shortened | +1pp | +2pp | +3pp | +5pp | Samples |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–2pp | 30% | 19% | 13% | 6% | 11,087 |
| 2–4pp | 32% | 23% | 16% | 8% | 6,645 |
| 4–6pp | 34% | 25% | 17% | 9% | 4,046 |
| 6–8pp | 36% | 24% | 17% | 10% | 2,308 |
| 8–10pp | 35% | 22% | 19% | 10% | 1,289 |
| 10–12pp | 37% | 28% | 21% | 12% | 928 |
| 12–15pp | 30% | 25% | 16% | 11% | 713 |
| 15pp+ | 35% | 24% | 19% | 11% | 540 |
This guide shows you the exact historical probabilities of a horse's price continuing to shorten after it has already made an initial move. Every calculation is permanently anchored to the horse's Opening Price, and each runner is strictly limited to one observation per move band to ensure completely unbiased, accurate data.
Prices, form, fair odds and connections at a glance. Click any horse name to open its complete intelligence.
| MF / No. ▲▼ | Runner | Connections | Draw | Weight | OR | Headgear | Age | Form | Last run | Market move | Best Fixed Odds ▲▼ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Be The Standard
Gelding5thBest on going |
Jockey
Trainer
Hugo Palmer🟡 BACK BY 10AM
|
0 | 9-2 | 81 | - | 3 |
Latest
32145
|
141d | — |
No current fixed odds
+16550% vs avg
|
|
|
Click View to load this runner’s Market Form intelligence.
|
|||||||||||
|
Clouds Hill
3rdBest on going |
Jockey
Trainer
Charlie Johnston⚪ NO EDGE
|
0 | 9-8 | 82 | - | 4 |
Latest
39087
|
43d | — |
No current fixed odds
+9414.3% vs avg
|
|
|
Click View to load this runner’s Market Form intelligence.
|
|||||||||||
|
Cockade
Cockade: wins after market supportThese are previous wins where the horse shortened between its recorded opening price and SP. Probability points (pp) measure the change in its implied chance. 8 Jun 2026 · WindsorBacked by 21.4pp
Class 4 · Good To Soft
Opening price 2.75SP 1.73
|
Jockey
William Buick
Trainer
John & Thady Gosden🔵 SP VALUE
|
0 | 9-11 | 90 | - | 3 |
Latest
413
|
97d | — |
No current fixed odds
+38721.2% vs avg
|
|
|
Click View to load this runner’s Market Form intelligence.
|
|||||||||||
|
Cogitate
Gelding3rdBest on going |
Jockey
Charles Bishop
Trainer
Eve Johnson Houghton🔵 SP VALUE
|
0 | 9-8 | 82 | - | 5 |
Latest
73544
|
44d | — |
No current fixed odds
+8078.9% vs avg
|
|
|
Click View to load this runner’s Market Form intelligence.
|
|||||||||||
|
Dhahabi
Gelding✓Course winner15thBest on going |
Jockey
Trainer
Ian Williams🟢 BACK EARLY
|
0 | 9-8 | 82 | - | 8 |
Latest
00000
|
19d | — |
No current fixed odds
+831.5% vs avg
|
|
|
Click View to load this runner’s Market Form intelligence.
|
|||||||||||
|
Drymee
Gelding✓Going winner
Drymee: wins after market supportThese are previous wins where the horse shortened between its recorded opening price and SP. Probability points (pp) measure the change in its implied chance. 28 Aug 2026 · SandownBacked by 6.7pp
Class 4 · Good
Opening price 3.00SP 2.50
2 Jul 2026 · NewburyBacked by 11.6pp
Class 5 · Good To Firm
Opening price 4.33SP 2.88
6 Jun 2026 · LingfieldBacked by 9.6pp
Class 4 · Soft
Opening price 6.50SP 4.00
|
Jockey
Trainer
James Fanshawe⚪ NO EDGE
|
0 | 9-8 | 87 | - | 3 |
Latest
71131
|
28d | — |
No current fixed odds
+26244.9% vs avg
|
|
|
Click View to load this runner’s Market Form intelligence.
|
|||||||||||
|
Echalar
Gelding7thBest on going
Echalar: wins after market supportThese are previous wins where the horse shortened between its recorded opening price and SP. Probability points (pp) measure the change in its implied chance. 6 Jan 2026 · Wolverhampton (AW)Backed by 9.8pp
Class 4 · Standard
Opening price 7.50SP 4.33
|
Jockey
Trainer
Ian Williams🟢 BACK EARLY
|
0 | 9-2 | 76 | - | 4 |
Latest
34712
|
10d | — |
No current fixed odds
+4307.4% vs avg
|
|
|
Click View to load this runner’s Market Form intelligence.
|
|||||||||||
|
El Matador
Gelding2ndBest on going |
Jockey
Hector Crouch
Trainer
Ralph Beckett🔵 SP VALUE
|
0 | 10-1 | 89 | - | 4 |
Latest
52233
|
92d | — |
No current fixed odds
+24385.3% vs avg
|
|
|
Click View to load this runner’s Market Form intelligence.
|
|||||||||||
|
First Ambition
Gelding |
Jockey
Clifford Lee
Trainer
Michael Keady⚪ NO EDGE
|
0 | 9-9 | 83 | - | 5 |
Latest
70663
|
18d | — |
No current fixed odds
+2581.9% vs avg
|
|
|
Click View to load this runner’s Market Form intelligence.
|
|||||||||||
|
Flying Frontier
✓Distance winner7thBest on going |
Jockey
Rossa Ryan
Trainer
James Tate🟡 BACK BY 10AM
|
0 | 10-0 | 88 | - | 6 |
Latest
44877
|
13d | — |
No current fixed odds
+4937% vs avg
|
|
|
Click View to load this runner’s Market Form intelligence.
|
|||||||||||
|
Go Rimbaud
Gelding✓Distance winner
Go Rimbaud: wins after market supportThese are previous wins where the horse shortened between its recorded opening price and SP. Probability points (pp) measure the change in its implied chance. 17 Jul 2026 · Wolverhampton (AW)Backed by 0.9pp
Class 4 · Standard
Opening price 1.83SP 1.80
|
Jockey
William Buick
Trainer
John & Thady Gosden🔵 SP VALUE
|
0 | 9-9 | 88 | - | 3 |
Latest
51022
|
21d | — |
No current fixed odds
+20136.3% vs avg
|
|
|
Click View to load this runner’s Market Form intelligence.
|
|||||||||||
|
Jimmy Speaking
Gelding2ndBest on going
Jimmy Speaking: wins after market supportThese are previous wins where the horse shortened between its recorded opening price and SP. Probability points (pp) measure the change in its implied chance. 30 Apr 2026 · Southwell (AW)Backed by 9.1pp
Class 4 · Standard
Opening price 2.75SP 2.20
29 Mar 2026 · DoncasterBacked by 8.2pp
Class 4 · Good To Soft
Opening price 8.50SP 5.00
|
Jockey
Trainer
Chris Dwyer⚪ NO EDGE
|
0 | 9-9 | 83 | - | 5 |
Latest
94482
|
9d | — |
No current fixed odds
+6700% vs avg
|
|
|
Click View to load this runner’s Market Form intelligence.
|
|||||||||||
|
Joulany
Gelding2ndBest on going |
Jockey
Trainer
Ralph Beckett🔵 SP VALUE
|
0 | 9-12 | 91 | - | 3 |
Latest
24320
|
99d | — |
No current fixed odds
+10638.1% vs avg
|
|
|
Click View to load this runner’s Market Form intelligence.
|
|||||||||||
|
Livemore
Gelding5thBest on going
Livemore: wins after market supportThese are previous wins where the horse shortened between its recorded opening price and SP. Probability points (pp) measure the change in its implied chance. 17 Jul 2026 · Newmarket (July)Backed by 26.4pp
Class 4 · Good To Firm
Opening price 46.00SP 3.50
|
Jockey
Ray Dawson
Trainer
T. J. Kent
|
0 | 8-13 | 78 | - | 3 |
Latest
516
|
30d | — |
No current fixed odds
+8026.4% vs avg
|
|
|
Click View to load this runner’s Market Form intelligence.
|
|||||||||||
|
Mr Seagull
Gelding4thBest on going |
Jockey
Trainer
Hugo Palmer🟡 BACK BY 10AM
|
0 | 8-6 | 71 | - | 3 |
Latest
65045
|
14d | — |
No current fixed odds
+7146.6% vs avg
|
|
|
Click View to load this runner’s Market Form intelligence.
|
|||||||||||
|
Mythical Bird
5thBest on going
Mythical Bird: wins after market supportThese are previous wins where the horse shortened between its recorded opening price and SP. Probability points (pp) measure the change in its implied chance. 30 Apr 2026 · Lingfield (AW)Backed by 14.5pp
Class 5 · Standard
Opening price 13.00SP 4.50
|
Jockey
Saffie Osborne
Trainer
Hughie Morrison⚪ NO EDGE
|
0 | 9-3 | 77 | - | 4 |
Latest
03155
|
7d | — |
No current fixed odds
+8239.8% vs avg
|
|
|
Click View to load this runner’s Market Form intelligence.
|
|||||||||||
|
Mythical Guest
Gelding✓Course winner9thBest on going |
Jockey
Trainer
George Margarson🔵 SP VALUE
|
0 | 9-4 | 78 | - | 6 |
Latest
34303
|
10d | — |
No current fixed odds
+5886.5% vs avg
|
|
|
Click View to load this runner’s Market Form intelligence.
|
|||||||||||
|
Nizam
Gelding23rdBest on going |
Jockey
Trainer
Ian Williams🟢 BACK EARLY
|
0 | 10-1 | 89 | - | 4 |
Latest
07000
|
9d | — |
No current fixed odds
+1743.2% vs avg
|
|
|
Click View to load this runner’s Market Form intelligence.
|
|||||||||||
|
Parole d'Oro
Gelding2ndBest on going |
Jockey
James Doyle
Trainer
Michael Bell🟡 BACK BY 10AM
|
0 | 10-2 | 90 | - | 4 |
Latest
82479
|
34d | — |
No current fixed odds
+6650% vs avg
|
|
|
Click View to load this runner’s Market Form intelligence.
|
|||||||||||
|
Runswick
|
Jockey
Ryan Moore
Trainer
Ed Dunlop🟢 BACK EARLY
|
0 | 9-8 | 87 | - | 3 |
Latest
32186
|
48d | — |
No current fixed odds
+10093.9% vs avg
|
|
|
Click View to load this runner’s Market Form intelligence.
|
|||||||||||
|
Sea Founder
Gelding
Sea Founder: wins after market supportThese are previous wins where the horse shortened between its recorded opening price and SP. Probability points (pp) measure the change in its implied chance. 30 Apr 2026 · Kempton (AW)Backed by 15.8pp
Class 5 · Standard To Slow
Opening price 4.50SP 2.63
28 Feb 2026 · Lingfield (AW)Backed by 7.5pp
Class 5 · Standard
Opening price 8.00SP 5.00
|
Jockey
Finley Marsh
Trainer
Richard Hughes⚪ NO EDGE
|
0 | 9-4 | 78 | - | 4 |
Latest
19626
|
14d | — |
No current fixed odds
+8682.4% vs avg
|
|
|
Click View to load this runner’s Market Form intelligence.
|
|||||||||||
|
Silca Bay
Gelding4thBest on going
Silca Bay: wins after market supportThese are previous wins where the horse shortened between its recorded opening price and SP. Probability points (pp) measure the change in its implied chance. 18 Jul 2026 · Newmarket (July)Backed by 0.9pp
Class 4 · Good To Firm
Opening price 4.50SP 4.33
5 Jun 2026 · GoodwoodBacked by 5.6pp
Class 4 · Good To Soft
Opening price 6.00SP 4.50
|
Jockey
Oliver Carmichael(7)
Trainer
Eve Johnson Houghton🔵 SP VALUE
|
0 | 9-5 | 79 | - | 4 |
Latest
14157
|
26d | — |
No current fixed odds
+11196.1% vs avg
|
|
|
Click View to load this runner’s Market Form intelligence.
|
|||||||||||
|
Summer In Paris
4thBest on going |
Jockey
Trainer
Richard & Peter Fahey⚪ NO EDGE
|
0 | 8-11 | 76 | - | 3 |
Latest
4546
|
125d | — |
No current fixed odds
+5450% vs avg
|
|
|
Click View to load this runner’s Market Form intelligence.
|
|||||||||||
|
Venetian Lion
Gelding✓Going winner
Venetian Lion: wins after market supportThese are previous wins where the horse shortened between its recorded opening price and SP. Probability points (pp) measure the change in its implied chance. 20 Aug 2026 · Newmarket (July)Backed by 1.4pp
Class 5 · Good To Firm
Opening price 2.86SP 2.75
|
Jockey
Trainer
William Haggas🟡 BACK BY 10AM
|
0 | 9-3 | 76 | - | 3 |
Latest
62111
|
8d | — |
No current fixed odds
+10312.4% vs avg
|
|
|
Click View to load this runner’s Market Form intelligence.
|
|||||||||||
|
Waterford Castle
Gelding2ndBest on going |
Jockey
Billy Loughnane
Trainer
George Boughey⚪ NO EDGE
|
0 | 9-9 | 88 | - | 3 |
Latest
27231
|
43d | — |
No current fixed odds
+15547.8% vs avg
|
|
|
Click View to load this runner’s Market Form intelligence.
|
|||||||||||
|
Wyld Bill
Gelding |
Jockey
Jack Dace(5)
Trainer
Gihan Arnolda⚪ NO EDGE
|
0 | - | - | - | 5 |
Latest
11135
|
175d | — |
No current fixed odds
+15269.2% vs avg
|
|
|
Click View to load this runner’s Market Form intelligence.
|
|||||||||||
You’re viewing the standard data tier. Pro members instantly unlock deep-dive market intelligence grids, historical signals, and smart movement graphs for every entry.
| Trainer | Runs | Wins | Places | Win % | A/E Index |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hugo Palmer | 260 | 24 | 84 | 9% | 0.72 |
| Charlie Johnston | 122 | 12 | 38 | 10% | 0.95 |
| John & Thady Gosden | 312 | 42 | 129 | 13% | 0.78 |
| Eve Johnson Houghton | 165 | 14 | 40 | 8% | 0.93 |
| Ian Williams | 178 | 15 | 47 | 8% | 1.09 |
| James Fanshawe | 568 | 50 | 153 | 9% | 0.79 |
| Ralph Beckett | 549 | 72 | 191 | 13% | 0.94 |
| Michael Keady | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 0 |
| James Tate | 133 | 10 | 35 | 8% | 0.74 |
| Chris Dwyer | 173 | 4 | 19 | 2% | 0.39 |
| T. J. Kent | 27 | 1 | 2 | 4% | 0.55 |
| Hughie Morrison | 283 | 32 | 81 | 11% | 1.08 |
| George Margarson | 164 | 6 | 27 | 4% | 0.61 |
| Michael Bell | 752 | 45 | 171 | 6% | 0.63 |
| Ed Dunlop | 700 | 54 | 182 | 8% | 0.81 |
| Richard Hughes | 118 | 11 | 33 | 9% | 0.89 |
| Richard & Peter Fahey | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 0 |
| William Haggas | 1026 | 113 | 308 | 11% | 0.82 |
| George Boughey | 170 | 14 | 62 | 8% | 0.62 |
| Trainer | Runs | Wins | Strike Rate | 30%+ Backed | 50%+ Backed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hugo Palmer | 45 | 3 | 7% | 5 (1W) | 2 (0W) |
| Charlie Johnston | 33 | 3 | 9% | 4 (1W) | 1 (1W) |
| John & Thady Gosden | 35 | 7 | 20% | 1 (1W) | 0 (0W) |
| Eve Johnson Houghton | 33 | 2 | 6% | 5 (0W) | 1 (0W) |
| Ian Williams | 42 | 4 | 10% | 4 (0W) | 1 (0W) |
| James Fanshawe | 23 | 5 | 22% | 5 (2W) | 1 (1W) |
| Ralph Beckett | 47 | 6 | 13% | 7 (2W) | 2 (1W) |
| Michael Keady | 12 | 1 | 8% | 1 (1W) | 0 (0W) |
| James Tate | 15 | 2 | 13% | 2 (1W) | 0 (0W) |
| Chris Dwyer | 12 | 1 | 8% | 2 (1W) | 2 (1W) |
| T. J. Kent | 5 | 0 | 0% | 0 (0W) | 0 (0W) |
| Hughie Morrison | 16 | 3 | 19% | 2 (0W) | 1 (0W) |
| George Margarson | 5 | 2 | 40% | 1 (0W) | 0 (0W) |
| Michael Bell | 18 | 0 | 0% | 5 (0W) | 1 (0W) |
| Ed Dunlop | 23 | 1 | 4% | 3 (0W) | 0 (0W) |
| Richard Hughes | 43 | 2 | 5% | 7 (1W) | 2 (0W) |
| Richard & Peter Fahey | 56 | 3 | 5% | 6 (1W) | 1 (0W) |
| William Haggas | 70 | 16 | 23% | 14 (4W) | 2 (1W) |
| George Boughey | 38 | 7 | 18% | 4 (1W) | 1 (0W) |
| Gihan Arnolda | 4 | 0 | 0% | 1 (0W) | 0 (0W) |
Explore every tool, signal and live market feature. Then continue for £49.99 per month.
START FREE TRIAL →Get support and drift alerts before the off when meaningful movement is detected.
ACTIVATE ALERTS →Open Market Form on your laptop or desktop for the full workspace and a wider view of the market.
OPEN MARKET FORM →Historical bookmaker-market evidence—not a tip or prediction.