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START FREE TRIAL| Already Shortened | +1pp | +2pp | +3pp | +5pp | Samples |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–2pp | 38% | 28% | 21% | 13% | 19,150 |
| 2–4pp | 39% | 31% | 23% | 15% | 12,949 |
| 4–6pp | 40% | 32% | 24% | 15% | 9,752 |
| 6–8pp | 42% | 32% | 25% | 16% | 6,957 |
| 8–10pp | 41% | 32% | 26% | 17% | 5,061 |
| 10–12pp | 40% | 32% | 25% | 15% | 3,985 |
| 12–15pp | 39% | 32% | 24% | 16% | 3,176 |
| 15pp+ | 40% | 32% | 24% | 15% | 2,853 |
| Already Shortened | +1pp | +2pp | +3pp | +5pp | Samples |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–2pp | 56% | 49% | 43% | 33% | 1,010 |
| 2–4pp | 56% | 52% | 42% | 34% | 894 |
| 4–6pp | 55% | 50% | 41% | 29% | 707 |
| 6–8pp | 53% | 50% | 41% | 27% | 648 |
| 8–10pp | 54% | 46% | 41% | 30% | 488 |
| 10–12pp | 46% | 43% | 33% | 22% | 564 |
| 12–15pp | 46% | 43% | 32% | 23% | 505 |
| 15pp+ | 43% | 37% | 26% | 18% | 565 |
| Already Shortened | +1pp | +2pp | +3pp | +5pp | Samples |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–2pp | 48% | 40% | 33% | 22% | 3,524 |
| 2–4pp | 45% | 39% | 31% | 23% | 2,441 |
| 4–6pp | 42% | 35% | 28% | 20% | 2,655 |
| 6–8pp | 48% | 38% | 33% | 22% | 2,052 |
| 8–10pp | 45% | 37% | 30% | 20% | 1,776 |
| 10–12pp | 44% | 37% | 29% | 18% | 1,269 |
| 12–15pp | 44% | 35% | 29% | 19% | 1,117 |
| 15pp+ | 44% | 36% | 28% | 19% | 1,053 |
| Already Shortened | +1pp | +2pp | +3pp | +5pp | Samples |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–2pp | 46% | 36% | 27% | 18% | 3,529 |
| 2–4pp | 47% | 35% | 28% | 16% | 2,969 |
| 4–6pp | 44% | 33% | 26% | 15% | 2,344 |
| 6–8pp | 38% | 29% | 22% | 14% | 1,949 |
| 8–10pp | 36% | 29% | 22% | 15% | 1,508 |
| 10–12pp | 35% | 23% | 19% | 11% | 1,224 |
| 12–15pp | 37% | 25% | 20% | 13% | 841 |
| 15pp+ | 37% | 29% | 21% | 11% | 695 |
| Already Shortened | +1pp | +2pp | +3pp | +5pp | Samples |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–2pp | 30% | 19% | 13% | 6% | 11,087 |
| 2–4pp | 32% | 23% | 16% | 8% | 6,645 |
| 4–6pp | 34% | 25% | 17% | 9% | 4,046 |
| 6–8pp | 36% | 24% | 17% | 10% | 2,308 |
| 8–10pp | 35% | 22% | 19% | 10% | 1,289 |
| 10–12pp | 37% | 28% | 21% | 12% | 928 |
| 12–15pp | 30% | 25% | 16% | 11% | 713 |
| 15pp+ | 35% | 24% | 19% | 11% | 540 |
This guide shows you the exact historical probabilities of a horse's price continuing to shorten after it has already made an initial move. Every calculation is permanently anchored to the horse's Opening Price, and each runner is strictly limited to one observation per move band to ensure completely unbiased, accurate data.
Prices, form, fair odds and connections at a glance. Click any horse name to open its complete intelligence.
| MF / No. ▲▼ | Runner | Connections | Draw | Weight | OR | Headgear | Age | Form | Last run | Market move | Best Fixed Odds ▲▼ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Al Sham
|
Jockey
Trainer
Saeed bin Suroor⚪ NO EDGE
|
0 | 9-2 | - | - | 2 | - | — |
No current fixed odds
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Arcimedes
|
Jockey
John Egan
Trainer
Michael Wigham⚪ NO EDGE
|
0 | 9-2 | - | - | 2 | - | — |
No current fixed odds
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Astralite
Gelding |
Jockey
Lewis Edmunds
Trainer
Harry Charlton🔵 SP VALUE
|
0 | 9-2 | - | - | 2 |
Latest
55
|
39d | — |
No current fixed odds
+4657.1% vs avg
|
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Blue Victory
|
Jockey
Trainer
William Knight🟢 BACK EARLY
|
0 | 9-2 | - | - | 2 |
Latest
59
|
23d | — |
No current fixed odds
+7735.3% vs avg
|
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Clink
|
Jockey
Trainer
Heather Main⚪ NO EDGE
|
0 | 9-2 | - | - | 2 | - | — |
No current fixed odds
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Code Of Honour
|
Jockey
William Buick
Trainer
Charlie Appleby🔵 SP VALUE
|
0 | 9-2 | - | - | 2 | - | — |
No current fixed odds
|
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|
Dancingonthestars
Gelding |
Jockey
Trainer
Dylan Cunha⚪ NO EDGE
|
0 | 9-2 | - | - | 2 |
Latest
9
|
132d | — |
No current fixed odds
+9890% vs avg
|
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|
El Paso
5thBest on going |
Jockey
Trainer
Alan King🟢 BACK EARLY
|
0 | 9-2 | - | - | 2 |
Latest
56
|
28d | — |
No current fixed odds
+1240.9% vs avg
|
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Grand Havana
5thBest on going |
Jockey
Trainer
Alan King🟢 BACK EARLY
|
0 | 9-2 | - | - | 2 |
Latest
5
|
44d | — |
No current fixed odds
+2336.6% vs avg
|
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Harrow On The Hill
|
Jockey
Trainer
George Scott⚪ NO EDGE
|
0 | 9-2 | - | - | 2 | - | — |
No current fixed odds
|
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|
Howzatt
|
Jockey
Trainer
James Owen⚪ NO EDGE
|
0 | 9-2 | - | - | 2 |
Latest
4
|
55d | — |
No current fixed odds
+1391% vs avg
|
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Jeepers Fortune
Gelding |
Jockey
Trainer
Harry Eustace🟢 BACK EARLY
|
0 | 9-2 | - | - | 2 |
Latest
6
|
23d | — |
No current fixed odds
+3742.3% vs avg
|
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Kingspell
9thBest on going |
Jockey
Pat Dobbs
Trainer
Richard Hannon🟢 BACK EARLY
|
0 | 9-2 | - | - | 2 |
Latest
9
|
13d | — |
No current fixed odds
+6560% vs avg
|
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Lancaster Tower
|
Jockey
Ryan Moore
Trainer
John & Thady Gosden🔵 SP VALUE
|
0 | 9-2 | - | - | 2 |
Latest
38
|
35d | — |
No current fixed odds
+37385.9% vs avg
|
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Click View to load this runner’s Market Form intelligence.
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Last Horizon
|
Jockey
William Buick
Trainer
Charlie Appleby🔵 SP VALUE
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0 | 9-2 | - | - | 2 | - | — |
No current fixed odds
|
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Click View to load this runner’s Market Form intelligence.
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Maxton
|
Jockey
Rossa Ryan
Trainer
Jane Chapple-Hyam🔵 SP VALUE
|
0 | 9-2 | - | - | 2 |
Latest
4
|
15d | — |
No current fixed odds
+10415.8% vs avg
|
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Click View to load this runner’s Market Form intelligence.
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Minsmere
|
Jockey
Trainer
Richard Hannon🟢 BACK EARLY
|
0 | 9-2 | - | - | 2 |
Latest
54
|
22d | — |
No current fixed odds
|
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Click View to load this runner’s Market Form intelligence.
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Moon Rock
6thBest on going |
Jockey
Trainer
Ed Walker🟢 BACK EARLY
|
0 | 9-2 | - | - | 2 |
Latest
6
|
21d | — |
No current fixed odds
+3344.8% vs avg
|
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Click View to load this runner’s Market Form intelligence.
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|
Playing Card
Gelding |
Jockey
Trainer
Harry Eustace🟢 BACK EARLY
|
0 | 9-2 | - | - | 2 | - | — |
No current fixed odds
|
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Click View to load this runner’s Market Form intelligence.
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Poole Bay
|
Jockey
Ray Dawson
Trainer
Roger Varian🟢 BACK EARLY
|
0 | 9-2 | - | - | 2 | - | — |
No current fixed odds
|
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|
Quorum
|
Jockey
James Doyle
Trainer
William Haggas🟡 BACK BY 10AM
|
0 | 9-2 | - | - | 2 | - | — |
No current fixed odds
|
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|
Sayaarr
|
Jockey
Oisin Orr
Trainer
Edward Bethell⚪ NO EDGE
|
0 | 9-2 | - | - | 2 | - | — |
No current fixed odds
|
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|
Senor Blues
4thBest on going |
Jockey
Lewis Edmunds
Trainer
Harry Charlton🔵 SP VALUE
|
0 | 9-2 | - | - | 2 |
Latest
4
|
21d | — |
No current fixed odds
+1858.8% vs avg
|
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Click View to load this runner’s Market Form intelligence.
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|
Silent Force
|
Jockey
Trainer
Andrew Balding⚪ NO EDGE
|
0 | 9-2 | - | - | 2 |
Latest
3
|
41d | — |
No current fixed odds
+10415.8% vs avg
|
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Click View to load this runner’s Market Form intelligence.
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Sky Mountain
10thBest on going |
Jockey
Rob Hornby
Trainer
Amanda Perrett🔵 SP VALUE
|
0 | 9-2 | - | - | 2 |
Latest
0
|
21d | — |
No current fixed odds
+561.6% vs avg
|
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Click View to load this runner’s Market Form intelligence.
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|
Soho
|
Jockey
Kaiya Fraser
Trainer
Harry Eustace🟢 BACK EARLY
|
0 | 9-2 | - | - | 2 | - | — |
No current fixed odds
|
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Click View to load this runner’s Market Form intelligence.
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|
Sole Ambition
3rdBest on going |
Jockey
Kieran Shoemark
Trainer
Ed Walker🟢 BACK EARLY
|
0 | 9-2 | - | - | 2 |
Latest
33
|
35d | — |
No current fixed odds
+5112.6% vs avg
|
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Click View to load this runner’s Market Form intelligence.
|
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|
Speyside
|
Jockey
Trainer
Hugo Palmer🟡 BACK BY 10AM
|
0 | 9-2 | - | - | 2 |
Latest
30
|
35d | — |
No current fixed odds
+3896% vs avg
|
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Click View to load this runner’s Market Form intelligence.
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|
State Emperor
|
Jockey
Ray Dawson
Trainer
Roger Varian🟢 BACK EARLY
|
0 | 9-2 | - | - | 2 | - | — |
No current fixed odds
|
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|
Click View to load this runner’s Market Form intelligence.
|
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|
Sterling Cooper
|
Jockey
Trainer
Andrew Balding⚪ NO EDGE
|
0 | 9-2 | - | - | 2 |
Latest
7
|
17d | — |
No current fixed odds
+8225% vs avg
|
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Click View to load this runner’s Market Form intelligence.
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|
Twelve Bars
|
Jockey
Trainer
Hugo Palmer🟡 BACK BY 10AM
|
0 | 9-2 | - | - | 2 | - | — |
No current fixed odds
|
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|
Click View to load this runner’s Market Form intelligence.
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|
Tyrrhenian Thunder
✓Distance winner
Tyrrhenian Thunder: wins after market supportThese are previous wins where the horse shortened between its recorded opening price and SP. Probability points (pp) measure the change in its implied chance. 19 Sep 2026 · AyrBacked by 10.9pp
Class 2 · Heavy
Opening price 11.00SP 5.00
|
Jockey
Trainer
Adrian Keatley⚪ NO EDGE
|
0 | - | - | - | 2 |
Latest
1
|
6d | — |
No current fixed odds
+18063.6% vs avg
|
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|
Click View to load this runner’s Market Form intelligence.
|
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You’re viewing the standard data tier. Pro members instantly unlock deep-dive market intelligence grids, historical signals, and smart movement graphs for every entry.
| Trainer | Runs | Wins | Places | Win % | A/E Index |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saeed bin Suroor | 730 | 121 | 320 | 17% | 0.89 |
| Michael Wigham | 91 | 8 | 15 | 9% | 1.11 |
| Harry Charlton | 25 | 6 | 14 | 24% | 1.35 |
| William Knight | 127 | 8 | 31 | 6% | 0.78 |
| Heather Main | 47 | 6 | 15 | 13% | 1.45 |
| Charlie Appleby | 718 | 203 | 419 | 28% | 1.11 |
| Dylan Cunha | 46 | 5 | 9 | 11% | 1.69 |
| Alan King | 101 | 13 | 28 | 13% | 1.23 |
| George Scott | 91 | 8 | 20 | 9% | 1.09 |
| James Owen | 75 | 4 | 20 | 5% | 0.55 |
| Harry Eustace | 25 | 0 | 3 | 0% | 0 |
| Richard Hannon | 807 | 71 | 265 | 9% | 0.78 |
| John & Thady Gosden | 312 | 42 | 129 | 13% | 0.78 |
| Jane Chapple-Hyam | 272 | 20 | 67 | 7% | 0.86 |
| Ed Walker | 250 | 25 | 76 | 10% | 0.92 |
| Roger Varian | 564 | 72 | 200 | 13% | 0.86 |
| William Haggas | 1026 | 113 | 308 | 11% | 0.82 |
| Edward Bethell | 26 | 1 | 7 | 4% | 0.31 |
| Andrew Balding | 878 | 96 | 305 | 11% | 0.87 |
| Amanda Perrett | 386 | 38 | 111 | 10% | 1.04 |
| Hugo Palmer | 260 | 24 | 84 | 9% | 0.72 |
| Adrian Keatley | 19 | 1 | 3 | 5% | 0.67 |
| Trainer | Runs | Wins | Strike Rate | 30%+ Backed | 50%+ Backed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saeed bin Suroor | 1 | 0 | 0% | 2 (0W) | 1 (0W) |
| Michael Wigham | 1 | 0 | 0% | 0 (0W) | 0 (0W) |
| Harry Charlton | 14 | 2 | 14% | 2 (1W) | 1 (0W) |
| William Knight | 23 | 1 | 4% | 5 (1W) | 2 (1W) |
| Heather Main | 12 | 1 | 8% | 3 (0W) | 2 (0W) |
| Charlie Appleby | 22 | 12 | 55% | 2 (1W) | 0 (0W) |
| Dylan Cunha | 29 | 2 | 7% | 4 (1W) | 2 (1W) |
| Alan King | 11 | 1 | 9% | 4 (1W) | 0 (0W) |
| George Scott | 13 | 1 | 8% | 1 (0W) | 0 (0W) |
| James Owen | 50 | 3 | 6% | 5 (1W) | 0 (0W) |
| Harry Eustace | 12 | 1 | 8% | 0 (0W) | 0 (0W) |
| Richard Hannon | 59 | 2 | 3% | 10 (1W) | 2 (0W) |
| John & Thady Gosden | 35 | 7 | 20% | 1 (1W) | 0 (0W) |
| Jane Chapple-Hyam | 12 | 3 | 25% | 2 (1W) | 0 (0W) |
| Ed Walker | 41 | 4 | 10% | 7 (1W) | 1 (0W) |
| Roger Varian | 25 | 3 | 12% | 4 (0W) | 1 (0W) |
| William Haggas | 70 | 16 | 23% | 14 (4W) | 2 (1W) |
| Edward Bethell | 30 | 5 | 17% | 8 (2W) | 0 (0W) |
| Andrew Balding | 88 | 17 | 19% | 15 (3W) | 2 (1W) |
| Amanda Perrett | 5 | 0 | 0% | 2 (0W) | 1 (0W) |
| Hugo Palmer | 45 | 3 | 7% | 5 (1W) | 2 (0W) |
| Adrian Keatley | 15 | 2 | 13% | 2 (0W) | 0 (0W) |
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