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| Already Shortened | +1pp | +2pp | +3pp | +5pp | Samples |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–2pp | 38% | 28% | 21% | 13% | 19,150 |
| 2–4pp | 39% | 31% | 23% | 15% | 12,949 |
| 4–6pp | 40% | 32% | 24% | 15% | 9,752 |
| 6–8pp | 42% | 32% | 25% | 16% | 6,957 |
| 8–10pp | 41% | 32% | 26% | 17% | 5,061 |
| 10–12pp | 40% | 32% | 25% | 15% | 3,985 |
| 12–15pp | 39% | 32% | 24% | 16% | 3,176 |
| 15pp+ | 40% | 32% | 24% | 15% | 2,853 |
| Already Shortened | +1pp | +2pp | +3pp | +5pp | Samples |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–2pp | 56% | 49% | 43% | 33% | 1,010 |
| 2–4pp | 56% | 52% | 42% | 34% | 894 |
| 4–6pp | 55% | 50% | 41% | 29% | 707 |
| 6–8pp | 53% | 50% | 41% | 27% | 648 |
| 8–10pp | 54% | 46% | 41% | 30% | 488 |
| 10–12pp | 46% | 43% | 33% | 22% | 564 |
| 12–15pp | 46% | 43% | 32% | 23% | 505 |
| 15pp+ | 43% | 37% | 26% | 18% | 565 |
| Already Shortened | +1pp | +2pp | +3pp | +5pp | Samples |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–2pp | 48% | 40% | 33% | 22% | 3,524 |
| 2–4pp | 45% | 39% | 31% | 23% | 2,441 |
| 4–6pp | 42% | 35% | 28% | 20% | 2,655 |
| 6–8pp | 48% | 38% | 33% | 22% | 2,052 |
| 8–10pp | 45% | 37% | 30% | 20% | 1,776 |
| 10–12pp | 44% | 37% | 29% | 18% | 1,269 |
| 12–15pp | 44% | 35% | 29% | 19% | 1,117 |
| 15pp+ | 44% | 36% | 28% | 19% | 1,053 |
| Already Shortened | +1pp | +2pp | +3pp | +5pp | Samples |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–2pp | 46% | 36% | 27% | 18% | 3,529 |
| 2–4pp | 47% | 35% | 28% | 16% | 2,969 |
| 4–6pp | 44% | 33% | 26% | 15% | 2,344 |
| 6–8pp | 38% | 29% | 22% | 14% | 1,949 |
| 8–10pp | 36% | 29% | 22% | 15% | 1,508 |
| 10–12pp | 35% | 23% | 19% | 11% | 1,224 |
| 12–15pp | 37% | 25% | 20% | 13% | 841 |
| 15pp+ | 37% | 29% | 21% | 11% | 695 |
| Already Shortened | +1pp | +2pp | +3pp | +5pp | Samples |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–2pp | 30% | 19% | 13% | 6% | 11,087 |
| 2–4pp | 32% | 23% | 16% | 8% | 6,645 |
| 4–6pp | 34% | 25% | 17% | 9% | 4,046 |
| 6–8pp | 36% | 24% | 17% | 10% | 2,308 |
| 8–10pp | 35% | 22% | 19% | 10% | 1,289 |
| 10–12pp | 37% | 28% | 21% | 12% | 928 |
| 12–15pp | 30% | 25% | 16% | 11% | 713 |
| 15pp+ | 35% | 24% | 19% | 11% | 540 |
This guide shows you the exact historical probabilities of a horse's price continuing to shorten after it has already made an initial move. Every calculation is permanently anchored to the horse's Opening Price, and each runner is strictly limited to one observation per move band to ensure completely unbiased, accurate data.
Prices, form, fair odds and connections at a glance. Click any horse name to open its complete intelligence.
| MF / No. ▲▼ | Runner | Connections | Draw | Weight | OR | Headgear | Age | Form | Last run | Market move | Best Fixed Odds ▲▼ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 |
Shane's Spirit
Gelding5thBest on going |
Jockey
James Bowen
Trainer
Mickey Bowen⚪ NO EDGE
|
0 | 11-0 | - | - | 4 |
Latest
5
|
149d |
OP 1.57-14.6% live |
Best fixed odds · live database
-82% vs avg
|
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| 3 |
Kap In Hand
Gelding |
Jockey
David Bass
Trainer
Max Comley⚪ NO EDGE
|
0 | 11-0 | - | - | 4 | - |
OP 8.20↑ 6.00(26.8%) |
Best fixed odds · live database
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| 6 |
Missy Moises
5thBest on going |
Jockey
Harry Reed
Trainer
Nick Scholfield⚪ NO EDGE
|
0 | 10-7 | - | - | 4 |
Latest
5
|
93d |
OP 5.00-30% live |
Best fixed odds · live database
-71.7% vs avg
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| 1 |
Company Charge
Gelding1st p |
Jockey
Jamie Brace(5)
Trainer
Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies🟡 BACK BY 10AM
|
0 | 11-2 | - | P | 5 |
Latest
5U
|
16d |
OP 5.50-45.5% live |
Best fixed odds · live database
-34.7% vs avg
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| 4 |
On The Fly
Gelding |
Jockey
Tom Cannon
Trainer
Jim & Suzi Best⚪ NO EDGE
|
0 | 11-0 | - | - | 4 |
Latest
96
|
26d |
OP 21.00-61.9% live |
Best fixed odds · live database
-17.1% vs avg
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| 2 |
Merci Vieil Ami
Gelding8thBest on going |
Jockey
Marc Goldstein
Trainer
Paddy Butler
|
0 | 11-2 | - | - | 5 |
Latest
UP80
|
48d |
OP 29.00-179.3% live |
Best fixed odds · live database
-56% vs avg
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You’re viewing the standard data tier. Pro members instantly unlock deep-dive market intelligence grids, historical signals, and smart movement graphs for every entry.
| Trainer | Runs | Wins | Places | Win % | A/E Index |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mickey Bowen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 |
| Max Comley | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 0 |
| Nick Scholfield | 4 | 2 | 3 | 50% | 1.65 |
| Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0% | 0 |
| Jim & Suzi Best | 32 | 3 | 8 | 9% | 0.76 |
| Paddy Butler | 427 | 20 | 77 | 5% | 0.78 |
| Trainer | Runs | Wins | Strike Rate | 30%+ Backed | 50%+ Backed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mickey Bowen | 15 | 3 | 20% | 3 (1W) | 0 (0W) |
| Max Comley | 4 | 1 | 25% | 0 (0W) | 0 (0W) |
| Nick Scholfield | 12 | 3 | 25% | 2 (0W) | 0 (0W) |
| Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies | 9 | 2 | 22% | 1 (0W) | 0 (0W) |
| Jim & Suzi Best | 3 | 0 | 0% | 0 (0W) | 0 (0W) |
| Paddy Butler | 1 | 0 | 0% | 0 (0W) | 0 (0W) |
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