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| Already Shortened | +1pp | +2pp | +3pp | +5pp | Samples |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–2pp | 38% | 28% | 21% | 13% | 19,150 |
| 2–4pp | 39% | 31% | 23% | 15% | 12,949 |
| 4–6pp | 40% | 32% | 24% | 15% | 9,752 |
| 6–8pp | 42% | 32% | 25% | 16% | 6,957 |
| 8–10pp | 41% | 32% | 26% | 17% | 5,061 |
| 10–12pp | 40% | 32% | 25% | 15% | 3,985 |
| 12–15pp | 39% | 32% | 24% | 16% | 3,176 |
| 15pp+ | 40% | 32% | 24% | 15% | 2,853 |
| Already Shortened | +1pp | +2pp | +3pp | +5pp | Samples |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–2pp | 56% | 49% | 43% | 33% | 1,010 |
| 2–4pp | 56% | 52% | 42% | 34% | 894 |
| 4–6pp | 55% | 50% | 41% | 29% | 707 |
| 6–8pp | 53% | 50% | 41% | 27% | 648 |
| 8–10pp | 54% | 46% | 41% | 30% | 488 |
| 10–12pp | 46% | 43% | 33% | 22% | 564 |
| 12–15pp | 46% | 43% | 32% | 23% | 505 |
| 15pp+ | 43% | 37% | 26% | 18% | 565 |
| Already Shortened | +1pp | +2pp | +3pp | +5pp | Samples |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–2pp | 48% | 40% | 33% | 22% | 3,524 |
| 2–4pp | 45% | 39% | 31% | 23% | 2,441 |
| 4–6pp | 42% | 35% | 28% | 20% | 2,655 |
| 6–8pp | 48% | 38% | 33% | 22% | 2,052 |
| 8–10pp | 45% | 37% | 30% | 20% | 1,776 |
| 10–12pp | 44% | 37% | 29% | 18% | 1,269 |
| 12–15pp | 44% | 35% | 29% | 19% | 1,117 |
| 15pp+ | 44% | 36% | 28% | 19% | 1,053 |
| Already Shortened | +1pp | +2pp | +3pp | +5pp | Samples |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–2pp | 46% | 36% | 27% | 18% | 3,529 |
| 2–4pp | 47% | 35% | 28% | 16% | 2,969 |
| 4–6pp | 44% | 33% | 26% | 15% | 2,344 |
| 6–8pp | 38% | 29% | 22% | 14% | 1,949 |
| 8–10pp | 36% | 29% | 22% | 15% | 1,508 |
| 10–12pp | 35% | 23% | 19% | 11% | 1,224 |
| 12–15pp | 37% | 25% | 20% | 13% | 841 |
| 15pp+ | 37% | 29% | 21% | 11% | 695 |
| Already Shortened | +1pp | +2pp | +3pp | +5pp | Samples |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–2pp | 30% | 19% | 13% | 6% | 11,087 |
| 2–4pp | 32% | 23% | 16% | 8% | 6,645 |
| 4–6pp | 34% | 25% | 17% | 9% | 4,046 |
| 6–8pp | 36% | 24% | 17% | 10% | 2,308 |
| 8–10pp | 35% | 22% | 19% | 10% | 1,289 |
| 10–12pp | 37% | 28% | 21% | 12% | 928 |
| 12–15pp | 30% | 25% | 16% | 11% | 713 |
| 15pp+ | 35% | 24% | 19% | 11% | 540 |
This guide shows you the exact historical probabilities of a horse's price continuing to shorten after it has already made an initial move. Every calculation is permanently anchored to the horse's Opening Price, and each runner is strictly limited to one observation per move band to ensure completely unbiased, accurate data.
Prices, form, fair odds and connections at a glance. Click any horse name to open its complete intelligence.
| MF / No. ▲▼ | Runner | Connections | Draw | Weight | OR | Headgear | Age | Form | Last run | Market move | Best Fixed Odds ▲▼ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 |
Farhh Echo
Gelding1st tp✓Going winner
Farhh Echo: wins after market supportThese are previous wins where the horse shortened between its recorded opening price and SP. Probability points (pp) measure the change in its implied chance. 10 Sep 2026 · WorcesterBacked by 1.3pp
Class 5 · Good
Opening price 29.00SP 21.00
|
Jockey
Beau Morgan(5)
Trainer
D. J. Jeffreys
|
0 | 12-3 | 91 | TP | 5 |
Latest
80P11
|
2d |
OP 2.10-31% live |
Best fixed odds · live database
-90.3% vs avg
|
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| 1 |
Aggagio
Gelding4thBest on going |
Jockey
Caoilin Quinn
Trainer
Gary & Josh Moore🔵 SP VALUE
|
0 | 12-0 | 95 | - | 8 |
Latest
27734
|
23d |
OP 4.00-12.5% live |
Best fixed odds · live database
-66.4% vs avg
|
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| 5 |
Khalk'eau Spigao
Gelding1st p3rdBest on going |
Jockey
Freddie Gordon
Trainer
Chris Gordon⚪ NO EDGE
|
0 | 10-11 | 81 | P | 4 |
Latest
75573
|
23d |
OP 5.50(Live) |
Best fixed odds · live database
-80.7% vs avg
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| 3 |
A Tickatickatiming
✓Course winner4thBest on going |
Jockey
Marc Goldstein
Trainer
Sheena West⚪ NO EDGE
|
0 | 11-7 | 88 | - | 8 |
Latest
3P454
|
70d |
OP 8.50+17.6% live |
Best fixed odds · live database
-36% vs avg
|
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| 8 |
Anxious Moments
Gelding6thBest on going |
Jockey
Harry Cobden
Trainer
Charlie Longsdon⚪ NO EDGE
|
0 | 10-7 | 77 | - | 4 |
Latest
U069
|
127d |
OP 6.00-50% live |
Best fixed odds · live database
-80.9% vs avg
|
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| 6 |
Captain Connor
Gelding7thBest on going |
Jockey
Brendan Powell
Trainer
Clare Ellam
|
0 | 10-11 | 81 | - | 4 |
Latest
P7827
|
13d |
OP 17.00-70.6% live |
Best fixed odds · live database
+10.1% vs avg
|
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| 4 |
Bread And Butter
Gelding1st t✓Distance winner6thBest on going |
Jockey
Freddie Mitchell(3)
Trainer
Cynthia Woods
|
0 | 11-2 | 83 | T | 11 |
Latest
P4856
|
137d |
OP 34.00-20.6% live |
Best fixed odds · live database
-1.4% vs avg
|
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| 7 |
Porridge
5thBest on going |
Jockey
Oscar Palmer(7)
Trainer
Tracey Leeson
|
0 | 10-7 | 74 | - | 6 |
Latest
488P5
|
15d |
OP 41.00-24.4% live |
Best fixed odds · live database
-67.2% vs avg
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You’re viewing the standard data tier. Pro members instantly unlock deep-dive market intelligence grids, historical signals, and smart movement graphs for every entry.
| Trainer | Runs | Wins | Places | Win % | A/E Index |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. J. Jeffreys | 18 | 3 | 5 | 17% | 1.69 |
| Gary & Josh Moore | 99 | 18 | 52 | 18% | 0.88 |
| Chris Gordon | 659 | 120 | 316 | 18% | 0.99 |
| Sheena West | 341 | 40 | 127 | 12% | 0.98 |
| Charlie Longsdon | 156 | 28 | 65 | 18% | 1 |
| Clare Ellam | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 |
| Cynthia Woods | 52 | 0 | 6 | 0% | 0 |
| Tracey Leeson | 17 | 0 | 3 | 0% | 0 |
| Trainer | Runs | Wins | Strike Rate | 30%+ Backed | 50%+ Backed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. J. Jeffreys | 5 | 2 | 40% | 0 (0W) | 0 (0W) |
| Gary & Josh Moore | 21 | 0 | 0% | 1 (0W) | 0 (0W) |
| Chris Gordon | 5 | 0 | 0% | 1 (0W) | 0 (0W) |
| Sheena West | 4 | 0 | 0% | 0 (0W) | 0 (0W) |
| Charlie Longsdon | 3 | 1 | 33% | 0 (0W) | 0 (0W) |
| Clare Ellam | 1 | 0 | 0% | 0 (0W) | 0 (0W) |
| Cynthia Woods | 0 | 0 | None% | 0 (0W) | 0 (0W) |
| Tracey Leeson | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1 (0W) | 0 (0W) |
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