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| Already Shortened | +1pp | +2pp | +3pp | +5pp | Samples |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–2pp | 38% | 28% | 21% | 13% | 19,150 |
| 2–4pp | 39% | 31% | 23% | 15% | 12,949 |
| 4–6pp | 40% | 32% | 24% | 15% | 9,752 |
| 6–8pp | 42% | 32% | 25% | 16% | 6,957 |
| 8–10pp | 41% | 32% | 26% | 17% | 5,061 |
| 10–12pp | 40% | 32% | 25% | 15% | 3,985 |
| 12–15pp | 39% | 32% | 24% | 16% | 3,176 |
| 15pp+ | 40% | 32% | 24% | 15% | 2,853 |
| Already Shortened | +1pp | +2pp | +3pp | +5pp | Samples |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–2pp | 56% | 49% | 43% | 33% | 1,010 |
| 2–4pp | 56% | 52% | 42% | 34% | 894 |
| 4–6pp | 55% | 50% | 41% | 29% | 707 |
| 6–8pp | 53% | 50% | 41% | 27% | 648 |
| 8–10pp | 54% | 46% | 41% | 30% | 488 |
| 10–12pp | 46% | 43% | 33% | 22% | 564 |
| 12–15pp | 46% | 43% | 32% | 23% | 505 |
| 15pp+ | 43% | 37% | 26% | 18% | 565 |
| Already Shortened | +1pp | +2pp | +3pp | +5pp | Samples |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–2pp | 48% | 40% | 33% | 22% | 3,524 |
| 2–4pp | 45% | 39% | 31% | 23% | 2,441 |
| 4–6pp | 42% | 35% | 28% | 20% | 2,655 |
| 6–8pp | 48% | 38% | 33% | 22% | 2,052 |
| 8–10pp | 45% | 37% | 30% | 20% | 1,776 |
| 10–12pp | 44% | 37% | 29% | 18% | 1,269 |
| 12–15pp | 44% | 35% | 29% | 19% | 1,117 |
| 15pp+ | 44% | 36% | 28% | 19% | 1,053 |
| Already Shortened | +1pp | +2pp | +3pp | +5pp | Samples |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–2pp | 46% | 36% | 27% | 18% | 3,529 |
| 2–4pp | 47% | 35% | 28% | 16% | 2,969 |
| 4–6pp | 44% | 33% | 26% | 15% | 2,344 |
| 6–8pp | 38% | 29% | 22% | 14% | 1,949 |
| 8–10pp | 36% | 29% | 22% | 15% | 1,508 |
| 10–12pp | 35% | 23% | 19% | 11% | 1,224 |
| 12–15pp | 37% | 25% | 20% | 13% | 841 |
| 15pp+ | 37% | 29% | 21% | 11% | 695 |
| Already Shortened | +1pp | +2pp | +3pp | +5pp | Samples |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–2pp | 30% | 19% | 13% | 6% | 11,087 |
| 2–4pp | 32% | 23% | 16% | 8% | 6,645 |
| 4–6pp | 34% | 25% | 17% | 9% | 4,046 |
| 6–8pp | 36% | 24% | 17% | 10% | 2,308 |
| 8–10pp | 35% | 22% | 19% | 10% | 1,289 |
| 10–12pp | 37% | 28% | 21% | 12% | 928 |
| 12–15pp | 30% | 25% | 16% | 11% | 713 |
| 15pp+ | 35% | 24% | 19% | 11% | 540 |
This guide shows you the exact historical probabilities of a horse's price continuing to shorten after it has already made an initial move. Every calculation is permanently anchored to the horse's Opening Price, and each runner is strictly limited to one observation per move band to ensure completely unbiased, accurate data.
Prices, form, fair odds and connections at a glance. Click any horse name to open its complete intelligence.
| MF / No. ▲▼ | Runner | Connections | Draw | Weight | OR | Headgear | Age | Form | Last run | Market move | Best Fixed Odds ▲▼ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Premier Fantasy
Gelding1st tp2ndBest on going |
Jockey
Sean Bowen
Trainer
Nick Scholfield⚪ NO EDGE
|
0 | 11-4 | 100 | TP | 7 |
Latest
25322
|
15d |
OP 2.00(Live) |
Best fixed odds · live database
-62.4% vs avg
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| 4 |
One Dimensional
1st h4thBest on going |
Jockey
David Bass
Trainer
Max Comley⚪ NO EDGE
|
0 | 10-11 | - | H | 6 |
Latest
5240
|
164d |
OP 4.50(Live) |
Best fixed odds · live database
-90.1% vs avg
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| 2 |
Akrramm
Gelding1st h |
Jockey
Mr James Murray(7)
Trainer
Mickey Bowen⚪ NO EDGE
|
0 | 11-1 | - | H | 4 | 369d |
OP 5.50-45.5% live |
Best fixed odds · live database
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| 3 |
Golden Garden
Gelding1st tp4thBest on going |
Jockey
James Bowen
Trainer
Warren Greatrex🔵 SP VALUE
|
0 | 11-1 | - | TP | 4 |
Latest
65
|
46d |
OP 9.50-15.8% live |
Best fixed odds · live database
-62.5% vs avg
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| 5 |
Rhythm of Life
1st t |
Jockey
Mr James King(3)
Trainer
Tom George🟡 BACK BY 10AM
|
0 | 10-11 | 104 | T | 5 |
Latest
71334
|
126d |
OP 7.00-85.7% live |
Best fixed odds · live database
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| 6 |
Thetype Istitle
1st t7thBest on going
Thetype Istitle: wins after market supportThese are previous wins where the horse shortened between its recorded opening price and SP. Probability points (pp) measure the change in its implied chance. 30 Jun 2026 · StratfordBacked by 4.0pp
Class 5 · Good To Firm
Opening price 5.50SP 4.50
|
Jockey
Conor O'Farrell
Trainer
David Pipe🟢 BACK EARLY
|
0 | 10-8 | - | T | 4 |
Latest
42179
|
28d |
OP 15.00-53.3% live |
Best fixed odds · live database
+311.9% vs avg
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You’re viewing the standard data tier. Pro members instantly unlock deep-dive market intelligence grids, historical signals, and smart movement graphs for every entry.
| Trainer | Runs | Wins | Places | Win % | A/E Index |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Scholfield | 4 | 2 | 3 | 50% | 1.65 |
| Max Comley | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 0 |
| Mickey Bowen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 |
| Warren Greatrex | 155 | 22 | 74 | 14% | 0.73 |
| Tom George | 69 | 9 | 35 | 13% | 0.68 |
| David Pipe | 230 | 43 | 114 | 19% | 0.85 |
| Trainer | Runs | Wins | Strike Rate | 30%+ Backed | 50%+ Backed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Scholfield | 12 | 3 | 25% | 2 (0W) | 0 (0W) |
| Max Comley | 4 | 1 | 25% | 0 (0W) | 0 (0W) |
| Mickey Bowen | 15 | 3 | 20% | 3 (1W) | 0 (0W) |
| Warren Greatrex | 9 | 1 | 11% | 2 (0W) | 1 (0W) |
| Tom George | 1 | 1 | 100% | 0 (0W) | 0 (0W) |
| David Pipe | 10 | 1 | 10% | 2 (0W) | 1 (0W) |
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