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| Already Shortened | +1pp | +2pp | +3pp | +5pp | Samples |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–2pp | 38% | 28% | 21% | 13% | 19,150 |
| 2–4pp | 39% | 31% | 23% | 15% | 12,949 |
| 4–6pp | 40% | 32% | 24% | 15% | 9,752 |
| 6–8pp | 42% | 32% | 25% | 16% | 6,957 |
| 8–10pp | 41% | 32% | 26% | 17% | 5,061 |
| 10–12pp | 40% | 32% | 25% | 15% | 3,985 |
| 12–15pp | 39% | 32% | 24% | 16% | 3,176 |
| 15pp+ | 40% | 32% | 24% | 15% | 2,853 |
| Already Shortened | +1pp | +2pp | +3pp | +5pp | Samples |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–2pp | 56% | 49% | 43% | 33% | 1,010 |
| 2–4pp | 56% | 52% | 42% | 34% | 894 |
| 4–6pp | 55% | 50% | 41% | 29% | 707 |
| 6–8pp | 53% | 50% | 41% | 27% | 648 |
| 8–10pp | 54% | 46% | 41% | 30% | 488 |
| 10–12pp | 46% | 43% | 33% | 22% | 564 |
| 12–15pp | 46% | 43% | 32% | 23% | 505 |
| 15pp+ | 43% | 37% | 26% | 18% | 565 |
| Already Shortened | +1pp | +2pp | +3pp | +5pp | Samples |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–2pp | 48% | 40% | 33% | 22% | 3,524 |
| 2–4pp | 45% | 39% | 31% | 23% | 2,441 |
| 4–6pp | 42% | 35% | 28% | 20% | 2,655 |
| 6–8pp | 48% | 38% | 33% | 22% | 2,052 |
| 8–10pp | 45% | 37% | 30% | 20% | 1,776 |
| 10–12pp | 44% | 37% | 29% | 18% | 1,269 |
| 12–15pp | 44% | 35% | 29% | 19% | 1,117 |
| 15pp+ | 44% | 36% | 28% | 19% | 1,053 |
| Already Shortened | +1pp | +2pp | +3pp | +5pp | Samples |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–2pp | 46% | 36% | 27% | 18% | 3,529 |
| 2–4pp | 47% | 35% | 28% | 16% | 2,969 |
| 4–6pp | 44% | 33% | 26% | 15% | 2,344 |
| 6–8pp | 38% | 29% | 22% | 14% | 1,949 |
| 8–10pp | 36% | 29% | 22% | 15% | 1,508 |
| 10–12pp | 35% | 23% | 19% | 11% | 1,224 |
| 12–15pp | 37% | 25% | 20% | 13% | 841 |
| 15pp+ | 37% | 29% | 21% | 11% | 695 |
| Already Shortened | +1pp | +2pp | +3pp | +5pp | Samples |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–2pp | 30% | 19% | 13% | 6% | 11,087 |
| 2–4pp | 32% | 23% | 16% | 8% | 6,645 |
| 4–6pp | 34% | 25% | 17% | 9% | 4,046 |
| 6–8pp | 36% | 24% | 17% | 10% | 2,308 |
| 8–10pp | 35% | 22% | 19% | 10% | 1,289 |
| 10–12pp | 37% | 28% | 21% | 12% | 928 |
| 12–15pp | 30% | 25% | 16% | 11% | 713 |
| 15pp+ | 35% | 24% | 19% | 11% | 540 |
This guide shows you the exact historical probabilities of a horse's price continuing to shorten after it has already made an initial move. Every calculation is permanently anchored to the horse's Opening Price, and each runner is strictly limited to one observation per move band to ensure completely unbiased, accurate data.
Prices, form, fair odds and connections at a glance. Click any horse name to open its complete intelligence.
| MF / No. ▲▼ | Runner | Connections | Draw | Weight | OR | Headgear | Age | Form | Last run | Market move | Best Fixed Odds ▲▼ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Impressor
Gelding1st p✓✓Course + distance winner |
Jockey
Connor Beasley
Trainer
Phillip Makin🟡 BACK BY 10AM
|
2 | 9-9 | 54 | P | 9 |
Latest
36080
|
18d |
OP 5.60↑ 4.00(28.6%) |
Best fixed odds · live database
-76.4% vs avg
|
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| 6 |
Royal Duke
Gelding1st tp✓Distance winner
Royal Duke: wins after market supportThese are previous wins where the horse shortened between its recorded opening price and SP. Probability points (pp) measure the change in its implied chance. 27 Aug 2026 · CarlisleBacked by 2.4pp
Class 6 · Good
Opening price 15.00SP 11.00
|
Jockey
Rhys Elliott(5)
Trainer
R. Mike Smith
|
5 | 9-3 | 48 | TP | 5 |
Latest
07153
|
8d |
OP 4.33-15.5% live |
Best fixed odds · live database
-54.4% vs avg
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| 4 |
Fear And Fast
Wind SurgeryGelding✓Distance winner |
Jockey
Sam James
Trainer
Jim Goldie🔵 SP VALUE
|
6 | 9-5 | 50 | - | 4 |
Latest
86571
|
8d |
OP 2.88-91% live |
Best fixed odds · live database
-43.1% vs avg
|
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| 2 |
Kilmac Air
1st b |
Jockey
Jason Hart
Trainer
John & Sean Quinn⚪ NO EDGE
|
4 | 9-9 | 55 | B | 3 |
Latest
43646
|
12d |
OP 6.00-8.3% live |
Best fixed odds · live database
-58.8% vs avg
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| 7 |
Doon The Glen
Gelding1st v✓Course winner
Doon The Glen: wins after market supportThese are previous wins where the horse shortened between its recorded opening price and SP. Probability points (pp) measure the change in its implied chance. 10 Jun 2026 · HamiltonBacked by 5.4pp
Class 6 · Good To Soft
Opening price 10.00SP 6.50
|
Jockey
Paul Mulrennan
Trainer
Jim Goldie🔵 SP VALUE
|
8 | 9-3 | 48 | V | 6 |
Latest
87556
|
18d |
OP 6.00-16.7% live |
Best fixed odds · live database
-54.6% vs avg
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| 3 |
Supremissy
✓Distance winner |
Jockey
Andrew Mullen
Trainer
Iain Jardine⚪ NO EDGE
|
3 | 9-8 | 54 | - | 3 |
Latest
19479
|
8d |
OP 10.00-10% live |
Best fixed odds · live database
-78.5% vs avg
|
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| 8 |
Kyber Crystal
1st tp✓✓Course + distance winner |
Jockey
Kaiya Fraser
Trainer
Rebecca Menzies⚪ NO EDGE
|
1 | 9-0 | 45 | TP | 7 |
Latest
55760
|
11d |
OP 12.00(Live) |
Best fixed odds · live database
-49.8% vs avg
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| 5 |
With Glory
|
Jockey
William Pyle
Trainer
Linda Perratt🔵 SP VALUE
|
7 | 9-4 | 50 | - | 3 |
Latest
57950
|
8d |
OP 41.00-24.4% live |
Best fixed odds · live database
+22% vs avg
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You’re viewing the standard data tier. Pro members instantly unlock deep-dive market intelligence grids, historical signals, and smart movement graphs for every entry.
| Trainer | Runs | Wins | Places | Win % | A/E Index |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phillip Makin | 74 | 11 | 32 | 15% | 1.01 |
| R. Mike Smith | 199 | 13 | 41 | 7% | 0.74 |
| Jim Goldie | 1696 | 175 | 554 | 10% | 0.84 |
| John & Sean Quinn | 24 | 3 | 8 | 12% | 0.89 |
| Iain Jardine | 654 | 77 | 230 | 12% | 0.93 |
| Rebecca Menzies | 89 | 10 | 33 | 11% | 1.02 |
| Linda Perratt | 1731 | 115 | 427 | 7% | 0.77 |
| Trainer | Runs | Wins | Strike Rate | 30%+ Backed | 50%+ Backed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phillip Makin | 7 | 0 | 0% | 0 (0W) | 0 (0W) |
| R. Mike Smith | 17 | 1 | 6% | 2 (0W) | 1 (0W) |
| Jim Goldie | 42 | 5 | 12% | 6 (1W) | 1 (1W) |
| John & Sean Quinn | 19 | 3 | 16% | 4 (0W) | 3 (0W) |
| Iain Jardine | 28 | 1 | 4% | 3 (0W) | 0 (0W) |
| Rebecca Menzies | 18 | 2 | 11% | 1 (1W) | 0 (0W) |
| Linda Perratt | 14 | 0 | 0% | 3 (0W) | 1 (0W) |
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