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START FREE TRIAL| Already Shortened | +1pp | +2pp | +3pp | +5pp | Samples |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–2pp | 38% | 28% | 21% | 13% | 19,150 |
| 2–4pp | 39% | 31% | 23% | 15% | 12,949 |
| 4–6pp | 40% | 32% | 24% | 15% | 9,752 |
| 6–8pp | 42% | 32% | 25% | 16% | 6,957 |
| 8–10pp | 41% | 32% | 26% | 17% | 5,061 |
| 10–12pp | 40% | 32% | 25% | 15% | 3,985 |
| 12–15pp | 39% | 32% | 24% | 16% | 3,176 |
| 15pp+ | 40% | 32% | 24% | 15% | 2,853 |
| Already Shortened | +1pp | +2pp | +3pp | +5pp | Samples |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–2pp | 56% | 49% | 43% | 33% | 1,010 |
| 2–4pp | 56% | 52% | 42% | 34% | 894 |
| 4–6pp | 55% | 50% | 41% | 29% | 707 |
| 6–8pp | 53% | 50% | 41% | 27% | 648 |
| 8–10pp | 54% | 46% | 41% | 30% | 488 |
| 10–12pp | 46% | 43% | 33% | 22% | 564 |
| 12–15pp | 46% | 43% | 32% | 23% | 505 |
| 15pp+ | 43% | 37% | 26% | 18% | 565 |
| Already Shortened | +1pp | +2pp | +3pp | +5pp | Samples |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–2pp | 48% | 40% | 33% | 22% | 3,524 |
| 2–4pp | 45% | 39% | 31% | 23% | 2,441 |
| 4–6pp | 42% | 35% | 28% | 20% | 2,655 |
| 6–8pp | 48% | 38% | 33% | 22% | 2,052 |
| 8–10pp | 45% | 37% | 30% | 20% | 1,776 |
| 10–12pp | 44% | 37% | 29% | 18% | 1,269 |
| 12–15pp | 44% | 35% | 29% | 19% | 1,117 |
| 15pp+ | 44% | 36% | 28% | 19% | 1,053 |
| Already Shortened | +1pp | +2pp | +3pp | +5pp | Samples |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–2pp | 46% | 36% | 27% | 18% | 3,529 |
| 2–4pp | 47% | 35% | 28% | 16% | 2,969 |
| 4–6pp | 44% | 33% | 26% | 15% | 2,344 |
| 6–8pp | 38% | 29% | 22% | 14% | 1,949 |
| 8–10pp | 36% | 29% | 22% | 15% | 1,508 |
| 10–12pp | 35% | 23% | 19% | 11% | 1,224 |
| 12–15pp | 37% | 25% | 20% | 13% | 841 |
| 15pp+ | 37% | 29% | 21% | 11% | 695 |
| Already Shortened | +1pp | +2pp | +3pp | +5pp | Samples |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–2pp | 30% | 19% | 13% | 6% | 11,087 |
| 2–4pp | 32% | 23% | 16% | 8% | 6,645 |
| 4–6pp | 34% | 25% | 17% | 9% | 4,046 |
| 6–8pp | 36% | 24% | 17% | 10% | 2,308 |
| 8–10pp | 35% | 22% | 19% | 10% | 1,289 |
| 10–12pp | 37% | 28% | 21% | 12% | 928 |
| 12–15pp | 30% | 25% | 16% | 11% | 713 |
| 15pp+ | 35% | 24% | 19% | 11% | 540 |
This guide shows you the exact historical probabilities of a horse's price continuing to shorten after it has already made an initial move. Every calculation is permanently anchored to the horse's Opening Price, and each runner is strictly limited to one observation per move band to ensure completely unbiased, accurate data.
Prices, form, fair odds and connections at a glance. Click any horse name to open its complete intelligence.
| MF / No. ▲▼ | Runner | Connections | Draw | Weight | OR | Headgear | Age | Form | Last run | Market move | Best Fixed Odds ▲▼ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 |
Celtic Storm
|
Jockey
Billy Loughnane
Trainer
Richard Hughes⚪ NO EDGE
|
3 | 9-7 | - | - | 2 |
Latest
53
|
16d |
OP 1.62-17.9% live |
Best fixed odds · live database
-61.8% vs avg
|
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| 3 |
Charmed Boy
|
Jockey
Tom Marquand
Trainer
Hugo Palmer🟡 BACK BY 10AM
|
1 | 9-7 | - | - | 2 | - |
OP 4.33-38.6% live |
Best fixed odds · live database
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| 7 |
Unicorn Milkshake
Gelding |
Jockey
Harry Russell
Trainer
Brian Ellison🔵 SP VALUE
|
5 | 9-4 | - | - | 2 |
Latest
6
|
14d |
OP 8.00↑ 6.00(25%) |
Best fixed odds · live database
-94.4% vs avg
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| 8 |
Pen Lan Icon
|
Jockey
William Pyle
Trainer
David Loughnane⚪ NO EDGE
|
4 | 9-2 | - | - | 2 |
Latest
73
|
22d |
OP 9.50+5.3% live |
Best fixed odds · live database
-61.7% vs avg
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| 1 |
Bowdens
|
Jockey
Rowan Scott
Trainer
Charlie Johnston⚪ NO EDGE
|
8 | 9-7 | - | - | 2 | - |
OP 7.00-42.9% live |
Best fixed odds · live database
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| 4 |
Frontier Legend
|
Jockey
Connor Beasley
Trainer
Michael Dods⚪ NO EDGE
|
2 | 9-7 | - | - | 2 |
Latest
0
|
57d |
OP 29.00↑ 17.00(41.4%) |
Best fixed odds · live database
-80.8% vs avg
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| 5 |
Glen In Rome
|
Jockey
Kevin Stott
Trainer
Philip Kirby⚪ NO EDGE
|
6 | 9-7 | - | - | 2 | - |
OP 34.00-50% live |
Best fixed odds · live database
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| NR |
Lion's Den
Gelding |
Jockey
Mark Winn
Trainer
Michael Dods⚪ NO EDGE
|
7 | 9-4 | - | - | 2 | - |
OP 26.00-3742.3% live |
No current fixed odds
|
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Click View to load this runner’s Market Form intelligence.
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You’re viewing the standard data tier. Pro members instantly unlock deep-dive market intelligence grids, historical signals, and smart movement graphs for every entry.
| Trainer | Runs | Wins | Places | Win % | A/E Index |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richard Hughes | 1 | 1 | 1 | 100% | 5.5 |
| Hugo Palmer | 57 | 14 | 27 | 25% | 1.12 |
| Brian Ellison | 208 | 17 | 70 | 8% | 0.63 |
| David Loughnane | 35 | 3 | 14 | 9% | 0.71 |
| Charlie Johnston | 171 | 21 | 69 | 12% | 0.78 |
| Michael Dods | 532 | 61 | 208 | 11% | 0.73 |
| Philip Kirby | 71 | 5 | 16 | 7% | 0.73 |
| Trainer | Runs | Wins | Strike Rate | 30%+ Backed | 50%+ Backed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richard Hughes | 43 | 2 | 5% | 7 (1W) | 2 (0W) |
| Hugo Palmer | 45 | 3 | 7% | 5 (1W) | 2 (0W) |
| Brian Ellison | 31 | 3 | 10% | 6 (0W) | 2 (0W) |
| David Loughnane | 13 | 0 | 0% | 2 (0W) | 1 (0W) |
| Charlie Johnston | 33 | 3 | 9% | 4 (1W) | 1 (1W) |
| Michael Dods | 36 | 4 | 11% | 0 (0W) | 0 (0W) |
| Philip Kirby | 11 | 1 | 9% | 1 (0W) | 1 (0W) |
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