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Market Exhaustion Guide

🎛️ Live Scale Testing Tool
This price change represents an active contraction of 8.3 Probability Points.
← Click what price the horse opened
Already Shortened +1pp +2pp +3pp +5pp Samples
0–2pp 38% 28% 21% 13% 19,150
2–4pp 39% 31% 23% 15% 12,949
4–6pp 40% 32% 24% 15% 9,752
6–8pp 42% 32% 25% 16% 6,957
8–10pp 41% 32% 26% 17% 5,061
10–12pp 40% 32% 25% 15% 3,985
12–15pp 39% 32% 24% 16% 3,176
15pp+ 40% 32% 24% 15% 2,853

How to use the Market Exhaustion Guide

Refreshed daily. Metrics measure the historical remaining market contraction volume relative to overall baseline opening lines.

Wee Brian Reilly Memorial Ebf Restricted Maiden Stakes (for Horses In Bands C And D) (Ebf Restricted Race Qualifier) (GBB/GBBPlus Race)

Prize Pot
£6,210
Distance
1m0f68y
Class
Class 4
Runners
8 runners
GOING Heavy SURFACE Turf
Runner-by-runner evidence

Runners & Market Form

Prices, form, fair odds and connections at a glance. Click any horse name to open its complete intelligence.

MF / No. ▲▼ Runner Connections Draw Weight OR Headgear Age Form Last run Market move Best Fixed Odds ▲▼
2
Celtic Storm
Jockey
Billy Loughnane
Trainer
Richard Hughes⚪ NO EDGE
3 9-7 - - 2
Latest 53
16d
OP 1.62-17.9% live
Best fixed odds · live database
-61.8% vs avg
3
Charmed Boy
Jockey
Tom Marquand
Trainer
Hugo Palmer🟡 BACK BY 10AM
1 9-7 - - 2 -
OP 4.33-38.6% live
Best fixed odds · live database
7
Unicorn Milkshake
Gelding
Jockey
Harry Russell
Trainer
Brian Ellison🔵 SP VALUE
5 9-4 - - 2
Latest 6
14d
OP 8.00↑ 6.00(25%)
Best fixed odds · live database
-94.4% vs avg
8
Pen Lan Icon
Jockey
William Pyle
Trainer
David Loughnane⚪ NO EDGE
4 9-2 - - 2
Latest 73
22d
OP 9.50+5.3% live
Best fixed odds · live database
-61.7% vs avg
1
Bowdens
Jockey
Rowan Scott
Trainer
Charlie Johnston⚪ NO EDGE
8 9-7 - - 2 -
OP 7.00-42.9% live
Best fixed odds · live database
4
Frontier Legend
Jockey
Connor Beasley
Trainer
Michael Dods⚪ NO EDGE
2 9-7 - - 2
Latest 0
57d
OP 29.00↑ 17.00(41.4%)
Best fixed odds · live database
-80.8% vs avg
5
Glen In Rome
Jockey
Kevin Stott
Trainer
Philip Kirby⚪ NO EDGE
6 9-7 - - 2 -
OP 34.00-50% live
Best fixed odds · live database
NR
Lion's Den
Gelding
Jockey
Mark Winn
Trainer
Michael Dods⚪ NO EDGE
7 9-4 - - 2 -
OP 26.00-3742.3% live
No current fixed odds

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🏇 Trainer Course Record (All Time)

Trainer Runs Wins Places Win % A/E Index
Richard Hughes 1 1 1 100% 5.5
Hugo Palmer 57 14 27 25% 1.12
Brian Ellison 208 17 70 8% 0.63
David Loughnane 35 3 14 9% 0.71
Charlie Johnston 171 21 69 12% 0.78
Michael Dods 532 61 208 11% 0.73
Philip Kirby 71 5 16 7% 0.73

📊 Trainer Form & Historical Backing Rates

Trainer Runs Wins Strike Rate 30%+ Backed 50%+ Backed
Richard Hughes 43 2 5% 7 (1W) 2 (0W)
Hugo Palmer 45 3 7% 5 (1W) 2 (0W)
Brian Ellison 31 3 10% 6 (0W) 2 (0W)
David Loughnane 13 0 0% 2 (0W) 1 (0W)
Charlie Johnston 33 3 9% 4 (1W) 1 (1W)
Michael Dods 36 4 11% 0 (0W) 0 (0W)
Philip Kirby 11 1 9% 1 (0W) 1 (0W)