Live Horse Racing Market Movement

13:31Wolverhampton (AW) • 1m4f51y • Class 6 • Going: Standard

10 runners

Market Intelligence

Strongest support: Arlecchino's Rex (+5.68 probability points)

Weakest support: Skirt Around (-0.35 probability points)

Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

Arlecchino's RexDraw 6

Trainer: Mark Usher

Jockey: Rose Dawes

🟢 Needs Support (20%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Mark Usher (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 19/180; first seen between 10am and 1pm 7/180; first seen after 1pm 7/180.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 4/13; first seen between 10am and 1pm 1/13; first seen after 1pm 1/13.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +5.68pp, placing it in this yard's 5pp+ band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 6/22 won (27.3%); Open→SP 8/24 won (33.3%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.

↔ SAME CLASS

Market Form rating68/100 · Ranked #1 today

Last run11 days ago · 21 Sep 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

Usually attracts bookmaker support

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

5 historical matches

2/5 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening

Runs: 13 | Fixed-odds range: 11/2 → 12/1 | Avg: 8/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.

10am plunger

Early money horse (46%)

13:31Wolverhampton (AW)

Opened 5/2Market avg 15/8

15/8 → 15/8 ↓ 7/4 → 7/4 ↑ 15/8 ↑ 15/8 → 15/8 → 15/8 ↓ 7/4 ↑ 15/8

PRICE MOVE

+5.68pp (+16.6%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

69th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE69th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

4 of 13 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 3rd at Wolverhampton (AW) on 21 Sep 2026 (+5.86pp); finished 7th at Lingfield (AW) on 11 Aug 2026 (+8.97pp); finished 7th at Wolverhampton (AW) on 16 Jun 2026 (+10.46pp); and finished 4th at Wolverhampton (AW) on 30 Jan 2026 (+5.71pp).

2/5 placed when backed like this (40%).

When backed like this: 2/5 WON

Raw Open → Now price change: 16.6% • +5.68 probability points

Built 01:24 → 04:24

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Wolverhampton (AW), 30 Jan 2026 — 4th • open 6/1 → final 3/1 (+10.71pp).

All 5 comparable backed runs (1st or 2nd counts as placed):

Lingfield (AW), 10 Sep 2026 — 1st • open 16/1 → final 12/1
Lingfield (AW), 11 Aug 2026 — 7th • open 12/1 → final 17/2
Wolverhampton (AW), 02 Jun 2026 — 7th • open 11/2 → final 4/1
Wolverhampton (AW), 11 May 2026 — 3rd • open 15/2 → final 6/1
Wolverhampton (AW), 03 Mar 2026 — 1st • open 9/1 → final 7/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

5/2 3.5 decimal Hollywood Bets

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today1m 4f 51y · Class 6 · Standard · 10 runners	5/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+5.68ppOpen → now	15/8Current; SP pending	Pending	+5.68pp
Lingfield (AW)10 Sep 20261m 4f · Class 6 · Standard · 9 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	16/1	+4.44ppOpen → 10am	9/1	-1.67pp10am → 1pm	11/1	+3.43pp1pm → SP	15/2	1st	+6.21pp
Post-race comment
Wolverhampton (AW)17 Apr 20261m 1f 104y · Class 6 · Standard · 11 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	10/1	+1.44ppOpen → 10am	17/2	+2.81pp10am → 1pm	13/2	+3.33pp1pm → SP	5/1	2nd	+7.58pp
Post-race comment
Wolverhampton (AW)03 Mar 20261m 1f 104y · Class 6 · Standard · 10 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	9/1	-1.67ppOpen → 10am	11/1	+5.95pp10am → 1pm	6/1	+0.00pp1pm → SP	6/1	1st	+4.29pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today1m 4f 51y · Class 6 · Standard · 10 runners	5/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+5.68ppOpen → now	15/8Current; SP pending	Pending	+5.68pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READTRAINER RECORD MAKES THIS SUPPORT SIGNIFICANT

Mark Usher runners in the matching 5pp+ band have won 8/24 (a 33.3% Open→SP strike rate), compared with the trainer’s normal 8.9% strike rate. Just 4 of 13 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. When backed in a similar way previously, it finished first or second in 2 of 5 runs. Today’s move: Arlecchino's Rex has shortened from 5/2 to 15/8, which is support (+5.68pp).

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Lingfield (AW) · 10 Sep 2026 · 1st · 3/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Wolverhampton (AW) · previous Lingfield (AW)✓Trip (within ½f): 1m 4f 51y✓Ground: Standard✓Class: Class 6

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

All 3 previous top-two finishes came with support of 2.13pp+.

At 2.13pp+: 3/10 finished 1st or 2nd (30%).

Today: +5.68pp — trigger reached.

Possible next price: 15/8

13 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

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Course record
Course record of 2/11 at Wolverhampton (AW). The average SP at this course is 9.4 and today's market has the horse trading 69% shorter than usual.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

AmalouDraw 5

Trainer: Daniel & Claire Kubler

Jockey: Warren Fentiman

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Daniel & Claire Kubler (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 23/121; first seen between 10am and 1pm 4/121; first seen after 1pm 7/121.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 2 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.28pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 5/26 won (19.2%); Open→SP 7/25 won (28%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 31.3% (5/16).

↔ SAME CLASS

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run18 days ago · 14 Sep 2026

Distance changeUp 0.8f from last run

Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: 22/1 → 22/1 | Avg: 22/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

13:31Wolverhampton (AW)

Opened 2/1Market avg 2/1

2/1 ↓ 15/8 ↑ 2/1 ↓ 15/8 ↓ 15/8 ↑ 2/1 ↓ 15/8 ↑ 9/4 ↓ 15/8 ↑ 2/1

PRICE MOVE

+0.28pp (+0.8%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

Raw Open → Now price change: 0.8% • +0.28 probability points

Built 04:15 → 04:24

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Lingfield (AW), 22 Aug 2026 — 8th • open 13/2 → final 11/2 (+1.87pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

9/4 3.25 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today1m 4f 51y · Class 6 · Standard · 10 runners	2/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.28ppOpen → now	2/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.28pp
Windsor14 Sep 20261m 3f 99y · Class 6 · Good To Soft · 11 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	14/1	-1.63ppOpen → 10am	18/1	-0.92pp10am → 1pm	22/1	+0.00pp1pm → SP	22/1	1st	-2.55pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today1m 4f 51y · Class 6 · Standard · 10 runners	2/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.28ppOpen → now	2/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.28pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Amalou is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Windsor · 14 Sep 2026 · 1st · 1/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Wolverhampton (AW) · previous Windsor×Trip (within ½f): Today 1m 4f 51y · previous 1m 3f 99y×Ground: Today Standard · previous Good To Soft✓Class: Class 6

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

N/A

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

2 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.

Today: +0.28pp

Possible next price: 2/1

No historical data

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

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Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

Ten Sixty SixDraw 8

Trainer: David O'Meara

Jockey: Conor Whiteley(3)

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer David O'Meara (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 67/720; first seen between 10am and 1pm 52/720; first seen after 1pm 31/720.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/7; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/7; first seen after 1pm 0/7.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.53pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

↔ SAME CLASS

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run13 days ago · 19 Sep 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

No consistent price pattern yet

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Late PM

Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 7/2 → 7/2 | Avg: 7/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

Late money horse (43%)

13:31Wolverhampton (AW)

Opened 13/2Market avg 7/1

7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 ↓ 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 ↑ 8/1 ↓ 13/2 → 13/2

PRICE MOVE

-0.53pp (-4.2%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

43th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE43rd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

4 of 7 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 4th at Newcastle (AW) on 19 Sep 2026 (-2.20pp); finished 6th at Hamilton on 11 Jul 2026 (-3.41pp); finished 4th at Beverley on 03 Jul 2026 (-0.78pp); and finished 9th at Nottingham on 26 Apr 2026 (-2.43pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 4.2% • -0.53 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Newcastle (AW), 19 Sep 2026 — 4th • open 9/4 → final 5/1 (-14.10pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

8/1 9 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today1m 4f 51y · Class 6 · Standard · 10 runners	13/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.53ppOpen → now	7/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.53pp
Ripon31 Aug 20261m 1f 170y · Class 6 · Soft · 10 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	4/1	+2.99ppOpen → 10am	7/2	-5.56pp10am → 1pm	5/1	+1.52pp1pm → SP	9/2	2nd	-1.05pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today1m 4f 51y · Class 6 · Standard · 10 runners	13/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.53ppOpen → now	7/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.53pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

4 of 7 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Ten Sixty Six is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Ripon · 31 Aug 2026 · 2nd · 1/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Wolverhampton (AW) · previous Ripon×Trip (within ½f): Today 1m 4f 51y · previous 1m 1f 170y×Ground: Today Standard · previous Soft✓Class: Class 6

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

This matches its usual pattern; support has often arrived later. (moderate)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

7 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.

Today: -0.53pp

Possible next price: 13/2

7 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

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Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

This RibDraw 4

Trainer: David Loughnane

Jockey: Ashley Lewis

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer David Loughnane (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 27/261; first seen between 10am and 1pm 18/261; first seen after 1pm 7/261.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/6; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/6; first seen after 1pm 0/6.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.60pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

↔ SAME CLASS

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run17 days ago · 15 Sep 2026

Distance changeDown 1.8f from last run

Often drifts in the market

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Mid

Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

Mid-market mover (50%)

13:31Wolverhampton (AW)

Opened 13/2Market avg 7/1

7/1 ↓ 13/2 ↑ 7/1 ↓ 13/2 → 13/2 ↑ 7/1 ↓ 6/1 → 6/1 ↑ 13/2 ↑ 7/1

PRICE MOVE

-0.60pp (-4.7%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

3 of 6 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 6th at Wolverhampton (AW) on 15 Sep 2026 (-1.55pp); finished 5th at Ayr on 06 Jul 2026 (-0.90pp); and finished 11th at Wolverhampton (AW) on 16 Jun 2026 (-0.90pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 4.7% • -0.60 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Leicester, 29 Jul 2026 — 4th • open 4/1 → final 7/1 (-7.50pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

8/1 9 decimal Midnite

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today1m 4f 51y · Class 6 · Standard · 10 runners	13/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.60ppOpen → now	7/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.60pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today1m 4f 51y · Class 6 · Standard · 10 runners	13/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.60ppOpen → now	7/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.60pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

3 of 6 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: This Rib is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

This price often moves during the day, so keep checking it. (moderate)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

5 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.

Today: -0.60pp

Possible next price: 7/1

6 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

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Course record
Course evidence at Wolverhampton (AW) is limited (2 runs without making the frame). Today's market is 71% shorter than usual against an average course SP profile of 27.0.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Tiger BeetleDraw 2

Trainer: Thomas Faulkner

Jockey: Zoe Lewis(7)

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Thomas Faulkner (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 19/132; first seen between 10am and 1pm 10/132; first seen after 1pm 5/132.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/8; first seen between 10am and 1pm 1/8; first seen after 1pm 0/8.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.12pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 4/26 won (15.4%); Open→SP 3/24 won (12.5%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.

↔ SAME CLASS

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run52 days ago · 11 Aug 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

No consistent price pattern yet

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Early

Runs: 8 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

10am plunger

Early money horse (25%)

13:31Wolverhampton (AW)

Opened 15/2Market avg 15/2

15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 ↓ 7/1 ↑ 15/2 → 15/2 ↓ 7/1 ↑ 17/2 ↓ 7/1 ↑ 15/2

PRICE MOVE

+0.12pp (+1.0%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

38th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE38th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

5 of 8 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 5th at Lingfield (AW) on 11 Aug 2026 (+1.82pp); finished 8th at Chepstow on 15 Jun 2026 (+3.41pp); finished 3rd at Wolverhampton (AW) on 31 Mar 2026 (+5.83pp); finished 7th at Wolverhampton (AW) on 17 Feb 2026 (+4.44pp); and finished 8th at Wolverhampton (AW) on 02 Feb 2026 (+4.23pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 1% • +0.12 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Wolverhampton (AW), 31 Mar 2026 — 3rd • open 14/1 → final 11/2 (+8.72pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

17/2 9.5 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today1m 4f 51y · Class 6 · Standard · 10 runners	15/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.12ppOpen → now	15/2Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.12pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today1m 4f 51y · Class 6 · Standard · 10 runners	15/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.12ppOpen → now	15/2Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.12pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

5 of 8 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Tiger Beetle is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.Comparable moves have had few top-two finishes. Be cautious.

Did the early price move fade?

Recorded examples where 5pp+ early support was followed by a longer final price:

Wolverhampton (AW), 02 Feb 2026 — 8th • open 40/1 → 1pm 12/1 → final 18/1

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

8 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.

Today: +0.12pp

Possible next price: 15/2

8 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

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Course record
This horse is 0/5 at Wolverhampton (AW) on our records. Today's market is 45% shorter than usual against an average course SP of 15.4.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

Forever PerfectDraw 3

Trainer: Rebecca Menzies

Jockey: Owen Lewis(3)

🔴 Ignores MarketThis horse has won or placed despite drifting. Market weakness does NOT negatively impact performance. Can be a value angle when price weakens.

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Rebecca Menzies (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 26/337; first seen between 10am and 1pm 12/337; first seen after 1pm 7/337.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 2/10; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/10; first seen after 1pm 0/10.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.25pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

↔ SAME CLASS

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run11 days ago · 21 Sep 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

Often drifts in the market

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Pre-Off

Runs: 10 | Fixed-odds range: 11/4 → 6/1 | Avg: 9/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

10am plunger

Late money horse (50%)

13:31Wolverhampton (AW)

Opened 17/2Market avg 17/2

9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 ↓ 17/2 → 17/2 → 17/2 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 11/1 ↓ 17/2 → 17/2

PRICE MOVE

-0.25pp (-2.4%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

40th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE40th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

6 of 10 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 9th at Redcar on 09 Sep 2026 (-1.12pp); finished 3rd at Thirsk on 05 Jun 2026 (-9.62pp); finished 2nd at Wolverhampton (AW) on 27 Apr 2026 (-4.62pp); finished 1st at Wolverhampton (AW) on 21 Apr 2026 (-1.82pp); finished 3rd at Wolverhampton (AW) on 06 Apr 2026 (-7.06pp); and finished 6th at Southwell (AW) on 04 Mar 2026 (-0.78pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 2.4% • -0.25 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Thirsk, 05 Jun 2026 — 3rd • open 3/1 → final 8/1 (-13.89pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

11/1 12 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today1m 4f 51y · Class 6 · Standard · 10 runners	17/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.25ppOpen → now	17/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.25pp
Wolverhampton (AW)08 May 20261m 4f 51y · Class 6 · Standard · 7 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	9/4	+5.59ppOpen → 10am	7/4	-1.64pp10am → 1pm	15/8	-8.06pp1pm → SP	11/4	2nd	-4.10pp
Post-race comment
Wolverhampton (AW)27 Apr 20261m 4f 51y · Class 6 · Standard · 11 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	4/1	-4.62ppOpen → 10am	11/2	+1.28pp10am → 1pm	5/1	-2.38pp1pm → SP	6/1	2nd	-5.71pp
Post-race comment
Wolverhampton (AW)21 Apr 20261m 4f 51y · Class 6 · Standard · 6 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	4/1	-1.82ppOpen → 10am	9/2	+1.82pp10am → 1pm	4/1	+0.00pp1pm → SP	4/1	1st	+0.00pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today1m 4f 51y · Class 6 · Standard · 10 runners	17/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.25ppOpen → now	17/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.25pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

6 of 10 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Forever Perfect is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Wolverhampton (AW) · 08 May 2026 · 2nd · 4/4 known conditions match

✓Track: Wolverhampton (AW)✓Trip (within ½f): 1m 4f 51y✓Ground: Standard✓Class: Class 6

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

This matches its usual pattern; support has often arrived later. (moderate)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

No positive support trigger.

This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.

Today: -0.25pp

Possible next price: 17/2

10 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Course record
At Wolverhampton (AW) this horse has recorded 3 placed efforts from 6 runs. The current market is 43% shorter than usual against an average course SP profile of 17.0.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Skirt AroundDraw 10

Trainer: Philip Kirby

Jockey: Charlie Tucker(7)

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Philip Kirby (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 32/320; first seen between 10am and 1pm 22/320; first seen after 1pm 8/320.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/4; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/4; first seen after 1pm 0/4.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.35pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

↔ SAME CLASS

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run13 days ago · 19 Sep 2026

Distance changeUp 2f from last run

Often drifts in the market

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Early PM

Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

Early money horse (50%)

13:31Wolverhampton (AW)

Opened 16/1Market avg 18/1

18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 ↓ 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 ↑ 22/1 ↓ 16/1 ↑ 18/1

PRICE MOVE

-0.35pp (-6.4%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

4 of 4 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 6th at Newcastle (AW) on 19 Sep 2026 (-3.28pp); finished 4th at Ripon on 15 Aug 2026 (-1.01pp); finished 7th at Wetherby on 04 Jun 2026 (-5.26pp); and finished 8th at Newcastle (AW) on 01 May 2026 (-5.00pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 6.4% • -0.35 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Wetherby, 04 Jun 2026 — 7th • open 17/2 → final 20/1 (-5.76pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

22/1 23 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today1m 4f 51y · Class 6 · Standard · 10 runners	16/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.35ppOpen → now	18/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.35pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today1m 4f 51y · Class 6 · Standard · 10 runners	16/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.35ppOpen → now	18/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.35pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

4 of 4 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Skirt Around is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

4 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.

Today: -0.35pp

Possible next price: 20/1

4 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Project KinsmanDraw 1

Trainer: Philip Kirby

Jockey: Tom Kiely-Marshall

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Philip Kirby (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 32/320; first seen between 10am and 1pm 22/320; first seen after 1pm 8/320.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/8; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/8; first seen after 1pm 0/8.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.12pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 12/51 won (23.5%); Open→SP 11/51 won (21.6%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 39.1% (9/23).

↔ SAME CLASS

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run13 days ago · 19 Sep 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

No consistent price pattern yet

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Pre-Off

Runs: 8 | Fixed-odds range: 11/1 → 11/1 | Avg: 11/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

Mid-market mover (25%)

13:31Wolverhampton (AW)

Opened 20/1Market avg 20/1

20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 ↓ 18/1 ↑ 20/1 → 20/1 ↓ 18/1 ↑ 22/1 ↓ 18/1 ↑ 20/1

PRICE MOVE

+0.12pp (+2.4%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

63th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE63rd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

3 of 8 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 10th at Newcastle (AW) on 19 Sep 2026 (+0.33pp); finished 8th at Newcastle (AW) on 02 Jun 2026 (+3.09pp); and finished 2nd at Newcastle (AW) on 13 Apr 2026 (+1.67pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 2.4% • +0.12 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Newcastle (AW), 13 Apr 2026 — 2nd • open 14/1 → final 11/1 (+1.67pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

22/1 23 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today1m 4f 51y · Class 6 · Standard · 10 runners	20/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.12ppOpen → now	20/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.12pp
Newcastle (AW)13 Apr 20261m 2f 42y · Class 6 · Standard · 7 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	14/1	+1.67ppOpen → 10am	11/1	-1.67pp10am → 1pm	14/1	+1.67pp1pm → SP	11/1	2nd	+1.67pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today1m 4f 51y · Class 6 · Standard · 10 runners	20/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.12ppOpen → now	20/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.12pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 3 of 8 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Project Kinsman is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Newcastle (AW) · 13 Apr 2026 · 2nd · 2/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Wolverhampton (AW) · previous Newcastle (AW)×Trip (within ½f): Today 1m 4f 51y · previous 1m 2f 42y✓Ground: Standard✓Class: Class 6

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.Comparable moves have had few top-two finishes. Be cautious.

Did the early price move fade?

No documented early-support reversal in this horse’s recorded checkpoint sample. The older wording referred to finishing results, not a verified intraday price fade.

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

8 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.

Today: +0.12pp

Possible next price: 20/1

8 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

Prophet SqueezeDraw 7

Trainer: Barry Murphy

Jockey: Christian Howarth

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Barry Murphy (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/6; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/6; first seen after 1pm 0/6.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/8; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/8; first seen after 1pm 0/8.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.19pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/0 won (0%); Open→SP 0/0 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.

↔ SAME CLASS

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run30 days ago · 2 Sep 2026

Distance changeDown 1.8f from last run

Often drifts in the market

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Pre-Off

Runs: 8 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

Best at SP (50%)

13:31Wolverhampton (AW)

Opened 33/1Market avg 33/1

33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 ↑ 33/1

PRICE MOVE

+0.19pp (+6.5%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILETHE STRONGEST MOVE RECORDED (100th percentile)

EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE

Strongest support recorded across 8 previous runs.

Raw Open → Now price change: 6.5% • +0.19 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Chepstow, 24 Jul 2026 — 9th • open 40/1 → final 40/1 (+0.27pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

33/1 36 decimal 7Bet

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today1m 4f 51y · Class 6 · Standard · 10 runners	33/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.19ppOpen → now	33/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.19pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today1m 4f 51y · Class 6 · Standard · 10 runners	33/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.19ppOpen → now	33/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.19pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READTHIS IS THE HORSE’S STRONGEST RECORDED SUPPORT

Across 8 previous runs, this is the horse’s strongest recorded support. Today’s move: Prophet Squeeze is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

The price has been unpredictable before and may move sharply again. (moderate)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

7 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.

Today: +0.19pp

Possible next price: 40/1

8 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

Echo ThatDraw 9

Trainer: Patrick Owens

Jockey: Mason Paetel

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Patrick Owens (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/45; first seen between 10am and 1pm 2/45; first seen after 1pm 0/45.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 1 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.19pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/3 won (0%); Open→SP 0/2 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.

⬇ CLASS DROP

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run38 days ago · 25 Aug 2026

Distance changeUp 2.2f from last run

Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.

13:31Wolverhampton (AW)

Opened 33/1Market avg 33/1

33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 ↑ 33/1

PRICE MOVE

+0.19pp (+6.5%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

Raw Open → Now price change: 6.5% • +0.19 probability points

Previous market evidence

No previous positive open-to-final support in the recorded sample.

BEST FIXED ODDS

33/1 36 decimal 7Bet

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today1m 4f 51y · Class 6 · Standard · 10 runners	33/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.19ppOpen → now	33/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.19pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today1m 4f 51y · Class 6 · Standard · 10 runners	33/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.19ppOpen → now	33/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.19pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. The horse drops from Class 4 to Class 6, but the market has not responded with meaningful support. Today’s move: Echo That is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

N/A

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

1 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.

Today: +0.19pp

Possible next price: 40/1

No historical data

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

Race market overview as at 04:30

Supported1 of 10 runners at +4pp or more · strongest: Arlecchino's Rex +5.68pp
Drifting0 of 10 runners at −4pp or worse
Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.

14:06Wolverhampton (AW) • 5f21y • Class 5 • Going: Standard

9 runners

Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

Anna BelardoDraw 7

Trainer: Dr Richard Newland

Jockey: Gina Mangan

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Dr Richard Newland (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 2/3; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/3; first seen after 1pm 0/3.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/5; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/5; first seen after 1pm 0/5.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.07pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/1 won (0%); Open→SP 0/1 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.

↔ SAME CLASS

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run25 days ago · 7 Sep 2026

Distance changeDown 1f from last run

No consistent price pattern yet

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Early PM

Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 16/1 → 16/1 | Avg: 16/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

10am plunger

Early money horse (20%)

14:06Wolverhampton (AW)

Opened 11/4Market avg 11/4

11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 ↓ 5/2 ↑ 11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 ↑ 3/1 ↓ 5/2 ↑ 11/4

PRICE MOVE

+0.07pp (+0.3%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

40th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE40th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

3 of 5 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 5th at Bath on 02 Sep 2026 (+4.50pp); finished 6th at Kempton (AW) on 30 Apr 2026 (+16.54pp); and finished 3rd at Newmarket on 14 Apr 2026 (+1.44pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 0.3% • +0.07 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Kempton (AW), 30 Apr 2026 — 6th • open 9/2 → final 3/1 (+6.82pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

3/1 4 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today5f 21y · Class 5 · Standard · 9 runners	11/4	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.07ppOpen → now	11/4Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.07pp
Wolverhampton (AW)07 Sep 20266f 20y · Class 5 · Standard · 6 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	12/1	-0.48ppOpen → 10am	14/1	+1.67pp10am → 1pm	11/1	-2.45pp1pm → SP	16/1	2nd	-1.26pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today5f 21y · Class 5 · Standard · 9 runners	11/4	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.07ppOpen → now	11/4Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.07pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

3 of 5 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Anna Belardo is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Wolverhampton (AW) · 07 Sep 2026 · 2nd · 3/4 known conditions match

✓Track: Wolverhampton (AW)×Trip (within ½f): Today 5f 21y · previous 6f 20y✓Ground: Standard✓Class: Class 5

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

Limited data: one similar run only.

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

5 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.

Today: +0.07pp

Possible next price: 11/4

5 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Wolverhampton (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

LowcountryDraw 4

Trainer: Tom Ward

Jockey: Alec Voikhansky

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Tom Ward (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 11/149; first seen between 10am and 1pm 14/149; first seen after 1pm 5/149.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 2 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.24pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

↔ SAME CLASS

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run17 days ago · 15 Sep 2026

Distance changeDown 1f from last run

Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

14:06Wolverhampton (AW)

Opened 10/3Market avg 10/3

7/2 ↓ 10/3 ↑ 7/2 ↓ 10/3 → 10/3 → 10/3 → 10/3 ↑ 4/1 ↓ 10/3 → 10/3

PRICE MOVE

-0.24pp (-1.0%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

Raw Open → Now price change: 1% • -0.24 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Salisbury, 21 Aug 2026 — 10th • open 28/1 → final 40/1 (-1.13pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

4/1 5 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today5f 21y · Class 5 · Standard · 9 runners	10/3	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.24ppOpen → now	10/3Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.24pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today5f 21y · Class 5 · Standard · 9 runners	10/3	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.24ppOpen → now	10/3Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.24pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Lowcountry is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

Limited data: one similar run only.

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

2 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.

Today: -0.24pp

Possible next price: 10/3

No historical data

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Wolverhampton (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Classic BelliniDraw 9

Trainer: Tim Easterby

Jockey: Sean Kirrane

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Tim Easterby (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 151/1143; first seen between 10am and 1pm 66/1143; first seen after 1pm 34/1143.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 2 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.97pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

↔ SAME CLASS

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run120 days ago · 4 Jun 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

14:06Wolverhampton (AW)

Opened 7/2Market avg 4/1

4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 ↓ 7/2 → 7/2 ↑ 4/1 → 4/1

PRICE MOVE

-1.97pp (-9.7%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

Raw Open → Now price change: 9.7% • -1.97 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Thirsk, 16 May 2026 — 7th • open 20/1 → final 33/1 (-1.82pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

4/1 5 decimal 7Bet

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today5f 21y · Class 5 · Standard · 9 runners	7/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-1.97ppOpen → now	4/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-1.97pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today5f 21y · Class 5 · Standard · 9 runners	7/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-1.97ppOpen → now	4/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-1.97pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Classic Bellini is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

Limited data: one similar run only.

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

2 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.

Today: -1.97pp

Possible next price: 4/1

No historical data

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

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Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Falah GloryDraw 1

Trainer: Dylan Cunha

Jockey: David Probert

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Dylan Cunha (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 38/375; first seen between 10am and 1pm 28/375; first seen after 1pm 20/375.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 2 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.44pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 12/57 won (21.1%); Open→SP 15/71 won (21.1%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 24.2% (8/33).

↔ SAME CLASS

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run17 days ago · 15 Sep 2026

Distance changeDown 1f from last run

Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

14:06Wolverhampton (AW)

Opened 6/1Market avg 6/1

6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 ↓ 11/2 → 11/2 ↑ 6/1 ↓ 11/2 ↑ 13/2 ↓ 11/2 → 11/2

PRICE MOVE

+0.44pp (+3.0%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

Raw Open → Now price change: 3% • +0.44 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Wolverhampton (AW), 15 Sep 2026 — 8th • open 12/1 → final 9/1 (+2.59pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

13/2 7.5 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today5f 21y · Class 5 · Standard · 9 runners	6/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.44ppOpen → now	6/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.44pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today5f 21y · Class 5 · Standard · 9 runners	6/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.44ppOpen → now	6/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.44pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Falah Glory is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

Limited data: one similar run only.

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

2 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.

Today: +0.44pp

Possible next price: 5/1

No historical data

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

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Course record
Course evidence at Wolverhampton (AW) is limited (2 runs without making the frame). Today's market is 40% shorter than usual against an average course SP profile of 11.3.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

Sable IslandDraw 8

Trainer: Chris Dwyer

Jockey: Harry Davies

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Chris Dwyer (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 21/88; first seen between 10am and 1pm 2/88; first seen after 1pm 6/88.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 2/8; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/8; first seen after 1pm 0/8.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.87pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 5/20 won (25%); Open→SP 5/26 won (19.2%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 33.3% (4/12).

⬆ CLASS RISE

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run15 days ago · 17 Sep 2026

Distance changeDown 1f from last run

No consistent price pattern yet

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: 10am

Runs: 8 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

10am plunger

Early money horse (38%)

14:06Wolverhampton (AW)

Opened 15/2Market avg 7/1

7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 ↓ 13/2 ↑ 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 ↓ 13/2 ↑ 7/1

PRICE MOVE

+0.87pp (+6.9%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

2 of 8 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 5th at Lingfield on 22 Jul 2026 (+6.67pp); and finished 3rd at Bath on 26 May 2026 (+14.17pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 6.9% • +0.87 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Bath, 26 May 2026 — 3rd • open 7/1 → final 4/1 (+7.50pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

7/1 8 decimal 7Bet

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today5f 21y · Class 5 · Standard · 9 runners	15/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.87ppOpen → now	7/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.87pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today5f 21y · Class 5 · Standard · 9 runners	15/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.87ppOpen → now	7/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.87pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 2 of 8 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. It is also stepping up from Class 6 to Class 5, which adds another test today. Today’s move: Sable Island is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.Comparable moves have had few top-two finishes. Be cautious.

Did the early price move fade?

Recorded examples where 5pp+ early support was followed by a longer final price:

Lingfield, 22 Jul 2026 — 5th • open 9/1 → 10am 5/1 → final 11/2
Bath, 26 May 2026 — 3rd • open 7/1 → 10am 11/4 → final 4/1

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

8 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.

Today: +0.87pp

Possible next price: 7/1

8 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

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Course record
No placed efforts from 2 previous runs at Wolverhampton (AW). The current market is 61% shorter than usual compared with a typical course SP of 20.3.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

Decem CarolinaeDraw 2

Trainer: Jack Jones

Jockey: Finley Marsh

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Jack Jones (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 29/222; first seen between 10am and 1pm 16/222; first seen after 1pm 9/222.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 2 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.33pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 11/41 won (26.8%); Open→SP 12/38 won (31.6%).
Watch for 20pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 50% (2/4).

↔ SAME CLASS

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run25 days ago · 7 Sep 2026

Distance changeDown 1f from last run

Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

14:06Wolverhampton (AW)

Opened 15/2Market avg 15/2

15/2 ↓ 7/1 ↑ 15/2 ↓ 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 ↑ 15/2 ↑ 9/1 ↓ 7/1 → 7/1

PRICE MOVE

+0.33pp (+2.7%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

Raw Open → Now price change: 2.7% • +0.33 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Windsor, 07 Sep 2026 — 9th • open 14/1 → final 8/1 (+4.21pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

9/1 10 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today5f 21y · Class 5 · Standard · 9 runners	15/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.33ppOpen → now	15/2Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.33pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today5f 21y · Class 5 · Standard · 9 runners	15/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.33ppOpen → now	15/2Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.33pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Decem Carolinae is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

Limited data: one similar run only.

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

2 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.

Today: +0.33pp

Possible next price: 7/1

No historical data

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

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Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

Lead To GoldDraw 5

Trainer: Ollie Sangster

Jockey: Sean Dylan Bowen

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Ollie Sangster (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 57/341; first seen between 10am and 1pm 12/341; first seen after 1pm 9/341.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 0 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.14pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 18/58 won (31%); Open→SP 24/56 won (42.9%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

14:06Wolverhampton (AW)

Opened 10/1Market avg 10/1

10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 ↓ 9/1 ↑ 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 ↓ 9/1 ↑ 10/1

PRICE MOVE

+0.14pp (+1.5%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

Raw Open → Now price change: 1.5% • +0.14 probability points

BEST FIXED ODDS

10/1 11 decimal 7Bet

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today5f 21y · Class 5 · Standard · 9 runners	10/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.14ppOpen → now	10/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.14pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today5f 21y · Class 5 · Standard · 9 runners	10/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.14ppOpen → now	10/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.14pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Lead To Gold is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

N/A

Possible next price: 10/1

No historical data

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

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Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

Sacred RhythmDraw 3

Trainer: Joseph Parr

Jockey: Luke Morris

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Joseph Parr (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 11/103; first seen between 10am and 1pm 11/103; first seen after 1pm 0/103.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 2 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.46pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

↔ SAME CLASS

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run19 days ago · 13 Sep 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

14:06Wolverhampton (AW)

Opened 11/1Market avg 12/1

12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 ↓ 11/1 ↑ 12/1 → 12/1 ↓ 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 ↑ 12/1

PRICE MOVE

-0.46pp (-5.9%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

Raw Open → Now price change: 5.9% • -0.46 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Bath, 13 Sep 2026 — 5th • open 6/1 → final 7/1 (-2.21pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

12/1 13 decimal 7Bet

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today5f 21y · Class 5 · Standard · 9 runners	11/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.46ppOpen → now	12/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.46pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today5f 21y · Class 5 · Standard · 9 runners	11/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.46ppOpen → now	12/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.46pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Sacred Rhythm is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

N/A

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

2 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.

Today: -0.46pp

Possible next price: 12/1

No historical data

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

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Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

CosmocratDraw 6

Trainer: Scott Dixon

Jockey: Kieran O'Neill

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Scott Dixon (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 27/372; first seen between 10am and 1pm 16/372; first seen after 1pm 14/372.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 1 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.00pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 4/38 won (10.5%); Open→SP 5/44 won (11.4%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 16.7% (3/18).

↔ SAME CLASS

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run17 days ago · 15 Sep 2026

Distance changeDown 1f from last run

Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.

14:06Wolverhampton (AW)

Opened 40/1Market avg 40/1

40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 ↓ 33/1 ↑ 40/1 → 40/1

PRICE MOVE

+0.00pp (+0.1%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

Raw Open → Now price change: 0.1% • +0.00 probability points

Previous market evidence

No previous positive open-to-final support in the recorded sample.

BEST FIXED ODDS

50/1 51 decimal Betfair Sportsbook

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today5f 21y · Class 5 · Standard · 9 runners	40/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.00ppOpen → now	40/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.00pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today5f 21y · Class 5 · Standard · 9 runners	40/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.00ppOpen → now	40/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.00pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Cosmocrat is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

N/A

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

1 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.

Today: +0.00pp

Possible next price: 40/1

No historical data

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

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Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Wolverhampton (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

Race market overview as at 04:30

Supported0 of 9 runners at +4pp or more
Drifting0 of 9 runners at −4pp or worse
Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.

14:41Wolverhampton (AW) • 6f20y • Class 4 • Going: Standard

7 runners

Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

InkberrowDraw 6

Trainer: Simon & Ed Crisford

Jockey: Harry Davies

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Simon & Ed Crisford (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 37/278; first seen between 10am and 1pm 26/278; first seen after 1pm 20/278.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 1 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.52pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

↔ SAME CLASS

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run17 days ago · 15 Sep 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: 6/1 → 6/1 | Avg: 6/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.

14:41Wolverhampton (AW)

Opened 4/7Market avg 4/7

8/13 ↓ 4/7 ↑ 8/13 ↓ 4/7 → 4/7 → 4/7 → 4/7 ↑ 4/6 ↓ 4/7 → 4/7

PRICE MOVE

-0.52pp (-0.8%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

Raw Open → Now price change: 0.8% • -0.52 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Wolverhampton (AW), 15 Sep 2026 — 2nd • open 3/1 → final 6/1 (-11.36pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

4/6 1.67 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today6f 20y · Class 4 · Standard · 7 runners	4/7	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.52ppOpen → now	4/7Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.52pp
Wolverhampton (AW)15 Sep 20266f 20y · Class 4 · Standard · 12 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	3/1	-0.64ppOpen → 10am	3/1	-8.33pp10am → 1pm	5/1	-3.33pp1pm → SP	13/2	2nd	-12.31pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today6f 20y · Class 4 · Standard · 7 runners	4/7	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.52ppOpen → now	4/7Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.52pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Inkberrow is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Wolverhampton (AW) · 15 Sep 2026 · 2nd · 4/4 known conditions match

✓Track: Wolverhampton (AW)✓Trip (within ½f): 6f 20y✓Ground: Standard✓Class: Class 4

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

N/A

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

1 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.

Today: -0.52pp

Possible next price: 4/7

No historical data

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Wolverhampton (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Lahan KingmanDraw 2

Trainer: Richard Hughes

Jockey: Billy Loughnane

🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Richard Hughes (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 68/440; first seen between 10am and 1pm 27/440; first seen after 1pm 21/440.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/4; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/4; first seen after 1pm 0/4.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.00pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 21/78 won (26.9%); Open→SP 23/84 won (27.4%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 29.7% (11/37).

↔ SAME CLASS

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run21 days ago · 11 Sep 2026

Distance changeDown 0.9f from last run

Often drifts in the market

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Pre-Off

Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 1/2 → 3/1 | Avg: 7/4Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

10am plunger

Early money horse (25%)

14:41Wolverhampton (AW)

Opened 4/1Market avg 4/1

4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 ↑ 9/2 ↓ 4/1 → 4/1

PRICE MOVE

+0.00pp (+0.0%)

No meaningful price change from the open.

Move evidence

50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

2 of 4 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 2nd at Lingfield (AW) on 14 Apr 2026 (+1.39pp); and finished 2nd at Wolverhampton (AW) on 17 Mar 2026 (+15.44pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 0% • +0.00 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Wolverhampton (AW), 17 Mar 2026 — 2nd • open 5/4 → final 1/2 (+22.22pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

9/2 5.5 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today6f 20y · Class 4 · Standard · 7 runners	4/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.00ppOpen → now	4/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.00pp
Lingfield (AW)14 Apr 20266f 1y · Class 5 · Standard · 5 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	2/1	+1.39ppOpen → 10am	15/8	+1.64pp10am → 1pm	7/4	-11.36pp1pm → SP	3/1	2nd	-8.33pp
Post-race comment
Wolverhampton (AW)17 Mar 20267f 36y · Class 4 · Standard · 5 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	5/4	+15.44ppOpen → 10am	4/6	+0.00pp10am → 1pm	4/6	-4.32pp1pm → SP	4/5	2nd	+11.11pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today6f 20y · Class 4 · Standard · 7 runners	4/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.00ppOpen → now	4/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.00pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

2 of 4 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Lahan Kingman is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Wolverhampton (AW) · 17 Mar 2026 · 2nd · 3/4 known conditions match

✓Track: Wolverhampton (AW)×Trip (within ½f): Today 6f 20y · previous 7f 36y✓Ground: Standard✓Class: Class 4

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

N/A

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

No positive support trigger.

This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.

Today: +0.00pp

Possible next price: 4/1

4 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Wolverhampton (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

Moonlight MelodyDraw 7

Trainer: Donald McCain

Jockey: Luke Morris

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Donald McCain (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 34/347; first seen between 10am and 1pm 26/347; first seen after 1pm 15/347.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/5; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/5; first seen after 1pm 0/5.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.25pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 12/49 won (24.5%); Open→SP 14/57 won (24.6%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 28% (7/25).

⬆ CLASS RISE

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run21 days ago · 11 Sep 2026

Distance changeDown 0.9f from last run

Often drifts in the market

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Pre-Off

Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

10am plunger

Late money horse (40%)

14:41Wolverhampton (AW)

Opened 11/2Market avg 11/2

11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 ↓ 5/1 ↑ 11/2 → 11/2 ↓ 5/1 ↑ 11/2 ↓ 5/1 ↑ 11/2

PRICE MOVE

+0.25pp (+1.6%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

80th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE80th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE

Only 1 of 5 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 3rd at Catterick on 26 Aug 2026 (+10.71pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 1.6% • +0.25 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Catterick, 26 Aug 2026 — 3rd • open 6/1 → final 9/2 (+3.90pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

11/2 6.5 decimal 7Bet

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today6f 20y · Class 4 · Standard · 7 runners	11/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.25ppOpen → now	11/2Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.25pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today6f 20y · Class 4 · Standard · 7 runners	11/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.25ppOpen → now	11/2Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.25pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 1 of 5 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. It is also stepping up from Class 5 to Class 4, which adds another test today. Today’s move: Moonlight Melody is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

This early support is unusual; the price has often drifted again later. (moderate)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

5 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.

Today: +0.25pp

Possible next price: 11/2

5 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Wolverhampton (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

VentanaDraw 3

Trainer: Charles Hills

Jockey: Rob Hornby

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Charles Hills (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 30/237; first seen between 10am and 1pm 11/237; first seen after 1pm 9/237.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/3; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/3; first seen after 1pm 0/3.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.10pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 13/34 won (38.2%); Open→SP 11/35 won (31.4%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 41.7% (5/12).

⬆ CLASS RISE

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run104 days ago · 20 Jun 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

Often drifts in the market

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: 10am

Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: 14/1 → 14/1 | Avg: 14/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

Early money horse (67%)

14:41Wolverhampton (AW)

Opened 11/2Market avg 11/2

11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 ↓ 5/1 ↑ 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 ↓ 5/1 ↑ 11/2

PRICE MOVE

+0.10pp (+0.6%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILETHE STRONGEST MOVE RECORDED (100th percentile)

EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE

Strongest support recorded across 3 previous runs.

Raw Open → Now price change: 0.6% • +0.10 probability points

Previous market evidence

No previous positive open-to-final support in the recorded sample.

BEST FIXED ODDS

11/2 6.5 decimal 7Bet

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today6f 20y · Class 4 · Standard · 7 runners	11/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.10ppOpen → now	11/2Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.10pp
Windsor01 Jun 20266f 12y · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 10 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	11/1	-1.67ppOpen → 10am	14/1	+1.03pp10am → 1pm	12/1	-1.03pp1pm → SP	14/1	2nd	-1.67pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today6f 20y · Class 4 · Standard · 7 runners	11/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.10ppOpen → now	11/2Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.10pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READTHIS IS THE HORSE’S STRONGEST RECORDED SUPPORT

Across 3 previous runs, this is the horse’s strongest recorded support. It is also stepping up from Class 5 to Class 4, which adds another test today. Today’s move: Ventana is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Windsor · 01 Jun 2026 · 2nd · 2/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Wolverhampton (AW) · previous Windsor✓Trip (within ½f): 6f 20y×Ground: Today Standard · previous Good To Firm✓Class: Class 4

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (strong)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

3 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.

Today: +0.10pp

Possible next price: 11/2

3 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

Kodi BlueDraw 1

Trainer: Ismail Mohammed & Jose Santos

Jockey: Tom Kiely-Marshall(3)

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Ismail Mohammed & Jose Santos (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 2/55; first seen between 10am and 1pm 5/55; first seen after 1pm 1/55.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 0 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.40pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

14:41Wolverhampton (AW)

Opened 20/1Market avg 22/1

22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1 ↓ 20/1 ↑ 22/1 → 22/1 ↓ 20/1 ↑ 22/1 ↓ 20/1 → 20/1

PRICE MOVE

-0.40pp (-9.1%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

Raw Open → Now price change: 9.1% • -0.40 probability points

BEST FIXED ODDS

25/1 26 decimal Betfair Sportsbook

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today6f 20y · Class 4 · Standard · 7 runners	20/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.40ppOpen → now	22/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.40pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today6f 20y · Class 4 · Standard · 7 runners	20/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.40ppOpen → now	22/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.40pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Kodi Blue is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

N/A

Possible next price: 18/1

No historical data

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

VannessaDraw 4

Trainer: Patrick Chamings

Jockey: David Probert

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Patrick Chamings (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 4/91; first seen between 10am and 1pm 6/91; first seen after 1pm 2/91.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 0 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.11pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/9 won (11.1%); Open→SP 1/8 won (12.5%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

14:41Wolverhampton (AW)

Opened 33/1Market avg 33/1

33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 ↑ 33/1

PRICE MOVE

+0.11pp (+3.7%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

Raw Open → Now price change: 3.7% • +0.11 probability points

BEST FIXED ODDS

40/1 41 decimal Betfair Sportsbook

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today6f 20y · Class 4 · Standard · 7 runners	33/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.11ppOpen → now	33/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.11pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today6f 20y · Class 4 · Standard · 7 runners	33/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.11ppOpen → now	33/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.11pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Vannessa is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

N/A

Possible next price: 40/1

No historical data

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

Red MelodyDraw 5

Trainer: Lisa Williamson

Jockey: Ben Ffrench Davis(5)

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Lisa Williamson (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 2/60; first seen between 10am and 1pm 3/60; first seen after 1pm 1/60.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 1 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.01pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/5 won (20%); Open→SP 1/3 won (33.3%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.

↔ SAME CLASS

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run17 days ago · 15 Sep 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.

14:41Wolverhampton (AW)

Opened 80/1Market avg 80/1

80/1 → 80/1 → 80/1 ↓ 66/1 ↑ 80/1 → 80/1 ↓ 66/1 → 66/1 → 66/1 ↑ 80/1

PRICE MOVE

+0.01pp (+0.8%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

Raw Open → Now price change: 0.8% • +0.01 probability points

Previous market evidence

No previous positive open-to-final support in the recorded sample.

BEST FIXED ODDS

100/1 101 decimal Betfair Sportsbook

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today6f 20y · Class 4 · Standard · 7 runners	80/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.01ppOpen → now	80/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.01pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today6f 20y · Class 4 · Standard · 7 runners	80/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.01ppOpen → now	80/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.01pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Red Melody is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

N/A

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

1 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.

Today: +0.01pp

Possible next price: 80/1

No historical data

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Wolverhampton (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

Race market overview as at 04:30

Supported0 of 7 runners at +4pp or more
Drifting0 of 7 runners at −4pp or worse
Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.

15:16Wolverhampton (AW) • 6f20y • Class 5 • Going: Standard

10 runners

Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

MiracleoftheandesDraw 4

Trainer: Warren Greatrex

Jockey: Luke Morris

🔴 Ignores MarketThis horse has won or placed despite drifting. Market weakness does NOT negatively impact performance. Can be a value angle when price weakens.

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Warren Greatrex (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 24/229; first seen between 10am and 1pm 16/229; first seen after 1pm 10/229.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/4; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/4; first seen after 1pm 0/4.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.04pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 5/34 won (14.7%); Open→SP 5/34 won (14.7%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 20% (3/15).

↔ SAME CLASS

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run37 days ago · 26 Aug 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

Often drifts in the market

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Pre-Off

Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 7/1 → 33/1 | Avg: 20/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

Late money horse (50%)

15:16Wolverhampton (AW)

Opened 3/1Market avg 3/1

3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 ↓ 11/4 ↑ 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 ↑ 10/3 ↓ 11/4 ↑ 3/1

PRICE MOVE

+0.04pp (+0.2%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

Only 1 of 4 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 1st at Wolverhampton (AW) on 26 Aug 2026 (+0.22pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 0.2% • +0.04 probability points

Previous market evidence

No previous positive open-to-final support in the recorded sample.

BEST FIXED ODDS

10/3 4.33 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today6f 20y · Class 5 · Standard · 10 runners	3/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.04ppOpen → now	3/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.04pp
Wolverhampton (AW)26 Aug 20266f 20y · Class 5 · Standard · 8 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	20/1	+0.22ppOpen → 10am	20/1	-1.31pp10am → 1pm	28/1	-0.51pp1pm → SP	33/1	1st	-1.60pp
Post-race comment
Nottingham04 Jul 20265f 8y · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 9 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	6/1	-2.52ppOpen → 10am	15/2	+1.57pp10am → 1pm	13/2	-1.57pp1pm → SP	15/2	2nd	-2.52pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today6f 20y · Class 5 · Standard · 10 runners	3/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.04ppOpen → now	3/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.04pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 1 of 4 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Miracleoftheandes is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Wolverhampton (AW) · 26 Aug 2026 · 1st · 4/4 known conditions match

✓Track: Wolverhampton (AW)✓Trip (within ½f): 6f 20y✓Ground: Standard✓Class: Class 5

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

This early support is unusual; the price has often drifted again later. (moderate)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

No positive support trigger.

This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.

Today: +0.04pp

Possible next price: 3/1

4 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Wolverhampton (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

DiamondinthedarkDraw 7

Trainer: Mark Loughnane

Jockey: Billy Loughnane

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Mark Loughnane (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 28/303; first seen between 10am and 1pm 13/303; first seen after 1pm 9/303.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/4; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/4; first seen after 1pm 0/4.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.88pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

↔ SAME CLASS

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run11 days ago · 21 Sep 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

Often drifts in the market

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Pre-Off

Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 25/1 → 25/1 | Avg: 25/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

Late money horse (50%)

15:16Wolverhampton (AW)

Opened 3/1Market avg 3/1

10/3 ↓ 3/1 ↑ 10/3 ↓ 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 ↑ 10/3 ↑ 4/1 ↓ 3/1 → 3/1

PRICE MOVE

-0.88pp (-3.6%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

2 of 4 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 6th at Wolverhampton (AW) on 26 Aug 2026 (-2.22pp); and finished 8th at Lingfield (AW) on 04 Jun 2026 (-10.49pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 3.7% • -0.88 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Lingfield (AW), 04 Jun 2026 — 8th • open 9/2 → final 14/1 (-11.52pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

4/1 5 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today6f 20y · Class 5 · Standard · 10 runners	3/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.88ppOpen → now	3/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.88pp
Ffos Las04 Aug 20266f · Class 5 · Good · 7 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	16/1	+0.00ppOpen → 10am	16/1	-1.53pp10am → 1pm	22/1	+0.00pp1pm → SP	22/1	2nd	-1.53pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today6f 20y · Class 5 · Standard · 10 runners	3/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.88ppOpen → now	3/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.88pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

2 of 4 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Diamondinthedark is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Ffos Las · 04 Aug 2026 · 2nd · 2/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Wolverhampton (AW) · previous Ffos Las✓Trip (within ½f): 6f 20y×Ground: Today Standard · previous Good✓Class: Class 5

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

This matches its usual pattern; support has often arrived later. (moderate)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

4 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.

Today: -0.88pp

Possible next price: 3/1

4 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

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Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Wolverhampton (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

No ReturnDraw 9

Trainer: Charlie Johnston

Jockey: Rob Hornby

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Charlie Johnston (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 71/702; first seen between 10am and 1pm 46/702; first seen after 1pm 25/702.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 2/10; first seen between 10am and 1pm 1/10; first seen after 1pm 0/10.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.40pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

⬆ CLASS RISE

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run31 days ago · 1 Sep 2026

Distance changeUp 1.1f from last run

Often drifts in the market

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

2 historical matches

0/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Pre-Off

Runs: 10 | Fixed-odds range: 50/1 → 50/1 | Avg: 50/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

10am plunger

Late money horse (30%)

15:16Wolverhampton (AW)

Opened 9/2Market avg 5/1

5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 ↓ 9/2 ↑ 11/2 ↓ 5/1 → 5/1

PRICE MOVE

-1.40pp (-8.3%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

90th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE90th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE

Only 1 of 10 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 8th at Lingfield (AW) on 27 Mar 2026 (-2.45pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 8.3% • -1.40 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Kempton (AW), 14 Jan 2026 — 6th • open 9/2 → final 15/2 (-6.42pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

11/2 6.5 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today6f 20y · Class 5 · Standard · 10 runners	9/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-1.40ppOpen → now	5/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-1.40pp
Lingfield (AW)07 Jan 20266f 1y · Class 4 · Standard · 8 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	16/1	+0.00ppOpen → 10am	16/1	-3.44pp10am → 1pm	40/1	-0.95pp1pm → SP	66/1	2nd	-4.39pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today6f 20y · Class 5 · Standard · 10 runners	9/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-1.40ppOpen → now	5/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-1.40pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 1 of 10 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. It is also stepping up from Class 6 to Class 5, which adds another test today. Today’s move: No Return is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Lingfield (AW) · 07 Jan 2026 · 2nd · 2/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Wolverhampton (AW) · previous Lingfield (AW)✓Trip (within ½f): 6f 20y✓Ground: Standard×Class: Today Class 5 · previous Class 4

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.Comparable moves have had few top-two finishes. Be cautious.

Did the early price move fade?

Recorded examples where 5pp+ early support was followed by a longer final price:

Lingfield (AW), 01 Sep 2026 — 3rd • open 11/4 → 1pm 6/4 → final 13/8
Wolverhampton (AW), 03 Feb 2026 — 7th • open 15/2 → 10am 9/2 → final 14/1

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

10 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.

Today: -1.40pp

Possible next price: 5/1

10 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Wolverhampton (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Pull The RugDraw 6

Trainer: Grace Harris

Jockey: Ray Dawson

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Grace Harris (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 31/247; first seen between 10am and 1pm 14/247; first seen after 1pm 1/247.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/8; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/8; first seen after 1pm 0/8.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.16pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 14/37 won (37.8%); Open→SP 11/30 won (36.7%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 41.7% (5/12).

↔ SAME CLASS

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run3 days ago · 29 Sep 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

No consistent price pattern yet

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Opening

Runs: 8 | Fixed-odds range: 9/1 → 9/1 | Avg: 9/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

10am plunger

Early money horse (50%)

15:16Wolverhampton (AW)

Opened 7/1Market avg 7/1

7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 ↓ 13/2 ↑ 7/1 ↓ 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 ↑ 7/1

PRICE MOVE

+0.16pp (+1.3%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

38th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE38th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

5 of 8 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 5th at Bath on 29 Sep 2026 (+0.95pp); finished 10th at Salisbury on 11 Sep 2026 (+0.64pp); finished 4th at Ffos Las on 21 Aug 2026 (+0.87pp); finished 4th at Thirsk on 05 Jun 2026 (+3.33pp); and finished 7th at Catterick on 11 May 2026 (+7.50pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 1.3% • +0.16 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Catterick, 11 May 2026 — 7th • open 7/1 → final 5/1 (+4.17pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

8/1 9 decimal Paddy Power

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today6f 20y · Class 5 · Standard · 10 runners	7/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.16ppOpen → now	7/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.16pp
Chepstow06 Aug 20266f 16y · Class 5 · Good To Firm · 4 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	5/1	-3.33ppOpen → 10am	13/2	+0.95pp10am → 1pm	6/1	-5.95pp1pm → SP	11/1	2nd	-8.33pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today6f 20y · Class 5 · Standard · 10 runners	7/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.16ppOpen → now	7/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.16pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

5 of 8 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Pull The Rug is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Chepstow · 06 Aug 2026 · 2nd · 2/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Wolverhampton (AW) · previous Chepstow✓Trip (within ½f): 6f 20y×Ground: Today Standard · previous Good To Firm✓Class: Class 5

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

8 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.

Today: +0.16pp

Possible next price: 15/2

8 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

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Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

HayynahDraw 2

Trainer: Ollie Sangster

Jockey: Harry Vigors(5)

🔴 Ignores MarketThis horse has won or placed despite drifting. Market weakness does NOT negatively impact performance. Can be a value angle when price weakens.

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Ollie Sangster (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 57/341; first seen between 10am and 1pm 12/341; first seen after 1pm 9/341.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/7; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/7; first seen after 1pm 0/7.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.11pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

↔ SAME CLASS

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run14 days ago · 18 Sep 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

Often drifts in the market

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Pre-Off

Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 8/13 → 7/4 | Avg: 6/5Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

Late money horse (43%)

15:16Wolverhampton (AW)

Opened 15/2Market avg 15/2

15/2 ↑ 8/1 ↓ 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2

PRICE MOVE

-0.11pp (-1.0%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

29th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE29th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

5 of 7 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 6th at Wolverhampton (AW) on 18 Sep 2026 (-12.90pp); finished 10th at Windsor on 13 Jul 2026 (-2.94pp); finished 5th at Windsor on 15 Jun 2026 (-0.40pp); finished 7th at Southwell (AW) on 11 Apr 2026 (-5.56pp); and finished 2nd at Newcastle (AW) on 04 Feb 2026 (-1.85pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 1% • -0.11 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Wolverhampton (AW), 18 Sep 2026 — 6th • open 5/1 → final 50/1 (-14.17pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

8/1 9 decimal Boyle Sports

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today6f 20y · Class 5 · Standard · 10 runners	15/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.11ppOpen → now	15/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.11pp
Southwell (AW)24 Feb 20264f 214y · Class 4 · Standard · 9 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	11/8	+0.00ppOpen → 10am	11/8	-3.99pp10am → 1pm	13/8	-1.66pp1pm → SP	7/4	1st	-5.65pp
Post-race comment
Newcastle (AW)04 Feb 20266f · Class 4 · Standard · 10 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	8/13	-1.85ppOpen → 10am	4/6	+0.00pp10am → 1pm	4/6	-7.52pp1pm → SP	10/11	2nd	-9.37pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today6f 20y · Class 5 · Standard · 10 runners	15/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.11ppOpen → now	15/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.11pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

5 of 7 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Hayynah is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Newcastle (AW) · 04 Feb 2026 · 2nd · 2/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Wolverhampton (AW) · previous Newcastle (AW)✓Trip (within ½f): 6f 20y✓Ground: Standard×Class: Today Class 5 · previous Class 4

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

This matches its usual pattern; support has often arrived later. (moderate)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

No positive support trigger.

This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.

Today: -0.11pp

Possible next price: 15/2

7 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Wolverhampton (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Sargent DennisDraw 1

Trainer: Jack Channon

Jockey: David Probert

🟢 Needs Support (10%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Jack Channon (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 37/265; first seen between 10am and 1pm 9/265; first seen after 1pm 11/265.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/7; first seen between 10am and 1pm 2/7; first seen after 1pm 0/7.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +1.77pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 7/35 won (20%); Open→SP 11/39 won (28.2%).
Watch for 20pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 33.3% (1/3).

↔ SAME CLASS

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run23 days ago · 9 Sep 2026

Distance changeDown 0.9f from last run

No consistent price pattern yet

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Pre-Off

Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 11/8 → 22/1 | Avg: 12/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.

10am plunger

Best at SP (43%)

15:16Wolverhampton (AW)

Opened 10/1Market avg 8/1

17/2 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 17/2 ↓ 8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 ↑ 9/1 ↓ 8/1 → 8/1

PRICE MOVE

+1.77pp (+16.3%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

71th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE71st HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

2 of 7 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 8th at Wolverhampton (AW) on 18 Aug 2026 (+3.57pp); and finished 1st at Windsor on 11 May 2026 (+1.98pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 16.3% • +1.77 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Windsor, 11 May 2026 — 1st • open 13/8 → final 11/8 (+3.99pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

9/1 10 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today6f 20y · Class 5 · Standard · 10 runners	10/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+1.77ppOpen → now	8/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+1.77pp
Windsor11 May 20266f 12y · Class 5 · Good To Firm · 12 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	13/8	+1.98ppOpen → 10am	6/4	+7.62pp10am → 1pm	11/10	-3.17pp1pm → SP	5/4	1st	+6.42pp
Post-race comment
Wolverhampton (AW)17 Apr 20266f 20y · Class 5 · Standard · 9 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	25/1	-0.40ppOpen → 10am	28/1	+1.81pp10am → 1pm	18/1	-0.50pp1pm → SP	20/1	2nd	+0.92pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today6f 20y · Class 5 · Standard · 10 runners	10/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+1.77ppOpen → now	8/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+1.77pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 2 of 7 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Sargent Dennis is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Wolverhampton (AW) · 17 Apr 2026 · 2nd · 4/4 known conditions match

✓Track: Wolverhampton (AW)✓Trip (within ½f): 6f 20y✓Ground: Standard✓Class: Class 5

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

The price has been unpredictable before and may move sharply again. (moderate)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Both previous top-two finishes came with support of 0.5pp+.

At 0.5pp+: 2/2 finished 1st or 2nd (100%).

Today: +1.77pp — trigger reached.

Possible next price: 8/1

7 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Course record
Course evidence at Wolverhampton (AW) stands at 1 placed effort from 2 runs. Today's market is 27% shorter than usual compared with a long-term course average SP of 12.7.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

Style KingDraw 5

Trainer: Chris Dwyer

Jockey: Harry Davies

🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Chris Dwyer (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 21/88; first seen between 10am and 1pm 2/88; first seen after 1pm 6/88.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 2/11; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/11; first seen after 1pm 2/11.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.08pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 5/20 won (25%); Open→SP 5/26 won (19.2%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 33.3% (4/12).

↔ SAME CLASS

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run13 days ago · 19 Sep 2026

Distance changeUp 1.1f from last run

No consistent price pattern yet

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: 10am

Runs: 11 | Fixed-odds range: 2/1 → 12/1 | Avg: 5/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

10am plunger

Early money horse (27%)

15:16Wolverhampton (AW)

Opened 9/1Market avg 9/1

9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 ↓ 17/2 ↑ 9/1 → 9/1 ↓ 8/1 → 8/1 ↑ 17/2 ↑ 9/1

PRICE MOVE

+0.08pp (+0.8%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

45th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE45th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

6 of 11 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 1st at Lingfield (AW) on 27 Aug 2026 (+0.79pp); finished 2nd at Wolverhampton (AW) on 17 Aug 2026 (+4.10pp); finished 1st at Wolverhampton (AW) on 06 Jul 2026 (+0.65pp); finished 5th at Lingfield (AW) on 04 Jun 2026 (+17.95pp); finished 2nd at Wolverhampton (AW) on 17 Apr 2026 (+7.07pp); and finished 9th at Lingfield (AW) on 25 Mar 2026 (+2.02pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 0.8% • +0.08 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Lingfield (AW), 04 Jun 2026 — 5th • open 11/2 → final 5/2 (+13.19pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

10/1 11 decimal Paddy Power

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today6f 20y · Class 5 · Standard · 10 runners	9/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.08ppOpen → now	9/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.08pp
Lingfield (AW)27 Aug 20265f 6y · Class 5 · Standard · 6 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	5/2	+0.79ppOpen → 10am	5/2	-3.57pp10am → 1pm	3/1	+1.67pp1pm → SP	11/4	1st	-1.11pp
Post-race comment
Wolverhampton (AW)17 Aug 20266f 20y · Class 5 · Standard · 10 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	11/4	+4.10ppOpen → 10am	9/4	+0.00pp10am → 1pm	9/4	-2.20pp1pm → SP	5/2	2nd	+1.90pp
Post-race comment
Lingfield (AW)04 Aug 20266f 1y · Class 6 · Standard · 10 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	11/4	-1.67ppOpen → 10am	3/1	+0.00pp10am → 1pm	3/1	+9.72pp1pm → SP	15/8	2nd	+8.06pp
Post-race comment
Wolverhampton (AW)06 Jul 20266f 20y · Class 5 · Standard · 11 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	8/1	+0.65ppOpen → 10am	15/2	-4.07pp10am → 1pm	12/1	+0.00pp1pm → SP	12/1	1st	-3.42pp
Post-race comment
Wolverhampton (AW)17 Apr 20266f 20y · Class 6 · Standard · 8 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	8/1	+7.07ppOpen → 10am	9/2	-1.52pp10am → 1pm	5/1	-1.28pp1pm → SP	11/2	2nd	+4.27pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today6f 20y · Class 5 · Standard · 10 runners	9/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.08ppOpen → now	9/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.08pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

6 of 11 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Style King is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Wolverhampton (AW) · 17 Aug 2026 · 2nd · 4/4 known conditions match

✓Track: Wolverhampton (AW)✓Trip (within ½f): 6f 20y✓Ground: Standard✓Class: Class 5

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

Similar moves have usually held or strengthened.

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

No positive support trigger.

This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.

Today: +0.08pp

Possible next price: 9/1

11 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Course record
At Wolverhampton (AW) this horse has recorded 3 placed efforts from 4 runs. The current market is 45% bigger than usual against an average course SP profile of 6.8.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

LeonieDraw 8

Trainer: Andrew Balding

Jockey: Alfie Redman(7)

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Andrew Balding (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 142/885; first seen between 10am and 1pm 74/885; first seen after 1pm 41/885.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/5; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/5; first seen after 1pm 0/5.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.00pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 71/194 won (36.6%); Open→SP 71/207 won (34.3%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 37.3% (38/102).

⬆ CLASS RISE

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run147 days ago · 8 May 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

No consistent price pattern yet

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Pre-Off

Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 9/4 → 9/4 | Avg: 9/4Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

Mid-market mover (40%)

15:16Wolverhampton (AW)

Opened 9/1Market avg 9/1

9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 ↓ 17/2 ↑ 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 ↓ 17/2 ↑ 9/1

PRICE MOVE

+0.00pp (+0.0%)

No meaningful price change from the open.

Move evidence

100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILETHE STRONGEST MOVE RECORDED (100th percentile)

EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE

Strongest support recorded across 5 previous runs.

Raw Open → Now price change: 0% • +0.00 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Kempton (AW), 30 Apr 2026 — 1st • open 11/4 → final 9/4 (+4.10pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

10/1 11 decimal Paddy Power

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today6f 20y · Class 5 · Standard · 10 runners	9/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.00ppOpen → now	9/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.00pp
Kempton (AW)30 Apr 20266f · Class 5 · Standard To Slow · 6 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	11/4	-1.67ppOpen → 10am	3/1	+0.00pp10am → 1pm	3/1	+3.57pp1pm → SP	5/2	1st	+1.90pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today6f 20y · Class 5 · Standard · 10 runners	9/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.00ppOpen → now	9/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.00pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READTHIS IS THE HORSE’S STRONGEST RECORDED SUPPORT

Across 5 previous runs, this is the horse’s strongest recorded support. It is also stepping up from Class 6 to Class 5, which adds another test today. Today’s move: Leonie is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Kempton (AW) · 30 Apr 2026 · 1st · 2/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Wolverhampton (AW) · previous Kempton (AW)✓Trip (within ½f): 6f 20y×Ground: Today Standard · previous Standard To Slow✓Class: Class 5

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

This price often moves during the day, so keep checking it. (moderate)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

5 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.

Today: +0.00pp

Possible next price: 9/1

5 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Course record
No placed efforts from 3 previous runs at Wolverhampton (AW). The current market is 31% shorter than usual compared with a typical course SP of 14.4.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

Thanks DadDraw 3

Trainer: Scott Dixon

Jockey: Kieran O'Neill

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Scott Dixon (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 27/372; first seen between 10am and 1pm 16/372; first seen after 1pm 14/372.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/5; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/5; first seen after 1pm 1/5.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.06pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 4/38 won (10.5%); Open→SP 5/44 won (11.4%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 16.7% (3/18).

⬆ CLASS RISE

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run39 days ago · 24 Aug 2026

Distance changeDown 0.9f from last run

Usually attracts bookmaker support

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Opening

Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 12/1 → 12/1 | Avg: 12/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

10am plunger

Early money horse (60%)

15:16Wolverhampton (AW)

Opened 16/1Market avg 16/1

16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 ↓ 14/1 ↑ 18/1 ↓ 16/1 → 16/1

PRICE MOVE

+0.06pp (+1.0%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

40th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE40th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

3 of 5 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 8th at Brighton on 24 Aug 2026 (+2.83pp); finished 1st at Yarmouth on 14 Aug 2026 (+2.43pp); and finished 6th at Chepstow on 27 Jun 2026 (+2.31pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 1% • +0.06 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Chepstow, 27 Jun 2026 — 6th • open 12/1 → final 13/2 (+5.64pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

18/1 19 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today6f 20y · Class 5 · Standard · 10 runners	16/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.06ppOpen → now	16/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.06pp
Yarmouth14 Aug 20266f 3y · Class 6 · Good To Firm · 9 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	18/1	+2.43ppOpen → 10am	12/1	-1.03pp10am → 1pm	14/1	+1.03pp1pm → SP	12/1	1st	+2.43pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today6f 20y · Class 5 · Standard · 10 runners	16/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.06ppOpen → now	16/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.06pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

3 of 5 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. It is also stepping up from Class 6 to Class 5, which adds another test today. Today’s move: Thanks Dad is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Yarmouth · 14 Aug 2026 · 1st · 1/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Wolverhampton (AW) · previous Yarmouth✓Trip (within ½f): 6f 20y×Ground: Today Standard · previous Good To Firm×Class: Today Class 5 · previous Class 6

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (strong)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

5 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.

Today: +0.06pp

Possible next price: 16/1

5 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

HolbacheDraw 10

Trainer: Julie Camacho

Jockey: Tom Kiely-Marshall(3)

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Julie Camacho (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 30/285; first seen between 10am and 1pm 18/285; first seen after 1pm 9/285.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/4; first seen between 10am and 1pm 1/4; first seen after 1pm 0/4.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.06pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 12/41 won (29.3%); Open→SP 12/45 won (26.7%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 40% (8/20).

↔ SAME CLASS

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run33 days ago · 30 Aug 2026

Distance changeUp 1.1f from last run

Often drifts in the market

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Pre-Off

Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 9/1 → 9/1 | Avg: 9/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

10am plunger

Late money horse (50%)

15:16Wolverhampton (AW)

Opened 16/1Market avg 16/1

16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 ↓ 14/1 ↑ 18/1 ↓ 16/1 → 16/1

PRICE MOVE

+0.06pp (+1.0%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

Only 1 of 4 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 1st at Catterick on 30 May 2026 (+2.42pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 1% • +0.06 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Catterick, 30 May 2026 — 1st • open 14/1 → final 9/1 (+3.33pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

18/1 19 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today6f 20y · Class 5 · Standard · 10 runners	16/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.06ppOpen → now	16/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.06pp
Catterick30 May 20265f 212y · Class 5 · Good To Firm · 6 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	14/1	+2.42ppOpen → 10am	10/1	+2.67pp10am → 1pm	15/2	-1.24pp1pm → SP	17/2	1st	+3.86pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today6f 20y · Class 5 · Standard · 10 runners	16/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.06ppOpen → now	16/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.06pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 1 of 4 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Holbache is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Catterick · 30 May 2026 · 1st · 2/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Wolverhampton (AW) · previous Catterick✓Trip (within ½f): 6f 20y×Ground: Today Standard · previous Good To Firm✓Class: Class 5

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

This early support is unusual; the price has often drifted again later. (moderate)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

4 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.

Today: +0.06pp

Possible next price: 16/1

4 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

Race market overview as at 04:30

Supported0 of 10 runners at +4pp or more
Drifting0 of 10 runners at −4pp or worse
Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.

15:51Wolverhampton (AW) • 6f20y • Class 5 • Going: Standard

10 runners

Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

Queen SanaDraw 7

Trainer: Ollie Sangster

Jockey: Billy Loughnane

🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Ollie Sangster (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 57/341; first seen between 10am and 1pm 12/341; first seen after 1pm 9/341.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/10; first seen between 10am and 1pm 1/10; first seen after 1pm 0/10.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -2.07pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

↔ SAME CLASS

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run24 days ago · 8 Sep 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

Often drifts in the market

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: 10am

Runs: 10 | Fixed-odds range: 7/4 → 9/2 | Avg: 3/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

Early money horse (40%)

15:51Wolverhampton (AW)

Opened 9/4Market avg 5/2

5/2 → 5/2 → 5/2 → 5/2 → 5/2 → 5/2 ↓ 5/2 ↑ 11/4 ↓ 5/2 → 5/2

PRICE MOVE

-2.07pp (-7.2%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

30th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE30th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

7 of 10 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 7th at Lingfield (AW) on 20 Aug 2026 (-8.85pp); finished 4th at Ripon on 03 Aug 2026 (-2.29pp); finished 2nd at Pontefract on 02 Jun 2026 (-8.89pp); finished 2nd at Bath on 12 May 2026 (-19.19pp); finished 11th at Southwell (AW) on 07 Apr 2026 (-9.09pp); finished 3rd at Kempton (AW) on 18 Mar 2026 (-8.67pp); and finished 5th at Wolverhampton (AW) on 30 Dec 2025 (-8.33pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 7.2% • -2.07 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Bath, 12 May 2026 — 2nd • open 4/5 → final 15/8 (-20.83pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

11/4 3.75 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today6f 20y · Class 5 · Standard · 10 runners	9/4	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-2.07ppOpen → now	5/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-2.07pp
Catterick08 Sep 20265f 212y · Class 5 · Good To Soft · 6 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	3/1	+6.38ppOpen → 10am	9/4	+9.23pp10am → 1pm	6/4	+0.00pp1pm → SP	6/4	1st	+15.61pp
Post-race comment
Ffos Las14 Jul 20265f · Class 4 · Good · 7 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	3/1	-1.91ppOpen → 10am	10/3	-0.87pp10am → 1pm	7/2	+2.78pp1pm → SP	3/1	2nd	+0.00pp
Post-race comment
Pontefract02 Jun 20265f 3y · Class 5 · Good · 7 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	7/2	-8.89ppOpen → 10am	13/2	+3.33pp10am → 1pm	5/1	+3.33pp1pm → SP	4/1	2nd	-2.22pp
Post-race comment
Bath12 May 20265f 160y · Class 4 · Firm · 4 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	4/5	-19.19ppOpen → 10am	7/4	+1.66pp10am → 1pm	13/8	-7.25pp1pm → SP	9/4	2nd	-24.79pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today6f 20y · Class 5 · Standard · 10 runners	9/4	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-2.07ppOpen → now	5/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-2.07pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

7 of 10 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Queen Sana is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Catterick · 08 Sep 2026 · 1st · 2/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Wolverhampton (AW) · previous Catterick✓Trip (within ½f): 6f 20y×Ground: Today Standard · previous Good To Soft✓Class: Class 5

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

No positive support trigger.

This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.

Today: -2.07pp

Possible next price: 5/2

10 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Wolverhampton (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

CampenaertsDraw 2

Trainer: Jonathan Portman

Jockey: Olivia Tubb(5)

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Jonathan Portman (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 32/228; first seen between 10am and 1pm 15/228; first seen after 1pm 8/228.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/5; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/5; first seen after 1pm 0/5.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.33pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 10/37 won (27%); Open→SP 10/38 won (26.3%).
Watch for 15pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 37.5% (3/8).

↔ SAME CLASS

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run37 days ago · 26 Aug 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

No consistent price pattern yet

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Opening

Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 10/3 → 10/3 | Avg: 10/3Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

10am plunger

Early money horse (20%)

15:51Wolverhampton (AW)

Opened 3/1Market avg 3/1

3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 ↓ 11/4 → 11/4 ↑ 3/1 ↓ 11/4 ↓ 5/2 ↑ 11/4 → 11/4

PRICE MOVE

+0.33pp (+1.3%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

60th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE60th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

2 of 5 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 2nd at Wolverhampton (AW) on 26 Aug 2026 (+8.89pp); and finished 7th at Windsor on 08 Jun 2026 (+1.90pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 1.3% • +0.33 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Wolverhampton (AW), 26 Aug 2026 — 2nd • open 8/1 → final 10/3 (+11.98pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

7/2 4.5 decimal LiveScore Bet

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today6f 20y · Class 5 · Standard · 10 runners	3/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.33ppOpen → now	3/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.33pp
Wolverhampton (AW)26 Aug 20266f 20y · Class 5 · Standard · 8 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	8/1	+8.89ppOpen → 10am	4/1	+3.09pp10am → 1pm	10/3	+0.00pp1pm → SP	10/3	2nd	+11.98pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today6f 20y · Class 5 · Standard · 10 runners	3/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.33ppOpen → now	3/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.33pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 2 of 5 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Campenaerts is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Wolverhampton (AW) · 26 Aug 2026 · 2nd · 4/4 known conditions match

✓Track: Wolverhampton (AW)✓Trip (within ½f): 6f 20y✓Ground: Standard✓Class: Class 5

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

Similar moves have usually held their position.

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

5 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.

Today: +0.33pp

Possible next price: 5/2

5 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Wolverhampton (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

Lamlash BayDraw 4

Trainer: Michael & David Easterby

Jockey: Shay Farmer(5)

🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Michael & David Easterby (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 54/498; first seen between 10am and 1pm 30/498; first seen after 1pm 16/498.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/6; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/6; first seen after 1pm 0/6.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.50pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 11/72 won (15.3%); Open→SP 10/77 won (13%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 15.4% (4/26).

⬆ CLASS RISE

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run18 days ago · 14 Sep 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

No consistent price pattern yet

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Early PM

Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: 5/1 → 5/1 | Avg: 5/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

10am plunger

Early money horse (33%)

15:51Wolverhampton (AW)

Opened 9/2Market avg 9/2

9/2 ↓ 4/1 ↑ 9/2 ↓ 4/1 ↑ 9/2 → 9/2 ↓ 4/1 ↑ 5/1 ↓ 4/1 → 4/1

PRICE MOVE

+0.50pp (+2.7%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

83th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE83rd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE

Only 1 of 6 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 1st at Ripon on 06 Jul 2026 (+7.05pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 2.7% • +0.50 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Ripon, 06 Jul 2026 — 1st • open 11/1 → final 5/1 (+8.33pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

5/1 6 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today6f 20y · Class 5 · Standard · 10 runners	9/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.50ppOpen → now	9/2Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.50pp
Thirsk14 Sep 20266f · Class 6 · Good · 11 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	5/1	-1.56ppOpen → 10am	11/2	+1.28pp10am → 1pm	5/1	+0.00pp1pm → SP	5/1	1st	-0.28pp
Post-race comment
Ripon06 Jul 20266f · Class 6 · Good · 9 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	11/1	+7.05ppOpen → 10am	11/2	+1.28pp10am → 1pm	5/1	+1.52pp1pm → SP	9/2	1st	+9.85pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today6f 20y · Class 5 · Standard · 10 runners	9/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.50ppOpen → now	9/2Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.50pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 1 of 6 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. It is also stepping up from Class 6 to Class 5, which adds another test today. Today’s move: Lamlash Bay is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Thirsk · 14 Sep 2026 · 1st · 1/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Wolverhampton (AW) · previous Thirsk✓Trip (within ½f): 6f 20y×Ground: Today Standard · previous Good×Class: Today Class 5 · previous Class 6

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

Similar moves have usually held their position.

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

No positive support trigger.

This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.

Today: +0.50pp

Possible next price: 7/2

6 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

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Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

Far Too FizzyDraw 3

Trainer: David Loughnane

Jockey: Jack Doughty

🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer David Loughnane (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 27/261; first seen between 10am and 1pm 18/261; first seen after 1pm 7/261.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/12; first seen between 10am and 1pm 1/12; first seen after 1pm 1/12.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.22pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 11/36 won (30.6%); Open→SP 10/35 won (28.6%).
Watch for 15pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 40% (2/5).

⬆ CLASS RISE

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run11 days ago · 21 Sep 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

No consistent price pattern yet

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: 10am

Runs: 12 | Fixed-odds range: 9/4 → 10/1 | Avg: 6/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

Early money horse (17%)

15:51Wolverhampton (AW)

Opened 6/1Market avg 6/1

6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 ↓ 11/2 ↑ 6/1 ↓ 11/2 → 11/2 ↑ 6/1 ↓ 11/2 ↑ 6/1

PRICE MOVE

+0.22pp (+1.5%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

3 of 12 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 4th at Wolverhampton (AW) on 21 Sep 2026 (+2.76pp); finished 5th at Lingfield (AW) on 03 Sep 2026 (+4.44pp); and finished 3rd at Wolverhampton (AW) on 12 Jan 2026 (+1.10pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 1.5% • +0.22 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Wolverhampton (AW), 21 Sep 2026 — 4th • open 5/1 → final 3/1 (+7.76pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

13/2 7.5 decimal Paddy Power

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today6f 20y · Class 5 · Standard · 10 runners	6/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.22ppOpen → now	6/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.22pp
Lingfield (AW)15 Aug 20266f 1y · Class 5 · Standard · 8 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	5/1	-6.14ppOpen → 10am	17/2	+0.58pp10am → 1pm	8/1	-2.02pp1pm → SP	10/1	2nd	-7.58pp
Post-race comment
Lingfield (AW)21 Jan 20266f 1y · Class 6 · Standard · 7 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	5/2	-1.90ppOpen → 10am	11/4	+8.06pp10am → 1pm	15/8	+0.99pp1pm → SP	7/4	1st	+7.14pp
Post-race comment
Wolverhampton (AW)30 Dec 20256f 20y · Class 6 · Standard · 10 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	7/1	-0.74ppOpen → 10am	15/2	+1.57pp10am → 1pm	13/2	-2.22pp1pm → SP	8/1	2nd	-1.39pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today6f 20y · Class 5 · Standard · 10 runners	6/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.22ppOpen → now	6/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.22pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 3 of 12 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. It is also stepping up from Class 6 to Class 5, which adds another test today. Today’s move: Far Too Fizzy is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Lingfield (AW) · 15 Aug 2026 · 2nd · 3/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Wolverhampton (AW) · previous Lingfield (AW)✓Trip (within ½f): 6f 20y✓Ground: Standard✓Class: Class 5

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.Comparable moves have had few top-two finishes. Be cautious.

Did the early price move fade?

Recorded examples where 5pp+ early support was followed by a longer final price:

Lingfield (AW), 21 Jan 2026 — 1st • open 5/2 → 1pm 15/8 → final 9/4

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

No positive support trigger.

This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.

Today: +0.22pp

Possible next price: 13/2

12 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Course record
At Wolverhampton (AW) this horse has recorded 1 placed effort from 4 runs. The current market is 34% shorter than usual against an average course SP profile of 10.5.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

Arishka's DreamDraw 5

Trainer: Daniel & Claire Kubler

Jockey: Alec Voikhansky

🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Daniel & Claire Kubler (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 23/121; first seen between 10am and 1pm 4/121; first seen after 1pm 7/121.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 3/7; first seen between 10am and 1pm 1/7; first seen after 1pm 0/7.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.26pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

↔ SAME CLASS

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run45 days ago · 18 Aug 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

No consistent price pattern yet

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Opening

Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 15/8 → 4/1 | Avg: 3/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

10am plunger

Early money horse (29%)

15:51Wolverhampton (AW)

Opened 7/1Market avg 7/1

15/2 ↓ 7/1 ↑ 15/2 ↓ 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 ↑ 8/1 ↓ 7/1 → 7/1

PRICE MOVE

-0.26pp (-2.1%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

57th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE57th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

3 of 7 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 7th at Wolverhampton (AW) on 18 Aug 2026 (-2.29pp); finished 2nd at Lingfield (AW) on 28 Feb 2026 (-4.44pp); and finished 1st at Wolverhampton (AW) on 16 Feb 2026 (-1.91pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 2.1% • -0.26 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Lingfield (AW), 28 Feb 2026 — 2nd • open 11/4 → final 4/1 (-6.67pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

8/1 9 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today6f 20y · Class 5 · Standard · 10 runners	7/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.26ppOpen → now	7/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.26pp
Newcastle (AW)05 Mar 20266f · Class 5 · Standard · 11 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	9/4	+9.23ppOpen → 10am	6/4	-1.98pp10am → 1pm	13/8	-4.69pp1pm → SP	2/1	2nd	+2.56pp
Post-race comment
Lingfield (AW)28 Feb 20266f 1y · Class 5 · Standard · 9 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	11/4	-4.44ppOpen → 10am	7/2	+0.00pp10am → 1pm	7/2	+6.35pp1pm → SP	5/2	2nd	+1.90pp
Post-race comment
Wolverhampton (AW)16 Feb 20266f 20y · Class 4 · Standard · 5 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	3/1	-1.91ppOpen → 10am	10/3	+3.57pp10am → 1pm	11/4	-6.67pp1pm → SP	4/1	1st	-5.00pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today6f 20y · Class 5 · Standard · 10 runners	7/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.26ppOpen → now	7/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.26pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 3 of 7 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Arishka's Dream is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Newcastle (AW) · 05 Mar 2026 · 2nd · 3/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Wolverhampton (AW) · previous Newcastle (AW)✓Trip (within ½f): 6f 20y✓Ground: Standard✓Class: Class 5

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

Limited data: one similar run only.

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

No positive support trigger.

This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.

Today: -0.26pp

Possible next price: 7/1

7 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Course record
Course evidence at Wolverhampton (AW) stands at 1 placed effort from 3 runs. Today's market is 51% bigger than usual compared with a long-term course average SP of 5.4.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Montpellier GreenDraw 1

Trainer: Ian Williams

Jockey: William Cox

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Ian Williams (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 66/593; first seen between 10am and 1pm 45/593; first seen after 1pm 21/593.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 1 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.32pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 28/98 won (28.6%); Open→SP 27/103 won (26.2%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 33.3% (16/48).

↔ SAME CLASS

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run84 days ago · 10 Jul 2026

Distance changeDown 0.9f from last run

Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.

15:51Wolverhampton (AW)

Opened 10/1Market avg 10/1

10/1 ↓ 9/1 ↑ 10/1 ↓ 9/1 → 9/1 ↑ 10/1 ↓ 9/1 ↑ 10/1 ↓ 9/1 → 9/1

PRICE MOVE

+0.32pp (+3.4%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

Raw Open → Now price change: 3.4% • +0.32 probability points

Previous market evidence

No previous positive open-to-final support in the recorded sample.

BEST FIXED ODDS

10/1 11 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today6f 20y · Class 5 · Standard · 10 runners	10/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.32ppOpen → now	10/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.32pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today6f 20y · Class 5 · Standard · 10 runners	10/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.32ppOpen → now	10/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.32pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Montpellier Green is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

N/A

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

1 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.

Today: +0.32pp

Possible next price: 8/1

No historical data

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

Shaw ParkDraw 6

Trainer: Scott Dixon

Jockey: Kieran O'Neill

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Scott Dixon (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 27/372; first seen between 10am and 1pm 16/372; first seen after 1pm 14/372.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/7; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/7; first seen after 1pm 0/7.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.20pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

↔ SAME CLASS

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run8 days ago · 24 Sep 2026

Distance changeDown 1f from last run

No consistent price pattern yet

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Pre-Off

Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

10am plunger

Best at SP (43%)

15:51Wolverhampton (AW)

Opened 11/1Market avg 11/1

12/1 ↓ 11/1 ↑ 12/1 ↓ 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 ↑ 14/1 ↓ 11/1 → 11/1

PRICE MOVE

-0.20pp (-2.4%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

43th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE43rd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

4 of 7 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 4th at Wolverhampton (AW) on 18 Aug 2026 (-1.01pp); finished 8th at Southwell (AW) on 11 Mar 2026 (-2.80pp); finished 10th at Southwell (AW) on 28 Feb 2026 (-4.49pp); and finished 3rd at Southwell (AW) on 05 Feb 2026 (-1.24pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 2.4% • -0.20 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Southwell (AW), 05 Feb 2026 — 3rd • open 15/2 → final 22/1 (-7.42pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

14/1 15 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today6f 20y · Class 5 · Standard · 10 runners	11/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.20ppOpen → now	11/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.20pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today6f 20y · Class 5 · Standard · 10 runners	11/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.20ppOpen → now	11/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.20pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

4 of 7 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Shaw Park is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

The price has been unpredictable before and may move sharply again. (moderate)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

7 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.

Today: -0.20pp

Possible next price: 11/1

7 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Wolverhampton (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Phoenix MoonDraw 8

Trainer: Denis Coakley

Jockey: Rob Hornby

🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Denis Coakley (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 15/81; first seen between 10am and 1pm 4/81; first seen after 1pm 2/81.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/7; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/7; first seen after 1pm 0/7.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.14pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

⬆ CLASS RISE

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run31 days ago · 1 Sep 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

Often drifts in the market

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: 10am

Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 7/1 → 12/1 | Avg: 9/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

Early money horse (43%)

15:51Wolverhampton (AW)

Opened 16/1Market avg 16/1

18/1 ↓ 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 ↑ 20/1 ↓ 16/1 → 16/1

PRICE MOVE

-0.14pp (-2.5%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

43th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE43rd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

4 of 7 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 8th at Newbury on 23 Jul 2026 (-3.83pp); finished 8th at Salisbury on 09 Jun 2026 (-7.45pp); finished 3rd at Bath on 26 May 2026 (-2.78pp); and finished 2nd at Windsor on 07 May 2026 (-2.88pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 2.5% • -0.14 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Lingfield (AW), 01 Sep 2026 — 6th • open 3/1 → final 6/1 (-10.71pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

20/1 21 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today6f 20y · Class 5 · Standard · 10 runners	16/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.14ppOpen → now	16/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.14pp
Windsor07 May 20266f 12y · Class 6 · Good To Firm · 8 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	11/2	-2.88ppOpen → 10am	7/1	+2.88pp10am → 1pm	11/2	+0.00pp1pm → SP	11/2	2nd	+0.00pp
Post-race comment
Lingfield (AW)25 Mar 20266f 1y · Class 5 · Standard · 12 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	12/1	+0.64ppOpen → 10am	11/1	-0.64pp10am → 1pm	12/1	-1.03pp1pm → SP	14/1	1st	-1.03pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today6f 20y · Class 5 · Standard · 10 runners	16/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.14ppOpen → now	16/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.14pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

4 of 7 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. It is also stepping up from Class 6 to Class 5, which adds another test today. Today’s move: Phoenix Moon is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Lingfield (AW) · 25 Mar 2026 · 1st · 3/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Wolverhampton (AW) · previous Lingfield (AW)✓Trip (within ½f): 6f 20y✓Ground: Standard✓Class: Class 5

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

No positive support trigger.

This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.

Today: -0.14pp

Possible next price: 16/1

7 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Early ReleaseDraw 9

Trainer: David Evans

Jockey: Amy Tucker(7)

🟢 Needs Support (33%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer David Evans (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 33/284; first seen between 10am and 1pm 16/284; first seen after 1pm 9/284.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 3/9; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/9; first seen after 1pm 0/9.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.10pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 8/42 won (19%); Open→SP 7/44 won (15.9%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.

↔ SAME CLASS

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run28 days ago · 4 Sep 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

Often drifts in the market

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Pre-Off

Runs: 9 | Fixed-odds range: 7/2 → 13/2 | Avg: 5/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

10am plunger

Late money horse (44%)

15:51Wolverhampton (AW)

Opened 20/1Market avg 20/1

20/1 ↓ 18/1 ↑ 20/1 ↓ 18/1 ↑ 20/1 → 20/1 ↓ 18/1 ↑ 22/1 ↓ 18/1 ↑ 20/1

PRICE MOVE

+0.10pp (+2.0%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

56th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE56th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

4 of 9 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 1st at Bath on 26 May 2026 (+5.00pp); finished 1st at Kempton (AW) on 02 Mar 2026 (+8.33pp); finished 8th at Wolverhampton (AW) on 06 Feb 2026 (+4.33pp); and finished 10th at Wolverhampton (AW) on 19 Jan 2026 (+5.10pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 2% • +0.10 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Kempton (AW), 02 Mar 2026 — 1st • open 11/1 → final 7/2 (+13.89pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

22/1 23 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today6f 20y · Class 5 · Standard · 10 runners	20/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.10ppOpen → now	20/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.10pp
Bath26 May 20265f 160y · Class 5 · Firm · 5 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	11/1	+5.00ppOpen → 10am	13/2	-0.83pp10am → 1pm	7/1	-0.74pp1pm → SP	15/2	1st	+3.43pp
Post-race comment
Kempton (AW)02 Mar 20266f · Class 6 · Standard To Slow · 11 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	11/1	+8.33ppOpen → 10am	5/1	+3.33pp10am → 1pm	4/1	+2.22pp1pm → SP	7/2	1st	+13.89pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today6f 20y · Class 5 · Standard · 10 runners	20/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.10ppOpen → now	20/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.10pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 4 of 9 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Early Release is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Bath · 26 May 2026 · 1st · 2/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Wolverhampton (AW) · previous Bath✓Trip (within ½f): 6f 20y×Ground: Today Standard · previous Firm✓Class: Class 5

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

This early support is unusual; the price has often drifted again later. (moderate)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Both previous top-two finishes came with support of 5pp+.

At 5pp+: 2/2 finished 1st or 2nd (100%).

Today: +0.10pp — trigger not reached.

Possible next price: 20/1

9 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Course record
This horse is 0/3 at Wolverhampton (AW) on our records. Today's market is 29% bigger than usual against an average course SP of 16.0.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

Fordham FlyerDraw 10

Trainer: Philip Kirby

Jockey: M. P. Sheehy

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Philip Kirby (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 32/320; first seen between 10am and 1pm 22/320; first seen after 1pm 8/320.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 1 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.29pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

⬇ CLASS DROP

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run169 days ago · 16 Apr 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.

15:51Wolverhampton (AW)

Opened 20/1Market avg 22/1

22/1 ↓ 20/1 ↑ 22/1 ↓ 20/1 → 20/1 ↑ 22/1 ↓ 20/1 ↑ 25/1 ↓ 20/1 → 20/1

PRICE MOVE

-0.29pp (-6.5%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

Raw Open → Now price change: 6.5% • -0.29 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Ripon, 16 Apr 2026 — 9th • open 20/1 → final 40/1 (-2.32pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

25/1 26 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today6f 20y · Class 5 · Standard · 10 runners	20/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.29ppOpen → now	22/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.29pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today6f 20y · Class 5 · Standard · 10 runners	20/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.29ppOpen → now	22/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.29pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. The horse drops from Class 4 to Class 5, but the market has not responded with meaningful support. Today’s move: Fordham Flyer is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

N/A

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

1 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.

Today: -0.29pp

Possible next price: 18/1

No historical data

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Race market overview as at 04:30

Supported0 of 10 runners at +4pp or more
Drifting0 of 10 runners at −4pp or worse
Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.

16:25Wolverhampton (AW) • 1m4f51y • Class 4 • Going: Standard

5 runners

Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

Quiet SummerDraw 4

Trainer: Andrew Balding

Jockey: Daniel Muscutt

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Andrew Balding (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 142/885; first seen between 10am and 1pm 74/885; first seen after 1pm 41/885.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/3; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/3; first seen after 1pm 0/3.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.51pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

⬇ CLASS DROP

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run29 days ago · 3 Sep 2026

Distance changeUp 2f from last run

Often drifts in the market

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Late PM

Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: 11/1 → 11/1 | Avg: 11/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

Late money horse (67%)

16:25Wolverhampton (AW)

Opened 7/4Market avg 7/4

15/8 ↓ 7/4 ↑ 15/8 ↓ 7/4 → 7/4 → 7/4 → 7/4 ↑ 9/4 ↓ 7/4 → 7/4

PRICE MOVE

-0.51pp (-1.4%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

3 of 3 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 3rd at Newcastle (AW) on 03 Sep 2026 (-2.02pp); finished 2nd at Kempton (AW) on 19 Aug 2026 (-59.05pp); and finished 4th at Haydock on 25 Apr 2026 (-4.24pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 1.4% • -0.51 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Kempton (AW), 19 Aug 2026 — 2nd • open 8/15 → final 11/1 (-56.60pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

9/4 3.25 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today1m 4f 51y · Class 4 · Standard · 5 runners	7/4	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.51ppOpen → now	7/4Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.51pp
Kempton (AW)19 Aug 20261m 3f 219y · Class 4 · Standard / Slow · 12 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	8/15	-59.05ppOpen → 10am	16/1	+0.18pp10am → 1pm	16/1	+1.63pp1pm → SP	12/1	2nd	-57.24pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today1m 4f 51y · Class 4 · Standard · 5 runners	7/4	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.51ppOpen → now	7/4Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.51pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

3 of 3 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. The horse drops from Class 3 to Class 4, but the market has not responded with meaningful support. Today’s move: Quiet Summer is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Kempton (AW) · 19 Aug 2026 · 2nd · 2/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Wolverhampton (AW) · previous Kempton (AW)✓Trip (within ½f): 1m 4f 51y×Ground: Today Standard · previous Standard / Slow✓Class: Class 4

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

This matches its usual pattern; support has often arrived later. (strong)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

3 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.

Today: -0.51pp

Possible next price: 7/4

3 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Nolton CrossDraw 3

Trainer: Hugo Palmer

Jockey: David Probert

🔴 Ignores MarketThis horse has won or placed despite drifting. Market weakness does NOT negatively impact performance. Can be a value angle when price weakens.

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Hugo Palmer (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 62/446; first seen between 10am and 1pm 34/446; first seen after 1pm 17/446.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/10; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/10; first seen after 1pm 0/10.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.09pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 24/79 won (30.4%); Open→SP 24/92 won (26.1%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 33.3% (11/33).

⬇ CLASS DROP

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run10 days ago · 22 Sep 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

No consistent price pattern yet

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Pre-Off

Runs: 10 | Fixed-odds range: 16/1 → 40/1 | Avg: 28/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

Early money horse (20%)

16:25Wolverhampton (AW)

Opened 3/1Market avg 3/1

3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 ↓ 11/4 ↓ 5/2 ↑ 3/1 → 3/1

PRICE MOVE

+0.09pp (+0.3%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

80th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE80th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE

2 of 10 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 5th at Southwell (AW) on 22 Sep 2026 (+2.02pp); and finished 9th at Hamilton on 17 May 2026 (+0.92pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 0.3% • +0.09 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Hamilton, 17 May 2026 — 9th • open 25/1 → final 20/1 (+0.92pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

10/3 4.33 decimal Betfair Sportsbook

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today1m 4f 51y · Class 4 · Standard · 5 runners	3/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.09ppOpen → now	3/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.09pp
Chester10 Jul 20261m 2f 70y · Class 3 · Good · 8 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	20/1	-2.80ppOpen → 10am	50/1	+1.89pp10am → 1pm	25/1	+0.00pp1pm → SP	25/1	2nd	-0.92pp
Post-race comment
Wolverhampton (AW)06 Feb 20261m 4f 51y · Class 3 · Standard · 8 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	10/1	+0.00ppOpen → 10am	10/1	-3.21pp10am → 1pm	16/1	+1.81pp1pm → SP	12/1	1st	-1.40pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today1m 4f 51y · Class 4 · Standard · 5 runners	3/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.09ppOpen → now	3/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.09pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 2 of 10 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. The horse drops from Class 3 to Class 4, but the market has not responded with meaningful support. Today’s move: Nolton Cross is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Wolverhampton (AW) · 06 Feb 2026 · 1st · 3/4 known conditions match

✓Track: Wolverhampton (AW)✓Trip (within ½f): 1m 4f 51y✓Ground: Standard×Class: Today Class 4 · previous Class 3

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.Comparable moves have had few top-two finishes. Be cautious.

Did the early price move fade?

No documented early-support reversal in this horse’s recorded checkpoint sample. The older wording referred to finishing results, not a verified intraday price fade.

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

No positive support trigger.

This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.

Today: +0.09pp

Possible next price: 3/1

10 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Wolverhampton (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

ElsassDraw 1

Trainer: Charlie Johnston

Jockey: Rob Hornby

🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Charlie Johnston (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 71/702; first seen between 10am and 1pm 46/702; first seen after 1pm 25/702.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/8; first seen between 10am and 1pm 3/8; first seen after 1pm 0/8.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.18pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 23/102 won (22.5%); Open→SP 25/109 won (22.9%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 36.8% (14/38).

⬇ CLASS DROP

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run15 days ago · 17 Sep 2026

Distance changeDown 0.9f from last run

No consistent price pattern yet

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Opening

Runs: 8 | Fixed-odds range: 7/2 → 5/1 | Avg: 4/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

10am plunger

Early money horse (50%)

16:25Wolverhampton (AW)

Opened 10/3Market avg 10/3

10/3 → 10/3 ↓ 3/1 ↑ 10/3 → 10/3 → 10/3 → 10/3 ↓ 3/1 ↑ 10/3 → 10/3

PRICE MOVE

+0.18pp (+0.8%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

63th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE63rd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

3 of 8 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 7th at Hamilton on 21 Aug 2026 (+1.82pp); finished 7th at Ascot on 24 Jul 2026 (+1.90pp); and finished 3rd at Ripon on 18 Jul 2026 (+2.38pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 0.8% • +0.18 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Ascot, 24 Jul 2026 — 7th • open 20/1 → final 17/2 (+5.76pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

7/2 4.5 decimal LiveScore Bet

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today1m 4f 51y · Class 4 · Standard · 5 runners	10/3	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.18ppOpen → now	10/3Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.18pp
Hamilton15 May 20261m 3f 15y · Class 3 · Good · 7 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	9/4	-5.77ppOpen → 10am	3/1	-1.91pp10am → 1pm	10/3	+1.91pp1pm → SP	3/1	1st	-5.77pp
Post-race comment
Southwell (AW)23 Apr 20261m 3f 23y · Class 4 · Standard · 6 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	6/1	+0.00ppOpen → 10am	6/1	+0.00pp10am → 1pm	6/1	+1.10pp1pm → SP	11/2	1st	+1.10pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today1m 4f 51y · Class 4 · Standard · 5 runners	10/3	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.18ppOpen → now	10/3Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.18pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 3 of 8 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. The horse drops from Class 3 to Class 4, but the market has not responded with meaningful support. Today’s move: Elsass is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Southwell (AW) · 23 Apr 2026 · 1st · 2/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Wolverhampton (AW) · previous Southwell (AW)×Trip (within ½f): Today 1m 4f 51y · previous 1m 3f 23y✓Ground: Standard✓Class: Class 4

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

No positive support trigger.

This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.

Today: +0.18pp

Possible next price: 10/3

8 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

Last VerseDraw 2

Trainer: Joseph Parr

Jockey: Pat Cosgrave

🔴 Ignores MarketThis horse has won or placed despite drifting. Market weakness does NOT negatively impact performance. Can be a value angle when price weakens.

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Joseph Parr (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 11/103; first seen between 10am and 1pm 11/103; first seen after 1pm 0/103.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/6; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/6; first seen after 1pm 0/6.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.73pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

↔ SAME CLASS

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run25 days ago · 7 Sep 2026

Distance changeDown 1.8f from last run

Often drifts in the market

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Late PM

Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: 3/1 → 16/1 | Avg: 15/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

Early money horse (33%)

16:25Wolverhampton (AW)

Opened 9/2Market avg 9/2

5/1 ↓ 9/2 ↑ 5/1 ↓ 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 ↑ 6/1 ↓ 9/2 → 9/2

PRICE MOVE

-0.73pp (-4.2%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

17th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE17th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

5 of 6 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 2nd at Wolverhampton (AW) on 07 Sep 2026 (-9.85pp); finished 9th at Ascot on 08 Aug 2026 (-1.71pp); finished 3rd at Sandown on 29 Jul 2026 (-4.62pp); finished 1st at Chepstow on 03 Jul 2026 (-12.59pp); and finished 8th at Lingfield on 18 Jun 2026 (-5.26pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 4.2% • -0.73 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Wolverhampton (AW), 07 Sep 2026 — 2nd • open 9/4 → final 7/2 (-7.63pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

6/1 7 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today1m 4f 51y · Class 4 · Standard · 5 runners	9/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.73ppOpen → now	9/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.73pp
Wolverhampton (AW)07 Sep 20261m 6f · Class 4 · Standard · 4 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	9/4	-9.85ppOpen → 10am	4/1	-1.82pp10am → 1pm	9/2	+4.04pp1pm → SP	7/2	2nd	-7.63pp
Post-race comment
Lingfield (AW)22 Aug 20261m 5f · Class 5 · Standard · 6 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	9/1	-0.43ppOpen → 10am	10/1	-3.83pp10am → 1pm	18/1	+3.07pp1pm → SP	11/1	1st	-1.19pp
Post-race comment
Chepstow03 Jul 20261m 4f · Class 5 · Good To Firm · 4 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	9/4	-12.59ppOpen → 10am	9/2	+4.91pp10am → 1pm	10/3	+10.24pp1pm → SP	2/1	1st	+2.56pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today1m 4f 51y · Class 4 · Standard · 5 runners	9/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.73ppOpen → now	9/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.73pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

5 of 6 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Last Verse is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Wolverhampton (AW) · 07 Sep 2026 · 2nd · 3/4 known conditions match

✓Track: Wolverhampton (AW)×Trip (within ½f): Today 1m 4f 51y · previous 1m 6f✓Ground: Standard✓Class: Class 4

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

N/A

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

No positive support trigger.

This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.

Today: -0.73pp

Possible next price: 9/2

6 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Wolverhampton (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Model YukoDraw 5

Trainer: Roger Varian

Jockey: Ray Dawson

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Roger Varian (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 74/323; first seen between 10am and 1pm 24/323; first seen after 1pm 18/323.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 2 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.57pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

⬇ CLASS DROP

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run68 days ago · 26 Jul 2026

Distance changeUp 4.2f from last run

Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

16:25Wolverhampton (AW)

Opened 11/2Market avg 11/2

6/1 ↓ 11/2 ↑ 6/1 ↓ 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 ↑ 6/1 ↑ 13/2 ↓ 11/2 → 11/2

PRICE MOVE

-0.57pp (-3.8%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

Raw Open → Now price change: 3.8% • -0.57 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Chester, 27 Jun 2026 — 7th • open 13/2 → final 12/1 (-5.64pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

13/2 7.5 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today1m 4f 51y · Class 4 · Standard · 5 runners	11/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.57ppOpen → now	11/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.57pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today1m 4f 51y · Class 4 · Standard · 5 runners	11/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.57ppOpen → now	11/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.57pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. The horse drops from Class 1 to Class 4, but the market has not responded with meaningful support. Today’s move: Model Yuko is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

N/A

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

2 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.

Today: -0.57pp

Possible next price: 11/2

No historical data

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Race market overview as at 04:30

Supported0 of 5 runners at +4pp or more
Drifting0 of 5 runners at −4pp or worse
Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.

16:55Wolverhampton (AW) • 7f36y • Class 5 • Going: Standard

10 runners

Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

Between Me And UDraw 2

Trainer: Michael Herrington

Jockey: David Probert

🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Michael Herrington (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 35/263; first seen between 10am and 1pm 26/263; first seen after 1pm 9/263.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/5; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/5; first seen after 1pm 1/5.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.80pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

↔ SAME CLASS

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run44 days ago · 19 Aug 2026

Distance changeDown 0.6f from last run

No consistent price pattern yet

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Late PM

Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 9/4 → 10/1 | Avg: 6/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

Late money horse (40%)

16:55Wolverhampton (AW)

Opened 11/4Market avg 3/1

3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1

PRICE MOVE

-1.80pp (-7.2%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

60th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE60th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

2 of 5 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 1st at Carlisle on 19 Aug 2026 (-7.01pp); and finished 6th at Wolverhampton (AW) on 18 May 2026 (-1.81pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 7.2% • -1.80 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Carlisle, 19 Aug 2026 — 1st • open 6/1 → final 10/1 (-5.61pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

7/2 4.5 decimal Midnite

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today7f 36y · Class 5 · Standard · 10 runners	11/4	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-1.80ppOpen → now	3/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-1.80pp
Carlisle19 Aug 20267f 173y · Class 5 · Soft · 9 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	6/1	-7.01ppOpen → 10am	12/1	+0.00pp10am → 1pm	12/1	+1.40pp1pm → SP	10/1	1st	-5.61pp
Post-race comment
Wolverhampton (AW)30 Jul 20261m 142y · Class 6 · Standard · 11 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	9/2	+1.82ppOpen → 10am	4/1	-6.67pp10am → 1pm	13/2	+3.33pp1pm → SP	5/1	1st	-1.52pp
Post-race comment
Kempton (AW)08 Jul 20261m · Class 6 · Standard / Slow · 10 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	4/1	+5.00ppOpen → 10am	3/1	+0.00pp10am → 1pm	3/1	+8.33pp1pm → SP	2/1	1st	+13.33pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today7f 36y · Class 5 · Standard · 10 runners	11/4	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-1.80ppOpen → now	3/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-1.80pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 2 of 5 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Between Me And U is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Wolverhampton (AW) · 30 Jul 2026 · 1st · 2/4 known conditions match

✓Track: Wolverhampton (AW)×Trip (within ½f): Today 7f 36y · previous 1m 142y✓Ground: Standard×Class: Today Class 5 · previous Class 6

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

This matches its usual pattern; support has often arrived later. (moderate)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

No positive support trigger.

This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.

Today: -1.80pp

Possible next price: 3/1

5 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Course record
Course record of 1/2 at Wolverhampton (AW). The average SP at this course is 9.5 and today's market has the horse trading 58% shorter than usual.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Star of MaliDraw 4

Trainer: James Tate

Jockey: Luke Morris

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer James Tate (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 38/248; first seen between 10am and 1pm 13/248; first seen after 1pm 9/248.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/3; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/3; first seen after 1pm 0/3.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +1.16pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 14/44 won (31.8%); Open→SP 18/51 won (35.3%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 37.1% (13/35).

⬇ CLASS DROP

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run67 days ago · 27 Jul 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

Usually attracts bookmaker support

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Opening

Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: 11/4 → 11/4 | Avg: 11/4Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

Early money horse (33%)

16:55Wolverhampton (AW)

Opened 7/2Market avg 10/3

10/3 → 10/3 → 10/3 → 10/3 → 10/3 → 10/3 ↓ 10/3 ↓ 3/1 ↑ 10/3 → 10/3

PRICE MOVE

+1.16pp (+5.0%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

Only 1 of 3 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 3rd at Wolverhampton (AW) on 19 Jan 2026 (+17.95pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 5% • +1.16 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Wolverhampton (AW), 19 Jan 2026 — 3rd • open 11/2 → final 7/2 (+6.84pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

7/2 4.5 decimal Paddy Power

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today7f 36y · Class 5 · Standard · 10 runners	7/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+1.16ppOpen → now	10/3Current; SP pending	Pending	+1.16pp
Southwell (AW)18 Jun 20267f 14y · Class 5 · Standard · 10 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	5/2	-3.57ppOpen → 10am	3/1	-2.78pp10am → 1pm	7/2	+6.35pp1pm → SP	5/2	1st	+0.00pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today7f 36y · Class 5 · Standard · 10 runners	7/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+1.16ppOpen → now	10/3Current; SP pending	Pending	+1.16pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 1 of 3 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. The horse drops from Class 4 to Class 5, but the market has not responded with meaningful support. Today’s move: Star of Mali is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Southwell (AW) · 18 Jun 2026 · 1st · 3/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Wolverhampton (AW) · previous Southwell (AW)✓Trip (within ½f): 7f 36y✓Ground: Standard✓Class: Class 5

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

N/A

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

3 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.

Today: +1.16pp

Possible next price: 10/3

3 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Wolverhampton (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

HilltopDraw 8

Trainer: Daniel & Claire Kubler

Jockey: Billy Loughnane

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Daniel & Claire Kubler (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 23/121; first seen between 10am and 1pm 4/121; first seen after 1pm 7/121.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/7; first seen between 10am and 1pm 1/7; first seen after 1pm 0/7.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +2.60pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 5/26 won (19.2%); Open→SP 7/25 won (28%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 31.3% (5/16).

↔ SAME CLASS

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run21 days ago · 11 Sep 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

No consistent price pattern yet

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: 10am

Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 9/4 → 9/4 | Avg: 9/4Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

The price is shortening, but similar moves have not converted well before.

10am plunger

Early money horse (43%)

16:55Wolverhampton (AW)

Opened 9/2Market avg 4/1

4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 ↓ 7/2 → 7/2 ↑ 4/1 ↓ 7/2 ↑ 9/2 ↓ 7/2 → 7/2

PRICE MOVE

+2.60pp (+12.5%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

71th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE71st HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

2 of 7 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 3rd at Newmarket (July) on 21 Aug 2026 (+3.87pp); and finished 1st at Newcastle (AW) on 11 Mar 2026 (+14.72pp).

Limited data: 1 similar run only. Not a proven betting pattern.

Raw Open → Now price change: 12.5% • +2.60 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Newcastle (AW), 11 Mar 2026 — 1st • open 4/1 → final 9/4 (+10.77pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

9/2 5.5 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today7f 36y · Class 5 · Standard · 10 runners	9/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+2.60ppOpen → now	4/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+2.60pp
Newcastle (AW)11 Mar 20267f 14y · Class 5 · Standard · 5 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	4/1	+14.72ppOpen → 10am	15/8	+0.00pp10am → 1pm	15/8	+0.00pp1pm → SP	15/8	1st	+14.72pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today7f 36y · Class 5 · Standard · 10 runners	9/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+2.60ppOpen → now	4/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+2.60pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 2 of 7 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Hilltop is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Newcastle (AW) · 11 Mar 2026 · 1st · 3/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Wolverhampton (AW) · previous Newcastle (AW)✓Trip (within ½f): 7f 36y✓Ground: Standard✓Class: Class 5

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

7 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.

Today: +2.60pp

Possible next price: 3/1

7 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

Red Hat EagleDraw 9

Trainer: William Knight

Jockey: Daniel Muscutt

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer William Knight (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 46/209; first seen between 10am and 1pm 25/209; first seen after 1pm 14/209.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/9; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/9; first seen after 1pm 0/9.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +1.25pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 14/55 won (25.5%); Open→SP 16/66 won (24.2%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 32.1% (9/28).

↔ SAME CLASS

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run18 days ago · 14 Sep 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

No consistent price pattern yet

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Opening

Runs: 9 | Fixed-odds range: 4/1 → 4/1 | Avg: 4/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

10am plunger

Early money horse (33%)

16:55Wolverhampton (AW)

Opened 7/1Market avg 13/2

13/2 ↓ 6/1 ↑ 13/2 ↓ 6/1 → 6/1 ↑ 13/2 ↓ 6/1 ↑ 13/2 ↓ 6/1 → 6/1

PRICE MOVE

+1.25pp (+9.1%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

44th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE44th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

5 of 9 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 2nd at Lingfield (AW) on 20 Aug 2026 (+5.29pp); finished 4th at Yarmouth on 26 Jun 2026 (+2.42pp); finished 5th at Lingfield on 30 May 2026 (+1.79pp); finished 7th at Lingfield (AW) on 20 Mar 2026 (+2.78pp); and finished 5th at Southwell (AW) on 28 Feb 2026 (+1.81pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 9.1% • +1.25 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Lingfield (AW), 20 Aug 2026 — 2nd • open 6/1 → final 4/1 (+5.29pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

13/2 7.5 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today7f 36y · Class 5 · Standard · 10 runners	7/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+1.25ppOpen → now	13/2Current; SP pending	Pending	+1.25pp
Lingfield (AW)20 Aug 20267f 1y · Class 5 · Standard · 11 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	6/1	+5.29ppOpen → 10am	4/1	+2.22pp10am → 1pm	7/2	-2.22pp1pm → SP	4/1	2nd	+5.29pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today7f 36y · Class 5 · Standard · 10 runners	7/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+1.25ppOpen → now	13/2Current; SP pending	Pending	+1.25pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

5 of 9 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Red Hat Eagle is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Lingfield (AW) · 20 Aug 2026 · 2nd · 3/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Wolverhampton (AW) · previous Lingfield (AW)✓Trip (within ½f): 7f 36y✓Ground: Standard✓Class: Class 5

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.Comparable moves have had few top-two finishes. Be cautious.

Did the early price move fade?

Recorded examples where 5pp+ early support was followed by a longer final price:

Lingfield (AW), 20 Aug 2026 — 2nd • open 6/1 → 1pm 7/2 → final 4/1

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

9 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.

Today: +1.25pp

Possible next price: 11/2

9 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

Bold SuitorDraw 7

Trainer: Craig Benton

Jockey: Georgia Dobie

🟢 Needs Support (15%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Craig Benton (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 3/39; first seen between 10am and 1pm 3/39; first seen after 1pm 0/39.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/8; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/8; first seen after 1pm 0/8.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -2.20pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

↔ SAME CLASS

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run23 days ago · 9 Sep 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

No consistent price pattern yet

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Early

Runs: 8 | Fixed-odds range: 13/2 → 14/1 | Avg: 10/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

The price is drifting and is not attracting bookmaker support.

10am plunger

Mid-market mover (38%)

16:55Wolverhampton (AW)

Opened 6/1Market avg 15/2

15/2 ↓ 7/1 ↑ 15/2 ↓ 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 ↑ 9/1 ↓ 7/1 → 7/1

PRICE MOVE

-2.20pp (-18.2%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

2 of 8 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 6th at Lingfield (AW) on 20 Aug 2026 (-2.63pp); and finished 4th at Kempton (AW) on 02 Mar 2026 (-5.68pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 18.2% • -2.20 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Kempton (AW), 02 Mar 2026 — 4th • open 9/2 → final 10/1 (-9.09pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

9/1 10 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today7f 36y · Class 5 · Standard · 10 runners	6/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-2.20ppOpen → now	15/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-2.20pp
Kempton (AW)09 Sep 20267f · Class 5 · Standard / Slow · 14 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	18/1	+2.69ppOpen → 10am	12/1	-1.44pp10am → 1pm	14/1	-0.37pp1pm → SP	16/1	1st	+0.88pp
Post-race comment
Lingfield (AW)30 Apr 20267f 1y · Class 5 · Standard · 9 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	8/1	+0.00ppOpen → 10am	8/1	+1.39pp10am → 1pm	7/1	+0.83pp1pm → SP	13/2	1st	+2.22pp
Post-race comment
Lingfield (AW)14 Apr 20267f 1y · Class 5 · Standard · 11 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	14/1	+3.33ppOpen → 10am	9/1	+0.53pp10am → 1pm	17/2	-1.44pp1pm → SP	10/1	2nd	+2.42pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today7f 36y · Class 5 · Standard · 10 runners	6/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-2.20ppOpen → now	15/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-2.20pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 2 of 8 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Bold Suitor is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Lingfield (AW) · 30 Apr 2026 · 1st · 3/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Wolverhampton (AW) · previous Lingfield (AW)✓Trip (within ½f): 7f 36y✓Ground: Standard✓Class: Class 5

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

Similar moves have usually held their position.

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

All 3 previous top-two finishes came with support of 1.66pp+.

At 1.66pp+: 3/3 finished 1st or 2nd (100%).

Today: -2.20pp — trigger not reached.

Possible next price: 7/1

8 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Captain ParmaDraw 10

Trainer: James Owen

Jockey: Mason Paetel(3)

🔴 Ignores MarketThis horse has won or placed despite drifting. Market weakness does NOT negatively impact performance. Can be a value angle when price weakens.

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer James Owen (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 139/893; first seen between 10am and 1pm 80/893; first seen after 1pm 40/893.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/7; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/7; first seen after 1pm 0/7.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -2.66pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

↔ SAME CLASS

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run14 days ago · 18 Sep 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

Often drifts in the market

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

2 historical matches

1/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Pre-Off

Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 4/1 → 4/1 | Avg: 4/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.

10am plunger

Early money horse (29%)

16:55Wolverhampton (AW)

Opened 6/1Market avg 15/2

8/1 ↓ 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 ↑ 9/1 ↓ 15/2 → 15/2

PRICE MOVE

-2.66pp (-22.9%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

57th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE57th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

3 of 7 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 9th at Doncaster on 29 Mar 2026 (-3.41pp); finished 1st at Chelmsford (AW) on 26 Feb 2026 (-5.00pp); and finished 2nd at Lingfield (AW) on 14 Jan 2026 (-34.62pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 22.9% • -2.66 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Lingfield (AW), 14 Jan 2026 — 2nd • open EVS → final 4/1 (-30.00pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

9/1 10 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today7f 36y · Class 5 · Standard · 10 runners	6/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-2.66ppOpen → now	15/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-2.66pp
Chelmsford (AW)26 Feb 20267f · Class 5 · Standard · 8 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	3/1	-5.00ppOpen → 10am	4/1	+0.00pp10am → 1pm	4/1	+0.00pp1pm → SP	4/1	1st	-5.00pp
Post-race comment
Lingfield (AW)14 Jan 20267f 1y · Class 5 · Standard · 8 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	EVS	-34.62ppOpen → 10am	11/2	+6.84pp10am → 1pm	7/2	-2.22pp1pm → SP	4/1	2nd	-30.00pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today7f 36y · Class 5 · Standard · 10 runners	6/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-2.66ppOpen → now	15/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-2.66pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 3 of 7 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Captain Parma is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Chelmsford (AW) · 26 Feb 2026 · 1st · 3/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Wolverhampton (AW) · previous Chelmsford (AW)✓Trip (within ½f): 7f 36y✓Ground: Standard✓Class: Class 5

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

N/A

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

No positive support trigger.

This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.

Today: -2.66pp

Possible next price: 15/2

7 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Wolverhampton (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

He's A GentlemanDraw 5

Trainer: Hugo Palmer

Jockey: Conor Whiteley(5)

🔴 Ignores MarketThis horse has won or placed despite drifting. Market weakness does NOT negatively impact performance. Can be a value angle when price weakens.

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Hugo Palmer (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 62/446; first seen between 10am and 1pm 34/446; first seen after 1pm 17/446.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 2/5; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/5; first seen after 1pm 0/5.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.89pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 24/79 won (30.4%); Open→SP 24/92 won (26.1%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 33.3% (11/33).

⬇ CLASS DROP

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run45 days ago · 18 Aug 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

No consistent price pattern yet

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Opening

Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 15/2 → 9/1 | Avg: 8/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

10am plunger

Early money horse (40%)

16:55Wolverhampton (AW)

Opened 10/1Market avg 9/1

9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 ↓ 17/2 ↑ 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 ↑ 10/1 ↓ 17/2 ↑ 9/1

PRICE MOVE

+0.89pp (+8.9%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

60th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE60th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

2 of 5 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 7th at Wolverhampton (AW) on 18 Aug 2026 (+7.31pp); and finished 7th at Wolverhampton (AW) on 19 Jan 2026 (+8.89pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 8.9% • +0.89 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Wolverhampton (AW), 19 Jan 2026 — 7th • open 8/1 → final 5/1 (+5.56pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

10/1 11 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today7f 36y · Class 5 · Standard · 10 runners	10/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.89ppOpen → now	9/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.89pp
Wolverhampton (AW)31 Mar 20267f 36y · Class 5 · Standard · 12 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	6/1	-3.17ppOpen → 10am	8/1	+1.39pp10am → 1pm	7/1	-1.39pp1pm → SP	8/1	2nd	-3.17pp
Post-race comment
Wolverhampton (AW)02 Mar 20261m 142y · Class 5 · Standard · 8 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	6/1	+0.00ppOpen → 10am	6/1	-0.95pp10am → 1pm	13/2	-3.33pp1pm → SP	9/1	2nd	-4.29pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today7f 36y · Class 5 · Standard · 10 runners	10/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.89ppOpen → now	9/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.89pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 2 of 5 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. The horse drops from Class 4 to Class 5, but the market has not responded with meaningful support. Today’s move: He's A Gentleman is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Wolverhampton (AW) · 31 Mar 2026 · 2nd · 4/4 known conditions match

✓Track: Wolverhampton (AW)✓Trip (within ½f): 7f 36y✓Ground: Standard✓Class: Class 5

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

No positive support trigger.

This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.

Today: +0.89pp

Possible next price: 9/1

5 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Course record
Course record of 2/4 at Wolverhampton (AW). The average SP at this course is 8.3 and today's market has the horse trading 21% bigger than usual.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

North ViewDraw 6

Trainer: Tony Carroll

Jockey: Kieren Fox

🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Tony Carroll (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 101/906; first seen between 10am and 1pm 52/906; first seen after 1pm 28/906.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/12; first seen between 10am and 1pm 2/12; first seen after 1pm 0/12.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.15pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 30/138 won (21.7%); Open→SP 40/153 won (26.1%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 38.6% (27/70).

↔ SAME CLASS

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run14 days ago · 18 Sep 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

No consistent price pattern yet

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: 10am

Runs: 12 | Fixed-odds range: 10/3 → 10/1 | Avg: 13/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

Early money horse (42%)

16:55Wolverhampton (AW)

Opened 12/1Market avg 12/1

12/1 ↓ 11/1 ↑ 12/1 ↓ 11/1 ↑ 12/1 → 12/1 ↓ 11/1 ↑ 12/1 ↓ 11/1 ↑ 12/1

PRICE MOVE

+0.15pp (+1.9%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

92th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE92nd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE

Only 1 of 12 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 3rd at Brighton on 06 Aug 2026 (+1.82pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 1.9% • +0.15 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Chelmsford (AW), 11 Jan 2026 — 1st • open 13/2 → final 10/3 (+9.76pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

12/1 13 decimal 7Bet

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today7f 36y · Class 5 · Standard · 10 runners	12/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.15ppOpen → now	12/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.15pp
Yarmouth23 Jul 20267f 3y · Class 5 · Good To Firm · 6 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	7/1	-5.83ppOpen → 10am	14/1	+3.33pp10am → 1pm	9/1	-0.91pp1pm → SP	10/1	2nd	-3.41pp
Post-race comment
Chelmsford (AW)11 Jan 20267f · Class 4 · Standard · 11 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	13/2	+0.00ppOpen → 10am	13/2	+6.67pp10am → 1pm	4/1	-4.62pp1pm → SP	11/2	1st	+2.05pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today7f 36y · Class 5 · Standard · 10 runners	12/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.15ppOpen → now	12/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.15pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 1 of 12 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: North View is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Yarmouth · 23 Jul 2026 · 2nd · 2/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Wolverhampton (AW) · previous Yarmouth✓Trip (within ½f): 7f 36y×Ground: Today Standard · previous Good To Firm✓Class: Class 5

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

No positive support trigger.

This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.

Today: +0.15pp

Possible next price: 12/1

12 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Course record
This horse is 0/2 at Wolverhampton (AW) on our records. Today's market is 21% bigger than usual against an average course SP of 10.5.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

This FarhDraw 1

Trainer: David Loughnane

Jockey: Jack Doughty

🟢 Needs Support (33%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer David Loughnane (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 27/261; first seen between 10am and 1pm 18/261; first seen after 1pm 7/261.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/9; first seen between 10am and 1pm 2/9; first seen after 1pm 0/9.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.22pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

⬇ CLASS DROP

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run10 days ago · 22 Sep 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

Usually attracts bookmaker support

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Opening

Runs: 9 | Fixed-odds range: 5/1 → 9/1 | Avg: 7/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

This horse is usually backed but is drifting today. That change is a warning sign.

10am plunger

Early money horse (56%)

16:55Wolverhampton (AW)

Opened 16/1Market avg 20/1

22/1 ↓ 20/1 ↑ 22/1 ↓ 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 ↑ 25/1 ↓ 20/1 → 20/1

PRICE MOVE

-1.22pp (-26.2%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

78th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE78th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

2 of 9 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 6th at Beverley on 22 Sep 2026 (-4.33pp); and finished 6th at Lingfield (AW) on 14 Jan 2026 (-35.71pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 26.2% • -1.22 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Lingfield (AW), 14 Jan 2026 — 6th • open EVS → final 13/2 (-36.67pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

25/1 26 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today7f 36y · Class 5 · Standard · 10 runners	16/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-1.22ppOpen → now	20/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-1.22pp
Beverley27 May 20267f 96y · Class 5 · Good To Firm · 11 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	14/1	+3.33ppOpen → 10am	9/1	+1.76pp10am → 1pm	15/2	-1.24pp1pm → SP	17/2	1st	+3.86pp
Post-race comment
Leicester13 Apr 20267f · Class 5 · Good · 7 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	8/1	+4.27ppOpen → 10am	11/2	+1.28pp10am → 1pm	5/1	+1.52pp1pm → SP	9/2	1st	+7.07pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today7f 36y · Class 5 · Standard · 10 runners	16/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-1.22ppOpen → now	20/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-1.22pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 2 of 9 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. The horse drops from Class 4 to Class 5, but the market has not responded with meaningful support. Today’s move: This Farh is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Beverley · 27 May 2026 · 1st · 2/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Wolverhampton (AW) · previous Beverley✓Trip (within ½f): 7f 36y×Ground: Today Standard · previous Good To Firm✓Class: Class 5

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Both previous top-two finishes came with support of 3.33pp+.

At 3.33pp+: 2/3 finished 1st or 2nd (67%).

Today: -1.22pp — trigger not reached.

Possible next price: 20/1

9 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

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Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Ash WednesdayDraw 3

Trainer: Heather Main

Jockey: Finley Marsh

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Heather Main (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 9/103; first seen between 10am and 1pm 5/103; first seen after 1pm 3/103.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/7; first seen between 10am and 1pm 1/7; first seen after 1pm 0/7.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.73pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

↔ SAME CLASS

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run14 days ago · 18 Sep 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

No consistent price pattern yet

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

2 historical matches

0/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening

Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 5/1 → 5/1 | Avg: 5/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

The price is drifting and is not attracting bookmaker support.

10am plunger

Early money horse (43%)

16:55Wolverhampton (AW)

Opened 18/1Market avg 22/1

22/1 ↓ 20/1 ↑ 22/1 ↓ 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 ↑ 28/1 ↓ 20/1 → 20/1

PRICE MOVE

-0.73pp (-16.2%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILESTRONGEST RECORDED DRIFT FOR THIS HORSE (100th percentile)

EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE

Largest drift recorded across 7 previous runs.

Raw Open → Now price change: 16.2% • -0.73 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Kempton (AW), 30 Apr 2026 — 7th • open 6/1 → final 15/2 (-2.52pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

28/1 29 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today7f 36y · Class 5 · Standard · 10 runners	18/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.73ppOpen → now	22/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.73pp
Southwell (AW)21 Mar 20267f 14y · Class 5 · Standard · 12 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	10/1	+13.13ppOpen → 10am	7/2	+0.00pp10am → 1pm	7/2	-5.56pp1pm → SP	5/1	2nd	+7.58pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today7f 36y · Class 5 · Standard · 10 runners	18/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.73ppOpen → now	22/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.73pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READTHIS IS THE HORSE’S STRONGEST RECORDED SUPPORT

Across 7 previous runs, this is the horse’s strongest recorded support. Today’s move: Ash Wednesday is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Southwell (AW) · 21 Mar 2026 · 2nd · 3/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Wolverhampton (AW) · previous Southwell (AW)✓Trip (within ½f): 7f 36y✓Ground: Standard✓Class: Class 5

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

7 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.

Today: -0.73pp

Possible next price: 20/1

7 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Course record
This horse is 0/2 at Wolverhampton (AW) on our records. Today's market is 185% bigger than usual against an average course SP of 7.8.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Race market overview as at 04:30

Supported0 of 10 runners at +4pp or more
Drifting0 of 10 runners at −4pp or worse
Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.

17:25Wolverhampton (AW) • 1m142y • Class 4 • Going: Standard

5 runners

Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

Enchanted QueenDraw 5

Trainer: George Boughey

Jockey: Billy Loughnane

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer George Boughey (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 79/417; first seen between 10am and 1pm 23/417; first seen after 1pm 12/417.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 1 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.78pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

↔ SAME CLASS

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run23 days ago · 9 Sep 2026

Distance changeUp 1.6f from last run

Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: 4/9 → 4/9 | Avg: 4/9Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.

17:25Wolverhampton (AW)

Opened 4/6Market avg 4/6

8/11 ↓ 4/6 ↑ 8/11 ↓ 4/6 → 4/6 → 4/6 → 4/6 ↑ 8/11 ↓ 4/6 → 4/6

PRICE MOVE

-0.78pp (-1.3%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

Raw Open → Now price change: 1.3% • -0.78 probability points

Built 00:00 → 04:26

Previous market evidence

No previous open-to-final drift in the recorded sample.

BEST FIXED ODDS

8/11 1.73 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today1m 142y · Class 4 · Standard · 5 runners	4/6	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.78ppOpen → now	4/6Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.78pp
Kempton (AW)09 Sep 20267f · Class 4 · Standard / Slow · 7 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	4/6	+6.19ppOpen → 10am	8/15	-3.63pp10am → 1pm	8/13	+4.94pp1pm → SP	1/2	1st	+7.50pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today1m 142y · Class 4 · Standard · 5 runners	4/6	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.78ppOpen → now	4/6Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.78pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Enchanted Queen is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Kempton (AW) · 09 Sep 2026 · 1st · 1/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Wolverhampton (AW) · previous Kempton (AW)×Trip (within ½f): Today 1m 142y · previous 7f×Ground: Today Standard · previous Standard / Slow✓Class: Class 4

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

N/A

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

1 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.

Today: -0.78pp

Possible next price: 4/6

No historical data

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

BintazizaDraw 4

Trainer: Roger Varian

Jockey: Ray Dawson

🟢 Needs Support (7%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Roger Varian (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 74/323; first seen between 10am and 1pm 24/323; first seen after 1pm 18/323.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/4; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/4; first seen after 1pm 0/4.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +1.52pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 34/83 won (41%); Open→SP 37/93 won (39.8%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 40.7% (22/54).

⬇ CLASS DROP

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run105 days ago · 19 Jun 2026

Distance changeUp 0.6f from last run

Usually attracts bookmaker support

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Opening

Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 1/6 → 9/4 | Avg: 6/5Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

10am plunger

Early money horse (50%)

17:25Wolverhampton (AW)

Opened 3/1Market avg 11/4

11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 ↑ 3/1 ↓ 11/4 → 11/4 ↑ 3/1 ↓ 11/4 ↑ 3/1

PRICE MOVE

+1.52pp (+5.7%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

2 of 4 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 19th at Ascot on 19 Jun 2026 (+4.17pp); and finished 1st at Wolverhampton (AW) on 05 May 2026 (+8.86pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 5.7% • +1.52 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Wolverhampton (AW), 05 May 2026 — 1st • open 8/11 → final 1/6 (+27.67pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

3/1 4 decimal 7Bet

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today1m 142y · Class 4 · Standard · 5 runners	3/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+1.52ppOpen → now	11/4Current; SP pending	Pending	+1.52pp
Wolverhampton (AW)05 May 20261m 142y · Class 5 · Standard · 6 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	8/11	+8.86ppOpen → 10am	1/2	+18.80pp10am → 1pm	1/6	+3.82pp1pm → SP	1/8	1st	+31.48pp
Post-race comment
Newcastle (AW)20 Apr 20261m 5y · Class 5 · Standard · 12 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	5/2	-3.57ppOpen → 10am	3/1	+3.57pp10am → 1pm	5/2	+6.15pp1pm → SP	15/8	1st	+6.15pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today1m 142y · Class 4 · Standard · 5 runners	3/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+1.52ppOpen → now	11/4Current; SP pending	Pending	+1.52pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

2 of 4 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. The horse drops from Class 2 to Class 4, but the market has not responded with meaningful support. Today’s move: Bintaziza is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Wolverhampton (AW) · 05 May 2026 · 1st · 3/4 known conditions match

✓Track: Wolverhampton (AW)✓Trip (within ½f): 1m 142y✓Ground: Standard×Class: Today Class 4 · previous Class 5

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Both previous top-two finishes came with support of 2.19pp+.

At 2.19pp+: 2/2 finished 1st or 2nd (100%).

Today: +1.52pp — trigger not reached.

Possible next price: 10/3

4 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Wolverhampton (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

Great MatesDraw 2

Trainer: Marco Botti

Jockey: Darragh Keenan

🟢 Needs Support (25%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Marco Botti (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 48/246; first seen between 10am and 1pm 19/246; first seen after 1pm 9/246.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 2/6; first seen between 10am and 1pm 1/6; first seen after 1pm 1/6.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.00pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 18/62 won (29%); Open→SP 19/60 won (31.7%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 40% (16/40).

↔ SAME CLASS

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run29 days ago · 3 Sep 2026

Distance changeUp 0.6f from last run

Usually attracts bookmaker support

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Opening

Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: 13/8 → 10/3 | Avg: 9/4Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

10am plunger

Early money horse (50%)

17:25Wolverhampton (AW)

Opened 7/1Market avg 7/1

7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 ↑ 15/2 → 15/2 ↓ 7/1 → 7/1

PRICE MOVE

+0.00pp (+0.0%)

No meaningful price change from the open.

Move evidence

33th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE33rd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

4 of 6 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 4th at Nottingham on 21 Jul 2026 (+4.85pp); finished 1st at Yarmouth on 02 Jul 2026 (+13.02pp); finished 6th at Newmarket (July) on 19 Jun 2026 (+10.39pp); and finished 2nd at Newcastle (AW) on 09 Jan 2026 (+4.76pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 0% • +0.00 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Yarmouth, 02 Jul 2026 — 1st • open 3/1 → final 13/8 (+13.02pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

15/2 8.5 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today1m 142y · Class 4 · Standard · 5 runners	7/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.00ppOpen → now	7/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.00pp
Southwell (AW)03 Sep 20261m 14y · Class 4 · Standard · 8 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	11/2	-0.24ppOpen → 10am	11/2	+4.62pp10am → 1pm	4/1	+3.09pp1pm → SP	10/3	2nd	+7.47pp
Post-race comment
Yarmouth02 Jul 20261m 3y · Class 5 · Good To Firm · 5 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	3/1	+13.02ppOpen → 10am	13/8	+0.00pp10am → 1pm	13/8	+0.15pp1pm → SP	13/8	1st	+13.17pp
Post-race comment
Newcastle (AW)09 Jan 20261m 5y · Class 4 · Standard · 6 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	5/2	+4.76ppOpen → 10am	2/1	+4.69pp10am → 1pm	13/8	+0.15pp1pm → SP	13/8	2nd	+9.60pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today1m 142y · Class 4 · Standard · 5 runners	7/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.00ppOpen → now	7/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.00pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

4 of 6 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Great Mates is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Southwell (AW) · 03 Sep 2026 · 2nd · 2/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Wolverhampton (AW) · previous Southwell (AW)×Trip (within ½f): Today 1m 142y · previous 1m 14y✓Ground: Standard✓Class: Class 4

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

All 3 previous top-two finishes came with support of 7.46pp+.

At 7.46pp+: 3/4 finished 1st or 2nd (75%).

Today: +0.00pp — trigger not reached.

Possible next price: 7/1

6 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

DarzahDraw 3

Trainer: William Haggas

Jockey: Harry Davies

🟢 Needs Support (3%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer William Haggas (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 100/599; first seen between 10am and 1pm 47/599; first seen after 1pm 48/599.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 2/7; first seen between 10am and 1pm 1/7; first seen after 1pm 0/7.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.62pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

↔ SAME CLASS

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run15 days ago · 17 Sep 2026

Distance changeDown 1.4f from last run

No consistent price pattern yet

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Opening

Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 8/13 → 11/4 | Avg: 2/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

10am plunger

Early money horse (29%)

17:25Wolverhampton (AW)

Opened 7/1Market avg 15/2

15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 ↓ 7/1 ↑ 15/2 → 15/2 ↑ 17/2 ↓ 15/2 ↓ 7/1

PRICE MOVE

-0.62pp (-5.2%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

43th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE43rd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

4 of 7 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 2nd at Pontefract on 16 Aug 2026 (-2.78pp); finished 5th at Nottingham on 21 Jul 2026 (-1.67pp); finished 8th at Sandown on 28 May 2026 (-11.11pp); and finished 5th at Newmarket on 15 Apr 2026 (-3.42pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 5.2% • -0.62 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Ayr, 17 Sep 2026 — 7th • open 6/4 → final 5/2 (-11.11pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

17/2 9.5 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today1m 142y · Class 4 · Standard · 5 runners	7/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.62ppOpen → now	15/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.62pp
Pontefract16 Aug 20261m 6y · Class 3 · Good To Firm · 5 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	5/2	-2.78ppOpen → 10am	3/1	+3.57pp10am → 1pm	5/2	+0.00pp1pm → SP	5/2	2nd	+0.79pp
Post-race comment
Newmarket (July)25 Jun 20261m · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 6 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	11/2	+9.62ppOpen → 10am	3/1	+1.67pp10am → 1pm	11/4	-1.67pp1pm → SP	3/1	1st	+9.62pp
Post-race comment
Bath13 May 20261m · Class 4 · Firm · 6 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	EVS	+4.64ppOpen → 10am	5/6	+3.16pp10am → 1pm	8/11	+7.56pp1pm → SP	8/15	1st	+15.36pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today1m 142y · Class 4 · Standard · 5 runners	7/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.62ppOpen → now	15/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.62pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

4 of 7 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Darzah is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Newmarket (July) · 25 Jun 2026 · 1st · 1/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Wolverhampton (AW) · previous Newmarket (July)×Trip (within ½f): Today 1m 142y · previous 1m×Ground: Today Standard · previous Good To Firm✓Class: Class 4

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

Similar moves have usually held or strengthened.

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

All 3 previous top-two finishes came with support of 0.79pp+.

At 0.79pp+: 3/3 finished 1st or 2nd (100%).

Today: -0.62pp — trigger not reached.

Possible next price: 13/2

7 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Foxy NightDraw 1

Trainer: John Butler

Jockey: M. P. Sheehy

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer John Butler (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 43/284; first seen between 10am and 1pm 26/284; first seen after 1pm 12/284.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/7; first seen between 10am and 1pm 3/7; first seen after 1pm 0/7.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.02pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 23/63 won (36.5%); Open→SP 21/65 won (32.3%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 34.4% (11/32).

↔ SAME CLASS

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run27 days ago · 5 Sep 2026

Distance changeUp 1.6f from last run

No consistent price pattern yet

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Opening

Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 9/4 → 9/4 | Avg: 9/4Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

Early money horse (29%)

17:25Wolverhampton (AW)

Opened 12/1Market avg 12/1

12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1

PRICE MOVE

+0.02pp (+0.3%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

43th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE43rd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

4 of 7 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 3rd at Hamilton on 21 Aug 2026 (+2.38pp); finished 3rd at Wolverhampton (AW) on 31 Jul 2026 (+1.39pp); finished 2nd at Southwell (AW) on 23 Jul 2026 (+1.36pp); and finished 3rd at Carlisle on 08 Jun 2026 (+3.62pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 0.3% • +0.02 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Wolverhampton (AW), 31 Jul 2026 — 3rd • open 2/1 → final 11/8 (+8.68pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

12/1 13 decimal 7Bet

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today1m 142y · Class 4 · Standard · 5 runners	12/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.02ppOpen → now	12/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.02pp
Southwell (AW)23 Jul 20267f 14y · Class 4 · Standard · 12 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	5/2	+1.36ppOpen → 10am	9/4	+0.00pp10am → 1pm	9/4	+5.59pp1pm → SP	7/4	2nd	+6.95pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today1m 142y · Class 4 · Standard · 5 runners	12/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.02ppOpen → now	12/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.02pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

4 of 7 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Foxy Night is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Southwell (AW) · 23 Jul 2026 · 2nd · 2/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Wolverhampton (AW) · previous Southwell (AW)×Trip (within ½f): Today 1m 142y · previous 7f 14y✓Ground: Standard✓Class: Class 4

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.Comparable moves have had few top-two finishes. Be cautious.

Did the early price move fade?

Recorded examples where 5pp+ early support was followed by a longer final price:

Hamilton, 21 Aug 2026 — 3rd • open 6/1 → 1pm 4/1 → final 9/2

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

7 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.

Today: +0.02pp

Possible next price: 12/1

7 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Wolverhampton (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

Race market overview as at 04:30

Supported0 of 5 runners at +4pp or more
Drifting0 of 5 runners at −4pp or worse
Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.

17:55Wolverhampton (AW) • 5f21y • Class 6 • Going: Standard

11 runners

Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

Fancy DancerDraw 1

Trainer: Hayley Burton

Jockey: Luke Morris

🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Hayley Burton (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 11/83; first seen between 10am and 1pm 2/83; first seen after 1pm 0/83.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/8; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/8; first seen after 1pm 0/8.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.21pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 5/11 won (45.5%); Open→SP 4/9 won (44.4%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 66.7% (4/6).

↔ SAME CLASS

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run30 days ago · 2 Sep 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

No consistent price pattern yet

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: 10am

Runs: 8 | Fixed-odds range: 11/4 → 11/2 | Avg: 4/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

10am plunger

Best at SP (38%)

17:55Wolverhampton (AW)

Opened 7/2Market avg 7/2

7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 ↓ 10/3 ↑ 7/2 → 7/2 ↓ 10/3 ↑ 7/2 ↓ 10/3 ↑ 7/2

PRICE MOVE

+0.21pp (+0.9%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

63th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE63rd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

3 of 8 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 2nd at Bath on 02 Sep 2026 (+2.26pp); finished 2nd at Wolverhampton (AW) on 26 Aug 2026 (+4.38pp); and finished 7th at Nottingham on 03 Jun 2026 (+2.45pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 0.9% • +0.21 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Wolverhampton (AW), 07 Jul 2026 — 5th • open 14/1 → final 10/1 (+2.42pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

7/2 4.5 decimal 7Bet

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today5f 21y · Class 6 · Standard · 11 runners	7/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.21ppOpen → now	7/2Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.21pp
Bath02 Sep 20265f 10y · Class 6 · Good · 8 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	4/1	+2.26ppOpen → 10am	10/3	-7.71pp10am → 1pm	11/2	+0.00pp1pm → SP	11/2	2nd	-5.45pp
Post-race comment
Wolverhampton (AW)26 Aug 20265f 21y · Class 6 · Standard · 6 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	11/2	+4.38ppOpen → 10am	4/1	-4.62pp10am → 1pm	11/2	+0.00pp1pm → SP	11/2	2nd	-0.24pp
Post-race comment
Wolverhampton (AW)31 Jul 20265f 21y · Class 6 · Standard · 6 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	5/2	-2.78ppOpen → 10am	3/1	+1.67pp10am → 1pm	11/4	-1.67pp1pm → SP	3/1	2nd	-2.78pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today5f 21y · Class 6 · Standard · 11 runners	7/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.21ppOpen → now	7/2Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.21pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 3 of 8 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Fancy Dancer is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Wolverhampton (AW) · 26 Aug 2026 · 2nd · 4/4 known conditions match

✓Track: Wolverhampton (AW)✓Trip (within ½f): 5f 21y✓Ground: Standard✓Class: Class 6

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

Similar moves have usually held their position.

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

No positive support trigger.

This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.

Today: +0.21pp

Possible next price: 7/2

8 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Course record
Course evidence at Wolverhampton (AW) stands at 2 placed efforts from 3 runs. Today's market is 31% shorter than usual compared with a long-term course average SP of 6.5.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

Black CabDraw 7

Trainer: Alison Hamilton

Jockey: Billy Loughnane

🔴 Ignores MarketThis horse has won or placed despite drifting. Market weakness does NOT negatively impact performance. Can be a value angle when price weakens.

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Alison Hamilton (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 2/21; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/21; first seen after 1pm 0/21.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/4; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/4; first seen after 1pm 0/4.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +1.05pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/1 won (0%); Open→SP 0/0 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.

↔ SAME CLASS

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run69 days ago · 25 Jul 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

No consistent price pattern yet

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: 10am

Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 8/1 → 12/1 | Avg: 10/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

10am plunger

Early money horse (50%)

17:55Wolverhampton (AW)

Opened 4/1Market avg 7/2

4/1 ↓ 7/2 ↑ 4/1 ↓ 7/2 ↑ 4/1 ↓ 7/2 → 7/2 ↑ 9/2 ↓ 7/2 ↑ 4/1

PRICE MOVE

+1.05pp (+5.0%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

Only 1 of 4 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 2nd at Wolverhampton (AW) on 10 Mar 2026 (+10.00pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 5% • +1.05 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Wolverhampton (AW), 24 Mar 2026 — 3rd • open 9/2 → final 4/1 (+1.82pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

9/2 5.5 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today5f 21y · Class 6 · Standard · 11 runners	4/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+1.05ppOpen → now	7/2Current; SP pending	Pending	+1.05pp
Wolverhampton (AW)05 May 20265f 21y · Class 6 · Standard · 8 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	11/2	-2.88ppOpen → 10am	7/1	-0.74pp10am → 1pm	15/2	-1.76pp1pm → SP	9/1	1st	-5.38pp
Post-race comment
Wolverhampton (AW)10 Mar 20266f 20y · Class 6 · Standard · 8 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	9/1	+10.00ppOpen → 10am	4/1	-3.33pp10am → 1pm	5/1	-10.78pp1pm → SP	16/1	2nd	-4.12pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today5f 21y · Class 6 · Standard · 11 runners	4/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+1.05ppOpen → now	7/2Current; SP pending	Pending	+1.05pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 1 of 4 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Black Cab is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Wolverhampton (AW) · 05 May 2026 · 1st · 4/4 known conditions match

✓Track: Wolverhampton (AW)✓Trip (within ½f): 5f 21y✓Ground: Standard✓Class: Class 6

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

No positive support trigger.

This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.

Today: +1.05pp

Possible next price: 9/2

4 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Course record
This runner has made the frame 2 times from 3 starts at Wolverhampton (AW). Historical course average SP is 11.0, while today's market is 57% shorter than usual.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

Phoenix BeachDraw 5

Trainer: Scott Dixon

Jockey: Kieran O'Neill

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Scott Dixon (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 27/372; first seen between 10am and 1pm 16/372; first seen after 1pm 14/372.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/11; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/11; first seen after 1pm 1/11.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.44pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 4/38 won (10.5%); Open→SP 5/44 won (11.4%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 16.7% (3/18).

↔ SAME CLASS

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run7 days ago · 25 Sep 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

Often drifts in the market

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Pre-Off

Runs: 11 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

10am plunger

Late money horse (36%)

17:55Wolverhampton (AW)

Opened 6/1Market avg 6/1

6/1 ↓ 11/2 ↑ 6/1 ↓ 11/2 ↑ 6/1 ↓ 11/2 → 11/2 ↑ 13/2 ↓ 11/2 ↑ 6/1

PRICE MOVE

+0.44pp (+3.0%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

64th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE64th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

4 of 11 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 4th at Newcastle (AW) on 25 Sep 2026 (+0.74pp); finished 7th at Southwell (AW) on 17 Sep 2026 (+16.30pp); finished 9th at Wolverhampton (AW) on 02 Mar 2026 (+3.90pp); and finished 3rd at Wolverhampton (AW) on 27 Feb 2026 (+2.45pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 3% • +0.44 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Southwell (AW), 17 Sep 2026 — 7th • open 10/1 → final 7/2 (+13.53pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

13/2 7.5 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today5f 21y · Class 6 · Standard · 11 runners	6/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.44ppOpen → now	6/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.44pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today5f 21y · Class 6 · Standard · 11 runners	6/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.44ppOpen → now	6/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.44pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 4 of 11 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Phoenix Beach is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.Comparable moves have had few top-two finishes. Be cautious.

Did the early price move fade?

Recorded examples where 5pp+ early support was followed by a longer final price:

Southwell (AW), 17 Sep 2026 — 7th • open 10/1 → 10am 3/1 → final 7/2

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

11 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.

Today: +0.44pp

Possible next price: 13/2

11 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Course record
No placed efforts from 6 previous runs at Wolverhampton (AW). The current market is 29% shorter than usual compared with a typical course SP of 9.5.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

Honour Your DreamsDraw 3

Trainer: Michael Attwater

Jockey: Kieren Fox

🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Michael Attwater (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 15/246; first seen between 10am and 1pm 11/246; first seen after 1pm 8/246.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/13; first seen between 10am and 1pm 1/13; first seen after 1pm 0/13.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.72pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 2/20 won (10%); Open→SP 2/21 won (9.5%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.

⬇ CLASS DROP

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run19 days ago · 13 Sep 2026

Distance changeDown 0.6f from last run

No consistent price pattern yet

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Opening

Runs: 13 | Fixed-odds range: 3/1 → 9/1 | Avg: 11/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

10am plunger

Best at SP (38%)

17:55Wolverhampton (AW)

Opened 7/1Market avg 13/2

13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 ↓ 6/1 ↑ 7/1 ↓ 13/2 → 13/2 ↓ 5/1 ↑ 6/1 ↑ 7/1

PRICE MOVE

+0.72pp (+5.5%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

69th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE69th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

4 of 13 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 6th at Bath on 13 Sep 2026 (+1.88pp); finished 5th at Ffos Las on 28 Jul 2026 (+3.43pp); finished 4th at Windsor on 07 May 2026 (+1.44pp); and finished 2nd at Lingfield (AW) on 25 Feb 2026 (+8.81pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 5.5% • +0.72 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Lingfield (AW), 25 Feb 2026 — 2nd • open 6/1 → final 3/1 (+10.71pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

8/1 9 decimal Paddy Power

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today5f 21y · Class 6 · Standard · 11 runners	7/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.72ppOpen → now	13/2Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.72pp
Bath02 Sep 20265f 160y · Class 6 · Good · 9 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	4/1	-2.56ppOpen → 10am	5/1	-1.28pp10am → 1pm	11/2	-1.10pp1pm → SP	6/1	2nd	-4.95pp
Post-race comment
Lingfield (AW)04 Jun 20265f 6y · Class 6 · Standard · 7 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	5/1	-7.58ppOpen → 10am	10/1	-0.76pp10am → 1pm	11/1	+1.67pp1pm → SP	9/1	2nd	-6.67pp
Post-race comment
Lingfield (AW)25 Feb 20265f 6y · Class 6 · Standard · 9 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	6/1	+8.81ppOpen → 10am	10/3	+0.00pp10am → 1pm	10/3	-0.87pp1pm → SP	7/2	2nd	+7.94pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today5f 21y · Class 6 · Standard · 11 runners	7/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.72ppOpen → now	13/2Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.72pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 4 of 13 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. The horse drops from Class 2 to Class 6, but the market has not responded with meaningful support. Today’s move: Honour Your Dreams is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Lingfield (AW) · 04 Jun 2026 · 2nd · 3/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Wolverhampton (AW) · previous Lingfield (AW)✓Trip (within ½f): 5f 21y✓Ground: Standard✓Class: Class 6

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.Comparable moves have had few top-two finishes. Be cautious.

Did the early price move fade?

No documented early-support reversal in this horse’s recorded checkpoint sample. The older wording referred to finishing results, not a verified intraday price fade.

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

No positive support trigger.

This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.

Today: +0.72pp

Possible next price: 15/2

13 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Wolverhampton (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

Cabeza de LlaveDraw 4

Trainer: Michael Attwater

Jockey: William Carson

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Michael Attwater (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 15/246; first seen between 10am and 1pm 11/246; first seen after 1pm 8/246.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 3/9; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/9; first seen after 1pm 0/9.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.63pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 2/20 won (10%); Open→SP 2/21 won (9.5%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.

⬇ CLASS DROP

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run16 days ago · 16 Sep 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

No consistent price pattern yet

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Pre-Off

Runs: 9 | Fixed-odds range: 11/1 → 11/1 | Avg: 11/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

10am plunger

Best at SP (33%)

17:55Wolverhampton (AW)

Opened 15/2Market avg 7/1

15/2 ↓ 7/1 → 7/1 ↓ 13/2 ↑ 15/2 ↓ 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 ↓ 13/2 ↑ 8/1

PRICE MOVE

+0.63pp (+5.1%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

22th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE22nd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

7 of 9 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 4th at Sandown on 16 Sep 2026 (+1.86pp); finished 5th at Windsor on 07 Sep 2026 (+7.94pp); finished 5th at Salisbury on 21 Jul 2026 (+5.36pp); finished 8th at Windsor on 29 Jun 2026 (+2.19pp); finished 3rd at Windsor on 22 Jun 2026 (+5.56pp); finished 2nd at Windsor on 07 May 2026 (+1.44pp); and finished 3rd at Chelmsford (AW) on 21 Feb 2026 (+3.33pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 5.1% • +0.63 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Windsor, 07 Sep 2026 — 5th • open 6/1 → final 7/2 (+7.94pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

8/1 9 decimal 7Bet

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today5f 21y · Class 6 · Standard · 11 runners	15/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.63ppOpen → now	7/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.63pp
Windsor07 May 20265f 21y · Class 6 · Good To Firm · 11 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	10/1	+1.44ppOpen → 10am	17/2	-0.53pp10am → 1pm	9/1	-1.67pp1pm → SP	11/1	2nd	-0.76pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today5f 21y · Class 6 · Standard · 11 runners	15/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.63ppOpen → now	7/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.63pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

7 of 9 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. The horse drops from Class 5 to Class 6, but the market has not responded with meaningful support. Today’s move: Cabeza de Llave is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Windsor · 07 May 2026 · 2nd · 2/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Wolverhampton (AW) · previous Windsor✓Trip (within ½f): 5f 21y×Ground: Today Standard · previous Good To Firm✓Class: Class 6

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.Comparable moves have had few top-two finishes. Be cautious.

Did the early price move fade?

Recorded examples where 5pp+ early support was followed by a longer final price:

Windsor, 22 Jun 2026 — 3rd • open 8/1 → 1pm 4/1 → final 5/1

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

9 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.

Today: +0.63pp

Possible next price: 9/1

9 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

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Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

Sheik YerboutiDraw 8

Trainer: Grace Harris

Jockey: Darragh Keenan

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Grace Harris (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 31/247; first seen between 10am and 1pm 14/247; first seen after 1pm 1/247.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/5; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/5; first seen after 1pm 0/5.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.24pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 14/37 won (37.8%); Open→SP 11/30 won (36.7%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 41.7% (5/12).

↔ SAME CLASS

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run17 days ago · 15 Sep 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

Often drifts in the market

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Pre-Off

Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

Late money horse (60%)

17:55Wolverhampton (AW)

Opened 15/2Market avg 15/2

15/2 ↓ 7/1 ↑ 15/2 ↓ 7/1 ↑ 15/2 ↓ 7/1 → 7/1 ↑ 9/1 ↓ 7/1 ↑ 15/2

PRICE MOVE

+0.24pp (+2.0%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILETHE STRONGEST MOVE RECORDED (100th percentile)

EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE

Strongest support recorded across 5 previous runs.

Raw Open → Now price change: 2% • +0.24 probability points

Previous market evidence

No previous positive open-to-final support in the recorded sample.

BEST FIXED ODDS

9/1 10 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today5f 21y · Class 6 · Standard · 11 runners	15/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.24ppOpen → now	15/2Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.24pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today5f 21y · Class 6 · Standard · 11 runners	15/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.24ppOpen → now	15/2Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.24pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READTHIS IS THE HORSE’S STRONGEST RECORDED SUPPORT

Across 5 previous runs, this is the horse’s strongest recorded support. Today’s move: Sheik Yerbouti is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

This early support is unusual; the price has often drifted again later. (strong)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

5 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.

Today: +0.24pp

Possible next price: 8/1

5 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

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Course record
No placed efforts from 2 previous runs at Wolverhampton (AW). The current market is 92% shorter than usual compared with a typical course SP of 110.0.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

Spirited DancerDraw 10

Trainer: Tony Carroll

Jockey: Jack Doughty

🔴 Ignores MarketThis horse has won or placed despite drifting. Market weakness does NOT negatively impact performance. Can be a value angle when price weakens.

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Tony Carroll (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 101/906; first seen between 10am and 1pm 52/906; first seen after 1pm 28/906.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 2/10; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/10; first seen after 1pm 0/10.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.12pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 30/138 won (21.7%); Open→SP 40/153 won (26.1%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 38.6% (27/70).

↔ SAME CLASS

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run19 days ago · 13 Sep 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

Often drifts in the market

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Pre-Off

Runs: 10 | Fixed-odds range: 9/2 → 14/1 | Avg: 15/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

10am plunger

Best at SP (40%)

17:55Wolverhampton (AW)

Opened 15/2Market avg 15/2

15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 ↓ 7/1 ↑ 15/2 → 15/2 ↓ 7/1 ↑ 8/1 ↓ 7/1 ↑ 15/2

PRICE MOVE

+0.12pp (+1.0%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

70th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE70th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

3 of 10 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 5th at Bath on 13 Sep 2026 (+5.30pp); finished 6th at Bath on 31 Jul 2026 (+5.10pp); and finished 5th at Bath on 22 May 2026 (+0.78pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 1% • +0.12 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Bath, 31 Jul 2026 — 6th • open 14/1 → final 6/1 (+7.62pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

8/1 9 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today5f 21y · Class 6 · Standard · 11 runners	15/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.12ppOpen → now	15/2Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.12pp
Brighton06 Aug 20266f 210y · Class 6 · Good To Firm · 8 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	10/3	-8.42ppOpen → 10am	11/2	+1.28pp10am → 1pm	5/1	+1.52pp1pm → SP	9/2	2nd	-5.63pp
Post-race comment
Brighton21 Jun 20266f 210y · Class 6 · Good To Firm · 10 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	13/2	-0.83ppOpen → 10am	7/1	-4.81pp10am → 1pm	12/1	+0.00pp1pm → SP	12/1	2nd	-5.64pp
Post-race comment
Bath05 Jun 20265f 160y · Class 6 · Good · 9 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	4/1	-1.82ppOpen → 10am	9/2	+1.82pp10am → 1pm	4/1	-3.33pp1pm → SP	5/1	2nd	-3.33pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today5f 21y · Class 6 · Standard · 11 runners	15/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.12ppOpen → now	15/2Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.12pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 3 of 10 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Spirited Dancer is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Brighton · 06 Aug 2026 · 2nd · 1/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Wolverhampton (AW) · previous Brighton×Trip (within ½f): Today 5f 21y · previous 6f 210y×Ground: Today Standard · previous Good To Firm✓Class: Class 6

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

The price has been unpredictable before and may move sharply again. (moderate)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

No positive support trigger.

This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.

Today: +0.12pp

Possible next price: 15/2

10 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

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Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Wolverhampton (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

HvarDraw 6

Trainer: John & Sean Quinn

Jockey: Ray Dawson

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer John & Sean Quinn (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 23/246; first seen between 10am and 1pm 16/246; first seen after 1pm 10/246.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/6; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/6; first seen after 1pm 0/6.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.53pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 7/33 won (21.2%); Open→SP 9/34 won (26.5%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 36.4% (4/11).

↔ SAME CLASS

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run15 days ago · 17 Sep 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

Often drifts in the market

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Late PM

Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

10am plunger

Early money horse (33%)

17:55Wolverhampton (AW)

Opened 12/1Market avg 11/1

11/1 ↑ 12/1 ↓ 11/1 ↓ 10/1 ↑ 12/1 ↓ 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 ↓ 10/1 ↑ 11/1

PRICE MOVE

+0.53pp (+6.4%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

83th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE83rd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE

Only 1 of 6 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 8th at Southwell (AW) on 17 Sep 2026 (+6.43pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 6.4% • +0.53 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Southwell (AW), 17 Sep 2026 — 8th • open 28/1 → final 12/1 (+4.12pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

12/1 13 decimal BetWright

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today5f 21y · Class 6 · Standard · 11 runners	12/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.53ppOpen → now	11/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.53pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today5f 21y · Class 6 · Standard · 11 runners	12/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.53ppOpen → now	11/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.53pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 1 of 6 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Hvar is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

Limited data: one similar run only.

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

6 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.

Today: +0.53pp

Possible next price: 11/1

6 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

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Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

Lady BouquetDraw 11

Trainer: Philip Kirby

Jockey: M. P. Sheehy

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Philip Kirby (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 32/320; first seen between 10am and 1pm 22/320; first seen after 1pm 8/320.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/11; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/11; first seen after 1pm 0/11.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.90pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 12/51 won (23.5%); Open→SP 11/51 won (21.6%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 39.1% (9/23).

↔ SAME CLASS

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run13 days ago · 19 Sep 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

Often drifts in the market

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Pre-Off

Runs: 11 | Fixed-odds range: 9/1 → 9/1 | Avg: 9/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.

10am plunger

Late money horse (27%)

17:55Wolverhampton (AW)

Opened 16/1Market avg 14/1

14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 ↓ 12/1 ↑ 16/1 ↓ 14/1 → 14/1

PRICE MOVE

+0.90pp (+13.3%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

82th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE82nd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE

2 of 11 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 1st at Musselburgh on 24 Aug 2026 (+1.40pp); and finished 9th at Ripon on 18 Jul 2026 (+1.90pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 13.3% • +0.90 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Ripon, 18 Jul 2026 — 9th • open 20/1 → final 12/1 (+2.93pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

16/1 17 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today5f 21y · Class 6 · Standard · 11 runners	16/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.90ppOpen → now	14/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.90pp
Musselburgh24 Aug 20265f 1y · Class 6 · Good · 10 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	12/1	+1.40ppOpen → 10am	10/1	+2.02pp10am → 1pm	8/1	-1.11pp1pm → SP	9/1	1st	+2.31pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today5f 21y · Class 6 · Standard · 11 runners	16/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.90ppOpen → now	14/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.90pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 2 of 11 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Lady Bouquet is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Musselburgh · 24 Aug 2026 · 1st · 2/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Wolverhampton (AW) · previous Musselburgh✓Trip (within ½f): 5f 21y×Ground: Today Standard · previous Good✓Class: Class 6

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

N/A

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

11 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.

Today: +0.90pp

Possible next price: 14/1

11 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Course record
Course evidence at Wolverhampton (AW) is limited (2 runs without making the frame). Today's market is 13% shorter than usual against an average course SP profile of 17.0.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

TeardropsDraw 2

Trainer: Tony Carroll

Jockey: Molly Gunn(5)

🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Tony Carroll (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 101/906; first seen between 10am and 1pm 52/906; first seen after 1pm 28/906.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/10; first seen between 10am and 1pm 2/10; first seen after 1pm 0/10.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.07pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

↔ SAME CLASS

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run96 days ago · 28 Jun 2026

Distance changeDown 1f from last run

Often drifts in the market

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: 10am

Runs: 10 | Fixed-odds range: 11/8 → 4/1 | Avg: 3/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

Early money horse (30%)

17:55Wolverhampton (AW)

Opened 14/1Market avg 14/1

16/1 ↓ 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 ↑ 20/1 ↓ 14/1 → 14/1

PRICE MOVE

-0.07pp (-1.1%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

5 of 10 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 10th at Wolverhampton (AW) on 28 Jun 2026 (-1.40pp); finished 11th at Wolverhampton (AW) on 01 Jun 2026 (-5.10pp); finished 4th at Kempton (AW) on 08 Apr 2026 (-4.27pp); finished 3rd at Newcastle (AW) on 27 Mar 2026 (-16.81pp); and finished 2nd at Newcastle (AW) on 06 Mar 2026 (-6.35pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 1.1% • -0.07 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Newcastle (AW), 27 Mar 2026 — 3rd • open 5/2 → final 11/2 (-13.19pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

20/1 21 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today5f 21y · Class 6 · Standard · 11 runners	14/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.07ppOpen → now	14/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.07pp
Newcastle (AW)06 Mar 20266f · Class 6 · Standard · 8 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	5/2	-6.35ppOpen → 10am	7/2	+0.87pp10am → 1pm	10/3	-0.87pp1pm → SP	7/2	2nd	-6.35pp
Post-race comment
Newcastle (AW)20 Jan 20266f · Class 6 · Standard · 9 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	5/2	+2.20ppOpen → 10am	9/4	+7.25pp10am → 1pm	13/8	+1.98pp1pm → SP	6/4	2nd	+11.43pp
Post-race comment
Newcastle (AW)13 Jan 20266f · Class 6 · Standard · 7 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	4/1	+2.22ppOpen → 10am	7/2	-4.04pp10am → 1pm	9/2	+1.82pp1pm → SP	4/1	1st	+0.00pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today5f 21y · Class 6 · Standard · 11 runners	14/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.07ppOpen → now	14/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.07pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

5 of 10 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Teardrops is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Newcastle (AW) · 06 Mar 2026 · 2nd · 2/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Wolverhampton (AW) · previous Newcastle (AW)×Trip (within ½f): Today 5f 21y · previous 6f✓Ground: Standard✓Class: Class 6

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

Limited data: one similar run only.

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

No positive support trigger.

This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.

Today: -0.07pp

Possible next price: 14/1

10 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Course record
No placed efforts from 2 previous runs at Wolverhampton (AW). The current market is 34% shorter than usual compared with a typical course SP of 23.0.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

BananaDraw 9

Trainer: Scott Dixon

Jockey: Christian Howarth(3)

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Scott Dixon (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 27/372; first seen between 10am and 1pm 16/372; first seen after 1pm 14/372.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/4; first seen between 10am and 1pm 2/4; first seen after 1pm 0/4.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.48pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 4/38 won (10.5%); Open→SP 5/44 won (11.4%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 16.7% (3/18).

↔ SAME CLASS

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run17 days ago · 15 Sep 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

No consistent price pattern yet

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Pre-Off

Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 3/1 → 3/1 | Avg: 3/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

Late money horse (50%)

17:55Wolverhampton (AW)

Opened 20/1Market avg 18/1

18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 ↓ 16/1 ↑ 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 ↓ 16/1 ↑ 20/1

PRICE MOVE

+0.48pp (+9.1%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

2 of 4 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 3rd at Lingfield (AW) on 25 Aug 2026 (+1.96pp); and finished 2nd at Chepstow on 03 Jul 2026 (+3.33pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 9.1% • +0.48 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Chepstow, 03 Jul 2026 — 2nd • open 5/1 → final 3/1 (+8.33pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

20/1 21 decimal 7Bet

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today5f 21y · Class 6 · Standard · 11 runners	20/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.48ppOpen → now	18/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.48pp
Chepstow03 Jul 20265f 15y · Class 6 · Good To Firm · 8 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	5/1	+3.33ppOpen → 10am	4/1	+8.57pp10am → 1pm	5/2	+0.00pp1pm → SP	5/2	2nd	+11.90pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today5f 21y · Class 6 · Standard · 11 runners	20/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.48ppOpen → now	18/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.48pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

2 of 4 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Banana is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Chepstow · 03 Jul 2026 · 2nd · 2/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Wolverhampton (AW) · previous Chepstow✓Trip (within ½f): 5f 21y×Ground: Today Standard · previous Good To Firm✓Class: Class 6

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

This early support is unusual; the price has often drifted again later. (moderate)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

4 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.

Today: +0.48pp

Possible next price: 22/1

4 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Wolverhampton (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

Race market overview as at 04:30

Supported0 of 11 runners at +4pp or more
Drifting0 of 11 runners at −4pp or worse
Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.

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