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The strongest horse and trainer evidence from the races coming up next.

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Runners Today
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AscotDundalk (AW)Gowran ParkHexhamNewcastle (AW)Wolverhampton (AW)
ALLBACKED 💰DRIFTERS
01 · Strongest support
Racing silks
Ballynoe Boy
50
15:23 Hexham
+3.63pp
True move after NR adjustment · 5/2 → 2/1
02 · Repeat evidence
No repeat signal active
No upcoming runner currently matches a previous successful market pattern.
03 · Weak favourite
Favourites currently holding
No short-priced upcoming runner has weakened by at least 2 probability points.
Runner
Bookmaker move
Evidence
What to do next
13:38Hexham • 2m0f48y • Class 4 • Going: Good
7 runners
Market Intelligence
Weakest support: Credit Union (-0.19 probability points)
Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

Racing silksRide Like A Girl
Trainer: Jamie Snowden
Jockey: Gavin Sheehan
🔴 Ignores MarketThis horse has won or placed despite drifting. Market weakness does NOT negatively impact performance. Can be a value angle when price weakens.
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Jamie Snowden (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 50/232; first seen between 10am and 1pm 13/232; first seen after 1pm 9/232.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/3; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/3; first seen after 1pm 0/3.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.06pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run24 days ago · 8 Sep 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: 9/4 → 4/1 | Avg: 3/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Best at SP (67%)
13:38Hexham
Opened 5/6Market avg 5/6
5/6 ↑ 10/11 ↓ 5/6 ↓ 4/5 → 4/5 ↑ 5/6 ↓ 4/5 ↑ EVS ↓ 4/5 → 4/5
PRICE MOVE
-0.06pp (-0.1%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 1 of 3 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 2nd at Uttoxeter on 07 Jul 2026 (-19.05pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 0.1% • -0.06 probability points
Built 00:00 → 04:11
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Uttoxeter, 07 Jul 2026 — 2nd • open 11/10 → final 9/4 (-16.85pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
EVS 2 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
HexhamToday2m 48y · Class 4 · Good · 7 runners5/6—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—-0.06ppOpen → now5/6Current; SP pendingPending-0.06pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 1 of 3 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Ride Like A Girl is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Bangor-on-Dee · 08 Sep 2026 · 2nd · 3/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Hexham · previous Bangor-on-Dee✓Trip (within ½f): 2m 48y✓Ground: Good✓Class: Class 4
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
The price has been unpredictable before and may move sharply again. (strong)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
No positive support trigger.
This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.
Today: -0.06pp
Possible next price: 4/5
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Racing silksDark Tide Rising
Trainer: Tom George
Jockey: Kielan Woods
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Tom George (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 4/39; first seen between 10am and 1pm 6/39; first seen after 1pm 0/39.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 2 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.23pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
⬆ CLASS RISE
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run28 days ago · 4 Sep 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: 9/1 → 9/1 | Avg: 9/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
13:38Hexham
Opened 11/10Market avg 11/10
11/10 → 11/10 → 11/10 → 11/10 → 11/10 → 11/10 → 11/10 ↓ EVS ↑ 11/10 → 11/10
PRICE MOVE
-0.23pp (-0.5%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
Raw Open → Now price change: 0.5% • -0.23 probability points
Previous market evidence

No previous open-to-final drift in the recorded sample.

BEST FIXED ODDS
5/4 2.25 decimal Paddy Power
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
HexhamToday2m 48y · Class 4 · Good · 7 runners11/10—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—-0.23ppOpen → now11/10Current; SP pendingPending-0.23pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. It is also stepping up from Class 5 to Class 4, which adds another test today. Today’s move: Dark Tide Rising is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Worcester · 04 Sep 2026 · 1st · 2/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Hexham · previous Worcester✓Trip (within ½f): 2m 48y✓Ground: Good×Class: Today Class 4 · previous Class 5
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have usually held their position.
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
2 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: -0.23pp
Possible next price: 11/10
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Racing silksRhythm of Life
Trainer: Tom George
Jockey: Mr Harry O'Dwyer(7)
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Tom George (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 4/39; first seen between 10am and 1pm 6/39; first seen after 1pm 0/39.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 1 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.49pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run12 days ago · 20 Sep 2026
Distance changeDown 4.3f from last run
Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.
13:38Hexham
Opened 12/1Market avg 12/1
14/1 ↓ 12/1 ↑ 14/1 ↓ 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 ↓ 11/1 ↑ 14/1 ↓ 12/1 → 12/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.49pp (-6.7%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
Raw Open → Now price change: 6.7% • -0.49 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Plumpton, 20 Sep 2026 — 4th • open 11/2 → final 10/1 (-6.06pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
14/1 15 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
HexhamToday2m 48y · Class 4 · Good · 7 runners12/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—-0.49ppOpen → now12/1Current; SP pendingPending-0.49pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Rhythm of Life is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
1 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: -0.49pp
Possible next price: 12/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Racing silksWhin Cover
Trainer: John Dawson
Jockey: Conor O'Farrell
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer John Dawson (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 4/31; first seen between 10am and 1pm 6/31; first seen after 1pm 0/31.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 1 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.06pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
⬆ CLASS RISE
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run40 days ago · 23 Aug 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.
13:38Hexham
Opened 16/1Market avg 16/1
18/1 ↓ 14/1 ↑ 16/1 ↓ 14/1 ↑ 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 ↑ 28/1 ↓ 14/1 ↑ 16/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.06pp (-1.0%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
Raw Open → Now price change: 1% • -0.06 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Worcester, 23 Aug 2026 — 5th • open 33/1 → final 50/1 (-1.16pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
28/1 29 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
HexhamToday2m 48y · Class 4 · Good · 7 runners16/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—-0.06ppOpen → now16/1Current; SP pendingPending-0.06pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. It is also stepping up from Class 5 to Class 4, which adds another test today. Today’s move: Whin Cover is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
1 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: -0.06pp
Possible next price: 16/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Racing silksEbchester
Trainer: Susan Corbett
Jockey: Nathan Moscrop
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Susan Corbett (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 12/100; first seen between 10am and 1pm 4/100; first seen after 1pm 7/100.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 2 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.06pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run111 days ago · 13 Jun 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
13:38Hexham
Opened 16/1Market avg 16/1
18/1 ↓ 14/1 ↑ 16/1 ↓ 14/1 ↑ 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 ↑ 28/1 ↓ 14/1 ↑ 16/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.06pp (-1.0%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
Raw Open → Now price change: 1% • -0.06 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Hexham, 13 Jun 2026 — 4th • open 8/1 → final 18/1 (-5.85pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
28/1 29 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
HexhamToday2m 48y · Class 4 · Good · 7 runners16/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—-0.06ppOpen → now16/1Current; SP pendingPending-0.06pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Ebchester is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
2 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: -0.06pp
Possible next price: 16/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Hexham. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Racing silksLecanvey Lady
Trainer: Martin Todhunter
Jockey: Callum Bewley
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Martin Todhunter (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 7/58; first seen between 10am and 1pm 5/58; first seen after 1pm 3/58.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 0 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.05pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
13:38Hexham
Opened 50/1Market avg 50/1
50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.05pp (-2.6%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
Raw Open → Now price change: 2.6% • -0.05 probability points
BEST FIXED ODDS
66/1 67 decimal Betfair Sportsbook
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
HexhamToday2m 48y · Class 4 · Good · 7 runners50/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—-0.05ppOpen → now50/1Current; SP pendingPending-0.05pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Lecanvey Lady is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 50/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Racing silksCredit Union
Trainer: Jessica Bedi
Jockey: Conor Rabbitt(3)
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Jessica Bedi (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 7/92; first seen between 10am and 1pm 2/92; first seen after 1pm 2/92.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/4; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/4; first seen after 1pm 0/4.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.19pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run35 days ago · 28 Aug 2026
Distance changeDown 3.6f from last run
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Best at SP (50%)
13:38Hexham
Opened 100/1Market avg 100/1
100/1 ↓ 100/1 ↑ 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 ↓ 100/1 ↑ 100/1 ↓ 100/1 ↑ 100/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.19pp (-23.1%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
2 of 4 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 6th at Sedgefield on 28 Aug 2026 (-78.74pp); and finished 10th at Market Rasen on 15 Aug 2026 (-0.99pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 23.1% • -0.19 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Sedgefield, 28 Aug 2026 — 6th • open 2/9 → final 100/1 (-81.17pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
100/1 151 decimal 7Bet
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
HexhamToday2m 48y · Class 4 · Good · 7 runners100/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—-0.19ppOpen → now100/1Current; SP pendingPending-0.19pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

2 of 4 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Credit Union is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
The price has been unpredictable before and may move sharply again. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
4 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: -0.19pp
Possible next price: 100/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Race market overview as at 04:28
  • Supported0 of 7 runners at +4pp or more
  • Drifting0 of 7 runners at −4pp or worse
  • Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
  • Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.
14:13Hexham • 2m4f28y • Class 5 • Going: Good
7 runners
Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

Racing silksDante's Inferno
Trainer: Tony Culhane & Stella Barclay
Jockey: David Noonan
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Tony Culhane & Stella Barclay (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 9/89; first seen between 10am and 1pm 9/89; first seen after 1pm 7/89.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/3; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/3; first seen after 1pm 0/3.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.92pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/14 won (7.1%); Open→SP 2/20 won (10%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 11.1% (1/9).
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run6 days ago · 26 Sep 2026
Distance changeUp 1.5f from last run
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: 17/2 → 17/2 | Avg: 17/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (100%)
14:13Hexham
Opened 11/8Market avg 11/8
11/8 ↓ 5/4 ↑ 11/8 ↓ 5/4 ↑ 11/8 → 11/8 ↓ 5/4 ↑ 11/8 ↓ 5/4 ↑ 11/8
PRICE MOVE
+0.92pp (+2.1%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
3 of 3 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 2nd at Market Rasen on 26 Sep 2026 (+3.21pp); finished 6th at Bangor-on-Dee on 04 Sep 2026 (+3.21pp); and finished 7th at Bangor-on-Dee on 16 May 2026 (+1.40pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 2.1% • +0.92 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Market Rasen, 26 Sep 2026 — 2nd • open 16/1 → final 17/2 (+4.64pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
11/8 2.38 decimal 7Bet
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
HexhamToday2m 4f 28y · Class 5 · Good · 7 runners11/8—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.92ppOpen → now11/8Current; SP pendingPending+0.92pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

3 of 3 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Dante's Inferno is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Market Rasen · 26 Sep 2026 · 2nd · 2/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Hexham · previous Market Rasen×Trip (within ½f): Today 2m 4f 28y · previous 2m 2f 140y✓Ground: Good✓Class: Class 5
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (strong)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
3 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: +0.92pp
Possible next price: 11/8
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
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Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Racing silksDrumlee Myth
Trainer: Sean McParlan
Jockey: Mr N. McParlan(3)
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Timing evidence for Trainer Sean McParlan: only 1 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 2 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +1.08pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/0 won (0%); Open→SP 0/0 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run48 days ago · 15 Aug 2026
Distance changeDown 3.8f from last run
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: 16/1 → 16/1 | Avg: 16/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
14:13Hexham
Opened 5/2Market avg 9/4
5/2 ↓ 9/4 ↑ 5/2 ↓ 9/4 ↑ 5/2 ↓ 9/4 ↑ 5/2 ↑ 11/4 ↓ 9/4 → 9/4
PRICE MOVE
+1.08pp (+3.6%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
Raw Open → Now price change: 3.6% • +1.08 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Perth, 15 Aug 2026 — 6th • open 9/2 → final 5/2 (+10.39pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
11/4 3.75 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
HexhamToday2m 4f 28y · Class 5 · Good · 7 runners5/2—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+1.08ppOpen → now9/4Current; SP pendingPending+1.08pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Drumlee Myth is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Cartmel · 20 Jul 2026 · 1st · 2/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Hexham · previous Cartmel×Trip (within ½f): Today 2m 4f 28y · previous 2m 6f 31y✓Ground: Good✓Class: Class 5
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
2 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: +1.08pp
Possible next price: 9/4
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Racing silksOrder Another One
Trainer: Dianne Sayer
Jockey: Ryan Mania
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Dianne Sayer (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 4/66; first seen between 10am and 1pm 2/66; first seen after 1pm 3/66.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/3; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/3; first seen after 1pm 0/3.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.72pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
⬇ CLASS DROP
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run74 days ago · 20 Jul 2026
Distance changeUp 2.9f from last run
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (67%)
14:13Hexham
Opened 5/1Market avg 11/2
11/2 ↓ 5/1 ↑ 11/2 ↓ 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 ↑ 13/2 ↓ 5/1 → 5/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.72pp (-4.5%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 1 of 3 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 5th at Cartmel on 18 Jul 2026 (-0.75pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 4.5% • -0.72 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Cartmel, 18 Jul 2026 — 5th • open 66/1 → final 80/1 (-0.17pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
13/2 7.5 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
HexhamToday2m 4f 28y · Class 5 · Good · 7 runners5/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—-0.72ppOpen → now11/2Current; SP pendingPending-0.72pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 1 of 3 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. The horse drops from Class 4 to Class 5, but the market has not responded with meaningful support. Today’s move: Order Another One is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (strong)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
3 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: -0.72pp
Possible next price: 5/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Racing silksKnockeranna Rose
Trainer: Susan Corbett
Jockey: Conor Rabbitt(3)
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Susan Corbett (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 12/100; first seen between 10am and 1pm 4/100; first seen after 1pm 7/100.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/8; first seen between 10am and 1pm 1/8; first seen after 1pm 0/8.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.03pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/12 won (8.3%); Open→SP 2/19 won (10.5%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run103 days ago · 21 Jun 2026
Distance changeUp 3.9f from last run
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Early
Runs: 8 | Fixed-odds range: 8/1 → 8/1 | Avg: 8/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Mid-market mover (38%)
14:13Hexham
Opened 15/2Market avg 15/2
15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 ↓ 7/1 ↑ 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 ↑ 8/1 ↓ 7/1 ↑ 15/2
PRICE MOVE
+0.03pp (+0.2%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
4 of 8 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 4th at Perth on 13 May 2026 (+3.57pp); finished 2nd at Perth on 24 Apr 2026 (+4.86pp); finished 3rd at Carlisle on 04 Apr 2026 (+5.56pp); and finished 8th at Sedgefield on 19 Mar 2026 (+3.43pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 0.2% • +0.03 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Carlisle, 04 Apr 2026 — 3rd • open 8/1 → final 11/2 (+4.27pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
8/1 9 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
HexhamToday2m 4f 28y · Class 5 · Good · 7 runners15/2—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.03ppOpen → now15/2Current; SP pendingPending+0.03pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

4 of 8 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Knockeranna Rose is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Perth · 24 Apr 2026 · 2nd · 3/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Hexham · previous Perth✓Trip (within ½f): 2m 4f 28y✓Ground: Good✓Class: Class 5
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.Comparable moves have had few top-two finishes. Be cautious.
Did the early price move fade?

Recorded examples where 5pp+ early support was followed by a longer final price:

  • Perth, 13 May 2026 — 4th • open 10/3 → 1pm 5/2 → final 11/4
  • Carlisle, 04 Apr 2026 — 3rd • open 8/1 → 10am 5/1 → final 11/2
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
8 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: +0.03pp
Possible next price: 15/2
8 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Hexham. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Racing silksTime Was
Trainer: Philip Kirby
Jockey: Oscar Palmer(7)
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Philip Kirby (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 32/320; first seen between 10am and 1pm 22/320; first seen after 1pm 8/320.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/8; first seen between 10am and 1pm 2/8; first seen after 1pm 0/8.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.00pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 12/51 won (23.5%); Open→SP 11/51 won (21.6%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 39.1% (9/23).
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run23 days ago · 9 Sep 2026
Distance changeDown 6.9f from last run
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Early
Runs: 8 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (25%)
14:13Hexham
Opened 11/1Market avg 11/1
11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.00pp (+0.0%)
No meaningful price change from the open.
Move evidence
63th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE63rd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
3 of 8 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse had no recorded finishing position at Sedgefield on 09 Sep 2026 (+1.97pp); finished 5th at Market Rasen on 05 Jul 2026 (+0.90pp); and finished 4th at Hereford on 12 Jan 2026 (+1.39pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 0% • +0.00 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Sedgefield, 09 Sep 2026 — finish unavailable • open 17/2 → final 7/2 (+11.70pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
12/1 13 decimal Paddy Power
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
HexhamToday2m 4f 28y · Class 5 · Good · 7 runners11/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.00ppOpen → now11/1Current; SP pendingPending+0.00pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 3 of 8 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Time Was is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.Comparable moves have had few top-two finishes. Be cautious.
Did the early price move fade?

No documented early-support reversal in this horse’s recorded checkpoint sample. The older wording referred to finishing results, not a verified intraday price fade.

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
6 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: +0.00pp
Possible next price: 11/1
8 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Racing silksManhatane
Trainer: James Moffatt
Jockey: Brian Hughes
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer James Moffatt (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 13/128; first seen between 10am and 1pm 9/128; first seen after 1pm 4/128.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/4; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/4; first seen after 1pm 0/4.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.02pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 5/21 won (23.8%); Open→SP 6/20 won (30%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 33.3% (3/9).
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run8 days ago · 24 Sep 2026
Distance changeUp 3.9f from last run
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Late PM
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Mid-market mover (25%)
14:13Hexham
Opened 12/1Market avg 12/1
12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 ↓ 11/1 → 11/1 ↑ 12/1 → 12/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.02pp (+0.3%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILETHE STRONGEST MOVE RECORDED (100th percentile)
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest support recorded across 4 previous runs.
Raw Open → Now price change: 0.3% • +0.02 probability points
Previous market evidence

No previous positive open-to-final support in the recorded sample.

BEST FIXED ODDS
14/1 15 decimal Paddy Power
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
HexhamToday2m 4f 28y · Class 5 · Good · 7 runners12/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.02ppOpen → now12/1Current; SP pendingPending+0.02pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READTHIS IS THE HORSE’S STRONGEST RECORDED SUPPORT

Across 4 previous runs, this is the horse’s strongest recorded support. Today’s move: Manhatane is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
4 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: +0.02pp
Possible next price: 12/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Racing silksBouboule
Trainer: Gillian Boanas
Jockey: Leah Noreci(7)
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Gillian Boanas (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/20; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/20; first seen after 1pm 0/20.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/9; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/9; first seen after 1pm 0/9.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.67pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
⬆ CLASS RISE
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run29 days ago · 3 Sep 2026
Distance changeUp 7.7f from last run
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 9 | Fixed-odds range: 16/1 → 16/1 | Avg: 16/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
The price is drifting and is not attracting bookmaker support.
Mid-market mover (22%)
14:13Hexham
Opened 14/1Market avg 16/1
16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 ↓ 14/1 ↑ 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.67pp (-11.1%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
78th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE78th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
2 of 9 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse had no recorded finishing position at Market Rasen on 05 Apr 2026 (-5.88pp); and finished 7th at Newcastle (AW) on 12 Mar 2026 (-1.67pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 11.1% • -0.67 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Musselburgh, 15 Feb 2026 — 5th • open 4/1 → final 10/1 (-10.91pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
16/1 17 decimal 7Bet
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
HexhamToday2m 4f 28y · Class 5 · Good · 7 runners14/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—-0.67ppOpen → now16/1Current; SP pendingPending-0.67pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 2 of 9 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. It is also stepping up from Class 6 to Class 5, which adds another test today. Today’s move: Bouboule is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Newcastle (AW) · 22 Jan 2026 · 2nd · 0/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Hexham · previous Newcastle (AW)×Trip (within ½f): Today 2m 4f 28y · previous 1m 4f 98y×Ground: Today Good · previous Standard×Class: Today Class 5 · previous Class 6
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.Comparable moves have had few top-two finishes. Be cautious.
Did the early price move fade?

No documented early-support reversal in this horse’s recorded checkpoint sample. The older wording referred to finishing results, not a verified intraday price fade.

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
8 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: -0.67pp
Possible next price: 16/1
9 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Hexham. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Race market overview as at 04:28
  • Supported0 of 7 runners at +4pp or more
  • Drifting0 of 7 runners at −4pp or worse
  • Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
  • Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.
14:48Hexham • 2m0f48y • Class 3 • Going: Good
7 runners
Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

Racing silksMr McLoughlan
Trainer: Adrian Keatley
Jockey: Brian Hughes
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Adrian Keatley (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 12/90; first seen between 10am and 1pm 6/90; first seen after 1pm 2/90.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/5; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/5; first seen after 1pm 0/5.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.76pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
⬇ CLASS DROP
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run146 days ago · 9 May 2026
Distance changeUp 0.6f from last run
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (40%)
14:48Hexham
Opened 15/8Market avg 2/1
2/1 → 2/1 → 2/1 → 2/1 ↓ 15/8 ↑ 2/1 ↓ 15/8 ↑ 2/1 → 2/1 → 2/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.76pp (-2.2%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
40th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE40th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
3 of 5 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 6th at Haydock on 09 May 2026 (-2.32pp); finished 6th at Haydock on 04 Apr 2026 (-2.81pp); and finished 3rd at Stratford on 09 Mar 2026 (-5.23pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 2.2% • -0.76 probability points
Built 00:00 → 01:48
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Stratford, 09 Mar 2026 — 3rd • open 8/1 → final 12/1 (-3.42pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
2/1 3 decimal 7Bet
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
HexhamToday2m 48y · Class 3 · Good · 7 runners15/8—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—-0.76ppOpen → now2/1Current; SP pendingPending-0.76pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

3 of 5 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. The horse drops from Class 1 to Class 3, but the market has not responded with meaningful support. Today’s move: Mr McLoughlan is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
5 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: -0.76pp
Possible next price: 2/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Racing silksMoveit Like Minnie
Trainer: Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies
Jockey: Sam Twiston-Davies
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 34/261; first seen between 10am and 1pm 21/261; first seen after 1pm 5/261.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/4; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/4; first seen after 1pm 0/4.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.31pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 8/46 won (17.4%); Open→SP 8/43 won (18.6%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
⬇ CLASS DROP
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run166 days ago · 19 Apr 2026
Distance changeDown 8.8f from last run
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Mid
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 10/3 → 10/3 | Avg: 10/3Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (25%)
14:48Hexham
Opened 3/1Market avg 3/1
3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 ↑ 10/3 ↓ 3/1 → 3/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.31pp (+1.2%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 1 of 4 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 4th at Ascot on 14 Feb 2026 (+0.76pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 1.2% • +0.31 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Plumpton, 19 Apr 2026 — 9th • open 8/1 → final 7/1 (+1.39pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
10/3 4.33 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
HexhamToday2m 48y · Class 3 · Good · 7 runners3/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.31ppOpen → now3/1Current; SP pendingPending+0.31pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 1 of 4 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. The horse drops from Class 2 to Class 3, but the market has not responded with meaningful support. Today’s move: Moveit Like Minnie is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Wincanton · 23 Mar 2026 · 1st · 2/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Hexham · previous Wincanton×Trip (within ½f): Today 2m 48y · previous 2m 3f 179y✓Ground: Good✓Class: Class 3
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
4 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: +0.31pp
Possible next price: 3/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Racing silksDouble Digits
Trainer: Ann Hamilton
Jockey: Danny McMenamin
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Ann Hamilton (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 3/23; first seen between 10am and 1pm 1/23; first seen after 1pm 2/23.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 2/5; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/5; first seen after 1pm 1/5.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.14pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 2/4 won (50%); Open→SP 2/6 won (33.3%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 50% (2/4).
⬆ CLASS RISE
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run131 days ago · 24 May 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 13/8 → 7/2 | Avg: 9/4Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (60%)
14:48Hexham
Opened 9/2Market avg 9/2
9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 ↓ 4/1 ↑ 5/1 ↓ 9/2 → 9/2
PRICE MOVE
+0.14pp (+0.8%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
40th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE40th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
3 of 5 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 2nd at Kelso on 24 May 2026 (+9.72pp); finished 2nd at Hexham on 02 May 2026 (+4.85pp); and finished 1st at Sedgefield on 04 Feb 2026 (+15.38pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 0.8% • +0.14 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Sedgefield, 04 Feb 2026 — 1st • open 11/2 → final 2/1 (+17.95pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
5/1 6 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
HexhamToday2m 48y · Class 3 · Good · 7 runners9/2—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.14ppOpen → now9/2Current; SP pendingPending+0.14pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

3 of 5 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. It is also stepping up from Class 4 to Class 3, which adds another test today. Today’s move: Double Digits is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Hexham · 02 May 2026 · 2nd · 4/4 known conditions match
✓Track: Hexham✓Trip (within ½f): 2m 48y✓Ground: Good✓Class: Class 3
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (strong)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
No positive support trigger.
This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.
Today: +0.14pp
Possible next price: 9/2
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Hexham. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Racing silksBanderas
Trainer: Sam England
Jockey: Jonathan England
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Sam England (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 34/275; first seen between 10am and 1pm 21/275; first seen after 1pm 13/275.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/3; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/3; first seen after 1pm 0/3.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.66pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 14/50 won (28%); Open→SP 16/52 won (30.8%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 31.8% (7/22).
⬆ CLASS RISE
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run109 days ago · 15 Jun 2026
Distance changeUp 2.1f from last run
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: 14/1 → 14/1 | Avg: 14/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (100%)
14:48Hexham
Opened 5/1Market avg 5/1
5/1 ↓ 9/2 ↑ 5/1 ↓ 9/2 → 9/2 ↑ 5/1 ↓ 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2
PRICE MOVE
+0.66pp (+3.8%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
3 of 3 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 5th at Carlisle on 15 Jun 2026 (+8.55pp); finished 1st at Hexham on 19 May 2026 (+1.81pp); and finished 5th at Hexham on 02 May 2026 (+1.03pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 3.8% • +0.66 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Carlisle, 15 Jun 2026 — 5th • open 7/2 → final 5/2 (+6.35pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
11/2 6.5 decimal Midnite
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
HexhamToday2m 48y · Class 3 · Good · 7 runners5/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.66ppOpen → now5/1Current; SP pendingPending+0.66pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

3 of 3 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. It is also stepping up from Class 5 to Class 3, which adds another test today. Today’s move: Banderas is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Hexham · 19 May 2026 · 1st · 2/4 known conditions match
✓Track: Hexham×Trip (within ½f): Today 2m 48y · previous 2m 4f 28y✓Ground: Good×Class: Today Class 3 · previous Class 4
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (strong)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
3 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: +0.66pp
Possible next price: 4/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Course record
Previous course evidence shows 1 placed efforts from 2 runs at Hexham. Compared with an average course SP of 11.0, today's price is 48% shorter than usual.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Racing silksWinds of Winter
Trainer: George Bewley
Jockey: Jonathon Bewley
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer George Bewley (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 6/71; first seen between 10am and 1pm 2/71; first seen after 1pm 4/71.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/5; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/5; first seen after 1pm 0/5.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.47pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run76 days ago · 18 Jul 2026
Distance changeDown 1f from last run
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 9/2 → 9/2 | Avg: 9/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
The price is drifting and is not attracting bookmaker support.
Early money horse (60%)
14:48Hexham
Opened 11/2Market avg 6/1
13/2 ↓ 6/1 ↑ 13/2 ↓ 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 ↓ 11/2 ↑ 13/2 ↓ 6/1 → 6/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.47pp (-10.6%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
80th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE80th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
Only 1 of 5 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse had no recorded finishing position at Perth on 23 Apr 2026 (-4.23pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 10.6% • -1.47 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Perth, 23 Apr 2026 — finish unavailable • open 14/1 → final 50/1 (-4.71pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
7/1 8 decimal Midnite
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
HexhamToday2m 48y · Class 3 · Good · 7 runners11/2—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—-1.47ppOpen → now6/1Current; SP pendingPending-1.47pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 1 of 5 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Winds of Winter is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Cartmel · 18 Jul 2026 · 2nd · 2/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Hexham · previous Cartmel×Trip (within ½f): Today 2m 48y · previous 2m 1f 46y✓Ground: Good✓Class: Class 3
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (strong)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
4 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: -1.47pp
Possible next price: 6/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Course record
This horse is 0/2 at Hexham on our records. Today's market is 66% shorter than usual against an average course SP of 21.3.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Racing silksTwo Auld Pals
Trainer: Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore
Jockey: Gregor Walkingshaw(10)
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 46/408; first seen between 10am and 1pm 23/408; first seen after 1pm 15/408.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 2/5; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/5; first seen after 1pm 1/5.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.39pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
⬆ CLASS RISE
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run14 days ago · 18 Sep 2026
Distance changeUp 3.1f from last run
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 4/1 → 4/1 | Avg: 4/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (60%)
14:48Hexham
Opened 11/1Market avg 12/1
12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 ↓ 11/1 → 11/1 ↑ 12/1 ↓ 10/1 ↑ 12/1 ↓ 11/1 → 11/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.39pp (-4.9%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
60th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE60th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
2 of 5 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 7th at Ayr on 18 Sep 2026 (-2.32pp); and finished 1st at Hexham on 09 May 2026 (-3.43pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 4.9% • -0.39 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Ayr, 18 Sep 2026 — 7th • open 20/1 → final 33/1 (-1.82pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
12/1 13 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
HexhamToday2m 48y · Class 3 · Good · 7 runners11/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—-0.39ppOpen → now12/1Current; SP pendingPending-0.39pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 2 of 5 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. It is also stepping up from Class 5 to Class 3, which adds another test today. Today’s move: Two Auld Pals is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Hexham · 09 May 2026 · 1st · 2/4 known conditions match
✓Track: Hexham✓Trip (within ½f): 2m 48y×Ground: Today Good · previous Soft×Class: Today Class 3 · previous Class 5
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (strong)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
5 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: -0.39pp
Possible next price: 10/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Course record
Previous course evidence shows 1 placed efforts from 2 runs at Hexham. Compared with an average course SP of 4.0, today's price is 215% bigger than usual.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Racing silksKaikoura
Trainer: Susan Corbett
Jockey: Nathan Moscrop
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Susan Corbett (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 12/100; first seen between 10am and 1pm 4/100; first seen after 1pm 7/100.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 1 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.52pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
⬆ CLASS RISE
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run89 days ago · 5 Jul 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.
14:48Hexham
Opened 11/1Market avg 12/1
12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 ↓ 11/1 → 11/1 ↑ 12/1 ↓ 11/1 ↑ 14/1 ↓ 11/1 → 11/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.52pp (-6.6%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
Raw Open → Now price change: 6.6% • -0.52 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Market Rasen, 05 Jul 2026 — 4th • open 8/1 → final 18/1 (-5.85pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
14/1 15 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
HexhamToday2m 48y · Class 3 · Good · 7 runners11/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—-0.52ppOpen → now12/1Current; SP pendingPending-0.52pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. It is also stepping up from Class 4 to Class 3, which adds another test today. Today’s move: Kaikoura is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
1 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: -0.52pp
Possible next price: 10/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Race market overview as at 04:28
  • Supported0 of 7 runners at +4pp or more
  • Drifting0 of 7 runners at −4pp or worse
  • Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
  • Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.
15:23Hexham • 2m4f28y • Class 4 • Going: Good
10 runners
Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

Racing silksBallynoe Boy
Trainer: Nicky Richards
Jockey: Danny McMenamin
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Nicky Richards (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 37/158; first seen between 10am and 1pm 18/158; first seen after 1pm 4/158.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 2/4; first seen between 10am and 1pm 1/4; first seen after 1pm 0/4.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +3.63pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 17/45 won (37.8%); Open→SP 16/44 won (36.4%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 39.1% (9/23).
⬆ CLASS RISE
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run28 days ago · 4 Sep 2026
Distance changeUp 0.6f from last run
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 3/1 → 13/2 | Avg: 9/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Early money horse (50%)
15:23Hexham
Opened 5/2Market avg 2/1
2/1 → 2/1 → 2/1 ↑ 9/4 ↑ 9/4 ↓ 2/1 ↑ 9/4 ↓ 2/1 ↑ 9/4 ↑ 9/4
PRICE MOVE
+3.63pp (+11.3%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
25th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE25th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
3 of 4 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 1st at Bangor-on-Dee on 04 Sep 2026 (+5.27pp); finished 4th at Cartmel on 28 Jun 2026 (+5.19pp); and finished 7th at Uttoxeter on 13 Jun 2026 (+4.27pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 11.3% • +3.63 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Bangor-on-Dee, 04 Sep 2026 — 1st • open 5/1 → final 3/1 (+8.05pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
5/2 3.5 decimal Betfair Sportsbook
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
HexhamToday2m 4f 28y · Class 4 · Good · 10 runners5/2—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+3.63ppOpen → now2/1Current; SP pendingPending+3.63pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

3 of 4 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. It is also stepping up from Class 5 to Class 4, which adds another test today. Today’s move: Ballynoe Boy is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Bangor-on-Dee · 04 Sep 2026 · 1st · 1/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Hexham · previous Bangor-on-Dee×Trip (within ½f): Today 2m 4f 28y · previous 2m 3f 123y✓Ground: Good×Class: Today Class 4 · previous Class 5
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
No positive support trigger.
This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.
Today: +3.63pp
Possible next price: 5/2
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Racing silksCoded Welder
Trainer: Cian Collins
Jockey: Sean Bowen
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Cian Collins (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 10/223; first seen between 10am and 1pm 13/223; first seen after 1pm 10/223.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/4; first seen between 10am and 1pm 1/4; first seen after 1pm 0/4.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.94pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run32 days ago · 31 Aug 2026
Distance changeDown 1.7f from last run
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 9/2 → 9/2 | Avg: 9/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (50%)
15:23Hexham
Opened 10/3Market avg 7/2
7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 ↑ 4/1 ↓ 7/2 ↓ 10/3
PRICE MOVE
-0.94pp (-4.2%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
25th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE25th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
3 of 4 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 8th at Galway (IRE) on 29 Jul 2026 (-3.90pp); finished 2nd at Cork (IRE) on 10 May 2026 (-2.42pp); and finished 10th at Limerick (IRE) on 27 Dec 2025 (-2.43pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 4.2% • -0.94 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Limerick (IRE), 27 Dec 2025 — 10th • open 16/1 → final 28/1 (-2.43pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
4/1 5 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
HexhamToday2m 4f 28y · Class 4 · Good · 10 runners10/3—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—-0.94ppOpen → now7/2Current; SP pendingPending-0.94pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

3 of 4 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Coded Welder is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Cork (IRE) · 10 May 2026 · 2nd · 1/3 known conditions match
×Track: Today Hexham · previous Cork (IRE)×Trip (within ½f): Today 2m 4f 28y · previous 2m 3f 50y✓Ground: Good?Class: Data missing
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
4 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: -0.94pp
Possible next price: 10/3
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Racing silksLes's Legacy
Trainer: Susan Corbett
Jockey: Nathan Moscrop
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Susan Corbett (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 12/100; first seen between 10am and 1pm 4/100; first seen after 1pm 7/100.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/6; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/6; first seen after 1pm 0/6.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.13pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/12 won (8.3%); Open→SP 2/19 won (10.5%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
⬆ CLASS RISE
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run92 days ago · 2 Jul 2026
Distance changeDown 3.8f from last run
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Late money horse (33%)
15:23Hexham
Opened 6/1Market avg 6/1
13/2 ↓ 11/2 ↑ 6/1 ↓ 5/1 ↑ 6/1 ↓ 11/2 ↑ 13/2 ↑ 7/1 ↓ 5/1 ↑ 6/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.13pp (+0.9%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
33th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE33rd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
4 of 6 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 8th at Hexham on 13 Jun 2026 (+5.56pp); finished 10th at Hexham on 25 Mar 2026 (+0.64pp); finished 8th at Sedgefield on 19 Feb 2026 (+0.55pp); and finished 10th at Catterick on 21 Jan 2026 (+0.50pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 0.9% • +0.13 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Hexham, 13 Jun 2026 — 8th • open 5/1 → final 9/2 (+1.52pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
7/1 8 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
HexhamToday2m 4f 28y · Class 4 · Good · 10 runners6/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.13ppOpen → now6/1Current; SP pendingPending+0.13pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

4 of 6 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. It is also stepping up from Class 5 to Class 4, which adds another test today. Today’s move: Les's Legacy is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
6 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: +0.13pp
Possible next price: 13/2
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Course record
This horse is 0/2 at Hexham on our records. Today's market is close to its historical average against an average course SP of 6.8.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Racing silksGlory And Honour
Trainer: Sam England
Jockey: Rebecca Hitchen(7)
🟢 Needs Support (6%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Sam England (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 34/275; first seen between 10am and 1pm 21/275; first seen after 1pm 13/275.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/7; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/7; first seen after 1pm 0/7.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.60pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
⬇ CLASS DROP
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run23 days ago · 9 Sep 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Mid
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 17/2 → 12/1 | Avg: 11/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Mid-market mover (29%)
15:23Hexham
Opened 13/2Market avg 7/1
7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 ↓ 13/2 ↑ 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.60pp (-4.7%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
57th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE57th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
3 of 7 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 7th at Market Rasen on 18 Jul 2026 (-2.94pp); finished 4th at Hexham on 21 Jun 2026 (-1.39pp); and finished 7th at Kelso on 06 May 2026 (-10.91pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 4.7% • -0.60 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Kelso, 06 May 2026 — 7th • open 4/1 → final 10/1 (-10.91pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
15/2 8.5 decimal Midnite
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
HexhamToday2m 4f 28y · Class 4 · Good · 10 runners13/2—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—-0.60ppOpen → now7/1Current; SP pendingPending-0.60pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 3 of 7 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. The horse drops from Class 3 to Class 4, but the market has not responded with meaningful support. Today’s move: Glory And Honour is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Hexham · 06 Jun 2026 · 1st · 3/4 known conditions match
✓Track: Hexham×Trip (within ½f): Today 2m 4f 28y · previous 2m 48y✓Ground: Good✓Class: Class 4
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have usually held or strengthened.
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
No positive support trigger.
This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.
Today: -0.60pp
Possible next price: 15/2
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Course record
Previous course evidence shows 1 placed efforts from 2 runs at Hexham. Compared with an average course SP of 9.8, today's price is 19% shorter than usual.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Racing silksKool Raoul
Trainer: Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore
Jockey: Gregor Walkingshaw(10)
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 46/408; first seen between 10am and 1pm 23/408; first seen after 1pm 15/408.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/4; first seen between 10am and 1pm 1/4; first seen after 1pm 0/4.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.12pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 12/57 won (21.1%); Open→SP 15/67 won (22.4%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 34.6% (9/26).
⬆ CLASS RISE
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run172 days ago · 13 Apr 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (50%)
15:23Hexham
Opened 15/2Market avg 15/2
15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 ↓ 7/1 ↑ 15/2 → 15/2 ↑ 8/1 ↓ 15/2 → 15/2
PRICE MOVE
+0.12pp (+1.0%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
2 of 4 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 5th at Hexham on 13 Apr 2026 (+6.84pp); and finished 7th at Ayr on 29 Jan 2026 (+2.42pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 1% • +0.12 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Ayr, 29 Jan 2026 — 7th • open 14/1 → final 7/1 (+5.83pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
8/1 9 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
HexhamToday2m 4f 28y · Class 4 · Good · 10 runners15/2—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.12ppOpen → now15/2Current; SP pendingPending+0.12pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

2 of 4 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. It is also stepping up from Class 5 to Class 4, which adds another test today. Today’s move: Kool Raoul is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
4 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: +0.12pp
Possible next price: 15/2
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Hexham. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Racing silksHopeless Dancer
Trainer: Tim Reed
Jockey: Harry Reed
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Tim Reed (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 2/8; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/8; first seen after 1pm 1/8.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 0 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.73pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
15:23Hexham
Opened 9/1Market avg 10/1
10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 ↓ 9/1 → 9/1 ↑ 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.73pp (-7.9%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
Raw Open → Now price change: 7.9% • -0.73 probability points
BEST FIXED ODDS
11/1 12 decimal Midnite
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
HexhamToday2m 4f 28y · Class 4 · Good · 10 runners9/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—-0.73ppOpen → now10/1Current; SP pendingPending-0.73pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Hopeless Dancer is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 11/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Racing silksDe Deli Counter
Trainer: Mark Walford
Jockey: Jamie Hamilton
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Mark Walford (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 36/302; first seen between 10am and 1pm 18/302; first seen after 1pm 11/302.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/6; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/6; first seen after 1pm 0/6.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.07pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 7/48 won (14.6%); Open→SP 8/46 won (17.4%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 18.2% (4/22).
⬆ CLASS RISE
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run147 days ago · 8 May 2026
Distance changeDown 0.5f from last run
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Late PM
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: 9/2 → 40/1 | Avg: 22/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Mid-market mover (33%)
15:23Hexham
Opened 10/1Market avg 10/1
10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 ↓ 9/1 ↑ 11/1 ↓ 10/1 → 10/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.07pp (+0.8%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
3 of 6 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 1st at Market Rasen on 05 Apr 2026 (+4.85pp); finished 2nd at Market Rasen on 01 Feb 2026 (+0.90pp); and had no recorded finishing position at Newcastle on 15 Jan 2026 (+0.51pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 0.8% • +0.07 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Market Rasen, 05 Apr 2026 — 1st • open 13/2 → final 9/2 (+4.85pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
11/1 12 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
HexhamToday2m 4f 28y · Class 4 · Good · 10 runners10/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.07ppOpen → now10/1Current; SP pendingPending+0.07pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

3 of 6 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. It is also stepping up from Class 5 to Class 4, which adds another test today. Today’s move: De Deli Counter is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Market Rasen · 05 Apr 2026 · 1st · 2/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Hexham · previous Market Rasen✓Trip (within ½f): 2m 4f 28y✓Ground: Good×Class: Today Class 4 · previous Class 5
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
No positive support trigger.
This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.
Today: +0.07pp
Possible next price: 10/1
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Racing silksFinal Straw
Trainer: Martin Todhunter
Jockey: Ryan Mania
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Martin Todhunter (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 7/58; first seen between 10am and 1pm 5/58; first seen after 1pm 3/58.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 0 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.03pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 3/11 won (27.3%); Open→SP 2/10 won (20%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
15:23Hexham
Opened 10/1Market avg 10/1
10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 ↓ 9/1 ↑ 11/1 ↓ 10/1 → 10/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.03pp (+0.4%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
Raw Open → Now price change: 0.4% • +0.03 probability points
BEST FIXED ODDS
11/1 12 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
HexhamToday2m 4f 28y · Class 4 · Good · 10 runners10/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.03ppOpen → now10/1Current; SP pendingPending+0.03pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Final Straw is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 10/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Racing silksWell Educated
Trainer: George Bewley
Jockey: Jonathon Bewley
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer George Bewley (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 6/71; first seen between 10am and 1pm 2/71; first seen after 1pm 4/71.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/5; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/5; first seen after 1pm 0/5.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +1.03pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/6 won (0%); Open→SP 0/8 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
⬇ CLASS DROP
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run76 days ago · 18 Jul 2026
Distance changeUp 2.9f from last run
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 5/2 → 50/1 | Avg: 20/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Early money horse (40%)
15:23Hexham
Opened 14/1Market avg 12/1
12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1
PRICE MOVE
+1.03pp (+13.3%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
80th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE80th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
Only 1 of 5 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 2nd at Hexham on 06 Jun 2026 (+14.17pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 13.3% • +1.03 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Hexham, 06 Jun 2026 — 2nd • open 7/1 → final 5/2 (+16.07pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
14/1 15 decimal Paddy Power
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
HexhamToday2m 4f 28y · Class 4 · Good · 10 runners14/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+1.03ppOpen → now12/1Current; SP pendingPending+1.03pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 1 of 5 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. The horse drops from Class 3 to Class 4, but the market has not responded with meaningful support. Today’s move: Well Educated is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Hexham · 19 May 2026 · 2nd · 4/4 known conditions match
✓Track: Hexham✓Trip (within ½f): 2m 4f 28y✓Ground: Good✓Class: Class 4
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
No positive support trigger.
This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.
Today: +1.03pp
Possible next price: 12/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Course record
This runner has made the frame 3 times from 4 starts at Hexham. Historical course average SP is 14.1, while today's market is close to its historical average.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Racing silksDinons
Trainer: Brian Ellison
Jockey: Joshua Thompson(5)
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Brian Ellison (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 32/351; first seen between 10am and 1pm 23/351; first seen after 1pm 14/351.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/3; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/3; first seen after 1pm 0/3.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.63pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run27 days ago · 5 Sep 2026
Distance changeDown 1.9f from last run
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Early
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (33%)
15:23Hexham
Opened 12/1Market avg 14/1
14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 ↓ 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 ↑ 14/1 → 14/1 ↓ 12/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.63pp (-9.0%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 1 of 3 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 3rd at Hexham on 06 Jun 2026 (-3.07pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 9% • -0.63 probability points
Previous market evidence

No previous open-to-final drift in the recorded sample.

BEST FIXED ODDS
14/1 15 decimal Bet Victor
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
HexhamToday2m 4f 28y · Class 4 · Good · 10 runners12/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—-0.63ppOpen → now14/1Current; SP pendingPending-0.63pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 1 of 3 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Dinons is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
3 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: -0.63pp
Possible next price: 12/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Hexham. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Race market overview as at 04:28
  • Supported0 of 10 runners at +4pp or more
  • Drifting0 of 10 runners at −4pp or worse
  • Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
  • Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.
15:58Hexham • 2m7f63y • Class 5 • Going: Good
5 runners
Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

Racing silksFrisky Whiskey
Trainer: Brian Ellison
Jockey: Brian Hughes
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Brian Ellison (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 32/351; first seen between 10am and 1pm 23/351; first seen after 1pm 14/351.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/5; first seen between 10am and 1pm 1/5; first seen after 1pm 0/5.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.35pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run34 days ago · 29 Aug 2026
Distance changeDown 2.1f from last run
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 5/1 → 5/1 | Avg: 5/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (60%)
15:58Hexham
Opened 6/4Market avg 13/8
13/8 → 13/8 → 13/8 ↓ 6/4 ↑ 13/8 → 13/8 ↓ 6/4 ↑ 13/8 ↓ 6/4 ↑ 13/8
PRICE MOVE
-1.35pp (-3.5%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
80th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE80th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
Only 1 of 5 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 6th at Market Rasen on 28 May 2026 (-1.42pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 3.5% • -1.35 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Market Rasen, 28 May 2026 — 6th • open 18/1 → final 28/1 (-1.81pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
13/8 2.63 decimal 7Bet
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
HexhamToday2m 7f 63y · Class 5 · Good · 5 runners6/4—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—-1.35ppOpen → now13/8Current; SP pendingPending-1.35pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 1 of 5 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Frisky Whiskey is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Cartmel · 29 Aug 2026 · 2nd · 2/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Hexham · previous Cartmel×Trip (within ½f): Today 2m 7f 63y · previous 3m 1f 83y✓Ground: Good✓Class: Class 5
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (strong)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
5 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: -1.35pp
Possible next price: 13/8
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Hexham. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Racing silksStylish Recruit
Trainer: Sandy Thomson
Jockey: Patrick Wadge
🟢 Needs Support (8%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Sandy Thomson (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 19/88; first seen between 10am and 1pm 8/88; first seen after 1pm 6/88.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/7; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/7; first seen after 1pm 0/7.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +1.41pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 8/24 won (33.3%); Open→SP 9/24 won (37.5%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 55.6% (5/9).
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run103 days ago · 21 Jun 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 7/2 → 9/1 | Avg: 6/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (43%)
15:58Hexham
Opened 5/2Market avg 9/4
5/2 ↓ 9/4 ↑ 5/2 ↓ 9/4 ↑ 5/2 ↓ 9/4 → 9/4 ↑ 5/2 ↓ 9/4 → 9/4
PRICE MOVE
+1.41pp (+4.7%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
57th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE57th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
3 of 7 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 1st at Hexham on 21 Jun 2026 (+2.80pp); finished 2nd at Hexham on 06 Jun 2026 (+9.09pp); and finished 1st at Hexham on 13 Apr 2026 (+3.21pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 4.7% • +1.41 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Hexham, 06 Jun 2026 — 2nd • open 10/1 → final 7/2 (+13.13pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
5/2 3.5 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
HexhamToday2m 7f 63y · Class 5 · Good · 5 runners5/2—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+1.41ppOpen → now9/4Current; SP pendingPending+1.41pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 3 of 7 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Stylish Recruit is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Hexham · 21 Jun 2026 · 1st · 4/4 known conditions match
✓Track: Hexham✓Trip (within ½f): 2m 7f 63y✓Ground: Good✓Class: Class 5
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
All 3 previous top-two finishes came with support of 1.28pp+.
At 1.28pp+: 3/4 finished 1st or 2nd (75%).
Today: +1.41pp — trigger reached.
Possible next price: 9/4
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Course record
At Hexham this horse has recorded 3 placed efforts from 4 runs. The current market is 50% shorter than usual against an average course SP profile of 6.6.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Racing silksScottish Dancer
Trainer: Tim Reed
Jockey: Harry Reed
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Tim Reed (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 2/8; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/8; first seen after 1pm 1/8.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/5; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/5; first seen after 1pm 0/5.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.19pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/1 won (0%); Open→SP 0/1 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run24 days ago · 8 Sep 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Early
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 5/1 → 33/1 | Avg: 14/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (20%)
15:58Hexham
Opened 5/2Market avg 5/2
5/2 → 5/2 → 5/2 → 5/2 ↓ 5/2 ↑ 5/2 ↓ 5/2 ↑ 11/4 ↓ 5/2 → 5/2
PRICE MOVE
+0.19pp (+0.7%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
60th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE60th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
2 of 5 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 1st at Bangor-on-Dee on 08 Sep 2026 (+6.49pp); and finished 3rd at Worcester on 28 May 2026 (+4.91pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 0.7% • +0.19 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Bangor-on-Dee, 08 Sep 2026 — 1st • open 13/2 → final 11/2 (+1.87pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
11/4 3.75 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
HexhamToday2m 7f 63y · Class 5 · Good · 5 runners5/2—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.19ppOpen → now5/2Current; SP pendingPending+0.19pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 2 of 5 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Scottish Dancer is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Bangor-on-Dee · 08 Sep 2026 · 1st · 3/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Hexham · previous Bangor-on-Dee✓Trip (within ½f): 2m 7f 63y✓Ground: Good✓Class: Class 5
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have usually held their position.
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
No positive support trigger.
This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.
Today: +0.19pp
Possible next price: 5/2
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Racing silksRobert d'Ores
Trainer: George Bewley
Jockey: Jonathon Bewley
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer George Bewley (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 6/71; first seen between 10am and 1pm 2/71; first seen after 1pm 4/71.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/4; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/4; first seen after 1pm 0/4.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.81pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/6 won (0%); Open→SP 0/8 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
⬇ CLASS DROP
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run118 days ago · 6 Jun 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Mid
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (25%)
15:58Hexham
Opened 9/1Market avg 8/1
17/2 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 17/2 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 17/2 ↓ 8/1 → 8/1 ↑ 17/2 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 17/2
PRICE MOVE
+0.81pp (+7.5%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 1 of 4 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 7th at Hexham on 02 May 2026 (+5.88pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 7.5% • +0.81 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Hexham, 06 Jun 2026 — 6th • open 8/1 → final 6/1 (+3.17pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
9/1 10 decimal Betfair Sportsbook
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
HexhamToday2m 7f 63y · Class 5 · Good · 5 runners9/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.81ppOpen → now8/1Current; SP pendingPending+0.81pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 1 of 4 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. The horse drops from Class 4 to Class 5, but the market has not responded with meaningful support. Today’s move: Robert d'Ores is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
4 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: +0.81pp
Possible next price: 9/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Course record
This horse is 0/2 at Hexham on our records. Today's market is close to its historical average against an average course SP of 9.8.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Racing silksKillybegs Jet Lady
Trainer: Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore
Jockey: Derek Fox
🟢 Needs Support (6%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 46/408; first seen between 10am and 1pm 23/408; first seen after 1pm 15/408.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/5; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/5; first seen after 1pm 1/5.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.18pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 12/57 won (21.1%); Open→SP 15/67 won (22.4%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 34.6% (9/26).
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run34 days ago · 29 Aug 2026
Distance changeDown 2.1f from last run
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 9/4 → 8/1 | Avg: 5/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (20%)
15:58Hexham
Opened 11/1Market avg 11/1
11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 ↓ 10/1 ↑ 11/1 → 11/1 ↓ 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 ↑ 11/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.18pp (+2.1%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
60th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE60th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
2 of 5 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 1st at Kelso on 24 May 2026 (+2.78pp); and finished 2nd at Hexham on 02 May 2026 (+1.39pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 2.1% • +0.18 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Kelso, 24 May 2026 — 1st • open 7/2 → final 9/4 (+8.55pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
11/1 12 decimal 7Bet
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
HexhamToday2m 7f 63y · Class 5 · Good · 5 runners11/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.18ppOpen → now11/1Current; SP pendingPending+0.18pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 2 of 5 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Killybegs Jet Lady is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Kelso · 24 May 2026 · 1st · 3/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Hexham · previous Kelso✓Trip (within ½f): 2m 7f 63y✓Ground: Good✓Class: Class 5
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
No positive support trigger.
This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.
Today: +0.18pp
Possible next price: 11/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Course record
Course record of 1/3 at Hexham. The average SP at this course is 7.7 and today's market has the horse trading 53% bigger than usual.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Race market overview as at 04:28
  • Supported0 of 5 runners at +4pp or more
  • Drifting0 of 5 runners at −4pp or worse
  • Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
  • Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.
16:33Hexham • 2m4f15y • Class 5 • Going: Good
5 runners
Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

Racing silksSoldier In Mayo
Trainer: Donald McCain
Jockey: Theo Gillard
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Donald McCain (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 34/347; first seen between 10am and 1pm 26/347; first seen after 1pm 15/347.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 1 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.00pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 12/49 won (24.5%); Open→SP 14/57 won (24.6%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 28% (7/25).
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run28 days ago · 4 Sep 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: 4/1 → 4/1 | Avg: 4/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.
16:33Hexham
Opened EVSMarket avg EVS
EVS → EVS → EVS → EVS → EVS → EVS → EVS → EVS → EVS → EVS
PRICE MOVE
+0.00pp (+0.0%)
No meaningful price change from the open.
Move evidence
Raw Open → Now price change: 0% • +0.00 probability points
Built 00:00 → 00:16
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Bangor-on-Dee, 04 Sep 2026 — 2nd • open 9/1 → final 4/1 (+10.48pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
EVS 2 decimal 7Bet
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
HexhamToday2m 4f 15y · Class 5 · Good · 5 runnersEVS—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.00ppOpen → nowEVSCurrent; SP pendingPending+0.00pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Soldier In Mayo is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Bangor-on-Dee · 04 Sep 2026 · 2nd · 3/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Hexham · previous Bangor-on-Dee✓Trip (within ½f): 2m 4f 15y✓Ground: Good✓Class: Class 5
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
1 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: +0.00pp
Possible next price: EVS
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Racing silksIllogical Logic
Trainer: David Thompson
Jockey: Ellis Collier(5)
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer David Thompson (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 3/87; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/87; first seen after 1pm 2/87.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/8; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/8; first seen after 1pm 0/8.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.01pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run34 days ago · 29 Aug 2026
Distance changeDown 1.1f from last run
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Early PM
Runs: 8 | Fixed-odds range: 5/1 → 15/2 | Avg: 13/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (25%)
16:33Hexham
Opened 7/4Market avg 7/4
7/4 → 7/4 → 7/4 ↓ 13/8 ↑ 7/4 → 7/4 → 7/4 ↑ 15/8 ↓ 13/8 ↑ 7/4
PRICE MOVE
-0.01pp (-0.0%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
4 of 8 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 1st at Cartmel on 29 Aug 2026 (-1.87pp); finished 2nd at Stratford on 20 Aug 2026 (-2.96pp); finished 5th at Newton Abbot on 23 Jun 2026 (-0.62pp); and finished 6th at Taunton on 09 Apr 2026 (-7.62pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 0% • -0.01 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Ffos Las, 30 Jan 2026 — 3rd • open 7/2 → final 9/1 (-12.22pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
15/8 2.88 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
HexhamToday2m 4f 15y · Class 5 · Good · 5 runners7/4—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—-0.01ppOpen → now7/4Current; SP pendingPending-0.01pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

4 of 8 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Illogical Logic is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Cartmel · 29 Aug 2026 · 1st · 2/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Hexham · previous Cartmel×Trip (within ½f): Today 2m 4f 15y · previous 2m 5f 34y✓Ground: Good✓Class: Class 5
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
No positive support trigger.
This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.
Today: -0.01pp
Possible next price: 7/4
8 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Racing silksJack Doyen
Trainer: Ben Case
Jockey: Jack Quinlan
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Ben Case (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 8/91; first seen between 10am and 1pm 4/91; first seen after 1pm 0/91.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/9; first seen between 10am and 1pm 1/9; first seen after 1pm 0/9.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.00pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/12 won (8.3%); Open→SP 1/9 won (11.1%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run27 days ago · 5 Sep 2026
Distance changeDown 2.5f from last run
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 9 | Fixed-odds range: 3/1 → 12/1 | Avg: 13/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (33%)
16:33Hexham
Opened 5/1Market avg 5/1
5/1 ↑ 11/2 ↓ 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 ↓ 9/2 ↑ 11/2 ↓ 5/1 → 5/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.00pp (+0.0%)
No meaningful price change from the open.
Move evidence
78th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE78th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
2 of 9 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 1st at Hereford on 25 Mar 2026 (+1.11pp); and finished 3rd at Leicester on 06 Mar 2026 (+2.78pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 0% • +0.00 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Leicester, 06 Mar 2026 — 3rd • open 11/1 → final 13/2 (+5.00pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
11/2 6.5 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
HexhamToday2m 4f 15y · Class 5 · Good · 5 runners5/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.00ppOpen → now5/1Current; SP pendingPending+0.00pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 2 of 9 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Jack Doyen is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Hexham · 02 May 2026 · 2nd · 4/4 known conditions match
✓Track: Hexham✓Trip (within ½f): 2m 4f 15y✓Ground: Good✓Class: Class 5
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
No positive support trigger.
This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.
Today: +0.00pp
Possible next price: 5/1
9 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Hexham. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Racing silksKinbara Firstdraft
Trainer: Leonard Kerr
Jockey: Derek Fox
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Leonard Kerr (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/13; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/13; first seen after 1pm 0/13.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/10; first seen between 10am and 1pm 1/10; first seen after 1pm 1/10.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.44pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
⬇ CLASS DROP
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run3 days ago · 29 Sep 2026
Distance changeUp 3.7f from last run
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 10 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Late money horse (30%)
16:33Hexham
Opened 12/1Market avg 12/1
14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 ↓ 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 ↑ 16/1 ↓ 12/1 → 12/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.44pp (-6.1%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
70th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE70th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
3 of 10 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 9th at Perth on 07 Sep 2026 (-1.12pp); finished 6th at Cartmel on 29 Aug 2026 (-1.12pp); and finished 7th at Perth on 07 Jun 2026 (-2.94pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 6.1% • -0.44 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Perth, 07 Jun 2026 — 7th • open 16/1 → final 50/1 (-3.92pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
16/1 17 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
HexhamToday2m 4f 15y · Class 5 · Good · 5 runners12/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—-0.44ppOpen → now12/1Current; SP pendingPending-0.44pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 3 of 10 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. The horse drops from Class 4 to Class 5, but the market has not responded with meaningful support. Today’s move: Kinbara Firstdraft is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.Comparable moves have had few top-two finishes. Be cautious.
Did the early price move fade?

Recorded examples where 5pp+ early support was followed by a longer final price:

  • Perth, 02 Jul 2026 — 4th • open 9/1 → 10am 5/1 → final 11/2
  • Ayr, 10 Feb 2026 — 4th • open 14/1 → 1pm 11/2 → final 15/2
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
10 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: -0.44pp
Possible next price: 12/1
10 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Racing silksBlazing Court
Trainer: John Dixon
Jockey: Mr John Dixon(7)
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer John Dixon (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/16; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/16; first seen after 1pm 1/16.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/6; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/6; first seen after 1pm 0/6.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.21pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/1 won (0%); Open→SP 0/1 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run34 days ago · 29 Aug 2026
Distance changeDown 1.1f from last run
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: 33/1 → 33/1 | Avg: 33/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Late money horse (50%)
16:33Hexham
Opened 16/1Market avg 16/1
16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 ↓ 14/1 ↑ 16/1 → 16/1 ↓ 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 ↑ 16/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.21pp (+3.4%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILETHE STRONGEST MOVE RECORDED (100th percentile)
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest support recorded across 6 previous runs.
Raw Open → Now price change: 3.4% • +0.21 probability points
Previous market evidence

No previous positive open-to-final support in the recorded sample.

BEST FIXED ODDS
16/1 17 decimal 7Bet
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
HexhamToday2m 4f 15y · Class 5 · Good · 5 runners16/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.21ppOpen → now16/1Current; SP pendingPending+0.21pp
MARKET FORM READTHIS IS THE HORSE’S STRONGEST RECORDED SUPPORT

Across 6 previous runs, this is the horse’s strongest recorded support. Today’s move: Blazing Court is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Cartmel · 20 Jul 2026 · 2nd · 2/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Hexham · previous Cartmel×Trip (within ½f): Today 2m 4f 15y · previous 2m 5f 34y✓Ground: Good✓Class: Class 5
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This early support is unusual; the price has often drifted again later. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
3 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: +0.21pp
Possible next price: 16/1
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Race market overview as at 04:28
  • Supported0 of 5 runners at +4pp or more
  • Drifting0 of 5 runners at −4pp or worse
  • Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
  • Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.
17:08Hexham • 3m0f41y • Class 5 • Going: Good
7 runners
Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

Racing silksStay Hopeful
Trainer: Cian Collins
Jockey: Sean Bowen
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Cian Collins (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 10/223; first seen between 10am and 1pm 13/223; first seen after 1pm 10/223.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/5; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/5; first seen after 1pm 0/5.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.00pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/21 won (4.8%); Open→SP 3/23 won (13%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 22.2% (2/9).
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run78 days ago · 16 Jul 2026
Distance changeUp 1.2f from last run
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Early
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Mid-market mover (40%)
17:08Hexham
Opened 11/10Market avg 11/10
11/10 → 11/10 → 11/10 → 11/10 → 11/10 → 11/10 → 11/10 → 11/10 → 11/10 → 11/10
PRICE MOVE
+0.00pp (+0.0%)
No meaningful price change from the open.
Move evidence
20th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE20th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
4 of 5 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 3rd at Worcester on 16 Jul 2026 (+1.79pp); finished 7th at Worcester on 06 Jun 2026 (+3.41pp); finished 6th at Worcester on 28 May 2026 (+4.29pp); and finished 4th at Uttoxeter on 16 May 2026 (+6.59pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 0% • +0.00 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Uttoxeter, 16 May 2026 — 4th • open 12/1 → final 9/2 (+10.49pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
11/10 2.1 decimal 7Bet
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
HexhamToday3m 41y · Class 5 · Good · 7 runners11/10—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.00ppOpen → now11/10Current; SP pendingPending+0.00pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

4 of 5 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Stay Hopeful is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This price often moves during the day, so keep checking it. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
5 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: +0.00pp
Possible next price: 11/10
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Racing silksUncle Al
Trainer: Jessica Bedi
Jockey: Paul O'Brien
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Jessica Bedi (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 7/92; first seen between 10am and 1pm 2/92; first seen after 1pm 2/92.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 2/10; first seen between 10am and 1pm 1/10; first seen after 1pm 0/10.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.40pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run18 days ago · 14 Sep 2026
Distance changeDown 2.1f from last run
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 10 | Fixed-odds range: 10/3 → 14/1 | Avg: 15/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (30%)
17:08Hexham
Opened 4/1Market avg 9/2
9/2 ↓ 4/1 ↑ 9/2 ↓ 4/1 ↑ 9/2 ↓ 4/1 ↑ 9/2 ↑ 6/1 ↓ 4/1 ↑ 9/2
PRICE MOVE
-1.40pp (-7.5%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
60th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE60th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
4 of 10 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 2nd at Sedgefield on 14 Sep 2026 (-2.38pp); finished 3rd at Market Rasen on 15 Aug 2026 (-4.86pp); finished 1st at Huntingdon on 25 May 2026 (-3.43pp); and had no recorded finishing position at Perth on 14 May 2026 (-2.39pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 7.5% • -1.40 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Catterick, 28 Dec 2025 — 6th • open 11/2 → final 12/1 (-7.69pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
6/1 7 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
HexhamToday3m 41y · Class 5 · Good · 7 runners4/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—-1.40ppOpen → now9/2Current; SP pendingPending-1.40pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 4 of 10 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Uncle Al is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Sedgefield · 14 Sep 2026 · 2nd · 2/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Hexham · previous Sedgefield×Trip (within ½f): Today 3m 41y · previous 3m 2f 59y✓Ground: Good✓Class: Class 5
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
No positive support trigger.
This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.
Today: -1.40pp
Possible next price: 5/1
10 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Hexham. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Racing silksDeadheat
Trainer: Sean McParlan
Jockey: Mr N. McParlan(3)
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Timing evidence for Trainer Sean McParlan: only 1 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 2 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.00pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/0 won (0%); Open→SP 0/0 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run42 days ago · 21 Aug 2026
Distance changeDown 1.6f from last run
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
17:08Hexham
Opened 6/1Market avg 6/1
6/1 ↓ 11/2 ↑ 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 ↓ 11/2 → 11/2 ↑ 6/1 → 6/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.00pp (+0.0%)
No meaningful price change from the open.
Move evidence
Raw Open → Now price change: 0% • +0.00 probability points
Previous market evidence

No previous positive open-to-final support in the recorded sample.

BEST FIXED ODDS
7/1 8 decimal Paddy Power
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
HexhamToday3m 41y · Class 5 · Good · 7 runners6/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.00ppOpen → now6/1Current; SP pendingPending+0.00pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Deadheat is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
2 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: +0.00pp
Possible next price: 6/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Racing silksLights Are Green
Trainer: George Bewley
Jockey: Jonathon Bewley
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer George Bewley (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 6/71; first seen between 10am and 1pm 2/71; first seen after 1pm 4/71.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/3; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/3; first seen after 1pm 0/3.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.41pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run76 days ago · 18 Jul 2026
Distance changeDown 1.3f from last run
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (67%)
17:08Hexham
Opened 6/1Market avg 6/1
13/2 ↓ 6/1 ↑ 13/2 ↓ 11/2 ↑ 6/1 → 6/1 ↓ 11/2 ↑ 15/2 ↓ 11/2 ↑ 6/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.41pp (-3.0%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILESTRONGEST RECORDED DRIFT FOR THIS HORSE (100th percentile)
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Largest drift recorded across 3 previous runs.
Raw Open → Now price change: 3% • -0.41 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Cartmel, 18 Jul 2026 — 4th • open 11/1 → final 14/1 (-1.67pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
15/2 8.5 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
HexhamToday3m 41y · Class 5 · Good · 7 runners6/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—-0.41ppOpen → now6/1Current; SP pendingPending-0.41pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READTHIS IS THE HORSE’S STRONGEST RECORDED SUPPORT

Across 3 previous runs, this is the horse’s strongest recorded support. Today’s move: Lights Are Green is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (strong)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
2 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: -0.41pp
Possible next price: 6/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Hexham. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Racing silksSuper Citizen
Trainer: Lucinda Hughes
Jockey: Brian Hughes
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Lucinda Hughes (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/9; first seen between 10am and 1pm 2/9; first seen after 1pm 1/9.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/4; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/4; first seen after 1pm 0/4.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.09pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 2/2 won (100%); Open→SP 1/2 won (50%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run181 days ago · 4 Apr 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 11/2 → 11/2 | Avg: 11/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (25%)
17:08Hexham
Opened 15/2Market avg 15/2
15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 ↓ 7/1 ↑ 15/2 → 15/2 ↓ 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 ↑ 15/2
PRICE MOVE
+0.09pp (+0.7%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 1 of 4 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 3rd at Carlisle on 04 Apr 2026 (+3.33pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 0.7% • +0.09 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Carlisle, 04 Apr 2026 — 3rd • open 9/1 → final 6/1 (+4.29pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
8/1 9 decimal Paddy Power
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
HexhamToday3m 41y · Class 5 · Good · 7 runners15/2—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.09ppOpen → now15/2Current; SP pendingPending+0.09pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 1 of 4 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Super Citizen is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Carlisle · 08 Mar 2026 · 2nd · 1/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Hexham · previous Carlisle✓Trip (within ½f): 3m 41y×Ground: Today Good · previous Good To Soft×Class: Today Class 5 · previous Class 4
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
4 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: +0.09pp
Possible next price: 15/2
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Racing silksBallydangan
Trainer: Hugh Burns
Jockey: Peter Kavanagh
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Hugh Burns (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/10; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/10; first seen after 1pm 0/10.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/4; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/4; first seen after 1pm 0/4.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.65pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/1 won (0%); Open→SP 0/1 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run48 days ago · 15 Aug 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Late PM
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Best at SP (50%)
17:08Hexham
Opened 8/1Market avg 15/2
15/2 ↑ 8/1 ↓ 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 ↓ 7/1 ↑ 8/1 ↓ 15/2 → 15/2
PRICE MOVE
+0.65pp (+5.6%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 1 of 4 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 4th at Sedgefield on 19 Feb 2026 (+1.76pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 5.6% • +0.65 probability points
Previous market evidence

No previous positive open-to-final support in the recorded sample.

BEST FIXED ODDS
8/1 9 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
HexhamToday3m 41y · Class 5 · Good · 7 runners8/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.65ppOpen → now15/2Current; SP pendingPending+0.65pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 1 of 4 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Ballydangan is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
The price has been unpredictable before and may move sharply again. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
2 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: +0.65pp
Possible next price: 15/2
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Racing silksCroagh Patrick
Trainer: Gillian Boanas
Jockey: William Maggs(3)
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Gillian Boanas (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/20; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/20; first seen after 1pm 0/20.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/5; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/5; first seen after 1pm 0/5.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.27pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run18 days ago · 14 Sep 2026
Distance changeDown 2.1f from last run
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 40/1 → 40/1 | Avg: 40/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (40%)
17:08Hexham
Opened 20/1Market avg 22/1
22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1 ↓ 20/1 ↑ 22/1 → 22/1 ↓ 18/1 ↑ 22/1 ↓ 20/1 → 20/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.27pp (-6.0%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
20th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE20th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
4 of 5 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 5th at Sedgefield on 14 Sep 2026 (-3.03pp); finished 5th at Sedgefield on 28 Aug 2026 (-4.15pp); had no recorded finishing position at Cartmel on 28 Jun 2026 (-5.24pp); and finished 7th at Cartmel on 23 May 2026 (-0.50pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 6% • -0.27 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Sedgefield, 14 Sep 2026 — 5th • open 8/1 → final 22/1 (-7.02pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
22/1 23 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
HexhamToday3m 41y · Class 5 · Good · 7 runners20/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—-0.27ppOpen → now22/1Current; SP pendingPending-0.27pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

4 of 5 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Croagh Patrick is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Hexham · 13 Jun 2026 · 2nd · 4/4 known conditions match
✓Track: Hexham✓Trip (within ½f): 3m 41y✓Ground: Good✓Class: Class 5
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
4 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: -0.27pp
Possible next price: 18/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Hexham. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Race market overview as at 04:28
  • Supported0 of 7 runners at +4pp or more
  • Drifting0 of 7 runners at −4pp or worse
  • Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
  • Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.
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