Live Horse Racing Market Movement

13:00Bellewstown • 7f195y • Going: Yielding To Soft

7 runners

Market Intelligence

Strongest support: Cromane (+2.59 probability points)

Weakest support: Sister Nancy (-0.83 probability points)

Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

CromaneDraw 2

Trainer: Joseph G Murphy

Jockey: G. F. Carroll

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Joseph G Murphy (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 6/86; first seen between 10am and 1pm 4/86; first seen after 1pm 1/86.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/4; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/4; first seen after 1pm 1/4.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +2.59pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/10 won (10%); Open→SP 1/8 won (12.5%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 20% (1/5).

Market Form rating53/100 · Neutral

Last run14 days ago · 17 Sep 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

No consistent price pattern yet

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Early

Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 5/1 → 5/1 | Avg: 5/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

Early money horse (25%)

13:00Bellewstown

Opened 10/11Market avg 5/6

4/5 ↑ 5/6 → 5/6 → 5/6 → 5/6 ↓ 4/5 ↑ 5/6 → 5/6 ↑ EVS ↓ 5/6

PRICE MOVE

+2.59pp (+4.7%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILETHE STRONGEST MOVE RECORDED (100th percentile)

EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE

Strongest support recorded across 4 previous runs.

Raw Open → Now price change: 4.7% • +2.59 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Naas (IRE), 17 Sep 2026 — 1st • open 8/1 → final 5/1 (+5.80pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

EVS 2 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday7f 195y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 7 runners	10/11	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+2.59ppOpen → now	5/6Current; SP pending	Pending	+2.59pp
Naas (IRE)17 Sep 20261m · Class — · Yielding · 13 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	8/1	+0.90ppOpen → 10am	15/2	+3.62pp10am → 1pm	11/2	+0.00pp1pm → SP	11/2	1st	+4.52pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday7f 195y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 7 runners	10/11	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+2.59ppOpen → now	5/6Current; SP pending	Pending	+2.59pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READTHIS IS THE HORSE’S STRONGEST RECORDED SUPPORT

Across 4 previous runs, this is the horse’s strongest recorded support. Today’s move: Cromane is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Naas (IRE) · 17 Sep 2026 · 1st · 1/3 known conditions match

×Track: Today Bellewstown · previous Naas (IRE)✓Trip (within ½f): 7f 195y×Ground: Today Yielding To Soft · previous Yielding?Class: Data missing

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

Similar moves have usually held their position.

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

4 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.

Today: +2.59pp

Possible next price: 5/6

4 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

IppyDraw 6

Trainer: John S O'Donoghue

Jockey: Rory Mulligan(5)

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer John S O'Donoghue (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/61; first seen between 10am and 1pm 2/61; first seen after 1pm 0/61.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 2 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.09pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/2 won (50%); Open→SP 1/1 won (100%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.

Market Form rating52/100 · Neutral

Last run27 days ago · 4 Sep 2026

Distance changeUp 0.8f from last run

Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

13:00Bellewstown

Opened 4/1Market avg 4/1

4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 ↑ 9/2 ↓ 4/1

PRICE MOVE

+0.09pp (+0.5%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

Raw Open → Now price change: 0.5% • +0.09 probability points

Previous market evidence

No previous positive open-to-final support in the recorded sample.

BEST FIXED ODDS

9/2 5.5 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday7f 195y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 7 runners	4/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.09ppOpen → now	4/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.09pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday7f 195y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 7 runners	4/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.09ppOpen → now	4/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.09pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Ippy is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

N/A

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

2 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.

Today: +0.09pp

Possible next price: 4/1

No historical data

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

Scarlet DreamDraw 7

Trainer: Adrian McGuinness

Jockey: Adam Caffrey

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Adrian McGuinness (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 26/426; first seen between 10am and 1pm 27/426; first seen after 1pm 18/426.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/4; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/4; first seen after 1pm 0/4.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.11pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 11/46 won (23.9%); Open→SP 12/51 won (23.5%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 26.3% (5/19).

Market Form rating45/100 · Neutral

Last run10 days ago · 21 Sep 2026

Distance changeUp 1.9f from last run

Often drifts in the market

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Pre-Off

Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

Late money horse (75%)

13:00Bellewstown

Opened 7/1Market avg 7/1

7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 ↑ 15/2 ↓ 7/1

PRICE MOVE

+0.11pp (+0.8%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILETHE STRONGEST MOVE RECORDED (100th percentile)

EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE

Strongest support recorded across 4 previous runs.

Raw Open → Now price change: 0.8% • +0.11 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Navan (IRE), 02 Sep 2026 — 4th • open 18/1 → final 16/1 (+0.62pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

15/2 8.5 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday7f 195y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 7 runners	7/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.11ppOpen → now	7/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.11pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday7f 195y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 7 runners	7/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.11ppOpen → now	7/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.11pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READTHIS IS THE HORSE’S STRONGEST RECORDED SUPPORT

Across 4 previous runs, this is the horse’s strongest recorded support. Today’s move: Scarlet Dream is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

This early support is unusual; the price has often drifted again later. (strong)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

4 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.

Today: +0.11pp

Possible next price: 7/1

4 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

Sister NancyDraw 4

Trainer: Daniel McLoughlin

Jockey: Ben Coen

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Daniel McLoughlin (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 7/141; first seen between 10am and 1pm 7/141; first seen after 1pm 2/141.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/3; first seen between 10am and 1pm 1/3; first seen after 1pm 0/3.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.83pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

Market Form rating52/100 · Neutral

Last run30 days ago · 1 Sep 2026

Distance changeUp 0.9f from last run

Often drifts in the market

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Early

Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

Mid-market mover (67%)

13:00Bellewstown

Opened 13/2Market avg 7/1

15/2 ↓ 7/1 ↓ 13/2 ↑ 7/1 ↑ 15/2 → 15/2 ↓ 13/2 ↑ 7/1 ↓ 13/2 ↑ 15/2

PRICE MOVE

-0.83pp (-6.7%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

Only 1 of 3 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 12th at Gowran Park (IRE) on 01 Sep 2026 (-3.04pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 6.7% • -0.83 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Gowran Park (IRE), 01 Sep 2026 — 12th • open 18/1 → final 100/1 (-4.34pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

15/2 8.5 decimal Bet Victor

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday7f 195y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 7 runners	13/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.83ppOpen → now	7/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.83pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday7f 195y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 7 runners	13/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.83ppOpen → now	7/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.83pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 1 of 3 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Sister Nancy is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

This price often moves during the day, so keep checking it. (strong)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

3 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.

Today: -0.83pp

Possible next price: 15/2

3 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Violet Be HumbleDraw 5

Trainer: Sean Davis

Jockey: Reese Holohan(5)

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Sean Davis (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 2/37; first seen between 10am and 1pm 1/37; first seen after 1pm 0/37.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/3; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/3; first seen after 1pm 0/3.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.06pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

Market Form rating52/100 · Neutral

Last run12 days ago · 19 Sep 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

Often drifts in the market

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Late PM

Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

10am plunger

Late money horse (67%)

13:00Bellewstown

Opened 15/2Market avg 15/2

15/2 ↑ 8/1 ↓ 15/2 → 15/2 ↑ 8/1 → 8/1 ↓ 15/2 → 15/2 ↓ 7/1 ↑ 8/1

PRICE MOVE

-0.06pp (-0.5%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

Only 1 of 3 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 5th at Leopardstown (IRE) on 23 Jul 2026 (-5.85pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 0.5% • -0.06 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Leopardstown (IRE), 23 Jul 2026 — 5th • open 8/1 → final 40/1 (-8.67pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

8/1 9 decimal Bet Victor

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday7f 195y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 7 runners	15/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.06ppOpen → now	15/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.06pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday7f 195y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 7 runners	15/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.06ppOpen → now	15/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.06pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 1 of 3 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Violet Be Humble is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

This matches its usual pattern; support has often arrived later. (strong)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

3 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.

Today: -0.06pp

Possible next price: 8/1

3 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Green SparkleDraw 1

Trainer: Joseph Patrick O'Brien

Jockey: J M Sheridan

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Joseph Patrick O'Brien (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 81/908; first seen between 10am and 1pm 87/908; first seen after 1pm 46/908.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/3; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/3; first seen after 1pm 0/3.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.09pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

Market Form rating46/100 · Neutral

Last run44 days ago · 18 Aug 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

Often drifts in the market

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Late PM

Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

10am plunger

Mid-market mover (33%)

13:00Bellewstown

Opened 11/1Market avg 11/1

11/1 ↑ 12/1 ↓ 11/1 → 11/1 ↑ 12/1 → 12/1 ↓ 11/1 → 11/1 ↓ 10/1 ↑ 12/1

PRICE MOVE

-0.09pp (-1.1%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

Only 1 of 3 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 10th at Curragh (IRE) on 09 Aug 2026 (-0.41pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 1.1% • -0.09 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Curragh (IRE), 09 Aug 2026 — 10th • open 20/1 → final 50/1 (-2.80pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

12/1 13 decimal Bet Victor

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday7f 195y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 7 runners	11/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.09ppOpen → now	11/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.09pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday7f 195y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 7 runners	11/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.09ppOpen → now	11/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.09pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 1 of 3 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Green Sparkle is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

Limited data: one similar run only.

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

3 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.

Today: -0.09pp

Possible next price: 12/1

3 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Dropping DimesDraw 3

Trainer: Jarlath P Fahey

Jockey: Rory Cleary

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Jarlath P Fahey (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 4/72; first seen between 10am and 1pm 3/72; first seen after 1pm 1/72.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/3; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/3; first seen after 1pm 0/3.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.03pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/5 won (0%); Open→SP 0/5 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.

Market Form rating52/100 · Neutral

Last run85 days ago · 8 Jul 2026

Distance changeUp 1.9f from last run

Often drifts in the market

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Opening

Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

10am plunger

Early money horse (33%)

13:00Bellewstown

Opened 22/1Market avg 22/1

22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1 ↑ 25/1 ↑ 28/1 ↓ 22/1

PRICE MOVE

+0.03pp (+0.6%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

Only 1 of 3 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 9th at Fairyhouse on 08 Jul 2026 (+0.26pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 0.6% • +0.03 probability points

Previous market evidence

No previous positive open-to-final support in the recorded sample.

BEST FIXED ODDS

28/1 29 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday7f 195y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 7 runners	22/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.03ppOpen → now	22/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.03pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday7f 195y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 7 runners	22/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.03ppOpen → now	22/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.03pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 1 of 3 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Dropping Dimes is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.Comparable moves have had few top-two finishes. Be cautious.

Did the early price move fade?

No documented early-support reversal in this horse’s recorded checkpoint sample. The older wording referred to finishing results, not a verified intraday price fade.

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

3 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.

Today: +0.03pp

Possible next price: 22/1

3 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

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Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

Race market overview as at 01:50

Supported0 of 7 runners at +4pp or more
Drifting0 of 7 runners at −4pp or worse
Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.

13:35Bellewstown • 7f195y • Going: Yielding To Soft

5 runners

Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

White Sand BeachDraw 2

Trainer: Aidan O'Brien

Jockey: Jack Cleary(5)

🟢 Needs Support (9%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Aidan O'Brien (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 8/47; first seen between 10am and 1pm 7/47; first seen after 1pm 0/47.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/6; first seen between 10am and 1pm 2/6; first seen after 1pm 0/6.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.06pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 6/13 won (46.2%); Open→SP 6/13 won (46.2%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 50% (4/8).

Market Form rating52/100 · Neutral

Last run74 days ago · 19 Jul 2026

Distance changeDown 1.1f from last run

Usually attracts bookmaker support

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Opening

Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: 11/4 → 7/2 | Avg: 3/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

Early money horse (33%)

13:35Bellewstown

Opened 1/3Market avg 1/3

1/3 → 1/3 → 1/3 → 1/3 → 1/3 → 1/3 → 1/3 → 1/3 ↑ 4/11 ↓ 1/3

PRICE MOVE

+0.06pp (+0.1%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

3 of 6 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 2nd at Killarney on 13 Jul 2026 (+4.91pp); finished 2nd at Naas on 24 Jun 2026 (+1.82pp); and finished 3rd at Naas (IRE) on 22 Mar 2026 (+4.76pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 0.1% • +0.06 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Killarney, 13 Jul 2026 — 2nd • open 9/2 → final 11/4 (+8.48pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

4/11 1.36 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday7f 195y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 5 runners	1/3	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.06ppOpen → now	1/3Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.06pp
Killarney13 Jul 20261m 3f 73y · Class — · Good · 9 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	9/2	+4.91ppOpen → 10am	10/3	+5.48pp10am → 1pm	5/2	+0.00pp1pm → SP	5/2	2nd	+10.39pp
Post-race comment
Naas24 Jun 20261m · Class — · Good · 19 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	9/2	+1.82ppOpen → 10am	4/1	+2.22pp10am → 1pm	7/2	+0.00pp1pm → SP	7/2	2nd	+4.04pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday7f 195y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 5 runners	1/3	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.06ppOpen → now	1/3Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.06pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

3 of 6 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: White Sand Beach is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Naas · 24 Jun 2026 · 2nd · 1/3 known conditions match

×Track: Today Bellewstown · previous Naas✓Trip (within ½f): 7f 195y×Ground: Today Yielding To Soft · previous Good?Class: Data missing

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

Similar moves have usually held or strengthened.

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Both previous top-two finishes came with support of 4.04pp+.

At 4.04pp+: 2/3 finished 1st or 2nd (67%).

Today: +0.06pp — trigger not reached.

Possible next price: 1/3

6 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

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Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

Tax Me LaterDraw 4

Trainer: Kevin Thomas Coleman

Jockey: Reese Holohan(5)

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Kevin Thomas Coleman (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 12/147; first seen between 10am and 1pm 9/147; first seen after 1pm 6/147.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 2 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.32pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 4/17 won (23.5%); Open→SP 5/19 won (26.3%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 33.3% (4/12).

Market Form rating52/100 · Neutral

Last run30 days ago · 1 Sep 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: 5/1 → 5/1 | Avg: 5/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

13:35Bellewstown

Opened 11/4Market avg 11/4

11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4

PRICE MOVE

+0.32pp (+1.2%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

Raw Open → Now price change: 1.2% • +0.32 probability points

Previous market evidence

No previous positive open-to-final support in the recorded sample.

BEST FIXED ODDS

11/4 3.75 decimal Bet Victor

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday7f 195y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 5 runners	11/4	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.32ppOpen → now	11/4Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.32pp
Gowran Park (IRE)01 Sep 20261m · Class — · Yielding · 8 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	3/1	-12.82ppOpen → 10am	7/1	+2.88pp10am → 1pm	11/2	+2.80pp1pm → SP	9/2	2nd	-7.13pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday7f 195y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 5 runners	11/4	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.32ppOpen → now	11/4Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.32pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Tax Me Later is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Gowran Park (IRE) · 01 Sep 2026 · 2nd · 1/3 known conditions match

×Track: Today Bellewstown · previous Gowran Park (IRE)✓Trip (within ½f): 7f 195y×Ground: Today Yielding To Soft · previous Yielding?Class: Data missing

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

N/A

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

2 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.

Today: +0.32pp

Possible next price: 11/4

No historical data

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

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Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

XirivellaDraw 5

Trainer: Noel Meade

Jockey: Siobhan Rutledge

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Noel Meade (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 20/307; first seen between 10am and 1pm 13/307; first seen after 1pm 19/307.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/4; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/4; first seen after 1pm 0/4.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +1.15pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 6/26 won (23.1%); Open→SP 7/38 won (18.4%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 22.2% (2/9).

Market Form rating52/100 · Neutral

Last run16 days ago · 15 Sep 2026

Distance changeDown 1.3f from last run

Often drifts in the market

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Pre-Off

Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

Best at SP (50%)

13:35Bellewstown

Opened 7/1Market avg 13/2

6/1 ↑ 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 ↓ 6/1 → 6/1 ↓ 11/2 ↑ 8/1 ↓ 13/2

PRICE MOVE

+1.15pp (+8.4%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILETHE STRONGEST MOVE RECORDED (100th percentile)

EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE

Strongest support recorded across 4 previous runs.

Raw Open → Now price change: 8.4% • +1.15 probability points

Previous market evidence

No previous positive open-to-final support in the recorded sample.

BEST FIXED ODDS

8/1 9 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday7f 195y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 5 runners	7/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+1.15ppOpen → now	13/2Current; SP pending	Pending	+1.15pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday7f 195y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 5 runners	7/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+1.15ppOpen → now	13/2Current; SP pending	Pending	+1.15pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READTHIS IS THE HORSE’S STRONGEST RECORDED SUPPORT

Across 4 previous runs, this is the horse’s strongest recorded support. Today’s move: Xirivella is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

The price has been unpredictable before and may move sharply again. (moderate)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

4 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.

Today: +1.15pp

Possible next price: 7/1

4 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

Valerie ODraw 1

Trainer: Nigel Thomas Slevin

Jockey: James Ryan

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Nigel Thomas Slevin (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 2/41; first seen between 10am and 1pm 3/41; first seen after 1pm 2/41.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 1 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.06pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/4 won (0%); Open→SP 0/6 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.

Market Form rating46/100 · Neutral

Last run10 days ago · 21 Sep 2026

Distance changeUp 0.9f from last run

Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.

13:35Bellewstown

Opened 100/1Market avg 100/1

100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 ↓ 100/1 ↑ 100/1 → 100/1

PRICE MOVE

+0.06pp (+8.3%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

Raw Open → Now price change: 8.3% • +0.06 probability points

Previous market evidence

No previous positive open-to-final support in the recorded sample.

BEST FIXED ODDS

100/1 151 decimal Bet Victor

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday7f 195y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 5 runners	100/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.06ppOpen → now	100/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.06pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday7f 195y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 5 runners	100/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.06ppOpen → now	100/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.06pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Valerie O is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

N/A

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

1 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.

Today: +0.06pp

Possible next price: 100/1

No historical data

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

Almost OkayDraw 3

Trainer: Jarlath P Fahey

Jockey: Nathan Crosse

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Jarlath P Fahey (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 4/72; first seen between 10am and 1pm 3/72; first seen after 1pm 1/72.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 1 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.05pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/5 won (0%); Open→SP 0/5 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.

Market Form rating46/100 · Neutral

Last run26 days ago · 5 Sep 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.

13:35Bellewstown

Opened 100/1Market avg 100/1

100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 ↓ 100/1 ↑ 100/1 → 100/1

PRICE MOVE

+0.05pp (+7.5%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

Raw Open → Now price change: 7.5% • +0.05 probability points

Previous market evidence

No previous positive open-to-final support in the recorded sample.

BEST FIXED ODDS

100/1 151 decimal Bet Victor

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday7f 195y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 5 runners	100/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.05ppOpen → now	100/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.05pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday7f 195y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 5 runners	100/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.05ppOpen → now	100/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.05pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Almost Okay is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

N/A

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

1 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.

Today: +0.05pp

Possible next price: 100/1

No historical data

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

Race market overview as at 01:50

Supported0 of 5 runners at +4pp or more
Drifting0 of 5 runners at −4pp or worse
Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.

14:10Bellewstown • 7f195y • Going: Yielding To Soft

9 runners

Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

Nephin MountainDraw 8

Trainer: Michael Mulvany

Jockey: G. F. Carroll

🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Michael Mulvany (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 13/199; first seen between 10am and 1pm 10/199; first seen after 1pm 8/199.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/13; first seen between 10am and 1pm 1/13; first seen after 1pm 1/13.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.32pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

Market Form rating44/100 · Negative

Last run16 days ago · 15 Sep 2026

Distance changeDown 1.3f from last run

No consistent price pattern yet

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Early PM

Runs: 13 | Fixed-odds range: 5/1 → 14/1 | Avg: 9/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

10am plunger

Mid-market mover (31%)

14:10Bellewstown

Opened 9/4Market avg 9/4

9/4 → 9/4 → 9/4 → 9/4 → 9/4 → 9/4 → 9/4 → 9/4 ↑ 11/4 ↓ 9/4

PRICE MOVE

-0.32pp (-1.0%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

38th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE38th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

8 of 13 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 3rd at Navan (IRE) on 05 Sep 2026 (-6.99pp); finished 1st at Navan (IRE) on 27 Aug 2026 (-4.20pp); finished 5th at Gowran Park (IRE) on 12 Aug 2026 (-7.58pp); finished 6th at Galway (IRE) on 02 Aug 2026 (-6.59pp); finished 5th at Down Royal (IRE) on 17 Jul 2026 (-3.42pp); finished 14th at Naas (IRE) on 04 Jul 2026 (-3.43pp); finished 8th at Leopardstown (IRE) on 11 Jun 2026 (-1.67pp); and finished 10th at Bellewstown (IRE) on 11 Apr 2026 (-2.22pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 1% • -0.32 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Navan (IRE), 05 Sep 2026 — 3rd • open 7/2 → final 9/1 (-11.28pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

11/4 3.75 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday7f 195y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 9 runners	9/4	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.32ppOpen → now	9/4Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.32pp
Navan (IRE)27 Aug 20261m 20y · Class — · Good · 13 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	8/1	-4.20ppOpen → 10am	14/1	+1.03pp10am → 1pm	12/1	+0.64pp1pm → SP	11/1	1st	-2.54pp
Post-race comment
Ballinrobe (IRE)20 Jul 20261m 1f 135y · Class — · Good To Yielding · 9 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	6/1	+3.90ppOpen → 10am	9/2	+1.82pp10am → 1pm	4/1	-4.62pp1pm → SP	11/2	1st	+1.10pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday7f 195y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 9 runners	9/4	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.32ppOpen → now	9/4Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.32pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

8 of 13 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Nephin Mountain is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Navan (IRE) · 27 Aug 2026 · 1st · 1/3 known conditions match

×Track: Today Bellewstown · previous Navan (IRE)✓Trip (within ½f): 7f 195y×Ground: Today Yielding To Soft · previous Good?Class: Data missing

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

Similar moves have usually held their position.

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

No positive support trigger.

This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.

Today: -0.32pp

Possible next price: 9/4

13 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Glen BreezeDraw 9

Trainer: Patrick Magee

Jockey: Ben Coen

🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Patrick Magee (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 6/121; first seen between 10am and 1pm 7/121; first seen after 1pm 2/121.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/14; first seen between 10am and 1pm 1/14; first seen after 1pm 0/14.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.22pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

Market Form rating59/100 · Neutral

Last run6 days ago · 25 Sep 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

No consistent price pattern yet

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Opening

Runs: 14 | Fixed-odds range: 9/4 → 14/1 | Avg: 8/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

10am plunger

Early money horse (36%)

14:10Bellewstown

Opened 7/2Market avg 7/2

7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 ↑ 9/2 ↓ 7/2

PRICE MOVE

-0.22pp (-1.0%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

43th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE43rd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

8 of 14 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 5th at Dundalk (AW) (IRE) on 25 Sep 2026 (-1.40pp); finished 11th at Navan (IRE) on 05 Sep 2026 (-5.24pp); finished 5th at Sligo (IRE) on 05 Aug 2026 (-6.67pp); finished 6th at Gowran Park (IRE) on 25 Jul 2026 (-8.89pp); finished 1st at Limerick on 11 Jul 2026 (-1.90pp); finished 3rd at Fairyhouse (IRE) on 01 Jul 2026 (-0.62pp); finished 10th at Fairyhouse (IRE) on 12 Jun 2026 (-2.02pp); and finished 7th at Bellewstown (IRE) on 11 Apr 2026 (-0.48pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 1% • -0.22 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Gowran Park (IRE), 25 Jul 2026 — 6th • open 7/2 → final 7/1 (-9.72pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

9/2 5.5 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday7f 195y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 9 runners	7/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.22ppOpen → now	7/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.22pp
Limerick11 Jul 20266f 150y · Class — · Good · 14 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	5/2	-1.90ppOpen → 10am	11/4	-1.67pp10am → 1pm	3/1	+3.57pp1pm → SP	5/2	1st	+0.00pp
Post-race comment
Fairyhouse (IRE)05 Jun 20266f · Class — · Good · 17 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	40/1	+1.41ppOpen → 10am	25/1	+0.00pp10am → 1pm	25/1	+6.68pp1pm → SP	17/2	2nd	+8.09pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday7f 195y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 9 runners	7/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.22ppOpen → now	7/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.22pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

8 of 14 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Glen Breeze is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Limerick · 11 Jul 2026 · 1st · 0/3 known conditions match

×Track: Today Bellewstown · previous Limerick×Trip (within ½f): Today 7f 195y · previous 6f 150y×Ground: Today Yielding To Soft · previous Good?Class: Data missing

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

Similar moves have usually held their position.

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Both previous top-two finishes came with support of 2.19pp+.

At 2.19pp+: 2/5 finished 1st or 2nd (40%).

Today: -0.22pp — trigger not reached.

Possible next price: 7/2

14 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Big BillDraw 3

Trainer: Aidan Melia

Jockey: Reese Holohan(5)

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Aidan Melia (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 2/38; first seen between 10am and 1pm 6/38; first seen after 1pm 2/38.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 1 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.00pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 2/6 won (33.3%); Open→SP 1/7 won (14.3%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.

Market Form rating46/100 · Neutral

Last run3 days ago · 28 Sep 2026

Distance changeDown 3.2f from last run

Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.

14:10Bellewstown

Opened 9/2Market avg 9/2

5/1 ↓ 9/2 ↓ 4/1 ↑ 9/2 ↑ 5/1 → 5/1 ↓ 4/1 → 4/1 ↑ 9/2 ↑ 5/1

PRICE MOVE

+0.00pp (+0.0%)

No meaningful price change from the open.

Move evidence

Raw Open → Now price change: 0% • +0.00 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Down Royal (IRE), 28 Sep 2026 — 5th • open 20/1 → final 18/1 (+0.50pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

5/1 6 decimal Bet Victor

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday7f 195y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 9 runners	9/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.00ppOpen → now	9/2Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.00pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday7f 195y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 9 runners	9/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.00ppOpen → now	9/2Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.00pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Big Bill is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

Limited data: one similar run only.

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

1 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.

Today: +0.00pp

Possible next price: 5/1

No historical data

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

GlasarmiDraw 6

Trainer: Rory Anthony Devine

Jockey: Rory Mulligan(5)

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Rory Anthony Devine (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 3/45; first seen between 10am and 1pm 3/45; first seen after 1pm 4/45.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/5; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/5; first seen after 1pm 0/5.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.31pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

Market Form rating52/100 · Neutral

Last run30 days ago · 1 Sep 2026

Distance changeUp 0.9f from last run

No consistent price pattern yet

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Pre-Off

Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

Early money horse (20%)

14:10Bellewstown

Opened 5/1Market avg 5/1

5/1 ↑ 11/2 ↓ 5/1 → 5/1 ↑ 11/2 → 11/2 ↓ 5/1 → 5/1 ↑ 11/2 → 11/2

PRICE MOVE

-0.31pp (-1.9%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

20th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE20th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

4 of 5 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 6th at Gowran Park (IRE) on 01 Sep 2026 (-1.41pp); finished 25th at Curragh (IRE) on 22 Aug 2026 (-1.55pp); finished 5th at Limerick (IRE) on 19 Jun 2026 (-4.27pp); and finished 4th at Gowran Park (IRE) on 01 Jun 2026 (-1.03pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 1.9% • -0.31 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Limerick (IRE), 19 Jun 2026 — 5th • open 11/2 → final 12/1 (-7.69pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

11/2 6.5 decimal Bet Victor

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday7f 195y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 9 runners	5/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.31ppOpen → now	5/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.31pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday7f 195y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 9 runners	5/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.31ppOpen → now	5/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.31pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

4 of 5 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Glasarmi is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

Limited data: one similar run only.

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

5 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.

Today: -0.31pp

Possible next price: 11/2

5 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

SpiritofthedawnDraw 1

Trainer: F G Hand

Jockey: Robert Whearty

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer F G Hand (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/23; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/23; first seen after 1pm 0/23.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/4; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/4; first seen after 1pm 0/4.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.00pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/0 won (0%); Open→SP 0/0 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.

Market Form rating52/100 · Neutral

Last run16 days ago · 15 Sep 2026

Distance changeDown 1.3f from last run

Often drifts in the market

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Pre-Off

Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 40/1 → 40/1 | Avg: 40/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

Early money horse (25%)

14:10Bellewstown

Opened 7/1Market avg 7/1

7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 ↑ 15/2 ↓ 7/1

PRICE MOVE

+0.00pp (+0.0%)

No meaningful price change from the open.

Move evidence

100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILETHE STRONGEST MOVE RECORDED (100th percentile)

EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE

Strongest support recorded across 4 previous runs.

Raw Open → Now price change: 0% • +0.00 probability points

Previous market evidence

No previous positive open-to-final support in the recorded sample.

BEST FIXED ODDS

15/2 8.5 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday7f 195y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 9 runners	7/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.00ppOpen → now	7/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.00pp
Navan (IRE)02 Sep 20261m 20y · Class — · Good · 16 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	18/1	-2.06ppOpen → 10am	33/1	-1.27pp10am → 1pm	66/1	+0.77pp1pm → SP	40/1	2nd	-2.56pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday7f 195y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 9 runners	7/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.00ppOpen → now	7/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.00pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READTHIS IS THE HORSE’S STRONGEST RECORDED SUPPORT

Across 4 previous runs, this is the horse’s strongest recorded support. Today’s move: Spiritofthedawn is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Navan (IRE) · 02 Sep 2026 · 2nd · 1/3 known conditions match

×Track: Today Bellewstown · previous Navan (IRE)✓Trip (within ½f): 7f 195y×Ground: Today Yielding To Soft · previous Good?Class: Data missing

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

N/A

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

4 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.

Today: +0.00pp

Possible next price: 7/1

4 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

Matties PointDraw 4

Trainer: W. McCreery

Jockey: W. J. Lee

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer W. McCreery (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/14; first seen between 10am and 1pm 1/14; first seen after 1pm 1/14.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/3; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/3; first seen after 1pm 0/3.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.31pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

Market Form rating52/100 · Neutral

Last run16 days ago · 15 Sep 2026

Distance changeDown 1.3f from last run

Often drifts in the market

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Pre-Off

Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

Late money horse (67%)

14:10Bellewstown

Opened 7/1Market avg 7/1

7/1 ↑ 15/2 ↓ 7/1 → 7/1 ↑ 8/1 ↓ 15/2 ↓ 7/1 → 7/1 ↓ 13/2 ↑ 8/1

PRICE MOVE

-0.31pp (-2.6%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

3 of 3 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 13th at Punchestown (IRE) on 15 Sep 2026 (-0.63pp); finished 12th at Leopardstown (IRE) on 06 Aug 2026 (-1.82pp); and finished 4th at Dundalk (AW) on 12 Jul 2026 (-3.57pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 2.6% • -0.31 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Leopardstown (IRE), 06 Aug 2026 — 12th • open 20/1 → final 100/1 (-4.10pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

8/1 9 decimal Bet Victor

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday7f 195y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 9 runners	7/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.31ppOpen → now	7/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.31pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday7f 195y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 9 runners	7/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.31ppOpen → now	7/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.31pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

3 of 3 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Matties Point is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

This matches its usual pattern; support has often arrived later. (strong)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

3 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.

Today: -0.31pp

Possible next price: 17/2

3 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Arizona StarDraw 5

Trainer: Michael Mulvany

Jockey: Wesley Joyce

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Michael Mulvany (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 13/199; first seen between 10am and 1pm 10/199; first seen after 1pm 8/199.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/7; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/7; first seen after 1pm 0/7.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.00pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 2/22 won (9.1%); Open→SP 2/24 won (8.3%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 28.6% (2/7).

Market Form rating44/100 · Negative

Last run15 days ago · 16 Sep 2026

Distance changeDown 1.9f from last run

No consistent price pattern yet

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Pre-Off

Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

10am plunger

Late money horse (57%)

14:10Bellewstown

Opened 17/2Market avg 17/2

17/2 → 17/2 → 17/2 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 17/2 → 17/2 → 17/2 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 10/1 ↓ 17/2

PRICE MOVE

+0.00pp (+0.0%)

No meaningful price change from the open.

Move evidence

86th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE86th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE

Only 1 of 7 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 8th at Cork (IRE) on 30 Aug 2026 (+8.33pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 0% • +0.00 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Cork (IRE), 30 Aug 2026 — 8th • open 18/1 → final 5/1 (+11.67pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

10/1 11 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday7f 195y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 9 runners	17/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.00ppOpen → now	17/2Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.00pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday7f 195y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 9 runners	17/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.00ppOpen → now	17/2Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.00pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 1 of 7 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Arizona Star is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

This matches its usual pattern; support has often arrived later. (moderate)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

7 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.

Today: +0.00pp

Possible next price: 17/2

7 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

StonyfallsDraw 2

Trainer: Paul Traynor

Jockey: Nicola Burns(5)

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Paul Traynor (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/17; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/17; first seen after 1pm 0/17.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/4; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/4; first seen after 1pm 0/4.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.08pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/0 won (0%); Open→SP 0/0 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.

Market Form rating46/100 · Neutral

Last run80 days ago · 13 Jul 2026

Distance changeDown 3.4f from last run

Often drifts in the market

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Pre-Off

Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

10am plunger

Late money horse (50%)

14:10Bellewstown

Opened 14/1Market avg 14/1

14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 ↑ 16/1 ↓ 14/1

PRICE MOVE

+0.08pp (+1.2%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

2 of 4 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 9th at Down Royal (IRE) on 19 Jun 2026 (+2.32pp); and finished 6th at Down Royal (IRE) on 29 May 2026 (+0.40pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 1.2% • +0.08 probability points

Previous market evidence

No previous positive open-to-final support in the recorded sample.

BEST FIXED ODDS

16/1 17 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday7f 195y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 9 runners	14/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.08ppOpen → now	14/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.08pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday7f 195y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 9 runners	14/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.08ppOpen → now	14/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.08pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

2 of 4 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Stonyfalls is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

This early support is unusual; the price has often drifted again later. (moderate)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

4 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.

Today: +0.08pp

Possible next price: 14/1

4 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

Thumama SandsDraw 7

Trainer: Adrian McGuinness

Jockey: Patrick McGettigan(5)

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Adrian McGuinness (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 26/426; first seen between 10am and 1pm 27/426; first seen after 1pm 18/426.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/5; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/5; first seen after 1pm 0/5.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.06pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 11/46 won (23.9%); Open→SP 12/51 won (23.5%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 26.3% (5/19).

Market Form rating46/100 · Neutral

Last run32 days ago · 30 Aug 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

Often drifts in the market

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Pre-Off

Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

Late money horse (40%)

14:10Bellewstown

Opened 25/1Market avg 25/1

25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1

PRICE MOVE

+0.06pp (+1.6%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILETHE STRONGEST MOVE RECORDED (100th percentile)

EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE

Strongest support recorded across 5 previous runs.

Raw Open → Now price change: 1.6% • +0.06 probability points

Previous market evidence

No previous positive open-to-final support in the recorded sample.

BEST FIXED ODDS

25/1 26 decimal Bet Victor

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday7f 195y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 9 runners	25/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.06ppOpen → now	25/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.06pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday7f 195y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 9 runners	25/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.06ppOpen → now	25/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.06pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READTHIS IS THE HORSE’S STRONGEST RECORDED SUPPORT

Across 5 previous runs, this is the horse’s strongest recorded support. Today’s move: Thumama Sands is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

This early support is unusual; the price has often drifted again later. (moderate)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

5 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.

Today: +0.06pp

Possible next price: 25/1

5 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

Race market overview as at 01:50

Supported0 of 9 runners at +4pp or more
Drifting0 of 9 runners at −4pp or worse
Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.

14:45Bellewstown • 7f195y • Going: Yielding To Soft

7 runners

Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

Save The SixesDraw 2

Trainer: Mrs J. Harrington

Jockey: W. J. Lee

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Mrs J. Harrington (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 4/39; first seen between 10am and 1pm 7/39; first seen after 1pm 0/39.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 2 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +3.51pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 4/10 won (40%); Open→SP 4/9 won (44.4%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.

Market Form rating51/100 · Neutral

Last run44 days ago · 18 Aug 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: 16/1 → 16/1 | Avg: 16/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.

14:45Bellewstown

Opened 9/4Market avg 15/8

2/1 ↓ 15/8 → 15/8 → 15/8 ↑ 2/1 → 2/1 ↓ 15/8 → 15/8 ↑ 2/1 → 2/1

PRICE MOVE

+3.51pp (+10.2%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

Raw Open → Now price change: 10.2% • +3.51 probability points

Previous market evidence

No previous positive open-to-final support in the recorded sample.

BEST FIXED ODDS

2/1 3 decimal Bet Victor

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday7f 195y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 7 runners	9/4	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+3.51ppOpen → now	15/8Current; SP pending	Pending	+3.51pp
Roscommon (IRE)18 Aug 20267f 111y · Class — · Good · 15 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	12/1	+0.00ppOpen → 10am	12/1	-2.93pp10am → 1pm	20/1	+1.12pp1pm → SP	16/1	1st	-1.81pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday7f 195y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 7 runners	9/4	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+3.51ppOpen → now	15/8Current; SP pending	Pending	+3.51pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Save The Sixes is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Roscommon (IRE) · 18 Aug 2026 · 1st · 1/3 known conditions match

×Track: Today Bellewstown · previous Roscommon (IRE)✓Trip (within ½f): 7f 195y×Ground: Today Yielding To Soft · previous Good?Class: Data missing

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

N/A

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

2 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.

Today: +3.51pp

Possible next price: 2/1

No historical data

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

Lady In GoldDraw 6

Trainer: Joseph Patrick O'Brien

Jockey: J M Sheridan

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Joseph Patrick O'Brien (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 81/908; first seen between 10am and 1pm 87/908; first seen after 1pm 46/908.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 2 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +2.13pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 42/148 won (28.4%); Open→SP 46/162 won (28.4%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 30.3% (23/76).

Market Form rating52/100 · Neutral

Last run223 days ago · 20 Feb 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: 33/1 → 33/1 | Avg: 33/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

14:45Bellewstown

Opened 11/4Market avg 5/2

5/2 ↑ 5/2 → 5/2 → 5/2 → 5/2 ↓ 5/2 ↑ 5/2 → 5/2 ↑ 10/3 ↓ 5/2

PRICE MOVE

+2.13pp (+7.4%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

Raw Open → Now price change: 7.4% • +2.13 probability points

Previous market evidence

No previous positive open-to-final support in the recorded sample.

BEST FIXED ODDS

10/3 4.33 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday7f 195y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 7 runners	11/4	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+2.13ppOpen → now	5/2Current; SP pending	Pending	+2.13pp
Dundalk (AW) (IRE)20 Feb 20261m · Class — · Standard · 14 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	9/1	+1.11ppOpen → 10am	8/1	-8.17pp10am → 1pm	33/1	+0.90pp1pm → SP	25/1	1st	-6.15pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday7f 195y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 7 runners	11/4	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+2.13ppOpen → now	5/2Current; SP pending	Pending	+2.13pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Lady In Gold is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Dundalk (AW) (IRE) · 20 Feb 2026 · 1st · 1/3 known conditions match

×Track: Today Bellewstown · previous Dundalk (AW) (IRE)✓Trip (within ½f): 7f 195y×Ground: Today Yielding To Soft · previous Standard?Class: Data missing

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

N/A

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

2 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.

Today: +2.13pp

Possible next price: 5/2

No historical data

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

TachosDraw 4

Trainer: D K Weld

Jockey: Reese Holohan(5)

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer D K Weld (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 12/157; first seen between 10am and 1pm 15/157; first seen after 1pm 8/157.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/7; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/7; first seen after 1pm 0/7.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.06pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 5/23 won (21.7%); Open→SP 6/22 won (27.3%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.

Market Form rating44/100 · Negative

Last run19 days ago · 12 Sep 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

No consistent price pattern yet

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Early

Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 3/1 → 3/1 | Avg: 3/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

Mid-market mover (29%)

14:45Bellewstown

Opened 5/1Market avg 5/1

5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 ↓ 9/2 ↑ 11/2 ↓ 5/1 → 5/1 ↓ 9/2 ↑ 5/1 ↑ 11/2

PRICE MOVE

+0.06pp (+0.4%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

86th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE86th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE

Only 1 of 7 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 6th at Gowran Park (IRE) on 01 Jun 2026 (+0.78pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 0.4% • +0.06 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Leopardstown (IRE), 20 Aug 2026 — 1st • open 4/1 → final 3/1 (+5.00pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

11/2 6.5 decimal Bet Victor

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday7f 195y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 7 runners	5/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.06ppOpen → now	5/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.06pp
Leopardstown (IRE)20 Aug 20261m · Class — · Good To Yielding · 8 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	4/1	+0.00ppOpen → 10am	4/1	+5.00pp10am → 1pm	3/1	+0.00pp1pm → SP	3/1	1st	+5.00pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday7f 195y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 7 runners	5/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.06ppOpen → now	5/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.06pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 1 of 7 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Tachos is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Leopardstown (IRE) · 20 Aug 2026 · 1st · 1/3 known conditions match

×Track: Today Bellewstown · previous Leopardstown (IRE)✓Trip (within ½f): 7f 195y×Ground: Today Yielding To Soft · previous Good To Yielding?Class: Data missing

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.Comparable moves have had few top-two finishes. Be cautious.

Did the early price move fade?

No documented early-support reversal in this horse’s recorded checkpoint sample. The older wording referred to finishing results, not a verified intraday price fade.

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

7 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.

Today: +0.06pp

Possible next price: 6/1

7 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

Aquilla StarDraw 7

Trainer: John McConnell

Jockey: Siobhan Rutledge

🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer John McConnell (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/24; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/24; first seen after 1pm 1/24.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/5; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/5; first seen after 1pm 0/5.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.00pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/1 won (0%); Open→SP 0/2 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.

Market Form rating52/100 · Neutral

Last run23 days ago · 8 Sep 2026

Distance changeDown 0.6f from last run

Often drifts in the market

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Mid

Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 11/1 → 14/1 | Avg: 12/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

Mid-market mover (40%)

14:45Bellewstown

Opened 5/1Market avg 5/1

5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 ↑ 11/2 ↓ 5/1

PRICE MOVE

+0.00pp (+0.0%)

No meaningful price change from the open.

Move evidence

100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILETHE STRONGEST MOVE RECORDED (100th percentile)

EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE

Strongest support recorded across 5 previous runs.

Raw Open → Now price change: 0% • +0.00 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Galway (IRE), 08 Sep 2026 — 1st • open 25/1 → final 11/1 (+4.49pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

11/2 6.5 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday7f 195y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 7 runners	5/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.00ppOpen → now	5/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.00pp
Galway (IRE)08 Sep 20261m 98y · Class — · Soft · 14 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	25/1	-0.40ppOpen → 10am	28/1	+3.22pp10am → 1pm	14/1	+2.42pp1pm → SP	10/1	1st	+5.24pp
Post-race comment
Ballinrobe (IRE)20 Jul 20261m 1f 135y · Class — · Good To Yielding · 9 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	15/2	-1.24ppOpen → 10am	17/2	-2.83pp10am → 1pm	12/1	+0.00pp1pm → SP	12/1	2nd	-4.07pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday7f 195y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 7 runners	5/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.00ppOpen → now	5/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.00pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READTHIS IS THE HORSE’S STRONGEST RECORDED SUPPORT

Across 5 previous runs, this is the horse’s strongest recorded support. Today’s move: Aquilla Star is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Galway (IRE) · 08 Sep 2026 · 1st · 0/3 known conditions match

×Track: Today Bellewstown · previous Galway (IRE)×Trip (within ½f): Today 7f 195y · previous 1m 98y×Ground: Today Yielding To Soft · previous Soft?Class: Data missing

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

This price often moves during the day, so keep checking it. (moderate)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

No positive support trigger.

This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.

Today: +0.00pp

Possible next price: 5/1

5 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

Star StrewnDraw 5

Trainer: C W J Farrell

Jockey: Rory Cleary

🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer C W J Farrell (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 2/35; first seen between 10am and 1pm 1/35; first seen after 1pm 0/35.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/5; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/5; first seen after 1pm 0/5.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.25pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

Market Form rating60/100 · Neutral

Last run22 days ago · 9 Sep 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

No consistent price pattern yet

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Opening

Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 2/1 → 33/1 | Avg: 18/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

Early money horse (40%)

14:45Bellewstown

Opened 11/2Market avg 11/2

6/1 ↓ 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 ↑ 6/1 → 6/1 ↓ 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 ↑ 6/1

PRICE MOVE

-0.25pp (-1.7%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

40th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE40th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

3 of 5 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 1st at Cork (IRE) on 09 Sep 2026 (-0.90pp); finished 7th at Gowran Park (IRE) on 01 Sep 2026 (-2.35pp); and finished 9th at Cork (IRE) on 24 Apr 2026 (-4.49pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 1.7% • -0.25 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Cork (IRE), 24 Apr 2026 — 9th • open 11/1 → final 33/1 (-5.39pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

6/1 7 decimal Bet Victor

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday7f 195y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 7 runners	11/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.25ppOpen → now	11/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.25pp
Cork (IRE)09 Sep 20261m · Class — · Good · 18 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	25/1	-0.90ppOpen → 10am	33/1	-0.50pp10am → 1pm	40/1	+0.00pp1pm → SP	40/1	1st	-1.41pp
Post-race comment
Dundalk (AW) (IRE)11 Feb 20267f · Class — · Standard · 13 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	9/4	+0.00ppOpen → 10am	9/4	+2.56pp10am → 1pm	2/1	+1.39pp1pm → SP	15/8	1st	+3.95pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday7f 195y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 7 runners	11/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.25ppOpen → now	11/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.25pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

3 of 5 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Star Strewn is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Cork (IRE) · 09 Sep 2026 · 1st · 1/3 known conditions match

×Track: Today Bellewstown · previous Cork (IRE)✓Trip (within ½f): 7f 195y×Ground: Today Yielding To Soft · previous Good?Class: Data missing

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

No positive support trigger.

This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.

Today: -0.25pp

Possible next price: 6/1

5 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Duchess Of KenliDraw 3

Trainer: Joseph Patrick O'Brien

Jockey: Julian Pietropaolo(7)

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Joseph Patrick O'Brien (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 81/908; first seen between 10am and 1pm 87/908; first seen after 1pm 46/908.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 2 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.62pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 42/148 won (28.4%); Open→SP 46/162 won (28.4%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 30.3% (23/76).

Market Form rating63/100 · Neutral

Last run42 days ago · 20 Aug 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: 17/2 → 17/2 | Avg: 17/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

14:45Bellewstown

Opened 8/1Market avg 15/2

15/2 → 15/2 ↑ 8/1 ↓ 15/2 ↑ 8/1 ↓ 15/2 ↓ 7/1 ↑ 15/2 ↑ 9/1 ↓ 8/1

PRICE MOVE

+0.62pp (+5.3%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

Raw Open → Now price change: 5.3% • +0.62 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Gowran Park (IRE), 25 Jul 2026 — 1st • open 11/1 → final 17/2 (+2.19pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

9/1 10 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday7f 195y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 7 runners	8/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.62ppOpen → now	15/2Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.62pp
Gowran Park (IRE)25 Jul 20261m · Class — · Good · 13 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	11/1	-2.45ppOpen → 10am	16/1	+3.21pp10am → 1pm	10/1	+3.41pp1pm → SP	7/1	1st	+4.17pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday7f 195y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 7 runners	8/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.62ppOpen → now	15/2Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.62pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Duchess Of Kenli is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Gowran Park (IRE) · 25 Jul 2026 · 1st · 1/3 known conditions match

×Track: Today Bellewstown · previous Gowran Park (IRE)✓Trip (within ½f): 7f 195y×Ground: Today Yielding To Soft · previous Good?Class: Data missing

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

N/A

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

2 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.

Today: +0.62pp

Possible next price: 17/2

No historical data

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

Excuzio JoeDraw 1

Trainer: Matthew J Smith

Jockey: Robbie Colgan

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Matthew J Smith (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 3/72; first seen between 10am and 1pm 6/72; first seen after 1pm 2/72.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 0 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.04pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 4/9 won (44.4%); Open→SP 5/9 won (55.6%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.

Market Form rating52/100 · Neutral

Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

14:45Bellewstown

Opened 33/1Market avg 33/1

33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1

PRICE MOVE

+0.04pp (+1.3%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

Raw Open → Now price change: 1.3% • +0.04 probability points

BEST FIXED ODDS

33/1 34 decimal Bet Victor

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday7f 195y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 7 runners	33/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.04ppOpen → now	33/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.04pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday7f 195y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 7 runners	33/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.04ppOpen → now	33/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.04pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Excuzio Joe is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

N/A

Possible next price: 33/1

No historical data

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

Race market overview as at 01:50

Supported0 of 7 runners at +4pp or more
Drifting0 of 7 runners at −4pp or worse
Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.

15:20Bellewstown • 5f3y • Going: Yielding To Soft

10 runners

Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

Steel MagnoliaDraw 10

Trainer: W. McCreery

Jockey: W. J. Lee

🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer W. McCreery (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/14; first seen between 10am and 1pm 1/14; first seen after 1pm 1/14.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/7; first seen between 10am and 1pm 2/7; first seen after 1pm 0/7.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.06pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

Market Form rating52/100 · Neutral

Last run26 days ago · 5 Sep 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

No consistent price pattern yet

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Early PM

Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 7/2 → 6/1 | Avg: 9/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

Mid-market mover (43%)

15:20Bellewstown

Opened 15/8Market avg 15/8

15/8 → 15/8 → 15/8 ↓ 7/4 ↑ 15/8 → 15/8 → 15/8 → 15/8 → 15/8 → 15/8

PRICE MOVE

-0.06pp (-0.2%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

29th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE29th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

5 of 7 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 3rd at Navan (IRE) on 05 Sep 2026 (-11.25pp); finished 2nd at Naas (IRE) on 03 Aug 2026 (-7.66pp); finished 7th at Bellewstown (IRE) on 03 Jul 2026 (-2.80pp); finished 4th at Naas on 24 Jun 2026 (-4.86pp); and finished 4th at Bellewstown (IRE) on 11 Apr 2026 (-1.40pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 0.2% • -0.06 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Navan (IRE), 05 Sep 2026 — 3rd • open 9/4 → final 5/1 (-14.58pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

2/1 3 decimal Betfair Sportsbook

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday5f 3y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 10 runners	15/8	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.06ppOpen → now	15/8Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.06pp
Naas (IRE)23 Aug 20265f · Class — · Good · 19 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	5/1	+0.00ppOpen → 10am	5/1	+5.56pp10am → 1pm	7/2	+0.00pp1pm → SP	7/2	1st	+5.56pp
Post-race comment
Naas (IRE)03 Aug 20265f · Class — · Good · 15 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	9/2	-7.66ppOpen → 10am	17/2	+2.81pp10am → 1pm	13/2	+3.33pp1pm → SP	5/1	2nd	-1.52pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday5f 3y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 10 runners	15/8	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.06ppOpen → now	15/8Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.06pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

5 of 7 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Steel Magnolia is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Naas (IRE) · 23 Aug 2026 · 1st · 1/3 known conditions match

×Track: Today Bellewstown · previous Naas (IRE)✓Trip (within ½f): 5f 3y×Ground: Today Yielding To Soft · previous Good?Class: Data missing

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

This price often moves during the day, so keep checking it. (moderate)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

No positive support trigger.

This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.

Today: -0.06pp

Possible next price: 15/8

7 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

El FontenaroDraw 5

Trainer: Jarlath P Fahey

Jockey: Reese Holohan(5)

🔴 Ignores MarketThis horse has won or placed despite drifting. Market weakness does NOT negatively impact performance. Can be a value angle when price weakens.

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Jarlath P Fahey (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 4/72; first seen between 10am and 1pm 3/72; first seen after 1pm 1/72.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/6; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/6; first seen after 1pm 0/6.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.47pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/5 won (0%); Open→SP 0/5 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.

Market Form rating60/100 · Neutral

Last run2 days ago · 29 Sep 2026

Distance changeDown 1f from last run

No consistent price pattern yet

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Late PM

Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: 10/3 → 16/1 | Avg: 8/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

Early money horse (33%)

15:20Bellewstown

Opened 5/2Market avg 5/2

5/2 ↑ 5/2 → 5/2 → 5/2 → 5/2 ↓ 5/2 ↑ 5/2 ↓ 5/2 ↑ 11/4 ↓ 5/2

PRICE MOVE

+0.47pp (+1.6%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

2 of 6 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 11th at Fairyhouse (IRE) on 28 May 2026 (+0.53pp); and finished 4th at Sligo (IRE) on 03 May 2026 (+1.11pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 1.6% • +0.47 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Limerick, 11 Jul 2026 — 2nd • open 9/2 → final 4/1 (+1.82pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

11/4 3.75 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday5f 3y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 10 runners	5/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.47ppOpen → now	5/2Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.47pp
Cork (IRE)24 Jul 20266f · Class — · Good To Firm · 19 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	11/4	-8.48ppOpen → 10am	9/2	+8.48pp10am → 1pm	11/4	-3.57pp1pm → SP	10/3	1st	-3.57pp
Post-race comment
Limerick11 Jul 20266f 150y · Class — · Good · 14 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	9/2	-1.52ppOpen → 10am	5/1	-3.33pp10am → 1pm	13/2	+6.67pp1pm → SP	4/1	2nd	+1.82pp
Post-race comment
Fairyhouse (IRE)12 Jun 20266f · Class — · Good · 16 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	12/1	-1.81ppOpen → 10am	16/1	+0.78pp10am → 1pm	14/1	+0.00pp1pm → SP	14/1	2nd	-1.03pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday5f 3y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 10 runners	5/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.47ppOpen → now	5/2Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.47pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 2 of 6 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: El Fontenaro is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Cork (IRE) · 24 Jul 2026 · 1st · 0/3 known conditions match

×Track: Today Bellewstown · previous Cork (IRE)×Trip (within ½f): Today 5f 3y · previous 6f×Ground: Today Yielding To Soft · previous Good To Firm?Class: Data missing

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

Limited data: one similar run only.

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

No positive support trigger.

This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.

Today: +0.47pp

Possible next price: 5/2

6 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

Dandy LandDraw 7

Trainer: W. McCreery

Jockey: Sam Coen(5)

🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer W. McCreery (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/14; first seen between 10am and 1pm 1/14; first seen after 1pm 1/14.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/6; first seen between 10am and 1pm 1/6; first seen after 1pm 0/6.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.07pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

Market Form rating48/100 · Neutral

Last run39 days ago · 23 Aug 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

Often drifts in the market

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: 10am

Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: 5/1 → 13/2 | Avg: 11/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

10am plunger

Early money horse (33%)

15:20Bellewstown

Opened 7/2Market avg 7/2

7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 ↑ 4/1 ↓ 7/2

PRICE MOVE

-0.07pp (-0.3%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

3 of 6 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 8th at Naas (IRE) on 23 Aug 2026 (-6.84pp); finished 1st at Naas (IRE) on 03 Aug 2026 (-3.09pp); and finished 6th at Curragh (IRE) on 03 Jun 2026 (-1.45pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 0.3% • -0.07 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Naas (IRE), 03 Aug 2026 — 1st • open 10/3 → final 13/2 (-9.76pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

4/1 5 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday5f 3y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 10 runners	7/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.07ppOpen → now	7/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.07pp
Naas (IRE)03 Aug 20265f · Class — · Good · 15 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	10/3	-3.09ppOpen → 10am	4/1	-6.67pp10am → 1pm	13/2	-1.57pp1pm → SP	15/2	1st	-11.33pp
Post-race comment
Down Royal (IRE)17 Jul 20265f · Class — · Good · 11 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	5/1	+0.00ppOpen → 10am	5/1	+0.00pp10am → 1pm	5/1	+3.33pp1pm → SP	4/1	2nd	+3.33pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday5f 3y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 10 runners	7/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.07ppOpen → now	7/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.07pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

3 of 6 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Dandy Land is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Naas (IRE) · 03 Aug 2026 · 1st · 1/3 known conditions match

×Track: Today Bellewstown · previous Naas (IRE)✓Trip (within ½f): 5f 3y×Ground: Today Yielding To Soft · previous Good?Class: Data missing

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.Comparable moves have had few top-two finishes. Be cautious.

Did the early price move fade?

Recorded examples where 5pp+ early support was followed by a longer final price:

Fairyhouse (IRE), 12 Jun 2026 — 8th • open 10/1 → 1pm 11/2 → final 13/2

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

No positive support trigger.

This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.

Today: -0.07pp

Possible next price: 7/2

6 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Ballysax Lil' MickDraw 6

Trainer: Miss Katy Brown

Jockey: Wesley Joyce

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Miss Katy Brown (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/21; first seen between 10am and 1pm 1/21; first seen after 1pm 0/21.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/5; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/5; first seen after 1pm 0/5.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.00pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/1 won (0%); Open→SP 0/1 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.

Market Form rating44/100 · Negative

Last run26 days ago · 5 Sep 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

No consistent price pattern yet

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Early

Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

Mid-market mover (40%)

15:20Bellewstown

Opened 5/1Market avg 5/1

5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 ↓ 9/2 ↑ 5/1 → 5/1

PRICE MOVE

+0.00pp (+0.0%)

No meaningful price change from the open.

Move evidence

40th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE40th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

3 of 5 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 5th at Navan (IRE) on 05 Sep 2026 (+1.76pp); finished 13th at Naas on 24 Jun 2026 (+0.64pp); and finished 14th at Dundalk (AW) (IRE) on 23 Jan 2026 (+2.22pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 0% • +0.00 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Dundalk (AW) (IRE), 23 Jan 2026 — 14th • open 8/1 → final 13/2 (+2.22pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

11/2 6.5 decimal Paddy Power

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday5f 3y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 10 runners	5/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.00ppOpen → now	5/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.00pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday5f 3y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 10 runners	5/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.00ppOpen → now	5/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.00pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

3 of 5 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Ballysax Lil' Mick is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

This price often moves during the day, so keep checking it. (moderate)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

5 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.

Today: +0.00pp

Possible next price: 5/1

5 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

One Cool BearDraw 1

Trainer: Adrian McGuinness

Jockey: Adam Caffrey

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Adrian McGuinness (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 26/426; first seen between 10am and 1pm 27/426; first seen after 1pm 18/426.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/8; first seen between 10am and 1pm 2/8; first seen after 1pm 0/8.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.34pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 11/46 won (23.9%); Open→SP 12/51 won (23.5%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 26.3% (5/19).

Market Form rating45/100 · Neutral

Last run10 days ago · 21 Sep 2026

Distance changeDown 1f from last run

No consistent price pattern yet

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Early

Runs: 8 | Fixed-odds range: 11/1 → 11/1 | Avg: 11/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

10am plunger

Mid-market mover (25%)

15:20Bellewstown

Opened 9/1Market avg 17/2

17/2 ↑ 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 ↓ 17/2 → 17/2 ↓ 8/1 → 8/1 ↑ 11/1 ↓ 17/2

PRICE MOVE

+0.34pp (+3.3%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

63th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE63rd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

3 of 8 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 13th at Fairyhouse (IRE) on 28 May 2026 (+4.44pp); finished 4th at Dundalk (AW) (IRE) on 01 Apr 2026 (+8.89pp); and finished 2nd at Dundalk (AW) (IRE) on 27 Feb 2026 (+3.07pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 3.3% • +0.34 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Dundalk (AW) (IRE), 01 Apr 2026 — 4th • open 8/1 → final 9/2 (+7.07pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

11/1 12 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday5f 3y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 10 runners	9/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.34ppOpen → now	17/2Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.34pp
Dundalk (AW) (IRE)27 Feb 20267f · Class — · Standard · 13 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	18/1	+3.07ppOpen → 10am	11/1	+2.19pp10am → 1pm	17/2	-3.86pp1pm → SP	14/1	2nd	+1.40pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday5f 3y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 10 runners	9/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.34ppOpen → now	17/2Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.34pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 3 of 8 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: One Cool Bear is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Dundalk (AW) (IRE) · 27 Feb 2026 · 2nd · 0/3 known conditions match

×Track: Today Bellewstown · previous Dundalk (AW) (IRE)×Trip (within ½f): Today 5f 3y · previous 7f×Ground: Today Yielding To Soft · previous Standard?Class: Data missing

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.Comparable moves have had few top-two finishes. Be cautious.

Did the early price move fade?

Recorded examples where 5pp+ early support was followed by a longer final price:

Fairyhouse (IRE), 28 May 2026 — 13th • open 14/1 → 1pm 15/2 → final 17/2
Dundalk (AW) (IRE), 01 Apr 2026 — 4th • open 8/1 → 10am 4/1 → final 9/2
Dundalk (AW) (IRE), 27 Feb 2026 — 2nd • open 18/1 → 1pm 17/2 → final 11/1

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

8 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.

Today: +0.34pp

Possible next price: 17/2

8 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

HastilyDraw 9

Trainer: Tom McGuinness

Jockey: Shay Wallace(7)

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Tom McGuinness (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/17; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/17; first seen after 1pm 0/17.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/7; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/7; first seen after 1pm 0/7.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.02pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

Market Form rating45/100 · Neutral

Last run2 days ago · 29 Sep 2026

Distance changeDown 1f from last run

Often drifts in the market

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Pre-Off

Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

10am plunger

Late money horse (29%)

15:20Bellewstown

Opened 18/1Market avg 18/1

18/1 ↑ 20/1 ↓ 14/1 ↑ 20/1 ↓ 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 ↓ 16/1 ↑ 22/1 ↓ 18/1

PRICE MOVE

-0.02pp (-0.5%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

43th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE43rd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

4 of 7 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 9th at Cork (IRE) on 29 Sep 2026 (-2.46pp); finished 13th at Gowran Park (IRE) on 12 Jun 2026 (-0.26pp); finished 15th at Gowran Park (IRE) on 20 May 2026 (-1.20pp); and finished 16th at Naas (IRE) on 09 May 2026 (-0.41pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 0.5% • -0.02 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Naas (IRE), 09 May 2026 — 16th • open 20/1 → final 40/1 (-2.32pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

22/1 23 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday5f 3y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 10 runners	18/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.02ppOpen → now	18/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.02pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday5f 3y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 10 runners	18/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.02ppOpen → now	18/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.02pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

4 of 7 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Hastily is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.Comparable moves have had few top-two finishes. Be cautious.

Did the early price move fade?

No documented early-support reversal in this horse’s recorded checkpoint sample. The older wording referred to finishing results, not a verified intraday price fade.

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

7 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.

Today: -0.02pp

Possible next price: 18/1

7 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Banish MisfortuneDraw 4

Trainer: Gerard Kyne

Jockey: Donagh O'Connor

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Gerard Kyne (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/13; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/13; first seen after 1pm 0/13.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/4; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/4; first seen after 1pm 0/4.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.08pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

Market Form rating52/100 · Neutral

Last run27 days ago · 4 Sep 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

Often drifts in the market

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Pre-Off

Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

Late money horse (75%)

15:20Bellewstown

Opened 20/1Market avg 20/1

20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 ↑ 22/1 ↓ 20/1 → 20/1 ↓ 18/1 → 18/1 ↑ 22/1

PRICE MOVE

-0.08pp (-1.7%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

2 of 4 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 8th at Bellewstown (IRE) on 03 Jul 2026 (-0.16pp); and finished 16th at Limerick (IRE) on 19 Jun 2026 (-0.98pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 1.7% • -0.08 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Limerick (IRE), 19 Jun 2026 — 16th • open 33/1 → final 100/1 (-2.61pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

25/1 26 decimal Betfair Sportsbook

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday5f 3y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 10 runners	20/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.08ppOpen → now	20/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.08pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday5f 3y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 10 runners	20/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.08ppOpen → now	20/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.08pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

2 of 4 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Banish Misfortune is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

This matches its usual pattern; support has often arrived later. (strong)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

4 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.

Today: -0.08pp

Possible next price: 25/1

4 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Star AllureDraw 8

Trainer: Ms Claire O'Connell

Jockey: Siobhan Rutledge

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Ms Claire O'Connell (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 3/93; first seen between 10am and 1pm 5/93; first seen after 1pm 0/93.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/5; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/5; first seen after 1pm 0/5.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.07pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 3/7 won (42.9%); Open→SP 3/6 won (50%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.

Market Form rating45/100 · Neutral

Last run21 days ago · 10 Sep 2026

Distance changeDown 1f from last run

Often drifts in the market

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Early PM

Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

Early money horse (20%)

15:20Bellewstown

Opened 25/1Market avg 25/1

25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 ↓ 20/1 ↑ 25/1 → 25/1

PRICE MOVE

+0.07pp (+1.8%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILETHE STRONGEST MOVE RECORDED (100th percentile)

EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE

Strongest support recorded across 5 previous runs.

Raw Open → Now price change: 1.8% • +0.07 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Sligo (IRE), 03 May 2026 — 10th • open 33/1 → final 25/1 (+0.90pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

25/1 26 decimal Bet Victor

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday5f 3y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 10 runners	25/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.07ppOpen → now	25/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.07pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday5f 3y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 10 runners	25/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.07ppOpen → now	25/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.07pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READTHIS IS THE HORSE’S STRONGEST RECORDED SUPPORT

Across 5 previous runs, this is the horse’s strongest recorded support. Today’s move: Star Allure is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

N/A

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

5 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.

Today: +0.07pp

Possible next price: 25/1

5 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

Gold InnDraw 3

Trainer: G A Kingston

Jockey: Rory Mulligan(5)

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer G A Kingston (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/14; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/14; first seen after 1pm 0/14.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/3; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/3; first seen after 1pm 0/3.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.30pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/0 won (0%); Open→SP 0/0 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.

Market Form rating46/100 · Neutral

Last run12 days ago · 19 Sep 2026

Distance changeDown 3f from last run

Often drifts in the market

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Early PM

Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.

Early money horse (33%)

15:20Bellewstown

Opened 50/1Market avg 40/1

40/1 ↑ 50/1 ↓ 33/1 ↑ 50/1 → 50/1 ↓ 40/1 → 40/1 ↓ 33/1 ↑ 50/1 → 50/1

PRICE MOVE

+0.30pp (+13.1%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILETHE STRONGEST MOVE RECORDED (100th percentile)

EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE

Strongest support recorded across 3 previous runs.

Raw Open → Now price change: 13.1% • +0.30 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Bellewstown (IRE), 11 Apr 2026 — 8th • open 16/1 → final 12/1 (+1.81pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

50/1 51 decimal Bet Victor

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday5f 3y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 10 runners	50/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.30ppOpen → now	40/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.30pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday5f 3y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 10 runners	50/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.30ppOpen → now	40/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.30pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READTHIS IS THE HORSE’S STRONGEST RECORDED SUPPORT

Across 3 previous runs, this is the horse’s strongest recorded support. Today’s move: Gold Inn is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

Limited data: one similar run only.

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

3 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.

Today: +0.30pp

Possible next price: 66/1

3 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

Smart SiouxDraw 2

Trainer: Ms Claire O'Connell

Jockey: Rory Cleary

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Ms Claire O'Connell (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 3/93; first seen between 10am and 1pm 5/93; first seen after 1pm 0/93.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/3; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/3; first seen after 1pm 0/3.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.00pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 3/7 won (42.9%); Open→SP 3/6 won (50%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.

Market Form rating46/100 · Neutral

Last run39 days ago · 23 Aug 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

Often drifts in the market

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Pre-Off

Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

Late money horse (67%)

15:20Bellewstown

Opened 50/1Market avg 50/1

50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 ↓ 40/1 → 40/1 ↑ 50/1

PRICE MOVE

-0.00pp (-0.2%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

3 of 3 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 16th at Naas (IRE) on 23 Aug 2026 (-2.86pp); finished 7th at Cork (IRE) on 14 Aug 2026 (-1.89pp); and finished 13th at Bellewstown (IRE) on 11 Apr 2026 (-0.90pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 0.2% • -0.00 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Naas (IRE), 23 Aug 2026 — 16th • open 22/1 → final 80/1 (-3.11pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

66/1 67 decimal Betfair Sportsbook

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday5f 3y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 10 runners	50/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.00ppOpen → now	50/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.00pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday5f 3y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 10 runners	50/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.00ppOpen → now	50/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.00pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

3 of 3 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Smart Sioux is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

This matches its usual pattern; support has often arrived later. (strong)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

3 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.

Today: -0.00pp

Possible next price: 50/1

3 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Race market overview as at 01:50

Supported0 of 10 runners at +4pp or more
Drifting0 of 10 runners at −4pp or worse
Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.

15:55Bellewstown • 1m4f77y • Going: Yielding To Soft

5 runners

Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

Magnum CorDraw 1

Trainer: Joseph Patrick O'Brien

Jockey: J M Sheridan

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Joseph Patrick O'Brien (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 81/908; first seen between 10am and 1pm 87/908; first seen after 1pm 46/908.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 2 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.08pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 42/148 won (28.4%); Open→SP 46/162 won (28.4%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 30.3% (23/76).

Market Form rating45/100 · Neutral

Last run44 days ago · 18 Aug 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: 5/6 → 5/6 | Avg: 5/6Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

15:55Bellewstown

Opened 6/4Market avg 6/4

6/4 → 6/4 → 6/4 → 6/4 → 6/4 → 6/4 → 6/4 → 6/4 ↑ 13/8 ↓ 6/4

PRICE MOVE

+0.08pp (+0.2%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

Raw Open → Now price change: 0.2% • +0.08 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Leopardstown (IRE), 06 Aug 2026 — 4th • open 10/3 → final 9/4 (+7.67pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

13/8 2.63 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday1m 4f 77y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 5 runners	6/4	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.08ppOpen → now	6/4Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.08pp
Roscommon (IRE)18 Aug 20261m 4f 48y · Class — · Good To Yielding · 14 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	8/11	+4.26ppOpen → 10am	8/13	+0.00pp10am → 1pm	8/13	-11.73pp1pm → SP	EVS	1st	-7.47pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday1m 4f 77y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 5 runners	6/4	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.08ppOpen → now	6/4Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.08pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Magnum Cor is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Roscommon (IRE) · 18 Aug 2026 · 1st · 1/3 known conditions match

×Track: Today Bellewstown · previous Roscommon (IRE)✓Trip (within ½f): 1m 4f 77y×Ground: Today Yielding To Soft · previous Good To Yielding?Class: Data missing

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

Limited data: one similar run only.

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

2 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.

Today: +0.08pp

Possible next price: 6/4

No historical data

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

AbbotsfordDraw 5

Trainer: D K Weld

Jockey: W. J. Lee

🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer D K Weld (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 12/157; first seen between 10am and 1pm 15/157; first seen after 1pm 8/157.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/3; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/3; first seen after 1pm 1/3.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.50pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 5/23 won (21.7%); Open→SP 6/22 won (27.3%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.

Market Form rating59/100 · Neutral

Last run42 days ago · 20 Aug 2026

Distance changeDown 1.7f from last run

Usually attracts bookmaker support

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Late PM

Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: 7/4 → 15/2 | Avg: 9/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

Late money horse (67%)

15:55Bellewstown

Opened 13/8Market avg 13/8

13/8 → 13/8 → 13/8 → 13/8 → 13/8 → 13/8 → 13/8 ↓ 6/4 ↑ 7/4 ↓ 13/8

PRICE MOVE

+0.50pp (+1.3%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

33th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE33rd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

2 of 3 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 7th at Leopardstown (IRE) on 20 Aug 2026 (+2.86pp); and finished 1st at Galway (IRE) on 29 Jul 2026 (+2.20pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 1.3% • +0.50 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Galway (IRE), 29 Jul 2026 — 1st • open 5/2 → final 7/4 (+7.79pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

7/4 2.75 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday1m 4f 77y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 5 runners	13/8	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.50ppOpen → now	13/8Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.50pp
Galway (IRE)29 Jul 20261m 4f 43y · Class — · Yielding · 18 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	5/2	+2.20ppOpen → 10am	9/4	-5.77pp10am → 1pm	3/1	+11.36pp1pm → SP	7/4	1st	+7.79pp
Post-race comment
Cork (IRE)03 May 20261m 2f 120y · Class — · Soft · 10 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	15/2	-0.65ppOpen → 10am	8/1	+2.22pp10am → 1pm	13/2	-1.57pp1pm → SP	15/2	2nd	+0.00pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday1m 4f 77y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 5 runners	13/8	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.50ppOpen → now	13/8Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.50pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

2 of 3 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Abbotsford is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Galway (IRE) · 29 Jul 2026 · 1st · 1/3 known conditions match

×Track: Today Bellewstown · previous Galway (IRE)✓Trip (within ½f): 1m 4f 77y×Ground: Today Yielding To Soft · previous Yielding?Class: Data missing

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

This early support is unusual; the price has often drifted again later. (strong)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

No positive support trigger.

This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.

Today: +0.50pp

Possible next price: 13/8

3 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

Count BezukhovDraw 4

Trainer: Joseph Patrick O'Brien

Jockey: Declan McDonogh

🟢 Needs Support (23%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Joseph Patrick O'Brien (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 81/908; first seen between 10am and 1pm 87/908; first seen after 1pm 46/908.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 2/4; first seen between 10am and 1pm 1/4; first seen after 1pm 0/4.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +1.03pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 42/148 won (28.4%); Open→SP 46/162 won (28.4%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 30.3% (23/76).

Market Form rating52/100 · Neutral

Last run9 days ago · 22 Sep 2026

Distance changeDown 1.9f from last run

Usually attracts bookmaker support

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Mid

Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 5/6 → 2/1 | Avg: 11/8Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

10am plunger

Early money horse (25%)

15:55Bellewstown

Opened 2/1Market avg 15/8

2/1 ↓ 15/8 → 15/8 → 15/8 ↑ 2/1 → 2/1 ↓ 15/8 → 15/8 → 15/8 ↑ 2/1

PRICE MOVE

+1.03pp (+3.0%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

2 of 4 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 3rd at Doncaster on 09 Jul 2026 (+5.45pp); and finished 1st at Curragh (IRE) on 23 May 2026 (+11.11pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 3% • +1.03 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Curragh (IRE), 23 May 2026 — 1st • open 2/1 → final 5/6 (+21.31pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

2/1 3 decimal Bet Victor

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday1m 4f 77y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 5 runners	2/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+1.03ppOpen → now	15/8Current; SP pending	Pending	+1.03pp
Listowel (IRE)22 Sep 20261m 6f 55y · Class — · Yielding · 8 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	11/4	+0.00ppOpen → 10am	11/4	+8.06pp10am → 1pm	15/8	+0.00pp1pm → SP	15/8	1st	+8.06pp
Post-race comment
Curragh (IRE)23 May 20261m 2f · Class — · Good · 15 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	2/1	+11.11ppOpen → 10am	5/4	+1.01pp10am → 1pm	6/5	+6.90pp1pm → SP	10/11	1st	+19.02pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday1m 4f 77y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 5 runners	2/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+1.03ppOpen → now	15/8Current; SP pending	Pending	+1.03pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

2 of 4 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Count Bezukhov is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Listowel (IRE) · 22 Sep 2026 · 1st · 0/3 known conditions match

×Track: Today Bellewstown · previous Listowel (IRE)×Trip (within ½f): Today 1m 4f 77y · previous 1m 6f 55y×Ground: Today Yielding To Soft · previous Yielding?Class: Data missing

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

Similar moves have usually held their position.

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Both previous top-two finishes came with support of 6.66pp+.

At 6.66pp+: 2/3 finished 1st or 2nd (67%).

Today: +1.03pp — trigger not reached.

Possible next price: 2/1

4 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

NarlitaDraw 2

Trainer: H Rogers

Jockey: Conor Cusack(7)

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer H Rogers (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 4/59; first seen between 10am and 1pm 3/59; first seen after 1pm 1/59.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/8; first seen between 10am and 1pm 1/8; first seen after 1pm 0/8.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.20pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/7 won (14.3%); Open→SP 0/6 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.

Market Form rating45/100 · Neutral

Last run3 days ago · 28 Sep 2026

Distance changeDown 0.5f from last run

Often drifts in the market

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Early

Runs: 8 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

10am plunger

Mid-market mover (25%)

15:55Bellewstown

Opened 25/1Market avg 25/1

25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 ↑ 28/1 ↓ 25/1

PRICE MOVE

+0.20pp (+5.0%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

63th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE63rd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

3 of 8 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 17th at Galway (IRE) on 31 Jul 2026 (+0.51pp); finished 6th at Sligo (IRE) on 03 May 2026 (+2.22pp); and finished 3rd at Curragh (IRE) on 03 Apr 2026 (+4.12pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 5% • +0.20 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Curragh (IRE), 03 Apr 2026 — 3rd • open 16/1 → final 9/1 (+4.12pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

28/1 29 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday1m 4f 77y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 5 runners	25/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.20ppOpen → now	25/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.20pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday1m 4f 77y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 5 runners	25/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.20ppOpen → now	25/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.20pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 3 of 8 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Narlita is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

Limited data: one similar run only.

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

8 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.

Today: +0.20pp

Possible next price: 25/1

8 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

Dream LegendDraw 3

Trainer: E D Delany

Jockey: James Ryan

🔴 Ignores MarketThis horse has won or placed despite drifting. Market weakness does NOT negatively impact performance. Can be a value angle when price weakens.

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer E D Delany (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/50; first seen between 10am and 1pm 3/50; first seen after 1pm 1/50.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/5; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/5; first seen after 1pm 0/5.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.17pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/3 won (0%); Open→SP 1/4 won (25%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.

Market Form rating64/100 · Neutral

Last run29 days ago · 2 Sep 2026

Distance changeUp 4.3f from last run

Often drifts in the market

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: 10am

Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 7/2 → 66/1 | Avg: 33/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.

Early money horse (40%)

15:55Bellewstown

Opened 100/1Market avg 80/1

80/1 ↑ 100/1 → 100/1 ↓ 50/1 ↑ 100/1 → 100/1 ↓ 80/1 ↓ 66/1 ↑ 100/1 → 100/1

PRICE MOVE

+0.17pp (+14.8%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILETHE STRONGEST MOVE RECORDED (100th percentile)

EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE

Strongest support recorded across 5 previous runs.

Raw Open → Now price change: 14.8% • +0.17 probability points

Previous market evidence

No previous positive open-to-final support in the recorded sample.

BEST FIXED ODDS

100/1 101 decimal Bet Victor

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday1m 4f 77y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 5 runners	100/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.17ppOpen → now	80/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.17pp
Bellewstown (IRE)02 Jul 20267f 211y · Class — · Good · 15 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	3/1	-5.00ppOpen → 10am	4/1	+0.00pp10am → 1pm	4/1	-1.82pp1pm → SP	9/2	1st	-6.82pp
Post-race comment
Bellewstown (IRE)11 Apr 20267f 205y · Class — · Soft · 13 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	22/1	-0.50ppOpen → 10am	25/1	-1.89pp10am → 1pm	50/1	+0.48pp1pm → SP	40/1	1st	-1.91pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday1m 4f 77y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 5 runners	100/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.17ppOpen → now	80/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.17pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READTHIS IS THE HORSE’S STRONGEST RECORDED SUPPORT

Across 5 previous runs, this is the horse’s strongest recorded support. Today’s move: Dream Legend is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Bellewstown (IRE) · 02 Jul 2026 · 1st · 0/3 known conditions match

×Track: Today Bellewstown · previous Bellewstown (IRE)×Trip (within ½f): Today 1m 4f 77y · previous 7f 211y×Ground: Today Yielding To Soft · previous Good?Class: Data missing

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

No positive support trigger.

This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.

Today: +0.17pp

Possible next price: 100/1

5 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

Race market overview as at 01:50

Supported0 of 5 runners at +4pp or more
Drifting0 of 5 runners at −4pp or worse
Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.

16:30Bellewstown • 1m4f77y • Going: Yielding To Soft

12 runners

Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

Maxwell SmartDraw 5

Trainer: T G McCourt

Jockey: James Ryan

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer T G McCourt (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 4/169; first seen between 10am and 1pm 10/169; first seen after 1pm 7/169.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/10; first seen between 10am and 1pm 1/10; first seen after 1pm 0/10.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.51pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

Market Form rating45/100 · Neutral

Last run27 days ago · 4 Sep 2026

Distance changeDown 0.5f from last run

Often drifts in the market

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Pre-Off

Runs: 10 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

10am plunger

Late money horse (30%)

16:30Bellewstown

Opened 9/4Market avg 9/4

9/4 ↑ 5/2 ↓ 9/4 → 9/4 → 9/4 ↑ 5/2 ↓ 9/4 ↑ 5/2 ↑ 5/2 ↓ 9/4

PRICE MOVE

-0.51pp (-1.7%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

5 of 10 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 4th at Navan (IRE) on 27 Aug 2026 (-3.67pp); finished 9th at Sligo on 12 Jul 2026 (-4.24pp); finished 3rd at Downpatrick (IRE) on 14 Jun 2026 (-5.68pp); finished 3rd at Sligo (IRE) on 03 May 2026 (-1.82pp); and finished 8th at Bellewstown (IRE) on 18 Apr 2026 (-0.90pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 1.7% • -0.51 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Leopardstown (IRE), 15 May 2026 — 9th • open 5/1 → final 12/1 (-8.97pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

5/2 3.5 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday1m 4f 77y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 12 runners	9/4	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.51ppOpen → now	9/4Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.51pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday1m 4f 77y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 12 runners	9/4	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.51ppOpen → now	9/4Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.51pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

5 of 10 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Maxwell Smart is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.Comparable moves have had few top-two finishes. Be cautious.

Did the early price move fade?

No documented early-support reversal in this horse’s recorded checkpoint sample. The older wording referred to finishing results, not a verified intraday price fade.

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

10 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.

Today: -0.51pp

Possible next price: 2/1

10 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

SearcogDraw 12

Trainer: Patrick Magee

Jockey: Reese Holohan(5)

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Patrick Magee (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 6/121; first seen between 10am and 1pm 7/121; first seen after 1pm 2/121.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/8; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/8; first seen after 1pm 1/8.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.30pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 2/12 won (16.7%); Open→SP 0/8 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.

Market Form rating43/100 · Negative

Last run43 days ago · 19 Aug 2026

Distance changeDown 5.4f from last run

No consistent price pattern yet

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: 10am

Runs: 8 | Fixed-odds range: 11/2 → 11/2 | Avg: 11/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

Early money horse (50%)

16:30Bellewstown

Opened 11/4Market avg 11/4

11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 ↓ 5/2 ↑ 10/3 ↓ 11/4

PRICE MOVE

+0.30pp (+1.1%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

2 of 8 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 8th at Navan (IRE) on 25 Apr 2026 (+2.02pp); and finished 5th at Fairyhouse (IRE) on 21 Feb 2026 (+2.78pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 1.1% • +0.30 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Navan (IRE), 25 Apr 2026 — 8th • open 10/1 → final 11/2 (+6.29pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

10/3 4.33 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday1m 4f 77y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 12 runners	11/4	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.30ppOpen → now	11/4Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.30pp
Downpatrick (IRE)09 Aug 20262m 1f 165y · Class — · Good · 7 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	11/2	-4.27ppOpen → 10am	8/1	+5.56pp10am → 1pm	5/1	+1.52pp1pm → SP	9/2	2nd	+2.80pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday1m 4f 77y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 12 runners	11/4	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.30ppOpen → now	11/4Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.30pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 2 of 8 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Searcog is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Downpatrick (IRE) · 09 Aug 2026 · 2nd · 0/3 known conditions match

×Track: Today Bellewstown · previous Downpatrick (IRE)×Trip (within ½f): Today 1m 4f 77y · previous 2m 1f 165y×Ground: Today Yielding To Soft · previous Good?Class: Data missing

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

8 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.

Today: +0.30pp

Possible next price: 11/4

8 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

Lily ParrDraw 11

Trainer: Ms Sheila Lavery

Jockey: Robbie Colgan

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Ms Sheila Lavery (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 2/71; first seen between 10am and 1pm 1/71; first seen after 1pm 1/71.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/4; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/4; first seen after 1pm 0/4.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.24pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

Market Form rating52/100 · Neutral

Last run16 days ago · 15 Sep 2026

Distance changeUp 3.2f from last run

No consistent price pattern yet

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Pre-Off

Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

Late money horse (50%)

16:30Bellewstown

Opened 3/1Market avg 3/1

3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 ↑ 10/3 ↓ 3/1 → 3/1

PRICE MOVE

-0.24pp (-1.0%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

25th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE25th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

3 of 4 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 7th at Punchestown (IRE) on 15 Sep 2026 (-0.90pp); finished 6th at Galway (IRE) on 30 Jul 2026 (-1.41pp); and finished 10th at Roscommon (IRE) on 18 May 2026 (-1.81pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 1% • -0.24 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Roscommon (IRE), 18 May 2026 — 10th • open 12/1 → final 22/1 (-3.34pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

10/3 4.33 decimal Betfair Sportsbook

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday1m 4f 77y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 12 runners	3/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.24ppOpen → now	3/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.24pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday1m 4f 77y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 12 runners	3/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.24ppOpen → now	3/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.24pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

3 of 4 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Lily Parr is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

This matches its usual pattern; support has often arrived later. (moderate)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

4 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.

Today: -0.24pp

Possible next price: 3/1

4 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

AnightawayDraw 10

Trainer: Sean Davis

Jockey: Jimmy Dalton(7)

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Sean Davis (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 2/37; first seen between 10am and 1pm 1/37; first seen after 1pm 0/37.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/4; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/4; first seen after 1pm 0/4.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.08pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/2 won (0%); Open→SP 0/2 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.

Market Form rating52/100 · Neutral

Last run35 days ago · 27 Aug 2026

Distance changeDown 1.7f from last run

Often drifts in the market

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Mid

Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 14/1 → 14/1 | Avg: 14/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

Early money horse (25%)

16:30Bellewstown

Opened 9/2Market avg 9/2

9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 ↓ 4/1 ↑ 5/1 ↓ 9/2

PRICE MOVE

+0.08pp (+0.4%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILETHE STRONGEST MOVE RECORDED (100th percentile)

EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE

Strongest support recorded across 4 previous runs.

Raw Open → Now price change: 0.4% • +0.08 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Sligo (IRE), 05 Aug 2026 — 1st • open 20/1 → final 14/1 (+1.90pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

5/1 6 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday1m 4f 77y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 12 runners	9/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.08ppOpen → now	9/2Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.08pp
Sligo (IRE)05 Aug 20261m 5f 56y · Class — · Yielding · 14 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	20/1	-0.41ppOpen → 10am	22/1	+0.00pp10am → 1pm	22/1	+3.99pp1pm → SP	11/1	1st	+3.57pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday1m 4f 77y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 12 runners	9/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.08ppOpen → now	9/2Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.08pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READTHIS IS THE HORSE’S STRONGEST RECORDED SUPPORT

Across 4 previous runs, this is the horse’s strongest recorded support. Today’s move: Anightaway is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Sligo (IRE) · 05 Aug 2026 · 1st · 0/3 known conditions match

×Track: Today Bellewstown · previous Sligo (IRE)×Trip (within ½f): Today 1m 4f 77y · previous 1m 5f 56y×Ground: Today Yielding To Soft · previous Yielding?Class: Data missing

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

N/A

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

4 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.

Today: +0.08pp

Possible next price: 9/2

4 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

Sir TrancealotDraw 2

Trainer: J. P. Murtagh

Jockey: Ben Coen

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer J. P. Murtagh (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/36; first seen between 10am and 1pm 4/36; first seen after 1pm 2/36.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/6; first seen between 10am and 1pm 1/6; first seen after 1pm 0/6.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.08pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

Market Form rating45/100 · Neutral

Last run31 days ago · 31 Aug 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

No consistent price pattern yet

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Pre-Off

Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

10am plunger

Late money horse (33%)

16:30Bellewstown

Opened 13/2Market avg 13/2

13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 ↑ 7/1 → 7/1 ↓ 13/2

PRICE MOVE

-0.08pp (-0.6%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

33th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE33rd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

4 of 6 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 13th at Roscommon (IRE) on 31 Aug 2026 (-0.40pp); finished 3rd at Fairyhouse (IRE) on 12 Jun 2026 (-1.11pp); finished 7th at Dundalk (AW) (IRE) on 23 Apr 2026 (-0.47pp); and finished 10th at Curragh (IRE) on 28 Mar 2026 (-1.31pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 0.6% • -0.08 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Killarney, 13 Jul 2026 — 14th • open 11/2 → final 12/1 (-7.69pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

7/1 8 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday1m 4f 77y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 12 runners	13/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.08ppOpen → now	13/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.08pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday1m 4f 77y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 12 runners	13/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.08ppOpen → now	13/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.08pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

4 of 6 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Sir Trancealot is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.Comparable moves have had few top-two finishes. Be cautious.

Did the early price move fade?

Recorded examples where 5pp+ early support was followed by a longer final price:

Roscommon (IRE), 31 Aug 2026 — 13th • open 25/1 → 1pm 10/1 → final 14/1

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

6 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.

Today: -0.08pp

Possible next price: 13/2

6 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Sneddy EddieDraw 3

Trainer: Gordon Elliott

Jockey: Nina Doherty(10)

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Gordon Elliott (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 61/1013; first seen between 10am and 1pm 66/1013; first seen after 1pm 35/1013.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/4; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/4; first seen after 1pm 0/4.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.05pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 35/112 won (31.3%); Open→SP 37/124 won (29.8%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 33.9% (20/59).

Market Form rating45/100 · Neutral

Last run34 days ago · 28 Aug 2026

Distance changeDown 11.7f from last run

Often drifts in the market

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Pre-Off

Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 13/2 → 13/2 | Avg: 13/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

Early money horse (25%)

16:30Bellewstown

Opened 12/1Market avg 12/1

12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 ↑ 14/1 ↓ 12/1

PRICE MOVE

+0.05pp (+0.7%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILETHE STRONGEST MOVE RECORDED (100th percentile)

EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE

Strongest support recorded across 4 previous runs.

Raw Open → Now price change: 0.7% • +0.05 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Downpatrick (IRE), 14 Jul 2026 — 5th • open 4/1 → final 10/3 (+3.09pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

14/1 15 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday1m 4f 77y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 12 runners	12/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.05ppOpen → now	12/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.05pp
Downpatrick (IRE)09 Aug 20262m 5f 180y · Class — · Good · 10 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	7/2	-6.84ppOpen → 10am	11/2	+2.80pp10am → 1pm	9/2	-5.68pp1pm → SP	7/1	1st	-9.72pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday1m 4f 77y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 12 runners	12/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.05ppOpen → now	12/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.05pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READTHIS IS THE HORSE’S STRONGEST RECORDED SUPPORT

Across 4 previous runs, this is the horse’s strongest recorded support. Today’s move: Sneddy Eddie is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Downpatrick (IRE) · 09 Aug 2026 · 1st · 0/3 known conditions match

×Track: Today Bellewstown · previous Downpatrick (IRE)×Trip (within ½f): Today 1m 4f 77y · previous 2m 5f 180y×Ground: Today Yielding To Soft · previous Good?Class: Data missing

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

N/A

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

4 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.

Today: +0.05pp

Possible next price: 12/1

4 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

Courtlough GulaDraw 8

Trainer: P Cluskey

Jockey: Megan de Souza-Wearen(10)

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer P Cluskey (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/20; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/20; first seen after 1pm 0/20.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 2 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.09pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

Market Form rating52/100 · Neutral

Last run104 days ago · 19 Jun 2026

Distance changeUp 5.4f from last run

Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

16:30Bellewstown

Opened 28/1Market avg 28/1

28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 ↑ 33/1 ↓ 28/1 → 28/1 ↓ 25/1 ↑ 28/1 ↑ 33/1

PRICE MOVE

-0.09pp (-2.7%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

Raw Open → Now price change: 2.7% • -0.09 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Limerick (IRE), 19 Jun 2026 — 12th • open 25/1 → final 100/1 (-3.51pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

33/1 34 decimal Bet Victor

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday1m 4f 77y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 12 runners	28/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.09ppOpen → now	28/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.09pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday1m 4f 77y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 12 runners	28/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.09ppOpen → now	28/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.09pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Courtlough Gula is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

N/A

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

2 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.

Today: -0.09pp

Possible next price: 40/1

No historical data

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

KartayazDraw 4

Trainer: G A Kingston

Jockey: Zoe McMullan(10)

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer G A Kingston (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/14; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/14; first seen after 1pm 0/14.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/5; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/5; first seen after 1pm 0/5.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.18pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/0 won (0%); Open→SP 0/0 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.

Market Form rating45/100 · Neutral

Last run3 days ago · 28 Sep 2026

Distance changeUp 1.3f from last run

No consistent price pattern yet

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Pre-Off

Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

10am plunger

Late money horse (40%)

16:30Bellewstown

Opened 33/1Market avg 33/1

28/1 ↑ 33/1 → 33/1 ↓ 25/1 ↑ 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 ↓ 25/1 ↑ 40/1 ↓ 33/1

PRICE MOVE

+0.18pp (+5.9%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

20th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE20th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

4 of 5 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 13th at Roscommon (IRE) on 18 May 2026 (+1.41pp); finished 11th at Ballinrobe (IRE) on 08 May 2026 (+1.01pp); finished 8th at Dundalk (AW) (IRE) on 30 Jan 2026 (+3.85pp); and finished 8th at Dundalk (AW) (IRE) on 23 Jan 2026 (+1.41pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 5.9% • +0.18 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Ballinrobe (IRE), 08 May 2026 — 11th • open 40/1 → final 33/1 (+0.50pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

40/1 41 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday1m 4f 77y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 12 runners	33/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.18ppOpen → now	33/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.18pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday1m 4f 77y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 12 runners	33/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.18ppOpen → now	33/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.18pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

4 of 5 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Kartayaz is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

This early support is unusual; the price has often drifted again later. (moderate)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

5 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.

Today: +0.18pp

Possible next price: 33/1

5 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

HaughtyDraw 7

Trainer: V C Ward

Jockey: Jack Cleary(5)

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer V C Ward (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/16; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/16; first seen after 1pm 0/16.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/4; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/4; first seen after 1pm 0/4.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.04pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/0 won (0%); Open→SP 0/0 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.

Market Form rating45/100 · Neutral

Last run58 days ago · 4 Aug 2026

Distance changeDown 3.2f from last run

Often drifts in the market

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Pre-Off

Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

Late money horse (50%)

16:30Bellewstown

Opened 33/1Market avg 33/1

33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1

PRICE MOVE

+0.04pp (+1.3%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

Only 1 of 4 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 8th at Navan on 11 Jul 2026 (+0.28pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 1.3% • +0.04 probability points

Previous market evidence

No previous positive open-to-final support in the recorded sample.

BEST FIXED ODDS

33/1 34 decimal Bet Victor

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday1m 4f 77y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 12 runners	33/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.04ppOpen → now	33/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.04pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday1m 4f 77y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 12 runners	33/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.04ppOpen → now	33/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.04pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 1 of 4 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Haughty is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

This early support is unusual; the price has often drifted again later. (moderate)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

3 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.

Today: +0.04pp

Possible next price: 33/1

4 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

Money ShufflerDraw 9

Trainer: W M Roper

Jockey: Wesley Joyce

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer W M Roper (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/12; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/12; first seen after 1pm 0/12.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/3; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/3; first seen after 1pm 0/3.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.01pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/0 won (0%); Open→SP 0/0 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.

Market Form rating46/100 · Neutral

Last run13 days ago · 18 Sep 2026

Distance changeDown 5.4f from last run

Often drifts in the market

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Late PM

Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

Late money horse (67%)

16:30Bellewstown

Opened 33/1Market avg 33/1

33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 ↑ 40/1 ↓ 33/1

PRICE MOVE

+0.01pp (+0.4%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILETHE STRONGEST MOVE RECORDED (100th percentile)

EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE

Strongest support recorded across 3 previous runs.

Raw Open → Now price change: 0.4% • +0.01 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Punchestown (IRE), 13 May 2026 — 12th • open 100/1 → final 100/1 (+0.13pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

40/1 41 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday1m 4f 77y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 12 runners	33/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.01ppOpen → now	33/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.01pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday1m 4f 77y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 12 runners	33/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.01ppOpen → now	33/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.01pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READTHIS IS THE HORSE’S STRONGEST RECORDED SUPPORT

Across 3 previous runs, this is the horse’s strongest recorded support. Today’s move: Money Shuffler is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

This early support is unusual; the price has often drifted again later. (strong)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

3 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.

Today: +0.01pp

Possible next price: 33/1

3 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

AnnacroftDraw 6

Trainer: John McConnell

Jockey: Siobhan Rutledge

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer John McConnell (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/24; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/24; first seen after 1pm 1/24.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/5; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/5; first seen after 1pm 0/5.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.01pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/1 won (0%); Open→SP 0/2 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.

Market Form rating46/100 · Neutral

Last run3 days ago · 28 Sep 2026

Distance changeUp 1.3f from last run

Often drifts in the market

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Pre-Off

Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

Late money horse (80%)

16:30Bellewstown

Opened 50/1Market avg 50/1

50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 ↑ 66/1 ↓ 50/1

PRICE MOVE

+0.01pp (+0.4%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILETHE STRONGEST MOVE RECORDED (100th percentile)

EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE

Strongest support recorded across 5 previous runs.

Raw Open → Now price change: 0.4% • +0.01 probability points

Previous market evidence

No previous positive open-to-final support in the recorded sample.

BEST FIXED ODDS

66/1 67 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday1m 4f 77y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 12 runners	50/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.01ppOpen → now	50/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.01pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday1m 4f 77y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 12 runners	50/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.01ppOpen → now	50/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.01pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READTHIS IS THE HORSE’S STRONGEST RECORDED SUPPORT

Across 5 previous runs, this is the horse’s strongest recorded support. Today’s move: Annacroft is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

This early support is unusual; the price has often drifted again later. (strong)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

5 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.

Today: +0.01pp

Possible next price: 50/1

5 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

One For TeiganDraw 1

Trainer: P Sweeney

Jockey: Luke McAteer

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer P Sweeney (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/50; first seen between 10am and 1pm 3/50; first seen after 1pm 3/50.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 2 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.22pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/4 won (0%); Open→SP 1/5 won (20%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.

Market Form rating46/100 · Neutral

Last run112 days ago · 11 Jun 2026

Distance changeUp 3.3f from last run

Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.

16:30Bellewstown

Opened 66/1Market avg 50/1

50/1 ↑ 66/1 ↑ 66/1 ↓ 33/1 ↑ 66/1 ↓ 66/1 ↓ 50/1 → 50/1 ↑ 66/1 → 66/1

PRICE MOVE

+0.22pp (+12.9%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

Raw Open → Now price change: 12.9% • +0.22 probability points

Previous market evidence

No previous positive open-to-final support in the recorded sample.

BEST FIXED ODDS

66/1 67 decimal Bet Victor

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday1m 4f 77y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 12 runners	66/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.22ppOpen → now	50/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.22pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday1m 4f 77y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 12 runners	66/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.22ppOpen → now	50/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.22pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: One For Teigan is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

Limited data: one similar run only.

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

2 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.

Today: +0.22pp

Possible next price: 66/1

No historical data

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

Race market overview as at 01:50

Supported0 of 12 runners at +4pp or more
Drifting0 of 12 runners at −4pp or worse
Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.

17:05Bellewstown • 1m4f77y • Going: Yielding To Soft

13 runners

Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

AlbatalaDraw 11

Trainer: John McConnell

Jockey: Sam Coen(5)

🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer John McConnell (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/24; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/24; first seen after 1pm 1/24.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/3; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/3; first seen after 1pm 0/3.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.62pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/1 won (0%); Open→SP 0/2 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.

Market Form rating52/100 · Neutral

Last run81 days ago · 12 Jul 2026

Distance changeDown 5.1f from last run

No consistent price pattern yet

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: 10am

Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: 11/2 → 8/1 | Avg: 13/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

Early money horse (33%)

17:05Bellewstown

Opened 10/3Market avg 10/3

7/2 ↓ 10/3 ↓ 3/1 ↑ 10/3 → 10/3 ↑ 7/2 ↓ 3/1 → 3/1 ↑ 4/1 ↓ 10/3

PRICE MOVE

+0.62pp (+2.6%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

Only 1 of 3 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 1st at Down Royal (IRE) on 20 Jun 2026 (+3.17pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 2.6% • +0.62 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Down Royal (IRE), 20 Jun 2026 — 1st • open 8/1 → final 11/2 (+4.27pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

4/1 5 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday1m 4f 77y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 13 runners	10/3	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.62ppOpen → now	10/3Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.62pp
Sligo12 Jul 20262m 1f 90y · Class — · Good · 7 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	5/1	-10.00ppOpen → 10am	14/1	+4.44pp10am → 1pm	8/1	+0.65pp1pm → SP	15/2	2nd	-4.90pp
Post-race comment
Down Royal (IRE)20 Jun 20261m 2f 95y · Class — · Soft · 12 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	8/1	+3.17ppOpen → 10am	6/1	+1.10pp10am → 1pm	11/2	+0.00pp1pm → SP	11/2	1st	+4.27pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday1m 4f 77y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 13 runners	10/3	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.62ppOpen → now	10/3Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.62pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 1 of 3 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Albatala is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Sligo · 12 Jul 2026 · 2nd · 0/3 known conditions match

×Track: Today Bellewstown · previous Sligo×Trip (within ½f): Today 1m 4f 77y · previous 2m 1f 90y×Ground: Today Yielding To Soft · previous Good?Class: Data missing

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

Similar moves have usually held their position.

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

No positive support trigger.

This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.

Today: +0.62pp

Possible next price: 10/3

3 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

Grey FableDraw 12

Trainer: Karl Thornton

Jockey: Ben Coen

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Karl Thornton (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 5/71; first seen between 10am and 1pm 3/71; first seen after 1pm 5/71.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/7; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/7; first seen after 1pm 0/7.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.00pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 2/6 won (33.3%); Open→SP 4/11 won (36.4%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 40% (2/5).

Market Form rating45/100 · Neutral

Last run68 days ago · 25 Jul 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

No consistent price pattern yet

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Pre-Off

Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 18/1 → 18/1 | Avg: 18/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

10am plunger

Mid-market mover (29%)

17:05Bellewstown

Opened 7/2Market avg 7/2

4/1 ↓ 7/2 ↓ 10/3 ↑ 7/2 → 7/2 ↑ 4/1 ↓ 10/3 ↓ 10/3 ↑ 4/1 ↓ 7/2

PRICE MOVE

+0.00pp (+0.0%)

No meaningful price change from the open.

Move evidence

71th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE71st HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

2 of 7 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 4th at Ayr on 05 May 2026 (+6.35pp); and finished 6th at Dundalk (AW) (IRE) on 10 Apr 2026 (+3.21pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 0% • +0.00 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Ayr, 05 May 2026 — 4th • open 7/2 → final 5/4 (+22.22pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

4/1 5 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday1m 4f 77y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 13 runners	7/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.00ppOpen → now	7/2Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.00pp
Dundalk (AW) (IRE)26 May 20261m 4f · Class — · Standard · 13 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	6/1	-5.95ppOpen → 10am	11/1	+0.76pp10am → 1pm	10/1	-4.74pp1pm → SP	22/1	1st	-9.94pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday1m 4f 77y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 13 runners	7/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.00ppOpen → now	7/2Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.00pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 2 of 7 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Grey Fable is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Dundalk (AW) (IRE) · 26 May 2026 · 1st · 1/3 known conditions match

×Track: Today Bellewstown · previous Dundalk (AW) (IRE)✓Trip (within ½f): 1m 4f 77y×Ground: Today Yielding To Soft · previous Standard?Class: Data missing

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.Comparable moves have had few top-two finishes. Be cautious.

Did the early price move fade?

No documented early-support reversal in this horse’s recorded checkpoint sample. The older wording referred to finishing results, not a verified intraday price fade.

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

7 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.

Today: +0.00pp

Possible next price: 3/1

7 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

AutocratDraw 6

Trainer: P Sweeney

Jockey: Luke McAteer

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer P Sweeney (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/50; first seen between 10am and 1pm 3/50; first seen after 1pm 3/50.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/9; first seen between 10am and 1pm 1/9; first seen after 1pm 0/9.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.10pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

Market Form rating60/100 · Neutral

Last run3 days ago · 28 Sep 2026

Distance changeUp 1.3f from last run

No consistent price pattern yet

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: 10am

Runs: 9 | Fixed-odds range: 9/2 → 9/2 | Avg: 9/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

10am plunger

Early money horse (44%)

17:05Bellewstown

Opened 7/2Market avg 7/2

4/1 ↓ 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 ↓ 10/3 ↑ 4/1 ↓ 7/2 ↓ 10/3 ↑ 4/1 ↓ 10/3

PRICE MOVE

-0.10pp (-0.5%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

33th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE33rd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

6 of 9 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 6th at Punchestown (IRE) on 15 Sep 2026 (-1.42pp); finished 9th at Ballinrobe (IRE) on 20 Jul 2026 (-4.89pp); finished 10th at Navan on 11 Jul 2026 (-0.78pp); finished 10th at Sligo (IRE) on 03 May 2026 (-2.50pp); had no recorded finishing position at Dundalk (AW) (IRE) on 20 Mar 2026 (-2.80pp); and finished 1st at Dundalk (AW) (IRE) on 23 Jan 2026 (-1.52pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 0.5% • -0.10 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Dundalk (AW) (IRE), 20 Mar 2026 — finish unavailable • open 9/2 → final 15/2 (-6.42pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

4/1 5 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday1m 4f 77y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 13 runners	7/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.10ppOpen → now	7/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.10pp
Dundalk (AW) (IRE)23 Jan 20261m 2f 150y · Class — · Standard · 11 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	9/2	-1.52ppOpen → 10am	5/1	+1.52pp10am → 1pm	9/2	+6.82pp1pm → SP	3/1	1st	+6.82pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday1m 4f 77y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 13 runners	7/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.10ppOpen → now	7/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.10pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

6 of 9 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Autocrat is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Dundalk (AW) (IRE) · 23 Jan 2026 · 1st · 0/3 known conditions match

×Track: Today Bellewstown · previous Dundalk (AW) (IRE)×Trip (within ½f): Today 1m 4f 77y · previous 1m 2f 150y×Ground: Today Yielding To Soft · previous Standard?Class: Data missing

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

8 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.

Today: -0.10pp

Possible next price: 11/4

9 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

AcantoDraw 7

Trainer: Noel Meade

Jockey: Adam Caffrey

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Noel Meade (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 20/307; first seen between 10am and 1pm 13/307; first seen after 1pm 19/307.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/3; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/3; first seen after 1pm 0/3.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.26pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

Market Form rating52/100 · Neutral

Last run27 days ago · 4 Sep 2026

Distance changeDown 0.5f from last run

Often drifts in the market

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Pre-Off

Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

Late money horse (67%)

17:05Bellewstown

Opened 7/2Market avg 7/2

7/2 ↑ 4/1 ↓ 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 ↑ 4/1 ↓ 7/2 ↓ 10/3 ↑ 4/1 ↓ 7/2

PRICE MOVE

-0.26pp (-1.2%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

3 of 3 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 9th at Galway (IRE) on 31 Jul 2026 (-0.95pp); finished 4th at Killarney (IRE) on 14 Jul 2026 (-4.27pp); and finished 5th at Curragh (IRE) on 15 Mar 2026 (-0.90pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 1.2% • -0.26 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Killarney (IRE), 14 Jul 2026 — 4th • open 11/2 → final 28/1 (-11.94pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

4/1 5 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday1m 4f 77y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 13 runners	7/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.26ppOpen → now	7/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.26pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday1m 4f 77y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 13 runners	7/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.26ppOpen → now	7/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.26pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

3 of 3 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Acanto is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

This matches its usual pattern; support has often arrived later. (strong)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

3 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.

Today: -0.26pp

Possible next price: 3/1

3 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Club ManagerDraw 2

Trainer: Ross O'Sullivan

Jockey: Shane Markey(7)

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Ross O'Sullivan (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 20/314; first seen between 10am and 1pm 31/314; first seen after 1pm 10/314.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 1 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.18pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

Market Form rating52/100 · Neutral

Last run249 days ago · 25 Jan 2026

Distance changeDown 6.3f from last run

Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.

17:05Bellewstown

Opened 15/2Market avg 15/2

17/2 ↓ 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 ↑ 8/1 ↑ 17/2 ↓ 15/2 ↓ 7/1 ↑ 15/2 ↑ 8/1

PRICE MOVE

-0.18pp (-1.5%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

Raw Open → Now price change: 1.5% • -0.18 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Naas (IRE), 25 Jan 2026 — 4th • open 9/2 → final 9/1 (-8.18pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

17/2 9.5 decimal BetWright

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday1m 4f 77y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 13 runners	15/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.18ppOpen → now	15/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.18pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday1m 4f 77y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 13 runners	15/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.18ppOpen → now	15/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.18pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Club Manager is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

N/A

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

1 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.

Today: -0.18pp

Possible next price: 15/2

No historical data

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

TintinabullaDraw 1

Trainer: Ms Sheila Lavery

Jockey: Siobhan Rutledge

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Ms Sheila Lavery (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 2/71; first seen between 10am and 1pm 1/71; first seen after 1pm 1/71.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/5; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/5; first seen after 1pm 0/5.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.76pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/3 won (0%); Open→SP 0/4 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.

Market Form rating52/100 · Neutral

Last run31 days ago · 31 Aug 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

Often drifts in the market

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Pre-Off

Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

Early money horse (20%)

17:05Bellewstown

Opened 11/1Market avg 10/1

11/1 ↓ 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 ↑ 11/1 ↓ 10/1 ↓ 9/1 ↑ 12/1 ↓ 10/1

PRICE MOVE

+0.76pp (+8.3%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILETHE STRONGEST MOVE RECORDED (100th percentile)

EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE

Strongest support recorded across 5 previous runs.

Raw Open → Now price change: 8.3% • +0.76 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Roscommon (IRE), 31 Aug 2026 — 4th • open 66/1 → final 28/1 (+1.96pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

12/1 13 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday1m 4f 77y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 13 runners	11/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.76ppOpen → now	10/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.76pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday1m 4f 77y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 13 runners	11/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.76ppOpen → now	10/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.76pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READTHIS IS THE HORSE’S STRONGEST RECORDED SUPPORT

Across 5 previous runs, this is the horse’s strongest recorded support. Today’s move: Tintinabulla is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

N/A

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

5 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.

Today: +0.76pp

Possible next price: 9/1

5 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

Secret RockDraw 8

Trainer: Cian Collins

Jockey: W. J. Lee

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Cian Collins (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 10/222; first seen between 10am and 1pm 13/222; first seen after 1pm 10/222.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/3; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/3; first seen after 1pm 0/3.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.97pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

Market Form rating61/100 · Neutral

Last run52 days ago · 10 Aug 2026

Distance changeDown 4.1f from last run

Often drifts in the market

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

1 historical matches

1/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Early PM

Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: 10/1 → 10/1 | Avg: 10/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

The price is drifting and is not attracting bookmaker support.

Late money horse (33%)

17:05Bellewstown

Opened 12/1Market avg 14/1

16/1 ↓ 14/1 ↓ 12/1 ↑ 14/1 → 14/1 ↑ 16/1 ↓ 12/1 ↓ 11/1 ↑ 12/1 ↑ 14/1

PRICE MOVE

-0.97pp (-14.4%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

33th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE33rd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

2 of 3 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 9th at Ballinrobe (IRE) on 10 Aug 2026 (-4.44pp); and finished 10th at Killarney (IRE) on 16 Jul 2026 (-14.17pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 14.4% • -0.97 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Killarney (IRE), 16 Jul 2026 — 10th • open 11/4 → final 17/2 (-16.14pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

16/1 17 decimal BetWright

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday1m 4f 77y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 13 runners	12/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.97ppOpen → now	14/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.97pp
Kilbeggan (IRE)31 May 20261m 7f 150y · Class — · Good To Yielding · 13 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	9/1	+0.53ppOpen → 10am	17/2	-2.83pp10am → 1pm	12/1	+4.07pp1pm → SP	15/2	1st	+1.76pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday1m 4f 77y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 13 runners	12/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.97ppOpen → now	14/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.97pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

2 of 3 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Secret Rock is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Kilbeggan (IRE) · 31 May 2026 · 1st · 0/3 known conditions match

×Track: Today Bellewstown · previous Kilbeggan (IRE)×Trip (within ½f): Today 1m 4f 77y · previous 1m 7f 150y×Ground: Today Yielding To Soft · previous Good To Yielding?Class: Data missing

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

Limited data: one similar run only.

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

3 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.

Today: -0.97pp

Possible next price: 12/1

3 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

You Make Me SmileDraw 10

Trainer: P A Fahy

Jockey: Darragh Keenan

🟢 Needs Support (20%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer P A Fahy (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 2/78; first seen between 10am and 1pm 4/78; first seen after 1pm 3/78.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/8; first seen between 10am and 1pm 1/8; first seen after 1pm 0/8.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.18pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

Market Form rating47/100 · Neutral

Last run20 days ago · 11 Sep 2026

Distance changeDown 9.6f from last run

No consistent price pattern yet

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: 10am

Runs: 8 | Fixed-odds range: 9/4 → 5/1 | Avg: 7/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

10am plunger

Early money horse (50%)

17:05Bellewstown

Opened 16/1Market avg 16/1

20/1 ↓ 16/1 ↓ 10/1 ↑ 16/1 ↑ 20/1 → 20/1 ↓ 16/1 ↓ 14/1 ↓ 12/1 ↑ 20/1

PRICE MOVE

-0.18pp (-3.1%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

38th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE38th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

5 of 8 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 7th at Ballinrobe (IRE) on 11 Sep 2026 (-2.29pp); finished 3rd at Sligo (IRE) on 06 Aug 2026 (-3.33pp); finished 8th at Tramore on 07 Jul 2026 (-8.89pp); finished 3rd at Gowran Park (IRE) on 22 Apr 2026 (-2.83pp); and finished 7th at Navan (IRE) on 30 Mar 2026 (-6.67pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 3.1% • -0.18 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Navan (IRE), 30 Mar 2026 — 7th • open 5/1 → final 11/1 (-8.33pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

22/1 23 decimal Betfair Sportsbook

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday1m 4f 77y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 13 runners	16/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.18ppOpen → now	16/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.18pp
Downpatrick (IRE)14 Jun 20262m 2f 185y · Class — · Good · 12 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	13/2	+0.00ppOpen → 10am	13/2	+2.05pp10am → 1pm	11/2	+0.00pp1pm → SP	11/2	2nd	+2.05pp
Post-race comment
Sligo (IRE)03 May 20261m 5f 190y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 14 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	4/1	+0.00ppOpen → 10am	4/1	+10.77pp10am → 1pm	9/4	-7.67pp1pm → SP	10/3	2nd	+3.09pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday1m 4f 77y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 13 runners	16/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.18ppOpen → now	16/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.18pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

5 of 8 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: You Make Me Smile is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Sligo (IRE) · 03 May 2026 · 2nd · 1/3 known conditions match

×Track: Today Bellewstown · previous Sligo (IRE)×Trip (within ½f): Today 1m 4f 77y · previous 1m 5f 190y✓Ground: Yielding To Soft?Class: Data missing

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Both previous top-two finishes came with support of 3.33pp+.

At 3.33pp+: 2/3 finished 1st or 2nd (67%).

Today: -0.18pp — trigger not reached.

Possible next price: 20/1

8 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

DeuteronomyDraw 9

Trainer: R P Burns

Jockey: Nicola Burns(5)

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer R P Burns (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/44; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/44; first seen after 1pm 0/44.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/12; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/12; first seen after 1pm 0/12.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.15pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/0 won (0%); Open→SP 0/0 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.

Market Form rating58/100 · Neutral

Last run12 days ago · 19 Sep 2026

Distance changeUp 2.9f from last run

No consistent price pattern yet

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: 10am

Runs: 12 | Fixed-odds range: 20/1 → 20/1 | Avg: 20/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

Best at SP (50%)

17:05Bellewstown

Opened 20/1Market avg 20/1

20/1 ↑ 22/1 ↓ 20/1 ↓ 16/1 ↑ 20/1 ↑ 22/1 ↓ 20/1 ↓ 16/1 ↑ 22/1 ↓ 20/1

PRICE MOVE

+0.15pp (+3.0%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

83th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE83rd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE

2 of 12 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 8th at Ballinrobe (IRE) on 08 May 2026 (+0.40pp); and finished 8th at Limerick (IRE) on 25 Apr 2026 (+0.92pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 3% • +0.15 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Limerick (IRE), 25 Apr 2026 — 8th • open 22/1 → final 11/1 (+3.99pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

22/1 23 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday1m 4f 77y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 13 runners	20/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.15ppOpen → now	20/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.15pp
Cork (IRE)19 May 20261m 2f 90y · Class — · Soft To Heavy · 13 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	20/1	-0.41ppOpen → 10am	22/1	+0.41pp10am → 1pm	20/1	-0.41pp1pm → SP	22/1	1st	-0.41pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday1m 4f 77y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 13 runners	20/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.15ppOpen → now	20/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.15pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 2 of 12 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Deuteronomy is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Cork (IRE) · 19 May 2026 · 1st · 0/3 known conditions match

×Track: Today Bellewstown · previous Cork (IRE)×Trip (within ½f): Today 1m 4f 77y · previous 1m 2f 90y×Ground: Today Yielding To Soft · previous Soft To Heavy?Class: Data missing

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

The price has been unpredictable before and may move sharply again. (moderate)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

12 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.

Today: +0.15pp

Possible next price: 18/1

12 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

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Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

Duleek StreetDraw 4

Trainer: John McConnell

Jockey: Reese Holohan(5)

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer John McConnell (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/24; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/24; first seen after 1pm 1/24.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 0 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.05pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/1 won (0%); Open→SP 0/2 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.

Market Form rating52/100 · Neutral

Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

17:05Bellewstown

Opened 22/1Market avg 22/1

22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1 ↓ 20/1 ↑ 28/1 ↓ 22/1

PRICE MOVE

+0.05pp (+1.1%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

Raw Open → Now price change: 1.1% • +0.05 probability points

BEST FIXED ODDS

28/1 29 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday1m 4f 77y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 13 runners	22/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.05ppOpen → now	22/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.05pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday1m 4f 77y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 13 runners	22/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.05ppOpen → now	22/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.05pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Duleek Street is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

N/A

Possible next price: 22/1

No historical data

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

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Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

Among The PinesDraw 3

Trainer: Kieran Callaghan

Jockey: Rory Mulligan(5)

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Kieran Callaghan (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/12; first seen between 10am and 1pm 1/12; first seen after 1pm 0/12.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 2 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.02pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/1 won (0%); Open→SP 0/0 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.

Market Form rating46/100 · Neutral

Last run15 days ago · 16 Sep 2026

Distance changeUp 2.6f from last run

Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

17:05Bellewstown

Opened 22/1Market avg 22/1

22/1 ↑ 25/1 ↓ 22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1 ↑ 25/1 ↓ 22/1 ↓ 20/1 ↑ 22/1 → 22/1

PRICE MOVE

+0.02pp (+0.4%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

Raw Open → Now price change: 0.4% • +0.02 probability points

Previous market evidence

No previous positive open-to-final support in the recorded sample.

BEST FIXED ODDS

25/1 26 decimal BetWright

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday1m 4f 77y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 13 runners	22/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.02ppOpen → now	22/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.02pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday1m 4f 77y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 13 runners	22/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.02ppOpen → now	22/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.02pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Among The Pines is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

N/A

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

2 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.

Today: +0.02pp

Possible next price: 20/1

No historical data

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

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Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

Zesty BelleDraw 13

Trainer: M O Quigley

Jockey: J M Sheridan

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer M O Quigley (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/15; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/15; first seen after 1pm 2/15.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 2 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.01pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

Market Form rating46/100 · Neutral

Last run23 days ago · 8 Sep 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

17:05Bellewstown

Opened 28/1Market avg 28/1

28/1 ↑ 33/1 ↓ 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 ↑ 33/1 ↓ 28/1 ↓ 25/1 ↑ 28/1 → 28/1

PRICE MOVE

-0.01pp (-0.2%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

Raw Open → Now price change: 0.2% • -0.01 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Naas (IRE), 03 Aug 2026 — 13th • open 25/1 → final 100/1 (-3.18pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

33/1 34 decimal BetWright

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday1m 4f 77y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 13 runners	28/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.01ppOpen → now	28/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.01pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday1m 4f 77y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 13 runners	28/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.01ppOpen → now	28/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.01pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Zesty Belle is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

N/A

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

2 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.

Today: -0.01pp

Possible next price: 25/1

No historical data

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

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Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Princess RosieDraw 5

Trainer: P Cluskey

Jockey: Robert Whearty

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer P Cluskey (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/20; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/20; first seen after 1pm 0/20.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 1 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.19pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/0 won (0%); Open→SP 0/0 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.

Market Form rating46/100 · Neutral

Last run27 days ago · 4 Sep 2026

Distance changeDown 0.5f from last run

Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.

17:05Bellewstown

Opened 66/1Market avg 66/1

66/1 → 66/1 ↓ 33/1 ↑ 66/1 → 66/1 → 66/1 ↓ 50/1 → 50/1 ↑ 66/1 → 66/1

PRICE MOVE

+0.19pp (+11.6%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

Raw Open → Now price change: 11.6% • +0.19 probability points

Previous market evidence

No previous positive open-to-final support in the recorded sample.

BEST FIXED ODDS

66/1 67 decimal Bet Victor

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday1m 4f 77y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 13 runners	66/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.19ppOpen → now	66/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.19pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday1m 4f 77y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 13 runners	66/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.19ppOpen → now	66/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.19pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Princess Rosie is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

N/A

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

1 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.

Today: +0.19pp

Possible next price: 66/1

No historical data

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

Race market overview as at 01:50

Supported0 of 13 runners at +4pp or more
Drifting0 of 13 runners at −4pp or worse
Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.

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