Market Form Ratings: top-rated winners in 10 races — 3 October 2026
A new way to read the racing market. Market Form is changing how racing fans can interpret market activity, bringing price movement, horse history and trainer evidence together in one accessible rating. The aim is to help you quickly identify the runners whose market deserves a closer look.
We rate every runner in the field on a 0–100 scale. You can compare the whole race, follow the ratings before the off and then check how those ratings performed.
50 is neutral. Higher scores reflect stronger positive market evidence; lower scores reflect weaker or more negative evidence. A rating is a market assessment, not a percentage chance of winning. A neutral horse can still win its race.
How the top ratings performed on Saturday 3 October 2026
The highest rating included the winner in 10 of 30 races with completed top-rated results (33.3%).
In 14 of those races, at least one top-rated runner finished first or second. In 18 races, at least one finished in the first three.
What are we counting? This review covers 30 races with saved ratings. Each completed race counts once in the headline figures, even when several horses share the highest rating. “Top-rated” means highest within its own race; it does not necessarily mean a high score on the 0–100 scale.
There were joint highest ratings in 1 races. Those joint leaders are all included when checking whether the highest rating contained the winner, but each race still counts once. Several horses sharing a rating cannot all win the same race.
We have not included runners jointly top-rated at 50, as 50 is the baseline. Those races are excluded from the top-rated totals, percentages and results by meeting. This excludes 14 races from this review.
Results by meeting
| Meeting | Completed races | Top rating included winner | Top-two finish | Top-three finish | Pending races |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ascot | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Fontwell | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Gowran Park | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Newmarket | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 |
| Redcar | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| Southwell (AW) | 8 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 0 |
| Total | 30 | 10 | 14 | 18 | 0 |
Top-two and top-three columns count races with at least one top-rated runner in those positions. The figures overlap; they are not separate selections.
The ratings behind the top-rated winners
The winning runners that held the highest rating in their race carried saved MF ratings from 61 to 77. Their individual scores appear below, alongside the other recorded race winners.
9 of those winning runners rated 65 or higher before the scheduled off.
How the race winners rated
These are the winners for which a saved pre-off MF rating is available. The final column shows whether each was highest-rated in its race, including joint leaders.
| Race | Winner | MF rating | Highest in race? |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13:50 Ascot | Air Force One | 50 | No |
| 14:25 Ascot | Al Aasy | 45 | No |
| 15:35 Ascot | Mezcala | 70 | Highest |
| 16:10 Ascot | Gold Star Hero | 74 | No |
| 14:02 Fontwell | Broadway Honey | 67 | Highest |
| 14:37 Fontwell | Anniversary | 50 | No |
| 16:25 Fontwell | Birthday Angel | 50 | No |
| 17:00 Fontwell | Glance of Glory | 50 | No |
| 17:35 Fontwell | Winston's Oath | 65 | Highest |
| 13:20 Gowran Park | El Cairos | 44 | No |
| 13:55 Gowran Park | Witches Familiar | 42 | No |
| 14:30 Gowran Park | Smallcraftwarning | 50 | No |
| 15:05 Gowran Park | Fleur In The Park | 61 | Highest |
| 16:15 Gowran Park | Fou De Toi | 71 | No |
| 16:50 Gowran Park | Sir Allen | 50 | No |
| 17:25 Gowran Park | Luimneach | 58 | No |
| 12:25 Newmarket | Hoseki | 71 | Highest |
| 14:45 Newmarket | Kicking Bear | 32 | No |
| 15:15 Newmarket | Royal Quest | 77 | Highest |
| 13:42 Redcar | Charted Course | 76 | Highest |
| 14:17 Redcar | Yafaarr | 25 | No |
| 14:50 Redcar | Lady Hornblower | 41 | No |
| 15:55 Redcar | Sondad | 50 | No |
| 16:35 Redcar | Nyman | 27 | No |
| 17:10 Redcar | Duc de Kent | 44 | No |
| 17:40 Redcar | Emperor Caradoc | 37 | No |
| 16:45 Southwell (AW) | Tinkety Tonk | 50 | No |
| 17:20 Southwell (AW) | Rocket Boots | 65 | No |
| 17:55 Southwell (AW) | Nostrum | 77 | Highest |
| 18:30 Southwell (AW) | Dontworryaboutme | 72 | Highest |
| 19:00 Southwell (AW) | Cloud Forest | 50 | No |
| 19:30 Southwell (AW) | New Image | 41 | No |
| 20:00 Southwell (AW) | Toptime | 50 | No |
| 20:30 Southwell (AW) | Blue Tulip | 68 | Highest |
One clear rating. A more informed view of the market.
Market Form brings the evidence behind a market move into focus. Our ratings make that context easier to compare across every horse in a race, while the results guide lets you follow the outcome. That is the change we are building: a clearer, more informed way to read the racing market.
This review uses saved ratings from before the scheduled off. We never recalculate a completed race using its result.
Who leads the ratings today?
Open a meeting, choose a race and see the rating for every runner. Look beyond the number, compare the field and explore the evidence behind the market.
