Market Form Morning Brief: Friday 28 August 2026
Friday 28 August 2026 · bookmaker prices only · historical context from the Market Form database.
1. The market in 60 seconds
Strongest support: Drymee — 04:10 Sandown · 2/1 → 11/10 · +14.29pp.
Biggest drift: Giant Haystacks — 07:07 Wexford · 11/8 → 6/1 · -27.38pp.
2. Three moves you need to know
Strongest support recorded across 4 previous 10am market snapshots.
Historical percentile: 100th.
Historical delivery level: 9.61pp+. At that level or stronger, 2/2 finished first or second (100%). Today: reached.
Trainer context: James Fanshawe has a baseline win rate of 18.7%. At 10pp+ support by 1pm, that record is 15/35 (42.9%) — an uplift of +24.2 points.
Strongest support recorded across 5 previous 10am market snapshots.
Historical percentile: 100th.
Historical delivery level: 2.30pp+. At that level or stronger, 2/4 finished first or second (50%). Today: reached.
Trainer context: Tom Ward has a baseline win rate of 8.8%. At 5pp+ support by 1pm, that record is 6/14 (42.9%) — an uplift of +34.1 points.
Strongest support recorded across 6 previous 10am market snapshots.
Historical percentile: 100th.
Historical delivery level: 1.01pp+. At that level or stronger, 3/3 finished first or second (100%). Today: reached.
Trainer context: Jack Channon has a baseline win rate of 13.1%. At 5pp+ support by 1pm, that record is 5/30 (16.7%) — an uplift of +3.6 points.
3. The market warning
Largest drift recorded across 6 previous 10am market snapshots.
Historical percentile: 100th.
A drift is not automatically a lay. The point is whether today's weakness resembles the markets in which this horse has previously failed — or whether it has historically ignored market weakness.
4. Trainer money: which yards are attracting support?
Strongest: Innichen (02:25 Sandown) at +7.67pp.
Yard baseline: 13.1%. When receiving 5pp+ support by 1pm: 5/30 won (16.7%).
Strongest: Drymee (04:10 Sandown) at +14.29pp.
Yard baseline: 18.7%. When receiving 10pp+ support by 1pm: 15/35 won (42.9%).
Strongest: Poets Praise (04:45 Sandown) at +10.77pp.
Yard baseline: 17.2%. When receiving 10pp+ support by 1pm: 13/35 won (37.1%).
5. The race everyone should open
This is the most active race in the 9am snapshot: 7 meaningful market signals, including 2 supported and 5 drifting runners.
Key market activity: Thai Princess (-5.45pp) · Lc Tiffen (-5.00pp) · Pangbourne (-4.50pp) · Sunshine And Roses (+4.10pp).
6. The historical signal of the morning
All of this horse's recorded top-two evidence creates a delivery level of 9.61pp+. At that level or stronger, 2/2 finished first or second (100%). Today's move is +14.29pp.
7. What to watch before 1pm
- Drymee — watch whether the early move holds, strengthens or gives ground back as more bookmaker money arrives.
- Glenna — if support reaches 10pp+, this yard's historical win rate rises to 44.4%.
- Innichen — if support reaches 10pp+, this yard's historical win rate rises to 22.2%.
Every runner. Live bookmaker prices. Historical market comparisons. Trainer behaviour. Delivery levels. The full market journey as it develops through the day.
Open the full Market Form picture
