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Runners Today
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AscotDundalk (AW)Gowran ParkHexhamNewcastle (AW)Wolverhampton (AW)
ALLBACKED 💰DRIFTERS
01 · Strongest support
Racing silks
Drumlee Myth
50
14:13 Hexham
+1.16pp
True move after NR adjustment · 5/2 → 9/4
02 · Repeat evidence
No repeat signal active
No upcoming runner currently matches a previous successful market pattern.
03 · Weak favourite
Favourites currently holding
No short-priced upcoming runner has weakened by at least 2 probability points.
Runner
Bookmaker move
Evidence
What to do next
14:13Hexham • 2m4f28y • Class 5 • Going: Good
7 runners
Market Intelligence
Strongest support: Drumlee Myth (+1.16 probability points)
Weakest support: Bouboule (-0.67 probability points)
Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

Trainer: Tony Culhane & Stella Barclay
Jockey: David Noonan
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Tony Culhane & Stella Barclay (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 9/89; first seen between 10am and 1pm 9/89; first seen after 1pm 7/89.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/3; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/3; first seen after 1pm 0/3.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.88pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/14 won (7.1%); Open→SP 2/20 won (10%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 11.1% (1/9).
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run6 days ago · 26 Sep 2026
Distance changeUp 1.5f from last run
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: 17/2 → 17/2 | Avg: 17/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (100%)
14:13Hexham
Opened 11/8Market avg 11/8
11/8 ↓ 5/4 ↑ 11/8 ↓ 5/4 ↑ 11/8 → 11/8 ↓ 5/4 ↑ 11/8 ↓ 5/4 ↑ 11/8
PRICE MOVE
+0.88pp (+2.1%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
3 of 3 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 2nd at Market Rasen on 26 Sep 2026 (+3.21pp); finished 6th at Bangor-on-Dee on 04 Sep 2026 (+3.21pp); and finished 7th at Bangor-on-Dee on 16 May 2026 (+1.40pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 2.1% • +0.88 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Market Rasen, 26 Sep 2026 — 2nd • open 16/1 → final 17/2 (+4.64pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
11/8 2.38 decimal 7Bet
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
HexhamToday2m 4f 28y · Class 5 · Good · 7 runners11/8—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.88ppOpen → now11/8Current; SP pendingPending+0.88pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

3 of 3 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Dante's Inferno is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Market Rasen · 26 Sep 2026 · 2nd · 2/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Hexham · previous Market Rasen×Trip (within ½f): Today 2m 4f 28y · previous 2m 2f 140y✓Ground: Good✓Class: Class 5
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (strong)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
3 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: +0.88pp
Possible next price: 11/8
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
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Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Trainer: Sean McParlan
Jockey: Mr N. McParlan(3)
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Timing evidence for Trainer Sean McParlan: only 1 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 2 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +1.16pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/0 won (0%); Open→SP 0/0 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run48 days ago · 15 Aug 2026
Distance changeDown 3.8f from last run
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: 16/1 → 16/1 | Avg: 16/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
14:13Hexham
Opened 5/2Market avg 9/4
5/2 ↓ 9/4 ↑ 5/2 ↓ 9/4 ↑ 5/2 ↓ 9/4 ↑ 5/2 ↑ 11/4 ↓ 9/4 → 9/4
PRICE MOVE
+1.16pp (+3.9%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
Raw Open → Now price change: 3.9% • +1.16 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Perth, 15 Aug 2026 — 6th • open 9/2 → final 5/2 (+10.39pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
11/4 3.75 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
HexhamToday2m 4f 28y · Class 5 · Good · 7 runners5/2—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+1.16ppOpen → now9/4Current; SP pendingPending+1.16pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Drumlee Myth is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Cartmel · 20 Jul 2026 · 1st · 2/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Hexham · previous Cartmel×Trip (within ½f): Today 2m 4f 28y · previous 2m 6f 31y✓Ground: Good✓Class: Class 5
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
2 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: +1.16pp
Possible next price: 9/4
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Trainer: Dianne Sayer
Jockey: Ryan Mania
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Dianne Sayer (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 4/66; first seen between 10am and 1pm 2/66; first seen after 1pm 3/66.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/3; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/3; first seen after 1pm 0/3.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.72pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
⬇ CLASS DROP
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run74 days ago · 20 Jul 2026
Distance changeUp 2.9f from last run
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (67%)
14:13Hexham
Opened 5/1Market avg 11/2
11/2 ↓ 5/1 ↑ 11/2 ↓ 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 ↑ 13/2 ↓ 5/1 → 5/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.72pp (-4.5%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 1 of 3 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 5th at Cartmel on 18 Jul 2026 (-0.75pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 4.5% • -0.72 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Cartmel, 18 Jul 2026 — 5th • open 66/1 → final 80/1 (-0.17pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
13/2 7.5 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
HexhamToday2m 4f 28y · Class 5 · Good · 7 runners5/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—-0.72ppOpen → now11/2Current; SP pendingPending-0.72pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 1 of 3 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. The horse drops from Class 4 to Class 5, but the market has not responded with meaningful support. Today’s move: Order Another One is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (strong)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
3 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: -0.72pp
Possible next price: 5/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Trainer: Susan Corbett
Jockey: Conor Rabbitt(3)
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Susan Corbett (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 12/100; first seen between 10am and 1pm 4/100; first seen after 1pm 7/100.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/8; first seen between 10am and 1pm 1/8; first seen after 1pm 0/8.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.03pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/12 won (8.3%); Open→SP 2/19 won (10.5%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run103 days ago · 21 Jun 2026
Distance changeUp 3.9f from last run
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Early
Runs: 8 | Fixed-odds range: 8/1 → 8/1 | Avg: 8/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Mid-market mover (38%)
14:13Hexham
Opened 15/2Market avg 15/2
15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 ↓ 7/1 ↑ 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 ↑ 8/1 ↓ 7/1 ↑ 15/2
PRICE MOVE
+0.03pp (+0.2%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
4 of 8 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 4th at Perth on 13 May 2026 (+3.57pp); finished 2nd at Perth on 24 Apr 2026 (+4.86pp); finished 3rd at Carlisle on 04 Apr 2026 (+5.56pp); and finished 8th at Sedgefield on 19 Mar 2026 (+3.43pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 0.2% • +0.03 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Carlisle, 04 Apr 2026 — 3rd • open 8/1 → final 11/2 (+4.27pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
8/1 9 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
HexhamToday2m 4f 28y · Class 5 · Good · 7 runners15/2—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.03ppOpen → now15/2Current; SP pendingPending+0.03pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

4 of 8 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Knockeranna Rose is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Perth · 24 Apr 2026 · 2nd · 3/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Hexham · previous Perth✓Trip (within ½f): 2m 4f 28y✓Ground: Good✓Class: Class 5
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.Comparable moves have had few top-two finishes. Be cautious.
Did the early price move fade?

Recorded examples where 5pp+ early support was followed by a longer final price:

  • Perth, 13 May 2026 — 4th • open 10/3 → 1pm 5/2 → final 11/4
  • Carlisle, 04 Apr 2026 — 3rd • open 8/1 → 10am 5/1 → final 11/2
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
8 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: +0.03pp
Possible next price: 15/2
8 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Hexham. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Trainer: Philip Kirby
Jockey: Oscar Palmer(7)
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Philip Kirby (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 32/320; first seen between 10am and 1pm 22/320; first seen after 1pm 8/320.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/8; first seen between 10am and 1pm 2/8; first seen after 1pm 0/8.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.03pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 12/51 won (23.5%); Open→SP 11/51 won (21.6%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 39.1% (9/23).
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run23 days ago · 9 Sep 2026
Distance changeDown 6.9f from last run
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Early
Runs: 8 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (25%)
14:13Hexham
Opened 11/1Market avg 11/1
11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.03pp (+0.3%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
63th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE63rd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
3 of 8 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse had no recorded finishing position at Sedgefield on 09 Sep 2026 (+1.97pp); finished 5th at Market Rasen on 05 Jul 2026 (+0.90pp); and finished 4th at Hereford on 12 Jan 2026 (+1.39pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 0.3% • +0.03 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Sedgefield, 09 Sep 2026 — finish unavailable • open 17/2 → final 7/2 (+11.70pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
12/1 13 decimal Paddy Power
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
HexhamToday2m 4f 28y · Class 5 · Good · 7 runners11/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.03ppOpen → now11/1Current; SP pendingPending+0.03pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 3 of 8 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Time Was is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.Comparable moves have had few top-two finishes. Be cautious.
Did the early price move fade?

No documented early-support reversal in this horse’s recorded checkpoint sample. The older wording referred to finishing results, not a verified intraday price fade.

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
6 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: +0.03pp
Possible next price: 11/1
8 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Trainer: James Moffatt
Jockey: Brian Hughes
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer James Moffatt (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 13/128; first seen between 10am and 1pm 9/128; first seen after 1pm 4/128.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/4; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/4; first seen after 1pm 0/4.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.02pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 5/21 won (23.8%); Open→SP 6/20 won (30%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 33.3% (3/9).
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run8 days ago · 24 Sep 2026
Distance changeUp 3.9f from last run
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Late PM
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Mid-market mover (25%)
14:13Hexham
Opened 12/1Market avg 12/1
12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 ↓ 11/1 → 11/1 ↑ 12/1 → 12/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.02pp (+0.3%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILETHE STRONGEST MOVE RECORDED (100th percentile)
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest support recorded across 4 previous runs.
Raw Open → Now price change: 0.3% • +0.02 probability points
Previous market evidence

No previous positive open-to-final support in the recorded sample.

BEST FIXED ODDS
14/1 15 decimal Paddy Power
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
HexhamToday2m 4f 28y · Class 5 · Good · 7 runners12/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.02ppOpen → now12/1Current; SP pendingPending+0.02pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READTHIS IS THE HORSE’S STRONGEST RECORDED SUPPORT

Across 4 previous runs, this is the horse’s strongest recorded support. Today’s move: Manhatane is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
4 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: +0.02pp
Possible next price: 12/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Trainer: Gillian Boanas
Jockey: Leah Noreci(7)
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Gillian Boanas (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/20; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/20; first seen after 1pm 0/20.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/9; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/9; first seen after 1pm 0/9.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.67pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
⬆ CLASS RISE
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run29 days ago · 3 Sep 2026
Distance changeUp 7.7f from last run
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 9 | Fixed-odds range: 16/1 → 16/1 | Avg: 16/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
The price is drifting and is not attracting bookmaker support.
Mid-market mover (22%)
14:13Hexham
Opened 14/1Market avg 16/1
16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 ↓ 14/1 ↑ 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.67pp (-11.1%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
78th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE78th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
2 of 9 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse had no recorded finishing position at Market Rasen on 05 Apr 2026 (-5.88pp); and finished 7th at Newcastle (AW) on 12 Mar 2026 (-1.67pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 11.1% • -0.67 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Musselburgh, 15 Feb 2026 — 5th • open 4/1 → final 10/1 (-10.91pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
16/1 17 decimal 7Bet
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
HexhamToday2m 4f 28y · Class 5 · Good · 7 runners14/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—-0.67ppOpen → now16/1Current; SP pendingPending-0.67pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 2 of 9 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. It is also stepping up from Class 6 to Class 5, which adds another test today. Today’s move: Bouboule is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Newcastle (AW) · 22 Jan 2026 · 2nd · 0/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Hexham · previous Newcastle (AW)×Trip (within ½f): Today 2m 4f 28y · previous 1m 4f 98y×Ground: Today Good · previous Standard×Class: Today Class 5 · previous Class 6
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.Comparable moves have had few top-two finishes. Be cautious.
Did the early price move fade?

No documented early-support reversal in this horse’s recorded checkpoint sample. The older wording referred to finishing results, not a verified intraday price fade.

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
8 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: -0.67pp
Possible next price: 16/1
9 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Hexham. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Race market overview as at 03:46
  • Supported0 of 7 runners at +4pp or more
  • Drifting0 of 7 runners at −4pp or worse
  • Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
  • Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.
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✓ Live price movement ✓ Support and drift alerts ✓ Delivered before the off
Activate Live Alerts
Select Notify Me beside any horse in the Live Market Terminal.