LIVE MARKET PRESSURE ⓘ
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01 · Strongest support
French Diablo
69
03:38 Plumpton
+2.06pp
True move after NR adjustment · 11/4 → 2/1
02 · Repeat evidence
French Diablo
69
03:38 Plumpton
Signal active
Today’s market has matched a previous successful movement pattern.
03 · Weak favourite
Jefe Triunfo
45
03:38 Plumpton
-6.11pp
True move after NR adjustment · 5/2 → 3/1
LIVE MARKET TERMINAL: MARKET FORM ACTIVE

HOW TO READ THE LIVE MARKET

Work through the terminal in this order. Start with market weakness, then demand positive historical evidence before treating support as significant. The strongest case is where the horse and trainer evidence agree.

01MARKET WEAKNESSFind weak favourites
02HORSE EVIDENCEFind a positive market profile
03SUPPORT LEVELCheck historical trigger points
04TRAINER CONTEXTMatch support to an increased strike rate
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Hamilton 🔒Listowel 🔒Plumpton ✓
ALLBACKED 💰DRIFTERS
Runner
Bookmaker move
Evidence
What to do next
03:38Plumpton • 3m217y • Class 5
7 runners
Market Intelligence
Strongest support: Stage Show (+0.86 probability points)
Weakest support: Jefe Triunfo (-6.11 probability points)
LIMITED DATA — 1 SIMILAR RUNThis is one previous example only. It is an early clue, not a proven repeat pattern.

Trainer: Max Comley
Jockey: David Bass
Horse & Trainer Evidence
Trainer market read
Today's move is +2.06pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 3/13 won (23.1%); Open→SP 4/17 won (23.5%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 37.5% (3/8).
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating69/100 · Ranked #5 today
Last run10 days ago · 10 Sep 2026
Distance changeUp 2f from last run
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 qualifying historical matches

1/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 9/4 → 9/4 | Avg: 9/4Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (40%)
03:38Plumpton
Opened 11/4Market avg 2/1
2/1 → 2/1 ↓ 15/8 ↑ 2/1 → 2/1 → 2/1 → 2/1 ↓ 15/8 ↑ 2/1 → 2/1
PRICE MOVE
+2.06pp (+7.2%)
NR adjusted
Genuine shortening after removing the measured NR price effect.
Raw Open → Now: +20.2% • +6.77pp
Measured NR price effect removed: +4.70pp
Latest confirmed post-NR price: 9/4 @ 07:59
NR @ 07:59: 11/4 → 9/4 (+4.70pp removed)
GENUINE NR-ADJUSTED MOVE: +2.06pp
Move evidence
60th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
2 of 5 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse had no recorded finishing position at Stratford on 25 Aug 2026 (+12.67pp); and had no recorded finishing position at Newton Abbot on 03 Jun 2026 (+6.62pp).
Limited data: 1 similar run only.
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/4 3.13 decimal Unibet
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 2 of 5 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: French Diablo is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
3 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: +2.06pp
Possible next price: 2/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
OPEN RACECARD →
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: David Pipe
Jockey: Sean Bowen
Horse & Trainer Evidence
Trainer market read
Today's move is -4.80pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating62/100 · Neutral
Last run32 days ago · 19 Aug 2026
Distance changeUp 2f from last run
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 10 | Fixed-odds range: 10/3 → 5/1 | Avg: 4/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
This horse is usually backed but is drifting today. That change is a warning sign.
Early money horse (50%)
03:38Plumpton
Opened 5/2Market avg 5/2
5/2 → 5/2 ↓ 9/4 ↑ 5/2 ↑ 5/2 → 5/2 → 5/2 ↓ 9/4 → 9/4 ↑ 5/2
PRICE MOVE
-4.80pp (-20.2%)
NR adjusted
Genuine drift after removing the measured NR price effect.
Raw Open → Now: +1.1% • +0.31pp
Measured NR price effect removed: +5.11pp
Latest confirmed post-NR price: 2/1 @ 07:59
NR @ 07:59: 5/2 → 2/1 (+5.11pp removed)
GENUINE NR-ADJUSTED MOVE: -4.80pp
Move evidence
90th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
Only 1 of 10 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 1st at Worcester on 28 May 2026 (-5.56pp).
BEST FIXED ODDS
5/2 3.5 decimal 10 Bet
MARKET FORM READMEANINGFUL DRIFT DETECTED

Just 1 of 10 previous runs showed a larger drift, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Trainer-specific drift evidence begins at the -5pp band, which has not yet been reached. Today’s move: Mancero has moved from 5/2 to 5/2, a developing drift (-4.80pp). Context verdict: despite the size of the move, the evidence is not strong enough to make this drift a serious concern because there is no reliable matching trainer sample and there is not enough comparable horse evidence to show that this degree of weakness harms its performance.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
No positive support trigger.
This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.
Today: -4.80pp
Possible next price: 5/2
10 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
OPEN RACECARD →

Trainer: Chris Gordon
Jockey: Freddie Gordon
Horse & Trainer Evidence
Trainer market read
Today's move is -6.11pp, placing it in this yard's 5pp+ 10am drift comparison.
When this trainer's runners had drifted by 5pp+ by 10am, 4/20 won (20%), compared with the yard's normal 13.9% strike rate.
The sample is reliable enough to inspect, but the strike-rate fall is not large enough to call a serious trainer warning.
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating45/100 · Neutral
Last run14 days ago · 6 Sep 2026
Distance changeUp 3.2f from last run
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
This horse is usually backed but is drifting today. That change is a warning sign.
Early money horse (50%)
03:38Plumpton
Opened 5/2Market avg 3/1
11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 ↑ 3/1 ↓ 11/4 ↑ 3/1 ↓ 11/4 → 11/4 ↑ 3/1
PRICE MOVE
-6.11pp (-27.2%)
NR adjusted
Genuine drift after removing the measured NR price effect.
Raw Open → Now: -11.4% • -2.93pp
Measured NR price effect removed: +3.17pp
Latest confirmed post-NR price: 7/2 @ 07:59
NR @ 07:59: 4/1 → 7/2 (+3.17pp removed)
GENUINE NR-ADJUSTED MOVE: -6.11pp
Move evidence
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Largest drift recorded across 4 previous runs.
BEST FIXED ODDS
7/2 4.5 decimal LiveScore Bet
MARKET FORM READTHIS IS THE HORSE’S LARGEST RECORDED DRIFT

Across 4 previous runs, this is the horse’s largest recorded drift. The trainer’s drift record adds context: When this trainer's runners had drifted by 5pp+ by 10am, 4/20 won (20%), compared with the yard's normal 13.9% strike rate. Today’s move: Jefe Triunfo has moved from 5/2 to 3/1, a developing drift (-6.11pp). Context verdict: despite the size of the move, the evidence is not strong enough to make this drift a serious concern because the trainer normally wins about 14 in every 100 runners and still wins about 20 in every 100 when they drift like this, so this weakness has not reduced the yard’s success and there is not enough comparable horse evidence to show that this degree of weakness harms its performance.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
4 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: -6.11pp
Possible next price: 10/3
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Plumpton. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
OPEN RACECARD →

Trainer: Mrs C. Williams
Jockey: Miss Eleanor Williams(7)
Horse & Trainer Evidence
Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.36pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating46/100 · Neutral
Last run72 days ago · 10 Jul 2026
Distance changeUp 2f from last run
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
The price is drifting and is not attracting bookmaker support.
Early money horse (50%)
03:38Plumpton
Opened 15/2Market avg 7/1
13/2 ↑ 7/1 ↓ 6/1 ↑ 13/2 ↑ 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 ↓ 6/1 ↑ 13/2 ↑ 7/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.36pp (-13.0%)
NR adjusted
Genuine drift after removing the measured NR price effect.
Raw Open → Now: +8.2% • +1.06pp
Measured NR price effect removed: +2.41pp
Latest confirmed post-NR price: 11/2 @ 07:59
NR @ 07:59: 13/2 → 11/2 (+2.41pp removed)
GENUINE NR-ADJUSTED MOVE: -1.36pp
Move evidence
50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
2 of 4 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 4th at Worcester on 06 Jun 2026 (-3.43pp); and had no recorded finishing position at Doncaster on 27 Feb 2026 (-1.45pp).
BEST FIXED ODDS
15/2 8.5 decimal SportingIndex
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

2 of 4 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Pooroldmackley is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
3 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: -1.36pp
Possible next price: 7/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
OPEN RACECARD →

Trainer: Alexandra Dunn
Jockey: Isabelle Ryder(5)
Horse & Trainer Evidence
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.86pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 5/7 won (71.4%); Open→SP 5/7 won (71.4%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 75% (3/4).
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating49/100 · Neutral
Last run52 days ago · 30 Jul 2026
Distance changeUp 13f from last run
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Early PM
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 50/1 → 50/1 | Avg: 50/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Best at SP (43%)
03:38Plumpton
Opened 9/1Market avg 7/1
13/2 ↑ 7/1 ↓ 13/2 ↑ 7/1 → 7/1 ↓ 13/2 ↑ 15/2 ↓ 13/2 ↑ 7/1 → 7/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.86pp (+8.0%)
NR adjusted
Genuine shortening after removing the measured NR price effect.
Raw Open → Now: +19.6% • +2.44pp
Measured NR price effect removed: +1.57pp
Latest confirmed post-NR price: 15/2 @ 07:59
NR @ 07:59: 9/1 → 15/2 (+1.57pp removed)
GENUINE NR-ADJUSTED MOVE: +0.86pp
Move evidence
86th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
Only 1 of 7 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 3rd at Lingfield on 27 Jun 2026 (+3.42pp).
BEST FIXED ODDS
15/2 8.5 decimal Bet365
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 1 of 7 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Stage Show is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
The price has been unpredictable before and may move sharply again. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
7 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: +0.86pp
Possible next price: 15/2
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
OPEN RACECARD →

Trainer: Michelle Bryant
Jockey: Marc Goldstein
Horse & Trainer Evidence
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.38pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating46/100 · Neutral
Last run23 days ago · 28 Aug 2026
Distance changeDown 0.8f from last run
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
03:38Plumpton
Opened 50/1Market avg 50/1
50/1 ↓ 40/1 → 40/1 ↑ 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 ↓ 40/1 ↑ 50/1 → 50/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.38pp (-24.1%)
NR adjusted
Genuine drift after removing the measured NR price effect.
Raw Open → Now: -0.2% • -0.00pp
Measured NR price effect removed: +0.38pp
Latest confirmed post-NR price: 50/1 @ 07:59
NR @ 07:59: 66/1 → 50/1 (+0.38pp removed)
GENUINE NR-ADJUSTED MOVE: -0.38pp
Move evidence
BEST FIXED ODDS
66/1 67 decimal SportingIndex
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Glorious Mist is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
1 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: -0.38pp
Possible next price: 50/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
OPEN RACECARD →
Camino Rocio
NON-RUNNERNR @ 07:59
ACTIONABLE RACE READVISIBLE DRIFT — BUT NO ACTIONABLE NEGATIVE

Jefe Triunfo is the only notable weakness, but the drift is unusual for this horse but is not fully corroborated elsewhere. Actionable read: do not oppose Jefe Triunfo from the drift alone.

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