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Runners Today
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AscotDundalk (AW)Gowran ParkHexhamNewcastle (AW)Wolverhampton (AW)
ALLBACKED 💰DRIFTERS
01 · Strongest support
Racing silks
Learning
50
14:25 Ascot
+0.97pp
True move after NR adjustment · 15/8 → 15/8
02 · Repeat evidence
No repeat signal active
No upcoming runner currently matches a previous successful market pattern.
03 · Weak favourite
Favourites currently holding
No short-priced upcoming runner has weakened by at least 2 probability points.
Runner
Bookmaker move
Evidence
What to do next
14:25Ascot • 0m7f0y • Class 2 • Going: Good
3 runners
Market Intelligence
Strongest support: Learning (+0.97 probability points)
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Full field shown.

Trainer: John & Thady Gosden
Jockey: William Buick
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer John & Thady Gosden (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 74/369; first seen between 10am and 1pm 32/369; first seen after 1pm 17/369.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 1 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.07pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 33/92 won (35.9%); Open→SP 34/93 won (36.6%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 48.8% (21/43).
⬆ CLASS RISE
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run23 days ago · 9 Sep 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: 17/2 → 17/2 | Avg: 17/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.
14:25Ascot
Opened 7/4Market avg 7/4
7/4 → 7/4 → 7/4 → 7/4 → 7/4 → 7/4 → 7/4 → 7/4 → 7/4 → 7/4
PRICE MOVE
+0.07pp (+0.2%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
Raw Open → Now price change: 0.2% • +0.07 probability points
Previous market evidence

No previous positive open-to-final support in the recorded sample.

BEST FIXED ODDS
7/4 2.75 decimal 7Bet
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
AscotToday7f · Class 2 · Good · 5 runners7/4—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.07ppOpen → now7/4Current; SP pendingPending+0.07pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. It is also stepping up from Class 3 to Class 2, which adds another test today. Today’s move: Pink Larkspur is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Kempton (AW) · 09 Sep 2026 · 2nd · 1/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Ascot · previous Kempton (AW)✓Trip (within ½f): 7f×Ground: Today Good · previous Standard / Slow×Class: Today Class 2 · previous Class 3
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
1 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: +0.07pp
Possible next price: 7/4
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
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Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Racing silksLearningDraw 3
Trainer: Richard Hannon
Jockey: Pat Dobbs
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Richard Hannon (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 94/764; first seen between 10am and 1pm 47/764; first seen after 1pm 34/764.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 2 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.97pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 29/121 won (24%); Open→SP 31/138 won (22.5%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 28.8% (19/66).
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run14 days ago · 18 Sep 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: 8/1 → 8/1 | Avg: 8/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
14:25Ascot
Opened 15/8Market avg 15/8
15/8 ↓ 7/4 → 7/4 ↑ 15/8 → 15/8 ↓ 7/4 → 7/4 ↑ 2/1 ↓ 15/8 ↑ 15/8
PRICE MOVE
+0.97pp (+2.7%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
Raw Open → Now price change: 2.7% • +0.97 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Salisbury, 03 Sep 2026 — 4th • open 20/1 → final 11/1 (+3.57pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
2/1 3 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
AscotToday7f · Class 2 · Good · 5 runners15/8—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.97ppOpen → now15/8Current; SP pendingPending+0.97pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Learning is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Newbury · 18 Sep 2026 · 2nd · 3/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Ascot · previous Newbury✓Trip (within ½f): 7f✓Ground: Good✓Class: Class 2
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have usually held their position.
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
2 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: +0.97pp
Possible next price: 2/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Trainer: Richard Hannon
Jockey: Sean Levey
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Richard Hannon (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 94/764; first seen between 10am and 1pm 47/764; first seen after 1pm 34/764.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 0 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.11pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 29/121 won (24%); Open→SP 31/138 won (22.5%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 28.8% (19/66).
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
14:25Ascot
Opened 12/1Market avg 12/1
12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 ↓ 11/1 → 11/1 ↑ 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.11pp (+1.4%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
Raw Open → Now price change: 1.4% • +0.11 probability points
BEST FIXED ODDS
12/1 13 decimal 7Bet
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
AscotToday7f · Class 2 · Good · 5 runners12/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.11ppOpen → now12/1Current; SP pendingPending+0.11pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: India's Ridge is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 14/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Race market overview as at 04:29
  • Supported0 of 5 runners at +4pp or more
  • Drifting0 of 5 runners at −4pp or worse
  • Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
  • Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.
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