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AscotDundalk (AW)Gowran ParkHexhamNewcastle (AW)Wolverhampton (AW)
ALLBACKED 💰DRIFTERS
01 · Strongest support
Racing silks
Arlecchino's Rex
68
13:31 Wolverhampton (AW)
+5.68pp
True move after NR adjustment · 5/2 → 15/8
02 · Repeat evidence
No repeat signal active
No upcoming runner currently matches a previous successful market pattern.
03 · Weak favourite
Favourites currently holding
No short-priced upcoming runner has weakened by at least 2 probability points.
Runner
Bookmaker move
Evidence
What to do next
13:31Wolverhampton (AW) • 1m4f51y • Class 6 • Going: Standard
4 runners
Market Intelligence
Weakest support: Skirt Around (-0.35 probability points)
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Full field shown.

Racing silksTen Sixty SixDraw 8
Trainer: David O'Meara
Jockey: Conor Whiteley(3)
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer David O'Meara (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 67/720; first seen between 10am and 1pm 52/720; first seen after 1pm 31/720.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/7; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/7; first seen after 1pm 0/7.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.53pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run13 days ago · 19 Sep 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Late PM
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 7/2 → 7/2 | Avg: 7/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Late money horse (43%)
13:31Wolverhampton (AW)
Opened 13/2Market avg 7/1
7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 ↓ 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 ↑ 8/1 ↓ 13/2 → 13/2
PRICE MOVE
-0.53pp (-4.2%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
43th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE43rd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
4 of 7 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 4th at Newcastle (AW) on 19 Sep 2026 (-2.20pp); finished 6th at Hamilton on 11 Jul 2026 (-3.41pp); finished 4th at Beverley on 03 Jul 2026 (-0.78pp); and finished 9th at Nottingham on 26 Apr 2026 (-2.43pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 4.2% • -0.53 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Newcastle (AW), 19 Sep 2026 — 4th • open 9/4 → final 5/1 (-14.10pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
8/1 9 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today1m 4f 51y · Class 6 · Standard · 10 runners13/2—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—-0.53ppOpen → now7/1Current; SP pendingPending-0.53pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

4 of 7 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Ten Sixty Six is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Ripon · 31 Aug 2026 · 2nd · 1/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Wolverhampton (AW) · previous Ripon×Trip (within ½f): Today 1m 4f 51y · previous 1m 1f 170y×Ground: Today Standard · previous Soft✓Class: Class 6
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This matches its usual pattern; support has often arrived later. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
7 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: -0.53pp
Possible next price: 13/2
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Racing silksThis RibDraw 4
Trainer: David Loughnane
Jockey: Ashley Lewis
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer David Loughnane (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 27/261; first seen between 10am and 1pm 18/261; first seen after 1pm 7/261.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/6; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/6; first seen after 1pm 0/6.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.60pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run17 days ago · 15 Sep 2026
Distance changeDown 1.8f from last run
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Mid
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Mid-market mover (50%)
13:31Wolverhampton (AW)
Opened 13/2Market avg 7/1
7/1 ↓ 13/2 ↑ 7/1 ↓ 13/2 → 13/2 ↑ 7/1 ↓ 6/1 → 6/1 ↑ 13/2 ↑ 7/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.60pp (-4.7%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
3 of 6 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 6th at Wolverhampton (AW) on 15 Sep 2026 (-1.55pp); finished 5th at Ayr on 06 Jul 2026 (-0.90pp); and finished 11th at Wolverhampton (AW) on 16 Jun 2026 (-0.90pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 4.7% • -0.60 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Leicester, 29 Jul 2026 — 4th • open 4/1 → final 7/1 (-7.50pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
8/1 9 decimal Midnite
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today1m 4f 51y · Class 6 · Standard · 10 runners13/2—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—-0.60ppOpen → now7/1Current; SP pendingPending-0.60pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

3 of 6 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: This Rib is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This price often moves during the day, so keep checking it. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
5 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: -0.60pp
Possible next price: 7/1
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Course record
This horse is 0/2 at Wolverhampton (AW) on our records. Today's market is 71% shorter than usual against an average course SP of 27.0.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Racing silksForever PerfectDraw 3
Trainer: Rebecca Menzies
Jockey: Owen Lewis(3)
🔴 Ignores MarketThis horse has won or placed despite drifting. Market weakness does NOT negatively impact performance. Can be a value angle when price weakens.
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Rebecca Menzies (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 26/337; first seen between 10am and 1pm 12/337; first seen after 1pm 7/337.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 2/10; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/10; first seen after 1pm 0/10.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.25pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run11 days ago · 21 Sep 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 10 | Fixed-odds range: 11/4 → 6/1 | Avg: 9/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Late money horse (50%)
13:31Wolverhampton (AW)
Opened 17/2Market avg 17/2
9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 ↓ 17/2 → 17/2 → 17/2 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 11/1 ↓ 17/2 → 17/2
PRICE MOVE
-0.25pp (-2.4%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
40th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE40th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
6 of 10 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 9th at Redcar on 09 Sep 2026 (-1.12pp); finished 3rd at Thirsk on 05 Jun 2026 (-9.62pp); finished 2nd at Wolverhampton (AW) on 27 Apr 2026 (-4.62pp); finished 1st at Wolverhampton (AW) on 21 Apr 2026 (-1.82pp); finished 3rd at Wolverhampton (AW) on 06 Apr 2026 (-7.06pp); and finished 6th at Southwell (AW) on 04 Mar 2026 (-0.78pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 2.4% • -0.25 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Thirsk, 05 Jun 2026 — 3rd • open 3/1 → final 8/1 (-13.89pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
11/1 12 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today1m 4f 51y · Class 6 · Standard · 10 runners17/2—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—-0.25ppOpen → now17/2Current; SP pendingPending-0.25pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

6 of 10 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Forever Perfect is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Wolverhampton (AW) · 08 May 2026 · 2nd · 4/4 known conditions match
✓Track: Wolverhampton (AW)✓Trip (within ½f): 1m 4f 51y✓Ground: Standard✓Class: Class 6
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This matches its usual pattern; support has often arrived later. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
No positive support trigger.
This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.
Today: -0.25pp
Possible next price: 17/2
10 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Course record
Course evidence at Wolverhampton (AW) stands at 3 placed efforts from 6 runs. Today's market is 43% shorter than usual compared with a long-term course average SP of 17.0.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Racing silksSkirt AroundDraw 10
Trainer: Philip Kirby
Jockey: Charlie Tucker(7)
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Philip Kirby (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 32/320; first seen between 10am and 1pm 22/320; first seen after 1pm 8/320.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/4; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/4; first seen after 1pm 0/4.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.35pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run13 days ago · 19 Sep 2026
Distance changeUp 2f from last run
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Early PM
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (50%)
13:31Wolverhampton (AW)
Opened 16/1Market avg 18/1
18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 ↓ 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 ↑ 22/1 ↓ 16/1 ↑ 18/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.35pp (-6.4%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
4 of 4 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 6th at Newcastle (AW) on 19 Sep 2026 (-3.28pp); finished 4th at Ripon on 15 Aug 2026 (-1.01pp); finished 7th at Wetherby on 04 Jun 2026 (-5.26pp); and finished 8th at Newcastle (AW) on 01 May 2026 (-5.00pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 6.4% • -0.35 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Wetherby, 04 Jun 2026 — 7th • open 17/2 → final 20/1 (-5.76pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
22/1 23 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today1m 4f 51y · Class 6 · Standard · 10 runners16/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—-0.35ppOpen → now18/1Current; SP pendingPending-0.35pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

4 of 4 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Skirt Around is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
4 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: -0.35pp
Possible next price: 20/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Race market overview as at 04:28
  • Supported1 of 10 runners at +4pp or more · strongest: Arlecchino's Rex +5.68pp
  • Drifting0 of 10 runners at −4pp or worse
  • Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
  • Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.
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