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AscotDundalk (AW)Gowran ParkHexhamNewcastle (AW)Wolverhampton (AW)
ALLBACKED 💰DRIFTERS
01 · Strongest support
Racing silks
Arlecchino's Rex
68
13:31 Wolverhampton (AW)
+5.68pp
True move after NR adjustment · 5/2 → 15/8
02 · Repeat evidence
No repeat signal active
No upcoming runner currently matches a previous successful market pattern.
03 · Weak favourite
Favourites currently holding
No short-priced upcoming runner has weakened by at least 2 probability points.
Runner
Bookmaker move
Evidence
What to do next
13:31Wolverhampton (AW) • 1m4f51y • Class 6 • Going: Standard
10 runners
Market Intelligence
Strongest support: Arlecchino's Rex (+5.68 probability points)
Weakest support: Skirt Around (-0.35 probability points)
Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

Racing silksArlecchino's RexDraw 6
Trainer: Mark Usher
Jockey: Rose Dawes
🟢 Needs Support (20%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Mark Usher (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 19/180; first seen between 10am and 1pm 7/180; first seen after 1pm 7/180.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 4/13; first seen between 10am and 1pm 1/13; first seen after 1pm 1/13.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +5.68pp, placing it in this yard's 5pp+ band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 6/22 won (27.3%); Open→SP 8/24 won (33.3%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating68/100 · Ranked #1 today
Last run11 days ago · 21 Sep 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
5 historical matches

2/5 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 13 | Fixed-odds range: 11/2 → 12/1 | Avg: 8/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Early money horse (46%)
13:31Wolverhampton (AW)
Opened 5/2Market avg 15/8
15/8 → 15/8 ↓ 7/4 → 7/4 ↑ 15/8 ↑ 15/8 → 15/8 → 15/8 ↓ 7/4 ↑ 15/8
PRICE MOVE
+5.68pp (+16.6%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
69th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE69th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
4 of 13 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 3rd at Wolverhampton (AW) on 21 Sep 2026 (+5.86pp); finished 7th at Lingfield (AW) on 11 Aug 2026 (+8.97pp); finished 7th at Wolverhampton (AW) on 16 Jun 2026 (+10.46pp); and finished 4th at Wolverhampton (AW) on 30 Jan 2026 (+5.71pp).
2/5 placed when backed like this (40%).
When backed like this: 2/5 WON
Raw Open → Now price change: 16.6% • +5.68 probability points
Built 01:24 → 04:24
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Wolverhampton (AW), 30 Jan 2026 — 4th • open 6/1 → final 3/1 (+10.71pp).

All 5 comparable backed runs (1st or 2nd counts as placed):

  • Lingfield (AW), 10 Sep 2026 — 1st • open 16/1 → final 12/1
  • Lingfield (AW), 11 Aug 2026 — 7th • open 12/1 → final 17/2
  • Wolverhampton (AW), 02 Jun 2026 — 7th • open 11/2 → final 4/1
  • Wolverhampton (AW), 11 May 2026 — 3rd • open 15/2 → final 6/1
  • Wolverhampton (AW), 03 Mar 2026 — 1st • open 9/1 → final 7/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
5/2 3.5 decimal Hollywood Bets
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today1m 4f 51y · Class 6 · Standard · 10 runners5/2—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+5.68ppOpen → now15/8Current; SP pendingPending+5.68pp
MARKET FORM READTRAINER RECORD MAKES THIS SUPPORT SIGNIFICANT

Mark Usher runners in the matching 5pp+ band have won 8/24 (a 33.3% Open→SP strike rate), compared with the trainer’s normal 8.9% strike rate. Just 4 of 13 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. When backed in a similar way previously, it finished first or second in 2 of 5 runs. Today’s move: Arlecchino's Rex has shortened from 5/2 to 15/8, which is support (+5.68pp).

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Lingfield (AW) · 10 Sep 2026 · 1st · 3/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Wolverhampton (AW) · previous Lingfield (AW)✓Trip (within ½f): 1m 4f 51y✓Ground: Standard✓Class: Class 6
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
All 3 previous top-two finishes came with support of 2.13pp+.
At 2.13pp+: 3/10 finished 1st or 2nd (30%).
Today: +5.68pp — trigger reached.
Possible next price: 15/8
13 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Course record
This runner has made the frame 2 times from 11 starts at Wolverhampton (AW). Historical course average SP is 9.4, while today's market is 69% shorter than usual.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Racing silksAmalouDraw 5
Trainer: Daniel & Claire Kubler
Jockey: Warren Fentiman
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Daniel & Claire Kubler (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 23/121; first seen between 10am and 1pm 4/121; first seen after 1pm 7/121.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 2 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.28pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 5/26 won (19.2%); Open→SP 7/25 won (28%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 31.3% (5/16).
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run18 days ago · 14 Sep 2026
Distance changeUp 0.8f from last run
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: 22/1 → 22/1 | Avg: 22/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
13:31Wolverhampton (AW)
Opened 2/1Market avg 2/1
2/1 ↓ 15/8 ↑ 2/1 ↓ 15/8 ↓ 15/8 ↑ 2/1 ↓ 15/8 ↑ 9/4 ↓ 15/8 ↑ 2/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.28pp (+0.8%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
Raw Open → Now price change: 0.8% • +0.28 probability points
Built 04:15 → 04:24
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Lingfield (AW), 22 Aug 2026 — 8th • open 13/2 → final 11/2 (+1.87pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
9/4 3.25 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today1m 4f 51y · Class 6 · Standard · 10 runners2/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.28ppOpen → now2/1Current; SP pendingPending+0.28pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Amalou is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Windsor · 14 Sep 2026 · 1st · 1/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Wolverhampton (AW) · previous Windsor×Trip (within ½f): Today 1m 4f 51y · previous 1m 3f 99y×Ground: Today Standard · previous Good To Soft✓Class: Class 6
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
2 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: +0.28pp
Possible next price: 2/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Racing silksTen Sixty SixDraw 8
Trainer: David O'Meara
Jockey: Conor Whiteley(3)
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer David O'Meara (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 67/720; first seen between 10am and 1pm 52/720; first seen after 1pm 31/720.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/7; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/7; first seen after 1pm 0/7.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.53pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run13 days ago · 19 Sep 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Late PM
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 7/2 → 7/2 | Avg: 7/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Late money horse (43%)
13:31Wolverhampton (AW)
Opened 13/2Market avg 7/1
7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 ↓ 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 ↑ 8/1 ↓ 13/2 → 13/2
PRICE MOVE
-0.53pp (-4.2%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
43th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE43rd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
4 of 7 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 4th at Newcastle (AW) on 19 Sep 2026 (-2.20pp); finished 6th at Hamilton on 11 Jul 2026 (-3.41pp); finished 4th at Beverley on 03 Jul 2026 (-0.78pp); and finished 9th at Nottingham on 26 Apr 2026 (-2.43pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 4.2% • -0.53 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Newcastle (AW), 19 Sep 2026 — 4th • open 9/4 → final 5/1 (-14.10pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
8/1 9 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today1m 4f 51y · Class 6 · Standard · 10 runners13/2—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—-0.53ppOpen → now7/1Current; SP pendingPending-0.53pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

4 of 7 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Ten Sixty Six is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Ripon · 31 Aug 2026 · 2nd · 1/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Wolverhampton (AW) · previous Ripon×Trip (within ½f): Today 1m 4f 51y · previous 1m 1f 170y×Ground: Today Standard · previous Soft✓Class: Class 6
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This matches its usual pattern; support has often arrived later. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
7 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: -0.53pp
Possible next price: 13/2
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Racing silksThis RibDraw 4
Trainer: David Loughnane
Jockey: Ashley Lewis
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer David Loughnane (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 27/261; first seen between 10am and 1pm 18/261; first seen after 1pm 7/261.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/6; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/6; first seen after 1pm 0/6.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.60pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run17 days ago · 15 Sep 2026
Distance changeDown 1.8f from last run
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Mid
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Mid-market mover (50%)
13:31Wolverhampton (AW)
Opened 13/2Market avg 7/1
7/1 ↓ 13/2 ↑ 7/1 ↓ 13/2 → 13/2 ↑ 7/1 ↓ 6/1 → 6/1 ↑ 13/2 ↑ 7/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.60pp (-4.7%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
3 of 6 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 6th at Wolverhampton (AW) on 15 Sep 2026 (-1.55pp); finished 5th at Ayr on 06 Jul 2026 (-0.90pp); and finished 11th at Wolverhampton (AW) on 16 Jun 2026 (-0.90pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 4.7% • -0.60 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Leicester, 29 Jul 2026 — 4th • open 4/1 → final 7/1 (-7.50pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
8/1 9 decimal Midnite
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today1m 4f 51y · Class 6 · Standard · 10 runners13/2—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—-0.60ppOpen → now7/1Current; SP pendingPending-0.60pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

3 of 6 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: This Rib is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This price often moves during the day, so keep checking it. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
5 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: -0.60pp
Possible next price: 7/1
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Course record
This horse is 0/2 at Wolverhampton (AW) on our records. Today's market is 71% shorter than usual against an average course SP of 27.0.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Racing silksTiger BeetleDraw 2
Trainer: Thomas Faulkner
Jockey: Zoe Lewis(7)
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Thomas Faulkner (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 19/132; first seen between 10am and 1pm 10/132; first seen after 1pm 5/132.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/8; first seen between 10am and 1pm 1/8; first seen after 1pm 0/8.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.12pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 4/26 won (15.4%); Open→SP 3/24 won (12.5%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run52 days ago · 11 Aug 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Early
Runs: 8 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (25%)
13:31Wolverhampton (AW)
Opened 15/2Market avg 15/2
15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 ↓ 7/1 ↑ 15/2 → 15/2 ↓ 7/1 ↑ 17/2 ↓ 7/1 ↑ 15/2
PRICE MOVE
+0.12pp (+1.0%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
38th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE38th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
5 of 8 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 5th at Lingfield (AW) on 11 Aug 2026 (+1.82pp); finished 8th at Chepstow on 15 Jun 2026 (+3.41pp); finished 3rd at Wolverhampton (AW) on 31 Mar 2026 (+5.83pp); finished 7th at Wolverhampton (AW) on 17 Feb 2026 (+4.44pp); and finished 8th at Wolverhampton (AW) on 02 Feb 2026 (+4.23pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 1% • +0.12 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Wolverhampton (AW), 31 Mar 2026 — 3rd • open 14/1 → final 11/2 (+8.72pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
17/2 9.5 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today1m 4f 51y · Class 6 · Standard · 10 runners15/2—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.12ppOpen → now15/2Current; SP pendingPending+0.12pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

5 of 8 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Tiger Beetle is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.Comparable moves have had few top-two finishes. Be cautious.
Did the early price move fade?

Recorded examples where 5pp+ early support was followed by a longer final price:

  • Wolverhampton (AW), 02 Feb 2026 — 8th • open 40/1 → 1pm 12/1 → final 18/1
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
8 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: +0.12pp
Possible next price: 15/2
8 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Course record
Course evidence at Wolverhampton (AW) is limited (5 runs without making the frame). Today's market is 45% shorter than usual against an average course SP profile of 15.4.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Racing silksForever PerfectDraw 3
Trainer: Rebecca Menzies
Jockey: Owen Lewis(3)
🔴 Ignores MarketThis horse has won or placed despite drifting. Market weakness does NOT negatively impact performance. Can be a value angle when price weakens.
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Rebecca Menzies (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 26/337; first seen between 10am and 1pm 12/337; first seen after 1pm 7/337.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 2/10; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/10; first seen after 1pm 0/10.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.25pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run11 days ago · 21 Sep 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 10 | Fixed-odds range: 11/4 → 6/1 | Avg: 9/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Late money horse (50%)
13:31Wolverhampton (AW)
Opened 17/2Market avg 17/2
9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 ↓ 17/2 → 17/2 → 17/2 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 11/1 ↓ 17/2 → 17/2
PRICE MOVE
-0.25pp (-2.4%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
40th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE40th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
6 of 10 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 9th at Redcar on 09 Sep 2026 (-1.12pp); finished 3rd at Thirsk on 05 Jun 2026 (-9.62pp); finished 2nd at Wolverhampton (AW) on 27 Apr 2026 (-4.62pp); finished 1st at Wolverhampton (AW) on 21 Apr 2026 (-1.82pp); finished 3rd at Wolverhampton (AW) on 06 Apr 2026 (-7.06pp); and finished 6th at Southwell (AW) on 04 Mar 2026 (-0.78pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 2.4% • -0.25 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Thirsk, 05 Jun 2026 — 3rd • open 3/1 → final 8/1 (-13.89pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
11/1 12 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today1m 4f 51y · Class 6 · Standard · 10 runners17/2—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—-0.25ppOpen → now17/2Current; SP pendingPending-0.25pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

6 of 10 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Forever Perfect is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Wolverhampton (AW) · 08 May 2026 · 2nd · 4/4 known conditions match
✓Track: Wolverhampton (AW)✓Trip (within ½f): 1m 4f 51y✓Ground: Standard✓Class: Class 6
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This matches its usual pattern; support has often arrived later. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
No positive support trigger.
This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.
Today: -0.25pp
Possible next price: 17/2
10 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Course record
Previous course evidence shows 3 placed efforts from 6 runs at Wolverhampton (AW). Compared with an average course SP of 17.0, today's price is 43% shorter than usual.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Racing silksSkirt AroundDraw 10
Trainer: Philip Kirby
Jockey: Charlie Tucker(7)
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Philip Kirby (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 32/320; first seen between 10am and 1pm 22/320; first seen after 1pm 8/320.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/4; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/4; first seen after 1pm 0/4.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.35pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run13 days ago · 19 Sep 2026
Distance changeUp 2f from last run
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Early PM
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (50%)
13:31Wolverhampton (AW)
Opened 16/1Market avg 18/1
18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 ↓ 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 ↑ 22/1 ↓ 16/1 ↑ 18/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.35pp (-6.4%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
4 of 4 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 6th at Newcastle (AW) on 19 Sep 2026 (-3.28pp); finished 4th at Ripon on 15 Aug 2026 (-1.01pp); finished 7th at Wetherby on 04 Jun 2026 (-5.26pp); and finished 8th at Newcastle (AW) on 01 May 2026 (-5.00pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 6.4% • -0.35 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Wetherby, 04 Jun 2026 — 7th • open 17/2 → final 20/1 (-5.76pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
22/1 23 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today1m 4f 51y · Class 6 · Standard · 10 runners16/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—-0.35ppOpen → now18/1Current; SP pendingPending-0.35pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

4 of 4 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Skirt Around is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
4 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: -0.35pp
Possible next price: 20/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Racing silksProject KinsmanDraw 1
Trainer: Philip Kirby
Jockey: Tom Kiely-Marshall
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Philip Kirby (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 32/320; first seen between 10am and 1pm 22/320; first seen after 1pm 8/320.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/8; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/8; first seen after 1pm 0/8.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.12pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 12/51 won (23.5%); Open→SP 11/51 won (21.6%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 39.1% (9/23).
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run13 days ago · 19 Sep 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 8 | Fixed-odds range: 11/1 → 11/1 | Avg: 11/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Mid-market mover (25%)
13:31Wolverhampton (AW)
Opened 20/1Market avg 20/1
20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 ↓ 18/1 ↑ 20/1 → 20/1 ↓ 18/1 ↑ 22/1 ↓ 18/1 ↑ 20/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.12pp (+2.4%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
63th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE63rd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
3 of 8 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 10th at Newcastle (AW) on 19 Sep 2026 (+0.33pp); finished 8th at Newcastle (AW) on 02 Jun 2026 (+3.09pp); and finished 2nd at Newcastle (AW) on 13 Apr 2026 (+1.67pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 2.4% • +0.12 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Newcastle (AW), 13 Apr 2026 — 2nd • open 14/1 → final 11/1 (+1.67pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
22/1 23 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today1m 4f 51y · Class 6 · Standard · 10 runners20/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.12ppOpen → now20/1Current; SP pendingPending+0.12pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 3 of 8 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Project Kinsman is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Newcastle (AW) · 13 Apr 2026 · 2nd · 2/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Wolverhampton (AW) · previous Newcastle (AW)×Trip (within ½f): Today 1m 4f 51y · previous 1m 2f 42y✓Ground: Standard✓Class: Class 6
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.Comparable moves have had few top-two finishes. Be cautious.
Did the early price move fade?

No documented early-support reversal in this horse’s recorded checkpoint sample. The older wording referred to finishing results, not a verified intraday price fade.

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
8 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: +0.12pp
Possible next price: 20/1
8 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Racing silksProphet SqueezeDraw 7
Trainer: Barry Murphy
Jockey: Christian Howarth
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Barry Murphy (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/6; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/6; first seen after 1pm 0/6.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/8; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/8; first seen after 1pm 0/8.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.19pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/0 won (0%); Open→SP 0/0 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run30 days ago · 2 Sep 2026
Distance changeDown 1.8f from last run
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 8 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Best at SP (50%)
13:31Wolverhampton (AW)
Opened 33/1Market avg 33/1
33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 ↑ 33/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.19pp (+6.5%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILETHE STRONGEST MOVE RECORDED (100th percentile)
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest support recorded across 8 previous runs.
Raw Open → Now price change: 6.5% • +0.19 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Chepstow, 24 Jul 2026 — 9th • open 40/1 → final 40/1 (+0.27pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
33/1 36 decimal 7Bet
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today1m 4f 51y · Class 6 · Standard · 10 runners33/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.19ppOpen → now33/1Current; SP pendingPending+0.19pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READTHIS IS THE HORSE’S STRONGEST RECORDED SUPPORT

Across 8 previous runs, this is the horse’s strongest recorded support. Today’s move: Prophet Squeeze is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
The price has been unpredictable before and may move sharply again. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
7 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: +0.19pp
Possible next price: 40/1
8 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Racing silksEcho ThatDraw 9
Trainer: Patrick Owens
Jockey: Mason Paetel
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Patrick Owens (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/45; first seen between 10am and 1pm 2/45; first seen after 1pm 0/45.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 1 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.19pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/3 won (0%); Open→SP 0/2 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
⬇ CLASS DROP
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run38 days ago · 25 Aug 2026
Distance changeUp 2.2f from last run
Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.
13:31Wolverhampton (AW)
Opened 33/1Market avg 33/1
33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 ↑ 33/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.19pp (+6.5%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
Raw Open → Now price change: 6.5% • +0.19 probability points
Previous market evidence

No previous positive open-to-final support in the recorded sample.

BEST FIXED ODDS
33/1 36 decimal 7Bet
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today1m 4f 51y · Class 6 · Standard · 10 runners33/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.19ppOpen → now33/1Current; SP pendingPending+0.19pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. The horse drops from Class 4 to Class 6, but the market has not responded with meaningful support. Today’s move: Echo That is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
1 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: +0.19pp
Possible next price: 40/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Race market overview as at 04:28
  • Supported1 of 10 runners at +4pp or more · strongest: Arlecchino's Rex +5.68pp
  • Drifting0 of 10 runners at −4pp or worse
  • Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
  • Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.
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