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Runners Today
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Active Signals (15%+)
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AscotDundalk (AW)Gowran ParkHexhamNewcastle (AW)Wolverhampton (AW)
ALLBACKED 💰DRIFTERS
01 · Strongest support
Racing silks
Michonne
50
13:21 Gowran Park
+0.56pp
True move after NR adjustment · 15/8 → 15/8
02 · Repeat evidence
No repeat signal active
No upcoming runner currently matches a previous successful market pattern.
03 · Weak favourite
Favourites currently holding
No short-priced upcoming runner has weakened by at least 2 probability points.
Runner
Bookmaker move
Evidence
What to do next
13:21Gowran Park • 2m80y • Going: Yielding To Soft
13 runners
Market Intelligence
Strongest support: Magna Gee Gee (+0.07 probability points)
Weakest support: Sapphire Jewel (-0.42 probability points)
Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

Trainer: Mrs J. Harrington
Jockey: Donagh Meyler
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Mrs J. Harrington (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 4/39; first seen between 10am and 1pm 7/39; first seen after 1pm 0/39.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/4; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/4; first seen after 1pm 0/4.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.56pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 4/10 won (40%); Open→SP 4/9 won (44.4%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run16 days ago · 16 Sep 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 12/1 → 12/1 | Avg: 12/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (50%)
13:21Gowran Park
Opened 15/8Market avg 15/8
15/8 → 15/8 → 15/8 → 15/8 ↓ 7/4 ↑ 15/8 → 15/8 ↓ 7/4 ↑ 2/1 ↓ 7/4
PRICE MOVE
+0.56pp (+1.6%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 1 of 4 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 2nd at Naas (IRE) on 22 Feb 2026 (+5.24pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 1.6% • +0.56 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Naas (IRE), 22 Feb 2026 — 2nd • open 25/1 → final 12/1 (+3.85pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
2/1 3 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Gowran ParkToday2m 80y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 13 runners15/8—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.56ppOpen → now15/8Current; SP pendingPending+0.56pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 1 of 4 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Michonne is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Naas (IRE) · 22 Feb 2026 · 2nd · 0/3 known conditions match
×Track: Today Gowran Park · previous Naas (IRE)×Trip (within ½f): Today 2m 80y · previous 1m 7f 110y×Ground: Today Yielding To Soft · previous Heavy?Class: Data missing
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
4 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: +0.56pp
Possible next price: 13/8
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
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Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Trainer: Gordon Elliott
Jockey: Jack Kennedy
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Gordon Elliott (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 61/1017; first seen between 10am and 1pm 67/1017; first seen after 1pm 36/1017.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/3; first seen between 10am and 1pm 1/3; first seen after 1pm 0/3.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.49pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 35/113 won (31%); Open→SP 38/126 won (30.2%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 35% (21/60).
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run13 days ago · 19 Sep 2026
Distance changeUp 0.6f from last run
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Mid
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (33%)
13:21Gowran Park
Opened 15/8Market avg 15/8
15/8 → 15/8 → 15/8 → 15/8 ↓ 7/4 ↑ 15/8 → 15/8 ↓ 7/4 ↑ 2/1 ↓ 7/4
PRICE MOVE
+0.49pp (+1.4%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILETHE STRONGEST MOVE RECORDED (100th percentile)
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest support recorded across 3 previous runs.
Raw Open → Now price change: 1.4% • +0.49 probability points
Built 00:00 → 01:37
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Navan (IRE), 19 Sep 2026 — 5th • open 5/1 → final 7/2 (+5.56pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
2/1 3 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Gowran ParkToday2m 80y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 13 runners15/8—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.49ppOpen → now15/8Current; SP pendingPending+0.49pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READTHIS IS THE HORSE’S STRONGEST RECORDED SUPPORT

Across 3 previous runs, this is the horse’s strongest recorded support. Today’s move: Ivatt is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
3 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: +0.49pp
Possible next price: 13/8
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
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Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Trainer: C Byrnes
Jockey: Philip Byrnes
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer C Byrnes (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 8/167; first seen between 10am and 1pm 21/167; first seen after 1pm 13/167.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 2 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.00pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 9/27 won (33.3%); Open→SP 8/32 won (25%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 33.3% (6/18).
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run157 days ago · 28 Apr 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: 9/4 → 9/4 | Avg: 9/4Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
13:21Gowran Park
Opened 15/8Market avg 15/8
15/8 → 15/8 → 15/8 → 15/8 → 15/8 → 15/8 → 15/8 → 15/8 → 15/8 → 15/8
PRICE MOVE
+0.00pp (+0.0%)
No meaningful price change from the open.
Move evidence
Raw Open → Now price change: 0% • +0.00 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Navan (IRE), 21 Mar 2026 — 2nd • open 7/1 → final 9/4 (+18.27pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
2/1 3 decimal Paddy Power
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Gowran ParkToday2m 80y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 13 runners15/8—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.00ppOpen → now15/8Current; SP pendingPending+0.00pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Bunker Buster is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Navan (IRE) · 21 Mar 2026 · 2nd · 1/3 known conditions match
×Track: Today Gowran Park · previous Navan (IRE)✓Trip (within ½f): 2m 80y×Ground: Today Yielding To Soft · previous Soft?Class: Data missing
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
2 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: +0.00pp
Possible next price: 15/8
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Trainer: Cian Collins
Jockey: Danny Gilligan
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Cian Collins (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 10/223; first seen between 10am and 1pm 13/223; first seen after 1pm 10/223.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 0 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.67pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
13:21Gowran Park
Opened 11/1Market avg 12/1
12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.67pp (-8.7%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
Raw Open → Now price change: 8.7% • -0.67 probability points
BEST FIXED ODDS
14/1 15 decimal Paddy Power
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Gowran ParkToday2m 80y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 13 runners11/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—-0.67ppOpen → now12/1Current; SP pendingPending-0.67pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Spirit Of Stars is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 12/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Trainer: Gavin Cromwell
Jockey: Kieren Buckley
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Gavin Cromwell (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 45/746; first seen between 10am and 1pm 40/746; first seen after 1pm 21/746.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 0 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.12pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 15/70 won (21.4%); Open→SP 14/71 won (19.7%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 28.6% (10/35).
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
13:21Gowran Park
Opened 16/1Market avg 16/1
16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.12pp (+2.0%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
Raw Open → Now price change: 2% • +0.12 probability points
BEST FIXED ODDS
16/1 17 decimal Bet Victor
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Gowran ParkToday2m 80y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 13 runners16/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.12ppOpen → now16/1Current; SP pendingPending+0.12pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Liath Mor is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 16/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Trainer: Colin Motherway
Jockey: Darragh O'Keeffe
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Colin Motherway (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 3/22; first seen between 10am and 1pm 2/22; first seen after 1pm 1/22.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 2 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.42pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run156 days ago · 29 Apr 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
The price is drifting and is not attracting bookmaker support.
13:21Gowran Park
Opened 25/1Market avg 28/1
28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 ↓ 25/1 ↑ 28/1 → 28/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.42pp (-12.2%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
Raw Open → Now price change: 12.2% • -0.42 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Limerick (IRE), 31 Mar 2026 — 3rd • open 33/1 → final 50/1 (-0.98pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
33/1 34 decimal Betfair Sportsbook
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Gowran ParkToday2m 80y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 13 runners25/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—-0.42ppOpen → now28/1Current; SP pendingPending-0.42pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Sapphire Jewel is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
2 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: -0.42pp
Possible next price: 28/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Trainer: Kieran Purcell
Jockey: Paddy Cody(7)
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Kieran Purcell (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/7; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/7; first seen after 1pm 0/7.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/3; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/3; first seen after 1pm 0/3.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.42pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run49 days ago · 14 Aug 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Early PM
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
The price is drifting and is not attracting bookmaker support.
Mid-market mover (67%)
13:21Gowran Park
Opened 25/1Market avg 28/1
28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 ↓ 25/1 ↑ 28/1 → 28/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.42pp (-12.2%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
3 of 3 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 5th at Tramore (IRE) on 14 Aug 2026 (-2.43pp); finished 6th at Roscommon (IRE) on 04 Aug 2026 (-2.43pp); and finished 4th at Killarney (IRE) on 16 Jul 2026 (-1.49pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 12.2% • -0.42 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Roscommon (IRE), 04 Aug 2026 — 6th • open 16/1 → final 40/1 (-3.44pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
33/1 34 decimal Betfair Sportsbook
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Gowran ParkToday2m 80y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 13 runners25/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—-0.42ppOpen → now28/1Current; SP pendingPending-0.42pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

3 of 3 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Charles Kickham is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This price often moves during the day, so keep checking it. (strong)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
3 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: -0.42pp
Possible next price: 28/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Trainer: P A Fahy
Jockey: J J Slevin
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer P A Fahy (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 2/79; first seen between 10am and 1pm 4/79; first seen after 1pm 3/79.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 2 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.07pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/5 won (0%); Open→SP 0/5 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run146 days ago · 9 May 2026
Distance changeDown 0.6f from last run
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
13:21Gowran Park
Opened 33/1Market avg 33/1
33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.07pp (+2.3%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
Raw Open → Now price change: 2.3% • +0.07 probability points
Previous market evidence

No previous positive open-to-final support in the recorded sample.

BEST FIXED ODDS
33/1 34 decimal Bet Victor
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Gowran ParkToday2m 80y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 13 runners33/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.07ppOpen → now33/1Current; SP pendingPending+0.07pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Robbie Diamonds is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
2 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: +0.07pp
Possible next price: 33/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Trainer: Paul Nolan
Jockey: Sean Flanagan
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Paul Nolan (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 10/184; first seen between 10am and 1pm 14/184; first seen after 1pm 7/184.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 1 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.06pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 4/22 won (18.2%); Open→SP 6/24 won (25%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 41.7% (5/12).
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run145 days ago · 10 May 2026
Distance changeDown 0.9f from last run
Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.
13:21Gowran Park
Opened 33/1Market avg 33/1
33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.06pp (+1.9%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
Raw Open → Now price change: 1.9% • +0.06 probability points
Previous market evidence

No previous positive open-to-final support in the recorded sample.

BEST FIXED ODDS
33/1 34 decimal Bet Victor
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Gowran ParkToday2m 80y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 13 runners33/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.06ppOpen → now33/1Current; SP pendingPending+0.06pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Feel Like Ash is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
1 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: +0.06pp
Possible next price: 33/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Trainer: Moses McCabe
Jockey: Miss Ella Herbison(7)
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Moses McCabe (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/3; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/3; first seen after 1pm 0/3.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 0 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.05pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/0 won (0%); Open→SP 0/0 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
13:21Gowran Park
Opened 50/1Market avg 50/1
50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.05pp (+2.6%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
Raw Open → Now price change: 2.6% • +0.05 probability points
BEST FIXED ODDS
50/1 51 decimal Bet Victor
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Gowran ParkToday2m 80y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 13 runners50/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.05ppOpen → now50/1Current; SP pendingPending+0.05pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Quarry Road is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 50/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Trainer: Patrick J Flynn
Jockey: Aidan Kelly
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Patrick J Flynn (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/94; first seen between 10am and 1pm 5/94; first seen after 1pm 1/94.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/10; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/10; first seen after 1pm 0/10.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.07pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/5 won (0%); Open→SP 1/6 won (16.7%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run9 days ago · 23 Sep 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 10 | Fixed-odds range: 11/2 → 11/2 | Avg: 11/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Late money horse (40%)
13:21Gowran Park
Opened 100/1Market avg 100/1
100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 ↓ 66/1 ↑ 100/1 → 100/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.07pp (+6.6%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
80th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE80th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
2 of 10 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 10th at Cork (IRE) on 24 Apr 2026 (+0.92pp); and finished 10th at Dundalk (AW) (IRE) on 13 Jan 2026 (+2.31pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 6.6% • +0.07 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Cork (IRE), 24 Apr 2026 — 10th • open 22/1 → final 16/1 (+1.53pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
100/1 101 decimal Bet Victor
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Gowran ParkToday2m 80y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 13 runners100/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.07ppOpen → now100/1Current; SP pendingPending+0.07pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 2 of 10 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Magna Gee Gee is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Limerick · 11 Jul 2026 · 1st · 0/3 known conditions match
×Track: Today Gowran Park · previous Limerick×Trip (within ½f): Today 2m 80y · previous 1m 4f 65y×Ground: Today Yielding To Soft · previous Good?Class: Data missing
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This early support is unusual; the price has often drifted again later. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
8 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: +0.07pp
Possible next price: 100/1
10 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Trainer: Kevin Thomas Coleman
Jockey: Phillip Enright
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Kevin Thomas Coleman (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 12/147; first seen between 10am and 1pm 9/147; first seen after 1pm 6/147.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/8; first seen between 10am and 1pm 1/8; first seen after 1pm 0/8.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.04pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 4/17 won (23.5%); Open→SP 5/19 won (26.3%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 33.3% (4/12).
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run36 days ago · 27 Aug 2026
Distance changeUp 2.4f from last run
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 8 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (38%)
13:21Gowran Park
Opened 100/1Market avg 100/1
100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.04pp (+4.3%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
63th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE63rd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
3 of 8 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 9th at Ffos Las on 28 Jul 2026 (+8.24pp); finished 13th at Down Royal (IRE) on 29 May 2026 (+1.01pp); and finished 6th at Dundalk (AW) (IRE) on 13 Jan 2026 (+0.50pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 4.3% • +0.04 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Ffos Las, 28 Jul 2026 — 9th • open 12/1 → final 9/1 (+2.86pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
100/1 101 decimal Bet Victor
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Gowran ParkToday2m 80y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 13 runners100/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.04ppOpen → now100/1Current; SP pendingPending+0.04pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 3 of 8 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Miners Cabin is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.Comparable moves have had few top-two finishes. Be cautious.
Did the early price move fade?

Recorded examples where 5pp+ early support was followed by a longer final price:

  • Ffos Las, 28 Jul 2026 — 9th • open 12/1 → 10am 11/2 → final 9/1
  • Down Royal (IRE), 29 May 2026 — 13th • open 40/1 → 1pm 12/1 → final 20/1
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
8 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: +0.04pp
Possible next price: 100/1
8 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Trainer: P A Fahy
Jockey: Richard Condon(5)
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer P A Fahy (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 2/79; first seen between 10am and 1pm 4/79; first seen after 1pm 3/79.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/6; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/6; first seen after 1pm 0/6.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.03pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/5 won (0%); Open→SP 0/5 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run13 days ago · 19 Sep 2026
Distance changeUp 0.6f from last run
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Late money horse (50%)
13:21Gowran Park
Opened 100/1Market avg 100/1
100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 ↑ 100/1 ↓ 100/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.03pp (+3.2%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILETHE STRONGEST MOVE RECORDED (100th percentile)
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest support recorded across 6 previous runs.
Raw Open → Now price change: 3.2% • +0.03 probability points
Previous market evidence

No previous positive open-to-final support in the recorded sample.

BEST FIXED ODDS
100/1 126 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Gowran ParkToday2m 80y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 13 runners100/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.03ppOpen → now100/1Current; SP pendingPending+0.03pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READTHIS IS THE HORSE’S STRONGEST RECORDED SUPPORT

Across 6 previous runs, this is the horse’s strongest recorded support. Today’s move: Plus Or Minus is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This early support is unusual; the price has often drifted again later. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
6 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: +0.03pp
Possible next price: 100/1
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Race market overview as at 04:28
  • Supported0 of 13 runners at +4pp or more
  • Drifting0 of 13 runners at −4pp or worse
  • Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
  • Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.
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