LIVE MARKET PRESSURE ⓘ
Odds database updated: 13:48:23 • LIVE
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01 · Strongest support
A Tickatickatiming
46
04:38 Plumpton
+4.47pp
True move after NR adjustment · 8/1 → 11/2
02 · Repeat evidence
No repeat signal active
No upcoming runner currently matches a previous successful market pattern.
03 · Weak favourite
Farhh Echo
47
04:38 Plumpton
-9.04pp
True move after NR adjustment · 11/10 → 13/8
LIVE MARKET TERMINAL: MARKET FORM ACTIVE

HOW TO READ THE LIVE MARKET

Work through the terminal in this order. Start with market weakness, then demand positive historical evidence before treating support as significant. The strongest case is where the horse and trainer evidence agree.

01MARKET WEAKNESSFind weak favourites
02HORSE EVIDENCEFind a positive market profile
03SUPPORT LEVELCheck historical trigger points
04TRAINER CONTEXTMatch support to an increased strike rate
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Hamilton 🔒Listowel 🔒Plumpton ✓
ALLBACKED 💰DRIFTERS
Runner
Bookmaker move
Evidence
What to do next
04:38Plumpton • 2m4f116y • Class 5
5 runners
Market Intelligence
Weakest support: Captain Connor (-1.99 probability points)
LAST 5 MINUTE MOVES
Anxious Moments → 9 → 7.5 (16.7%)
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: D. J. Jeffreys
Jockey: Beau Morgan(5)
Horse & Trainer Evidence
Trainer market read
Today's move is -9.04pp, placing it in this yard's 5pp+ 10am drift comparison.
There are no recorded trainer runners in the matching 5pp+ 10am drift band.
Trainer drift evidence is limited (0 runners), so treat it as context rather than a reliable warning.
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating47/100 · Neutral
Last run2 days ago · 18 Sep 2026
Distance changeUp 3.8f from last run
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

1/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: 9/2 → 20/1 | Avg: 12/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Early money horse (50%)
04:38Plumpton
Opened 11/10Market avg 13/8
6/4 ↑ 13/8 ↓ 6/4 ↑ 13/8 → 13/8 ↓ 6/4 ↑ 13/8 ↓ 11/8 ↑ 6/4 ↑ 13/8
PRICE MOVE
-9.04pp (-23.4%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Largest drift recorded across 6 previous runs.
Raw Open → Now price change: 23.4% • -9.04 probability points
BEST FIXED ODDS
7/4 2.75 decimal Unibet
MARKET FORM READTHIS IS THE HORSE’S LARGEST RECORDED DRIFT

Across 6 previous runs, this is the horse’s largest recorded drift. The trainer’s drift record adds context: There are no recorded trainer runners in the matching 5pp+ 10am drift band. Today’s move: Farhh Echo has moved from 11/10 to 13/8, a significant drift (-9.04pp). Context verdict: despite the size of the move, the evidence is not strong enough to make this drift a serious concern because there is no reliable matching trainer sample and there is not enough comparable horse evidence to show that this degree of weakness harms its performance.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
No positive support trigger.
This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.
Today: -9.04pp
Possible next price: 7/4
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
OPEN RACECARD →

Trainer: Gary & Josh Moore
Jockey: Caoilin Quinn
Horse & Trainer Evidence
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.95pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating52/100 · Neutral
Last run23 days ago · 28 Aug 2026
Distance changeUp 2.8f from last run
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (43%)
04:38Plumpton
Opened 3/1Market avg 3/1
3/1 ↑ 10/3 ↓ 11/4 ↑ 3/1 → 3/1 ↑ 10/3 ↑ 7/2 ↓ 11/4 ↑ 3/1 → 3/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.95pp (-4.0%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
71th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
2 of 7 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 11th at Goodwood on 31 Jul 2026 (-1.89pp); and finished 6th at Sandown on 03 Jul 2026 (-7.62pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 4% • -0.95 probability points
BEST FIXED ODDS
7/2 4.5 decimal Bet365
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 2 of 7 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Aggagio is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
7 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: -0.95pp
Possible next price: 11/4
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
OPEN RACECARD →

Trainer: Charlie Longsdon
Jockey: Harry Cobden
Horse & Trainer Evidence
Trainer market read
Today's move is -2.85pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
⬇ CLASS DROP
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run127 days ago · 16 May 2026
Distance changeUp 3.9f from last run
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
LAST MINUTE BACKING (16.7%)
Early money horse (33%)
04:38Plumpton
Opened 11/2Market avg 7/1
15/2 ↑ 8/1 ↓ 6/1 ↑ 13/2 → 13/2 ↑ 8/1 → 8/1 ↓ 6/1 ↑ 7/1 ↓ 13/2
PRICE MOVE
-2.85pp (-22.8%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Largest drift recorded across 3 previous runs.
Raw Open → Now price change: 22.8% • -2.85 probability points
BEST FIXED ODDS
8/1 9 decimal Bet365
MARKET FORM READTHIS IS THE HORSE’S STRONGEST RECORDED SUPPORT

Across 3 previous runs, this is the horse’s strongest recorded support. The horse drops from Class 4 to Class 5, but the market has not responded with meaningful support. Today’s move: Anxious Moments is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
3 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: -2.85pp
Possible next price: 5/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
OPEN RACECARD →

Trainer: Clare Ellam
Jockey: Brendan Powell
Horse & Trainer Evidence
Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.99pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating44/100 · Negative
Last run13 days ago · 7 Sep 2026
Distance changeDown 1f from last run
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 historical matches

0/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Early
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: 25/1 → 25/1 | Avg: 25/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
Mid-market mover (33%)
04:38Plumpton
Opened 16/1Market avg 25/1
25/1 → 25/1 ↓ 20/1 ↑ 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 ↓ 20/1 ↑ 25/1 ↓ 22/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.99pp (-51.3%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
2 of 6 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 7th at Newton Abbot on 07 Sep 2026 (-3.89pp); and finished 7th at Market Rasen on 05 Jul 2026 (-3.07pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 51.3% • -1.99 probability points
BEST FIXED ODDS
28/1 29 decimal SportingIndex
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 2 of 6 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Captain Connor is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
5 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: -1.99pp
Possible next price: 20/1
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
OPEN RACECARD →

Trainer: Tracey Leeson
Jockey: Oscar Palmer(7)
Horse & Trainer Evidence
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.33pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating46/100 · Neutral
Last run15 days ago · 5 Sep 2026
Distance changeDown 1.5f from last run
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
The price is drifting and is not attracting bookmaker support.
Late money horse (57%)
04:38Plumpton
Opened 40/1Market avg 50/1
50/1 ↓ 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 ↑ 50/1 ↓ 40/1 ↑ 50/1 ↓ 40/1 → 40/1 ↑ 50/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.33pp (-15.6%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
71th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
2 of 7 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 5th at Stratford on 05 Sep 2026 (-0.82pp); and finished 8th at Fontwell on 14 May 2026 (-3.27pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 15.6% • -0.33 probability points
BEST FIXED ODDS
50/1 51 decimal 10 Bet
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 2 of 7 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Porridge is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This matches its usual pattern; support has often arrived later. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
4 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: -0.33pp
Possible next price: 66/1
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
OPEN RACECARD →
ACTIONABLE RACE READVISIBLE DRIFT — BUT NO ACTIONABLE NEGATIVE

Farhh Echo is the only notable weakness, but the drift is unusual for this horse but is not fully corroborated elsewhere. Actionable read: do not oppose Farhh Echo from the drift alone.

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