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01 · Strongest support
Nap Hand
56
04:08 Plumpton
+13.28pp
True move after NR adjustment · 10/3 → 6/4
02 · Repeat evidence
Nap Hand
56
04:08 Plumpton
Signal active
Today’s market has matched a previous successful movement pattern.
03 · Weak favourite
Mojito des Mottes
58
04:08 Plumpton
-13.90pp
True move after NR adjustment · 15/8 → 11/4
LIVE MARKET TERMINAL: MARKET FORM ACTIVE

HOW TO READ THE LIVE MARKET

Work through the terminal in this order. Start with market weakness, then demand positive historical evidence before treating support as significant. The strongest case is where the horse and trainer evidence agree.

01MARKET WEAKNESSFind weak favourites
02HORSE EVIDENCEFind a positive market profile
03SUPPORT LEVELCheck historical trigger points
04TRAINER CONTEXTMatch support to an increased strike rate
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Hamilton 🔒Listowel 🔒Plumpton ✓
ALLBACKED 💰DRIFTERS
Runner
Bookmaker move
Evidence
What to do next
04:08Plumpton • 1m7f195y • Class 3
2 runners
Market Intelligence
Strongest support: Nap Hand (+13.28 probability points)
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
LIMITED DATA — 1 SIMILAR RUNThis is one previous example only. It is an early clue, not a proven repeat pattern.

Trainer: Chris Gordon
Jockey: Fern O'Brien(5)
Horse & Trainer Evidence
Trainer market read
Today's move is +13.28pp, placing it in this yard's 10pp+ band.
At 10pp+: Open→1PM 2/13 won (15.4%); Open→SP 1/9 won (11.1%).
Watch for 15pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 14.3% (1/7).
⬇ CLASS DROP
Market Form rating56/100 · Neutral
Last run36 days ago · 15 Aug 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 qualifying historical matches

1/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Early
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 5/1 → 9/1 | Avg: 7/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
The price is shortening, but similar moves have not converted well before.
Mid-market mover (43%)
04:08Plumpton
Opened 10/3Market avg 6/4
11/8 ↑ 6/4 ↓ 11/8 → 11/8 → 11/8 → 11/8 ↑ 6/4 ↓ 11/8 → 11/8 ↑ 6/4
PRICE MOVE
+13.28pp (+36.5%)
NR adjusted
Genuine shortening after removing the measured NR price effect.
Raw Open → Now: +43.7% • +17.92pp
Measured NR price effect removed: +4.64pp
Latest confirmed post-NR price: 5/2 @ 07:59
NR @ 07:59: 10/3 → 5/2 (+4.64pp removed)
GENUINE NR-ADJUSTED MOVE: +13.28pp
Move evidence
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest support recorded across 7 previous runs.
Limited data: 1 similar run only.
When backed like this: 0/2 WON
BEST FIXED ODDS
6/4 2.5 decimal 10 Bet
MARKET FORM READTHIS IS THE HORSE’S STRONGEST RECORDED SUPPORT

Across 7 previous runs, this is the horse’s strongest recorded support. When backed in a similar way previously, it finished first or second in 0 of 2 runs. The trainer evidence is important here: At 10pp+: Open→1PM 2/13 won (15.4%); Open→SP 1/9 won (11.1%). The support is accompanied by a drop from Class 2 to Class 3, giving the horse more favourable conditions today. Today’s move: Nap Hand has shortened from 10/3 to 6/4, which is strong support (+13.28pp). Context verdict: the support is visible, but the evidence is not strong enough to materially improve the betting case because the trainer normally wins about 14 in every 100 runners and about 15 in every 100 when backed like this, which is not a big enough improvement to strengthen the bet materially and the horse’s comparable record does not yet provide strong outcome confirmation.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This price often moves during the day, so keep checking it. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
No positive support trigger.
This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.
Today: +13.28pp
Gamble exhaustion: Some further shortening may remain, but the move is entering its exhaustion zone.
After a 12–15pp move: 44% shortened another 1pp • 35% another 2pp • 29% another 3pp • 19% another 5pp (n=1117)
Possible next price: 13/8
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Plumpton. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
OPEN RACECARD →
🟢 Needs Support (16%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.
REPEAT WINNER SIGNAL
TURF PROFILE
Triggered at 08:25
Now 22.8% bigger than the trigger move

This horse has previously delivered under similar market conditions, but the live terminal is live and the move may have faded out - confirmed signals are on the 10am and 1pm page.
⚠️ Signal fading — move now below trigger

Trainer: Tom Lacey
Jockey: Stan Sheppard
Horse & Trainer Evidence
Trainer market read
Today's move is +3.14pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 7/29 won (24.1%); Open→SP 8/30 won (26.7%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 40% (6/15).
⬆ CLASS RISE
Market Form rating64/100 · Neutral
Last run36 days ago · 15 Aug 2026
Distance changeDown 0.7f from last run
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
4 qualifying historical matches

4/4 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 1/2 → 11/10 | Avg: 8/11Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Early money horse (60%)
04:08Plumpton
Opened 4/1Market avg 5/2
5/2 ↓ 9/4 → 9/4 ↑ 5/2 ↑ 5/2 → 5/2 → 5/2 ↓ 9/4 ↑ 5/2 → 5/2
PRICE MOVE
+3.14pp (+13.6%)
NR adjusted
Genuine shortening after removing the measured NR price effect.
Raw Open → Now: +30.8% • +8.89pp
Measured NR price effect removed: +5.74pp
Latest confirmed post-NR price: 5/2 @ 07:59
NR @ 07:59: 10/3 → 5/2 (+5.74pp removed)
GENUINE NR-ADJUSTED MOVE: +3.14pp
Move evidence
20th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
4 of 5 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 2nd at Market Rasen on 15 Aug 2026 (+16.08pp); finished 1st at Uttoxeter on 07 Jul 2026 (+25.36pp); finished 2nd at Uttoxeter on 13 Jun 2026 (+5.45pp); and finished 1st at Huntingdon on 25 May 2026 (+21.68pp).
100% repeat place strike (4 qualifying runs)
Repeat pattern record: 4/4 placed • 2/4 won
BEST FIXED ODDS
5/2 3.5 decimal 10 Bet
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

4 of 5 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Under comparable market conditions it has finished first or second in 4 of 4 runs, including 2 wins. It is also stepping up from Class 4 to Class 3, which adds another test today. Today’s move: Eternal Angel is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (strong)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
All 4 previous top-two finishes came with support of 7.61pp+.
At 7.61pp+: 4/4 finished 1st or 2nd (100%).
Today: +3.14pp — trigger not reached.
Possible next price: 5/2
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
OPEN RACECARD →
ACTIONABLE RACE READSUPPORT IS VISIBLE — BUT NOT YET ACTIONABLE

Nap Hand leads the market because the move is unusual for this horse but lacks enough outcome or trainer confirmation. Actionable read: do not follow the shortening price without further confirmation.

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