LIVE MARKET PRESSURE ⓘ
Odds database updated: 14:07:22 • LIVE
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01 · Strongest support
French Diablo
69
03:38 Plumpton
+2.06pp
True move after NR adjustment · 11/4 → 2/1
02 · Repeat evidence
French Diablo
69
03:38 Plumpton
Signal active
Today’s market has matched a previous successful movement pattern.
03 · Weak favourite
Jefe Triunfo
45
03:38 Plumpton
-6.11pp
True move after NR adjustment · 5/2 → 3/1
LIVE MARKET TERMINAL: MARKET FORM ACTIVE

HOW TO READ THE LIVE MARKET

Work through the terminal in this order. Start with market weakness, then demand positive historical evidence before treating support as significant. The strongest case is where the horse and trainer evidence agree.

01MARKET WEAKNESSFind weak favourites
02HORSE EVIDENCEFind a positive market profile
03SUPPORT LEVELCheck historical trigger points
04TRAINER CONTEXTMatch support to an increased strike rate
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Hamilton 🔒Listowel 🔒Plumpton ✓
ALLBACKED 💰DRIFTERS
Runner
Bookmaker move
Evidence
What to do next
03:38Plumpton • 3m217y • Class 5
2 runners
Market Intelligence
Strongest support: Stage Show (+0.83 probability points)
LIMITED DATA — 1 SIMILAR RUNThis is one previous example only. It is an early clue, not a proven repeat pattern.

Trainer: Max Comley
Jockey: David Bass
Horse & Trainer Evidence
Trainer market read
Today's move is +2.06pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 3/13 won (23.1%); Open→SP 4/17 won (23.5%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 37.5% (3/8).
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating69/100 · Ranked #5 today
Last run10 days ago · 10 Sep 2026
Distance changeUp 2f from last run
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 qualifying historical matches

1/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 9/4 → 9/4 | Avg: 9/4Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (40%)
03:38Plumpton
Opened 11/4Market avg 2/1
2/1 → 2/1 ↓ 15/8 ↑ 2/1 → 2/1 → 2/1 → 2/1 ↓ 15/8 ↑ 2/1 → 2/1
PRICE MOVE
+2.06pp (+7.2%)
NR adjusted
Genuine shortening after removing the measured NR price effect.
Raw Open → Now: +20.2% • +6.77pp
Measured NR price effect removed: +4.70pp
Latest confirmed post-NR price: 9/4 @ 07:59
NR @ 07:59: 11/4 → 9/4 (+4.70pp removed)
GENUINE NR-ADJUSTED MOVE: +2.06pp
Move evidence
60th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
2 of 5 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse had no recorded finishing position at Stratford on 25 Aug 2026 (+12.67pp); and had no recorded finishing position at Newton Abbot on 03 Jun 2026 (+6.62pp).
Limited data: 1 similar run only.
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/4 3.13 decimal Unibet
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 2 of 5 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: French Diablo is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
3 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: +2.06pp
Possible next price: 2/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
OPEN RACECARD →

Trainer: Alexandra Dunn
Jockey: Isabelle Ryder(5)
Horse & Trainer Evidence
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.83pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 5/7 won (71.4%); Open→SP 5/7 won (71.4%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 75% (3/4).
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating49/100 · Neutral
Last run52 days ago · 30 Jul 2026
Distance changeUp 13f from last run
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Early PM
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 50/1 → 50/1 | Avg: 50/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Best at SP (43%)
03:38Plumpton
Opened 9/1Market avg 7/1
13/2 ↑ 7/1 ↓ 13/2 ↑ 7/1 → 7/1 ↓ 13/2 ↑ 15/2 ↓ 13/2 ↑ 7/1 → 7/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.83pp (+7.7%)
NR adjusted
Genuine shortening after removing the measured NR price effect.
Raw Open → Now: +19.4% • +2.41pp
Measured NR price effect removed: +1.57pp
Latest confirmed post-NR price: 15/2 @ 07:59
NR @ 07:59: 9/1 → 15/2 (+1.57pp removed)
GENUINE NR-ADJUSTED MOVE: +0.83pp
Move evidence
86th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
Only 1 of 7 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 3rd at Lingfield on 27 Jun 2026 (+3.42pp).
BEST FIXED ODDS
15/2 8.5 decimal Bet365
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 1 of 7 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Stage Show is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
The price has been unpredictable before and may move sharply again. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
7 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: +0.83pp
Possible next price: 15/2
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
OPEN RACECARD →
ACTIONABLE RACE READNO ACTIONABLE MARKET EDGE YET

The market is not offering a sufficiently strong, evidence-backed signal in this race. Actionable read: wait rather than force a market-led position.

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