LIVE MARKET PRESSURE ⓘ
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01 · Strongest support
Getarose
62
02:08 Plumpton
+14.54pp
True move after NR adjustment · 11/4 → 11/8
02 · Repeat evidence
No repeat signal active
No upcoming runner currently matches a previous successful market pattern.
03 · Weak favourite
Galeforcechopper
41
02:08 Plumpton
-17.70pp
True move after NR adjustment · 13/8 → 4/1
LIVE MARKET TERMINAL: MARKET FORM ACTIVE

HOW TO READ THE LIVE MARKET

Work through the terminal in this order. Start with market weakness, then demand positive historical evidence before treating support as significant. The strongest case is where the horse and trainer evidence agree.

01MARKET WEAKNESSFind weak favourites
02HORSE EVIDENCEFind a positive market profile
03SUPPORT LEVELCheck historical trigger points
04TRAINER CONTEXTMatch support to an increased strike rate
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Hamilton 🔒Listowel 🔒Plumpton ✓
ALLBACKED 💰DRIFTERS
Runner
Bookmaker move
Evidence
What to do next
02:08Plumpton • 1m7f195y • Class 5
3 runners
Market Intelligence
Strongest support: Getarose (+14.54 probability points)
Weakest support: Galeforcechopper (-17.70 probability points)
LAST 5 MINUTE MOVES
Galeforcechopper → 5.5 → 4.33 (21.3%)
🔴 Ignores MarketThis horse has won or placed despite drifting. Market weakness does NOT negatively impact performance. Can be a value angle when price weakens.
Siorai

Trainer: Harry Derham
Jockey: Paul O'Brien
Horse & Trainer Evidence
Trainer market read
Today's move is +2.23pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 14/43 won (32.6%); Open→SP 13/41 won (31.7%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 36.4% (8/22).
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating53/100 · Neutral
Last run109 days ago · 3 Jun 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Early
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 11/10 → 9/1 | Avg: 5/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Mid-market mover (40%)
02:08Plumpton
Opened 6/5Market avg 11/10
6/5 ↓ EVS ↑ 11/10 → 11/10 ↓ 10/11 ↑ 11/10 → 11/10 → 11/10 ↓ EVS ↑ 11/10
PRICE MOVE
+2.23pp (+4.7%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest support recorded across 5 previous runs.
Raw Open → Now price change: 4.7% • +2.23 probability points
BEST FIXED ODDS
5/4 2.25 decimal SportingIndex
MARKET FORM READTHIS IS THE HORSE’S STRONGEST RECORDED SUPPORT

Across 5 previous runs, this is the horse’s strongest recorded support. Today’s move: Siorai is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This price often moves during the day, so keep checking it. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
No positive support trigger.
This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.
Today: +2.23pp
Possible next price: 11/10
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
OPEN RACECARD →

Trainer: Mrs C. Williams
Jockey: Adam Wedge
Horse & Trainer Evidence
Trainer market read
Today's move is +14.54pp, placing it in this yard's 10pp+ band.
At 10pp+: Open→1PM 0/0 won (0%); Open→SP 0/0 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating62/100 · Neutral
Last run169 days ago · 4 Apr 2026
Distance changeDown 0.9f from last run
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
The price is shortening, but similar moves have not converted well before.
Mid-market mover (40%)
02:08Plumpton
Opened 11/4Market avg 11/8
11/8 → 11/8 → 11/8 ↓ 11/8 ↑ 2/1 ↓ 11/8 ↑ 6/4 → 6/4 → 6/4 ↓ 11/8
PRICE MOVE
+14.54pp (+35.3%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest support recorded across 5 previous runs.
Limited data: 1 similar run only. Not a proven betting pattern.
Raw Open → Now price change: 35.3% • +14.54 probability points
BEST FIXED ODDS
2/1 3 decimal BetTom
MARKET FORM READTHIS IS THE HORSE’S STRONGEST RECORDED SUPPORT

Across 5 previous runs, this is the horse’s strongest recorded support. The trainer evidence is important here: At 10pp+: Open→1PM 0/0 won (0%); Open→SP 0/0 won (0%). Today’s move: Getarose has shortened from 11/4 to 11/8, which is strong support (+14.54pp). Context verdict: the support is visible, but the evidence is not strong enough to materially improve the betting case because there is no reliable matching trainer record yet and the horse’s comparable record does not yet provide strong outcome confirmation.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This price often moves during the day, so keep checking it. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
5 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: +14.54pp
Gamble exhaustion: Some further shortening may remain, but the move is entering its exhaustion zone.
After a 12–15pp move: 44% shortened another 1pp • 35% another 2pp • 29% another 3pp • 19% another 5pp (n=1117)
Possible next price: 11/8
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
OPEN RACECARD →

Trainer: David Brace
Jockey: Liam Harrison
Horse & Trainer Evidence
Trainer market read
Today's move is -17.70pp, placing it in this yard's 15pp+ 10am drift comparison.
There are no recorded trainer runners in the matching 15pp+ 10am drift band.
Trainer drift evidence is limited (0 runners), so treat it as context rather than a reliable warning.
⬇ CLASS DROP
Market Form rating41/100 · Negative
Last run16 days ago · 4 Sep 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
3 historical matches

1/3 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: 100/1 → 100/1 | Avg: 100/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
LAST MINUTE BACKING (21.3%)
Late money horse (67%)
02:08Plumpton
Opened 13/8Market avg 4/1
7/2 ↑ 4/1 ↓ 7/2 ↑ 4/1 ↓ 10/3 ↑ 4/1 ↑ 9/2 ↓ 7/2 ↓ 10/3 → 10/3
PRICE MOVE
-17.70pp (-87.1%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Largest drift recorded across 3 previous runs.
When drifting like this: failed 2/3Historical Drift Profile

04 Sep 26 | Worcester | Open: 40/1 → Final: 100/1 | SP: 100/1 | Fin: 1
22 Jul 26 | Worcester | Open: 40/1 → Final: 100/1 | SP: 100/1 | Fin: 9
17 Jun 26 | Worcester | Open: 50/1 → Final: 100/1 | SP: 100/1 | Fin: 6
Raw Open → Now price change: 87.1% • -17.70 probability points
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/2 5.5 decimal Bet365
MARKET FORM READTHIS IS THE HORSE’S LARGEST RECORDED DRIFT

Across 3 previous runs, this is the horse’s largest recorded drift. The trainer’s drift record adds context: There are no recorded trainer runners in the matching 15pp+ 10am drift band. Despite dropping from Class 4 to Class 5, the market is still weakening. Today’s move: Galeforcechopper has moved from 13/8 to 4/1, a significant drift (-17.70pp). Context verdict: despite the size of the move, the evidence is not strong enough to make this drift a serious concern because there is no reliable matching trainer sample and there is not enough comparable horse evidence to show that this degree of weakness harms its performance.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This matches its usual pattern; support has often arrived later. (strong)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
3 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: -17.70pp
Possible next price: 11/4
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
OPEN RACECARD →
ACTIONABLE RACE READMIXED MARKET — NO CLEAR EVIDENCE EDGE

Getarose: The move is unusual for this horse but lacks enough outcome or trainer confirmation. Galeforcechopper: The drift is unusual for this horse but is not fully corroborated elsewhere. Actionable read: neither signal has established a clear market edge—wait for further confirmation.

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