LIVE MARKET PRESSURE ⓘ
Odds database updated: 14:07:22 • LIVE
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01 · Strongest support
Premier Fantasy
47
03:08 Plumpton
+3.08pp
True move after NR adjustment · EVS → 10/11
02 · Repeat evidence
One Dimensional
50
03:08 Plumpton
Signal active
Today’s market has matched a previous successful movement pattern.
03 · Weak favourite
Akrramm
46
03:08 Plumpton
-5.46pp
True move after NR adjustment · 9/2 → 7/1
LIVE MARKET TERMINAL: MARKET FORM ACTIVE

HOW TO READ THE LIVE MARKET

Work through the terminal in this order. Start with market weakness, then demand positive historical evidence before treating support as significant. The strongest case is where the horse and trainer evidence agree.

01MARKET WEAKNESSFind weak favourites
02HORSE EVIDENCEFind a positive market profile
03SUPPORT LEVELCheck historical trigger points
04TRAINER CONTEXTMatch support to an increased strike rate
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Hamilton 🔒Listowel 🔒Plumpton ✓
ALLBACKED 💰DRIFTERS
Runner
Bookmaker move
Evidence
What to do next
03:08Plumpton • 2m4f116y • Class 4
6 runners
Market Intelligence
Strongest support: One Dimensional (+2.51 probability points)
Weakest support: Akrramm (-5.46 probability points)
LAST 5 MINUTE MOVES
One Dimensional → 4.5 → 3.5 (22.2%)
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Nick Scholfield
Jockey: Sean Bowen
Horse & Trainer Evidence
Trainer market read
Today's move is +3.08pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 13/43 won (30.2%); Open→SP 13/46 won (28.3%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 44.4% (8/18).
⬆ CLASS RISE
Market Form rating47/100 · Neutral
Last run15 days ago · 5 Sep 2026
Distance changeDown 2f from last run
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 5/2 → 11/2 | Avg: 7/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (20%)
03:08Plumpton
Opened EVSMarket avg 10/11
10/11 ↓ 5/6 → 5/6 ↑ 10/11 → 10/11 ↓ 5/6 ↑ 10/11 ↓ 5/6 ↑ 10/11 ↓ 5/6
PRICE MOVE
+3.08pp (+5.8%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
80th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
Only 1 of 5 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 5th at Market Rasen on 19 Jun 2026 (+8.24pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 5.8% • +3.08 probability points
Built 13:55 → 14:05
BEST FIXED ODDS
EVS 2 decimal Virgin Bet
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 1 of 5 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. It is also stepping up from Class 5 to Class 4, which adds another test today. Today’s move: Premier Fantasy is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
No positive support trigger.
This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.
Today: +3.08pp
Possible next price: 5/6
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
OPEN RACECARD →
LIMITED DATA — 1 SIMILAR RUNThis is one previous example only. It is an early clue, not a proven repeat pattern.
⚠️ Signal fading — move now below trigger

Trainer: Max Comley
Jockey: David Bass
Horse & Trainer Evidence
Trainer market read
Today's move is +2.51pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 3/13 won (23.1%); Open→SP 4/17 won (23.5%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 37.5% (3/8).
⬇ CLASS DROP
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run164 days ago · 9 Apr 2026
Distance changeUp 3.6f from last run
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 qualifying historical matches

1/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: 7/2 → 7/2 | Avg: 7/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
LAST MINUTE BACKING (22.2%)
Early money horse (33%)
03:08Plumpton
Opened 7/2Market avg 3/1
3/1 ↑ 10/3 ↓ 11/4 → 11/4 ↑ 3/1 ↑ 10/3 ↑ 7/2 ↓ 11/4 ↑ 3/1 ↓ 5/2
PRICE MOVE
+2.51pp (+10.1%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 1 of 3 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 2nd at Ascot on 14 Feb 2026 (+4.62pp).
Limited data: 1 similar run only.
Raw Open → Now price change: 10.1% • +2.51 probability points
BEST FIXED ODDS
7/2 4.5 decimal Bet365
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 1 of 3 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. The horse drops from Class 1 to Class 4, but the market has not responded with meaningful support. Today’s move: One Dimensional is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
3 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: +2.51pp
Possible next price: 15/8
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
OPEN RACECARD →

Trainer: Mickey Bowen
Jockey: Mr James Murray(7)
Horse & Trainer Evidence
Trainer market read
Today's move is -5.46pp, placing it in this yard's 5pp+ 10am drift comparison.
When this trainer's runners had drifted by 5pp+ by 10am, 5/22 won (22.7%), compared with the yard's normal 13.8% strike rate.
The sample is reliable enough to inspect, but the strike-rate fall is not large enough to call a serious trainer warning.
Market Form rating46/100 · Neutral
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
03:08Plumpton
Opened 9/2Market avg 7/1
7/1 → 7/1 ↓ 6/1 ↑ 13/2 ↑ 7/1 → 7/1 ↓ 13/2 ↓ 6/1 ↑ 7/1 ↑ 15/2
PRICE MOVE
-5.46pp (-42.9%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
Raw Open → Now price change: 42.9% • -5.46 probability points
BEST FIXED ODDS
15/2 8.5 decimal 10 Bet
MARKET FORM READMEANINGFUL DRIFT DETECTED

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. The trainer’s drift record adds context: When this trainer's runners had drifted by 5pp+ by 10am, 5/22 won (22.7%), compared with the yard's normal 13.8% strike rate. Today’s move: Akrramm has moved from 9/2 to 7/1, a developing drift (-5.46pp). Context verdict: despite the size of the move, the evidence is not strong enough to make this drift a serious concern because the trainer normally wins about 14 in every 100 runners and still wins about 23 in every 100 when they drift like this, so this weakness has not reduced the yard’s success and there is not enough comparable horse evidence to show that this degree of weakness harms its performance.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 8/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
OPEN RACECARD →

Trainer: Tom George
Jockey: Mr James King(3)
Horse & Trainer Evidence
Trainer market read
Today's move is -3.91pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
Market Form rating52/100 · Neutral
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
03:08Plumpton
Opened 6/1Market avg 17/2
10/1 ↓ 8/1 ↓ 15/2 ↑ 9/1 → 9/1 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 9/1 ↓ 15/2 ↑ 17/2 ↓ 8/1
PRICE MOVE
-3.91pp (-37.7%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
Raw Open → Now price change: 37.7% • -3.91 probability points
BEST FIXED ODDS
12/1 13 decimal Virgin Bet
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Rhythm of Life is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 8/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
OPEN RACECARD →

Trainer: Warren Greatrex
Jockey: James Bowen
Horse & Trainer Evidence
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.14pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 5/33 won (15.2%); Open→SP 5/33 won (15.2%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 20% (3/15).
⬆ CLASS RISE
Market Form rating43/100 · Negative
Last run46 days ago · 5 Aug 2026
Distance changeUp 4.5f from last run
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Late money horse (33%)
03:08Plumpton
Opened 9/1Market avg 9/1
9/1 → 9/1 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 17/2 ↑ 9/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.14pp (+1.4%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
2 of 6 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 6th at Yarmouth on 20 May 2026 (+3.33pp); and finished 4th at Goodwood on 01 May 2026 (+0.78pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 1.4% • +0.14 probability points
BEST FIXED ODDS
10/1 11 decimal SportingIndex
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 2 of 6 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. It is also stepping up from Class 5 to Class 4, which adds another test today. Today’s move: Golden Garden is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
6 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: +0.14pp
Possible next price: 9/1
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
OPEN RACECARD →

Trainer: David Pipe
Jockey: Conor O'Farrell
Horse & Trainer Evidence
Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.59pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
⬆ CLASS RISE
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run28 days ago · 23 Aug 2026
Distance changeUp 4.5f from last run
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 historical matches

0/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Early PM
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: 7/2 → 7/2 | Avg: 7/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Mid-market mover (33%)
03:08Plumpton
Opened 16/1Market avg 22/1
20/1 ↑ 25/1 ↓ 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 ↑ 22/1 ↓ 20/1 → 20/1 ↑ 25/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.59pp (-36.9%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
3 of 3 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 9th at Worcester on 23 Aug 2026 (-5.48pp); finished 7th at Uttoxeter on 24 Jul 2026 (-9.05pp); and finished 1st at Stratford on 30 Jun 2026 (-2.80pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 36.9% • -1.59 probability points
BEST FIXED ODDS
25/1 26 decimal 10 Bet
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

3 of 3 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. It is also stepping up from Class 5 to Class 4, which adds another test today. Today’s move: Thetype Istitle is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
3 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: -1.59pp
Possible next price: 33/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
OPEN RACECARD →
ACTIONABLE RACE READVISIBLE DRIFT — BUT NO ACTIONABLE NEGATIVE

Akrramm is the only notable weakness, but the drift is visible but lacks enough evidence to become a serious negative. Actionable read: do not oppose Akrramm from the drift alone.

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