LIVE MARKET PRESSURE
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01 · Strongest support
Siorai
53
02:08 Plumpton
+7.91pp
True move after NR adjustment · 6/5 → 10/11
02 · Repeat evidence
No repeat signal active
No upcoming runner currently matches a previous successful market pattern.
03 · Weak favourite
Galeforcechopper
44
02:08 Plumpton
-15.44pp
True move after NR adjustment · 13/8 → 7/2
LIVE MARKET TERMINAL: MARKET FORM ACTIVE

HOW TO READ THE LIVE MARKET

Work through the terminal in this order. Start with market weakness, then demand positive historical evidence before treating support as significant. The strongest case is where the horse and trainer evidence agree.

01MARKET WEAKNESSFind weak favourites
02HORSE EVIDENCEFind a positive market profile
03SUPPORT LEVELCheck historical trigger points
04TRAINER CONTEXTMatch support to an increased strike rate
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Hamilton 🔒Listowel 🔒Plumpton ✓
ALLBACKED 💰DRIFTERS
Runner
Bookmaker move
Evidence
What to do next
02:08Plumpton 1m7f195y Class 5
1 runners
Market Intelligence
Weakest support: Galeforcechopper (-15.44 probability points)

Trainer: David Brace
Jockey: Liam Harrison
Horse & Trainer Evidence
Trainer market read
Today's move is -15.44pp, placing it in this yard's 15pp+ 10am drift comparison.
There are no recorded trainer runners in the matching 15pp+ 10am drift band.
Trainer drift evidence is limited (0 runners), so treat it as context rather than a reliable warning.
⬇ CLASS DROP
Market Form rating44/100 · Negative
Last run16 days ago · 4 Sep 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
3 historical matches

1/3 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: 100/1 → 100/1 | Avg: 100/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Late money horse (67%)
02:08Plumpton
Opened 13/8Market avg 7/2
7/2 7/2 10/3 7/2 7/2 10/3 7/2 10/3 7/2 7/2
PRICE MOVE
-15.44pp (-68.4%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Largest drift recorded across 3 previous runs.
When drifting like this: failed 2/3Historical Drift Profile

04 Sep 26 | Worcester | Open: 40/1 → Final: 100/1 | SP: 100/1 | Fin: 1
22 Jul 26 | Worcester | Open: 40/1 → Final: 100/1 | SP: 100/1 | Fin: 9
17 Jun 26 | Worcester | Open: 50/1 → Final: 100/1 | SP: 100/1 | Fin: 6
Raw Open → Now price change: 68.4% • -15.44 probability points
BEST FIXED ODDS
4/1 5 decimal SportingIndex
MARKET FORM READTHIS IS THE HORSE’S LARGEST RECORDED DRIFT

Across 3 previous runs, this is the horse’s largest recorded drift. The trainer’s drift record adds context: There are no recorded trainer runners in the matching 15pp+ 10am drift band. Despite dropping from Class 4 to Class 5, the market is still weakening. Today’s move: Galeforcechopper has moved from 13/8 to 7/2, a significant drift (-15.44pp). Context verdict: despite the size of the move, the evidence is not strong enough to make this drift a serious concern because there is no reliable matching trainer sample and there is not enough comparable horse evidence to show that this degree of weakness harms its performance.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This matches its usual pattern; support has often arrived later. (strong)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
3 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: -15.44pp
Possible next price: 7/2
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
OPEN RACECARD →
ACTIONABLE RACE READVISIBLE DRIFT — BUT NO ACTIONABLE NEGATIVE

Galeforcechopper is the only notable weakness, but the drift is unusual for this horse but is not fully corroborated elsewhere. Actionable read: do not oppose Galeforcechopper from the drift alone.

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