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See what today’s price moves mean.

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Fairyhouse 🔒Kempton (AW) 🔒Killarney 🔒Pontefract 🔒Stratford 🔒Wolverhampton (AW) 🔒Yarmouth ✓
ALLBACKED 💰DRIFTERS
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Next-Off Market Intelligence

The strongest horse and trainer evidence from the races coming up next.

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Market overview
Runners Today
59
Shown After Filters
42
Active Signals (15%+)
42
01 · Strongest support
Dawn Chorus
70
13:50 Yarmouth
+13.21pp
True move after NR adjustment · 4/1 → 2/1
02 · Repeat evidence
Arnaz
50
13:15 Yarmouth
Signal active
Today’s market has matched a previous successful movement pattern.
03 · Weak favourite
Evening Call
38
15:35 Yarmouth
-16.87pp
True move after NR adjustment · EVS → 5/2
Runner
Bookmaker move
Evidence
What to do next
13:15Yarmouth • 0m6f3y • Class 6 • Going: Good To Firm
6 runners
Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

13:15Yarmouth
Trainer: Hughie Morrison
Jockey: Toby Moore(5)
PRO RACECARD ↗
↔ SAME CLASS
SURFACE SWITCHAW → Turf
Last run12 days ago · 23 Sep 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
More evidence
Average winning SP9/21 recorded win in the loaded Market Form sample
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILESTRONGEST RECORDED DRIFT FOR THIS HORSE (100th percentile)
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Largest drift recorded across 6 previous runs.
When drifting like this: failed 2/3Historical Drift Profile

23 Sep 26 | Kempton (AW) | Open: 7/2 → Final: 5/1 | SP: 5/1 | Fin: 3
12 Sep 26 | Lingfield (AW) | Open: 3/1 → Final: 5/1 | SP: 9/2 | Fin: 1
04 Aug 26 | Ffos Las | Open: 20/1 → Final: 28/1 | SP: 28/1 | Fin: 4
When drifting like this: failed 2/3 — view runs
23 Sep 2026 · Kempton (AW)
Open 7/2 → final 5/1 · SP 5/1 · 3rd
12 Sep 2026 · Lingfield (AW)
Open 3/1 → final 5/1 · SP 9/2 · 1st
04 Aug 2026 · Ffos Las
Open 20/1 → final 28/1 · SP 28/1 · 4th
Raw Open → Now price change: 42.4% • -7.94 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Lingfield (AW), 12 Sep 2026 — 1st • open 3/1 → final 5/1 (-8.33pp).

Opened 11/4Market avg 9/2
Price move-7.94pp(-42.4%)
9/2 → 9/2 ↓ 4/1 → 4/1 ↑ 9/2 ↓ 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 ↑ 9/2
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/2 5.5 decimal 10 Bet
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
10 Bet 9/2BetTom 9/2Betfred 9/2Boyle Sports 9/2Coral 9/2Dragon Bet 9/2Hollywood Bets 9/2Ladbrokes 9/2Midnite 9/2Quinn Bet 9/2Star Sports 9/2Unibet 9/2William Hill 9/2Betfair Sportsbook 9/2Paddy Power 9/2LiveScore Bet 9/2Virgin Bet 9/27Bet 4/1Bet Victor 4/1Bet365 4/1BetMGM 4/1BetWright 4/1Betano 4/1SportingIndex 4/1Spreadex 4/1
25 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
YarmouthToday6f 3y · Class 6 · Good To Firm · 9 runners11/4-4.44ppOpen → 10am7/2-3.50pp10am → now; SP pending9/2Current; SP pendingPending-7.94pp
THIS IS THE HORSE’S LARGEST RECORDED DRIFTMarket-7.94ppMarket weakness from the opening price.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLargest recorded driftLargest recorded drift across 6 previous runs. This flags unusual market weakness; it does not claim a finishing record.Since 10amWeakening-3.50pp since 10am, as of 11:43. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

Across 6 previous runs, this is the horse’s largest recorded drift. This horse did not have a confirmed 5pp+ drift by 10am, so the trainer’s early-drift record is not being applied. Today’s move: Iconic Dawn has moved from 11/4 to 9/2, a developing drift (-7.94pp).

Drifted by 4.44pp by 10am. Drifted by 3.50pp more since 10am. As of 11:43; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Lingfield (AW) · 12 Sep 2026 · 1st · 2/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Yarmouth · previous Lingfield (AW)✓Trip (within ½f): 6f 3y×Ground: Today Good To Firm · previous Standard✓Class: Class 6
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 7/2 (4.50 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 9/4 (3.16 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 7/24 (29.2%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 10.5%.

Support levels are not met while the horse is drifting. Check whether it recovers rather than treating the bigger odds as value on their own.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
13:15Yarmouth
Trainer: Michael Bell
Jockey: Joe Bradnam(7)
🟢 Needs Support (27%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.
PRO RACECARD ↗
↔ SAME CLASS
SURFACE SWITCHAW → Turf
COURSE RECORD1/1 top 2Yarmouth · 1 run onlyAverage course SP 3/1 · 60% bigger today
Last run13 days ago · 22 Sep 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILESTRONGEST RECORDED DRIFT FOR THIS HORSE (100th percentile)
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Largest drift recorded across 9 previous runs.
When drifting like this: failed 3/3Historical Drift Profile

09 Jul 26 | Doncaster | Open: 11/1 → Final: 18/1 | SP: 22/1 | Fin: 7
13 Jun 26 | Leicester | Open: 11/2 → Final: 12/1 | SP: 12/1 | Fin: 7
25 Apr 26 | Ripon | Open: 5/1 → Final: 10/1 | SP: 11/1 | Fin: 3
When drifting like this: failed 3/3 — view runs
09 Jul 2026 · Doncaster
Open 11/1 → final 18/1 · SP 22/1 · 7th
13 Jun 2026 · Leicester
Open 11/2 → final 12/1 · SP 12/1 · 7th
25 Apr 2026 · Ripon
Open 5/1 → final 10/1 · SP 11/1 · 3rd
Raw Open → Now price change: 41.8% • -6.55 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Leicester, 13 Jun 2026 — 7th • open 11/2 → final 12/1 (-7.69pp).

Opened 7/2Market avg 11/2
Price move-6.55pp(-41.8%)
11/2 ↑ 6/1 ↓ 9/2 ↑ 5/1 ↑ 11/2 ↓ 5/1 ↑ 11/2 ↓ 9/2 ↑ 5/1 ↑ 11/2
BEST FIXED ODDS
6/1 7 decimal Betfred
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Betfred 6/1Unibet 6/110 Bet 11/2Bet365 11/2BetTom 11/2Boyle Sports 11/2Coral 11/2Hollywood Bets 11/2Ladbrokes 11/2Midnite 11/2Quinn Bet 11/2SportingIndex 11/2Spreadex 11/2Star Sports 11/2William Hill 11/2Betfair Sportsbook 11/2Paddy Power 11/2LiveScore Bet 11/2Virgin Bet 11/27Bet 5/1BetMGM 5/1BetWright 5/1Dragon Bet 5/1Bet Victor 9/2Betano 9/2
25 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
YarmouthToday6f 3y · Class 6 · Good To Firm · 9 runners7/2-4.04ppOpen → 10am9/2-2.51pp10am → now; SP pending11/2Current; SP pendingPending-6.55pp
THIS IS THE HORSE’S LARGEST RECORDED DRIFTMarket-6.55ppMarket weakness from the opening price.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLargest recorded driftLargest recorded drift across 9 previous runs. This flags unusual market weakness; it does not claim a finishing record.Since 10amWeakening-2.51pp since 10am, as of 11:43. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

Across 9 previous runs, this is the horse’s largest recorded drift. This horse did not have a confirmed 5pp+ drift by 10am, so the trainer’s early-drift record is not being applied. Today’s move: Koffee And Kale has moved from 7/2 to 11/2, a developing drift (-6.55pp).

Drifted by 4.04pp by 10am. Drifted by 2.51pp more since 10am. As of 11:43; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Wolverhampton (AW) · 15 Sep 2026 · 2nd · 1/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Yarmouth · previous Wolverhampton (AW)×Trip (within ½f): Today 6f 3y · previous 5f 21y×Ground: Today Good To Firm · previous Standard✓Class: Class 6
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 9/2 (5.50 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Horse support level

Support of +6.82pp · around 5/2 (3.44 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

2/2 finished 1st or 2nd with this much support or more (100%).

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 11/4 (3.67 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 16/69 (23.2%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 11.7%.

Support levels are not met while the horse is drifting. Check whether it recovers rather than treating the bigger odds as value on their own.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
13:15Yarmouth
Trainer: Simon Hodgson
Jockey: Charlie Tucker(7)
PRO RACECARD ↗
SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf
Last run96 days ago · 1 Jul 2026
Distance changeDown 1f from last run
More evidence
Average winning SP40/11 recorded win in the loaded Market Form sample
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILESTRONGEST RECORDED DRIFT FOR THIS HORSE (100th percentile)
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Largest drift recorded across 5 previous runs.
Raw Open → Now price change: 60% • -6.25 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Leopardstown (IRE), 04 Jun 2026 — 13th • open 9/1 → final 16/1 (-4.12pp).

Opened 5/1Market avg 17/2
Price move-6.25pp(-60.0%)
9/1 → 9/1 ↓ 15/2 ↑ 17/2 ↓ 8/1 → 8/1 ↑ 17/2 ↓ 15/2 ↑ 17/2 ↓ 15/2
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/1 10 decimal Betfred
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Betfred 9/1Boyle Sports 9/1Coral 9/1Ladbrokes 9/1LiveScore Bet 9/1Midnite 9/1Quinn Bet 9/1SportingIndex 9/1Spreadex 9/1Star Sports 9/1Virgin Bet 9/1William Hill 9/1Betfair Sportsbook 9/1Paddy Power 9/17Bet 17/2Bet365 17/2BetWright 17/2Dragon Bet 17/2Unibet 17/2BetMGM 8/1BetTom 8/1Hollywood Bets 8/110 Bet 15/2Bet Victor 15/2Betano 15/2
25 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
YarmouthToday6f 3y · Class 6 · Good To Firm · 9 runners5/1-4.17ppOpen → 10am7/1-2.08pp10am → now; SP pending17/2Current; SP pendingPending-6.25pp
THIS IS THE HORSE’S LARGEST RECORDED DRIFTMarket-6.25ppMarket weakness from the opening price.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLargest recorded driftLargest recorded drift across 5 previous runs. This flags unusual market weakness; it does not claim a finishing record.Since 10amWeakening-2.08pp since 10am, as of 11:43. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

Across 5 previous runs, this is the horse’s largest recorded drift. This horse did not have a confirmed 5pp+ drift by 10am, so the trainer’s early-drift record is not being applied. Today’s move: Two And Two has moved from 5/1 to 17/2, a developing drift (-6.25pp).

Drifted by 4.17pp by 10am. Drifted by 2.08pp more since 10am. As of 11:43; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Dundalk (AW) (IRE) · 13 Jan 2026 · 1st · 1/3 known conditions match
×Track: Today Yarmouth · previous Dundalk (AW) (IRE)✓Trip (within ½f): 6f 3y×Ground: Today Good To Firm · previous Standard?Class: Data missing
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 7/1 (8.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Support levels are not met while the horse is drifting. Check whether it recovers rather than treating the bigger odds as value on their own.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
13:15Yarmouth
Trainer: Adam Kirby
Jockey: Taryn Langley(3)
PRO RACECARD ↗
↔ SAME CLASS
SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf
COURSE RECORD0/1 top 2Yarmouth · 1 run onlyAverage course SP 8/1 · 26% bigger today
Last run7 days ago · 28 Sep 2026
Distance changeUp 0.7f from last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILESTRONGEST RECORDED DRIFT FOR THIS HORSE (100th percentile)
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Largest drift recorded across 5 previous runs.
Raw Open → Now price change: 31.6% • -2.79 probability points
Previous market evidence

No previous open-to-final drift in the recorded sample.

Opened 15/2Market avg 10/1
Price move-2.79pp(-31.6%)
11/1 → 11/1 ↓ 9/1 ↑ 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 ↑ 11/1 ↓ 9/1 ↑ 10/1 → 10/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
11/1 12 decimal Bet365
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Bet365 11/1Betfred 11/1Boyle Sports 11/1Coral 11/1Hollywood Bets 11/1Ladbrokes 11/1Quinn Bet 11/1William Hill 11/1LiveScore Bet 11/1Virgin Bet 11/110 Bet 10/17Bet 10/1BetMGM 10/1BetTom 10/1BetWright 10/1Dragon Bet 10/1Midnite 10/1SportingIndex 10/1Spreadex 10/1Star Sports 10/1Unibet 10/1Betfair Sportsbook 10/1Paddy Power 10/1Bet Victor 9/1Betano 9/1
25 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
YarmouthToday6f 3y · Class 6 · Good To Firm · 9 runners15/2-0.52ppOpen → 10am8/1-2.28pp10am → now; SP pending10/1Current; SP pendingPending-2.79pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
THIS IS THE HORSE’S STRONGEST RECORDED SUPPORTMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-2.28pp since 10am, as of 11:43. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

Across 5 previous runs, this is the horse’s strongest recorded support. Today’s move: Danger Alert is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Drifted by 0.52pp by 10am. Drifted by 2.28pp more since 10am. As of 11:43; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 8/1 (9.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 5/1 (6.01 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 7/26 (26.9%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 10.8%.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
13:15Yarmouth
Trainer: Mark Loughnane
Jockey: Jack Callan
PRO RACECARD ↗
⬇ CLASS DROP
SURFACE SWITCHAW → Turf
Last run111 days ago · 16 Jun 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
Raw Open → Now price change: 94.3% • -4.05 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Southwell (AW), 06 Jan 2026 — 5th • open 5/1 → final 16/1 (-10.78pp).

Opened 11/1Market avg 22/1
Price move-4.05pp(-94.3%)
25/1 ↓ 22/1 ↓ 20/1 ↑ 22/1 → 22/1 ↓ 20/1 ↑ 22/1 ↓ 20/1 → 20/1 ↑ 25/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
25/1 26 decimal 10 Bet
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
10 Bet 25/1Boyle Sports 25/1Midnite 25/1Quinn Bet 25/1SportingIndex 25/1Spreadex 25/1Betfair Sportsbook 25/1Paddy Power 25/1Bet365 22/1BetTom 22/1BetWright 22/1Betfred 22/1Dragon Bet 22/1Hollywood Bets 22/1Star Sports 22/1Unibet 22/1William Hill 22/1LiveScore Bet 22/1Virgin Bet 22/17Bet 20/1Bet Victor 20/1BetMGM 20/1Betano 20/1Coral 18/1Ladbrokes 18/1
25 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
YarmouthToday6f 3y · Class 6 · Good To Firm · 9 runners11/1-3.07ppOpen → 10am18/1-0.97pp10am → now; SP pending22/1Current; SP pendingPending-4.05pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MEANINGFUL DRIFT DETECTEDMarket-4.05ppMarket weakness from the opening price.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyMissed top 2: 2/2Displayed comparable drift runs: 0 first/second finishes in 2 completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-0.97pp since 10am, as of 11:43. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. This horse did not have a confirmed 5pp+ drift by 10am, so the trainer’s early-drift record is not being applied. Despite dropping from Class 5 to Class 6, the market is still weakening. Today’s move: She's Divine has moved from 11/1 to 22/1, a developing drift (-4.05pp).

Drifted by 3.07pp by 10am. Drifted by 0.97pp more since 10am. As of 11:43; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 18/1 (19.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 13/2 (7.50 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 7/38 (18.4%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 4.6%.

Support levels are not met while the horse is drifting. Check whether it recovers rather than treating the bigger odds as value on their own.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
13:15Yarmouth
Trainer: John Ryan
Jockey: Donagh Murphy(5)
PRO RACECARD ↗
⬇ CLASS DROP
SURFACE SWITCHAW → Turf
Last run160 days ago · 28 Apr 2026
Distance changeUp 1f from last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
Raw Open → Now price change: 39.5% • -1.67 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Lingfield (AW), 28 Apr 2026 — 5th • open 4/1 → final 20/1 (-15.24pp).

Opened 16/1Market avg 22/1
Price move-1.67pp(-39.5%)
25/1 → 25/1 ↓ 20/1 ↑ 22/1 → 22/1 ↓ 20/1 ↑ 25/1 ↓ 20/1 → 20/1 ↑ 22/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
25/1 26 decimal Bet365
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Bet365 25/1Betfred 25/1Boyle Sports 25/1Ladbrokes 25/1Midnite 25/1Quinn Bet 25/1SportingIndex 25/1Spreadex 25/1Unibet 25/1William Hill 25/110 Bet 22/1BetTom 22/1BetWright 22/1Dragon Bet 22/1Hollywood Bets 22/1Star Sports 22/1Betfair Sportsbook 22/1Paddy Power 22/1LiveScore Bet 22/1Virgin Bet 22/17Bet 20/1Bet Victor 20/1BetMGM 20/1Betano 20/1Coral 18/1
25 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
YarmouthToday6f 3y · Class 6 · Good To Firm · 9 runners16/1-0.62ppOpen → 10am18/1-1.05pp10am → now; SP pending22/1Current; SP pendingPending-1.67pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-1.05pp since 10am, as of 11:43. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. The horse drops from Class 5 to Class 6, but the market has not responded with meaningful support. Today’s move: Aleppo Pepper is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Drifted by 0.62pp by 10am. Drifted by 1.05pp more since 10am. As of 11:43; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 18/1 (19.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 8/1 (9.19 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 2/15 (13.3%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 6.5%.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Race market overview as at 11:48
  • Supported1 of 9 runners at +4pp or more · strongest: Eightthreeone +8.09pp
  • Drifting4 of 9 runners at −4pp or worse · largest: Iconic Dawn -7.94pp
  • Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
  • Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.
13:50Yarmouth • 1m0f3y • Class 3 • Going: Good To Firm
6 runners
Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

13:50Yarmouth
ClaudetteDraw 4
Trainer: John & Thady Gosden
Jockey: Robert Havlin
PRO RACECARD ↗
⬇ CLASS DROP
SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf
Last run31 days ago · 4 Sep 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
Raw Open → Now price change: 33.9% • -14.08 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Ascot, 04 Sep 2026 — 5th • open 2/1 → final 11/2 (-18.17pp).

Opened 4/5Market avg 11/8
Price move-14.08pp(-33.9%)
11/8 ↑ 6/4 ↓ 5/4 ↑ 11/8 → 11/8 ↓ 5/4 ↑ 11/8 ↓ 5/4 ↑ 11/8 ↑ 6/4
BEST FIXED ODDS
13/8 2.63 decimal SportingIndex
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SportingIndex 13/8Spreadex 13/8Unibet 13/810 Bet 6/4Betfred 6/4Coral 6/4Star Sports 6/4Virgin Bet 6/47Bet 11/8Bet365 11/8BetTom 11/8BetWright 11/8Boyle Sports 11/8Dragon Bet 11/8Hollywood Bets 11/8Midnite 11/8Quinn Bet 11/8William Hill 11/8Betfair Sportsbook 11/8Paddy Power 11/8LiveScore Bet 11/8Bet Victor 5/4BetMGM 5/4Betano 5/4Ladbrokes 6/5
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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
YarmouthToday1m 3y · Class 3 · Good To Firm · 7 runners4/5-7.94ppOpen → 10am11/10-6.14pp10am → now; SP pending11/8Current; SP pendingPending-14.08pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
SIGNIFICANT MARKET DRIFT DETECTEDMarket-14.08ppMarket weakness from the opening price.Trainer24.7% → 29.1%Normal → matching strike rate; 55 runners, 10am drift. Changes under 3 percentage points stay neutral.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-6.14pp since 10am, as of 11:43. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. The trainer’s drift record adds context: When this trainer's runners had drifted by 5pp+ by 10am, 16/55 won (29.1%), compared with the yard's normal 24.7% strike rate. Despite dropping from Class 2 to Class 3, the market is still weakening. Today’s move: Claudette has moved from 4/5 to 11/8, a significant drift (-14.08pp).

Drifted by 7.94pp by 10am. Drifted by 6.14pp more since 10am. As of 11:43; SP pending. If it keeps drifting into SP: this trainer’s runners with 5pp+ drift by 10am that kept drifting from 10am to SP won 5/22 (22.7%). This is a historical win rate, not a prediction.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 11/10 (2.10 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 4/6 (1.65 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 35/95 (36.8%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 24.7%.

Support levels are not met while the horse is drifting. Check whether it recovers rather than treating the bigger odds as value on their own.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
13:50Yarmouth
AwwjaanDraw 6
Trainer: Ed Walker
Jockey: Kieran Shoemark
PRO RACECARD ↗
⬇ CLASS DROP
SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf
Last run24 days ago · 11 Sep 2026
Distance changeUp 1f from last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
Raw Open → Now price change: 8.6% • -1.98 probability points
Previous market evidence

No previous open-to-final drift in the recorded sample.

Opened 3/1Market avg 10/3
Price move-1.98pp(-8.6%)
7/2 ↓ 10/3 ↓ 3/1 ↑ 10/3 ↑ 7/2 ↓ 10/3 ↑ 10/3 ↓ 3/1 ↑ 10/3 ↓ 3/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
7/2 4.5 decimal BetTom
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BetTom 7/2Boyle Sports 7/2Hollywood Bets 7/2Ladbrokes 7/2Quinn Bet 7/2SportingIndex 7/2Spreadex 7/2William Hill 7/2Betfair Sportsbook 7/2Paddy Power 7/2LiveScore Bet 7/2Virgin Bet 7/27Bet 10/3Bet365 10/3BetWright 10/3Betfred 10/3Dragon Bet 10/3Midnite 10/3Star Sports 10/3Unibet 10/3BetMGM 10/310 Bet 3/1Bet Victor 3/1Betano 3/1Coral 11/4
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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
YarmouthToday1m 3y · Class 3 · Good To Firm · 7 runners3/1+1.67ppOpen → 10am11/4-3.65pp10am → now; SP pending10/3Current; SP pendingPending-1.98pp
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-3.65pp since 10am, as of 11:43. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. The horse drops from Class 2 to Class 3, but the market has not responded with meaningful support. Today’s move: Awwjaan is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 1.67pp by 10am. Drifted by 3.65pp since 10am. As of 11:43; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Doncaster · 11 Sep 2026 · 2nd · 0/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Yarmouth · previous Doncaster×Trip (within ½f): Today 1m 3y · previous 7f 6y×Ground: Today Good To Firm · previous Good×Class: Today Class 3 · previous Class 2
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 11/4 (3.75 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 9/4 (3.33 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 36/117 (30.8%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 16.2%.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
13:50Yarmouth
Trainer: William Haggas
Jockey: Tom Marquand
PRO RACECARD ↗
Last runNot recorded
Distance changeNot recorded
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
Raw Open → Now price change: 29.6% • -3.05 probability points
Opened 13/2Market avg 17/2
Price move-3.05pp(-29.6%)
9/1 → 9/1 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 17/2 ↑ 9/1 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 9/1 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 17/2 ↑ 9/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/1 10 decimal 10 Bet
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10 Bet 9/1Bet365 9/1BetTom 9/1Betfred 9/1Boyle Sports 9/1Hollywood Bets 9/1Ladbrokes 9/1Midnite 9/1Quinn Bet 9/1SportingIndex 9/1Spreadex 9/1Star Sports 9/1Unibet 9/1William Hill 9/1Betfair Sportsbook 9/1Paddy Power 9/1LiveScore Bet 9/1Virgin Bet 9/17Bet 17/2BetWright 17/2Dragon Bet 17/2Bet Victor 8/1BetMGM 8/1Betano 8/1Coral 13/2
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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
YarmouthToday1m 3y · Class 3 · Good To Firm · 7 runners13/2+0.00ppOpen → 10am13/2-3.05pp10am → now; SP pending17/2Current; SP pendingPending-3.05pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-3.05pp since 10am, as of 11:43. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Endearment is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

No net move by 10am. Drifted by 3.05pp since 10am. As of 11:43; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 13/2 (7.50 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 9/2 (5.45 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 52/164 (31.7%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 19.1%.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
13:50Yarmouth
WellbeingDraw 1
Trainer: Roger Varian
Jockey: Ray Dawson
PRO RACECARD ↗
Last runNot recorded
Distance changeNot recorded
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
Raw Open → Now price change: 24.7% • -1.65 probability points
Opened 11/1Market avg 14/1
Price move-1.65pp(-24.7%)
14/1 → 14/1 ↓ 12/1 ↑ 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 ↑ 16/1 ↓ 12/1 ↑ 14/1 → 14/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
16/1 17 decimal Bet365
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Bet365 16/1Ladbrokes 16/1William Hill 16/1LiveScore Bet 16/110 Bet 14/17Bet 14/1BetMGM 14/1BetTom 14/1BetWright 14/1Betfred 14/1Boyle Sports 14/1Dragon Bet 14/1Hollywood Bets 14/1Midnite 14/1Quinn Bet 14/1SportingIndex 14/1Spreadex 14/1Star Sports 14/1Unibet 14/1Betfair Sportsbook 14/1Paddy Power 14/1Bet Victor 12/1Betano 12/1Virgin Bet 12/1Coral 11/1
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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
YarmouthToday1m 3y · Class 3 · Good To Firm · 7 runners11/1+0.00ppOpen → 10am11/1-1.65pp10am → now; SP pending14/1Current; SP pendingPending-1.65pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-1.65pp since 10am, as of 11:43. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Wellbeing is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

No net move by 10am. Drifted by 1.65pp since 10am. As of 11:43; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 11/1 (12.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 13/2 (7.50 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 37/94 (39.4%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 22.2%.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
13:50Yarmouth
Trainer: Sir Mark Prescott Bt
Jockey: Luke Morris
PRO RACECARD ↗
Last runNot recorded
Distance changeNot recorded
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
Raw Open → Now price change: 151.8% • -2.32 probability points
Opened 25/1Market avg 66/1
Price move-2.32pp(-151.8%)
66/1 → 66/1 ↓ 50/1 ↑ 66/1 ↑ 66/1 → 66/1 ↑ 80/1 ↓ 50/1 ↑ 66/1 ↓ 66/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
80/1 81 decimal Bet365
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Bet365 80/1Midnite 80/17Bet 66/110 Bet 66/1BetMGM 66/1BetTom 66/1Betfred 66/1Boyle Sports 66/1Hollywood Bets 66/1Ladbrokes 66/1Quinn Bet 66/1SportingIndex 66/1Spreadex 66/1Star Sports 66/1Unibet 66/1William Hill 66/1Betfair Sportsbook 66/1Paddy Power 66/1LiveScore Bet 66/1Virgin Bet 66/1BetWright 66/1Dragon Bet 66/1Bet Victor 50/1Betano 50/1Coral 40/1
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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
YarmouthToday1m 3y · Class 3 · Good To Firm · 7 runners25/1-1.41ppOpen → 10am40/1-0.91pp10am → now; SP pending66/1Current; SP pendingPending-2.32pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-0.91pp since 10am, as of 11:43. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Cherry Amber is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Drifted by 1.41pp by 10am. Drifted by 0.91pp more since 10am. As of 11:43; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 40/1 (41.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 10/1 (11.30 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 22/56 (39.3%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 19.5%.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
13:50Yarmouth
Top MarksDraw 2
Trainer: Philip McBride
Jockey: Saffie Osborne
PRO RACECARD ↗
Last runNot recorded
Distance changeNot recorded
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
Raw Open → Now price change: 88.3% • -0.92 probability points
Opened 50/1Market avg 100/1
Price move-0.92pp(-88.3%)
100/1 → 100/1 ↓ 80/1 → 80/1 ↑ 100/1 → 100/1 ↑ 100/1 ↓ 80/1 ↑ 100/1 → 100/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
100/1 126 decimal Bet365
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Bet365 100/1Midnite 100/110 Bet 100/17Bet 100/1BetMGM 100/1BetTom 100/1Betfred 100/1Boyle Sports 100/1Hollywood Bets 100/1Quinn Bet 100/1Star Sports 100/1Unibet 100/1William Hill 100/1Betfair Sportsbook 100/1Paddy Power 100/1LiveScore Bet 100/1Virgin Bet 100/1Bet Victor 80/1BetWright 80/1Betano 80/1Coral 80/1Dragon Bet 80/1SportingIndex 80/1Spreadex 80/1Ladbrokes 66/1
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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
YarmouthToday1m 3y · Class 3 · Good To Firm · 7 runners50/1-0.47ppOpen → 10am66/1-0.45pp10am → now; SP pending100/1Current; SP pendingPending-0.92pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amHolding-0.45pp since 10am, as of 11:43. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Top Marks is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Drifted by 0.47pp by 10am. Drifted by 0.45pp more since 10am. As of 11:43; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 66/1 (67.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +10.00pp · around 15/2 (8.36 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 1/6 (16.7%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 8.3%. Small sample.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Race market overview as at 11:48
  • Supported1 of 7 runners at +4pp or more · strongest: Dawn Chorus +13.21pp
  • Drifting1 of 7 runners at −4pp or worse · largest: Claudette -14.08pp
  • Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
  • Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.
14:25Yarmouth • 0m7f3y • Class 3 • Going: Good To Firm
5 runners
Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

14:25Yarmouth
ZhuriDraw 3
Trainer: John & Thady Gosden
Jockey: Robert Havlin
PRO RACECARD ↗
↔ SAME CLASS
SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf
Last run16 days ago · 19 Sep 2026
Distance changeDown 1f from last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
Raw Open → Now price change: 3.8% • -2.12 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Newmarket, 19 Sep 2026 — 4th • open 5/1 → final 6/1 (-2.66pp).

Opened 8/11Market avg 4/5
Price move-2.12pp(-3.8%)
8/11 ↑ 4/5 ↓ 8/11 ↑ 4/5 ↑ 5/6 ↓ 4/5 ↓ 8/11 → 8/11 ↑ 4/5 → 4/5
BEST FIXED ODDS
5/6 1.83 decimal BetTom
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BetTom 5/6Coral 5/6Ladbrokes 5/6Quinn Bet 5/6Star Sports 5/6Unibet 5/6William Hill 5/6Paddy Power 5/6Betfair Sportsbook 5/6LiveScore Bet 5/6Virgin Bet 5/610 Bet 4/57Bet 4/5BetMGM 4/5BetWright 4/5Betfred 4/5Dragon Bet 4/5Hollywood Bets 4/5Midnite 4/5Bet Victor 8/11Bet365 8/11Betano 8/11Boyle Sports 8/11SportingIndex 8/11Spreadex 8/11
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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
YarmouthToday7f 3y · Class 3 · Good To Firm · 5 runners8/11+4.31ppOpen → 10am8/13-6.43pp10am → now; SP pending4/5Current; SP pendingPending-2.12pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-6.43pp since 10am, as of 11:43. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Zhuri is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 4.31pp by 10am. Drifted by 6.43pp since 10am. As of 11:43; SP pending. If it keeps shortening into SP: this trainer’s runners with 4pp+ support by 10am that kept shortening from 10am to SP won 14/33 (42.4%). This is a historical win rate, not a prediction.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 8/13 (1.61 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 4/7 (1.59 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 35/95 (36.8%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 24.7%.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
14:25Yarmouth
FaithfulDraw 1
Trainer: William Haggas
Jockey: Tom Marquand
PRO RACECARD ↗
Last runNot recorded
Distance changeNot recorded
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
Raw Open → Now price change: 11.1% • -2.50 probability points
Opened 3/1Market avg 7/2
Price move-2.50pp(-11.1%)
10/3 ↑ 7/2 ↓ 10/3 ↑ 7/2 ↓ 10/3 → 10/3 ↑ 9/2 ↓ 10/3 → 10/3 ↓ 3/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/2 5.5 decimal Bet365
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Bet365 9/2BetWright 7/2Betfred 7/2Coral 7/2Dragon Bet 7/2Hollywood Bets 7/2Ladbrokes 7/2Midnite 7/2SportingIndex 7/2Spreadex 7/2William Hill 7/2LiveScore Bet 7/2Virgin Bet 7/27Bet 10/3Bet Victor 10/3BetMGM 10/3BetTom 10/3Betano 10/3Boyle Sports 10/3Quinn Bet 10/3Star Sports 10/3Unibet 10/3Paddy Power 10/3Betfair Sportsbook 10/310 Bet 3/1
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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
YarmouthToday7f 3y · Class 3 · Good To Firm · 5 runners3/1+3.57ppOpen → 10am5/2-6.07pp10am → now; SP pending7/2Current; SP pendingPending-2.50pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-6.07pp since 10am, as of 11:43. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Faithful is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 3.57pp by 10am. Drifted by 6.07pp since 10am. As of 11:43; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 5/2 (3.50 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 9/4 (3.33 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 52/164 (31.7%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 19.1%.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
14:25Yarmouth
Trainer: James Owen
Jockey: Harry Davies
PRO RACECARD ↗
⬇ CLASS DROP
SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf
Last run9 days ago · 26 Sep 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 1 of 3 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 6th at Kempton (AW) on 14 Sep 2026 (-1.77pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 6.5% • -1.12 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Kempton (AW), 14 Sep 2026 — 6th • open 14/1 → final 25/1 (-3.05pp).

Opened 9/2Market avg 5/1
Price move-1.12pp(-6.5%)
9/2 ↑ 5/1 ↓ 9/2 ↑ 5/1 → 5/1 ↓ 9/2 ↑ 11/2 ↓ 9/2 → 9/2 ↑ 5/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
11/2 6.5 decimal Bet365
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Bet365 11/210 Bet 5/1BetTom 5/1BetWright 5/1Betfred 5/1Coral 5/1Hollywood Bets 5/1Ladbrokes 5/1Quinn Bet 5/1SportingIndex 5/1Spreadex 5/1Star Sports 5/1Unibet 5/1William Hill 5/1Paddy Power 5/1LiveScore Bet 5/1Virgin Bet 5/17Bet 9/2Bet Victor 9/2BetMGM 9/2Betano 9/2Boyle Sports 9/2Dragon Bet 9/2Midnite 9/2Betfair Sportsbook 9/2
25 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
YarmouthToday7f 3y · Class 3 · Good To Firm · 5 runners9/2+4.91ppOpen → 10am10/3-6.03pp10am → now; SP pending5/1Current; SP pendingPending-1.12pp
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-6.03pp since 10am, as of 11:43. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

Just 1 of 3 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. The horse drops from Class 2 to Class 3, but the market has not responded with meaningful support. Today’s move: Lady Jemima is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 4.91pp by 10am. Drifted by 6.03pp since 10am. As of 11:43; SP pending. If it keeps shortening into SP: this trainer’s runners with 4pp+ support by 10am that kept shortening from 10am to SP won 25/68 (36.8%). This is a historical win rate, not a prediction.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Newmarket · 26 Sep 2026 · 2nd · 2/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Yarmouth · previous Newmarket✓Trip (within ½f): 7f 3y✓Ground: Good To Firm×Class: Today Class 3 · previous Class 2
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 10/3 (4.33 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 10/3 (4.31 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 62/204 (30.4%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 16.4%.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
14:25Yarmouth
Trainer: Harry Eustace
Jockey: Kaiya Fraser
PRO RACECARD ↗
Last runNot recorded
Distance changeNot recorded
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
Raw Open → Now price change: 25.9% • -2.42 probability points
Opened 15/2Market avg 10/1
Price move-2.42pp(-25.9%)
10/1 → 10/1 ↓ 9/1 ↑ 10/1 ↓ 9/1 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 17/2 ↑ 9/1 ↑ 10/1 → 10/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
10/1 11 decimal 10 Bet
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10 Bet 10/17Bet 10/1BetWright 10/1Betfred 10/1Boyle Sports 10/1Coral 10/1Dragon Bet 10/1Hollywood Bets 10/1Ladbrokes 10/1Midnite 10/1Quinn Bet 10/1SportingIndex 10/1Spreadex 10/1Star Sports 10/1William Hill 10/1Paddy Power 10/1Betfair Sportsbook 10/1LiveScore Bet 10/1Virgin Bet 10/1Bet Victor 9/1BetTom 9/1Betano 9/1Unibet 9/1Bet365 17/2BetMGM 8/1
25 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
YarmouthToday7f 3y · Class 3 · Good To Firm · 5 runners15/2+1.57ppOpen → 10am13/2-3.99pp10am → now; SP pending10/1Current; SP pendingPending-2.42pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-3.99pp since 10am, as of 11:43. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Emocionante is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 1.57pp by 10am. Drifted by 3.99pp since 10am. As of 11:43; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 13/2 (7.50 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 5/1 (5.96 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 13/33 (39.4%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 13.2%.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
14:25Yarmouth
Trainer: Ed Walker
Jockey: Kieran Shoemark
PRO RACECARD ↗
Last runNot recorded
Distance changeNot recorded
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
Raw Open → Now price change: 23.4% • -1.99 probability points
Opened 17/2Market avg 11/1
Price move-1.99pp(-23.4%)
11/1 → 11/1 ↓ 10/1 ↑ 11/1 → 11/1 ↓ 10/1 ↑ 12/1 ↓ 10/1 ↑ 11/1 → 11/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
12/1 13 decimal Bet365
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Bet365 12/1SportingIndex 12/1Spreadex 12/1Unibet 12/110 Bet 11/17Bet 11/1BetTom 11/1BetWright 11/1Betfred 11/1Boyle Sports 11/1Dragon Bet 11/1Hollywood Bets 11/1Midnite 11/1Quinn Bet 11/1Star Sports 11/1William Hill 11/1Paddy Power 11/1LiveScore Bet 11/1Virgin Bet 11/1Bet Victor 10/1BetMGM 10/1Betano 10/1Betfair Sportsbook 10/1Coral 15/2Ladbrokes 15/2
25 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
YarmouthToday7f 3y · Class 3 · Good To Firm · 5 runners17/2+1.97ppOpen → 10am7/1-3.97pp10am → now; SP pending11/1Current; SP pendingPending-1.99pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-3.97pp since 10am, as of 11:43. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Never An Angel is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 1.97pp by 10am. Drifted by 3.97pp since 10am. As of 11:43; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 7/1 (8.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 11/2 (6.44 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 36/117 (30.8%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 16.2%.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Race market overview as at 11:48
  • Supported0 of 5 runners at +4pp or more
  • Drifting0 of 5 runners at −4pp or worse
  • Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
  • Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.
15:00Yarmouth • 0m7f3y • Class 6 • Going: Good To Firm
7 runners
Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

15:00Yarmouth
Trainer: Ed Dunlop
Jockey: Robert Havlin
PRO RACECARD ↗
↔ SAME CLASS
SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf
COURSE RECORD1/1 top 2Yarmouth · 1 run onlyAverage course SP 25/1 · 83% shorter today
Last run18 days ago · 17 Sep 2026
Distance changeDown 1f from last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILESTRONGEST RECORDED DRIFT FOR THIS HORSE (100th percentile)
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Largest drift recorded across 4 previous runs.
When drifting like this: failed 2/3Historical Drift Profile

17 Sep 26 | Yarmouth | Open: 12/1 → Final: 22/1 | SP: 25/1 | Fin: 2
18 Aug 26 | Wolverhampton (AW) | Open: 16/1 → Final: 50/1 | SP: 50/1 | Fin: 7
09 Jul 26 | Epsom Downs | Open: 12/1 → Final: 22/1 | SP: 18/1 | Fin: 8
When drifting like this: failed 2/3 — view runs
17 Sep 2026 · Yarmouth
Open 12/1 → final 22/1 · SP 25/1 · 2nd
18 Aug 2026 · Wolverhampton (AW)
Open 16/1 → final 50/1 · SP 50/1 · 7th
09 Jul 2026 · Epsom Downs
Open 12/1 → final 22/1 · SP 18/1 · 8th
Raw Open → Now price change: 57.4% • -13.26 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Wolverhampton (AW), 18 Aug 2026 — 7th • open 16/1 → final 50/1 (-3.59pp).

Opened 7/4Market avg 10/3
Price move-13.26pp(-57.4%)
7/2 ↓ 10/3 ↓ 3/1 ↑ 10/3 ↑ 7/2 ↓ 11/4 ↑ 10/3 ↓ 3/1 ↑ 10/3 ↑ 7/2
BEST FIXED ODDS
7/2 4.5 decimal 10 Bet
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
10 Bet 7/2BetTom 7/2Boyle Sports 7/2Coral 7/2LiveScore Bet 7/2Midnite 7/2Quinn Bet 7/2Star Sports 7/2Unibet 7/2Virgin Bet 7/2William Hill 7/2Paddy Power 7/2Betfair Sportsbook 7/27Bet 10/3Bet365 10/3BetWright 10/3Betfred 10/3Dragon Bet 10/3Hollywood Bets 10/3Bet Victor 3/1Betano 3/1Ladbrokes 3/1SportingIndex 3/1Spreadex 3/1BetMGM 11/4
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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
YarmouthToday7f 3y · Class 6 · Good To Firm · 9 runners7/4-7.79ppOpen → 10am5/2-5.47pp10am → now; SP pending10/3Current; SP pendingPending-13.26pp
THIS IS THE HORSE’S LARGEST RECORDED DRIFTMarket-13.26ppMarket weakness from the opening price.Trainer9.9% → 28.6%Normal → matching strike rate; 42 runners, 10am drift. Changes under 3 percentage points stay neutral.Horse historyLargest recorded driftLargest recorded drift across 4 previous runs. This flags unusual market weakness; it does not claim a finishing record.Since 10amWeakening-5.47pp since 10am, as of 11:43. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

Across 4 previous runs, this is the horse’s largest recorded drift. The trainer’s drift record adds context: When this trainer's runners had drifted by 5pp+ by 10am, 12/42 won (28.6%), compared with the yard's normal 9.9% strike rate. Today’s move: Chaise Longue has moved from 7/4 to 10/3, a significant drift (-13.26pp).

Drifted by 7.79pp by 10am. Drifted by 5.47pp more since 10am. As of 11:43; SP pending. If it keeps drifting into SP: this trainer’s runners with 5pp+ drift by 10am that kept drifting from 10am to SP won 4/15 (26.7%). This is a historical win rate, not a prediction.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Yarmouth · 17 Sep 2026 · 2nd · 2/4 known conditions match
✓Track: Yarmouth×Trip (within ½f): Today 7f 3y · previous 1m 3y×Ground: Today Good To Firm · previous Good✓Class: Class 6
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 5/2 (3.50 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 11/8 (2.42 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 6/37 (16.2%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 9.9%.

Support levels are not met while the horse is drifting. Check whether it recovers rather than treating the bigger odds as value on their own.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
15:00Yarmouth
SantoDraw 9
Trainer: Eve Johnson Houghton
Jockey: Callum Hutchinson
PRO RACECARD ↗
⬇ CLASS DROP
SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf
Last run28 days ago · 7 Sep 2026
Distance changeUp 1f from last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
25th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE25th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
3 of 4 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 5th at Windsor on 07 Sep 2026 (-1.28pp); finished 8th at Windsor on 20 Jul 2026 (-1.39pp); and finished 6th at Kempton (AW) on 20 May 2026 (-1.81pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 2.2% • -0.39 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Kempton (AW), 20 May 2026 — 6th • open 12/1 → final 22/1 (-3.34pp).

Opened 9/2Market avg 9/2
Price move-0.39pp(-2.2%)
9/2 → 9/2 ↓ 4/1 ↑ 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 ↑ 5/1 ↓ 4/1 ↑ 9/2 → 9/2
BEST FIXED ODDS
6/1 7 decimal Hollywood Bets
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Hollywood Bets 6/1Bet365 5/1Coral 5/1LiveScore Bet 5/1SportingIndex 5/1Spreadex 5/1William Hill 5/110 Bet 9/27Bet 9/2BetMGM 9/2BetTom 9/2BetWright 9/2Betfred 9/2Boyle Sports 9/2Dragon Bet 9/2Midnite 9/2Quinn Bet 9/2Star Sports 9/2Unibet 9/2Virgin Bet 9/2Paddy Power 9/2Betfair Sportsbook 9/2Bet Victor 4/1Betano 4/1Ladbrokes 4/1
25 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
YarmouthToday7f 3y · Class 6 · Good To Firm · 9 runners9/2+4.91ppOpen → 10am10/3-5.30pp10am → now; SP pending9/2Current; SP pendingPending-0.39pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-5.30pp since 10am, as of 11:43. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

3 of 4 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. The horse drops from Class 5 to Class 6, but the market has not responded with meaningful support. Today’s move: Santo is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 4.91pp by 10am. Drifted by 5.30pp since 10am. As of 11:43; SP pending. If it keeps shortening into SP: this trainer’s runners with 4pp+ support by 10am that kept shortening from 10am to SP won 7/25 (28%). This is a historical win rate, not a prediction.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 10/3 (4.33 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 10/3 (4.31 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 17/69 (24.6%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 11.6%.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
15:00Yarmouth
Trainer: Lemos De Souza
Jockey: Harry Davies
PRO RACECARD ↗
⬇ CLASS DROP
SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf
COURSE RECORD0/1 top 2Yarmouth · 1 run onlyAverage course SP 28/1 · 67% shorter today
Last run72 days ago · 25 Jul 2026
Distance changeUp 1f from last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
Raw Open → Now price change: 4.9% • -0.52 probability points
Previous market evidence

No previous open-to-final drift in the recorded sample.

Opened 8/1Market avg 17/2
Price move-0.52pp(-4.9%)
8/1 ↑ 9/1 ↓ 15/2 ↑ 8/1 ↑ 17/2 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 9/1 ↓ 15/2 ↑ 8/1 → 8/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/1 10 decimal Bet365
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Bet365 9/1Betfred 9/1Midnite 9/1SportingIndex 9/1Spreadex 9/1Unibet 9/1BetTom 17/2Coral 17/2Dragon Bet 17/2Hollywood Bets 17/2Ladbrokes 17/2Quinn Bet 17/2Star Sports 17/2William Hill 17/2Paddy Power 17/2Betfair Sportsbook 17/2LiveScore Bet 17/2Virgin Bet 17/210 Bet 8/17Bet 8/1BetMGM 8/1BetWright 8/1Boyle Sports 8/1Bet Victor 15/2Betano 15/2
25 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
YarmouthToday7f 3y · Class 6 · Good To Firm · 9 runners8/1+1.39ppOpen → 10am7/1-1.91pp10am → now; SP pending17/2Current; SP pendingPending-0.52pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-1.91pp since 10am, as of 11:43. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. The horse drops from Class 5 to Class 6, but the market has not responded with meaningful support. Today’s move: Roberts Legacy is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 1.39pp by 10am. Drifted by 1.91pp since 10am. As of 11:43; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 7/1 (8.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 5/1 (6.21 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 5/24 (20.8%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 14.4%.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
15:00Yarmouth
Trainer: Philip McBride
Jockey: Saffie Osborne
PRO RACECARD ↗
⬇ CLASS DROP
SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf
COURSE RECORD0/1 top 2Yarmouth · 1 run onlyAverage course SP 100/1 · 96% shorter today
Last run61 days ago · 5 Aug 2026
Distance changeUp 1f from last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILESTRONGEST RECORDED DRIFT FOR THIS HORSE (100th percentile)
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Largest drift recorded across 3 previous runs.
Raw Open → Now price change: 17.2% • -1.47 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Brighton, 22 Jun 2026 — 5th • open 20/1 → final 33/1 (-1.82pp).

Opened 9/1Market avg 11/1
Price move-1.47pp(-17.2%)
10/1 → 10/1 ↓ 9/1 ↑ 11/1 ↓ 10/1 → 10/1 ↑ 11/1 ↓ 9/1 ↑ 11/1 → 11/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
12/1 13 decimal SportingIndex
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
SportingIndex 12/1Spreadex 12/1Paddy Power 12/1Betfair Sportsbook 12/110 Bet 11/17Bet 11/1Bet365 11/1BetWright 11/1Dragon Bet 11/1Hollywood Bets 11/1Quinn Bet 11/1Star Sports 11/1Unibet 11/1William Hill 11/1LiveScore Bet 11/1Virgin Bet 11/1BetMGM 10/1BetTom 10/1Betfred 10/1Boyle Sports 10/1Coral 10/1Ladbrokes 10/1Midnite 10/1Bet Victor 9/1Betano 9/1
25 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
YarmouthToday7f 3y · Class 6 · Good To Firm · 9 runners9/1+1.11ppOpen → 10am8/1-2.58pp10am → now; SP pending11/1Current; SP pendingPending-1.47pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
THIS IS THE HORSE’S STRONGEST RECORDED SUPPORTMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-2.58pp since 10am, as of 11:43. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

Across 3 previous runs, this is the horse’s strongest recorded support. The horse drops from Class 4 to Class 6, but the market has not responded with meaningful support. Today’s move: Ava Louise is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 1.11pp by 10am. Drifted by 2.58pp since 10am. As of 11:43; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 8/1 (9.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +10.00pp · around 4/1 (5.00 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 1/6 (16.7%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 8.3%. Small sample.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
15:00Yarmouth
MarralynDraw 1
Trainer: Ollie Sangster
Jockey: Dylan Hogan
PRO RACECARD ↗
↔ SAME CLASS
SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf
Last run28 days ago · 7 Sep 2026
Distance changeUp 1f from last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
80th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE80th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
Only 1 of 5 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 7th at Lingfield on 25 Jul 2026 (-2.82pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 19.2% • -1.61 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Wolverhampton (AW), 21 Apr 2026 — 5th • open 12/1 → final 20/1 (-2.93pp).

Opened 9/1Market avg 11/1
Price move-1.61pp(-19.2%)
12/1 → 12/1 ↓ 10/1 ↑ 11/1 → 11/1 ↓ 9/1 ↑ 12/1 ↓ 10/1 ↑ 11/1 ↓ 9/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
12/1 13 decimal Bet365
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Bet365 12/1Betfred 12/1Boyle Sports 12/1Midnite 12/1Quinn Bet 12/1SportingIndex 12/1Spreadex 12/1Virgin Bet 12/1Paddy Power 12/1Betfair Sportsbook 12/17Bet 11/1BetTom 11/1BetWright 11/1Dragon Bet 11/1Hollywood Bets 11/1Star Sports 11/1William Hill 11/1LiveScore Bet 11/1Bet Victor 10/1Betano 10/1Unibet 10/110 Bet 9/1BetMGM 9/1Coral 17/2Ladbrokes 17/2
25 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
YarmouthToday7f 3y · Class 6 · Good To Firm · 9 runners9/1+1.76ppOpen → 10am15/2-3.38pp10am → now; SP pending11/1Current; SP pendingPending-1.61pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-3.38pp since 10am, as of 11:43. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

Just 1 of 5 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Marralyn is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 1.76pp by 10am. Drifted by 3.38pp since 10am. As of 11:43; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 15/2 (8.50 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 11/2 (6.67 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 24/57 (42.1%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 14.4%.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
15:00Yarmouth
Trainer: George Boughey
Jockey: Megan Smith(7)
PRO RACECARD ↗
⬇ CLASS DROP
SURFACE SWITCHAW → Turf
Last run40 days ago · 26 Aug 2026
Distance changeUp 0.9f from last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILESTRONGEST RECORDED DRIFT FOR THIS HORSE (100th percentile)
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Largest drift recorded across 4 previous runs.
When drifting like this: failed 3/3Historical Drift Profile

26 Aug 26 | Wolverhampton (AW) | Open: 28/1 → Final: 80/1 | SP: 80/1 | Fin: 6
16 Jun 26 | Wolverhampton (AW) | Open: 8/1 → Final: 12/1 | SP: 14/1 | Fin: 9
23 May 26 | Windsor | Open: 13/2 → Final: 14/1 | SP: 16/1 | Fin: 6
When drifting like this: failed 3/3 — view runs
26 Aug 2026 · Wolverhampton (AW)
Open 28/1 → final 80/1 · SP 80/1 · 6th
16 Jun 2026 · Wolverhampton (AW)
Open 8/1 → final 12/1 · SP 14/1 · 9th
23 May 2026 · Windsor
Open 13/2 → final 14/1 · SP 16/1 · 6th
Raw Open → Now price change: 87.6% • -4.67 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Windsor, 23 May 2026 — 6th • open 13/2 → final 14/1 (-6.67pp).

Opened 9/1Market avg 18/1
Price move-4.67pp(-87.6%)
18/1 ↓ 16/1 → 16/1 ↑ 18/1 ↓ 16/1 → 16/1 ↑ 18/1 ↓ 16/1 ↑ 18/1 ↑ 20/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
20/1 21 decimal 10 Bet
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10 Bet 20/1Quinn Bet 20/1SportingIndex 20/1Spreadex 20/1Star Sports 20/1Unibet 20/1Paddy Power 20/1Betfair Sportsbook 20/17Bet 18/1Bet365 18/1BetWright 18/1Boyle Sports 18/1Dragon Bet 18/1LiveScore Bet 18/1Midnite 18/1Virgin Bet 18/1Bet Victor 16/1BetMGM 16/1BetTom 16/1Betano 16/1Betfred 16/1Hollywood Bets 16/1William Hill 16/1Coral 14/1Ladbrokes 14/1
25 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
YarmouthToday7f 3y · Class 6 · Good To Firm · 9 runners9/1-3.33ppOpen → 10am14/1-1.34pp10am → now; SP pending18/1Current; SP pendingPending-4.67pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
THIS IS THE HORSE’S LARGEST RECORDED DRIFTMarket-4.67ppMarket weakness from the opening price.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLargest recorded driftLargest recorded drift across 4 previous runs. This flags unusual market weakness; it does not claim a finishing record.Since 10amWeakening-1.34pp since 10am, as of 11:43. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

Across 4 previous runs, this is the horse’s largest recorded drift. This horse did not have a confirmed 5pp+ drift by 10am, so the trainer’s early-drift record is not being applied. Despite dropping from Class 5 to Class 6, the market is still weakening. Today’s move: Ventura Power has moved from 9/1 to 18/1, a developing drift (-4.67pp).

Drifted by 3.33pp by 10am. Drifted by 1.34pp more since 10am. As of 11:43; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 14/1 (15.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 11/2 (6.67 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 29/80 (36.3%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 17.6%.

Support levels are not met while the horse is drifting. Check whether it recovers rather than treating the bigger odds as value on their own.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
15:00Yarmouth
Trainer: Ross Burdon
Jockey: Alexandra Egan(5)
PRO RACECARD ↗
⬇ CLASS DROP
SURFACE SWITCHAW → Turf
Last run34 days ago · 1 Sep 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
33th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE33rd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
2 of 3 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 9th at Wolverhampton (AW) on 01 Sep 2026 (-31.67pp); and finished 4th at Lingfield on 15 Jul 2026 (-2.38pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 94.5% • -2.31 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Wolverhampton (AW), 01 Sep 2026 — 9th • open 2/1 → final 100/1 (-32.93pp).

Opened 20/1Market avg 40/1
Price move-2.31pp(-94.5%)
40/1 → 40/1 ↓ 33/1 ↑ 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 ↑ 50/1 ↓ 33/1 ↑ 40/1 → 40/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
50/1 51 decimal Bet365
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Bet365 50/110 Bet 40/17Bet 40/1BetMGM 40/1BetTom 40/1BetWright 40/1Betfred 40/1Boyle Sports 40/1Coral 40/1Dragon Bet 40/1Hollywood Bets 40/1Ladbrokes 40/1Midnite 40/1Quinn Bet 40/1SportingIndex 40/1Spreadex 40/1Star Sports 40/1Unibet 40/1William Hill 40/1Paddy Power 40/1Betfair Sportsbook 40/1LiveScore Bet 40/1Virgin Bet 40/1Bet Victor 33/1Betano 33/1
25 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
YarmouthToday7f 3y · Class 6 · Good To Firm · 9 runners20/1-1.82ppOpen → 10am33/1-0.49pp10am → now; SP pending40/1Current; SP pendingPending-2.31pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amHolding-0.49pp since 10am, as of 11:43. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

2 of 3 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. The horse drops from Class 3 to Class 6, but the market has not responded with meaningful support. Today’s move: Nightspell is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Drifted by 1.82pp by 10am. Drifted by 0.49pp more since 10am. As of 11:43; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 33/1 (34.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Race market overview as at 11:48
  • Supported1 of 9 runners at +4pp or more · strongest: Ground Force +6.52pp
  • Drifting2 of 9 runners at −4pp or worse · largest: Chaise Longue -13.26pp
  • Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
  • Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.
15:35Yarmouth • 1m0f3y • Class 4 • Going: Good To Firm
4 runners
Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

15:35Yarmouth
Trainer: William Haggas
Jockey: Tom Marquand
PRO RACECARD ↗
⬇ CLASS DROP
SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf
Last run37 days ago · 29 Aug 2026
Distance changeDown 1.9f from last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
NR adjusted
Genuine drift after removing the measured NR price effect.
Raw Open → Now: -69.3% • -20.47pp
Measured NR price effect removed: -3.60pp
Latest confirmed post-NR price: 13/8 @ 07:12
NR @ 05:50: 2/1 → 9/4 (-2.24pp removed)
NR @ 07:12: 6/4 → 13/8 (-1.36pp removed)
GENUINE NR-ADJUSTED MOVE: -16.87pp
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Newmarket (July), 14 Aug 2026 — 3rd • open 9/2 → final 13/2 (-4.85pp).

Opened EVSMarket avg 5/2
Price move-16.87pp(-50.9%)
9/4 → 9/4 → 9/4 → 9/4 ↑ 5/2 ↓ 9/4 ↑ 11/4 ↓ 9/4 → 9/4 ↑ 5/2
BEST FIXED ODDS
11/4 3.75 decimal Bet365
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Bet365 11/410 Bet 5/2BetTom 5/2Coral 5/2Hollywood Bets 5/2Ladbrokes 5/2SportingIndex 5/2Spreadex 5/2Star Sports 5/2Unibet 5/2William Hill 5/2LiveScore Bet 5/2Virgin Bet 5/2Dragon Bet 5/27Bet 9/4Bet Victor 9/4BetMGM 9/4BetWright 9/4Betano 9/4Betfred 9/4Boyle Sports 9/4Quinn Bet 9/4Betfair Sportsbook 9/4Paddy Power 9/4Midnite 2/1
25 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
YarmouthToday1m 3y · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 5 runnersEVS-8.23ppOpen → 10am13/8-8.63pp10am → now; SP pending5/2Current; SP pendingPending-16.87ppNR adjusted
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET DRIFT DETECTED — TRAINER IMPACT IS LIMITEDMarket-16.87ppMarket weakness from the opening price.Trainer19.1% → 16.4%Normal → matching strike rate; 73 runners, 10am drift. Changes under 3 percentage points stay neutral.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-8.63pp since 10am, as of 11:43. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. The trainer’s drift record adds context: When this trainer's runners had drifted by 5pp+ by 10am, 12/73 won (16.4%), compared with the yard's normal 19.1% strike rate. Despite dropping from Class 2 to Class 4, the market is still weakening. Today’s move: Evening Call has moved from EVS to 5/2, a significant drift (-16.87pp).

Drifted by 8.23pp by 10am. Drifted by 8.63pp more since 10am. As of 11:43; SP pending. If it keeps drifting into SP: this trainer’s runners with 5pp+ drift by 10am that kept drifting from 10am to SP won 7/40 (17.5%). This is a historical win rate, not a prediction.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 13/8 (2.62 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 10/11 (1.95 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 52/164 (31.7%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 19.1%.

Support levels are not met while the horse is drifting. Check whether it recovers rather than treating the bigger odds as value on their own.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
15:35Yarmouth
MoontuneDraw 4
Trainer: Stuart Williams
Jockey: Kieran Shoemark
PRO RACECARD ↗
⬇ CLASS DROP
SURFACE SWITCHAW → Turf
Last run31 days ago · 4 Sep 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
NR adjusted
Genuine drift after removing the measured NR price effect.
Raw Open → Now: -56.3% • -11.08pp
Measured NR price effect removed: +0.26pp
Latest confirmed post-NR price: 7/2 @ 07:12
NR @ 05:50: 7/2 → 7/2 (-0.24pp removed)
NR @ 07:12: 7/2 → 7/2 (+0.50pp removed)
GENUINE NR-ADJUSTED MOVE: -11.34pp
Previous market evidence

No previous open-to-final drift in the recorded sample.

Opened 9/4Market avg 4/1
Price move-11.34pp(-58.4%)
7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 ↑ 9/2 ↓ 4/1 → 4/1 ↑ 5/1 ↓ 7/2 ↑ 9/2 ↓ 4/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
5/1 6 decimal Bet365
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Bet365 5/1SportingIndex 5/1Spreadex 5/1Paddy Power 5/17Bet 9/2BetWright 9/2Dragon Bet 9/2Midnite 9/2Quinn Bet 9/2William Hill 9/2Betfair Sportsbook 9/210 Bet 4/1BetMGM 4/1BetTom 4/1Hollywood Bets 4/1Star Sports 4/1Virgin Bet 4/1Bet Victor 7/2Betano 7/2Betfred 7/2Boyle Sports 7/2Unibet 7/2LiveScore Bet 7/2Coral 11/4Ladbrokes 11/4
25 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
YarmouthToday1m 3y · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 5 runners9/4-4.36ppOpen → 10am11/4-6.98pp10am → now; SP pending4/1Current; SP pendingPending-11.34ppNR adjusted
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
SIGNIFICANT MARKET DRIFT DETECTEDMarket-11.34ppMarket weakness from the opening price.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-6.98pp since 10am, as of 11:43. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. This horse did not have a confirmed 5pp+ drift by 10am, so the trainer’s early-drift record is not being applied. Despite dropping from Class 3 to Class 4, the market is still weakening. Today’s move: Moontune has moved from 9/4 to 4/1, a significant drift (-11.34pp).

Drifted by 4.36pp by 10am. Drifted by 6.98pp more since 10am. As of 11:43; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 11/4 (3.75 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 7/4 (2.78 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 20/58 (34.5%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 11.2%.

Support levels are not met while the horse is drifting. Check whether it recovers rather than treating the bigger odds as value on their own.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
15:35Yarmouth
Trainer: James Owen
Jockey: Luke Morris
PRO RACECARD ↗
Last runNot recorded
Distance changeNot recorded
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
NR adjusted
Genuine drift after removing the measured NR price effect.
Raw Open → Now: -25.6% • -2.04pp
Measured NR price effect removed: +0.09pp
Latest confirmed post-NR price: 12/1 @ 07:12
NR @ 05:50: 9/1 → 17/2 (+0.31pp removed)
NR @ 07:12: 12/1 → 12/1 (-0.23pp removed)
GENUINE NR-ADJUSTED MOVE: -2.13pp
Opened 9/1Market avg 12/1
Price move-2.13pp(-27.0%)
12/1 → 12/1 ↓ 10/1 ↑ 11/1 ↑ 12/1 ↓ 11/1 ↑ 12/1 ↓ 10/1 ↑ 11/1 ↑ 12/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
12/1 13 decimal 10 Bet
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
10 Bet 12/1Bet365 12/1BetTom 12/1Betfred 12/1Boyle Sports 12/1Coral 12/1Hollywood Bets 12/1Ladbrokes 12/1Quinn Bet 12/1Star Sports 12/1Unibet 12/1William Hill 12/1Betfair Sportsbook 12/1Paddy Power 12/1LiveScore Bet 12/1Virgin Bet 12/17Bet 11/1BetMGM 11/1BetWright 11/1Dragon Bet 11/1Midnite 11/1SportingIndex 11/1Spreadex 11/1Bet Victor 10/1Betano 10/1
25 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
YarmouthToday1m 3y · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 5 runners9/1-1.00ppOpen → 10am10/1-1.13pp10am → now; SP pending12/1Current; SP pendingPending-2.13ppNR adjusted
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-1.13pp since 10am, as of 11:43. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Fourneville is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Drifted by 1.00pp by 10am. Drifted by 1.13pp more since 10am. As of 11:43; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 10/1 (11.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 11/2 (6.63 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 62/204 (30.4%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 16.4%.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
15:35Yarmouth
Trainer: J. R. Jenkins
Jockey: Oliver Carmichael(7)
PRO RACECARD ↗
↔ SAME CLASS
SURFACE SWITCHAW → Turf
Last run26 days ago · 9 Sep 2026
Distance changeUp 1f from last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
NR adjusted
Genuine drift after removing the measured NR price effect.
Raw Open → Now: -15.0% • -0.13pp
Measured NR price effect removed: +0.15pp
Latest confirmed post-NR price: 80/1 @ 07:12
NR @ 05:50: 100/1 → 100/1 (+0.01pp removed)
NR @ 07:12: 100/1 → 80/1 (+0.14pp removed)
GENUINE NR-ADJUSTED MOVE: -0.28pp
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Kempton (AW), 09 Sep 2026 — 6th • open 50/1 → final 100/1 (-1.59pp).

Opened 100/1Market avg 100/1
Price move-0.28pp(-39.4%)
100/1 → 100/1 ↓ 100/1 → 100/1 ↑ 100/1 ↓ 100/1 ↑ 100/1 ↓ 100/1 → 100/1 ↑ 100/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
100/1 151 decimal Bet365
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Bet365 100/110 Bet 100/1BetTom 100/1Betfred 100/1Boyle Sports 100/1Coral 100/1Hollywood Bets 100/1Ladbrokes 100/1Midnite 100/1Quinn Bet 100/1Star Sports 100/1Unibet 100/1William Hill 100/1LiveScore Bet 100/1Virgin Bet 100/1Betfair Sportsbook 100/1Paddy Power 100/17Bet 100/1Bet Victor 100/1BetMGM 100/1BetWright 100/1Betano 100/1Dragon Bet 100/1SportingIndex 80/1Spreadex 80/1
25 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
YarmouthToday1m 3y · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 5 runners100/1+0.82ppOpen → 10am50/1-1.10pp10am → now; SP pending100/1Current; SP pendingPending-0.28ppNR adjusted
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-1.10pp since 10am, as of 11:43. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Tilsworth Emma is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 0.82pp by 10am. Drifted by 1.10pp since 10am. As of 11:43; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 50/1 (51.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Race market overview as at 11:48
  • Supported0 of 5 runners at +4pp or more
  • Drifting2 of 5 runners at −4pp or worse · largest: Evening Call -16.87pp
  • Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
  • Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.
16:05Yarmouth • 1m2f23y • Class 4 • Going: Good To Firm
7 runners
Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

16:05Yarmouth
Trainer: David O'Meara
Jockey: Conor Whiteley(5)
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
PRO RACECARD ↗
↔ SAME CLASS
SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf
Last run26 days ago · 9 Sep 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
More evidence
Average winning SP9/43 recorded wins in the loaded Market Form sample
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILESTRONGEST RECORDED DRIFT FOR THIS HORSE (100th percentile)
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Largest drift recorded across 7 previous runs.
Raw Open → Now price change: 18.4% • -3.11 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Newmarket (July), 07 Aug 2026 — 1st • open 8/13 → final 10/11 (-9.37pp).

Opened 4/1Market avg 5/1
Price move-3.11pp(-18.4%)
5/1 → 5/1 ↓ 9/2 ↑ 5/1 → 5/1 ↓ 9/2 ↑ 5/1 ↓ 9/2 ↑ 5/1 → 5/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
5/1 6 decimal 10 Bet
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
10 Bet 5/17Bet 5/1Bet365 5/1BetTom 5/1BetWright 5/1Betfred 5/1Boyle Sports 5/1Coral 5/1Dragon Bet 5/1Hollywood Bets 5/1Ladbrokes 5/1Midnite 5/1Quinn Bet 5/1SportingIndex 5/1Spreadex 5/1Star Sports 5/1Unibet 5/1Betfair Sportsbook 5/1Paddy Power 5/1LiveScore Bet 5/1Virgin Bet 5/1Bet Victor 9/2BetMGM 9/2Betano 9/2William Hill 9/2
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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
YarmouthToday1m 2f 23y · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 10 runners4/1+0.00ppOpen → 10am4/1-3.11pp10am → now; SP pending5/1Current; SP pendingPending-3.11pp
THIS IS THE HORSE’S STRONGEST RECORDED SUPPORTMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-3.11pp since 10am, as of 11:43. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

Across 7 previous runs, this is the horse’s strongest recorded support. Today’s move: Lucky Hero is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

No net move by 10am. Drifted by 3.11pp since 10am. As of 11:43; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Newmarket (July) · 07 Aug 2026 · 1st · 2/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Yarmouth · previous Newmarket (July)✓Trip (within ½f): 1m 2f 23y✓Ground: Good To Firm×Class: Today Class 4 · previous Class 5
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 4/1 (5.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 3/1 (4.00 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 25/115 (21.7%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 10.7%.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
16:05Yarmouth
Trainer: Sir Mark Prescott Bt
Jockey: Luke Morris
PRO RACECARD ↗
⬇ CLASS DROP
SURFACE SWITCHAW → Turf
Last run30 days ago · 5 Sep 2026
Distance changeUp 2.1f from last run
More evidence
Average winning SP5/41 recorded win in the loaded Market Form sample
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILESTRONGEST RECORDED DRIFT FOR THIS HORSE (100th percentile)
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Largest drift recorded across 3 previous runs.
Raw Open → Now price change: 37.8% • -6.09 probability points
Previous market evidence

No previous open-to-final drift in the recorded sample.

Opened 7/2Market avg 5/1
Price move-6.09pp(-37.8%)
11/2 → 11/2 ↓ 9/2 ↑ 5/1 ↑ 11/2 ↓ 5/1 ↓ 9/2 → 9/2 ↑ 5/1 ↑ 11/2
BEST FIXED ODDS
11/2 6.5 decimal 10 Bet
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
10 Bet 11/2BetTom 11/2Betfred 11/2Boyle Sports 11/2Hollywood Bets 11/2Midnite 11/2Quinn Bet 11/2SportingIndex 11/2Spreadex 11/2Star Sports 11/2Unibet 11/2Betfair Sportsbook 11/2Paddy Power 11/2LiveScore Bet 11/2Virgin Bet 11/27Bet 5/1BetMGM 5/1BetWright 5/1Dragon Bet 5/1William Hill 5/1Bet Victor 9/2Bet365 9/2Betano 9/2Coral 9/2Ladbrokes 9/2
25 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
YarmouthToday1m 2f 23y · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 10 runners7/2-4.04ppOpen → 10am9/2-2.05pp10am → now; SP pending5/1Current; SP pendingPending-6.09pp
THIS IS THE HORSE’S LARGEST RECORDED DRIFTMarket-6.09ppMarket weakness from the opening price.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLargest recorded driftLargest recorded drift across 3 previous runs. This flags unusual market weakness; it does not claim a finishing record.Since 10amWeakening-2.05pp since 10am, as of 11:43. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

Across 3 previous runs, this is the horse’s largest recorded drift. This horse did not have a confirmed 5pp+ drift by 10am, so the trainer’s early-drift record is not being applied. Despite dropping from Class 2 to Class 4, the market is still weakening. Today’s move: Warrior Mode has moved from 7/2 to 5/1, a developing drift (-6.09pp).

Drifted by 4.04pp by 10am. Drifted by 2.05pp more since 10am. As of 11:43; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Kempton (AW) · 12 Aug 2026 · 1st · 1/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Yarmouth · previous Kempton (AW)×Trip (within ½f): Today 1m 2f 23y · previous 1m×Ground: Today Good To Firm · previous Standard / Slow✓Class: Class 4
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 9/2 (5.50 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 11/4 (3.67 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 22/56 (39.3%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 19.5%.

Support levels are not met while the horse is drifting. Check whether it recovers rather than treating the bigger odds as value on their own.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
16:05Yarmouth
AccademiaDraw 6
Trainer: Ed Walker
Jockey: Kieran Shoemark
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
PRO RACECARD ↗
↔ SAME CLASS
SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf
Last run40 days ago · 26 Aug 2026
Distance changeUp 2.1f from last run
More evidence
Average winning SP4/12 recorded wins in the loaded Market Form sample
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILESTRONGEST RECORDED DRIFT FOR THIS HORSE (100th percentile)
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Largest drift recorded across 4 previous runs.
Raw Open → Now price change: 10.8% • -1.36 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Lingfield, 30 May 2026 — 5th • open 15/2 → final 12/1 (-4.07pp).

Opened 6/1Market avg 7/1
Price move-1.36pp(-10.8%)
15/2 → 15/2 ↓ 6/1 ↑ 13/2 ↑ 7/1 ↓ 13/2 ↑ 15/2 ↓ 6/1 ↑ 13/2 ↑ 7/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
15/2 8.5 decimal Bet365
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Bet365 15/2Betfred 15/2Boyle Sports 15/2Coral 15/2Hollywood Bets 15/2Ladbrokes 15/2Quinn Bet 15/2William Hill 15/2LiveScore Bet 15/2Virgin Bet 15/210 Bet 7/1BetTom 7/1Midnite 7/1Star Sports 7/1Unibet 7/1Paddy Power 7/17Bet 13/2BetMGM 13/2BetWright 13/2Dragon Bet 13/2SportingIndex 13/2Spreadex 13/2Betfair Sportsbook 13/2Bet Victor 6/1Betano 6/1
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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
YarmouthToday1m 2f 23y · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 10 runners6/1+0.40ppOpen → 10am6/1-1.75pp10am → now; SP pending7/1Current; SP pendingPending-1.36pp
THIS IS THE HORSE’S STRONGEST RECORDED SUPPORTMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-1.75pp since 10am, as of 11:43. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

Across 4 previous runs, this is the horse’s strongest recorded support. Today’s move: Accademia is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 0.40pp by 10am. Drifted by 1.75pp since 10am. As of 11:43; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Newbury · 17 Jul 2026 · 1st · 1/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Yarmouth · previous Newbury×Trip (within ½f): Today 1m 2f 23y · previous 1m✓Ground: Good To Firm×Class: Today Class 4 · previous Class 5
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 6/1 (7.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 9/2 (5.29 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 36/117 (30.8%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 16.2%.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
16:05Yarmouth
Trainer: George Margarson
Jockey: Jack Callan
PRO RACECARD ↗
⬇ CLASS DROP
SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf
COURSE RECORD0/2 top 2YarmouthAverage course SP 9/1 · Today close to the course average
Last run10 days ago · 25 Sep 2026
Distance changeUp 1.1f from last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
89th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE89th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
Only 1 of 9 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 3rd at Ascot on 10 Jul 2026 (-5.56pp).
When drifting like this: failed 3/3Historical Drift Profile

15 Sep 26 | Yarmouth | Open: 6/1 → Final: 7/1 | SP: 8/1 | Fin: 3
04 Sep 26 | Ascot | Open: 40/1 → Final: 50/1 | SP: 40/1 | Fin: 12
10 Jul 26 | Ascot | Open: 5/1 → Final: 13/2 | SP: 13/2 | Fin: 3
When drifting like this: failed 3/3 — view runs
15 Sep 2026 · Yarmouth
Open 6/1 → final 7/1 · SP 8/1 · 3rd
04 Sep 2026 · Ascot
Open 40/1 → final 50/1 · SP 40/1 · 12th
10 Jul 2026 · Ascot
Open 5/1 → final 13/2 · SP 13/2 · 3rd
Raw Open → Now price change: 30% • -3.30 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Newmarket, 14 Apr 2026 — 10th • open 6/1 → final 9/1 (-4.29pp).

Opened 6/1Market avg 8/1
Price move-3.30pp(-30.0%)
8/1 → 8/1 ↓ 7/1 ↑ 8/1 ↑ 9/1 ↓ 15/2 ↑ 17/2 ↓ 7/1 ↑ 15/2 ↑ 8/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/1 10 decimal BetTom
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
BetTom 9/1Unibet 9/1LiveScore Bet 9/1Virgin Bet 9/1Bet365 17/2Hollywood Bets 17/2Quinn Bet 17/2Star Sports 17/2William Hill 17/2Betfair Sportsbook 17/2Paddy Power 17/210 Bet 8/1BetWright 8/1Betfred 8/1Boyle Sports 8/1Dragon Bet 8/1Midnite 8/1SportingIndex 8/1Spreadex 8/17Bet 15/2BetMGM 15/2Bet Victor 7/1Betano 7/1Coral 7/1Ladbrokes 7/1
25 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
YarmouthToday1m 2f 23y · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 10 runners6/1-0.95ppOpen → 10am13/2-2.34pp10am → now; SP pending8/1Current; SP pendingPending-3.30pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-2.34pp since 10am, as of 11:43. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

Just 1 of 9 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. The horse drops from Class 3 to Class 4, but the market has not responded with meaningful support. Today’s move: Mythical Guest is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Drifted by 0.95pp by 10am. Drifted by 2.34pp more since 10am. As of 11:43; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 13/2 (7.50 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +10.00pp · around 3/1 (4.12 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 1/7 (14.3%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 5.3%. Small sample.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
16:05Yarmouth
Trainer: William Knight
Jockey: Neil Callan
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
PRO RACECARD ↗
⬆ CLASS RISE
SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf
COURSE RECORD0/2 top 2YarmouthAverage course SP 9/1 · Today close to the course average
Last run25 days ago · 10 Sep 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
More evidence
Average winning SP2/11 recorded win in the loaded Market Form sample
88th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE88th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
Only 1 of 8 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 2nd at Epsom on 10 Sep 2026 (-3.33pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 29.6% • -3.05 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Yarmouth, 11 Apr 2026 — 4th • open 12/1 → final 16/1 (-1.81pp).

Opened 13/2Market avg 17/2
Price move-3.05pp(-29.6%)
9/1 → 9/1 ↓ 15/2 ↑ 17/2 ↑ 9/1 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 9/1 ↓ 15/2 ↑ 17/2 ↑ 9/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/1 10 decimal 10 Bet
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
10 Bet 9/1Bet365 9/1BetTom 9/1Betfred 9/1Boyle Sports 9/1Coral 9/1Ladbrokes 9/1Midnite 9/1Quinn Bet 9/1SportingIndex 9/1Spreadex 9/1Star Sports 9/1Unibet 9/1William Hill 9/1Paddy Power 9/1LiveScore Bet 9/1Virgin Bet 9/17Bet 17/2BetWright 17/2Dragon Bet 17/2Betfair Sportsbook 17/2BetMGM 8/1Hollywood Bets 8/1Bet Victor 15/2Betano 15/2
25 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
YarmouthToday1m 2f 23y · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 10 runners13/2-0.83ppOpen → 10am7/1-2.21pp10am → now; SP pending17/2Current; SP pendingPending-3.05pp
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-2.21pp since 10am, as of 11:43. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

Just 1 of 8 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. It is also stepping up from Class 5 to Class 4, which adds another test today. Today’s move: Beach Point is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Drifted by 0.83pp by 10am. Drifted by 2.21pp more since 10am. As of 11:43; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Epsom · 10 Sep 2026 · 2nd · 1/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Yarmouth · previous Epsom✓Trip (within ½f): 1m 2f 23y×Ground: Today Good To Firm · previous Good To Soft×Class: Today Class 4 · previous Class 5
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 7/1 (8.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 9/2 (5.45 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 16/66 (24.2%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 12.8%.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
16:05Yarmouth
Trainer: Hugo Palmer
Jockey: Tom Marquand
PRO RACECARD ↗
⬇ CLASS DROP
SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf
Last run23 days ago · 12 Sep 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
Raw Open → Now price change: 39.7% • -3.79 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Chester, 12 Sep 2026 — 5th • open 7/2 → final 4/1 (-2.22pp).

Opened 13/2Market avg 9/1
Price move-3.79pp(-39.7%)
10/1 → 10/1 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 9/1 ↑ 10/1 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 10/1 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 9/1 ↑ 10/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
10/1 11 decimal 10 Bet
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
10 Bet 10/1Bet365 10/1BetTom 10/1Betfred 10/1Boyle Sports 10/1Hollywood Bets 10/1Midnite 10/1Quinn Bet 10/1SportingIndex 10/1Spreadex 10/1Star Sports 10/1Unibet 10/1William Hill 10/1Betfair Sportsbook 10/1Paddy Power 10/1LiveScore Bet 10/1Virgin Bet 10/17Bet 9/1BetWright 9/1Dragon Bet 9/1Bet Victor 8/1BetMGM 8/1Betano 8/1Coral 8/1Ladbrokes 8/1
25 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
YarmouthToday1m 2f 23y · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 10 runners13/2-2.22ppOpen → 10am8/1-1.57pp10am → now; SP pending9/1Current; SP pendingPending-3.79pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-1.57pp since 10am, as of 11:43. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. The horse drops from Class 3 to Class 4, but the market has not responded with meaningful support. Today’s move: Box To Box is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Drifted by 2.22pp by 10am. Drifted by 1.57pp more since 10am. As of 11:43; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 8/1 (9.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 9/2 (5.45 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 24/93 (25.8%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 9.8%.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
16:05Yarmouth
Trainer: James Owen
Jockey: Harry Davies
PRO RACECARD ↗
⬆ CLASS RISE
SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf
Last run11 days ago · 24 Sep 2026
Distance changeUp 2.1f from last run
More evidence
Average winning SP6/41 recorded win in the loaded Market Form sample
67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 1 of 3 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 5th at Newmarket on 24 Sep 2026 (-7.05pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 16.7% • -1.19 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Newmarket, 24 Sep 2026 — 5th • open 11/2 → final 9/1 (-5.38pp).

Opened 11/1Market avg 12/1
Price move-1.19pp(-16.7%)
14/1 → 14/1 ↓ 11/1 ↑ 12/1 → 12/1 ↓ 11/1 ↑ 16/1 ↓ 11/1 ↑ 12/1 ↑ 14/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
16/1 17 decimal Bet365
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Bet365 16/110 Bet 14/1Betfred 14/1Boyle Sports 14/1Midnite 14/1Quinn Bet 14/1SportingIndex 14/1Spreadex 14/1Star Sports 14/1Unibet 14/1Betfair Sportsbook 14/1Paddy Power 14/1LiveScore Bet 14/1Virgin Bet 14/17Bet 12/1BetTom 12/1BetWright 12/1Dragon Bet 12/1Hollywood Bets 12/1William Hill 12/1Bet Victor 11/1BetMGM 11/1Betano 11/1Coral 11/1Ladbrokes 11/1
25 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
YarmouthToday1m 2f 23y · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 10 runners11/1+0.76ppOpen → 10am10/1-1.95pp10am → now; SP pending12/1Current; SP pendingPending-1.19pp
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-1.95pp since 10am, as of 11:43. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

Just 1 of 3 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. It is also stepping up from Class 5 to Class 4, which adds another test today. Today’s move: Warning Symbol is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 0.76pp by 10am. Drifted by 1.95pp since 10am. As of 11:43; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Kempton (AW) · 18 Feb 2026 · 1st · 0/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Yarmouth · previous Kempton (AW)×Trip (within ½f): Today 1m 2f 23y · previous 1m×Ground: Today Good To Firm · previous Standard To Slow×Class: Today Class 4 · previous Class 5
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 10/1 (11.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 13/2 (7.50 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 62/204 (30.4%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 16.4%.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Race market overview as at 11:48
  • Supported1 of 10 runners at +4pp or more · strongest: Cuff It +4.13pp
  • Drifting1 of 10 runners at −4pp or worse · largest: Warrior Mode -6.09pp
  • Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
  • Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.
16:40Yarmouth • 1m0f3y • Class 4 • Going: Good To Firm
7 runners
Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

16:40Yarmouth
Trainer: Dr Richard Newland
Jockey: Rossa Ryan
PRO RACECARD ↗
↔ SAME CLASS
SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf
Last run14 days ago · 21 Sep 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
More evidence
Average winning SP6/11 recorded win in the loaded Market Form sample
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILESTRONGEST RECORDED DRIFT FOR THIS HORSE (100th percentile)
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Largest drift recorded across 7 previous runs.
Raw Open → Now price change: 40% • -6.35 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Southwell (AW), 07 Apr 2026 — 7th • open 5/1 → final 10/1 (-7.58pp).

Opened 7/2Market avg 11/2
Price move-6.35pp(-40.0%)
11/2 ↑ 6/1 ↓ 5/1 → 5/1 ↑ 11/2 ↓ 7/2 ↑ 5/1 → 5/1 ↑ 11/2 → 11/2
BEST FIXED ODDS
6/1 7 decimal Betfred
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Betfred 6/1Unibet 6/1LiveScore Bet 6/110 Bet 11/27Bet 11/2BetTom 11/2Boyle Sports 11/2Hollywood Bets 11/2Ladbrokes 11/2Midnite 11/2Quinn Bet 11/2Star Sports 11/2William Hill 11/2Betfair Sportsbook 11/2Paddy Power 11/2Virgin Bet 11/2Bet Victor 5/1Bet365 5/1BetWright 5/1Betano 5/1Dragon Bet 5/1SportingIndex 5/1Spreadex 5/1Coral 9/2BetMGM 7/2
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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
YarmouthToday1m 3y · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 12 runners7/2+0.00ppOpen → 10am7/2-6.35pp10am → now; SP pending11/2Current; SP pendingPending-6.35pp
THIS IS THE HORSE’S LARGEST RECORDED DRIFTMarket-6.35ppMarket weakness from the opening price.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLargest recorded driftLargest recorded drift across 7 previous runs. This flags unusual market weakness; it does not claim a finishing record.Since 10amWeakening-6.35pp since 10am, as of 11:43. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

Across 7 previous runs, this is the horse’s largest recorded drift. This horse did not have a confirmed 5pp+ drift by 10am, so the trainer’s early-drift record is not being applied. Today’s move: Island Bear has moved from 7/2 to 11/2, a developing drift (-6.35pp).

No net move by 10am. Drifted by 6.35pp since 10am. As of 11:43; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Leicester · 21 Sep 2026 · 1st · 2/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Yarmouth · previous Leicester✓Trip (within ½f): 1m 3y×Ground: Today Good To Firm · previous Good✓Class: Class 4
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 7/2 (4.50 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Support levels are not met while the horse is drifting. Check whether it recovers rather than treating the bigger odds as value on their own.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
16:40Yarmouth
ColonnadeDraw 4
Trainer: Simon & Ed Crisford
Jockey: Robert Havlin
PRO RACECARD ↗
⬇ CLASS DROP
SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf
Last run23 days ago · 12 Sep 2026
Distance changeDown 2.2f from last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILESTRONGEST RECORDED DRIFT FOR THIS HORSE (100th percentile)
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Largest drift recorded across 4 previous runs.
Raw Open → Now price change: 107.9% • -11.98 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Windsor, 13 Jul 2026 — 3rd • open 13/2 → final 12/1 (-5.64pp).

Opened 10/3Market avg 8/1
Price move-11.98pp(-107.9%)
8/1 ↑ 17/2 ↓ 7/1 ↑ 8/1 → 8/1 ↓ 7/1 ↑ 8/1 ↓ 7/1 ↑ 8/1 → 8/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
17/2 9.5 decimal Betfred
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Betfred 17/2Coral 17/2Ladbrokes 17/2Quinn Bet 17/2SportingIndex 17/2Spreadex 17/2Unibet 17/2William Hill 17/210 Bet 8/17Bet 8/1Bet365 8/1BetTom 8/1BetWright 8/1Boyle Sports 8/1Dragon Bet 8/1Hollywood Bets 8/1Midnite 8/1Star Sports 8/1LiveScore Bet 8/1Virgin Bet 8/1Betfair Sportsbook 15/2Paddy Power 15/2Bet Victor 7/1BetMGM 7/1Betano 7/1
25 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
YarmouthToday1m 3y · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 12 runners10/3-8.81ppOpen → 10am6/1-3.17pp10am → now; SP pending8/1Current; SP pendingPending-11.98pp
THIS IS THE HORSE’S LARGEST RECORDED DRIFTMarket-11.98ppMarket weakness from the opening price.Trainer15.4% → 16.7%Normal → matching strike rate; 48 runners, 10am drift. Changes under 3 percentage points stay neutral.Horse historyLargest recorded driftLargest recorded drift across 4 previous runs. This flags unusual market weakness; it does not claim a finishing record.Since 10amWeakening-3.17pp since 10am, as of 11:43. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

Across 4 previous runs, this is the horse’s largest recorded drift. The trainer’s drift record adds context: When this trainer's runners had drifted by 5pp+ by 10am, 8/48 won (16.7%), compared with the yard's normal 15.4% strike rate. Despite dropping from Class 3 to Class 4, the market is still weakening. Today’s move: Colonnade has moved from 10/3 to 8/1, a significant drift (-11.98pp).

Drifted by 8.81pp by 10am. Drifted by 3.17pp more since 10am. As of 11:43; SP pending. If it keeps drifting into SP: this trainer’s runners with 5pp+ drift by 10am that kept drifting from 10am to SP won 4/19 (21.1%). This is a historical win rate, not a prediction.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Bath · 12 Sep 2026 · 2nd · 0/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Yarmouth · previous Bath×Trip (within ½f): Today 1m 3y · previous 1m 2f 37y×Ground: Today Good To Firm · previous Good×Class: Today Class 4 · previous Class 3
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 6/1 (7.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 5/2 (3.56 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 16/67 (23.9%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 15.4%.

Support levels are not met while the horse is drifting. Check whether it recovers rather than treating the bigger odds as value on their own.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
16:40Yarmouth
Trainer: George Margarson
Jockey: Jack Callan
🟢 Needs Support (8%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.
PRO RACECARD ↗
⬆ CLASS RISE
SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf
COURSE RECORD3/4 top 2YarmouthAverage course SP 11/2 · 43% bigger today
Last run18 days ago · 17 Sep 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
More evidence
Average winning SP13/23 recorded wins in the loaded Market Form sample
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILESTRONGEST RECORDED DRIFT FOR THIS HORSE (100th percentile)
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Largest drift recorded across 7 previous runs.
Raw Open → Now price change: 69.5% • -7.45 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Newmarket, 16 May 2026 — 4th • open 13/2 → final 12/1 (-5.64pp).

Opened 9/2Market avg 17/2
Price move-7.45pp(-69.5%)
8/1 ↑ 17/2 ↓ 15/2 ↑ 17/2 ↓ 8/1 ↓ 7/1 ↑ 8/1 ↓ 15/2 ↑ 17/2 ↓ 8/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/1 10 decimal Ladbrokes
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Ladbrokes 9/1Midnite 9/1SportingIndex 9/1Spreadex 9/1Unibet 9/17Bet 17/2BetWright 17/2Betfred 17/2Dragon Bet 17/2Hollywood Bets 17/2Quinn Bet 17/2Star Sports 17/2William Hill 17/2Betfair Sportsbook 17/2Paddy Power 17/2LiveScore Bet 17/2Virgin Bet 17/210 Bet 8/1Bet365 8/1BetTom 8/1Boyle Sports 8/1Bet Victor 15/2Betano 15/2BetMGM 7/1Coral 7/1
25 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
YarmouthToday1m 3y · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 12 runners9/2-4.85ppOpen → 10am13/2-2.60pp10am → now; SP pending17/2Current; SP pendingPending-7.45pp
THIS IS THE HORSE’S LARGEST RECORDED DRIFTMarket-7.45ppMarket weakness from the opening price.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLargest recorded driftLargest recorded drift across 7 previous runs. This flags unusual market weakness; it does not claim a finishing record.Since 10amWeakening-2.60pp since 10am, as of 11:43. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

Across 7 previous runs, this is the horse’s largest recorded drift. This horse did not have a confirmed 5pp+ drift by 10am, so the trainer’s early-drift record is not being applied. It is also stepping up from Class 5 to Class 4, which adds another test today. Today’s move: Guest House has moved from 9/2 to 17/2, a developing drift (-7.45pp).

Drifted by 4.85pp by 10am. Drifted by 2.60pp more since 10am. As of 11:43; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Yarmouth · 02 Aug 2026 · 1st · 3/4 known conditions match
✓Track: Yarmouth✓Trip (within ½f): 1m 3y✓Ground: Good To Firm×Class: Today Class 4 · previous Class 6
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 13/2 (7.50 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +10.00pp · around 5/2 (3.55 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 1/7 (14.3%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 5.3%. Small sample.

Support levels are not met while the horse is drifting. Check whether it recovers rather than treating the bigger odds as value on their own.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
16:40Yarmouth
Trainer: William Haggas
Jockey: Tom Marquand
PRO RACECARD ↗
↔ SAME CLASS
SURFACE SWITCHAW → Turf
COURSE RECORD0/1 top 2Yarmouth · 1 run onlyAverage course SP 9/1 · 66% bigger today
Last run26 days ago · 9 Sep 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
2 of 6 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 8th at Kempton (AW) on 09 Sep 2026 (-5.97pp); and finished 4th at Wolverhampton (AW) on 29 May 2026 (-5.85pp).
When drifting like this: failed 2/3Historical Drift Profile

09 Aug 26 | Leicester | Open: 15/8 → Final: 4/1 | SP: 4/1 | Fin: 2
14 Jun 26 | Doncaster | Open: 8/1 → Final: 12/1 | SP: 14/1 | Fin: 4
29 May 26 | Wolverhampton (AW) | Open: 8/1 → Final: 33/1 | SP: 25/1 | Fin: 4
When drifting like this: failed 2/3 — view runs
09 Aug 2026 · Leicester
Open 15/8 → final 4/1 · SP 4/1 · 2nd
14 Jun 2026 · Doncaster
Open 8/1 → final 12/1 · SP 14/1 · 4th
29 May 2026 · Wolverhampton (AW)
Open 8/1 → final 33/1 · SP 25/1 · 4th
Raw Open → Now price change: 66% • -3.98 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Leicester, 09 Aug 2026 — 2nd • open 15/8 → final 4/1 (-14.72pp).

Opened 9/1Market avg 16/1
Price move-3.98pp(-66.0%)
16/1 ↓ 14/1 → 14/1 ↑ 16/1 → 16/1 ↓ 14/1 ↑ 16/1 ↓ 14/1 ↑ 16/1 → 16/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
16/1 17 decimal 10 Bet
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
10 Bet 16/17Bet 16/1Bet365 16/1BetTom 16/1BetWright 16/1Boyle Sports 16/1Coral 16/1Dragon Bet 16/1Hollywood Bets 16/1Ladbrokes 16/1Midnite 16/1Quinn Bet 16/1SportingIndex 16/1Spreadex 16/1Star Sports 16/1Unibet 16/1William Hill 16/1Paddy Power 16/1LiveScore Bet 16/1Virgin Bet 16/1Bet Victor 14/1BetMGM 14/1Betano 14/1Betfred 14/1Betfair Sportsbook 14/1
25 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
YarmouthToday1m 3y · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 12 runners9/1-3.33ppOpen → 10am14/1-0.64pp10am → now; SP pending16/1Current; SP pendingPending-3.98pp
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-0.64pp since 10am, as of 11:43. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

Just 2 of 6 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Venetian Sky is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Drifted by 3.33pp by 10am. Drifted by 0.64pp more since 10am. As of 11:43; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Leicester · 09 Aug 2026 · 2nd · 2/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Yarmouth · previous Leicester✓Trip (within ½f): 1m 3y✓Ground: Good To Firm×Class: Today Class 4 · previous Class 5
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 14/1 (15.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 11/2 (6.67 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 52/164 (31.7%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 19.1%.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
16:40Yarmouth
Trainer: Tom Ward
Jockey: Kieran Shoemark
PRO RACECARD ↗
↔ SAME CLASS
SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf
Last run25 days ago · 10 Sep 2026
Distance changeUp 1f from last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
4 of 4 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 9th at Epsom on 10 Sep 2026 (-3.54pp); finished 3rd at Leicester on 04 Jul 2026 (-3.62pp); finished 8th at Doncaster on 20 Jun 2026 (-1.76pp); and finished 4th at Southwell (AW) on 01 Jan 2026 (-3.57pp).
When drifting like this: failed 4/4Historical Drift Profile

10 Sep 26 | Epsom | Open: 9/1 → Final: 18/1 | SP: 22/1 | Fin: 9
04 Jul 26 | Leicester | Open: 11/2 → Final: 12/1 | SP: 16/1 | Fin: 3
20 Jun 26 | Doncaster | Open: 15/2 → Final: 18/1 | SP: 22/1 | Fin: 8
01 Jan 26 | Southwell (AW) | Open: 11/4 → Final: 9/2 | SP: 9/2 | Fin: 4
When drifting like this: failed 4/4 — view runs
10 Sep 2026 · Epsom
Open 9/1 → final 18/1 · SP 22/1 · 9th
04 Jul 2026 · Leicester
Open 11/2 → final 12/1 · SP 16/1 · 3rd
20 Jun 2026 · Doncaster
Open 15/2 → final 18/1 · SP 22/1 · 8th
01 Jan 2026 · Southwell (AW)
Open 11/4 → final 9/2 · SP 9/2 · 4th
Raw Open → Now price change: 45.9% • -1.50 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Southwell (AW), 01 Jan 2026 — 4th • open 11/4 → final 9/2 (-8.48pp).

Opened 20/1Market avg 28/1
Price move-1.50pp(-45.9%)
33/1 → 33/1 ↓ 25/1 ↑ 28/1 ↑ 33/1 ↓ 20/1 ↑ 33/1 ↓ 25/1 ↑ 28/1 ↓ 28/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
33/1 34 decimal Bet365
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Bet365 33/1BetTom 33/1Betfred 33/1Boyle Sports 33/1Hollywood Bets 33/1Quinn Bet 33/1SportingIndex 33/1Spreadex 33/1Star Sports 33/1Unibet 33/1William Hill 33/1LiveScore Bet 33/1Virgin Bet 33/17Bet 28/110 Bet 28/1BetWright 28/1Dragon Bet 28/1Midnite 28/1Betfair Sportsbook 28/1Paddy Power 28/1Bet Victor 25/1Betano 25/1Coral 22/1Ladbrokes 22/1BetMGM 20/1
25 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
YarmouthToday1m 3y · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 12 runners20/1+0.00ppOpen → 10am20/1-1.50pp10am → now; SP pending28/1Current; SP pendingPending-1.50pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-1.50pp since 10am, as of 11:43. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

4 of 4 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Galileo Island is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

No net move by 10am. Drifted by 1.50pp since 10am. As of 11:43; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 20/1 (21.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 9/1 (10.24 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 9/26 (34.6%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 7.1%.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
16:40Yarmouth
TrinculoDraw 3
Trainer: Hugo Palmer
Jockey: Luke Morris
PRO RACECARD ↗
⬆ CLASS RISE
SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf
Last run18 days ago · 17 Sep 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 1 of 3 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 10th at Ayr on 17 Sep 2026 (-6.52pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 5.1% • -0.14 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Ayr, 17 Sep 2026 — 10th • open 8/1 → final 16/1 (-4.99pp).

Opened 33/1Market avg 40/1
Price move-0.14pp(-5.1%)
33/1 → 33/1 ↓ 28/1 ↑ 33/1 ↑ 40/1 ↓ 25/1 ↑ 40/1 ↓ 28/1 ↑ 33/1 ↑ 40/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
40/1 41 decimal 10 Bet
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
10 Bet 40/1Bet365 40/1BetTom 40/1Coral 40/1Dragon Bet 40/1Hollywood Bets 40/1Ladbrokes 40/1Quinn Bet 40/1SportingIndex 40/1Spreadex 40/1Star Sports 40/1Unibet 40/1Betfair Sportsbook 40/1Paddy Power 40/1LiveScore Bet 40/1Virgin Bet 40/17Bet 33/1BetWright 33/1Betfred 33/1Boyle Sports 33/1Midnite 33/1William Hill 33/1Bet Victor 28/1Betano 28/1BetMGM 25/1
25 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
YarmouthToday1m 3y · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 12 runners33/1+1.07ppOpen → 10am25/1-1.20pp10am → now; SP pending40/1Current; SP pendingPending-0.14pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-1.20pp since 10am, as of 11:43. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

Just 1 of 3 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. It is also stepping up from Class 5 to Class 4, which adds another test today. Today’s move: Trinculo is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 1.07pp by 10am. Drifted by 1.20pp since 10am. As of 11:43; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 25/1 (26.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 12/1 (12.86 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 24/93 (25.8%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 9.8%.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
16:40Yarmouth
Trainer: John Ryan
Jockey: Donagh Murphy(5)
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
PRO RACECARD ↗
⬆ CLASS RISE
SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf
COURSE RECORD1/2 top 2YarmouthAverage course SP 16/1 · 136% bigger today
Last run11 days ago · 24 Sep 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
More evidence
Average winning SP7/22 recorded wins in the loaded Market Form sample
58th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE58th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
5 of 12 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 9th at Newmarket on 24 Sep 2026 (-1.81pp); finished 7th at Windsor on 07 Sep 2026 (-4.41pp); finished 5th at Newmarket (July) on 17 Jul 2026 (-3.21pp); finished 6th at Carlisle on 09 Jul 2026 (-1.40pp); and finished 8th at Yarmouth on 26 Jun 2026 (-0.78pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 22.6% • -0.59 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Windsor, 07 Sep 2026 — 7th • open 5/2 → final 4/1 (-9.41pp).

Opened 28/1Market avg 40/1
Price move-0.59pp(-22.6%)
40/1 → 40/1 ↓ 28/1 ↑ 33/1 ↑ 40/1 ↓ 25/1 ↑ 40/1 ↓ 28/1 ↑ 33/1 ↑ 40/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
40/1 41 decimal 10 Bet
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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
YarmouthToday1m 3y · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 12 runners28/1+0.62ppOpen → 10am25/1-1.21pp10am → now; SP pending40/1Current; SP pendingPending-0.59pp
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-1.21pp since 10am, as of 11:43. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

Just 5 of 12 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. It is also stepping up from Class 5 to Class 4, which adds another test today. Today’s move: Ecclefechan is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 0.62pp by 10am. Drifted by 1.21pp since 10am. As of 11:43; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Yarmouth · 30 Aug 2026 · 1st · 2/4 known conditions match
✓Track: Yarmouth✓Trip (within ½f): 1m 3y×Ground: Today Good To Firm · previous Good To Soft×Class: Today Class 4 · previous Class 6
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 25/1 (26.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 11/1 (12.16 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 2/15 (13.3%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 6.5%.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Race market overview as at 11:48
  • Supported2 of 12 runners at +4pp or more · strongest: Drifts Away +6.22pp
  • Drifting3 of 12 runners at −4pp or worse · largest: Colonnade -11.98pp
  • Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
  • Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.
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