Live Horse Racing Market Movement

13:15Yarmouth • 0m6f3y • Class 6 • Going: Good To Firm

9 runners

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EightthreeoneDraw 2

Trainer: Eve Johnson Houghton

Jockey: Oliver Carmichael(5)

🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

10AM EMERGING PATTERNFrozen 10am Emerging market pattern. This is an early pattern, not yet a fully established repeat-winner signal.

Source: stored dcn_signal_flags classification for today. This signal is frozen at 10am; the live price can move afterwards without changing the 10am classification.

PRO RACECARD ↗

⬇ CLASS DROP

SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf

COURSE RECORD0/1 top 2Yarmouth · 1 run onlyAverage course SP 9/2 · 32% shorter today

Last run24 days ago · 11 Sep 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

More evidence

Average winning SP20/11 recorded win in the loaded Market Form sample

100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILETHE STRONGEST MOVE RECORDED (100th percentile)

EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE

Strongest support recorded across 8 previous runs.

0/4 placed when backed like this (0%).

When backed like this: 0/4 WON

Raw Open → Now price change: 25.4% • +6.81 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Chepstow, 06 Aug 2026 — 4th • open 5/1 → final 10/3 (+6.43pp).

All 4 comparable backed runs (1st or 2nd counts as placed):

Salisbury, 11 Sep 2026 — 3rd • open 22/1 → final 18/1
Goodwood, 28 Aug 2026 — 4th • open 18/1 → final 12/1
Chepstow, 06 Aug 2026 — 4th • open 5/1 → final 10/3
Windsor, 27 Jun 2026 — 6th • open 5/1 → final 7/2

Opened 4/1Market avg 11/4

Price move+6.81pp(+25.4%)

5/2 → 5/2 → 5/2 ↑ 11/4 ↑ 3/1 ↓ 11/4 ↑ 3/1 ↓ 5/2 ↑ 11/4 ↓ 9/4

BEST FIXED ODDS

3/1 4 decimal Bet365

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Bet365 3/1BetTom 3/1Hollywood Bets 3/1SportingIndex 3/1Spreadex 3/1Unibet 3/17Bet 11/4BetMGM 11/4BetWright 11/4Coral 11/4Dragon Bet 11/4Ladbrokes 11/4LiveScore Bet 11/4Midnite 11/4Quinn Bet 11/4Virgin Bet 11/4William Hill 11/4Paddy Power 11/4Bet Victor 5/2Betano 5/2Betfred 5/2Boyle Sports 5/2Star Sports 5/2Betfair Sportsbook 5/210 Bet 9/4

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
YarmouthToday6f 3y · Class 6 · Good To Firm · 9 runners	4/1	+13.33ppOpen → 10am	2/1	-6.52pp10am → now; SP pending	11/4Current; SP pending	Pending	+6.81pp
Goodwood23 May 20265f · Class 4 · Good · 9 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	10/1	+2.02ppOpen → 10am	8/1	+0.65pp10am → SP	15/2	2nd	+2.67pp
Post-race comment
Southwell (AW)07 Apr 20266f 16y · Class 5 · Standard · 12 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	8/1	-5.85ppOpen → 10am	18/1	-0.50pp10am → SP	20/1	1st	-6.35pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
YarmouthToday6f 3y · Class 6 · Good To Firm · 9 runners	4/1	+13.33ppOpen → 10am	2/1	-6.52pp10am → now; SP pending	11/4Current; SP pending	Pending	+6.81pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

TRAINER RECORD MAKES THIS SUPPORT SIGNIFICANTMarket+6.81ppGenuine support from the opening price.Trainer11.6% → 24.6%Normal → matching strike rate; 69 runners, Open→SP. Changes under 3 percentage points stay neutral.Horse historyMissed top 2: 4/4Comparable support: 0 first/second finishes in 4 completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-6.52pp since 10am, as of 11:39. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

Eve Johnson Houghton runners in the matching 5pp+ band have won 17/69 (a 24.6% Open→SP strike rate), compared with the trainer’s normal 11.6% strike rate. Across 8 previous runs, this is the horse’s strongest recorded support. When backed in a similar way previously, it finished first or second in 0 of 4 runs. The support is accompanied by a drop from Class 5 to Class 6, giving the horse more favourable conditions today. Today’s move: Eightthreeone has shortened from 4/1 to 11/4, which is support (+6.81pp).

Shortened by 13.33pp by 10am. Drifted by 6.52pp since 10am. As of 11:39; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Southwell (AW) · 07 Apr 2026 · 1st · 1/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Yarmouth · previous Southwell (AW)✓Trip (within ½f): 6f 3y×Ground: Today Good To Firm · previous Standard×Class: Today Class 6 · previous Class 5

ACT NOW — DO NOT WAIT FOR ANOTHER 2PP

40% of Eve Johnson Houghton runners backed by at least 12pp by 10am continued to shorten from 10am to SP (4/10). Today’s live move of +6.81pp is supported by the horse or trainer evidence too. That continuation record is the reason to act now: waiting for another 2pp risks losing the available price.

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Trainer support level

Support of +10.00pp · around 9/4 (3.33 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 11/27 (40.7%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 11.6%.

Risk of losing the price: 4/10 (40%) trainer runners backed by 12pp+ by 10am shortened further into SP.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

ArnazDraw 1

Trainer: Mark Loughnane

Jockey: Hope Regan(7)

🟢 Needs Support (8%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

10AM REPEAT WINNERFrozen 10am Repeat Winner signal from the Market Patterns engine.

Source: stored dcn_signal_flags classification for today. This signal is frozen at 10am; the live price can move afterwards without changing the 10am classification.

Surface profile: TURF.
Historical qualifying record: 2/7 placed • 2/7 won.

PRO RACECARD ↗

⬇ CLASS DROP

SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf

Last run28 days ago · 7 Sep 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

More evidence

Average winning SP5/12 recorded wins in the loaded Market Form sample

64th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE64th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

4 of 11 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 5th at Windsor on 07 Sep 2026 (+3.87pp); finished 6th at Brighton on 23 Aug 2026 (+4.41pp); finished 7th at Kempton (AW) on 08 Apr 2026 (+8.04pp); and finished 7th at Wolverhampton (AW) on 02 Jan 2026 (+8.81pp).

29% repeat place strike (7 qualifying runs)

Repeat pattern record: 2/7 placed • 2/7 won

When backed like this: 1/2 WON

Raw Open → Now price change: 14% • +3.27 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Chepstow, 18 Aug 2026 — 1st • open 9/4 → final 6/5 (+14.20pp).

All 2 comparable backed runs (1st or 2nd counts as placed):

Brighton, 23 Aug 2026 — 6th • open 3/1 → final 5/2
Chepstow, 09 Aug 2026 — 1st • open 11/1 → final 10/1

Opened 4/1Market avg 10/3

Price move+3.27pp(+14.0%)

10/3 ↑ 7/2 ↓ 3/1 ↑ 10/3 → 10/3 → 10/3 ↑ 7/2 ↓ 3/1 ↑ 10/3 ↓ 3/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

7/2 4.5 decimal Bet365

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Bet365 7/2Betfred 7/2William Hill 7/27Bet 10/3BetMGM 10/3BetTom 10/3BetWright 10/3Boyle Sports 10/3Coral 10/3Dragon Bet 10/3Hollywood Bets 10/3Ladbrokes 10/3LiveScore Bet 10/3Quinn Bet 10/3SportingIndex 10/3Spreadex 10/3Star Sports 10/3Unibet 10/3Virgin Bet 10/3Betfair Sportsbook 10/3Paddy Power 10/310 Bet 3/1Bet Victor 3/1Betano 3/1Midnite 3/1

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
YarmouthToday6f 3y · Class 6 · Good To Firm · 9 runners	4/1	+6.67ppOpen → 10am	11/4	-3.40pp10am → now; SP pending	10/3Current; SP pending	Pending	+3.27pp
Chepstow18 Aug 20266f 16y · Class 6 · Good To Firm · 10 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	9/4	+10.77ppOpen → 10am	11/8	+3.44pp10am → SP	6/5	1st	+14.20pp
Post-race comment
Chepstow09 Aug 20266f 16y · Class 6 · Good To Firm · 7 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	11/1	+2.19ppOpen → 10am	17/2	-0.53pp10am → SP	9/1	1st	+1.67pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
YarmouthToday6f 3y · Class 6 · Good To Firm · 9 runners	4/1	+6.67ppOpen → 10am	11/4	-3.40pp10am → now; SP pending	10/3Current; SP pending	Pending	+3.27pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-3.40pp since 10am, as of 11:39. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

Just 4 of 11 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Under comparable market conditions it has finished first or second in 2 of 7 runs, including 2 wins. The horse drops from Class 5 to Class 6, but the market has not responded with meaningful support. Today’s move: Arnaz is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 6.67pp by 10am. Drifted by 3.40pp since 10am. As of 11:39; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Chepstow · 18 Aug 2026 · 1st · 3/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Yarmouth · previous Chepstow✓Trip (within ½f): 6f 3y✓Ground: Good To Firm✓Class: Class 6

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Horse support level

Support of +0.76pp · around 4/1 (4.82 decimal).

Level reached — watch whether support holds.

2/6 finished 1st or 2nd with this much support or more (33%).

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 3/1 (4.00 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 7/38 (18.4%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 4.6%.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

Iconic DawnDraw 3

Trainer: Hughie Morrison

Jockey: Toby Moore(5)

PRO RACECARD ↗

↔ SAME CLASS

SURFACE SWITCHAW → Turf

Last run12 days ago · 23 Sep 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

More evidence

Average winning SP9/21 recorded win in the loaded Market Form sample

100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILESTRONGEST RECORDED DRIFT FOR THIS HORSE (100th percentile)

EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE

Largest drift recorded across 6 previous runs.

When drifting like this: failed 2/3

When drifting like this: failed 2/3 — view runs

23 Sep 2026 · Kempton (AW)
Open 7/2 → final 5/1 · SP 5/1 · 3rd

12 Sep 2026 · Lingfield (AW)
Open 3/1 → final 5/1 · SP 9/2 · 1st

04 Aug 2026 · Ffos Las
Open 20/1 → final 28/1 · SP 28/1 · 4th

Raw Open → Now price change: 43.5% • -8.08 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Lingfield (AW), 12 Sep 2026 — 1st • open 3/1 → final 5/1 (-8.33pp).

Opened 11/4Market avg 9/2

Price move-8.08pp(-43.5%)

9/2 → 9/2 ↓ 4/1 ↑ 9/2 → 9/2 ↓ 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 ↑ 9/2 → 9/2

BEST FIXED ODDS

9/2 5.5 decimal 10 Bet

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10 Bet 9/27Bet 9/2BetTom 9/2BetWright 9/2Betfred 9/2Boyle Sports 9/2Coral 9/2Dragon Bet 9/2Hollywood Bets 9/2Ladbrokes 9/2LiveScore Bet 9/2Midnite 9/2Quinn Bet 9/2Star Sports 9/2Unibet 9/2Virgin Bet 9/2William Hill 9/2Betfair Sportsbook 9/2Paddy Power 9/2Bet Victor 4/1Bet365 4/1BetMGM 4/1Betano 4/1SportingIndex 4/1Spreadex 4/1

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
YarmouthToday6f 3y · Class 6 · Good To Firm · 9 runners	11/4	-4.44ppOpen → 10am	7/2	-3.63pp10am → now; SP pending	9/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-8.08pp
Lingfield (AW)12 Sep 20266f 1y · Class 6 · Standard · 10 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	3/1	-8.33ppOpen → 10am	5/1	+1.52pp10am → SP	9/2	1st	-6.82pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
YarmouthToday6f 3y · Class 6 · Good To Firm · 9 runners	11/4	-4.44ppOpen → 10am	7/2	-3.63pp10am → now; SP pending	9/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-8.08pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

THIS IS THE HORSE’S LARGEST RECORDED DRIFTMarket-8.08ppMarket weakness from the opening price.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLargest recorded driftLargest recorded drift across 6 previous runs. This flags unusual market weakness; it does not claim a finishing record.Since 10amWeakening-3.63pp since 10am, as of 11:39. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

Across 6 previous runs, this is the horse’s largest recorded drift. This horse did not have a confirmed 5pp+ drift by 10am, so the trainer’s early-drift record is not being applied. Today’s move: Iconic Dawn has moved from 11/4 to 9/2, a significant drift (-8.08pp).

Drifted by 4.44pp by 10am. Drifted by 3.63pp more since 10am. As of 11:39; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Lingfield (AW) · 12 Sep 2026 · 1st · 2/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Yarmouth · previous Lingfield (AW)✓Trip (within ½f): 6f 3y×Ground: Today Good To Firm · previous Standard✓Class: Class 6

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 7/2 (4.50 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 9/4 (3.16 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 7/24 (29.2%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 10.5%.

Support levels are not met while the horse is drifting. Check whether it recovers rather than treating the bigger odds as value on their own.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Koffee And KaleDraw 7

Trainer: Michael Bell

Jockey: Joe Bradnam(7)

🟢 Needs Support (27%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

PRO RACECARD ↗

↔ SAME CLASS

SURFACE SWITCHAW → Turf

COURSE RECORD1/1 top 2Yarmouth · 1 run onlyAverage course SP 3/1 · 59% bigger today

Last run13 days ago · 22 Sep 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILESTRONGEST RECORDED DRIFT FOR THIS HORSE (100th percentile)

EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE

Largest drift recorded across 9 previous runs.

When drifting like this: failed 3/3

When drifting like this: failed 3/3 — view runs

09 Jul 2026 · Doncaster
Open 11/1 → final 18/1 · SP 22/1 · 7th

13 Jun 2026 · Leicester
Open 11/2 → final 12/1 · SP 12/1 · 7th

25 Apr 2026 · Ripon
Open 5/1 → final 10/1 · SP 11/1 · 3rd

Raw Open → Now price change: 41.3% • -6.50 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Leicester, 13 Jun 2026 — 7th • open 11/2 → final 12/1 (-7.69pp).

Opened 7/2Market avg 11/2

Price move-6.50pp(-41.3%)

11/2 → 11/2 ↓ 9/2 ↑ 5/1 ↑ 11/2 ↓ 5/1 ↑ 11/2 ↓ 9/2 ↑ 5/1 ↑ 11/2

BEST FIXED ODDS

6/1 7 decimal Unibet

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Unibet 6/110 Bet 11/2Bet365 11/2BetTom 11/2Betfred 11/2Boyle Sports 11/2Coral 11/2Hollywood Bets 11/2Ladbrokes 11/2LiveScore Bet 11/2Midnite 11/2Quinn Bet 11/2SportingIndex 11/2Spreadex 11/2Star Sports 11/2Virgin Bet 11/2William Hill 11/2Betfair Sportsbook 11/2Paddy Power 11/27Bet 5/1BetMGM 5/1BetWright 5/1Dragon Bet 5/1Bet Victor 9/2Betano 9/2

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
YarmouthToday6f 3y · Class 6 · Good To Firm · 9 runners	7/2	-4.04ppOpen → 10am	9/2	-2.46pp10am → now; SP pending	11/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-6.50pp
Wolverhampton (AW)15 Sep 20265f 21y · Class 6 · Standard · 9 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	5/1	+4.98ppOpen → 10am	7/2	+8.55pp10am → SP	9/4	2nd	+13.53pp
Post-race comment
Yarmouth13 May 20265f 42y · Class 5 · Good · 5 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	9/2	+8.48ppOpen → 10am	11/4	-1.67pp10am → SP	3/1	2nd	+6.82pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
YarmouthToday6f 3y · Class 6 · Good To Firm · 9 runners	7/2	-4.04ppOpen → 10am	9/2	-2.46pp10am → now; SP pending	11/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-6.50pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

THIS IS THE HORSE’S LARGEST RECORDED DRIFTMarket-6.50ppMarket weakness from the opening price.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLargest recorded driftLargest recorded drift across 9 previous runs. This flags unusual market weakness; it does not claim a finishing record.Since 10amWeakening-2.46pp since 10am, as of 11:39. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

Across 9 previous runs, this is the horse’s largest recorded drift. This horse did not have a confirmed 5pp+ drift by 10am, so the trainer’s early-drift record is not being applied. Today’s move: Koffee And Kale has moved from 7/2 to 11/2, a developing drift (-6.50pp).

Drifted by 4.04pp by 10am. Drifted by 2.46pp more since 10am. As of 11:39; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Wolverhampton (AW) · 15 Sep 2026 · 2nd · 1/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Yarmouth · previous Wolverhampton (AW)×Trip (within ½f): Today 6f 3y · previous 5f 21y×Ground: Today Good To Firm · previous Standard✓Class: Class 6

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 9/2 (5.50 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Horse support level

Support of +6.82pp · around 5/2 (3.44 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

2/2 finished 1st or 2nd with this much support or more (100%).

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 11/4 (3.67 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 16/69 (23.2%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 11.7%.

Support levels are not met while the horse is drifting. Check whether it recovers rather than treating the bigger odds as value on their own.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Two And TwoDraw 9

Trainer: Simon Hodgson

Jockey: Charlie Tucker(7)

PRO RACECARD ↗

SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf

Last run96 days ago · 1 Jul 2026

Distance changeDown 1f from last run

More evidence

Average winning SP40/11 recorded win in the loaded Market Form sample

100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILESTRONGEST RECORDED DRIFT FOR THIS HORSE (100th percentile)

EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE

Largest drift recorded across 5 previous runs.

Raw Open → Now price change: 56.3% • -6.01 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Leopardstown (IRE), 04 Jun 2026 — 13th • open 9/1 → final 16/1 (-4.12pp).

Opened 5/1Market avg 17/2

Price move-6.01pp(-56.3%)

9/1 → 9/1 ↓ 15/2 ↑ 8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 ↑ 17/2 ↓ 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2

BEST FIXED ODDS

9/1 10 decimal Betfred

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Betfred 9/1Boyle Sports 9/1Midnite 9/1SportingIndex 9/1Spreadex 9/1Star Sports 9/1William Hill 9/1Betfair Sportsbook 9/1Paddy Power 9/1Bet365 17/2Coral 17/2Ladbrokes 17/2LiveScore Bet 17/2Virgin Bet 17/2BetMGM 8/1BetTom 8/1BetWright 8/1Dragon Bet 8/1Hollywood Bets 8/1Quinn Bet 8/1Unibet 8/110 Bet 15/27Bet 15/2Bet Victor 15/2Betano 15/2

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
YarmouthToday6f 3y · Class 6 · Good To Firm · 9 runners	5/1	-4.17ppOpen → 10am	7/1	-1.84pp10am → now; SP pending	17/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-6.01pp
Dundalk (AW) (IRE)13 Jan 20266f · Class — · Standard · 10 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	25/1	+0.50ppOpen → 10am	22/1	-1.91pp10am → SP	40/1	1st	-1.41pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
YarmouthToday6f 3y · Class 6 · Good To Firm · 9 runners	5/1	-4.17ppOpen → 10am	7/1	-1.84pp10am → now; SP pending	17/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-6.01pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

THIS IS THE HORSE’S LARGEST RECORDED DRIFTMarket-6.01ppMarket weakness from the opening price.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLargest recorded driftLargest recorded drift across 5 previous runs. This flags unusual market weakness; it does not claim a finishing record.Since 10amWeakening-1.84pp since 10am, as of 11:39. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

Across 5 previous runs, this is the horse’s largest recorded drift. This horse did not have a confirmed 5pp+ drift by 10am, so the trainer’s early-drift record is not being applied. Today’s move: Two And Two has moved from 5/1 to 17/2, a developing drift (-6.01pp).

Drifted by 4.17pp by 10am. Drifted by 1.84pp more since 10am. As of 11:39; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Dundalk (AW) (IRE) · 13 Jan 2026 · 1st · 1/3 known conditions match

×Track: Today Yarmouth · previous Dundalk (AW) (IRE)✓Trip (within ½f): 6f 3y×Ground: Today Good To Firm · previous Standard?Class: Data missing

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 7/1 (8.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Support levels are not met while the horse is drifting. Check whether it recovers rather than treating the bigger odds as value on their own.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

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Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Danger AlertDraw 8

Trainer: Adam Kirby

Jockey: Taryn Langley(3)

PRO RACECARD ↗

↔ SAME CLASS

SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf

COURSE RECORD0/1 top 2Yarmouth · 1 run onlyAverage course SP 8/1 · 26% bigger today

Last run7 days ago · 28 Sep 2026

Distance changeUp 0.7f from last run

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILESTRONGEST RECORDED DRIFT FOR THIS HORSE (100th percentile)

EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE

Largest drift recorded across 5 previous runs.

Raw Open → Now price change: 31.6% • -2.79 probability points

Previous market evidence

No previous open-to-final drift in the recorded sample.

Opened 15/2Market avg 10/1

Price move-2.79pp(-31.6%)

11/1 → 11/1 ↓ 9/1 ↑ 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 ↑ 11/1 ↓ 9/1 ↑ 10/1 → 10/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

11/1 12 decimal Bet365

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Bet365 11/1Betfred 11/1Boyle Sports 11/1Coral 11/1Hollywood Bets 11/1Ladbrokes 11/1LiveScore Bet 11/1Quinn Bet 11/1Virgin Bet 11/1William Hill 11/110 Bet 10/17Bet 10/1BetMGM 10/1BetTom 10/1BetWright 10/1Dragon Bet 10/1Midnite 10/1SportingIndex 10/1Spreadex 10/1Star Sports 10/1Unibet 10/1Betfair Sportsbook 10/1Paddy Power 10/1Bet Victor 9/1Betano 9/1

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
YarmouthToday6f 3y · Class 6 · Good To Firm · 9 runners	15/2	-0.52ppOpen → 10am	8/1	-2.28pp10am → now; SP pending	10/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-2.79pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
YarmouthToday6f 3y · Class 6 · Good To Firm · 9 runners	15/2	-0.52ppOpen → 10am	8/1	-2.28pp10am → now; SP pending	10/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-2.79pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

THIS IS THE HORSE’S STRONGEST RECORDED SUPPORTMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-2.28pp since 10am, as of 11:39. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

Across 5 previous runs, this is the horse’s strongest recorded support. Today’s move: Danger Alert is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Drifted by 0.52pp by 10am. Drifted by 2.28pp more since 10am. As of 11:39; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 8/1 (9.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 5/1 (6.01 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 7/26 (26.9%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 10.8%.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

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Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Honky Tonk GirlDraw 5

Trainer: Oliver Cole

Jockey: Jack Dace

PRO RACECARD ↗

↔ SAME CLASS

SURFACE SWITCHAW → Turf

Last run23 days ago · 12 Sep 2026

Distance changeDown 1f from last run

More evidence

Average winning SP5/61 recorded win in the loaded Market Form sample

57th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE57th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

3 of 7 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 1st at Bath on 31 Jul 2026 (+8.33pp); finished 4th at Wolverhampton (AW) on 14 Jul 2026 (+6.67pp); and finished 9th at Southwell (AW) on 05 Jul 2026 (+12.31pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 12.8% • +0.98 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Wolverhampton (AW), 14 Jul 2026 — 4th • open 9/1 → final 7/2 (+12.22pp).

Opened 14/1Market avg 12/1

Price move+0.98pp(+12.8%)

12/1 → 12/1 ↓ 10/1 ↑ 12/1 ↓ 11/1 ↑ 12/1 → 12/1 ↓ 10/1 ↑ 12/1 → 12/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

14/1 15 decimal SportingIndex

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SportingIndex 14/1Spreadex 14/1Betfair Sportsbook 14/1Paddy Power 14/110 Bet 12/17Bet 12/1Bet365 12/1BetMGM 12/1BetWright 12/1Betfred 12/1Boyle Sports 12/1Coral 12/1Dragon Bet 12/1Hollywood Bets 12/1Ladbrokes 12/1LiveScore Bet 12/1Midnite 12/1Quinn Bet 12/1Star Sports 12/1Virgin Bet 12/1William Hill 12/1BetTom 11/1Unibet 11/1Bet Victor 10/1Betano 10/1

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
YarmouthToday6f 3y · Class 6 · Good To Firm · 9 runners	14/1	+3.33ppOpen → 10am	9/1	-2.35pp10am → now; SP pending	12/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.98pp
Bath31 Jul 20265f 160y · Class 5 · Firm · 6 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	11/8	+13.89ppOpen → 10am	4/5	-0.91pp10am → SP	5/6	1st	+12.98pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
YarmouthToday6f 3y · Class 6 · Good To Firm · 9 runners	14/1	+3.33ppOpen → 10am	9/1	-2.35pp10am → now; SP pending	12/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.98pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-2.35pp since 10am, as of 11:39. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

Just 3 of 7 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Honky Tonk Girl is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 3.33pp by 10am. Drifted by 2.35pp since 10am. As of 11:39; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Bath · 31 Jul 2026 · 1st · 1/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Yarmouth · previous Bath✓Trip (within ½f): 6f 3y×Ground: Today Good To Firm · previous Firm×Class: Today Class 6 · previous Class 5

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 15/2 (8.57 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 6/26 (23.1%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 10.1%.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

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Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

Aleppo PepperDraw 6

Trainer: John Ryan

Jockey: Donagh Murphy(5)

PRO RACECARD ↗

⬇ CLASS DROP

SURFACE SWITCHAW → Turf

Last run160 days ago · 28 Apr 2026

Distance changeUp 1f from last run

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

Raw Open → Now price change: 34.4% • -1.50 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Lingfield (AW), 28 Apr 2026 — 5th • open 4/1 → final 20/1 (-15.24pp).

Opened 16/1Market avg 22/1

Price move-1.50pp(-34.4%)

22/1 → 22/1 ↓ 18/1 ↑ 20/1 ↑ 22/1 ↓ 20/1 ↑ 25/1 ↓ 18/1 ↑ 20/1 ↑ 22/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

25/1 26 decimal Bet365

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Bet365 25/1Midnite 25/1SportingIndex 25/1Spreadex 25/110 Bet 22/1BetTom 22/1Betfred 22/1Boyle Sports 22/1Coral 22/1Hollywood Bets 22/1Ladbrokes 22/1LiveScore Bet 22/1Quinn Bet 22/1Star Sports 22/1Unibet 22/1Virgin Bet 22/1William Hill 22/1Betfair Sportsbook 22/1Paddy Power 22/17Bet 20/1BetMGM 20/1BetWright 20/1Dragon Bet 20/1Bet Victor 18/1Betano 18/1

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
YarmouthToday6f 3y · Class 6 · Good To Firm · 9 runners	16/1	-0.62ppOpen → 10am	18/1	-0.88pp10am → now; SP pending	22/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-1.50pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
YarmouthToday6f 3y · Class 6 · Good To Firm · 9 runners	16/1	-0.62ppOpen → 10am	18/1	-0.88pp10am → now; SP pending	22/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-1.50pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-0.88pp since 10am, as of 11:39. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. The horse drops from Class 5 to Class 6, but the market has not responded with meaningful support. Today’s move: Aleppo Pepper is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Drifted by 0.62pp by 10am. Drifted by 0.88pp more since 10am. As of 11:39; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 18/1 (19.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 8/1 (9.19 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 2/15 (13.3%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 6.5%.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

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Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

She's DivineDraw 4

Trainer: Mark Loughnane

Jockey: Jack Callan

PRO RACECARD ↗

⬇ CLASS DROP

SURFACE SWITCHAW → Turf

Last run111 days ago · 16 Jun 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

Raw Open → Now price change: 91% • -3.97 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Southwell (AW), 06 Jan 2026 — 5th • open 5/1 → final 16/1 (-10.78pp).

Opened 11/1Market avg 22/1

Price move-3.97pp(-91.0%)

22/1 ↓ 20/1 ↓ 18/1 ↑ 22/1 → 22/1 ↓ 20/1 ↑ 22/1 ↓ 18/1 ↑ 20/1 ↑ 22/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

25/1 26 decimal SportingIndex

● Live bookmakers30s refresh

SportingIndex 25/1Spreadex 25/1Betfair Sportsbook 25/1Paddy Power 25/110 Bet 22/1Bet365 22/1BetTom 22/1BetWright 22/1Boyle Sports 22/1Coral 22/1Dragon Bet 22/1Hollywood Bets 22/1Ladbrokes 22/1LiveScore Bet 22/1Midnite 22/1Quinn Bet 22/1Star Sports 22/1Unibet 22/1Virgin Bet 22/1William Hill 22/17Bet 20/1BetMGM 20/1Betfred 20/1Bet Victor 18/1Betano 18/1

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
YarmouthToday6f 3y · Class 6 · Good To Firm · 9 runners	11/1	-3.07ppOpen → 10am	18/1	-0.90pp10am → now; SP pending	22/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-3.97pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
YarmouthToday6f 3y · Class 6 · Good To Firm · 9 runners	11/1	-3.07ppOpen → 10am	18/1	-0.90pp10am → now; SP pending	22/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-3.97pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-0.90pp since 10am, as of 11:39. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. The horse drops from Class 5 to Class 6, but the market has not responded with meaningful support. Today’s move: She's Divine is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Drifted by 3.07pp by 10am. Drifted by 0.90pp more since 10am. As of 11:39; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 18/1 (19.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 13/2 (7.50 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 7/38 (18.4%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 4.6%.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Race market overview as at 11:41

Supported1 of 9 runners at +4pp or more · strongest: Eightthreeone +6.81pp
Drifting3 of 9 runners at −4pp or worse · largest: Iconic Dawn -8.08pp
Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.

13:50Yarmouth • 1m0f3y • Class 3 • Going: Good To Firm

7 runners

Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

ClaudetteDraw 4

Trainer: John & Thady Gosden

Jockey: Robert Havlin

PRO RACECARD ↗

⬇ CLASS DROP

SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf

Last run31 days ago · 4 Sep 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

Raw Open → Now price change: 32.8% • -13.73 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Ascot, 04 Sep 2026 — 5th • open 2/1 → final 11/2 (-18.17pp).

Opened 4/5Market avg 11/8

Price move-13.73pp(-32.8%)

11/8 ↑ 6/4 ↓ 5/4 ↑ 11/8 → 11/8 ↓ 5/4 ↑ 11/8 ↓ 5/4 ↑ 11/8 ↑ 6/4

BEST FIXED ODDS

13/8 2.63 decimal Unibet

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Unibet 13/810 Bet 6/4Betfred 6/4Coral 6/4SportingIndex 6/4Spreadex 6/4Star Sports 6/47Bet 11/8Bet365 11/8BetTom 11/8BetWright 11/8Boyle Sports 11/8Dragon Bet 11/8Hollywood Bets 11/8LiveScore Bet 11/8Quinn Bet 11/8Virgin Bet 11/8William Hill 11/8Betfair Sportsbook 11/8Paddy Power 11/8Bet Victor 5/4BetMGM 5/4Betano 5/4Midnite 5/4Ladbrokes 6/5

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
YarmouthToday1m 3y · Class 3 · Good To Firm · 7 runners	4/5	-7.94ppOpen → 10am	11/10	-5.80pp10am → now; SP pending	11/8Current; SP pending	Pending	-13.73pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
YarmouthToday1m 3y · Class 3 · Good To Firm · 7 runners	4/5	-7.94ppOpen → 10am	11/10	-5.80pp10am → now; SP pending	11/8Current; SP pending	Pending	-13.73pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

SIGNIFICANT MARKET DRIFT DETECTEDMarket-13.73ppMarket weakness from the opening price.Trainer24.7% → 29.1%Normal → matching strike rate; 55 runners, 10am drift. Changes under 3 percentage points stay neutral.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-5.80pp since 10am, as of 11:39. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. The trainer’s drift record adds context: When this trainer's runners had drifted by 5pp+ by 10am, 16/55 won (29.1%), compared with the yard's normal 24.7% strike rate. Despite dropping from Class 2 to Class 3, the market is still weakening. Today’s move: Claudette has moved from 4/5 to 11/8, a significant drift (-13.73pp).

Drifted by 7.94pp by 10am. Drifted by 5.80pp more since 10am. As of 11:39; SP pending. If it keeps drifting into SP: this trainer’s runners with 5pp+ drift by 10am that kept drifting from 10am to SP won 5/22 (22.7%). This is a historical win rate, not a prediction.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 11/10 (2.10 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 4/6 (1.65 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 35/95 (36.8%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 24.7%.

Support levels are not met while the horse is drifting. Check whether it recovers rather than treating the bigger odds as value on their own.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Dawn ChorusDraw 7

Trainer: Charlie Appleby

Jockey: Rossa Ryan

PRO RACECARD ↗

Last runNot recorded

Distance changeNot recorded

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

Raw Open → Now price change: 39.6% • +13.10 probability points

Opened 4/1Market avg 2/1

Price move+13.10pp(+39.6%)

15/8 ↑ 2/1 ↓ 15/8 ↑ 2/1 ↓ 15/8 ↑ 2/1 ↑ 5/2 ↓ 15/8 ↑ 2/1 → 2/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

5/2 3.5 decimal Bet365

● Live bookmakers30s refresh

Bet365 5/2SportingIndex 9/4Spreadex 9/4Betfair Sportsbook 9/4Paddy Power 9/4Unibet 9/410 Bet 2/17Bet 2/1BetMGM 2/1BetWright 2/1Betfred 2/1Dragon Bet 2/1Hollywood Bets 2/1Ladbrokes 2/1LiveScore Bet 2/1Midnite 2/1Quinn Bet 2/1Star Sports 2/1Virgin Bet 2/1Bet Victor 15/8BetTom 15/8Betano 15/8Boyle Sports 15/8William Hill 7/4Coral 13/8

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
YarmouthToday1m 3y · Class 3 · Good To Firm · 7 runners	4/1	+20.00ppOpen → 10am	6/4	-6.90pp10am → now; SP pending	2/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+13.10pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
YarmouthToday1m 3y · Class 3 · Good To Firm · 7 runners	4/1	+20.00ppOpen → 10am	6/4	-6.90pp10am → now; SP pending	2/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+13.10pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

TRAINER RECORD MAKES THIS SUPPORT SIGNIFICANTMarket+13.10ppGenuine support from the opening price.Trainer32.2% → 48.7%Normal → matching strike rate; 39 runners, Open→SP. Changes under 3 percentage points stay neutral.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-6.90pp since 10am, as of 11:39. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

Charlie Appleby runners in the matching 10pp+ band have won 19/39 (a 48.7% Open→SP strike rate), compared with the trainer’s normal 32.2% strike rate. There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Dawn Chorus has shortened from 4/1 to 2/1, which is strong support (+13.10pp).

Shortened by 20.00pp by 10am. Drifted by 6.90pp since 10am. As of 11:39; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Trainer support level

Support of +15.00pp · around 15/8 (2.86 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 7/18 (38.9%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 32.2%.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

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Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

AwwjaanDraw 6

Trainer: Ed Walker

Jockey: Kieran Shoemark

PRO RACECARD ↗

⬇ CLASS DROP

SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf

Last run24 days ago · 11 Sep 2026

Distance changeUp 1f from last run

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

Raw Open → Now price change: 8.6% • -1.98 probability points

Previous market evidence

No previous open-to-final drift in the recorded sample.

Opened 3/1Market avg 10/3

Price move-1.98pp(-8.6%)

7/2 ↓ 10/3 ↓ 3/1 ↑ 10/3 ↑ 7/2 ↓ 10/3 ↑ 10/3 ↓ 3/1 ↑ 10/3 ↓ 3/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

7/2 4.5 decimal BetTom

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BetTom 7/2Boyle Sports 7/2Hollywood Bets 7/2Ladbrokes 7/2LiveScore Bet 7/2Quinn Bet 7/2SportingIndex 7/2Spreadex 7/2Virgin Bet 7/2William Hill 7/2Betfair Sportsbook 7/2Paddy Power 7/27Bet 10/3Bet365 10/3BetWright 10/3Betfred 10/3Dragon Bet 10/3Midnite 10/3Star Sports 10/3Unibet 10/3BetMGM 10/310 Bet 3/1Bet Victor 3/1Betano 3/1Coral 11/4

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
YarmouthToday1m 3y · Class 3 · Good To Firm · 7 runners	3/1	+1.67ppOpen → 10am	11/4	-3.65pp10am → now; SP pending	10/3Current; SP pending	Pending	-1.98pp
Doncaster11 Sep 20267f 6y · Class 2 · Good · 4 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	8/1	+4.27ppOpen → 10am	11/2	+2.80pp10am → SP	9/2	2nd	+7.07pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
YarmouthToday1m 3y · Class 3 · Good To Firm · 7 runners	3/1	+1.67ppOpen → 10am	11/4	-3.65pp10am → now; SP pending	10/3Current; SP pending	Pending	-1.98pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-3.65pp since 10am, as of 11:39. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. The horse drops from Class 2 to Class 3, but the market has not responded with meaningful support. Today’s move: Awwjaan is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 1.67pp by 10am. Drifted by 3.65pp since 10am. As of 11:39; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Doncaster · 11 Sep 2026 · 2nd · 0/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Yarmouth · previous Doncaster×Trip (within ½f): Today 1m 3y · previous 7f 6y×Ground: Today Good To Firm · previous Good×Class: Today Class 3 · previous Class 2

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 11/4 (3.75 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 9/4 (3.33 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 36/117 (30.8%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 16.2%.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

EndearmentDraw 3

Trainer: William Haggas

Jockey: Tom Marquand

PRO RACECARD ↗

Last runNot recorded

Distance changeNot recorded

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

Raw Open → Now price change: 29.6% • -3.05 probability points

Opened 13/2Market avg 17/2

Price move-3.05pp(-29.6%)

9/1 → 9/1 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 17/2 ↑ 9/1 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 9/1 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 17/2 ↑ 9/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

9/1 10 decimal 10 Bet

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10 Bet 9/1Bet365 9/1BetTom 9/1Betfred 9/1Boyle Sports 9/1Hollywood Bets 9/1Ladbrokes 9/1LiveScore Bet 9/1Midnite 9/1Quinn Bet 9/1SportingIndex 9/1Spreadex 9/1Star Sports 9/1Unibet 9/1Virgin Bet 9/1William Hill 9/1Betfair Sportsbook 9/1Paddy Power 9/17Bet 17/2BetWright 17/2Dragon Bet 17/2Bet Victor 8/1BetMGM 8/1Betano 8/1Coral 13/2

25 bookmakers · scroll for all

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
YarmouthToday1m 3y · Class 3 · Good To Firm · 7 runners	13/2	+0.00ppOpen → 10am	13/2	-3.05pp10am → now; SP pending	17/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-3.05pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
YarmouthToday1m 3y · Class 3 · Good To Firm · 7 runners	13/2	+0.00ppOpen → 10am	13/2	-3.05pp10am → now; SP pending	17/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-3.05pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-3.05pp since 10am, as of 11:39. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Endearment is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

No net move by 10am. Drifted by 3.05pp since 10am. As of 11:39; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 13/2 (7.50 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 9/2 (5.45 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 52/164 (31.7%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 19.1%.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

WellbeingDraw 1

Trainer: Roger Varian

Jockey: Ray Dawson

PRO RACECARD ↗

Last runNot recorded

Distance changeNot recorded

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

Raw Open → Now price change: 26% • -1.72 probability points

Opened 11/1Market avg 14/1

Price move-1.72pp(-26.0%)

14/1 → 14/1 ↓ 12/1 ↑ 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 ↑ 16/1 ↓ 12/1 ↑ 14/1 → 14/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

16/1 17 decimal Bet365

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Bet365 16/1Ladbrokes 16/1LiveScore Bet 16/1Virgin Bet 16/1William Hill 16/110 Bet 14/17Bet 14/1BetMGM 14/1BetTom 14/1BetWright 14/1Betfred 14/1Boyle Sports 14/1Dragon Bet 14/1Hollywood Bets 14/1Midnite 14/1Quinn Bet 14/1SportingIndex 14/1Spreadex 14/1Star Sports 14/1Unibet 14/1Betfair Sportsbook 14/1Paddy Power 14/1Bet Victor 12/1Betano 12/1Coral 11/1

25 bookmakers · scroll for all

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
YarmouthToday1m 3y · Class 3 · Good To Firm · 7 runners	11/1	+0.00ppOpen → 10am	11/1	-1.72pp10am → now; SP pending	14/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-1.72pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
YarmouthToday1m 3y · Class 3 · Good To Firm · 7 runners	11/1	+0.00ppOpen → 10am	11/1	-1.72pp10am → now; SP pending	14/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-1.72pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-1.72pp since 10am, as of 11:39. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Wellbeing is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

No net move by 10am. Drifted by 1.72pp since 10am. As of 11:39; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 11/1 (12.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 13/2 (7.50 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 37/94 (39.4%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 22.2%.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Cherry AmberDraw 5

Trainer: Sir Mark Prescott Bt

Jockey: Luke Morris

PRO RACECARD ↗

Last runNot recorded

Distance changeNot recorded

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

Raw Open → Now price change: 151.8% • -2.32 probability points

Opened 25/1Market avg 66/1

Price move-2.32pp(-151.8%)

66/1 → 66/1 ↓ 50/1 ↑ 66/1 ↑ 66/1 → 66/1 ↑ 80/1 ↓ 50/1 ↑ 66/1 ↓ 66/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

80/1 81 decimal Bet365

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Bet365 80/1Midnite 80/17Bet 66/110 Bet 66/1BetMGM 66/1BetTom 66/1Betfred 66/1Boyle Sports 66/1Hollywood Bets 66/1Ladbrokes 66/1LiveScore Bet 66/1Quinn Bet 66/1SportingIndex 66/1Spreadex 66/1Star Sports 66/1Unibet 66/1Virgin Bet 66/1William Hill 66/1Betfair Sportsbook 66/1Paddy Power 66/1BetWright 66/1Dragon Bet 66/1Bet Victor 50/1Betano 50/1Coral 40/1

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
YarmouthToday1m 3y · Class 3 · Good To Firm · 7 runners	25/1	-1.41ppOpen → 10am	40/1	-0.91pp10am → now; SP pending	66/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-2.32pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
YarmouthToday1m 3y · Class 3 · Good To Firm · 7 runners	25/1	-1.41ppOpen → 10am	40/1	-0.91pp10am → now; SP pending	66/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-2.32pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-0.91pp since 10am, as of 11:39. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Cherry Amber is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Drifted by 1.41pp by 10am. Drifted by 0.91pp more since 10am. As of 11:39; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 40/1 (41.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 10/1 (11.30 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 22/56 (39.3%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 19.5%.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Top MarksDraw 2

Trainer: Philip McBride

Jockey: Saffie Osborne

PRO RACECARD ↗

Last runNot recorded

Distance changeNot recorded

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

Raw Open → Now price change: 88.3% • -0.92 probability points

Opened 50/1Market avg 100/1

Price move-0.92pp(-88.3%)

100/1 → 100/1 ↓ 80/1 → 80/1 ↑ 100/1 → 100/1 ↑ 100/1 ↓ 80/1 ↑ 100/1 → 100/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

100/1 126 decimal Bet365

● Live bookmakers30s refresh

Bet365 100/1Midnite 100/110 Bet 100/17Bet 100/1BetMGM 100/1BetTom 100/1Betfred 100/1Boyle Sports 100/1Hollywood Bets 100/1LiveScore Bet 100/1Quinn Bet 100/1Star Sports 100/1Unibet 100/1Virgin Bet 100/1William Hill 100/1Betfair Sportsbook 100/1Paddy Power 100/1Bet Victor 80/1BetWright 80/1Betano 80/1Coral 80/1Dragon Bet 80/1SportingIndex 80/1Spreadex 80/1Ladbrokes 66/1

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
YarmouthToday1m 3y · Class 3 · Good To Firm · 7 runners	50/1	-0.47ppOpen → 10am	66/1	-0.45pp10am → now; SP pending	100/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.92pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
YarmouthToday1m 3y · Class 3 · Good To Firm · 7 runners	50/1	-0.47ppOpen → 10am	66/1	-0.45pp10am → now; SP pending	100/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.92pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amHolding-0.45pp since 10am, as of 11:39. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Top Marks is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Drifted by 0.47pp by 10am. Drifted by 0.45pp more since 10am. As of 11:39; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 66/1 (67.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +10.00pp · around 15/2 (8.36 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 1/6 (16.7%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 8.3%. Small sample.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Race market overview as at 11:41

Supported1 of 7 runners at +4pp or more · strongest: Dawn Chorus +13.10pp
Drifting1 of 7 runners at −4pp or worse · largest: Claudette -13.73pp
Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.

14:25Yarmouth • 0m7f3y • Class 3 • Going: Good To Firm

5 runners

Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

ZhuriDraw 3

Trainer: John & Thady Gosden

Jockey: Robert Havlin

PRO RACECARD ↗

↔ SAME CLASS

SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf

Last run16 days ago · 19 Sep 2026

Distance changeDown 1f from last run

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

Raw Open → Now price change: 4.2% • -2.31 probability points

Built 00:00 → 10:41

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Newmarket, 19 Sep 2026 — 4th • open 5/1 → final 6/1 (-2.66pp).

Opened 8/11Market avg 4/5

Price move-2.31pp(-4.2%)

8/11 ↑ 4/5 ↓ 8/11 ↑ 4/5 ↑ 5/6 ↓ 4/5 ↓ 8/11 → 8/11 ↑ 4/5 → 4/5

BEST FIXED ODDS

5/6 1.83 decimal BetTom

● Live bookmakers30s refresh

BetTom 5/6Coral 5/6Ladbrokes 5/6LiveScore Bet 5/6Quinn Bet 5/6Star Sports 5/6Unibet 5/6Virgin Bet 5/6William Hill 5/6Paddy Power 5/6Betfair Sportsbook 5/610 Bet 4/57Bet 4/5BetMGM 4/5BetWright 4/5Betfred 4/5Dragon Bet 4/5Hollywood Bets 4/5Midnite 4/5SportingIndex 4/5Spreadex 4/5Bet Victor 8/11Bet365 8/11Betano 8/11Boyle Sports 8/11

25 bookmakers · scroll for all

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
YarmouthToday7f 3y · Class 3 · Good To Firm · 5 runners	8/11	+4.31ppOpen → 10am	8/13	-6.62pp10am → now; SP pending	4/5Current; SP pending	Pending	-2.31pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
YarmouthToday7f 3y · Class 3 · Good To Firm · 5 runners	8/11	+4.31ppOpen → 10am	8/13	-6.62pp10am → now; SP pending	4/5Current; SP pending	Pending	-2.31pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-6.62pp since 10am, as of 11:39. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Zhuri is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 4.31pp by 10am. Drifted by 6.62pp since 10am. As of 11:39; SP pending. If it keeps shortening into SP: this trainer’s runners with 4pp+ support by 10am that kept shortening from 10am to SP won 14/33 (42.4%). This is a historical win rate, not a prediction.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 8/13 (1.61 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 4/7 (1.59 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 35/95 (36.8%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 24.7%.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

FaithfulDraw 1

Trainer: William Haggas

Jockey: Tom Marquand

PRO RACECARD ↗

Last runNot recorded

Distance changeNot recorded

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

Raw Open → Now price change: 11.3% • -2.54 probability points

Opened 3/1Market avg 7/2

Price move-2.54pp(-11.3%)

10/3 ↑ 7/2 ↓ 10/3 ↑ 7/2 ↓ 10/3 → 10/3 ↑ 9/2 ↓ 10/3 ↑ 7/2 ↓ 3/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

9/2 5.5 decimal Bet365

● Live bookmakers30s refresh

Bet365 9/27Bet 7/2BetWright 7/2Betfred 7/2Coral 7/2Dragon Bet 7/2Hollywood Bets 7/2Ladbrokes 7/2LiveScore Bet 7/2Midnite 7/2SportingIndex 7/2Spreadex 7/2Virgin Bet 7/2William Hill 7/2Bet Victor 10/3BetMGM 10/3BetTom 10/3Betano 10/3Boyle Sports 10/3Quinn Bet 10/3Star Sports 10/3Unibet 10/3Paddy Power 10/3Betfair Sportsbook 10/310 Bet 3/1

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
YarmouthToday7f 3y · Class 3 · Good To Firm · 5 runners	3/1	+3.57ppOpen → 10am	5/2	-6.11pp10am → now; SP pending	7/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-2.54pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
YarmouthToday7f 3y · Class 3 · Good To Firm · 5 runners	3/1	+3.57ppOpen → 10am	5/2	-6.11pp10am → now; SP pending	7/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-2.54pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-6.11pp since 10am, as of 11:39. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Faithful is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 3.57pp by 10am. Drifted by 6.11pp since 10am. As of 11:39; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 5/2 (3.50 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 9/4 (3.33 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 52/164 (31.7%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 19.1%.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Lady JemimaDraw 2

Trainer: James Owen

Jockey: Harry Davies

PRO RACECARD ↗

⬇ CLASS DROP

SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf

Last run9 days ago · 26 Sep 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

Only 1 of 3 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 6th at Kempton (AW) on 14 Sep 2026 (-1.77pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 7.6% • -1.29 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Kempton (AW), 14 Sep 2026 — 6th • open 14/1 → final 25/1 (-3.05pp).

Opened 9/2Market avg 5/1

Price move-1.29pp(-7.6%)

9/2 ↑ 5/1 ↓ 9/2 ↑ 5/1 → 5/1 ↓ 9/2 ↑ 11/2 ↓ 9/2 ↑ 5/1 → 5/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

11/2 6.5 decimal Bet365

● Live bookmakers30s refresh

Bet365 11/2Unibet 11/210 Bet 5/17Bet 5/1BetTom 5/1BetWright 5/1Betfred 5/1Coral 5/1Dragon Bet 5/1Hollywood Bets 5/1Ladbrokes 5/1LiveScore Bet 5/1Quinn Bet 5/1SportingIndex 5/1Spreadex 5/1Star Sports 5/1Virgin Bet 5/1William Hill 5/1Paddy Power 5/1Bet Victor 9/2BetMGM 9/2Betano 9/2Boyle Sports 9/2Midnite 9/2Betfair Sportsbook 9/2

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
YarmouthToday7f 3y · Class 3 · Good To Firm · 5 runners	9/2	+4.91ppOpen → 10am	10/3	-6.20pp10am → now; SP pending	5/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-1.29pp
Newmarket26 Sep 20267f · Class 2 · Good To Firm · 10 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	40/1	+0.00ppOpen → 10am	40/1	+3.44pp10am → SP	16/1	2nd	+3.44pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
YarmouthToday7f 3y · Class 3 · Good To Firm · 5 runners	9/2	+4.91ppOpen → 10am	10/3	-6.20pp10am → now; SP pending	5/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-1.29pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-6.20pp since 10am, as of 11:39. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

Just 1 of 3 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. The horse drops from Class 2 to Class 3, but the market has not responded with meaningful support. Today’s move: Lady Jemima is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 4.91pp by 10am. Drifted by 6.20pp since 10am. As of 11:39; SP pending. If it keeps shortening into SP: this trainer’s runners with 4pp+ support by 10am that kept shortening from 10am to SP won 25/68 (36.8%). This is a historical win rate, not a prediction.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Newmarket · 26 Sep 2026 · 2nd · 2/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Yarmouth · previous Newmarket✓Trip (within ½f): 7f 3y✓Ground: Good To Firm×Class: Today Class 3 · previous Class 2

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 10/3 (4.33 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 10/3 (4.31 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 62/204 (30.4%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 16.4%.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

EmocionanteDraw 5

Trainer: Harry Eustace

Jockey: Kaiya Fraser

PRO RACECARD ↗

Last runNot recorded

Distance changeNot recorded

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

Raw Open → Now price change: 25.9% • -2.42 probability points

Opened 15/2Market avg 10/1

Price move-2.42pp(-25.9%)

10/1 → 10/1 ↓ 9/1 ↑ 10/1 ↓ 9/1 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 17/2 ↑ 9/1 ↑ 10/1 → 10/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

10/1 11 decimal 10 Bet

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10 Bet 10/17Bet 10/1BetWright 10/1Betfred 10/1Boyle Sports 10/1Coral 10/1Dragon Bet 10/1Hollywood Bets 10/1Ladbrokes 10/1LiveScore Bet 10/1Midnite 10/1Quinn Bet 10/1SportingIndex 10/1Spreadex 10/1Star Sports 10/1Virgin Bet 10/1William Hill 10/1Paddy Power 10/1Betfair Sportsbook 10/1Bet Victor 9/1BetTom 9/1Betano 9/1Unibet 9/1Bet365 17/2BetMGM 8/1

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
YarmouthToday7f 3y · Class 3 · Good To Firm · 5 runners	15/2	+1.57ppOpen → 10am	13/2	-3.99pp10am → now; SP pending	10/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-2.42pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
YarmouthToday7f 3y · Class 3 · Good To Firm · 5 runners	15/2	+1.57ppOpen → 10am	13/2	-3.99pp10am → now; SP pending	10/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-2.42pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-3.99pp since 10am, as of 11:39. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Emocionante is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 1.57pp by 10am. Drifted by 3.99pp since 10am. As of 11:39; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 13/2 (7.50 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 5/1 (5.96 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 13/33 (39.4%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 13.2%.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Never An AngelDraw 4

Trainer: Ed Walker

Jockey: Kieran Shoemark

PRO RACECARD ↗

Last runNot recorded

Distance changeNot recorded

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

Raw Open → Now price change: 26.3% • -2.19 probability points

Opened 17/2Market avg 11/1

Price move-2.19pp(-26.3%)

11/1 → 11/1 ↓ 10/1 ↑ 11/1 → 11/1 ↓ 10/1 ↑ 12/1 ↓ 10/1 ↑ 11/1 → 11/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

12/1 13 decimal Bet365

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Bet365 12/1SportingIndex 12/1Spreadex 12/1Unibet 12/110 Bet 11/17Bet 11/1BetTom 11/1BetWright 11/1Betfred 11/1Boyle Sports 11/1Coral 11/1Dragon Bet 11/1Hollywood Bets 11/1Ladbrokes 11/1LiveScore Bet 11/1Midnite 11/1Quinn Bet 11/1Star Sports 11/1Virgin Bet 11/1William Hill 11/1Paddy Power 11/1Bet Victor 10/1BetMGM 10/1Betano 10/1Betfair Sportsbook 10/1

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
YarmouthToday7f 3y · Class 3 · Good To Firm · 5 runners	17/2	+1.97ppOpen → 10am	7/1	-4.17pp10am → now; SP pending	11/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-2.19pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
YarmouthToday7f 3y · Class 3 · Good To Firm · 5 runners	17/2	+1.97ppOpen → 10am	7/1	-4.17pp10am → now; SP pending	11/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-2.19pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-4.17pp since 10am, as of 11:39. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Never An Angel is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 1.97pp by 10am. Drifted by 4.17pp since 10am. As of 11:39; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 7/1 (8.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 11/2 (6.44 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 36/117 (30.8%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 16.2%.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Race market overview as at 11:41

Supported0 of 5 runners at +4pp or more
Drifting0 of 5 runners at −4pp or worse
Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.

15:00Yarmouth • 0m7f3y • Class 6 • Going: Good To Firm

9 runners

Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

Ground ForceDraw 4

Trainer: James Owen

Jockey: Rossa Ryan

PRO RACECARD ↗

⬇ CLASS DROP

SURFACE SWITCHAW → Turf

Last run31 days ago · 4 Sep 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILETHE STRONGEST MOVE RECORDED (100th percentile)

EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE

Strongest support recorded across 3 previous runs.

Raw Open → Now price change: 17% • +6.31 probability points

Previous market evidence

No previous positive open-to-final support in the recorded sample.

Opened 9/4Market avg 7/4

Price move+6.31pp(+17.0%)

13/8 ↑ 7/4 ↓ 13/8 → 13/8 ↑ 7/4 ↓ 13/8 ↑ 7/4 ↓ 13/8 → 13/8 ↑ 7/4

BEST FIXED ODDS

7/4 2.75 decimal 10 Bet

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10 Bet 7/4Bet365 7/4BetTom 7/4Betfred 7/4Coral 7/4Hollywood Bets 7/4Ladbrokes 7/4LiveScore Bet 7/4Quinn Bet 7/4SportingIndex 7/4Spreadex 7/4Star Sports 7/4Unibet 7/4Virgin Bet 7/4William Hill 7/47Bet 13/8Bet Victor 13/8BetMGM 13/8BetWright 13/8Betano 13/8Boyle Sports 13/8Dragon Bet 13/8Midnite 13/8Paddy Power 13/8Betfair Sportsbook 6/4

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
YarmouthToday7f 3y · Class 6 · Good To Firm · 9 runners	9/4	+9.23ppOpen → 10am	6/4	-2.92pp10am → now; SP pending	7/4Current; SP pending	Pending	+6.31pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
YarmouthToday7f 3y · Class 6 · Good To Firm · 9 runners	9/4	+9.23ppOpen → 10am	6/4	-2.92pp10am → now; SP pending	7/4Current; SP pending	Pending	+6.31pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

TRAINER RECORD MAKES THIS SUPPORT SIGNIFICANTMarket+6.31ppGenuine support from the opening price.Trainer16.4% → 30.4%Normal → matching strike rate; 204 runners, Open→SP. Changes under 3 percentage points stay neutral.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-2.92pp since 10am, as of 11:39. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

James Owen runners in the matching 5pp+ band have won 62/204 (a 30.4% Open→SP strike rate), compared with the trainer’s normal 16.4% strike rate. Across 3 previous runs, this is the horse’s strongest recorded support. The support is accompanied by a drop from Class 4 to Class 6, giving the horse more favourable conditions today. Today’s move: Ground Force has shortened from 9/4 to 7/4, which is support (+6.31pp).

Shortened by 9.23pp by 10am. Drifted by 2.92pp since 10am. As of 11:39; SP pending. If it keeps shortening into SP: this trainer’s runners with 8pp+ support by 10am that kept shortening from 10am to SP won 19/32 (59.4%). This is a historical win rate, not a prediction.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Trainer support level

Support of +10.00pp · around 6/4 (2.45 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 40/94 (42.6%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 16.4%.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

Chaise LongueDraw 6

Trainer: Ed Dunlop

Jockey: Robert Havlin

PRO RACECARD ↗

↔ SAME CLASS

SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf

COURSE RECORD1/1 top 2Yarmouth · 1 run onlyAverage course SP 25/1 · 84% shorter today

Last run18 days ago · 17 Sep 2026

Distance changeDown 1f from last run

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILESTRONGEST RECORDED DRIFT FOR THIS HORSE (100th percentile)

EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE

Largest drift recorded across 4 previous runs.

When drifting like this: failed 2/3

When drifting like this: failed 2/3 — view runs

17 Sep 2026 · Yarmouth
Open 12/1 → final 22/1 · SP 25/1 · 2nd

18 Aug 2026 · Wolverhampton (AW)
Open 16/1 → final 50/1 · SP 50/1 · 7th

09 Jul 2026 · Epsom Downs
Open 12/1 → final 22/1 · SP 18/1 · 8th

Raw Open → Now price change: 55.2% • -12.94 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Wolverhampton (AW), 18 Aug 2026 — 7th • open 16/1 → final 50/1 (-3.59pp).

Opened 7/4Market avg 10/3

Price move-12.94pp(-55.2%)

7/2 ↓ 10/3 ↓ 3/1 → 3/1 ↑ 10/3 ↓ 11/4 ↑ 10/3 ↓ 3/1 → 3/1 ↑ 7/2

BEST FIXED ODDS

7/2 4.5 decimal 10 Bet

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10 Bet 7/2Boyle Sports 7/2Midnite 7/2Star Sports 7/2Unibet 7/2William Hill 7/2Paddy Power 7/2Betfair Sportsbook 7/2Bet365 10/3BetTom 10/3Betfred 10/3Coral 10/3Hollywood Bets 10/3Ladbrokes 10/3LiveScore Bet 10/3Quinn Bet 10/3Virgin Bet 10/37Bet 3/1Bet Victor 3/1BetWright 3/1Betano 3/1Dragon Bet 3/1SportingIndex 3/1Spreadex 3/1BetMGM 11/4

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
YarmouthToday7f 3y · Class 6 · Good To Firm · 9 runners	7/4	-7.79ppOpen → 10am	5/2	-5.15pp10am → now; SP pending	10/3Current; SP pending	Pending	-12.94pp
Yarmouth17 Sep 20261m 3y · Class 6 · Good · 10 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	12/1	+0.28ppOpen → 10am	12/1	-3.85pp10am → SP	25/1	2nd	-3.56pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
YarmouthToday7f 3y · Class 6 · Good To Firm · 9 runners	7/4	-7.79ppOpen → 10am	5/2	-5.15pp10am → now; SP pending	10/3Current; SP pending	Pending	-12.94pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

THIS IS THE HORSE’S LARGEST RECORDED DRIFTMarket-12.94ppMarket weakness from the opening price.Trainer9.9% → 28.6%Normal → matching strike rate; 42 runners, 10am drift. Changes under 3 percentage points stay neutral.Horse historyLargest recorded driftLargest recorded drift across 4 previous runs. This flags unusual market weakness; it does not claim a finishing record.Since 10amWeakening-5.15pp since 10am, as of 11:39. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

Across 4 previous runs, this is the horse’s largest recorded drift. The trainer’s drift record adds context: When this trainer's runners had drifted by 5pp+ by 10am, 12/42 won (28.6%), compared with the yard's normal 9.9% strike rate. Today’s move: Chaise Longue has moved from 7/4 to 10/3, a significant drift (-12.94pp).

Drifted by 7.79pp by 10am. Drifted by 5.15pp more since 10am. As of 11:39; SP pending. If it keeps drifting into SP: this trainer’s runners with 5pp+ drift by 10am that kept drifting from 10am to SP won 4/15 (26.7%). This is a historical win rate, not a prediction.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Yarmouth · 17 Sep 2026 · 2nd · 2/4 known conditions match

✓Track: Yarmouth×Trip (within ½f): Today 7f 3y · previous 1m 3y×Ground: Today Good To Firm · previous Good✓Class: Class 6

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 5/2 (3.50 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 11/8 (2.42 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 6/37 (16.2%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 9.9%.

Support levels are not met while the horse is drifting. Check whether it recovers rather than treating the bigger odds as value on their own.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

SantoDraw 9

Trainer: Eve Johnson Houghton

Jockey: Callum Hutchinson

PRO RACECARD ↗

⬇ CLASS DROP

SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf

Last run28 days ago · 7 Sep 2026

Distance changeUp 1f from last run

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILESTRONGEST RECORDED DRIFT FOR THIS HORSE (100th percentile)

EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE

Largest drift recorded across 4 previous runs.

Raw Open → Now price change: 14.5% • -2.31 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Kempton (AW), 20 May 2026 — 6th • open 12/1 → final 22/1 (-3.34pp).

Opened 9/2Market avg 11/2

Price move-2.31pp(-14.5%)

9/2 ↑ 5/1 ↓ 9/2 ↑ 11/2 ↑ 6/1 → 6/1 ↓ 11/2 ↓ 9/2 ↑ 11/2 ↓ 5/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

6/1 7 decimal BetMGM

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BetMGM 6/1BetTom 6/1Hollywood Bets 6/1LiveScore Bet 6/1Quinn Bet 6/1Unibet 6/1Virgin Bet 6/17Bet 11/2Bet365 11/2BetWright 11/2Coral 11/2Dragon Bet 11/2Ladbrokes 11/210 Bet 5/1Betfred 5/1Midnite 5/1SportingIndex 5/1Spreadex 5/1Star Sports 5/1William Hill 5/1Bet Victor 9/2Betano 9/2Boyle Sports 9/2Paddy Power 9/2Betfair Sportsbook 9/2

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
YarmouthToday7f 3y · Class 6 · Good To Firm · 9 runners	9/2	+4.91ppOpen → 10am	10/3	-7.22pp10am → now; SP pending	11/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-2.31pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
YarmouthToday7f 3y · Class 6 · Good To Firm · 9 runners	9/2	+4.91ppOpen → 10am	10/3	-7.22pp10am → now; SP pending	11/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-2.31pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

THIS IS THE HORSE’S STRONGEST RECORDED SUPPORTMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-7.22pp since 10am, as of 11:39. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

Across 4 previous runs, this is the horse’s strongest recorded support. The horse drops from Class 5 to Class 6, but the market has not responded with meaningful support. Today’s move: Santo is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 4.91pp by 10am. Drifted by 7.22pp since 10am. As of 11:39; SP pending. If it keeps shortening into SP: this trainer’s runners with 4pp+ support by 10am that kept shortening from 10am to SP won 7/25 (28%). This is a historical win rate, not a prediction.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 10/3 (4.33 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 10/3 (4.31 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 17/69 (24.6%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 11.6%.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Roberts LegacyDraw 3

Trainer: Lemos De Souza

Jockey: Harry Davies

PRO RACECARD ↗

⬇ CLASS DROP

SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf

COURSE RECORD0/1 top 2Yarmouth · 1 run onlyAverage course SP 28/1 · 68% shorter today

Last run72 days ago · 25 Jul 2026

Distance changeUp 1f from last run

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

Raw Open → Now price change: 3.8% • -0.40 probability points

Previous market evidence

No previous open-to-final drift in the recorded sample.

Opened 8/1Market avg 17/2

Price move-0.40pp(-3.8%)

8/1 ↑ 9/1 ↓ 7/1 ↑ 8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 ↑ 9/1 ↓ 7/1 ↑ 8/1 → 8/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

9/1 10 decimal Bet365

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Bet365 9/1Betfred 9/1SportingIndex 9/1Spreadex 9/1Unibet 9/1Coral 17/2Hollywood Bets 17/2Ladbrokes 17/2LiveScore Bet 17/2Midnite 17/2Quinn Bet 17/2Star Sports 17/2Virgin Bet 17/2William Hill 17/2Paddy Power 17/2Betfair Sportsbook 17/210 Bet 8/17Bet 8/1BetMGM 8/1BetTom 8/1BetWright 8/1Boyle Sports 8/1Dragon Bet 8/1Bet Victor 7/1Betano 7/1

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
YarmouthToday7f 3y · Class 6 · Good To Firm · 9 runners	8/1	+1.39ppOpen → 10am	7/1	-1.79pp10am → now; SP pending	17/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.40pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
YarmouthToday7f 3y · Class 6 · Good To Firm · 9 runners	8/1	+1.39ppOpen → 10am	7/1	-1.79pp10am → now; SP pending	17/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.40pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-1.79pp since 10am, as of 11:39. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. The horse drops from Class 5 to Class 6, but the market has not responded with meaningful support. Today’s move: Roberts Legacy is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 1.39pp by 10am. Drifted by 1.79pp since 10am. As of 11:39; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 7/1 (8.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 5/1 (6.21 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 5/24 (20.8%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 14.4%.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

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Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Ava LouiseDraw 2

Trainer: Philip McBride

Jockey: Saffie Osborne

PRO RACECARD ↗

⬇ CLASS DROP

SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf

COURSE RECORD0/1 top 2Yarmouth · 1 run onlyAverage course SP 100/1 · 96% shorter today

Last run61 days ago · 5 Aug 2026

Distance changeUp 1f from last run

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

Only 1 of 3 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 8th at Beverley on 28 Jul 2026 (-1.41pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 15.6% • -1.35 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Brighton, 22 Jun 2026 — 5th • open 20/1 → final 33/1 (-1.82pp).

Opened 9/1Market avg 11/1

Price move-1.35pp(-15.6%)

10/1 → 10/1 ↓ 9/1 ↑ 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 ↑ 11/1 ↓ 9/1 ↑ 10/1 ↑ 11/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

12/1 13 decimal SportingIndex

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
YarmouthToday7f 3y · Class 6 · Good To Firm · 9 runners	9/1	+1.11ppOpen → 10am	8/1	-2.46pp10am → now; SP pending	11/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-1.35pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
YarmouthToday7f 3y · Class 6 · Good To Firm · 9 runners	9/1	+1.11ppOpen → 10am	8/1	-2.46pp10am → now; SP pending	11/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-1.35pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-2.46pp since 10am, as of 11:39. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

Just 1 of 3 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. The horse drops from Class 4 to Class 6, but the market has not responded with meaningful support. Today’s move: Ava Louise is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 1.11pp by 10am. Drifted by 2.46pp since 10am. As of 11:39; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 8/1 (9.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +10.00pp · around 4/1 (5.00 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 1/6 (16.7%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 8.3%. Small sample.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

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Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

MarralynDraw 1

Trainer: Ollie Sangster

Jockey: Dylan Hogan

PRO RACECARD ↗

↔ SAME CLASS

SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf

Last run28 days ago · 7 Sep 2026

Distance changeUp 1f from last run

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

80th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE80th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE

Only 1 of 5 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 7th at Lingfield on 25 Jul 2026 (-2.82pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 16.8% • -1.44 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Wolverhampton (AW), 21 Apr 2026 — 5th • open 12/1 → final 20/1 (-2.93pp).

Opened 9/1Market avg 11/1

Price move-1.44pp(-16.8%)

11/1 ↑ 12/1 ↓ 9/1 ↑ 10/1 → 10/1 ↓ 9/1 ↑ 12/1 ↓ 9/1 ↑ 10/1 ↓ 9/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

12/1 13 decimal Bet365

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Bet365 12/1Betfred 12/1SportingIndex 12/1Spreadex 12/1Paddy Power 12/1Betfair Sportsbook 12/1Boyle Sports 11/1Coral 11/1Hollywood Bets 11/1Ladbrokes 11/1LiveScore Bet 11/1Midnite 11/1Quinn Bet 11/1Star Sports 11/1Virgin Bet 11/1William Hill 11/17Bet 10/1BetTom 10/1BetWright 10/1Dragon Bet 10/110 Bet 9/1Bet Victor 9/1BetMGM 9/1Betano 9/1Unibet 9/1

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
YarmouthToday7f 3y · Class 6 · Good To Firm · 9 runners	9/1	+1.76ppOpen → 10am	15/2	-3.20pp10am → now; SP pending	11/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-1.44pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
YarmouthToday7f 3y · Class 6 · Good To Firm · 9 runners	9/1	+1.76ppOpen → 10am	15/2	-3.20pp10am → now; SP pending	11/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-1.44pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-3.20pp since 10am, as of 11:39. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

Just 1 of 5 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Marralyn is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 1.76pp by 10am. Drifted by 3.20pp since 10am. As of 11:39; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 15/2 (8.50 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 11/2 (6.67 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 24/57 (42.1%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 14.4%.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

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Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Crystal KrakenDraw 5

Trainer: Dylan Cunha

Jockey: Luke Morris

🟢 Needs Support (13%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

10AM EMERGING PATTERNFrozen 10am Emerging market pattern. This is an early pattern, not yet a fully established repeat-winner signal.

Source: stored dcn_signal_flags classification for today. This signal is frozen at 10am; the live price can move afterwards without changing the 10am classification.

PRO RACECARD ↗

⬇ CLASS DROP

SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf

Last run14 days ago · 21 Sep 2026

Distance changeUp 1f from last run

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

89th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE89th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE

Only 1 of 9 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 3rd at Chepstow on 31 Aug 2026 (+6.10pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 42.3% • +3.49 probability points

Built 08:31 → 08:47

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Chepstow, 31 Aug 2026 — 3rd • open 11/10 → final 4/7 (+15.15pp).

Opened 20/1Market avg 11/1

Price move+3.49pp(+42.3%)

11/1 ↑ 12/1 ↓ 9/1 ↑ 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 ↑ 12/1 ↓ 9/1 ↑ 11/1 → 11/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

12/1 13 decimal Bet365

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Bet365 12/1Betfred 12/1SportingIndex 12/1Spreadex 12/1William Hill 12/1Paddy Power 12/1Betfair Sportsbook 12/110 Bet 11/17Bet 11/1BetMGM 11/1BetTom 11/1BetWright 11/1Boyle Sports 11/1Coral 11/1Dragon Bet 11/1Hollywood Bets 11/1Ladbrokes 11/1LiveScore Bet 11/1Midnite 11/1Quinn Bet 11/1Star Sports 11/1Unibet 11/1Virgin Bet 11/1Bet Victor 9/1Betano 9/1

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
YarmouthToday7f 3y · Class 6 · Good To Firm · 9 runners	20/1	+5.76ppOpen → 10am	17/2	-2.28pp10am → now; SP pending	11/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+3.49pp
Chepstow09 Aug 20265f 16y · Class 6 · Good To Firm · 8 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	4/1	-1.82ppOpen → 10am	9/2	+8.48pp10am → SP	11/4	2nd	+6.67pp
Post-race comment
Thirsk24 Jul 20266f · Class 6 · Good To Firm · 12 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	15/2	+1.57ppOpen → 10am	13/2	+0.95pp10am → SP	6/1	2nd	+2.52pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
YarmouthToday7f 3y · Class 6 · Good To Firm · 9 runners	20/1	+5.76ppOpen → 10am	17/2	-2.28pp10am → now; SP pending	11/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+3.49pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-2.28pp since 10am, as of 11:39. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

Just 1 of 9 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. The horse drops from Class 5 to Class 6, but the market has not responded with meaningful support. Today’s move: Crystal Kraken is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 5.76pp by 10am. Drifted by 2.28pp since 10am. As of 11:39; SP pending. If it keeps shortening into SP: this trainer’s runners with 4pp+ support by 10am that kept shortening from 10am to SP won 5/30 (16.7%). This is a historical win rate, not a prediction.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Chepstow · 09 Aug 2026 · 2nd · 2/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Yarmouth · previous Chepstow×Trip (within ½f): Today 7f 3y · previous 5f 16y✓Ground: Good To Firm✓Class: Class 6

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Horse support level

Support of +3.09pp · around 12/1 (12.73 decimal).

Level reached — watch whether support holds.

2/3 finished 1st or 2nd with this much support or more (67%).

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 9/1 (10.24 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 15/72 (20.8%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 10%.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

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Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

Ventura PowerDraw 8

Trainer: George Boughey

Jockey: Megan Smith(7)

PRO RACECARD ↗

⬇ CLASS DROP

SURFACE SWITCHAW → Turf

Last run40 days ago · 26 Aug 2026

Distance changeUp 0.9f from last run

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILESTRONGEST RECORDED DRIFT FOR THIS HORSE (100th percentile)

EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE

Largest drift recorded across 4 previous runs.

When drifting like this: failed 3/3

When drifting like this: failed 3/3 — view runs

26 Aug 2026 · Wolverhampton (AW)
Open 28/1 → final 80/1 · SP 80/1 · 6th

16 Jun 2026 · Wolverhampton (AW)
Open 8/1 → final 12/1 · SP 14/1 · 9th

23 May 2026 · Windsor
Open 13/2 → final 14/1 · SP 16/1 · 6th

Raw Open → Now price change: 75.6% • -4.31 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Windsor, 23 May 2026 — 6th • open 13/2 → final 14/1 (-6.67pp).

Opened 9/1Market avg 16/1

Price move-4.31pp(-75.6%)

16/1 ↓ 14/1 → 14/1 ↑ 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 ↑ 18/1 ↓ 14/1 ↑ 16/1 ↑ 18/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

20/1 21 decimal SportingIndex

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SportingIndex 20/1Spreadex 20/1Paddy Power 20/1Betfair Sportsbook 20/110 Bet 18/1Bet365 18/17Bet 16/1BetMGM 16/1BetTom 16/1BetWright 16/1Boyle Sports 16/1Coral 16/1Dragon Bet 16/1Hollywood Bets 16/1Ladbrokes 16/1LiveScore Bet 16/1Midnite 16/1Quinn Bet 16/1Star Sports 16/1Unibet 16/1Virgin Bet 16/1William Hill 16/1Bet Victor 14/1Betano 14/1Betfred 14/1

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
YarmouthToday7f 3y · Class 6 · Good To Firm · 9 runners	9/1	-3.33ppOpen → 10am	14/1	-0.97pp10am → now; SP pending	16/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-4.31pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
YarmouthToday7f 3y · Class 6 · Good To Firm · 9 runners	9/1	-3.33ppOpen → 10am	14/1	-0.97pp10am → now; SP pending	16/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-4.31pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

THIS IS THE HORSE’S LARGEST RECORDED DRIFTMarket-4.31ppMarket weakness from the opening price.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLargest recorded driftLargest recorded drift across 4 previous runs. This flags unusual market weakness; it does not claim a finishing record.Since 10amWeakening-0.97pp since 10am, as of 11:39. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

Across 4 previous runs, this is the horse’s largest recorded drift. This horse did not have a confirmed 5pp+ drift by 10am, so the trainer’s early-drift record is not being applied. Despite dropping from Class 5 to Class 6, the market is still weakening. Today’s move: Ventura Power has moved from 9/1 to 16/1, a developing drift (-4.31pp).

Drifted by 3.33pp by 10am. Drifted by 0.97pp more since 10am. As of 11:39; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 14/1 (15.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 11/2 (6.67 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 29/80 (36.3%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 17.6%.

Support levels are not met while the horse is drifting. Check whether it recovers rather than treating the bigger odds as value on their own.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

NightspellDraw 7

Trainer: Ross Burdon

Jockey: Alexandra Egan(5)

PRO RACECARD ↗

⬇ CLASS DROP

SURFACE SWITCHAW → Turf

Last run34 days ago · 1 Sep 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

33th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE33rd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

2 of 3 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 9th at Wolverhampton (AW) on 01 Sep 2026 (-31.67pp); and finished 4th at Lingfield on 15 Jul 2026 (-2.38pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 94.5% • -2.31 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Wolverhampton (AW), 01 Sep 2026 — 9th • open 2/1 → final 100/1 (-32.93pp).

Opened 20/1Market avg 40/1

Price move-2.31pp(-94.5%)

40/1 → 40/1 ↓ 33/1 ↑ 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 ↑ 50/1 ↓ 33/1 ↑ 40/1 → 40/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

50/1 51 decimal Bet365

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Bet365 50/110 Bet 40/17Bet 40/1BetMGM 40/1BetTom 40/1BetWright 40/1Betfred 40/1Boyle Sports 40/1Coral 40/1Dragon Bet 40/1Hollywood Bets 40/1Ladbrokes 40/1LiveScore Bet 40/1Midnite 40/1Quinn Bet 40/1SportingIndex 40/1Spreadex 40/1Star Sports 40/1Unibet 40/1Virgin Bet 40/1William Hill 40/1Paddy Power 40/1Betfair Sportsbook 40/1Bet Victor 33/1Betano 33/1

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
YarmouthToday7f 3y · Class 6 · Good To Firm · 9 runners	20/1	-1.82ppOpen → 10am	33/1	-0.49pp10am → now; SP pending	40/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-2.31pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
YarmouthToday7f 3y · Class 6 · Good To Firm · 9 runners	20/1	-1.82ppOpen → 10am	33/1	-0.49pp10am → now; SP pending	40/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-2.31pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amHolding-0.49pp since 10am, as of 11:39. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

2 of 3 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. The horse drops from Class 3 to Class 6, but the market has not responded with meaningful support. Today’s move: Nightspell is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Drifted by 1.82pp by 10am. Drifted by 0.49pp more since 10am. As of 11:39; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 33/1 (34.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Race market overview as at 11:41

Supported1 of 9 runners at +4pp or more · strongest: Ground Force +6.31pp
Drifting2 of 9 runners at −4pp or worse · largest: Chaise Longue -12.94pp
Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.

15:35Yarmouth • 1m0f3y • Class 4 • Going: Good To Firm

7 runners

Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

Endless QuestDraw 3

Trainer: John & Thady Gosden

Jockey: Robert Havlin

PRO RACECARD ↗

Last runNot recorded

Distance changeNot recorded

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

NR adjusted

Genuine drift after removing the measured NR price effect.

Raw Open → Now: +2.8% • +1.49pp

Measured NR price effect removed: +2.07pp

Latest confirmed post-NR price: EVS @ 07:12

NR @ 05:50: EVS → EVS (-0.02pp removed)

NR @ 07:12: 11/10 → EVS (+2.09pp removed)

GENUINE NR-ADJUSTED MOVE: -0.58pp

Opened 10/11Market avg 5/6

Price move-0.58pp(-1.1%)

10/11 ↓ 5/6 → 5/6 → 5/6 ↑ 10/11 ↓ 5/6 ↓ 4/5 ↑ 5/6 → 5/6 ↓ 4/5

BEST FIXED ODDS

10/11 1.91 decimal BetTom

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BetTom 10/11Boyle Sports 10/11Coral 10/11Hollywood Bets 10/11Ladbrokes 10/11LiveScore Bet 10/11Quinn Bet 10/11Unibet 10/11Virgin Bet 10/11William Hill 10/117Bet 5/6Bet Victor 5/6BetMGM 5/6BetWright 5/6Betano 5/6Betfred 5/6Dragon Bet 5/6Midnite 5/6SportingIndex 5/6Spreadex 5/6Star Sports 5/610 Bet 4/5Bet365 4/5Betfair Sportsbook 4/5Paddy Power 4/5

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
YarmouthToday1m 3y · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 5 runners	10/11	+9.27ppOpen → 10am	4/7	-9.84pp10am → now; SP pending	5/6Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.58ppNR adjusted
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
YarmouthToday1m 3y · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 5 runners	10/11	+9.27ppOpen → 10am	4/7	-9.84pp10am → now; SP pending	5/6Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.58ppNR adjusted
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-9.84pp since 10am, as of 11:39. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Endless Quest is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 9.27pp by 10am. Drifted by 9.84pp since 10am. As of 11:39; SP pending. If it keeps shortening into SP: this trainer’s runners with 8pp+ support by 10am that kept shortening from 10am to SP won 7/19 (36.8%). This is a historical win rate, not a prediction.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 4/7 (1.57 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 4/6 (1.68 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 35/95 (36.8%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 24.7%.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

Evening CallDraw 2

Trainer: William Haggas

Jockey: Tom Marquand

PRO RACECARD ↗

⬇ CLASS DROP

SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf

Last run37 days ago · 29 Aug 2026

Distance changeDown 1.9f from last run

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

NR adjusted

Genuine drift after removing the measured NR price effect.

Raw Open → Now: -68.3% • -20.29pp

Measured NR price effect removed: -3.60pp

Latest confirmed post-NR price: 13/8 @ 07:12

NR @ 05:50: 2/1 → 9/4 (-2.24pp removed)

NR @ 07:12: 6/4 → 13/8 (-1.36pp removed)

GENUINE NR-ADJUSTED MOVE: -16.69pp

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Newmarket (July), 14 Aug 2026 — 3rd • open 9/2 → final 13/2 (-4.85pp).

Opened EVSMarket avg 9/4

Price move-16.69pp(-50.1%)

5/2 ↓ 9/4 ↓ 9/4 ↑ 9/4 ↑ 5/2 ↓ 5/2 ↑ 11/4 ↓ 9/4 ↑ 9/4 → 9/4

BEST FIXED ODDS

11/4 3.75 decimal Bet365

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Bet365 11/4BetTom 5/2Boyle Sports 5/2Coral 5/2Hollywood Bets 5/2Ladbrokes 5/2LiveScore Bet 5/2Quinn Bet 5/2Star Sports 5/2Unibet 5/2Virgin Bet 5/2William Hill 5/2BetMGM 5/210 Bet 9/47Bet 9/4BetWright 9/4Betfred 9/4Dragon Bet 9/4SportingIndex 9/4Spreadex 9/4Betfair Sportsbook 9/4Paddy Power 9/4Bet Victor 9/4Betano 9/4Midnite 2/1

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
YarmouthToday1m 3y · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 5 runners	EVS	-8.23ppOpen → 10am	13/8	-8.46pp10am → now; SP pending	9/4Current; SP pending	Pending	-16.69ppNR adjusted
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
YarmouthToday1m 3y · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 5 runners	EVS	-8.23ppOpen → 10am	13/8	-8.46pp10am → now; SP pending	9/4Current; SP pending	Pending	-16.69ppNR adjusted
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET DRIFT DETECTED — TRAINER IMPACT IS LIMITEDMarket-16.69ppMarket weakness from the opening price.Trainer19.1% → 16.4%Normal → matching strike rate; 73 runners, 10am drift. Changes under 3 percentage points stay neutral.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-8.46pp since 10am, as of 11:39. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. The trainer’s drift record adds context: When this trainer's runners had drifted by 5pp+ by 10am, 12/73 won (16.4%), compared with the yard's normal 19.1% strike rate. Despite dropping from Class 2 to Class 4, the market is still weakening. Today’s move: Evening Call has moved from EVS to 9/4, a significant drift (-16.69pp).

Drifted by 8.23pp by 10am. Drifted by 8.46pp more since 10am. As of 11:39; SP pending. If it keeps drifting into SP: this trainer’s runners with 5pp+ drift by 10am that kept drifting from 10am to SP won 7/40 (17.5%). This is a historical win rate, not a prediction.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 13/8 (2.62 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 10/11 (1.95 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 52/164 (31.7%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 19.1%.

Support levels are not met while the horse is drifting. Check whether it recovers rather than treating the bigger odds as value on their own.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

MoontuneDraw 4

Trainer: Stuart Williams

Jockey: Kieran Shoemark

PRO RACECARD ↗

⬇ CLASS DROP

SURFACE SWITCHAW → Turf

Last run31 days ago · 4 Sep 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

NR adjusted

Genuine drift after removing the measured NR price effect.

Raw Open → Now: -51.4% • -10.44pp

Measured NR price effect removed: +0.26pp

Latest confirmed post-NR price: 7/2 @ 07:12

NR @ 05:50: 7/2 → 7/2 (-0.24pp removed)

NR @ 07:12: 7/2 → 7/2 (+0.50pp removed)

GENUINE NR-ADJUSTED MOVE: -10.70pp

Previous market evidence

No previous open-to-final drift in the recorded sample.

Opened 9/4Market avg 4/1

Price move-10.70pp(-53.3%)

7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 ↑ 4/1 ↓ 7/2 → 7/2 ↑ 9/2 ↓ 7/2 ↑ 4/1 → 4/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

5/1 6 decimal Paddy Power

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
YarmouthToday1m 3y · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 5 runners	9/4	-4.36ppOpen → 10am	11/4	-6.34pp10am → now; SP pending	4/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-10.70ppNR adjusted
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
YarmouthToday1m 3y · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 5 runners	9/4	-4.36ppOpen → 10am	11/4	-6.34pp10am → now; SP pending	4/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-10.70ppNR adjusted
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

SIGNIFICANT MARKET DRIFT DETECTEDMarket-10.70ppMarket weakness from the opening price.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-6.34pp since 10am, as of 11:39. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. This horse did not have a confirmed 5pp+ drift by 10am, so the trainer’s early-drift record is not being applied. Despite dropping from Class 3 to Class 4, the market is still weakening. Today’s move: Moontune has moved from 9/4 to 4/1, a significant drift (-10.70pp).

Drifted by 4.36pp by 10am. Drifted by 6.34pp more since 10am. As of 11:39; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 11/4 (3.75 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 7/4 (2.78 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 20/58 (34.5%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 11.2%.

Support levels are not met while the horse is drifting. Check whether it recovers rather than treating the bigger odds as value on their own.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

FournevilleDraw 6

Trainer: James Owen

Jockey: Luke Morris

PRO RACECARD ↗

Last runNot recorded

Distance changeNot recorded

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

NR adjusted

Genuine drift after removing the measured NR price effect.

Raw Open → Now: -26.8% • -2.11pp

Measured NR price effect removed: +0.09pp

Latest confirmed post-NR price: 12/1 @ 07:12

NR @ 05:50: 9/1 → 17/2 (+0.31pp removed)

NR @ 07:12: 12/1 → 12/1 (-0.23pp removed)

GENUINE NR-ADJUSTED MOVE: -2.20pp

Opened 9/1Market avg 12/1

Price move-2.20pp(-28.2%)

12/1 → 12/1 ↓ 10/1 ↑ 11/1 ↑ 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 ↓ 10/1 ↑ 11/1 ↑ 12/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

12/1 13 decimal 10 Bet

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
YarmouthToday1m 3y · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 5 runners	9/1	-1.00ppOpen → 10am	10/1	-1.20pp10am → now; SP pending	12/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-2.20ppNR adjusted
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
YarmouthToday1m 3y · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 5 runners	9/1	-1.00ppOpen → 10am	10/1	-1.20pp10am → now; SP pending	12/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-2.20ppNR adjusted
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-1.20pp since 10am, as of 11:39. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Fourneville is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Drifted by 1.00pp by 10am. Drifted by 1.20pp more since 10am. As of 11:39; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 10/1 (11.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 11/2 (6.63 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 62/204 (30.4%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 16.4%.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Tilsworth EmmaDraw 7

Trainer: J. R. Jenkins

Jockey: Oliver Carmichael(7)

PRO RACECARD ↗

↔ SAME CLASS

SURFACE SWITCHAW → Turf

Last run26 days ago · 9 Sep 2026

Distance changeUp 1f from last run

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

NR adjusted

Genuine drift after removing the measured NR price effect.

Raw Open → Now: -15.0% • -0.13pp

Measured NR price effect removed: +0.15pp

Latest confirmed post-NR price: 80/1 @ 07:12

NR @ 05:50: 100/1 → 100/1 (+0.01pp removed)

NR @ 07:12: 100/1 → 80/1 (+0.14pp removed)

GENUINE NR-ADJUSTED MOVE: -0.28pp

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Kempton (AW), 09 Sep 2026 — 6th • open 50/1 → final 100/1 (-1.59pp).

Opened 100/1Market avg 100/1

Price move-0.28pp(-39.4%)

100/1 → 100/1 ↓ 100/1 → 100/1 ↑ 100/1 ↓ 100/1 ↑ 100/1 ↓ 100/1 → 100/1 ↑ 100/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

100/1 151 decimal Bet365

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
YarmouthToday1m 3y · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 5 runners	100/1	+0.82ppOpen → 10am	50/1	-1.10pp10am → now; SP pending	100/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.28ppNR adjusted
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
YarmouthToday1m 3y · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 5 runners	100/1	+0.82ppOpen → 10am	50/1	-1.10pp10am → now; SP pending	100/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.28ppNR adjusted
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-1.10pp since 10am, as of 11:39. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Tilsworth Emma is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 0.82pp by 10am. Drifted by 1.10pp since 10am. As of 11:39; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 50/1 (51.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Espressona Signora

NON-RUNNERNR @ 07:12

Certainty

NON-RUNNERNR @ 05:50

Race market overview as at 11:41

Supported0 of 5 runners at +4pp or more
Drifting2 of 5 runners at −4pp or worse · largest: Evening Call -16.69pp
Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.

16:05Yarmouth • 1m2f23y • Class 4 • Going: Good To Firm

10 runners

Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

Lucky HeroDraw 3

Trainer: David O'Meara

Jockey: Conor Whiteley(5)

🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

PRO RACECARD ↗

↔ SAME CLASS

SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf

Last run26 days ago · 9 Sep 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

More evidence

Average winning SP9/43 recorded wins in the loaded Market Form sample

100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILESTRONGEST RECORDED DRIFT FOR THIS HORSE (100th percentile)

EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE

Largest drift recorded across 7 previous runs.

Raw Open → Now price change: 18% • -3.05 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Newmarket (July), 07 Aug 2026 — 1st • open 8/13 → final 10/11 (-9.37pp).

Opened 4/1Market avg 5/1

Price move-3.05pp(-18.0%)

5/1 → 5/1 ↓ 4/1 ↑ 5/1 → 5/1 ↓ 9/2 ↑ 5/1 ↓ 4/1 ↑ 5/1 → 5/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

5/1 6 decimal 10 Bet

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
YarmouthToday1m 2f 23y · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 10 runners	4/1	+0.00ppOpen → 10am	4/1	-3.05pp10am → now; SP pending	5/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-3.05pp
Newmarket (July)07 Aug 20261m 2f · Class 5 · Good To Firm · 3 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	8/13	-7.08ppOpen → 10am	5/6	+0.00pp10am → SP	5/6	1st	-7.08pp
Post-race comment
Redcar29 Jul 20261m 2f 1y · Class 5 · Good To Firm · 8 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	4/1	+0.00ppOpen → 10am	4/1	+2.22pp10am → SP	7/2	1st	+2.22pp
Post-race comment
Redcar30 Apr 20267f · Class 5 · Good To Firm · 5 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	5/1	+5.56ppOpen → 10am	7/2	+4.44pp10am → SP	11/4	1st	+10.00pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
YarmouthToday1m 2f 23y · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 10 runners	4/1	+0.00ppOpen → 10am	4/1	-3.05pp10am → now; SP pending	5/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-3.05pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

THIS IS THE HORSE’S STRONGEST RECORDED SUPPORTMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-3.05pp since 10am, as of 11:39. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

Across 7 previous runs, this is the horse’s strongest recorded support. Today’s move: Lucky Hero is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

No net move by 10am. Drifted by 3.05pp since 10am. As of 11:39; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Newmarket (July) · 07 Aug 2026 · 1st · 2/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Yarmouth · previous Newmarket (July)✓Trip (within ½f): 1m 2f 23y✓Ground: Good To Firm×Class: Today Class 4 · previous Class 5

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 4/1 (5.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 3/1 (4.00 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 25/115 (21.7%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 10.7%.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Warrior ModeDraw 10

Trainer: Sir Mark Prescott Bt

Jockey: Luke Morris

PRO RACECARD ↗

⬇ CLASS DROP

SURFACE SWITCHAW → Turf

Last run30 days ago · 5 Sep 2026

Distance changeUp 2.1f from last run

More evidence

Average winning SP5/41 recorded win in the loaded Market Form sample

100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILESTRONGEST RECORDED DRIFT FOR THIS HORSE (100th percentile)

EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE

Largest drift recorded across 3 previous runs.

Raw Open → Now price change: 38.2% • -6.15 probability points

Previous market evidence

No previous open-to-final drift in the recorded sample.

Opened 7/2Market avg 5/1

Price move-6.15pp(-38.2%)

11/2 → 11/2 ↓ 9/2 ↑ 5/1 ↑ 11/2 ↓ 5/1 ↓ 9/2 → 9/2 ↑ 5/1 ↑ 11/2

BEST FIXED ODDS

11/2 6.5 decimal 10 Bet

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10 Bet 11/2BetTom 11/2Betfred 11/2Boyle Sports 11/2Hollywood Bets 11/2LiveScore Bet 11/2Midnite 11/2Quinn Bet 11/2SportingIndex 11/2Spreadex 11/2Star Sports 11/2Unibet 11/2Virgin Bet 11/2William Hill 11/2Betfair Sportsbook 11/2Paddy Power 11/27Bet 5/1BetMGM 5/1BetWright 5/1Dragon Bet 5/1Bet Victor 9/2Bet365 9/2Betano 9/2Coral 9/2Ladbrokes 9/2

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
YarmouthToday1m 2f 23y · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 10 runners	7/2	-4.04ppOpen → 10am	9/2	-2.10pp10am → now; SP pending	5/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-6.15pp
Kempton (AW)12 Aug 20261m · Class 4 · Standard / Slow · 10 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	5/2	+0.79ppOpen → 10am	5/2	+15.87pp10am → SP	5/4	1st	+16.67pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
YarmouthToday1m 2f 23y · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 10 runners	7/2	-4.04ppOpen → 10am	9/2	-2.10pp10am → now; SP pending	5/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-6.15pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

THIS IS THE HORSE’S LARGEST RECORDED DRIFTMarket-6.15ppMarket weakness from the opening price.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLargest recorded driftLargest recorded drift across 3 previous runs. This flags unusual market weakness; it does not claim a finishing record.Since 10amWeakening-2.10pp since 10am, as of 11:39. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

Across 3 previous runs, this is the horse’s largest recorded drift. This horse did not have a confirmed 5pp+ drift by 10am, so the trainer’s early-drift record is not being applied. Despite dropping from Class 2 to Class 4, the market is still weakening. Today’s move: Warrior Mode has moved from 7/2 to 5/1, a developing drift (-6.15pp).

Drifted by 4.04pp by 10am. Drifted by 2.10pp more since 10am. As of 11:39; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Kempton (AW) · 12 Aug 2026 · 1st · 1/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Yarmouth · previous Kempton (AW)×Trip (within ½f): Today 1m 2f 23y · previous 1m×Ground: Today Good To Firm · previous Standard / Slow✓Class: Class 4

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 9/2 (5.50 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 11/4 (3.67 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 22/56 (39.3%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 19.5%.

Support levels are not met while the horse is drifting. Check whether it recovers rather than treating the bigger odds as value on their own.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

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Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Cuff ItDraw 4

Trainer: Richard Spencer

Jockey: Saffie Osborne

PRO RACECARD ↗

⬇ CLASS DROP

SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf

Last run45 days ago · 21 Aug 2026

Distance changeDown 1.8f from last run

More evidence

Average winning SP15/21 recorded win in the loaded Market Form sample

75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

Only 1 of 4 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 4th at Kempton (AW) on 05 Aug 2026 (+6.67pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 27.3% • +4.18 probability points

Previous market evidence

No previous positive open-to-final support in the recorded sample.

Opened 8/1Market avg 11/2

Price move+4.18pp(+27.3%)

6/1 ↓ 11/2 ↓ 5/1 ↑ 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 ↑ 6/1 ↓ 5/1 ↑ 11/2 → 11/2

BEST FIXED ODDS

6/1 7 decimal Bet365

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Bet365 6/1Boyle Sports 6/1Hollywood Bets 6/1LiveScore Bet 6/1Virgin Bet 6/1William Hill 6/110 Bet 11/27Bet 11/2BetMGM 11/2BetTom 11/2BetWright 11/2Betfred 11/2Dragon Bet 11/2Midnite 11/2Quinn Bet 11/2SportingIndex 11/2Spreadex 11/2Star Sports 11/2Unibet 11/2Betfair Sportsbook 11/2Paddy Power 11/2Bet Victor 5/1Betano 5/1Coral 5/1Ladbrokes 5/1

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
YarmouthToday1m 2f 23y · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 10 runners	8/1	+5.56ppOpen → 10am	5/1	-1.38pp10am → now; SP pending	11/2Current; SP pending	Pending	+4.18pp
Windsor08 Jun 20261m 2f · Class 3 · Good To Soft · 14 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	6/1	-5.19ppOpen → 10am	10/1	+2.67pp10am → SP	15/2	1st	-2.52pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
YarmouthToday1m 2f 23y · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 10 runners	8/1	+5.56ppOpen → 10am	5/1	-1.38pp10am → now; SP pending	11/2Current; SP pending	Pending	+4.18pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

TRAINER RECORD MAKES THIS SUPPORT SIGNIFICANTMarket+4.18ppGenuine support from the opening price.Trainer16% → 33.3%Normal → matching strike rate; 48 runners, Open→SP. Changes under 3 percentage points stay neutral.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-1.38pp since 10am, as of 11:39. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

Richard Spencer runners in the matching 5pp+ band have won 16/48 (a 33.3% Open→SP strike rate), compared with the trainer’s normal 16% strike rate. Just 1 of 4 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. The support is accompanied by a drop from Class 2 to Class 4, giving the horse more favourable conditions today. Today’s move: Cuff It has shortened from 8/1 to 11/2, which is support (+4.18pp).

Shortened by 5.56pp by 10am. Drifted by 1.38pp since 10am. As of 11:39; SP pending. If it keeps shortening into SP: this trainer’s runners with 4pp+ support by 10am that kept shortening from 10am to SP won 8/22 (36.4%). This is a historical win rate, not a prediction.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Windsor · 08 Jun 2026 · 1st · 1/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Yarmouth · previous Windsor✓Trip (within ½f): 1m 2f 23y×Ground: Today Good To Firm · previous Good To Soft×Class: Today Class 4 · previous Class 3

ACT NOW — DO NOT WAIT FOR ANOTHER 2PP

55% of Richard Spencer runners backed by at least 4pp by 10am continued to shorten from 10am to SP (22/40). Today’s live move of +4.18pp is supported by the horse or trainer evidence too. That continuation record is the reason to act now: waiting for another 2pp risks losing the available price.

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 5/1 (6.21 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 16/48 (33.3%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 16%.

Risk of losing the price: 22/40 (55%) trainer runners backed by 4pp+ by 10am shortened further into SP.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

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Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

AccademiaDraw 6

Trainer: Ed Walker

Jockey: Kieran Shoemark

🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

PRO RACECARD ↗

↔ SAME CLASS

SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf

Last run40 days ago · 26 Aug 2026

Distance changeUp 2.1f from last run

More evidence

Average winning SP4/12 recorded wins in the loaded Market Form sample

100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILESTRONGEST RECORDED DRIFT FOR THIS HORSE (100th percentile)

EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE

Largest drift recorded across 4 previous runs.

Raw Open → Now price change: 11.1% • -1.39 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Lingfield, 30 May 2026 — 5th • open 15/2 → final 12/1 (-4.07pp).

Opened 6/1Market avg 7/1

Price move-1.39pp(-11.1%)

15/2 → 15/2 ↓ 6/1 ↑ 13/2 ↑ 7/1 → 7/1 ↑ 15/2 ↓ 6/1 ↑ 13/2 ↑ 7/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

15/2 8.5 decimal Bet365

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Bet365 15/2Betfred 15/2Boyle Sports 15/2Coral 15/2Hollywood Bets 15/2Ladbrokes 15/2LiveScore Bet 15/2Quinn Bet 15/2Virgin Bet 15/2William Hill 15/210 Bet 7/1BetMGM 7/1BetTom 7/1Midnite 7/1Star Sports 7/1Unibet 7/1Paddy Power 7/17Bet 13/2BetWright 13/2Dragon Bet 13/2SportingIndex 13/2Spreadex 13/2Betfair Sportsbook 13/2Bet Victor 6/1Betano 6/1

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
YarmouthToday1m 2f 23y · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 10 runners	6/1	+0.40ppOpen → 10am	6/1	-1.79pp10am → now; SP pending	7/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-1.39pp
Newbury17 Jul 20261m · Class 5 · Good To Firm · 10 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	11/4	+1.90ppOpen → 10am	5/2	-3.57pp10am → SP	3/1	1st	-1.67pp
Post-race comment
Doncaster03 Jul 20267f 6y · Class 5 · Good To Firm · 10 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	12/1	+4.07ppOpen → 10am	15/2	+3.62pp10am → SP	11/2	1st	+7.69pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
YarmouthToday1m 2f 23y · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 10 runners	6/1	+0.40ppOpen → 10am	6/1	-1.79pp10am → now; SP pending	7/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-1.39pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

THIS IS THE HORSE’S STRONGEST RECORDED SUPPORTMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-1.79pp since 10am, as of 11:39. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

Across 4 previous runs, this is the horse’s strongest recorded support. Today’s move: Accademia is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 0.40pp by 10am. Drifted by 1.79pp since 10am. As of 11:39; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Newbury · 17 Jul 2026 · 1st · 1/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Yarmouth · previous Newbury×Trip (within ½f): Today 1m 2f 23y · previous 1m✓Ground: Good To Firm×Class: Today Class 4 · previous Class 5

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 6/1 (7.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 9/2 (5.29 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 36/117 (30.8%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 16.2%.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

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Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Leonardo BluDraw 1

Trainer: Tom Clover

Jockey: Robert Havlin

🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

PRO RACECARD ↗

↔ SAME CLASS

SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf

Last run32 days ago · 3 Sep 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

More evidence

Average winning SP9/21 recorded win in the loaded Market Form sample

80th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE80th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE

Only 1 of 5 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 4th at Windsor on 13 Jul 2026 (+11.11pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 9.8% • +1.20 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Windsor, 13 Jul 2026 — 4th • open 7/2 → final 15/8 (+12.50pp).

Opened 8/1Market avg 7/1

Price move+1.20pp(+9.8%)

15/2 → 15/2 ↓ 13/2 ↑ 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 ↑ 15/2 ↓ 13/2 ↑ 7/1 → 7/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

15/2 8.5 decimal Bet365

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Bet365 15/2Betfred 15/2Boyle Sports 15/2Hollywood Bets 15/2LiveScore Bet 15/2Quinn Bet 15/2SportingIndex 15/2Spreadex 15/2Star Sports 15/2Virgin Bet 15/2William Hill 15/2Paddy Power 15/210 Bet 7/17Bet 7/1BetMGM 7/1BetTom 7/1BetWright 7/1Dragon Bet 7/1Midnite 7/1Unibet 7/1Betfair Sportsbook 7/1Bet Victor 13/2Betano 13/2Coral 6/1Ladbrokes 6/1

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
YarmouthToday1m 2f 23y · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 10 runners	8/1	+3.17ppOpen → 10am	6/1	-1.97pp10am → now; SP pending	7/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+1.20pp
Nottingham31 May 20261m 75y · Class 4 · Good · 7 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	9/4	-10.77ppOpen → 10am	4/1	-1.82pp10am → SP	9/2	1st	-12.59pp
Post-race comment
Doncaster02 May 20261m · Class 5 · Good To Firm · 6 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	16/1	+1.81ppOpen → 10am	12/1	-1.03pp10am → SP	14/1	2nd	+0.78pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
YarmouthToday1m 2f 23y · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 10 runners	8/1	+3.17ppOpen → 10am	6/1	-1.97pp10am → now; SP pending	7/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+1.20pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-1.97pp since 10am, as of 11:39. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

Just 1 of 5 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Leonardo Blu is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 3.17pp by 10am. Drifted by 1.97pp since 10am. As of 11:39; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Nottingham · 31 May 2026 · 1st · 1/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Yarmouth · previous Nottingham×Trip (within ½f): Today 1m 2f 23y · previous 1m 75y×Ground: Today Good To Firm · previous Good✓Class: Class 4

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 5/1 (6.21 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 12/37 (32.4%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 17.2%.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

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Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

Vincenzo PeruggiaDraw 5

Trainer: Charlie Johnston

Jockey: Rossa Ryan

PRO RACECARD ↗

↔ SAME CLASS

SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf

Last run15 days ago · 20 Sep 2026

Distance changeUp 1.8f from last run

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILETHE STRONGEST MOVE RECORDED (100th percentile)

EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE

Strongest support recorded across 7 previous runs.

Raw Open → Now price change: 20.4% • +2.32 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Newmarket (July), 08 Aug 2026 — 4th • open 14/1 → final 10/1 (+2.84pp).

Opened 10/1Market avg 8/1

Price move+2.32pp(+20.4%)

8/1 → 8/1 ↓ 13/2 ↑ 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 ↑ 17/2 ↓ 13/2 ↑ 15/2 ↑ 8/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

9/1 10 decimal Betfair Sportsbook

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Betfair Sportsbook 9/1Paddy Power 9/1Bet365 17/210 Bet 8/1Betfred 8/1Boyle Sports 8/1LiveScore Bet 8/1Quinn Bet 8/1SportingIndex 8/1Spreadex 8/1Unibet 8/1Virgin Bet 8/1William Hill 8/17Bet 15/2BetMGM 15/2BetTom 15/2BetWright 15/2Coral 15/2Dragon Bet 15/2Ladbrokes 15/2Midnite 15/2Star Sports 15/2Hollywood Bets 7/1Bet Victor 13/2Betano 13/2

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
YarmouthToday1m 2f 23y · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 10 runners	10/1	+5.19ppOpen → 10am	6/1	-2.87pp10am → now; SP pending	8/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+2.32pp
Musselburgh04 Apr 20261m 2y · Class 3 · Good To Soft · 6 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	5/2	+0.00ppOpen → 10am	5/2	-6.35pp10am → SP	7/2	2nd	-6.35pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
YarmouthToday1m 2f 23y · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 10 runners	10/1	+5.19ppOpen → 10am	6/1	-2.87pp10am → now; SP pending	8/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+2.32pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

THIS IS THE HORSE’S STRONGEST RECORDED SUPPORTMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-2.87pp since 10am, as of 11:39. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

Across 7 previous runs, this is the horse’s strongest recorded support. Today’s move: Vincenzo Peruggia is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 5.19pp by 10am. Drifted by 2.87pp since 10am. As of 11:39; SP pending. If it keeps shortening into SP: this trainer’s runners with 4pp+ support by 10am that kept shortening from 10am to SP won 10/37 (27%). This is a historical win rate, not a prediction.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Musselburgh · 04 Apr 2026 · 2nd · 0/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Yarmouth · previous Musselburgh×Trip (within ½f): Today 1m 2f 23y · previous 1m 2y×Ground: Today Good To Firm · previous Good To Soft×Class: Today Class 4 · previous Class 3

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 6/1 (7.10 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 25/113 (22.1%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 11%.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

Mythical GuestDraw 7

Trainer: George Margarson

Jockey: Jack Callan

PRO RACECARD ↗

⬇ CLASS DROP

SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf

COURSE RECORD0/2 top 2YarmouthAverage course SP 9/1 · Today close to the course average

Last run10 days ago · 25 Sep 2026

Distance changeUp 1.1f from last run

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

89th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE89th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE

Only 1 of 9 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 3rd at Ascot on 10 Jul 2026 (-5.56pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 35.7% • -3.76 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Newmarket, 14 Apr 2026 — 10th • open 6/1 → final 9/1 (-4.29pp).

Opened 6/1Market avg 17/2

Price move-3.76pp(-35.7%)

9/1 ↓ 17/2 ↓ 15/2 ↑ 8/1 ↑ 9/1 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 9/1 ↓ 15/2 ↑ 8/1 ↑ 9/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

9/1 10 decimal 10 Bet

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10 Bet 9/1Bet365 9/1BetTom 9/1Boyle Sports 9/1LiveScore Bet 9/1Quinn Bet 9/1Star Sports 9/1Unibet 9/1Virgin Bet 9/1William Hill 9/1Betfair Sportsbook 9/1Paddy Power 9/1Betfred 17/2Hollywood Bets 17/2Midnite 17/2SportingIndex 17/2Spreadex 17/27Bet 8/1BetMGM 8/1BetWright 8/1Dragon Bet 8/1Bet Victor 15/2Betano 15/2Coral 15/2Ladbrokes 15/2

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
YarmouthToday1m 2f 23y · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 10 runners	6/1	-0.95ppOpen → 10am	13/2	-2.81pp10am → now; SP pending	17/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-3.76pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
YarmouthToday1m 2f 23y · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 10 runners	6/1	-0.95ppOpen → 10am	13/2	-2.81pp10am → now; SP pending	17/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-3.76pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-2.81pp since 10am, as of 11:39. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

Just 1 of 9 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. The horse drops from Class 3 to Class 4, but the market has not responded with meaningful support. Today’s move: Mythical Guest is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Drifted by 0.95pp by 10am. Drifted by 2.81pp more since 10am. As of 11:39; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 13/2 (7.50 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +10.00pp · around 3/1 (4.12 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 1/7 (14.3%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 5.3%. Small sample.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Beach PointDraw 8

Trainer: William Knight

Jockey: Neil Callan

🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

PRO RACECARD ↗

⬆ CLASS RISE

SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf

COURSE RECORD0/2 top 2YarmouthAverage course SP 9/1 · Today close to the course average

Last run25 days ago · 10 Sep 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

More evidence

Average winning SP2/11 recorded win in the loaded Market Form sample

88th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE88th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE

Only 1 of 8 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 2nd at Epsom on 10 Sep 2026 (-3.33pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 29.6% • -3.05 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Yarmouth, 11 Apr 2026 — 4th • open 12/1 → final 16/1 (-1.81pp).

Opened 13/2Market avg 17/2

Price move-3.05pp(-29.6%)

9/1 → 9/1 ↓ 15/2 ↑ 17/2 ↑ 9/1 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 9/1 ↓ 15/2 ↑ 17/2 ↑ 9/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

9/1 10 decimal 10 Bet

● Live bookmakers30s refresh

10 Bet 9/1Bet365 9/1BetTom 9/1Betfred 9/1Boyle Sports 9/1Coral 9/1Ladbrokes 9/1LiveScore Bet 9/1Midnite 9/1Quinn Bet 9/1SportingIndex 9/1Spreadex 9/1Star Sports 9/1Unibet 9/1Virgin Bet 9/1William Hill 9/1Paddy Power 9/17Bet 17/2BetWright 17/2Dragon Bet 17/2Betfair Sportsbook 17/2BetMGM 8/1Hollywood Bets 8/1Bet Victor 15/2Betano 15/2

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
YarmouthToday1m 2f 23y · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 10 runners	13/2	-0.83ppOpen → 10am	7/1	-2.21pp10am → now; SP pending	17/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-3.05pp
Epsom10 Sep 20261m 2f 17y · Class 5 · Good To Soft · 9 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	4/1	-3.33ppOpen → 10am	5/1	+3.33pp10am → SP	4/1	2nd	+0.00pp
Post-race comment
Goodwood28 Aug 20261m 1f 11y · Class 5 · Good To Firm · 7 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	10/3	+2.86ppOpen → 10am	11/4	+5.38pp10am → SP	2/1	1st	+8.24pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
YarmouthToday1m 2f 23y · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 10 runners	13/2	-0.83ppOpen → 10am	7/1	-2.21pp10am → now; SP pending	17/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-3.05pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-2.21pp since 10am, as of 11:39. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

Just 1 of 8 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. It is also stepping up from Class 5 to Class 4, which adds another test today. Today’s move: Beach Point is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Drifted by 0.83pp by 10am. Drifted by 2.21pp more since 10am. As of 11:39; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Epsom · 10 Sep 2026 · 2nd · 1/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Yarmouth · previous Epsom✓Trip (within ½f): 1m 2f 23y×Ground: Today Good To Firm · previous Good To Soft×Class: Today Class 4 · previous Class 5

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 7/1 (8.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 9/2 (5.45 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 16/66 (24.2%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 12.8%.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Box To BoxDraw 2

Trainer: Hugo Palmer

Jockey: Tom Marquand

PRO RACECARD ↗

⬇ CLASS DROP

SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf

Last run23 days ago · 12 Sep 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

Raw Open → Now price change: 40.8% • -3.86 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Chester, 12 Sep 2026 — 5th • open 7/2 → final 4/1 (-2.22pp).

Opened 13/2Market avg 10/1

Price move-3.86pp(-40.8%)

10/1 → 10/1 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 9/1 ↑ 10/1 ↓ 9/1 ↑ 10/1 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 9/1 ↑ 10/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

11/1 12 decimal Unibet

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Unibet 11/110 Bet 10/1Bet365 10/1BetTom 10/1Betfred 10/1Boyle Sports 10/1Hollywood Bets 10/1LiveScore Bet 10/1Midnite 10/1Quinn Bet 10/1SportingIndex 10/1Spreadex 10/1Star Sports 10/1Virgin Bet 10/1William Hill 10/1Betfair Sportsbook 10/1Paddy Power 10/17Bet 9/1BetMGM 9/1BetWright 9/1Dragon Bet 9/1Bet Victor 8/1Betano 8/1Coral 8/1Ladbrokes 8/1

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
YarmouthToday1m 2f 23y · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 10 runners	13/2	-2.22ppOpen → 10am	8/1	-1.64pp10am → now; SP pending	10/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-3.86pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
YarmouthToday1m 2f 23y · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 10 runners	13/2	-2.22ppOpen → 10am	8/1	-1.64pp10am → now; SP pending	10/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-3.86pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-1.64pp since 10am, as of 11:39. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. The horse drops from Class 3 to Class 4, but the market has not responded with meaningful support. Today’s move: Box To Box is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Drifted by 2.22pp by 10am. Drifted by 1.64pp more since 10am. As of 11:39; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 8/1 (9.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 9/2 (5.45 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 24/93 (25.8%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 9.8%.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Warning SymbolDraw 9

Trainer: James Owen

Jockey: Harry Davies

PRO RACECARD ↗

⬆ CLASS RISE

SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf

Last run11 days ago · 24 Sep 2026

Distance changeUp 2.1f from last run

More evidence

Average winning SP6/41 recorded win in the loaded Market Form sample

67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

Only 1 of 3 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 5th at Newmarket on 24 Sep 2026 (-7.05pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 18.3% • -1.29 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Newmarket, 24 Sep 2026 — 5th • open 11/2 → final 9/1 (-5.38pp).

Opened 11/1Market avg 14/1

Price move-1.29pp(-18.3%)

12/1 ↑ 14/1 ↓ 12/1 → 12/1 ↑ 14/1 ↓ 12/1 ↑ 16/1 ↓ 12/1 → 12/1 ↑ 14/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

16/1 17 decimal Bet365

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Bet365 16/110 Bet 14/1BetTom 14/1Betfred 14/1LiveScore Bet 14/1Midnite 14/1Quinn Bet 14/1SportingIndex 14/1Spreadex 14/1Star Sports 14/1Unibet 14/1Virgin Bet 14/1William Hill 14/1Betfair Sportsbook 14/1Paddy Power 14/17Bet 12/1Bet Victor 12/1BetMGM 12/1BetWright 12/1Betano 12/1Boyle Sports 12/1Dragon Bet 12/1Hollywood Bets 12/1Coral 11/1Ladbrokes 11/1

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
YarmouthToday1m 2f 23y · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 10 runners	11/1	+0.76ppOpen → 10am	10/1	-2.05pp10am → now; SP pending	14/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-1.29pp
Kempton (AW)18 Feb 20261m · Class 5 · Standard To Slow · 8 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	9/1	+4.29ppOpen → 10am	6/1	+25.71pp10am → SP	6/4	1st	+30.00pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
YarmouthToday1m 2f 23y · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 10 runners	11/1	+0.76ppOpen → 10am	10/1	-2.05pp10am → now; SP pending	14/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-1.29pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-2.05pp since 10am, as of 11:39. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

Just 1 of 3 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. It is also stepping up from Class 5 to Class 4, which adds another test today. Today’s move: Warning Symbol is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 0.76pp by 10am. Drifted by 2.05pp since 10am. As of 11:39; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Kempton (AW) · 18 Feb 2026 · 1st · 0/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Yarmouth · previous Kempton (AW)×Trip (within ½f): Today 1m 2f 23y · previous 1m×Ground: Today Good To Firm · previous Standard To Slow×Class: Today Class 4 · previous Class 5

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 10/1 (11.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 13/2 (7.50 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 62/204 (30.4%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 16.4%.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Race market overview as at 11:41

Supported1 of 10 runners at +4pp or more · strongest: Cuff It +4.18pp
Drifting1 of 10 runners at −4pp or worse · largest: Warrior Mode -6.15pp
Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.

16:40Yarmouth • 1m0f3y • Class 4 • Going: Good To Firm

12 runners

Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

Media LegendDraw 5

Trainer: Harry Charlton

Jockey: Lewis Edmunds

PRO RACECARD ↗

⬆ CLASS RISE

SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf

Last run11 days ago · 24 Sep 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

2 of 4 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 4th at Wolverhampton (AW) on 01 Sep 2026 (+6.28pp); and finished 3rd at Newbury on 14 Aug 2026 (+4.27pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 2.1% • +0.47 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Wolverhampton (AW), 01 Sep 2026 — 4th • open 13/8 → final 5/6 (+16.48pp).

Opened 7/2Market avg 10/3

Price move+0.47pp(+2.1%)

7/2 ↓ 10/3 ↓ 3/1 ↑ 10/3 ↑ 7/2 ↓ 10/3 ↑ 10/3 ↓ 3/1 ↑ 10/3 ↑ 7/2

BEST FIXED ODDS

7/2 4.5 decimal 10 Bet

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10 Bet 7/2BetTom 7/2Boyle Sports 7/2Coral 7/2Hollywood Bets 7/2Ladbrokes 7/2LiveScore Bet 7/2Quinn Bet 7/2SportingIndex 7/2Spreadex 7/2Star Sports 7/2Unibet 7/2Virgin Bet 7/2William Hill 7/2Betfair Sportsbook 7/2Paddy Power 7/27Bet 10/3Bet365 10/3BetWright 10/3Betfred 10/3Dragon Bet 10/3Midnite 10/3BetMGM 10/3Bet Victor 3/1Betano 3/1

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
YarmouthToday1m 3y · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 12 runners	7/2	+2.78ppOpen → 10am	3/1	-2.31pp10am → now; SP pending	10/3Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.47pp
Newmarket24 Sep 20261m · Class 5 · Good · 12 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	7/2	-5.56ppOpen → 10am	5/1	+8.33pp10am → SP	3/1	2nd	+2.78pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
YarmouthToday1m 3y · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 12 runners	7/2	+2.78ppOpen → 10am	3/1	-2.31pp10am → now; SP pending	10/3Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.47pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-2.31pp since 10am, as of 11:39. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

2 of 4 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. It is also stepping up from Class 5 to Class 4, which adds another test today. Today’s move: Media Legend is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 2.78pp by 10am. Drifted by 2.31pp since 10am. As of 11:39; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Newmarket · 24 Sep 2026 · 2nd · 1/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Yarmouth · previous Newmarket✓Trip (within ½f): 1m 3y×Ground: Today Good To Firm · previous Good×Class: Today Class 4 · previous Class 5

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 11/4 (3.67 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 15/43 (34.9%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 15.7%.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

Island BearDraw 8

Trainer: Dr Richard Newland

Jockey: Rossa Ryan

PRO RACECARD ↗

↔ SAME CLASS

SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf

Last run14 days ago · 21 Sep 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

More evidence

Average winning SP6/11 recorded win in the loaded Market Form sample

100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILESTRONGEST RECORDED DRIFT FOR THIS HORSE (100th percentile)

EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE

Largest drift recorded across 7 previous runs.

Raw Open → Now price change: 40.4% • -6.40 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Southwell (AW), 07 Apr 2026 — 7th • open 5/1 → final 10/1 (-7.58pp).

Opened 7/2Market avg 11/2

Price move-6.40pp(-40.4%)

11/2 ↑ 6/1 ↓ 9/2 ↑ 5/1 ↑ 11/2 ↓ 7/2 ↑ 5/1 ↓ 9/2 ↑ 11/2 → 11/2

BEST FIXED ODDS

6/1 7 decimal Betfred

● Live bookmakers30s refresh

Betfred 6/1Coral 6/1LiveScore Bet 6/1Unibet 6/110 Bet 11/27Bet 11/2BetTom 11/2Boyle Sports 11/2Hollywood Bets 11/2Ladbrokes 11/2Midnite 11/2Quinn Bet 11/2Star Sports 11/2Virgin Bet 11/2William Hill 11/2Betfair Sportsbook 11/2Paddy Power 11/2Bet365 5/1BetWright 5/1Dragon Bet 5/1SportingIndex 5/1Spreadex 5/1Bet Victor 9/2Betano 9/2BetMGM 7/2

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
YarmouthToday1m 3y · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 12 runners	7/2	+0.00ppOpen → 10am	7/2	-6.40pp10am → now; SP pending	11/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-6.40pp
Leicester21 Sep 20261m 53y · Class 4 · Good · 13 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	8/1	+0.90ppOpen → 10am	15/2	+2.52pp10am → SP	6/1	1st	+3.42pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
YarmouthToday1m 3y · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 12 runners	7/2	+0.00ppOpen → 10am	7/2	-6.40pp10am → now; SP pending	11/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-6.40pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

THIS IS THE HORSE’S LARGEST RECORDED DRIFTMarket-6.40ppMarket weakness from the opening price.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLargest recorded driftLargest recorded drift across 7 previous runs. This flags unusual market weakness; it does not claim a finishing record.Since 10amWeakening-6.40pp since 10am, as of 11:39. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

Across 7 previous runs, this is the horse’s largest recorded drift. This horse did not have a confirmed 5pp+ drift by 10am, so the trainer’s early-drift record is not being applied. Today’s move: Island Bear has moved from 7/2 to 11/2, a developing drift (-6.40pp).

No net move by 10am. Drifted by 6.40pp since 10am. As of 11:39; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Leicester · 21 Sep 2026 · 1st · 2/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Yarmouth · previous Leicester✓Trip (within ½f): 1m 3y×Ground: Today Good To Firm · previous Good✓Class: Class 4

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 7/2 (4.50 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Support levels are not met while the horse is drifting. Check whether it recovers rather than treating the bigger odds as value on their own.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

You Sexy ThingDraw 2

Trainer: Richard Spencer

Jockey: Saffie Osborne

PRO RACECARD ↗

⬆ CLASS RISE

SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf

Last run18 days ago · 17 Sep 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

Only 1 of 3 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 6th at Newbury on 11 Jun 2026 (+2.42pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 6.9% • +1.05 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Newbury, 11 Jun 2026 — 6th • open 14/1 → final 8/1 (+4.44pp).

Opened 6/1Market avg 11/2

Price move+1.05pp(+6.9%)

11/2 ↑ 6/1 ↓ 9/2 ↑ 11/2 → 11/2 ↓ 5/1 ↑ 6/1 ↓ 9/2 ↑ 11/2 → 11/2

BEST FIXED ODDS

6/1 7 decimal Bet365

● Live bookmakers30s refresh

Bet365 6/1Betfred 6/1SportingIndex 6/1Spreadex 6/1Unibet 6/1William Hill 6/110 Bet 11/27Bet 11/2BetTom 11/2BetWright 11/2Boyle Sports 11/2Coral 11/2Dragon Bet 11/2Hollywood Bets 11/2Ladbrokes 11/2LiveScore Bet 11/2Midnite 11/2Quinn Bet 11/2Star Sports 11/2Virgin Bet 11/2Betfair Sportsbook 11/2Paddy Power 11/2BetMGM 5/1Bet Victor 9/2Betano 9/2

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
YarmouthToday1m 3y · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 12 runners	6/1	+3.90ppOpen → 10am	9/2	-2.84pp10am → now; SP pending	11/2Current; SP pending	Pending	+1.05pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
YarmouthToday1m 3y · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 12 runners	6/1	+3.90ppOpen → 10am	9/2	-2.84pp10am → now; SP pending	11/2Current; SP pending	Pending	+1.05pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-2.84pp since 10am, as of 11:39. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

Just 1 of 3 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. It is also stepping up from Class 5 to Class 4, which adds another test today. Today’s move: You Sexy Thing is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 3.90pp by 10am. Drifted by 2.84pp since 10am. As of 11:39; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 4/1 (5.19 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 16/48 (33.3%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 16%.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

Gorgeous Mr GeorgeDraw 1

Trainer: Dylan Cunha

Jockey: Taryn Langley(5)

🟢 Needs Support (8%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

PRO RACECARD ↗

↔ SAME CLASS

SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf

COURSE RECORD2/5 top 2YarmouthAverage course SP 5/1 · 19% bigger today

Last run16 days ago · 19 Sep 2026

Distance changeDown 1f from last run

More evidence

Average winning SP4/12 recorded wins in the loaded Market Form sample

63th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE63rd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

3 of 8 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 1st at Yarmouth on 18 Jun 2026 (+10.00pp); finished 8th at Yarmouth on 10 Jun 2026 (+2.42pp); and finished 8th at Newmarket on 16 May 2026 (+1.67pp).

Limited data: 1 similar run only. Not a proven betting pattern.

Raw Open → Now price change: 8% • +1.16 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Yarmouth, 10 Jun 2026 — 8th • open 14/1 → final 11/2 (+8.72pp).

Opened 13/2Market avg 6/1

Price move+1.16pp(+8.0%)

6/1 ↓ 11/2 → 11/2 ↑ 6/1 ↓ 11/2 → 11/2 ↑ 13/2 ↓ 11/2 ↑ 6/1 ↓ 9/2

BEST FIXED ODDS

13/2 7.5 decimal Bet365

● Live bookmakers30s refresh

Bet365 13/2Coral 13/2Ladbrokes 13/2SportingIndex 13/2Spreadex 13/2William Hill 13/27Bet 6/1BetWright 6/1Boyle Sports 6/1Dragon Bet 6/1Hollywood Bets 6/1LiveScore Bet 6/1Midnite 6/1Quinn Bet 6/1Star Sports 6/1Virgin Bet 6/1Bet Victor 11/2BetMGM 11/2BetTom 11/2Betano 11/2Betfred 11/2Unibet 11/2Betfair Sportsbook 11/2Paddy Power 11/210 Bet 9/2

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
YarmouthToday1m 3y · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 12 runners	13/2	+4.85ppOpen → 10am	9/2	-3.69pp10am → now; SP pending	6/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+1.16pp
Yarmouth26 Jun 20261m 3y · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 6 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	10/3	+1.91ppOpen → 10am	3/1	-2.78pp10am → SP	7/2	1st	-0.87pp
Post-race comment
Yarmouth18 Jun 20261m 3y · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 9 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	9/1	+8.18ppOpen → 10am	9/2	+0.00pp10am → SP	9/2	1st	+8.18pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
YarmouthToday1m 3y · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 12 runners	13/2	+4.85ppOpen → 10am	9/2	-3.69pp10am → now; SP pending	6/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+1.16pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-3.69pp since 10am, as of 11:39. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

Just 3 of 8 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Gorgeous Mr George is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 4.85pp by 10am. Drifted by 3.69pp since 10am. As of 11:39; SP pending. If it keeps shortening into SP: this trainer’s runners with 4pp+ support by 10am that kept shortening from 10am to SP won 5/30 (16.7%). This is a historical win rate, not a prediction.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Yarmouth · 26 Jun 2026 · 1st · 4/4 known conditions match

✓Track: Yarmouth✓Trip (within ½f): 1m 3y✓Ground: Good To Firm✓Class: Class 4

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 9/2 (5.45 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 15/72 (20.8%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 10%.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

Drifts AwayDraw 11

Trainer: T. J. Kent

Jockey: Ray Dawson

🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

10AM EMERGING PATTERNFrozen 10am Emerging market pattern. This is an early pattern, not yet a fully established repeat-winner signal.

Source: stored dcn_signal_flags classification for today. This signal is frozen at 10am; the live price can move afterwards without changing the 10am classification.

PRO RACECARD ↗

↔ SAME CLASS

SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf

COURSE RECORD1/1 top 2Yarmouth · 1 run onlyAverage course SP 7/1 · Today close to the course average

Last run16 days ago · 19 Sep 2026

Distance changeDown 1f from last run

More evidence

Average winning SP5/12 recorded wins in the loaded Market Form sample

75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

Only 1 of 4 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 9th at Newmarket on 19 Sep 2026 (+7.54pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 48.3% • +6.22 probability points

Built 00:00 → 10:21

Previous market evidence

No previous positive open-to-final support in the recorded sample.

Opened 14/1Market avg 7/1

Price move+6.22pp(+48.3%)

13/2 → 13/2 ↓ 6/1 ↑ 13/2 → 13/2 ↓ 6/1 ↑ 15/2 ↓ 6/1 ↑ 13/2 → 13/2

BEST FIXED ODDS

15/2 8.5 decimal Bet365

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Bet365 15/2SportingIndex 15/2Spreadex 15/2William Hill 15/2Coral 7/1Hollywood Bets 7/1Ladbrokes 7/1LiveScore Bet 7/1Midnite 7/1Star Sports 7/1Unibet 7/1Virgin Bet 7/110 Bet 13/27Bet 13/2BetTom 13/2BetWright 13/2Betfred 13/2Boyle Sports 13/2Dragon Bet 13/2Quinn Bet 13/2Betfair Sportsbook 13/2Paddy Power 13/2Bet Victor 6/1BetMGM 6/1Betano 6/1

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
YarmouthToday1m 3y · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 12 runners	14/1	+8.72ppOpen → 10am	11/2	-2.50pp10am → now; SP pending	7/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+6.22pp
Newmarket (July)31 Jul 20261m · Class 5 · Good To Firm · 7 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	11/4	+4.10ppOpen → 10am	9/4	-8.55pp10am → SP	7/2	1st	-4.44pp
Post-race comment
Yarmouth23 Jul 20261m 3y · Class 5 · Good To Firm · 6 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	11/2	-4.27ppOpen → 10am	8/1	+1.39pp10am → SP	7/1	1st	-2.88pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
YarmouthToday1m 3y · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 12 runners	14/1	+8.72ppOpen → 10am	11/2	-2.50pp10am → now; SP pending	7/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+6.22pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

STRONG MOVE — BUT THE TRAINER RECORD WARNS AGAINST BLIND SUPPORTMarket+6.22ppGenuine support from the opening price.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-2.50pp since 10am, as of 11:39. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

Just 1 of 4 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. The trainer evidence is important here: At 5pp+: Open→SP 0/0 won (0%), compared with the yard’s normal 0% strike rate. Today’s move: Drifts Away has shortened from 14/1 to 7/1, which is support (+6.22pp).

Shortened by 8.72pp by 10am. Drifted by 2.50pp since 10am. As of 11:39; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Yarmouth · 23 Jul 2026 · 1st · 3/4 known conditions match

✓Track: Yarmouth✓Trip (within ½f): 1m 3y✓Ground: Good To Firm×Class: Today Class 4 · previous Class 5

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

No evidence-backed price trigger for this runner yet. Use Notify Me to monitor it; the current records do not justify a target price.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

Rogue AllegianceDraw 10

Trainer: James Owen

Jockey: Harry Davies

🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

PRO RACECARD ↗

↔ SAME CLASS

SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf

COURSE RECORD3/4 top 2YarmouthAverage course SP 9/1 · 14% shorter today

Last run16 days ago · 19 Sep 2026

Distance changeUp 1f from last run

More evidence

Average winning SP10/32 recorded wins in the loaded Market Form sample

78th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE78th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

2 of 9 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 1st at Kempton (AW) on 12 Aug 2026 (+14.10pp); and finished 6th at Wolverhampton (AW) on 23 Jan 2026 (+4.49pp).

Limited data: 1 similar run only. Not a proven betting pattern.

Raw Open → Now price change: 30% • +3.57 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Kempton (AW), 12 Aug 2026 — 1st • open 5/1 → final 7/2 (+5.56pp).

Opened 11/1Market avg 15/2

Price move+3.57pp(+30.0%)

7/1 ↑ 15/2 ↓ 13/2 ↑ 7/1 ↑ 15/2 ↓ 11/2 ↑ 17/2 ↓ 13/2 ↑ 7/1 ↑ 15/2

BEST FIXED ODDS

17/2 9.5 decimal Bet365

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Bet365 17/2William Hill 17/2Coral 8/1Hollywood Bets 8/1Ladbrokes 8/1LiveScore Bet 8/1Star Sports 8/1Unibet 8/1Virgin Bet 8/110 Bet 15/2BetTom 15/2Betfred 15/2Midnite 15/2Quinn Bet 15/2Betfair Sportsbook 15/2Paddy Power 15/27Bet 7/1BetWright 7/1Boyle Sports 7/1Dragon Bet 7/1Bet Victor 13/2Betano 13/2SportingIndex 13/2Spreadex 13/2BetMGM 11/2

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
YarmouthToday1m 3y · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 12 runners	11/1	+8.33ppOpen → 10am	5/1	-4.76pp10am → now; SP pending	15/2Current; SP pending	Pending	+3.57pp
Kempton (AW)12 Aug 20261m · Class 4 · Standard / Slow · 9 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	5/1	+6.43ppOpen → 10am	10/3	-4.91pp10am → SP	9/2	1st	+1.52pp
Post-race comment
Yarmouth23 Jul 20267f 3y · Class 5 · Good To Firm · 6 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	11/8	-3.64ppOpen → 10am	13/8	-4.69pp10am → SP	2/1	1st	-8.33pp
Post-race comment
Yarmouth26 Jun 20267f 3y · Class 5 · Good To Firm · 8 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	5/2	-3.57ppOpen → 10am	3/1	+0.00pp10am → SP	3/1	2nd	-3.57pp
Post-race comment
Yarmouth20 May 20267f 3y · Class 5 · Good · 10 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	7/2	-8.89ppOpen → 10am	13/2	+3.33pp10am → SP	5/1	2nd	-5.56pp
Post-race comment
Leicester13 Apr 20266f · Class 5 · Good · 9 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	8/1	+0.65ppOpen → 10am	15/2	-5.10pp10am → SP	14/1	2nd	-4.44pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
YarmouthToday1m 3y · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 12 runners	11/1	+8.33ppOpen → 10am	5/1	-4.76pp10am → now; SP pending	15/2Current; SP pending	Pending	+3.57pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-4.76pp since 10am, as of 11:39. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

Just 2 of 9 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Rogue Allegiance is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 8.33pp by 10am. Drifted by 4.76pp since 10am. As of 11:39; SP pending. If it keeps shortening into SP: this trainer’s runners with 8pp+ support by 10am that kept shortening from 10am to SP won 19/32 (59.4%). This is a historical win rate, not a prediction.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Kempton (AW) · 12 Aug 2026 · 1st · 2/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Yarmouth · previous Kempton (AW)✓Trip (within ½f): 1m 3y×Ground: Today Good To Firm · previous Standard / Slow✓Class: Class 4

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 13/2 (7.50 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 62/204 (30.4%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 16.4%.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

ColonnadeDraw 4

Trainer: Simon & Ed Crisford

Jockey: Robert Havlin

PRO RACECARD ↗

⬇ CLASS DROP

SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf

Last run23 days ago · 12 Sep 2026

Distance changeDown 2.2f from last run

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILESTRONGEST RECORDED DRIFT FOR THIS HORSE (100th percentile)

EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE

Largest drift recorded across 4 previous runs.

Raw Open → Now price change: 104.2% • -11.78 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Windsor, 13 Jul 2026 — 3rd • open 13/2 → final 12/1 (-5.64pp).

Opened 10/3Market avg 8/1

Price move-11.78pp(-104.2%)

8/1 ↑ 17/2 ↓ 7/1 ↑ 15/2 → 15/2 ↓ 7/1 ↑ 15/2 ↓ 7/1 ↑ 15/2 ↑ 8/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

17/2 9.5 decimal Betfred

● Live bookmakers30s refresh

Betfred 17/2Ladbrokes 17/2SportingIndex 17/2Spreadex 17/2Unibet 17/2William Hill 17/210 Bet 8/1Boyle Sports 8/1Coral 8/1Hollywood Bets 8/1LiveScore Bet 8/1Quinn Bet 8/1Star Sports 8/1Virgin Bet 8/17Bet 15/2Bet365 15/2BetTom 15/2BetWright 15/2Dragon Bet 15/2Midnite 15/2Betfair Sportsbook 15/2Paddy Power 15/2Bet Victor 7/1BetMGM 7/1Betano 7/1

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
YarmouthToday1m 3y · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 12 runners	10/3	-8.81ppOpen → 10am	6/1	-2.97pp10am → now; SP pending	8/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-11.78pp
Bath12 Sep 20261m 2f 37y · Class 3 · Good · 5 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	6/4	+12.36ppOpen → 10am	10/11	-6.90pp10am → SP	6/5	2nd	+5.45pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
YarmouthToday1m 3y · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 12 runners	10/3	-8.81ppOpen → 10am	6/1	-2.97pp10am → now; SP pending	8/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-11.78pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

THIS IS THE HORSE’S LARGEST RECORDED DRIFTMarket-11.78ppMarket weakness from the opening price.Trainer15.4% → 16.7%Normal → matching strike rate; 48 runners, 10am drift. Changes under 3 percentage points stay neutral.Horse historyLargest recorded driftLargest recorded drift across 4 previous runs. This flags unusual market weakness; it does not claim a finishing record.Since 10amWeakening-2.97pp since 10am, as of 11:39. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

Across 4 previous runs, this is the horse’s largest recorded drift. The trainer’s drift record adds context: When this trainer's runners had drifted by 5pp+ by 10am, 8/48 won (16.7%), compared with the yard's normal 15.4% strike rate. Despite dropping from Class 3 to Class 4, the market is still weakening. Today’s move: Colonnade has moved from 10/3 to 8/1, a significant drift (-11.78pp).

Drifted by 8.81pp by 10am. Drifted by 2.97pp more since 10am. As of 11:39; SP pending. If it keeps drifting into SP: this trainer’s runners with 5pp+ drift by 10am that kept drifting from 10am to SP won 4/19 (21.1%). This is a historical win rate, not a prediction.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Bath · 12 Sep 2026 · 2nd · 0/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Yarmouth · previous Bath×Trip (within ½f): Today 1m 3y · previous 1m 2f 37y×Ground: Today Good To Firm · previous Good×Class: Today Class 4 · previous Class 3

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 6/1 (7.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 5/2 (3.56 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 16/67 (23.9%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 15.4%.

Support levels are not met while the horse is drifting. Check whether it recovers rather than treating the bigger odds as value on their own.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Guest HouseDraw 12

Trainer: George Margarson

Jockey: Jack Callan

🟢 Needs Support (8%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

PRO RACECARD ↗

⬆ CLASS RISE

SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf

COURSE RECORD3/4 top 2YarmouthAverage course SP 11/2 · 44% bigger today

Last run18 days ago · 17 Sep 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

More evidence

Average winning SP13/23 recorded wins in the loaded Market Form sample

100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILESTRONGEST RECORDED DRIFT FOR THIS HORSE (100th percentile)

EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE

Largest drift recorded across 7 previous runs.

Raw Open → Now price change: 70.2% • -7.50 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Newmarket, 16 May 2026 — 4th • open 13/2 → final 12/1 (-5.64pp).

Opened 9/2Market avg 17/2

Price move-7.50pp(-70.2%)

8/1 ↑ 17/2 ↓ 15/2 ↑ 17/2 ↓ 8/1 ↓ 7/1 ↑ 8/1 ↓ 15/2 ↑ 8/1 → 8/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

9/1 10 decimal Coral

● Live bookmakers30s refresh

Coral 9/1Ladbrokes 9/1SportingIndex 9/1Spreadex 9/1Unibet 9/1BetWright 17/2Betfred 17/2Dragon Bet 17/2Hollywood Bets 17/2LiveScore Bet 17/2Midnite 17/2Quinn Bet 17/2Star Sports 17/2Virgin Bet 17/2William Hill 17/2Betfair Sportsbook 17/2Paddy Power 17/210 Bet 8/17Bet 8/1Bet365 8/1BetTom 8/1Boyle Sports 8/1Bet Victor 15/2Betano 15/2BetMGM 7/1

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
YarmouthToday1m 3y · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 12 runners	9/2	-4.85ppOpen → 10am	13/2	-2.65pp10am → now; SP pending	17/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-7.50pp
Yarmouth17 Sep 20261m 3y · Class 5 · Good · 14 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	11/1	+3.43ppOpen → 10am	15/2	-2.67pp10am → SP	10/1	1st	+0.76pp
Post-race comment
Yarmouth02 Aug 20261m 3y · Class 6 · Good To Firm · 6 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	6/4	+4.44ppOpen → 10am	5/4	+5.56pp10am → SP	EVS	1st	+10.00pp
Post-race comment
Yarmouth30 Apr 20261m 3y · Class 5 · Good To Firm · 6 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	11/1	+0.76ppOpen → 10am	10/1	+0.91pp10am → SP	9/1	1st	+1.67pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
YarmouthToday1m 3y · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 12 runners	9/2	-4.85ppOpen → 10am	13/2	-2.65pp10am → now; SP pending	17/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-7.50pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

THIS IS THE HORSE’S LARGEST RECORDED DRIFTMarket-7.50ppMarket weakness from the opening price.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLargest recorded driftLargest recorded drift across 7 previous runs. This flags unusual market weakness; it does not claim a finishing record.Since 10amWeakening-2.65pp since 10am, as of 11:39. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

Across 7 previous runs, this is the horse’s largest recorded drift. This horse did not have a confirmed 5pp+ drift by 10am, so the trainer’s early-drift record is not being applied. It is also stepping up from Class 5 to Class 4, which adds another test today. Today’s move: Guest House has moved from 9/2 to 17/2, a developing drift (-7.50pp).

Drifted by 4.85pp by 10am. Drifted by 2.65pp more since 10am. As of 11:39; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Yarmouth · 02 Aug 2026 · 1st · 3/4 known conditions match

✓Track: Yarmouth✓Trip (within ½f): 1m 3y✓Ground: Good To Firm×Class: Today Class 4 · previous Class 6

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 13/2 (7.50 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +10.00pp · around 5/2 (3.55 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 1/7 (14.3%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 5.3%. Small sample.

Support levels are not met while the horse is drifting. Check whether it recovers rather than treating the bigger odds as value on their own.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Venetian SkyDraw 6

Trainer: William Haggas

Jockey: Tom Marquand

PRO RACECARD ↗

↔ SAME CLASS

SURFACE SWITCHAW → Turf

COURSE RECORD0/1 top 2Yarmouth · 1 run onlyAverage course SP 9/1 · 66% bigger today

Last run26 days ago · 9 Sep 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

2 of 6 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 8th at Kempton (AW) on 09 Sep 2026 (-5.97pp); and finished 4th at Wolverhampton (AW) on 29 May 2026 (-5.85pp).

When drifting like this: failed 2/3

When drifting like this: failed 2/3 — view runs

09 Aug 2026 · Leicester
Open 15/8 → final 4/1 · SP 4/1 · 2nd

14 Jun 2026 · Doncaster
Open 8/1 → final 12/1 · SP 14/1 · 4th

29 May 2026 · Wolverhampton (AW)
Open 8/1 → final 33/1 · SP 25/1 · 4th

Raw Open → Now price change: 66% • -3.98 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Leicester, 09 Aug 2026 — 2nd • open 15/8 → final 4/1 (-14.72pp).

Opened 9/1Market avg 16/1

Price move-3.98pp(-66.0%)

16/1 ↓ 14/1 → 14/1 ↑ 16/1 → 16/1 ↓ 14/1 ↑ 16/1 ↓ 14/1 ↑ 16/1 → 16/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

16/1 17 decimal 10 Bet

● Live bookmakers30s refresh

10 Bet 16/17Bet 16/1Bet365 16/1BetTom 16/1BetWright 16/1Boyle Sports 16/1Coral 16/1Dragon Bet 16/1Hollywood Bets 16/1Ladbrokes 16/1LiveScore Bet 16/1Midnite 16/1Quinn Bet 16/1SportingIndex 16/1Spreadex 16/1Star Sports 16/1Unibet 16/1Virgin Bet 16/1William Hill 16/1Paddy Power 16/1Bet Victor 14/1BetMGM 14/1Betano 14/1Betfred 14/1Betfair Sportsbook 14/1

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
YarmouthToday1m 3y · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 12 runners	9/1	-3.33ppOpen → 10am	14/1	-0.64pp10am → now; SP pending	16/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-3.98pp
Leicester09 Aug 20261m 53y · Class 5 · Good To Firm · 5 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	15/8	-1.39ppOpen → 10am	2/1	-13.33pp10am → SP	4/1	2nd	-14.72pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
YarmouthToday1m 3y · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 12 runners	9/1	-3.33ppOpen → 10am	14/1	-0.64pp10am → now; SP pending	16/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-3.98pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-0.64pp since 10am, as of 11:39. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

Just 2 of 6 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Venetian Sky is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Drifted by 3.33pp by 10am. Drifted by 0.64pp more since 10am. As of 11:39; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Leicester · 09 Aug 2026 · 2nd · 2/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Yarmouth · previous Leicester✓Trip (within ½f): 1m 3y✓Ground: Good To Firm×Class: Today Class 4 · previous Class 5

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 14/1 (15.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 11/2 (6.67 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 52/164 (31.7%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 19.1%.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Galileo IslandDraw 9

Trainer: Tom Ward

Jockey: Kieran Shoemark

PRO RACECARD ↗

↔ SAME CLASS

SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf

Last run25 days ago · 10 Sep 2026

Distance changeUp 1f from last run

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

4 of 4 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 9th at Epsom on 10 Sep 2026 (-3.54pp); finished 3rd at Leicester on 04 Jul 2026 (-3.62pp); finished 8th at Doncaster on 20 Jun 2026 (-1.76pp); and finished 4th at Southwell (AW) on 01 Jan 2026 (-3.57pp).

When drifting like this: failed 4/4

When drifting like this: failed 4/4 — view runs

10 Sep 2026 · Epsom
Open 9/1 → final 18/1 · SP 22/1 · 9th

04 Jul 2026 · Leicester
Open 11/2 → final 12/1 · SP 16/1 · 3rd

20 Jun 2026 · Doncaster
Open 15/2 → final 18/1 · SP 22/1 · 8th

01 Jan 2026 · Southwell (AW)
Open 11/4 → final 9/2 · SP 9/2 · 4th

Raw Open → Now price change: 50.1% • -1.59 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Southwell (AW), 01 Jan 2026 — 4th • open 11/4 → final 9/2 (-8.48pp).

Opened 20/1Market avg 33/1

Price move-1.59pp(-50.1%)

33/1 → 33/1 ↓ 25/1 ↑ 28/1 ↑ 33/1 ↓ 20/1 ↑ 33/1 ↓ 25/1 ↑ 28/1 ↓ 28/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

33/1 34 decimal Bet365

● Live bookmakers30s refresh

Bet365 33/1BetTom 33/1Betfred 33/1Boyle Sports 33/1Coral 33/1Hollywood Bets 33/1Ladbrokes 33/1LiveScore Bet 33/1Quinn Bet 33/1SportingIndex 33/1Spreadex 33/1Star Sports 33/1Unibet 33/1Virgin Bet 33/1William Hill 33/17Bet 28/110 Bet 28/1BetWright 28/1Dragon Bet 28/1Midnite 28/1Betfair Sportsbook 28/1Paddy Power 28/1Bet Victor 25/1Betano 25/1BetMGM 20/1

25 bookmakers · scroll for all

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
YarmouthToday1m 3y · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 12 runners	20/1	+0.00ppOpen → 10am	20/1	-1.59pp10am → now; SP pending	33/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-1.59pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
YarmouthToday1m 3y · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 12 runners	20/1	+0.00ppOpen → 10am	20/1	-1.59pp10am → now; SP pending	33/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-1.59pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-1.59pp since 10am, as of 11:39. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

4 of 4 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Galileo Island is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

No net move by 10am. Drifted by 1.59pp since 10am. As of 11:39; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 20/1 (21.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 9/1 (10.24 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 9/26 (34.6%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 7.1%.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

EcclefechanDraw 7

Trainer: John Ryan

Jockey: Donagh Murphy(5)

🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

PRO RACECARD ↗

⬆ CLASS RISE

SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf

COURSE RECORD1/2 top 2YarmouthAverage course SP 16/1 · 137% bigger today

Last run11 days ago · 24 Sep 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

More evidence

Average winning SP7/22 recorded wins in the loaded Market Form sample

58th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE58th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

5 of 12 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 9th at Newmarket on 24 Sep 2026 (-1.81pp); finished 7th at Windsor on 07 Sep 2026 (-4.41pp); finished 5th at Newmarket (July) on 17 Jul 2026 (-3.21pp); finished 6th at Carlisle on 09 Jul 2026 (-1.40pp); and finished 8th at Yarmouth on 26 Jun 2026 (-0.78pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 23.5% • -0.61 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Windsor, 07 Sep 2026 — 7th • open 5/2 → final 4/1 (-9.41pp).

Opened 28/1Market avg 40/1

Price move-0.61pp(-23.5%)

40/1 → 40/1 ↓ 28/1 ↑ 33/1 ↑ 40/1 ↓ 25/1 ↑ 40/1 ↓ 28/1 ↑ 33/1 ↑ 40/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

40/1 41 decimal 10 Bet

● Live bookmakers30s refresh

10 Bet 40/1Bet365 40/1BetTom 40/1Betfred 40/1Boyle Sports 40/1Coral 40/1Hollywood Bets 40/1Ladbrokes 40/1LiveScore Bet 40/1Midnite 40/1Quinn Bet 40/1SportingIndex 40/1Spreadex 40/1Star Sports 40/1Unibet 40/1Virgin Bet 40/1William Hill 40/17Bet 33/1Betfair Sportsbook 33/1Paddy Power 33/1BetWright 33/1Dragon Bet 33/1Bet Victor 28/1Betano 28/1BetMGM 25/1

25 bookmakers · scroll for all

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
YarmouthToday1m 3y · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 12 runners	28/1	+0.62ppOpen → 10am	25/1	-1.23pp10am → now; SP pending	40/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.61pp
Yarmouth30 Aug 20261m 3y · Class 6 · Good To Soft · 5 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	7/2	+4.93ppOpen → 10am	11/4	+4.10pp10am → SP	9/4	1st	+9.03pp
Post-race comment
Windsor24 Aug 20261m 31y · Class 6 · Good To Firm · 6 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	9/2	+4.37ppOpen → 10am	7/2	-5.56pp10am → SP	5/1	1st	-1.19pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
YarmouthToday1m 3y · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 12 runners	28/1	+0.62ppOpen → 10am	25/1	-1.23pp10am → now; SP pending	40/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.61pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-1.23pp since 10am, as of 11:39. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

Just 5 of 12 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. It is also stepping up from Class 5 to Class 4, which adds another test today. Today’s move: Ecclefechan is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 0.62pp by 10am. Drifted by 1.23pp since 10am. As of 11:39; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Yarmouth · 30 Aug 2026 · 1st · 2/4 known conditions match

✓Track: Yarmouth✓Trip (within ½f): 1m 3y×Ground: Today Good To Firm · previous Good To Soft×Class: Today Class 4 · previous Class 6

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 25/1 (26.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 11/1 (12.16 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 2/15 (13.3%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 6.5%.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

TrinculoDraw 3

Trainer: Hugo Palmer

Jockey: Luke Morris

PRO RACECARD ↗

⬆ CLASS RISE

SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf

Last run18 days ago · 17 Sep 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

Only 1 of 3 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 10th at Ayr on 17 Sep 2026 (-6.52pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 8.9% • -0.23 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Ayr, 17 Sep 2026 — 10th • open 8/1 → final 16/1 (-4.99pp).

Opened 33/1Market avg 40/1

Price move-0.23pp(-8.9%)

40/1 ↓ 33/1 → 33/1 ↑ 40/1 → 40/1 ↓ 33/1 ↑ 40/1 ↓ 28/1 ↑ 33/1 ↑ 40/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

40/1 41 decimal 10 Bet

● Live bookmakers30s refresh

10 Bet 40/1Bet365 40/1BetTom 40/1BetWright 40/1Boyle Sports 40/1Coral 40/1Dragon Bet 40/1Hollywood Bets 40/1Ladbrokes 40/1LiveScore Bet 40/1Quinn Bet 40/1SportingIndex 40/1Spreadex 40/1Star Sports 40/1Unibet 40/1Virgin Bet 40/1William Hill 40/1Betfair Sportsbook 40/1Paddy Power 40/17Bet 33/1BetMGM 33/1Betano 33/1Betfred 33/1Midnite 33/1Bet Victor 28/1

25 bookmakers · scroll for all

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
YarmouthToday1m 3y · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 12 runners	33/1	+1.07ppOpen → 10am	25/1	-1.30pp10am → now; SP pending	40/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.23pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
YarmouthToday1m 3y · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 12 runners	33/1	+1.07ppOpen → 10am	25/1	-1.30pp10am → now; SP pending	40/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.23pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-1.30pp since 10am, as of 11:39. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

Just 1 of 3 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. It is also stepping up from Class 5 to Class 4, which adds another test today. Today’s move: Trinculo is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 1.07pp by 10am. Drifted by 1.30pp since 10am. As of 11:39; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 25/1 (26.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 12/1 (12.86 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 24/93 (25.8%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 9.8%.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Race market overview as at 11:41

Supported1 of 12 runners at +4pp or more · strongest: Drifts Away +6.22pp
Drifting3 of 12 runners at −4pp or worse · largest: Colonnade -11.78pp
Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.

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