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AscotDundalk (AW)Gowran ParkHexhamNewcastle (AW)Wolverhampton (AW)
ALLBACKED 💰DRIFTERS
01 · Strongest support
Racing silks
Arlecchino's Rex
69
13:31 Wolverhampton (AW)
+6.48pp
True move after NR adjustment · 5/2 → 15/8
02 · Repeat evidence
No repeat signal active
No upcoming runner currently matches a previous successful market pattern.
03 · Weak favourite
Racing silks
Enchanted Queen
50
17:25 Wolverhampton (AW)
-2.57pp
True move after NR adjustment · 4/6 → 8/11
Runner
Bookmaker move
Evidence
What to do next
13:31Wolverhampton (AW) • 1m4f51y • Class 6 • Going: Standard
10 runners
Market Intelligence
Strongest support: Arlecchino's Rex (+6.48 probability points)
Weakest support: Skirt Around (-0.53 probability points)
Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

Racing silksArlecchino's RexDraw 6
Trainer: Mark Usher
Jockey: Rose Dawes
🟢 Needs Support (20%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Mark Usher (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 19/180; first seen between 10am and 1pm 7/180; first seen after 1pm 7/180.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 4/13; first seen between 10am and 1pm 1/13; first seen after 1pm 1/13.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +6.48pp, placing it in this yard's 5pp+ band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 6/22 won (27.3%); Open→SP 8/24 won (33.3%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating69/100 · Ranked #2 today
Last run11 days ago · 21 Sep 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
5 historical matches

2/5 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 13 | Fixed-odds range: 11/2 → 12/1 | Avg: 8/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Early money horse (46%)
13:31Wolverhampton (AW)
Opened 5/2Market avg 15/8
15/8 ↑ 15/8 → 15/8 ↓ 7/4 ↑ 15/8 → 15/8 → 15/8 → 15/8 ↓ 7/4 ↑ 15/8
PRICE MOVE
+6.48pp (+18.5%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
85th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE85th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
2 of 13 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 7th at Lingfield (AW) on 11 Aug 2026 (+8.97pp); and finished 7th at Wolverhampton (AW) on 16 Jun 2026 (+10.46pp).
2/5 placed when backed like this (40%).
When backed like this: 2/5 WON
Raw Open → Now price change: 18.5% • +6.48 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Wolverhampton (AW), 30 Jan 2026 — 4th • open 6/1 → final 3/1 (+10.71pp).

All 5 comparable backed runs (1st or 2nd counts as placed):

  • Lingfield (AW), 10 Sep 2026 — 1st • open 16/1 → final 12/1
  • Lingfield (AW), 11 Aug 2026 — 7th • open 12/1 → final 17/2
  • Wolverhampton (AW), 02 Jun 2026 — 7th • open 11/2 → final 4/1
  • Wolverhampton (AW), 11 May 2026 — 3rd • open 15/2 → final 6/1
  • Wolverhampton (AW), 03 Mar 2026 — 1st • open 9/1 → final 7/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
15/8 2.9 decimal 7Bet
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today1m 4f 51y · Class 6 · Standard · 10 runners5/2—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+6.48ppOpen → now15/8Current; SP pendingPending+6.48pp
MARKET FORM READTRAINER RECORD MAKES THIS SUPPORT SIGNIFICANT

Mark Usher runners in the matching 5pp+ band have won 8/24 (a 33.3% Open→SP strike rate), compared with the trainer’s normal 8.9% strike rate. Just 2 of 13 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. When backed in a similar way previously, it finished first or second in 2 of 5 runs. Today’s move: Arlecchino's Rex has shortened from 5/2 to 15/8, which is support (+6.48pp).

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Lingfield (AW) · 10 Sep 2026 · 1st · 3/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Wolverhampton (AW) · previous Lingfield (AW)✓Trip (within ½f): 1m 4f 51y✓Ground: Standard✓Class: Class 6
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
All 3 previous top-two finishes came with support of 2.13pp+.
At 2.13pp+: 3/10 finished 1st or 2nd (30%).
Today: +6.48pp — trigger reached.
Possible next price: 15/8
13 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Course record
Previous course evidence shows 2 placed efforts from 11 runs at Wolverhampton (AW). Compared with an average course SP of 9.4, today's price is 70% shorter than usual.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Racing silksAmalouDraw 5
Trainer: Daniel & Claire Kubler
Jockey: Warren Fentiman
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Daniel & Claire Kubler (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 23/121; first seen between 10am and 1pm 4/121; first seen after 1pm 7/121.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 2 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.27pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 5/26 won (19.2%); Open→SP 7/25 won (28%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 31.3% (5/16).
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run18 days ago · 14 Sep 2026
Distance changeUp 0.8f from last run
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: 22/1 → 22/1 | Avg: 22/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
13:31Wolverhampton (AW)
Opened 2/1Market avg 2/1
2/1 ↓ 15/8 ↑ 2/1 ↓ 15/8 → 15/8 ↑ 2/1 ↓ 15/8 ↑ 9/4 ↓ 15/8 ↑ 2/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.27pp (+0.8%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
Raw Open → Now price change: 0.8% • +0.27 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Lingfield (AW), 22 Aug 2026 — 8th • open 13/2 → final 11/2 (+1.87pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
9/4 3.25 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today1m 4f 51y · Class 6 · Standard · 10 runners2/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.27ppOpen → now2/1Current; SP pendingPending+0.27pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Amalou is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Windsor · 14 Sep 2026 · 1st · 1/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Wolverhampton (AW) · previous Windsor×Trip (within ½f): Today 1m 4f 51y · previous 1m 3f 99y×Ground: Today Standard · previous Good To Soft✓Class: Class 6
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
2 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: +0.27pp
Possible next price: 2/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Racing silksTen Sixty SixDraw 8
Trainer: David O'Meara
Jockey: Conor Whiteley(3)
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer David O'Meara (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 67/720; first seen between 10am and 1pm 52/720; first seen after 1pm 31/720.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/7; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/7; first seen after 1pm 0/7.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.77pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run13 days ago · 19 Sep 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Late PM
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 7/2 → 7/2 | Avg: 7/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Late money horse (43%)
13:31Wolverhampton (AW)
Opened 13/2Market avg 7/1
7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 ↓ 13/2 ↑ 7/1 → 7/1 ↓ 13/2 ↑ 8/1 ↓ 13/2 → 13/2
PRICE MOVE
-0.77pp (-6.1%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
43th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE43rd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
4 of 7 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 4th at Newcastle (AW) on 19 Sep 2026 (-2.20pp); finished 6th at Hamilton on 11 Jul 2026 (-3.41pp); finished 4th at Beverley on 03 Jul 2026 (-0.78pp); and finished 9th at Nottingham on 26 Apr 2026 (-2.43pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 6.1% • -0.77 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Newcastle (AW), 19 Sep 2026 — 4th • open 9/4 → final 5/1 (-14.10pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
8/1 9 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today1m 4f 51y · Class 6 · Standard · 10 runners13/2—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—-0.77ppOpen → now7/1Current; SP pendingPending-0.77pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

4 of 7 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Ten Sixty Six is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Ripon · 31 Aug 2026 · 2nd · 1/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Wolverhampton (AW) · previous Ripon×Trip (within ½f): Today 1m 4f 51y · previous 1m 1f 170y×Ground: Today Standard · previous Soft✓Class: Class 6
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This matches its usual pattern; support has often arrived later. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
7 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: -0.77pp
Possible next price: 6/1
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Racing silksThis RibDraw 4
Trainer: David Loughnane
Jockey: Ashley Lewis
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer David Loughnane (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 27/261; first seen between 10am and 1pm 18/261; first seen after 1pm 7/261.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/6; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/6; first seen after 1pm 0/6.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.77pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run17 days ago · 15 Sep 2026
Distance changeDown 1.8f from last run
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Mid
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Mid-market mover (50%)
13:31Wolverhampton (AW)
Opened 13/2Market avg 7/1
7/1 ↓ 13/2 ↑ 7/1 ↓ 13/2 ↑ 7/1 → 7/1 ↓ 6/1 → 6/1 ↑ 13/2 ↑ 7/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.77pp (-6.1%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
3 of 6 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 6th at Wolverhampton (AW) on 15 Sep 2026 (-1.55pp); finished 5th at Ayr on 06 Jul 2026 (-0.90pp); and finished 11th at Wolverhampton (AW) on 16 Jun 2026 (-0.90pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 6.1% • -0.77 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Leicester, 29 Jul 2026 — 4th • open 4/1 → final 7/1 (-7.50pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
8/1 9 decimal Midnite
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today1m 4f 51y · Class 6 · Standard · 10 runners13/2—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—-0.77ppOpen → now7/1Current; SP pendingPending-0.77pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

3 of 6 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: This Rib is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This price often moves during the day, so keep checking it. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
5 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: -0.77pp
Possible next price: 7/1
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Course record
Course evidence at Wolverhampton (AW) is limited (2 runs without making the frame). Today's market is 71% shorter than usual against an average course SP profile of 27.0.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Racing silksTiger BeetleDraw 2
Trainer: Thomas Faulkner
Jockey: Zoe Lewis(7)
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Thomas Faulkner (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 19/132; first seen between 10am and 1pm 10/132; first seen after 1pm 5/132.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/8; first seen between 10am and 1pm 1/8; first seen after 1pm 0/8.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.11pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run52 days ago · 11 Aug 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Early
Runs: 8 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (25%)
13:31Wolverhampton (AW)
Opened 15/2Market avg 15/2
8/1 ↓ 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 ↓ 7/1 ↑ 17/2 ↓ 15/2 → 15/2
PRICE MOVE
-0.11pp (-1.0%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
2 of 8 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 3rd at Chepstow on 24 Jul 2026 (-2.40pp); and finished 5th at Wolverhampton (AW) on 10 Apr 2026 (-1.97pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 1% • -0.11 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Wolverhampton (AW), 10 Apr 2026 — 5th • open 7/1 → final 11/1 (-4.17pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
17/2 9.5 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today1m 4f 51y · Class 6 · Standard · 10 runners15/2—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—-0.11ppOpen → now15/2Current; SP pendingPending-0.11pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 2 of 8 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Tiger Beetle is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.Comparable moves have had few top-two finishes. Be cautious.
Did the early price move fade?

Recorded examples where 5pp+ early support was followed by a longer final price:

  • Wolverhampton (AW), 02 Feb 2026 — 8th • open 40/1 → 1pm 12/1 → final 18/1
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
8 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: -0.11pp
Possible next price: 15/2
8 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Course record
No placed efforts from 5 previous runs at Wolverhampton (AW). The current market is 44% shorter than usual compared with a typical course SP of 15.4.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Racing silksForever PerfectDraw 3
Trainer: Rebecca Menzies
Jockey: Owen Lewis(3)
🔴 Ignores MarketThis horse has won or placed despite drifting. Market weakness does NOT negatively impact performance. Can be a value angle when price weakens.
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Rebecca Menzies (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 26/337; first seen between 10am and 1pm 12/337; first seen after 1pm 7/337.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 2/10; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/10; first seen after 1pm 0/10.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.48pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run11 days ago · 21 Sep 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 10 | Fixed-odds range: 11/4 → 6/1 | Avg: 9/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Late money horse (50%)
13:31Wolverhampton (AW)
Opened 17/2Market avg 9/1
9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 ↓ 17/2 ↑ 9/1 → 9/1 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 11/1 ↓ 17/2 → 17/2
PRICE MOVE
-0.48pp (-4.8%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
40th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE40th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
6 of 10 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 9th at Redcar on 09 Sep 2026 (-1.12pp); finished 3rd at Thirsk on 05 Jun 2026 (-9.62pp); finished 2nd at Wolverhampton (AW) on 27 Apr 2026 (-4.62pp); finished 1st at Wolverhampton (AW) on 21 Apr 2026 (-1.82pp); finished 3rd at Wolverhampton (AW) on 06 Apr 2026 (-7.06pp); and finished 6th at Southwell (AW) on 04 Mar 2026 (-0.78pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 4.8% • -0.48 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Thirsk, 05 Jun 2026 — 3rd • open 3/1 → final 8/1 (-13.89pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
11/1 12 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today1m 4f 51y · Class 6 · Standard · 10 runners17/2—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—-0.48ppOpen → now9/1Current; SP pendingPending-0.48pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

6 of 10 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Forever Perfect is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Wolverhampton (AW) · 08 May 2026 · 2nd · 4/4 known conditions match
✓Track: Wolverhampton (AW)✓Trip (within ½f): 1m 4f 51y✓Ground: Standard✓Class: Class 6
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This matches its usual pattern; support has often arrived later. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
No positive support trigger.
This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.
Today: -0.48pp
Possible next price: 8/1
10 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Course record
Course record of 3/6 at Wolverhampton (AW). The average SP at this course is 17.0 and today's market has the horse trading 41% shorter than usual.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Racing silksSkirt AroundDraw 10
Trainer: Philip Kirby
Jockey: Charlie Tucker(7)
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Philip Kirby (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 32/320; first seen between 10am and 1pm 22/320; first seen after 1pm 8/320.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/4; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/4; first seen after 1pm 0/4.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.53pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run13 days ago · 19 Sep 2026
Distance changeUp 2f from last run
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Early PM
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (50%)
13:31Wolverhampton (AW)
Opened 16/1Market avg 18/1
18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 ↓ 16/1 ↑ 18/1 → 18/1 ↓ 16/1 ↑ 22/1 ↓ 16/1 → 16/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.53pp (-9.8%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
4 of 4 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 6th at Newcastle (AW) on 19 Sep 2026 (-3.28pp); finished 4th at Ripon on 15 Aug 2026 (-1.01pp); finished 7th at Wetherby on 04 Jun 2026 (-5.26pp); and finished 8th at Newcastle (AW) on 01 May 2026 (-5.00pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 9.8% • -0.53 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Wetherby, 04 Jun 2026 — 7th • open 17/2 → final 20/1 (-5.76pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
22/1 23 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today1m 4f 51y · Class 6 · Standard · 10 runners16/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—-0.53ppOpen → now18/1Current; SP pendingPending-0.53pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

4 of 4 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Skirt Around is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
4 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: -0.53pp
Possible next price: 14/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Racing silksProject KinsmanDraw 1
Trainer: Philip Kirby
Jockey: Tom Kiely-Marshall
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Philip Kirby (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 32/320; first seen between 10am and 1pm 22/320; first seen after 1pm 8/320.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/8; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/8; first seen after 1pm 0/8.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.12pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 12/51 won (23.5%); Open→SP 11/51 won (21.6%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 39.1% (9/23).
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run13 days ago · 19 Sep 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 8 | Fixed-odds range: 11/1 → 11/1 | Avg: 11/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Mid-market mover (25%)
13:31Wolverhampton (AW)
Opened 20/1Market avg 20/1
20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 ↓ 18/1 ↑ 20/1 → 20/1 ↓ 18/1 ↑ 22/1 ↓ 18/1 ↑ 20/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.12pp (+2.4%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
63th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE63rd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
3 of 8 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 10th at Newcastle (AW) on 19 Sep 2026 (+0.33pp); finished 8th at Newcastle (AW) on 02 Jun 2026 (+3.09pp); and finished 2nd at Newcastle (AW) on 13 Apr 2026 (+1.67pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 2.4% • +0.12 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Newcastle (AW), 13 Apr 2026 — 2nd • open 14/1 → final 11/1 (+1.67pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
22/1 23 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today1m 4f 51y · Class 6 · Standard · 10 runners20/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.12ppOpen → now20/1Current; SP pendingPending+0.12pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 3 of 8 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Project Kinsman is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Newcastle (AW) · 13 Apr 2026 · 2nd · 2/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Wolverhampton (AW) · previous Newcastle (AW)×Trip (within ½f): Today 1m 4f 51y · previous 1m 2f 42y✓Ground: Standard✓Class: Class 6
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.Comparable moves have had few top-two finishes. Be cautious.
Did the early price move fade?

No documented early-support reversal in this horse’s recorded checkpoint sample. The older wording referred to finishing results, not a verified intraday price fade.

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
8 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: +0.12pp
Possible next price: 20/1
8 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Racing silksEcho ThatDraw 9
Trainer: Patrick Owens
Jockey: Mason Paetel
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Patrick Owens (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/45; first seen between 10am and 1pm 2/45; first seen after 1pm 0/45.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 1 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.19pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/3 won (0%); Open→SP 0/2 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
⬇ CLASS DROP
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run38 days ago · 25 Aug 2026
Distance changeUp 2.2f from last run
Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.
13:31Wolverhampton (AW)
Opened 33/1Market avg 33/1
33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 ↑ 33/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.19pp (+6.5%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
Raw Open → Now price change: 6.5% • +0.19 probability points
Previous market evidence

No previous positive open-to-final support in the recorded sample.

BEST FIXED ODDS
33/1 36 decimal 7Bet
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today1m 4f 51y · Class 6 · Standard · 10 runners33/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.19ppOpen → now33/1Current; SP pendingPending+0.19pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. The horse drops from Class 4 to Class 6, but the market has not responded with meaningful support. Today’s move: Echo That is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
1 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: +0.19pp
Possible next price: 40/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Racing silksProphet SqueezeDraw 7
Trainer: Barry Murphy
Jockey: Christian Howarth
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Barry Murphy (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/6; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/6; first seen after 1pm 0/6.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/8; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/8; first seen after 1pm 0/8.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.19pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/0 won (0%); Open→SP 0/0 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run30 days ago · 2 Sep 2026
Distance changeDown 1.8f from last run
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 8 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Best at SP (50%)
13:31Wolverhampton (AW)
Opened 33/1Market avg 33/1
33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 ↑ 33/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.19pp (+6.5%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILETHE STRONGEST MOVE RECORDED (100th percentile)
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest support recorded across 8 previous runs.
Raw Open → Now price change: 6.5% • +0.19 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Chepstow, 24 Jul 2026 — 9th • open 40/1 → final 40/1 (+0.27pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
33/1 36 decimal 7Bet
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today1m 4f 51y · Class 6 · Standard · 10 runners33/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.19ppOpen → now33/1Current; SP pendingPending+0.19pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READTHIS IS THE HORSE’S STRONGEST RECORDED SUPPORT

Across 8 previous runs, this is the horse’s strongest recorded support. Today’s move: Prophet Squeeze is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
The price has been unpredictable before and may move sharply again. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
7 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: +0.19pp
Possible next price: 40/1
8 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Race market overview as at 05:16
  • Supported1 of 10 runners at +4pp or more · strongest: Arlecchino's Rex +6.48pp
  • Drifting0 of 10 runners at −4pp or worse
  • Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
  • Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.
14:06Wolverhampton (AW) • 5f21y • Class 5 • Going: Standard
9 runners
Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

Racing silksAnna BelardoDraw 7
Trainer: Dr Richard Newland
Jockey: Gina Mangan
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Dr Richard Newland (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 2/3; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/3; first seen after 1pm 0/3.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/5; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/5; first seen after 1pm 0/5.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.02pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run25 days ago · 7 Sep 2026
Distance changeDown 1f from last run
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Early PM
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 16/1 → 16/1 | Avg: 16/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (20%)
14:06Wolverhampton (AW)
Opened 11/4Market avg 11/4
11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 ↓ 5/2 ↑ 11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 ↑ 3/1 ↓ 5/2 ↑ 11/4
PRICE MOVE
-0.02pp (-0.1%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
60th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE60th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
2 of 5 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 2nd at Wolverhampton (AW) on 07 Sep 2026 (-0.48pp); and finished 7th at Musselburgh on 21 May 2026 (-6.82pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 0.1% • -0.02 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Musselburgh, 21 May 2026 — 7th • open 3/1 → final 9/2 (-6.82pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
10/3 4.33 decimal Midnite
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today5f 21y · Class 5 · Standard · 9 runners11/4—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—-0.02ppOpen → now11/4Current; SP pendingPending-0.02pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 2 of 5 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Anna Belardo is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Wolverhampton (AW) · 07 Sep 2026 · 2nd · 3/4 known conditions match
✓Track: Wolverhampton (AW)×Trip (within ½f): Today 5f 21y · previous 6f 20y✓Ground: Standard✓Class: Class 5
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
5 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: -0.02pp
Possible next price: 11/4
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Wolverhampton (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Racing silksLowcountryDraw 4
Trainer: Tom Ward
Jockey: Alec Voikhansky
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Tom Ward (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 11/149; first seen between 10am and 1pm 14/149; first seen after 1pm 5/149.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 2 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.23pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run17 days ago · 15 Sep 2026
Distance changeDown 1f from last run
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
14:06Wolverhampton (AW)
Opened 10/3Market avg 10/3
7/2 ↓ 10/3 ↑ 7/2 ↓ 10/3 → 10/3 → 10/3 → 10/3 ↑ 4/1 ↓ 10/3 → 10/3
PRICE MOVE
-0.23pp (-1.0%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
Raw Open → Now price change: 1% • -0.23 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Salisbury, 21 Aug 2026 — 10th • open 28/1 → final 40/1 (-1.13pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
4/1 5 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today5f 21y · Class 5 · Standard · 9 runners10/3—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—-0.23ppOpen → now10/3Current; SP pendingPending-0.23pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Lowcountry is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
2 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: -0.23pp
Possible next price: 10/3
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Wolverhampton (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Racing silksClassic BelliniDraw 9
Trainer: Tim Easterby
Jockey: Sean Kirrane
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Tim Easterby (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 151/1143; first seen between 10am and 1pm 66/1143; first seen after 1pm 34/1143.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 2 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.97pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run120 days ago · 4 Jun 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
14:06Wolverhampton (AW)
Opened 7/2Market avg 4/1
4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 ↓ 7/2 → 7/2 ↑ 4/1 → 4/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.97pp (-9.7%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
Raw Open → Now price change: 9.7% • -1.97 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Thirsk, 16 May 2026 — 7th • open 20/1 → final 33/1 (-1.82pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
4/1 5 decimal 7Bet
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today5f 21y · Class 5 · Standard · 9 runners7/2—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—-1.97ppOpen → now4/1Current; SP pendingPending-1.97pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Classic Bellini is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
2 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: -1.97pp
Possible next price: 4/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Racing silksFalah GloryDraw 1
Trainer: Dylan Cunha
Jockey: David Probert
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Dylan Cunha (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 38/375; first seen between 10am and 1pm 28/375; first seen after 1pm 20/375.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 2 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.44pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 12/57 won (21.1%); Open→SP 15/71 won (21.1%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 24.2% (8/33).
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run17 days ago · 15 Sep 2026
Distance changeDown 1f from last run
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
14:06Wolverhampton (AW)
Opened 6/1Market avg 6/1
6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 ↓ 11/2 → 11/2 ↑ 6/1 ↓ 11/2 ↑ 13/2 ↓ 11/2 → 11/2
PRICE MOVE
+0.44pp (+3.0%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
Raw Open → Now price change: 3% • +0.44 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Wolverhampton (AW), 15 Sep 2026 — 8th • open 12/1 → final 9/1 (+2.59pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
13/2 7.5 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today5f 21y · Class 5 · Standard · 9 runners6/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.44ppOpen → now6/1Current; SP pendingPending+0.44pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Falah Glory is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
2 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: +0.44pp
Possible next price: 5/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Course record
This horse is 0/2 at Wolverhampton (AW) on our records. Today's market is 40% shorter than usual against an average course SP of 11.3.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Racing silksSable IslandDraw 8
Trainer: Chris Dwyer
Jockey: Harry Davies
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Chris Dwyer (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 21/88; first seen between 10am and 1pm 2/88; first seen after 1pm 6/88.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 2/8; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/8; first seen after 1pm 0/8.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.90pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 5/20 won (25%); Open→SP 5/26 won (19.2%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 33.3% (4/12).
⬆ CLASS RISE
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run15 days ago · 17 Sep 2026
Distance changeDown 1f from last run
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 8 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (38%)
14:06Wolverhampton (AW)
Opened 15/2Market avg 7/1
7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 ↓ 13/2 ↑ 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 ↓ 13/2 ↑ 7/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.90pp (+7.1%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
2 of 8 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 5th at Lingfield on 22 Jul 2026 (+6.67pp); and finished 3rd at Bath on 26 May 2026 (+14.17pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 7.1% • +0.90 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Bath, 26 May 2026 — 3rd • open 7/1 → final 4/1 (+7.50pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
7/1 8 decimal 7Bet
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today5f 21y · Class 5 · Standard · 9 runners15/2—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.90ppOpen → now7/1Current; SP pendingPending+0.90pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 2 of 8 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. It is also stepping up from Class 6 to Class 5, which adds another test today. Today’s move: Sable Island is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.Comparable moves have had few top-two finishes. Be cautious.
Did the early price move fade?

Recorded examples where 5pp+ early support was followed by a longer final price:

  • Lingfield, 22 Jul 2026 — 5th • open 9/1 → 10am 5/1 → final 11/2
  • Bath, 26 May 2026 — 3rd • open 7/1 → 10am 11/4 → final 4/1
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
8 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: +0.90pp
Possible next price: 7/1
8 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Course record
No placed efforts from 2 previous runs at Wolverhampton (AW). The current market is 61% shorter than usual compared with a typical course SP of 20.3.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Racing silksDecem CarolinaeDraw 2
Trainer: Jack Jones
Jockey: Finley Marsh
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Jack Jones (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 29/222; first seen between 10am and 1pm 16/222; first seen after 1pm 9/222.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 2 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.33pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 11/41 won (26.8%); Open→SP 12/38 won (31.6%).
Watch for 20pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 50% (2/4).
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run25 days ago · 7 Sep 2026
Distance changeDown 1f from last run
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
14:06Wolverhampton (AW)
Opened 15/2Market avg 15/2
15/2 ↓ 7/1 ↑ 15/2 ↓ 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 ↑ 15/2 ↑ 9/1 ↓ 7/1 → 7/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.33pp (+2.7%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
Raw Open → Now price change: 2.7% • +0.33 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Windsor, 07 Sep 2026 — 9th • open 14/1 → final 8/1 (+4.21pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
9/1 10 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today5f 21y · Class 5 · Standard · 9 runners15/2—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.33ppOpen → now15/2Current; SP pendingPending+0.33pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Decem Carolinae is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
2 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: +0.33pp
Possible next price: 7/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Racing silksLead To GoldDraw 5
Trainer: Ollie Sangster
Jockey: Sean Dylan Bowen
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Ollie Sangster (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 57/341; first seen between 10am and 1pm 12/341; first seen after 1pm 9/341.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 0 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.77pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
14:06Wolverhampton (AW)
Opened 9/1Market avg 10/1
10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 ↓ 9/1 ↑ 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 ↓ 9/1 ↑ 10/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.77pp (-8.3%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
Raw Open → Now price change: 8.3% • -0.77 probability points
BEST FIXED ODDS
10/1 11 decimal 7Bet
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today5f 21y · Class 5 · Standard · 9 runners9/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—-0.77ppOpen → now10/1Current; SP pendingPending-0.77pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Lead To Gold is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 10/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Racing silksSacred RhythmDraw 3
Trainer: Joseph Parr
Jockey: Luke Morris
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Joseph Parr (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 11/103; first seen between 10am and 1pm 11/103; first seen after 1pm 0/103.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 2 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.46pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run19 days ago · 13 Sep 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
14:06Wolverhampton (AW)
Opened 11/1Market avg 12/1
12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 ↓ 11/1 ↑ 12/1 → 12/1 ↓ 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 ↑ 12/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.46pp (-5.9%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
Raw Open → Now price change: 5.9% • -0.46 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Bath, 13 Sep 2026 — 5th • open 6/1 → final 7/1 (-2.21pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
12/1 13 decimal 7Bet
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today5f 21y · Class 5 · Standard · 9 runners11/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—-0.46ppOpen → now12/1Current; SP pendingPending-0.46pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Sacred Rhythm is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
2 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: -0.46pp
Possible next price: 12/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Racing silksCosmocratDraw 6
Trainer: Scott Dixon
Jockey: Kieran O'Neill
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Scott Dixon (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 27/372; first seen between 10am and 1pm 16/372; first seen after 1pm 14/372.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 1 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.00pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 4/38 won (10.5%); Open→SP 5/44 won (11.4%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 16.7% (3/18).
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run17 days ago · 15 Sep 2026
Distance changeDown 1f from last run
Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.
14:06Wolverhampton (AW)
Opened 40/1Market avg 40/1
40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 ↓ 33/1 ↑ 40/1 → 40/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.00pp (+0.1%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
Raw Open → Now price change: 0.1% • +0.00 probability points
Previous market evidence

No previous positive open-to-final support in the recorded sample.

BEST FIXED ODDS
50/1 51 decimal Betfair Sportsbook
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today5f 21y · Class 5 · Standard · 9 runners40/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.00ppOpen → now40/1Current; SP pendingPending+0.00pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Cosmocrat is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
1 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: +0.00pp
Possible next price: 40/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Wolverhampton (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Race market overview as at 05:16
  • Supported0 of 9 runners at +4pp or more
  • Drifting0 of 9 runners at −4pp or worse
  • Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
  • Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.
14:41Wolverhampton (AW) • 6f20y • Class 4 • Going: Standard
7 runners
Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

Racing silksInkberrowDraw 6
Trainer: Simon & Ed Crisford
Jockey: Harry Davies
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Simon & Ed Crisford (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 37/278; first seen between 10am and 1pm 26/278; first seen after 1pm 20/278.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 1 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.48pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run17 days ago · 15 Sep 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: 6/1 → 6/1 | Avg: 6/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.
14:41Wolverhampton (AW)
Opened 4/7Market avg 4/7
8/13 ↓ 4/7 ↑ 8/13 ↓ 4/7 → 4/7 → 4/7 → 4/7 ↑ 4/6 ↓ 4/7 → 4/7
PRICE MOVE
-0.48pp (-0.8%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
Raw Open → Now price change: 0.8% • -0.48 probability points
Built 01:24 → 01:35
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Wolverhampton (AW), 15 Sep 2026 — 2nd • open 3/1 → final 6/1 (-11.36pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
4/6 1.67 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today6f 20y · Class 4 · Standard · 7 runners4/7—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—-0.48ppOpen → now4/7Current; SP pendingPending-0.48pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Inkberrow is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Wolverhampton (AW) · 15 Sep 2026 · 2nd · 4/4 known conditions match
✓Track: Wolverhampton (AW)✓Trip (within ½f): 6f 20y✓Ground: Standard✓Class: Class 4
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
1 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: -0.48pp
Possible next price: 4/7
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Wolverhampton (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Racing silksLahan KingmanDraw 2
Trainer: Richard Hughes
Jockey: Billy Loughnane
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Richard Hughes (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 68/440; first seen between 10am and 1pm 27/440; first seen after 1pm 21/440.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/4; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/4; first seen after 1pm 0/4.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.00pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 21/78 won (26.9%); Open→SP 23/84 won (27.4%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 29.7% (11/37).
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run21 days ago · 11 Sep 2026
Distance changeDown 0.9f from last run
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 1/2 → 3/1 | Avg: 7/4Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (25%)
14:41Wolverhampton (AW)
Opened 4/1Market avg 4/1
4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 ↑ 9/2 ↓ 4/1 → 4/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.00pp (+0.0%)
No meaningful price change from the open.
Move evidence
50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
2 of 4 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 2nd at Lingfield (AW) on 14 Apr 2026 (+1.39pp); and finished 2nd at Wolverhampton (AW) on 17 Mar 2026 (+15.44pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 0% • +0.00 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Wolverhampton (AW), 17 Mar 2026 — 2nd • open 5/4 → final 1/2 (+22.22pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
9/2 5.5 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today6f 20y · Class 4 · Standard · 7 runners4/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.00ppOpen → now4/1Current; SP pendingPending+0.00pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

2 of 4 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Lahan Kingman is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Wolverhampton (AW) · 17 Mar 2026 · 2nd · 3/4 known conditions match
✓Track: Wolverhampton (AW)×Trip (within ½f): Today 6f 20y · previous 7f 36y✓Ground: Standard✓Class: Class 4
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
No positive support trigger.
This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.
Today: +0.00pp
Possible next price: 4/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Wolverhampton (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Racing silksMoonlight MelodyDraw 7
Trainer: Donald McCain
Jockey: Luke Morris
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Donald McCain (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 34/347; first seen between 10am and 1pm 26/347; first seen after 1pm 15/347.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/5; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/5; first seen after 1pm 0/5.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.30pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 12/49 won (24.5%); Open→SP 14/57 won (24.6%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 28% (7/25).
⬆ CLASS RISE
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run21 days ago · 11 Sep 2026
Distance changeDown 0.9f from last run
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Late money horse (40%)
14:41Wolverhampton (AW)
Opened 11/2Market avg 11/2
11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 ↓ 5/1 ↑ 11/2 → 11/2 ↓ 5/1 ↑ 11/2 ↓ 5/1 ↑ 11/2
PRICE MOVE
+0.30pp (+1.9%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
80th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE80th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
Only 1 of 5 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 3rd at Catterick on 26 Aug 2026 (+10.71pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 1.9% • +0.30 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Catterick, 26 Aug 2026 — 3rd • open 6/1 → final 9/2 (+3.90pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
11/2 6.5 decimal 7Bet
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today6f 20y · Class 4 · Standard · 7 runners11/2—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.30ppOpen → now11/2Current; SP pendingPending+0.30pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 1 of 5 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. It is also stepping up from Class 5 to Class 4, which adds another test today. Today’s move: Moonlight Melody is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This early support is unusual; the price has often drifted again later. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
5 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: +0.30pp
Possible next price: 11/2
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Wolverhampton (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Racing silksVentanaDraw 3
Trainer: Charles Hills
Jockey: Rob Hornby
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Charles Hills (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 30/237; first seen between 10am and 1pm 11/237; first seen after 1pm 9/237.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/3; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/3; first seen after 1pm 0/3.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.10pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 13/34 won (38.2%); Open→SP 11/35 won (31.4%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 41.7% (5/12).
⬆ CLASS RISE
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run104 days ago · 20 Jun 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: 14/1 → 14/1 | Avg: 14/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (67%)
14:41Wolverhampton (AW)
Opened 11/2Market avg 11/2
11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 ↓ 5/1 ↑ 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 ↓ 5/1 ↑ 11/2
PRICE MOVE
+0.10pp (+0.6%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILETHE STRONGEST MOVE RECORDED (100th percentile)
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest support recorded across 3 previous runs.
Raw Open → Now price change: 0.6% • +0.10 probability points
Previous market evidence

No previous positive open-to-final support in the recorded sample.

BEST FIXED ODDS
11/2 6.5 decimal 7Bet
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today6f 20y · Class 4 · Standard · 7 runners11/2—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.10ppOpen → now11/2Current; SP pendingPending+0.10pp
MARKET FORM READTHIS IS THE HORSE’S STRONGEST RECORDED SUPPORT

Across 3 previous runs, this is the horse’s strongest recorded support. It is also stepping up from Class 5 to Class 4, which adds another test today. Today’s move: Ventana is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Windsor · 01 Jun 2026 · 2nd · 2/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Wolverhampton (AW) · previous Windsor✓Trip (within ½f): 6f 20y×Ground: Today Standard · previous Good To Firm✓Class: Class 4
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (strong)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
3 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: +0.10pp
Possible next price: 11/2
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Racing silksKodi BlueDraw 1
Trainer: Ismail Mohammed & Jose Santos
Jockey: Tom Kiely-Marshall(3)
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Ismail Mohammed & Jose Santos (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 2/55; first seen between 10am and 1pm 5/55; first seen after 1pm 1/55.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 0 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.40pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
14:41Wolverhampton (AW)
Opened 20/1Market avg 22/1
22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1 ↓ 20/1 ↑ 22/1 → 22/1 ↓ 20/1 ↑ 22/1 ↓ 20/1 → 20/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.40pp (-9.1%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
Raw Open → Now price change: 9.1% • -0.40 probability points
BEST FIXED ODDS
25/1 26 decimal Betfair Sportsbook
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today6f 20y · Class 4 · Standard · 7 runners20/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—-0.40ppOpen → now22/1Current; SP pendingPending-0.40pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Kodi Blue is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 18/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Racing silksVannessaDraw 4
Trainer: Patrick Chamings
Jockey: David Probert
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Patrick Chamings (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 4/91; first seen between 10am and 1pm 6/91; first seen after 1pm 2/91.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 0 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.11pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/9 won (11.1%); Open→SP 1/8 won (12.5%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
14:41Wolverhampton (AW)
Opened 33/1Market avg 33/1
33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 ↑ 33/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.11pp (+3.7%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
Raw Open → Now price change: 3.7% • +0.11 probability points
BEST FIXED ODDS
40/1 41 decimal Betfair Sportsbook
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today6f 20y · Class 4 · Standard · 7 runners33/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.11ppOpen → now33/1Current; SP pendingPending+0.11pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Vannessa is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 40/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Racing silksRed MelodyDraw 5
Trainer: Lisa Williamson
Jockey: Ben Ffrench Davis(5)
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Lisa Williamson (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 2/60; first seen between 10am and 1pm 3/60; first seen after 1pm 1/60.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 1 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.01pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/5 won (20%); Open→SP 1/3 won (33.3%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run17 days ago · 15 Sep 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.
14:41Wolverhampton (AW)
Opened 80/1Market avg 80/1
80/1 → 80/1 → 80/1 ↓ 66/1 ↑ 80/1 → 80/1 ↓ 66/1 → 66/1 → 66/1 ↑ 80/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.01pp (+0.8%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
Raw Open → Now price change: 0.8% • +0.01 probability points
Previous market evidence

No previous positive open-to-final support in the recorded sample.

BEST FIXED ODDS
100/1 101 decimal Betfair Sportsbook
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today6f 20y · Class 4 · Standard · 7 runners80/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.01ppOpen → now80/1Current; SP pendingPending+0.01pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Red Melody is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
1 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: +0.01pp
Possible next price: 80/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Wolverhampton (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Race market overview as at 05:16
  • Supported0 of 7 runners at +4pp or more
  • Drifting0 of 7 runners at −4pp or worse
  • Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
  • Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.
15:16Wolverhampton (AW) • 6f20y • Class 5 • Going: Standard
10 runners
Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

Racing silksMiracleoftheandesDraw 4
Trainer: Warren Greatrex
Jockey: Luke Morris
🔴 Ignores MarketThis horse has won or placed despite drifting. Market weakness does NOT negatively impact performance. Can be a value angle when price weakens.
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Warren Greatrex (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 24/229; first seen between 10am and 1pm 16/229; first seen after 1pm 10/229.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/4; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/4; first seen after 1pm 0/4.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.04pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 5/34 won (14.7%); Open→SP 5/34 won (14.7%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 20% (3/15).
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run37 days ago · 26 Aug 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 7/1 → 33/1 | Avg: 20/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Late money horse (50%)
15:16Wolverhampton (AW)
Opened 3/1Market avg 3/1
3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 ↓ 11/4 ↑ 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 ↑ 10/3 ↓ 11/4 ↑ 3/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.04pp (+0.2%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 1 of 4 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 1st at Wolverhampton (AW) on 26 Aug 2026 (+0.22pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 0.2% • +0.04 probability points
Previous market evidence

No previous positive open-to-final support in the recorded sample.

BEST FIXED ODDS
10/3 4.33 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today6f 20y · Class 5 · Standard · 10 runners3/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.04ppOpen → now3/1Current; SP pendingPending+0.04pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 1 of 4 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Miracleoftheandes is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Wolverhampton (AW) · 26 Aug 2026 · 1st · 4/4 known conditions match
✓Track: Wolverhampton (AW)✓Trip (within ½f): 6f 20y✓Ground: Standard✓Class: Class 5
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This early support is unusual; the price has often drifted again later. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
No positive support trigger.
This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.
Today: +0.04pp
Possible next price: 3/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Wolverhampton (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Racing silksDiamondinthedarkDraw 7
Trainer: Mark Loughnane
Jockey: Billy Loughnane
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Mark Loughnane (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 28/303; first seen between 10am and 1pm 13/303; first seen after 1pm 9/303.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/4; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/4; first seen after 1pm 0/4.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.88pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run11 days ago · 21 Sep 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 25/1 → 25/1 | Avg: 25/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Late money horse (50%)
15:16Wolverhampton (AW)
Opened 3/1Market avg 3/1
10/3 ↓ 3/1 ↑ 10/3 ↓ 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 ↑ 10/3 ↑ 4/1 ↓ 3/1 → 3/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.88pp (-3.6%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
2 of 4 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 6th at Wolverhampton (AW) on 26 Aug 2026 (-2.22pp); and finished 8th at Lingfield (AW) on 04 Jun 2026 (-10.49pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 3.7% • -0.88 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Lingfield (AW), 04 Jun 2026 — 8th • open 9/2 → final 14/1 (-11.52pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
4/1 5 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today6f 20y · Class 5 · Standard · 10 runners3/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—-0.88ppOpen → now3/1Current; SP pendingPending-0.88pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

2 of 4 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Diamondinthedark is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Ffos Las · 04 Aug 2026 · 2nd · 2/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Wolverhampton (AW) · previous Ffos Las✓Trip (within ½f): 6f 20y×Ground: Today Standard · previous Good✓Class: Class 5
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This matches its usual pattern; support has often arrived later. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
4 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: -0.88pp
Possible next price: 3/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Wolverhampton (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Racing silksNo ReturnDraw 9
Trainer: Charlie Johnston
Jockey: Rob Hornby
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Charlie Johnston (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 71/702; first seen between 10am and 1pm 46/702; first seen after 1pm 25/702.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 2/10; first seen between 10am and 1pm 1/10; first seen after 1pm 0/10.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.40pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
⬆ CLASS RISE
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run31 days ago · 1 Sep 2026
Distance changeUp 1.1f from last run
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 historical matches

0/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 10 | Fixed-odds range: 50/1 → 50/1 | Avg: 50/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Late money horse (30%)
15:16Wolverhampton (AW)
Opened 9/2Market avg 5/1
5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 ↓ 9/2 ↑ 11/2 ↓ 5/1 → 5/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.40pp (-8.3%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
90th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE90th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
Only 1 of 10 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 8th at Lingfield (AW) on 27 Mar 2026 (-2.45pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 8.3% • -1.40 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Kempton (AW), 14 Jan 2026 — 6th • open 9/2 → final 15/2 (-6.42pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
11/2 6.5 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today6f 20y · Class 5 · Standard · 10 runners9/2—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—-1.40ppOpen → now5/1Current; SP pendingPending-1.40pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 1 of 10 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. It is also stepping up from Class 6 to Class 5, which adds another test today. Today’s move: No Return is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Lingfield (AW) · 07 Jan 2026 · 2nd · 2/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Wolverhampton (AW) · previous Lingfield (AW)✓Trip (within ½f): 6f 20y✓Ground: Standard×Class: Today Class 5 · previous Class 4
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.Comparable moves have had few top-two finishes. Be cautious.
Did the early price move fade?

Recorded examples where 5pp+ early support was followed by a longer final price:

  • Lingfield (AW), 01 Sep 2026 — 3rd • open 11/4 → 1pm 6/4 → final 13/8
  • Wolverhampton (AW), 03 Feb 2026 — 7th • open 15/2 → 10am 9/2 → final 14/1
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
10 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: -1.40pp
Possible next price: 5/1
10 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Wolverhampton (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Racing silksPull The RugDraw 6
Trainer: Grace Harris
Jockey: Ray Dawson
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Grace Harris (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 31/247; first seen between 10am and 1pm 14/247; first seen after 1pm 1/247.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/8; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/8; first seen after 1pm 0/8.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.62pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run3 days ago · 29 Sep 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 8 | Fixed-odds range: 9/1 → 9/1 | Avg: 9/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
The price is drifting and is not attracting bookmaker support.
Early money horse (50%)
15:16Wolverhampton (AW)
Opened 6/1Market avg 7/1
7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 ↓ 13/2 ↑ 7/1 ↓ 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 ↑ 7/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.62pp (-12.8%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
2 of 8 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 2nd at Chepstow on 06 Aug 2026 (-3.33pp); and finished 4th at Windsor on 27 Jul 2026 (-2.05pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 12.8% • -1.62 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Chepstow, 06 Aug 2026 — 2nd • open 5/1 → final 9/1 (-6.67pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
8/1 9 decimal Paddy Power
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today6f 20y · Class 5 · Standard · 10 runners6/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—-1.62ppOpen → now7/1Current; SP pendingPending-1.62pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 2 of 8 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Pull The Rug is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Chepstow · 06 Aug 2026 · 2nd · 2/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Wolverhampton (AW) · previous Chepstow✓Trip (within ½f): 6f 20y×Ground: Today Standard · previous Good To Firm✓Class: Class 5
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
8 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: -1.62pp
Possible next price: 15/2
8 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Racing silksHayynahDraw 2
Trainer: Ollie Sangster
Jockey: Harry Vigors(5)
🔴 Ignores MarketThis horse has won or placed despite drifting. Market weakness does NOT negatively impact performance. Can be a value angle when price weakens.
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Ollie Sangster (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 57/341; first seen between 10am and 1pm 12/341; first seen after 1pm 9/341.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/7; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/7; first seen after 1pm 0/7.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.11pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run14 days ago · 18 Sep 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 8/13 → 7/4 | Avg: 6/5Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Late money horse (43%)
15:16Wolverhampton (AW)
Opened 15/2Market avg 15/2
15/2 ↑ 8/1 ↓ 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2
PRICE MOVE
-0.11pp (-1.0%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
29th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE29th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
5 of 7 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 6th at Wolverhampton (AW) on 18 Sep 2026 (-12.90pp); finished 10th at Windsor on 13 Jul 2026 (-2.94pp); finished 5th at Windsor on 15 Jun 2026 (-0.40pp); finished 7th at Southwell (AW) on 11 Apr 2026 (-5.56pp); and finished 2nd at Newcastle (AW) on 04 Feb 2026 (-1.85pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 1% • -0.11 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Wolverhampton (AW), 18 Sep 2026 — 6th • open 5/1 → final 50/1 (-14.17pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
8/1 9 decimal Boyle Sports
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today6f 20y · Class 5 · Standard · 10 runners15/2—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—-0.11ppOpen → now15/2Current; SP pendingPending-0.11pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

5 of 7 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Hayynah is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Newcastle (AW) · 04 Feb 2026 · 2nd · 2/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Wolverhampton (AW) · previous Newcastle (AW)✓Trip (within ½f): 6f 20y✓Ground: Standard×Class: Today Class 5 · previous Class 4
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This matches its usual pattern; support has often arrived later. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
No positive support trigger.
This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.
Today: -0.11pp
Possible next price: 15/2
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Wolverhampton (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Racing silksSargent DennisDraw 1
Trainer: Jack Channon
Jockey: David Probert
🟢 Needs Support (10%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Jack Channon (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 37/265; first seen between 10am and 1pm 9/265; first seen after 1pm 11/265.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/7; first seen between 10am and 1pm 2/7; first seen after 1pm 0/7.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +1.77pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 7/35 won (20%); Open→SP 11/39 won (28.2%).
Watch for 20pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 33.3% (1/3).
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run23 days ago · 9 Sep 2026
Distance changeDown 0.9f from last run
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 11/8 → 22/1 | Avg: 12/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Best at SP (43%)
15:16Wolverhampton (AW)
Opened 10/1Market avg 8/1
17/2 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 17/2 ↓ 8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 ↑ 9/1 ↓ 8/1 → 8/1
PRICE MOVE
+1.77pp (+16.3%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
71th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE71st HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
2 of 7 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 8th at Wolverhampton (AW) on 18 Aug 2026 (+3.57pp); and finished 1st at Windsor on 11 May 2026 (+1.98pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 16.3% • +1.77 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Windsor, 11 May 2026 — 1st • open 13/8 → final 11/8 (+3.99pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
9/1 10 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today6f 20y · Class 5 · Standard · 10 runners10/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+1.77ppOpen → now8/1Current; SP pendingPending+1.77pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 2 of 7 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Sargent Dennis is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Wolverhampton (AW) · 17 Apr 2026 · 2nd · 4/4 known conditions match
✓Track: Wolverhampton (AW)✓Trip (within ½f): 6f 20y✓Ground: Standard✓Class: Class 5
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
The price has been unpredictable before and may move sharply again. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Both previous top-two finishes came with support of 0.5pp+.
At 0.5pp+: 2/2 finished 1st or 2nd (100%).
Today: +1.77pp — trigger reached.
Possible next price: 8/1
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Course record
Course record of 1/2 at Wolverhampton (AW). The average SP at this course is 12.7 and today's market has the horse trading 27% shorter than usual.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Racing silksStyle KingDraw 5
Trainer: Chris Dwyer
Jockey: Harry Davies
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Chris Dwyer (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 21/88; first seen between 10am and 1pm 2/88; first seen after 1pm 6/88.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 2/11; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/11; first seen after 1pm 2/11.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.08pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 5/20 won (25%); Open→SP 5/26 won (19.2%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 33.3% (4/12).
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run13 days ago · 19 Sep 2026
Distance changeUp 1.1f from last run
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 11 | Fixed-odds range: 2/1 → 12/1 | Avg: 5/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (27%)
15:16Wolverhampton (AW)
Opened 9/1Market avg 9/1
9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 ↓ 17/2 ↑ 9/1 → 9/1 ↓ 8/1 → 8/1 ↑ 17/2 ↑ 9/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.08pp (+0.8%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
45th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE45th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
6 of 11 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 1st at Lingfield (AW) on 27 Aug 2026 (+0.79pp); finished 2nd at Wolverhampton (AW) on 17 Aug 2026 (+4.10pp); finished 1st at Wolverhampton (AW) on 06 Jul 2026 (+0.65pp); finished 5th at Lingfield (AW) on 04 Jun 2026 (+17.95pp); finished 2nd at Wolverhampton (AW) on 17 Apr 2026 (+7.07pp); and finished 9th at Lingfield (AW) on 25 Mar 2026 (+2.02pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 0.8% • +0.08 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Lingfield (AW), 04 Jun 2026 — 5th • open 11/2 → final 5/2 (+13.19pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
10/1 11 decimal Paddy Power
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today6f 20y · Class 5 · Standard · 10 runners9/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.08ppOpen → now9/1Current; SP pendingPending+0.08pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

6 of 11 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Style King is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Wolverhampton (AW) · 17 Aug 2026 · 2nd · 4/4 known conditions match
✓Track: Wolverhampton (AW)✓Trip (within ½f): 6f 20y✓Ground: Standard✓Class: Class 5
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have usually held or strengthened.
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
No positive support trigger.
This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.
Today: +0.08pp
Possible next price: 9/1
11 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Course record
At Wolverhampton (AW) this horse has recorded 3 placed efforts from 4 runs. The current market is 45% bigger than usual against an average course SP profile of 6.8.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Racing silksLeonieDraw 8
Trainer: Andrew Balding
Jockey: Alfie Redman(7)
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Andrew Balding (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 142/885; first seen between 10am and 1pm 74/885; first seen after 1pm 41/885.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/5; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/5; first seen after 1pm 0/5.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.00pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 71/194 won (36.6%); Open→SP 71/207 won (34.3%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 37.3% (38/102).
⬆ CLASS RISE
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run147 days ago · 8 May 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 9/4 → 9/4 | Avg: 9/4Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Mid-market mover (40%)
15:16Wolverhampton (AW)
Opened 9/1Market avg 9/1
9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 ↓ 17/2 ↑ 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 ↓ 17/2 ↑ 9/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.00pp (+0.0%)
No meaningful price change from the open.
Move evidence
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILETHE STRONGEST MOVE RECORDED (100th percentile)
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest support recorded across 5 previous runs.
Raw Open → Now price change: 0% • +0.00 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Kempton (AW), 30 Apr 2026 — 1st • open 11/4 → final 9/4 (+4.10pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
10/1 11 decimal Paddy Power
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today6f 20y · Class 5 · Standard · 10 runners9/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.00ppOpen → now9/1Current; SP pendingPending+0.00pp
MARKET FORM READTHIS IS THE HORSE’S STRONGEST RECORDED SUPPORT

Across 5 previous runs, this is the horse’s strongest recorded support. It is also stepping up from Class 6 to Class 5, which adds another test today. Today’s move: Leonie is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Kempton (AW) · 30 Apr 2026 · 1st · 2/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Wolverhampton (AW) · previous Kempton (AW)✓Trip (within ½f): 6f 20y×Ground: Today Standard · previous Standard To Slow✓Class: Class 5
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This price often moves during the day, so keep checking it. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
5 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: +0.00pp
Possible next price: 9/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Course record
This horse is 0/3 at Wolverhampton (AW) on our records. Today's market is 31% shorter than usual against an average course SP of 14.4.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Racing silksThanks DadDraw 3
Trainer: Scott Dixon
Jockey: Kieran O'Neill
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Scott Dixon (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 27/372; first seen between 10am and 1pm 16/372; first seen after 1pm 14/372.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/5; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/5; first seen after 1pm 1/5.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.06pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 4/38 won (10.5%); Open→SP 5/44 won (11.4%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 16.7% (3/18).
⬆ CLASS RISE
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run39 days ago · 24 Aug 2026
Distance changeDown 0.9f from last run
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 12/1 → 12/1 | Avg: 12/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (60%)
15:16Wolverhampton (AW)
Opened 16/1Market avg 16/1
16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 ↓ 14/1 ↑ 18/1 ↓ 16/1 → 16/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.06pp (+1.0%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
40th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE40th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
3 of 5 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 8th at Brighton on 24 Aug 2026 (+2.83pp); finished 1st at Yarmouth on 14 Aug 2026 (+2.43pp); and finished 6th at Chepstow on 27 Jun 2026 (+2.31pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 1% • +0.06 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Chepstow, 27 Jun 2026 — 6th • open 12/1 → final 13/2 (+5.64pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
18/1 19 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today6f 20y · Class 5 · Standard · 10 runners16/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.06ppOpen → now16/1Current; SP pendingPending+0.06pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

3 of 5 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. It is also stepping up from Class 6 to Class 5, which adds another test today. Today’s move: Thanks Dad is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Yarmouth · 14 Aug 2026 · 1st · 1/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Wolverhampton (AW) · previous Yarmouth✓Trip (within ½f): 6f 20y×Ground: Today Standard · previous Good To Firm×Class: Today Class 5 · previous Class 6
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (strong)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
5 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: +0.06pp
Possible next price: 16/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Racing silksHolbacheDraw 10
Trainer: Julie Camacho
Jockey: Tom Kiely-Marshall(3)
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Julie Camacho (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 30/285; first seen between 10am and 1pm 18/285; first seen after 1pm 9/285.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/4; first seen between 10am and 1pm 1/4; first seen after 1pm 0/4.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.06pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 12/41 won (29.3%); Open→SP 12/45 won (26.7%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 40% (8/20).
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run33 days ago · 30 Aug 2026
Distance changeUp 1.1f from last run
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 9/1 → 9/1 | Avg: 9/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Late money horse (50%)
15:16Wolverhampton (AW)
Opened 16/1Market avg 16/1
16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 ↓ 14/1 ↑ 18/1 ↓ 16/1 → 16/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.06pp (+1.0%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 1 of 4 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 1st at Catterick on 30 May 2026 (+2.42pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 1% • +0.06 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Catterick, 30 May 2026 — 1st • open 14/1 → final 9/1 (+3.33pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
18/1 19 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today6f 20y · Class 5 · Standard · 10 runners16/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.06ppOpen → now16/1Current; SP pendingPending+0.06pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 1 of 4 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Holbache is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Catterick · 30 May 2026 · 1st · 2/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Wolverhampton (AW) · previous Catterick✓Trip (within ½f): 6f 20y×Ground: Today Standard · previous Good To Firm✓Class: Class 5
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This early support is unusual; the price has often drifted again later. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
4 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: +0.06pp
Possible next price: 16/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Race market overview as at 05:16
  • Supported0 of 10 runners at +4pp or more
  • Drifting0 of 10 runners at −4pp or worse
  • Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
  • Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.
15:51Wolverhampton (AW) • 6f20y • Class 5 • Going: Standard
10 runners
Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

Racing silksQueen SanaDraw 7
Trainer: Ollie Sangster
Jockey: Billy Loughnane
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Ollie Sangster (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 57/341; first seen between 10am and 1pm 12/341; first seen after 1pm 9/341.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/10; first seen between 10am and 1pm 1/10; first seen after 1pm 0/10.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -2.07pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run24 days ago · 8 Sep 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 10 | Fixed-odds range: 7/4 → 9/2 | Avg: 3/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (40%)
15:51Wolverhampton (AW)
Opened 9/4Market avg 5/2
5/2 → 5/2 → 5/2 → 5/2 → 5/2 → 5/2 ↓ 5/2 ↑ 11/4 ↓ 5/2 → 5/2
PRICE MOVE
-2.07pp (-7.2%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
30th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE30th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
7 of 10 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 7th at Lingfield (AW) on 20 Aug 2026 (-8.85pp); finished 4th at Ripon on 03 Aug 2026 (-2.29pp); finished 2nd at Pontefract on 02 Jun 2026 (-8.89pp); finished 2nd at Bath on 12 May 2026 (-19.19pp); finished 11th at Southwell (AW) on 07 Apr 2026 (-9.09pp); finished 3rd at Kempton (AW) on 18 Mar 2026 (-8.67pp); and finished 5th at Wolverhampton (AW) on 30 Dec 2025 (-8.33pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 7.2% • -2.07 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Bath, 12 May 2026 — 2nd • open 4/5 → final 15/8 (-20.83pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
11/4 3.75 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today6f 20y · Class 5 · Standard · 10 runners9/4—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—-2.07ppOpen → now5/2Current; SP pendingPending-2.07pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

7 of 10 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Queen Sana is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Catterick · 08 Sep 2026 · 1st · 2/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Wolverhampton (AW) · previous Catterick✓Trip (within ½f): 6f 20y×Ground: Today Standard · previous Good To Soft✓Class: Class 5
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
No positive support trigger.
This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.
Today: -2.07pp
Possible next price: 5/2
10 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Wolverhampton (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Racing silksCampenaertsDraw 2
Trainer: Jonathan Portman
Jockey: Olivia Tubb(5)
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Jonathan Portman (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 32/228; first seen between 10am and 1pm 15/228; first seen after 1pm 8/228.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/5; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/5; first seen after 1pm 0/5.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.33pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 10/37 won (27%); Open→SP 10/38 won (26.3%).
Watch for 15pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 37.5% (3/8).
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run37 days ago · 26 Aug 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 10/3 → 10/3 | Avg: 10/3Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (20%)
15:51Wolverhampton (AW)
Opened 3/1Market avg 3/1
3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 ↓ 11/4 → 11/4 ↑ 3/1 ↓ 11/4 ↓ 5/2 ↑ 11/4 → 11/4
PRICE MOVE
+0.33pp (+1.3%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
60th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE60th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
2 of 5 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 2nd at Wolverhampton (AW) on 26 Aug 2026 (+8.89pp); and finished 7th at Windsor on 08 Jun 2026 (+1.90pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 1.3% • +0.33 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Wolverhampton (AW), 26 Aug 2026 — 2nd • open 8/1 → final 10/3 (+11.98pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
7/2 4.5 decimal LiveScore Bet
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today6f 20y · Class 5 · Standard · 10 runners3/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.33ppOpen → now3/1Current; SP pendingPending+0.33pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 2 of 5 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Campenaerts is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Wolverhampton (AW) · 26 Aug 2026 · 2nd · 4/4 known conditions match
✓Track: Wolverhampton (AW)✓Trip (within ½f): 6f 20y✓Ground: Standard✓Class: Class 5
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have usually held their position.
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
5 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: +0.33pp
Possible next price: 5/2
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Wolverhampton (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Racing silksLamlash BayDraw 4
Trainer: Michael & David Easterby
Jockey: Shay Farmer(5)
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Michael & David Easterby (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 54/498; first seen between 10am and 1pm 30/498; first seen after 1pm 16/498.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/6; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/6; first seen after 1pm 0/6.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.50pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 11/72 won (15.3%); Open→SP 10/77 won (13%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 15.4% (4/26).
⬆ CLASS RISE
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run18 days ago · 14 Sep 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Early PM
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: 5/1 → 5/1 | Avg: 5/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (33%)
15:51Wolverhampton (AW)
Opened 9/2Market avg 9/2
9/2 ↓ 4/1 ↑ 9/2 ↓ 4/1 ↑ 9/2 → 9/2 ↓ 4/1 ↑ 5/1 ↓ 4/1 → 4/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.50pp (+2.7%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
83th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE83rd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
Only 1 of 6 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 1st at Ripon on 06 Jul 2026 (+7.05pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 2.7% • +0.50 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Ripon, 06 Jul 2026 — 1st • open 11/1 → final 5/1 (+8.33pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
5/1 6 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today6f 20y · Class 5 · Standard · 10 runners9/2—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.50ppOpen → now9/2Current; SP pendingPending+0.50pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 1 of 6 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. It is also stepping up from Class 6 to Class 5, which adds another test today. Today’s move: Lamlash Bay is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Thirsk · 14 Sep 2026 · 1st · 1/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Wolverhampton (AW) · previous Thirsk✓Trip (within ½f): 6f 20y×Ground: Today Standard · previous Good×Class: Today Class 5 · previous Class 6
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have usually held their position.
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
No positive support trigger.
This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.
Today: +0.50pp
Possible next price: 7/2
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Racing silksFar Too FizzyDraw 3
Trainer: David Loughnane
Jockey: Jack Doughty
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer David Loughnane (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 27/261; first seen between 10am and 1pm 18/261; first seen after 1pm 7/261.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/12; first seen between 10am and 1pm 1/12; first seen after 1pm 1/12.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.22pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 11/36 won (30.6%); Open→SP 10/35 won (28.6%).
Watch for 15pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 40% (2/5).
⬆ CLASS RISE
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run11 days ago · 21 Sep 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 12 | Fixed-odds range: 9/4 → 10/1 | Avg: 6/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (17%)
15:51Wolverhampton (AW)
Opened 6/1Market avg 6/1
6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 ↓ 11/2 ↑ 6/1 ↓ 11/2 → 11/2 ↑ 6/1 ↓ 11/2 ↑ 6/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.22pp (+1.5%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
3 of 12 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 4th at Wolverhampton (AW) on 21 Sep 2026 (+2.76pp); finished 5th at Lingfield (AW) on 03 Sep 2026 (+4.44pp); and finished 3rd at Wolverhampton (AW) on 12 Jan 2026 (+1.10pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 1.5% • +0.22 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Wolverhampton (AW), 21 Sep 2026 — 4th • open 5/1 → final 3/1 (+7.76pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
13/2 7.5 decimal Paddy Power
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today6f 20y · Class 5 · Standard · 10 runners6/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.22ppOpen → now6/1Current; SP pendingPending+0.22pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 3 of 12 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. It is also stepping up from Class 6 to Class 5, which adds another test today. Today’s move: Far Too Fizzy is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Lingfield (AW) · 15 Aug 2026 · 2nd · 3/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Wolverhampton (AW) · previous Lingfield (AW)✓Trip (within ½f): 6f 20y✓Ground: Standard✓Class: Class 5
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.Comparable moves have had few top-two finishes. Be cautious.
Did the early price move fade?

Recorded examples where 5pp+ early support was followed by a longer final price:

  • Lingfield (AW), 21 Jan 2026 — 1st • open 5/2 → 1pm 15/8 → final 9/4
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
No positive support trigger.
This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.
Today: +0.22pp
Possible next price: 13/2
12 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Course record
Previous course evidence shows 1 placed efforts from 4 runs at Wolverhampton (AW). Compared with an average course SP of 10.5, today's price is 34% shorter than usual.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Racing silksArishka's DreamDraw 5
Trainer: Daniel & Claire Kubler
Jockey: Alec Voikhansky
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Daniel & Claire Kubler (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 23/121; first seen between 10am and 1pm 4/121; first seen after 1pm 7/121.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 3/7; first seen between 10am and 1pm 1/7; first seen after 1pm 0/7.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.26pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run45 days ago · 18 Aug 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 15/8 → 4/1 | Avg: 3/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (29%)
15:51Wolverhampton (AW)
Opened 7/1Market avg 7/1
15/2 ↓ 7/1 ↑ 15/2 ↓ 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 ↑ 8/1 ↓ 7/1 → 7/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.26pp (-2.1%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
57th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE57th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
3 of 7 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 7th at Wolverhampton (AW) on 18 Aug 2026 (-2.29pp); finished 2nd at Lingfield (AW) on 28 Feb 2026 (-4.44pp); and finished 1st at Wolverhampton (AW) on 16 Feb 2026 (-1.91pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 2.1% • -0.26 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Lingfield (AW), 28 Feb 2026 — 2nd • open 11/4 → final 4/1 (-6.67pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
8/1 9 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today6f 20y · Class 5 · Standard · 10 runners7/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—-0.26ppOpen → now7/1Current; SP pendingPending-0.26pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 3 of 7 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Arishka's Dream is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Newcastle (AW) · 05 Mar 2026 · 2nd · 3/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Wolverhampton (AW) · previous Newcastle (AW)✓Trip (within ½f): 6f 20y✓Ground: Standard✓Class: Class 5
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
No positive support trigger.
This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.
Today: -0.26pp
Possible next price: 7/1
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Course record
Course record of 1/3 at Wolverhampton (AW). The average SP at this course is 5.4 and today's market has the horse trading 51% bigger than usual.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Racing silksMontpellier GreenDraw 1
Trainer: Ian Williams
Jockey: William Cox
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Ian Williams (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 66/593; first seen between 10am and 1pm 45/593; first seen after 1pm 21/593.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 1 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.32pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 28/98 won (28.6%); Open→SP 27/103 won (26.2%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 33.3% (16/48).
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run84 days ago · 10 Jul 2026
Distance changeDown 0.9f from last run
Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.
15:51Wolverhampton (AW)
Opened 10/1Market avg 10/1
10/1 ↓ 9/1 ↑ 10/1 ↓ 9/1 → 9/1 ↑ 10/1 ↓ 9/1 ↑ 10/1 ↓ 9/1 → 9/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.32pp (+3.4%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
Raw Open → Now price change: 3.4% • +0.32 probability points
Previous market evidence

No previous positive open-to-final support in the recorded sample.

BEST FIXED ODDS
10/1 11 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today6f 20y · Class 5 · Standard · 10 runners10/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.32ppOpen → now10/1Current; SP pendingPending+0.32pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Montpellier Green is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
1 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: +0.32pp
Possible next price: 8/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Racing silksShaw ParkDraw 6
Trainer: Scott Dixon
Jockey: Kieran O'Neill
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Scott Dixon (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 27/372; first seen between 10am and 1pm 16/372; first seen after 1pm 14/372.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/7; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/7; first seen after 1pm 0/7.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.20pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run8 days ago · 24 Sep 2026
Distance changeDown 1f from last run
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Best at SP (43%)
15:51Wolverhampton (AW)
Opened 11/1Market avg 11/1
12/1 ↓ 11/1 ↑ 12/1 ↓ 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 ↑ 14/1 ↓ 11/1 → 11/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.20pp (-2.4%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
43th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE43rd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
4 of 7 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 4th at Wolverhampton (AW) on 18 Aug 2026 (-1.01pp); finished 8th at Southwell (AW) on 11 Mar 2026 (-2.80pp); finished 10th at Southwell (AW) on 28 Feb 2026 (-4.49pp); and finished 3rd at Southwell (AW) on 05 Feb 2026 (-1.24pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 2.4% • -0.20 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Southwell (AW), 05 Feb 2026 — 3rd • open 15/2 → final 22/1 (-7.42pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
14/1 15 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today6f 20y · Class 5 · Standard · 10 runners11/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—-0.20ppOpen → now11/1Current; SP pendingPending-0.20pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

4 of 7 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Shaw Park is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
The price has been unpredictable before and may move sharply again. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
7 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: -0.20pp
Possible next price: 11/1
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Wolverhampton (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Racing silksPhoenix MoonDraw 8
Trainer: Denis Coakley
Jockey: Rob Hornby
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Denis Coakley (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 15/81; first seen between 10am and 1pm 4/81; first seen after 1pm 2/81.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/7; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/7; first seen after 1pm 0/7.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.14pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
⬆ CLASS RISE
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run31 days ago · 1 Sep 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 7/1 → 12/1 | Avg: 9/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (43%)
15:51Wolverhampton (AW)
Opened 16/1Market avg 16/1
18/1 ↓ 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 ↑ 20/1 ↓ 16/1 → 16/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.14pp (-2.5%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
43th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE43rd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
4 of 7 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 8th at Newbury on 23 Jul 2026 (-3.83pp); finished 8th at Salisbury on 09 Jun 2026 (-7.45pp); finished 3rd at Bath on 26 May 2026 (-2.78pp); and finished 2nd at Windsor on 07 May 2026 (-2.88pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 2.5% • -0.14 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Lingfield (AW), 01 Sep 2026 — 6th • open 3/1 → final 6/1 (-10.71pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
20/1 21 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today6f 20y · Class 5 · Standard · 10 runners16/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—-0.14ppOpen → now16/1Current; SP pendingPending-0.14pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

4 of 7 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. It is also stepping up from Class 6 to Class 5, which adds another test today. Today’s move: Phoenix Moon is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Lingfield (AW) · 25 Mar 2026 · 1st · 3/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Wolverhampton (AW) · previous Lingfield (AW)✓Trip (within ½f): 6f 20y✓Ground: Standard✓Class: Class 5
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
No positive support trigger.
This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.
Today: -0.14pp
Possible next price: 16/1
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Racing silksEarly ReleaseDraw 9
Trainer: David Evans
Jockey: Amy Tucker(7)
🟢 Needs Support (33%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer David Evans (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 33/284; first seen between 10am and 1pm 16/284; first seen after 1pm 9/284.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 3/9; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/9; first seen after 1pm 0/9.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.10pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 8/42 won (19%); Open→SP 7/44 won (15.9%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run28 days ago · 4 Sep 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 9 | Fixed-odds range: 7/2 → 13/2 | Avg: 5/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Late money horse (44%)
15:51Wolverhampton (AW)
Opened 20/1Market avg 20/1
20/1 ↓ 18/1 ↑ 20/1 ↓ 18/1 ↑ 20/1 → 20/1 ↓ 18/1 ↑ 22/1 ↓ 18/1 ↑ 20/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.10pp (+2.0%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
56th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE56th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
4 of 9 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 1st at Bath on 26 May 2026 (+5.00pp); finished 1st at Kempton (AW) on 02 Mar 2026 (+8.33pp); finished 8th at Wolverhampton (AW) on 06 Feb 2026 (+4.33pp); and finished 10th at Wolverhampton (AW) on 19 Jan 2026 (+5.10pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 2% • +0.10 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Kempton (AW), 02 Mar 2026 — 1st • open 11/1 → final 7/2 (+13.89pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
22/1 23 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today6f 20y · Class 5 · Standard · 10 runners20/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.10ppOpen → now20/1Current; SP pendingPending+0.10pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 4 of 9 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Early Release is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Bath · 26 May 2026 · 1st · 2/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Wolverhampton (AW) · previous Bath✓Trip (within ½f): 6f 20y×Ground: Today Standard · previous Firm✓Class: Class 5
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This early support is unusual; the price has often drifted again later. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Both previous top-two finishes came with support of 5pp+.
At 5pp+: 2/2 finished 1st or 2nd (100%).
Today: +0.10pp — trigger not reached.
Possible next price: 20/1
9 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Course record
This horse is 0/3 at Wolverhampton (AW) on our records. Today's market is 29% bigger than usual against an average course SP of 16.0.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Racing silksFordham FlyerDraw 10
Trainer: Philip Kirby
Jockey: M. P. Sheehy
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Philip Kirby (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 32/320; first seen between 10am and 1pm 22/320; first seen after 1pm 8/320.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 1 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.29pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
⬇ CLASS DROP
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run169 days ago · 16 Apr 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.
15:51Wolverhampton (AW)
Opened 20/1Market avg 22/1
22/1 ↓ 20/1 ↑ 22/1 ↓ 20/1 → 20/1 ↑ 22/1 ↓ 20/1 ↑ 25/1 ↓ 20/1 → 20/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.29pp (-6.5%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
Raw Open → Now price change: 6.5% • -0.29 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Ripon, 16 Apr 2026 — 9th • open 20/1 → final 40/1 (-2.32pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
25/1 26 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today6f 20y · Class 5 · Standard · 10 runners20/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—-0.29ppOpen → now22/1Current; SP pendingPending-0.29pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. The horse drops from Class 4 to Class 5, but the market has not responded with meaningful support. Today’s move: Fordham Flyer is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
1 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: -0.29pp
Possible next price: 18/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Race market overview as at 05:16
  • Supported0 of 10 runners at +4pp or more
  • Drifting0 of 10 runners at −4pp or worse
  • Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
  • Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.
16:25Wolverhampton (AW) • 1m4f51y • Class 4 • Going: Standard
5 runners
Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

Racing silksQuiet SummerDraw 4
Trainer: Andrew Balding
Jockey: Daniel Muscutt
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Andrew Balding (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 142/885; first seen between 10am and 1pm 74/885; first seen after 1pm 41/885.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/3; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/3; first seen after 1pm 0/3.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.51pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
⬇ CLASS DROP
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run29 days ago · 3 Sep 2026
Distance changeUp 2f from last run
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Late PM
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: 11/1 → 11/1 | Avg: 11/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Late money horse (67%)
16:25Wolverhampton (AW)
Opened 7/4Market avg 7/4
15/8 ↓ 7/4 ↑ 15/8 ↓ 7/4 → 7/4 → 7/4 → 7/4 ↑ 9/4 ↓ 7/4 → 7/4
PRICE MOVE
-0.51pp (-1.4%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
3 of 3 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 3rd at Newcastle (AW) on 03 Sep 2026 (-2.02pp); finished 2nd at Kempton (AW) on 19 Aug 2026 (-59.05pp); and finished 4th at Haydock on 25 Apr 2026 (-4.24pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 1.4% • -0.51 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Kempton (AW), 19 Aug 2026 — 2nd • open 8/15 → final 11/1 (-56.60pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
9/4 3.25 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today1m 4f 51y · Class 4 · Standard · 5 runners7/4—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—-0.51ppOpen → now7/4Current; SP pendingPending-0.51pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

3 of 3 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. The horse drops from Class 3 to Class 4, but the market has not responded with meaningful support. Today’s move: Quiet Summer is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Kempton (AW) · 19 Aug 2026 · 2nd · 2/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Wolverhampton (AW) · previous Kempton (AW)✓Trip (within ½f): 1m 4f 51y×Ground: Today Standard · previous Standard / Slow✓Class: Class 4
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This matches its usual pattern; support has often arrived later. (strong)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
3 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: -0.51pp
Possible next price: 7/4
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Racing silksNolton CrossDraw 3
Trainer: Hugo Palmer
Jockey: David Probert
🔴 Ignores MarketThis horse has won or placed despite drifting. Market weakness does NOT negatively impact performance. Can be a value angle when price weakens.
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Hugo Palmer (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 62/446; first seen between 10am and 1pm 34/446; first seen after 1pm 17/446.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/10; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/10; first seen after 1pm 0/10.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.09pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 24/79 won (30.4%); Open→SP 24/92 won (26.1%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 33.3% (11/33).
⬇ CLASS DROP
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run10 days ago · 22 Sep 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 10 | Fixed-odds range: 16/1 → 40/1 | Avg: 28/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (20%)
16:25Wolverhampton (AW)
Opened 3/1Market avg 3/1
3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 ↓ 11/4 ↓ 5/2 ↑ 3/1 → 3/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.09pp (+0.3%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
80th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE80th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
2 of 10 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 5th at Southwell (AW) on 22 Sep 2026 (+2.02pp); and finished 9th at Hamilton on 17 May 2026 (+0.92pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 0.3% • +0.09 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Hamilton, 17 May 2026 — 9th • open 25/1 → final 20/1 (+0.92pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
10/3 4.33 decimal Betfair Sportsbook
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today1m 4f 51y · Class 4 · Standard · 5 runners3/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.09ppOpen → now3/1Current; SP pendingPending+0.09pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 2 of 10 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. The horse drops from Class 3 to Class 4, but the market has not responded with meaningful support. Today’s move: Nolton Cross is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Wolverhampton (AW) · 06 Feb 2026 · 1st · 3/4 known conditions match
✓Track: Wolverhampton (AW)✓Trip (within ½f): 1m 4f 51y✓Ground: Standard×Class: Today Class 4 · previous Class 3
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.Comparable moves have had few top-two finishes. Be cautious.
Did the early price move fade?

No documented early-support reversal in this horse’s recorded checkpoint sample. The older wording referred to finishing results, not a verified intraday price fade.

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
No positive support trigger.
This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.
Today: +0.09pp
Possible next price: 3/1
10 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Wolverhampton (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Racing silksElsassDraw 1
Trainer: Charlie Johnston
Jockey: Rob Hornby
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Charlie Johnston (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 71/702; first seen between 10am and 1pm 46/702; first seen after 1pm 25/702.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/8; first seen between 10am and 1pm 3/8; first seen after 1pm 0/8.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.25pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 23/102 won (22.5%); Open→SP 25/109 won (22.9%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 36.8% (14/38).
⬇ CLASS DROP
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run15 days ago · 17 Sep 2026
Distance changeDown 0.9f from last run
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 8 | Fixed-odds range: 7/2 → 5/1 | Avg: 4/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (50%)
16:25Wolverhampton (AW)
Opened 10/3Market avg 10/3
10/3 → 10/3 ↓ 3/1 ↑ 10/3 → 10/3 → 10/3 → 10/3 ↓ 3/1 ↑ 10/3 → 10/3
PRICE MOVE
+0.25pp (+1.1%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
63th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE63rd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
3 of 8 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 7th at Hamilton on 21 Aug 2026 (+1.82pp); finished 7th at Ascot on 24 Jul 2026 (+1.90pp); and finished 3rd at Ripon on 18 Jul 2026 (+2.38pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 1.1% • +0.25 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Ascot, 24 Jul 2026 — 7th • open 20/1 → final 17/2 (+5.76pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
7/2 4.5 decimal LiveScore Bet
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today1m 4f 51y · Class 4 · Standard · 5 runners10/3—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.25ppOpen → now10/3Current; SP pendingPending+0.25pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 3 of 8 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. The horse drops from Class 3 to Class 4, but the market has not responded with meaningful support. Today’s move: Elsass is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Southwell (AW) · 23 Apr 2026 · 1st · 2/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Wolverhampton (AW) · previous Southwell (AW)×Trip (within ½f): Today 1m 4f 51y · previous 1m 3f 23y✓Ground: Standard✓Class: Class 4
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
No positive support trigger.
This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.
Today: +0.25pp
Possible next price: 10/3
8 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Racing silksLast VerseDraw 2
Trainer: Joseph Parr
Jockey: Pat Cosgrave
🔴 Ignores MarketThis horse has won or placed despite drifting. Market weakness does NOT negatively impact performance. Can be a value angle when price weakens.
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Joseph Parr (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 11/103; first seen between 10am and 1pm 11/103; first seen after 1pm 0/103.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/6; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/6; first seen after 1pm 0/6.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.73pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run25 days ago · 7 Sep 2026
Distance changeDown 1.8f from last run
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Late PM
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: 3/1 → 16/1 | Avg: 15/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (33%)
16:25Wolverhampton (AW)
Opened 9/2Market avg 9/2
5/1 ↓ 9/2 ↑ 5/1 ↓ 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 ↑ 6/1 ↓ 9/2 → 9/2
PRICE MOVE
-0.73pp (-4.2%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
17th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE17th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
5 of 6 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 2nd at Wolverhampton (AW) on 07 Sep 2026 (-9.85pp); finished 9th at Ascot on 08 Aug 2026 (-1.71pp); finished 3rd at Sandown on 29 Jul 2026 (-4.62pp); finished 1st at Chepstow on 03 Jul 2026 (-12.59pp); and finished 8th at Lingfield on 18 Jun 2026 (-5.26pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 4.2% • -0.73 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Wolverhampton (AW), 07 Sep 2026 — 2nd • open 9/4 → final 7/2 (-7.63pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
6/1 7 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today1m 4f 51y · Class 4 · Standard · 5 runners9/2—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—-0.73ppOpen → now9/2Current; SP pendingPending-0.73pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

5 of 6 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Last Verse is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Wolverhampton (AW) · 07 Sep 2026 · 2nd · 3/4 known conditions match
✓Track: Wolverhampton (AW)×Trip (within ½f): Today 1m 4f 51y · previous 1m 6f✓Ground: Standard✓Class: Class 4
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
No positive support trigger.
This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.
Today: -0.73pp
Possible next price: 9/2
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Wolverhampton (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Racing silksModel YukoDraw 5
Trainer: Roger Varian
Jockey: Ray Dawson
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Roger Varian (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 74/323; first seen between 10am and 1pm 24/323; first seen after 1pm 18/323.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 2 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.57pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
⬇ CLASS DROP
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run68 days ago · 26 Jul 2026
Distance changeUp 4.2f from last run
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
16:25Wolverhampton (AW)
Opened 11/2Market avg 11/2
6/1 ↓ 11/2 ↑ 6/1 ↓ 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 ↑ 6/1 ↑ 13/2 ↓ 11/2 → 11/2
PRICE MOVE
-0.57pp (-3.8%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
Raw Open → Now price change: 3.8% • -0.57 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Chester, 27 Jun 2026 — 7th • open 13/2 → final 12/1 (-5.64pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
13/2 7.5 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today1m 4f 51y · Class 4 · Standard · 5 runners11/2—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—-0.57ppOpen → now11/2Current; SP pendingPending-0.57pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. The horse drops from Class 1 to Class 4, but the market has not responded with meaningful support. Today’s move: Model Yuko is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
2 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: -0.57pp
Possible next price: 11/2
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Race market overview as at 05:16
  • Supported0 of 5 runners at +4pp or more
  • Drifting0 of 5 runners at −4pp or worse
  • Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
  • Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.
16:55Wolverhampton (AW) • 7f36y • Class 5 • Going: Standard
10 runners
Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

Racing silksBetween Me And UDraw 2
Trainer: Michael Herrington
Jockey: David Probert
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Michael Herrington (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 35/263; first seen between 10am and 1pm 26/263; first seen after 1pm 9/263.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/5; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/5; first seen after 1pm 1/5.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.93pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run44 days ago · 19 Aug 2026
Distance changeDown 0.6f from last run
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Late PM
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 9/4 → 10/1 | Avg: 6/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Late money horse (40%)
16:55Wolverhampton (AW)
Opened 11/4Market avg 3/1
3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.93pp (-7.8%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
80th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE80th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
Only 1 of 5 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 1st at Carlisle on 19 Aug 2026 (-7.01pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 7.8% • -1.93 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Carlisle, 19 Aug 2026 — 1st • open 6/1 → final 10/1 (-5.61pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
4/1 5 decimal Midnite
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today7f 36y · Class 5 · Standard · 10 runners11/4—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—-1.93ppOpen → now3/1Current; SP pendingPending-1.93pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 1 of 5 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Between Me And U is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Wolverhampton (AW) · 30 Jul 2026 · 1st · 2/4 known conditions match
✓Track: Wolverhampton (AW)×Trip (within ½f): Today 7f 36y · previous 1m 142y✓Ground: Standard×Class: Today Class 5 · previous Class 6
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This matches its usual pattern; support has often arrived later. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
No positive support trigger.
This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.
Today: -1.93pp
Possible next price: 3/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Course record
This runner has made the frame 1 times from 2 starts at Wolverhampton (AW). Historical course average SP is 9.5, while today's market is 57% shorter than usual.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Racing silksStar of MaliDraw 4
Trainer: James Tate
Jockey: Luke Morris
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer James Tate (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 38/248; first seen between 10am and 1pm 13/248; first seen after 1pm 9/248.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/3; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/3; first seen after 1pm 0/3.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +1.16pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 14/44 won (31.8%); Open→SP 18/51 won (35.3%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 37.1% (13/35).
⬇ CLASS DROP
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run67 days ago · 27 Jul 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: 11/4 → 11/4 | Avg: 11/4Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (33%)
16:55Wolverhampton (AW)
Opened 7/2Market avg 10/3
10/3 → 10/3 → 10/3 → 10/3 → 10/3 → 10/3 ↓ 10/3 ↓ 3/1 ↑ 10/3 → 10/3
PRICE MOVE
+1.16pp (+5.0%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 1 of 3 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 3rd at Wolverhampton (AW) on 19 Jan 2026 (+17.95pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 5% • +1.16 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Wolverhampton (AW), 19 Jan 2026 — 3rd • open 11/2 → final 7/2 (+6.84pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
7/2 4.5 decimal Paddy Power
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today7f 36y · Class 5 · Standard · 10 runners7/2—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+1.16ppOpen → now10/3Current; SP pendingPending+1.16pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 1 of 3 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. The horse drops from Class 4 to Class 5, but the market has not responded with meaningful support. Today’s move: Star of Mali is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Southwell (AW) · 18 Jun 2026 · 1st · 3/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Wolverhampton (AW) · previous Southwell (AW)✓Trip (within ½f): 7f 36y✓Ground: Standard✓Class: Class 5
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
3 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: +1.16pp
Possible next price: 10/3
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Wolverhampton (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Racing silksHilltopDraw 8
Trainer: Daniel & Claire Kubler
Jockey: Billy Loughnane
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Daniel & Claire Kubler (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 23/121; first seen between 10am and 1pm 4/121; first seen after 1pm 7/121.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/7; first seen between 10am and 1pm 1/7; first seen after 1pm 0/7.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +2.60pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 5/26 won (19.2%); Open→SP 7/25 won (28%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 31.3% (5/16).
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run21 days ago · 11 Sep 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 9/4 → 9/4 | Avg: 9/4Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
The price is shortening, but similar moves have not converted well before.
Early money horse (43%)
16:55Wolverhampton (AW)
Opened 9/2Market avg 4/1
4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 ↓ 7/2 → 7/2 ↑ 4/1 ↓ 7/2 ↑ 9/2 ↓ 7/2 → 7/2
PRICE MOVE
+2.60pp (+12.5%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
71th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE71st HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
2 of 7 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 3rd at Newmarket (July) on 21 Aug 2026 (+3.87pp); and finished 1st at Newcastle (AW) on 11 Mar 2026 (+14.72pp).
Limited data: 1 similar run only. Not a proven betting pattern.
Raw Open → Now price change: 12.5% • +2.60 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Newcastle (AW), 11 Mar 2026 — 1st • open 4/1 → final 9/4 (+10.77pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
9/2 5.5 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today7f 36y · Class 5 · Standard · 10 runners9/2—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+2.60ppOpen → now4/1Current; SP pendingPending+2.60pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 2 of 7 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Hilltop is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Newcastle (AW) · 11 Mar 2026 · 1st · 3/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Wolverhampton (AW) · previous Newcastle (AW)✓Trip (within ½f): 7f 36y✓Ground: Standard✓Class: Class 5
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
7 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: +2.60pp
Possible next price: 3/1
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Racing silksRed Hat EagleDraw 9
Trainer: William Knight
Jockey: Daniel Muscutt
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer William Knight (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 46/209; first seen between 10am and 1pm 25/209; first seen after 1pm 14/209.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/9; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/9; first seen after 1pm 0/9.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +1.25pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 14/55 won (25.5%); Open→SP 16/66 won (24.2%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 32.1% (9/28).
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run18 days ago · 14 Sep 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 9 | Fixed-odds range: 4/1 → 4/1 | Avg: 4/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (33%)
16:55Wolverhampton (AW)
Opened 7/1Market avg 13/2
13/2 ↓ 6/1 ↑ 13/2 ↓ 6/1 → 6/1 ↑ 13/2 ↓ 6/1 ↑ 13/2 ↓ 6/1 → 6/1
PRICE MOVE
+1.25pp (+9.1%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
44th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE44th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
5 of 9 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 2nd at Lingfield (AW) on 20 Aug 2026 (+5.29pp); finished 4th at Yarmouth on 26 Jun 2026 (+2.42pp); finished 5th at Lingfield on 30 May 2026 (+1.79pp); finished 7th at Lingfield (AW) on 20 Mar 2026 (+2.78pp); and finished 5th at Southwell (AW) on 28 Feb 2026 (+1.81pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 9.1% • +1.25 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Lingfield (AW), 20 Aug 2026 — 2nd • open 6/1 → final 4/1 (+5.29pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
13/2 7.5 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today7f 36y · Class 5 · Standard · 10 runners7/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+1.25ppOpen → now13/2Current; SP pendingPending+1.25pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

5 of 9 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Red Hat Eagle is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Lingfield (AW) · 20 Aug 2026 · 2nd · 3/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Wolverhampton (AW) · previous Lingfield (AW)✓Trip (within ½f): 7f 36y✓Ground: Standard✓Class: Class 5
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.Comparable moves have had few top-two finishes. Be cautious.
Did the early price move fade?

Recorded examples where 5pp+ early support was followed by a longer final price:

  • Lingfield (AW), 20 Aug 2026 — 2nd • open 6/1 → 1pm 7/2 → final 4/1
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
9 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: +1.25pp
Possible next price: 11/2
9 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Racing silksBold SuitorDraw 7
Trainer: Craig Benton
Jockey: Georgia Dobie
🟢 Needs Support (15%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Craig Benton (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 3/39; first seen between 10am and 1pm 3/39; first seen after 1pm 0/39.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/8; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/8; first seen after 1pm 0/8.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -2.20pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run23 days ago · 9 Sep 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Early
Runs: 8 | Fixed-odds range: 13/2 → 14/1 | Avg: 10/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
The price is drifting and is not attracting bookmaker support.
Mid-market mover (38%)
16:55Wolverhampton (AW)
Opened 6/1Market avg 15/2
15/2 ↓ 7/1 ↑ 15/2 ↓ 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 ↑ 9/1 ↓ 7/1 → 7/1
PRICE MOVE
-2.20pp (-18.2%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
2 of 8 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 6th at Lingfield (AW) on 20 Aug 2026 (-2.63pp); and finished 4th at Kempton (AW) on 02 Mar 2026 (-5.68pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 18.2% • -2.20 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Kempton (AW), 02 Mar 2026 — 4th • open 9/2 → final 10/1 (-9.09pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
9/1 10 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today7f 36y · Class 5 · Standard · 10 runners6/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—-2.20ppOpen → now15/2Current; SP pendingPending-2.20pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 2 of 8 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Bold Suitor is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Lingfield (AW) · 30 Apr 2026 · 1st · 3/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Wolverhampton (AW) · previous Lingfield (AW)✓Trip (within ½f): 7f 36y✓Ground: Standard✓Class: Class 5
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have usually held their position.
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
All 3 previous top-two finishes came with support of 1.66pp+.
At 1.66pp+: 3/3 finished 1st or 2nd (100%).
Today: -2.20pp — trigger not reached.
Possible next price: 7/1
8 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Racing silksCaptain ParmaDraw 10
Trainer: James Owen
Jockey: Mason Paetel(3)
🔴 Ignores MarketThis horse has won or placed despite drifting. Market weakness does NOT negatively impact performance. Can be a value angle when price weakens.
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer James Owen (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 139/893; first seen between 10am and 1pm 80/893; first seen after 1pm 40/893.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/7; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/7; first seen after 1pm 0/7.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -2.63pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run14 days ago · 18 Sep 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 historical matches

1/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 4/1 → 4/1 | Avg: 4/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Early money horse (29%)
16:55Wolverhampton (AW)
Opened 6/1Market avg 15/2
8/1 ↓ 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 ↑ 9/1 ↓ 15/2 → 15/2
PRICE MOVE
-2.63pp (-22.6%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
57th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE57th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
3 of 7 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 9th at Doncaster on 29 Mar 2026 (-3.41pp); finished 1st at Chelmsford (AW) on 26 Feb 2026 (-5.00pp); and finished 2nd at Lingfield (AW) on 14 Jan 2026 (-34.62pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 22.6% • -2.63 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Lingfield (AW), 14 Jan 2026 — 2nd • open EVS → final 4/1 (-30.00pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
9/1 10 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today7f 36y · Class 5 · Standard · 10 runners6/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—-2.63ppOpen → now15/2Current; SP pendingPending-2.63pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 3 of 7 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Captain Parma is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Chelmsford (AW) · 26 Feb 2026 · 1st · 3/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Wolverhampton (AW) · previous Chelmsford (AW)✓Trip (within ½f): 7f 36y✓Ground: Standard✓Class: Class 5
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
No positive support trigger.
This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.
Today: -2.63pp
Possible next price: 15/2
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Wolverhampton (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Racing silksHe's A GentlemanDraw 5
Trainer: Hugo Palmer
Jockey: Conor Whiteley(5)
🔴 Ignores MarketThis horse has won or placed despite drifting. Market weakness does NOT negatively impact performance. Can be a value angle when price weakens.
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Hugo Palmer (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 62/446; first seen between 10am and 1pm 34/446; first seen after 1pm 17/446.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 2/5; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/5; first seen after 1pm 0/5.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.89pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 24/79 won (30.4%); Open→SP 24/92 won (26.1%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 33.3% (11/33).
⬇ CLASS DROP
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run45 days ago · 18 Aug 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 15/2 → 9/1 | Avg: 8/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (40%)
16:55Wolverhampton (AW)
Opened 10/1Market avg 9/1
9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 ↓ 17/2 ↑ 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 ↑ 10/1 ↓ 17/2 ↑ 9/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.89pp (+8.9%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
60th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE60th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
2 of 5 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 7th at Wolverhampton (AW) on 18 Aug 2026 (+7.31pp); and finished 7th at Wolverhampton (AW) on 19 Jan 2026 (+8.89pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 8.9% • +0.89 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Wolverhampton (AW), 19 Jan 2026 — 7th • open 8/1 → final 5/1 (+5.56pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
10/1 11 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today7f 36y · Class 5 · Standard · 10 runners10/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.89ppOpen → now9/1Current; SP pendingPending+0.89pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 2 of 5 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. The horse drops from Class 4 to Class 5, but the market has not responded with meaningful support. Today’s move: He's A Gentleman is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Wolverhampton (AW) · 31 Mar 2026 · 2nd · 4/4 known conditions match
✓Track: Wolverhampton (AW)✓Trip (within ½f): 7f 36y✓Ground: Standard✓Class: Class 5
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
No positive support trigger.
This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.
Today: +0.89pp
Possible next price: 9/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Course record
At Wolverhampton (AW) this horse has recorded 2 placed efforts from 4 runs. The current market is 21% bigger than usual against an average course SP profile of 8.3.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Racing silksNorth ViewDraw 6
Trainer: Tony Carroll
Jockey: Kieren Fox
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Tony Carroll (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 101/906; first seen between 10am and 1pm 52/906; first seen after 1pm 28/906.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/12; first seen between 10am and 1pm 2/12; first seen after 1pm 0/12.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.15pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 30/138 won (21.7%); Open→SP 40/153 won (26.1%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 38.6% (27/70).
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run14 days ago · 18 Sep 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 12 | Fixed-odds range: 10/3 → 10/1 | Avg: 13/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (42%)
16:55Wolverhampton (AW)
Opened 12/1Market avg 12/1
12/1 ↓ 11/1 ↑ 12/1 ↓ 11/1 ↑ 12/1 → 12/1 ↓ 11/1 ↑ 12/1 ↓ 11/1 ↑ 12/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.15pp (+1.9%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
92th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE92nd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
Only 1 of 12 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 3rd at Brighton on 06 Aug 2026 (+1.82pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 1.9% • +0.15 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Chelmsford (AW), 11 Jan 2026 — 1st • open 13/2 → final 10/3 (+9.76pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
12/1 13 decimal 7Bet
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today7f 36y · Class 5 · Standard · 10 runners12/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.15ppOpen → now12/1Current; SP pendingPending+0.15pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 1 of 12 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: North View is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Yarmouth · 23 Jul 2026 · 2nd · 2/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Wolverhampton (AW) · previous Yarmouth✓Trip (within ½f): 7f 36y×Ground: Today Standard · previous Good To Firm✓Class: Class 5
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
No positive support trigger.
This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.
Today: +0.15pp
Possible next price: 12/1
12 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Course record
Course evidence at Wolverhampton (AW) is limited (2 runs without making the frame). Today's market is 21% bigger than usual against an average course SP profile of 10.5.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Racing silksThis FarhDraw 1
Trainer: David Loughnane
Jockey: Jack Doughty
🟢 Needs Support (33%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer David Loughnane (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 27/261; first seen between 10am and 1pm 18/261; first seen after 1pm 7/261.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/9; first seen between 10am and 1pm 2/9; first seen after 1pm 0/9.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.22pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
⬇ CLASS DROP
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run10 days ago · 22 Sep 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 9 | Fixed-odds range: 5/1 → 9/1 | Avg: 7/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
This horse is usually backed but is drifting today. That change is a warning sign.
Early money horse (56%)
16:55Wolverhampton (AW)
Opened 16/1Market avg 20/1
22/1 ↓ 20/1 ↑ 22/1 ↓ 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 ↑ 25/1 ↓ 20/1 → 20/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.22pp (-26.2%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
78th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE78th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
2 of 9 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 6th at Beverley on 22 Sep 2026 (-4.33pp); and finished 6th at Lingfield (AW) on 14 Jan 2026 (-35.71pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 26.2% • -1.22 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Lingfield (AW), 14 Jan 2026 — 6th • open EVS → final 13/2 (-36.67pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
25/1 26 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today7f 36y · Class 5 · Standard · 10 runners16/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—-1.22ppOpen → now20/1Current; SP pendingPending-1.22pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 2 of 9 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. The horse drops from Class 4 to Class 5, but the market has not responded with meaningful support. Today’s move: This Farh is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Beverley · 27 May 2026 · 1st · 2/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Wolverhampton (AW) · previous Beverley✓Trip (within ½f): 7f 36y×Ground: Today Standard · previous Good To Firm✓Class: Class 5
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Both previous top-two finishes came with support of 3.33pp+.
At 3.33pp+: 2/3 finished 1st or 2nd (67%).
Today: -1.22pp — trigger not reached.
Possible next price: 20/1
9 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Racing silksAsh WednesdayDraw 3
Trainer: Heather Main
Jockey: Finley Marsh
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Heather Main (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 9/103; first seen between 10am and 1pm 5/103; first seen after 1pm 3/103.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/7; first seen between 10am and 1pm 1/7; first seen after 1pm 0/7.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.73pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run14 days ago · 18 Sep 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 historical matches

0/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 5/1 → 5/1 | Avg: 5/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
The price is drifting and is not attracting bookmaker support.
Early money horse (43%)
16:55Wolverhampton (AW)
Opened 18/1Market avg 22/1
22/1 ↓ 20/1 ↑ 22/1 ↓ 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 ↑ 28/1 ↓ 20/1 → 20/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.73pp (-16.2%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILESTRONGEST RECORDED DRIFT FOR THIS HORSE (100th percentile)
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Largest drift recorded across 7 previous runs.
Raw Open → Now price change: 16.2% • -0.73 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Kempton (AW), 30 Apr 2026 — 7th • open 6/1 → final 15/2 (-2.52pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
28/1 29 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today7f 36y · Class 5 · Standard · 10 runners18/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—-0.73ppOpen → now22/1Current; SP pendingPending-0.73pp
MARKET FORM READTHIS IS THE HORSE’S STRONGEST RECORDED SUPPORT

Across 7 previous runs, this is the horse’s strongest recorded support. Today’s move: Ash Wednesday is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Southwell (AW) · 21 Mar 2026 · 2nd · 3/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Wolverhampton (AW) · previous Southwell (AW)✓Trip (within ½f): 7f 36y✓Ground: Standard✓Class: Class 5
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
7 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: -0.73pp
Possible next price: 20/1
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Course record
This horse is 0/2 at Wolverhampton (AW) on our records. Today's market is 185% bigger than usual against an average course SP of 7.8.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Race market overview as at 05:16
  • Supported0 of 10 runners at +4pp or more
  • Drifting0 of 10 runners at −4pp or worse
  • Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
  • Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.
17:25Wolverhampton (AW) • 1m142y • Class 4 • Going: Standard
5 runners
Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

Racing silksEnchanted QueenDraw 5
Trainer: George Boughey
Jockey: Billy Loughnane
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer George Boughey (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 79/417; first seen between 10am and 1pm 23/417; first seen after 1pm 12/417.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 1 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -2.57pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run23 days ago · 9 Sep 2026
Distance changeUp 1.6f from last run
Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: 4/9 → 4/9 | Avg: 4/9Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.
17:25Wolverhampton (AW)
Opened 4/6Market avg 8/11
8/11 → 8/11 → 8/11 → 8/11 → 8/11 → 8/11 → 8/11 ↑ 4/5 ↓ 8/11 → 8/11
PRICE MOVE
-2.57pp (-4.5%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
Raw Open → Now price change: 4.5% • -2.57 probability points
Previous market evidence

No previous open-to-final drift in the recorded sample.

BEST FIXED ODDS
4/5 1.8 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today1m 142y · Class 4 · Standard · 5 runners4/6—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—-2.57ppOpen → now8/11Current; SP pendingPending-2.57pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Enchanted Queen is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Kempton (AW) · 09 Sep 2026 · 1st · 1/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Wolverhampton (AW) · previous Kempton (AW)×Trip (within ½f): Today 1m 142y · previous 7f×Ground: Today Standard · previous Standard / Slow✓Class: Class 4
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
1 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: -2.57pp
Possible next price: 8/11
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Racing silksBintazizaDraw 4
Trainer: Roger Varian
Jockey: Ray Dawson
🟢 Needs Support (7%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Roger Varian (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 74/323; first seen between 10am and 1pm 24/323; first seen after 1pm 18/323.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/4; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/4; first seen after 1pm 0/4.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +2.35pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 34/83 won (41%); Open→SP 37/93 won (39.8%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 40.7% (22/54).
⬇ CLASS DROP
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run105 days ago · 19 Jun 2026
Distance changeUp 0.6f from last run
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 1/6 → 9/4 | Avg: 6/5Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (50%)
17:25Wolverhampton (AW)
Opened 3/1Market avg 11/4
11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 ↓ 5/2 → 5/2 ↑ 11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4
PRICE MOVE
+2.35pp (+8.6%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
2 of 4 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 19th at Ascot on 19 Jun 2026 (+4.17pp); and finished 1st at Wolverhampton (AW) on 05 May 2026 (+8.86pp).
Limited data: 1 similar run only. Not a proven betting pattern.
Raw Open → Now price change: 8.6% • +2.35 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Wolverhampton (AW), 05 May 2026 — 1st • open 8/11 → final 1/6 (+27.67pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
11/4 3.75 decimal 7Bet
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today1m 142y · Class 4 · Standard · 5 runners3/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+2.35ppOpen → now11/4Current; SP pendingPending+2.35pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

2 of 4 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. The horse drops from Class 2 to Class 4, but the market has not responded with meaningful support. Today’s move: Bintaziza is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Wolverhampton (AW) · 05 May 2026 · 1st · 3/4 known conditions match
✓Track: Wolverhampton (AW)✓Trip (within ½f): 1m 142y✓Ground: Standard×Class: Today Class 4 · previous Class 5
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Both previous top-two finishes came with support of 2.19pp+.
At 2.19pp+: 2/2 finished 1st or 2nd (100%).
Today: +2.35pp — trigger reached.
Possible next price: 3/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Wolverhampton (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Racing silksGreat MatesDraw 2
Trainer: Marco Botti
Jockey: Darragh Keenan
🟢 Needs Support (25%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Marco Botti (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 48/246; first seen between 10am and 1pm 19/246; first seen after 1pm 9/246.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 2/6; first seen between 10am and 1pm 1/6; first seen after 1pm 1/6.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +1.02pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 18/62 won (29%); Open→SP 19/60 won (31.7%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 40% (16/40).
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run29 days ago · 3 Sep 2026
Distance changeUp 0.6f from last run
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: 13/8 → 10/3 | Avg: 9/4Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (50%)
17:25Wolverhampton (AW)
Opened 7/1Market avg 13/2
13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 ↓ 6/1 ↑ 13/2 → 13/2 ↑ 7/1 ↓ 13/2 ↓ 6/1 ↑ 13/2
PRICE MOVE
+1.02pp (+7.6%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
33th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE33rd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
4 of 6 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 4th at Nottingham on 21 Jul 2026 (+4.85pp); finished 1st at Yarmouth on 02 Jul 2026 (+13.02pp); finished 6th at Newmarket (July) on 19 Jun 2026 (+10.39pp); and finished 2nd at Newcastle (AW) on 09 Jan 2026 (+4.76pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 7.6% • +1.02 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Yarmouth, 02 Jul 2026 — 1st • open 3/1 → final 13/8 (+13.02pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
7/1 8 decimal BetMGM
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today1m 142y · Class 4 · Standard · 5 runners7/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+1.02ppOpen → now13/2Current; SP pendingPending+1.02pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

4 of 6 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Great Mates is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Southwell (AW) · 03 Sep 2026 · 2nd · 2/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Wolverhampton (AW) · previous Southwell (AW)×Trip (within ½f): Today 1m 142y · previous 1m 14y✓Ground: Standard✓Class: Class 4
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
All 3 previous top-two finishes came with support of 7.46pp+.
At 7.46pp+: 3/4 finished 1st or 2nd (75%).
Today: +1.02pp — trigger not reached.
Possible next price: 13/2
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Racing silksDarzahDraw 3
Trainer: William Haggas
Jockey: Harry Davies
🟢 Needs Support (3%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer William Haggas (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 100/599; first seen between 10am and 1pm 47/599; first seen after 1pm 48/599.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 2/7; first seen between 10am and 1pm 1/7; first seen after 1pm 0/7.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.10pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run15 days ago · 17 Sep 2026
Distance changeDown 1.4f from last run
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 8/13 → 11/4 | Avg: 2/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (29%)
17:25Wolverhampton (AW)
Opened 7/1Market avg 8/1
8/1 ↓ 15/2 ↑ 8/1 ↓ 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 ↑ 8/1 ↑ 9/1 ↓ 15/2 → 15/2
PRICE MOVE
-1.10pp (-9.6%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
43th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE43rd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
4 of 7 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 2nd at Pontefract on 16 Aug 2026 (-2.78pp); finished 5th at Nottingham on 21 Jul 2026 (-1.67pp); finished 8th at Sandown on 28 May 2026 (-11.11pp); and finished 5th at Newmarket on 15 Apr 2026 (-3.42pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 9.6% • -1.10 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Ayr, 17 Sep 2026 — 7th • open 6/4 → final 5/2 (-11.11pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
9/1 10 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today1m 142y · Class 4 · Standard · 5 runners7/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—-1.10ppOpen → now8/1Current; SP pendingPending-1.10pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

4 of 7 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Darzah is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Newmarket (July) · 25 Jun 2026 · 1st · 1/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Wolverhampton (AW) · previous Newmarket (July)×Trip (within ½f): Today 1m 142y · previous 1m×Ground: Today Standard · previous Good To Firm✓Class: Class 4
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have usually held or strengthened.
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
All 3 previous top-two finishes came with support of 0.79pp+.
At 0.79pp+: 3/3 finished 1st or 2nd (100%).
Today: -1.10pp — trigger not reached.
Possible next price: 15/2
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Racing silksFoxy NightDraw 1
Trainer: John Butler
Jockey: M. P. Sheehy
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer John Butler (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 43/284; first seen between 10am and 1pm 26/284; first seen after 1pm 12/284.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/7; first seen between 10am and 1pm 3/7; first seen after 1pm 0/7.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.13pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 23/63 won (36.5%); Open→SP 21/65 won (32.3%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 34.4% (11/32).
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run27 days ago · 5 Sep 2026
Distance changeUp 1.6f from last run
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 9/4 → 9/4 | Avg: 9/4Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (29%)
17:25Wolverhampton (AW)
Opened 12/1Market avg 12/1
12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 ↓ 11/1 ↑ 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 ↓ 11/1 ↑ 12/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.13pp (+1.6%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
43th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE43rd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
4 of 7 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 3rd at Hamilton on 21 Aug 2026 (+2.38pp); finished 3rd at Wolverhampton (AW) on 31 Jul 2026 (+1.39pp); finished 2nd at Southwell (AW) on 23 Jul 2026 (+1.36pp); and finished 3rd at Carlisle on 08 Jun 2026 (+3.62pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 1.6% • +0.13 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Wolverhampton (AW), 31 Jul 2026 — 3rd • open 2/1 → final 11/8 (+8.68pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
12/1 13 decimal 7Bet
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today1m 142y · Class 4 · Standard · 5 runners12/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.13ppOpen → now12/1Current; SP pendingPending+0.13pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

4 of 7 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Foxy Night is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Southwell (AW) · 23 Jul 2026 · 2nd · 2/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Wolverhampton (AW) · previous Southwell (AW)×Trip (within ½f): Today 1m 142y · previous 7f 14y✓Ground: Standard✓Class: Class 4
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.Comparable moves have had few top-two finishes. Be cautious.
Did the early price move fade?

Recorded examples where 5pp+ early support was followed by a longer final price:

  • Hamilton, 21 Aug 2026 — 3rd • open 6/1 → 1pm 4/1 → final 9/2
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
7 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: +0.13pp
Possible next price: 12/1
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Wolverhampton (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Race market overview as at 05:16
  • Supported0 of 5 runners at +4pp or more
  • Drifting0 of 5 runners at −4pp or worse
  • Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
  • Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.
17:55Wolverhampton (AW) • 5f21y • Class 6 • Going: Standard
11 runners
Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

Racing silksFancy DancerDraw 1
Trainer: Hayley Burton
Jockey: Luke Morris
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Hayley Burton (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 11/83; first seen between 10am and 1pm 2/83; first seen after 1pm 0/83.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/8; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/8; first seen after 1pm 0/8.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.21pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 5/11 won (45.5%); Open→SP 4/9 won (44.4%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 66.7% (4/6).
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run30 days ago · 2 Sep 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 8 | Fixed-odds range: 11/4 → 11/2 | Avg: 4/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Best at SP (38%)
17:55Wolverhampton (AW)
Opened 7/2Market avg 7/2
7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 ↓ 10/3 ↑ 7/2 → 7/2 ↓ 10/3 ↑ 7/2 ↓ 10/3 ↑ 7/2
PRICE MOVE
+0.21pp (+0.9%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
63th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE63rd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
3 of 8 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 2nd at Bath on 02 Sep 2026 (+2.26pp); finished 2nd at Wolverhampton (AW) on 26 Aug 2026 (+4.38pp); and finished 7th at Nottingham on 03 Jun 2026 (+2.45pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 0.9% • +0.21 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Wolverhampton (AW), 07 Jul 2026 — 5th • open 14/1 → final 10/1 (+2.42pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
7/2 4.5 decimal 7Bet
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today5f 21y · Class 6 · Standard · 11 runners7/2—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.21ppOpen → now7/2Current; SP pendingPending+0.21pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 3 of 8 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Fancy Dancer is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Wolverhampton (AW) · 26 Aug 2026 · 2nd · 4/4 known conditions match
✓Track: Wolverhampton (AW)✓Trip (within ½f): 5f 21y✓Ground: Standard✓Class: Class 6
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have usually held their position.
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
No positive support trigger.
This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.
Today: +0.21pp
Possible next price: 7/2
8 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Course record
At Wolverhampton (AW) this horse has recorded 2 placed efforts from 3 runs. The current market is 31% shorter than usual against an average course SP profile of 6.5.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Racing silksBlack CabDraw 7
Trainer: Alison Hamilton
Jockey: Billy Loughnane
🔴 Ignores MarketThis horse has won or placed despite drifting. Market weakness does NOT negatively impact performance. Can be a value angle when price weakens.
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Alison Hamilton (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 2/21; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/21; first seen after 1pm 0/21.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/4; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/4; first seen after 1pm 0/4.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +1.05pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/1 won (0%); Open→SP 0/0 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run69 days ago · 25 Jul 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 8/1 → 12/1 | Avg: 10/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (50%)
17:55Wolverhampton (AW)
Opened 4/1Market avg 7/2
4/1 ↓ 7/2 ↑ 4/1 ↓ 7/2 ↑ 4/1 ↓ 7/2 → 7/2 ↑ 9/2 ↓ 7/2 ↑ 4/1
PRICE MOVE
+1.05pp (+5.0%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 1 of 4 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 2nd at Wolverhampton (AW) on 10 Mar 2026 (+10.00pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 5% • +1.05 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Wolverhampton (AW), 24 Mar 2026 — 3rd • open 9/2 → final 4/1 (+1.82pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
9/2 5.5 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today5f 21y · Class 6 · Standard · 11 runners4/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+1.05ppOpen → now7/2Current; SP pendingPending+1.05pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 1 of 4 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Black Cab is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Wolverhampton (AW) · 05 May 2026 · 1st · 4/4 known conditions match
✓Track: Wolverhampton (AW)✓Trip (within ½f): 5f 21y✓Ground: Standard✓Class: Class 6
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
No positive support trigger.
This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.
Today: +1.05pp
Possible next price: 9/2
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Course record
Course record of 2/3 at Wolverhampton (AW). The average SP at this course is 11.0 and today's market has the horse trading 57% shorter than usual.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Racing silksPhoenix BeachDraw 5
Trainer: Scott Dixon
Jockey: Kieran O'Neill
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Scott Dixon (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 27/372; first seen between 10am and 1pm 16/372; first seen after 1pm 14/372.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/11; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/11; first seen after 1pm 1/11.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.44pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 4/38 won (10.5%); Open→SP 5/44 won (11.4%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 16.7% (3/18).
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run7 days ago · 25 Sep 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 11 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Late money horse (36%)
17:55Wolverhampton (AW)
Opened 6/1Market avg 6/1
6/1 ↓ 11/2 ↑ 6/1 ↓ 11/2 ↑ 6/1 ↓ 11/2 → 11/2 ↑ 13/2 ↓ 11/2 ↑ 6/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.44pp (+3.0%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
64th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE64th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
4 of 11 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 4th at Newcastle (AW) on 25 Sep 2026 (+0.74pp); finished 7th at Southwell (AW) on 17 Sep 2026 (+16.30pp); finished 9th at Wolverhampton (AW) on 02 Mar 2026 (+3.90pp); and finished 3rd at Wolverhampton (AW) on 27 Feb 2026 (+2.45pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 3% • +0.44 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Southwell (AW), 17 Sep 2026 — 7th • open 10/1 → final 7/2 (+13.53pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
13/2 7.5 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today5f 21y · Class 6 · Standard · 11 runners6/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.44ppOpen → now6/1Current; SP pendingPending+0.44pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 4 of 11 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Phoenix Beach is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.Comparable moves have had few top-two finishes. Be cautious.
Did the early price move fade?

Recorded examples where 5pp+ early support was followed by a longer final price:

  • Southwell (AW), 17 Sep 2026 — 7th • open 10/1 → 10am 3/1 → final 7/2
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
11 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: +0.44pp
Possible next price: 13/2
11 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Course record
No placed efforts from 6 previous runs at Wolverhampton (AW). The current market is 29% shorter than usual compared with a typical course SP of 9.5.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Racing silksHonour Your DreamsDraw 3
Trainer: Michael Attwater
Jockey: Kieren Fox
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Michael Attwater (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 15/246; first seen between 10am and 1pm 11/246; first seen after 1pm 8/246.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/13; first seen between 10am and 1pm 1/13; first seen after 1pm 0/13.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.72pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 2/20 won (10%); Open→SP 2/21 won (9.5%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
⬇ CLASS DROP
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run19 days ago · 13 Sep 2026
Distance changeDown 0.6f from last run
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 13 | Fixed-odds range: 3/1 → 9/1 | Avg: 11/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Best at SP (38%)
17:55Wolverhampton (AW)
Opened 7/1Market avg 13/2
13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 ↓ 6/1 ↑ 7/1 ↓ 13/2 → 13/2 ↓ 5/1 ↑ 6/1 ↑ 7/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.72pp (+5.5%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
69th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE69th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
4 of 13 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 6th at Bath on 13 Sep 2026 (+1.88pp); finished 5th at Ffos Las on 28 Jul 2026 (+3.43pp); finished 4th at Windsor on 07 May 2026 (+1.44pp); and finished 2nd at Lingfield (AW) on 25 Feb 2026 (+8.81pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 5.5% • +0.72 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Lingfield (AW), 25 Feb 2026 — 2nd • open 6/1 → final 3/1 (+10.71pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
8/1 9 decimal Paddy Power
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today5f 21y · Class 6 · Standard · 11 runners7/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.72ppOpen → now13/2Current; SP pendingPending+0.72pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 4 of 13 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. The horse drops from Class 2 to Class 6, but the market has not responded with meaningful support. Today’s move: Honour Your Dreams is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Lingfield (AW) · 04 Jun 2026 · 2nd · 3/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Wolverhampton (AW) · previous Lingfield (AW)✓Trip (within ½f): 5f 21y✓Ground: Standard✓Class: Class 6
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.Comparable moves have had few top-two finishes. Be cautious.
Did the early price move fade?

No documented early-support reversal in this horse’s recorded checkpoint sample. The older wording referred to finishing results, not a verified intraday price fade.

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
No positive support trigger.
This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.
Today: +0.72pp
Possible next price: 15/2
13 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Wolverhampton (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Racing silksCabeza de LlaveDraw 4
Trainer: Michael Attwater
Jockey: William Carson
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Michael Attwater (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 15/246; first seen between 10am and 1pm 11/246; first seen after 1pm 8/246.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 3/9; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/9; first seen after 1pm 0/9.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.63pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 2/20 won (10%); Open→SP 2/21 won (9.5%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
⬇ CLASS DROP
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run16 days ago · 16 Sep 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 9 | Fixed-odds range: 11/1 → 11/1 | Avg: 11/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Best at SP (33%)
17:55Wolverhampton (AW)
Opened 15/2Market avg 7/1
15/2 ↓ 7/1 → 7/1 ↓ 13/2 ↑ 15/2 ↓ 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 ↓ 13/2 ↑ 8/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.63pp (+5.1%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
22th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE22nd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
7 of 9 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 4th at Sandown on 16 Sep 2026 (+1.86pp); finished 5th at Windsor on 07 Sep 2026 (+7.94pp); finished 5th at Salisbury on 21 Jul 2026 (+5.36pp); finished 8th at Windsor on 29 Jun 2026 (+2.19pp); finished 3rd at Windsor on 22 Jun 2026 (+5.56pp); finished 2nd at Windsor on 07 May 2026 (+1.44pp); and finished 3rd at Chelmsford (AW) on 21 Feb 2026 (+3.33pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 5.1% • +0.63 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Windsor, 07 Sep 2026 — 5th • open 6/1 → final 7/2 (+7.94pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
8/1 9 decimal 7Bet
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today5f 21y · Class 6 · Standard · 11 runners15/2—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.63ppOpen → now7/1Current; SP pendingPending+0.63pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

7 of 9 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. The horse drops from Class 5 to Class 6, but the market has not responded with meaningful support. Today’s move: Cabeza de Llave is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Windsor · 07 May 2026 · 2nd · 2/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Wolverhampton (AW) · previous Windsor✓Trip (within ½f): 5f 21y×Ground: Today Standard · previous Good To Firm✓Class: Class 6
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.Comparable moves have had few top-two finishes. Be cautious.
Did the early price move fade?

Recorded examples where 5pp+ early support was followed by a longer final price:

  • Windsor, 22 Jun 2026 — 3rd • open 8/1 → 1pm 4/1 → final 5/1
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
9 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: +0.63pp
Possible next price: 9/1
9 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Racing silksSheik YerboutiDraw 8
Trainer: Grace Harris
Jockey: Darragh Keenan
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Grace Harris (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 31/247; first seen between 10am and 1pm 14/247; first seen after 1pm 1/247.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/5; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/5; first seen after 1pm 0/5.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.24pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 14/37 won (37.8%); Open→SP 11/30 won (36.7%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 41.7% (5/12).
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run17 days ago · 15 Sep 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Late money horse (60%)
17:55Wolverhampton (AW)
Opened 15/2Market avg 15/2
15/2 ↓ 7/1 ↑ 15/2 ↓ 7/1 ↑ 15/2 ↓ 7/1 → 7/1 ↑ 9/1 ↓ 7/1 ↑ 15/2
PRICE MOVE
+0.24pp (+2.0%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILETHE STRONGEST MOVE RECORDED (100th percentile)
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest support recorded across 5 previous runs.
Raw Open → Now price change: 2% • +0.24 probability points
Previous market evidence

No previous positive open-to-final support in the recorded sample.

BEST FIXED ODDS
9/1 10 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today5f 21y · Class 6 · Standard · 11 runners15/2—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.24ppOpen → now15/2Current; SP pendingPending+0.24pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READTHIS IS THE HORSE’S STRONGEST RECORDED SUPPORT

Across 5 previous runs, this is the horse’s strongest recorded support. Today’s move: Sheik Yerbouti is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This early support is unusual; the price has often drifted again later. (strong)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
5 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: +0.24pp
Possible next price: 8/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Course record
This horse is 0/2 at Wolverhampton (AW) on our records. Today's market is 92% shorter than usual against an average course SP of 110.0.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Racing silksSpirited DancerDraw 10
Trainer: Tony Carroll
Jockey: Jack Doughty
🔴 Ignores MarketThis horse has won or placed despite drifting. Market weakness does NOT negatively impact performance. Can be a value angle when price weakens.
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Tony Carroll (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 101/906; first seen between 10am and 1pm 52/906; first seen after 1pm 28/906.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 2/10; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/10; first seen after 1pm 0/10.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.12pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 30/138 won (21.7%); Open→SP 40/153 won (26.1%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 38.6% (27/70).
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run19 days ago · 13 Sep 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 10 | Fixed-odds range: 9/2 → 14/1 | Avg: 15/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Best at SP (40%)
17:55Wolverhampton (AW)
Opened 15/2Market avg 15/2
15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 ↓ 7/1 ↑ 15/2 → 15/2 ↓ 7/1 ↑ 8/1 ↓ 7/1 ↑ 15/2
PRICE MOVE
+0.12pp (+1.0%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
70th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE70th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
3 of 10 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 5th at Bath on 13 Sep 2026 (+5.30pp); finished 6th at Bath on 31 Jul 2026 (+5.10pp); and finished 5th at Bath on 22 May 2026 (+0.78pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 1% • +0.12 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Bath, 31 Jul 2026 — 6th • open 14/1 → final 6/1 (+7.62pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
8/1 9 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today5f 21y · Class 6 · Standard · 11 runners15/2—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.12ppOpen → now15/2Current; SP pendingPending+0.12pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 3 of 10 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Spirited Dancer is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Brighton · 06 Aug 2026 · 2nd · 1/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Wolverhampton (AW) · previous Brighton×Trip (within ½f): Today 5f 21y · previous 6f 210y×Ground: Today Standard · previous Good To Firm✓Class: Class 6
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
The price has been unpredictable before and may move sharply again. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
No positive support trigger.
This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.
Today: +0.12pp
Possible next price: 15/2
10 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Wolverhampton (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Racing silksHvarDraw 6
Trainer: John & Sean Quinn
Jockey: Ray Dawson
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer John & Sean Quinn (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 23/246; first seen between 10am and 1pm 16/246; first seen after 1pm 10/246.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/6; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/6; first seen after 1pm 0/6.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.53pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 7/33 won (21.2%); Open→SP 9/34 won (26.5%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 36.4% (4/11).
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run15 days ago · 17 Sep 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Late PM
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (33%)
17:55Wolverhampton (AW)
Opened 12/1Market avg 11/1
11/1 ↑ 12/1 ↓ 11/1 ↓ 10/1 ↑ 12/1 ↓ 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 ↓ 10/1 ↑ 11/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.53pp (+6.4%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
83th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE83rd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
Only 1 of 6 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 8th at Southwell (AW) on 17 Sep 2026 (+6.43pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 6.4% • +0.53 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Southwell (AW), 17 Sep 2026 — 8th • open 28/1 → final 12/1 (+4.12pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
12/1 13 decimal BetWright
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today5f 21y · Class 6 · Standard · 11 runners12/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.53ppOpen → now11/1Current; SP pendingPending+0.53pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 1 of 6 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Hvar is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
6 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: +0.53pp
Possible next price: 11/1
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Racing silksLady BouquetDraw 11
Trainer: Philip Kirby
Jockey: M. P. Sheehy
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Philip Kirby (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 32/320; first seen between 10am and 1pm 22/320; first seen after 1pm 8/320.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/11; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/11; first seen after 1pm 0/11.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.90pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 12/51 won (23.5%); Open→SP 11/51 won (21.6%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 39.1% (9/23).
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run13 days ago · 19 Sep 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 11 | Fixed-odds range: 9/1 → 9/1 | Avg: 9/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Late money horse (27%)
17:55Wolverhampton (AW)
Opened 16/1Market avg 14/1
14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 ↓ 12/1 ↑ 16/1 ↓ 14/1 → 14/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.90pp (+13.3%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
82th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE82nd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
2 of 11 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 1st at Musselburgh on 24 Aug 2026 (+1.40pp); and finished 9th at Ripon on 18 Jul 2026 (+1.90pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 13.3% • +0.90 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Ripon, 18 Jul 2026 — 9th • open 20/1 → final 12/1 (+2.93pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
16/1 17 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today5f 21y · Class 6 · Standard · 11 runners16/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.90ppOpen → now14/1Current; SP pendingPending+0.90pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 2 of 11 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Lady Bouquet is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Musselburgh · 24 Aug 2026 · 1st · 2/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Wolverhampton (AW) · previous Musselburgh✓Trip (within ½f): 5f 21y×Ground: Today Standard · previous Good✓Class: Class 6
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
11 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: +0.90pp
Possible next price: 14/1
11 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Course record
No placed efforts from 2 previous runs at Wolverhampton (AW). The current market is 13% shorter than usual compared with a typical course SP of 17.0.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Racing silksTeardropsDraw 2
Trainer: Tony Carroll
Jockey: Molly Gunn(5)
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Tony Carroll (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 101/906; first seen between 10am and 1pm 52/906; first seen after 1pm 28/906.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/10; first seen between 10am and 1pm 2/10; first seen after 1pm 0/10.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.07pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run96 days ago · 28 Jun 2026
Distance changeDown 1f from last run
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 10 | Fixed-odds range: 11/8 → 4/1 | Avg: 3/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (30%)
17:55Wolverhampton (AW)
Opened 14/1Market avg 14/1
16/1 ↓ 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 ↑ 20/1 ↓ 14/1 → 14/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.07pp (-1.1%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
5 of 10 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 10th at Wolverhampton (AW) on 28 Jun 2026 (-1.40pp); finished 11th at Wolverhampton (AW) on 01 Jun 2026 (-5.10pp); finished 4th at Kempton (AW) on 08 Apr 2026 (-4.27pp); finished 3rd at Newcastle (AW) on 27 Mar 2026 (-16.81pp); and finished 2nd at Newcastle (AW) on 06 Mar 2026 (-6.35pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 1.1% • -0.07 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Newcastle (AW), 27 Mar 2026 — 3rd • open 5/2 → final 11/2 (-13.19pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
20/1 21 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today5f 21y · Class 6 · Standard · 11 runners14/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—-0.07ppOpen → now14/1Current; SP pendingPending-0.07pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

5 of 10 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Teardrops is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Newcastle (AW) · 06 Mar 2026 · 2nd · 2/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Wolverhampton (AW) · previous Newcastle (AW)×Trip (within ½f): Today 5f 21y · previous 6f✓Ground: Standard✓Class: Class 6
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
No positive support trigger.
This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.
Today: -0.07pp
Possible next price: 14/1
10 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Course record
This horse is 0/2 at Wolverhampton (AW) on our records. Today's market is 34% shorter than usual against an average course SP of 23.0.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Racing silksBananaDraw 9
Trainer: Scott Dixon
Jockey: Christian Howarth(3)
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Scott Dixon (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 27/372; first seen between 10am and 1pm 16/372; first seen after 1pm 14/372.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/4; first seen between 10am and 1pm 2/4; first seen after 1pm 0/4.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.48pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 4/38 won (10.5%); Open→SP 5/44 won (11.4%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 16.7% (3/18).
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run17 days ago · 15 Sep 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 3/1 → 3/1 | Avg: 3/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Late money horse (50%)
17:55Wolverhampton (AW)
Opened 20/1Market avg 18/1
18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 ↓ 16/1 ↑ 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 ↓ 16/1 ↑ 20/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.48pp (+9.1%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
2 of 4 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 3rd at Lingfield (AW) on 25 Aug 2026 (+1.96pp); and finished 2nd at Chepstow on 03 Jul 2026 (+3.33pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 9.1% • +0.48 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Chepstow, 03 Jul 2026 — 2nd • open 5/1 → final 3/1 (+8.33pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
20/1 21 decimal 7Bet
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Wolverhampton (AW)Today5f 21y · Class 6 · Standard · 11 runners20/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.48ppOpen → now18/1Current; SP pendingPending+0.48pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

2 of 4 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Banana is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Chepstow · 03 Jul 2026 · 2nd · 2/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Wolverhampton (AW) · previous Chepstow✓Trip (within ½f): 5f 21y×Ground: Today Standard · previous Good To Firm✓Class: Class 6
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This early support is unusual; the price has often drifted again later. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
4 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: +0.48pp
Possible next price: 22/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Wolverhampton (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Race market overview as at 05:16
  • Supported0 of 11 runners at +4pp or more
  • Drifting0 of 11 runners at −4pp or worse
  • Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
  • Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.
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