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Next-Off Market Intelligence

The strongest horse and trainer evidence from the races coming up next.

Next-race market pulse Tracking the next race
12:25 Newmarket Supplicate · 7/2 → 9/2 · -4.04pp Trainer evidenceRoger Varian: 22.3% normal win rate → 11.8% with comparable market behaviour (85 runners, -10.5pp). Extra race context · Signal Hub Bookmaker Disagreement Light of Paris Bookmaker prices are materially split, so the move does not yet have full market agreement. Check the entire race in Live Market → 281m 13:00 Newmarket Night In Vegas · 4/6 → 4/6 · +0.00pp Horse history2 comparable moves produced 1 wins and 2 top-three finishes. Check the entire race in Live Market → 316m 13:15 Ascot Midnight Tango · 15/2 → 15/2 · +0.00pp How unusual is this?Today’s move ranks at the 100th percentile of this horse’s recorded market history. Check the entire race in Live Market → 331m
Next-off intelligence uses the shared live snapshot. Races disappear automatically at their scheduled off time. Open the complete Live Terminal →
Shared live snapshot 07:39:52
Market overview
Runners Today
78
Shown After Filters
58
Active Signals (15%+)
10
01 · Strongest support
Racing silks
Nostrum
68
17:55 Southwell (AW)
+1.45pp
True move after NR adjustment · 5/1 → 9/2
02 · Repeat evidence
No repeat signal active
No upcoming runner currently matches a previous successful market pattern.
03 · Weak favourite
Racing silks
Captain Cairney
46
16:45 Southwell (AW)
-3.87pp
True move after NR adjustment · 6/4 → 7/4
Runner
Bookmaker move
Evidence
What to do next
16:45Southwell (AW) • 2m0f103y • Class 5 • Going: Standard
3 runners
Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

16:45Southwell (AW)
Racing silksCaptain CairneyDraw 2
Trainer: William Muir & Chris Grassick
Jockey: Ryan Kavanagh(3)
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
PRO RACECARD ↗
⬇ CLASS DROP
SURFACE SWITCHTurf → AW
COURSE RECORD1/1 top 2Southwell (AW) · 1 run onlyAverage course SP 3/1 · 31% shorter today
Last run12 days ago · 21 Sep 2026
Distance changeUp 2.5f from last run
More evidence
Average winning SP11/42 recorded wins in the loaded Market Form sample
43th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE43rd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
4 of 7 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 1st at Southwell (AW) on 27 Aug 2026 (-8.65pp); finished 5th at Salisbury on 25 Jul 2026 (-7.50pp); finished 7th at Ffos Las on 29 Jun 2026 (-18.27pp); and finished 2nd at Leicester on 08 Jun 2026 (-11.67pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 10.7% • -3.87 probability points
Built 00:39 → 01:18
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Ffos Las, 29 Jun 2026 — 7th • open 9/4 → final 9/2 (-12.59pp).

Opened 6/4Market avg 7/4
Price move-3.87pp(-10.7%)
2/1 ↓ 7/4 ↑ 15/8 → 15/8 ↓ 7/4 → 7/4 ↓ 13/8 ↑ 2/1 ↓ 15/8 ↓ 7/4
BEST FIXED ODDS
2/1 3 decimal Bet365
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Bet365 2/1Coral 2/1Ladbrokes 2/1Bet Victor 15/8Betano 15/8Betfred 15/8SportingIndex 15/8Spreadex 15/8Star Sports 15/87Bet 7/4BetTom 7/4BetWright 7/4Boyle Sports 7/4Dragon Bet 7/4Midnite 7/4Quinn Bet 7/4William Hill 7/4BetMGM 13/8Hollywood Bets 13/8LiveScore Bet 13/8Unibet 13/8Virgin Bet 13/8Betfair Sportsbook 6/4Paddy Power 6/4
24 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today2m 103y · Class 5 · Standard · 6 runners6/4—No checkpoint——No checkpoint7/4Current; SP pendingPending-3.87pp
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amPendingWaiting for a valid 10am price and a later update.View Market ReadHide Market Read

4 of 7 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. The horse drops from Class 4 to Class 5, but the market has not responded with meaningful support. Today’s move: Captain Cairney is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Southwell (AW) · 27 Aug 2026 · 1st · 2/4 known conditions match
✓Track: Southwell (AW)×Trip (within ½f): Today 2m 103y · previous 1m 6f 21y✓Ground: Standard×Class: Today Class 5 · previous Class 6
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 6/5 (2.22 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 7/28 (25%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 8.1%.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
16:45Southwell (AW)
Racing silksTinkety TonkDraw 3
Trainer: Hughie Morrison
Jockey: Rob Hornby
PRO RACECARD ↗
⬇ CLASS DROP
SURFACE SWITCHTurf → AW
Last run95 days ago · 30 Jun 2026
Distance changeUp 6.5f from last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILESTRONGEST RECORDED DRIFT FOR THIS HORSE (100th percentile)
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Largest drift recorded across 3 previous runs.
Raw Open → Now price change: 10% • -2.28 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Ffos Las, 30 Jun 2026 — 6th • open 25/1 → final 100/1 (-2.86pp).

Opened 3/1Market avg 10/3
Price move-2.28pp(-10.0%)
10/3 → 10/3 → 10/3 → 10/3 → 10/3 → 10/3 ↑ 7/2 ↑ 4/1 ↓ 10/3 ↑ 7/2
BEST FIXED ODDS
4/1 5 decimal Bet365
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Bet365 4/1Midnite 4/1Paddy Power 4/17Bet 7/2BetMGM 7/2Hollywood Bets 7/2Betfair Sportsbook 7/2Bet Victor 10/3BetTom 10/3BetWright 10/3Betano 10/3Betfred 10/3Boyle Sports 10/3Coral 10/3Dragon Bet 10/3Ladbrokes 10/3LiveScore Bet 10/3Quinn Bet 10/3Star Sports 10/3Unibet 10/3Virgin Bet 10/3SportingIndex 3/1Spreadex 3/1William Hill 3/1
24 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today2m 103y · Class 5 · Standard · 6 runners3/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint10/3Current; SP pendingPending-2.28pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
THIS IS THE HORSE’S STRONGEST RECORDED SUPPORTMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amPendingWaiting for a valid 10am price and a later update.View Market ReadHide Market Read

Across 3 previous runs, this is the horse’s strongest recorded support. The horse drops from Class 4 to Class 5, but the market has not responded with meaningful support. Today’s move: Tinkety Tonk is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 9/4 (3.33 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 7/24 (29.2%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 9.9%.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
16:45Southwell (AW)
Racing silksLeague of JusticeDraw 4
Trainer: Gemma Tutty
Jockey: Billy Garritty
PRO RACECARD ↗
↔ SAME CLASS
SURFACE SWITCHStays on AW
COURSE RECORD0/2 top 2Southwell (AW)Average course SP 28/1 · 76% shorter today
Last run7 days ago · 26 Sep 2026
Distance changeUp 4.4f from last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILESTRONGEST RECORDED DRIFT FOR THIS HORSE (100th percentile)
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Largest drift recorded across 5 previous runs.
Raw Open → Now price change: 8% • -1.14 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Redcar, 15 Sep 2026 — 7th • open 18/1 → final 33/1 (-2.19pp).

Opened 11/2Market avg 6/1
Price move-1.14pp(-8.0%)
7/1 ↓ 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 ↑ 13/2 ↓ 6/1 → 6/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
7/1 8 decimal Coral
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Coral 7/1Ladbrokes 7/1Bet365 13/27Bet 6/1Bet Victor 6/1BetMGM 6/1BetTom 6/1BetWright 6/1Betano 6/1Betfred 6/1Boyle Sports 6/1Dragon Bet 6/1Hollywood Bets 6/1Midnite 6/1Quinn Bet 6/1SportingIndex 6/1Spreadex 6/1Star Sports 6/1Unibet 6/1Paddy Power 6/1LiveScore Bet 11/2Virgin Bet 11/2William Hill 11/2Betfair Sportsbook 11/2
24 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today2m 103y · Class 5 · Standard · 6 runners11/2—No checkpoint——No checkpoint6/1Current; SP pendingPending-1.14pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
THIS IS THE HORSE’S STRONGEST RECORDED SUPPORTMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amPendingWaiting for a valid 10am price and a later update.View Market ReadHide Market Read

Across 5 previous runs, this is the horse’s strongest recorded support. Today’s move: League of Justice is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 4/1 (4.91 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 5/18 (27.8%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 9.8%.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Race market overview as at 07:44
  • Supported0 of 6 runners at +4pp or more
  • Drifting0 of 6 runners at −4pp or worse
  • Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
  • Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.
17:20Southwell (AW) • 1m0f14y • Class 5 • Going: Standard
9 runners
Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

17:20Southwell (AW)
Racing silksOn TargetDraw 10
Trainer: George Scott
Jockey: Darragh Keenan
PRO RACECARD ↗
⬇ CLASS DROP
SURFACE SWITCHTurf → AW
Last run43 days ago · 21 Aug 2026
Distance changeUp 1.1f from last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
3 of 3 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 4th at Newmarket (July) on 21 Aug 2026 (-0.77pp); finished 4th at Yarmouth on 14 Aug 2026 (-5.10pp); and finished 6th at Sandown on 23 Jul 2026 (-0.87pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 0.4% • -0.08 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Yarmouth, 14 Aug 2026 — 4th • open 15/2 → final 22/1 (-7.42pp).

Opened 4/1Market avg 4/1
Price move-0.08pp(-0.4%)
4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/2 5.5 decimal Paddy Power
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Paddy Power 9/27Bet 4/1Bet Victor 4/1Bet365 4/1BetMGM 4/1BetTom 4/1BetWright 4/1Betano 4/1Betfred 4/1Boyle Sports 4/1Coral 4/1Dragon Bet 4/1Hollywood Bets 4/1Ladbrokes 4/1LiveScore Bet 4/1Midnite 4/1Quinn Bet 4/1SportingIndex 4/1Spreadex 4/1Star Sports 4/1Unibet 4/1Virgin Bet 4/1William Hill 4/1Betfair Sportsbook 4/1
24 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 14y · Class 5 · Standard · 10 runners4/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint4/1Current; SP pendingPending-0.08pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amPendingWaiting for a valid 10am price and a later update.View Market ReadHide Market Read

3 of 3 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. The horse drops from Class 3 to Class 5, but the market has not responded with meaningful support. Today’s move: On Target is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 3/1 (4.00 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 23/51 (45.1%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 18.1%.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
17:20Southwell (AW)
Racing silksAbsolute DiamondDraw 3
Trainer: David Evans
Jockey: Joe Leavy
🔴 Ignores MarketThis horse has won or placed despite drifting. Market weakness does NOT negatively impact performance. Can be a value angle when price weakens.
PRO RACECARD ↗
↔ SAME CLASS
SURFACE SWITCHTurf → AW
Last run14 days ago · 19 Sep 2026
Distance changeUp 1.1f from last run
More evidence
Average winning SP10/11 recorded win in the loaded Market Form sample
43th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE43rd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
4 of 7 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 4th at Salisbury on 11 Sep 2026 (-10.19pp); finished 6th at Chepstow on 24 Jul 2026 (-5.56pp); finished 6th at Kempton (AW) on 08 Jul 2026 (-7.42pp); and finished 2nd at Chepstow on 15 Jun 2026 (-2.80pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 6.4% • -1.10 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Salisbury, 11 Sep 2026 — 4th • open 13/8 → final 4/1 (-18.76pp).

Opened 9/2Market avg 5/1
Price move-1.10pp(-6.4%)
5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 ↓ 9/2 → 9/2 ↑ 5/1 ↓ 9/2 ↑ 11/2 ↓ 9/2 → 9/2
BEST FIXED ODDS
11/2 6.5 decimal Bet365
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Bet365 11/2BetTom 5/1Betfred 5/1Boyle Sports 5/1Coral 5/1Hollywood Bets 5/1Ladbrokes 5/1Midnite 5/1Quinn Bet 5/1SportingIndex 5/1Spreadex 5/1Star Sports 5/1Unibet 5/1William Hill 5/1Betfair Sportsbook 5/1Paddy Power 5/17Bet 9/2Bet Victor 9/2BetMGM 9/2BetWright 9/2Betano 9/2Dragon Bet 9/2LiveScore Bet 9/2Virgin Bet 9/2
24 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 14y · Class 5 · Standard · 10 runners9/2—No checkpoint——No checkpoint5/1Current; SP pendingPending-1.10pp
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amPendingWaiting for a valid 10am price and a later update.View Market ReadHide Market Read

4 of 7 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Absolute Diamond is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Chester · 19 Sep 2026 · 2nd · 1/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Southwell (AW) · previous Chester×Trip (within ½f): Today 1m 14y · previous 7f 1y×Ground: Today Standard · previous Heavy✓Class: Class 5
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 10/3 (4.31 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 7/44 (15.9%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 10.5%.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
17:20Southwell (AW)
Racing silksAgitatorDraw 8
Trainer: Oliver Cole
Jockey: Benoit de la Sayette
PRO RACECARD ↗
↔ SAME CLASS
SURFACE SWITCHTurf → AW
Last run12 days ago · 21 Sep 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
More evidence
Average winning SP9/21 recorded win in the loaded Market Form sample
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILESTRONGEST RECORDED DRIFT FOR THIS HORSE (100th percentile)
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Largest drift recorded across 5 previous runs.
Raw Open → Now price change: 5.4% • -0.79 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Ascot, 17 Jun 2026 — 24th • open 80/1 → final 100/1 (-0.57pp).

Opened 11/2Market avg 6/1
Price move-0.79pp(-5.4%)
6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 ↓ 11/2 → 11/2 ↑ 6/1 ↓ 11/2 ↑ 13/2 ↓ 11/2 → 11/2
BEST FIXED ODDS
13/2 7.5 decimal Bet365
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Bet365 13/2BetTom 6/1Betfred 6/1Boyle Sports 6/1Coral 6/1Hollywood Bets 6/1Ladbrokes 6/1Midnite 6/1Quinn Bet 6/1SportingIndex 6/1Spreadex 6/1Star Sports 6/1Unibet 6/1William Hill 6/1Betfair Sportsbook 6/1Paddy Power 6/17Bet 11/2Bet Victor 11/2BetMGM 11/2BetWright 11/2Betano 11/2Dragon Bet 11/2LiveScore Bet 11/2Virgin Bet 11/2
24 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 14y · Class 5 · Standard · 10 runners11/2—No checkpoint——No checkpoint6/1Current; SP pendingPending-0.79pp
THIS IS THE HORSE’S STRONGEST RECORDED SUPPORTMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amPendingWaiting for a valid 10am price and a later update.View Market ReadHide Market Read

Across 5 previous runs, this is the horse’s strongest recorded support. Today’s move: Agitator is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Windsor · 23 May 2026 · 1st · 1/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Southwell (AW) · previous Windsor×Trip (within ½f): Today 1m 14y · previous 6f 12y×Ground: Today Standard · previous Good To Firm✓Class: Class 5
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 4/1 (4.91 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 6/26 (23.1%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 10.2%.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
17:20Southwell (AW)
Racing silksRoosikeDraw 4
Trainer: Richard Hughes
Jockey: Donagh Murphy(5)
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
PRO RACECARD ↗
⬇ CLASS DROP
SURFACE SWITCHTurf → AW
COURSE RECORD1/1 top 2Southwell (AW) · 1 run onlyAverage course SP 13/2 · 11% bigger today
Last run23 days ago · 10 Sep 2026
Distance changeUp 1.6f from last run
More evidence
Average winning SP13/21 recorded win in the loaded Market Form sample
60th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE60th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
2 of 5 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 1st at Southwell (AW) on 27 Jul 2026 (-2.02pp); and finished 3rd at Newbury on 23 Jun 2026 (-3.57pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 10.8% • -1.30 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Newbury, 23 Jun 2026 — 3rd • open 11/1 → final 33/1 (-5.39pp).

Opened 13/2Market avg 15/2
Price move-1.30pp(-10.8%)
15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 ↓ 7/1 → 7/1 ↑ 15/2 ↓ 7/1 ↑ 15/2 ↓ 7/1 → 7/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
15/2 8.5 decimal Bet365
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Bet365 15/2BetTom 15/2Betfred 15/2Boyle Sports 15/2Coral 15/2Hollywood Bets 15/2Ladbrokes 15/2Midnite 15/2Quinn Bet 15/2SportingIndex 15/2Spreadex 15/2Star Sports 15/2Unibet 15/2William Hill 15/2Paddy Power 15/27Bet 7/1Bet Victor 7/1BetMGM 7/1BetWright 7/1Betano 7/1Dragon Bet 7/1LiveScore Bet 7/1Virgin Bet 7/1Betfair Sportsbook 7/1
24 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 14y · Class 5 · Standard · 10 runners13/2—No checkpoint——No checkpoint15/2Current; SP pendingPending-1.30pp
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amPendingWaiting for a valid 10am price and a later update.View Market ReadHide Market Read

Just 2 of 5 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. The horse drops from Class 2 to Class 5, but the market has not responded with meaningful support. Today’s move: Roosike is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Southwell (AW) · 27 Jul 2026 · 1st · 2/4 known conditions match
✓Track: Southwell (AW)×Trip (within ½f): Today 1m 14y · previous 7f 14y✓Ground: Standard×Class: Today Class 5 · previous Class 2
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 9/2 (5.45 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 23/84 (27.4%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 12.7%.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
17:20Southwell (AW)
Racing silksThe Monkey KingDraw 7
Trainer: Ralph Beckett
Jockey: Rhys Clutterbuck
PRO RACECARD ↗
↔ SAME CLASS
SURFACE SWITCHTurf → AW
Last run28 days ago · 5 Sep 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
More evidence
Average winning SPEVS1 recorded win in the loaded Market Form sample
50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
2 of 4 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 1st at Brighton on 06 Aug 2026 (-2.38pp); and finished 6th at Kempton (AW) on 29 Jun 2026 (-7.94pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 12.5% • -1.48 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Brighton, 06 Aug 2026 — 1st • open EVS → final 11/8 (-7.98pp).

Opened 13/2Market avg 15/2
Price move-1.48pp(-12.5%)
15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 ↓ 7/1 ↑ 15/2 → 15/2 ↓ 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 ↑ 15/2
BEST FIXED ODDS
8/1 9 decimal Paddy Power
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Paddy Power 8/17Bet 15/2BetTom 15/2BetWright 15/2Betfred 15/2Boyle Sports 15/2Coral 15/2Dragon Bet 15/2Hollywood Bets 15/2Ladbrokes 15/2LiveScore Bet 15/2Midnite 15/2Quinn Bet 15/2SportingIndex 15/2Spreadex 15/2Star Sports 15/2Unibet 15/2Virgin Bet 15/2William Hill 15/2Betfair Sportsbook 15/2Bet Victor 7/1Bet365 7/1BetMGM 7/1Betano 7/1
24 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 14y · Class 5 · Standard · 10 runners13/2—No checkpoint——No checkpoint15/2Current; SP pendingPending-1.48pp
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amPendingWaiting for a valid 10am price and a later update.View Market ReadHide Market Read

2 of 4 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: The Monkey King is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Brighton · 06 Aug 2026 · 1st · 0/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Southwell (AW) · previous Brighton×Trip (within ½f): Today 1m 14y · previous 6f 210y×Ground: Today Standard · previous Good To Firm×Class: Today Class 5 · previous Class 4
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 9/2 (5.45 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 27/114 (23.7%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 17.7%.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
17:20Southwell (AW)
Racing silksLove RomeDraw 5
Trainer: Charlie Johnston
Jockey: Rob Hornby
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
PRO RACECARD ↗
⬇ CLASS DROP
SURFACE SWITCHTurf → AW
Last run23 days ago · 10 Sep 2026
Distance changeUp 1f from last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
25th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE25th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
3 of 4 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 7th at Doncaster on 10 Sep 2026 (-4.76pp); finished 2nd at Ayr on 13 Jul 2026 (-3.57pp); and finished 3rd at Newmarket (July) on 20 Jun 2026 (-2.45pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 9.3% • -0.94 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Newmarket (July), 20 Jun 2026 — 3rd • open 11/1 → final 18/1 (-3.07pp).

Opened 8/1Market avg 9/1
Price move-0.94pp(-9.3%)
9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 ↓ 17/2 → 17/2 ↑ 9/1 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 10/1 ↓ 17/2 → 17/2
BEST FIXED ODDS
10/1 11 decimal Bet365
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Bet365 10/1BetTom 9/1Betfred 9/1Boyle Sports 9/1Coral 9/1Hollywood Bets 9/1Ladbrokes 9/1Midnite 9/1Quinn Bet 9/1SportingIndex 9/1Spreadex 9/1Star Sports 9/1Unibet 9/1William Hill 9/1Paddy Power 9/17Bet 17/2Bet Victor 17/2BetWright 17/2Betano 17/2Dragon Bet 17/2LiveScore Bet 17/2Virgin Bet 17/2Betfair Sportsbook 17/2BetMGM 8/1
24 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 14y · Class 5 · Standard · 10 runners8/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint9/1Current; SP pendingPending-0.94pp
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amPendingWaiting for a valid 10am price and a later update.View Market ReadHide Market Read

3 of 4 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. The horse drops from Class 3 to Class 5, but the market has not responded with meaningful support. Today’s move: Love Rome is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Leicester · 09 Aug 2026 · 2nd · 1/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Southwell (AW) · previous Leicester×Trip (within ½f): Today 1m 14y · previous 7f×Ground: Today Standard · previous Good To Firm✓Class: Class 5
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 5/1 (6.21 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 25/111 (22.5%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 11.1%.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
17:20Southwell (AW)
Racing silksRocket BootsDraw 2
Trainer: James Owen
Jockey: Jack Doughty
PRO RACECARD ↗
↔ SAME CLASS
SURFACE SWITCHTurf → AW
Last run18 days ago · 15 Sep 2026
Distance changeUp 1.1f from last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
40th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE40th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
3 of 5 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 4th at Newmarket on 15 May 2026 (-3.90pp); finished 2nd at Doncaster on 02 May 2026 (-3.33pp); and finished 4th at Newmarket on 14 Apr 2026 (-2.83pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 15.9% • -1.25 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Newmarket, 15 May 2026 — 4th • open 9/2 → final 9/1 (-8.18pp).

Opened 10/1Market avg 12/1
Price move-1.25pp(-15.9%)
12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 ↓ 11/1 → 11/1 ↑ 12/1 → 12/1 ↑ 14/1 ↓ 11/1 → 11/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
14/1 15 decimal Bet365
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Bet365 14/1BetMGM 12/1BetTom 12/1Betfred 12/1Boyle Sports 12/1Coral 12/1Hollywood Bets 12/1Ladbrokes 12/1Midnite 12/1Quinn Bet 12/1SportingIndex 12/1Spreadex 12/1Star Sports 12/1Unibet 12/1William Hill 12/1Paddy Power 12/17Bet 11/1Bet Victor 11/1BetWright 11/1Betano 11/1Dragon Bet 11/1LiveScore Bet 11/1Virgin Bet 11/1Betfair Sportsbook 11/1
24 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 14y · Class 5 · Standard · 10 runners10/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint12/1Current; SP pendingPending-1.25pp
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amPendingWaiting for a valid 10am price and a later update.View Market ReadHide Market Read

3 of 5 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Rocket Boots is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Doncaster · 02 May 2026 · 2nd · 0/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Southwell (AW) · previous Doncaster×Trip (within ½f): Today 1m 14y · previous 6f 2y×Ground: Today Standard · previous Good To Firm×Class: Today Class 5 · previous Class 4
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 6/1 (7.10 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 60/202 (29.7%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 16.3%.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
17:20Southwell (AW)
Racing silksHigh HazardDraw 1
Trainer: Hugo Palmer
Jockey: Ashley Lewis(3)
PRO RACECARD ↗
↔ SAME CLASS
SURFACE SWITCHTurf → AW
Last run14 days ago · 19 Sep 2026
Distance changeUp 1.1f from last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
71th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE71st HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
2 of 7 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 16th at Goodwood on 30 Jul 2026 (-1.27pp); and finished 9th at Thirsk on 31 May 2026 (-2.52pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 2.5% • -0.16 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Thirsk, 31 May 2026 — 9th • open 6/1 → final 9/1 (-4.29pp).

Opened 14/1Market avg 14/1
Price move-0.16pp(-2.5%)
16/1 ↓ 14/1 ↑ 16/1 ↓ 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 ↓ 12/1 ↑ 18/1 ↓ 14/1 → 14/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
18/1 19 decimal Bet365
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Bet365 18/1Betfred 16/1Coral 16/1Ladbrokes 16/1Star Sports 16/1William Hill 16/17Bet 14/1Bet Victor 14/1BetTom 14/1BetWright 14/1Betano 14/1Boyle Sports 14/1Dragon Bet 14/1Hollywood Bets 14/1LiveScore Bet 14/1Midnite 14/1Quinn Bet 14/1SportingIndex 14/1Spreadex 14/1Virgin Bet 14/1Betfair Sportsbook 14/1Paddy Power 14/1BetMGM 12/1Unibet 11/1
24 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 14y · Class 5 · Standard · 10 runners14/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint14/1Current; SP pendingPending-0.16pp
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amPendingWaiting for a valid 10am price and a later update.View Market ReadHide Market Read

Just 2 of 7 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: High Hazard is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Beverley · 16 Jun 2026 · 2nd · 0/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Southwell (AW) · previous Beverley×Trip (within ½f): Today 1m 14y · previous 7f 96y×Ground: Today Standard · previous Good×Class: Today Class 5 · previous Class 3
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 15/2 (8.57 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 24/93 (25.8%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 9.9%.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
17:20Southwell (AW)
Racing silksTribal AppearanceDraw 9
Trainer: Dr Richard Newland
Jockey: Pierre-Louis Jamin
PRO RACECARD ↗
↔ SAME CLASS
SURFACE SWITCHTurf → AW
Last run30 days ago · 3 Sep 2026
Distance changeUp 1.1f from last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
25th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE25th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
3 of 4 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 8th at Haydock on 03 Sep 2026 (-2.93pp); finished 4th at Musselburgh on 05 Jun 2026 (-13.13pp); and finished 4th at Haydock on 22 May 2026 (-6.32pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 5.7% • -0.28 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Haydock, 22 May 2026 — 4th • open 5/2 → final 6/1 (-15.13pp).

Opened 18/1Market avg 20/1
Price move-0.28pp(-5.7%)
20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 ↓ 18/1 → 18/1 ↑ 20/1 ↓ 18/1 ↑ 20/1 ↓ 18/1 → 18/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
20/1 21 decimal Bet365
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Bet365 20/1BetTom 20/1Betfred 20/1Boyle Sports 20/1Coral 20/1Ladbrokes 20/1Midnite 20/1Quinn Bet 20/1SportingIndex 20/1Spreadex 20/1Star Sports 20/1William Hill 20/1Paddy Power 20/17Bet 18/1Bet Victor 18/1BetMGM 18/1BetWright 18/1Betano 18/1Dragon Bet 18/1Hollywood Bets 18/1LiveScore Bet 18/1Unibet 18/1Virgin Bet 18/1Betfair Sportsbook 18/1
24 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 14y · Class 5 · Standard · 10 runners18/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint20/1Current; SP pendingPending-0.28pp
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amPendingWaiting for a valid 10am price and a later update.View Market ReadHide Market Read

3 of 4 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Tribal Appearance is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Bath · 13 May 2026 · 2nd · 0/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Southwell (AW) · previous Bath×Trip (within ½f): Today 1m 14y · previous 5f 160y×Ground: Today Standard · previous Firm×Class: Today Class 5 · previous Class 4
WHAT TO WATCH NOW

No evidence-backed price trigger for this runner yet. Use Notify Me to monitor it; the current records do not justify a target price.

TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Race market overview as at 07:44
  • Supported0 of 10 runners at +4pp or more
  • Drifting0 of 10 runners at −4pp or worse
  • Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
  • Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.
17:55Southwell (AW) • 1m0f14y • Class 4 • Going: Standard
9 runners
Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

17:55Southwell (AW)
Racing silksWidDraw 3
Trainer: Ralph Beckett
Jockey: Rhys Clutterbuck
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
PRO RACECARD ↗
⬇ CLASS DROP
SURFACE SWITCHTurf → AW
Last run67 days ago · 28 Jul 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
More evidence
Average winning SP11/81 recorded win in the loaded Market Form sample
33th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE33rd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
2 of 3 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 4th at Goodwood on 28 Jul 2026 (-7.58pp); and finished 1st at Carlisle on 09 Jul 2026 (-1.98pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 7.1% • -1.90 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Goodwood, 28 Jul 2026 — 4th • open 5/1 → final 9/1 (-6.67pp).

Opened 5/2Market avg 11/4
Price move-1.90pp(-7.1%)
11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 ↓ 5/2 ↑ 11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 ↑ 3/1 ↓ 5/2 ↑ 11/4
BEST FIXED ODDS
3/1 4 decimal Bet365
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Bet365 3/1William Hill 3/17Bet 11/4BetMGM 11/4BetTom 11/4BetWright 11/4Betfred 11/4Boyle Sports 11/4Coral 11/4Dragon Bet 11/4Hollywood Bets 11/4Ladbrokes 11/4LiveScore Bet 11/4Midnite 11/4Quinn Bet 11/4SportingIndex 11/4Spreadex 11/4Star Sports 11/4Unibet 11/4Virgin Bet 11/4Betfair Sportsbook 11/4Paddy Power 11/4Bet Victor 5/2Betano 5/2
24 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 14y · Class 4 · Standard · 13 runners5/2—No checkpoint——No checkpoint11/4Current; SP pendingPending-1.90pp
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amPendingWaiting for a valid 10am price and a later update.View Market ReadHide Market Read

2 of 3 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. The horse drops from Class 3 to Class 4, but the market has not responded with meaningful support. Today’s move: Wid is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Carlisle · 09 Jul 2026 · 1st · 2/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Southwell (AW) · previous Carlisle✓Trip (within ½f): 1m 14y×Ground: Today Standard · previous Good To Firm✓Class: Class 4
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 2/1 (2.98 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 27/114 (23.7%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 17.7%.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
17:55Southwell (AW)
Racing silksSiwa OasisDraw 8
Trainer: Charles Hills
Jockey: Dougie Costello
PRO RACECARD ↗
↔ SAME CLASS
SURFACE SWITCHTurf → AW
Last run66 days ago · 29 Jul 2026
Distance changeUp 1.1f from last run
More evidence
Average winning SP9/41 recorded win in the loaded Market Form sample
50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
2 of 4 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 4th at Leicester on 14 Jul 2026 (-1.64pp); and finished 7th at Newbury on 18 Apr 2026 (-3.21pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 0.4% • -0.10 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Leicester, 29 Jul 2026 — 1st • open 5/2 → final 10/3 (-5.48pp).

Opened 10/3Market avg 10/3
Price move-0.10pp(-0.4%)
10/3 → 10/3 ↑ 7/2 ↓ 10/3 → 10/3 ↑ 7/2 ↓ 10/3 ↑ 7/2 ↓ 10/3 → 10/3
BEST FIXED ODDS
7/2 4.5 decimal Bet365
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Bet365 7/2BetTom 7/2Betfred 7/2Hollywood Bets 7/2William Hill 7/2Betfair Sportsbook 7/2Paddy Power 7/2LiveScore Bet 10/3Virgin Bet 10/37Bet 10/3Bet Victor 10/3BetWright 10/3Betano 10/3Boyle Sports 10/3Coral 10/3Dragon Bet 10/3Ladbrokes 10/3Midnite 10/3Quinn Bet 10/3Star Sports 10/3Unibet 10/3BetMGM 10/3SportingIndex 3/1Spreadex 3/1
24 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 14y · Class 4 · Standard · 13 runners10/3—No checkpoint——No checkpoint10/3Current; SP pendingPending-0.10pp
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amPendingWaiting for a valid 10am price and a later update.View Market ReadHide Market Read

2 of 4 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Siwa Oasis is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Leicester · 29 Jul 2026 · 1st · 1/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Southwell (AW) · previous Leicester×Trip (within ½f): Today 1m 14y · previous 7f×Ground: Today Standard · previous Good To Firm✓Class: Class 4
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 5/2 (3.56 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 11/35 (31.4%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 12.9%.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
17:55Southwell (AW)
Racing silksCristoDraw 11
Trainer: Richard Hannon
Jockey: Joe Leavy
🟢 Needs Support (14%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.
PRO RACECARD ↗
↔ SAME CLASS
SURFACE SWITCHTurf → AW
Last run71 days ago · 24 Jul 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
More evidence
Average winning SP5/11 recorded win in the loaded Market Form sample
92th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE92nd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
Only 1 of 13 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 8th at Ripon on 16 Apr 2026 (-1.97pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 8.3% • -1.18 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Ripon, 16 Apr 2026 — 8th • open 7/1 → final 17/2 (-1.97pp).

Opened 11/2Market avg 6/1
Price move-1.18pp(-8.3%)
6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 ↓ 11/2 ↑ 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
13/2 7.5 decimal William Hill
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
William Hill 13/2Betfair Sportsbook 13/2Paddy Power 13/27Bet 6/1Bet Victor 6/1Bet365 6/1BetTom 6/1BetWright 6/1Betano 6/1Betfred 6/1Boyle Sports 6/1Coral 6/1Dragon Bet 6/1Hollywood Bets 6/1Ladbrokes 6/1LiveScore Bet 6/1Midnite 6/1Quinn Bet 6/1SportingIndex 6/1Spreadex 6/1Star Sports 6/1Unibet 6/1Virgin Bet 6/1BetMGM 11/2
24 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 14y · Class 4 · Standard · 13 runners11/2—No checkpoint——No checkpoint6/1Current; SP pendingPending-1.18pp
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amPendingWaiting for a valid 10am price and a later update.View Market ReadHide Market Read

Just 1 of 13 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Cristo is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Windsor · 13 Jul 2026 · 2nd · 2/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Southwell (AW) · previous Windsor✓Trip (within ½f): 1m 14y×Ground: Today Standard · previous Good To Firm✓Class: Class 4
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Horse support level

Support of +2.52pp · around 9/2 (5.58 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

3/6 finished 1st or 2nd with this much support or more (50%).

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 4/1 (4.91 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 31/139 (22.3%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 12.1%.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
17:55Southwell (AW)
Racing silksMagic TripDraw 6
Trainer: Andrew Balding
Jockey: Rob Hornby
PRO RACECARD ↗
↔ SAME CLASS
SURFACE SWITCHTurf → AW
Last run36 days ago · 28 Aug 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
80th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE80th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
Only 1 of 5 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 5th at Sandown on 24 Apr 2026 (-12.38pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 14.7% • -1.98 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Sandown, 24 Apr 2026 — 5th • open 11/4 → final 13/2 (-13.33pp).

Opened 11/2Market avg 13/2
Price move-1.98pp(-14.7%)
13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 ↓ 6/1 ↑ 13/2 ↑ 7/1 ↓ 6/1 ↑ 8/1 ↓ 6/1 ↑ 13/2
BEST FIXED ODDS
8/1 9 decimal Bet365
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Bet365 8/1BetTom 7/1Midnite 7/1Unibet 7/1William Hill 7/17Bet 13/2BetWright 13/2Betfred 13/2Boyle Sports 13/2Coral 13/2Hollywood Bets 13/2Ladbrokes 13/2Quinn Bet 13/2SportingIndex 13/2Spreadex 13/2Bet Victor 6/1BetMGM 6/1Betano 6/1Dragon Bet 6/1LiveScore Bet 6/1Star Sports 6/1Virgin Bet 6/1Betfair Sportsbook 6/1Paddy Power 6/1
24 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 14y · Class 4 · Standard · 13 runners11/2—No checkpoint——No checkpoint13/2Current; SP pendingPending-1.98pp
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amPendingWaiting for a valid 10am price and a later update.View Market ReadHide Market Read

Just 1 of 5 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Magic Trip is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Sandown · 28 Aug 2026 · 2nd · 2/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Southwell (AW) · previous Sandown✓Trip (within ½f): 1m 14y×Ground: Today Standard · previous Good✓Class: Class 4
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 4/1 (4.91 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 71/207 (34.3%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 19.3%.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
17:55Southwell (AW)
Racing silksFranschhoekDraw 4
Trainer: James Fanshawe
Jockey: Jonny Peate
PRO RACECARD ↗
↔ SAME CLASS
SURFACE SWITCHStays on AW
COURSE RECORD0/1 top 2Southwell (AW) · 1 run onlyAverage course SP 7/4 · 261% bigger today
Last run30 days ago · 3 Sep 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
More evidence
Average winning SP8/151 recorded win in the loaded Market Form sample
33th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE33rd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
2 of 3 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 6th at Southwell (AW) on 03 Sep 2026 (-9.02pp); and finished 3rd at Kempton (AW) on 25 Mar 2026 (-4.90pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 4.4% • -0.44 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Kempton (AW), 25 Mar 2026 — 3rd • open 5/1 → final 15/2 (-4.90pp).

Opened 17/2Market avg 9/1
Price move-0.44pp(-4.4%)
9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 ↓ 17/2 ↑ 9/1 → 9/1 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 10/1 ↓ 17/2 ↑ 9/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
10/1 11 decimal Bet365
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Bet365 10/17Bet 9/1BetTom 9/1BetWright 9/1Betfred 9/1Boyle Sports 9/1Coral 9/1Hollywood Bets 9/1Ladbrokes 9/1LiveScore Bet 9/1Midnite 9/1Quinn Bet 9/1SportingIndex 9/1Spreadex 9/1Star Sports 9/1Unibet 9/1Virgin Bet 9/1William Hill 9/1Paddy Power 9/1Bet Victor 17/2Betano 17/2Dragon Bet 17/2Betfair Sportsbook 17/2BetMGM 8/1
24 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 14y · Class 4 · Standard · 13 runners17/2—No checkpoint——No checkpoint9/1Current; SP pendingPending-0.44pp
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amPendingWaiting for a valid 10am price and a later update.View Market ReadHide Market Read

2 of 3 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Franschhoek is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Wolverhampton (AW) · 18 Aug 2026 · 1st · 2/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Southwell (AW) · previous Wolverhampton (AW)×Trip (within ½f): Today 1m 14y · previous 1m 1f 104y✓Ground: Standard✓Class: Class 4
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 11/2 (6.44 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 27/85 (31.8%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 19.6%.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
17:55Southwell (AW)
Racing silksGolden PharaohDraw 2
Trainer: Scott Dixon
Jockey: Christian Howarth(3)
PRO RACECARD ↗
⬆ CLASS RISE
SURFACE SWITCHStays on AW
COURSE RECORD1/4 top 2Southwell (AW)Average course SP 7/1 · 127% bigger today
Last run206 days ago · 11 Mar 2026
Distance changeUp 1f from last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
60th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE60th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
2 of 5 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 8th at Southwell (AW) on 23 Jan 2026 (-4.04pp); and finished 2nd at Southwell (AW) on 03 Jan 2026 (-8.89pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 24.4% • -1.31 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Newcastle (AW), 06 Feb 2026 — 12th • open 9/1 → final 22/1 (-5.65pp).

Opened 14/1Market avg 18/1
Price move-1.31pp(-24.4%)
18/1 → 18/1 ↓ 16/1 → 16/1 ↑ 18/1 → 18/1 ↓ 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 ↑ 18/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
20/1 21 decimal Betfair Sportsbook
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Betfair Sportsbook 20/17Bet 18/1BetTom 18/1BetWright 18/1Boyle Sports 18/1Coral 18/1Dragon Bet 18/1Hollywood Bets 18/1Ladbrokes 18/1LiveScore Bet 18/1Midnite 18/1Quinn Bet 18/1SportingIndex 18/1Spreadex 18/1Star Sports 18/1Unibet 18/1Virgin Bet 18/1William Hill 18/1Paddy Power 18/1Bet Victor 16/1Bet365 16/1BetMGM 16/1Betano 16/1Betfred 16/1
24 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 14y · Class 4 · Standard · 13 runners14/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint18/1Current; SP pendingPending-1.31pp
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amPendingWaiting for a valid 10am price and a later update.View Market ReadHide Market Read

Just 2 of 5 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. It is also stepping up from Class 5 to Class 4, which adds another test today. Today’s move: Golden Pharaoh is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Southwell (AW) · 03 Jan 2026 · 2nd · 4/4 known conditions match
✓Track: Southwell (AW)✓Trip (within ½f): 1m 14y✓Ground: Standard✓Class: Class 4
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Trainer support level

Support of +10.00pp · around 5/1 (6.00 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 3/18 (16.7%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 6.1%.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
17:55Southwell (AW)
Racing silksKalamundaDraw 12
Trainer: Joseph Parr
Jockey: Benoit de la Sayette
PRO RACECARD ↗
↔ SAME CLASS
SURFACE SWITCHStays on AW
COURSE RECORD0/1 top 2Southwell (AW) · 1 run onlyAverage course SP 14/1 · 37% bigger today
Last run30 days ago · 3 Sep 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILESTRONGEST RECORDED DRIFT FOR THIS HORSE (100th percentile)
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Largest drift recorded across 3 previous runs.
Raw Open → Now price change: 7.9% • -0.39 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Yarmouth, 02 Jul 2026 — 5th • open 15/8 → final 9/4 (-3.95pp).

Opened 18/1Market avg 20/1
Price move-0.39pp(-7.9%)
20/1 → 20/1 ↓ 18/1 → 18/1 ↑ 20/1 → 20/1 ↓ 18/1 ↑ 22/1 ↓ 18/1 → 18/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
22/1 23 decimal Bet365
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Bet365 22/1BetTom 20/1BetWright 20/1Boyle Sports 20/1Coral 20/1Dragon Bet 20/1Hollywood Bets 20/1Ladbrokes 20/1Midnite 20/1Quinn Bet 20/1SportingIndex 20/1Spreadex 20/1Star Sports 20/1Unibet 20/1William Hill 20/1Betfair Sportsbook 20/1Paddy Power 20/17Bet 18/1Bet Victor 18/1BetMGM 18/1Betano 18/1Betfred 18/1LiveScore Bet 18/1Virgin Bet 18/1
24 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 14y · Class 4 · Standard · 13 runners18/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint20/1Current; SP pendingPending-0.39pp
THIS IS THE HORSE’S STRONGEST RECORDED SUPPORTMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amPendingWaiting for a valid 10am price and a later update.View Market ReadHide Market Read

Across 3 previous runs, this is the horse’s strongest recorded support. Today’s move: Kalamunda is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Yarmouth · 18 Jun 2026 · 2nd · 2/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Southwell (AW) · previous Yarmouth✓Trip (within ½f): 1m 14y×Ground: Today Standard · previous Good To Firm✓Class: Class 4
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Trainer support level

Support of +10.00pp · around 11/2 (6.55 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 1/9 (11.1%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 4.8%. Small sample.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
17:55Southwell (AW)
Racing silksWieldDraw 13
Trainer: Joseph Parr
Jockey: Sean Dylan Bowen
🔴 Ignores MarketThis horse has won or placed despite drifting. Market weakness does NOT negatively impact performance. Can be a value angle when price weakens.
PRO RACECARD ↗
⬆ CLASS RISE
SURFACE SWITCHTurf → AW
COURSE RECORD1/1 top 2Southwell (AW) · 1 run onlyAverage course SP 25/1 · 21% shorter today
Last run22 days ago · 11 Sep 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
43th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE43rd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
4 of 7 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 2nd at Southwell (AW) on 31 Aug 2026 (-1.54pp); finished 7th at Newmarket (July) on 20 Aug 2026 (-1.74pp); finished 5th at Newmarket on 15 May 2026 (-9.52pp); and finished 2nd at Newmarket on 14 Apr 2026 (-4.29pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 7.9% • -0.39 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Newmarket, 15 May 2026 — 5th • open 6/1 → final 33/1 (-11.34pp).

Opened 18/1Market avg 20/1
Price move-0.39pp(-7.9%)
20/1 → 20/1 ↓ 18/1 → 18/1 ↑ 20/1 → 20/1 ↓ 18/1 ↑ 22/1 ↓ 18/1 → 18/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
22/1 23 decimal Bet365
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Bet365 22/1BetTom 20/1BetWright 20/1Boyle Sports 20/1Coral 20/1Dragon Bet 20/1Hollywood Bets 20/1Ladbrokes 20/1Midnite 20/1Quinn Bet 20/1SportingIndex 20/1Spreadex 20/1Star Sports 20/1Unibet 20/1William Hill 20/1Betfair Sportsbook 20/1Paddy Power 20/17Bet 18/1Bet Victor 18/1BetMGM 18/1Betano 18/1Betfred 18/1LiveScore Bet 18/1Virgin Bet 18/1
24 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 14y · Class 4 · Standard · 13 runners18/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint20/1Current; SP pendingPending-0.39pp
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amPendingWaiting for a valid 10am price and a later update.View Market ReadHide Market Read

4 of 7 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. It is also stepping up from Class 5 to Class 4, which adds another test today. Today’s move: Wield is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Southwell (AW) · 31 Aug 2026 · 2nd · 3/4 known conditions match
✓Track: Southwell (AW)✓Trip (within ½f): 1m 14y✓Ground: Standard×Class: Today Class 4 · previous Class 5
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Trainer support level

Support of +10.00pp · around 11/2 (6.55 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 1/9 (11.1%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 4.8%. Small sample.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
17:55Southwell (AW)
Racing silksNakaahaDraw 9
Trainer: Grace Harris
Jockey: Ashley Lewis(3)
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
PRO RACECARD ↗
⬇ CLASS DROP
SURFACE SWITCHTurf → AW
Last run33 days ago · 31 Aug 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
More evidence
Average winning SP7/21 recorded win in the loaded Market Form sample
67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
3 of 9 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 16th at Chepstow on 31 Aug 2026 (-1.88pp); finished 5th at Salisbury on 23 May 2026 (-4.64pp); and finished 10th at Doncaster on 29 Mar 2026 (-1.81pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 19.8% • -0.79 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Salisbury, 23 May 2026 — 5th • open 17/2 → final 14/1 (-3.86pp).

Opened 20/1Market avg 25/1
Price move-0.79pp(-19.8%)
25/1 → 25/1 ↓ 22/1 → 22/1 ↑ 25/1 → 25/1 ↓ 20/1 ↑ 28/1 ↓ 22/1 ↑ 25/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
28/1 29 decimal Bet365
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Bet365 28/17Bet 25/1BetTom 25/1BetWright 25/1Boyle Sports 25/1Coral 25/1Dragon Bet 25/1Hollywood Bets 25/1Ladbrokes 25/1Midnite 25/1Quinn Bet 25/1SportingIndex 25/1Spreadex 25/1Star Sports 25/1Unibet 25/1William Hill 25/1Paddy Power 25/1Bet Victor 22/1Betano 22/1Betfred 22/1LiveScore Bet 22/1Virgin Bet 22/1Betfair Sportsbook 22/1BetMGM 20/1
24 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 14y · Class 4 · Standard · 13 runners20/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint25/1Current; SP pendingPending-0.79pp
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amPendingWaiting for a valid 10am price and a later update.View Market ReadHide Market Read

Just 3 of 9 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. The horse drops from Class 2 to Class 4, but the market has not responded with meaningful support. Today’s move: Nakaaha is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Chepstow · 06 Aug 2026 · 2nd · 2/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Southwell (AW) · previous Chepstow✓Trip (within ½f): 1m 14y×Ground: Today Standard · previous Good To Firm✓Class: Class 4
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 9/1 (10.24 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 11/30 (36.7%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 12.4%.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Race market overview as at 07:44
  • Supported0 of 13 runners at +4pp or more
  • Drifting0 of 13 runners at −4pp or worse
  • Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
  • Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.
18:30Southwell (AW) • 0m7f15y • Class 4 • Going: Standard
8 runners
Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

18:30Southwell (AW)
Racing silksDontworryaboutmeDraw 3
Trainer: Charles Hills
Jockey: Dougie Costello
PRO RACECARD ↗
↔ SAME CLASS
SURFACE SWITCHStays on AW
COURSE RECORD1/1 top 2Southwell (AW) · 1 run onlyAverage course SP 2/1 · 25% shorter today
Last run16 days ago · 17 Sep 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
Raw Open → Now price change: 0.4% • -0.20 probability points
Built 07:15 → 07:42
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Goodwood, 01 Aug 2026 — 7th • open 40/1 → final 66/1 (-0.95pp).

Opened 5/4Market avg 5/4
Price move-0.20pp(-0.4%)
5/4 → 5/4 → 5/4 ↓ 6/5 ↑ 5/4 → 5/4 → 5/4 ↑ 6/4 ↓ 6/5 → 6/5
BEST FIXED ODDS
6/4 2.5 decimal Bet365
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Bet365 6/4William Hill 11/8BetMGM 5/4BetTom 5/4BetWright 5/4Betfred 5/4Boyle Sports 5/4Coral 5/4Dragon Bet 5/4Hollywood Bets 5/4Ladbrokes 5/4LiveScore Bet 5/4Midnite 5/4Quinn Bet 5/4SportingIndex 5/4Spreadex 5/4Star Sports 5/4Unibet 5/4Virgin Bet 5/4Betfair Sportsbook 5/4Paddy Power 5/47Bet 6/5Bet Victor 6/5Betano 6/5
24 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today7f 15y · Class 4 · Standard · 10 runners5/4—No checkpoint——No checkpoint5/4Current; SP pendingPending-0.20pp
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amPendingWaiting for a valid 10am price and a later update.View Market ReadHide Market Read

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Dontworryaboutme is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Southwell (AW) · 17 Sep 2026 · 2nd · 4/4 known conditions match
✓Track: Southwell (AW)✓Trip (within ½f): 7f 15y✓Ground: Standard✓Class: Class 4
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around EVS (2.02 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 11/35 (31.4%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 12.9%.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
18:30Southwell (AW)
Racing silksFully StockedDraw 7
Trainer: Jack Morland
Jockey: Joe Leavy
PRO RACECARD ↗
↔ SAME CLASS
SURFACE SWITCHStays on AW
Last run23 days ago · 10 Sep 2026
Distance changeUp 1.1f from last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
3 of 3 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 3rd at Lingfield (AW) on 10 Sep 2026 (-0.66pp); finished 4th at Nottingham on 18 Jul 2026 (-4.64pp); and finished 2nd at Kempton (AW) on 29 Jun 2026 (-2.82pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 0.8% • -0.17 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Nottingham, 18 Jul 2026 — 4th • open 5/6 → final 7/4 (-18.28pp).

Opened 7/2Market avg 7/2
Price move-0.17pp(-0.8%)
4/1 ↓ 7/2 → 7/2 ↓ 10/3 ↑ 7/2 → 7/2 ↓ 10/3 ↑ 4/1 ↓ 10/3 ↑ 7/2
BEST FIXED ODDS
4/1 5 decimal Bet365
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Bet365 4/1Coral 4/1William Hill 4/17Bet 7/2BetTom 7/2BetWright 7/2Betfred 7/2Boyle Sports 7/2Dragon Bet 7/2Hollywood Bets 7/2Ladbrokes 7/2LiveScore Bet 7/2Midnite 7/2Quinn Bet 7/2SportingIndex 7/2Spreadex 7/2Star Sports 7/2Unibet 7/2Virgin Bet 7/2Paddy Power 7/2Bet Victor 10/3BetMGM 10/3Betano 10/3Betfair Sportsbook 10/3
24 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today7f 15y · Class 4 · Standard · 10 runners7/2—No checkpoint——No checkpoint7/2Current; SP pendingPending-0.17pp
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amPendingWaiting for a valid 10am price and a later update.View Market ReadHide Market Read

3 of 3 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Fully Stocked is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Kempton (AW) · 29 Jun 2026 · 2nd · 1/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Southwell (AW) · previous Kempton (AW)×Trip (within ½f): Today 7f 15y · previous 6f×Ground: Today Standard · previous Standard To Slow✓Class: Class 4
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 11/4 (3.67 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 3/12 (25%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 8.5%.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
18:30Southwell (AW)
Racing silksEbt's WarriorDraw 10
Trainer: William Muir & Chris Grassick
Jockey: Ryan Kavanagh(3)
PRO RACECARD ↗
⬇ CLASS DROP
SURFACE SWITCHStays on AW
COURSE RECORD0/1 top 2Southwell (AW) · 1 run onlyAverage course SP 16/1 · 60% shorter today
Last run37 days ago · 27 Aug 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
Raw Open → Now price change: 4.5% • -0.66 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Leicester, 09 Aug 2026 — 3rd • open 16/1 → final 33/1 (-2.94pp).

Opened 11/2Market avg 6/1
Price move-0.66pp(-4.5%)
6/1 ↓ 11/2 ↑ 6/1 ↓ 11/2 → 11/2 ↑ 6/1 ↓ 11/2 ↑ 6/1 ↓ 11/2 → 11/2
BEST FIXED ODDS
6/1 7 decimal Bet365
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Bet365 6/1BetTom 6/1Betfred 6/1Coral 6/1Hollywood Bets 6/1Ladbrokes 6/1Midnite 6/1Quinn Bet 6/1SportingIndex 6/1Spreadex 6/1Star Sports 6/1Unibet 6/1William Hill 6/1Paddy Power 6/17Bet 11/2Bet Victor 11/2BetMGM 11/2BetWright 11/2Betano 11/2Boyle Sports 11/2Dragon Bet 11/2LiveScore Bet 11/2Virgin Bet 11/2Betfair Sportsbook 11/2
24 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today7f 15y · Class 4 · Standard · 10 runners11/2—No checkpoint——No checkpoint6/1Current; SP pendingPending-0.66pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amPendingWaiting for a valid 10am price and a later update.View Market ReadHide Market Read

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. The horse drops from Class 3 to Class 4, but the market has not responded with meaningful support. Today’s move: Ebt's Warrior is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 4/1 (4.91 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 7/28 (25%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 8.1%.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
18:30Southwell (AW)
Racing silksNotimetotakeoffDraw 5
Trainer: Charlie Johnston
Jockey: Sean Dylan Bowen
PRO RACECARD ↗
↔ SAME CLASS
SURFACE SWITCHStays on AW
Last run10 days ago · 23 Sep 2026
Distance changeDown 0.9f from last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
Raw Open → Now price change: 10.4% • -1.18 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Kempton (AW), 23 Sep 2026 — 3rd • open 33/1 → final 50/1 (-0.98pp).

Opened 7/1Market avg 8/1
Price move-1.18pp(-10.4%)
8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 ↓ 15/2 → 15/2 ↑ 8/1 ↓ 7/1 ↑ 17/2 ↓ 15/2 → 15/2
BEST FIXED ODDS
17/2 9.5 decimal Bet365
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Bet365 17/2BetTom 8/1Betfred 8/1Boyle Sports 8/1Coral 8/1Hollywood Bets 8/1Ladbrokes 8/1Midnite 8/1Quinn Bet 8/1SportingIndex 8/1Spreadex 8/1Star Sports 8/1Unibet 8/1William Hill 8/1Betfair Sportsbook 8/1Paddy Power 8/17Bet 15/2Bet Victor 15/2BetWright 15/2Betano 15/2Dragon Bet 15/2LiveScore Bet 15/2Virgin Bet 15/2BetMGM 7/1
24 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today7f 15y · Class 4 · Standard · 10 runners7/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint8/1Current; SP pendingPending-1.18pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amPendingWaiting for a valid 10am price and a later update.View Market ReadHide Market Read

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Notimetotakeoff is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 9/2 (5.71 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 25/111 (22.5%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 11.1%.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
18:30Southwell (AW)
Racing silksSon Of VegaDraw 6
Trainer: David Simcock
Jockey: Dylan Hogan
PRO RACECARD ↗
Last runNot recorded
Distance changeNot recorded
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
Raw Open → Now price change: 11.2% • -1.26 probability points
Opened 7/1Market avg 8/1
Price move-1.26pp(-11.2%)
8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 ↓ 15/2 ↑ 8/1 → 8/1 ↓ 15/2 ↑ 17/2 ↓ 15/2 ↑ 8/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
17/2 9.5 decimal Bet365
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Bet365 17/27Bet 8/1BetTom 8/1BetWright 8/1Betfred 8/1Boyle Sports 8/1Coral 8/1Dragon Bet 8/1Hollywood Bets 8/1Ladbrokes 8/1Midnite 8/1Quinn Bet 8/1SportingIndex 8/1Spreadex 8/1Star Sports 8/1Unibet 8/1William Hill 8/1Paddy Power 8/1Bet Victor 15/2BetMGM 15/2Betano 15/2LiveScore Bet 15/2Virgin Bet 15/2Betfair Sportsbook 15/2
24 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today7f 15y · Class 4 · Standard · 10 runners7/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint8/1Current; SP pendingPending-1.26pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amPendingWaiting for a valid 10am price and a later update.View Market ReadHide Market Read

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Son Of Vega is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 9/2 (5.71 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 4/21 (19%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 13.4%.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
18:30Southwell (AW)
Racing silksPenselwoodDraw 1
Trainer: Sir Mark Prescott Bt
Jockey: Jack Gilligan
PRO RACECARD ↗
Last runNot recorded
Distance changeNot recorded
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
Raw Open → Now price change: 11.1% • -0.67 probability points
Opened 14/1Market avg 16/1
Price move-0.67pp(-11.1%)
16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 ↓ 14/1 ↑ 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
16/1 17 decimal 7Bet
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
7Bet 16/1Bet Victor 16/1Bet365 16/1BetTom 16/1BetWright 16/1Betano 16/1Betfred 16/1Boyle Sports 16/1Coral 16/1Dragon Bet 16/1Hollywood Bets 16/1Ladbrokes 16/1Midnite 16/1Quinn Bet 16/1SportingIndex 16/1Spreadex 16/1Star Sports 16/1Unibet 16/1William Hill 16/1Paddy Power 16/1BetMGM 14/1LiveScore Bet 14/1Virgin Bet 14/1Betfair Sportsbook 14/1
24 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today7f 15y · Class 4 · Standard · 10 runners14/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint16/1Current; SP pendingPending-0.67pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amPendingWaiting for a valid 10am price and a later update.View Market ReadHide Market Read

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Penselwood is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 15/2 (8.57 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 22/56 (39.3%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 19.8%.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
18:30Southwell (AW)
Racing silksJaipur PrinceDraw 2
Trainer: Adam Kirby
Jockey: William Carson
PRO RACECARD ↗
⬇ CLASS DROP
SURFACE SWITCHTurf → AW
Last run79 days ago · 16 Jul 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
Raw Open → Now price change: 67.2% • -1.34 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Epsom, 16 Jul 2026 — 5th • open 12/1 → final 25/1 (-3.30pp).

Opened 28/1Market avg 50/1
Price move-1.34pp(-67.2%)
50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
50/1 51 decimal 7Bet
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
7Bet 50/1Bet Victor 50/1Bet365 50/1BetMGM 50/1BetTom 50/1BetWright 50/1Betano 50/1Betfred 50/1Boyle Sports 50/1Coral 50/1Dragon Bet 50/1Hollywood Bets 50/1Ladbrokes 50/1Midnite 50/1Quinn Bet 50/1SportingIndex 50/1Spreadex 50/1Star Sports 50/1Unibet 50/1William Hill 50/1Betfair Sportsbook 50/1Paddy Power 50/1LiveScore Bet 40/1Virgin Bet 40/1
24 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today7f 15y · Class 4 · Standard · 10 runners28/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint50/1Current; SP pendingPending-1.34pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amPendingWaiting for a valid 10am price and a later update.View Market ReadHide Market Read

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. The horse drops from Class 3 to Class 4, but the market has not responded with meaningful support. Today’s move: Jaipur Prince is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 11/1 (12.00 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 7/25 (28%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 11%.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
18:30Southwell (AW)
Racing silksWithout DiamondDraw 4
Trainer: Joey Ramsden
Jockey: Alex Jary(3)
PRO RACECARD ↗
↔ SAME CLASS
SURFACE SWITCHStays on AW
COURSE RECORD0/1 top 2Southwell (AW) · 1 run onlyAverage course SP 100/1 · 83% shorter today
Last run9 days ago · 24 Sep 2026
Distance changeUp 1f from last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
Raw Open → Now price change: 1.2% • -0.02 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Southwell (AW), 24 Sep 2026 — 8th • open 33/1 → final 100/1 (-2.61pp).

Opened 50/1Market avg 50/1
Price move-0.02pp(-1.2%)
50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 ↓ 33/1 ↑ 50/1 → 50/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
66/1 67 decimal Betfair Sportsbook
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Betfair Sportsbook 66/1Paddy Power 66/17Bet 50/1Bet Victor 50/1BetMGM 50/1BetTom 50/1BetWright 50/1Betano 50/1Betfred 50/1Boyle Sports 50/1Coral 50/1Dragon Bet 50/1Hollywood Bets 50/1Ladbrokes 50/1LiveScore Bet 50/1Midnite 50/1Quinn Bet 50/1SportingIndex 50/1Spreadex 50/1Star Sports 50/1Unibet 50/1Virgin Bet 50/1William Hill 50/1Bet365 33/1
24 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today7f 15y · Class 4 · Standard · 10 runners50/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint50/1Current; SP pendingPending-0.02pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amPendingWaiting for a valid 10am price and a later update.View Market ReadHide Market Read

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Without Diamond is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 14/1 (14.37 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 3/19 (15.8%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 6.9%.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Race market overview as at 07:44
  • Supported0 of 10 runners at +4pp or more
  • Drifting0 of 10 runners at −4pp or worse
  • Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
  • Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.
19:00Southwell (AW) • 0m7f15y • Class 4 • Going: Standard
8 runners
Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

19:00Southwell (AW)
Racing silksCloud ForestDraw 1
Trainer: Saeed bin Suroor
Jockey: William Carson
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
PRO RACECARD ↗
↔ SAME CLASS
SURFACE SWITCHTurf → AW
Last run38 days ago · 26 Aug 2026
Distance changeDown 0.9f from last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
2 of 4 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 2nd at Kempton (AW) on 05 Aug 2026 (-7.62pp); and finished 6th at Nottingham on 19 May 2026 (-2.80pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 0.4% • -0.20 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Nottingham, 19 May 2026 — 6th • open 9/2 → final 13/2 (-4.85pp).

Opened EVSMarket avg EVS
Price move-0.20pp(-0.4%)
EVS → EVS → EVS → EVS → EVS → EVS → EVS ↑ 11/10 ↓ EVS → EVS
BEST FIXED ODDS
11/10 2.1 decimal Bet365
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Bet365 11/10William Hill 11/107Bet EVSBet Victor EVSBetMGM EVSBetTom EVSBetWright EVSBetano EVSBetfred EVSBoyle Sports EVSCoral EVSDragon Bet EVSHollywood Bets EVSLadbrokes EVSLiveScore Bet EVSMidnite EVSQuinn Bet EVSSportingIndex EVSSpreadex EVSStar Sports EVSUnibet EVSVirgin Bet EVSBetfair Sportsbook EVSPaddy Power EVS
24 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today7f 15y · Class 4 · Standard · 11 runnersEVS—No checkpoint——No checkpointEVSCurrent; SP pendingPending-0.20pp
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amPendingWaiting for a valid 10am price and a later update.View Market ReadHide Market Read

2 of 4 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Cloud Forest is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Newbury · 26 Aug 2026 · 2nd · 1/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Southwell (AW) · previous Newbury×Trip (within ½f): Today 7f 15y · previous 1m×Ground: Today Standard · previous Good To Firm✓Class: Class 4
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 5/6 (1.82 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 6/14 (42.9%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 21.4%.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
19:00Southwell (AW)
Racing silksImperial BalletDraw 7
Trainer: Andrew Balding
Jockey: Rob Hornby
PRO RACECARD ↗
Last runNot recorded
Distance changeNot recorded
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
Raw Open → Now price change: 5.1% • -1.29 probability points
Opened 11/4Market avg 3/1
Price move-1.29pp(-5.1%)
3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 ↓ 11/4 → 11/4 ↑ 3/1 ↓ 11/4 ↑ 10/3 ↓ 11/4 → 11/4
BEST FIXED ODDS
10/3 4.33 decimal Bet365
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Bet365 10/3BetTom 3/1Betfred 3/1Boyle Sports 3/1Coral 3/1Hollywood Bets 3/1Ladbrokes 3/1Midnite 3/1Quinn Bet 3/1SportingIndex 3/1Spreadex 3/1Star Sports 3/1Unibet 3/1Virgin Bet 3/1William Hill 3/1Betfair Sportsbook 3/1Paddy Power 3/17Bet 11/4Bet Victor 11/4BetMGM 11/4BetWright 11/4Betano 11/4Dragon Bet 11/4LiveScore Bet 11/4
24 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today7f 15y · Class 4 · Standard · 11 runners11/4—No checkpoint——No checkpoint3/1Current; SP pendingPending-1.29pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amPendingWaiting for a valid 10am price and a later update.View Market ReadHide Market Read

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Imperial Ballet is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 9/4 (3.16 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 71/207 (34.3%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 19.3%.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
19:00Southwell (AW)
Racing silksHozamDraw 4
Trainer: Kevin & Lauren Frost
Jockey: Joe Leavy
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
PRO RACECARD ↗
↔ SAME CLASS
SURFACE SWITCHStays on AW
Last run28 days ago · 5 Sep 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 1 of 3 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 2nd at Wolverhampton (AW) on 28 Jun 2026 (-10.34pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 9.2% • -1.68 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Wolverhampton (AW), 28 Jun 2026 — 2nd • open 10/11 → final 6/4 (-12.36pp).

Opened 4/1Market avg 9/2
Price move-1.68pp(-9.2%)
9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 ↓ 4/1 ↑ 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 ↑ 5/1 ↓ 4/1 ↑ 9/2
BEST FIXED ODDS
5/1 6 decimal Bet365
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Bet365 5/17Bet 9/2BetMGM 9/2BetTom 9/2BetWright 9/2Betfred 9/2Boyle Sports 9/2Coral 9/2Dragon Bet 9/2Hollywood Bets 9/2Ladbrokes 9/2LiveScore Bet 9/2Midnite 9/2Quinn Bet 9/2SportingIndex 9/2Spreadex 9/2Star Sports 9/2Unibet 9/2Virgin Bet 9/2William Hill 9/2Paddy Power 9/2Bet Victor 4/1Betano 4/1Betfair Sportsbook 4/1
24 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today7f 15y · Class 4 · Standard · 11 runners4/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint9/2Current; SP pendingPending-1.68pp
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amPendingWaiting for a valid 10am price and a later update.View Market ReadHide Market Read

Just 1 of 3 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Hozam is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Newcastle (AW) · 05 Sep 2026 · 2nd · 3/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Southwell (AW) · previous Newcastle (AW)✓Trip (within ½f): 7f 15y✓Ground: Standard✓Class: Class 4
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 3/1 (4.00 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 6/26 (23.1%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 11.9%.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
19:00Southwell (AW)
Racing silksAll You Can BeDraw 11
Trainer: Charles Hills
Jockey: Dougie Costello
PRO RACECARD ↗
⬇ CLASS DROP
SURFACE SWITCHStays on AW
Last run259 days ago · 17 Jan 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
Raw Open → Now price change: 9.3% • -1.00 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Lingfield (AW), 17 Jan 2026 — 6th • open 14/1 → final 18/1 (-1.40pp).

Opened 15/2Market avg 17/2
Price move-1.00pp(-9.3%)
17/2 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 17/2 ↓ 8/1 → 8/1 ↑ 17/2 ↓ 15/2 ↑ 9/1 ↓ 8/1 → 8/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/1 10 decimal Bet365
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Bet365 9/1BetTom 17/2Betfred 17/2Coral 17/2Hollywood Bets 17/2Ladbrokes 17/2Midnite 17/2Quinn Bet 17/2SportingIndex 17/2Spreadex 17/2Star Sports 17/2Unibet 17/2William Hill 17/2Paddy Power 17/27Bet 8/1Bet Victor 8/1BetWright 8/1Betano 8/1Boyle Sports 8/1Dragon Bet 8/1LiveScore Bet 8/1Virgin Bet 8/1Betfair Sportsbook 8/1BetMGM 15/2
24 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today7f 15y · Class 4 · Standard · 11 runners15/2—No checkpoint——No checkpoint17/2Current; SP pendingPending-1.00pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amPendingWaiting for a valid 10am price and a later update.View Market ReadHide Market Read

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. The horse drops from Class 2 to Class 4, but the market has not responded with meaningful support. Today’s move: All You Can Be is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 5/1 (5.96 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 11/35 (31.4%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 12.9%.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
19:00Southwell (AW)
Racing silksTalking BearDraw 9
Trainer: Richard Phillips
Jockey: Jonny Peate
PRO RACECARD ↗
↔ SAME CLASS
SURFACE SWITCHStays on AW
Last run14 days ago · 19 Sep 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
Raw Open → Now price change: 19.8% • -0.79 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Newcastle (AW), 19 Sep 2026 — 5th • open 14/1 → final 40/1 (-4.46pp).

Opened 20/1Market avg 25/1
Price move-0.79pp(-19.8%)
25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 ↓ 22/1 ↑ 25/1 → 25/1 ↓ 20/1 ↑ 25/1 ↓ 22/1 ↑ 25/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
25/1 26 decimal 7Bet
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
7Bet 25/1Bet365 25/1BetTom 25/1BetWright 25/1Betfred 25/1Boyle Sports 25/1Coral 25/1Dragon Bet 25/1Hollywood Bets 25/1Ladbrokes 25/1Midnite 25/1Quinn Bet 25/1SportingIndex 25/1Spreadex 25/1Star Sports 25/1Unibet 25/1William Hill 25/1Paddy Power 25/1Bet Victor 22/1Betano 22/1LiveScore Bet 22/1Virgin Bet 22/1Betfair Sportsbook 22/1BetMGM 20/1
24 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today7f 15y · Class 4 · Standard · 11 runners20/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint25/1Current; SP pendingPending-0.79pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amPendingWaiting for a valid 10am price and a later update.View Market ReadHide Market Read

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Talking Bear is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 9/1 (10.24 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 1/6 (16.7%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 3.2%. Small sample.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
19:00Southwell (AW)
Racing silksManjaros ExpressDraw 2
Trainer: Martin Dunne
Jockey: Alice Bond(5)
PRO RACECARD ↗
Last runNot recorded
Distance changeNot recorded
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
Raw Open → Now price change: 21.8% • -0.53 probability points
Opened 33/1Market avg 40/1
Price move-0.53pp(-21.8%)
40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
50/1 51 decimal Paddy Power
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Paddy Power 50/17Bet 40/1Bet Victor 40/1Bet365 40/1BetMGM 40/1BetTom 40/1BetWright 40/1Betano 40/1Betfred 40/1Boyle Sports 40/1Coral 40/1Dragon Bet 40/1Hollywood Bets 40/1Ladbrokes 40/1LiveScore Bet 40/1Midnite 40/1Quinn Bet 40/1SportingIndex 40/1Spreadex 40/1Star Sports 40/1Unibet 40/1Virgin Bet 40/1William Hill 40/1Betfair Sportsbook 40/1
24 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today7f 15y · Class 4 · Standard · 11 runners33/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint40/1Current; SP pendingPending-0.53pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amPendingWaiting for a valid 10am price and a later update.View Market ReadHide Market Read

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Manjaros Express is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT TO WATCH NOW

No evidence-backed price trigger for this runner yet. Use Notify Me to monitor it; the current records do not justify a target price.

TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
19:00Southwell (AW)
Racing silksPseudonymDraw 5
Trainer: Ollie Sangster
Jockey: Sean Dylan Bowen
PRO RACECARD ↗
⬇ CLASS DROP
SURFACE SWITCHTurf → AW
Last run35 days ago · 29 Aug 2026
Distance changeDown 2.8f from last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
Raw Open → Now price change: 22.2% • -0.53 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Newbury, 11 Jun 2026 — 9th • open 20/1 → final 33/1 (-1.82pp).

Opened 33/1Market avg 40/1
Price move-0.53pp(-22.2%)
40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 ↓ 33/1 ↑ 40/1 → 40/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
50/1 51 decimal Betfair Sportsbook
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Betfair Sportsbook 50/1Paddy Power 50/17Bet 40/1Bet Victor 40/1BetMGM 40/1BetTom 40/1BetWright 40/1Betano 40/1Betfred 40/1Boyle Sports 40/1Coral 40/1Dragon Bet 40/1Hollywood Bets 40/1Ladbrokes 40/1LiveScore Bet 40/1Midnite 40/1Quinn Bet 40/1SportingIndex 40/1Spreadex 40/1Star Sports 40/1Unibet 40/1Virgin Bet 40/1William Hill 40/1Bet365 33/1
24 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today7f 15y · Class 4 · Standard · 11 runners33/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint40/1Current; SP pendingPending-0.53pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amPendingWaiting for a valid 10am price and a later update.View Market ReadHide Market Read

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. The horse drops from Class 2 to Class 4, but the market has not responded with meaningful support. Today’s move: Pseudonym is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 12/1 (12.59 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 24/57 (42.1%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 14.5%.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
19:00Southwell (AW)
Racing silksZe Gucci PoochieDraw 10
Trainer: Martin Dunne
Jockey: Muhammet Talha Ertal(7)
PRO RACECARD ↗
↔ SAME CLASS
SURFACE SWITCHStays on AW
COURSE RECORD0/2 top 2Southwell (AW)Average course SP 100/1 · 62% shorter today
Last run48 days ago · 16 Aug 2026
Distance changeDown 1f from last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
Raw Open → Now price change: 0.6% • -0.01 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Southwell (AW), 23 Jul 2026 — 10th • open 40/1 → final 100/1 (-1.84pp).

Opened 80/1Market avg 80/1
Price move-0.01pp(-0.6%)
80/1 → 80/1 → 80/1 → 80/1 → 80/1 → 80/1 ↓ 66/1 → 66/1 ↑ 80/1 → 80/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
100/1 101 decimal Betfair Sportsbook
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Betfair Sportsbook 100/1Paddy Power 100/17Bet 80/1Bet Victor 80/1BetTom 80/1BetWright 80/1Betano 80/1Betfred 80/1Boyle Sports 80/1Coral 80/1Dragon Bet 80/1Hollywood Bets 80/1Ladbrokes 80/1LiveScore Bet 80/1Midnite 80/1Quinn Bet 80/1SportingIndex 80/1Spreadex 80/1Star Sports 80/1Unibet 80/1Virgin Bet 80/1William Hill 80/1Bet365 66/1BetMGM 66/1
24 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today7f 15y · Class 4 · Standard · 11 runners80/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint80/1Current; SP pendingPending-0.01pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amPendingWaiting for a valid 10am price and a later update.View Market ReadHide Market Read

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Ze Gucci Poochie is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT TO WATCH NOW

No evidence-backed price trigger for this runner yet. Use Notify Me to monitor it; the current records do not justify a target price.

TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Race market overview as at 07:44
  • Supported0 of 11 runners at +4pp or more
  • Drifting0 of 11 runners at −4pp or worse
  • Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
  • Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.
19:30Southwell (AW) • 0m6f17y • Class 5 • Going: Standard
10 runners
Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

19:30Southwell (AW)
Racing silksNew ImageDraw 10
Trainer: Michael Herrington
Jockey: Darragh Keenan
PRO RACECARD ↗
↔ SAME CLASS
SURFACE SWITCHStays on AW
COURSE RECORD1/2 top 2Southwell (AW)Average course SP 18/1 · 86% shorter today
Last run7 days ago · 26 Sep 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
More evidence
Average winning SP10/11 recorded win in the loaded Market Form sample
89th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE89th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
Only 1 of 9 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 7th at Redcar on 19 Jun 2026 (-3.42pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 5.5% • -2.19 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Redcar, 20 Apr 2026 — 3rd • open 17/2 → final 14/1 (-3.86pp).

Opened 11/8Market avg 6/4
Price move-2.19pp(-5.5%)
6/4 → 6/4 → 6/4 → 6/4 → 6/4 → 6/4 → 6/4 ↓ 11/8 ↑ 6/4 → 6/4
BEST FIXED ODDS
7/4 2.75 decimal Betfair Sportsbook
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Betfair Sportsbook 7/4Paddy Power 7/47Bet 6/4Bet Victor 6/4BetMGM 6/4BetTom 6/4BetWright 6/4Betano 6/4Betfred 6/4Boyle Sports 6/4Coral 6/4Dragon Bet 6/4Hollywood Bets 6/4Ladbrokes 6/4LiveScore Bet 6/4Midnite 6/4Quinn Bet 6/4SportingIndex 6/4Spreadex 6/4Star Sports 6/4Unibet 6/4Virgin Bet 6/4Bet365 11/8William Hill 11/8
24 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today6f 17y · Class 5 · Standard · 13 runners11/8—No checkpoint——No checkpoint6/4Current; SP pendingPending-2.19pp
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amPendingWaiting for a valid 10am price and a later update.View Market ReadHide Market Read

Just 1 of 9 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: New Image is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Southwell (AW) · 26 Sep 2026 · 1st · 4/4 known conditions match
✓Track: Southwell (AW)✓Trip (within ½f): 6f 17y✓Ground: Standard✓Class: Class 5
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 11/10 (2.13 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 14/62 (22.6%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 16.5%.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
19:30Southwell (AW)
Racing silksHorace WallaceDraw 11
Trainer: Richard & Peter Fahey
Jockey: David Nolan
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
PRO RACECARD ↗
↔ SAME CLASS
SURFACE SWITCHStays on AW
Last run15 days ago · 18 Sep 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
More evidence
Average winning SP7/23 recorded wins in the loaded Market Form sample
75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
2 of 8 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 1st at Wolverhampton (AW) on 18 Sep 2026 (-1.56pp); and finished 1st at Wolverhampton (AW) on 02 Feb 2026 (-1.91pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 4.5% • -0.79 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Wolverhampton (AW), 02 Feb 2026 — 1st • open 3/1 → final 4/1 (-5.00pp).

Opened 9/2Market avg 9/2
Price move-0.79pp(-4.5%)
5/1 ↓ 9/2 ↑ 5/1 ↓ 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 ↑ 11/2 ↓ 9/2 → 9/2
BEST FIXED ODDS
11/2 6.5 decimal Bet365
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Bet365 11/2Betfred 5/1Coral 5/1Hollywood Bets 5/1Ladbrokes 5/1Midnite 5/1SportingIndex 5/1Spreadex 5/1Star Sports 5/1Unibet 5/1William Hill 5/17Bet 9/2Bet Victor 9/2BetMGM 9/2BetTom 9/2BetWright 9/2Betano 9/2Boyle Sports 9/2Dragon Bet 9/2LiveScore Bet 9/2Quinn Bet 9/2Virgin Bet 9/2Betfair Sportsbook 9/2Paddy Power 9/2
24 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today6f 17y · Class 5 · Standard · 13 runners9/2—No checkpoint——No checkpoint9/2Current; SP pendingPending-0.79pp
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amPendingWaiting for a valid 10am price and a later update.View Market ReadHide Market Read

Just 2 of 8 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Horace Wallace is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Wolverhampton (AW) · 18 Sep 2026 · 1st · 3/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Southwell (AW) · previous Wolverhampton (AW)✓Trip (within ½f): 6f 17y✓Ground: Standard✓Class: Class 5
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 10/3 (4.31 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 24/82 (29.3%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 9.8%.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
19:30Southwell (AW)
Racing silksJeneverDraw 9
Trainer: Jessica Macey
Jockey: Jack Doughty
PRO RACECARD ↗
⬇ CLASS DROP
SURFACE SWITCHTurf → AW
COURSE RECORD1/2 top 2Southwell (AW)Average course SP 22/1 · 73% shorter today
Last run20 days ago · 13 Sep 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
33th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE33rd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
6 of 9 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 9th at Doncaster on 13 Sep 2026 (-22.79pp); finished 2nd at Southwell (AW) on 27 Aug 2026 (-1.19pp); finished 3rd at Nottingham on 21 Jul 2026 (-1.82pp); finished 8th at Doncaster on 14 Jun 2026 (-3.34pp); finished 7th at York on 23 May 2026 (-1.31pp); and finished 6th at Beverley on 23 Apr 2026 (-5.23pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 3.5% • -0.52 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Doncaster, 13 Sep 2026 — 9th • open 2/1 → final 12/1 (-25.09pp).

Opened 11/2Market avg 11/2
Price move-0.52pp(-3.5%)
6/1 ↓ 11/2 ↑ 6/1 ↓ 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 ↑ 13/2 ↓ 11/2 → 11/2
BEST FIXED ODDS
13/2 7.5 decimal Bet365
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Bet365 13/2Betfred 6/1Coral 6/1Hollywood Bets 6/1Midnite 6/1SportingIndex 6/1Spreadex 6/1Star Sports 6/1Unibet 6/1William Hill 6/17Bet 11/2Bet Victor 11/2BetMGM 11/2BetTom 11/2BetWright 11/2Betano 11/2Boyle Sports 11/2Dragon Bet 11/2Ladbrokes 11/2LiveScore Bet 11/2Quinn Bet 11/2Virgin Bet 11/2Betfair Sportsbook 11/2Paddy Power 11/2
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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today6f 17y · Class 5 · Standard · 13 runners11/2—No checkpoint——No checkpoint11/2Current; SP pendingPending-0.52pp
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amPendingWaiting for a valid 10am price and a later update.View Market ReadHide Market Read

6 of 9 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. The horse drops from Class 4 to Class 5, but the market has not responded with meaningful support. Today’s move: Jenever is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Southwell (AW) · 27 Aug 2026 · 2nd · 4/4 known conditions match
✓Track: Southwell (AW)✓Trip (within ½f): 6f 17y✓Ground: Standard✓Class: Class 5
WHAT TO WATCH NOW

No evidence-backed price trigger for this runner yet. Use Notify Me to monitor it; the current records do not justify a target price.

TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
19:30Southwell (AW)
Racing silksKats BobDraw 13
Trainer: Ruth Carr
Jockey: Billy Garritty
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
PRO RACECARD ↗
↔ SAME CLASS
SURFACE SWITCHStays on AW
COURSE RECORD0/1 top 2Southwell (AW) · 1 run onlyAverage course SP 12/1 · 44% shorter today
Last run7 days ago · 26 Sep 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
4 of 12 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 2nd at Redcar on 29 Jul 2026 (-1.91pp); finished 4th at Doncaster on 05 Jun 2026 (-1.12pp); finished 9th at Ripon on 16 Apr 2026 (-1.79pp); and finished 2nd at Catterick on 08 Apr 2026 (-2.43pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 4.2% • -0.57 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Redcar, 29 Jul 2026 — 2nd • open 3/1 → final 7/2 (-2.78pp).

Opened 6/1Market avg 13/2
Price move-0.57pp(-4.2%)
13/2 ↓ 6/1 ↑ 13/2 ↓ 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 ↑ 8/1 ↓ 6/1 → 6/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
8/1 9 decimal Bet365
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Bet365 8/1Betfred 13/2Coral 13/2Hollywood Bets 13/2Ladbrokes 13/2Midnite 13/2SportingIndex 13/2Spreadex 13/2Star Sports 13/2Unibet 13/2William Hill 13/27Bet 6/1Bet Victor 6/1BetMGM 6/1BetTom 6/1BetWright 6/1Betano 6/1Boyle Sports 6/1Dragon Bet 6/1LiveScore Bet 6/1Quinn Bet 6/1Virgin Bet 6/1Betfair Sportsbook 6/1Paddy Power 6/1
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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today6f 17y · Class 5 · Standard · 13 runners6/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint13/2Current; SP pendingPending-0.57pp
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amPendingWaiting for a valid 10am price and a later update.View Market ReadHide Market Read

Just 4 of 12 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Kats Bob is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Redcar · 29 Jul 2026 · 2nd · 1/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Southwell (AW) · previous Redcar✓Trip (within ½f): 6f 17y×Ground: Today Standard · previous Good To Firm×Class: Today Class 5 · previous Class 4
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 4/1 (5.19 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 17/81 (21%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 10.5%.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
19:30Southwell (AW)
Racing silksAnother InvestmentDraw 8
Trainer: Nigel Tinkler
Jockey: Alex Jary(3)
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
PRO RACECARD ↗
⬇ CLASS DROP
SURFACE SWITCHTurf → AW
Last run20 days ago · 13 Sep 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
4 of 8 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 12th at Doncaster on 13 Sep 2026 (-11.52pp); finished 5th at Ripon on 01 Sep 2026 (-0.92pp); finished 2nd at Carlisle on 04 Jul 2026 (-3.33pp); and finished 11th at Doncaster on 29 Mar 2026 (-1.31pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 4.2% • -0.47 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Doncaster, 13 Sep 2026 — 12th • open 9/2 → final 16/1 (-12.30pp).

Opened 15/2Market avg 8/1
Price move-0.47pp(-4.2%)
8/1 ↓ 15/2 ↑ 8/1 ↓ 15/2 → 15/2 ↑ 8/1 ↓ 15/2 ↑ 9/1 ↓ 15/2 ↑ 8/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/1 10 decimal Bet365
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Bet365 9/17Bet 8/1BetTom 8/1Betfred 8/1Coral 8/1Hollywood Bets 8/1Ladbrokes 8/1Midnite 8/1Quinn Bet 8/1SportingIndex 8/1Spreadex 8/1Star Sports 8/1Unibet 8/1Betfair Sportsbook 8/1Paddy Power 8/1Bet Victor 15/2BetMGM 15/2BetWright 15/2Betano 15/2Boyle Sports 15/2Dragon Bet 15/2LiveScore Bet 15/2Virgin Bet 15/2William Hill 15/2
24 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today6f 17y · Class 5 · Standard · 13 runners15/2—No checkpoint——No checkpoint8/1Current; SP pendingPending-0.47pp
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amPendingWaiting for a valid 10am price and a later update.View Market ReadHide Market Read

4 of 8 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. The horse drops from Class 4 to Class 5, but the market has not responded with meaningful support. Today’s move: Another Investment is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Doncaster · 01 Aug 2026 · 2nd · 2/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Southwell (AW) · previous Doncaster✓Trip (within ½f): 6f 17y×Ground: Today Standard · previous Good To Firm✓Class: Class 5
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 5/1 (5.96 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 11/45 (24.4%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 8.5%.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
19:30Southwell (AW)
Racing silksHundred CapsDraw 6
Trainer: Julie Camacho
Jockey: Dylan Hogan
🔴 Ignores MarketThis horse has won or placed despite drifting. Market weakness does NOT negatively impact performance. Can be a value angle when price weakens.
PRO RACECARD ↗
↔ SAME CLASS
SURFACE SWITCHStays on AW
COURSE RECORD1/2 top 2Southwell (AW)Average course SP 14/1 · 33% shorter today
Last run14 days ago · 19 Sep 2026
Distance changeUp 1.1f from last run
More evidence
Average winning SP25/11 recorded win in the loaded Market Form sample
63th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE63rd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
3 of 8 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 7th at Carlisle on 09 Jun 2026 (-1.40pp); finished 2nd at Kempton (AW) on 04 Mar 2026 (-4.62pp); and finished 1st at Southwell (AW) on 20 Jan 2026 (-0.91pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 0.9% • -0.09 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Southwell (AW), 20 Jan 2026 — 1st • open 9/1 → final 28/1 (-6.55pp).

Opened 17/2Market avg 17/2
Price move-0.09pp(-0.9%)
9/1 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 17/2 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 17/2 → 17/2 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 10/1 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 17/2
BEST FIXED ODDS
10/1 11 decimal Bet365
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Bet365 10/1Coral 9/1Hollywood Bets 9/1Ladbrokes 9/1Midnite 9/1William Hill 9/17Bet 17/2BetTom 17/2BetWright 17/2Betfred 17/2Dragon Bet 17/2LiveScore Bet 17/2Quinn Bet 17/2SportingIndex 17/2Spreadex 17/2Star Sports 17/2Unibet 17/2Virgin Bet 17/2Betfair Sportsbook 17/2Paddy Power 17/2Bet Victor 8/1BetMGM 8/1Betano 8/1Boyle Sports 8/1
24 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today6f 17y · Class 5 · Standard · 13 runners17/2—No checkpoint——No checkpoint17/2Current; SP pendingPending-0.09pp
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amPendingWaiting for a valid 10am price and a later update.View Market ReadHide Market Read

Just 3 of 8 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Hundred Caps is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Southwell (AW) · 20 Jan 2026 · 1st · 3/4 known conditions match
✓Track: Southwell (AW)✓Trip (within ½f): 6f 17y✓Ground: Standard×Class: Today Class 5 · previous Class 4
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 11/2 (6.44 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 12/45 (26.7%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 8.2%.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
19:30Southwell (AW)
Racing silksLazzarDraw 7
Trainer: Charlie Wallis
Jockey: Christian Howarth(3)
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
PRO RACECARD ↗
↔ SAME CLASS
SURFACE SWITCHTurf → AW
Last run22 days ago · 11 Sep 2026
Distance changeUp 1f from last run
More evidence
Average winning SP11/43 recorded wins in the loaded Market Form sample
47th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE47th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
8 of 15 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 5th at Sandown on 11 Sep 2026 (-1.69pp); finished 4th at Lingfield (AW) on 27 Aug 2026 (-5.56pp); finished 6th at Yarmouth on 14 Aug 2026 (-1.49pp); finished 4th at Lingfield on 25 Jul 2026 (-8.97pp); finished 4th at Salisbury on 09 Jun 2026 (-0.41pp); finished 6th at Chepstow on 21 May 2026 (-2.78pp); finished 3rd at Wolverhampton (AW) on 10 Apr 2026 (-2.83pp); and finished 8th at Chelmsford City (AW) on 26 Mar 2026 (-5.71pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 7.9% • -0.39 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Lingfield (AW), 27 Aug 2026 — 4th • open 5/1 → final 14/1 (-10.00pp).

Opened 18/1Market avg 20/1
Price move-0.39pp(-7.9%)
20/1 ↓ 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 ↑ 20/1 → 20/1 ↓ 18/1 ↑ 22/1 ↓ 18/1 ↑ 20/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
22/1 23 decimal Bet365
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Bet365 22/17Bet 20/1BetTom 20/1BetWright 20/1Coral 20/1Dragon Bet 20/1Hollywood Bets 20/1Ladbrokes 20/1Midnite 20/1Quinn Bet 20/1SportingIndex 20/1Spreadex 20/1Star Sports 20/1Unibet 20/1William Hill 20/1Betfair Sportsbook 20/1Paddy Power 20/1Bet Victor 18/1BetMGM 18/1Betano 18/1Betfred 18/1Boyle Sports 18/1LiveScore Bet 18/1Virgin Bet 18/1
24 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today6f 17y · Class 5 · Standard · 13 runners18/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint20/1Current; SP pendingPending-0.39pp
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amPendingWaiting for a valid 10am price and a later update.View Market ReadHide Market Read

8 of 15 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Lazzar is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Chelmsford (AW) · 15 Jan 2026 · 1st · 3/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Southwell (AW) · previous Chelmsford (AW)✓Trip (within ½f): 6f 17y✓Ground: Standard✓Class: Class 5
WHAT TO WATCH NOW

No evidence-backed price trigger for this runner yet. Use Notify Me to monitor it; the current records do not justify a target price.

TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
19:30Southwell (AW)
Racing silksSlay QueenDraw 12
Trainer: Richard Hannon
Jockey: Joe Leavy
PRO RACECARD ↗
⬇ CLASS DROP
SURFACE SWITCHStays on AW
Last run38 days ago · 26 Aug 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 1 of 3 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 11th at Windsor on 13 Jul 2026 (-4.71pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 16.7% • -0.75 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Windsor, 13 Jul 2026 — 11th • open 14/1 → final 25/1 (-2.82pp).

Opened 18/1Market avg 22/1
Price move-0.75pp(-16.7%)
22/1 ↓ 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 ↑ 22/1 → 22/1 ↓ 18/1 ↑ 22/1 ↓ 20/1 → 20/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
22/1 23 decimal Bet365
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Bet365 22/1BetTom 22/1BetWright 22/1Coral 22/1Dragon Bet 22/1Hollywood Bets 22/1Ladbrokes 22/1Midnite 22/1Quinn Bet 22/1SportingIndex 22/1Spreadex 22/1Star Sports 22/1Unibet 22/1William Hill 22/1Paddy Power 22/17Bet 20/1Bet Victor 20/1Betano 20/1Betfred 20/1Boyle Sports 20/1LiveScore Bet 20/1Virgin Bet 20/1Betfair Sportsbook 20/1BetMGM 18/1
24 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today6f 17y · Class 5 · Standard · 13 runners18/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint22/1Current; SP pendingPending-0.75pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amPendingWaiting for a valid 10am price and a later update.View Market ReadHide Market Read

Just 1 of 3 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. The horse drops from Class 4 to Class 5, but the market has not responded with meaningful support. Today’s move: Slay Queen is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 17/2 (9.74 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 31/139 (22.3%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 12.1%.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
19:30Southwell (AW)
Racing silksRoaring RalphDraw 3
Trainer: Michael Dods
Jockey: Sean Kirrane
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
PRO RACECARD ↗
↔ SAME CLASS
SURFACE SWITCHTurf → AW
COURSE RECORD6/7 top 2Southwell (AW)Average course SP 6/1 · 230% bigger today
Last run16 days ago · 17 Sep 2026
Distance changeDown 1.9f from last run
More evidence
Average winning SP7/25 recorded wins in the loaded Market Form sample
46th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE46th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
7 of 13 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 5th at Southwell (AW) on 03 Sep 2026 (-0.48pp); finished 7th at Thirsk on 14 Aug 2026 (-0.62pp); finished 1st at Wetherby on 15 Jun 2026 (-8.81pp); finished 1st at Ayr on 20 May 2026 (-11.28pp); finished 2nd at Southwell (AW) on 07 May 2026 (-11.90pp); finished 2nd at Southwell (AW) on 20 Jan 2026 (-1.79pp); and finished 2nd at Southwell (AW) on 03 Jan 2026 (-0.76pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 7.3% • -0.33 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Southwell (AW), 07 May 2026 — 2nd • open 5/2 → final 9/2 (-10.39pp).

Opened 20/1Market avg 22/1
Price move-0.33pp(-7.3%)
22/1 → 22/1 ↓ 20/1 → 20/1 ↑ 22/1 → 22/1 ↓ 20/1 ↑ 25/1 ↓ 20/1 → 20/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
25/1 26 decimal Bet365
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Bet365 25/1BetTom 22/1BetWright 22/1Boyle Sports 22/1Coral 22/1Dragon Bet 22/1Hollywood Bets 22/1Ladbrokes 22/1Midnite 22/1Quinn Bet 22/1SportingIndex 22/1Spreadex 22/1Star Sports 22/1Unibet 22/1William Hill 22/1Betfair Sportsbook 22/1Paddy Power 22/17Bet 20/1Bet Victor 20/1BetMGM 20/1Betano 20/1Betfred 20/1LiveScore Bet 20/1Virgin Bet 20/1
24 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today6f 17y · Class 5 · Standard · 13 runners20/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint22/1Current; SP pendingPending-0.33pp
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amPendingWaiting for a valid 10am price and a later update.View Market ReadHide Market Read

7 of 13 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Roaring Ralph is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Southwell (AW) · 07 May 2026 · 2nd · 3/4 known conditions match
✓Track: Southwell (AW)×Trip (within ½f): Today 6f 17y · previous 1m 13y✓Ground: Standard✓Class: Class 5
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 9/1 (10.24 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 11/60 (18.3%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 10.2%.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
19:30Southwell (AW)
Racing silksBeauzonDraw 5
Trainer: Ian Williams
Jockey: Ryan Kavanagh(3)
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
PRO RACECARD ↗
↔ SAME CLASS
SURFACE SWITCHStays on AW
COURSE RECORD0/2 top 2Southwell (AW)Average course SP 100/1 · 71% shorter today
Last run7 days ago · 26 Sep 2026
Distance changeDown 1f from last run
More evidence
Average winning SP5/27 recorded wins in the loaded Market Form sample
27th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE27th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
11 of 15 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 12th at Southwell (AW) on 26 Sep 2026 (-0.48pp); finished 10th at Wolverhampton (AW) on 18 Sep 2026 (-30.33pp); finished 12th at Southwell (AW) on 03 Sep 2026 (-0.64pp); finished 6th at Newmarket (July) on 22 Aug 2026 (-0.73pp); finished 11th at Chester on 25 Jul 2026 (-1.89pp); finished 11th at Chester on 11 Jul 2026 (-4.74pp); finished 6th at Wolverhampton (AW) on 16 Mar 2026 (-15.87pp); finished 1st at Wolverhampton (AW) on 13 Mar 2026 (-8.57pp); finished 1st at Wolverhampton (AW) on 16 Feb 2026 (-7.03pp); finished 1st at Wolverhampton (AW) on 23 Jan 2026 (-2.16pp); and finished 1st at Lingfield (AW) on 12 Jan 2026 (-2.78pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 16.3% • -0.41 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Wolverhampton (AW), 18 Sep 2026 — 10th • open 2/1 → final 66/1 (-32.06pp).

Opened 33/1Market avg 40/1
Price move-0.41pp(-16.3%)
40/1 → 40/1 ↓ 33/1 → 33/1 ↑ 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 ↓ 33/1 ↑ 40/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
40/1 41 decimal 7Bet
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
7Bet 40/1Bet365 40/1BetMGM 40/1BetTom 40/1BetWright 40/1Boyle Sports 40/1Coral 40/1Dragon Bet 40/1Hollywood Bets 40/1Ladbrokes 40/1Midnite 40/1Quinn Bet 40/1SportingIndex 40/1Spreadex 40/1Star Sports 40/1Unibet 40/1William Hill 40/1Betfair Sportsbook 40/1Paddy Power 40/1Bet Victor 33/1Betano 33/1Betfred 33/1LiveScore Bet 33/1Virgin Bet 33/1
24 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today6f 17y · Class 5 · Standard · 13 runners33/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint40/1Current; SP pendingPending-0.41pp
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amPendingWaiting for a valid 10am price and a later update.View Market ReadHide Market Read

11 of 15 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Beauzon is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Wolverhampton (AW) · 03 Mar 2026 · 1st · 3/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Southwell (AW) · previous Wolverhampton (AW)✓Trip (within ½f): 6f 17y✓Ground: Standard✓Class: Class 5
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 12/1 (12.59 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 27/106 (25.5%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 10.6%.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Race market overview as at 07:44
  • Supported0 of 13 runners at +4pp or more
  • Drifting0 of 13 runners at −4pp or worse
  • Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
  • Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.
20:00Southwell (AW) • 0m4f215y • Class 6 • Going: Standard
8 runners
Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

20:00Southwell (AW)
Racing silksToptimeDraw 1
Trainer: Roy Bowring
Jockey: Darragh Keenan
🔴 Ignores MarketThis horse has won or placed despite drifting. Market weakness does NOT negatively impact performance. Can be a value angle when price weakens.
PRO RACECARD ↗
↔ SAME CLASS
SURFACE SWITCHTurf → AW
COURSE RECORD1/1 top 2Southwell (AW) · 1 run onlyAverage course SP 12/1 · 65% shorter today
Last run25 days ago · 8 Sep 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
More evidence
Average winning SP5/11 recorded win in the loaded Market Form sample
60th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE60th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
2 of 5 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 2nd at Southwell (AW) on 16 Aug 2026 (-3.41pp); and finished 3rd at Beverley on 20 Jul 2026 (-6.29pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 0.2% • -0.03 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Beverley, 20 Jul 2026 — 3rd • open 11/2 → final 12/1 (-7.69pp).

Opened 7/2Market avg 7/2
Price move-0.03pp(-0.2%)
7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 ↓ 10/3 ↑ 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 ↑ 4/1 ↓ 10/3 ↑ 7/2
BEST FIXED ODDS
4/1 5 decimal Bet365
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Bet365 4/17Bet 7/2BetMGM 7/2BetTom 7/2BetWright 7/2Betfred 7/2Boyle Sports 7/2Coral 7/2Dragon Bet 7/2Hollywood Bets 7/2Ladbrokes 7/2LiveScore Bet 7/2Midnite 7/2Quinn Bet 7/2SportingIndex 7/2Spreadex 7/2Star Sports 7/2Unibet 7/2Virgin Bet 7/2William Hill 7/2Paddy Power 7/2Betfair Sportsbook 7/2Bet Victor 10/3Betano 10/3
24 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today4f 215y · Class 6 · Standard · 10 runners7/2—No checkpoint——No checkpoint7/2Current; SP pendingPending-0.03pp
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amPendingWaiting for a valid 10am price and a later update.View Market ReadHide Market Read

Just 2 of 5 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Toptime is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Southwell (AW) · 16 Aug 2026 · 2nd · 3/4 known conditions match
✓Track: Southwell (AW)×Trip (within ½f): Today 4f 215y · previous 6f 16y✓Ground: Standard✓Class: Class 6
WHAT TO WATCH NOW

No evidence-backed price trigger for this runner yet. Use Notify Me to monitor it; the current records do not justify a target price.

TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
20:00Southwell (AW)
Racing silksSouth ParadeDraw 10
Trainer: Richard & Peter Fahey
Jockey: Ethan Tindall(5)
PRO RACECARD ↗
↔ SAME CLASS
SURFACE SWITCHTurf → AW
Last run39 days ago · 25 Aug 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
More evidence
Average winning SP9/21 recorded win in the loaded Market Form sample
80th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE80th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
2 of 10 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 3rd at Musselburgh on 31 Jul 2026 (-3.09pp); and finished 9th at Pontefract on 21 Jun 2026 (-1.81pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 7% • -1.45 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Musselburgh, 26 Apr 2026 — 12th • open 18/1 → final 40/1 (-2.82pp).

Opened 7/2Market avg 4/1
Price move-1.45pp(-7.0%)
4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 ↓ 7/2 → 7/2 ↑ 4/1 ↓ 7/2 ↑ 4/1 ↓ 7/2 → 7/2
BEST FIXED ODDS
4/1 5 decimal Bet365
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Bet365 4/1BetTom 4/1Betfred 4/1Boyle Sports 4/1Coral 4/1Hollywood Bets 4/1Ladbrokes 4/1Midnite 4/1Quinn Bet 4/1SportingIndex 4/1Spreadex 4/1Star Sports 4/1William Hill 4/1Paddy Power 4/1Betfair Sportsbook 4/17Bet 7/2Bet Victor 7/2BetMGM 7/2BetWright 7/2Betano 7/2Dragon Bet 7/2LiveScore Bet 7/2Unibet 7/2Virgin Bet 7/2
24 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today4f 215y · Class 6 · Standard · 10 runners7/2—No checkpoint——No checkpoint4/1Current; SP pendingPending-1.45pp
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amPendingWaiting for a valid 10am price and a later update.View Market ReadHide Market Read

Just 2 of 10 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: South Parade is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Ayr · 08 Aug 2026 · 1st · 2/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Southwell (AW) · previous Ayr✓Trip (within ½f): 4f 215y×Ground: Today Standard · previous Good✓Class: Class 6
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 11/4 (3.67 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 24/82 (29.3%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 9.8%.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
20:00Southwell (AW)
Racing silksMarra DonnaDraw 2
Trainer: Martin Dunne
Jockey: Sean Dylan Bowen
PRO RACECARD ↗
↔ SAME CLASS
SURFACE SWITCHTurf → AW
COURSE RECORD0/2 top 2Southwell (AW)Average course SP 13/8 · 97% bigger today
Last run103 days ago · 22 Jun 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
2 of 8 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 9th at Salisbury on 09 Jun 2026 (-1.57pp); and finished 5th at Windsor on 18 May 2026 (-9.62pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 0.8% • -0.17 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Windsor, 18 May 2026 — 5th • open 3/1 → final 11/2 (-9.62pp).

Opened 4/1Market avg 4/1
Price move-0.17pp(-0.8%)
4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/2 5.5 decimal Paddy Power
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Paddy Power 9/2Betfair Sportsbook 9/27Bet 4/1Bet Victor 4/1Bet365 4/1BetMGM 4/1BetTom 4/1BetWright 4/1Betano 4/1Betfred 4/1Boyle Sports 4/1Coral 4/1Dragon Bet 4/1Hollywood Bets 4/1Ladbrokes 4/1LiveScore Bet 4/1Midnite 4/1Quinn Bet 4/1SportingIndex 4/1Spreadex 4/1Star Sports 4/1Unibet 4/1Virgin Bet 4/1William Hill 4/1
24 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today4f 215y · Class 6 · Standard · 10 runners4/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint4/1Current; SP pendingPending-0.17pp
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amPendingWaiting for a valid 10am price and a later update.View Market ReadHide Market Read

Just 2 of 8 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Marra Donna is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Lingfield (AW) · 27 Mar 2026 · 2nd · 2/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Southwell (AW) · previous Lingfield (AW)✓Trip (within ½f): 4f 215y✓Ground: Standard×Class: Today Class 6 · previous Class 5
WHAT TO WATCH NOW

No evidence-backed price trigger for this runner yet. Use Notify Me to monitor it; the current records do not justify a target price.

TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
20:00Southwell (AW)
Racing silksHi LordDraw 5
Trainer: Stephen Hanlon
Jockey: Billy Garritty
PRO RACECARD ↗
⬇ CLASS DROP
SURFACE SWITCHTurf → AW
COURSE RECORD0/1 top 2Southwell (AW) · 1 run onlyAverage course SP 20/1 · 68% shorter today
Last run16 days ago · 17 Sep 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
More evidence
Average winning SP13/21 recorded win in the loaded Market Form sample
89th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE89th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
Only 1 of 9 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 3rd at Hamilton on 04 Jun 2026 (-2.22pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 4.2% • -0.62 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Catterick, 08 Sep 2026 — 5th • open 7/1 → final 9/1 (-2.50pp).

Opened 11/2Market avg 6/1
Price move-0.62pp(-4.2%)
6/1 ↓ 11/2 ↑ 6/1 ↓ 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 ↑ 7/1 ↓ 11/2 → 11/2
BEST FIXED ODDS
7/1 8 decimal Bet365
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Bet365 7/1Betfred 6/1Coral 6/1Hollywood Bets 6/1Ladbrokes 6/1Midnite 6/1SportingIndex 6/1Spreadex 6/1Star Sports 6/1Unibet 6/1William Hill 6/17Bet 11/2Bet Victor 11/2BetMGM 11/2BetTom 11/2BetWright 11/2Betano 11/2Boyle Sports 11/2Dragon Bet 11/2LiveScore Bet 11/2Quinn Bet 11/2Virgin Bet 11/2Paddy Power 11/2Betfair Sportsbook 11/2
24 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today4f 215y · Class 6 · Standard · 10 runners11/2—No checkpoint——No checkpoint6/1Current; SP pendingPending-0.62pp
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amPendingWaiting for a valid 10am price and a later update.View Market ReadHide Market Read

Just 1 of 9 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. The horse drops from Class 5 to Class 6, but the market has not responded with meaningful support. Today’s move: Hi Lord is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Hamilton · 03 May 2026 · 1st · 2/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Southwell (AW) · previous Hamilton✓Trip (within ½f): 4f 215y×Ground: Today Standard · previous Good✓Class: Class 6
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Trainer support level

Support of +10.00pp · around 3/1 (3.94 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 1/6 (16.7%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 8.4%. Small sample.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
20:00Southwell (AW)
Racing silksPopular DreamDraw 6
Trainer: Derek Shaw
Jockey: Alex Jary(3)
PRO RACECARD ↗
↔ SAME CLASS
SURFACE SWITCHStays on AW
COURSE RECORD1/8 top 2Southwell (AW)Average course SP 9/1 · 21% shorter today
Last run7 days ago · 26 Sep 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
More evidence
Average winning SP5/21 recorded win in the loaded Market Form sample
56th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE56th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
4 of 9 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 4th at Southwell (AW) on 26 Sep 2026 (-1.03pp); finished 9th at Southwell (AW) on 21 May 2026 (-3.21pp); finished 6th at Wolverhampton (AW) on 27 Feb 2026 (-4.12pp); and finished 5th at Southwell (AW) on 17 Jan 2026 (-5.71pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 4.7% • -0.60 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Wolverhampton (AW), 27 Feb 2026 — 6th • open 9/1 → final 22/1 (-5.65pp).

Opened 13/2Market avg 7/1
Price move-0.60pp(-4.7%)
7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 ↓ 13/2 → 13/2 ↑ 7/1 ↓ 13/2 ↑ 15/2 ↓ 13/2 → 13/2
BEST FIXED ODDS
15/2 8.5 decimal Bet365
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Bet365 15/2BetTom 7/1Betfred 7/1Boyle Sports 7/1Coral 7/1Hollywood Bets 7/1Ladbrokes 7/1Midnite 7/1Quinn Bet 7/1SportingIndex 7/1Spreadex 7/1Star Sports 7/1Unibet 7/1William Hill 7/1Paddy Power 7/1Betfair Sportsbook 7/17Bet 13/2Bet Victor 13/2BetMGM 13/2BetWright 13/2Betano 13/2Dragon Bet 13/2LiveScore Bet 13/2Virgin Bet 13/2
24 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today4f 215y · Class 6 · Standard · 10 runners13/2—No checkpoint——No checkpoint7/1Current; SP pendingPending-0.60pp
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amPendingWaiting for a valid 10am price and a later update.View Market ReadHide Market Read

Just 4 of 9 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Popular Dream is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Southwell (AW) · 06 Jan 2026 · 1st · 3/4 known conditions match
✓Track: Southwell (AW)✓Trip (within ½f): 4f 215y✓Ground: Standard×Class: Today Class 6 · previous Class 5
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 9/2 (5.45 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 2/9 (22.2%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 2.5%. Small sample.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
20:00Southwell (AW)
Racing silksMidnight LirDraw 9
Trainer: Michael Dods
Jockey: Sean Kirrane
PRO RACECARD ↗
↔ SAME CLASS
SURFACE SWITCHTurf → AW
Last run18 days ago · 15 Sep 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
4 of 8 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 4th at Redcar on 15 Sep 2026 (-0.78pp); finished 8th at Ayr on 08 Aug 2026 (-1.40pp); finished 4th at Ayr on 05 Jul 2026 (-0.83pp); and finished 4th at Thirsk on 16 Jun 2026 (-0.74pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 2.8% • -0.30 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Ayr, 08 Aug 2026 — 8th • open 10/1 → final 18/1 (-3.83pp).

Opened 8/1Market avg 8/1
Price move-0.30pp(-2.8%)
17/2 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 17/2 ↓ 15/2 ↑ 8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 ↑ 10/1 ↓ 15/2 ↑ 8/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
10/1 11 decimal Bet365
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Bet365 10/1Betfred 17/2Coral 17/2Hollywood Bets 17/2Ladbrokes 17/2Midnite 17/2SportingIndex 17/2Spreadex 17/2Star Sports 17/2Unibet 17/2William Hill 17/27Bet 8/1BetMGM 8/1BetTom 8/1BetWright 8/1Boyle Sports 8/1Dragon Bet 8/1LiveScore Bet 8/1Quinn Bet 8/1Virgin Bet 8/1Paddy Power 8/1Betfair Sportsbook 8/1Bet Victor 15/2Betano 15/2
24 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today4f 215y · Class 6 · Standard · 10 runners8/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint8/1Current; SP pendingPending-0.30pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amPendingWaiting for a valid 10am price and a later update.View Market ReadHide Market Read

4 of 8 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Midnight Lir is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 5/1 (6.21 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 11/60 (18.3%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 10.2%.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
20:00Southwell (AW)
Racing silksGuernsey AngelDraw 3
Trainer: David Evans
Jockey: David Nolan
PRO RACECARD ↗
⬇ CLASS DROP
SURFACE SWITCHStays on AW
COURSE RECORD0/2 top 2Southwell (AW)Average course SP 12/1 · Today close to the course average
Last run9 days ago · 24 Sep 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
44th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE44th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
5 of 9 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 7th at Salisbury on 11 Sep 2026 (-2.11pp); finished 2nd at Leicester on 04 Jul 2026 (-18.97pp); finished 6th at Haydock on 21 May 2026 (-3.34pp); finished 6th at Bath on 27 Apr 2026 (-2.43pp); and finished 4th at Lingfield (AW) on 12 Feb 2026 (-44.12pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 6.3% • -0.49 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Lingfield (AW), 12 Feb 2026 — 4th • open EVS → final 9/1 (-40.00pp).

Opened 11/1Market avg 12/1
Price move-0.49pp(-6.2%)
12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 ↓ 11/1 → 11/1 ↑ 12/1 → 12/1 ↑ 14/1 ↓ 11/1 → 11/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
14/1 15 decimal Bet365
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Bet365 14/1BetMGM 12/1BetTom 12/1Betfred 12/1Boyle Sports 12/1Coral 12/1Hollywood Bets 12/1Ladbrokes 12/1Midnite 12/1Quinn Bet 12/1SportingIndex 12/1Spreadex 12/1Star Sports 12/1Unibet 12/1William Hill 12/1Paddy Power 12/17Bet 11/1Bet Victor 11/1BetWright 11/1Betano 11/1Dragon Bet 11/1LiveScore Bet 11/1Virgin Bet 11/1Betfair Sportsbook 11/1
24 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today4f 215y · Class 6 · Standard · 10 runners11/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint12/1Current; SP pendingPending-0.49pp
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amPendingWaiting for a valid 10am price and a later update.View Market ReadHide Market Read

5 of 9 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. The horse drops from Class 5 to Class 6, but the market has not responded with meaningful support. Today’s move: Guernsey Angel is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Leicester · 04 Jul 2026 · 2nd · 0/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Southwell (AW) · previous Leicester×Trip (within ½f): Today 4f 215y · previous 6f×Ground: Today Standard · previous Good To Firm×Class: Today Class 6 · previous Class 5
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 13/2 (7.50 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 7/44 (15.9%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 10.5%.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
20:00Southwell (AW)
Racing silksFletcher's FlightDraw 8
Trainer: Charlie Wallis
Jockey: Joe Leavy
PRO RACECARD ↗
↔ SAME CLASS
SURFACE SWITCHTurf → AW
Last run19 days ago · 14 Sep 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
More evidence
Average winning SP20/11 recorded win in the loaded Market Form sample
17th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE17th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
5 of 6 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 11th at Windsor on 14 Sep 2026 (-43.50pp); finished 4th at Lingfield (AW) on 01 Sep 2026 (-6.29pp); finished 7th at Chepstow on 15 Jun 2026 (-11.11pp); finished 1st at Chepstow on 06 Jun 2026 (-1.03pp); and had no recorded finishing position at Kempton (AW) on 06 May 2026 (-3.44pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 10.3% • -0.36 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Windsor, 14 Sep 2026 — 11th • open 11/10 → final 33/1 (-43.79pp).

Opened 25/1Market avg 28/1
Price move-0.36pp(-10.3%)
28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 ↓ 25/1 ↑ 28/1 → 28/1 ↓ 25/1 ↑ 33/1 ↓ 25/1 ↑ 28/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
33/1 34 decimal Bet365
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Bet365 33/17Bet 28/1BetTom 28/1BetWright 28/1Betfred 28/1Boyle Sports 28/1Coral 28/1Dragon Bet 28/1Hollywood Bets 28/1Ladbrokes 28/1Midnite 28/1Quinn Bet 28/1SportingIndex 28/1Spreadex 28/1Star Sports 28/1Unibet 28/1William Hill 28/1Paddy Power 28/1Betfair Sportsbook 28/1Bet Victor 25/1BetMGM 25/1Betano 25/1LiveScore Bet 25/1Virgin Bet 25/1
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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today4f 215y · Class 6 · Standard · 10 runners25/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint28/1Current; SP pendingPending-0.36pp
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amPendingWaiting for a valid 10am price and a later update.View Market ReadHide Market Read

5 of 6 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Fletcher's Flight is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Chepstow · 06 Jun 2026 · 1st · 2/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Southwell (AW) · previous Chepstow✓Trip (within ½f): 4f 215y×Ground: Today Standard · previous Soft✓Class: Class 6
WHAT TO WATCH NOW

No evidence-backed price trigger for this runner yet. Use Notify Me to monitor it; the current records do not justify a target price.

TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Race market overview as at 07:44
  • Supported0 of 10 runners at +4pp or more
  • Drifting0 of 10 runners at −4pp or worse
  • Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
  • Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.
20:30Southwell (AW) • 1m6f21y • Class 5 • Going: Standard
3 runners
Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

20:30Southwell (AW)
Racing silksBlue TulipDraw 3
Trainer: William Muir & Chris Grassick
Jockey: Jack Doughty
🟢 Needs Support (42%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.
PRO RACECARD ↗
⬆ CLASS RISE
SURFACE SWITCHStays on AW
COURSE RECORD1/2 top 2Southwell (AW)Average course SP 50/1 · 95% shorter today
Last run33 days ago · 31 Aug 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
More evidence
Average winning SP16/11 recorded win in the loaded Market Form sample
86th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE86th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
Only 1 of 7 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 3rd at Ripon on 15 Aug 2026 (-6.82pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 4.2% • -1.63 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Ripon, 15 Aug 2026 — 3rd • open 3/1 → final 7/2 (-2.78pp).

Opened 6/4Market avg 13/8
Price move-1.63pp(-4.2%)
13/8 → 13/8 → 13/8 → 13/8 ↓ 13/8 ↑ 13/8 ↓ 13/8 ↑ 7/4 ↓ 13/8 → 13/8
BEST FIXED ODDS
7/4 2.75 decimal Bet365
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Bet365 7/47Bet 13/8Bet Victor 13/8BetTom 13/8Betano 13/8Betfred 13/8Boyle Sports 13/8Coral 13/8Hollywood Bets 13/8Ladbrokes 13/8Midnite 13/8Star Sports 13/8William Hill 13/8Betfair Sportsbook 13/8Paddy Power 13/8BetMGM 13/8BetWright 13/8Dragon Bet 13/8Quinn Bet 13/8LiveScore Bet 6/4SportingIndex 6/4Spreadex 6/4Unibet 6/4Virgin Bet 6/4
24 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 6f 21y · Class 5 · Standard · 5 runners6/4—No checkpoint——No checkpoint13/8Current; SP pendingPending-1.63pp
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amPendingWaiting for a valid 10am price and a later update.View Market ReadHide Market Read

Just 1 of 7 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. It is also stepping up from Class 6 to Class 5, which adds another test today. Today’s move: Blue Tulip is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Southwell (AW) · 31 Aug 2026 · 2nd · 3/4 known conditions match
✓Track: Southwell (AW)✓Trip (within ½f): 1m 6f 21y✓Ground: Standard×Class: Today Class 5 · previous Class 6
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Horse support level

Support of +0.92pp · around 6/4 (2.44 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

2/2 finished 1st or 2nd with this much support or more (100%).

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 6/5 (2.22 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 7/28 (25%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 8.1%.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
20:30Southwell (AW)
Racing silksAstridDraw 4
Trainer: James Horton
Jockey: Darragh Keenan
PRO RACECARD ↗
⬇ CLASS DROP
SURFACE SWITCHStays on AW
Last run21 days ago · 12 Sep 2026
Distance changeUp 2.1f from last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
33th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE33rd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
2 of 3 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 2nd at Lingfield (AW) on 12 Sep 2026 (-9.88pp); and finished 3rd at Wolverhampton (AW) on 18 Aug 2026 (-4.15pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 0.5% • -0.10 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Lingfield (AW), 12 Sep 2026 — 2nd • open 4/1 → final 14/1 (-13.74pp).

Opened 7/2Market avg 7/2
Price move-0.10pp(-0.5%)
7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2
BEST FIXED ODDS
4/1 5 decimal Paddy Power
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Paddy Power 4/17Bet 7/2Bet Victor 7/2Bet365 7/2BetMGM 7/2BetTom 7/2BetWright 7/2Betano 7/2Betfred 7/2Boyle Sports 7/2Coral 7/2Dragon Bet 7/2Hollywood Bets 7/2Ladbrokes 7/2LiveScore Bet 7/2Midnite 7/2Quinn Bet 7/2SportingIndex 7/2Spreadex 7/2Star Sports 7/2Unibet 7/2Virgin Bet 7/2William Hill 7/2Betfair Sportsbook 7/2
24 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 6f 21y · Class 5 · Standard · 5 runners7/2—No checkpoint——No checkpoint7/2Current; SP pendingPending-0.10pp
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amPendingWaiting for a valid 10am price and a later update.View Market ReadHide Market Read

2 of 3 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. The horse drops from Class 3 to Class 5, but the market has not responded with meaningful support. Today’s move: Astrid is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Lingfield (AW) · 12 Sep 2026 · 2nd · 1/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Southwell (AW) · previous Lingfield (AW)×Trip (within ½f): Today 1m 6f 21y · previous 1m 4f 1y✓Ground: Standard×Class: Today Class 5 · previous Class 3
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 11/4 (3.67 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 7/25 (28%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 10.7%.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
20:30Southwell (AW)
Racing silksThankyou BaronessDraw 5
Trainer: Mrs Ilka Gansera-Leveque
Jockey: Benoit de la Sayette
PRO RACECARD ↗
↔ SAME CLASS
SURFACE SWITCHTurf → AW
Last run23 days ago · 10 Sep 2026
Distance changeUp 4f from last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILESTRONGEST RECORDED DRIFT FOR THIS HORSE (100th percentile)
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Largest drift recorded across 3 previous runs.
Raw Open → Now price change: 19.9% • -2.38 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Wolverhampton (AW), 27 Feb 2026 — 6th • open 20/1 → final 33/1 (-1.82pp).

Opened 6/1Market avg 15/2
Price move-2.38pp(-19.9%)
15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 ↓ 7/1 ↑ 15/2 → 15/2 ↓ 13/2 ↑ 8/1 ↓ 7/1 ↑ 15/2
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/1 10 decimal LiveScore Bet
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
LiveScore Bet 9/1Virgin Bet 9/1Bet365 8/1Hollywood Bets 8/1William Hill 8/17Bet 15/2BetTom 15/2BetWright 15/2Betfred 15/2Boyle Sports 15/2Coral 15/2Dragon Bet 15/2Ladbrokes 15/2Quinn Bet 15/2SportingIndex 15/2Spreadex 15/2Star Sports 15/2Paddy Power 15/2Bet Victor 7/1Betano 7/1Betfair Sportsbook 7/1BetMGM 13/2Midnite 13/2Unibet 4/1
24 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 6f 21y · Class 5 · Standard · 5 runners6/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint15/2Current; SP pendingPending-2.38pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
THIS IS THE HORSE’S STRONGEST RECORDED SUPPORTMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amPendingWaiting for a valid 10am price and a later update.View Market ReadHide Market Read

Across 3 previous runs, this is the horse’s strongest recorded support. Today’s move: Thankyou Baroness is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT TO WATCH NOW

No evidence-backed price trigger for this runner yet. Use Notify Me to monitor it; the current records do not justify a target price.

TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Race market overview as at 07:44
  • Supported0 of 5 runners at +4pp or more
  • Drifting0 of 5 runners at −4pp or worse
  • Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
  • Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.
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