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See what today’s price moves mean.

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Next-Off Market Intelligence

The strongest horse and trainer evidence from the races coming up next.

Next-race market pulse Tracking the next race
Shared live snapshot 07:39:52
Market overview
Runners Today
78
Shown After Filters
18
Active Signals (15%+)
10
01 · Strongest support
Racing silks
Nostrum
68
17:55 Southwell (AW)
+1.45pp
True move after NR adjustment · 5/1 → 9/2
02 · Repeat evidence
No repeat signal active
No upcoming runner currently matches a previous successful market pattern.
03 · Weak favourite
Racing silks
Captain Cairney
46
16:45 Southwell (AW)
-3.87pp
True move after NR adjustment · 6/4 → 7/4
Runner
Bookmaker move
Evidence
What to do next
16:45Southwell (AW) • 2m0f103y • Class 5 • Going: Standard
3 runners
Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

16:45Southwell (AW)
Trainer: David Simcock
Jockey: Sean Dylan Bowen
PRO RACECARD ↗
⬆ CLASS RISE
SURFACE SWITCHStays on AW
COURSE RECORD0/1 top 2Southwell (AW) · 1 run onlyAverage course SP 9/2 · 37% shorter today
Last run18 days ago · 15 Sep 2026
Distance changeUp 2.5f from last run
More evidence
Average winning SP3/11 recorded win in the loaded Market Form sample
71th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE71st HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
2 of 7 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 8th at Kempton (AW) on 30 Apr 2026 (+6.67pp); and finished 3rd at Newcastle (AW) on 04 Feb 2026 (+1.67pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 1.2% • +0.35 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Kempton (AW), 30 Apr 2026 — 8th • open 4/1 → final 10/3 (+3.09pp).

Opened 5/2Market avg 5/2
Price move+0.35pp(+1.2%)
5/2 ↓ 9/4 ↑ 5/2 ↓ 9/4 ↑ 5/2 → 5/2 → 5/2 → 5/2 ↓ 9/4 ↑ 5/2
BEST FIXED ODDS
11/4 3.75 decimal Betfair Sportsbook
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Betfair Sportsbook 11/4Paddy Power 11/47Bet 5/2Bet365 5/2BetMGM 5/2BetTom 5/2BetWright 5/2Betfred 5/2Coral 5/2Dragon Bet 5/2Hollywood Bets 5/2Ladbrokes 5/2Midnite 5/2Quinn Bet 5/2SportingIndex 5/2Spreadex 5/2Star Sports 5/2William Hill 5/2Bet Victor 9/4Betano 9/4Boyle Sports 9/4LiveScore Bet 9/4Unibet 9/4Virgin Bet 9/4
24 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today2m 103y · Class 5 · Standard · 6 runners5/2—No checkpoint——No checkpoint5/2Current; SP pendingPending+0.35pp
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amPendingWaiting for a valid 10am price and a later update.View Market ReadHide Market Read

Just 2 of 7 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. It is also stepping up from Class 6 to Class 5, which adds another test today. Today’s move: Saxophonic is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Wolverhampton (AW) · 15 Sep 2026 · 1st · 1/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Southwell (AW) · previous Wolverhampton (AW)×Trip (within ½f): Today 2m 103y · previous 1m 5f 219y✓Ground: Standard×Class: Today Class 5 · previous Class 6
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 2/1 (2.98 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 4/21 (19%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 13.4%.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
16:45Southwell (AW)
Trainer: Donald McCain
Jockey: Dougie Costello
PRO RACECARD ↗
⬇ CLASS DROP
SURFACE SWITCHTurf → AW
Last run21 days ago · 12 Sep 2026
Distance changeUp 4.2f from last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
86th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE86th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
Only 1 of 7 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 4th at Sedgefield on 10 Apr 2026 (+2.05pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 2.9% • +0.30 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Sedgefield, 10 Apr 2026 — 4th • open 13/2 → final 6/1 (+0.95pp).

Opened 9/1Market avg 17/2
Price move+0.30pp(+2.9%)
10/1 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 9/1 ↓ 17/2 ↑ 9/1 ↓ 17/2 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 9/1 ↓ 17/2 → 17/2
BEST FIXED ODDS
10/1 11 decimal Coral
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Coral 10/1Ladbrokes 10/1Bet365 9/1BetWright 9/1Betfred 9/1Dragon Bet 9/1Midnite 9/1Star Sports 9/1William Hill 9/17Bet 17/2Bet Victor 17/2BetTom 17/2Betano 17/2Hollywood Bets 17/2Quinn Bet 17/2SportingIndex 17/2Spreadex 17/2Unibet 17/2Virgin Bet 17/2Betfair Sportsbook 17/2Paddy Power 17/2BetMGM 8/1Boyle Sports 8/1LiveScore Bet 8/1
24 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today2m 103y · Class 5 · Standard · 6 runners9/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint17/2Current; SP pendingPending+0.30pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amPendingWaiting for a valid 10am price and a later update.View Market ReadHide Market Read

Just 1 of 7 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. The horse drops from Class 4 to Class 5, but the market has not responded with meaningful support. Today’s move: Kuredu King is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 11/2 (6.67 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 14/58 (24.1%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 11.7%.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
16:45Southwell (AW)
Trainer: S. P. C. Woods
Jockey: Darragh Keenan
🔴 Ignores MarketThis horse has won or placed despite drifting. Market weakness does NOT negatively impact performance. Can be a value angle when price weakens.
PRO RACECARD ↗
⬇ CLASS DROP
SURFACE SWITCHStays on AW
COURSE RECORD2/2 top 2Southwell (AW)Average course SP 7/2 · 133% bigger today
Last run28 days ago · 5 Sep 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILETHE STRONGEST MOVE RECORDED (100th percentile)
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest support recorded across 8 previous runs.
Raw Open → Now price change: 1.1% • +0.10 probability points
Previous market evidence

No previous positive open-to-final support in the recorded sample.

Opened 10/1Market avg 10/1
Price move+0.10pp(+1.1%)
11/1 ↓ 10/1 → 10/1 ↓ 9/1 ↑ 10/1 ↓ 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 ↑ 10/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
14/1 15 decimal LiveScore Bet
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
LiveScore Bet 14/1Coral 11/1Ladbrokes 11/17Bet 10/1BetWright 10/1Betfred 10/1Boyle Sports 10/1Dragon Bet 10/1Hollywood Bets 10/1Midnite 10/1Quinn Bet 10/1SportingIndex 10/1Spreadex 10/1Star Sports 10/1William Hill 10/1Paddy Power 10/1Bet Victor 9/1Bet365 9/1BetMGM 9/1BetTom 9/1Betano 9/1Virgin Bet 9/1Betfair Sportsbook 9/1Unibet 8/1
24 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today2m 103y · Class 5 · Standard · 6 runners10/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint10/1Current; SP pendingPending+0.10pp
THIS IS THE HORSE’S STRONGEST RECORDED SUPPORTMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amPendingWaiting for a valid 10am price and a later update.View Market ReadHide Market Read

Across 8 previous runs, this is the horse’s strongest recorded support. The horse drops from Class 4 to Class 5, but the market has not responded with meaningful support. Today’s move: Betelgeuse is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Southwell (AW) · 29 Apr 2026 · 2nd · 4/4 known conditions match
✓Track: Southwell (AW)✓Trip (within ½f): 2m 103y✓Ground: Standard✓Class: Class 5
WHAT TO WATCH NOW

No evidence-backed price trigger for this runner yet. Use Notify Me to monitor it; the current records do not justify a target price.

TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Race market overview as at 07:44
  • Supported0 of 6 runners at +4pp or more
  • Drifting0 of 6 runners at −4pp or worse
  • Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
  • Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.
17:20Southwell (AW) • 1m0f14y • Class 5 • Going: Standard
1 runners
Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

17:20Southwell (AW)
Trainer: Sir Mark Prescott Bt
Jockey: Jack Gilligan
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
PRO RACECARD ↗
↔ SAME CLASS
SURFACE SWITCHTurf → AW
Last run17 days ago · 16 Sep 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
More evidence
Average winning SP6/12 recorded wins in the loaded Market Form sample
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILETHE STRONGEST MOVE RECORDED (100th percentile)
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest support recorded across 7 previous runs.
Raw Open → Now price change: 0.3% • +0.07 probability points
Previous market evidence

No previous positive open-to-final support in the recorded sample.

Opened 11/4Market avg 11/4
Price move+0.07pp(+0.3%)
11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 ↓ 5/2 ↑ 11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 ↑ 3/1 ↓ 5/2 ↑ 11/4
BEST FIXED ODDS
3/1 4 decimal Bet365
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Bet365 3/17Bet 11/4BetMGM 11/4BetTom 11/4BetWright 11/4Betfred 11/4Boyle Sports 11/4Coral 11/4Dragon Bet 11/4Hollywood Bets 11/4Ladbrokes 11/4LiveScore Bet 11/4Midnite 11/4Quinn Bet 11/4SportingIndex 11/4Spreadex 11/4Star Sports 11/4Unibet 11/4Virgin Bet 11/4William Hill 11/4Betfair Sportsbook 11/4Paddy Power 11/4Bet Victor 5/2Betano 5/2
24 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 14y · Class 5 · Standard · 10 runners11/4—No checkpoint——No checkpoint11/4Current; SP pendingPending+0.07pp
THIS IS THE HORSE’S STRONGEST RECORDED SUPPORTMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amPendingWaiting for a valid 10am price and a later update.View Market ReadHide Market Read

Across 7 previous runs, this is the horse’s strongest recorded support. Today’s move: Prince Kameo is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Beverley · 16 Sep 2026 · 2nd · 2/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Southwell (AW) · previous Beverley✓Trip (within ½f): 1m 14y×Ground: Today Standard · previous Good✓Class: Class 5
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 9/4 (3.16 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 22/56 (39.3%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 19.8%.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Race market overview as at 07:44
  • Supported0 of 10 runners at +4pp or more
  • Drifting0 of 10 runners at −4pp or worse
  • Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
  • Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.
17:55Southwell (AW) • 1m0f14y • Class 4 • Going: Standard
4 runners
Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

17:55Southwell (AW)
Racing silksNostrumDraw 1
Trainer: Michael Appleby
Jockey: Andrew Mullen
🟢 Needs Support (11%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.
PRO RACECARD ↗
↔ SAME CLASS
SURFACE SWITCHTurf → AW
Last run3 days ago · 30 Sep 2026
Distance changeDown 0.9f from last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
3 of 9 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 2nd at Musselburgh on 30 Sep 2026 (+8.33pp); finished 5th at Newmarket on 19 Sep 2026 (+9.26pp); and finished 8th at Newmarket (July) on 25 Jun 2026 (+3.43pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 8% • +1.45 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Musselburgh, 30 Sep 2026 — 2nd • open 5/1 → final 15/8 (+18.06pp).

Opened 5/1Market avg 9/2
Price move+1.45pp(+8.0%)
9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 ↑ 5/1 ↓ 4/1 ↑ 5/1 ↓ 9/2 → 9/2
BEST FIXED ODDS
5/1 6 decimal Bet365
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Bet365 5/1BetTom 5/17Bet 9/2Bet Victor 9/2BetWright 9/2Betano 9/2Betfred 9/2Boyle Sports 9/2Coral 9/2Dragon Bet 9/2Hollywood Bets 9/2Ladbrokes 9/2LiveScore Bet 9/2Midnite 9/2Quinn Bet 9/2SportingIndex 9/2Spreadex 9/2Star Sports 9/2Unibet 9/2Virgin Bet 9/2William Hill 9/2Betfair Sportsbook 9/2Paddy Power 9/2BetMGM 4/1
24 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 14y · Class 4 · Standard · 13 runners5/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint9/2Current; SP pendingPending+1.45pp
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amPendingWaiting for a valid 10am price and a later update.View Market ReadHide Market Read

Just 3 of 9 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Nostrum is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Musselburgh · 30 Sep 2026 · 2nd · 1/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Southwell (AW) · previous Musselburgh×Trip (within ½f): Today 1m 14y · previous 1m 208y×Ground: Today Standard · previous Good To Soft✓Class: Class 4
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Horse support level

Support of +1.24pp · around 9/2 (5.59 decimal).

Level reached — watch whether support holds.

2/4 finished 1st or 2nd with this much support or more (50%).

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 7/2 (4.62 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 13/67 (19.4%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 11.1%.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
17:55Southwell (AW)
Trainer: David Evans
Jockey: David Nolan
PRO RACECARD ↗
↔ SAME CLASS
SURFACE SWITCHTurf → AW
Last run12 days ago · 21 Sep 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
More evidence
Average winning SP13/21 recorded win in the loaded Market Form sample
57th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE57th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
3 of 7 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 3rd at Leicester on 21 Sep 2026 (+3.54pp); finished 6th at Windsor on 07 Sep 2026 (+8.25pp); and finished 1st at Salisbury on 23 May 2026 (+1.24pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 1.1% • +0.10 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Windsor, 07 Sep 2026 — 6th • open 40/1 → final 12/1 (+5.42pp).

Opened 10/1Market avg 10/1
Price move+0.10pp(+1.1%)
10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 ↓ 9/1 ↑ 10/1 → 10/1 ↓ 9/1 ↑ 10/1 ↓ 9/1 ↑ 10/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
10/1 11 decimal 7Bet
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
7Bet 10/1Bet365 10/1BetTom 10/1BetWright 10/1Betfred 10/1Boyle Sports 10/1Coral 10/1Dragon Bet 10/1Hollywood Bets 10/1Ladbrokes 10/1LiveScore Bet 10/1Midnite 10/1Quinn Bet 10/1SportingIndex 10/1Spreadex 10/1Star Sports 10/1Unibet 10/1Virgin Bet 10/1William Hill 10/1Betfair Sportsbook 10/1Paddy Power 10/1Bet Victor 9/1BetMGM 9/1Betano 9/1
24 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 14y · Class 4 · Standard · 13 runners10/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint10/1Current; SP pendingPending+0.10pp
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amPendingWaiting for a valid 10am price and a later update.View Market ReadHide Market Read

Just 3 of 7 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Dovey Moon is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Salisbury · 23 May 2026 · 1st · 2/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Southwell (AW) · previous Salisbury✓Trip (within ½f): 1m 14y×Ground: Today Standard · previous Good✓Class: Class 4
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 6/1 (7.10 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 7/44 (15.9%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 10.5%.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
17:55Southwell (AW)
Trainer: Julie Camacho
Jockey: Dylan Hogan
PRO RACECARD ↗
↔ SAME CLASS
SURFACE SWITCHTurf → AW
COURSE RECORD1/2 top 2Southwell (AW)Average course SP 16/1 · Today close to the course average
Last run42 days ago · 22 Aug 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
More evidence
Average winning SP9/21 recorded win in the loaded Market Form sample
50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
2 of 4 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 4th at Wolverhampton (AW) on 09 Apr 2026 (+1.67pp); and finished 1st at Southwell (AW) on 10 Mar 2026 (+7.07pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 3.1% • +0.17 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Southwell (AW), 10 Mar 2026 — 1st • open 8/1 → final 4/1 (+8.89pp).

Opened 18/1Market avg 18/1
Price move+0.17pp(+3.1%)
18/1 → 18/1 ↓ 16/1 → 16/1 ↑ 18/1 → 18/1 ↓ 16/1 ↑ 18/1 ↓ 16/1 → 16/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
18/1 19 decimal Bet365
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Bet365 18/1BetTom 18/1BetWright 18/1Boyle Sports 18/1Coral 18/1Dragon Bet 18/1Hollywood Bets 18/1Ladbrokes 18/1Midnite 18/1Quinn Bet 18/1SportingIndex 18/1Spreadex 18/1Star Sports 18/1Unibet 18/1William Hill 18/1Betfair Sportsbook 18/1Paddy Power 18/17Bet 16/1Bet Victor 16/1BetMGM 16/1Betano 16/1Betfred 16/1LiveScore Bet 16/1Virgin Bet 16/1
24 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 14y · Class 4 · Standard · 13 runners18/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint18/1Current; SP pendingPending+0.17pp
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amPendingWaiting for a valid 10am price and a later update.View Market ReadHide Market Read

2 of 4 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Camino Del Ray is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Southwell (AW) · 10 Mar 2026 · 1st · 3/4 known conditions match
✓Track: Southwell (AW)✓Trip (within ½f): 1m 14y✓Ground: Standard×Class: Today Class 4 · previous Class 5
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 17/2 (9.74 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 12/45 (26.7%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 8.2%.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
17:55Southwell (AW)
Trainer: Ruth Carr
Jockey: Darragh Keenan
PRO RACECARD ↗
↔ SAME CLASS
SURFACE SWITCHStays on AW
COURSE RECORD0/1 top 2Southwell (AW) · 1 run onlyAverage course SP 16/1 · 67% bigger today
Last run11 days ago · 22 Sep 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
29th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE29th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
5 of 7 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 9th at Southwell (AW) on 22 Sep 2026 (+2.43pp); finished 5th at Newcastle (AW) on 25 Jul 2026 (+1.03pp); finished 2nd at Kempton (AW) on 02 Jul 2026 (+5.23pp); finished 3rd at Pontefract on 29 Apr 2026 (+0.64pp); and finished 20th at Doncaster on 28 Mar 2026 (+1.12pp).
0/2 placed when backed like this (0%).
When backed like this: 0/2 WON
Raw Open → Now price change: 8.6% • +0.30 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Kempton (AW), 02 Jul 2026 — 2nd • open 16/1 → final 9/1 (+4.12pp).

All 2 comparable backed runs (1st or 2nd counts as placed):

  • Southwell (AW), 22 Sep 2026 — 9th • open 18/1 → final 16/1
  • Newcastle (AW), 25 Jul 2026 — 5th • open 14/1 → final 12/1
Opened 28/1Market avg 28/1
Price move+0.30pp(+8.6%)
28/1 → 28/1 ↓ 25/1 → 25/1 ↑ 28/1 → 28/1 ↓ 25/1 ↑ 33/1 ↓ 25/1 → 25/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
33/1 34 decimal Bet365
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Bet365 33/1BetTom 28/1BetWright 28/1Boyle Sports 28/1Coral 28/1Dragon Bet 28/1Hollywood Bets 28/1Ladbrokes 28/1Midnite 28/1Quinn Bet 28/1SportingIndex 28/1Spreadex 28/1Star Sports 28/1Unibet 28/1William Hill 28/1Betfair Sportsbook 28/1Paddy Power 28/17Bet 25/1Bet Victor 25/1BetMGM 25/1Betano 25/1Betfred 25/1LiveScore Bet 25/1Virgin Bet 25/1
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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 14y · Class 4 · Standard · 13 runners28/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint28/1Current; SP pendingPending+0.30pp
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amPendingWaiting for a valid 10am price and a later update.View Market ReadHide Market Read

5 of 7 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. When backed in a similar way previously, it finished first or second in 0 of 2 runs. Today’s move: Vincent Rocks is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Kempton (AW) · 02 Jul 2026 · 2nd · 2/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Southwell (AW) · previous Kempton (AW)✓Trip (within ½f): 1m 14y×Ground: Today Standard · previous Standard To Slow✓Class: Class 4
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 11/1 (12.16 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 17/81 (21%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 10.5%.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Race market overview as at 07:44
  • Supported0 of 13 runners at +4pp or more
  • Drifting0 of 13 runners at −4pp or worse
  • Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
  • Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.
18:30Southwell (AW) • 0m7f15y • Class 4 • Going: Standard
2 runners
Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

18:30Southwell (AW)
Racing silksMaliquiDraw 9
Trainer: Charlie Fellowes
Jockey: Rob Hornby
PRO RACECARD ↗
↔ SAME CLASS
SURFACE SWITCHTurf → AW
Last run30 days ago · 3 Sep 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
Raw Open → Now price change: 0.3% • +0.04 probability points
Previous market evidence

No previous positive open-to-final support in the recorded sample.

Opened 6/1Market avg 6/1
Price move+0.04pp(+0.3%)
6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 ↓ 11/2 ↑ 6/1 → 6/1 ↓ 11/2 ↑ 13/2 ↓ 11/2 ↑ 6/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
13/2 7.5 decimal Bet365
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Bet365 13/2Ladbrokes 13/2William Hill 13/27Bet 6/1BetTom 6/1BetWright 6/1Betfred 6/1Boyle Sports 6/1Coral 6/1Dragon Bet 6/1Hollywood Bets 6/1LiveScore Bet 6/1Midnite 6/1Quinn Bet 6/1SportingIndex 6/1Spreadex 6/1Star Sports 6/1Unibet 6/1Virgin Bet 6/1Paddy Power 6/1Bet Victor 11/2BetMGM 11/2Betano 11/2Betfair Sportsbook 11/2
24 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today7f 15y · Class 4 · Standard · 10 runners6/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint6/1Current; SP pendingPending+0.04pp
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amPendingWaiting for a valid 10am price and a later update.View Market ReadHide Market Read

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Maliqui is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Haydock · 03 Sep 2026 · 2nd · 2/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Southwell (AW) · previous Haydock✓Trip (within ½f): 7f 15y×Ground: Today Standard · previous Soft✓Class: Class 4
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 4/1 (5.19 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 8/31 (25.8%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 11.2%.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
18:30Southwell (AW)
Racing silksPippy BoyDraw 8
Trainer: Jennie Candlish
Jockey: Darragh Keenan
PRO RACECARD ↗
⬇ CLASS DROP
SURFACE SWITCHTurf → AW
Last run28 days ago · 5 Sep 2026
Distance changeUp 1.1f from last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
Raw Open → Now price change: 3.1% • +0.17 probability points
Previous market evidence

No previous positive open-to-final support in the recorded sample.

Opened 18/1Market avg 18/1
Price move+0.17pp(+3.1%)
18/1 → 18/1 ↓ 14/1 ↑ 18/1 ↓ 16/1 ↑ 18/1 ↓ 16/1 ↑ 20/1 ↓ 18/1 ↓ 16/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
20/1 21 decimal Bet365
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Bet365 20/1Betfair Sportsbook 20/1Paddy Power 20/1Bet Victor 18/1BetTom 18/1Betano 18/1Boyle Sports 18/1Coral 18/1Hollywood Bets 18/1Ladbrokes 18/1Midnite 18/1Quinn Bet 18/1SportingIndex 18/1Spreadex 18/1Star Sports 18/1Unibet 18/17Bet 16/1BetMGM 16/1BetWright 16/1Dragon Bet 16/1LiveScore Bet 16/1Virgin Bet 16/1Betfred 14/1William Hill 14/1
24 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today7f 15y · Class 4 · Standard · 10 runners18/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint18/1Current; SP pendingPending+0.17pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amPendingWaiting for a valid 10am price and a later update.View Market ReadHide Market Read

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. The horse drops from Class 2 to Class 4, but the market has not responded with meaningful support. Today’s move: Pippy Boy is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 17/2 (9.74 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 14/61 (23%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 15.6%.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Race market overview as at 07:44
  • Supported0 of 10 runners at +4pp or more
  • Drifting0 of 10 runners at −4pp or worse
  • Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
  • Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.
19:00Southwell (AW) • 0m7f15y • Class 4 • Going: Standard
2 runners
Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

19:00Southwell (AW)
Racing silksBig MoneyDraw 3
Trainer: Michael Appleby
Jockey: Andrew Mullen
PRO RACECARD ↗
Last runNot recorded
Distance changeNot recorded
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
Raw Open → Now price change: 3.9% • +0.48 probability points
Opened 15/2Market avg 7/1
Price move+0.48pp(+3.9%)
15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 ↓ 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 ↓ 13/2 ↑ 8/1 ↓ 7/1 → 7/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
8/1 9 decimal Bet365
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Bet365 8/1Betfred 15/2Boyle Sports 15/2Coral 15/2Hollywood Bets 15/2Ladbrokes 15/2Quinn Bet 15/2SportingIndex 15/2Spreadex 15/2Star Sports 15/2William Hill 15/2Paddy Power 15/27Bet 7/1Bet Victor 7/1BetTom 7/1BetWright 7/1Betano 7/1Dragon Bet 7/1LiveScore Bet 7/1Midnite 7/1Virgin Bet 7/1Betfair Sportsbook 7/1BetMGM 13/2Unibet 5/1
24 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today7f 15y · Class 4 · Standard · 11 runners15/2—No checkpoint——No checkpoint7/1Current; SP pendingPending+0.48pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amPendingWaiting for a valid 10am price and a later update.View Market ReadHide Market Read

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Big Money is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 5/1 (5.96 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 13/67 (19.4%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 11.1%.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
19:00Southwell (AW)
Trainer: Nick Littmoden
Jockey: Darragh Keenan
PRO RACECARD ↗
↔ SAME CLASS
SURFACE SWITCHStays on AW
Last run24 days ago · 9 Sep 2026
Distance changeDown 0.9f from last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
Raw Open → Now price change: 5% • +0.05 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Market Rasen, 05 Jul 2026 — 9th • open 28/1 → final 20/1 (+1.31pp).

Opened 100/1Market avg 100/1
Price move+0.05pp(+5.0%)
100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 ↓ 80/1 ↑ 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 ↓ 80/1 ↑ 100/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
100/1 101 decimal 7Bet
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
7Bet 100/1Bet365 100/1BetMGM 100/1BetTom 100/1BetWright 100/1Betfred 100/1Boyle Sports 100/1Coral 100/1Dragon Bet 100/1Hollywood Bets 100/1Ladbrokes 100/1Midnite 100/1Quinn Bet 100/1Star Sports 100/1Unibet 100/1William Hill 100/1Betfair Sportsbook 100/1Paddy Power 100/1Bet Victor 80/1Betano 80/1LiveScore Bet 80/1SportingIndex 80/1Spreadex 80/1Virgin Bet 80/1
24 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today7f 15y · Class 4 · Standard · 11 runners100/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint100/1Current; SP pendingPending+0.05pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amPendingWaiting for a valid 10am price and a later update.View Market ReadHide Market Read

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Secret Message is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT TO WATCH NOW

No evidence-backed price trigger for this runner yet. Use Notify Me to monitor it; the current records do not justify a target price.

TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Race market overview as at 07:44
  • Supported0 of 11 runners at +4pp or more
  • Drifting0 of 11 runners at −4pp or worse
  • Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
  • Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.
19:30Southwell (AW) • 0m6f17y • Class 5 • Going: Standard
3 runners
Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

19:30Southwell (AW)
Trainer: Tom Ward
Jockey: Benoit de la Sayette
PRO RACECARD ↗
↔ SAME CLASS
SURFACE SWITCHTurf → AW
COURSE RECORD0/1 top 2Southwell (AW) · 1 run onlyAverage course SP 17/2 · 24% bigger today
Last run72 days ago · 23 Jul 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
17th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE17th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
5 of 6 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 4th at Chepstow on 03 Jul 2026 (+5.71pp); finished 5th at Southwell (AW) on 18 Jun 2026 (+4.64pp); finished 10th at Ascot on 08 May 2026 (+0.64pp); finished 4th at Bath on 17 Apr 2026 (+1.79pp); and finished 2nd at Wolverhampton (AW) on 17 Mar 2026 (+4.81pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 1.7% • +0.15 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Wolverhampton (AW), 17 Mar 2026 — 2nd • open 12/1 → final 9/2 (+10.49pp).

Opened 11/1Market avg 11/1
Price move+0.15pp(+1.7%)
11/1 ↓ 10/1 ↑ 11/1 ↓ 10/1 ↑ 11/1 → 11/1 ↓ 10/1 ↑ 12/1 ↓ 10/1 ↑ 11/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
12/1 13 decimal Bet365
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Bet365 12/17Bet 11/1BetTom 11/1BetWright 11/1Betfred 11/1Coral 11/1Dragon Bet 11/1Hollywood Bets 11/1Ladbrokes 11/1Midnite 11/1Quinn Bet 11/1SportingIndex 11/1Spreadex 11/1Star Sports 11/1Unibet 11/1William Hill 11/1Betfair Sportsbook 11/1Paddy Power 11/1Bet Victor 10/1BetMGM 10/1Betano 10/1Boyle Sports 10/1LiveScore Bet 10/1Virgin Bet 10/1
24 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today6f 17y · Class 5 · Standard · 13 runners11/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint11/1Current; SP pendingPending+0.15pp
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amPendingWaiting for a valid 10am price and a later update.View Market ReadHide Market Read

5 of 6 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Blue Orbit is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Wolverhampton (AW) · 17 Mar 2026 · 2nd · 1/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Southwell (AW) · previous Wolverhampton (AW)×Trip (within ½f): Today 6f 17y · previous 5f 21y✓Ground: Standard×Class: Today Class 5 · previous Class 4
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 13/2 (7.50 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 9/26 (34.6%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 7.2%.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
19:30Southwell (AW)
Trainer: Clive Cox
Jockey: Rob Hornby
PRO RACECARD ↗
⬇ CLASS DROP
SURFACE SWITCHTurf → AW
Last run43 days ago · 21 Aug 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
33th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE33rd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
2 of 3 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 5th at Salisbury on 21 Aug 2026 (+0.91pp); and finished 6th at Chester on 11 Jul 2026 (+0.92pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 3.1% • +0.17 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Chester, 11 Jul 2026 — 6th • open 22/1 → final 12/1 (+3.34pp).

Opened 18/1Market avg 18/1
Price move+0.17pp(+3.1%)
18/1 ↓ 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 ↑ 18/1 → 18/1 ↓ 16/1 ↑ 20/1 ↓ 16/1 ↑ 18/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
20/1 21 decimal Bet365
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Bet365 20/17Bet 18/1BetTom 18/1BetWright 18/1Coral 18/1Dragon Bet 18/1Hollywood Bets 18/1Ladbrokes 18/1Midnite 18/1Quinn Bet 18/1SportingIndex 18/1Spreadex 18/1Star Sports 18/1Unibet 18/1William Hill 18/1Paddy Power 18/1Bet Victor 16/1BetMGM 16/1Betano 16/1Betfred 16/1Boyle Sports 16/1LiveScore Bet 16/1Virgin Bet 16/1Betfair Sportsbook 16/1
24 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today6f 17y · Class 5 · Standard · 13 runners18/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint18/1Current; SP pendingPending+0.17pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amPendingWaiting for a valid 10am price and a later update.View Market ReadHide Market Read

2 of 3 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. The horse drops from Class 4 to Class 5, but the market has not responded with meaningful support. Today’s move: Inca Heights is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 17/2 (9.74 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 16/61 (26.2%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 15.9%.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
19:30Southwell (AW)
Trainer: Michael Appleby
Jockey: Andrew Mullen
PRO RACECARD ↗
⬇ CLASS DROP
SURFACE SWITCHTurf → AW
Last run21 days ago · 12 Sep 2026
Distance changeDown 1.5f from last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILETHE STRONGEST MOVE RECORDED (100th percentile)
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest support recorded across 3 previous runs.
Raw Open → Now price change: 6.7% • +0.34 probability points
Previous market evidence

No previous positive open-to-final support in the recorded sample.

Opened 20/1Market avg 18/1
Price move+0.34pp(+6.7%)
18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 ↑ 20/1 ↓ 18/1 ↓ 16/1 ↑ 22/1 ↓ 18/1 ↑ 20/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
22/1 23 decimal Bet365
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Bet365 22/17Bet 20/1BetWright 20/1Dragon Bet 20/1Hollywood Bets 20/1Midnite 20/1William Hill 20/1Bet Victor 18/1BetTom 18/1Betano 18/1Betfred 18/1Boyle Sports 18/1Coral 18/1Ladbrokes 18/1LiveScore Bet 18/1Quinn Bet 18/1SportingIndex 18/1Spreadex 18/1Star Sports 18/1Unibet 18/1Virgin Bet 18/1Betfair Sportsbook 18/1Paddy Power 18/1BetMGM 16/1
24 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today6f 17y · Class 5 · Standard · 13 runners20/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint18/1Current; SP pendingPending+0.34pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
THIS IS THE HORSE’S STRONGEST RECORDED SUPPORTMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amPendingWaiting for a valid 10am price and a later update.View Market ReadHide Market Read

Across 3 previous runs, this is the horse’s strongest recorded support. The horse drops from Class 4 to Class 5, but the market has not responded with meaningful support. Today’s move: Rascal Recknell is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 9/1 (10.24 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 13/67 (19.4%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 11.1%.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Race market overview as at 07:44
  • Supported0 of 13 runners at +4pp or more
  • Drifting0 of 13 runners at −4pp or worse
  • Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
  • Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.
20:00Southwell (AW) • 0m4f215y • Class 6 • Going: Standard
1 runners
Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

20:00Southwell (AW)
Trainer: Clare Hobson
Jockey: Jack Doughty
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
PRO RACECARD ↗
⬇ CLASS DROP
SURFACE SWITCHStays on AW
Last run26 days ago · 7 Sep 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
63th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE63rd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
3 of 8 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 8th at Wolverhampton (AW) on 07 Sep 2026 (+4.24pp); finished 5th at Lingfield (AW) on 27 Aug 2026 (+6.67pp); and finished 2nd at Wolverhampton (AW) on 09 Feb 2026 (+1.79pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 2.2% • +0.26 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Wolverhampton (AW), 09 Feb 2026 — 2nd • open 7/1 → final 7/2 (+9.72pp).

Opened 15/2Market avg 15/2
Price move+0.26pp(+2.2%)
15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 ↓ 7/1 ↑ 15/2 ↓ 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 ↑ 15/2
BEST FIXED ODDS
8/1 9 decimal Paddy Power
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Paddy Power 8/17Bet 15/2BetWright 15/2Betfred 15/2Boyle Sports 15/2Coral 15/2Dragon Bet 15/2Ladbrokes 15/2LiveScore Bet 15/2Quinn Bet 15/2SportingIndex 15/2Spreadex 15/2Star Sports 15/2Virgin Bet 15/2William Hill 15/2Betfair Sportsbook 15/2Bet Victor 7/1Bet365 7/1BetMGM 7/1BetTom 7/1Betano 7/1Hollywood Bets 7/1Midnite 7/1Unibet 6/1
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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today4f 215y · Class 6 · Standard · 10 runners15/2—No checkpoint——No checkpoint15/2Current; SP pendingPending+0.26pp
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amPendingWaiting for a valid 10am price and a later update.View Market ReadHide Market Read

Just 3 of 8 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. The horse drops from Class 5 to Class 6, but the market has not responded with meaningful support. Today’s move: General Assembly is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Chelmsford (AW) · 26 Feb 2026 · 2nd · 2/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Southwell (AW) · previous Chelmsford (AW)✓Trip (within ½f): 4f 215y✓Ground: Standard×Class: Today Class 6 · previous Class 5
WHAT TO WATCH NOW

No evidence-backed price trigger for this runner yet. Use Notify Me to monitor it; the current records do not justify a target price.

TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Race market overview as at 07:44
  • Supported0 of 10 runners at +4pp or more
  • Drifting0 of 10 runners at −4pp or worse
  • Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
  • Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.
20:30Southwell (AW) • 1m6f21y • Class 5 • Going: Standard
2 runners
Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

20:30Southwell (AW)
Trainer: Jack Jones
Jockey: Donagh Murphy(5)
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
PRO RACECARD ↗
⬆ CLASS RISE
SURFACE SWITCHStays on AW
Last run15 days ago · 18 Sep 2026
Distance changeDown 2.5f from last run
More evidence
Average winning SP7/21 recorded win in the loaded Market Form sample
71th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE71st HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
2 of 7 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 1st at Wolverhampton (AW) on 18 Sep 2026 (+2.22pp); and finished 6th at Beverley on 30 Aug 2026 (+9.40pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 0.7% • +0.30 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Beverley, 30 Aug 2026 — 6th • open 7/1 → final 9/4 (+17.95pp).

Opened 11/8Market avg 11/8
Price move+0.30pp(+0.7%)
11/8 → 11/8 → 11/8 → 11/8 ↓ 11/8 ↑ 11/8 → 11/8 → 11/8 → 11/8 → 11/8
BEST FIXED ODDS
11/8 2.38 decimal 7Bet
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
7Bet 11/8Bet Victor 11/8Bet365 11/8BetMGM 11/8BetTom 11/8Betano 11/8Betfred 11/8Boyle Sports 11/8Coral 11/8Hollywood Bets 11/8Ladbrokes 11/8Midnite 11/8Quinn Bet 11/8SportingIndex 11/8Spreadex 11/8William Hill 11/8Betfair Sportsbook 11/8Paddy Power 11/8BetWright 11/8Dragon Bet 11/8Star Sports 11/8LiveScore Bet 5/4Unibet 5/4Virgin Bet 5/4
24 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 6f 21y · Class 5 · Standard · 5 runners11/8—No checkpoint——No checkpoint11/8Current; SP pendingPending+0.30pp
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amPendingWaiting for a valid 10am price and a later update.View Market ReadHide Market Read

Just 2 of 7 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. It is also stepping up from Class 6 to Class 5, which adds another test today. Today’s move: Shopaholic is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Wolverhampton (AW) · 21 Jul 2026 · 2nd · 2/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Southwell (AW) · previous Wolverhampton (AW)✓Trip (within ½f): 1m 6f 21y✓Ground: Standard×Class: Today Class 5 · previous Class 6
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 11/10 (2.13 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 13/39 (33.3%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 11.9%.

These records use final/SP moves. A level reached live is provisional until the off; it does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
20:30Southwell (AW)
Trainer: Christopher Kellett
Jockey: Christian Howarth(3)
PRO RACECARD ↗
↔ SAME CLASS
SURFACE SWITCHTurf → AW
Last run14 days ago · 19 Sep 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
78th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE78th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
2 of 9 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 4th at Kempton (AW) on 30 Mar 2026 (+7.07pp); and finished 3rd at Wolverhampton (AW) on 16 Jan 2026 (+11.11pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 6.9% • +0.24 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Kempton (AW), 30 Mar 2026 — 4th • open 8/1 → final 10/3 (+11.98pp).

Opened 28/1Market avg 28/1
Price move+0.24pp(+6.9%)
28/1 ↓ 25/1 ↑ 28/1 ↓ 25/1 ↑ 28/1 → 28/1 ↑ 33/1 → 33/1 ↓ 25/1 ↑ 28/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
33/1 34 decimal Bet365
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Bet365 33/1BetMGM 33/17Bet 28/1BetTom 28/1BetWright 28/1Betfred 28/1Coral 28/1Dragon Bet 28/1Hollywood Bets 28/1Ladbrokes 28/1Midnite 28/1Quinn Bet 28/1SportingIndex 28/1Spreadex 28/1Star Sports 28/1Unibet 28/1William Hill 28/1Betfair Sportsbook 28/1Paddy Power 28/1Bet Victor 25/1Betano 25/1Boyle Sports 25/1LiveScore Bet 25/1Virgin Bet 25/1
24 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 6f 21y · Class 5 · Standard · 5 runners28/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint28/1Current; SP pendingPending+0.24pp
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amPendingWaiting for a valid 10am price and a later update.View Market ReadHide Market Read

Just 2 of 9 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Kindly Queen is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Windsor · 11 May 2026 · 2nd · 1/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Southwell (AW) · previous Windsor×Trip (within ½f): Today 1m 6f 21y · previous 1m 3f 99y×Ground: Today Standard · previous Good To Firm✓Class: Class 5
WHAT TO WATCH NOW

No evidence-backed price trigger for this runner yet. Use Notify Me to monitor it; the current records do not justify a target price.

TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Race market overview as at 07:44
  • Supported0 of 5 runners at +4pp or more
  • Drifting0 of 5 runners at −4pp or worse
  • Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
  • Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.
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