Live Horse Racing Market Movement

14:15Southwell • 2m4f88y • Class 5 • Going: Good

4 runners

Market Intelligence

Weakest support: Soldier In Mayo (-0.76 probability points)

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Full field shown.

Soldier In Mayo

Trainer: Donald McCain

Jockey: Theo Gillard

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Donald McCain (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 34/346; first seen between 10am and 1pm 26/346; first seen after 1pm 15/346.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 1 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.76pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

↔ SAME CLASS

Market Form rating52/100 · Neutral

Last run27 days ago · 4 Sep 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: 4/1 → 4/1 | Avg: 4/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.

14:15Southwell

Opened 13/8Market avg 13/8

13/8 → 13/8 ↑ 7/4 ↓ 13/8 ↓ 13/8 ↑ 13/8 ↓ 13/8 ↑ 7/4 ↓ 13/8 → 13/8

PRICE MOVE

-0.76pp (-2.1%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

Raw Open → Now price change: 2.1% • -0.76 probability points

Previous market evidence

No previous open-to-final drift in the recorded sample.

BEST FIXED ODDS

15/8 2.88 decimal Midnite

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
SouthwellToday2m 4f 88y · Class 5 · Good · 7 runners	13/8	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.76ppOpen → now	13/8Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.76pp
Bangor-on-Dee04 Sep 20262m 4f 72y · Class 5 · Good · 7 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	9/1	-0.43ppOpen → 10am	10/1	+7.58pp10am → 1pm	5/1	+3.33pp1pm → SP	4/1	2nd	+10.48pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
SouthwellToday2m 4f 88y · Class 5 · Good · 7 runners	13/8	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.76ppOpen → now	13/8Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.76pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Soldier In Mayo is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Bangor-on-Dee · 04 Sep 2026 · 2nd · 3/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Southwell · previous Bangor-on-Dee✓Trip (within ½f): 2m 4f 88y✓Ground: Good✓Class: Class 5

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

N/A

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

1 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.

Today: -0.76pp

Possible next price: 13/8

No historical data

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Gone In Sixty

Trainer: Alex Hales

Jockey: Sean Bowen

🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Alex Hales (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 8/85; first seen between 10am and 1pm 10/85; first seen after 1pm 3/85.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 2/7; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/7; first seen after 1pm 1/7.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.15pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

↔ SAME CLASS

Market Form rating42/100 · Negative

Last run26 days ago · 5 Sep 2026

Distance changeDown 2.2f from last run

Usually attracts bookmaker support

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Early

Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 2/1 → 9/1 | Avg: 11/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

10am plunger

Early money horse (29%)

14:15Southwell

Opened 3/1Market avg 3/1

3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 ↑ 7/2 ↓ 3/1 → 3/1

PRICE MOVE

-0.15pp (-0.6%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

57th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE57th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

3 of 7 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 4th at Worcester on 19 Aug 2026 (-2.94pp); finished 4th at Market Rasen on 05 Jul 2026 (-14.10pp); and finished 2nd at Southwell on 09 Jun 2026 (-3.17pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 0.6% • -0.15 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Market Rasen, 05 Jul 2026 — 4th • open 9/4 → final 5/1 (-14.10pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

7/2 4.5 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
SouthwellToday2m 4f 88y · Class 5 · Good · 7 runners	3/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.15ppOpen → now	3/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.15pp
Stratford05 Sep 20262m 6f 125y · Class 5 · Good · 10 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	4/1	+8.16ppOpen → 10am	5/2	+7.79pp10am → 1pm	7/4	+3.64pp1pm → SP	6/4	1st	+19.59pp
Post-race comment
Southwell09 Jun 20262m 4f 88y · Class 5 · Good · 8 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	6/1	-3.17ppOpen → 10am	8/1	+1.39pp10am → 1pm	7/1	-3.41pp1pm → SP	10/1	2nd	-5.19pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
SouthwellToday2m 4f 88y · Class 5 · Good · 7 runners	3/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.15ppOpen → now	3/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.15pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 3 of 7 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Gone In Sixty is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Southwell · 09 Jun 2026 · 2nd · 4/4 known conditions match

✓Track: Southwell✓Trip (within ½f): 2m 4f 88y✓Ground: Good✓Class: Class 5

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

Similar moves have usually held their position.

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

No positive support trigger.

This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.

Today: -0.15pp

Possible next price: 3/1

7 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Southwell. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Socks Off

Trainer: Kevin & Lauren Frost

Jockey: Lee Edwards

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Kevin & Lauren Frost (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 17/114; first seen between 10am and 1pm 7/114; first seen after 1pm 6/114.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 2 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.21pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

↔ SAME CLASS

Market Form rating63/100 · Neutral

Last run22 days ago · 9 Sep 2026

Distance changeUp 4.1f from last run

Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: 12/1 → 12/1 | Avg: 12/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

14:15Southwell

Opened 9/2Market avg 9/2

9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 ↑ 11/2 ↓ 9/2 → 9/2

PRICE MOVE

-0.21pp (-1.1%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

Raw Open → Now price change: 1.1% • -0.21 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Southwell (AW), 20 Jan 2026 — 7th • open 14/1 → final 33/1 (-3.73pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

11/2 6.5 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
SouthwellToday2m 4f 88y · Class 5 · Good · 7 runners	9/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.21ppOpen → now	9/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.21pp
Sedgefield09 Sep 20262m 77y · Class 5 · Good · 8 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	12/1	+0.64ppOpen → 10am	11/1	-0.64pp10am → 1pm	12/1	-1.03pp1pm → SP	14/1	1st	-1.03pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
SouthwellToday2m 4f 88y · Class 5 · Good · 7 runners	9/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.21ppOpen → now	9/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.21pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Socks Off is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Sedgefield · 09 Sep 2026 · 1st · 2/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Southwell · previous Sedgefield×Trip (within ½f): Today 2m 4f 88y · previous 2m 77y✓Ground: Good✓Class: Class 5

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

Limited data: one similar run only.

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

2 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.

Today: -0.21pp

Possible next price: 9/2

No historical data

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Helios Allen

Trainer: Ben Case

Jockey: Harry Bannister

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Ben Case (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 8/91; first seen between 10am and 1pm 4/91; first seen after 1pm 0/91.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 1 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.09pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

↔ SAME CLASS

Market Form rating52/100 · Neutral

Last run34 days ago · 28 Aug 2026

Distance changeDown 1.2f from last run

Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: 11/2 → 11/2 | Avg: 11/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.

14:15Southwell

Opened 6/1Market avg 6/1

6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1

PRICE MOVE

-0.09pp (-0.6%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

Raw Open → Now price change: 0.6% • -0.09 probability points

Previous market evidence

No previous open-to-final drift in the recorded sample.

BEST FIXED ODDS

13/2 7.5 decimal Unibet

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
SouthwellToday2m 4f 88y · Class 5 · Good · 7 runners	6/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.09ppOpen → now	6/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.09pp
Fontwell28 Aug 20262m 5f 135y · Class 5 · Good · 7 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	10/1	+5.19ppOpen → 10am	6/1	+2.38pp10am → 1pm	5/1	-1.28pp1pm → SP	11/2	2nd	+6.29pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
SouthwellToday2m 4f 88y · Class 5 · Good · 7 runners	6/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.09ppOpen → now	6/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.09pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Helios Allen is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Fontwell · 28 Aug 2026 · 2nd · 2/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Southwell · previous Fontwell×Trip (within ½f): Today 2m 4f 88y · previous 2m 5f 135y✓Ground: Good✓Class: Class 5

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

Limited data: one similar run only.

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

1 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.

Today: -0.09pp

Possible next price: 6/1

No historical data

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Race market overview as at 03:17

Supported0 of 7 runners at +4pp or more
Drifting0 of 7 runners at −4pp or worse
Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.

14:50Southwell • 3m0f60y • Class 4 • Going: Good

2 runners

Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

Paper Mill

Trainer: Stuart Edmunds

Jockey: Charlie Hammond

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Stuart Edmunds (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 8/109; first seen between 10am and 1pm 17/109; first seen after 1pm 7/109.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/3; first seen between 10am and 1pm 1/3; first seen after 1pm 0/3.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.45pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

↔ SAME CLASS

Market Form rating47/100 · Neutral

Last run27 days ago · 4 Sep 2026

Distance changeUp 1.3f from last run

Often drifts in the market

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Early PM

Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: 9/2 → 9/2 | Avg: 9/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

Early money horse (33%)

14:50Southwell

Opened 2/1Market avg 9/4

9/4 → 9/4 ↓ 2/1 ↑ 9/4 ↓ 2/1 ↑ 9/4 ↓ 2/1 ↑ 5/2 ↓ 9/4 ↓ 2/1

PRICE MOVE

-1.45pp (-4.5%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

Only 1 of 3 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 2nd at Uttoxeter on 07 Jul 2026 (-3.33pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 4.5% • -1.45 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Uttoxeter, 07 Jul 2026 — 2nd • open 4/1 → final 9/2 (-1.82pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

5/2 3.5 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
SouthwellToday3m 60y · Class 4 · Good · 4 runners	2/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-1.45ppOpen → now	9/4Current; SP pending	Pending	-1.45pp
Uttoxeter07 Jul 20263m 10y · Class 4 · Good · 6 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	4/1	-3.33ppOpen → 10am	5/1	+1.52pp10am → 1pm	9/2	+1.82pp1pm → SP	4/1	2nd	+0.00pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
SouthwellToday3m 60y · Class 4 · Good · 4 runners	2/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-1.45ppOpen → now	9/4Current; SP pending	Pending	-1.45pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 1 of 3 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Paper Mill is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Uttoxeter · 07 Jul 2026 · 2nd · 3/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Southwell · previous Uttoxeter✓Trip (within ½f): 3m 60y✓Ground: Good✓Class: Class 4

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

Limited data: one similar run only.

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

2 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.

Today: -1.45pp

Possible next price: 15/8

3 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Law of Supply

Trainer: Kim Bailey & Mat Nicholls

Jockey: Ciaran Gethings

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Kim Bailey & Mat Nicholls (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 25/108; first seen between 10am and 1pm 9/108; first seen after 1pm 1/108.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 1 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.06pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

↔ SAME CLASS

Market Form rating52/100 · Neutral

Last run183 days ago · 1 Apr 2026

Distance changeDown 0.9f from last run

Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: 11/2 → 11/2 | Avg: 11/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.

14:50Southwell

Opened 3/1Market avg 3/1

3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 ↑ 7/2 ↓ 3/1 → 3/1

PRICE MOVE

-0.06pp (-0.2%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

Raw Open → Now price change: 0.2% • -0.06 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Wincanton, 01 Apr 2026 — 2nd • open 9/4 → final 11/2 (-15.38pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

7/2 4.5 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
SouthwellToday3m 60y · Class 4 · Good · 4 runners	3/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.06ppOpen → now	3/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.06pp
Wincanton01 Apr 20263m 1f 30y · Class 4 · Good · 5 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	9/4	-10.77ppOpen → 10am	4/1	+0.00pp10am → 1pm	4/1	-8.24pp1pm → SP	15/2	2nd	-19.00pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
SouthwellToday3m 60y · Class 4 · Good · 4 runners	3/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.06ppOpen → now	3/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.06pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Law of Supply is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Wincanton · 01 Apr 2026 · 2nd · 2/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Southwell · previous Wincanton×Trip (within ½f): Today 3m 60y · previous 3m 1f 30y✓Ground: Good✓Class: Class 4

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

N/A

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

1 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.

Today: -0.06pp

Possible next price: 3/1

No historical data

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Race market overview as at 03:17

Supported0 of 4 runners at +4pp or more
Drifting0 of 4 runners at −4pp or worse
Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.

15:25Southwell • 2m4f88y • Class 4 • Going: Good

3 runners

Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

Gaelic Rambler

Trainer: Jonjo & A.J. O'Neill

Jockey: Richie McLernon

🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Jonjo & A.J. O'Neill (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 12/71; first seen between 10am and 1pm 4/71; first seen after 1pm 7/71.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/8; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/8; first seen after 1pm 2/8.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.29pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

↔ SAME CLASS

Market Form rating63/100 · Neutral

Last run16 days ago · 15 Sep 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

No consistent price pattern yet

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Opening

Runs: 8 | Fixed-odds range: 13/8 → 10/3 | Avg: 5/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

10am plunger

Early money horse (25%)

15:25Southwell

Opened 2/1Market avg 2/1

2/1 ↑ 9/4 → 9/4 ↓ 9/4 ↓ 2/1 ↑ 9/4 ↓ 2/1 ↑ 5/2 ↓ 9/4 ↓ 2/1

PRICE MOVE

-1.29pp (-4.0%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

4 of 8 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 6th at Worcester on 23 Aug 2026 (-1.39pp); finished 3rd at Uttoxeter on 07 Jul 2026 (-3.41pp); finished 2nd at Wetherby on 27 Mar 2026 (-9.70pp); and had no recorded finishing position at Wincanton on 15 Jan 2026 (-2.78pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 4% • -1.29 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Wetherby, 27 Mar 2026 — 2nd • open 7/4 → final 9/4 (-5.59pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

5/2 3.5 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
SouthwellToday2m 4f 88y · Class 4 · Good · 5 runners	2/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-1.29ppOpen → now	2/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-1.29pp
Uttoxeter15 Sep 20262m 4f · Class 4 · Good · 8 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	11/2	+1.52ppOpen → 10am	5/1	-1.28pp10am → 1pm	11/2	+7.71pp1pm → SP	10/3	1st	+7.94pp
Post-race comment
Wetherby27 Mar 20261m 7f 35y · Class 4 · Good · 5 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	7/4	-9.70ppOpen → 10am	11/4	+4.10pp10am → 1pm	9/4	-4.10pp1pm → SP	11/4	2nd	-9.70pp
Post-race comment
Stratford09 Mar 20262m 212y · Class 4 · Soft · 8 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	11/4	+9.70ppOpen → 10am	7/4	+1.66pp10am → 1pm	13/8	-1.66pp1pm → SP	7/4	2nd	+9.70pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
SouthwellToday2m 4f 88y · Class 4 · Good · 5 runners	2/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-1.29ppOpen → now	2/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-1.29pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

4 of 8 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Gaelic Rambler is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Uttoxeter · 15 Sep 2026 · 1st · 3/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Southwell · previous Uttoxeter✓Trip (within ½f): 2m 4f 88y✓Ground: Good✓Class: Class 4

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

N/A

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

No positive support trigger.

This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.

Today: -1.29pp

Possible next price: 15/8

8 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Southwell. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Iamyouare

Trainer: Donald McCain

Jockey: Theo Gillard

🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Donald McCain (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 34/346; first seen between 10am and 1pm 26/346; first seen after 1pm 15/346.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 3/7; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/7; first seen after 1pm 0/7.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.64pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

↔ SAME CLASS

Market Form rating49/100 · Neutral

Last run27 days ago · 4 Sep 2026

Distance changeUp 0.8f from last run

No consistent price pattern yet

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Opening

Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 4/7 → 10/1 | Avg: 11/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

10am plunger

Early money horse (29%)

15:25Southwell

Opened 5/2Market avg 5/2

5/2 ↑ 11/4 ↓ 5/2 → 5/2 → 5/2 → 5/2 → 5/2 ↑ 10/3 ↓ 5/2 → 5/2

PRICE MOVE

-0.64pp (-2.3%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

71th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE71st HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

2 of 7 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 2nd at Uttoxeter on 26 Jul 2026 (-5.56pp); and finished 5th at Market Rasen on 15 Mar 2026 (-15.40pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 2.3% • -0.64 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Market Rasen, 15 Mar 2026 — 5th • open 10/3 → final 16/1 (-17.21pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

10/3 4.33 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
SouthwellToday2m 4f 88y · Class 4 · Good · 5 runners	5/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.64ppOpen → now	5/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.64pp
Bangor-on-Dee04 Sep 20262m 3f 123y · Class 4 · Good · 5 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	7/4	+7.95ppOpen → 10am	5/4	+19.25pp10am → 1pm	4/7	+0.00pp1pm → SP	4/7	2nd	+27.20pp
Post-race comment
Uttoxeter26 Jul 20262m 3f 207y · Class 5 · Good · 10 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	5/1	-5.56ppOpen → 10am	8/1	-1.11pp10am → 1pm	9/1	+2.50pp1pm → SP	7/1	2nd	-4.17pp
Post-race comment
Hereford16 Apr 20262m 3f 147y · Class 5 · Good · 8 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	10/1	+6.29ppOpen → 10am	11/2	-1.10pp10am → 1pm	6/1	+2.38pp1pm → SP	5/1	1st	+7.58pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
SouthwellToday2m 4f 88y · Class 4 · Good · 5 runners	5/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.64ppOpen → now	5/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.64pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 2 of 7 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Iamyouare is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Bangor-on-Dee · 04 Sep 2026 · 2nd · 2/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Southwell · previous Bangor-on-Dee×Trip (within ½f): Today 2m 4f 88y · previous 2m 3f 123y✓Ground: Good✓Class: Class 4

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

Similar moves have usually held or strengthened.

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

No positive support trigger.

This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.

Today: -0.64pp

Possible next price: 5/2

7 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Back It Up

Trainer: James Owen

Jockey: Jonathan Burke

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer James Owen (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 139/892; first seen between 10am and 1pm 80/892; first seen after 1pm 40/892.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 1 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.38pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

↔ SAME CLASS

Market Form rating46/100 · Neutral

Last run16 days ago · 15 Sep 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.

15:25Southwell

Opened 14/1Market avg 14/1

16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 ↓ 14/1 → 14/1 ↑ 16/1 ↓ 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1

PRICE MOVE

-0.38pp (-6.1%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

Raw Open → Now price change: 6.1% • -0.38 probability points

Previous market evidence

No previous open-to-final drift in the recorded sample.

BEST FIXED ODDS

16/1 17 decimal BetTom

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
SouthwellToday2m 4f 88y · Class 4 · Good · 5 runners	14/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.38ppOpen → now	14/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.38pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
SouthwellToday2m 4f 88y · Class 4 · Good · 5 runners	14/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.38ppOpen → now	14/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.38pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Back It Up is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

Limited data: one similar run only.

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

1 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.

Today: -0.38pp

Possible next price: 12/1

No historical data

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Race market overview as at 03:17

Supported0 of 5 runners at +4pp or more
Drifting0 of 5 runners at −4pp or worse
Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.

16:00Southwell • 3m0f60y • Class 5 • Going: Good

5 runners

Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

Crafty Gael

Trainer: Olly Murphy

Jockey: Sean Bowen

🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Olly Murphy (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 85/481; first seen between 10am and 1pm 50/481; first seen after 1pm 19/481.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/6; first seen between 10am and 1pm 2/6; first seen after 1pm 0/6.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.28pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

↔ SAME CLASS

Market Form rating49/100 · Neutral

Last run21 days ago · 10 Sep 2026

Distance changeUp 1.3f from last run

No consistent price pattern yet

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Opening

Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: 15/8 → 3/1 | Avg: 5/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

Early money horse (33%)

16:00Southwell

Opened 11/10Market avg 6/5

6/5 ↓ 11/10 ↑ 6/5 ↓ 11/10 → 11/10 → 11/10 ↑ 6/5 ↑ 13/8 ↓ 11/10 → 11/10

PRICE MOVE

-1.28pp (-2.8%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

83th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE83rd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE

Only 1 of 6 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 13th at Limerick (IRE) on 22 Mar 2026 (-4.81pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 2.8% • -1.28 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Kilbeggan (IRE), 24 Apr 2026 — 8th • open 16/1 → final 18/1 (-0.62pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

13/8 2.63 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
SouthwellToday3m 60y · Class 5 · Good · 8 runners	11/10	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-1.28ppOpen → now	6/5Current; SP pending	Pending	-1.28pp
Worcester10 Sep 20262m 7f · Class 5 · Good · 11 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	2/1	+0.55ppOpen → 10am	2/1	+6.67pp10am → 1pm	6/4	-1.83pp1pm → SP	13/8	1st	+5.38pp
Post-race comment
Worcester19 Aug 20262m 4f · Class 5 · Good · 8 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	5/1	+1.52ppOpen → 10am	9/2	+10.39pp10am → 1pm	5/2	-3.57pp1pm → SP	3/1	2nd	+8.33pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
SouthwellToday3m 60y · Class 5 · Good · 8 runners	11/10	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-1.28ppOpen → now	6/5Current; SP pending	Pending	-1.28pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 1 of 6 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Crafty Gael is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Worcester · 10 Sep 2026 · 1st · 2/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Southwell · previous Worcester×Trip (within ½f): Today 3m 60y · previous 2m 7f✓Ground: Good✓Class: Class 5

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

Similar moves have usually held their position.

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Both previous top-two finishes came with support of 1.93pp+.

At 1.93pp+: 2/3 finished 1st or 2nd (67%).

Today: -1.28pp — trigger not reached.

Possible next price: 11/10

6 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Jurassic Pet

Trainer: Sara Bradstock

Jockey: Nico de Boinville

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Timing evidence for Trainer Sara Bradstock: only 1 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/3; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/3; first seen after 1pm 0/3.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.04pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

↔ SAME CLASS

Market Form rating49/100 · Neutral

Last run198 days ago · 17 Mar 2026

Distance changeUp 1.2f from last run

Often drifts in the market

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Pre-Off

Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

Early money horse (33%)

16:00Southwell

Opened 13/2Market avg 13/2

13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 ↓ 6/1 ↓ 11/2 ↑ 13/2 → 13/2

PRICE MOVE

-0.04pp (-0.3%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

33th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE33rd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

2 of 3 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 10th at Exeter on 17 Mar 2026 (-4.74pp); and finished 3rd at Hereford on 22 Feb 2026 (-0.65pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 0.3% • -0.04 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Exeter, 17 Mar 2026 — 10th • open 10/1 → final 22/1 (-4.74pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

15/2 8.5 decimal Paddy Power

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
SouthwellToday3m 60y · Class 5 · Good · 8 runners	13/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.04ppOpen → now	13/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.04pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
SouthwellToday3m 60y · Class 5 · Good · 8 runners	13/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.04ppOpen → now	13/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.04pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

2 of 3 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Jurassic Pet is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

N/A

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

3 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.

Today: -0.04pp

Possible next price: 13/2

3 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Captain Connor

Trainer: Clare Ellam

Jockey: Brendan Powell

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Clare Ellam (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/18; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/18; first seen after 1pm 1/18.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/7; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/7; first seen after 1pm 0/7.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.06pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

↔ SAME CLASS

Market Form rating45/100 · Neutral

Last run11 days ago · 20 Sep 2026

Distance changeUp 3.7f from last run

No consistent price pattern yet

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Early

Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 25/1 → 25/1 | Avg: 25/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

10am plunger

Mid-market mover (29%)

16:00Southwell

Opened 9/1Market avg 9/1

9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 17/2 ↑ 9/1 → 9/1

PRICE MOVE

-0.06pp (-0.6%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

29th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE29th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

5 of 7 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 3rd at Plumpton on 20 Sep 2026 (-0.29pp); finished 7th at Newton Abbot on 07 Sep 2026 (-2.78pp); finished 7th at Market Rasen on 05 Jul 2026 (-0.64pp); had no recorded finishing position at Kelso on 28 Feb 2026 (-0.26pp); and finished 8th at Wetherby on 22 Jan 2026 (-0.73pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 0.6% • -0.06 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Newton Abbot, 07 Sep 2026 — 7th • open 6/1 → final 18/1 (-8.63pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

10/1 11 decimal LiveScore Bet

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
SouthwellToday3m 60y · Class 5 · Good · 8 runners	9/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.06ppOpen → now	9/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.06pp
Stratford25 Aug 20262m 6f 7y · Class 5 · Good To Firm · 8 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	25/1	+1.42ppOpen → 10am	18/1	-0.50pp10am → 1pm	20/1	-1.82pp1pm → SP	33/1	2nd	-0.90pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
SouthwellToday3m 60y · Class 5 · Good · 8 runners	9/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.06ppOpen → now	9/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.06pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

5 of 7 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Captain Connor is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Stratford · 25 Aug 2026 · 2nd · 1/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Southwell · previous Stratford×Trip (within ½f): Today 3m 60y · previous 2m 6f 7y×Ground: Today Good · previous Good To Firm✓Class: Class 5

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.Comparable moves have had few top-two finishes. Be cautious.

Did the early price move fade?

No documented early-support reversal in this horse’s recorded checkpoint sample. The older wording referred to finishing results, not a verified intraday price fade.

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

6 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.

Today: -0.06pp

Possible next price: 9/1

7 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Athena's Dream

Trainer: Harriet Dickin

Jockey: Megan Bevan(7)

🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Harriet Dickin (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 6/106; first seen between 10am and 1pm 2/106; first seen after 1pm 3/106.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/9; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/9; first seen after 1pm 0/9.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.13pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

↔ SAME CLASS

Market Form rating45/100 · Neutral

Last run21 days ago · 10 Sep 2026

Distance changeUp 1.3f from last run

No consistent price pattern yet

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Opening

Runs: 9 | Fixed-odds range: 6/1 → 16/1 | Avg: 11/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

Early money horse (22%)

16:00Southwell

Opened 12/1Market avg 12/1

12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 ↓ 11/1 ↑ 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1

PRICE MOVE

-0.13pp (-1.7%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

56th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE56th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

4 of 9 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 5th at Uttoxeter on 15 Jul 2026 (-0.91pp); finished 3rd at Bangor-on-Dee on 26 Jun 2026 (-6.43pp); finished 4th at Taunton on 22 Apr 2026 (-1.45pp); and finished 7th at Wincanton on 01 Apr 2026 (-2.04pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 1.7% • -0.13 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Bangor-on-Dee, 26 Jun 2026 — 3rd • open 10/3 → final 4/1 (-3.09pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

14/1 15 decimal William Hill

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
SouthwellToday3m 60y · Class 5 · Good · 8 runners	12/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.13ppOpen → now	12/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.13pp
Fontwell28 Aug 20263m 1f 166y · Class 5 · Good · 5 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	11/2	+1.52ppOpen → 10am	5/1	-3.33pp10am → 1pm	13/2	+0.00pp1pm → SP	13/2	2nd	-1.82pp
Post-race comment
Ludlow10 May 20262m 7f 174y · Class 5 · Good · 8 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	18/1	+1.40ppOpen → 10am	14/1	-0.78pp10am → 1pm	16/1	+1.81pp1pm → SP	12/1	2nd	+2.43pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
SouthwellToday3m 60y · Class 5 · Good · 8 runners	12/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.13ppOpen → now	12/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.13pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 4 of 9 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Athena's Dream is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Ludlow · 10 May 2026 · 2nd · 3/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Southwell · previous Ludlow✓Trip (within ½f): 3m 60y✓Ground: Good✓Class: Class 5

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

Similar moves have usually held or strengthened.

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

No positive support trigger.

This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.

Today: -0.13pp

Possible next price: 12/1

9 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Cappa Lass

Trainer: Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero

Jockey: Toby Wynne

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 41/293; first seen between 10am and 1pm 15/293; first seen after 1pm 7/293.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/4; first seen between 10am and 1pm 1/4; first seen after 1pm 0/4.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.37pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

↔ SAME CLASS

Market Form rating45/100 · Neutral

Last run27 days ago · 4 Sep 2026

Distance changeUp 4.7f from last run

Often drifts in the market

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Pre-Off

Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

10am plunger

Early money horse (25%)

16:00Southwell

Opened 20/1Market avg 22/1

22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1 ↓ 20/1 ↓ 18/1 ↑ 22/1 ↓ 20/1

PRICE MOVE

-0.37pp (-8.3%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

2 of 4 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse had no recorded finishing position at Bangor-on-Dee on 04 Sep 2026 (-21.90pp); and finished 6th at Haydock on 04 Apr 2026 (-3.41pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 8.3% • -0.37 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Bangor-on-Dee, 04 Sep 2026 — finish unavailable • open 5/2 → final 25/1 (-23.93pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

25/1 26 decimal Betfair Sportsbook

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
SouthwellToday3m 60y · Class 5 · Good · 8 runners	20/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.37ppOpen → now	22/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.37pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
SouthwellToday3m 60y · Class 5 · Good · 8 runners	20/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.37ppOpen → now	22/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.37pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

2 of 4 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Cappa Lass is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

Limited data: one similar run only.

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

3 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.

Today: -0.37pp

Possible next price: 18/1

4 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Race market overview as at 03:17

Supported0 of 8 runners at +4pp or more
Drifting0 of 8 runners at −4pp or worse
Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.

16:35Southwell • 1m7f182y • Class 4 • Going: Good

5 runners

Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

Duke of Luckley

Trainer: Martin Keighley

Jockey: Freddie Keighley(5)

🟢 Needs Support (0%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Martin Keighley (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 17/122; first seen between 10am and 1pm 9/122; first seen after 1pm 3/122.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/4; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/4; first seen after 1pm 0/4.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.53pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

⬇ CLASS DROP

Market Form rating63/100 · Neutral

Last run15 days ago · 16 Sep 2026

Distance changeDown 1.2f from last run

Usually attracts bookmaker support

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Late PM

Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 13/8 → 12/1 | Avg: 6/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

10am plunger

Early money horse (25%)

16:35Southwell

Opened 3/1Market avg 3/1

10/3 ↓ 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 ↑ 7/2 ↓ 3/1 → 3/1

PRICE MOVE

-0.53pp (-2.2%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

2 of 4 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 1st at Kelso on 16 Sep 2026 (-5.46pp); and finished 3rd at Newton Abbot on 03 Jul 2026 (-16.67pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 2.2% • -0.53 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Newton Abbot, 03 Jul 2026 — 3rd • open 2/1 → final 4/1 (-13.33pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

7/2 4.5 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
SouthwellToday1m 7f 182y · Class 4 · Good · 9 runners	3/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.53ppOpen → now	3/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.53pp
Kelso16 Sep 20262m 1f 14y · Class 3 · Good To Firm · 3 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	7/4	-5.46ppOpen → 10am	9/4	-3.74pp10am → 1pm	11/4	+11.14pp1pm → SP	13/8	1st	+1.94pp
Post-race comment
Stratford25 Aug 20262m 213y · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 4 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	7/1	+3.85ppOpen → 10am	5/1	-3.33pp10am → 1pm	13/2	+3.33pp1pm → SP	5/1	1st	+3.85pp
Post-race comment
Southwell02 Jun 20261m 7f 182y · Class 4 · Good · 5 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	20/1	+6.35ppOpen → 10am	8/1	-1.11pp10am → 1pm	9/1	-1.67pp1pm → SP	11/1	1st	+3.57pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
SouthwellToday1m 7f 182y · Class 4 · Good · 9 runners	3/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.53ppOpen → now	3/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.53pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

2 of 4 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. The horse drops from Class 3 to Class 4, but the market has not responded with meaningful support. Today’s move: Duke of Luckley is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Southwell · 02 Jun 2026 · 1st · 4/4 known conditions match

✓Track: Southwell✓Trip (within ½f): 1m 7f 182y✓Ground: Good✓Class: Class 4

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

Similar moves have usually held or strengthened.

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

All 3 previous top-two finishes came with support of 1.79pp+.

At 1.79pp+: 3/3 finished 1st or 2nd (100%).

Today: -0.53pp — trigger not reached.

Possible next price: 3/1

4 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Southwell. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Max of Stars

Trainer: Ollie Pears

Jockey: Brian Hughes

🟢 Needs Support (19%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Ollie Pears (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 11/98; first seen between 10am and 1pm 7/98; first seen after 1pm 2/98.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/7; first seen between 10am and 1pm 2/7; first seen after 1pm 1/7.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.34pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

↔ SAME CLASS

Market Form rating42/100 · Negative

Last run22 days ago · 9 Sep 2026

Distance changeDown 1f from last run

Usually attracts bookmaker support

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Opening

Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 3/1 → 5/1 | Avg: 4/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

Early money horse (29%)

16:35Southwell

Opened 11/2Market avg 11/2

6/1 ↓ 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 ↑ 13/2 ↓ 11/2 → 11/2

PRICE MOVE

-0.34pp (-2.2%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

43th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE43rd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

4 of 7 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 4th at Newton Abbot on 22 Aug 2026 (-2.21pp); finished 4th at Thirsk on 24 Jul 2026 (-1.52pp); finished 4th at Newton Abbot on 03 Jul 2026 (-2.22pp); and had no recorded finishing position at Stratford on 19 Apr 2026 (-1.97pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 2.2% • -0.34 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Stratford, 19 Apr 2026 — finish unavailable • open 7/1 → final 10/1 (-3.41pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

13/2 7.5 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
SouthwellToday1m 7f 182y · Class 4 · Good · 9 runners	11/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.34ppOpen → now	11/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.34pp
Sedgefield09 Sep 20262m 178y · Class 4 · Good · 3 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	7/1	+2.88ppOpen → 10am	11/2	+7.71pp10am → 1pm	10/3	+1.91pp1pm → SP	3/1	2nd	+12.50pp
Post-race comment
Ripon18 Jun 20261m 4f 10y · Class 6 · Good · 12 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	7/1	+0.83ppOpen → 10am	13/2	+3.33pp10am → 1pm	5/1	+1.52pp1pm → SP	9/2	2nd	+5.68pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
SouthwellToday1m 7f 182y · Class 4 · Good · 9 runners	11/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.34ppOpen → now	11/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.34pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

4 of 7 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Max of Stars is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Sedgefield · 09 Sep 2026 · 2nd · 2/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Southwell · previous Sedgefield×Trip (within ½f): Today 1m 7f 182y · previous 2m 178y✓Ground: Good✓Class: Class 4

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

Similar moves have usually held their position.

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Both previous top-two finishes came with support of 4.16pp+.

At 4.16pp+: 2/4 finished 1st or 2nd (50%).

Today: -0.34pp — trigger not reached.

Possible next price: 11/2

7 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

King Ulanda

Trainer: Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero

Jockey: Jack Tudor

🟢 Needs Support (6%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 41/293; first seen between 10am and 1pm 15/293; first seen after 1pm 7/293.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/7; first seen between 10am and 1pm 1/7; first seen after 1pm 0/7.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.62pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

↔ SAME CLASS

Market Form rating64/100 · Ranked #5 today

Last run22 days ago · 9 Sep 2026

Distance changeDown 1f from last run

No consistent price pattern yet

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Opening

Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 15/2 → 17/2 | Avg: 8/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

Early money horse (29%)

16:35Southwell

Opened 11/1Market avg 12/1

12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 ↓ 11/1 ↓ 10/1 ↑ 12/1 → 12/1

PRICE MOVE

-0.62pp (-8.0%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

43th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE43rd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

4 of 7 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 4th at Uttoxeter on 13 Jun 2026 (-0.87pp); finished 6th at Huntingdon on 04 Apr 2026 (-3.62pp); had no recorded finishing position at Sedgefield on 19 Mar 2026 (-8.48pp); and had no recorded finishing position at Haydock on 05 Mar 2026 (-3.09pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 8% • -0.62 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Sedgefield, 19 Mar 2026 — finish unavailable • open 11/4 → final 5/1 (-10.00pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

14/1 15 decimal Betfair Sportsbook

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
SouthwellToday1m 7f 182y · Class 4 · Good · 9 runners	11/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.62ppOpen → now	12/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.62pp
Uttoxeter15 Jul 20261m 7f 168y · Class 4 · Good · 6 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	8/1	+1.39ppOpen → 10am	7/1	-0.74pp10am → 1pm	15/2	-1.24pp1pm → SP	17/2	1st	-0.58pp
Post-race comment
Bangor-on-Dee16 May 20262m 1f 77y · Class 4 · Good · 6 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	12/1	+2.31ppOpen → 10am	9/1	+0.00pp10am → 1pm	9/1	+0.00pp1pm → SP	9/1	1st	+2.31pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
SouthwellToday1m 7f 182y · Class 4 · Good · 9 runners	11/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.62ppOpen → now	12/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.62pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

4 of 7 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: King Ulanda is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Uttoxeter · 15 Jul 2026 · 1st · 3/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Southwell · previous Uttoxeter✓Trip (within ½f): 1m 7f 182y✓Ground: Good✓Class: Class 4

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

Similar moves have usually held or strengthened.

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Both previous top-two finishes came with support of 0.65pp+.

At 0.65pp+: 2/3 finished 1st or 2nd (67%).

Today: -0.62pp — trigger not reached.

Possible next price: 12/1

7 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Last Kingdom

Trainer: Faye Bramley

Jockey: Richie McLernon

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Faye Bramley (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 20/154; first seen between 10am and 1pm 6/154; first seen after 1pm 7/154.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/6; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/6; first seen after 1pm 0/6.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.45pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

⬇ CLASS DROP

Market Form rating45/100 · Neutral

Last run139 days ago · 15 May 2026

Distance changeDown 4.2f from last run

Often drifts in the market

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Pre-Off

Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

10am plunger

Best at SP (83%)

16:35Southwell

Opened 14/1Market avg 16/1

16/1 ↓ 14/1 ↑ 16/1 ↓ 14/1 → 14/1 ↑ 16/1 ↓ 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1

PRICE MOVE

-0.45pp (-7.2%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

3 of 6 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 7th at Wincanton on 23 Mar 2026 (-4.23pp); had no recorded finishing position at Newbury on 28 Feb 2026 (-3.07pp); and had no recorded finishing position at Warwick on 07 Feb 2026 (-2.82pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 7.2% • -0.45 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Newbury, 28 Feb 2026 — finish unavailable • open 11/1 → final 33/1 (-5.39pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

16/1 17 decimal BetTom

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
SouthwellToday1m 7f 182y · Class 4 · Good · 9 runners	14/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.45ppOpen → now	16/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.45pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
SouthwellToday1m 7f 182y · Class 4 · Good · 9 runners	14/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.45ppOpen → now	16/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.45pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

3 of 6 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. The horse drops from Class 3 to Class 4, but the market has not responded with meaningful support. Today’s move: Last Kingdom is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

The price has been unpredictable before and may move sharply again. (strong)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

4 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.

Today: -0.45pp

Possible next price: 12/1

6 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Pigeon House

Trainer: Charles & Adam Pogson

Jockey: Beau Morgan(5)

🔴 Ignores MarketThis horse has won or placed despite drifting. Market weakness does NOT negatively impact performance. Can be a value angle when price weakens.

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Charles & Adam Pogson (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 8/54; first seen between 10am and 1pm 5/54; first seen after 1pm 3/54.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/7; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/7; first seen after 1pm 0/7.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.30pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

⬆ CLASS RISE

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run26 days ago · 5 Sep 2026

Distance changeDown 2.8f from last run

Often drifts in the market

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Early PM

Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 9/4 → 50/1 | Avg: 25/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

Mid-market mover (57%)

16:35Southwell

Opened 20/1Market avg 22/1

22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1 ↓ 20/1 ↑ 22/1 → 22/1 ↓ 20/1 ↑ 22/1 ↓ 20/1 → 20/1

PRICE MOVE

-0.30pp (-6.7%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

14th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE14th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

6 of 7 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 4th at Stratford on 05 Sep 2026 (-3.33pp); finished 2nd at Market Rasen on 12 Jun 2026 (-3.57pp); had no recorded finishing position at Bangor-on-Dee on 16 May 2026 (-4.64pp); finished 9th at Southwell (AW) on 02 Apr 2026 (-5.85pp); finished 1st at Catterick on 04 Mar 2026 (-21.59pp); and finished 2nd at Catterick on 09 Feb 2026 (-0.41pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 6.7% • -0.30 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Catterick, 04 Mar 2026 — 1st • open 10/11 → final 9/4 (-21.59pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

22/1 23 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
SouthwellToday1m 7f 182y · Class 4 · Good · 9 runners	20/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.30ppOpen → now	22/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.30pp
Market Rasen12 Jun 20262m 125y · Class 4 · Good · 4 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	11/1	-3.57ppOpen → 10am	20/1	+1.12pp10am → 1pm	16/1	-0.62pp1pm → SP	18/1	2nd	-3.07pp
Post-race comment
Catterick04 Mar 20261m 7f 156y · Class 4 · Good · 8 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	10/11	-21.59ppOpen → 10am	9/4	+0.00pp10am → 1pm	9/4	+2.56pp1pm → SP	2/1	1st	-19.02pp
Post-race comment
Catterick09 Feb 20262m 3f 66y · Class 4 · Soft · 8 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	20/1	-0.41ppOpen → 10am	22/1	-1.41pp10am → 1pm	33/1	+0.00pp1pm → SP	33/1	2nd	-1.82pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
SouthwellToday1m 7f 182y · Class 4 · Good · 9 runners	20/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.30ppOpen → now	22/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.30pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

6 of 7 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. It is also stepping up from Class 5 to Class 4, which adds another test today. Today’s move: Pigeon House is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Catterick · 04 Mar 2026 · 1st · 3/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Southwell · previous Catterick✓Trip (within ½f): 1m 7f 182y✓Ground: Good✓Class: Class 4

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

This price often moves during the day, so keep checking it. (moderate)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

No positive support trigger.

This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.

Today: -0.30pp

Possible next price: 18/1

7 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Race market overview as at 03:17

Supported0 of 9 runners at +4pp or more
Drifting0 of 9 runners at −4pp or worse
Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.

17:10Southwell • 2m4f88y • Class 4 • Going: Good

3 runners

Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

Crack Ops

Trainer: Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero

Jockey: Ben Smith(3)

🟢 Needs Support (25%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 41/293; first seen between 10am and 1pm 15/293; first seen after 1pm 7/293.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 3/5; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/5; first seen after 1pm 0/5.

Most often first apparent by 10am in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.76pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

⬆ CLASS RISE

Market Form rating52/100 · Neutral

Last run138 days ago · 16 May 2026

Distance changeDown 2.9f from last run

Usually attracts bookmaker support

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Opening

Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 13/8 → 5/2 | Avg: 2/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

10am plunger

Early money horse (60%)

17:10Southwell

Opened 5/4Market avg 5/4

5/4 ↑ 11/8 ↓ 5/4 → 5/4 → 5/4 → 5/4 → 5/4 ↑ 6/4 ↓ 5/4 → 5/4

PRICE MOVE

-0.76pp (-1.7%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILESTRONGEST RECORDED DRIFT FOR THIS HORSE (100th percentile)

EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE

Largest drift recorded across 5 previous runs.

Raw Open → Now price change: 1.7% • -0.76 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Catterick, 24 Feb 2026 — 3rd • open 15/8 → final 5/2 (-6.15pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

6/4 2.5 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
SouthwellToday2m 4f 88y · Class 4 · Good · 4 runners	5/4	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.76ppOpen → now	5/4Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.76pp
Uttoxeter16 May 20262m 7f 70y · Class 5 · Good · 7 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	5/2	+9.45ppOpen → 10am	13/8	-1.66pp10am → 1pm	7/4	+0.00pp1pm → SP	7/4	1st	+7.79pp
Post-race comment
Bangor-on-Dee18 Apr 20262m 3f 123y · Class 4 · Good · 7 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	5/1	+8.33ppOpen → 10am	3/1	+8.33pp10am → 1pm	2/1	+1.39pp1pm → SP	15/8	2nd	+18.06pp
Post-race comment
Bangor-on-Dee31 Mar 20262m 145y · Class 4 · Good · 7 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	7/1	+10.59ppOpen → 10am	10/3	+6.32pp10am → 1pm	5/2	-0.84pp1pm → SP	5/2	2nd	+16.07pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
SouthwellToday2m 4f 88y · Class 4 · Good · 4 runners	5/4	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.76ppOpen → now	5/4Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.76pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READTHIS IS THE HORSE’S STRONGEST RECORDED SUPPORT

Across 5 previous runs, this is the horse’s strongest recorded support. It is also stepping up from Class 5 to Class 4, which adds another test today. Today’s move: Crack Ops is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Bangor-on-Dee · 18 Apr 2026 · 2nd · 2/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Southwell · previous Bangor-on-Dee×Trip (within ½f): Today 2m 4f 88y · previous 2m 3f 123y✓Ground: Good✓Class: Class 4

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (strong)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

All 3 previous top-two finishes came with support of 9.45pp+.

At 9.45pp+: 3/3 finished 1st or 2nd (100%).

Today: -0.76pp — trigger not reached.

Possible next price: 5/4

5 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Spot On Soph

Trainer: Sam England

Jockey: Rebecca Hitchen(8)

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Sam England (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 34/275; first seen between 10am and 1pm 21/275; first seen after 1pm 13/275.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/3; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/3; first seen after 1pm 0/3.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.73pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

⬆ CLASS RISE

Market Form rating52/100 · Neutral

Last run22 days ago · 9 Sep 2026

Distance changeUp 0.5f from last run

Often drifts in the market

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Pre-Off

Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: 11/1 → 11/1 | Avg: 11/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

Late money horse (67%)

17:10Southwell

Opened 2/1Market avg 9/4

9/4 → 9/4 → 9/4 ↓ 9/4 ↑ 9/4 ↓ 9/4 ↓ 2/1 ↑ 5/2 ↓ 9/4 ↓ 2/1

PRICE MOVE

-1.73pp (-5.5%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

33th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE33rd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

2 of 3 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 1st at Sedgefield on 09 Sep 2026 (-1.83pp); and finished 5th at Musselburgh on 20 Mar 2026 (-5.19pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 5.5% • -1.73 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Catterick, 24 Feb 2026 — 7th • open 7/1 → final 25/1 (-8.65pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

5/2 3.5 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
SouthwellToday2m 4f 88y · Class 4 · Good · 4 runners	2/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-1.73ppOpen → now	9/4Current; SP pending	Pending	-1.73pp
Sedgefield09 Sep 20262m 3f 188y · Class 5 · Good · 7 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	9/1	-1.83ppOpen → 10am	12/1	+3.42pp10am → 1pm	8/1	-2.02pp1pm → SP	10/1	1st	-0.43pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
SouthwellToday2m 4f 88y · Class 4 · Good · 4 runners	2/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-1.73ppOpen → now	9/4Current; SP pending	Pending	-1.73pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

2 of 3 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. It is also stepping up from Class 5 to Class 4, which adds another test today. Today’s move: Spot On Soph is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Sedgefield · 09 Sep 2026 · 1st · 1/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Southwell · previous Sedgefield×Trip (within ½f): Today 2m 4f 88y · previous 2m 3f 188y✓Ground: Good×Class: Today Class 4 · previous Class 5

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

This matches its usual pattern; support has often arrived later. (strong)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

3 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.

Today: -1.73pp

Possible next price: 15/8

3 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Italian Spirit

Trainer: Harriet Dickin

Jockey: Megan Bevan(6)

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Harriet Dickin (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 6/106; first seen between 10am and 1pm 2/106; first seen after 1pm 3/106.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/6; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/6; first seen after 1pm 0/6.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.10pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

⬆ CLASS RISE

Market Form rating47/100 · Neutral

Last run131 days ago · 23 May 2026

Distance changeDown 0.8f from last run

Usually attracts bookmaker support

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: 10am

Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: 11/1 → 11/1 | Avg: 11/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

10am plunger

Early money horse (33%)

17:10Southwell

Opened 9/1Market avg 9/1

9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 ↓ 17/2 ↑ 9/1 ↑ 10/1

PRICE MOVE

-0.10pp (-1.0%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

2 of 6 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 8th at Cartmel on 23 May 2026 (-5.56pp); and finished 2nd at Ffos Las on 12 Apr 2026 (-0.62pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 1% • -0.10 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Cartmel, 23 May 2026 — 8th • open 5/1 → final 15/2 (-4.90pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

10/1 11 decimal 7Bet

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
SouthwellToday2m 4f 88y · Class 4 · Good · 4 runners	9/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.10ppOpen → now	9/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.10pp
Ffos Las12 Apr 20262m 3f 83y · Class 5 · Good To Soft · 11 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	16/1	-0.62ppOpen → 10am	18/1	+2.43pp10am → 1pm	12/1	+0.64pp1pm → SP	11/1	2nd	+2.45pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
SouthwellToday2m 4f 88y · Class 4 · Good · 4 runners	9/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.10ppOpen → now	9/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.10pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 2 of 6 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. It is also stepping up from Class 5 to Class 4, which adds another test today. Today’s move: Italian Spirit is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Ffos Las · 12 Apr 2026 · 2nd · 0/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Southwell · previous Ffos Las×Trip (within ½f): Today 2m 4f 88y · previous 2m 3f 83y×Ground: Today Good · previous Good To Soft×Class: Today Class 4 · previous Class 5

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

N/A

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

6 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.

Today: -0.10pp

Possible next price: 11/1

6 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Race market overview as at 03:17

Supported0 of 4 runners at +4pp or more
Drifting0 of 4 runners at −4pp or worse
Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.

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