Live Horse Racing Market Movement

14:15Southwell • 2m4f88y • Class 5 • Going: Good

3 runners

Market Intelligence

Strongest support: Noble Recall (+2.27 probability points)

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Noble Recall

Trainer: Anthony Day

Jockey: Isabelle Ryder(5)

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Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Anthony Day (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/11; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/11; first seen after 1pm 1/11.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 2 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +2.27pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/0 won (0%); Open→SP 0/1 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.

↔ SAME CLASS

Market Form rating62/100 · Neutral

Last run21 days ago · 10 Sep 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: 7/1 → 7/1 | Avg: 7/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

The price is shortening, but similar moves have not converted well before.

14:15Southwell

Opened 6/1Market avg 5/1

5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 ↑ 11/2 ↓ 5/1 → 5/1

PRICE MOVE

+2.27pp (+13.7%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

Limited data: 1 similar run only. Not a proven betting pattern.

Raw Open → Now price change: 13.7% • +2.27 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Worcester, 10 Sep 2026 — 1st • open 9/1 → final 7/1 (+2.30pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

6/1 7 decimal Hollywood Bets

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
SouthwellToday2m 4f 88y · Class 5 · Good · 7 runners	6/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+2.27ppOpen → now	5/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+2.27pp
Worcester10 Sep 20262m 4f · Class 5 · Good · 10 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	9/1	+4.08ppOpen → 10am	6/1	-3.17pp10am → 1pm	8/1	+0.00pp1pm → SP	8/1	1st	+0.91pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
SouthwellToday2m 4f 88y · Class 5 · Good · 7 runners	6/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+2.27ppOpen → now	5/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+2.27pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Noble Recall is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Worcester · 10 Sep 2026 · 1st · 3/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Southwell · previous Worcester✓Trip (within ½f): 2m 4f 88y✓Ground: Good✓Class: Class 5

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

Similar moves have usually held or strengthened.

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

1 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.

Today: +2.27pp

Possible next price: 5/1

No historical data

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

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Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

Rockvale

Trainer: Sam Allwood

Jockey: Brendan Powell

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Sam Allwood (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 7/29; first seen between 10am and 1pm 2/29; first seen after 1pm 1/29.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 3/7; first seen between 10am and 1pm 1/7; first seen after 1pm 0/7.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.14pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/4 won (0%); Open→SP 0/6 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.

↔ SAME CLASS

Market Form rating45/100 · Neutral

Last run27 days ago · 4 Sep 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

Usually attracts bookmaker support

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Opening

Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 7/2 → 7/2 | Avg: 7/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

10am plunger

Early money horse (43%)

14:15Southwell

Opened 10/1Market avg 10/1

10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 ↓ 9/1 ↑ 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1

PRICE MOVE

+0.14pp (+1.5%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

43th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE43rd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

4 of 7 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse had no recorded finishing position at Stratford on 12 Jul 2026 (+13.33pp); finished 4th at Bangor-on-Dee on 26 Jun 2026 (+11.11pp); finished 2nd at Uttoxeter on 16 May 2026 (+14.74pp); and finished 8th at Bangor-on-Dee on 21 Mar 2026 (+4.33pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 1.5% • +0.14 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Uttoxeter, 16 May 2026 — 2nd • open 18/1 → final 7/2 (+16.96pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

10/1 11 decimal 7Bet

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
SouthwellToday2m 4f 88y · Class 5 · Good · 7 runners	10/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.14ppOpen → now	10/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.14pp
Uttoxeter16 May 20262m 4f 189y · Class 5 · Good · 10 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	18/1	+14.74ppOpen → 10am	4/1	+3.09pp10am → 1pm	10/3	+0.00pp1pm → SP	10/3	2nd	+17.83pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
SouthwellToday2m 4f 88y · Class 5 · Good · 7 runners	10/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.14ppOpen → now	10/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.14pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

4 of 7 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Rockvale is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Uttoxeter · 16 May 2026 · 2nd · 3/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Southwell · previous Uttoxeter✓Trip (within ½f): 2m 4f 88y✓Ground: Good✓Class: Class 5

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

5 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.

Today: +0.14pp

Possible next price: 10/1

7 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

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Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

My Bobby's Lass

Trainer: Mel Rowley

Jockey: Charlie Deutsch

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Mel Rowley (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 15/89; first seen between 10am and 1pm 6/89; first seen after 1pm 7/89.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 1 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.22pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 3/16 won (18.8%); Open→SP 5/23 won (21.7%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.

↔ SAME CLASS

Market Form rating46/100 · Neutral

Last run27 days ago · 4 Sep 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.

14:15Southwell

Opened 18/1Market avg 18/1

18/1 ↓ 16/1 ↑ 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 ↓ 16/1 ↑ 20/1 ↓ 18/1 → 18/1

PRICE MOVE

+0.22pp (+3.9%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

Raw Open → Now price change: 3.9% • +0.22 probability points

Previous market evidence

No previous positive open-to-final support in the recorded sample.

BEST FIXED ODDS

20/1 21 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
SouthwellToday2m 4f 88y · Class 5 · Good · 7 runners	18/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.22ppOpen → now	18/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.22pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
SouthwellToday2m 4f 88y · Class 5 · Good · 7 runners	18/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.22ppOpen → now	18/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.22pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: My Bobby's Lass is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

N/A

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

1 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.

Today: +0.22pp

Possible next price: 18/1

No historical data

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

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Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

Race market overview as at 03:17

Supported0 of 7 runners at +4pp or more
Drifting0 of 7 runners at −4pp or worse
Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.

14:50Southwell • 3m0f60y • Class 4 • Going: Good

2 runners

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No More No

Trainer: Lawney Hill

Jockey: David Bass

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Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Lawney Hill (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 4/11; first seen between 10am and 1pm 1/11; first seen after 1pm 0/11.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 2 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.13pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 2/4 won (50%); Open→SP 2/5 won (40%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.

⬆ CLASS RISE

Market Form rating45/100 · Neutral

Last run74 days ago · 19 Jul 2026

Distance changeDown 1.5f from last run

Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: 11/4 → 11/4 | Avg: 11/4Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

14:50Southwell

Opened 7/4Market avg 7/4

7/4 → 7/4 → 7/4 → 7/4 → 7/4 → 7/4 → 7/4 ↓ 6/4 ↑ 7/4 → 7/4

PRICE MOVE

+0.13pp (+0.4%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

Raw Open → Now price change: 0.4% • +0.13 probability points

Built 00:00 → 01:30

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Southwell, 09 Jun 2026 — 1st • open 7/1 → final 11/4 (+14.17pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

15/8 2.88 decimal Paddy Power

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
SouthwellToday3m 60y · Class 4 · Good · 4 runners	7/4	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.13ppOpen → now	7/4Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.13pp
Southwell09 Jun 20263m 60y · Class 5 · Good · 7 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	7/1	+14.17ppOpen → 10am	11/4	+2.75pp10am → 1pm	5/2	-9.41pp1pm → SP	4/1	1st	+7.50pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
SouthwellToday3m 60y · Class 4 · Good · 4 runners	7/4	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.13ppOpen → now	7/4Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.13pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. It is also stepping up from Class 5 to Class 4, which adds another test today. Today’s move: No More No is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Southwell · 09 Jun 2026 · 1st · 3/4 known conditions match

✓Track: Southwell✓Trip (within ½f): 3m 60y✓Ground: Good×Class: Today Class 4 · previous Class 5

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

Limited data: one similar run only.

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

2 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.

Today: +0.13pp

Possible next price: 7/4

No historical data

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

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Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Southwell. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

Alright Dai

Trainer: Neil Mulholland

Jockey: Conor O'Farrell

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Neil Mulholland (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 47/331; first seen between 10am and 1pm 30/331; first seen after 1pm 17/331.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/3; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/3; first seen after 1pm 0/3.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +2.12pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 16/70 won (22.9%); Open→SP 23/76 won (30.3%).
Watch for 15pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 35% (7/20).

⬇ CLASS DROP

Market Form rating61/100 · Neutral

Last run188 days ago · 27 Mar 2026

Distance changeUp 4.8f from last run

Often drifts in the market

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Early PM

Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: 2/1 → 2/1 | Avg: 2/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

Mid-market mover (67%)

14:50Southwell

Opened 4/1Market avg 7/2

7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 ↓ 10/3 ↑ 4/1 ↓ 7/2 → 7/2

PRICE MOVE

+2.12pp (+9.6%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILETHE STRONGEST MOVE RECORDED (100th percentile)

EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE

Strongest support recorded across 3 previous runs.

Raw Open → Now price change: 9.6% • +2.12 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Fontwell, 11 Jan 2026 — 1st • open 9/4 → final 2/1 (+2.56pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

4/1 5 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
SouthwellToday3m 60y · Class 4 · Good · 4 runners	4/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+2.12ppOpen → now	7/2Current; SP pending	Pending	+2.12pp
Fontwell11 Jan 20262m 3f 104y · Class 5 · Soft · 6 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	9/4	+0.00ppOpen → 10am	9/4	+1.18pp10am → 1pm	9/4	+4.41pp1pm → SP	7/4	1st	+5.59pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
SouthwellToday3m 60y · Class 4 · Good · 4 runners	4/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+2.12ppOpen → now	7/2Current; SP pending	Pending	+2.12pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READTHIS IS THE HORSE’S STRONGEST RECORDED SUPPORT

Across 3 previous runs, this is the horse’s strongest recorded support. The horse drops from Class 2 to Class 4, but the market has not responded with meaningful support. Today’s move: Alright Dai is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Fontwell · 11 Jan 2026 · 1st · 0/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Southwell · previous Fontwell×Trip (within ½f): Today 3m 60y · previous 2m 3f 104y×Ground: Today Good · previous Soft×Class: Today Class 4 · previous Class 5

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

This price often moves during the day, so keep checking it. (strong)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

3 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.

Today: +2.12pp

Possible next price: 7/2

3 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

Race market overview as at 03:17

Supported0 of 4 runners at +4pp or more
Drifting0 of 4 runners at −4pp or worse
Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.

15:25Southwell • 2m4f88y • Class 4 • Going: Good

2 runners

Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

Moments Away

Trainer: Martin Keighley

Jockey: Sean Bowen

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Martin Keighley (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 17/122; first seen between 10am and 1pm 9/122; first seen after 1pm 3/122.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/3; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/3; first seen after 1pm 0/3.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.35pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 4/22 won (18.2%); Open→SP 4/21 won (19%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 30% (3/10).

⬇ CLASS DROP

Market Form rating52/100 · Neutral

Last run173 days ago · 11 Apr 2026

Distance changeUp 3.5f from last run

No consistent price pattern yet

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Opening

Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: 9/2 → 9/2 | Avg: 9/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

Early money horse (67%)

15:25Southwell

Opened EVSMarket avg EVS

EVS → EVS → EVS → EVS → EVS → EVS ↓ 5/6 ↑ 10/11 ↑ EVS → EVS

PRICE MOVE

+0.35pp (+0.7%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

33th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE33rd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

2 of 3 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 2nd at Chepstow on 15 Mar 2026 (+3.90pp); and finished 3rd at Fairyhouse (IRE) on 14 Jan 2026 (+3.21pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 0.7% • +0.35 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Chepstow, 15 Mar 2026 — 2nd • open 6/1 → final 9/2 (+3.90pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

11/10 2.1 decimal LiveScore Bet

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
SouthwellToday2m 4f 88y · Class 4 · Good · 5 runners	EVS	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.35ppOpen → now	EVSCurrent; SP pending	Pending	+0.35pp
Chepstow15 Mar 20262m 16y · Class 5 · Soft · 8 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	6/1	+3.90ppOpen → 10am	9/2	-2.80pp10am → 1pm	11/2	+1.28pp1pm → SP	5/1	2nd	+2.38pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
SouthwellToday2m 4f 88y · Class 4 · Good · 5 runners	EVS	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.35ppOpen → now	EVSCurrent; SP pending	Pending	+0.35pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

2 of 3 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. The horse drops from Class 1 to Class 4, but the market has not responded with meaningful support. Today’s move: Moments Away is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Chepstow · 15 Mar 2026 · 2nd · 0/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Southwell · previous Chepstow×Trip (within ½f): Today 2m 4f 88y · previous 2m 16y×Ground: Today Good · previous Soft×Class: Today Class 4 · previous Class 5

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (strong)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

3 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.

Today: +0.35pp

Possible next price: EVS

3 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

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Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

Ifyouhaveaplan

Trainer: Louise Allan

Jockey: Jack Quinlan

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Louise Allan (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/18; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/18; first seen after 1pm 1/18.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/4; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/4; first seen after 1pm 0/4.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.05pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/1 won (0%); Open→SP 0/1 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.

↔ SAME CLASS

Market Form rating46/100 · Neutral

Last run16 days ago · 15 Sep 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

Often drifts in the market

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: 10am

Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

Early money horse (50%)

15:25Southwell

Opened 100/1Market avg 100/1

100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1

PRICE MOVE

+0.05pp (+5.2%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILETHE STRONGEST MOVE RECORDED (100th percentile)

EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE

Strongest support recorded across 4 previous runs.

Raw Open → Now price change: 5.2% • +0.05 probability points

Previous market evidence

No previous positive open-to-final support in the recorded sample.

BEST FIXED ODDS

100/1 101 decimal 7Bet

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
SouthwellToday2m 4f 88y · Class 4 · Good · 5 runners	100/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.05ppOpen → now	100/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.05pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
SouthwellToday2m 4f 88y · Class 4 · Good · 5 runners	100/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.05ppOpen → now	100/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.05pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READTHIS IS THE HORSE’S STRONGEST RECORDED SUPPORT

Across 4 previous runs, this is the horse’s strongest recorded support. Today’s move: Ifyouhaveaplan is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

4 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.

Today: +0.05pp

Possible next price: 100/1

4 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

Race market overview as at 03:17

Supported0 of 5 runners at +4pp or more
Drifting0 of 5 runners at −4pp or worse
Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.

16:00Southwell • 3m0f60y • Class 5 • Going: Good

3 runners

Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

Daaris

Trainer: Kevin & Lauren Frost

Jockey: Lee Edwards

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Kevin & Lauren Frost (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 17/114; first seen between 10am and 1pm 7/114; first seen after 1pm 6/114.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/7; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/7; first seen after 1pm 0/7.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.22pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 6/19 won (31.6%); Open→SP 6/26 won (23.1%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.

↔ SAME CLASS

Market Form rating62/100 · Neutral

Last run21 days ago · 10 Sep 2026

Distance changeUp 1.3f from last run

Often drifts in the market

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Late PM

Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 7/2 → 7/2 | Avg: 7/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

Late money horse (29%)

16:00Southwell

Opened 9/2Market avg 9/2

9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2

PRICE MOVE

+0.22pp (+1.2%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

71th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE71st HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

2 of 7 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 3rd at Worcester on 10 Sep 2026 (+3.15pp); and finished 6th at Wolverhampton (AW) on 27 Jan 2026 (+11.33pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 1.2% • +0.22 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Wolverhampton (AW), 27 Jan 2026 — 6th • open 15/2 → final 4/1 (+8.24pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

9/2 5.5 decimal 7Bet

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
SouthwellToday3m 60y · Class 5 · Good · 8 runners	9/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.22ppOpen → now	9/2Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.22pp
Wolverhampton (AW)27 Dec 20251m 5f 218y · Class 6 · Standard · 11 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	11/4	-1.67ppOpen → 10am	3/1	-1.91pp10am → 1pm	10/3	+3.57pp1pm → SP	11/4	1st	+0.00pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
SouthwellToday3m 60y · Class 5 · Good · 8 runners	9/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.22ppOpen → now	9/2Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.22pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 2 of 7 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Daaris is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Wolverhampton (AW) · 27 Dec 2025 · 1st · 0/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Southwell · previous Wolverhampton (AW)×Trip (within ½f): Today 3m 60y · previous 1m 5f 218y×Ground: Today Good · previous Standard×Class: Today Class 5 · previous Class 6

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

Limited data: one similar run only.

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

7 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.

Today: +0.22pp

Possible next price: 9/2

7 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

Ol Parson

Trainer: Jack Jones

Jockey: Sam Twiston-Davies

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Jack Jones (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 29/222; first seen between 10am and 1pm 16/222; first seen after 1pm 9/222.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/3; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/3; first seen after 1pm 0/3.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.25pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 11/41 won (26.8%); Open→SP 12/38 won (31.6%).
Watch for 20pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 50% (2/4).

Market Form rating52/100 · Neutral

Last run64 days ago · 29 Jul 2026

Distance changeUp 2.3f from last run

Often drifts in the market

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Late PM

Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

Late money horse (67%)

16:00Southwell

Opened 5/1Market avg 5/1

5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 ↓ 9/2 ↑ 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 ↑ 11/2 ↓ 9/2 ↑ 5/1

PRICE MOVE

+0.25pp (+1.4%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILETHE STRONGEST MOVE RECORDED (100th percentile)

EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE

Strongest support recorded across 3 previous runs.

Raw Open → Now price change: 1.5% • +0.25 probability points

Previous market evidence

No previous positive open-to-final support in the recorded sample.

BEST FIXED ODDS

11/2 6.5 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
SouthwellToday3m 60y · Class 5 · Good · 8 runners	5/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.25ppOpen → now	5/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.25pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
SouthwellToday3m 60y · Class 5 · Good · 8 runners	5/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.25ppOpen → now	5/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.25pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READTHIS IS THE HORSE’S STRONGEST RECORDED SUPPORT

Across 3 previous runs, this is the horse’s strongest recorded support. Today’s move: Ol Parson is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

This early support is unusual; the price has often drifted again later. (strong)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

3 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.

Today: +0.25pp

Possible next price: 5/1

3 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

Could Be You

Trainer: Neil Mulholland

Jockey: Richie McLernon

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Neil Mulholland (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 47/331; first seen between 10am and 1pm 30/331; first seen after 1pm 17/331.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 2/6; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/6; first seen after 1pm 0/6.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.09pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 16/70 won (22.9%); Open→SP 23/76 won (30.3%).
Watch for 15pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 35% (7/20).

↔ SAME CLASS

Market Form rating46/100 · Neutral

Last run21 days ago · 10 Sep 2026

Distance changeUp 1.3f from last run

Often drifts in the market

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Opening

Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

10am plunger

Early money horse (33%)

16:00Southwell

Opened 9/1Market avg 9/1

9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 ↓ 17/2 ↑ 9/1 → 9/1 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 10/1 ↓ 17/2 ↑ 9/1

PRICE MOVE

+0.09pp (+0.9%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

2 of 6 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse had no recorded finishing position at Worcester on 19 Aug 2026 (+9.77pp); and finished 9th at Ffos Las on 21 Apr 2026 (+12.50pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 0.9% • +0.09 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Ffos Las, 21 Apr 2026 — 9th • open 7/1 → final 10/3 (+10.59pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

10/1 11 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
SouthwellToday3m 60y · Class 5 · Good · 8 runners	9/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.09ppOpen → now	9/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.09pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
SouthwellToday3m 60y · Class 5 · Good · 8 runners	9/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.09ppOpen → now	9/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.09pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 2 of 6 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Could Be You is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

Limited data: one similar run only.

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

3 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.

Today: +0.09pp

Possible next price: 9/1

6 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

Race market overview as at 03:17

Supported0 of 8 runners at +4pp or more
Drifting0 of 8 runners at −4pp or worse
Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.

16:35Southwell • 1m7f182y • Class 4 • Going: Good

4 runners

Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

Granny Hawkins

Trainer: Alan King

Jockey: Tom Cannon

🔴 Ignores MarketThis horse has won or placed despite drifting. Market weakness does NOT negatively impact performance. Can be a value angle when price weakens.

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Alan King (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 36/255; first seen between 10am and 1pm 17/255; first seen after 1pm 16/255.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/3; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/3; first seen after 1pm 0/3.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.38pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 17/46 won (37%); Open→SP 21/58 won (36.2%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 44.4% (12/27).

↔ SAME CLASS

Market Form rating63/100 · Neutral

Last run88 days ago · 5 Jul 2026

Distance changeDown 0.7f from last run

Often drifts in the market

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Early PM

Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: 2/1 → 4/1 | Avg: 3/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

Early money horse (33%)

16:35Southwell

Opened 7/2Market avg 7/2

7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 ↓ 10/3 → 10/3 ↑ 7/2 ↓ 10/3 ↑ 7/2 ↓ 10/3 → 10/3

PRICE MOVE

+0.38pp (+1.7%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILETHE STRONGEST MOVE RECORDED (100th percentile)

EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE

Strongest support recorded across 3 previous runs.

Raw Open → Now price change: 1.7% • +0.38 probability points

Previous market evidence

No previous positive open-to-final support in the recorded sample.

BEST FIXED ODDS

7/2 4.5 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
SouthwellToday1m 7f 182y · Class 4 · Good · 9 runners	7/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.38ppOpen → now	7/2Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.38pp
Stratford19 Apr 20262m 70y · Class 4 · Good · 10 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	10/3	-4.91ppOpen → 10am	9/2	+1.82pp10am → 1pm	4/1	+2.22pp1pm → SP	7/2	1st	-0.87pp
Post-race comment
Hereford07 Mar 20262m 53y · Class 5 · Good · 8 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	5/4	-8.08ppOpen → 10am	7/4	-1.64pp10am → 1pm	15/8	-3.95pp1pm → SP	9/4	1st	-13.68pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
SouthwellToday1m 7f 182y · Class 4 · Good · 9 runners	7/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.38ppOpen → now	7/2Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.38pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READTHIS IS THE HORSE’S STRONGEST RECORDED SUPPORT

Across 3 previous runs, this is the horse’s strongest recorded support. Today’s move: Granny Hawkins is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Stratford · 19 Apr 2026 · 1st · 3/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Southwell · previous Stratford✓Trip (within ½f): 1m 7f 182y✓Ground: Good✓Class: Class 4

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

N/A

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

No positive support trigger.

This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.

Today: +0.38pp

Possible next price: 10/3

3 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

King of The Road

Trainer: Ben Pauling

Jockey: Callum Pritchard

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Ben Pauling (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 57/290; first seen between 10am and 1pm 36/290; first seen after 1pm 4/290.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/3; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/3; first seen after 1pm 0/3.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.07pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 22/76 won (28.9%); Open→SP 20/71 won (28.2%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 31.4% (11/35).

↔ SAME CLASS

Market Form rating45/100 · Neutral

Last run134 days ago · 20 May 2026

Distance changeDown 5.2f from last run

Often drifts in the market

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Opening

Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

Early money horse (33%)

16:35Southwell

Opened 9/2Market avg 9/2

9/2 → 9/2 ↓ 4/1 ↑ 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2

PRICE MOVE

+0.07pp (+0.4%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

33th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE33rd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

2 of 3 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 4th at Warwick on 20 May 2026 (+2.31pp); and finished 9th at Wincanton on 15 Jan 2026 (+1.05pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 0.4% • +0.07 probability points

Previous market evidence

No previous positive open-to-final support in the recorded sample.

BEST FIXED ODDS

9/2 5.5 decimal 7Bet

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
SouthwellToday1m 7f 182y · Class 4 · Good · 9 runners	9/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.07ppOpen → now	9/2Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.07pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
SouthwellToday1m 7f 182y · Class 4 · Good · 9 runners	9/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.07ppOpen → now	9/2Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.07pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

2 of 3 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: King of The Road is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

Limited data: one similar run only.

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

3 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.

Today: +0.07pp

Possible next price: 9/2

3 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

Wild Goose

Trainer: Kim Bailey & Mat Nicholls

Jockey: Aamilah Aswat(10)

🟢 Needs Support (19%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Kim Bailey & Mat Nicholls (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 25/108; first seen between 10am and 1pm 9/108; first seen after 1pm 1/108.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/3; first seen between 10am and 1pm 1/3; first seen after 1pm 0/3.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.35pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 5/29 won (17.2%); Open→SP 5/24 won (20.8%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 27.3% (3/11).

↔ SAME CLASS

Market Form rating52/100 · Neutral

Last run150 days ago · 4 May 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

Usually attracts bookmaker support

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Opening

Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: 13/8 → 9/4 | Avg: 2/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

10am plunger

Early money horse (67%)

16:35Southwell

Opened 5/1Market avg 5/1

5/1 ↓ 9/2 ↑ 5/1 ↓ 9/2 ↑ 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 ↑ 11/2 ↓ 9/2 ↑ 5/1

PRICE MOVE

+0.35pp (+2.1%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

33th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE33rd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

2 of 3 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 1st at Hereford on 16 Apr 2026 (+3.95pp); and finished 2nd at Kempton on 23 Mar 2026 (+16.67pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 2.1% • +0.35 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Kempton, 23 Mar 2026 — 2nd • open 5/1 → final 9/4 (+14.10pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

11/2 6.5 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
SouthwellToday1m 7f 182y · Class 4 · Good · 9 runners	5/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.35ppOpen → now	5/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.35pp
Hereford16 Apr 20262m 53y · Class 4 · Good · 9 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	9/4	+3.95ppOpen → 10am	15/8	+1.64pp10am → 1pm	7/4	+1.80pp1pm → SP	13/8	1st	+7.40pp
Post-race comment
Kempton23 Mar 20262m · Class 4 · Good · 8 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	5/1	+16.67ppOpen → 10am	2/1	-4.76pp10am → 1pm	5/2	+2.20pp1pm → SP	9/4	2nd	+14.10pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
SouthwellToday1m 7f 182y · Class 4 · Good · 9 runners	5/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.35ppOpen → now	5/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.35pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

2 of 3 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Wild Goose is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Hereford · 16 Apr 2026 · 1st · 3/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Southwell · previous Hereford✓Trip (within ½f): 1m 7f 182y✓Ground: Good✓Class: Class 4

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (strong)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Both previous top-two finishes came with support of 7.25pp+.

At 7.25pp+: 2/2 finished 1st or 2nd (100%).

Today: +0.35pp — trigger not reached.

Possible next price: 5/1

3 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

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Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

Bluegrass

Trainer: Stuart Edmunds

Jockey: Charlie Hammond

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Stuart Edmunds (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 8/109; first seen between 10am and 1pm 17/109; first seen after 1pm 7/109.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/5; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/5; first seen after 1pm 0/5.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.34pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 6/24 won (25%); Open→SP 5/25 won (20%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 22.2% (2/9).

⬇ CLASS DROP

Market Form rating45/100 · Neutral

Last run152 days ago · 2 May 2026

Distance changeDown 4.1f from last run

No consistent price pattern yet

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: 10am

Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

Early money horse (40%)

16:35Southwell

Opened 13/2Market avg 13/2

13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 ↓ 6/1 ↑ 13/2 ↓ 6/1 ↓ 11/2 ↑ 13/2 ↓ 6/1 ↑ 13/2

PRICE MOVE

+0.34pp (+2.5%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

80th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE80th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE

Only 1 of 5 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 4th at Fakenham on 13 Mar 2026 (+4.91pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 2.5% • +0.34 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Fakenham, 13 Mar 2026 — 4th • open 9/2 → final 10/3 (+4.91pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

13/2 7.5 decimal 7Bet

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
SouthwellToday1m 7f 182y · Class 4 · Good · 9 runners	13/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.34ppOpen → now	13/2Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.34pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
SouthwellToday1m 7f 182y · Class 4 · Good · 9 runners	13/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.34ppOpen → now	13/2Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.34pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 1 of 5 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. The horse drops from Class 3 to Class 4, but the market has not responded with meaningful support. Today’s move: Bluegrass is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

5 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.

Today: +0.34pp

Possible next price: 7/1

5 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

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Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

Race market overview as at 03:17

Supported0 of 9 runners at +4pp or more
Drifting0 of 9 runners at −4pp or worse
Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.

17:10Southwell • 2m4f88y • Class 4 • Going: Good

1 runners

Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

Rock Hurley

Trainer: Donald McCain

Jockey: Harry Brown(8)

🟢 Needs Support (48%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Donald McCain (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 34/346; first seen between 10am and 1pm 26/346; first seen after 1pm 15/346.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/6; first seen between 10am and 1pm 3/6; first seen after 1pm 0/6.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +1.90pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 12/49 won (24.5%); Open→SP 14/57 won (24.6%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 28% (7/25).

⬆ CLASS RISE

Market Form rating52/100 · Neutral

Last run23 days ago · 8 Sep 2026

Distance changeUp 0.8f from last run

Usually attracts bookmaker support

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Opening

Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: 9/4 → 11/4 | Avg: 5/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

10am plunger

Early money horse (50%)

17:10Southwell

Opened 11/4Market avg 5/2

5/2 → 5/2 → 5/2 → 5/2 → 5/2 → 5/2 → 5/2 → 5/2 → 5/2 → 5/2

PRICE MOVE

+1.90pp (+6.7%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

33th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE33rd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

4 of 6 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 2nd at Bangor-on-Dee on 08 Sep 2026 (+2.78pp); finished 1st at Bangor-on-Dee on 26 Jun 2026 (+13.19pp); finished 3rd at Bangor-on-Dee on 23 May 2026 (+4.12pp); and finished 4th at Bangor-on-Dee on 21 Mar 2026 (+3.57pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 6.7% • +1.90 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Bangor-on-Dee, 08 Sep 2026 — 2nd • open 11/1 → final 11/4 (+18.33pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

11/4 3.75 decimal Paddy Power

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
SouthwellToday2m 4f 88y · Class 4 · Good · 4 runners	11/4	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+1.90ppOpen → now	5/2Current; SP pending	Pending	+1.90pp
Bangor-on-Dee08 Sep 20262m 3f 123y · Class 5 · Good · 7 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	11/1	+2.78ppOpen → 10am	8/1	+3.17pp10am → 1pm	6/1	+12.38pp1pm → SP	11/4	2nd	+18.33pp
Post-race comment
Bangor-on-Dee26 Jun 20262m 7f 32y · Class 5 · Good · 8 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	11/2	+13.19ppOpen → 10am	5/2	+7.79pp10am → 1pm	7/4	-3.03pp1pm → SP	2/1	1st	+17.95pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
SouthwellToday2m 4f 88y · Class 4 · Good · 4 runners	11/4	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+1.90ppOpen → now	5/2Current; SP pending	Pending	+1.90pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

4 of 6 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. It is also stepping up from Class 5 to Class 4, which adds another test today. Today’s move: Rock Hurley is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Bangor-on-Dee · 08 Sep 2026 · 2nd · 1/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Southwell · previous Bangor-on-Dee×Trip (within ½f): Today 2m 4f 88y · previous 2m 3f 123y✓Ground: Good×Class: Today Class 4 · previous Class 5

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Both previous top-two finishes came with support of 15.38pp+.

At 15.38pp+: 2/2 finished 1st or 2nd (100%).

Today: +1.90pp — trigger not reached.

Possible next price: 5/2

6 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

Race market overview as at 03:17

Supported0 of 4 runners at +4pp or more
Drifting0 of 4 runners at −4pp or worse
Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.

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