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Runners Today
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AscotDundalk (AW)Gowran ParkHexhamNewcastle (AW)Wolverhampton (AW)
ALLBACKED 💰DRIFTERS
01 · Strongest support
Racing silks
Asheyra
50
18:15 Newcastle (AW)
+2.66pp
True move after NR adjustment · EVS → 10/11
02 · Repeat evidence
No repeat signal active
No upcoming runner currently matches a previous successful market pattern.
03 · Weak favourite
Racing silks
Noozhaa
50
17:45 Newcastle (AW)
-2.10pp
True move after NR adjustment · 10/11 → EVS
Runner
Bookmaker move
Evidence
What to do next
16:05Newcastle (AW) • 1m2f42y • Class 6 • Going: Standard
7 runners
Market Intelligence
Strongest support: Rajawail (+0.06 probability points)
LAST 5 MINUTE MOVES
Rajawail → 101 → 81 (19.8%)
Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

Racing silksGemini ManDraw 5
Trainer: Iain Jardine
Jockey: Andrew Mullen
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Iain Jardine (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 45/472; first seen between 10am and 1pm 26/472; first seen after 1pm 9/472.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 4/13; first seen between 10am and 1pm 2/13; first seen after 1pm 1/13.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.06pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 15/60 won (25%); Open→SP 11/54 won (20.4%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 26.1% (6/23).
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run7 days ago · 25 Sep 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 13 | Fixed-odds range: 8/11 → 13/2 | Avg: 7/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (54%)
16:05Newcastle (AW)
Opened 10/3Market avg 10/3
10/3 → 10/3 → 10/3 → 10/3 → 10/3 → 10/3 ↓ 10/3 ↑ 10/3 → 10/3 → 10/3
PRICE MOVE
+0.06pp (+0.3%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
38th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE38th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
8 of 13 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 4th at Newcastle (AW) on 19 Sep 2026 (+4.58pp); finished 4th at Musselburgh on 07 Aug 2026 (+10.39pp); finished 2nd at Musselburgh on 31 Jul 2026 (+1.90pp); had no recorded finishing position at Musselburgh on 30 Jun 2026 (+7.79pp); finished 1st at Musselburgh on 22 Jun 2026 (+3.90pp); finished 2nd at Wolverhampton (AW) on 10 Mar 2026 (+11.11pp); finished 1st at Wolverhampton (AW) on 23 Feb 2026 (+8.57pp); and finished 6th at Musselburgh on 31 Jan 2026 (+1.76pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 0.3% • +0.06 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Wolverhampton (AW), 10 Mar 2026 — 2nd • open 2/1 → final 8/11 (+24.47pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
7/2 4.5 decimal William Hill
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Newcastle (AW)Today1m 2f 42y · Class 6 · Standard · 10 runners10/3—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.06ppOpen → now10/3Current; SP pendingPending+0.06pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

8 of 13 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Gemini Man is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Newcastle (AW) · 25 Sep 2026 · 2nd · 4/4 known conditions match
✓Track: Newcastle (AW)✓Trip (within ½f): 1m 2f 42y✓Ground: Standard✓Class: Class 6
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
No positive support trigger.
This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.
Today: +0.06pp
Possible next price: 10/3
13 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Course record
Course evidence at Newcastle (AW) stands at 3 placed efforts from 5 runs. Today's market is 28% shorter than usual compared with a long-term course average SP of 6.0.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Racing silksJetpack JimmyDraw 1
Trainer: Simon Whitaker
Jockey: Andrew Elliott
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Simon Whitaker (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 5/72; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/72; first seen after 1pm 1/72.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/3; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/3; first seen after 1pm 0/3.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.11pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/3 won (0%); Open→SP 0/4 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
⬇ CLASS DROP
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run15 days ago · 17 Sep 2026
Distance changeUp 2.2f from last run
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Late PM
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Late money horse (33%)
16:05Newcastle (AW)
Opened 9/1Market avg 9/1
17/2 ↑ 9/1 → 9/1 ↓ 17/2 → 17/2 ↑ 9/1 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 9/1 ↓ 17/2 → 17/2
PRICE MOVE
+0.11pp (+1.1%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILETHE STRONGEST MOVE RECORDED (100th percentile)
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest support recorded across 3 previous runs.
Raw Open → Now price change: 1.1% • +0.11 probability points
Previous market evidence

No previous positive open-to-final support in the recorded sample.

BEST FIXED ODDS
10/1 11 decimal Paddy Power
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Newcastle (AW)Today1m 2f 42y · Class 6 · Standard · 10 runners9/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.11ppOpen → now9/1Current; SP pendingPending+0.11pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READTHIS IS THE HORSE’S STRONGEST RECORDED SUPPORT

Across 3 previous runs, this is the horse’s strongest recorded support. The horse drops from Class 4 to Class 6, but the market has not responded with meaningful support. Today’s move: Jetpack Jimmy is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
3 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: +0.11pp
Possible next price: 8/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Newcastle (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Racing silksMillbuieDraw 9
Trainer: Ewan Whillans
Jockey: Joanna Mason
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Ewan Whillans (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 22/205; first seen between 10am and 1pm 14/205; first seen after 1pm 2/205.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/13; first seen between 10am and 1pm 1/13; first seen after 1pm 0/13.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.07pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 3/28 won (10.7%); Open→SP 1/27 won (3.7%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 10% (1/10).
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run11 days ago · 21 Sep 2026
Distance changeUp 1.9f from last run
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Early
Runs: 13 | Fixed-odds range: 17/2 → 12/1 | Avg: 10/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (31%)
16:05Newcastle (AW)
Opened 9/1Market avg 9/1
17/2 ↑ 9/1 → 9/1 ↓ 17/2 → 17/2 ↑ 9/1 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 9/1 ↓ 17/2 → 17/2
PRICE MOVE
+0.07pp (+0.6%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
23th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE23rd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
10 of 13 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 2nd at Hamilton on 21 Sep 2026 (+1.68pp); finished 3rd at Ayr on 10 Aug 2026 (+10.71pp); finished 2nd at Newcastle (AW) on 31 Jul 2026 (+1.79pp); finished 7th at Ayr on 13 Jul 2026 (+4.17pp); finished 3rd at Ayr on 05 Jul 2026 (+2.31pp); finished 10th at Hamilton on 10 Jun 2026 (+1.81pp); finished 3rd at Newcastle (AW) on 02 Jun 2026 (+4.33pp); finished 8th at Newcastle (AW) on 12 Mar 2026 (+0.76pp); finished 4th at Newcastle (AW) on 15 Feb 2026 (+0.95pp); and finished 6th at Newcastle (AW) on 22 Jan 2026 (+0.90pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 0.6% • +0.07 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Ayr, 10 Aug 2026 — 3rd • open 6/1 → final 11/4 (+12.38pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
10/1 11 decimal Betfair Sportsbook
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Newcastle (AW)Today1m 2f 42y · Class 6 · Standard · 10 runners9/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.07ppOpen → now9/1Current; SP pendingPending+0.07pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

10 of 13 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Millbuie is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Newcastle (AW) · 31 Jul 2026 · 2nd · 3/4 known conditions match
✓Track: Newcastle (AW)✓Trip (within ½f): 1m 2f 42y×Ground: Today Standard · previous Standard / Slow✓Class: Class 6
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.Comparable moves have had few top-two finishes. Be cautious.
Did the early price move fade?

Recorded examples where 5pp+ early support was followed by a longer final price:

  • Newcastle (AW), 02 Jun 2026 — 3rd • open 20/1 → 1pm 9/1 → final 12/1
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
No positive support trigger.
This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.
Today: +0.07pp
Possible next price: 8/1
13 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Course record
At Newcastle (AW) this horse has recorded 1 placed effort from 6 runs. The current market is 35% shorter than usual against an average course SP profile of 15.3.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Racing silksDaring LeaderDraw 8
Trainer: Christopher Kellett
Jockey: Paul Mulrennan
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Christopher Kellett (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 2/58; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/58; first seen after 1pm 0/58.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/8; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/8; first seen after 1pm 0/8.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.28pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/1 won (100%); Open→SP 1/1 won (100%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run11 days ago · 21 Sep 2026
Distance changeUp 1.9f from last run
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 8 | Fixed-odds range: 5/1 → 5/1 | Avg: 5/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (38%)
16:05Newcastle (AW)
Opened 10/1Market avg 10/1
10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 ↓ 9/1 → 9/1 ↑ 10/1 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 12/1 ↓ 9/1 → 9/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.28pp (+3.0%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
2 of 8 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 4th at Hamilton on 21 Sep 2026 (+0.60pp); and finished 1st at Pontefract on 29 Jun 2026 (+5.64pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 3% • +0.28 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Pontefract, 29 Jun 2026 — 1st • open 12/1 → final 5/1 (+8.97pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
12/1 13 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Newcastle (AW)Today1m 2f 42y · Class 6 · Standard · 10 runners10/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.28ppOpen → now10/1Current; SP pendingPending+0.28pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 2 of 8 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Daring Leader is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Pontefract · 29 Jun 2026 · 1st · 1/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Newcastle (AW) · previous Pontefract×Trip (within ½f): Today 1m 2f 42y · previous 1m 6y×Ground: Today Standard · previous Good✓Class: Class 6
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have usually held their position.
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
8 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: +0.28pp
Possible next price: 8/1
8 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Course record
This horse is 0/2 at Newcastle (AW) on our records. Today's market is 54% shorter than usual against an average course SP of 23.0.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Racing silksDistinctionDraw 10
Trainer: John Mackie
Jockey: Connor Beasley
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer John Mackie (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 6/112; first seen between 10am and 1pm 7/112; first seen after 1pm 5/112.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/11; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/11; first seen after 1pm 0/11.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.12pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 2/12 won (16.7%); Open→SP 6/16 won (37.5%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 71.4% (5/7).
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run15 days ago · 17 Sep 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 11 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (36%)
16:05Newcastle (AW)
Opened 11/1Market avg 11/1
11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 ↓ 9/1 ↑ 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.12pp (+1.4%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
91th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE91st HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
Only 1 of 11 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 8th at Southwell (AW) on 06 Aug 2026 (+1.12pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 1.4% • +0.12 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Beverley, 29 Aug 2026 — 5th • open 10/1 → final 8/1 (+2.02pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
12/1 13 decimal Betfair Sportsbook
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Newcastle (AW)Today1m 2f 42y · Class 6 · Standard · 10 runners11/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.12ppOpen → now11/1Current; SP pendingPending+0.12pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 1 of 11 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Distinction is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.Comparable moves have had few top-two finishes. Be cautious.
Did the early price move fade?

No documented early-support reversal in this horse’s recorded checkpoint sample. The older wording referred to finishing results, not a verified intraday price fade.

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
11 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: +0.12pp
Possible next price: 11/1
11 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Racing silksSovereign BrightDraw 7
Trainer: Charlie Johnston
Jockey: Jack Callan
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Charlie Johnston (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 71/702; first seen between 10am and 1pm 46/702; first seen after 1pm 25/702.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/7; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/7; first seen after 1pm 0/7.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.26pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 23/102 won (22.5%); Open→SP 25/109 won (22.9%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 36.8% (14/38).
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run38 days ago · 25 Aug 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (29%)
16:05Newcastle (AW)
Opened 14/1Market avg 14/1
12/1 ↑ 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 ↓ 12/1 ↑ 14/1 ↓ 11/1 ↑ 14/1 → 14/1 ↓ 12/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.26pp (+3.8%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
71th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE71st HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
2 of 7 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 6th at Lingfield (AW) on 25 Aug 2026 (+9.67pp); and finished 12th at Musselburgh on 26 Apr 2026 (+2.42pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 3.8% • +0.26 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Lingfield (AW), 25 Aug 2026 — 6th • open 16/1 → final 11/2 (+9.67pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
14/1 15 decimal Bet Victor
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Newcastle (AW)Today1m 2f 42y · Class 6 · Standard · 10 runners14/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.26ppOpen → now14/1Current; SP pendingPending+0.26pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 2 of 7 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Sovereign Bright is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
7 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: +0.26pp
Possible next price: 10/1
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Newcastle (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Racing silksRajawailDraw 6
Trainer: Brian Rothwell
Jockey: Faye McManoman
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Brian Rothwell (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/43; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/43; first seen after 1pm 0/43.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/9; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/9; first seen after 1pm 0/9.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.06pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/0 won (0%); Open→SP 0/0 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run7 days ago · 25 Sep 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 9 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
LAST MINUTE BACKING (19.8%)
Late money horse (67%)
16:05Newcastle (AW)
Opened 100/1Market avg 100/1
100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 ↓ 80/1 ↑ 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 ↓ 80/1 → 80/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.06pp (+6.0%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
89th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE89th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
Only 1 of 9 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 10th at Beverley on 16 Jun 2026 (+0.73pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 6% • +0.06 probability points
Previous market evidence

No previous positive open-to-final support in the recorded sample.

BEST FIXED ODDS
100/1 101 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Newcastle (AW)Today1m 2f 42y · Class 6 · Standard · 10 runners100/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.06ppOpen → now100/1Current; SP pendingPending+0.06pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 1 of 9 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Rajawail is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This early support is unusual; the price has often drifted again later. (strong)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
9 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: +0.06pp
Possible next price: 66/1
9 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Course record
No placed efforts from 2 previous runs at Newcastle (AW). The current market is 62% shorter than usual compared with a typical course SP of 251.0.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Race market overview as at 05:16
  • Supported0 of 10 runners at +4pp or more
  • Drifting0 of 10 runners at −4pp or worse
  • Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
  • Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.
16:40Newcastle (AW) • 1m2f42y • Class 6 • Going: Standard
5 runners
Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

Racing silksHaltonwoodDraw 6
Trainer: Ivan Furtado
Jockey: Jason Hart
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Ivan Furtado (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 40/416; first seen between 10am and 1pm 22/416; first seen after 1pm 13/416.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/5; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/5; first seen after 1pm 0/5.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.87pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 8/54 won (14.8%); Open→SP 9/56 won (16.1%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 20.8% (5/24).
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run120 days ago · 4 Jun 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Best at SP (40%)
16:40Newcastle (AW)
Opened 4/1Market avg 4/1
4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 ↓ 7/2 ↑ 4/1 → 4/1 ↓ 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2
PRICE MOVE
+0.87pp (+4.2%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILETHE STRONGEST MOVE RECORDED (100th percentile)
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest support recorded across 5 previous runs.
Raw Open → Now price change: 4.2% • +0.87 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Doncaster, 16 May 2026 — 4th • open 33/1 → final 28/1 (+0.51pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
4/1 5 decimal BetTom
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Newcastle (AW)Today1m 2f 42y · Class 6 · Standard · 10 runners4/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.87ppOpen → now4/1Current; SP pendingPending+0.87pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READTHIS IS THE HORSE’S STRONGEST RECORDED SUPPORT

Across 5 previous runs, this is the horse’s strongest recorded support. Today’s move: Haltonwood is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
The price has been unpredictable before and may move sharply again. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
5 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: +0.87pp
Possible next price: 3/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Course record
No placed efforts from 2 previous runs at Newcastle (AW). The current market is 91% shorter than usual compared with a typical course SP of 54.0.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Racing silksTypefaceDraw 2
Trainer: Ian Williams
Jockey: Stevie Donohoe
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Ian Williams (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 66/593; first seen between 10am and 1pm 45/593; first seen after 1pm 21/593.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 2/6; first seen between 10am and 1pm 2/6; first seen after 1pm 0/6.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +1.31pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 28/98 won (28.6%); Open→SP 27/103 won (26.2%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 33.3% (16/48).
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run13 days ago · 19 Sep 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (67%)
16:40Newcastle (AW)
Opened 5/1Market avg 9/2
9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2
PRICE MOVE
+1.31pp (+7.3%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
33th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE33rd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
4 of 6 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 4th at Bath on 12 Sep 2026 (+6.26pp); finished 3rd at Ffos Las on 23 Jun 2026 (+21.36pp); finished 4th at Yarmouth on 28 May 2026 (+1.67pp); and finished 6th at Doncaster on 16 May 2026 (+3.33pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 7.3% • +1.31 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Ffos Las, 23 Jun 2026 — 3rd • open 5/1 → final 11/10 (+30.95pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
5/1 6 decimal William Hill
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Newcastle (AW)Today1m 2f 42y · Class 6 · Standard · 10 runners5/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+1.31ppOpen → now9/2Current; SP pendingPending+1.31pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

4 of 6 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Typeface is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (strong)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
6 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: +1.31pp
Possible next price: 9/2
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Newcastle (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Racing silksTiberio ForceDraw 7
Trainer: Simon Whitaker
Jockey: Mark Winn
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Simon Whitaker (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 5/72; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/72; first seen after 1pm 1/72.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/7; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/7; first seen after 1pm 1/7.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.04pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/3 won (0%); Open→SP 0/4 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run10 days ago · 22 Sep 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 15/2 → 15/2 | Avg: 15/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Best at SP (57%)
16:40Newcastle (AW)
Opened 13/2Market avg 13/2
13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 ↓ 6/1 ↑ 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 ↓ 6/1 ↑ 13/2
PRICE MOVE
+0.04pp (+0.3%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
29th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE29th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
5 of 7 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 1st at Ripon on 31 Aug 2026 (+1.30pp); finished 9th at Ripon on 15 Aug 2026 (+0.22pp); finished 8th at Newcastle (AW) on 31 Jul 2026 (+5.56pp); finished 7th at Redcar on 25 May 2026 (+2.52pp); and finished 6th at Ripon on 17 May 2026 (+0.64pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 0.3% • +0.04 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Redcar, 25 May 2026 — 7th • open 15/2 → final 9/2 (+6.42pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
7/1 8 decimal Paddy Power
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Newcastle (AW)Today1m 2f 42y · Class 6 · Standard · 10 runners13/2—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.04ppOpen → now13/2Current; SP pendingPending+0.04pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

5 of 7 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Tiberio Force is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Ripon · 31 Aug 2026 · 1st · 2/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Newcastle (AW) · previous Ripon✓Trip (within ½f): 1m 2f 42y×Ground: Today Standard · previous Soft✓Class: Class 6
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
The price has been unpredictable before and may move sharply again. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
7 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: +0.04pp
Possible next price: 13/2
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Newcastle (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Racing silksMystic WaveDraw 8
Trainer: David Thompson
Jockey: Aiden Brookes
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer David Thompson (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 3/87; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/87; first seen after 1pm 2/87.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/3; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/3; first seen after 1pm 0/3.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.15pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/3 won (33.3%); Open→SP 1/5 won (20%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
⬇ CLASS DROP
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run30 days ago · 2 Sep 2026
Distance changeUp 4.2f from last run
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Late money horse (67%)
16:40Newcastle (AW)
Opened 66/1Market avg 66/1
66/1 → 66/1 → 66/1 → 66/1 ↓ 66/1 ↑ 66/1 ↓ 50/1 ↑ 66/1 → 66/1 ↑ 66/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.15pp (+9.9%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILETHE STRONGEST MOVE RECORDED (100th percentile)
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest support recorded across 3 previous runs.
Raw Open → Now price change: 9.9% • +0.15 probability points
Previous market evidence

No previous positive open-to-final support in the recorded sample.

BEST FIXED ODDS
66/1 71 decimal 7Bet
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Newcastle (AW)Today1m 2f 42y · Class 6 · Standard · 10 runners66/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.15ppOpen → now66/1Current; SP pendingPending+0.15pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READTHIS IS THE HORSE’S STRONGEST RECORDED SUPPORT

Across 3 previous runs, this is the horse’s strongest recorded support. The horse drops from Class 4 to Class 6, but the market has not responded with meaningful support. Today’s move: Mystic Wave is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This early support is unusual; the price has often drifted again later. (strong)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
3 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: +0.15pp
Possible next price: 80/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Course record
Course evidence at Newcastle (AW) is limited (2 runs without making the frame). Today's market is 77% shorter than usual against an average course SP profile of 276.0.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Racing silksThe Floors MunkyDraw 3
Trainer: Gary Rutherford
Jockey: Rhys Elliott(5)
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Gary Rutherford (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 6/84; first seen between 10am and 1pm 3/84; first seen after 1pm 5/84.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/9; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/9; first seen after 1pm 0/9.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.15pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/7 won (14.3%); Open→SP 1/13 won (7.7%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run13 days ago · 19 Sep 2026
Distance changeUp 2.2f from last run
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 9 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Late money horse (33%)
16:40Newcastle (AW)
Opened 66/1Market avg 66/1
66/1 → 66/1 → 66/1 → 66/1 ↓ 66/1 ↑ 66/1 ↓ 50/1 ↑ 66/1 → 66/1 ↑ 66/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.15pp (+9.9%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
89th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE89th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
Only 1 of 9 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 8th at Newcastle (AW) on 19 Sep 2026 (+0.47pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 9.9% • +0.15 probability points
Previous market evidence

No previous positive open-to-final support in the recorded sample.

BEST FIXED ODDS
66/1 71 decimal 7Bet
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Newcastle (AW)Today1m 2f 42y · Class 6 · Standard · 10 runners66/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.15ppOpen → now66/1Current; SP pendingPending+0.15pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 1 of 9 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: The Floors Munky is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.Comparable moves have had few top-two finishes. Be cautious.
Did the early price move fade?

No documented early-support reversal in this horse’s recorded checkpoint sample. The older wording referred to finishing results, not a verified intraday price fade.

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
9 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: +0.15pp
Possible next price: 80/1
9 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Course record
This horse is 0/4 at Newcastle (AW) on our records. Today's market is 50% shorter than usual against an average course SP of 127.3.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Race market overview as at 05:16
  • Supported0 of 10 runners at +4pp or more
  • Drifting0 of 10 runners at −4pp or worse
  • Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
  • Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.
17:15Newcastle (AW) • 7f14y • Class 6 • Going: Standard
5 runners
Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

Racing silksPerfect HopeDraw 8
Trainer: Tom Ward
Jockey: Jason Hart
🔴 Ignores MarketThis horse has won or placed despite drifting. Market weakness does NOT negatively impact performance. Can be a value angle when price weakens.
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Tom Ward (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 11/149; first seen between 10am and 1pm 14/149; first seen after 1pm 5/149.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/6; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/6; first seen after 1pm 0/6.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.03pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 7/24 won (29.2%); Open→SP 9/26 won (34.6%).
Watch for 15pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 40% (2/5).
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run14 days ago · 18 Sep 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Late PM
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: 2/1 → 12/1 | Avg: 15/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Best at SP (33%)
17:15Newcastle (AW)
Opened 4/1Market avg 4/1
4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 ↓ 10/3 ↑ 4/1 → 4/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.03pp (+0.1%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
83th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE83rd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
Only 1 of 6 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 2nd at Kempton (AW) on 19 Aug 2026 (+1.00pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 0.1% • +0.03 probability points
Previous market evidence

No previous positive open-to-final support in the recorded sample.

BEST FIXED ODDS
9/2 5.5 decimal Paddy Power
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Newcastle (AW)Today7f 14y · Class 6 · Standard · 10 runners4/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.03ppOpen → now4/1Current; SP pendingPending+0.03pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 1 of 6 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Perfect Hope is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Wolverhampton (AW) · 18 Sep 2026 · 2nd · 3/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Newcastle (AW) · previous Wolverhampton (AW)✓Trip (within ½f): 7f 14y✓Ground: Standard✓Class: Class 6
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have usually held their position.
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
No positive support trigger.
This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.
Today: +0.03pp
Possible next price: 4/1
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Racing silksCallisterraDraw 10
Trainer: Michael Dods
Jockey: Connor Beasley
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Michael Dods (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 50/407; first seen between 10am and 1pm 15/407; first seen after 1pm 12/407.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 3/4; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/4; first seen after 1pm 0/4.

Most often first apparent by 10am in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.10pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 11/52 won (21.2%); Open→SP 11/60 won (18.3%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 36% (9/25).
⬇ CLASS DROP
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run27 days ago · 5 Sep 2026
Distance changeUp 1.1f from last run
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 9/2 → 9/2 | Avg: 9/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (50%)
17:15Newcastle (AW)
Opened 11/2Market avg 11/2
11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 ↓ 5/1 ↑ 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 ↑ 6/1 ↓ 5/1 ↑ 11/2
PRICE MOVE
+0.10pp (+0.7%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
25th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE25th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
3 of 4 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 3rd at Thirsk on 05 Sep 2026 (+6.11pp); finished 3rd at Redcar on 22 Aug 2026 (+6.38pp); and finished 2nd at Redcar on 20 Jun 2026 (+7.58pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 0.7% • +0.10 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Redcar, 20 Jun 2026 — 2nd • open 10/1 → final 9/2 (+9.09pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
6/1 7 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Newcastle (AW)Today7f 14y · Class 6 · Standard · 10 runners11/2—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.10ppOpen → now11/2Current; SP pendingPending+0.10pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

3 of 4 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. The horse drops from Class 2 to Class 6, but the market has not responded with meaningful support. Today’s move: Callisterra is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Redcar · 20 Jun 2026 · 2nd · 0/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Newcastle (AW) · previous Redcar×Trip (within ½f): Today 7f 14y · previous 5f 217y×Ground: Today Standard · previous Good×Class: Today Class 6 · previous Class 5
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
4 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: +0.10pp
Possible next price: 11/2
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
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Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Racing silksSoldier's EchoDraw 1
Trainer: Hugo Palmer
Jockey: Robert Havlin
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Hugo Palmer (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 62/446; first seen between 10am and 1pm 34/446; first seen after 1pm 17/446.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/5; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/5; first seen after 1pm 0/5.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.16pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 24/79 won (30.4%); Open→SP 24/92 won (26.1%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 33.3% (11/33).
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run14 days ago · 18 Sep 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Late PM
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Late money horse (40%)
17:15Newcastle (AW)
Opened 8/1Market avg 8/1
15/2 ↑ 8/1 → 8/1 ↓ 15/2 ↑ 8/1 → 8/1 ↓ 15/2 ↑ 8/1 ↓ 15/2 ↑ 8/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.16pp (+1.4%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILETHE STRONGEST MOVE RECORDED (100th percentile)
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest support recorded across 5 previous runs.
Raw Open → Now price change: 1.4% • +0.16 probability points
Previous market evidence

No previous positive open-to-final support in the recorded sample.

BEST FIXED ODDS
8/1 9 decimal 7Bet
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Newcastle (AW)Today7f 14y · Class 6 · Standard · 10 runners8/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.16ppOpen → now8/1Current; SP pendingPending+0.16pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READTHIS IS THE HORSE’S STRONGEST RECORDED SUPPORT

Across 5 previous runs, this is the horse’s strongest recorded support. Today’s move: Soldier's Echo is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This early support is unusual; the price has often drifted again later. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
5 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: +0.16pp
Possible next price: 8/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
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Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Racing silksAurora ValkyrieDraw 7
Trainer: Katie Scott
Jockey: Sam James
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Katie Scott (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 15/170; first seen between 10am and 1pm 7/170; first seen after 1pm 5/170.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/5; first seen between 10am and 1pm 1/5; first seen after 1pm 0/5.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.19pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 3/19 won (15.8%); Open→SP 3/21 won (14.3%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
⬇ CLASS DROP
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run36 days ago · 27 Aug 2026
Distance changeDown 0.7f from last run
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (40%)
17:15Newcastle (AW)
Opened 16/1Market avg 16/1
16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 ↓ 14/1 ↑ 16/1 → 16/1 ↓ 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 ↑ 16/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.19pp (+3.1%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
40th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE40th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
3 of 5 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 4th at Carlisle on 27 Aug 2026 (+0.26pp); finished 7th at Musselburgh on 31 Jul 2026 (+5.00pp); and finished 8th at Haydock on 22 May 2026 (+0.48pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 3.1% • +0.19 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Musselburgh, 31 Jul 2026 — 7th • open 4/1 → final 11/4 (+6.67pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
16/1 17 decimal 7Bet
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Newcastle (AW)Today7f 14y · Class 6 · Standard · 10 runners16/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.19ppOpen → now16/1Current; SP pendingPending+0.19pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

3 of 5 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. The horse drops from Class 4 to Class 6, but the market has not responded with meaningful support. Today’s move: Aurora Valkyrie is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
5 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: +0.19pp
Possible next price: 16/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
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Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Racing silksKaiulani SpiritDraw 5
Trainer: Tim Easterby
Jockey: Duran Fentiman
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Tim Easterby (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 151/1143; first seen between 10am and 1pm 66/1143; first seen after 1pm 34/1143.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/4; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/4; first seen after 1pm 0/4.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.09pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 45/186 won (24.2%); Open→SP 47/195 won (24.1%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 34.1% (29/85).
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run30 days ago · 2 Sep 2026
Distance changeUp 1.1f from last run
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Late money horse (50%)
17:15Newcastle (AW)
Opened 25/1Market avg 25/1
25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 ↓ 22/1 ↑ 25/1 → 25/1 ↓ 20/1 ↑ 28/1 ↓ 22/1 ↑ 25/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.09pp (+2.3%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 1 of 4 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 7th at Leicester on 25 Jun 2026 (+1.40pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 2.3% • +0.09 probability points
Previous market evidence

No previous positive open-to-final support in the recorded sample.

BEST FIXED ODDS
28/1 29 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Newcastle (AW)Today7f 14y · Class 6 · Standard · 10 runners25/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.09ppOpen → now25/1Current; SP pendingPending+0.09pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 1 of 4 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Kaiulani Spirit is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This early support is unusual; the price has often drifted again later. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
4 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: +0.09pp
Possible next price: 25/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
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Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Newcastle (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Race market overview as at 05:16
  • Supported0 of 10 runners at +4pp or more
  • Drifting0 of 10 runners at −4pp or worse
  • Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
  • Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.
17:45Newcastle (AW) • 1m5y • Class 4 • Going: Standard
3 runners
Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

Racing silksManeuverDraw 4
Trainer: John & Thady Gosden
Jockey: Robert Havlin
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer John & Thady Gosden (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 74/369; first seen between 10am and 1pm 32/369; first seen after 1pm 17/369.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 0 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.35pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 33/92 won (35.9%); Open→SP 34/93 won (36.6%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 48.8% (21/43).
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
17:45Newcastle (AW)
Opened 5/2Market avg 5/2
5/2 ↓ 9/4 → 9/4 ↑ 5/2 → 5/2 → 5/2 ↓ 2/1 ↑ 9/4 ↑ 5/2 → 5/2
PRICE MOVE
+0.35pp (+1.2%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
Raw Open → Now price change: 1.2% • +0.35 probability points
BEST FIXED ODDS
11/4 3.75 decimal Betfair Sportsbook
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Newcastle (AW)Today1m 5y · Class 4 · Standard · 6 runners5/2—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.35ppOpen → now5/2Current; SP pendingPending+0.35pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Maneuver is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 5/2
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
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Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Racing silksAlways SunnyDraw 6
Trainer: Simon & Ed Crisford
Jockey: Jason Hart
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Simon & Ed Crisford (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 37/278; first seen between 10am and 1pm 26/278; first seen after 1pm 20/278.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 0 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.11pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 17/60 won (28.3%); Open→SP 15/64 won (23.4%).
Watch for 15pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 26.3% (5/19).
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
17:45Newcastle (AW)
Opened 9/1Market avg 9/1
9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 ↓ 17/2 ↑ 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 ↓ 17/2 ↑ 9/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.11pp (+1.0%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
Raw Open → Now price change: 1% • +0.11 probability points
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/1 10 decimal 7Bet
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Newcastle (AW)Today1m 5y · Class 4 · Standard · 6 runners9/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.11ppOpen → now9/1Current; SP pendingPending+0.11pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Always Sunny is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 9/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
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Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Racing silksLazy In RedDraw 5
Trainer: Donald Whillans
Jockey: Greg Fairley
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Donald Whillans (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 2/76; first seen between 10am and 1pm 11/76; first seen after 1pm 3/76.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 2 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.14pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 4/12 won (33.3%); Open→SP 4/14 won (28.6%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 40% (2/5).
⬇ CLASS DROP
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run23 days ago · 9 Sep 2026
Distance changeDown 3.2f from last run
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
17:45Newcastle (AW)
Opened 100/1Market avg 100/1
100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 ↓ 100/1 ↑ 100/1 → 100/1 ↑ 100/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.14pp (+17.7%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
Raw Open → Now price change: 17.7% • +0.14 probability points
Previous market evidence

No previous positive open-to-final support in the recorded sample.

BEST FIXED ODDS
100/1 151 decimal 7Bet
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Newcastle (AW)Today1m 5y · Class 4 · Standard · 6 runners100/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.14ppOpen → now100/1Current; SP pendingPending+0.14pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. The horse drops from Class 3 to Class 4, but the market has not responded with meaningful support. Today’s move: Lazy In Red is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
2 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: +0.14pp
Possible next price: 100/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
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Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Race market overview as at 05:16
  • Supported0 of 6 runners at +4pp or more
  • Drifting0 of 6 runners at −4pp or worse
  • Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
  • Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.
18:15Newcastle (AW) • 6f • Class 4 • Going: Standard
12 runners
Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

Racing silksAsheyraDraw 8
Trainer: Roger Varian
Jockey: Jack Mitchell
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Roger Varian (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 74/323; first seen between 10am and 1pm 24/323; first seen after 1pm 18/323.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 2 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +2.66pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 34/83 won (41%); Open→SP 37/93 won (39.8%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 40.7% (22/54).
⬇ CLASS DROP
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run27 days ago · 5 Sep 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: 4/1 → 4/1 | Avg: 4/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
18:15Newcastle (AW)
Opened EVSMarket avg 10/11
10/11 → 10/11 → 10/11 ↓ 5/6 ↑ EVS ↓ 10/11 ↓ 5/6 ↑ 11/10 ↓ 5/6 ↑ 10/11
PRICE MOVE
+2.66pp (+5.0%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
Raw Open → Now price change: 5.1% • +2.66 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Ascot, 05 Sep 2026 — 2nd • open 4/1 → final 4/1 (+0.77pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
11/10 2.1 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Newcastle (AW)Today6f · Class 4 · Standard · 12 runnersEVS—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+2.66ppOpen → now10/11Current; SP pendingPending+2.66pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. The horse drops from Class 2 to Class 4, but the market has not responded with meaningful support. Today’s move: Asheyra is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Ascot · 05 Sep 2026 · 2nd · 1/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Newcastle (AW) · previous Ascot✓Trip (within ½f): 6f×Ground: Today Standard · previous Good To Firm×Class: Today Class 4 · previous Class 2
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
2 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: +2.66pp
Possible next price: 10/11
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
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Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Racing silksHigh ThresholdDraw 10
Trainer: Archie Watson
Jockey: Daniel Tudhope
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Archie Watson (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 30/370; first seen between 10am and 1pm 20/370; first seen after 1pm 8/370.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 0 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +1.42pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 12/41 won (29.3%); Open→SP 10/42 won (23.8%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 27.8% (5/18).
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
18:15Newcastle (AW)
Opened 3/1Market avg 11/4
11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 ↑ 3/1 ↓ 11/4 ↓ 5/2 → 5/2 ↑ 11/4 ↑ 3/1
PRICE MOVE
+1.42pp (+5.4%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
Raw Open → Now price change: 5.4% • +1.42 probability points
BEST FIXED ODDS
10/3 4.33 decimal Paddy Power
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Newcastle (AW)Today6f · Class 4 · Standard · 12 runners3/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+1.42ppOpen → now11/4Current; SP pendingPending+1.42pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: High Threshold is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 10/3
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
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Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Racing silksPrincelandDraw 12
Trainer: Simon & Ed Crisford
Jockey: Robert Havlin
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Simon & Ed Crisford (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 37/278; first seen between 10am and 1pm 26/278; first seen after 1pm 20/278.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 1 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.63pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 17/60 won (28.3%); Open→SP 15/64 won (23.4%).
Watch for 15pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 26.3% (5/19).
⬇ CLASS DROP
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run47 days ago · 16 Aug 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.
18:15Newcastle (AW)
Opened 4/1Market avg 4/1
4/1 ↓ 7/2 ↑ 4/1 ↓ 7/2 ↑ 4/1 ↓ 7/2 ↑ 4/1 ↑ 11/2 ↓ 7/2 ↑ 4/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.63pp (+3.1%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
Raw Open → Now price change: 3.1% • +0.63 probability points
Previous market evidence

No previous positive open-to-final support in the recorded sample.

BEST FIXED ODDS
11/2 6.5 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Newcastle (AW)Today6f · Class 4 · Standard · 12 runners4/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.63ppOpen → now4/1Current; SP pendingPending+0.63pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. The horse drops from Class 3 to Class 4, but the market has not responded with meaningful support. Today’s move: Princeland is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
1 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: +0.63pp
Possible next price: 9/2
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
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Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Racing silksHunstantonDraw 6
Trainer: George Boughey
Jockey: Jack Callan
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer George Boughey (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 79/417; first seen between 10am and 1pm 23/417; first seen after 1pm 12/417.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 1 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.03pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 29/83 won (34.9%); Open→SP 28/79 won (35.4%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 42.5% (17/40).
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run8 days ago · 24 Sep 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.
18:15Newcastle (AW)
Opened 11/1Market avg 11/1
11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 ↓ 10/1 ↑ 12/1 ↓ 11/1 ↓ 10/1 ↑ 11/1 ↓ 10/1 ↑ 11/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.03pp (+0.3%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
Raw Open → Now price change: 0.3% • +0.03 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Southwell (AW), 24 Sep 2026 — 9th • open 7/2 → final 3/1 (+2.78pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
12/1 13 decimal BetWright
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Newcastle (AW)Today6f · Class 4 · Standard · 12 runners11/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.03ppOpen → now11/1Current; SP pendingPending+0.03pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Hunstanton is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
1 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: +0.03pp
Possible next price: 11/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
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Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Racing silksMollishaDraw 11
Trainer: Brian Ellison
Jockey: Joanna Mason
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Brian Ellison (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 32/351; first seen between 10am and 1pm 23/351; first seen after 1pm 14/351.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 2 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +1.07pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 7/50 won (14%); Open→SP 6/47 won (12.8%).
Watch for 15pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 16.7% (1/6).
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run13 days ago · 19 Sep 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
The price is shortening, but similar moves have not converted well before.
18:15Newcastle (AW)
Opened 16/1Market avg 14/1
14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 ↓ 12/1 ↑ 14/1 → 14/1 ↓ 12/1 ↑ 14/1 ↓ 12/1 ↑ 14/1
PRICE MOVE
+1.07pp (+15.3%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
Limited data: 1 similar run only. Not a proven betting pattern.
Raw Open → Now price change: 15.3% • +1.07 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Chester, 19 Sep 2026 — 4th • open 9/2 → final 10/3 (+4.23pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
14/1 15 decimal 7Bet
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Newcastle (AW)Today6f · Class 4 · Standard · 12 runners16/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+1.07ppOpen → now14/1Current; SP pendingPending+1.07pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Mollisha is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.Comparable moves have had few top-two finishes. Be cautious.
Did the early price move fade?

Recorded examples where 5pp+ early support was followed by a longer final price:

  • Chester, 19 Sep 2026 — 4th • open 9/2 → 1pm 3/1 → final 10/3
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
2 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: +1.07pp
Possible next price: 14/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
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Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Newcastle (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Racing silksBig TribeDraw 5
Trainer: Michael Appleby
Jockey: Jason Hart
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Michael Appleby (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 53/438; first seen between 10am and 1pm 21/438; first seen after 1pm 17/438.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 0 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.25pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 13/63 won (20.6%); Open→SP 13/65 won (20%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 32.4% (11/34).
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
18:15Newcastle (AW)
Opened 16/1Market avg 16/1
16/1 → 16/1 ↓ 14/1 → 14/1 ↑ 16/1 → 16/1 ↓ 12/1 ↑ 16/1 ↓ 14/1 ↑ 18/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.25pp (+4.1%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
Raw Open → Now price change: 4.1% • +0.25 probability points
BEST FIXED ODDS
18/1 19 decimal 7Bet
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Newcastle (AW)Today6f · Class 4 · Standard · 12 runners16/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.25ppOpen → now16/1Current; SP pendingPending+0.25pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Big Tribe is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 20/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
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Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Racing silksKnightboltDraw 9
Trainer: Kevin Ryan
Jockey: Shane Gray
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Kevin Ryan (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 42/440; first seen between 10am and 1pm 31/440; first seen after 1pm 9/440.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 1 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.12pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 22/65 won (33.8%); Open→SP 22/56 won (39.3%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 60% (15/25).
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run49 days ago · 14 Aug 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.
18:15Newcastle (AW)
Opened 16/1Market avg 16/1
16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 ↓ 14/1 ↑ 16/1 → 16/1 ↓ 14/1 ↑ 16/1 ↓ 14/1 ↑ 16/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.12pp (+2.0%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
Raw Open → Now price change: 2% • +0.12 probability points
Previous market evidence

No previous positive open-to-final support in the recorded sample.

BEST FIXED ODDS
16/1 17 decimal 7Bet
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Newcastle (AW)Today6f · Class 4 · Standard · 12 runners16/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.12ppOpen → now16/1Current; SP pendingPending+0.12pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Knightbolt is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
1 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: +0.12pp
Possible next price: 16/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
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Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Racing silksEspresso BreezeDraw 7
Trainer: Bryan Smart
Jockey: Paul Mulrennan
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Bryan Smart (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 16/139; first seen between 10am and 1pm 10/139; first seen after 1pm 4/139.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 1 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.10pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 6/21 won (28.6%); Open→SP 4/20 won (20%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 40% (2/5).
⬆ CLASS RISE
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run16 days ago · 16 Sep 2026
Distance changeUp 1f from last run
Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.
18:15Newcastle (AW)
Opened 20/1Market avg 20/1
20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 ↓ 18/1 ↑ 20/1 → 20/1 ↓ 18/1 ↑ 22/1 ↓ 18/1 ↑ 20/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.10pp (+2.1%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
Raw Open → Now price change: 2.1% • +0.10 probability points
Previous market evidence

No previous positive open-to-final support in the recorded sample.

BEST FIXED ODDS
22/1 23 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Newcastle (AW)Today6f · Class 4 · Standard · 12 runners20/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.10ppOpen → now20/1Current; SP pendingPending+0.10pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. It is also stepping up from Class 5 to Class 4, which adds another test today. Today’s move: Espresso Breeze is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
1 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: +0.10pp
Possible next price: 20/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
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Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Racing silksVal De GreyDraw 13
Trainer: Simon Waugh
Jockey: Connor Beasley
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Simon Waugh (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 3/33; first seen between 10am and 1pm 1/33; first seen after 1pm 1/33.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 0 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.37pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/3 won (0%); Open→SP 0/4 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
18:15Newcastle (AW)
Opened 33/1Market avg 33/1
33/1 ↓ 20/1 ↑ 33/1 ↓ 28/1 ↑ 33/1 → 33/1 ↓ 25/1 ↑ 33/1 ↓ 28/1 ↑ 33/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.37pp (+11.8%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
Raw Open → Now price change: 11.8% • +0.37 probability points
BEST FIXED ODDS
33/1 36 decimal 7Bet
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Newcastle (AW)Today6f · Class 4 · Standard · 12 runners33/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.37ppOpen → now33/1Current; SP pendingPending+0.37pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Val De Grey is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 40/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
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Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Racing silksSpruceDraw 3
Trainer: Grant Tuer
Jockey: Oliver Stammers
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Grant Tuer (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 21/187; first seen between 10am and 1pm 11/187; first seen after 1pm 7/187.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 1 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.05pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 7/28 won (25%); Open→SP 5/28 won (17.9%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 33.3% (4/12).
⬇ CLASS DROP
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run94 days ago · 30 Jun 2026
Distance changeDown 1f from last run
Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.
18:15Newcastle (AW)
Opened 100/1Market avg 100/1
100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 ↓ 80/1 ↑ 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 ↑ 100/1 ↓ 80/1 ↑ 100/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.05pp (+5.0%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
Raw Open → Now price change: 5% • +0.05 probability points
Previous market evidence

No previous positive open-to-final support in the recorded sample.

BEST FIXED ODDS
100/1 126 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Newcastle (AW)Today6f · Class 4 · Standard · 12 runners100/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.05ppOpen → now100/1Current; SP pendingPending+0.05pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. The horse drops from Class 3 to Class 4, but the market has not responded with meaningful support. Today’s move: Spruce is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
1 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: +0.05pp
Possible next price: 100/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
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Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Racing silksAughavannonDraw 1
Trainer: Simon Waugh
Jockey: Harry Russell
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Simon Waugh (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 3/33; first seen between 10am and 1pm 1/33; first seen after 1pm 1/33.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 2 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.05pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/3 won (0%); Open→SP 0/4 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
⬆ CLASS RISE
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run16 days ago · 16 Sep 2026
Distance changeUp 1f from last run
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
18:15Newcastle (AW)
Opened 100/1Market avg 100/1
100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 ↓ 80/1 ↑ 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 ↑ 100/1 ↓ 80/1 ↑ 100/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.05pp (+5.0%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
Raw Open → Now price change: 5% • +0.05 probability points
Previous market evidence

No previous positive open-to-final support in the recorded sample.

BEST FIXED ODDS
100/1 126 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Newcastle (AW)Today6f · Class 4 · Standard · 12 runners100/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.05ppOpen → now100/1Current; SP pendingPending+0.05pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. It is also stepping up from Class 5 to Class 4, which adds another test today. Today’s move: Aughavannon is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
2 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: +0.05pp
Possible next price: 100/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
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Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Racing silksFive Star GeorgeDraw 4
Trainer: Julie Camacho
Jockey: Ryan Sexton
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Julie Camacho (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 30/285; first seen between 10am and 1pm 18/285; first seen after 1pm 9/285.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 2 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.11pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 12/41 won (29.3%); Open→SP 12/45 won (26.7%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 40% (8/20).
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run15 days ago · 17 Sep 2026
Distance changeDown 1.1f from last run
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
18:15Newcastle (AW)
Opened 100/1Market avg 100/1
100/1 → 100/1 ↓ 100/1 → 100/1 ↑ 100/1 ↓ 100/1 ↓ 100/1 ↑ 100/1 ↓ 100/1 ↑ 100/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.11pp (+17.8%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
Raw Open → Now price change: 17.8% • +0.11 probability points
Previous market evidence

No previous positive open-to-final support in the recorded sample.

BEST FIXED ODDS
100/1 201 decimal 7Bet
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Newcastle (AW)Today6f · Class 4 · Standard · 12 runners100/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.11ppOpen → now100/1Current; SP pendingPending+0.11pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Five Star George is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
2 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: +0.11pp
Possible next price: 100/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Race market overview as at 05:16
  • Supported0 of 12 runners at +4pp or more
  • Drifting0 of 12 runners at −4pp or worse
  • Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
  • Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.
18:45Newcastle (AW) • 7f14y • Class 6 • Going: Standard
4 runners
Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

Racing silksLuminous WarriorDraw 3
Trainer: Christopher Kellett
Jockey: Jason Hart
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Christopher Kellett (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 2/58; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/58; first seen after 1pm 0/58.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/11; first seen between 10am and 1pm 1/11; first seen after 1pm 0/11.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.54pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/1 won (100%); Open→SP 1/1 won (100%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run23 days ago · 9 Sep 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 11 | Fixed-odds range: 8/11 → 16/1 | Avg: 7/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (36%)
18:45Newcastle (AW)
Opened 5/1Market avg 5/1
5/1 ↓ 9/2 ↑ 5/1 ↓ 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 ↑ 5/1 ↑ 13/2 ↓ 9/2 → 9/2
PRICE MOVE
+0.54pp (+3.1%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
36th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE36th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
7 of 11 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 2nd at Redcar on 09 Sep 2026 (+4.76pp); finished 2nd at Musselburgh on 25 Aug 2026 (+0.64pp); finished 1st at Yarmouth on 28 Jul 2026 (+16.67pp); finished 8th at Wolverhampton (AW) on 01 Jun 2026 (+2.31pp); finished 7th at Kempton (AW) on 06 May 2026 (+4.07pp); finished 12th at Kempton (AW) on 25 Feb 2026 (+1.79pp); and finished 7th at Chelmsford (AW) on 29 Jan 2026 (+3.90pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 3.1% • +0.54 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Yarmouth, 28 Jul 2026 — 1st • open 2/1 → final 8/11 (+24.47pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
13/2 7.5 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Newcastle (AW)Today7f 14y · Class 6 · Standard · 13 runners5/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.54ppOpen → now5/1Current; SP pendingPending+0.54pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

7 of 11 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Luminous Warrior is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Redcar · 09 Sep 2026 · 2nd · 2/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Newcastle (AW) · previous Redcar✓Trip (within ½f): 7f 14y×Ground: Today Standard · previous Good✓Class: Class 6
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have usually held their position.
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
No positive support trigger.
This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.
Today: +0.54pp
Possible next price: 9/2
11 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Racing silksVictory SoundDraw 7
Trainer: Mark Usher
Jockey: Connor Beasley
🟢 Needs Support (17%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Mark Usher (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 19/180; first seen between 10am and 1pm 7/180; first seen after 1pm 7/180.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 3/9; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/9; first seen after 1pm 0/9.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.15pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 6/22 won (27.3%); Open→SP 8/24 won (33.3%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run9 days ago · 23 Sep 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 9 | Fixed-odds range: 13/8 → 4/1 | Avg: 11/4Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (33%)
18:45Newcastle (AW)
Opened 11/2Market avg 11/2
11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 ↓ 5/1 ↑ 11/2 ↓ 5/1 ↑ 11/2 ↓ 9/2 ↑ 5/1 ↑ 11/2
PRICE MOVE
+0.15pp (+1.0%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
3 of 9 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 1st at Newcastle (AW) on 03 Sep 2026 (+8.59pp); finished 2nd at Lingfield (AW) on 18 Aug 2026 (+5.55pp); and finished 3rd at Ffos Las on 29 Jun 2026 (+6.67pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 1% • +0.15 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Newcastle (AW), 03 Sep 2026 — 1st • open 5/2 → final 13/8 (+10.25pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
13/2 7.5 decimal Paddy Power
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Newcastle (AW)Today7f 14y · Class 6 · Standard · 13 runners11/2—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.15ppOpen → now11/2Current; SP pendingPending+0.15pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 3 of 9 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Victory Sound is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Newcastle (AW) · 03 Sep 2026 · 1st · 4/4 known conditions match
✓Track: Newcastle (AW)✓Trip (within ½f): 7f 14y✓Ground: Standard✓Class: Class 6
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have usually held or strengthened.
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Both previous top-two finishes came with support of 2.45pp+.
At 2.45pp+: 2/3 finished 1st or 2nd (67%).
Today: +0.15pp — trigger not reached.
Possible next price: 6/1
9 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Newcastle (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Racing silksSecret RoadDraw 10
Trainer: Samantha & Jacqueline Coward
Jockey: David Allan
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Samantha & Jacqueline Coward (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/24; first seen between 10am and 1pm 2/24; first seen after 1pm 0/24.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/13; first seen between 10am and 1pm 1/13; first seen after 1pm 0/13.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.04pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/2 won (50%); Open→SP 1/2 won (50%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run24 days ago · 8 Sep 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 13 | Fixed-odds range: 4/6 → 13/2 | Avg: 5/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Late money horse (31%)
18:45Newcastle (AW)
Opened 40/1Market avg 40/1
40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.04pp (+1.4%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
85th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE85th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
2 of 13 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 1st at Lingfield (AW) on 10 Jan 2026 (+4.08pp); and finished 1st at Wolverhampton (AW) on 06 Jan 2026 (+12.90pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 1.4% • +0.04 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Wolverhampton (AW), 06 Jan 2026 — 1st • open 15/8 → final 4/5 (+20.83pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
40/1 41 decimal 7Bet
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Newcastle (AW)Today7f 14y · Class 6 · Standard · 13 runners40/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.04ppOpen → now40/1Current; SP pendingPending+0.04pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 2 of 13 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Secret Road is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Chelmsford (AW) · 11 Jan 2026 · 2nd · 3/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Newcastle (AW) · previous Chelmsford (AW)✓Trip (within ½f): 7f 14y✓Ground: Standard✓Class: Class 6
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
No positive support trigger.
This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.
Today: +0.04pp
Possible next price: 40/1
13 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Newcastle (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Racing silksAurora's DoublesixDraw 12
Trainer: Brian Rothwell
Jockey: Faye McManoman
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Brian Rothwell (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/43; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/43; first seen after 1pm 0/43.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/12; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/12; first seen after 1pm 0/12.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.02pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/0 won (0%); Open→SP 0/0 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run7 days ago · 25 Sep 2026
Distance changeDown 1f from last run
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 12 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Late money horse (42%)
18:45Newcastle (AW)
Opened 100/1Market avg 100/1
100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 ↑ 100/1 ↓ 100/1 → 100/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.02pp (+2.4%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
4 of 12 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 11th at Newcastle (AW) on 25 Sep 2026 (+0.24pp); finished 5th at Catterick on 26 Aug 2026 (+0.33pp); finished 9th at Wetherby on 15 Jun 2026 (+0.47pp); and finished 4th at Doncaster on 25 Apr 2026 (+0.17pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 2.4% • +0.02 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Doncaster, 25 Apr 2026 — 4th • open 100/1 → final 100/1 (+0.07pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
100/1 126 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Newcastle (AW)Today7f 14y · Class 6 · Standard · 13 runners100/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.02ppOpen → now100/1Current; SP pendingPending+0.02pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 4 of 12 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Aurora's Doublesix is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This early support is unusual; the price has often drifted again later. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
12 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: +0.02pp
Possible next price: 100/1
12 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Course record
This horse is 0/3 at Newcastle (AW) on our records. Today's market is 41% shorter than usual against an average course SP of 167.7.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Race market overview as at 05:16
  • Supported0 of 13 runners at +4pp or more
  • Drifting0 of 13 runners at −4pp or worse
  • Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
  • Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.
19:15Newcastle (AW) • 7f14y • Class 6 • Going: Standard
6 runners
Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

Racing silksTerritorial StarDraw 6
Trainer: Rebecca Menzies
Jockey: Ethan Tindall(5)
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Rebecca Menzies (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 26/337; first seen between 10am and 1pm 12/337; first seen after 1pm 7/337.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 2/5; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/5; first seen after 1pm 0/5.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.12pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 9/28 won (32.1%); Open→SP 10/35 won (28.6%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run13 days ago · 19 Sep 2026
Distance changeUp 1.1f from last run
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (40%)
19:15Newcastle (AW)
Opened 13/2Market avg 13/2
13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 ↓ 6/1 ↑ 13/2 → 13/2 ↓ 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 ↑ 13/2
PRICE MOVE
+0.12pp (+0.9%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
60th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE60th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
2 of 5 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 5th at Wolverhampton (AW) on 08 May 2026 (+5.23pp); and finished 6th at Newcastle (AW) on 20 Apr 2026 (+7.50pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 0.9% • +0.12 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Newcastle (AW), 20 Apr 2026 — 6th • open 7/1 → final 4/1 (+7.50pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
7/1 8 decimal Paddy Power
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Newcastle (AW)Today7f 14y · Class 6 · Standard · 14 runners13/2—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.12ppOpen → now13/2Current; SP pendingPending+0.12pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 2 of 5 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Territorial Star is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
5 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: +0.12pp
Possible next price: 13/2
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Course record
Course evidence at Newcastle (AW) is limited (2 runs without making the frame). Today's market is 41% shorter than usual against an average course SP profile of 12.5.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Racing silksDream ForeverDraw 11
Trainer: Jedd O'Keeffe
Jockey: Jack Garritty
🔴 Ignores MarketThis horse has won or placed despite drifting. Market weakness does NOT negatively impact performance. Can be a value angle when price weakens.
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Jedd O'Keeffe (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 9/88; first seen between 10am and 1pm 4/88; first seen after 1pm 1/88.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/8; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/8; first seen after 1pm 0/8.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.07pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 4/10 won (40%); Open→SP 3/9 won (33.3%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 40% (2/5).
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run23 days ago · 9 Sep 2026
Distance changeUp 1.2f from last run
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Early PM
Runs: 8 | Fixed-odds range: 17/2 → 33/1 | Avg: 20/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Mid-market mover (25%)
19:15Newcastle (AW)
Opened 9/1Market avg 9/1
9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 ↓ 17/2 ↑ 9/1 → 9/1 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 17/2 → 17/2 ↑ 9/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.07pp (+0.6%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
2 of 8 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 12th at Redcar on 07 May 2026 (+0.78pp); and finished 13th at Pontefract on 07 Apr 2026 (+2.50pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 0.6% • +0.07 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Redcar, 07 May 2026 — 12th • open 16/1 → final 14/1 (+0.78pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
10/1 11 decimal Paddy Power
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Newcastle (AW)Today7f 14y · Class 6 · Standard · 14 runners9/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.07ppOpen → now9/1Current; SP pendingPending+0.07pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 2 of 8 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Dream Forever is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Newcastle (AW) · 03 Sep 2026 · 2nd · 3/4 known conditions match
✓Track: Newcastle (AW)×Trip (within ½f): Today 7f 14y · previous 6f✓Ground: Standard✓Class: Class 6
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
No positive support trigger.
This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.
Today: +0.07pp
Possible next price: 9/1
8 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Course record
This runner has made the frame 2 times from 3 starts at Newcastle (AW). Historical course average SP is 12.7, while today's market is 22% shorter than usual.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Racing silksClaytons KolatonicDraw 2
Trainer: Dominic Ffrench Davis
Jockey: Sam James
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Dominic Ffrench Davis (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 3/93; first seen between 10am and 1pm 1/93; first seen after 1pm 2/93.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/9; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/9; first seen after 1pm 0/9.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.06pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/3 won (0%); Open→SP 1/5 won (20%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run19 days ago · 13 Sep 2026
Distance changeDown 3.1f from last run
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 9 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (33%)
19:15Newcastle (AW)
Opened 11/1Market avg 11/1
11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 ↓ 10/1 ↑ 11/1 → 11/1 ↓ 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 ↑ 11/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.06pp (+0.7%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
78th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE78th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
2 of 9 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 5th at Wolverhampton (AW) on 07 Sep 2026 (+1.11pp); and finished 6th at Chelmsford (AW) on 12 Feb 2026 (+1.89pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 0.7% • +0.06 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Wolverhampton (AW), 07 Sep 2026 — 5th • open 9/1 → final 8/1 (+1.11pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
12/1 13 decimal Betfair Sportsbook
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Newcastle (AW)Today7f 14y · Class 6 · Standard · 14 runners11/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.06ppOpen → now11/1Current; SP pendingPending+0.06pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 2 of 9 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Claytons Kolatonic is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
9 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: +0.06pp
Possible next price: 11/1
9 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Racing silksTago MagoDraw 1
Trainer: Sam England
Jockey: P. J. McDonald
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Sam England (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 34/275; first seen between 10am and 1pm 21/275; first seen after 1pm 13/275.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/5; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/5; first seen after 1pm 0/5.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.26pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 14/50 won (28%); Open→SP 16/52 won (30.8%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 31.8% (7/22).
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run25 days ago · 7 Sep 2026
Distance changeDown 1.6f from last run
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Late money horse (40%)
19:15Newcastle (AW)
Opened 33/1Market avg 33/1
33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 ↓ 28/1 ↑ 33/1 → 33/1 ↓ 25/1 ↑ 33/1 ↓ 28/1 ↑ 33/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.26pp (+8.7%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILETHE STRONGEST MOVE RECORDED (100th percentile)
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest support recorded across 5 previous runs.
Raw Open → Now price change: 8.7% • +0.26 probability points
Previous market evidence

No previous positive open-to-final support in the recorded sample.

BEST FIXED ODDS
33/1 36 decimal 7Bet
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Newcastle (AW)Today7f 14y · Class 6 · Standard · 14 runners33/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.26ppOpen → now33/1Current; SP pendingPending+0.26pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READTHIS IS THE HORSE’S STRONGEST RECORDED SUPPORT

Across 5 previous runs, this is the horse’s strongest recorded support. Today’s move: Tago Mago is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This early support is unusual; the price has often drifted again later. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
5 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: +0.26pp
Possible next price: 40/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Racing silksLady GreyDraw 5
Trainer: Tim Easterby
Jockey: Duran Fentiman
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Tim Easterby (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 151/1143; first seen between 10am and 1pm 66/1143; first seen after 1pm 34/1143.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/4; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/4; first seen after 1pm 0/4.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.07pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 45/186 won (24.2%); Open→SP 47/195 won (24.1%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 34.1% (29/85).
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run41 days ago · 22 Aug 2026
Distance changeUp 1.1f from last run
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (25%)
19:15Newcastle (AW)
Opened 40/1Market avg 40/1
40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 ↓ 33/1 ↑ 40/1 → 40/1 ↓ 33/1 ↑ 50/1 ↓ 33/1 ↑ 40/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.07pp (+2.7%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 1 of 4 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 14th at Redcar on 22 Aug 2026 (+2.14pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 2.7% • +0.07 probability points
Previous market evidence

No previous positive open-to-final support in the recorded sample.

BEST FIXED ODDS
50/1 51 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Newcastle (AW)Today7f 14y · Class 6 · Standard · 14 runners40/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.07ppOpen → now40/1Current; SP pendingPending+0.07pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 1 of 4 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Lady Grey is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.Comparable moves have had few top-two finishes. Be cautious.
Did the early price move fade?

No documented early-support reversal in this horse’s recorded checkpoint sample. The older wording referred to finishing results, not a verified intraday price fade.

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
4 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: +0.07pp
Possible next price: 40/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Racing silksNefyn QueenDraw 7
Trainer: Stephen Hanlon
Jockey: Oliver Stammers
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Stephen Hanlon (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 13/94; first seen between 10am and 1pm 5/94; first seen after 1pm 6/94.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/4; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/4; first seen after 1pm 0/4.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.09pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 3/16 won (18.8%); Open→SP 2/15 won (13.3%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 16.7% (1/6).
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run30 days ago · 2 Sep 2026
Distance changeDown 3.1f from last run
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Best at SP (50%)
19:15Newcastle (AW)
Opened 50/1Market avg 50/1
50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 ↓ 40/1 ↑ 50/1 → 50/1 ↓ 40/1 ↑ 50/1 ↓ 40/1 ↑ 50/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.09pp (+4.3%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 1 of 4 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 11th at Newcastle (AW) on 02 Sep 2026 (+0.84pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 4.3% • +0.09 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Newcastle (AW), 02 Sep 2026 — 11th • open 40/1 → final 33/1 (+0.56pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
50/1 51 decimal 7Bet
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Newcastle (AW)Today7f 14y · Class 6 · Standard · 14 runners50/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.09ppOpen → now50/1Current; SP pendingPending+0.09pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 1 of 4 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Nefyn Queen is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
The price has been unpredictable before and may move sharply again. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
4 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: +0.09pp
Possible next price: 50/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Newcastle (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Race market overview as at 05:16
  • Supported0 of 14 runners at +4pp or more
  • Drifting0 of 14 runners at −4pp or worse
  • Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
  • Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.
19:45Newcastle (AW) • 1m5y • Class 6 • Going: Standard
3 runners
Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

Racing silksIzzariDraw 4
Trainer: Iain Jardine
Jockey: Cara Tuke(7)
🟢 Needs Support (33%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Iain Jardine (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 45/472; first seen between 10am and 1pm 26/472; first seen after 1pm 9/472.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/9; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/9; first seen after 1pm 1/9.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.30pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 15/60 won (25%); Open→SP 11/54 won (20.4%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 26.1% (6/23).
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run6 days ago · 26 Sep 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 9 | Fixed-odds range: 10/3 → 4/1 | Avg: 7/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (22%)
19:45Newcastle (AW)
Opened 15/8Market avg 15/8
15/8 → 15/8 → 15/8 ↓ 7/4 ↑ 15/8 → 15/8 ↑ 2/1 ↓ 15/8 ↓ 7/4 ↑ 15/8
PRICE MOVE
+0.30pp (+0.9%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
44th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE44th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
5 of 9 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 1st at Southwell (AW) on 26 Sep 2026 (+3.33pp); finished 8th at Southwell (AW) on 31 Aug 2026 (+3.33pp); finished 2nd at Carlisle on 11 Aug 2026 (+7.50pp); finished 9th at Newcastle (AW) on 25 Jul 2026 (+2.82pp); and finished 4th at Newcastle (AW) on 27 Mar 2026 (+0.78pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 0.9% • +0.30 probability points
Built 00:00 → 05:03
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Carlisle, 11 Aug 2026 — 2nd • open 7/1 → final 10/3 (+10.59pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
2/1 3 decimal BetMGM
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Newcastle (AW)Today1m 5y · Class 6 · Standard · 6 runners15/8—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.30ppOpen → now15/8Current; SP pendingPending+0.30pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

5 of 9 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Izzari is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Southwell (AW) · 26 Sep 2026 · 1st · 3/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Newcastle (AW) · previous Southwell (AW)✓Trip (within ½f): 1m 5y✓Ground: Standard✓Class: Class 6
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have usually held their position.
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Both previous top-two finishes came with support of 6.66pp+.
At 6.66pp+: 2/2 finished 1st or 2nd (100%).
Today: +0.30pp — trigger not reached.
Possible next price: 15/8
9 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Course record
No placed efforts from 2 previous runs at Newcastle (AW). The current market is 84% shorter than usual compared with a typical course SP of 18.0.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Racing silksJamaican StormDraw 1
Trainer: Bryan Smart
Jockey: Paul Mulrennan
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Bryan Smart (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 16/139; first seen between 10am and 1pm 10/139; first seen after 1pm 4/139.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/11; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/11; first seen after 1pm 0/11.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.87pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 6/21 won (28.6%); Open→SP 4/20 won (20%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 40% (2/5).
⬇ CLASS DROP
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run27 days ago · 5 Sep 2026
Distance changeUp 1f from last run
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 11 | Fixed-odds range: 4/1 → 11/2 | Avg: 9/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (45%)
19:45Newcastle (AW)
Opened 9/2Market avg 4/1
9/2 ↓ 4/1 ↑ 9/2 ↓ 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 ↑ 5/1 ↓ 4/1 → 4/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.87pp (+4.5%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
82th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE82nd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
2 of 11 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 6th at Carlisle on 15 Jun 2026 (+3.90pp); and finished 3rd at Carlisle on 29 May 2026 (+8.97pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 4.5% • +0.87 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Carlisle, 29 May 2026 — 3rd • open 12/1 → final 5/1 (+8.97pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
5/1 6 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Newcastle (AW)Today1m 5y · Class 6 · Standard · 6 runners9/2—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.87ppOpen → now4/1Current; SP pendingPending+0.87pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 2 of 11 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. The horse drops from Class 5 to Class 6, but the market has not responded with meaningful support. Today’s move: Jamaican Storm is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Newcastle (AW) · 27 Mar 2026 · 1st · 3/4 known conditions match
✓Track: Newcastle (AW)✓Trip (within ½f): 1m 5y✓Ground: Standard×Class: Today Class 6 · previous Class 5
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
No positive support trigger.
This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.
Today: +0.87pp
Possible next price: 4/1
11 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Course record
At Newcastle (AW) this horse has recorded 3 placed efforts from 4 runs. The current market is 34% shorter than usual against an average course SP profile of 8.0.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Racing silksCoramentoDraw 6
Trainer: Ray Craggs
Jockey: Connor Beasley
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Ray Craggs (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/12; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/12; first seen after 1pm 0/12.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/5; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/5; first seen after 1pm 0/5.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.71pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/0 won (0%); Open→SP 0/0 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
⬇ CLASS DROP
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run27 days ago · 5 Sep 2026
Distance changeUp 1f from last run
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 17/2 → 17/2 | Avg: 17/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (40%)
19:45Newcastle (AW)
Opened 9/2Market avg 9/2
9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 ↓ 4/1 ↑ 9/2 ↓ 4/1 → 4/1 ↑ 9/2 ↓ 4/1 ↑ 9/2
PRICE MOVE
+0.71pp (+3.8%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
80th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE80th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
Only 1 of 5 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 6th at Southwell (AW) on 23 Jan 2026 (+1.52pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 3.8% • +0.71 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Newcastle (AW), 31 Jul 2026 — 1st • open 12/1 → final 17/2 (+2.83pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
9/2 5.5 decimal 7Bet
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Newcastle (AW)Today1m 5y · Class 6 · Standard · 6 runners9/2—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.71ppOpen → now9/2Current; SP pendingPending+0.71pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 1 of 5 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. The horse drops from Class 5 to Class 6, but the market has not responded with meaningful support. Today’s move: Coramento is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Newcastle (AW) · 31 Jul 2026 · 1st · 2/4 known conditions match
✓Track: Newcastle (AW)×Trip (within ½f): Today 1m 5y · previous 7f 14y×Ground: Today Standard · previous Standard / Slow✓Class: Class 6
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
5 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: +0.71pp
Possible next price: 5/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Course record
At Newcastle (AW) this horse has recorded 1 placed effort from 4 runs. The current market is 30% shorter than usual against an average course SP profile of 7.6.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Race market overview as at 05:16
  • Supported0 of 6 runners at +4pp or more
  • Drifting0 of 6 runners at −4pp or worse
  • Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
  • Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.
20:15Newcastle (AW) • 6f • Class 6 • Going: Standard
3 runners
Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

Racing silksGet Up EverybodyDraw 10
Trainer: Paul Midgley
Jockey: David Nolan
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Paul Midgley (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 31/243; first seen between 10am and 1pm 14/243; first seen after 1pm 7/243.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 2/8; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/8; first seen after 1pm 2/8.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.04pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 6/37 won (16.2%); Open→SP 6/39 won (15.4%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run13 days ago · 19 Sep 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 8 | Fixed-odds range: 5/1 → 5/1 | Avg: 5/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (75%)
20:15Newcastle (AW)
Opened 3/1Market avg 3/1
3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 ↓ 11/4 ↑ 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 ↑ 10/3 ↓ 11/4 ↑ 3/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.04pp (+0.2%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
38th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE38th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
5 of 8 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 4th at Newcastle (AW) on 19 Sep 2026 (+6.31pp); finished 5th at Doncaster on 03 Jul 2026 (+7.71pp); finished 7th at Carlisle on 29 May 2026 (+0.87pp); finished 4th at Redcar on 18 May 2026 (+0.95pp); and finished 3rd at Pontefract on 07 Apr 2026 (+4.27pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 0.2% • +0.04 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Newcastle (AW), 19 Sep 2026 — 4th • open 5/2 → final EVS (+21.83pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
10/3 4.33 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Newcastle (AW)Today6f · Class 6 · Standard · 10 runners3/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.04ppOpen → now3/1Current; SP pendingPending+0.04pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

5 of 8 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Get Up Everybody is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Newcastle (AW) · 20 Aug 2026 · 1st · 4/4 known conditions match
✓Track: Newcastle (AW)✓Trip (within ½f): 6f✓Ground: Standard✓Class: Class 6
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (strong)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
8 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: +0.04pp
Possible next price: 3/1
8 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Course record
At Newcastle (AW) this horse has recorded 1 placed effort from 2 runs. The current market is close to its historical average against an average course SP profile of 3.8.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Racing silksBlazing SonDraw 3
Trainer: Bryan Smart
Jockey: Paul Mulrennan
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Bryan Smart (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 16/139; first seen between 10am and 1pm 10/139; first seen after 1pm 4/139.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/10; first seen between 10am and 1pm 1/10; first seen after 1pm 0/10.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.21pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 6/21 won (28.6%); Open→SP 4/20 won (20%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 40% (2/5).
⬇ CLASS DROP
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run27 days ago · 5 Sep 2026
Distance changeDown 1.1f from last run
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 10 | Fixed-odds range: 8/1 → 8/1 | Avg: 8/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (30%)
20:15Newcastle (AW)
Opened 7/2Market avg 7/2
7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 ↓ 10/3 ↑ 7/2 → 7/2 ↓ 10/3 ↑ 4/1 ↓ 10/3 → 10/3
PRICE MOVE
+0.21pp (+0.9%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
5 of 10 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 8th at Newcastle (AW) on 05 Sep 2026 (+3.42pp); finished 10th at Southwell (AW) on 23 Jul 2026 (+1.40pp); finished 3rd at Southwell (AW) on 05 Jul 2026 (+1.11pp); finished 2nd at Newcastle (AW) on 06 Mar 2026 (+0.83pp); and finished 5th at Newcastle (AW) on 29 Dec 2025 (+12.50pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 0.9% • +0.21 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Newcastle (AW), 29 Dec 2025 — 5th • open 7/1 → final 10/3 (+10.59pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
4/1 5 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Newcastle (AW)Today6f · Class 6 · Standard · 10 runners7/2—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.21ppOpen → now7/2Current; SP pendingPending+0.21pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

5 of 10 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. The horse drops from Class 5 to Class 6, but the market has not responded with meaningful support. Today’s move: Blazing Son is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Newcastle (AW) · 06 Mar 2026 · 2nd · 2/4 known conditions match
✓Track: Newcastle (AW)×Trip (within ½f): Today 6f · previous 7f 14y✓Ground: Standard×Class: Today Class 6 · previous Class 5
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.Comparable moves have had few top-two finishes. Be cautious.
Did the early price move fade?

Recorded examples where 5pp+ early support was followed by a longer final price:

  • Newcastle (AW), 29 Dec 2025 — 5th • open 7/1 → 10am 3/1 → final 10/3
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
10 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: +0.21pp
Possible next price: 10/3
10 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Course record
Course record of 1/4 at Newcastle (AW). The average SP at this course is 11.3 and today's market has the horse trading 60% shorter than usual.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Racing silksCoulsty ExchangeDraw 7
Trainer: Iain Jardine
Jockey: Andrew Mullen
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Iain Jardine (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 45/472; first seen between 10am and 1pm 26/472; first seen after 1pm 9/472.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/3; first seen between 10am and 1pm 1/3; first seen after 1pm 0/3.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.03pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 15/60 won (25%); Open→SP 11/54 won (20.4%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 26.1% (6/23).
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run233 days ago · 11 Feb 2026
Distance changeDown 2f from last run
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Late money horse (67%)
20:15Newcastle (AW)
Opened 11/1Market avg 11/1
11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 10/1 ↑ 11/1 → 11/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.03pp (+0.3%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILETHE STRONGEST MOVE RECORDED (100th percentile)
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest support recorded across 3 previous runs.
Raw Open → Now price change: 0.3% • +0.03 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Dundalk (AW) (IRE), 30 Jan 2026 — 3rd • open 12/1 → final 13/2 (+5.64pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
12/1 13 decimal Midnite
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
Newcastle (AW)Today6f · Class 6 · Standard · 10 runners11/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.03ppOpen → now11/1Current; SP pendingPending+0.03pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READTHIS IS THE HORSE’S STRONGEST RECORDED SUPPORT

Across 3 previous runs, this is the horse’s strongest recorded support. Today’s move: Coulsty Exchange is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This early support is unusual; the price has often drifted again later. (strong)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
3 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: +0.03pp
Possible next price: 11/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Race market overview as at 05:16
  • Supported0 of 10 runners at +4pp or more
  • Drifting0 of 10 runners at −4pp or worse
  • Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
  • Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.
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