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Next-Off Market Intelligence

The strongest horse and trainer evidence from the races coming up next.

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Runners Today
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AscotDundalk (AW)Gowran ParkHexhamNewcastle (AW)Wolverhampton (AW)
ALLBACKED 💰DRIFTERS
01 · Strongest support
Racing silks
Ballynoe Boy
70
15:23 Hexham
+5.95pp
True move after NR adjustment · 5/2 → 15/8
02 · Repeat evidence
No repeat signal active
No upcoming runner currently matches a previous successful market pattern.
03 · Weak favourite
Favourites currently holding
No short-priced upcoming runner has weakened by at least 2 probability points.
Runner
Bookmaker move
Evidence
What to do next
13:38Hexham • 2m0f48y • Class 4 • Going: Good
7 runners
Market Intelligence
Weakest support: Credit Union (-0.19 probability points)
Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

Trainer: Jamie Snowden
Jockey: Gavin Sheehan
🔴 Ignores MarketThis horse has won or placed despite drifting. Market weakness does NOT negatively impact performance. Can be a value angle when price weakens.
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Jamie Snowden (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 50/232; first seen between 10am and 1pm 13/232; first seen after 1pm 9/232.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/3; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/3; first seen after 1pm 0/3.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.06pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run24 days ago · 8 Sep 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: 9/4 → 4/1 | Avg: 3/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Best at SP (67%)
13:38Hexham
Opened 5/6Market avg 5/6
5/6 ↑ 10/11 ↓ 5/6 ↓ 4/5 → 4/5 ↑ 5/6 ↓ 4/5 ↑ EVS ↓ 4/5 → 4/5
PRICE MOVE
-0.06pp (-0.1%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 1 of 3 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 2nd at Uttoxeter on 07 Jul 2026 (-19.05pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 0.1% • -0.06 probability points
Built 00:00 → 04:11
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Uttoxeter, 07 Jul 2026 — 2nd • open 11/10 → final 9/4 (-16.85pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
EVS 2 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
HexhamToday2m 48y · Class 4 · Good · 7 runners5/6—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—-0.06ppOpen → now5/6Current; SP pendingPending-0.06pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 1 of 3 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Ride Like A Girl is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Bangor-on-Dee · 08 Sep 2026 · 2nd · 3/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Hexham · previous Bangor-on-Dee✓Trip (within ½f): 2m 48y✓Ground: Good✓Class: Class 4
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
The price has been unpredictable before and may move sharply again. (strong)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
No positive support trigger.
This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.
Today: -0.06pp
Possible next price: 4/5
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Trainer: Tom George
Jockey: Kielan Woods
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Tom George (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 4/39; first seen between 10am and 1pm 6/39; first seen after 1pm 0/39.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 2 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.23pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
⬆ CLASS RISE
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run28 days ago · 4 Sep 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: 9/1 → 9/1 | Avg: 9/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
13:38Hexham
Opened 11/10Market avg 11/10
11/10 → 11/10 → 11/10 → 11/10 → 11/10 → 11/10 → 11/10 ↓ EVS ↑ 11/10 → 11/10
PRICE MOVE
-0.23pp (-0.5%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
Raw Open → Now price change: 0.5% • -0.23 probability points
Previous market evidence

No previous open-to-final drift in the recorded sample.

BEST FIXED ODDS
5/4 2.25 decimal Paddy Power
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
HexhamToday2m 48y · Class 4 · Good · 7 runners11/10—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—-0.23ppOpen → now11/10Current; SP pendingPending-0.23pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. It is also stepping up from Class 5 to Class 4, which adds another test today. Today’s move: Dark Tide Rising is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Worcester · 04 Sep 2026 · 1st · 2/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Hexham · previous Worcester✓Trip (within ½f): 2m 48y✓Ground: Good×Class: Today Class 4 · previous Class 5
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have usually held their position.
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
2 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: -0.23pp
Possible next price: 11/10
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Trainer: Tom George
Jockey: Mr Harry O'Dwyer(7)
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Tom George (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 4/39; first seen between 10am and 1pm 6/39; first seen after 1pm 0/39.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 1 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.49pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run12 days ago · 20 Sep 2026
Distance changeDown 4.3f from last run
Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.
13:38Hexham
Opened 12/1Market avg 12/1
14/1 ↓ 12/1 ↑ 14/1 ↓ 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 ↓ 11/1 ↑ 14/1 ↓ 12/1 → 12/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.49pp (-6.7%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
Raw Open → Now price change: 6.7% • -0.49 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Plumpton, 20 Sep 2026 — 4th • open 11/2 → final 10/1 (-6.06pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
14/1 15 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
HexhamToday2m 48y · Class 4 · Good · 7 runners12/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—-0.49ppOpen → now12/1Current; SP pendingPending-0.49pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Rhythm of Life is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
1 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: -0.49pp
Possible next price: 12/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Trainer: John Dawson
Jockey: Conor O'Farrell
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer John Dawson (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 4/31; first seen between 10am and 1pm 6/31; first seen after 1pm 0/31.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 1 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.06pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
⬆ CLASS RISE
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run40 days ago · 23 Aug 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.
13:38Hexham
Opened 16/1Market avg 16/1
18/1 ↓ 14/1 ↑ 16/1 ↓ 14/1 ↑ 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 ↑ 28/1 ↓ 14/1 ↑ 16/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.06pp (-1.0%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
Raw Open → Now price change: 1% • -0.06 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Worcester, 23 Aug 2026 — 5th • open 33/1 → final 50/1 (-1.16pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
28/1 29 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
HexhamToday2m 48y · Class 4 · Good · 7 runners16/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—-0.06ppOpen → now16/1Current; SP pendingPending-0.06pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. It is also stepping up from Class 5 to Class 4, which adds another test today. Today’s move: Whin Cover is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
1 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: -0.06pp
Possible next price: 16/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Trainer: Susan Corbett
Jockey: Nathan Moscrop
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Susan Corbett (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 12/100; first seen between 10am and 1pm 4/100; first seen after 1pm 7/100.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 2 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.06pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run111 days ago · 13 Jun 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
13:38Hexham
Opened 16/1Market avg 16/1
18/1 ↓ 14/1 ↑ 16/1 ↓ 14/1 ↑ 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 ↑ 28/1 ↓ 14/1 ↑ 16/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.06pp (-1.0%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
Raw Open → Now price change: 1% • -0.06 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Hexham, 13 Jun 2026 — 4th • open 8/1 → final 18/1 (-5.85pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
28/1 29 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
HexhamToday2m 48y · Class 4 · Good · 7 runners16/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—-0.06ppOpen → now16/1Current; SP pendingPending-0.06pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Ebchester is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
2 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: -0.06pp
Possible next price: 16/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Hexham. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Trainer: Martin Todhunter
Jockey: Callum Bewley
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Martin Todhunter (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 7/58; first seen between 10am and 1pm 5/58; first seen after 1pm 3/58.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 0 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.05pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
13:38Hexham
Opened 50/1Market avg 50/1
50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.05pp (-2.6%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
Raw Open → Now price change: 2.6% • -0.05 probability points
BEST FIXED ODDS
66/1 67 decimal Betfair Sportsbook
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
HexhamToday2m 48y · Class 4 · Good · 7 runners50/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—-0.05ppOpen → now50/1Current; SP pendingPending-0.05pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Lecanvey Lady is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 50/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Trainer: Jessica Bedi
Jockey: Conor Rabbitt(3)
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Jessica Bedi (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 7/92; first seen between 10am and 1pm 2/92; first seen after 1pm 2/92.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/4; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/4; first seen after 1pm 0/4.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.19pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run35 days ago · 28 Aug 2026
Distance changeDown 3.6f from last run
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Best at SP (50%)
13:38Hexham
Opened 100/1Market avg 100/1
100/1 ↓ 100/1 ↑ 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 ↓ 100/1 ↑ 100/1 ↓ 100/1 ↑ 100/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.19pp (-23.1%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
2 of 4 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 6th at Sedgefield on 28 Aug 2026 (-78.74pp); and finished 10th at Market Rasen on 15 Aug 2026 (-0.99pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 23.1% • -0.19 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Sedgefield, 28 Aug 2026 — 6th • open 2/9 → final 100/1 (-81.17pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
100/1 151 decimal 7Bet
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
HexhamToday2m 48y · Class 4 · Good · 7 runners100/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—-0.19ppOpen → now100/1Current; SP pendingPending-0.19pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

2 of 4 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Credit Union is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
The price has been unpredictable before and may move sharply again. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
4 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: -0.19pp
Possible next price: 100/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Race market overview as at 05:14
  • Supported0 of 7 runners at +4pp or more
  • Drifting0 of 7 runners at −4pp or worse
  • Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
  • Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.
14:13Hexham • 2m4f28y • Class 5 • Going: Good
2 runners
Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

Trainer: Dianne Sayer
Jockey: Ryan Mania
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Dianne Sayer (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 4/66; first seen between 10am and 1pm 2/66; first seen after 1pm 3/66.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/3; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/3; first seen after 1pm 0/3.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.72pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
⬇ CLASS DROP
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run74 days ago · 20 Jul 2026
Distance changeUp 2.9f from last run
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (67%)
14:13Hexham
Opened 5/1Market avg 11/2
11/2 ↓ 5/1 ↑ 11/2 ↓ 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 ↑ 13/2 ↓ 5/1 → 5/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.72pp (-4.5%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 1 of 3 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 5th at Cartmel on 18 Jul 2026 (-0.75pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 4.5% • -0.72 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Cartmel, 18 Jul 2026 — 5th • open 66/1 → final 80/1 (-0.17pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
13/2 7.5 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
HexhamToday2m 4f 28y · Class 5 · Good · 7 runners5/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—-0.72ppOpen → now11/2Current; SP pendingPending-0.72pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 1 of 3 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. The horse drops from Class 4 to Class 5, but the market has not responded with meaningful support. Today’s move: Order Another One is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (strong)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
3 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: -0.72pp
Possible next price: 5/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Trainer: Gillian Boanas
Jockey: Leah Noreci(7)
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Gillian Boanas (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/20; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/20; first seen after 1pm 0/20.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/9; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/9; first seen after 1pm 0/9.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.67pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
⬆ CLASS RISE
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run29 days ago · 3 Sep 2026
Distance changeUp 7.7f from last run
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 9 | Fixed-odds range: 16/1 → 16/1 | Avg: 16/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
The price is drifting and is not attracting bookmaker support.
Mid-market mover (22%)
14:13Hexham
Opened 14/1Market avg 16/1
16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 ↓ 14/1 ↑ 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.67pp (-11.1%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
78th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE78th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
2 of 9 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse had no recorded finishing position at Market Rasen on 05 Apr 2026 (-5.88pp); and finished 7th at Newcastle (AW) on 12 Mar 2026 (-1.67pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 11.1% • -0.67 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Musselburgh, 15 Feb 2026 — 5th • open 4/1 → final 10/1 (-10.91pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
16/1 17 decimal 7Bet
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
HexhamToday2m 4f 28y · Class 5 · Good · 7 runners14/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—-0.67ppOpen → now16/1Current; SP pendingPending-0.67pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 2 of 9 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. It is also stepping up from Class 6 to Class 5, which adds another test today. Today’s move: Bouboule is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Newcastle (AW) · 22 Jan 2026 · 2nd · 0/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Hexham · previous Newcastle (AW)×Trip (within ½f): Today 2m 4f 28y · previous 1m 4f 98y×Ground: Today Good · previous Standard×Class: Today Class 5 · previous Class 6
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.Comparable moves have had few top-two finishes. Be cautious.
Did the early price move fade?

No documented early-support reversal in this horse’s recorded checkpoint sample. The older wording referred to finishing results, not a verified intraday price fade.

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
8 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: -0.67pp
Possible next price: 16/1
9 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Hexham. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Race market overview as at 05:14
  • Supported0 of 7 runners at +4pp or more
  • Drifting0 of 7 runners at −4pp or worse
  • Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
  • Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.
14:48Hexham • 2m0f48y • Class 3 • Going: Good
4 runners
Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

Trainer: Adrian Keatley
Jockey: Brian Hughes
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Adrian Keatley (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 12/90; first seen between 10am and 1pm 6/90; first seen after 1pm 2/90.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/5; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/5; first seen after 1pm 0/5.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.76pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
⬇ CLASS DROP
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run146 days ago · 9 May 2026
Distance changeUp 0.6f from last run
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (40%)
14:48Hexham
Opened 15/8Market avg 2/1
2/1 → 2/1 → 2/1 → 2/1 ↓ 15/8 ↑ 2/1 ↓ 15/8 ↑ 2/1 → 2/1 → 2/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.76pp (-2.2%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
40th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE40th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
3 of 5 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 6th at Haydock on 09 May 2026 (-2.32pp); finished 6th at Haydock on 04 Apr 2026 (-2.81pp); and finished 3rd at Stratford on 09 Mar 2026 (-5.23pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 2.2% • -0.76 probability points
Built 00:00 → 01:48
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Stratford, 09 Mar 2026 — 3rd • open 8/1 → final 12/1 (-3.42pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
2/1 3 decimal 7Bet
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
HexhamToday2m 48y · Class 3 · Good · 7 runners15/8—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—-0.76ppOpen → now2/1Current; SP pendingPending-0.76pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

3 of 5 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. The horse drops from Class 1 to Class 3, but the market has not responded with meaningful support. Today’s move: Mr McLoughlan is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
5 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: -0.76pp
Possible next price: 2/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Trainer: George Bewley
Jockey: Jonathon Bewley
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer George Bewley (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 6/71; first seen between 10am and 1pm 2/71; first seen after 1pm 4/71.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/5; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/5; first seen after 1pm 0/5.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.55pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run76 days ago · 18 Jul 2026
Distance changeDown 1f from last run
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 9/2 → 9/2 | Avg: 9/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
The price is drifting and is not attracting bookmaker support.
Early money horse (60%)
14:48Hexham
Opened 11/2Market avg 6/1
13/2 ↓ 6/1 ↑ 13/2 ↓ 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 ↓ 11/2 ↑ 13/2 ↓ 6/1 → 6/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.55pp (-11.2%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
80th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE80th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
Only 1 of 5 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse had no recorded finishing position at Perth on 23 Apr 2026 (-4.23pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 11.2% • -1.55 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Perth, 23 Apr 2026 — finish unavailable • open 14/1 → final 50/1 (-4.71pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
7/1 8 decimal Midnite
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
HexhamToday2m 48y · Class 3 · Good · 7 runners11/2—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—-1.55ppOpen → now6/1Current; SP pendingPending-1.55pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 1 of 5 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Winds of Winter is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Cartmel · 18 Jul 2026 · 2nd · 2/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Hexham · previous Cartmel×Trip (within ½f): Today 2m 48y · previous 2m 1f 46y✓Ground: Good✓Class: Class 3
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (strong)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
4 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: -1.55pp
Possible next price: 6/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Course record
No placed efforts from 2 previous runs at Hexham. The current market is 66% shorter than usual compared with a typical course SP of 21.3.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Trainer: Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore
Jockey: Gregor Walkingshaw(10)
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 46/408; first seen between 10am and 1pm 23/408; first seen after 1pm 15/408.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 2/5; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/5; first seen after 1pm 1/5.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.39pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
⬆ CLASS RISE
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run14 days ago · 18 Sep 2026
Distance changeUp 3.1f from last run
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 4/1 → 4/1 | Avg: 4/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (60%)
14:48Hexham
Opened 11/1Market avg 12/1
12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 ↓ 11/1 → 11/1 ↑ 12/1 ↓ 10/1 ↑ 12/1 ↓ 11/1 → 11/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.39pp (-4.9%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
60th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE60th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
2 of 5 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 7th at Ayr on 18 Sep 2026 (-2.32pp); and finished 1st at Hexham on 09 May 2026 (-3.43pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 4.9% • -0.39 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Ayr, 18 Sep 2026 — 7th • open 20/1 → final 33/1 (-1.82pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
12/1 13 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
HexhamToday2m 48y · Class 3 · Good · 7 runners11/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—-0.39ppOpen → now12/1Current; SP pendingPending-0.39pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 2 of 5 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. It is also stepping up from Class 5 to Class 3, which adds another test today. Today’s move: Two Auld Pals is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Hexham · 09 May 2026 · 1st · 2/4 known conditions match
✓Track: Hexham✓Trip (within ½f): 2m 48y×Ground: Today Good · previous Soft×Class: Today Class 3 · previous Class 5
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (strong)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
5 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: -0.39pp
Possible next price: 10/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Course record
At Hexham this horse has recorded 1 placed effort from 2 runs. The current market is 215% bigger than usual against an average course SP profile of 4.0.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Trainer: Susan Corbett
Jockey: Nathan Moscrop
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Susan Corbett (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 12/100; first seen between 10am and 1pm 4/100; first seen after 1pm 7/100.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 1 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.49pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
⬆ CLASS RISE
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run89 days ago · 5 Jul 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.
14:48Hexham
Opened 11/1Market avg 12/1
12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 ↓ 11/1 → 11/1 ↑ 12/1 ↓ 11/1 ↑ 14/1 ↓ 11/1 → 11/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.49pp (-6.2%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
Raw Open → Now price change: 6.3% • -0.49 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Market Rasen, 05 Jul 2026 — 4th • open 8/1 → final 18/1 (-5.85pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
14/1 15 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
HexhamToday2m 48y · Class 3 · Good · 7 runners11/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—-0.49ppOpen → now12/1Current; SP pendingPending-0.49pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. It is also stepping up from Class 4 to Class 3, which adds another test today. Today’s move: Kaikoura is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
1 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: -0.49pp
Possible next price: 10/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Race market overview as at 05:14
  • Supported0 of 7 runners at +4pp or more
  • Drifting0 of 7 runners at −4pp or worse
  • Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
  • Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.
15:23Hexham • 2m4f28y • Class 4 • Going: Good
6 runners
Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

Trainer: Cian Collins
Jockey: Sean Bowen
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Cian Collins (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 10/223; first seen between 10am and 1pm 13/223; first seen after 1pm 10/223.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/4; first seen between 10am and 1pm 1/4; first seen after 1pm 0/4.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.18pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run32 days ago · 31 Aug 2026
Distance changeDown 1.7f from last run
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 9/2 → 9/2 | Avg: 9/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (50%)
15:23Hexham
Opened 10/3Market avg 7/2
7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 ↑ 9/2 ↓ 7/2 → 7/2
PRICE MOVE
-1.18pp (-5.4%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
25th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE25th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
3 of 4 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 8th at Galway (IRE) on 29 Jul 2026 (-3.90pp); finished 2nd at Cork (IRE) on 10 May 2026 (-2.42pp); and finished 10th at Limerick (IRE) on 27 Dec 2025 (-2.43pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 5.4% • -1.18 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Limerick (IRE), 27 Dec 2025 — 10th • open 16/1 → final 28/1 (-2.43pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
9/2 5.5 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
HexhamToday2m 4f 28y · Class 4 · Good · 10 runners10/3—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—-1.18ppOpen → now7/2Current; SP pendingPending-1.18pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

3 of 4 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Coded Welder is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Cork (IRE) · 10 May 2026 · 2nd · 1/3 known conditions match
×Track: Today Hexham · previous Cork (IRE)×Trip (within ½f): Today 2m 4f 28y · previous 2m 3f 50y✓Ground: Good?Class: Data missing
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
4 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: -1.18pp
Possible next price: 7/2
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Trainer: Sam England
Jockey: Rebecca Hitchen(7)
🟢 Needs Support (6%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Sam England (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 34/275; first seen between 10am and 1pm 21/275; first seen after 1pm 13/275.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/7; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/7; first seen after 1pm 0/7.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.33pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
⬇ CLASS DROP
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run23 days ago · 9 Sep 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Mid
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 17/2 → 12/1 | Avg: 11/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Mid-market mover (29%)
15:23Hexham
Opened 13/2Market avg 13/2
13/2 ↑ 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 ↓ 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 ↑ 7/1 → 7/1 ↓ 13/2
PRICE MOVE
-0.33pp (-2.5%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
57th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE57th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
3 of 7 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 7th at Market Rasen on 18 Jul 2026 (-2.94pp); finished 4th at Hexham on 21 Jun 2026 (-1.39pp); and finished 7th at Kelso on 06 May 2026 (-10.91pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 2.5% • -0.33 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Kelso, 06 May 2026 — 7th • open 4/1 → final 10/1 (-10.91pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
7/1 8 decimal Bet Victor
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
HexhamToday2m 4f 28y · Class 4 · Good · 10 runners13/2—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—-0.33ppOpen → now13/2Current; SP pendingPending-0.33pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 3 of 7 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. The horse drops from Class 3 to Class 4, but the market has not responded with meaningful support. Today’s move: Glory And Honour is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Hexham · 06 Jun 2026 · 1st · 3/4 known conditions match
✓Track: Hexham×Trip (within ½f): Today 2m 4f 28y · previous 2m 48y✓Ground: Good✓Class: Class 4
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have usually held or strengthened.
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
No positive support trigger.
This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.
Today: -0.33pp
Possible next price: 13/2
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Course record
At Hexham this horse has recorded 1 placed effort from 2 runs. The current market is 21% shorter than usual against an average course SP profile of 9.8.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Trainer: Tim Reed
Jockey: Harry Reed
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Tim Reed (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 2/8; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/8; first seen after 1pm 1/8.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 0 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.80pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
15:23Hexham
Opened 9/1Market avg 10/1
10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 ↓ 9/1 ↑ 11/1 ↓ 10/1 → 10/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.80pp (-8.8%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
Raw Open → Now price change: 8.8% • -0.80 probability points
BEST FIXED ODDS
11/1 12 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
HexhamToday2m 4f 28y · Class 4 · Good · 10 runners9/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—-0.80ppOpen → now10/1Current; SP pendingPending-0.80pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Hopeless Dancer is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 10/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Trainer: Mark Walford
Jockey: Jamie Hamilton
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Mark Walford (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 36/302; first seen between 10am and 1pm 18/302; first seen after 1pm 11/302.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/6; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/6; first seen after 1pm 0/6.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.24pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
⬆ CLASS RISE
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run147 days ago · 8 May 2026
Distance changeDown 0.5f from last run
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Late PM
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: 9/2 → 40/1 | Avg: 22/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Mid-market mover (33%)
15:23Hexham
Opened 10/1Market avg 10/1
10/1 ↑ 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 ↓ 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 ↑ 12/1 ↓ 11/1 ↓ 10/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.24pp (-2.7%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
3 of 6 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 6th at Market Rasen on 08 May 2026 (-9.45pp); finished 3rd at Sedgefield on 19 Mar 2026 (-9.94pp); and finished 5th at Fakenham on 13 Feb 2026 (-4.44pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 2.7% • -0.24 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Fakenham, 13 Feb 2026 — 5th • open 5/4 → final 10/3 (-21.35pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
12/1 13 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
HexhamToday2m 4f 28y · Class 4 · Good · 10 runners10/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—-0.24ppOpen → now10/1Current; SP pendingPending-0.24pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

3 of 6 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. It is also stepping up from Class 5 to Class 4, which adds another test today. Today’s move: De Deli Counter is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Market Rasen · 05 Apr 2026 · 1st · 2/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Hexham · previous Market Rasen✓Trip (within ½f): 2m 4f 28y✓Ground: Good×Class: Today Class 4 · previous Class 5
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
No positive support trigger.
This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.
Today: -0.24pp
Possible next price: 10/1
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Trainer: Martin Todhunter
Jockey: Ryan Mania
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Martin Todhunter (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 7/58; first seen between 10am and 1pm 5/58; first seen after 1pm 3/58.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 0 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.27pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
15:23Hexham
Opened 10/1Market avg 10/1
10/1 ↑ 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 ↓ 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 ↑ 12/1 ↓ 11/1 ↓ 10/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.27pp (-3.0%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
Raw Open → Now price change: 3% • -0.27 probability points
BEST FIXED ODDS
12/1 13 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
HexhamToday2m 4f 28y · Class 4 · Good · 10 runners10/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—-0.27ppOpen → now10/1Current; SP pendingPending-0.27pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Final Straw is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 10/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Trainer: Brian Ellison
Jockey: Joshua Thompson(5)
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Brian Ellison (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 32/351; first seen between 10am and 1pm 23/351; first seen after 1pm 14/351.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/3; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/3; first seen after 1pm 0/3.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.51pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run27 days ago · 5 Sep 2026
Distance changeDown 1.9f from last run
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Early
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (33%)
15:23Hexham
Opened 12/1Market avg 12/1
12/1 ↑ 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 ↓ 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 ↑ 14/1 → 14/1 ↓ 12/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.51pp (-7.1%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 1 of 3 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 3rd at Hexham on 06 Jun 2026 (-3.07pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 7.1% • -0.51 probability points
Previous market evidence

No previous open-to-final drift in the recorded sample.

BEST FIXED ODDS
14/1 15 decimal Bet Victor
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
HexhamToday2m 4f 28y · Class 4 · Good · 10 runners12/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—-0.51ppOpen → now12/1Current; SP pendingPending-0.51pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 1 of 3 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Dinons is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
3 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: -0.51pp
Possible next price: 12/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Hexham. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Race market overview as at 05:14
  • Supported1 of 10 runners at +4pp or more · strongest: Ballynoe Boy +5.95pp
  • Drifting0 of 10 runners at −4pp or worse
  • Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
  • Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.
15:58Hexham • 2m7f63y • Class 5 • Going: Good
1 runners
Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

Trainer: Brian Ellison
Jockey: Brian Hughes
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Brian Ellison (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 32/351; first seen between 10am and 1pm 23/351; first seen after 1pm 14/351.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/5; first seen between 10am and 1pm 1/5; first seen after 1pm 0/5.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.35pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run34 days ago · 29 Aug 2026
Distance changeDown 2.1f from last run
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 5/1 → 5/1 | Avg: 5/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (60%)
15:58Hexham
Opened 6/4Market avg 13/8
13/8 → 13/8 → 13/8 ↓ 6/4 ↑ 13/8 → 13/8 ↓ 6/4 ↑ 13/8 ↓ 6/4 ↑ 13/8
PRICE MOVE
-1.35pp (-3.5%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
80th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE80th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
Only 1 of 5 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 6th at Market Rasen on 28 May 2026 (-1.42pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 3.5% • -1.35 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Market Rasen, 28 May 2026 — 6th • open 18/1 → final 28/1 (-1.81pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
13/8 2.63 decimal 7Bet
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
HexhamToday2m 7f 63y · Class 5 · Good · 5 runners6/4—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—-1.35ppOpen → now13/8Current; SP pendingPending-1.35pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 1 of 5 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Frisky Whiskey is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Cartmel · 29 Aug 2026 · 2nd · 2/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Hexham · previous Cartmel×Trip (within ½f): Today 2m 7f 63y · previous 3m 1f 83y✓Ground: Good✓Class: Class 5
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (strong)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
5 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: -1.35pp
Possible next price: 13/8
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Hexham. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Race market overview as at 05:14
  • Supported0 of 5 runners at +4pp or more
  • Drifting0 of 5 runners at −4pp or worse
  • Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
  • Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.
16:33Hexham • 2m4f15y • Class 5 • Going: Good
2 runners
Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

Trainer: David Thompson
Jockey: Ellis Collier(5)
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer David Thompson (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 3/87; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/87; first seen after 1pm 2/87.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/8; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/8; first seen after 1pm 0/8.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.14pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run34 days ago · 29 Aug 2026
Distance changeDown 1.1f from last run
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Early PM
Runs: 8 | Fixed-odds range: 5/1 → 15/2 | Avg: 13/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (25%)
16:33Hexham
Opened 7/4Market avg 7/4
7/4 → 7/4 → 7/4 ↓ 13/8 ↑ 7/4 → 7/4 → 7/4 ↑ 15/8 ↓ 13/8 ↑ 7/4
PRICE MOVE
-0.14pp (-0.4%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
4 of 8 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 1st at Cartmel on 29 Aug 2026 (-1.87pp); finished 2nd at Stratford on 20 Aug 2026 (-2.96pp); finished 5th at Newton Abbot on 23 Jun 2026 (-0.62pp); and finished 6th at Taunton on 09 Apr 2026 (-7.62pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 0.4% • -0.14 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Ffos Las, 30 Jan 2026 — 3rd • open 7/2 → final 9/1 (-12.22pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
2/1 3 decimal Midnite
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
HexhamToday2m 4f 15y · Class 5 · Good · 5 runners7/4—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—-0.14ppOpen → now7/4Current; SP pendingPending-0.14pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

4 of 8 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Illogical Logic is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Cartmel · 29 Aug 2026 · 1st · 2/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Hexham · previous Cartmel×Trip (within ½f): Today 2m 4f 15y · previous 2m 5f 34y✓Ground: Good✓Class: Class 5
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
No positive support trigger.
This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.
Today: -0.14pp
Possible next price: 7/4
8 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Trainer: Leonard Kerr
Jockey: Derek Fox
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Leonard Kerr (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/13; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/13; first seen after 1pm 0/13.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/10; first seen between 10am and 1pm 1/10; first seen after 1pm 1/10.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.44pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
⬇ CLASS DROP
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run3 days ago · 29 Sep 2026
Distance changeUp 3.7f from last run
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 10 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Late money horse (30%)
16:33Hexham
Opened 12/1Market avg 12/1
14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 ↓ 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 ↑ 16/1 ↓ 12/1 → 12/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.44pp (-6.1%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
70th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE70th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
3 of 10 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 9th at Perth on 07 Sep 2026 (-1.12pp); finished 6th at Cartmel on 29 Aug 2026 (-1.12pp); and finished 7th at Perth on 07 Jun 2026 (-2.94pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 6.1% • -0.44 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Perth, 07 Jun 2026 — 7th • open 16/1 → final 50/1 (-3.92pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
16/1 17 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
HexhamToday2m 4f 15y · Class 5 · Good · 5 runners12/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—-0.44ppOpen → now12/1Current; SP pendingPending-0.44pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 3 of 10 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. The horse drops from Class 4 to Class 5, but the market has not responded with meaningful support. Today’s move: Kinbara Firstdraft is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.Comparable moves have had few top-two finishes. Be cautious.
Did the early price move fade?

Recorded examples where 5pp+ early support was followed by a longer final price:

  • Perth, 02 Jul 2026 — 4th • open 9/1 → 10am 5/1 → final 11/2
  • Ayr, 10 Feb 2026 — 4th • open 14/1 → 1pm 11/2 → final 15/2
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
10 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: -0.44pp
Possible next price: 12/1
10 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Race market overview as at 05:14
  • Supported0 of 5 runners at +4pp or more
  • Drifting0 of 5 runners at −4pp or worse
  • Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
  • Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.
17:08Hexham • 3m0f41y • Class 5 • Going: Good
5 runners
Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

Trainer: Cian Collins
Jockey: Sean Bowen
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Cian Collins (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 10/223; first seen between 10am and 1pm 13/223; first seen after 1pm 10/223.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/5; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/5; first seen after 1pm 0/5.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.09pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run78 days ago · 16 Jul 2026
Distance changeUp 1.2f from last run
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Early
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Mid-market mover (40%)
17:08Hexham
Opened 11/10Market avg 11/10
11/10 → 11/10 → 11/10 → 11/10 → 11/10 → 11/10 → 11/10 → 11/10 → 11/10 → 11/10
PRICE MOVE
-0.09pp (-0.2%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
80th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE80th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
Only 1 of 5 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 9th at Chepstow on 27 Dec 2025 (-0.20pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 0.2% • -0.09 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Worcester, 28 May 2026 — 6th • open 9/1 → final 10/1 (-0.91pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
6/5 2.2 decimal Midnite
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
HexhamToday3m 41y · Class 5 · Good · 7 runners11/10—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—-0.09ppOpen → now11/10Current; SP pendingPending-0.09pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 1 of 5 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Stay Hopeful is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This price often moves during the day, so keep checking it. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
5 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: -0.09pp
Possible next price: 11/10
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
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Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Trainer: Jessica Bedi
Jockey: Paul O'Brien
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Jessica Bedi (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 7/92; first seen between 10am and 1pm 2/92; first seen after 1pm 2/92.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 2/10; first seen between 10am and 1pm 1/10; first seen after 1pm 0/10.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.40pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run18 days ago · 14 Sep 2026
Distance changeDown 2.1f from last run
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 10 | Fixed-odds range: 10/3 → 14/1 | Avg: 15/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (30%)
17:08Hexham
Opened 4/1Market avg 9/2
9/2 ↓ 4/1 ↑ 9/2 ↓ 4/1 ↑ 9/2 ↓ 4/1 ↑ 9/2 ↑ 6/1 ↓ 4/1 ↑ 9/2
PRICE MOVE
-1.40pp (-7.5%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
60th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE60th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
4 of 10 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 2nd at Sedgefield on 14 Sep 2026 (-2.38pp); finished 3rd at Market Rasen on 15 Aug 2026 (-4.86pp); finished 1st at Huntingdon on 25 May 2026 (-3.43pp); and had no recorded finishing position at Perth on 14 May 2026 (-2.39pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 7.5% • -1.40 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Catterick, 28 Dec 2025 — 6th • open 11/2 → final 12/1 (-7.69pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
6/1 7 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
HexhamToday3m 41y · Class 5 · Good · 7 runners4/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—-1.40ppOpen → now9/2Current; SP pendingPending-1.40pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 4 of 10 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Uncle Al is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Sedgefield · 14 Sep 2026 · 2nd · 2/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Hexham · previous Sedgefield×Trip (within ½f): Today 3m 41y · previous 3m 2f 59y✓Ground: Good✓Class: Class 5
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
No positive support trigger.
This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.
Today: -1.40pp
Possible next price: 5/1
10 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Hexham. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Trainer: Sean McParlan
Jockey: Mr N. McParlan(3)
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Timing evidence for Trainer Sean McParlan: only 1 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 2 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.04pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run42 days ago · 21 Aug 2026
Distance changeDown 1.6f from last run
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
17:08Hexham
Opened 6/1Market avg 6/1
6/1 ↓ 11/2 ↑ 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 ↓ 11/2 → 11/2 ↑ 6/1 → 6/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.04pp (-0.3%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
Raw Open → Now price change: 0.3% • -0.04 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Wexford (IRE), 03 Jul 2026 — 10th • open 25/1 → final 40/1 (-1.41pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
7/1 8 decimal Paddy Power
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
HexhamToday3m 41y · Class 5 · Good · 7 runners6/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—-0.04ppOpen → now6/1Current; SP pendingPending-0.04pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Deadheat is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
2 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: -0.04pp
Possible next price: 6/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Trainer: George Bewley
Jockey: Jonathon Bewley
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer George Bewley (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 6/71; first seen between 10am and 1pm 2/71; first seen after 1pm 4/71.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/3; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/3; first seen after 1pm 0/3.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.41pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run76 days ago · 18 Jul 2026
Distance changeDown 1.3f from last run
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (67%)
17:08Hexham
Opened 6/1Market avg 6/1
13/2 ↓ 6/1 ↑ 13/2 ↓ 11/2 ↑ 6/1 → 6/1 ↓ 11/2 ↑ 15/2 ↓ 11/2 ↑ 6/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.41pp (-3.0%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILESTRONGEST RECORDED DRIFT FOR THIS HORSE (100th percentile)
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Largest drift recorded across 3 previous runs.
Raw Open → Now price change: 3% • -0.41 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Cartmel, 18 Jul 2026 — 4th • open 11/1 → final 14/1 (-1.67pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
15/2 8.5 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
HexhamToday3m 41y · Class 5 · Good · 7 runners6/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—-0.41ppOpen → now6/1Current; SP pendingPending-0.41pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READTHIS IS THE HORSE’S STRONGEST RECORDED SUPPORT

Across 3 previous runs, this is the horse’s strongest recorded support. Today’s move: Lights Are Green is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (strong)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
2 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: -0.41pp
Possible next price: 6/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Hexham. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Trainer: Gillian Boanas
Jockey: William Maggs(3)
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Gillian Boanas (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/20; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/20; first seen after 1pm 0/20.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/5; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/5; first seen after 1pm 0/5.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.27pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run18 days ago · 14 Sep 2026
Distance changeDown 2.1f from last run
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 40/1 → 40/1 | Avg: 40/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (40%)
17:08Hexham
Opened 20/1Market avg 22/1
22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1 ↓ 20/1 ↑ 22/1 → 22/1 ↓ 18/1 ↑ 22/1 ↓ 20/1 → 20/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.27pp (-6.0%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
20th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE20th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
4 of 5 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 5th at Sedgefield on 14 Sep 2026 (-3.03pp); finished 5th at Sedgefield on 28 Aug 2026 (-4.15pp); had no recorded finishing position at Cartmel on 28 Jun 2026 (-5.24pp); and finished 7th at Cartmel on 23 May 2026 (-0.50pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 6% • -0.27 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Sedgefield, 14 Sep 2026 — 5th • open 8/1 → final 22/1 (-7.02pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
22/1 23 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
HexhamToday3m 41y · Class 5 · Good · 7 runners20/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—-0.27ppOpen → now22/1Current; SP pendingPending-0.27pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

4 of 5 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Croagh Patrick is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Hexham · 13 Jun 2026 · 2nd · 4/4 known conditions match
✓Track: Hexham✓Trip (within ½f): 3m 41y✓Ground: Good✓Class: Class 5
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
4 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: -0.27pp
Possible next price: 18/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Hexham. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Race market overview as at 05:14
  • Supported0 of 7 runners at +4pp or more
  • Drifting0 of 7 runners at −4pp or worse
  • Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
  • Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.
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