Live Horse Racing Market Movement

14:13Hexham • 2m4f28y • Class 5 • Going: Good

4 runners

Market Intelligence

Strongest support: Drumlee Myth (+1.16 probability points)

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Dante's Inferno

Trainer: Tony Culhane & Stella Barclay

Jockey: David Noonan

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Tony Culhane & Stella Barclay (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 9/89; first seen between 10am and 1pm 9/89; first seen after 1pm 7/89.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/3; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/3; first seen after 1pm 0/3.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.88pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/14 won (7.1%); Open→SP 2/20 won (10%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 11.1% (1/9).

↔ SAME CLASS

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run6 days ago · 26 Sep 2026

Distance changeUp 1.5f from last run

Usually attracts bookmaker support

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Opening

Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: 17/2 → 17/2 | Avg: 17/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

10am plunger

Early money horse (100%)

14:13Hexham

Opened 11/8Market avg 11/8

11/8 ↓ 5/4 ↑ 11/8 ↓ 5/4 ↑ 11/8 → 11/8 ↓ 5/4 ↑ 11/8 ↓ 5/4 ↑ 11/8

PRICE MOVE

+0.88pp (+2.1%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

3 of 3 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 2nd at Market Rasen on 26 Sep 2026 (+3.21pp); finished 6th at Bangor-on-Dee on 04 Sep 2026 (+3.21pp); and finished 7th at Bangor-on-Dee on 16 May 2026 (+1.40pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 2.1% • +0.88 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Market Rasen, 26 Sep 2026 — 2nd • open 16/1 → final 17/2 (+4.64pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

11/8 2.38 decimal 7Bet

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
HexhamToday2m 4f 28y · Class 5 · Good · 7 runners	11/8	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.88ppOpen → now	11/8Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.88pp
Market Rasen26 Sep 20262m 2f 140y · Class 5 · Good · 11 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	16/1	+3.21ppOpen → 10am	10/1	+0.00pp10am → 1pm	10/1	+0.91pp1pm → SP	9/1	2nd	+4.12pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
HexhamToday2m 4f 28y · Class 5 · Good · 7 runners	11/8	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.88ppOpen → now	11/8Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.88pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

3 of 3 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Dante's Inferno is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Market Rasen · 26 Sep 2026 · 2nd · 2/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Hexham · previous Market Rasen×Trip (within ½f): Today 2m 4f 28y · previous 2m 2f 140y✓Ground: Good✓Class: Class 5

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (strong)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

3 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.

Today: +0.88pp

Possible next price: 11/8

3 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

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Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

Drumlee Myth

Trainer: Sean McParlan

Jockey: Mr N. McParlan(3)

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Timing evidence for Trainer Sean McParlan: only 1 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 2 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +1.16pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/0 won (0%); Open→SP 0/0 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.

↔ SAME CLASS

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run48 days ago · 15 Aug 2026

Distance changeDown 3.8f from last run

Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: 16/1 → 16/1 | Avg: 16/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

14:13Hexham

Opened 5/2Market avg 9/4

5/2 ↓ 9/4 ↑ 5/2 ↓ 9/4 ↑ 5/2 ↓ 9/4 ↑ 5/2 ↑ 11/4 ↓ 9/4 → 9/4

PRICE MOVE

+1.16pp (+3.9%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

Raw Open → Now price change: 3.9% • +1.16 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Perth, 15 Aug 2026 — 6th • open 9/2 → final 5/2 (+10.39pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

11/4 3.75 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
HexhamToday2m 4f 28y · Class 5 · Good · 7 runners	5/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+1.16ppOpen → now	9/4Current; SP pending	Pending	+1.16pp
Cartmel20 Jul 20262m 6f 31y · Class 5 · Good · 9 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	14/1	+0.42ppOpen → 10am	14/1	+1.03pp10am → 1pm	12/1	-1.03pp1pm → SP	14/1	1st	+0.42pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
HexhamToday2m 4f 28y · Class 5 · Good · 7 runners	5/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+1.16ppOpen → now	9/4Current; SP pending	Pending	+1.16pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Drumlee Myth is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Cartmel · 20 Jul 2026 · 1st · 2/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Hexham · previous Cartmel×Trip (within ½f): Today 2m 4f 28y · previous 2m 6f 31y✓Ground: Good✓Class: Class 5

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

Limited data: one similar run only.

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

2 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.

Today: +1.16pp

Possible next price: 9/4

No historical data

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

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Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

Knockeranna Rose

Trainer: Susan Corbett

Jockey: Conor Rabbitt(3)

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Susan Corbett (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 12/100; first seen between 10am and 1pm 4/100; first seen after 1pm 7/100.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/8; first seen between 10am and 1pm 1/8; first seen after 1pm 0/8.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.03pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/12 won (8.3%); Open→SP 2/19 won (10.5%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.

↔ SAME CLASS

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run103 days ago · 21 Jun 2026

Distance changeUp 3.9f from last run

No consistent price pattern yet

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Early

Runs: 8 | Fixed-odds range: 8/1 → 8/1 | Avg: 8/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

10am plunger

Mid-market mover (38%)

14:13Hexham

Opened 15/2Market avg 15/2

15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 ↓ 7/1 ↑ 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 ↑ 8/1 ↓ 7/1 ↑ 15/2

PRICE MOVE

+0.03pp (+0.2%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

4 of 8 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 4th at Perth on 13 May 2026 (+3.57pp); finished 2nd at Perth on 24 Apr 2026 (+4.86pp); finished 3rd at Carlisle on 04 Apr 2026 (+5.56pp); and finished 8th at Sedgefield on 19 Mar 2026 (+3.43pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 0.2% • +0.03 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Carlisle, 04 Apr 2026 — 3rd • open 8/1 → final 11/2 (+4.27pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

8/1 9 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
HexhamToday2m 4f 28y · Class 5 · Good · 7 runners	15/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.03ppOpen → now	15/2Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.03pp
Perth24 Apr 20262m 4f 35y · Class 5 · Good · 8 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	17/2	+4.86ppOpen → 10am	11/2	+0.00pp10am → 1pm	11/2	-4.27pp1pm → SP	8/1	2nd	+0.58pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
HexhamToday2m 4f 28y · Class 5 · Good · 7 runners	15/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.03ppOpen → now	15/2Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.03pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

4 of 8 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Knockeranna Rose is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Perth · 24 Apr 2026 · 2nd · 3/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Hexham · previous Perth✓Trip (within ½f): 2m 4f 28y✓Ground: Good✓Class: Class 5

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.Comparable moves have had few top-two finishes. Be cautious.

Did the early price move fade?

Recorded examples where 5pp+ early support was followed by a longer final price:

Perth, 13 May 2026 — 4th • open 10/3 → 1pm 5/2 → final 11/4
Carlisle, 04 Apr 2026 — 3rd • open 8/1 → 10am 5/1 → final 11/2

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

8 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.

Today: +0.03pp

Possible next price: 15/2

8 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

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Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Hexham. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

Manhatane

Trainer: James Moffatt

Jockey: Brian Hughes

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer James Moffatt (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 13/128; first seen between 10am and 1pm 9/128; first seen after 1pm 4/128.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/4; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/4; first seen after 1pm 0/4.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.02pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 5/21 won (23.8%); Open→SP 6/20 won (30%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 33.3% (3/9).

↔ SAME CLASS

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run8 days ago · 24 Sep 2026

Distance changeUp 3.9f from last run

Often drifts in the market

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Late PM

Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

Mid-market mover (25%)

14:13Hexham

Opened 12/1Market avg 12/1

12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 ↓ 11/1 → 11/1 ↑ 12/1 → 12/1

PRICE MOVE

+0.02pp (+0.3%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILETHE STRONGEST MOVE RECORDED (100th percentile)

EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE

Strongest support recorded across 4 previous runs.

Raw Open → Now price change: 0.3% • +0.02 probability points

Previous market evidence

No previous positive open-to-final support in the recorded sample.

BEST FIXED ODDS

14/1 15 decimal Paddy Power

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
HexhamToday2m 4f 28y · Class 5 · Good · 7 runners	12/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.02ppOpen → now	12/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.02pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
HexhamToday2m 4f 28y · Class 5 · Good · 7 runners	12/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.02ppOpen → now	12/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.02pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READTHIS IS THE HORSE’S STRONGEST RECORDED SUPPORT

Across 4 previous runs, this is the horse’s strongest recorded support. Today’s move: Manhatane is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

Limited data: one similar run only.

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

4 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.

Today: +0.02pp

Possible next price: 12/1

4 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

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Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

Race market overview as at 05:14

Supported0 of 7 runners at +4pp or more
Drifting0 of 7 runners at −4pp or worse
Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.

14:48Hexham • 2m0f48y • Class 3 • Going: Good

3 runners

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Full field shown.

Moveit Like Minnie

Trainer: Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies

Jockey: Sam Twiston-Davies

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 34/261; first seen between 10am and 1pm 21/261; first seen after 1pm 5/261.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/4; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/4; first seen after 1pm 0/4.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.31pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 8/46 won (17.4%); Open→SP 8/43 won (18.6%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.

⬇ CLASS DROP

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run166 days ago · 19 Apr 2026

Distance changeDown 8.8f from last run

No consistent price pattern yet

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Mid

Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 10/3 → 10/3 | Avg: 10/3Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

Early money horse (25%)

14:48Hexham

Opened 3/1Market avg 3/1

3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 ↑ 10/3 ↓ 3/1 → 3/1

PRICE MOVE

+0.31pp (+1.2%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

Only 1 of 4 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 4th at Ascot on 14 Feb 2026 (+0.76pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 1.2% • +0.31 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Plumpton, 19 Apr 2026 — 9th • open 8/1 → final 7/1 (+1.39pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

10/3 4.33 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
HexhamToday2m 48y · Class 3 · Good · 7 runners	3/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.31ppOpen → now	3/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.31pp
Wincanton23 Mar 20262m 3f 179y · Class 3 · Good · 8 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	7/2	+0.00ppOpen → 10am	7/2	+0.87pp10am → 1pm	10/3	+3.57pp1pm → SP	11/4	1st	+4.44pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
HexhamToday2m 48y · Class 3 · Good · 7 runners	3/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.31ppOpen → now	3/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.31pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 1 of 4 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. The horse drops from Class 2 to Class 3, but the market has not responded with meaningful support. Today’s move: Moveit Like Minnie is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Wincanton · 23 Mar 2026 · 1st · 2/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Hexham · previous Wincanton×Trip (within ½f): Today 2m 48y · previous 2m 3f 179y✓Ground: Good✓Class: Class 3

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

N/A

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

4 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.

Today: +0.31pp

Possible next price: 3/1

4 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

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Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

Double Digits

Trainer: Ann Hamilton

Jockey: Danny McMenamin

🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Ann Hamilton (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 3/23; first seen between 10am and 1pm 1/23; first seen after 1pm 2/23.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 2/5; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/5; first seen after 1pm 1/5.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.21pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 2/4 won (50%); Open→SP 2/6 won (33.3%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 50% (2/4).

⬆ CLASS RISE

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run131 days ago · 24 May 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

No consistent price pattern yet

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Opening

Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 13/8 → 7/2 | Avg: 9/4Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

10am plunger

Early money horse (60%)

14:48Hexham

Opened 9/2Market avg 9/2

9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 ↓ 4/1 ↑ 5/1 ↓ 9/2 → 9/2

PRICE MOVE

+0.21pp (+1.1%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

40th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE40th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

3 of 5 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 2nd at Kelso on 24 May 2026 (+9.72pp); finished 2nd at Hexham on 02 May 2026 (+4.85pp); and finished 1st at Sedgefield on 04 Feb 2026 (+15.38pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 1.1% • +0.21 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Sedgefield, 04 Feb 2026 — 1st • open 11/2 → final 2/1 (+17.95pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

5/1 6 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
HexhamToday2m 48y · Class 3 · Good · 7 runners	9/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.21ppOpen → now	9/2Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.21pp
Kelso24 May 20262m 51y · Class 4 · Good · 8 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	3/1	+9.72ppOpen → 10am	15/8	+1.64pp10am → 1pm	7/4	+0.00pp1pm → SP	7/4	2nd	+11.36pp
Post-race comment
Hexham02 May 20262m 48y · Class 3 · Good · 6 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	13/2	+4.85ppOpen → 10am	9/2	+0.00pp10am → 1pm	9/2	+6.82pp1pm → SP	3/1	2nd	+11.67pp
Post-race comment
Sedgefield19 Feb 20262m 77y · Class 4 · Good To Soft · 4 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	4/6	-9.88ppOpen → 10am	EVS	-10.00pp10am → 1pm	6/4	-3.64pp1pm → SP	7/4	2nd	-23.52pp
Post-race comment
Sedgefield04 Feb 20262m 77y · Class 4 · Good To Soft · 6 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	11/2	+15.38ppOpen → 10am	9/4	+2.56pp10am → 1pm	2/1	+0.00pp1pm → SP	2/1	1st	+17.95pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
HexhamToday2m 48y · Class 3 · Good · 7 runners	9/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.21ppOpen → now	9/2Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.21pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

3 of 5 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. It is also stepping up from Class 4 to Class 3, which adds another test today. Today’s move: Double Digits is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Hexham · 02 May 2026 · 2nd · 4/4 known conditions match

✓Track: Hexham✓Trip (within ½f): 2m 48y✓Ground: Good✓Class: Class 3

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (strong)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

No positive support trigger.

This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.

Today: +0.21pp

Possible next price: 9/2

5 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

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Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Hexham. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

Banderas

Trainer: Sam England

Jockey: Jonathan England

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Sam England (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 34/275; first seen between 10am and 1pm 21/275; first seen after 1pm 13/275.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/3; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/3; first seen after 1pm 0/3.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.60pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 14/50 won (28%); Open→SP 16/52 won (30.8%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 31.8% (7/22).

⬆ CLASS RISE

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run109 days ago · 15 Jun 2026

Distance changeUp 2.1f from last run

Usually attracts bookmaker support

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Opening

Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: 14/1 → 14/1 | Avg: 14/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

10am plunger

Early money horse (100%)

14:48Hexham

Opened 5/1Market avg 5/1

5/1 ↓ 9/2 ↑ 5/1 ↓ 9/2 → 9/2 ↑ 5/1 ↓ 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2

PRICE MOVE

+0.60pp (+3.5%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

3 of 3 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 5th at Carlisle on 15 Jun 2026 (+8.55pp); finished 1st at Hexham on 19 May 2026 (+1.81pp); and finished 5th at Hexham on 02 May 2026 (+1.03pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 3.5% • +0.60 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Carlisle, 15 Jun 2026 — 5th • open 7/2 → final 5/2 (+6.35pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

6/1 7 decimal Midnite

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
HexhamToday2m 48y · Class 3 · Good · 7 runners	5/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.60ppOpen → now	5/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.60pp
Hexham19 May 20262m 4f 28y · Class 4 · Good · 10 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	16/1	+1.81ppOpen → 10am	12/1	-1.03pp10am → 1pm	14/1	+1.67pp1pm → SP	11/1	1st	+2.45pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
HexhamToday2m 48y · Class 3 · Good · 7 runners	5/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.60ppOpen → now	5/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.60pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

3 of 3 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. It is also stepping up from Class 5 to Class 3, which adds another test today. Today’s move: Banderas is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Hexham · 19 May 2026 · 1st · 2/4 known conditions match

✓Track: Hexham×Trip (within ½f): Today 2m 48y · previous 2m 4f 28y✓Ground: Good×Class: Today Class 3 · previous Class 4

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (strong)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

3 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.

Today: +0.60pp

Possible next price: 4/1

3 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

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Course record
Previous course evidence shows 1 placed efforts from 2 runs at Hexham. Compared with an average course SP of 11.0, today's price is 47% shorter than usual.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

Race market overview as at 05:14

Supported0 of 7 runners at +4pp or more
Drifting0 of 7 runners at −4pp or worse
Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.

15:23Hexham • 2m4f28y • Class 4 • Going: Good

3 runners

Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

Ballynoe Boy

Trainer: Nicky Richards

Jockey: Danny McMenamin

🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Nicky Richards (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 37/158; first seen between 10am and 1pm 18/158; first seen after 1pm 4/158.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 2/4; first seen between 10am and 1pm 1/4; first seen after 1pm 0/4.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +5.95pp, placing it in this yard's 5pp+ band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 17/45 won (37.8%); Open→SP 16/44 won (36.4%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 39.1% (9/23).

⬆ CLASS RISE

Market Form rating70/100 · Ranked #1 today

Last run28 days ago · 4 Sep 2026

Distance changeUp 0.6f from last run

Usually attracts bookmaker support

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening

Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 3/1 → 13/2 | Avg: 9/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

The price is shortening, but similar moves have not converted well before.

10am plunger

Early money horse (50%)

15:23Hexham

Opened 5/2Market avg 15/8

7/4 → 7/4 → 7/4 → 7/4 ↑ 2/1 ↓ 7/4 ↑ 2/1 ↓ 15/8 ↓ 7/4 ↑ 2/1

PRICE MOVE

+5.95pp (+17.2%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILETHE STRONGEST MOVE RECORDED (100th percentile)

EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE

Strongest support recorded across 4 previous runs.

Limited data: 1 similar run only. Not a proven betting pattern.

Raw Open → Now price change: 17.2% • +5.95 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Bangor-on-Dee, 04 Sep 2026 — 1st • open 5/1 → final 3/1 (+8.05pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

5/2 3.5 decimal Betfair Sportsbook

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
HexhamToday2m 4f 28y · Class 4 · Good · 10 runners	5/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+5.95ppOpen → now	15/8Current; SP pending	Pending	+5.95pp
Bangor-on-Dee04 Sep 20262m 3f 123y · Class 5 · Good · 11 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	5/1	+5.27ppOpen → 10am	7/2	-2.22pp10am → 1pm	4/1	+5.00pp1pm → SP	3/1	1st	+8.05pp
Post-race comment
Market Rasen15 Aug 20262m 2f 140y · Class 5 · Good · 10 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	6/1	+2.38ppOpen → 10am	5/1	+1.52pp10am → 1pm	9/2	-5.68pp1pm → SP	7/1	1st	-1.79pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
HexhamToday2m 4f 28y · Class 4 · Good · 10 runners	5/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+5.95ppOpen → now	15/8Current; SP pending	Pending	+5.95pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READTRAINER RECORD MAKES THIS SUPPORT SIGNIFICANT

Nicky Richards runners in the matching 5pp+ band have won 17/45 (a 37.8% Open→1PM strike rate), compared with the trainer’s normal 21.5% strike rate. Across 4 previous runs, this is the horse’s strongest recorded support. It is also stepping up from Class 5 to Class 4, which adds another test today. Today’s move: Ballynoe Boy has shortened from 5/2 to 15/8, which is support (+5.95pp).

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Bangor-on-Dee · 04 Sep 2026 · 1st · 1/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Hexham · previous Bangor-on-Dee×Trip (within ½f): Today 2m 4f 28y · previous 2m 3f 123y✓Ground: Good×Class: Today Class 4 · previous Class 5

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

No positive support trigger.

This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.

Today: +5.95pp

Possible next price: 9/4

4 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

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Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

Les's Legacy

Trainer: Susan Corbett

Jockey: Nathan Moscrop

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Susan Corbett (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 12/100; first seen between 10am and 1pm 4/100; first seen after 1pm 7/100.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/6; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/6; first seen after 1pm 0/6.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.13pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/12 won (8.3%); Open→SP 2/19 won (10.5%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.

⬆ CLASS RISE

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run92 days ago · 2 Jul 2026

Distance changeDown 3.8f from last run

Often drifts in the market

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Pre-Off

Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

10am plunger

Late money horse (33%)

15:23Hexham

Opened 6/1Market avg 6/1

13/2 ↓ 11/2 ↑ 6/1 ↓ 5/1 ↑ 6/1 ↓ 11/2 ↑ 6/1 ↑ 15/2 ↓ 5/1 ↑ 6/1

PRICE MOVE

+0.13pp (+0.9%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

33th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE33rd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

4 of 6 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 8th at Hexham on 13 Jun 2026 (+5.56pp); finished 10th at Hexham on 25 Mar 2026 (+0.64pp); finished 8th at Sedgefield on 19 Feb 2026 (+0.55pp); and finished 10th at Catterick on 21 Jan 2026 (+0.50pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 0.9% • +0.13 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Hexham, 13 Jun 2026 — 8th • open 5/1 → final 9/2 (+1.52pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

15/2 8.5 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
HexhamToday2m 4f 28y · Class 4 · Good · 10 runners	6/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.13ppOpen → now	6/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.13pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
HexhamToday2m 4f 28y · Class 4 · Good · 10 runners	6/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.13ppOpen → now	6/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.13pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

4 of 6 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. It is also stepping up from Class 5 to Class 4, which adds another test today. Today’s move: Les's Legacy is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

Limited data: one similar run only.

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

6 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.

Today: +0.13pp

Possible next price: 13/2

6 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Course record
Course evidence at Hexham is limited (2 runs without making the frame). Today's market is close to its historical average against an average course SP profile of 6.8.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

Well Educated

Trainer: George Bewley

Jockey: Jonathon Bewley

🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer George Bewley (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 6/71; first seen between 10am and 1pm 2/71; first seen after 1pm 4/71.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/5; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/5; first seen after 1pm 0/5.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.93pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/6 won (0%); Open→SP 0/8 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.

⬇ CLASS DROP

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run76 days ago · 18 Jul 2026

Distance changeUp 2.9f from last run

Often drifts in the market

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: 10am

Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 5/2 → 50/1 | Avg: 20/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.

10am plunger

Early money horse (40%)

15:23Hexham

Opened 14/1Market avg 12/1

12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 ↑ 14/1 ↓ 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 ↑ 14/1 ↓ 12/1

PRICE MOVE

+0.93pp (+12.2%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

80th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE80th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE

Only 1 of 5 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 2nd at Hexham on 06 Jun 2026 (+14.17pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 12.2% • +0.93 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Hexham, 06 Jun 2026 — 2nd • open 7/1 → final 5/2 (+16.07pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

14/1 15 decimal Bet Victor

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
HexhamToday2m 4f 28y · Class 4 · Good · 10 runners	14/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.93ppOpen → now	12/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.93pp
Hexham13 Jun 20262m 4f 28y · Class 3 · Good · 8 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	9/2	-7.07ppOpen → 10am	8/1	+4.27pp10am → 1pm	11/2	+0.00pp1pm → SP	11/2	2nd	-2.80pp
Post-race comment
Hexham06 Jun 20262m 48y · Class 4 · Good · 6 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	7/1	+14.17ppOpen → 10am	11/4	+1.90pp10am → 1pm	5/2	+2.20pp1pm → SP	9/4	2nd	+18.27pp
Post-race comment
Hexham19 May 20262m 4f 28y · Class 4 · Good · 10 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	33/1	-0.50ppOpen → 10am	40/1	+0.50pp10am → 1pm	33/1	-0.50pp1pm → SP	40/1	2nd	-0.50pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
HexhamToday2m 4f 28y · Class 4 · Good · 10 runners	14/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.93ppOpen → now	12/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.93pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 1 of 5 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. The horse drops from Class 3 to Class 4, but the market has not responded with meaningful support. Today’s move: Well Educated is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Hexham · 19 May 2026 · 2nd · 4/4 known conditions match

✓Track: Hexham✓Trip (within ½f): 2m 4f 28y✓Ground: Good✓Class: Class 4

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

No positive support trigger.

This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.

Today: +0.93pp

Possible next price: 12/1

5 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

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Course record
Previous course evidence shows 3 placed efforts from 4 runs at Hexham. Compared with an average course SP of 14.1, today's price is close to its historical average.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

Race market overview as at 05:14

Supported1 of 10 runners at +4pp or more · strongest: Ballynoe Boy +5.95pp
Drifting0 of 10 runners at −4pp or worse
Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.

15:58Hexham • 2m7f63y • Class 5 • Going: Good

4 runners

Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

Stylish Recruit

Trainer: Sandy Thomson

Jockey: Patrick Wadge

🟢 Needs Support (8%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Sandy Thomson (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 19/88; first seen between 10am and 1pm 8/88; first seen after 1pm 6/88.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/7; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/7; first seen after 1pm 0/7.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +1.41pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 8/24 won (33.3%); Open→SP 9/24 won (37.5%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 55.6% (5/9).

↔ SAME CLASS

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run103 days ago · 21 Jun 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

No consistent price pattern yet

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Opening

Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 7/2 → 9/1 | Avg: 6/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

10am plunger

Early money horse (43%)

15:58Hexham

Opened 5/2Market avg 9/4

5/2 ↓ 9/4 ↑ 5/2 ↓ 9/4 ↑ 5/2 ↓ 9/4 → 9/4 ↑ 5/2 ↓ 9/4 → 9/4

PRICE MOVE

+1.41pp (+4.7%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

57th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE57th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

3 of 7 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 1st at Hexham on 21 Jun 2026 (+2.80pp); finished 2nd at Hexham on 06 Jun 2026 (+9.09pp); and finished 1st at Hexham on 13 Apr 2026 (+3.21pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 4.7% • +1.41 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Hexham, 06 Jun 2026 — 2nd • open 10/1 → final 7/2 (+13.13pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

5/2 3.5 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
HexhamToday2m 7f 63y · Class 5 · Good · 5 runners	5/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+1.41ppOpen → now	9/4Current; SP pending	Pending	+1.41pp
Hexham21 Jun 20262m 7f 62y · Class 5 · Good · 11 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	11/2	+2.80ppOpen → 10am	9/2	-1.52pp10am → 1pm	5/1	+1.52pp1pm → SP	9/2	1st	+2.80pp
Post-race comment
Hexham06 Jun 20262m 7f 62y · Class 4 · Good · 6 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	10/1	+9.09ppOpen → 10am	9/2	+4.04pp10am → 1pm	7/2	-2.22pp1pm → SP	4/1	2nd	+10.91pp
Post-race comment
Hexham13 Apr 20262m 4f 28y · Class 5 · Good · 10 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	16/1	+3.21ppOpen → 10am	10/1	+1.44pp10am → 1pm	17/2	+0.00pp1pm → SP	17/2	1st	+4.64pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
HexhamToday2m 7f 63y · Class 5 · Good · 5 runners	5/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+1.41ppOpen → now	9/4Current; SP pending	Pending	+1.41pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 3 of 7 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Stylish Recruit is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Hexham · 21 Jun 2026 · 1st · 4/4 known conditions match

✓Track: Hexham✓Trip (within ½f): 2m 7f 63y✓Ground: Good✓Class: Class 5

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

All 3 previous top-two finishes came with support of 1.28pp+.

At 1.28pp+: 3/4 finished 1st or 2nd (75%).

Today: +1.41pp — trigger reached.

Possible next price: 9/4

7 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

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Course record
Previous course evidence shows 3 placed efforts from 4 runs at Hexham. Compared with an average course SP of 6.6, today's price is 50% shorter than usual.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

Scottish Dancer

Trainer: Tim Reed

Jockey: Harry Reed

🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Tim Reed (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 2/8; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/8; first seen after 1pm 1/8.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/5; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/5; first seen after 1pm 0/5.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.10pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/1 won (0%); Open→SP 0/1 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.

↔ SAME CLASS

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run24 days ago · 8 Sep 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

No consistent price pattern yet

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Early

Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 5/1 → 33/1 | Avg: 14/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

10am plunger

Early money horse (20%)

15:58Hexham

Opened 5/2Market avg 5/2

5/2 → 5/2 → 5/2 → 5/2 ↓ 5/2 ↑ 5/2 ↓ 5/2 ↑ 11/4 ↓ 5/2 → 5/2

PRICE MOVE

+0.10pp (+0.3%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

60th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE60th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

2 of 5 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 1st at Bangor-on-Dee on 08 Sep 2026 (+6.49pp); and finished 3rd at Worcester on 28 May 2026 (+4.91pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 0.3% • +0.10 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Bangor-on-Dee, 08 Sep 2026 — 1st • open 13/2 → final 11/2 (+1.87pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

3/1 4 decimal Midnite

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
HexhamToday2m 7f 63y · Class 5 · Good · 5 runners	5/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.10ppOpen → now	5/2Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.10pp
Bangor-on-Dee08 Sep 20262m 7f 32y · Class 5 · Good · 8 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	13/2	+6.49ppOpen → 10am	4/1	-1.82pp10am → 1pm	9/2	-3.90pp1pm → SP	6/1	1st	+0.77pp
Post-race comment
Ripon17 May 20262m · Class 5 · Good · 6 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	5/1	-5.56ppOpen → 10am	8/1	+5.56pp10am → 1pm	5/1	+8.33pp1pm → SP	3/1	2nd	+8.33pp
Post-race comment
Thirsk02 May 20261m 6f · Class 5 · Good To Firm · 5 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	20/1	-2.32ppOpen → 10am	40/1	-0.48pp10am → 1pm	50/1	+0.98pp1pm → SP	33/1	1st	-1.82pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
HexhamToday2m 7f 63y · Class 5 · Good · 5 runners	5/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.10ppOpen → now	5/2Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.10pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 2 of 5 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Scottish Dancer is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Bangor-on-Dee · 08 Sep 2026 · 1st · 3/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Hexham · previous Bangor-on-Dee✓Trip (within ½f): 2m 7f 63y✓Ground: Good✓Class: Class 5

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

Similar moves have usually held their position.

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

No positive support trigger.

This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.

Today: +0.10pp

Possible next price: 5/2

5 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

Robert d'Ores

Trainer: George Bewley

Jockey: Jonathon Bewley

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer George Bewley (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 6/71; first seen between 10am and 1pm 2/71; first seen after 1pm 4/71.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/4; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/4; first seen after 1pm 0/4.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.79pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/6 won (0%); Open→SP 0/8 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.

⬇ CLASS DROP

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run118 days ago · 6 Jun 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

No consistent price pattern yet

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Mid

Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

10am plunger

Early money horse (25%)

15:58Hexham

Opened 9/1Market avg 17/2

17/2 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 17/2 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 17/2 ↓ 8/1 → 8/1 ↑ 17/2 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 17/2

PRICE MOVE

+0.79pp (+7.3%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

Only 1 of 4 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 7th at Hexham on 02 May 2026 (+5.88pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 7.3% • +0.79 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Hexham, 06 Jun 2026 — 6th • open 8/1 → final 6/1 (+3.17pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

9/1 10 decimal Betfair Sportsbook

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
HexhamToday2m 7f 63y · Class 5 · Good · 5 runners	9/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.79ppOpen → now	17/2Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.79pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
HexhamToday2m 7f 63y · Class 5 · Good · 5 runners	9/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.79ppOpen → now	17/2Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.79pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 1 of 4 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. The horse drops from Class 4 to Class 5, but the market has not responded with meaningful support. Today’s move: Robert d'Ores is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

N/A

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

4 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.

Today: +0.79pp

Possible next price: 9/1

4 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Course record
No placed efforts from 2 previous runs at Hexham. The current market is close to its historical average compared with a typical course SP of 9.8.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

Killybegs Jet Lady

Trainer: Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore

Jockey: Derek Fox

🟢 Needs Support (6%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 46/408; first seen between 10am and 1pm 23/408; first seen after 1pm 15/408.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/5; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/5; first seen after 1pm 1/5.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.18pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 12/57 won (21.1%); Open→SP 15/67 won (22.4%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 34.6% (9/26).

↔ SAME CLASS

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run34 days ago · 29 Aug 2026

Distance changeDown 2.1f from last run

No consistent price pattern yet

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Pre-Off

Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 9/4 → 8/1 | Avg: 5/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

10am plunger

Early money horse (20%)

15:58Hexham

Opened 11/1Market avg 11/1

11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 ↓ 10/1 ↑ 11/1 → 11/1 ↓ 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 ↑ 11/1

PRICE MOVE

+0.18pp (+2.1%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

60th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE60th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

2 of 5 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 1st at Kelso on 24 May 2026 (+2.78pp); and finished 2nd at Hexham on 02 May 2026 (+1.39pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 2.1% • +0.18 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Kelso, 24 May 2026 — 1st • open 7/2 → final 9/4 (+8.55pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

11/1 12 decimal 7Bet

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
HexhamToday2m 7f 63y · Class 5 · Good · 5 runners	11/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.18ppOpen → now	11/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.18pp
Kelso24 May 20262m 7f 96y · Class 5 · Good · 5 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	7/2	+2.78ppOpen → 10am	3/1	-1.91pp10am → 1pm	10/3	+13.27pp1pm → SP	7/4	1st	+14.14pp
Post-race comment
Hexham02 May 20263m 40y · Class 5 · Good · 13 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	8/1	+1.39ppOpen → 10am	7/1	-0.74pp10am → 1pm	15/2	-1.24pp1pm → SP	17/2	2nd	-0.58pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
HexhamToday2m 7f 63y · Class 5 · Good · 5 runners	11/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.18ppOpen → now	11/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.18pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 2 of 5 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Killybegs Jet Lady is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Kelso · 24 May 2026 · 1st · 3/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Hexham · previous Kelso✓Trip (within ½f): 2m 7f 63y✓Ground: Good✓Class: Class 5

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

N/A

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

No positive support trigger.

This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.

Today: +0.18pp

Possible next price: 11/1

5 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Course record
At Hexham this horse has recorded 1 placed effort from 3 runs. The current market is 53% bigger than usual against an average course SP profile of 7.7.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

Race market overview as at 05:14

Supported0 of 5 runners at +4pp or more
Drifting0 of 5 runners at −4pp or worse
Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.

16:33Hexham • 2m4f15y • Class 5 • Going: Good

2 runners

Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

Soldier In Mayo

Trainer: Donald McCain

Jockey: Theo Gillard

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Donald McCain (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 34/347; first seen between 10am and 1pm 26/347; first seen after 1pm 15/347.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 1 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.10pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 12/49 won (24.5%); Open→SP 14/57 won (24.6%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 28% (7/25).

↔ SAME CLASS

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run28 days ago · 4 Sep 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: 4/1 → 4/1 | Avg: 4/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.

16:33Hexham

Opened EVSMarket avg EVS

EVS → EVS → EVS → EVS → EVS → EVS → EVS → EVS → EVS → EVS

PRICE MOVE

+0.10pp (+0.2%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

Raw Open → Now price change: 0.2% • +0.10 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Bangor-on-Dee, 04 Sep 2026 — 2nd • open 9/1 → final 4/1 (+10.48pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

EVS 2 decimal 7Bet

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
HexhamToday2m 4f 15y · Class 5 · Good · 5 runners	EVS	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.10ppOpen → now	EVSCurrent; SP pending	Pending	+0.10pp
Bangor-on-Dee04 Sep 20262m 4f 72y · Class 5 · Good · 7 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	9/1	-0.43ppOpen → 10am	10/1	+7.58pp10am → 1pm	5/1	+3.33pp1pm → SP	4/1	2nd	+10.48pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
HexhamToday2m 4f 15y · Class 5 · Good · 5 runners	EVS	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.10ppOpen → now	EVSCurrent; SP pending	Pending	+0.10pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Soldier In Mayo is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Bangor-on-Dee · 04 Sep 2026 · 2nd · 3/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Hexham · previous Bangor-on-Dee✓Trip (within ½f): 2m 4f 15y✓Ground: Good✓Class: Class 5

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

N/A

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

1 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.

Today: +0.10pp

Possible next price: EVS

No historical data

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

Blazing Court

Trainer: John Dixon

Jockey: Mr John Dixon(7)

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer John Dixon (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/16; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/16; first seen after 1pm 1/16.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/6; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/6; first seen after 1pm 0/6.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.21pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/1 won (0%); Open→SP 0/1 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.

↔ SAME CLASS

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run34 days ago · 29 Aug 2026

Distance changeDown 1.1f from last run

Often drifts in the market

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Pre-Off

Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: 33/1 → 33/1 | Avg: 33/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

Late money horse (50%)

16:33Hexham

Opened 16/1Market avg 16/1

16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 ↓ 14/1 ↑ 16/1 → 16/1 ↓ 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 ↑ 16/1

PRICE MOVE

+0.21pp (+3.4%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILETHE STRONGEST MOVE RECORDED (100th percentile)

EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE

Strongest support recorded across 6 previous runs.

Raw Open → Now price change: 3.4% • +0.21 probability points

Previous market evidence

No previous positive open-to-final support in the recorded sample.

BEST FIXED ODDS

16/1 17 decimal 7Bet

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
HexhamToday2m 4f 15y · Class 5 · Good · 5 runners	16/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.21ppOpen → now	16/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.21pp
Cartmel20 Jul 20262m 5f 34y · Class 5 · Good · 9 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	20/1	-1.31ppOpen → 10am	28/1	-0.51pp10am → 1pm	33/1	-0.50pp1pm → SP	40/1	2nd	-2.32pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
HexhamToday2m 4f 15y · Class 5 · Good · 5 runners	16/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.21ppOpen → now	16/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.21pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READTHIS IS THE HORSE’S STRONGEST RECORDED SUPPORT

Across 6 previous runs, this is the horse’s strongest recorded support. Today’s move: Blazing Court is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Cartmel · 20 Jul 2026 · 2nd · 2/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Hexham · previous Cartmel×Trip (within ½f): Today 2m 4f 15y · previous 2m 5f 34y✓Ground: Good✓Class: Class 5

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

This early support is unusual; the price has often drifted again later. (moderate)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

3 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.

Today: +0.21pp

Possible next price: 16/1

6 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

Race market overview as at 05:14

Supported0 of 5 runners at +4pp or more
Drifting0 of 5 runners at −4pp or worse
Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.

17:08Hexham • 3m0f41y • Class 5 • Going: Good

2 runners

Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

Super Citizen

Trainer: Lucinda Hughes

Jockey: Brian Hughes

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Lucinda Hughes (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/9; first seen between 10am and 1pm 2/9; first seen after 1pm 1/9.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/4; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/4; first seen after 1pm 0/4.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.12pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 2/2 won (100%); Open→SP 1/2 won (50%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.

↔ SAME CLASS

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run181 days ago · 4 Apr 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

Usually attracts bookmaker support

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Opening

Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 11/2 → 11/2 | Avg: 11/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

10am plunger

Early money horse (25%)

17:08Hexham

Opened 15/2Market avg 15/2

15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 ↓ 7/1 ↑ 15/2 → 15/2 ↓ 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 ↑ 15/2

PRICE MOVE

+0.12pp (+1.0%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

Only 1 of 4 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 3rd at Carlisle on 04 Apr 2026 (+3.33pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 1% • +0.12 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Carlisle, 04 Apr 2026 — 3rd • open 9/1 → final 6/1 (+4.29pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

8/1 9 decimal Paddy Power

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
HexhamToday3m 41y · Class 5 · Good · 7 runners	15/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.12ppOpen → now	15/2Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.12pp
Carlisle08 Mar 20263m 110y · Class 4 · Good To Soft · 7 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	6/1	-0.95ppOpen → 10am	13/2	+2.05pp10am → 1pm	11/2	+0.00pp1pm → SP	11/2	2nd	+1.10pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
HexhamToday3m 41y · Class 5 · Good · 7 runners	15/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.12ppOpen → now	15/2Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.12pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 1 of 4 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Super Citizen is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Carlisle · 08 Mar 2026 · 2nd · 1/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Hexham · previous Carlisle✓Trip (within ½f): 3m 41y×Ground: Today Good · previous Good To Soft×Class: Today Class 5 · previous Class 4

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

Limited data: one similar run only.

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

4 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.

Today: +0.12pp

Possible next price: 15/2

4 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

Ballydangan

Trainer: Hugh Burns

Jockey: Peter Kavanagh

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Hugh Burns (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/10; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/10; first seen after 1pm 0/10.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/4; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/4; first seen after 1pm 0/4.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.65pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/1 won (0%); Open→SP 0/1 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.

↔ SAME CLASS

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run48 days ago · 15 Aug 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

Often drifts in the market

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Late PM

Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

Best at SP (50%)

17:08Hexham

Opened 8/1Market avg 15/2

15/2 ↑ 8/1 ↓ 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 ↓ 7/1 ↑ 8/1 ↓ 15/2 → 15/2

PRICE MOVE

+0.65pp (+5.6%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

Only 1 of 4 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 4th at Sedgefield on 19 Feb 2026 (+1.76pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 5.6% • +0.65 probability points

Previous market evidence

No previous positive open-to-final support in the recorded sample.

BEST FIXED ODDS

8/1 9 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
HexhamToday3m 41y · Class 5 · Good · 7 runners	8/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.65ppOpen → now	15/2Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.65pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
HexhamToday3m 41y · Class 5 · Good · 7 runners	8/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.65ppOpen → now	15/2Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.65pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 1 of 4 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Ballydangan is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

The price has been unpredictable before and may move sharply again. (moderate)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

2 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.

Today: +0.65pp

Possible next price: 15/2

4 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

Race market overview as at 05:14

Supported0 of 7 runners at +4pp or more
Drifting0 of 7 runners at −4pp or worse
Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.

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