Live Horse Racing Market Movement

17:00Dundalk (AW) • 5f • Going: Standard

7 runners

Market Intelligence

Weakest support: Cleopatra Dream (-0.05 probability points)

Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

Blue AnthemDraw 13

Trainer: Adrian McGuinness

Jockey: Sam Coen(5)

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Adrian McGuinness (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 26/434; first seen between 10am and 1pm 27/434; first seen after 1pm 18/434.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 4/7; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/7; first seen after 1pm 0/7.

Most often first apparent by 10am in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.12pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run22 days ago · 10 Sep 2026

Distance changeDown 1f from last run

Usually attracts bookmaker support

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Opening

Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 11/4 → 11/4 | Avg: 11/4Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

10am plunger

Early money horse (57%)

17:00Dundalk (AW)

Opened 15/2Market avg 15/2

15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 ↑ 8/1 → 8/1 ↓ 15/2

PRICE MOVE

-0.12pp (-1.0%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

86th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE86th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE

Only 1 of 7 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 13th at Curragh (IRE) on 19 Apr 2026 (-4.44pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 1% • -0.12 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Curragh (IRE), 19 Apr 2026 — 13th • open 8/1 → final 16/1 (-5.23pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

8/1 9 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Dundalk (AW)Today5f · Class — · Standard · 14 runners	15/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.12ppOpen → now	15/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.12pp
Laytown (IRE)10 Sep 20266f · Class — · Standard · 10 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	5/1	+5.85ppOpen → 10am	10/3	+0.00pp10am → 1pm	10/3	+3.57pp1pm → SP	11/4	2nd	+9.43pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Dundalk (AW)Today5f · Class — · Standard · 14 runners	15/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.12ppOpen → now	15/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.12pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 1 of 7 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Blue Anthem is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Laytown (IRE) · 10 Sep 2026 · 2nd · 1/3 known conditions match

×Track: Today Dundalk (AW) · previous Laytown (IRE)×Trip (within ½f): Today 5f · previous 6f✓Ground: Standard?Class: Data missing

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

7 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.

Today: -0.12pp

Possible next price: 15/2

7 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Bye Bye NowDraw 1

Trainer: John McConnell

Jockey: Jack Kearney(3)

🔴 Ignores MarketThis horse has won or placed despite drifting. Market weakness does NOT negatively impact performance. Can be a value angle when price weakens.

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer John McConnell (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/24; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/24; first seen after 1pm 1/24.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/6; first seen between 10am and 1pm 1/6; first seen after 1pm 0/6.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.05pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run77 days ago · 17 Jul 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

Often drifts in the market

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Late PM

Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: 14/1 → 28/1 | Avg: 20/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

Late money horse (50%)

17:00Dundalk (AW)

Opened 17/2Market avg 17/2

17/2 → 17/2 → 17/2 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 17/2 → 17/2 → 17/2 ↑ 9/1 ↓ 17/2 → 17/2

PRICE MOVE

-0.05pp (-0.5%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

33th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE33rd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

4 of 6 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 7th at Down Royal (IRE) on 17 Jul 2026 (-3.57pp); finished 2nd at Bellewstown (IRE) on 03 Jul 2026 (-8.24pp); finished 4th at Dundalk (AW) (IRE) on 01 Apr 2026 (-3.09pp); and finished 1st at Dundalk (AW) (IRE) on 20 Mar 2026 (-5.65pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 0.5% • -0.05 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Bellewstown (IRE), 03 Jul 2026 — 2nd • open 4/1 → final 14/1 (-13.33pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

9/1 10 decimal BetMGM

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Dundalk (AW)Today5f · Class — · Standard · 14 runners	17/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.05ppOpen → now	17/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.05pp
Bellewstown (IRE)03 Jul 20265f 3y · Class — · Good · 13 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	4/1	-8.24ppOpen → 10am	15/2	-7.00pp10am → 1pm	20/1	+4.33pp1pm → SP	10/1	2nd	-10.91pp
Post-race comment
Dundalk (AW) (IRE)20 Mar 20265f · Class — · Standard · 10 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	9/1	-5.65ppOpen → 10am	22/1	+0.92pp10am → 1pm	18/1	-0.92pp1pm → SP	22/1	1st	-5.65pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Dundalk (AW)Today5f · Class — · Standard · 14 runners	17/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.05ppOpen → now	17/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.05pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

4 of 6 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Bye Bye Now is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Dundalk (AW) (IRE) · 20 Mar 2026 · 1st · 2/3 known conditions match

×Track: Today Dundalk (AW) · previous Dundalk (AW) (IRE)✓Trip (within ½f): 5f✓Ground: Standard?Class: Data missing

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

This matches its usual pattern; support has often arrived later. (moderate)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

No positive support trigger.

This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.

Today: -0.05pp

Possible next price: 17/2

6 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Phil's DreamDraw 12

Trainer: John McConnell

Jockey: Donagh O'Connor

🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer John McConnell (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/24; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/24; first seen after 1pm 1/24.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/6; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/6; first seen after 1pm 0/6.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.09pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run31 days ago · 1 Sep 2026

Distance changeDown 1.1f from last run

No consistent price pattern yet

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Early PM

Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: 9/2 → 12/1 | Avg: 8/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

Best at SP (50%)

17:00Dundalk (AW)

Opened 16/1Market avg 16/1

16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 ↑ 18/1 ↓ 14/1 ↑ 16/1

PRICE MOVE

-0.09pp (-1.6%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

3 of 6 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 5th at Wolverhampton (AW) on 01 Sep 2026 (-1.11pp); finished 11th at Naas (IRE) on 04 Jul 2026 (-4.44pp); and finished 8th at Naas (IRE) on 09 May 2026 (-1.81pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 1.6% • -0.09 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Naas (IRE), 04 Jul 2026 — 11th • open 8/1 → final 18/1 (-5.85pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

20/1 21 decimal Paddy Power

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Dundalk (AW)Today5f · Class — · Standard · 14 runners	16/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.09ppOpen → now	16/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.09pp
Wolverhampton (AW)16 Mar 20265f 21y · Class 6 · Standard · 8 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	9/2	+1.82ppOpen → 10am	4/1	-1.82pp10am → 1pm	9/2	-1.52pp1pm → SP	5/1	1st	-1.52pp
Post-race comment
Wolverhampton (AW)27 Jan 20265f 21y · Class 6 · Standard · 8 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	12/1	+2.31ppOpen → 10am	9/1	-1.67pp10am → 1pm	11/1	-0.64pp1pm → SP	12/1	2nd	+0.00pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Dundalk (AW)Today5f · Class — · Standard · 14 runners	16/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.09ppOpen → now	16/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.09pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

3 of 6 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Phil's Dream is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Wolverhampton (AW) · 16 Mar 2026 · 1st · 2/3 known conditions match

×Track: Today Dundalk (AW) · previous Wolverhampton (AW)✓Trip (within ½f): 5f✓Ground: Standard?Class: Data missing

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

The price has been unpredictable before and may move sharply again. (moderate)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

No positive support trigger.

This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.

Today: -0.09pp

Possible next price: 16/1

6 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Top BillerDraw 6

Trainer: Denis Gerard Hogan

Jockey: J M Sheridan

🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Denis Gerard Hogan (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 14/456; first seen between 10am and 1pm 26/456; first seen after 1pm 15/456.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/8; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/8; first seen after 1pm 0/8.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.04pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run11 days ago · 21 Sep 2026

Distance changeDown 1f from last run

No consistent price pattern yet

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: 10am

Runs: 8 | Fixed-odds range: 7/2 → 14/1 | Avg: 17/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

10am plunger

Early money horse (38%)

17:00Dundalk (AW)

Opened 28/1Market avg 28/1

28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 ↓ 25/1 ↑ 28/1 → 28/1

PRICE MOVE

-0.04pp (-1.1%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

38th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE38th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

5 of 8 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 10th at Curragh (IRE) on 29 Aug 2026 (-1.89pp); finished 12th at Brighton on 29 May 2026 (-1.76pp); finished 2nd at Yarmouth on 28 Apr 2026 (-0.78pp); finished 11th at Wolverhampton (AW) on 24 Mar 2026 (-2.31pp); and finished 6th at Wolverhampton (AW) on 10 Mar 2026 (-2.38pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 1.1% • -0.04 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Southwell (AW), 24 Feb 2026 — 6th • open 9/2 → final 8/1 (-7.07pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

33/1 34 decimal Betfair Sportsbook

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Dundalk (AW)Today5f · Class — · Standard · 14 runners	28/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.04ppOpen → now	28/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.04pp
Lingfield18 Jun 20266f · Class 6 · Good · 9 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	5/1	+14.10ppOpen → 10am	9/4	-2.20pp10am → 1pm	5/2	-8.57pp1pm → SP	4/1	2nd	+3.33pp
Post-race comment
Yarmouth28 Apr 20266f 3y · Class 6 · Good · 8 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	14/1	-0.78ppOpen → 10am	16/1	-1.53pp10am → 1pm	22/1	+2.32pp1pm → SP	14/1	2nd	+0.00pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Dundalk (AW)Today5f · Class — · Standard · 14 runners	28/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.04ppOpen → now	28/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.04pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

5 of 8 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Top Biller is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Lingfield · 18 Jun 2026 · 2nd · 0/3 known conditions match

×Track: Today Dundalk (AW) · previous Lingfield×Trip (within ½f): Today 5f · previous 6f×Ground: Today Standard · previous Good?Class: Data missing

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

Similar moves have usually held their position.

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

No positive support trigger.

This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.

Today: -0.04pp

Possible next price: 28/1

8 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

The Cosy CornerDraw 9

Trainer: Patrick Magee

Jockey: Ben Coen

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Patrick Magee (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 6/123; first seen between 10am and 1pm 7/123; first seen after 1pm 2/123.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 2 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.04pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run70 days ago · 24 Jul 2026

Distance changeDown 1f from last run

Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

17:00Dundalk (AW)

Opened 28/1Market avg 28/1

28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 ↓ 25/1 ↑ 28/1 → 28/1

PRICE MOVE

-0.04pp (-1.1%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

Raw Open → Now price change: 1.1% • -0.04 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Cork (IRE), 24 Jul 2026 — 10th • open 13/2 → final 18/1 (-8.07pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

33/1 34 decimal Betfair Sportsbook

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Dundalk (AW)Today5f · Class — · Standard · 14 runners	28/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.04ppOpen → now	28/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.04pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Dundalk (AW)Today5f · Class — · Standard · 14 runners	28/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.04ppOpen → now	28/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.04pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: The Cosy Corner is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

N/A

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

2 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.

Today: -0.04pp

Possible next price: 28/1

No historical data

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

OpticsDraw 7

Trainer: Ms M McDowall

Jockey: Nicola Burns(5)

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Ms M McDowall (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/8; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/8; first seen after 1pm 0/8.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/3; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/3; first seen after 1pm 0/3.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.05pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run33 days ago · 30 Aug 2026

Distance changeDown 1f from last run

Often drifts in the market

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Pre-Off

Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

Early money horse (33%)

17:00Dundalk (AW)

Opened 40/1Market avg 40/1

40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1

PRICE MOVE

-0.05pp (-2.2%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

33th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE33rd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

2 of 3 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 13th at Cork (IRE) on 30 Aug 2026 (-0.19pp); and finished 7th at Cork (IRE) on 24 Jul 2026 (-2.44pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 2.2% • -0.05 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Cork (IRE), 24 Jul 2026 — 7th • open 33/1 → final 100/1 (-2.28pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

50/1 51 decimal Betfair Sportsbook

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Dundalk (AW)Today5f · Class — · Standard · 14 runners	40/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.05ppOpen → now	40/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.05pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Dundalk (AW)Today5f · Class — · Standard · 14 runners	40/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.05ppOpen → now	40/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.05pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

2 of 3 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Optics is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

N/A

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

3 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.

Today: -0.05pp

Possible next price: 40/1

3 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Cleopatra DreamDraw 14

Trainer: Diego Dias

Jockey: Diego Lima

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Diego Dias (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 2/54; first seen between 10am and 1pm 1/54; first seen after 1pm 2/54.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 2 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.05pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run27 days ago · 5 Sep 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

17:00Dundalk (AW)

Opened 50/1Market avg 50/1

50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1

PRICE MOVE

-0.05pp (-2.9%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

Raw Open → Now price change: 2.9% • -0.05 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Navan (IRE), 05 Sep 2026 — 12th • open 18/1 → final 50/1 (-3.44pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

66/1 67 decimal Betfair Sportsbook

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Dundalk (AW)Today5f · Class — · Standard · 14 runners	50/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.05ppOpen → now	50/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.05pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Dundalk (AW)Today5f · Class — · Standard · 14 runners	50/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.05ppOpen → now	50/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.05pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Cleopatra Dream is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

N/A

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

2 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.

Today: -0.05pp

Possible next price: 50/1

No historical data

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Race market overview as at 05:16

Supported0 of 14 runners at +4pp or more
Drifting0 of 14 runners at −4pp or worse
Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.

17:30Dundalk (AW) • 5f • Going: Standard

4 runners

Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

Sir Les PattersonDraw 7

Trainer: Stephen Thorne

Jockey: Jack Kearney(3)

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Stephen Thorne (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 11/103; first seen between 10am and 1pm 7/103; first seen after 1pm 7/103.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/8; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/8; first seen after 1pm 0/8.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.62pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run19 days ago · 13 Sep 2026

Distance changeDown 1f from last run

Often drifts in the market

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Pre-Off

Runs: 8 | Fixed-odds range: 5/4 → 5/4 | Avg: 5/4Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

Late money horse (38%)

17:30Dundalk (AW)

Opened 9/4Market avg 9/4

5/2 ↓ 9/4 → 9/4 → 9/4 ↑ 5/2 ↓ 5/2 ↓ 9/4 → 9/4 ↑ 5/2 → 5/2

PRICE MOVE

-0.62pp (-2.1%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

4 of 8 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 3rd at Dundalk (IRE) on 15 Aug 2026 (-9.60pp); finished 14th at Curragh (IRE) on 18 Jul 2026 (-3.42pp); finished 6th at Cork (IRE) on 14 Jun 2026 (-4.44pp); and finished 11th at Newcastle (AW) on 03 Apr 2026 (-5.68pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 2.1% • -0.62 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Dundalk (IRE), 15 Aug 2026 — 3rd • open 5/2 → final 4/1 (-7.78pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

5/2 3.5 decimal Bet Victor

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Dundalk (AW)Today5f · Class — · Standard · 10 runners	9/4	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.62ppOpen → now	9/4Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.62pp
Dundalk (AW) (IRE)20 Feb 20266f · Class — · Standard · 10 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	6/4	+0.00ppOpen → 10am	6/4	+2.02pp10am → 1pm	11/8	+0.00pp1pm → SP	11/8	1st	+2.02pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Dundalk (AW)Today5f · Class — · Standard · 10 runners	9/4	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.62ppOpen → now	9/4Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.62pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

4 of 8 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Sir Les Patterson is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Dundalk (AW) (IRE) · 20 Feb 2026 · 1st · 1/3 known conditions match

×Track: Today Dundalk (AW) · previous Dundalk (AW) (IRE)×Trip (within ½f): Today 5f · previous 6f✓Ground: Standard?Class: Data missing

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

Limited data: one similar run only.

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

8 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.

Today: -0.62pp

Possible next price: 5/2

8 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

The Highway RatDraw 2

Trainer: A Oliver

Jockey: J M Sheridan

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer A Oliver (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 15/172; first seen between 10am and 1pm 3/172; first seen after 1pm 9/172.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/7; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/7; first seen after 1pm 0/7.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.21pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run6 days ago · 26 Sep 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

No consistent price pattern yet

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Early PM

Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 11/2 → 11/2 | Avg: 11/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

Mid-market mover (43%)

17:30Dundalk (AW)

Opened 9/2Market avg 9/2

9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 ↑ 5/1 ↓ 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 ↑ 5/1

PRICE MOVE

-0.21pp (-1.2%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

57th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE57th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

3 of 7 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 9th at Curragh (IRE) on 09 Aug 2026 (-1.67pp); finished 15th at Curragh (IRE) on 18 Jul 2026 (-2.94pp); and finished 2nd at Navan (IRE) on 07 Jun 2026 (-1.82pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 1.2% • -0.21 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Navan (IRE), 07 Jun 2026 — 2nd • open 4/1 → final 11/2 (-4.62pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

5/1 6 decimal Bet Victor

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Dundalk (AW)Today5f · Class — · Standard · 10 runners	9/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.21ppOpen → now	9/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.21pp
Navan (IRE)07 Jun 20265f · Class — · Good · 7 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	4/1	-1.82ppOpen → 10am	9/2	-3.90pp10am → 1pm	6/1	+2.38pp1pm → SP	5/1	2nd	-3.33pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Dundalk (AW)Today5f · Class — · Standard · 10 runners	9/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.21ppOpen → now	9/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.21pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 3 of 7 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: The Highway Rat is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Navan (IRE) · 07 Jun 2026 · 2nd · 1/3 known conditions match

×Track: Today Dundalk (AW) · previous Navan (IRE)✓Trip (within ½f): 5f×Ground: Today Standard · previous Good?Class: Data missing

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

This price often moves during the day, so keep checking it. (moderate)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

7 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.

Today: -0.21pp

Possible next price: 11/2

7 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Dundalk (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

EclairageDraw 6

Trainer: Daniel James Murphy

Jockey: Terry Casey(7)

🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Daniel James Murphy (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 8/124; first seen between 10am and 1pm 10/124; first seen after 1pm 4/124.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/6; first seen between 10am and 1pm 1/6; first seen after 1pm 0/6.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.50pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run70 days ago · 24 Jul 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

No consistent price pattern yet

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: 10am

Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: 11/2 → 7/1 | Avg: 6/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

Early money horse (50%)

17:30Dundalk (AW)

Opened 11/2Market avg 11/2

6/1 → 6/1 ↓ 11/2 ↑ 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 ↓ 11/2 → 11/2 ↑ 7/1 ↓ 6/1

PRICE MOVE

-0.50pp (-3.3%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

33th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE33rd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

4 of 6 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 2nd at Dundalk (AW) on 12 Jul 2026 (-2.52pp); finished 15th at Curragh (IRE) on 28 Jun 2026 (-1.82pp); finished 7th at Cork (IRE) on 14 Jun 2026 (-0.64pp); and finished 16th at Epsom on 06 Jun 2026 (-1.11pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 3.3% • -0.50 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Cork (IRE), 24 Jul 2026 — 10th • open 8/1 → final 10/1 (-2.02pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

7/1 8 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Dundalk (AW)Today5f · Class — · Standard · 10 runners	11/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.50ppOpen → now	11/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.50pp
Dundalk (AW)12 Jul 20265f · Class — · Standard · 9 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	6/1	-2.52ppOpen → 10am	15/2	+2.52pp10am → 1pm	6/1	-1.79pp1pm → SP	7/1	2nd	-1.79pp
Post-race comment
Navan (IRE)16 May 20265f · Class — · Yielding · 10 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	7/1	+0.83ppOpen → 10am	13/2	-1.57pp10am → 1pm	15/2	-0.65pp1pm → SP	8/1	2nd	-1.39pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Dundalk (AW)Today5f · Class — · Standard · 10 runners	11/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.50ppOpen → now	11/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.50pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

4 of 6 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Eclairage is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Dundalk (AW) · 12 Jul 2026 · 2nd · 3/3 known conditions match

✓Track: Dundalk (AW)✓Trip (within ½f): 5f✓Ground: Standard?Class: Data missing

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

No positive support trigger.

This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.

Today: -0.50pp

Possible next price: 6/1

6 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Dundalk (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Ipanema QueenDraw 3

Trainer: Robson De Aguiar

Jockey: Donagh O'Connor

🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Robson De Aguiar (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 10/215; first seen between 10am and 1pm 21/215; first seen after 1pm 3/215.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/7; first seen between 10am and 1pm 2/7; first seen after 1pm 0/7.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.13pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run19 days ago · 13 Sep 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

No consistent price pattern yet

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: 10am

Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 1/3 → 8/1 | Avg: 4/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

10am plunger

Early money horse (43%)

17:30Dundalk (AW)

Opened 9/1Market avg 9/1

9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 ↑ 10/1 ↓ 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 ↑ 10/1

PRICE MOVE

-0.13pp (-1.3%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

43th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE43rd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

4 of 7 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 17th at Curragh (IRE) on 13 Sep 2026 (-1.84pp); finished 1st at Cork (IRE) on 24 Jul 2026 (-7.94pp); finished 6th at Ascot on 19 Jun 2026 (-0.92pp); and finished 2nd at Dundalk (AW) (IRE) on 13 Mar 2026 (-1.97pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 1.3% • -0.13 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Cork (IRE), 24 Jul 2026 — 1st • open 7/2 → final 8/1 (-11.11pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

10/1 11 decimal Bet Victor

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Dundalk (AW)Today5f · Class — · Standard · 10 runners	9/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.13ppOpen → now	9/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.13pp
Cork (IRE)24 Jul 20265f · Class — · Good To Firm · 11 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	7/2	-7.94ppOpen → 10am	6/1	-3.17pp10am → 1pm	8/1	+0.65pp1pm → SP	15/2	1st	-10.46pp
Post-race comment
Dundalk (AW) (IRE)13 Mar 20266f · Class — · Standard · 5 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	4/7	-1.97ppOpen → 10am	8/13	+7.72pp10am → 1pm	4/9	-5.75pp1pm → SP	4/7	2nd	+0.00pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Dundalk (AW)Today5f · Class — · Standard · 10 runners	9/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.13ppOpen → now	9/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.13pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

4 of 7 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Ipanema Queen is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Cork (IRE) · 24 Jul 2026 · 1st · 1/3 known conditions match

×Track: Today Dundalk (AW) · previous Cork (IRE)✓Trip (within ½f): 5f×Ground: Today Standard · previous Good To Firm?Class: Data missing

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

No positive support trigger.

This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.

Today: -0.13pp

Possible next price: 11/1

7 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Race market overview as at 05:16

Supported0 of 10 runners at +4pp or more
Drifting0 of 10 runners at −4pp or worse
Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.

18:00Dundalk (AW) • 5f • Class 1 • Going: Standard

6 runners

Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

Big NegotiatorDraw 3

Trainer: P. Twomey

Jockey: W. J. Lee

🟢 Needs Support (8%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer P. Twomey (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 2/14; first seen between 10am and 1pm 2/14; first seen after 1pm 1/14.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 4/8; first seen between 10am and 1pm 1/8; first seen after 1pm 0/8.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.64pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

↔ SAME CLASS

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run11 days ago · 21 Sep 2026

Distance changeDown 1f from last run

Usually attracts bookmaker support

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Opening

Runs: 8 | Fixed-odds range: 4/6 → 10/1 | Avg: 4/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

10am plunger

Early money horse (63%)

18:00Dundalk (AW)

Opened 15/8Market avg 2/1

2/1 → 2/1 → 2/1 → 2/1 → 2/1 → 2/1 → 2/1 → 2/1 → 2/1 → 2/1

PRICE MOVE

-1.64pp (-5.0%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

88th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE88th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE

Only 1 of 8 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 1st at Naas (IRE) on 22 Jul 2026 (-3.99pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 5% • -1.64 probability points

Previous market evidence

No previous open-to-final drift in the recorded sample.

BEST FIXED ODDS

9/4 3.25 decimal Betfair Sportsbook

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Dundalk (AW)Today5f · Class 1 · Standard · 13 runners	15/8	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-1.64ppOpen → now	2/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-1.64pp
Fairyhouse (IRE)21 Sep 20266f · Class 1 · Good · 10 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	5/1	+6.97ppOpen → 10am	10/3	+1.91pp10am → 1pm	3/1	+5.77pp1pm → SP	9/4	1st	+14.64pp
Post-race comment
Naas (IRE)22 Jul 20265f · Class 1 · Good · 9 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	11/1	-3.99ppOpen → 10am	22/1	+3.34pp10am → 1pm	12/1	+0.64pp1pm → SP	11/1	1st	+0.00pp
Post-race comment
York12 Jun 20265f · Class 2 · Good · 9 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	13/8	+21.86ppOpen → 10am	4/6	+3.81pp10am → 1pm	4/7	-11.34pp1pm → SP	10/11	1st	+14.33pp
Post-race comment
Listowel (IRE)31 May 20266f 60y · Class — · Good · 8 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	5/2	+7.79ppOpen → 10am	7/4	+3.64pp10am → 1pm	6/4	+2.02pp1pm → SP	11/8	2nd	+13.45pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Dundalk (AW)Today5f · Class 1 · Standard · 13 runners	15/8	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-1.64ppOpen → now	2/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-1.64pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 1 of 8 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Big Negotiator is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Naas (IRE) · 22 Jul 2026 · 1st · 2/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Dundalk (AW) · previous Naas (IRE)✓Trip (within ½f): 5f×Ground: Today Standard · previous Good✓Class: Class 1

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (strong)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

All 4 previous top-two finishes came with support of 0.75pp+.

At 0.75pp+: 4/6 finished 1st or 2nd (67%).

Today: -1.64pp — trigger not reached.

Possible next price: 2/1

8 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Shimmering SunDraw 8

Trainer: Harry Eustace

Jockey: Ben Coen

🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Harry Eustace (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 22/198; first seen between 10am and 1pm 17/198; first seen after 1pm 4/198.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/5; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/5; first seen after 1pm 0/5.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.28pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

↔ SAME CLASS

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run27 days ago · 5 Sep 2026

Distance changeDown 1f from last run

Usually attracts bookmaker support

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Mid

Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 9/4 → 16/1 | Avg: 7/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

10am plunger

Mid-market mover (60%)

18:00Dundalk (AW)

Opened 5/1Market avg 11/2

11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2

PRICE MOVE

-1.28pp (-8.3%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILESTRONGEST RECORDED DRIFT FOR THIS HORSE (100th percentile)

EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE

Largest drift recorded across 5 previous runs.

Raw Open → Now price change: 8.3% • -1.28 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Naas (IRE), 22 Jul 2026 — 2nd • open 9/4 → final 9/4 (-0.48pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

11/2 6.5 decimal Bet Victor

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Dundalk (AW)Today5f · Class 1 · Standard · 13 runners	5/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-1.28ppOpen → now	11/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-1.28pp
Kempton (AW)05 Sep 20266f · Class 1 · Standard / Slow · 8 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	18/1	+0.00ppOpen → 10am	18/1	+0.62pp10am → 1pm	16/1	+0.00pp1pm → SP	16/1	2nd	+0.62pp
Post-race comment
Naas (IRE)22 Jul 20265f · Class 1 · Good · 9 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	9/4	-0.48ppOpen → 10am	9/4	-4.10pp10am → 1pm	11/4	+6.67pp1pm → SP	2/1	2nd	+2.08pp
Post-race comment
Salisbury23 May 20265f · Class 5 · Good · 9 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	11/2	+11.28ppOpen → 10am	11/4	-1.67pp10am → 1pm	3/1	+0.00pp1pm → SP	3/1	1st	+9.62pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Dundalk (AW)Today5f · Class 1 · Standard · 13 runners	5/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-1.28ppOpen → now	11/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-1.28pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READTHIS IS THE HORSE’S STRONGEST RECORDED SUPPORT

Across 5 previous runs, this is the horse’s strongest recorded support. Today’s move: Shimmering Sun is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Naas (IRE) · 22 Jul 2026 · 2nd · 2/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Dundalk (AW) · previous Naas (IRE)✓Trip (within ½f): 5f×Ground: Today Standard · previous Good✓Class: Class 1

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

This price often moves during the day, so keep checking it. (strong)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

No positive support trigger.

This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.

Today: -1.28pp

Possible next price: 11/2

5 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

ControllaDraw 12

Trainer: Robson De Aguiar

Jockey: Rowan Scott

🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Robson De Aguiar (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 10/215; first seen between 10am and 1pm 21/215; first seen after 1pm 3/215.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/5; first seen between 10am and 1pm 2/5; first seen after 1pm 0/5.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.10pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run6 days ago · 26 Sep 2026

Distance changeDown 1f from last run

No consistent price pattern yet

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Late PM

Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 10/3 → 28/1 | Avg: 16/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

10am plunger

Early money horse (40%)

18:00Dundalk (AW)

Opened 11/2Market avg 11/2

11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 ↑ 6/1 ↓ 11/2

PRICE MOVE

-0.10pp (-0.7%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

40th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE40th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

3 of 5 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 6th at Curragh (IRE) on 13 Sep 2026 (-1.49pp); finished 14th at Ascot on 17 Jun 2026 (-2.22pp); and finished 2nd at Naas (IRE) on 17 May 2026 (-0.47pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 0.7% • -0.10 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Curragh (IRE), 13 Sep 2026 — 6th • open 28/1 → final 66/1 (-1.96pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

6/1 7 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Dundalk (AW)Today5f · Class 1 · Standard · 13 runners	11/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.10ppOpen → now	11/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.10pp
Curragh (IRE)26 Sep 20266f · Class — · Yielding · 13 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	10/3	+5.48ppOpen → 10am	5/2	-12.95pp10am → 1pm	11/2	+7.47pp1pm → SP	10/3	1st	+0.00pp
Post-race comment
Naas (IRE)17 May 20265f 205y · Class — · Good · 6 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	50/1	-0.47ppOpen → 10am	66/1	+1.45pp10am → 1pm	33/1	+0.90pp1pm → SP	25/1	2nd	+1.89pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Dundalk (AW)Today5f · Class 1 · Standard · 13 runners	11/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.10ppOpen → now	11/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.10pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

3 of 5 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Controlla is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Curragh (IRE) · 26 Sep 2026 · 1st · 0/3 known conditions match

×Track: Today Dundalk (AW) · previous Curragh (IRE)×Trip (within ½f): Today 5f · previous 6f×Ground: Today Standard · previous Yielding?Class: Data missing

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

No positive support trigger.

This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.

Today: -0.10pp

Possible next price: 11/2

5 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

GrayrobinDraw 4

Trainer: Miss Kate McGivern

Jockey: Gavin Ryan

🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Miss Kate McGivern (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/18; first seen between 10am and 1pm 1/18; first seen after 1pm 0/18.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/4; first seen between 10am and 1pm 1/4; first seen after 1pm 0/4.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.15pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

↔ SAME CLASS

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run47 days ago · 16 Aug 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

Often drifts in the market

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Early PM

Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 13/2 → 8/1 | Avg: 7/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

Mid-market mover (25%)

18:00Dundalk (AW)

Opened 11/2Market avg 11/2

11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 ↑ 13/2 ↓ 11/2

PRICE MOVE

-0.15pp (-1.0%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

25th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE25th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

3 of 4 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 2nd at Curragh (IRE) on 16 Aug 2026 (-8.89pp); finished 1st at Cork (IRE) on 24 Jul 2026 (-5.68pp); and finished 8th at Nottingham on 31 May 2026 (-8.89pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 1% • -0.15 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Nottingham, 31 May 2026 — 8th • open 7/2 → final 17/2 (-11.70pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

13/2 7.5 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Dundalk (AW)Today5f · Class 1 · Standard · 13 runners	11/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.15ppOpen → now	11/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.15pp
Curragh (IRE)16 Aug 20265f · Class 1 · Good · 10 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	7/2	-8.89ppOpen → 10am	13/2	+0.00pp10am → 1pm	13/2	-1.57pp1pm → SP	15/2	2nd	-10.46pp
Post-race comment
Cork (IRE)24 Jul 20265f · Class — · Good To Firm · 8 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	9/2	-5.68ppOpen → 10am	7/1	-1.39pp10am → 1pm	8/1	-1.11pp1pm → SP	9/1	1st	-8.18pp
Post-race comment
Bellewstown (IRE)02 Jul 20265f 3y · Class — · Good · 9 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	14/1	+1.03ppOpen → 10am	12/1	+4.81pp10am → 1pm	7/1	-2.50pp1pm → SP	9/1	1st	+3.33pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Dundalk (AW)Today5f · Class 1 · Standard · 13 runners	11/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.15ppOpen → now	11/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.15pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

3 of 4 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Grayrobin is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Curragh (IRE) · 16 Aug 2026 · 2nd · 2/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Dundalk (AW) · previous Curragh (IRE)✓Trip (within ½f): 5f×Ground: Today Standard · previous Good✓Class: Class 1

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

Limited data: one similar run only.

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

No positive support trigger.

This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.

Today: -0.15pp

Possible next price: 11/2

4 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Brazilian DivaDraw 10

Trainer: Diego Dias

Jockey: Luke McAteer

🟢 Needs Support (19%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Diego Dias (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 2/54; first seen between 10am and 1pm 1/54; first seen after 1pm 2/54.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/7; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/7; first seen after 1pm 0/7.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.53pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

↔ SAME CLASS

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run47 days ago · 16 Aug 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

Often drifts in the market

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Early

Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 12/1 → 18/1 | Avg: 14/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

10am plunger

Mid-market mover (43%)

18:00Dundalk (AW)

Opened 14/1Market avg 16/1

16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 ↓ 14/1 ↑ 16/1 → 16/1 ↓ 14/1 ↑ 18/1 ↓ 14/1

PRICE MOVE

-0.53pp (-8.7%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

71th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE71st HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

2 of 7 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 6th at Curragh (IRE) on 16 Aug 2026 (-4.07pp); and finished 2nd at Naas (IRE) on 04 Jul 2026 (-0.99pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 8.7% • -0.53 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Curragh (IRE), 16 Aug 2026 — 6th • open 15/2 → final 11/1 (-3.43pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

18/1 19 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Dundalk (AW)Today5f · Class 1 · Standard · 13 runners	14/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.53ppOpen → now	16/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.53pp
Naas (IRE)04 Jul 20265f · Class — · Good · 10 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	14/1	-0.99ppOpen → 10am	18/1	+2.43pp10am → 1pm	12/1	+0.64pp1pm → SP	11/1	2nd	+2.08pp
Post-race comment
Naas24 Jun 20265f · Class — · Good · 8 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	25/1	+2.04ppOpen → 10am	16/1	+0.00pp10am → 1pm	16/1	-1.53pp1pm → SP	22/1	1st	+0.50pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Dundalk (AW)Today5f · Class 1 · Standard · 13 runners	14/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.53ppOpen → now	16/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.53pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 2 of 7 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Brazilian Diva is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Naas (IRE) · 04 Jul 2026 · 2nd · 1/3 known conditions match

×Track: Today Dundalk (AW) · previous Naas (IRE)✓Trip (within ½f): 5f×Ground: Today Standard · previous Good?Class: Data missing

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

This price often moves during the day, so keep checking it. (moderate)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Both previous top-two finishes came with support of 1.41pp+.

At 1.41pp+: 2/2 finished 1st or 2nd (100%).

Today: -0.53pp — trigger not reached.

Possible next price: 12/1

7 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Blooming SallyDraw 5

Trainer: A. Slattery

Jockey: Andrew Slattery

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer A. Slattery (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 5/45; first seen between 10am and 1pm 3/45; first seen after 1pm 3/45.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 2 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.24pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

Market Form rating50/100 · Ranked #4 today

Last run15 days ago · 17 Sep 2026

Distance changeDown 0.9f from last run

Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: 16/1 → 16/1 | Avg: 16/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

The price is drifting and is not attracting bookmaker support.

18:00Dundalk (AW)

Opened 66/1Market avg 80/1

80/1 → 80/1 → 80/1 → 80/1 → 80/1 → 80/1 → 80/1 ↓ 66/1 ↑ 100/1 ↓ 80/1

PRICE MOVE

-0.24pp (-19.5%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

Raw Open → Now price change: 19.5% • -0.24 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Cork (IRE), 24 Jul 2026 — 2nd • open 11/1 → final 16/1 (-2.45pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

100/1 101 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Dundalk (AW)Today5f · Class 1 · Standard · 13 runners	66/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.24ppOpen → now	80/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.24pp
Cork (IRE)24 Jul 20265f · Class — · Good To Firm · 10 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	11/1	-3.99ppOpen → 10am	22/1	+0.92pp10am → 1pm	18/1	+3.07pp1pm → SP	11/1	2nd	+0.00pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Dundalk (AW)Today5f · Class 1 · Standard · 13 runners	66/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.24ppOpen → now	80/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.24pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Blooming Sally is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Cork (IRE) · 24 Jul 2026 · 2nd · 1/3 known conditions match

×Track: Today Dundalk (AW) · previous Cork (IRE)✓Trip (within ½f): 5f×Ground: Today Standard · previous Good To Firm?Class: Data missing

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

Limited data: one similar run only.

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

2 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.

Today: -0.24pp

Possible next price: 80/1

No historical data

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Race market overview as at 05:16

Supported0 of 13 runners at +4pp or more
Drifting0 of 13 runners at −4pp or worse
Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.

18:30Dundalk (AW) • 1m • Going: Standard

6 runners

Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

Golden RingDraw 5

Trainer: Aidan O'Brien

Jockey: W. M. Lordan

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Aidan O'Brien (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 8/48; first seen between 10am and 1pm 8/48; first seen after 1pm 0/48.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 2 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.49pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run23 days ago · 9 Sep 2026

Distance changeUp 1f from last run

Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

18:30Dundalk (AW)

Opened 8/13Market avg 8/13

8/13 → 8/13 ↑ 4/6 ↓ 8/13 ↑ 4/6 ↓ 8/13 → 8/13 → 8/13 ↑ 4/6 → 4/6

PRICE MOVE

-0.49pp (-0.8%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

Raw Open → Now price change: 0.8% • -0.49 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Fairyhouse, 08 Jul 2026 — 7th • open 9/4 → final 5/1 (-14.10pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

4/6 1.67 decimal Bet Victor

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Dundalk (AW)Today1m · Class — · Standard · 7 runners	8/13	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.49ppOpen → now	8/13Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.49pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Dundalk (AW)Today1m · Class — · Standard · 7 runners	8/13	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.49ppOpen → now	8/13Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.49pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Golden Ring is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

N/A

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

2 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.

Today: -0.49pp

Possible next price: 8/11

No historical data

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Somebody Loves MeDraw 2

Trainer: Aidan O'Brien

Jockey: Jack Cleary(5)

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Aidan O'Brien (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 8/48; first seen between 10am and 1pm 8/48; first seen after 1pm 0/48.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 0 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -2.22pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

Market Form rating50/100 · Ranked #5 today

Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

18:30Dundalk (AW)

Opened 7/2Market avg 4/1

4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 ↑ 9/2 ↓ 4/1

PRICE MOVE

-2.22pp (-11.1%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

Raw Open → Now price change: 11.1% • -2.22 probability points

BEST FIXED ODDS

9/2 5.5 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Dundalk (AW)Today1m · Class — · Standard · 7 runners	7/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-2.22ppOpen → now	4/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-2.22pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Dundalk (AW)Today1m · Class — · Standard · 7 runners	7/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-2.22ppOpen → now	4/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-2.22pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Somebody Loves Me is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

N/A

Possible next price: 4/1

No historical data

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

State Of ClarityDraw 3

Trainer: Mrs J. Harrington

Jockey: Nathan Crosse

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Mrs J. Harrington (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 4/39; first seen between 10am and 1pm 7/39; first seen after 1pm 0/39.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 0 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.04pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

18:30Dundalk (AW)

Opened 10/1Market avg 10/1

10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 ↑ 11/1 → 11/1 ↓ 10/1

PRICE MOVE

-0.04pp (-0.4%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

Raw Open → Now price change: 0.4% • -0.04 probability points

BEST FIXED ODDS

11/1 12 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Dundalk (AW)Today1m · Class — · Standard · 7 runners	10/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.04ppOpen → now	10/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.04pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Dundalk (AW)Today1m · Class — · Standard · 7 runners	10/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.04ppOpen → now	10/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.04pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: State Of Clarity is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

N/A

Possible next price: 10/1

No historical data

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

KnightlightDraw 7

Trainer: Henry de Bromhead

Jockey: Robbie Colgan

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Henry de Bromhead (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 53/636; first seen between 10am and 1pm 59/636; first seen after 1pm 26/636.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 0 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.03pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

18:30Dundalk (AW)

Opened 12/1Market avg 12/1

12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 ↑ 14/1 ↓ 12/1

PRICE MOVE

-0.03pp (-0.3%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

Raw Open → Now price change: 0.3% • -0.03 probability points

BEST FIXED ODDS

14/1 15 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Dundalk (AW)Today1m · Class — · Standard · 7 runners	12/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.03ppOpen → now	12/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.03pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Dundalk (AW)Today1m · Class — · Standard · 7 runners	12/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.03ppOpen → now	12/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.03pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Knightlight is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

N/A

Possible next price: 12/1

No historical data

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Lady ChancalotDraw 6

Trainer: Jack W Davison

Jockey: James Ryan

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Jack W Davison (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 4/78; first seen between 10am and 1pm 4/78; first seen after 1pm 2/78.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 1 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.60pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run31 days ago · 1 Sep 2026

Distance changeUp 1f from last run

Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.

18:30Dundalk (AW)

Opened 16/1Market avg 25/1

22/1 ↑ 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 ↓ 22/1 ↑ 25/1 → 25/1 ↑ 33/1 ↓ 25/1

PRICE MOVE

-1.60pp (-40.6%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

Raw Open → Now price change: 40.6% • -1.60 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Gowran Park (IRE), 01 Sep 2026 — 9th • open 25/1 → final 100/1 (-3.18pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

33/1 34 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Dundalk (AW)Today1m · Class — · Standard · 7 runners	16/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-1.60ppOpen → now	25/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-1.60pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Dundalk (AW)Today1m · Class — · Standard · 7 runners	16/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-1.60ppOpen → now	25/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-1.60pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Lady Chancalot is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

N/A

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

1 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.

Today: -1.60pp

Possible next price: 28/1

No historical data

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

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Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Drumbinion LassDraw 4

Trainer: T G McCourt

Jockey: Adam Caffrey

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer T G McCourt (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 5/172; first seen between 10am and 1pm 10/172; first seen after 1pm 7/172.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 0 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.11pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

18:30Dundalk (AW)

Opened 18/1Market avg 25/1

25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 ↑ 28/1 ↓ 25/1

PRICE MOVE

-1.11pp (-28.7%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

Raw Open → Now price change: 28.7% • -1.11 probability points

BEST FIXED ODDS

28/1 29 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Dundalk (AW)Today1m · Class — · Standard · 7 runners	18/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-1.11ppOpen → now	25/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-1.11pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Dundalk (AW)Today1m · Class — · Standard · 7 runners	18/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-1.11ppOpen → now	25/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-1.11pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Drumbinion Lass is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

N/A

Possible next price: 25/1

No historical data

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Race market overview as at 05:16

Supported0 of 7 runners at +4pp or more
Drifting0 of 7 runners at −4pp or worse
Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.

19:00Dundalk (AW) • 7f • Going: Standard

6 runners

Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

LittlepacerDraw 1

Trainer: J. P. Murtagh

Jockey: Jessica Maye(7)

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer J. P. Murtagh (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/37; first seen between 10am and 1pm 4/37; first seen after 1pm 2/37.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/4; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/4; first seen after 1pm 0/4.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.19pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run58 days ago · 5 Aug 2026

Distance changeUp 1f from last run

Often drifts in the market

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Late PM

Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

Late money horse (50%)

19:00Dundalk (AW)

Opened 6/5Market avg 6/5

6/5 → 6/5 → 6/5 → 6/5 ↑ 5/4 ↓ 6/5 → 6/5 → 6/5 → 6/5 ↑ 5/4

PRICE MOVE

-0.19pp (-0.4%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

4 of 4 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 3rd at Sligo (IRE) on 05 Aug 2026 (-2.82pp); finished 13th at Naas (IRE) on 22 Jul 2026 (-1.95pp); finished 13th at Curragh (IRE) on 28 Jun 2026 (-0.97pp); and finished 8th at Leopardstown (IRE) on 04 Jun 2026 (-0.47pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 0.4% • -0.19 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Naas (IRE), 22 Jul 2026 — 13th • open 33/1 → final 100/1 (-2.54pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

5/4 2.25 decimal Bet Victor

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Dundalk (AW)Today7f · Class — · Standard · 9 runners	6/5	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.19ppOpen → now	6/5Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.19pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Dundalk (AW)Today7f · Class — · Standard · 9 runners	6/5	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.19ppOpen → now	6/5Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.19pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

4 of 4 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Littlepacer is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

This matches its usual pattern; support has often arrived later. (moderate)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

4 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.

Today: -0.19pp

Possible next price: 5/4

4 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

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Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Someday SomewhereDraw 9

Trainer: Stephen Thorne

Jockey: Jack Kearney(3)

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Stephen Thorne (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 11/103; first seen between 10am and 1pm 7/103; first seen after 1pm 7/103.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/4; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/4; first seen after 1pm 1/4.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.07pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run28 days ago · 4 Sep 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

No consistent price pattern yet

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Mid

Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

Mid-market mover (50%)

19:00Dundalk (AW)

Opened 9/2Market avg 9/2

9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 ↑ 5/1 ↓ 9/2

PRICE MOVE

-0.07pp (-0.4%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

25th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE25th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

3 of 4 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 5th at Navan (IRE) on 27 Aug 2026 (-5.89pp); finished 4th at Galway (IRE) on 02 Aug 2026 (-6.84pp); and finished 3rd at Leopardstown (IRE) on 16 Jul 2026 (-1.90pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 0.4% • -0.07 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Navan (IRE), 27 Aug 2026 — 5th • open 5/2 → final 5/1 (-12.32pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

5/1 6 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Dundalk (AW)Today7f · Class — · Standard · 9 runners	9/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.07ppOpen → now	9/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.07pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Dundalk (AW)Today7f · Class — · Standard · 9 runners	9/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.07ppOpen → now	9/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.07pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

3 of 4 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Someday Somewhere is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

This price often moves during the day, so keep checking it. (moderate)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

4 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.

Today: -0.07pp

Possible next price: 9/2

4 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

SnapequusDraw 4

Trainer: Joseph Patrick O'Brien

Jockey: J M Sheridan

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Joseph Patrick O'Brien (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 82/911; first seen between 10am and 1pm 87/911; first seen after 1pm 46/911.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/3; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/3; first seen after 1pm 0/3.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.28pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run23 days ago · 9 Sep 2026

Distance changeUp 1f from last run

Often drifts in the market

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Pre-Off

Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

Mid-market mover (33%)

19:00Dundalk (AW)

Opened 9/2Market avg 9/2

9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 ↑ 5/1 ↓ 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 ↑ 5/1

PRICE MOVE

-0.28pp (-1.6%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

Only 1 of 3 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 11th at Gowran Park (IRE) on 12 Aug 2026 (-7.05pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 1.6% • -0.28 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Gowran Park (IRE), 12 Aug 2026 — 11th • open 11/2 → final 20/1 (-10.62pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

5/1 6 decimal Bet Victor

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Dundalk (AW)Today7f · Class — · Standard · 9 runners	9/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.28ppOpen → now	9/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.28pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Dundalk (AW)Today7f · Class — · Standard · 9 runners	9/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.28ppOpen → now	9/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.28pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 1 of 3 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Snapequus is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

Limited data: one similar run only.

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

3 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.

Today: -0.28pp

Possible next price: 11/2

3 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

JisirDraw 3

Trainer: Denis Gerard Hogan

Jockey: Robbie Colgan

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Denis Gerard Hogan (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 14/456; first seen between 10am and 1pm 26/456; first seen after 1pm 15/456.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/3; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/3; first seen after 1pm 0/3.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.54pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run33 days ago · 30 Aug 2026

Distance changeDown 1f from last run

Often drifts in the market

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Late PM

Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

The price is drifting and is not attracting bookmaker support.

Best at SP (67%)

19:00Dundalk (AW)

Opened 9/1Market avg 11/1

11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 ↓ 10/1 ↑ 11/1 ↑ 14/1 ↓ 11/1

PRICE MOVE

-1.54pp (-18.3%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

33th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE33rd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

2 of 3 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 10th at Cork (IRE) on 30 Aug 2026 (-1.64pp); and finished 12th at Galway (IRE) on 31 Jul 2026 (-1.65pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 18.3% • -1.54 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Cork (IRE), 30 Aug 2026 — 10th • open 40/1 → final 100/1 (-1.97pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

14/1 15 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Dundalk (AW)Today7f · Class — · Standard · 9 runners	9/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-1.54ppOpen → now	11/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-1.54pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Dundalk (AW)Today7f · Class — · Standard · 9 runners	9/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-1.54ppOpen → now	11/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-1.54pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

2 of 3 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Jisir is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

The price has been unpredictable before and may move sharply again. (strong)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

3 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.

Today: -1.54pp

Possible next price: 11/1

3 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Scarlet DreamDraw 8

Trainer: Adrian McGuinness

Jockey: Adam Caffrey

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Adrian McGuinness (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 26/434; first seen between 10am and 1pm 27/434; first seen after 1pm 18/434.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/4; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/4; first seen after 1pm 0/4.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.10pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run11 days ago · 21 Sep 2026

Distance changeUp 1f from last run

Often drifts in the market

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Pre-Off

Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

Late money horse (75%)

19:00Dundalk (AW)

Opened 12/1Market avg 12/1

12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 ↑ 14/1 ↓ 12/1

PRICE MOVE

-0.10pp (-1.3%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

4 of 4 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 5th at Fairyhouse (IRE) on 21 Sep 2026 (-1.37pp); finished 4th at Navan (IRE) on 02 Sep 2026 (-0.92pp); finished 9th at Naas (IRE) on 23 Aug 2026 (-0.48pp); and finished 7th at Dundalk (IRE) on 15 Aug 2026 (-1.31pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 1.3% • -0.10 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Fairyhouse (IRE), 21 Sep 2026 — 5th • open 6/1 → final 14/1 (-8.04pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

14/1 15 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Dundalk (AW)Today7f · Class — · Standard · 9 runners	12/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.10ppOpen → now	12/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.10pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Dundalk (AW)Today7f · Class — · Standard · 9 runners	12/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.10ppOpen → now	12/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.10pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

4 of 4 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Scarlet Dream is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

This matches its usual pattern; support has often arrived later. (strong)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

4 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.

Today: -0.10pp

Possible next price: 12/1

4 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Mutamarid LskDraw 6

Trainer: Daniel James Murphy

Jockey: James Ryan

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Daniel James Murphy (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 8/124; first seen between 10am and 1pm 10/124; first seen after 1pm 4/124.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/3; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/3; first seen after 1pm 0/3.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.95pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run54 days ago · 9 Aug 2026

Distance changeUp 1f from last run

Often drifts in the market

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Pre-Off

Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

The price is drifting and is not attracting bookmaker support.

Late money horse (100%)

19:00Dundalk (AW)

Opened 12/1Market avg 14/1

14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 ↑ 16/1 ↓ 14/1

PRICE MOVE

-0.95pp (-14.0%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

3 of 3 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 18th at Curragh (IRE) on 09 Aug 2026 (-2.44pp); finished 12th at Naas (IRE) on 22 Jul 2026 (-1.45pp); and finished 8th at Fairyhouse on 08 Jul 2026 (-3.73pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 14% • -0.95 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Fairyhouse, 08 Jul 2026 — 8th • open 14/1 → final 50/1 (-4.71pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

16/1 17 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Dundalk (AW)Today7f · Class — · Standard · 9 runners	12/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.95ppOpen → now	14/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.95pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Dundalk (AW)Today7f · Class — · Standard · 9 runners	12/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.95ppOpen → now	14/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.95pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

3 of 3 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Mutamarid Lsk is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

This matches its usual pattern; support has often arrived later. (strong)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

3 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.

Today: -0.95pp

Possible next price: 14/1

3 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Race market overview as at 05:16

Supported0 of 9 runners at +4pp or more
Drifting0 of 9 runners at −4pp or worse
Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.

19:30Dundalk (AW) • 7f • Class 1 • Going: Standard

8 runners

Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

Salt LakeDraw 5

Trainer: Robson De Aguiar

Jockey: Donagh O'Connor

🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Robson De Aguiar (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 10/215; first seen between 10am and 1pm 21/215; first seen after 1pm 3/215.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 2 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.16pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run15 days ago · 17 Sep 2026

Distance changeUp 1.1f from last run

Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: 4/11 → 20/1 | Avg: 10/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

19:30Dundalk (AW)

Opened 11/4Market avg 11/4

11/4 ↑ 3/1 ↓ 11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 ↑ 3/1 ↓ 11/4

PRICE MOVE

-0.16pp (-0.6%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

Raw Open → Now price change: 0.6% • -0.16 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Curragh (IRE), 22 Aug 2026 — 2nd • open 10/1 → final 20/1 (-4.33pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

3/1 4 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Dundalk (AW)Today7f · Class 1 · Standard · 11 runners	11/4	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.16ppOpen → now	11/4Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.16pp
Naas (IRE)17 Sep 20265f 205y · Class — · Yielding · 12 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	4/9	+1.98ppOpen → 10am	2/5	+5.49pp10am → 1pm	3/10	-3.39pp1pm → SP	4/11	1st	+4.08pp
Post-race comment
Curragh (IRE)22 Aug 20267f · Class — · Good · 16 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	10/1	-3.21ppOpen → 10am	16/1	-0.62pp10am → 1pm	18/1	+1.40pp1pm → SP	14/1	2nd	-2.42pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Dundalk (AW)Today7f · Class 1 · Standard · 11 runners	11/4	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.16ppOpen → now	11/4Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.16pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Salt Lake is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Curragh (IRE) · 22 Aug 2026 · 2nd · 1/3 known conditions match

×Track: Today Dundalk (AW) · previous Curragh (IRE)✓Trip (within ½f): 7f×Ground: Today Standard · previous Good?Class: Data missing

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

Limited data: one similar run only.

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

2 tracked runs • 2 top-two finishes.

Today: -0.16pp

Possible next price: 11/4

No historical data

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

South DakotaDraw 11

Trainer: Aidan O'Brien

Jockey: W. M. Lordan

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Aidan O'Brien (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 8/48; first seen between 10am and 1pm 8/48; first seen after 1pm 0/48.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/5; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/5; first seen after 1pm 0/5.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -2.56pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run32 days ago · 31 Aug 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

Often drifts in the market

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Pre-Off

Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 11/4 → 11/4 | Avg: 11/4Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

The price is drifting and is not attracting bookmaker support.

Late money horse (40%)

19:30Dundalk (AW)

Opened 10/3Market avg 4/1

4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 ↓ 7/2 ↑ 4/1 → 4/1

PRICE MOVE

-2.56pp (-12.5%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

20th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE20th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

4 of 5 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 1st at Roscommon (IRE) on 31 Aug 2026 (-9.72pp); finished 3rd at Naas (IRE) on 03 Aug 2026 (-4.44pp); finished 3rd at Killarney (IRE) on 15 Jul 2026 (-11.49pp); and finished 4th at Ascot on 18 Jun 2026 (-61.76pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 12.5% • -2.56 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Ascot, 18 Jun 2026 — 4th • open 4/11 → final 9/2 (-55.35pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

4/1 5 decimal Bet Victor

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Dundalk (AW)Today7f · Class 1 · Standard · 11 runners	10/3	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-2.56ppOpen → now	4/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-2.56pp
Roscommon (IRE)31 Aug 20267f 94y · Class — · Yielding · 9 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	15/8	-9.72ppOpen → 10am	3/1	+0.00pp10am → 1pm	3/1	+0.00pp1pm → SP	3/1	1st	-9.72pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Dundalk (AW)Today7f · Class 1 · Standard · 11 runners	10/3	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-2.56ppOpen → now	4/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-2.56pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

4 of 5 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: South Dakota is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Roscommon (IRE) · 31 Aug 2026 · 1st · 1/3 known conditions match

×Track: Today Dundalk (AW) · previous Roscommon (IRE)✓Trip (within ½f): 7f×Ground: Today Standard · previous Yielding?Class: Data missing

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

This matches its usual pattern; support has often arrived later. (moderate)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

5 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.

Today: -2.56pp

Possible next price: 4/1

5 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Dee's Funny GirlDraw 9

Trainer: Donnacha Aidan O'Brien

Jockey: Oisin Orr

🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Donnacha Aidan O'Brien (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 17/196; first seen between 10am and 1pm 20/196; first seen after 1pm 12/196.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/3; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/3; first seen after 1pm 0/3.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.08pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

↔ SAME CLASS

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run69 days ago · 25 Jul 2026

Distance changeUp 1f from last run

Often drifts in the market

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Late PM

Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: 17/2 → 18/1 | Avg: 14/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

Late money horse (67%)

19:30Dundalk (AW)

Opened 9/2Market avg 9/2

9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 ↑ 5/1 ↓ 9/2

PRICE MOVE

-0.08pp (-0.4%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

33th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE33rd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

2 of 3 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 6th at Ascot on 19 Jun 2026 (-0.95pp); and finished 1st at Thirsk on 16 May 2026 (-0.41pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 0.4% • -0.08 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Ascot, 19 Jun 2026 — 6th • open 40/1 → final 80/1 (-1.20pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

5/1 6 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Dundalk (AW)Today7f · Class 1 · Standard · 11 runners	9/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.08ppOpen → now	9/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.08pp
Ascot25 Jul 20266f · Class 1 · Good To Firm · 11 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	8/1	+0.65ppOpen → 10am	15/2	-1.76pp10am → 1pm	9/1	+0.00pp1pm → SP	9/1	2nd	-1.11pp
Post-race comment
Thirsk16 May 20265f · Class 4 · Good · 12 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	20/1	-0.41ppOpen → 10am	22/1	+1.53pp10am → 1pm	16/1	+0.00pp1pm → SP	16/1	1st	+1.12pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Dundalk (AW)Today7f · Class 1 · Standard · 11 runners	9/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.08ppOpen → now	9/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.08pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

2 of 3 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Dee's Funny Girl is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Ascot · 25 Jul 2026 · 2nd · 1/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Dundalk (AW) · previous Ascot×Trip (within ½f): Today 7f · previous 6f×Ground: Today Standard · previous Good To Firm✓Class: Class 1

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

This matches its usual pattern; support has often arrived later. (strong)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

No positive support trigger.

This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.

Today: -0.08pp

Possible next price: 9/2

3 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

DuidinDraw 1

Trainer: Donnacha Aidan O'Brien

Jockey: Nathan Crosse

🟢 Needs Support (22%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Donnacha Aidan O'Brien (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 17/196; first seen between 10am and 1pm 20/196; first seen after 1pm 12/196.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 2/4; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/4; first seen after 1pm 0/4.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.53pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

⬆ CLASS RISE

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run95 days ago · 29 Jun 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

Usually attracts bookmaker support

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Mid

Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 1/5 → 9/2 | Avg: 9/4Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

10am plunger

Early money horse (25%)

19:30Dundalk (AW)

Opened 14/1Market avg 16/1

16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 ↓ 14/1 ↑ 16/1 → 16/1 ↓ 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1

PRICE MOVE

-0.53pp (-8.7%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

Only 1 of 4 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 3rd at Kempton (AW) on 30 Apr 2026 (-2.05pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 8.7% • -0.53 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Newmarket, 15 May 2026 — 8th • open 7/1 → final 12/1 (-4.81pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

16/1 17 decimal BetTom

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Dundalk (AW)Today7f · Class 1 · Standard · 11 runners	14/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.53ppOpen → now	16/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.53pp
Kempton (AW)29 Jun 20267f · Class 4 · Standard To Slow · 10 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	4/7	+5.75ppOpen → 10am	4/9	+4.08pp10am → 1pm	4/11	+6.47pp1pm → SP	1/4	1st	+16.31pp
Post-race comment
Wolverhampton (AW)16 Jun 20266f 20y · Class 4 · Standard · 9 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	13/2	+6.67ppOpen → 10am	4/1	+2.22pp10am → 1pm	7/2	-2.22pp1pm → SP	4/1	1st	+6.67pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Dundalk (AW)Today7f · Class 1 · Standard · 11 runners	14/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.53ppOpen → now	16/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.53pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 1 of 4 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. It is also stepping up from Class 4 to Class 1, which adds another test today. Today’s move: Duidin is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Kempton (AW) · 29 Jun 2026 · 1st · 1/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Dundalk (AW) · previous Kempton (AW)✓Trip (within ½f): 7f×Ground: Today Standard · previous Standard To Slow×Class: Today Class 1 · previous Class 4

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

Similar moves have usually held or strengthened.

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Both previous top-two finishes came with support of 4.84pp+.

At 4.84pp+: 2/2 finished 1st or 2nd (100%).

Today: -0.53pp — trigger not reached.

Possible next price: 12/1

4 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

AachenDraw 4

Trainer: Aidan O'Brien

Jockey: Declan McDonogh

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Aidan O'Brien (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 8/48; first seen between 10am and 1pm 8/48; first seen after 1pm 0/48.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 0 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.66pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

19:30Dundalk (AW)

Opened 14/1Market avg 16/1

16/1 → 16/1 ↓ 14/1 ↑ 16/1 ↓ 14/1 ↑ 16/1 → 16/1 ↓ 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1

PRICE MOVE

-0.66pp (-11.0%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

Raw Open → Now price change: 11% • -0.66 probability points

BEST FIXED ODDS

18/1 19 decimal Betfair Sportsbook

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Dundalk (AW)Today7f · Class 1 · Standard · 11 runners	14/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.66ppOpen → now	16/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.66pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Dundalk (AW)Today7f · Class 1 · Standard · 11 runners	14/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.66ppOpen → now	16/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.66pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Aachen is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

N/A

Possible next price: 12/1

No historical data

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Equus VictorDraw 3

Trainer: Daniel James Murphy

Jockey: Ben Coen

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Daniel James Murphy (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 8/124; first seen between 10am and 1pm 10/124; first seen after 1pm 4/124.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/3; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/3; first seen after 1pm 0/3.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.47pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run31 days ago · 1 Sep 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

Often drifts in the market

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Late PM

Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: 14/1 → 14/1 | Avg: 14/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

Early money horse (33%)

19:30Dundalk (AW)

Opened 16/1Market avg 18/1

18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 ↓ 16/1 ↑ 18/1 → 18/1 ↓ 16/1 ↑ 18/1 ↓ 16/1

PRICE MOVE

-0.47pp (-8.7%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

33th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE33rd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

2 of 3 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 1st at Gowran Park (IRE) on 01 Sep 2026 (-2.80pp); and finished 4th at Dundalk (IRE) on 15 Aug 2026 (-2.45pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 8.7% • -0.47 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Gowran Park (IRE), 01 Sep 2026 — 1st • open 5/1 → final 14/1 (-9.46pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

18/1 19 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Dundalk (AW)Today7f · Class 1 · Standard · 11 runners	16/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.47ppOpen → now	18/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.47pp
Gowran Park (IRE)01 Sep 20267f · Class — · Yielding · 15 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	5/1	-2.80ppOpen → 10am	13/2	-8.99pp10am → 1pm	22/1	+2.32pp1pm → SP	14/1	1st	-9.46pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Dundalk (AW)Today7f · Class 1 · Standard · 11 runners	16/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.47ppOpen → now	18/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.47pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

2 of 3 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Equus Victor is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Gowran Park (IRE) · 01 Sep 2026 · 1st · 1/3 known conditions match

×Track: Today Dundalk (AW) · previous Gowran Park (IRE)✓Trip (within ½f): 7f×Ground: Today Standard · previous Yielding?Class: Data missing

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

N/A

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

3 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.

Today: -0.47pp

Possible next price: 14/1

3 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

NicelyDraw 7

Trainer: Kevin Philippart de Foy

Jockey: Rowan Scott

🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Kevin Philippart de Foy (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 33/224; first seen between 10am and 1pm 14/224; first seen after 1pm 10/224.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/4; first seen between 10am and 1pm 1/4; first seen after 1pm 0/4.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.47pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

↔ SAME CLASS

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run27 days ago · 5 Sep 2026

Distance changeUp 1f from last run

Usually attracts bookmaker support

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Mid

Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: EVS → 11/1 | Avg: 9/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

10am plunger

Early money horse (25%)

19:30Dundalk (AW)

Opened 16/1Market avg 18/1

18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 ↓ 16/1 ↑ 18/1 → 18/1 ↓ 16/1 ↑ 18/1 ↓ 16/1

PRICE MOVE

-0.47pp (-8.7%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

2 of 4 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 1st at Chester on 22 Aug 2026 (-5.97pp); and finished 2nd at Nottingham on 02 Jul 2026 (-2.67pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 8.7% • -0.47 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Nottingham, 02 Jul 2026 — 2nd • open 15/2 → final 11/1 (-3.43pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

18/1 19 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Dundalk (AW)Today7f · Class 1 · Standard · 11 runners	16/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.47ppOpen → now	18/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.47pp
Chester22 Aug 20266f 17y · Class 2 · Good To Soft · 7 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	11/4	-5.97ppOpen → 10am	4/1	+13.33pp10am → 1pm	2/1	+0.00pp1pm → SP	2/1	1st	+7.36pp
Post-race comment
Hamilton17 Jul 20266f 6y · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 5 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	7/4	+18.93ppOpen → 10am	5/6	-2.29pp10am → 1pm	10/11	-4.74pp1pm → SP	11/10	1st	+11.90pp
Post-race comment
Nottingham02 Jul 20266f 17y · Class 3 · Good To Firm · 6 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	15/2	-2.67ppOpen → 10am	10/1	+0.91pp10am → 1pm	9/1	+0.00pp1pm → SP	9/1	2nd	-1.76pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Dundalk (AW)Today7f · Class 1 · Standard · 11 runners	16/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.47ppOpen → now	18/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.47pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

2 of 4 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Nicely is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Chester · 22 Aug 2026 · 1st · 0/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Dundalk (AW) · previous Chester×Trip (within ½f): Today 7f · previous 6f 17y×Ground: Today Standard · previous Good To Soft×Class: Today Class 1 · previous Class 2

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

Limited data: one similar run only.

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

No positive support trigger.

This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.

Today: -0.47pp

Possible next price: 14/1

4 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Fighting TearsDraw 10

Trainer: A Oliver

Jockey: G. F. Carroll

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer A Oliver (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 15/172; first seen between 10am and 1pm 3/172; first seen after 1pm 9/172.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 2 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.33pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

↔ SAME CLASS

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run11 days ago · 21 Sep 2026

Distance changeUp 1f from last run

Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: 18/1 → 18/1 | Avg: 18/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

19:30Dundalk (AW)

Opened 25/1Market avg 28/1

28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 ↓ 25/1 ↑ 28/1 → 28/1 ↓ 25/1 ↑ 33/1 ↓ 25/1

PRICE MOVE

-0.33pp (-9.4%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

Raw Open → Now price change: 9.4% • -0.33 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Fairyhouse (IRE), 21 Sep 2026 — 6th • open 11/1 → final 16/1 (-2.45pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

33/1 34 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Dundalk (AW)Today7f · Class 1 · Standard · 11 runners	25/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.33ppOpen → now	28/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.33pp
Curragh (IRE)16 Aug 20266f · Class — · Good · 18 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	25/1	-1.89ppOpen → 10am	50/1	+3.92pp10am → 1pm	16/1	+9.50pp1pm → SP	11/2	1st	+11.54pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Dundalk (AW)Today7f · Class 1 · Standard · 11 runners	25/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.33ppOpen → now	28/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.33pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Fighting Tears is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Curragh (IRE) · 16 Aug 2026 · 1st · 0/3 known conditions match

×Track: Today Dundalk (AW) · previous Curragh (IRE)×Trip (within ½f): Today 7f · previous 6f×Ground: Today Standard · previous Good?Class: Data missing

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

N/A

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

2 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.

Today: -0.33pp

Possible next price: 22/1

No historical data

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Race market overview as at 05:16

Supported0 of 11 runners at +4pp or more
Drifting0 of 11 runners at −4pp or worse
Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.

20:00Dundalk (AW) • 7f • Going: Standard

13 runners

Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

DandymariaDraw 9

Trainer: A Oliver

Jockey: G. F. Carroll

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer A Oliver (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 15/172; first seen between 10am and 1pm 3/172; first seen after 1pm 9/172.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/4; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/4; first seen after 1pm 0/4.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.58pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run27 days ago · 5 Sep 2026

Distance changeDown 1.1f from last run

Often drifts in the market

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Late PM

Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

Best at SP (50%)

20:00Dundalk (AW)

Opened 9/2Market avg 5/1

5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1

PRICE MOVE

-1.58pp (-9.5%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

2 of 4 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 6th at Navan (IRE) on 05 Sep 2026 (-1.67pp); and finished 12th at Curragh (IRE) on 27 Jun 2026 (-2.78pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 9.5% • -1.58 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Curragh (IRE), 27 Jun 2026 — 12th • open 8/1 → final 14/1 (-4.44pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

11/2 6.5 decimal Paddy Power

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Dundalk (AW)Today7f · Class — · Standard · 17 runners	9/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-1.58ppOpen → now	5/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-1.58pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Dundalk (AW)Today7f · Class — · Standard · 17 runners	9/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-1.58ppOpen → now	5/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-1.58pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

2 of 4 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Dandymaria is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

The price has been unpredictable before and may move sharply again. (moderate)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

4 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.

Today: -1.58pp

Possible next price: 5/1

4 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Bear RightDraw 17

Trainer: Mrs J. Harrington

Jockey: Nathan Crosse

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Mrs J. Harrington (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 4/39; first seen between 10am and 1pm 7/39; first seen after 1pm 0/39.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/8; first seen between 10am and 1pm 1/8; first seen after 1pm 0/8.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.82pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run43 days ago · 20 Aug 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

No consistent price pattern yet

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: 10am

Runs: 8 | Fixed-odds range: 4/1 → 4/1 | Avg: 4/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

Early money horse (50%)

20:00Dundalk (AW)

Opened 11/2Market avg 6/1

6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 ↓ 11/2 ↑ 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 ↑ 13/2 ↓ 11/2

PRICE MOVE

-0.82pp (-5.6%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

38th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE38th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

5 of 8 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 2nd at Naas (IRE) on 03 Aug 2026 (-3.57pp); finished 3rd at Leopardstown (IRE) on 16 Jul 2026 (-8.06pp); finished 4th at Cork (IRE) on 14 Jun 2026 (-7.58pp); finished 3rd at Leopardstown (IRE) on 04 Jun 2026 (-3.42pp); and had no recorded finishing position at Limerick (IRE) on 25 Apr 2026 (-1.67pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 5.6% • -0.82 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Leopardstown (IRE), 16 Jul 2026 — 3rd • open 15/8 → final 11/4 (-8.06pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

13/2 7.5 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Dundalk (AW)Today7f · Class — · Standard · 17 runners	11/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.82ppOpen → now	6/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.82pp
Naas (IRE)03 Aug 20267f · Class — · Good · 16 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	11/4	-3.57ppOpen → 10am	10/3	-3.09pp10am → 1pm	4/1	+0.00pp1pm → SP	4/1	2nd	-6.67pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Dundalk (AW)Today7f · Class — · Standard · 17 runners	11/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.82ppOpen → now	6/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.82pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

5 of 8 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Bear Right is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Naas (IRE) · 03 Aug 2026 · 2nd · 1/3 known conditions match

×Track: Today Dundalk (AW) · previous Naas (IRE)✓Trip (within ½f): 7f×Ground: Today Standard · previous Good?Class: Data missing

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

7 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.

Today: -0.82pp

Possible next price: 5/1

8 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

PurelyDraw 4

Trainer: Aidan O'Brien

Jockey: W. M. Lordan

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Aidan O'Brien (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 8/48; first seen between 10am and 1pm 8/48; first seen after 1pm 0/48.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/3; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/3; first seen after 1pm 0/3.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.91pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run24 days ago · 8 Sep 2026

Distance changeDown 1.4f from last run

Often drifts in the market

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Pre-Off

Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

Best at SP (67%)

20:00Dundalk (AW)

Opened 6/1Market avg 13/2

13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 ↓ 6/1 ↑ 13/2 → 13/2 ↑ 7/1 ↓ 6/1 → 6/1

PRICE MOVE

-0.91pp (-6.8%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

33th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE33rd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

2 of 3 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 9th at Galway (IRE) on 08 Sep 2026 (-4.20pp); and finished 10th at Leopardstown (IRE) on 12 Apr 2026 (-4.24pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 6.8% • -0.91 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Leopardstown (IRE), 12 Apr 2026 — 10th • open 13/2 → final 14/1 (-6.67pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

7/1 8 decimal BetMGM

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Dundalk (AW)Today7f · Class — · Standard · 17 runners	6/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.91ppOpen → now	13/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.91pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Dundalk (AW)Today7f · Class — · Standard · 17 runners	6/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.91ppOpen → now	13/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.91pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

2 of 3 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Purely is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

The price has been unpredictable before and may move sharply again. (strong)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

3 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.

Today: -0.91pp

Possible next price: 11/2

3 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Eleanor ShelbyDraw 16

Trainer: Joseph Patrick O'Brien

Jockey: J M Sheridan

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Joseph Patrick O'Brien (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 82/911; first seen between 10am and 1pm 87/911; first seen after 1pm 46/911.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 0 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.46pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

20:00Dundalk (AW)

Opened 8/1Market avg 17/2

17/2 → 17/2 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 17/2 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 17/2 ↓ 8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1

PRICE MOVE

-0.46pp (-4.3%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

Raw Open → Now price change: 4.3% • -0.46 probability points

BEST FIXED ODDS

9/1 10 decimal Paddy Power

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Dundalk (AW)Today7f · Class — · Standard · 17 runners	8/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.46ppOpen → now	17/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.46pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Dundalk (AW)Today7f · Class — · Standard · 17 runners	8/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.46ppOpen → now	17/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.46pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Eleanor Shelby is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

N/A

Possible next price: 15/2

No historical data

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Ready To MingleDraw 8

Trainer: M D O'Callaghan

Jockey: Reese Holohan(5)

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer M D O'Callaghan (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 11/175; first seen between 10am and 1pm 11/175; first seen after 1pm 8/175.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 1 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.80pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run16 days ago · 16 Sep 2026

Distance changeDown 2.8f from last run

Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.

20:00Dundalk (AW)

Opened 9/1Market avg 10/1

10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 ↓ 9/1 ↑ 10/1 → 10/1 ↑ 11/1 → 11/1 ↓ 9/1

PRICE MOVE

-0.80pp (-8.6%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

Raw Open → Now price change: 8.6% • -0.80 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Clonmel (IRE), 16 Sep 2026 — 4th • open 5/1 → final 7/1 (-3.63pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

11/1 12 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Dundalk (AW)Today7f · Class — · Standard · 17 runners	9/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.80ppOpen → now	10/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.80pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Dundalk (AW)Today7f · Class — · Standard · 17 runners	9/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.80ppOpen → now	10/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.80pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Ready To Mingle is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

N/A

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

1 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.

Today: -0.80pp

Possible next price: 8/1

No historical data

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Chosen OneDraw 13

Trainer: Donnacha Aidan O'Brien

Jockey: Sadhbh Tormey(7)

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Donnacha Aidan O'Brien (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 17/196; first seen between 10am and 1pm 20/196; first seen after 1pm 12/196.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/5; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/5; first seen after 1pm 0/5.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.66pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run7 days ago · 25 Sep 2026

Distance changeDown 3.7f from last run

Often drifts in the market

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Pre-Off

Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 11/4 → 11/4 | Avg: 11/4Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

Late money horse (60%)

20:00Dundalk (AW)

Opened 10/1Market avg 11/1

11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 ↓ 10/1 ↑ 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 ↓ 10/1 → 10/1

PRICE MOVE

-0.66pp (-7.9%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

5 of 5 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 7th at Dundalk (AW) (IRE) on 25 Sep 2026 (-1.03pp); finished 8th at Cork (IRE) on 14 Aug 2026 (-2.88pp); finished 2nd at Down Royal (IRE) on 17 Jul 2026 (-6.43pp); finished 6th at Naas on 24 Jun 2026 (-1.31pp); and finished 5th at Naas (IRE) on 09 May 2026 (-1.01pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 7.9% • -0.66 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Cork (IRE), 14 Aug 2026 — 8th • open 11/2 → final 11/1 (-7.05pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

12/1 13 decimal Paddy Power

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Dundalk (AW)Today7f · Class — · Standard · 17 runners	10/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.66ppOpen → now	11/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.66pp
Down Royal (IRE)17 Jul 20261m 2f 140y · Class — · Good · 7 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	10/3	-6.43ppOpen → 10am	5/1	+10.00pp10am → 1pm	11/4	-1.67pp1pm → SP	3/1	2nd	+1.91pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Dundalk (AW)Today7f · Class — · Standard · 17 runners	10/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.66ppOpen → now	11/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.66pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

5 of 5 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Chosen One is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Down Royal (IRE) · 17 Jul 2026 · 2nd · 0/3 known conditions match

×Track: Today Dundalk (AW) · previous Down Royal (IRE)×Trip (within ½f): Today 7f · previous 1m 2f 140y×Ground: Today Standard · previous Good?Class: Data missing

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

This matches its usual pattern; support has often arrived later. (strong)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

5 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.

Today: -0.66pp

Possible next price: 9/1

5 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Near PerfectionDraw 10

Trainer: Donnacha Aidan O'Brien

Jockey: Gavin Ryan

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Donnacha Aidan O'Brien (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 17/196; first seen between 10am and 1pm 20/196; first seen after 1pm 12/196.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 2 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.64pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run30 days ago · 2 Sep 2026

Distance changeDown 3f from last run

Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

20:00Dundalk (AW)

Opened 11/1Market avg 12/1

12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 ↓ 10/1 ↑ 12/1

PRICE MOVE

-0.64pp (-8.3%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

Raw Open → Now price change: 8.3% • -0.64 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Limerick (IRE), 25 Apr 2026 — 5th • open 10/3 → final 11/2 (-7.71pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

14/1 15 decimal Paddy Power

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Dundalk (AW)Today7f · Class — · Standard · 17 runners	11/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.64ppOpen → now	12/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.64pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Dundalk (AW)Today7f · Class — · Standard · 17 runners	11/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.64ppOpen → now	12/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.64pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Near Perfection is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

N/A

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

2 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.

Today: -0.64pp

Possible next price: 12/1

No historical data

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

CoastingDraw 11

Trainer: David Marnane

Jockey: Luke McAteer

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer David Marnane (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 13/188; first seen between 10am and 1pm 14/188; first seen after 1pm 12/188.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/4; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/4; first seen after 1pm 0/4.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.12pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run23 days ago · 9 Sep 2026

Distance changeDown 1f from last run

No consistent price pattern yet

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Late PM

Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

Early money horse (25%)

20:00Dundalk (AW)

Opened 12/1Market avg 12/1

12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1

PRICE MOVE

-0.12pp (-1.5%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

25th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE25th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

3 of 4 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 13th at Cork (IRE) on 09 Sep 2026 (-2.45pp); finished 9th at Leopardstown (IRE) on 15 May 2026 (-0.40pp); and finished 5th at Cork (IRE) on 24 Apr 2026 (-0.62pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 1.5% • -0.12 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Cork (IRE), 09 Sep 2026 — 13th • open 11/1 → final 22/1 (-3.99pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

14/1 15 decimal Betfair Sportsbook

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Dundalk (AW)Today7f · Class — · Standard · 17 runners	12/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.12ppOpen → now	12/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.12pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Dundalk (AW)Today7f · Class — · Standard · 17 runners	12/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.12ppOpen → now	12/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.12pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

3 of 4 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Coasting is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

Limited data: one similar run only.

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

4 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.

Today: -0.12pp

Possible next price: 12/1

4 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Little Sure ShotDraw 5

Trainer: Henry de Bromhead

Jockey: Adam Grant(7)

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Henry de Bromhead (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 53/636; first seen between 10am and 1pm 59/636; first seen after 1pm 26/636.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/4; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/4; first seen after 1pm 0/4.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.45pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run27 days ago · 5 Sep 2026

Distance changeDown 1.1f from last run

Often drifts in the market

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Late PM

Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

Best at SP (50%)

20:00Dundalk (AW)

Opened 14/1Market avg 16/1

16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 ↓ 14/1 ↑ 16/1 → 16/1 ↓ 14/1 ↑ 16/1 ↓ 14/1

PRICE MOVE

-0.45pp (-7.3%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

2 of 4 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 11th at Navan (IRE) on 05 Sep 2026 (-1.96pp); and finished 6th at Curragh (IRE) on 28 Mar 2026 (-4.27pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 7.3% • -0.45 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Curragh (IRE), 28 Mar 2026 — 6th • open 11/2 → final 10/1 (-6.29pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

16/1 17 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Dundalk (AW)Today7f · Class — · Standard · 17 runners	14/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.45ppOpen → now	16/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.45pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Dundalk (AW)Today7f · Class — · Standard · 17 runners	14/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.45ppOpen → now	16/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.45pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

2 of 4 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Little Sure Shot is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

The price has been unpredictable before and may move sharply again. (moderate)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

4 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.

Today: -0.45pp

Possible next price: 12/1

4 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Carry The DreamDraw 14

Trainer: W P Browne

Jockey: Adam Browne-Souza(7)

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer W P Browne (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/16; first seen between 10am and 1pm 1/16; first seen after 1pm 0/16.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/3; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/3; first seen after 1pm 0/3.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.80pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run23 days ago · 9 Sep 2026

Distance changeDown 1f from last run

Often drifts in the market

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: 10am

Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.

Early money horse (67%)

20:00Dundalk (AW)

Opened 22/1Market avg 28/1

28/1 → 28/1 ↓ 25/1 ↑ 28/1 ↓ 25/1 ↑ 28/1 → 28/1 ↓ 25/1 ↓ 20/1 ↑ 25/1

PRICE MOVE

-0.80pp (-22.5%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

3 of 3 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 5th at Cork (IRE) on 09 Sep 2026 (-0.90pp); finished 9th at Cork (IRE) on 30 Aug 2026 (-1.49pp); and finished 8th at Dundalk (AW) on 12 Jul 2026 (-2.82pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 22.5% • -0.80 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Cork (IRE), 09 Sep 2026 — 5th • open 25/1 → final 80/1 (-2.61pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

33/1 34 decimal Paddy Power

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Dundalk (AW)Today7f · Class — · Standard · 17 runners	22/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.80ppOpen → now	28/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.80pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Dundalk (AW)Today7f · Class — · Standard · 17 runners	22/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.80ppOpen → now	28/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.80pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

3 of 3 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Carry The Dream is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (strong)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

3 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.

Today: -0.80pp

Possible next price: 22/1

3 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Dundalk (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

JallaafDraw 6

Trainer: A. McCann

Jockey: Patrick McGettigan(5)

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer A. McCann (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 2/9; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/9; first seen after 1pm 0/9.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 1 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.03pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run233 days ago · 11 Feb 2026

Distance changeDown 1f from last run

Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.

20:00Dundalk (AW)

Opened 50/1Market avg 50/1

50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1

PRICE MOVE

-0.03pp (-1.4%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

Raw Open → Now price change: 1.4% • -0.03 probability points

Previous market evidence

No previous open-to-final drift in the recorded sample.

BEST FIXED ODDS

66/1 67 decimal Paddy Power

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Dundalk (AW)Today7f · Class — · Standard · 17 runners	50/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.03ppOpen → now	50/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.03pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Dundalk (AW)Today7f · Class — · Standard · 17 runners	50/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.03ppOpen → now	50/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.03pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Jallaaf is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

N/A

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

1 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.

Today: -0.03pp

Possible next price: 50/1

No historical data

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Tribal BelleDraw 3

Trainer: G. O'Leary

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer G. O'Leary (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/12; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/12; first seen after 1pm 0/12.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 2 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.01pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run5 days ago · 27 Sep 2026

Distance changeUp 1f from last run

Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.

LAST MINUTE BACKING (33.3%)

20:00Dundalk (AW)

Opened 33/1Market avg 50/1

50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 ↓ 33/1

PRICE MOVE

-1.01pp (-52.2%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

Raw Open → Now price change: 52.2% • -1.01 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Gowran Park (IRE), 01 Sep 2026 — 10th • open 18/1 → final 28/1 (-1.55pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

66/1 67 decimal Betfair Sportsbook

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Dundalk (AW)Today7f · Class — · Standard · 17 runners	33/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-1.01ppOpen → now	50/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-1.01pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Dundalk (AW)Today7f · Class — · Standard · 17 runners	33/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-1.01ppOpen → now	50/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-1.01pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Tribal Belle is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

N/A

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

2 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.

Today: -1.01pp

Possible next price: 22/1

No historical data

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

GonirianbotharleatDraw 2

Trainer: Miss Jennifer Anne Lynch

Jockey: Rory Cleary

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Miss Jennifer Anne Lynch (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/33; first seen between 10am and 1pm 2/33; first seen after 1pm 0/33.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 2 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.12pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run224 days ago · 20 Feb 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

The price is drifting and is not attracting bookmaker support.

20:00Dundalk (AW)

Opened 100/1Market avg 100/1

100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 ↓ 100/1 ↑ 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 ↓ 100/1 ↑ 100/1

PRICE MOVE

-0.12pp (-18.0%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

Raw Open → Now price change: 18% • -0.12 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Dundalk (AW) (IRE), 11 Feb 2026 — 8th • open 100/1 → final 100/1 (-0.33pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

100/1 201 decimal Betfair Sportsbook

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Dundalk (AW)Today7f · Class — · Standard · 17 runners	100/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.12ppOpen → now	100/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.12pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
Dundalk (AW)Today7f · Class — · Standard · 17 runners	100/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.12ppOpen → now	100/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.12pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Gonirianbotharleat is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

N/A

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

2 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.

Today: -0.12pp

Possible next price: 100/1

No historical data

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Race market overview as at 05:16

Supported0 of 17 runners at +4pp or more
Drifting0 of 17 runners at −4pp or worse
Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.

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