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BellewstownClonmelNewcastle (AW)NottinghamSalisburySouthwell
ALLBACKED 💰DRIFTERS
01 · Strongest support
Racing silks
Max Meridius
52
13:49 Clonmel
+0.87pp
True move after NR adjustment · 9/2 → 4/1
02 · Repeat evidence
No repeat signal active
No upcoming runner currently matches a previous successful market pattern.
03 · Weak favourite
Favourites currently holding
No short-priced upcoming runner has weakened by at least 2 probability points.
Runner
Bookmaker move
Evidence
What to do next
13:49Clonmel • 2m0f166y • Going: Good
6 runners
Market Intelligence
Weakest support: Earthwatch (-0.72 probability points)
Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

Trainer: David Harry Kelly
Jockey: Cian Quirke
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer David Harry Kelly (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 4/113; first seen between 10am and 1pm 8/113; first seen after 1pm 6/113.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/6; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/6; first seen after 1pm 0/6.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.76pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
Market Form rating48/100 · Neutral
Last run83 days ago · 10 Jul 2026
Distance changeDown 3.2f from last run
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: 11/1 → 11/1 | Avg: 11/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (33%)
13:49Clonmel
Opened 13/2Market avg 7/1
7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 ↓ 13/2 ↑ 7/1 → 7/1 ↑ 15/2 ↓ 7/1 ↓ 13/2
PRICE MOVE
-0.76pp (-6.1%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
33th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE33rd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
4 of 6 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 2nd at Tramore on 07 Jul 2026 (-1.12pp); finished 13th at Punchestown (IRE) on 01 May 2026 (-1.53pp); finished 11th at Curragh (IRE) on 28 Mar 2026 (-5.89pp); and finished 3rd at Fairyhouse (IRE) on 15 Jan 2026 (-6.43pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 6.1% • -0.76 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Fairyhouse (IRE), 15 Jan 2026 — 3rd • open 10/3 → final 6/1 (-8.81pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
15/2 8.5 decimal BetMGM
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
ClonmelToday2m 166y · Class — · Good · 12 runners13/2—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—-0.76ppOpen → now7/1Current; SP pendingPending-0.76pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

4 of 6 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Nelson Muntz is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Tramore · 07 Jul 2026 · 2nd · 1/3 known conditions match
×Track: Today Clonmel · previous Tramore×Trip (within ½f): Today 2m 166y · previous 2m✓Ground: Good?Class: Data missing
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.Comparable moves have had few top-two finishes. Be cautious.
Did the early price move fade?

No documented early-support reversal in this horse’s recorded checkpoint sample. The older wording referred to finishing results, not a verified intraday price fade.

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
6 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: -0.76pp
Possible next price: 6/1
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Trainer: P A Fahy
Jockey: Richard Condon(5)
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer P A Fahy (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 2/78; first seen between 10am and 1pm 4/78; first seen after 1pm 3/78.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/7; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/7; first seen after 1pm 0/7.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.76pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
Market Form rating45/100 · Neutral
Last run12 days ago · 19 Sep 2026
Distance changeDown 2.2f from last run
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Best at SP (43%)
13:49Clonmel
Opened 9/1Market avg 10/1
10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 ↓ 9/1 → 9/1 ↑ 10/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.76pp (-8.3%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
57th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE57th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
3 of 7 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 6th at Ballinrobe (IRE) on 10 Aug 2026 (-2.94pp); finished 16th at Galway (IRE) on 29 Jul 2026 (-0.90pp); and finished 15th at Killarney (IRE) on 16 Jul 2026 (-1.67pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 8.3% • -0.76 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Killarney (IRE), 16 Jul 2026 — 15th • open 11/1 → final 20/1 (-3.57pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
10/1 11 decimal Bet Victor
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
ClonmelToday2m 166y · Class — · Good · 12 runners9/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—-0.76ppOpen → now10/1Current; SP pendingPending-0.76pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 3 of 7 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Home By The Sea is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
The price has been unpredictable before and may move sharply again. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
7 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: -0.76pp
Possible next price: 10/1
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Clonmel. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Trainer: Henry de Bromhead
Jockey: Mike O'Connor
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Henry de Bromhead (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 53/634; first seen between 10am and 1pm 59/634; first seen after 1pm 26/634.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/5; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/5; first seen after 1pm 0/5.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.73pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
Market Form rating44/100 · Negative
Last run35 days ago · 27 Aug 2026
Distance changeUp 2.8f from last run
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Late PM
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Late money horse (40%)
13:49Clonmel
Opened 10/1Market avg 11/1
11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 ↑ 12/1 → 12/1 ↓ 11/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.73pp (-8.7%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
5 of 5 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 15th at Navan (IRE) on 27 Aug 2026 (-4.36pp); finished 4th at Tramore (IRE) on 15 Aug 2026 (-4.58pp); finished 10th at Leopardstown (IRE) on 06 Aug 2026 (-4.81pp); had no recorded finishing position at Tramore (IRE) on 29 May 2026 (-1.10pp); and finished 9th at Roscommon (IRE) on 11 May 2026 (-2.80pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 8.7% • -0.73 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Navan (IRE), 27 Aug 2026 — 15th • open 5/1 → final 12/1 (-8.44pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
12/1 13 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
ClonmelToday2m 166y · Class — · Good · 12 runners10/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—-0.73ppOpen → now11/1Current; SP pendingPending-0.73pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

5 of 5 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Stepdance is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This matches its usual pattern; support has often arrived later. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
4 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: -0.73pp
Possible next price: 11/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Trainer: Denis Gerard Hogan
Jockey: Daniel King
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Denis Gerard Hogan (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 14/454; first seen between 10am and 1pm 26/454; first seen after 1pm 15/454.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/7; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/7; first seen after 1pm 0/7.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.72pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
Market Form rating45/100 · Neutral
Last run15 days ago · 16 Sep 2026
Distance changeUp 7f from last run
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Late PM
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Best at SP (43%)
13:49Clonmel
Opened 11/1Market avg 12/1
12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 ↓ 11/1 ↑ 12/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.72pp (-9.5%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
14th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE14th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
6 of 7 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 9th at Clonmel (IRE) on 16 Sep 2026 (-2.46pp); finished 6th at Kilbeggan (IRE) on 08 Aug 2026 (-4.27pp); finished 4th at Kilbeggan (IRE) on 24 Jul 2026 (-2.78pp); finished 11th at Curragh (IRE) on 27 Jun 2026 (-1.89pp); had no recorded finishing position at Clonmel (IRE) on 05 Jun 2026 (-3.33pp); and finished 4th at Cork (IRE) on 05 Apr 2026 (-1.49pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 9.5% • -0.72 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Kilbeggan (IRE), 24 Jul 2026 — 4th • open 8/1 → final 16/1 (-5.23pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
14/1 15 decimal Betfair Sportsbook
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
ClonmelToday2m 166y · Class — · Good · 12 runners11/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—-0.72ppOpen → now12/1Current; SP pendingPending-0.72pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

6 of 7 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Earthwatch is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
The price has been unpredictable before and may move sharply again. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
6 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: -0.72pp
Possible next price: 12/1
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Trainer: Ian Patrick Donoghue
Jockey: Caragh Monaghan(7)
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Ian Patrick Donoghue (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 15/208; first seen between 10am and 1pm 10/208; first seen after 1pm 7/208.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/3; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/3; first seen after 1pm 0/3.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.04pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
Market Form rating45/100 · Neutral
Last run186 days ago · 29 Mar 2026
Distance changeDown 11.8f from last run
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Early PM
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: 5/1 → 5/1 | Avg: 5/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (33%)
13:49Clonmel
Opened 14/1Market avg 14/1
14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 ↓ 12/1 ↑ 14/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.04pp (-0.6%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
33th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE33rd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
2 of 3 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 9th at Downpatrick (IRE) on 29 Mar 2026 (-2.22pp); and finished 2nd at Navan (IRE) on 28 Feb 2026 (-9.72pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 0.6% • -0.04 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Navan (IRE), 28 Feb 2026 — 2nd • open 7/2 → final 5/1 (-5.56pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
16/1 17 decimal Betfair Sportsbook
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
ClonmelToday2m 166y · Class — · Good · 12 runners14/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—-0.04ppOpen → now14/1Current; SP pendingPending-0.04pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

2 of 3 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: St Denis's Well is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Navan (IRE) · 28 Feb 2026 · 2nd · 0/3 known conditions match
×Track: Today Clonmel · previous Navan (IRE)×Trip (within ½f): Today 2m 166y · previous 2m 4f×Ground: Today Good · previous Heavy?Class: Data missing
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
2 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: -0.04pp
Possible next price: 14/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Trainer: Patrick T Foley
Jockey: Alex Harvey
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Patrick T Foley (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/123; first seen between 10am and 1pm 8/123; first seen after 1pm 3/123.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/5; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/5; first seen after 1pm 0/5.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.23pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
Market Form rating45/100 · Neutral
Last run69 days ago · 24 Jul 2026
Distance changeDown 2.2f from last run
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Mid
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 7/2 → 7/2 | Avg: 7/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (20%)
13:49Clonmel
Opened 20/1Market avg 22/1
22/1 ↓ 20/1 ↑ 22/1 → 22/1 ↓ 20/1 → 20/1 ↑ 22/1 ↓ 20/1 ↑ 25/1 ↓ 20/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.23pp (-5.0%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
60th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE60th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
2 of 5 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 7th at Kilbeggan (IRE) on 24 Jul 2026 (-1.26pp); and finished 1st at Kilbeggan (IRE) on 15 Jun 2026 (-2.22pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 5% • -0.23 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Limerick (IRE), 02 Jul 2026 — 11th • open 4/1 → final 11/1 (-11.67pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
25/1 26 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
ClonmelToday2m 166y · Class — · Good · 12 runners20/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—-0.23ppOpen → now22/1Current; SP pendingPending-0.23pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 2 of 5 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Silly Mongoose is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Kilbeggan (IRE) · 15 Jun 2026 · 1st · 0/3 known conditions match
×Track: Today Clonmel · previous Kilbeggan (IRE)×Trip (within ½f): Today 2m 166y · previous 1m 7f 200y×Ground: Today Good · previous Good To Yielding?Class: Data missing
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.Comparable moves have had few top-two finishes. Be cautious.
Did the early price move fade?

No documented early-support reversal in this horse’s recorded checkpoint sample. The older wording referred to finishing results, not a verified intraday price fade.

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
5 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: -0.23pp
Possible next price: 20/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Race market overview as at 03:17
  • Supported0 of 12 runners at +4pp or more
  • Drifting0 of 12 runners at −4pp or worse
  • Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
  • Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.
14:24Clonmel • 2m3f145y • Going: Good
5 runners
Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

Trainer: Gavin Cromwell
Jockey: Alix Balfe(7)
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Gavin Cromwell (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 44/740; first seen between 10am and 1pm 39/740; first seen after 1pm 21/740.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/4; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/4; first seen after 1pm 0/4.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.30pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
Market Form rating44/100 · Negative
Last run29 days ago · 2 Sep 2026
Distance changeUp 3.7f from last run
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Late money horse (50%)
14:24Clonmel
Opened 8/1Market avg 8/1
17/2 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 17/2 ↓ 8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 ↑ 10/1 ↓ 8/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.30pp (-2.8%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
4 of 4 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 11th at Navan (IRE) on 02 Sep 2026 (-0.65pp); finished 12th at Galway (IRE) on 29 Jul 2026 (-4.24pp); finished 4th at Ballinrobe (IRE) on 20 Jul 2026 (-4.24pp); and finished 4th at Roscommon (IRE) on 30 Jun 2026 (-6.43pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 2.8% • -0.30 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Galway (IRE), 29 Jul 2026 — 12th • open 13/2 → final 18/1 (-8.07pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
10/1 11 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
ClonmelToday2m 3f 145y · Class — · Good · 15 runners8/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—-0.30ppOpen → now8/1Current; SP pendingPending-0.30pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

4 of 4 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Black Heather is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This matches its usual pattern; support has often arrived later. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
4 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: -0.30pp
Possible next price: 8/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Trainer: Karl Thornton
Jockey: Ben Harvey
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Karl Thornton (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 5/71; first seen between 10am and 1pm 3/71; first seen after 1pm 5/71.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/8; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/8; first seen after 1pm 0/8.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.09pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
Market Form rating61/100 · Neutral
Last run15 days ago · 16 Sep 2026
Distance changeUp 2.9f from last run
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Early
Runs: 8 | Fixed-odds range: 17/2 → 12/1 | Avg: 10/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
The price is drifting and is not attracting bookmaker support.
Mid-market mover (25%)
14:24Clonmel
Opened 8/1Market avg 9/1
9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 9/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.09pp (-10.9%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
63th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE63rd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
3 of 8 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 2nd at Bellewstown (IRE) on 26 Aug 2026 (-1.52pp); finished 6th at Dundalk (AW) on 12 Jul 2026 (-3.44pp); and finished 3rd at Sligo (IRE) on 09 Jun 2026 (-11.36pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 10.9% • -1.09 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Sligo (IRE), 09 Jun 2026 — 3rd • open 7/4 → final 5/2 (-7.79pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
10/1 11 decimal Paddy Power
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
ClonmelToday2m 3f 145y · Class — · Good · 15 runners8/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—-1.09ppOpen → now9/1Current; SP pendingPending-1.09pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 3 of 8 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Rich Belief is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Bellewstown (IRE) · 26 Aug 2026 · 2nd · 1/3 known conditions match
×Track: Today Clonmel · previous Bellewstown (IRE)×Trip (within ½f): Today 2m 3f 145y · previous 2m 4f 110y✓Ground: Good?Class: Data missing
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.Comparable moves have had few top-two finishes. Be cautious.
Did the early price move fade?

Recorded examples where 5pp+ early support was followed by a longer final price:

  • Clonmel (IRE), 16 Sep 2026 — 3rd • open 10/3 → 10am 2/1 → final 7/2
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
No positive support trigger.
This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.
Today: -1.09pp
Possible next price: 9/1
8 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Trainer: John McConnell
Jockey: Alex Harvey
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer John McConnell (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/24; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/24; first seen after 1pm 1/24.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/6; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/6; first seen after 1pm 0/6.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.03pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
Market Form rating45/100 · Neutral
Last run13 days ago · 18 Sep 2026
Distance changeDown 3.8f from last run
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Mid
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: 28/1 → 28/1 | Avg: 28/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Mid-market mover (50%)
14:24Clonmel
Opened 12/1Market avg 12/1
12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.03pp (-0.3%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
17th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE17th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
5 of 6 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 10th at Downpatrick (IRE) on 18 Sep 2026 (-1.03pp); finished 5th at Bellewstown (IRE) on 26 Aug 2026 (-0.87pp); finished 2nd at Wexford (IRE) on 08 Aug 2026 (-2.40pp); finished 5th at Wexford (IRE) on 22 Jul 2026 (-2.94pp); and had no recorded finishing position at Kilbeggan (IRE) on 31 May 2026 (-8.82pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 0.3% • -0.03 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Kilbeggan (IRE), 31 May 2026 — finish unavailable • open 15/2 → final 25/1 (-7.92pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
14/1 15 decimal Paddy Power
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
ClonmelToday2m 3f 145y · Class — · Good · 15 runners12/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—-0.03ppOpen → now12/1Current; SP pendingPending-0.03pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

5 of 6 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Jackson Lamb is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Wexford (IRE) · 08 Aug 2026 · 2nd · 1/3 known conditions match
×Track: Today Clonmel · previous Wexford (IRE)×Trip (within ½f): Today 2m 3f 145y · previous 2m 3f 20y✓Ground: Good?Class: Data missing
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This price often moves during the day, so keep checking it. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
5 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: -0.03pp
Possible next price: 12/1
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Trainer: John Patrick Ryan
Jockey: Brian Barry(7)
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer John Patrick Ryan (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 13/267; first seen between 10am and 1pm 19/267; first seen after 1pm 12/267.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/9; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/9; first seen after 1pm 0/9.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.02pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
Market Form rating46/100 · Neutral
Last run69 days ago · 24 Jul 2026
Distance changeUp 0.8f from last run
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 9 | Fixed-odds range: 25/1 → 25/1 | Avg: 25/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Best at SP (33%)
14:24Clonmel
Opened 33/1Market avg 33/1
33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.02pp (-0.5%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
56th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE56th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
4 of 9 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse had no recorded finishing position at Kilbeggan (IRE) on 24 Jul 2026 (-2.02pp); had no recorded finishing position at Ballinrobe (IRE) on 21 Jul 2026 (-1.67pp); finished 2nd at Clonmel on 26 Mar 2026 (-0.92pp); and finished 12th at Gowran Park (IRE) on 07 Mar 2026 (-2.93pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 0.5% • -0.02 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Gowran Park (IRE), 07 Mar 2026 — 12th • open 12/1 → final 25/1 (-3.85pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
40/1 41 decimal Paddy Power
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
ClonmelToday2m 3f 145y · Class — · Good · 15 runners33/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—-0.02ppOpen → now33/1Current; SP pendingPending-0.02pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 4 of 9 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Marlpark is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Clonmel · 26 Mar 2026 · 2nd · 1/3 known conditions match
✓Track: Clonmel×Trip (within ½f): Today 2m 3f 145y · previous 2m 2f 188y×Ground: Today Good · previous Soft?Class: Data missing
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have usually held their position.
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
6 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: -0.02pp
Possible next price: 33/1
9 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Clonmel. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Trainer: P J Rothwell
Jockey: Conor Clarke(7)
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer P J Rothwell (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 17/451; first seen between 10am and 1pm 23/451; first seen after 1pm 11/451.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/8; first seen between 10am and 1pm 1/8; first seen after 1pm 0/8.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.03pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
Market Form rating45/100 · Neutral
Last run8 days ago · 23 Sep 2026
Distance changeUp 1f from last run
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 8 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (38%)
14:24Clonmel
Opened 33/1Market avg 33/1
33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.03pp (-1.2%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
4 of 8 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 6th at Sligo (IRE) on 06 Aug 2026 (-3.42pp); finished 6th at Limerick (IRE) on 02 Jul 2026 (-4.81pp); had no recorded finishing position at Wexford (IRE) on 10 Apr 2026 (-1.53pp); and had no recorded finishing position at Thurles (IRE) on 05 Mar 2026 (-0.40pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 1.2% • -0.03 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Limerick (IRE), 02 Jul 2026 — 6th • open 7/1 → final 18/1 (-7.24pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
40/1 41 decimal Betfair Sportsbook
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
ClonmelToday2m 3f 145y · Class — · Good · 15 runners33/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—-0.03ppOpen → now33/1Current; SP pendingPending-0.03pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

4 of 8 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Warm In Gorey is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.Comparable moves have had few top-two finishes. Be cautious.
Did the early price move fade?

No documented early-support reversal in this horse’s recorded checkpoint sample. The older wording referred to finishing results, not a verified intraday price fade.

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
5 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: -0.03pp
Possible next price: 33/1
8 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Race market overview as at 03:17
  • Supported0 of 15 runners at +4pp or more
  • Drifting0 of 15 runners at −4pp or worse
  • Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
  • Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.
14:59Clonmel • 2m3f145y • Going: Good
4 runners
Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

Trainer: Gordon Elliott
Jockey: Jack Kennedy
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Gordon Elliott (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 61/1013; first seen between 10am and 1pm 66/1013; first seen after 1pm 35/1013.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/3; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/3; first seen after 1pm 0/3.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.44pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
Market Form rating53/100 · Neutral
Last run12 days ago · 19 Sep 2026
Distance changeUp 0.7f from last run
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Late PM
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Late money horse (67%)
14:59Clonmel
Opened 11/4Market avg 3/1
3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 ↓ 11/4 ↑ 3/1 → 3/1 ↑ 10/3 ↓ 3/1 ↓ 11/4
PRICE MOVE
-1.44pp (-5.7%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
33th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE33rd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
2 of 3 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 6th at Ballinrobe (IRE) on 24 Aug 2026 (-2.42pp); and finished 5th at Downpatrick (IRE) on 09 Aug 2026 (-6.84pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 5.7% • -1.44 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Downpatrick (IRE), 09 Aug 2026 — 5th • open 7/2 → final 9/1 (-12.22pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
10/3 4.2 decimal BetMGM
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
ClonmelToday2m 3f 145y · Class — · Good · 13 runners11/4—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—-1.44ppOpen → now3/1Current; SP pendingPending-1.44pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

2 of 3 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Vargas is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This matches its usual pattern; support has often arrived later. (strong)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
3 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: -1.44pp
Possible next price: 5/2
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Trainer: Ms Margaret Mullins
Jockey: Danny Mullins
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Ms Margaret Mullins (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 2/47; first seen between 10am and 1pm 3/47; first seen after 1pm 3/47.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 2 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.82pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run28 days ago · 3 Sep 2026
Distance changeUp 0.7f from last run
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
14:59Clonmel
Opened 10/1Market avg 11/1
11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.82pp (-9.9%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
Raw Open → Now price change: 9.9% • -0.82 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Galway (IRE), 29 Jul 2026 — 16th • open 33/1 → final 50/1 (-0.98pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
12/1 13 decimal LiveScore Bet
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
ClonmelToday2m 3f 145y · Class — · Good · 13 runners10/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—-0.82ppOpen → now11/1Current; SP pendingPending-0.82pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Eternal Reward is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
2 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: -0.82pp
Possible next price: 11/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Trainer: Conor Houlihan
Jockey: Mike O'Connor
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Conor Houlihan (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 2/25; first seen between 10am and 1pm 1/25; first seen after 1pm 2/25.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/3; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/3; first seen after 1pm 1/3.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.37pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
Market Form rating46/100 · Neutral
Last run41 days ago · 21 Aug 2026
Distance changeUp 3.7f from last run
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Late PM
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Mid-market mover (33%)
14:59Clonmel
Opened 18/1Market avg 20/1
20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 ↓ 18/1 ↑ 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 ↓ 18/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.37pp (-7.7%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
33th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE33rd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
2 of 3 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 8th at Kilbeggan (IRE) on 21 Aug 2026 (-3.90pp); and finished 9th at Galway (IRE) on 27 Jul 2026 (-2.94pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 7.7% • -0.37 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Kilbeggan (IRE), 21 Aug 2026 — 8th • open 9/2 → final 9/1 (-8.18pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
20/1 21 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
ClonmelToday2m 3f 145y · Class — · Good · 13 runners18/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—-0.37ppOpen → now20/1Current; SP pendingPending-0.37pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

2 of 3 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Ddakji is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
3 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: -0.37pp
Possible next price: 16/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Trainer: Conor Houlihan
Jockey: Sean Houlihan
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Conor Houlihan (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 2/25; first seen between 10am and 1pm 1/25; first seen after 1pm 2/25.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/4; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/4; first seen after 1pm 0/4.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.39pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
Market Form rating45/100 · Neutral
Last run12 days ago · 19 Sep 2026
Distance changeDown 1.3f from last run
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
The price is drifting and is not attracting bookmaker support.
Early money horse (50%)
14:59Clonmel
Opened 40/1Market avg 50/1
50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 ↓ 40/1 ↑ 50/1 → 50/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.39pp (-19.1%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
4 of 4 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 10th at Navan (IRE) on 19 Sep 2026 (-1.14pp); finished 10th at Cork (IRE) on 03 Aug 2026 (-1.20pp); finished 7th at Bellewstown (IRE) on 04 Jul 2026 (-0.40pp); and had no recorded finishing position at Punchestown (IRE) on 06 Jun 2026 (-2.35pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 19.1% • -0.39 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Punchestown (IRE), 06 Jun 2026 — finish unavailable • open 25/1 → final 66/1 (-2.35pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
50/1 51 decimal Bet Victor
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
ClonmelToday2m 3f 145y · Class — · Good · 13 runners40/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—-0.39ppOpen → now50/1Current; SP pendingPending-0.39pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

4 of 4 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Woodie Wiley is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
3 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: -0.39pp
Possible next price: 50/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Race market overview as at 03:17
  • Supported0 of 13 runners at +4pp or more
  • Drifting0 of 13 runners at −4pp or worse
  • Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
  • Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.
15:34Clonmel • 2m3f145y • Going: Good
3 runners
Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

Trainer: S Curling
Jockey: Phillip Enright
🟢 Needs Support (12%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer S Curling (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 3/85; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/85; first seen after 1pm 0/85.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/6; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/6; first seen after 1pm 0/6.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.87pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
Market Form rating45/100 · Neutral
Last run12 days ago · 19 Sep 2026
Distance changeDown 1.3f from last run
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: 15/2 → 14/1 | Avg: 10/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Late money horse (33%)
15:34Clonmel
Opened 9/4Market avg 9/4
9/4 → 9/4 → 9/4 → 9/4 ↓ 9/4 ↑ 9/4 → 9/4 ↓ 2/1 ↑ 9/4 ↓ 9/4
PRICE MOVE
-0.87pp (-2.8%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
3 of 6 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 2nd at Navan (IRE) on 19 Sep 2026 (-2.31pp); finished 5th at Galway (IRE) on 02 Aug 2026 (-2.02pp); and finished 14th at Cork (IRE) on 10 May 2026 (-1.79pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 2.8% • -0.87 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Cork (IRE), 10 May 2026 — 14th • open 6/1 → final 20/1 (-9.52pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
9/4 3.25 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
ClonmelToday2m 3f 145y · Class — · Good · 12 runners9/4—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—-0.87ppOpen → now9/4Current; SP pendingPending-0.87pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

3 of 6 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Sallap is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Navan (IRE) · 19 Sep 2026 · 2nd · 1/3 known conditions match
×Track: Today Clonmel · previous Navan (IRE)×Trip (within ½f): Today 2m 3f 145y · previous 2m 5f✓Ground: Good?Class: Data missing
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
No positive support trigger.
This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.
Today: -0.87pp
Possible next price: 2/1
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Trainer: Leonard Paul Flynn
Jockey: Danny Mullins
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Leonard Paul Flynn (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/18; first seen between 10am and 1pm 1/18; first seen after 1pm 0/18.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/3; first seen between 10am and 1pm 1/3; first seen after 1pm 0/3.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.70pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
Market Form rating52/100 · Neutral
Last run41 days ago · 21 Aug 2026
Distance changeUp 0.8f from last run
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Late PM
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Mid-market mover (33%)
15:34Clonmel
Opened 7/1Market avg 15/2
15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 ↓ 7/1 ↑ 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 ↑ 8/1 ↓ 7/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.70pp (-6.0%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 1 of 3 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 14th at Cork on 10 Jul 2026 (-7.26pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 6% • -0.70 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Cork, 10 Jul 2026 — 14th • open 8/1 → final 40/1 (-8.67pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
8/1 9 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
ClonmelToday2m 3f 145y · Class — · Good · 12 runners7/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—-0.70ppOpen → now15/2Current; SP pendingPending-0.70pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 1 of 3 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Eaglewood is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
3 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: -0.70pp
Possible next price: 13/2
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Trainer: David Harry Kelly
Jockey: Peter Smithers(5)
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer David Harry Kelly (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 4/113; first seen between 10am and 1pm 8/113; first seen after 1pm 6/113.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 2 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.77pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
Market Form rating45/100 · Neutral
Last run24 days ago · 7 Sep 2026
Distance changeDown 2.8f from last run
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: 3/1 → 3/1 | Avg: 3/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
15:34Clonmel
Opened 7/1Market avg 15/2
15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2
PRICE MOVE
-0.77pp (-6.5%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
Raw Open → Now price change: 6.5% • -0.77 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Galway (IRE), 07 Sep 2026 — 13th • open 11/4 → final 10/3 (-2.88pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
8/1 9 decimal Paddy Power
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
ClonmelToday2m 3f 145y · Class — · Good · 12 runners7/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—-0.77ppOpen → now15/2Current; SP pendingPending-0.77pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Princess Felicia is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Ballinrobe (IRE) · 24 Aug 2026 · 1st · 1/3 known conditions match
×Track: Today Clonmel · previous Ballinrobe (IRE)×Trip (within ½f): Today 2m 3f 145y · previous 2m 6f 61y✓Ground: Good?Class: Data missing
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
2 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: -0.77pp
Possible next price: 15/2
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Race market overview as at 03:17
  • Supported0 of 12 runners at +4pp or more
  • Drifting0 of 12 runners at −4pp or worse
  • Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
  • Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.
16:09Clonmel • 2m4f35y • Going: Good
11 runners
Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

Trainer: Ian Patrick Donoghue
Jockey: Keith Donoghue
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Ian Patrick Donoghue (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 15/208; first seen between 10am and 1pm 10/208; first seen after 1pm 7/208.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/3; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/3; first seen after 1pm 0/3.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.59pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
Market Form rating49/100 · Neutral
Last run139 days ago · 15 May 2026
Distance changeUp 3.2f from last run
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (67%)
16:09Clonmel
Opened 3/1Market avg 10/3
7/2 ↓ 10/3 ↓ 11/4 ↑ 10/3 ↓ 3/1 ↑ 7/2 ↓ 10/3 ↓ 10/3 ↑ 10/3 ↓ 3/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.59pp (-6.8%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 1 of 3 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 3rd at Haydock on 05 Mar 2026 (-2.78pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 6.8% • -1.59 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Haydock, 05 Mar 2026 — 3rd • open 3/1 → final 7/2 (-2.78pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
7/2 4.5 decimal BetWright
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
ClonmelToday2m 4f 35y · Class — · Good · 19 runners3/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—-1.59ppOpen → now10/3Current; SP pendingPending-1.59pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 1 of 3 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Land Of Punt is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (strong)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
3 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: -1.59pp
Possible next price: 5/2
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Trainer: John Joseph Hanlon
Jockey: Harry Sexton(7)
🔴 Ignores MarketThis horse has won or placed despite drifting. Market weakness does NOT negatively impact performance. Can be a value angle when price weakens.
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer John Joseph Hanlon (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 10/278; first seen between 10am and 1pm 8/278; first seen after 1pm 2/278.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/9; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/9; first seen after 1pm 0/9.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.94pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
Market Form rating52/100 · Neutral
Last run6 days ago · 25 Sep 2026
Distance changeDown 1.8f from last run
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Late PM
Runs: 9 | Fixed-odds range: 10/1 → 14/1 | Avg: 12/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Late money horse (33%)
16:09Clonmel
Opened 10/3Market avg 7/2
4/1 ↓ 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 ↓ 10/3 ↑ 4/1 ↓ 7/2 ↓ 10/3 → 10/3 → 10/3
PRICE MOVE
-0.94pp (-4.2%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
22th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE22nd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
7 of 9 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 3rd at Listowel (IRE) on 25 Sep 2026 (-1.11pp); finished 2nd at Navan (IRE) on 19 Sep 2026 (-2.80pp); finished 6th at Stratford on 12 Jul 2026 (-4.07pp); finished 3rd at Limerick (IRE) on 02 Jul 2026 (-1.90pp); finished 5th at Downpatrick (IRE) on 14 Jun 2026 (-3.42pp); finished 6th at Listowel (IRE) on 01 Jun 2026 (-2.31pp); and finished 7th at Killarney (IRE) on 09 May 2026 (-1.67pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 4.2% • -0.94 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Navan (IRE), 19 Sep 2026 — 2nd • open 5/1 → final 14/1 (-9.46pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
4/1 5 decimal BetWright
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
ClonmelToday2m 4f 35y · Class — · Good · 19 runners10/3—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—-0.94ppOpen → now7/2Current; SP pendingPending-0.94pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

7 of 9 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Pure Logic is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Killarney (IRE) · 22 Aug 2026 · 1st · 2/3 known conditions match
×Track: Today Clonmel · previous Killarney (IRE)✓Trip (within ½f): 2m 4f 35y✓Ground: Good?Class: Data missing
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
No positive support trigger.
This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.
Today: -0.94pp
Possible next price: 11/4
9 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Trainer: Martin Brassil
Jockey: Conor Smithers(7)
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Martin Brassil (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 2/62; first seen between 10am and 1pm 7/62; first seen after 1pm 2/62.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/3; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/3; first seen after 1pm 0/3.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.35pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
Market Form rating49/100 · Neutral
Last run20 days ago · 11 Sep 2026
Distance changeDown 3.1f from last run
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Early PM
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: 10/3 → 10/3 | Avg: 10/3Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Best at SP (67%)
16:09Clonmel
Opened 9/2Market avg 9/2
5/1 ↓ 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 ↑ 5/1 ↓ 9/2 → 9/2 ↑ 5/1 ↓ 9/2
PRICE MOVE
-0.35pp (-2.0%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
3 of 3 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 3rd at Ballinrobe (IRE) on 11 Sep 2026 (-6.82pp); finished 1st at Roscommon (IRE) on 04 Aug 2026 (-8.16pp); and finished 4th at Punchestown (IRE) on 06 Jun 2026 (-4.27pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 2% • -0.35 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Ballinrobe (IRE), 11 Sep 2026 — 3rd • open 3/1 → final 11/2 (-9.62pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
5/1 6 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
ClonmelToday2m 4f 35y · Class — · Good · 19 runners9/2—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—-0.35ppOpen → now9/2Current; SP pendingPending-0.35pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

3 of 3 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Il Silenzio is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Roscommon (IRE) · 04 Aug 2026 · 1st · 0/3 known conditions match
×Track: Today Clonmel · previous Roscommon (IRE)×Trip (within ½f): Today 2m 4f 35y · previous 3m 1f 14y×Ground: Today Good · previous Soft?Class: Data missing
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
The price has been unpredictable before and may move sharply again. (strong)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
3 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: -0.35pp
Possible next price: 4/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Trainer: Adrian Sexton
Jockey: Michael Kenneally(5)
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Adrian Sexton (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 2/70; first seen between 10am and 1pm 4/70; first seen after 1pm 0/70.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/5; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/5; first seen after 1pm 0/5.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.70pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
Market Form rating44/100 · Negative
Last run13 days ago · 18 Sep 2026
Distance changeUp 2.4f from last run
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Early
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Mid-market mover (60%)
16:09Clonmel
Opened 13/2Market avg 7/1
7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 ↓ 13/2 ↑ 7/1 → 7/1 ↓ 13/2 ↑ 7/1 ↓ 13/2
PRICE MOVE
-0.70pp (-5.5%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
80th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE80th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
Only 1 of 5 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 8th at Cork on 10 Jul 2026 (-0.92pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 5.5% • -0.70 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Wexford (IRE), 03 Jul 2026 — 7th • open 40/1 → final 50/1 (-0.48pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
15/2 8.5 decimal Midnite
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
ClonmelToday2m 4f 35y · Class — · Good · 19 runners13/2—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—-0.70ppOpen → now7/1Current; SP pendingPending-0.70pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 1 of 5 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Doyen Og is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This price often moves during the day, so keep checking it. (strong)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
4 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: -0.70pp
Possible next price: 6/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Trainer: Michael Butler
Jockey: Daniel King
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Michael Butler (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/35; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/35; first seen after 1pm 0/35.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/7; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/7; first seen after 1pm 0/7.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.03pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
Market Form rating52/100 · Neutral
Last run28 days ago · 3 Sep 2026
Distance changeUp 1.2f from last run
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (29%)
16:09Clonmel
Opened 13/2Market avg 7/1
15/2 ↓ 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 ↓ 13/2 ↑ 15/2 ↓ 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 ↓ 13/2
PRICE MOVE
-1.03pp (-8.4%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
71th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE71st HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
2 of 7 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 6th at Tramore (IRE) on 16 Aug 2026 (-2.40pp); and finished 6th at Kilbeggan (IRE) on 24 Jul 2026 (-3.42pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 8.4% • -1.03 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Kilbeggan (IRE), 24 Jul 2026 — 6th • open 8/1 → final 18/1 (-5.85pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
8/1 9 decimal Unibet
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
ClonmelToday2m 4f 35y · Class — · Good · 19 runners13/2—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—-1.03ppOpen → now7/1Current; SP pendingPending-1.03pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 2 of 7 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Bobby Kirova is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
6 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: -1.03pp
Possible next price: 11/2
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Trainer: Cian Collins
Jockey: Danny Gilligan
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Cian Collins (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 10/222; first seen between 10am and 1pm 13/222; first seen after 1pm 10/222.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/8; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/8; first seen after 1pm 0/8.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.05pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
Market Form rating45/100 · Neutral
Last run24 days ago · 7 Sep 2026
Distance changeUp 3.4f from last run
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 historical matches

1/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Late PM
Runs: 8 | Fixed-odds range: 22/1 → 22/1 | Avg: 22/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
The price is drifting and is not attracting bookmaker support.
Late money horse (38%)
16:09Clonmel
Opened 8/1Market avg 9/1
9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 ↓ 17/2 ↑ 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 ↓ 17/2 → 17/2
PRICE MOVE
-1.05pp (-10.4%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
88th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE88th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
Only 1 of 8 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 6th at Kilbeggan on 10 Jul 2026 (-5.56pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 10.4% • -1.05 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Kilbeggan, 10 Jul 2026 — 6th • open 7/2 → final 10/1 (-13.13pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
10/1 11 decimal Midnite
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
ClonmelToday2m 4f 35y · Class — · Good · 19 runners8/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—-1.05ppOpen → now9/1Current; SP pendingPending-1.05pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 1 of 8 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Codger's Rock is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Kilbeggan (IRE) · 15 May 2026 · 2nd · 0/3 known conditions match
×Track: Today Clonmel · previous Kilbeggan (IRE)×Trip (within ½f): Today 2m 4f 35y · previous 1m 7f 152y×Ground: Today Good · previous Good To Yielding?Class: Data missing
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
7 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: -1.05pp
Possible next price: 8/1
8 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Trainer: E Bolger
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer E Bolger (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 9/84; first seen between 10am and 1pm 10/84; first seen after 1pm 3/84.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/4; first seen between 10am and 1pm 2/4; first seen after 1pm 0/4.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.28pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
Market Form rating49/100 · Neutral
Last run54 days ago · 8 Aug 2026
Distance changeUp 1.1f from last run
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 40/1 → 40/1 | Avg: 40/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Best at SP (75%)
16:09Clonmel
Opened 9/1Market avg 9/1
9/1 → 9/1 ↑ 10/1 ↓ 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 ↑ 10/1 ↓ 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.28pp (-2.9%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
2 of 4 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 3rd at Wexford (IRE) on 08 Aug 2026 (-4.24pp); and finished 2nd at Wexford (IRE) on 22 Jul 2026 (-2.78pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 2.9% • -0.28 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Wexford (IRE), 22 Jul 2026 — 2nd • open 8/1 → final 40/1 (-8.67pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
10/1 11 decimal BetWright
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
ClonmelToday2m 4f 35y · Class — · Good · 19 runners9/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—-0.28ppOpen → now9/1Current; SP pendingPending-0.28pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

2 of 4 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Centreofattention is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Wexford (IRE) · 22 Jul 2026 · 2nd · 1/3 known conditions match
×Track: Today Clonmel · previous Wexford (IRE)×Trip (within ½f): Today 2m 4f 35y · previous 1m 7f 110y✓Ground: Good?Class: Data missing
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
The price has been unpredictable before and may move sharply again. (strong)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
3 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: -0.28pp
Possible next price: 9/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Trainer: Donal Hassett
Jockey: Alan O'Sullivan(5)
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Donal Hassett (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/21; first seen between 10am and 1pm 1/21; first seen after 1pm 1/21.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/4; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/4; first seen after 1pm 0/4.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.94pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
Market Form rating46/100 · Neutral
Last run69 days ago · 24 Jul 2026
Distance changeUp 1.3f from last run
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 15/2 → 15/2 | Avg: 15/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
The price is drifting and is not attracting bookmaker support.
Early money horse (25%)
16:09Clonmel
Opened 9/1Market avg 10/1
11/1 ↓ 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 ↓ 9/1 ↑ 11/1 ↓ 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 ↓ 9/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.94pp (-10.4%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
25th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE25th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
3 of 4 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 6th at Kilbeggan (IRE) on 24 Jul 2026 (-6.67pp); finished 2nd at Limerick (IRE) on 02 Jul 2026 (-1.82pp); and had no recorded finishing position at Limerick (IRE) on 28 May 2026 (-1.41pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 10.4% • -0.94 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Limerick (IRE), 02 Jul 2026 — 2nd • open 4/1 → final 15/2 (-8.24pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
11/1 12 decimal BetWright
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
ClonmelToday2m 4f 35y · Class — · Good · 19 runners9/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—-0.94ppOpen → now10/1Current; SP pendingPending-0.94pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

3 of 4 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Friar Hogan is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Limerick (IRE) · 02 Jul 2026 · 2nd · 2/3 known conditions match
×Track: Today Clonmel · previous Limerick (IRE)✓Trip (within ½f): 2m 4f 35y✓Ground: Good?Class: Data missing
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have usually held their position.
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
3 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: -0.94pp
Possible next price: 15/2
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Trainer: John Joseph Hanlon
Jockey: Josh Younge(7)
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer John Joseph Hanlon (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 10/278; first seen between 10am and 1pm 8/278; first seen after 1pm 2/278.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/3; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/3; first seen after 1pm 0/3.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.48pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
Market Form rating45/100 · Neutral
Last run92 days ago · 1 Jul 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Late PM
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
The price is drifting and is not attracting bookmaker support.
Late money horse (33%)
16:09Clonmel
Opened 18/1Market avg 20/1
20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 ↓ 18/1 ↑ 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 ↓ 18/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.48pp (-10.1%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
3 of 3 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 9th at Worcester on 01 Jul 2026 (-2.88pp); finished 6th at Worcester on 11 Jun 2026 (-1.40pp); and had no recorded finishing position at Limerick (IRE) on 29 Dec 2025 (-0.78pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 10.1% • -0.48 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Worcester, 01 Jul 2026 — 9th • open 11/2 → final 8/1 (-4.27pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
22/1 23 decimal Midnite
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
ClonmelToday2m 4f 35y · Class — · Good · 19 runners18/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—-0.48ppOpen → now20/1Current; SP pendingPending-0.48pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

3 of 3 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Portetta is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
2 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: -0.48pp
Possible next price: 16/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Trainer: Timothy Doyle
Jockey: Mr D Doyle(7)
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Timothy Doyle (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/56; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/56; first seen after 1pm 0/56.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/3; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/3; first seen after 1pm 0/3.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.48pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
Market Form rating52/100 · Neutral
Last run52 days ago · 10 Aug 2026
Distance changeDown 2.4f from last run
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
The price is drifting and is not attracting bookmaker support.
Late money horse (33%)
16:09Clonmel
Opened 18/1Market avg 20/1
20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 ↓ 18/1 ↑ 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 ↓ 18/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.48pp (-10.1%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
3 of 3 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 7th at Ballinrobe (IRE) on 10 Aug 2026 (-1.45pp); finished 9th at Cork on 10 Jul 2026 (-2.44pp); and finished 10th at Limerick (IRE) on 02 Jul 2026 (-0.90pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 10.1% • -0.48 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Limerick (IRE), 02 Jul 2026 — 10th • open 25/1 → final 80/1 (-2.61pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
22/1 23 decimal Midnite
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
ClonmelToday2m 4f 35y · Class — · Good · 19 runners18/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—-0.48ppOpen → now20/1Current; SP pendingPending-0.48pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

3 of 3 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Boomerang Breeze is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
3 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: -0.48pp
Possible next price: 16/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Trainer: Eric Larkin
Jockey: Shane O'Callaghan(3)
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Eric Larkin (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/3; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/3; first seen after 1pm 0/3.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 1 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.32pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
Market Form rating52/100 · Neutral
Last run46 days ago · 16 Aug 2026
Distance changeUp 3.5f from last run
Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.
16:09Clonmel
Opened 20/1Market avg 22/1
22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1 ↓ 20/1 ↑ 22/1 → 22/1 ↓ 20/1 ↑ 25/1 ↓ 20/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.32pp (-7.2%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
Raw Open → Now price change: 7.2% • -0.32 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Tramore (IRE), 16 Aug 2026 — 12th • open 9/1 → final 22/1 (-5.65pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
25/1 26 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
ClonmelToday2m 4f 35y · Class — · Good · 19 runners20/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—-0.32ppOpen → now22/1Current; SP pendingPending-0.32pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Depeche Mo is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
1 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: -0.32pp
Possible next price: 18/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Race market overview as at 03:17
  • Supported0 of 19 runners at +4pp or more
  • Drifting0 of 19 runners at −4pp or worse
  • Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
  • Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.
16:42Clonmel • 2m6f170y • Going: Good
2 runners
Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

Trainer: David Harry Kelly
Jockey: Daniel King
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer David Harry Kelly (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 4/113; first seen between 10am and 1pm 8/113; first seen after 1pm 6/113.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/5; first seen between 10am and 1pm 1/5; first seen after 1pm 0/5.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.07pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
Market Form rating63/100 · Neutral
Last run10 days ago · 21 Sep 2026
Distance changeUp 8.5f from last run
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 7/2 → 6/1 | Avg: 9/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Late money horse (40%)
16:42Clonmel
Opened 7/2Market avg 7/2
7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 ↑ 4/1 ↓ 7/2
PRICE MOVE
-0.07pp (-0.3%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
40th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE40th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
3 of 5 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 3rd at Cork (IRE) on 30 Aug 2026 (-3.59pp); finished 1st at Tramore (IRE) on 16 Aug 2026 (-2.81pp); and finished 11th at Galway (IRE) on 29 Jul 2026 (-2.43pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 0.3% • -0.07 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Cork (IRE), 30 Aug 2026 — 3rd • open 6/1 → final 9/1 (-4.71pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
4/1 5 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
ClonmelToday2m 6f 170y · Class — · Good · 6 runners7/2—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—-0.07ppOpen → now7/2Current; SP pendingPending-0.07pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

3 of 5 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Louiescall is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Listowel (IRE) · 21 Sep 2026 · 2nd · 0/3 known conditions match
×Track: Today Clonmel · previous Listowel (IRE)×Trip (within ½f): Today 2m 6f 170y · previous 1m 6f 55y×Ground: Today Good · previous Yielding?Class: Data missing
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This matches its usual pattern; support has often arrived later. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Both previous top-two finishes came with support of 0.95pp+.
At 0.95pp+: 2/2 finished 1st or 2nd (100%).
Today: -0.07pp — trigger not reached.
Possible next price: 7/2
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Trainer: T Hogan
Jockey: Donagh Meyler
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer T Hogan (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 3/16; first seen between 10am and 1pm 3/16; first seen after 1pm 0/16.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/5; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/5; first seen after 1pm 0/5.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.82pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
Market Form rating58/100 · Neutral
Last run12 days ago · 19 Sep 2026
Distance changeUp 7f from last run
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Early
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 3/1 → 6/1 | Avg: 9/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Mid-market mover (60%)
16:42Clonmel
Opened 9/2Market avg 5/1
5/1 ↓ 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 ↑ 5/1 → 5/1 ↓ 9/2 → 9/2 ↓ 4/1 ↑ 5/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.82pp (-4.7%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
60th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE60th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
2 of 5 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 15th at Galway (IRE) on 27 Jul 2026 (-4.91pp); and finished 3rd at Sligo (IRE) on 09 Jun 2026 (-1.10pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 4.7% • -0.82 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Galway (IRE), 27 Jul 2026 — 15th • open 10/3 → final 9/2 (-4.91pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
11/2 6.5 decimal LiveScore Bet
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
ClonmelToday2m 6f 170y · Class — · Good · 6 runners9/2—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—-0.82ppOpen → now5/1Current; SP pendingPending-0.82pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 2 of 5 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Hopeful Hero is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Bellewstown (IRE) · 04 Jul 2026 · 1st · 1/3 known conditions match
×Track: Today Clonmel · previous Bellewstown (IRE)×Trip (within ½f): Today 2m 6f 170y · previous 2m 1f 39y✓Ground: Good?Class: Data missing
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This price often moves during the day, so keep checking it. (strong)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
No positive support trigger.
This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.
Today: -0.82pp
Possible next price: 5/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Race market overview as at 03:17
  • Supported0 of 6 runners at +4pp or more
  • Drifting0 of 6 runners at −4pp or worse
  • Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
  • Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.
17:17Clonmel • 2m6f170y • Going: Good
13 runners
Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

Trainer: Nigel Thomas Slevin
Jockey: Paddy Cleary(7)
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Nigel Thomas Slevin (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 2/41; first seen between 10am and 1pm 3/41; first seen after 1pm 2/41.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/6; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/6; first seen after 1pm 0/6.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.12pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
Market Form rating44/100 · Negative
Last run114 days ago · 9 Jun 2026
Distance changeDown 3f from last run
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: 25/1 → 25/1 | Avg: 25/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Late money horse (50%)
17:17Clonmel
Opened 5/1Market avg 5/1
5/1 ↑ 11/2 ↓ 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 ↑ 11/2 ↓ 5/1 → 5/1 ↑ 11/2 ↓ 5/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.12pp (-0.7%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
3 of 6 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 4th at Clonmel (IRE) on 14 Apr 2026 (-2.04pp); finished 11th at Naas (IRE) on 22 Feb 2026 (-0.95pp); and finished 4th at Naas (IRE) on 07 Feb 2026 (-0.48pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 0.7% • -0.12 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Naas (IRE), 22 Feb 2026 — 11th • open 40/1 → final 80/1 (-1.20pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
11/2 6.5 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
ClonmelToday2m 6f 170y · Class — · Good · 19 runners5/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—-0.12ppOpen → now5/1Current; SP pendingPending-0.12pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

3 of 6 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Private Policy is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Punchestown (IRE) · 13 May 2026 · 1st · 1/3 known conditions match
×Track: Today Clonmel · previous Punchestown (IRE)×Trip (within ½f): Today 2m 6f 170y · previous 3m✓Ground: Good?Class: Data missing
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This matches its usual pattern; support has often arrived later. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
6 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: -0.12pp
Possible next price: 9/2
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Trainer: John McConnell
Jockey: Mr R Sugrue(7)
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer John McConnell (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/24; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/24; first seen after 1pm 1/24.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 2 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.19pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
Market Form rating52/100 · Neutral
Last run34 days ago · 28 Aug 2026
Distance changeDown 1.2f from last run
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
17:17Clonmel
Opened 5/1Market avg 5/1
5/1 ↑ 11/2 ↓ 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 ↑ 11/2 ↓ 5/1 → 5/1 ↑ 11/2 ↓ 5/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.19pp (-1.1%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
Raw Open → Now price change: 1.1% • -0.19 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Limerick (IRE), 02 Jul 2026 — finish unavailable • open 10/1 → final 20/1 (-4.33pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
11/2 6.5 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
ClonmelToday2m 6f 170y · Class — · Good · 19 runners5/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—-0.19ppOpen → now5/1Current; SP pendingPending-0.19pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Technology is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
1 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: -0.19pp
Possible next price: 9/2
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Trainer: Paul Tobin
Jockey: Sean Flanagan
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Timing evidence for Trainer Paul Tobin: only 2 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 2 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.01pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
Market Form rating52/100 · Neutral
Last run34 days ago · 28 Aug 2026
Distance changeUp 2.3f from last run
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
17:17Clonmel
Opened 11/2Market avg 6/1
6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 ↓ 11/2 ↑ 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 ↑ 13/2 ↓ 11/2
PRICE MOVE
-1.01pp (-7.0%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
Raw Open → Now price change: 7% • -1.01 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Kilbeggan, 10 Jul 2026 — 11th • open 14/1 → final 20/1 (-1.49pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
13/2 7.5 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
ClonmelToday2m 6f 170y · Class — · Good · 19 runners11/2—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—-1.01ppOpen → now6/1Current; SP pendingPending-1.01pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Sharetheknowledge is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
2 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: -1.01pp
Possible next price: 5/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Trainer: Patrick J Duffy
Jockey: Conor Smithers(7)
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Patrick J Duffy (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/7; first seen between 10am and 1pm 1/7; first seen after 1pm 0/7.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/7; first seen between 10am and 1pm 1/7; first seen after 1pm 0/7.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.65pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
Market Form rating45/100 · Neutral
Last run12 days ago · 19 Sep 2026
Distance changeUp 3.8f from last run
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Mid
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (29%)
17:17Clonmel
Opened 15/2Market avg 8/1
8/1 ↑ 17/2 ↓ 8/1 → 8/1 ↓ 15/2 ↑ 17/2 ↓ 8/1 → 8/1 ↑ 17/2 ↓ 15/2
PRICE MOVE
-0.65pp (-5.9%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
57th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE57th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
3 of 7 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 8th at Navan (IRE) on 19 Sep 2026 (-2.23pp); finished 3rd at Cork on 10 Jul 2026 (-2.43pp); and finished 8th at Tramore (IRE) on 20 Apr 2026 (-1.81pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 5.9% • -0.65 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Navan (IRE), 19 Sep 2026 — 8th • open 4/1 → final 11/2 (-5.02pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
17/2 9.5 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
ClonmelToday2m 6f 170y · Class — · Good · 19 runners15/2—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—-0.65ppOpen → now8/1Current; SP pendingPending-0.65pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 3 of 7 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Maxicourt is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
6 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: -0.65pp
Possible next price: 13/2
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Trainer: Michael Roche
Jockey: Alan O'Sullivan(5)
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Timing evidence for Trainer Michael Roche: only 0 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 0 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.04pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
Market Form rating52/100 · Neutral
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
17:17Clonmel
Opened 10/1Market avg 10/1
10/1 ↑ 11/1 ↓ 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 ↑ 11/1 ↓ 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.04pp (-0.4%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
Raw Open → Now price change: 0.4% • -0.04 probability points
BEST FIXED ODDS
11/1 12 decimal BetWright
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
ClonmelToday2m 6f 170y · Class — · Good · 19 runners10/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—-0.04ppOpen → now10/1Current; SP pendingPending-0.04pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Lummi Island is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 9/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Trainer: Gordon Elliott
Jockey: Josh Williamson(3)
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Gordon Elliott (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 61/1013; first seen between 10am and 1pm 66/1013; first seen after 1pm 35/1013.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/4; first seen between 10am and 1pm 1/4; first seen after 1pm 0/4.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.07pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
Market Form rating46/100 · Neutral
Last run24 days ago · 7 Sep 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (25%)
17:17Clonmel
Opened 10/1Market avg 10/1
10/1 ↑ 11/1 ↓ 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 ↑ 11/1 ↓ 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.07pp (-0.8%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILESTRONGEST RECORDED DRIFT FOR THIS HORSE (100th percentile)
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Largest drift recorded across 4 previous runs.
Raw Open → Now price change: 0.8% • -0.07 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Chepstow, 21 Feb 2026 — 9th • open 40/1 → final 80/1 (-1.20pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
11/1 12 decimal BetWright
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
ClonmelToday2m 6f 170y · Class — · Good · 19 runners10/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—-0.07ppOpen → now10/1Current; SP pendingPending-0.07pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READTHIS IS THE HORSE’S STRONGEST RECORDED SUPPORT

Across 4 previous runs, this is the horse’s strongest recorded support. Today’s move: El Arco is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
4 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: -0.07pp
Possible next price: 9/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Trainer: Michael Barry
Jockey: Michael Kenneally(5)
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Michael Barry (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 2/24; first seen between 10am and 1pm 1/24; first seen after 1pm 0/24.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/6; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/6; first seen after 1pm 0/6.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.56pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
Market Form rating61/100 · Neutral
Last run24 days ago · 7 Sep 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Mid
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: 9/1 → 9/1 | Avg: 9/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (33%)
17:17Clonmel
Opened 11/1Market avg 12/1
12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 ↓ 11/1 ↑ 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 ↓ 11/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.56pp (-7.2%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
33th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE33rd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
4 of 6 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 4th at Wexford (IRE) on 28 Aug 2026 (-7.34pp); finished 7th at Killarney (IRE) on 16 Jul 2026 (-7.50pp); had no recorded finishing position at Tramore (IRE) on 29 May 2026 (-1.82pp); and finished 1st at Tramore (IRE) on 19 Apr 2026 (-2.42pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 7.2% • -0.56 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Wexford (IRE), 28 Aug 2026 — 4th • open 10/3 → final 13/2 (-9.39pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
12/1 13 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
ClonmelToday2m 6f 170y · Class — · Good · 19 runners11/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—-0.56ppOpen → now12/1Current; SP pendingPending-0.56pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

4 of 6 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Tedworth is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Tramore (IRE) · 19 Apr 2026 · 1st · 0/3 known conditions match
×Track: Today Clonmel · previous Tramore (IRE)×Trip (within ½f): Today 2m 6f 170y · previous 2m 4f 110y×Ground: Today Good · previous Yielding?Class: Data missing
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
4 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: -0.56pp
Possible next price: 10/1
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Trainer: Gordon Elliott
Jockey: Kevin Healy(7)
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Gordon Elliott (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 61/1013; first seen between 10am and 1pm 66/1013; first seen after 1pm 35/1013.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/4; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/4; first seen after 1pm 0/4.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.59pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
Market Form rating46/100 · Neutral
Last run54 days ago · 8 Aug 2026
Distance changeUp 5.9f from last run
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Early PM
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Mid-market mover (50%)
17:17Clonmel
Opened 11/1Market avg 12/1
12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 ↓ 11/1 ↑ 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 ↓ 11/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.59pp (-7.6%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
4 of 4 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 5th at Wexford (IRE) on 08 Aug 2026 (-1.90pp); finished 14th at Cork on 10 Jul 2026 (-6.67pp); finished 7th at Tramore (IRE) on 19 Apr 2026 (-13.02pp); and finished 4th at Limerick (IRE) on 31 Mar 2026 (-3.30pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 7.6% • -0.59 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Cork, 10 Jul 2026 — 14th • open 13/2 → final 20/1 (-8.57pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
12/1 13 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
ClonmelToday2m 6f 170y · Class — · Good · 19 runners11/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—-0.59ppOpen → now12/1Current; SP pendingPending-0.59pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

4 of 4 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Ballyhahill is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This price often moves during the day, so keep checking it. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
4 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: -0.59pp
Possible next price: 10/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Trainer: Brian M McMahon
Jockey: Philip Byrnes
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Brian M McMahon (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/59; first seen between 10am and 1pm 1/59; first seen after 1pm 5/59.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/6; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/6; first seen after 1pm 0/6.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.59pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
Market Form rating45/100 · Neutral
Last run24 days ago · 7 Sep 2026
Distance changeUp 6f from last run
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Late PM
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Late money horse (33%)
17:17Clonmel
Opened 11/1Market avg 12/1
12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 ↓ 11/1 ↑ 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 ↓ 11/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.59pp (-7.6%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
2 of 6 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 13th at Galway (IRE) on 29 Jul 2026 (-1.67pp); and finished 3rd at Roscommon on 06 Jul 2026 (-2.22pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 7.6% • -0.59 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Roscommon, 06 Jul 2026 — 3rd • open 13/2 → final 12/1 (-5.64pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
12/1 13 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
ClonmelToday2m 6f 170y · Class — · Good · 19 runners11/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—-0.59ppOpen → now12/1Current; SP pendingPending-0.59pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 2 of 6 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Paul Collins is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
5 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: -0.59pp
Possible next price: 10/1
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Trainer: James Andrew Fahey
Jockey: Kevin Sexton
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer James Andrew Fahey (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/50; first seen between 10am and 1pm 1/50; first seen after 1pm 2/50.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 2 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.44pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
Market Form rating45/100 · Neutral
Last run72 days ago · 21 Jul 2026
Distance changeUp 0.6f from last run
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
17:17Clonmel
Opened 18/1Market avg 20/1
20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 ↓ 18/1 ↑ 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 ↓ 18/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.44pp (-9.1%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
Raw Open → Now price change: 9.1% • -0.44 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Ballinrobe (IRE), 21 Jul 2026 — 12th • open 11/1 → final 16/1 (-2.45pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
20/1 21 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
ClonmelToday2m 6f 170y · Class — · Good · 19 runners18/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—-0.44ppOpen → now20/1Current; SP pendingPending-0.44pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Vroomvroomboo is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
2 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: -0.44pp
Possible next price: 16/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Trainer: John McConnell
Jockey: Alex Harvey
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer John McConnell (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/24; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/24; first seen after 1pm 1/24.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 0 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.46pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
Market Form rating52/100 · Neutral
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
17:17Clonmel
Opened 18/1Market avg 20/1
20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 ↓ 18/1 ↑ 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 ↓ 18/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.46pp (-9.6%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
Raw Open → Now price change: 9.6% • -0.46 probability points
BEST FIXED ODDS
20/1 21 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
ClonmelToday2m 6f 170y · Class — · Good · 19 runners18/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—-0.46ppOpen → now20/1Current; SP pendingPending-0.46pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Kared'as de Cougny is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 16/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Trainer: E McNamara
Jockey: Tom Kelly(7)
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer E McNamara (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 6/156; first seen between 10am and 1pm 7/156; first seen after 1pm 4/156.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/4; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/4; first seen after 1pm 0/4.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.32pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
Market Form rating46/100 · Neutral
Last run59 days ago · 3 Aug 2026
Distance changeUp 4.8f from last run
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Late PM
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Best at SP (50%)
17:17Clonmel
Opened 20/1Market avg 22/1
22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1 ↓ 20/1 ↑ 22/1 → 22/1 ↓ 20/1 ↑ 25/1 ↓ 20/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.32pp (-7.1%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
4 of 4 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 9th at Cork (IRE) on 03 Aug 2026 (-5.23pp); finished 11th at Limerick (IRE) on 02 Jul 2026 (-0.50pp); finished 8th at Listowel (IRE) on 30 May 2026 (-1.17pp); and finished 9th at Killarney (IRE) on 09 May 2026 (-1.81pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 7.1% • -0.32 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Cork (IRE), 03 Aug 2026 — 9th • open 8/1 → final 18/1 (-5.85pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
25/1 26 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
ClonmelToday2m 6f 170y · Class — · Good · 19 runners20/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—-0.32ppOpen → now22/1Current; SP pendingPending-0.32pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

4 of 4 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Calzaghi is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
The price has been unpredictable before and may move sharply again. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
4 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: -0.32pp
Possible next price: 18/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Trainer: John Patrick Ryan
Jockey: Peter Smithers(5)
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer John Patrick Ryan (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 13/267; first seen between 10am and 1pm 19/267; first seen after 1pm 12/267.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/4; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/4; first seen after 1pm 0/4.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.93pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.
Market Form rating45/100 · Neutral
Last run69 days ago · 24 Jul 2026
Distance changeUp 3.9f from last run
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Late PM
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Early money horse (25%)
17:17Clonmel
Opened 22/1Market avg 28/1
33/1 ↓ 28/1 ↓ 25/1 ↑ 28/1 → 28/1 ↑ 33/1 ↓ 28/1 ↓ 25/1 ↓ 20/1 ↑ 28/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.93pp (-27.2%)
Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.
Move evidence
25th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE25th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
3 of 4 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 8th at Kilbeggan (IRE) on 24 Jul 2026 (-1.12pp); finished 8th at Sligo (IRE) on 09 Jun 2026 (-1.11pp); and finished 10th at Tramore (IRE) on 30 May 2026 (-0.98pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 27.2% • -0.93 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Kilbeggan (IRE), 24 Jul 2026 — 8th • open 16/1 → final 33/1 (-2.94pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
33/1 34 decimal BetWright
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
ClonmelToday2m 6f 170y · Class — · Good · 19 runners22/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—-0.93ppOpen → now28/1Current; SP pendingPending-0.93pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

3 of 4 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Bangor Lady is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.Comparable moves have had few top-two finishes. Be cautious.
Did the early price move fade?

No documented early-support reversal in this horse’s recorded checkpoint sample. The older wording referred to finishing results, not a verified intraday price fade.

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
4 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: -0.93pp
Possible next price: 25/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Race market overview as at 03:17
  • Supported0 of 19 runners at +4pp or more
  • Drifting0 of 19 runners at −4pp or worse
  • Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
  • Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.
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