Live Horse Racing Market Movement

13:00Bellewstown • 7f195y • Going: Yielding To Soft

2 runners

Market Intelligence

Weakest support: Sister Nancy (-0.83 probability points)

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Full field shown.

Sister NancyDraw 4

Trainer: Daniel McLoughlin

Jockey: Ben Coen

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Daniel McLoughlin (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 7/141; first seen between 10am and 1pm 7/141; first seen after 1pm 2/141.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/3; first seen between 10am and 1pm 1/3; first seen after 1pm 0/3.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.83pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

Market Form rating52/100 · Neutral

Last run30 days ago · 1 Sep 2026

Distance changeUp 0.9f from last run

Often drifts in the market

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Early

Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

Mid-market mover (67%)

13:00Bellewstown

Opened 13/2Market avg 7/1

15/2 ↓ 7/1 ↓ 13/2 ↑ 7/1 ↑ 15/2 → 15/2 ↓ 13/2 ↑ 7/1 ↓ 13/2 ↑ 15/2

PRICE MOVE

-0.83pp (-6.7%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

Only 1 of 3 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 12th at Gowran Park (IRE) on 01 Sep 2026 (-3.04pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 6.7% • -0.83 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Gowran Park (IRE), 01 Sep 2026 — 12th • open 18/1 → final 100/1 (-4.34pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

15/2 8.5 decimal Bet Victor

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday7f 195y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 7 runners	13/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.83ppOpen → now	7/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.83pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday7f 195y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 7 runners	13/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.83ppOpen → now	7/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.83pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 1 of 3 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Sister Nancy is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

This price often moves during the day, so keep checking it. (strong)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

3 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.

Today: -0.83pp

Possible next price: 15/2

3 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Violet Be HumbleDraw 5

Trainer: Sean Davis

Jockey: Reese Holohan(5)

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Sean Davis (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 2/37; first seen between 10am and 1pm 1/37; first seen after 1pm 0/37.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/3; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/3; first seen after 1pm 0/3.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.06pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

Market Form rating52/100 · Neutral

Last run12 days ago · 19 Sep 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

Often drifts in the market

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Late PM

Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

10am plunger

Late money horse (67%)

13:00Bellewstown

Opened 15/2Market avg 15/2

15/2 ↑ 8/1 ↓ 15/2 → 15/2 ↑ 8/1 → 8/1 ↓ 15/2 → 15/2 ↓ 7/1 ↑ 8/1

PRICE MOVE

-0.06pp (-0.5%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

Only 1 of 3 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 5th at Leopardstown (IRE) on 23 Jul 2026 (-5.85pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 0.5% • -0.06 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Leopardstown (IRE), 23 Jul 2026 — 5th • open 8/1 → final 40/1 (-8.67pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

8/1 9 decimal Bet Victor

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday7f 195y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 7 runners	15/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.06ppOpen → now	15/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.06pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday7f 195y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 7 runners	15/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.06ppOpen → now	15/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.06pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 1 of 3 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Violet Be Humble is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

This matches its usual pattern; support has often arrived later. (strong)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

3 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.

Today: -0.06pp

Possible next price: 8/1

3 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Race market overview as at 02:31

Supported0 of 7 runners at +4pp or more
Drifting0 of 7 runners at −4pp or worse
Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.

14:10Bellewstown • 7f195y • Going: Yielding To Soft

6 runners

Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

Nephin MountainDraw 8

Trainer: Michael Mulvany

Jockey: G. F. Carroll

🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Michael Mulvany (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 13/199; first seen between 10am and 1pm 10/199; first seen after 1pm 8/199.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/13; first seen between 10am and 1pm 1/13; first seen after 1pm 1/13.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.32pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

Market Form rating44/100 · Negative

Last run16 days ago · 15 Sep 2026

Distance changeDown 1.3f from last run

No consistent price pattern yet

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Early PM

Runs: 13 | Fixed-odds range: 5/1 → 14/1 | Avg: 9/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

10am plunger

Mid-market mover (31%)

14:10Bellewstown

Opened 9/4Market avg 9/4

9/4 → 9/4 → 9/4 → 9/4 → 9/4 → 9/4 → 9/4 → 9/4 ↑ 11/4 ↓ 9/4

PRICE MOVE

-0.32pp (-1.0%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

38th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE38th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

8 of 13 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 3rd at Navan (IRE) on 05 Sep 2026 (-6.99pp); finished 1st at Navan (IRE) on 27 Aug 2026 (-4.20pp); finished 5th at Gowran Park (IRE) on 12 Aug 2026 (-7.58pp); finished 6th at Galway (IRE) on 02 Aug 2026 (-6.59pp); finished 5th at Down Royal (IRE) on 17 Jul 2026 (-3.42pp); finished 14th at Naas (IRE) on 04 Jul 2026 (-3.43pp); finished 8th at Leopardstown (IRE) on 11 Jun 2026 (-1.67pp); and finished 10th at Bellewstown (IRE) on 11 Apr 2026 (-2.22pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 1% • -0.32 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Navan (IRE), 05 Sep 2026 — 3rd • open 7/2 → final 9/1 (-11.28pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

11/4 3.75 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday7f 195y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 9 runners	9/4	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.32ppOpen → now	9/4Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.32pp
Navan (IRE)27 Aug 20261m 20y · Class — · Good · 13 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	8/1	-4.20ppOpen → 10am	14/1	+1.03pp10am → 1pm	12/1	+0.64pp1pm → SP	11/1	1st	-2.54pp
Post-race comment
Ballinrobe (IRE)20 Jul 20261m 1f 135y · Class — · Good To Yielding · 9 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	6/1	+3.90ppOpen → 10am	9/2	+1.82pp10am → 1pm	4/1	-4.62pp1pm → SP	11/2	1st	+1.10pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday7f 195y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 9 runners	9/4	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.32ppOpen → now	9/4Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.32pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

8 of 13 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Nephin Mountain is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Navan (IRE) · 27 Aug 2026 · 1st · 1/3 known conditions match

×Track: Today Bellewstown · previous Navan (IRE)✓Trip (within ½f): 7f 195y×Ground: Today Yielding To Soft · previous Good?Class: Data missing

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

Similar moves have usually held their position.

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

No positive support trigger.

This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.

Today: -0.32pp

Possible next price: 9/4

13 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Glen BreezeDraw 9

Trainer: Patrick Magee

Jockey: Ben Coen

🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Patrick Magee (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 6/121; first seen between 10am and 1pm 7/121; first seen after 1pm 2/121.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/14; first seen between 10am and 1pm 1/14; first seen after 1pm 0/14.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.33pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

Market Form rating59/100 · Neutral

Last run6 days ago · 25 Sep 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

No consistent price pattern yet

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Opening

Runs: 14 | Fixed-odds range: 9/4 → 14/1 | Avg: 8/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

10am plunger

Early money horse (36%)

14:10Bellewstown

Opened 7/2Market avg 7/2

7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 ↑ 9/2 ↓ 7/2

PRICE MOVE

-0.33pp (-1.5%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

43th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE43rd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

8 of 14 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 5th at Dundalk (AW) (IRE) on 25 Sep 2026 (-1.40pp); finished 11th at Navan (IRE) on 05 Sep 2026 (-5.24pp); finished 5th at Sligo (IRE) on 05 Aug 2026 (-6.67pp); finished 6th at Gowran Park (IRE) on 25 Jul 2026 (-8.89pp); finished 1st at Limerick on 11 Jul 2026 (-1.90pp); finished 3rd at Fairyhouse (IRE) on 01 Jul 2026 (-0.62pp); finished 10th at Fairyhouse (IRE) on 12 Jun 2026 (-2.02pp); and finished 7th at Bellewstown (IRE) on 11 Apr 2026 (-0.48pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 1.5% • -0.33 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Gowran Park (IRE), 25 Jul 2026 — 6th • open 7/2 → final 7/1 (-9.72pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

9/2 5.5 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday7f 195y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 9 runners	7/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.33ppOpen → now	7/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.33pp
Limerick11 Jul 20266f 150y · Class — · Good · 14 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	5/2	-1.90ppOpen → 10am	11/4	-1.67pp10am → 1pm	3/1	+3.57pp1pm → SP	5/2	1st	+0.00pp
Post-race comment
Fairyhouse (IRE)05 Jun 20266f · Class — · Good · 17 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	40/1	+1.41ppOpen → 10am	25/1	+0.00pp10am → 1pm	25/1	+6.68pp1pm → SP	17/2	2nd	+8.09pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday7f 195y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 9 runners	7/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.33ppOpen → now	7/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.33pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

8 of 14 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Glen Breeze is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Limerick · 11 Jul 2026 · 1st · 0/3 known conditions match

×Track: Today Bellewstown · previous Limerick×Trip (within ½f): Today 7f 195y · previous 6f 150y×Ground: Today Yielding To Soft · previous Good?Class: Data missing

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

Similar moves have usually held their position.

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Both previous top-two finishes came with support of 2.19pp+.

At 2.19pp+: 2/5 finished 1st or 2nd (40%).

Today: -0.33pp — trigger not reached.

Possible next price: 7/2

14 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

GlasarmiDraw 6

Trainer: Rory Anthony Devine

Jockey: Rory Mulligan(5)

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Rory Anthony Devine (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 3/45; first seen between 10am and 1pm 3/45; first seen after 1pm 4/45.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/5; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/5; first seen after 1pm 0/5.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.37pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

Market Form rating52/100 · Neutral

Last run30 days ago · 1 Sep 2026

Distance changeUp 0.9f from last run

No consistent price pattern yet

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Pre-Off

Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

Early money horse (20%)

14:10Bellewstown

Opened 5/1Market avg 5/1

5/1 ↑ 11/2 ↓ 5/1 → 5/1 ↑ 11/2 → 11/2 ↓ 5/1 → 5/1 ↑ 11/2 → 11/2

PRICE MOVE

-0.37pp (-2.3%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

20th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE20th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

4 of 5 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 6th at Gowran Park (IRE) on 01 Sep 2026 (-1.41pp); finished 25th at Curragh (IRE) on 22 Aug 2026 (-1.55pp); finished 5th at Limerick (IRE) on 19 Jun 2026 (-4.27pp); and finished 4th at Gowran Park (IRE) on 01 Jun 2026 (-1.03pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 2.3% • -0.37 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Limerick (IRE), 19 Jun 2026 — 5th • open 11/2 → final 12/1 (-7.69pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

11/2 6.5 decimal Bet Victor

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday7f 195y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 9 runners	5/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.37ppOpen → now	5/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.37pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday7f 195y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 9 runners	5/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.37ppOpen → now	5/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.37pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

4 of 5 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Glasarmi is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

Limited data: one similar run only.

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

5 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.

Today: -0.37pp

Possible next price: 11/2

5 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

SpiritofthedawnDraw 1

Trainer: F G Hand

Jockey: Robert Whearty

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer F G Hand (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/23; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/23; first seen after 1pm 0/23.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/4; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/4; first seen after 1pm 0/4.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.04pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

Market Form rating52/100 · Neutral

Last run16 days ago · 15 Sep 2026

Distance changeDown 1.3f from last run

Often drifts in the market

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Pre-Off

Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 40/1 → 40/1 | Avg: 40/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

Early money horse (25%)

14:10Bellewstown

Opened 7/1Market avg 7/1

7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 ↑ 15/2 ↓ 7/1

PRICE MOVE

-0.04pp (-0.3%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

25th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE25th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

3 of 4 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 7th at Punchestown (IRE) on 15 Sep 2026 (-3.74pp); finished 2nd at Navan (IRE) on 02 Sep 2026 (-2.06pp); and finished 11th at Gowran Park (IRE) on 05 May 2026 (-0.13pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 0.3% • -0.04 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Punchestown (IRE), 15 Sep 2026 — 7th • open 4/1 → final 11/1 (-12.07pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

15/2 8.5 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday7f 195y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 9 runners	7/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.04ppOpen → now	7/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.04pp
Navan (IRE)02 Sep 20261m 20y · Class — · Good · 16 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	18/1	-2.06ppOpen → 10am	33/1	-1.27pp10am → 1pm	66/1	+0.77pp1pm → SP	40/1	2nd	-2.56pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday7f 195y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 9 runners	7/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.04ppOpen → now	7/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.04pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

3 of 4 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Spiritofthedawn is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Navan (IRE) · 02 Sep 2026 · 2nd · 1/3 known conditions match

×Track: Today Bellewstown · previous Navan (IRE)✓Trip (within ½f): 7f 195y×Ground: Today Yielding To Soft · previous Good?Class: Data missing

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

N/A

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

4 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.

Today: -0.04pp

Possible next price: 7/1

4 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Matties PointDraw 4

Trainer: W. McCreery

Jockey: W. J. Lee

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer W. McCreery (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/14; first seen between 10am and 1pm 1/14; first seen after 1pm 1/14.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/3; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/3; first seen after 1pm 0/3.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.24pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

Market Form rating52/100 · Neutral

Last run16 days ago · 15 Sep 2026

Distance changeDown 1.3f from last run

Often drifts in the market

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Pre-Off

Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

Late money horse (67%)

14:10Bellewstown

Opened 7/1Market avg 7/1

7/1 ↑ 15/2 ↓ 7/1 → 7/1 ↑ 8/1 ↓ 15/2 ↓ 7/1 → 7/1 ↓ 13/2 ↑ 8/1

PRICE MOVE

-0.24pp (-2.0%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

3 of 3 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 13th at Punchestown (IRE) on 15 Sep 2026 (-0.63pp); finished 12th at Leopardstown (IRE) on 06 Aug 2026 (-1.82pp); and finished 4th at Dundalk (AW) on 12 Jul 2026 (-3.57pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 2% • -0.24 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Leopardstown (IRE), 06 Aug 2026 — 12th • open 20/1 → final 100/1 (-4.10pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

8/1 9 decimal Bet Victor

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday7f 195y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 9 runners	7/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.24ppOpen → now	7/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.24pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday7f 195y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 9 runners	7/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.24ppOpen → now	7/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.24pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

3 of 3 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Matties Point is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

This matches its usual pattern; support has often arrived later. (strong)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

3 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.

Today: -0.24pp

Possible next price: 17/2

3 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Arizona StarDraw 5

Trainer: Michael Mulvany

Jockey: Wesley Joyce

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Michael Mulvany (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 13/199; first seen between 10am and 1pm 10/199; first seen after 1pm 8/199.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/7; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/7; first seen after 1pm 0/7.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.03pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

Market Form rating44/100 · Negative

Last run15 days ago · 16 Sep 2026

Distance changeDown 1.9f from last run

No consistent price pattern yet

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Pre-Off

Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

10am plunger

Late money horse (57%)

14:10Bellewstown

Opened 17/2Market avg 17/2

17/2 → 17/2 → 17/2 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 17/2 → 17/2 → 17/2 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 10/1 ↓ 17/2

PRICE MOVE

-0.03pp (-0.2%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

29th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE29th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

5 of 7 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 11th at Clonmel (IRE) on 16 Sep 2026 (-2.47pp); finished 5th at Navan (IRE) on 05 Sep 2026 (-1.78pp); finished 3rd at Fairyhouse on 08 Jul 2026 (-0.50pp); finished 11th at Roscommon (IRE) on 18 May 2026 (-0.90pp); and finished 3rd at Curragh (IRE) on 03 Apr 2026 (-0.10pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 0.2% • -0.03 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Roscommon (IRE), 18 May 2026 — 11th • open 25/1 → final 80/1 (-2.61pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

10/1 11 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday7f 195y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 9 runners	17/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.03ppOpen → now	17/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.03pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday7f 195y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 9 runners	17/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.03ppOpen → now	17/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.03pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

5 of 7 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Arizona Star is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

This matches its usual pattern; support has often arrived later. (moderate)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

7 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.

Today: -0.03pp

Possible next price: 17/2

7 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Race market overview as at 02:31

Supported0 of 9 runners at +4pp or more
Drifting0 of 9 runners at −4pp or worse
Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.

14:45Bellewstown • 7f195y • Going: Yielding To Soft

1 runners

Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

Star StrewnDraw 5

Trainer: C W J Farrell

Jockey: Rory Cleary

🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer C W J Farrell (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 2/35; first seen between 10am and 1pm 1/35; first seen after 1pm 0/35.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/5; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/5; first seen after 1pm 0/5.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.25pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

Market Form rating60/100 · Neutral

Last run22 days ago · 9 Sep 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

No consistent price pattern yet

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Opening

Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 2/1 → 33/1 | Avg: 18/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

Early money horse (40%)

14:45Bellewstown

Opened 11/2Market avg 11/2

6/1 ↓ 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 ↑ 6/1 → 6/1 ↓ 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 ↑ 6/1

PRICE MOVE

-0.25pp (-1.7%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

40th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE40th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

3 of 5 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 1st at Cork (IRE) on 09 Sep 2026 (-0.90pp); finished 7th at Gowran Park (IRE) on 01 Sep 2026 (-2.35pp); and finished 9th at Cork (IRE) on 24 Apr 2026 (-4.49pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 1.7% • -0.25 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Cork (IRE), 24 Apr 2026 — 9th • open 11/1 → final 33/1 (-5.39pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

6/1 7 decimal Bet Victor

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday7f 195y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 7 runners	11/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.25ppOpen → now	11/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.25pp
Cork (IRE)09 Sep 20261m · Class — · Good · 18 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	25/1	-0.90ppOpen → 10am	33/1	-0.50pp10am → 1pm	40/1	+0.00pp1pm → SP	40/1	1st	-1.41pp
Post-race comment
Dundalk (AW) (IRE)11 Feb 20267f · Class — · Standard · 13 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	9/4	+0.00ppOpen → 10am	9/4	+2.56pp10am → 1pm	2/1	+1.39pp1pm → SP	15/8	1st	+3.95pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday7f 195y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 7 runners	11/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.25ppOpen → now	11/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.25pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

3 of 5 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Star Strewn is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Cork (IRE) · 09 Sep 2026 · 1st · 1/3 known conditions match

×Track: Today Bellewstown · previous Cork (IRE)✓Trip (within ½f): 7f 195y×Ground: Today Yielding To Soft · previous Good?Class: Data missing

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

No positive support trigger.

This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.

Today: -0.25pp

Possible next price: 6/1

5 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Race market overview as at 02:31

Supported0 of 7 runners at +4pp or more
Drifting0 of 7 runners at −4pp or worse
Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.

15:20Bellewstown • 5f3y • Going: Yielding To Soft

5 runners

Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

Steel MagnoliaDraw 10

Trainer: W. McCreery

Jockey: W. J. Lee

🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer W. McCreery (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/14; first seen between 10am and 1pm 1/14; first seen after 1pm 1/14.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/7; first seen between 10am and 1pm 2/7; first seen after 1pm 0/7.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.06pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

Market Form rating52/100 · Neutral

Last run26 days ago · 5 Sep 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

No consistent price pattern yet

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Early PM

Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 7/2 → 6/1 | Avg: 9/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

Mid-market mover (43%)

15:20Bellewstown

Opened 15/8Market avg 15/8

15/8 → 15/8 → 15/8 ↓ 7/4 ↑ 15/8 → 15/8 → 15/8 → 15/8 → 15/8 → 15/8

PRICE MOVE

-0.06pp (-0.2%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

29th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE29th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

5 of 7 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 3rd at Navan (IRE) on 05 Sep 2026 (-11.25pp); finished 2nd at Naas (IRE) on 03 Aug 2026 (-7.66pp); finished 7th at Bellewstown (IRE) on 03 Jul 2026 (-2.80pp); finished 4th at Naas on 24 Jun 2026 (-4.86pp); and finished 4th at Bellewstown (IRE) on 11 Apr 2026 (-1.40pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 0.2% • -0.06 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Navan (IRE), 05 Sep 2026 — 3rd • open 9/4 → final 5/1 (-14.58pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

2/1 3 decimal Betfair Sportsbook

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday5f 3y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 10 runners	15/8	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.06ppOpen → now	15/8Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.06pp
Naas (IRE)23 Aug 20265f · Class — · Good · 19 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	5/1	+0.00ppOpen → 10am	5/1	+5.56pp10am → 1pm	7/2	+0.00pp1pm → SP	7/2	1st	+5.56pp
Post-race comment
Naas (IRE)03 Aug 20265f · Class — · Good · 15 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	9/2	-7.66ppOpen → 10am	17/2	+2.81pp10am → 1pm	13/2	+3.33pp1pm → SP	5/1	2nd	-1.52pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday5f 3y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 10 runners	15/8	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.06ppOpen → now	15/8Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.06pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

5 of 7 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Steel Magnolia is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Naas (IRE) · 23 Aug 2026 · 1st · 1/3 known conditions match

×Track: Today Bellewstown · previous Naas (IRE)✓Trip (within ½f): 5f 3y×Ground: Today Yielding To Soft · previous Good?Class: Data missing

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

This price often moves during the day, so keep checking it. (moderate)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

No positive support trigger.

This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.

Today: -0.06pp

Possible next price: 15/8

7 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Dandy LandDraw 7

Trainer: W. McCreery

Jockey: Sam Coen(5)

🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer W. McCreery (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/14; first seen between 10am and 1pm 1/14; first seen after 1pm 1/14.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/6; first seen between 10am and 1pm 1/6; first seen after 1pm 0/6.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.07pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

Market Form rating48/100 · Neutral

Last run39 days ago · 23 Aug 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

Often drifts in the market

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: 10am

Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: 5/1 → 13/2 | Avg: 11/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

10am plunger

Early money horse (33%)

15:20Bellewstown

Opened 7/2Market avg 7/2

7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 ↑ 4/1 ↓ 7/2

PRICE MOVE

-0.07pp (-0.3%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

3 of 6 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 8th at Naas (IRE) on 23 Aug 2026 (-6.84pp); finished 1st at Naas (IRE) on 03 Aug 2026 (-3.09pp); and finished 6th at Curragh (IRE) on 03 Jun 2026 (-1.45pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 0.3% • -0.07 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Naas (IRE), 03 Aug 2026 — 1st • open 10/3 → final 13/2 (-9.76pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

4/1 5 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday5f 3y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 10 runners	7/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.07ppOpen → now	7/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.07pp
Naas (IRE)03 Aug 20265f · Class — · Good · 15 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	10/3	-3.09ppOpen → 10am	4/1	-6.67pp10am → 1pm	13/2	-1.57pp1pm → SP	15/2	1st	-11.33pp
Post-race comment
Down Royal (IRE)17 Jul 20265f · Class — · Good · 11 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	5/1	+0.00ppOpen → 10am	5/1	+0.00pp10am → 1pm	5/1	+3.33pp1pm → SP	4/1	2nd	+3.33pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday5f 3y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 10 runners	7/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.07ppOpen → now	7/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.07pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

3 of 6 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Dandy Land is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Naas (IRE) · 03 Aug 2026 · 1st · 1/3 known conditions match

×Track: Today Bellewstown · previous Naas (IRE)✓Trip (within ½f): 5f 3y×Ground: Today Yielding To Soft · previous Good?Class: Data missing

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.Comparable moves have had few top-two finishes. Be cautious.

Did the early price move fade?

Recorded examples where 5pp+ early support was followed by a longer final price:

Fairyhouse (IRE), 12 Jun 2026 — 8th • open 10/1 → 1pm 11/2 → final 13/2

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

No positive support trigger.

This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.

Today: -0.07pp

Possible next price: 7/2

6 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

HastilyDraw 9

Trainer: Tom McGuinness

Jockey: Shay Wallace(7)

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Tom McGuinness (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/17; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/17; first seen after 1pm 0/17.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/7; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/7; first seen after 1pm 0/7.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.02pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

Market Form rating45/100 · Neutral

Last run2 days ago · 29 Sep 2026

Distance changeDown 1f from last run

Often drifts in the market

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Pre-Off

Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

10am plunger

Late money horse (29%)

15:20Bellewstown

Opened 18/1Market avg 18/1

18/1 ↑ 20/1 ↓ 14/1 ↑ 20/1 ↓ 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 ↓ 16/1 ↑ 22/1 ↓ 18/1

PRICE MOVE

-0.02pp (-0.5%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

43th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE43rd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

4 of 7 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 9th at Cork (IRE) on 29 Sep 2026 (-2.46pp); finished 13th at Gowran Park (IRE) on 12 Jun 2026 (-0.26pp); finished 15th at Gowran Park (IRE) on 20 May 2026 (-1.20pp); and finished 16th at Naas (IRE) on 09 May 2026 (-0.41pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 0.5% • -0.02 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Naas (IRE), 09 May 2026 — 16th • open 20/1 → final 40/1 (-2.32pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

22/1 23 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday5f 3y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 10 runners	18/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.02ppOpen → now	18/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.02pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday5f 3y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 10 runners	18/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.02ppOpen → now	18/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.02pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

4 of 7 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Hastily is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.Comparable moves have had few top-two finishes. Be cautious.

Did the early price move fade?

No documented early-support reversal in this horse’s recorded checkpoint sample. The older wording referred to finishing results, not a verified intraday price fade.

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

7 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.

Today: -0.02pp

Possible next price: 18/1

7 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Banish MisfortuneDraw 4

Trainer: Gerard Kyne

Jockey: Donagh O'Connor

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Gerard Kyne (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/13; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/13; first seen after 1pm 0/13.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/4; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/4; first seen after 1pm 0/4.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.08pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

Market Form rating52/100 · Neutral

Last run27 days ago · 4 Sep 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

Often drifts in the market

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Pre-Off

Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

Late money horse (75%)

15:20Bellewstown

Opened 20/1Market avg 20/1

20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 ↑ 22/1 ↓ 20/1 → 20/1 ↓ 18/1 → 18/1 ↑ 22/1

PRICE MOVE

-0.08pp (-1.7%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

2 of 4 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 8th at Bellewstown (IRE) on 03 Jul 2026 (-0.16pp); and finished 16th at Limerick (IRE) on 19 Jun 2026 (-0.98pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 1.7% • -0.08 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Limerick (IRE), 19 Jun 2026 — 16th • open 33/1 → final 100/1 (-2.61pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

25/1 26 decimal Betfair Sportsbook

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday5f 3y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 10 runners	20/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.08ppOpen → now	20/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.08pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday5f 3y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 10 runners	20/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.08ppOpen → now	20/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.08pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

2 of 4 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Banish Misfortune is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

This matches its usual pattern; support has often arrived later. (strong)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

4 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.

Today: -0.08pp

Possible next price: 25/1

4 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Smart SiouxDraw 2

Trainer: Ms Claire O'Connell

Jockey: Rory Cleary

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Ms Claire O'Connell (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 3/93; first seen between 10am and 1pm 5/93; first seen after 1pm 0/93.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/3; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/3; first seen after 1pm 0/3.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.00pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 3/7 won (42.9%); Open→SP 3/6 won (50%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.

Market Form rating46/100 · Neutral

Last run39 days ago · 23 Aug 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

Often drifts in the market

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Pre-Off

Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

Late money horse (67%)

15:20Bellewstown

Opened 50/1Market avg 50/1

50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 ↓ 40/1 → 40/1 ↑ 50/1

PRICE MOVE

-0.00pp (-0.2%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

3 of 3 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 16th at Naas (IRE) on 23 Aug 2026 (-2.86pp); finished 7th at Cork (IRE) on 14 Aug 2026 (-1.89pp); and finished 13th at Bellewstown (IRE) on 11 Apr 2026 (-0.90pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 0.2% • -0.00 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Naas (IRE), 23 Aug 2026 — 16th • open 22/1 → final 80/1 (-3.11pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

66/1 67 decimal Betfair Sportsbook

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday5f 3y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 10 runners	50/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.00ppOpen → now	50/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.00pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday5f 3y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 10 runners	50/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.00ppOpen → now	50/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.00pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

3 of 3 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Smart Sioux is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

This matches its usual pattern; support has often arrived later. (strong)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

3 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.

Today: -0.00pp

Possible next price: 50/1

3 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Race market overview as at 02:31

Supported0 of 10 runners at +4pp or more
Drifting0 of 10 runners at −4pp or worse
Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.

16:30Bellewstown • 1m4f77y • Going: Yielding To Soft

4 runners

Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

Maxwell SmartDraw 5

Trainer: T G McCourt

Jockey: James Ryan

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer T G McCourt (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 4/169; first seen between 10am and 1pm 10/169; first seen after 1pm 7/169.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/10; first seen between 10am and 1pm 1/10; first seen after 1pm 0/10.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.51pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

Market Form rating45/100 · Neutral

Last run27 days ago · 4 Sep 2026

Distance changeDown 0.5f from last run

Often drifts in the market

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Pre-Off

Runs: 10 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

10am plunger

Late money horse (30%)

16:30Bellewstown

Opened 9/4Market avg 9/4

9/4 ↑ 5/2 ↓ 9/4 → 9/4 → 9/4 ↑ 5/2 ↓ 9/4 ↑ 5/2 ↑ 5/2 ↓ 9/4

PRICE MOVE

-0.51pp (-1.7%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

5 of 10 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 4th at Navan (IRE) on 27 Aug 2026 (-3.67pp); finished 9th at Sligo on 12 Jul 2026 (-4.24pp); finished 3rd at Downpatrick (IRE) on 14 Jun 2026 (-5.68pp); finished 3rd at Sligo (IRE) on 03 May 2026 (-1.82pp); and finished 8th at Bellewstown (IRE) on 18 Apr 2026 (-0.90pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 1.7% • -0.51 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Leopardstown (IRE), 15 May 2026 — 9th • open 5/1 → final 12/1 (-8.97pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

5/2 3.5 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday1m 4f 77y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 12 runners	9/4	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.51ppOpen → now	9/4Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.51pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday1m 4f 77y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 12 runners	9/4	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.51ppOpen → now	9/4Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.51pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

5 of 10 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Maxwell Smart is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.Comparable moves have had few top-two finishes. Be cautious.

Did the early price move fade?

No documented early-support reversal in this horse’s recorded checkpoint sample. The older wording referred to finishing results, not a verified intraday price fade.

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

10 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.

Today: -0.51pp

Possible next price: 2/1

10 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Lily ParrDraw 11

Trainer: Ms Sheila Lavery

Jockey: Robbie Colgan

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Ms Sheila Lavery (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 2/71; first seen between 10am and 1pm 1/71; first seen after 1pm 1/71.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/4; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/4; first seen after 1pm 0/4.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.24pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

Market Form rating52/100 · Neutral

Last run16 days ago · 15 Sep 2026

Distance changeUp 3.2f from last run

No consistent price pattern yet

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Pre-Off

Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

Late money horse (50%)

16:30Bellewstown

Opened 3/1Market avg 3/1

3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 ↑ 10/3 ↓ 3/1 → 3/1

PRICE MOVE

-0.24pp (-1.0%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

25th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE25th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

3 of 4 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 7th at Punchestown (IRE) on 15 Sep 2026 (-0.90pp); finished 6th at Galway (IRE) on 30 Jul 2026 (-1.41pp); and finished 10th at Roscommon (IRE) on 18 May 2026 (-1.81pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 1% • -0.24 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Roscommon (IRE), 18 May 2026 — 10th • open 12/1 → final 22/1 (-3.34pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

10/3 4.33 decimal Betfair Sportsbook

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday1m 4f 77y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 12 runners	3/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.24ppOpen → now	3/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.24pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday1m 4f 77y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 12 runners	3/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.24ppOpen → now	3/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.24pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

3 of 4 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Lily Parr is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

This matches its usual pattern; support has often arrived later. (moderate)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

4 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.

Today: -0.24pp

Possible next price: 3/1

4 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Sir TrancealotDraw 2

Trainer: J. P. Murtagh

Jockey: Ben Coen

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer J. P. Murtagh (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/36; first seen between 10am and 1pm 4/36; first seen after 1pm 2/36.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/6; first seen between 10am and 1pm 1/6; first seen after 1pm 0/6.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.08pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

Market Form rating45/100 · Neutral

Last run31 days ago · 31 Aug 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

No consistent price pattern yet

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Pre-Off

Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

10am plunger

Late money horse (33%)

16:30Bellewstown

Opened 13/2Market avg 13/2

13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 ↑ 7/1 → 7/1 ↓ 13/2

PRICE MOVE

-0.08pp (-0.6%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

33th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE33rd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

4 of 6 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 13th at Roscommon (IRE) on 31 Aug 2026 (-0.40pp); finished 3rd at Fairyhouse (IRE) on 12 Jun 2026 (-1.11pp); finished 7th at Dundalk (AW) (IRE) on 23 Apr 2026 (-0.47pp); and finished 10th at Curragh (IRE) on 28 Mar 2026 (-1.31pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 0.6% • -0.08 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Killarney, 13 Jul 2026 — 14th • open 11/2 → final 12/1 (-7.69pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

7/1 8 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday1m 4f 77y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 12 runners	13/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.08ppOpen → now	13/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.08pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday1m 4f 77y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 12 runners	13/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.08ppOpen → now	13/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.08pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

4 of 6 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Sir Trancealot is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.Comparable moves have had few top-two finishes. Be cautious.

Did the early price move fade?

Recorded examples where 5pp+ early support was followed by a longer final price:

Roscommon (IRE), 31 Aug 2026 — 13th • open 25/1 → 1pm 10/1 → final 14/1

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

6 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.

Today: -0.08pp

Possible next price: 13/2

6 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Courtlough GulaDraw 8

Trainer: P Cluskey

Jockey: Megan de Souza-Wearen(10)

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer P Cluskey (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/20; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/20; first seen after 1pm 0/20.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 2 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.09pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

Market Form rating52/100 · Neutral

Last run104 days ago · 19 Jun 2026

Distance changeUp 5.4f from last run

Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

16:30Bellewstown

Opened 28/1Market avg 28/1

28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 ↑ 33/1 ↓ 28/1 → 28/1 ↓ 25/1 ↑ 28/1 ↑ 33/1

PRICE MOVE

-0.09pp (-2.7%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

Raw Open → Now price change: 2.7% • -0.09 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Limerick (IRE), 19 Jun 2026 — 12th • open 25/1 → final 100/1 (-3.51pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

33/1 34 decimal Bet Victor

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday1m 4f 77y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 12 runners	28/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.09ppOpen → now	28/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.09pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday1m 4f 77y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 12 runners	28/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.09ppOpen → now	28/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.09pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Courtlough Gula is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

N/A

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

2 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.

Today: -0.09pp

Possible next price: 40/1

No historical data

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Race market overview as at 02:31

Supported0 of 12 runners at +4pp or more
Drifting0 of 12 runners at −4pp or worse
Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.

17:05Bellewstown • 1m4f77y • Going: Yielding To Soft

6 runners

Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

AutocratDraw 6

Trainer: P Sweeney

Jockey: Luke McAteer

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer P Sweeney (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/50; first seen between 10am and 1pm 3/50; first seen after 1pm 3/50.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/9; first seen between 10am and 1pm 1/9; first seen after 1pm 0/9.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.10pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

Market Form rating60/100 · Neutral

Last run3 days ago · 28 Sep 2026

Distance changeUp 1.3f from last run

No consistent price pattern yet

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: 10am

Runs: 9 | Fixed-odds range: 9/2 → 9/2 | Avg: 9/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

10am plunger

Early money horse (44%)

17:05Bellewstown

Opened 7/2Market avg 7/2

4/1 ↓ 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 ↓ 10/3 ↑ 4/1 ↓ 7/2 ↓ 10/3 ↑ 4/1 ↓ 10/3

PRICE MOVE

-0.10pp (-0.5%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

33th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE33rd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

6 of 9 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 6th at Punchestown (IRE) on 15 Sep 2026 (-1.42pp); finished 9th at Ballinrobe (IRE) on 20 Jul 2026 (-4.89pp); finished 10th at Navan on 11 Jul 2026 (-0.78pp); finished 10th at Sligo (IRE) on 03 May 2026 (-2.50pp); had no recorded finishing position at Dundalk (AW) (IRE) on 20 Mar 2026 (-2.80pp); and finished 1st at Dundalk (AW) (IRE) on 23 Jan 2026 (-1.52pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 0.5% • -0.10 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Dundalk (AW) (IRE), 20 Mar 2026 — finish unavailable • open 9/2 → final 15/2 (-6.42pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

4/1 5 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday1m 4f 77y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 13 runners	7/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.10ppOpen → now	7/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.10pp
Dundalk (AW) (IRE)23 Jan 20261m 2f 150y · Class — · Standard · 11 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	9/2	-1.52ppOpen → 10am	5/1	+1.52pp10am → 1pm	9/2	+6.82pp1pm → SP	3/1	1st	+6.82pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday1m 4f 77y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 13 runners	7/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.10ppOpen → now	7/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.10pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

6 of 9 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Autocrat is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Dundalk (AW) (IRE) · 23 Jan 2026 · 1st · 0/3 known conditions match

×Track: Today Bellewstown · previous Dundalk (AW) (IRE)×Trip (within ½f): Today 1m 4f 77y · previous 1m 2f 150y×Ground: Today Yielding To Soft · previous Standard?Class: Data missing

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

8 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.

Today: -0.10pp

Possible next price: 11/4

9 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

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Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

AcantoDraw 7

Trainer: Noel Meade

Jockey: Adam Caffrey

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Noel Meade (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 20/307; first seen between 10am and 1pm 13/307; first seen after 1pm 19/307.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/3; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/3; first seen after 1pm 0/3.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.26pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

Market Form rating52/100 · Neutral

Last run27 days ago · 4 Sep 2026

Distance changeDown 0.5f from last run

Often drifts in the market

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Pre-Off

Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

Late money horse (67%)

17:05Bellewstown

Opened 7/2Market avg 7/2

7/2 ↑ 4/1 ↓ 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 ↑ 4/1 ↓ 7/2 ↓ 10/3 ↑ 4/1 ↓ 7/2

PRICE MOVE

-0.26pp (-1.2%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

3 of 3 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 9th at Galway (IRE) on 31 Jul 2026 (-0.95pp); finished 4th at Killarney (IRE) on 14 Jul 2026 (-4.27pp); and finished 5th at Curragh (IRE) on 15 Mar 2026 (-0.90pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 1.2% • -0.26 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Killarney (IRE), 14 Jul 2026 — 4th • open 11/2 → final 28/1 (-11.94pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

4/1 5 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday1m 4f 77y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 13 runners	7/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.26ppOpen → now	7/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.26pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday1m 4f 77y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 13 runners	7/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.26ppOpen → now	7/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.26pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

3 of 3 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Acanto is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

This matches its usual pattern; support has often arrived later. (strong)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

3 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.

Today: -0.26pp

Possible next price: 3/1

3 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

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Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Club ManagerDraw 2

Trainer: Ross O'Sullivan

Jockey: Shane Markey(7)

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Ross O'Sullivan (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 20/314; first seen between 10am and 1pm 31/314; first seen after 1pm 10/314.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 1 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.18pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

Market Form rating52/100 · Neutral

Last run249 days ago · 25 Jan 2026

Distance changeDown 6.3f from last run

Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.

17:05Bellewstown

Opened 15/2Market avg 15/2

17/2 ↓ 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 ↑ 8/1 ↑ 17/2 ↓ 15/2 ↓ 7/1 ↑ 15/2 ↑ 8/1

PRICE MOVE

-0.18pp (-1.5%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

Raw Open → Now price change: 1.5% • -0.18 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Naas (IRE), 25 Jan 2026 — 4th • open 9/2 → final 9/1 (-8.18pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

17/2 9.5 decimal BetWright

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday1m 4f 77y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 13 runners	15/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.18ppOpen → now	15/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.18pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday1m 4f 77y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 13 runners	15/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.18ppOpen → now	15/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.18pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Club Manager is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

N/A

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

1 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.

Today: -0.18pp

Possible next price: 15/2

No historical data

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Secret RockDraw 8

Trainer: Cian Collins

Jockey: W. J. Lee

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Cian Collins (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 10/222; first seen between 10am and 1pm 13/222; first seen after 1pm 10/222.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/3; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/3; first seen after 1pm 0/3.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.97pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

Market Form rating61/100 · Neutral

Last run52 days ago · 10 Aug 2026

Distance changeDown 4.1f from last run

Often drifts in the market

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

1 historical matches

1/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Early PM

Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: 10/1 → 10/1 | Avg: 10/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

The price is drifting and is not attracting bookmaker support.

Late money horse (33%)

17:05Bellewstown

Opened 12/1Market avg 14/1

16/1 ↓ 14/1 ↓ 12/1 ↑ 14/1 → 14/1 ↑ 16/1 ↓ 12/1 ↓ 11/1 ↑ 12/1 ↑ 14/1

PRICE MOVE

-0.97pp (-14.4%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

33th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE33rd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

2 of 3 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 9th at Ballinrobe (IRE) on 10 Aug 2026 (-4.44pp); and finished 10th at Killarney (IRE) on 16 Jul 2026 (-14.17pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 14.4% • -0.97 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Killarney (IRE), 16 Jul 2026 — 10th • open 11/4 → final 17/2 (-16.14pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

16/1 17 decimal BetWright

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday1m 4f 77y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 13 runners	12/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.97ppOpen → now	14/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.97pp
Kilbeggan (IRE)31 May 20261m 7f 150y · Class — · Good To Yielding · 13 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	9/1	+0.53ppOpen → 10am	17/2	-2.83pp10am → 1pm	12/1	+4.07pp1pm → SP	15/2	1st	+1.76pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday1m 4f 77y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 13 runners	12/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.97ppOpen → now	14/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.97pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

2 of 3 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Secret Rock is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Kilbeggan (IRE) · 31 May 2026 · 1st · 0/3 known conditions match

×Track: Today Bellewstown · previous Kilbeggan (IRE)×Trip (within ½f): Today 1m 4f 77y · previous 1m 7f 150y×Ground: Today Yielding To Soft · previous Good To Yielding?Class: Data missing

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

Limited data: one similar run only.

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

3 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.

Today: -0.97pp

Possible next price: 12/1

3 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

You Make Me SmileDraw 10

Trainer: P A Fahy

Jockey: Darragh Keenan

🟢 Needs Support (20%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer P A Fahy (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 2/78; first seen between 10am and 1pm 4/78; first seen after 1pm 3/78.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/8; first seen between 10am and 1pm 1/8; first seen after 1pm 0/8.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.15pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

Market Form rating47/100 · Neutral

Last run20 days ago · 11 Sep 2026

Distance changeDown 9.6f from last run

No consistent price pattern yet

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: 10am

Runs: 8 | Fixed-odds range: 9/4 → 5/1 | Avg: 7/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

10am plunger

Early money horse (50%)

17:05Bellewstown

Opened 16/1Market avg 16/1

20/1 ↓ 16/1 ↓ 10/1 ↑ 16/1 ↑ 20/1 → 20/1 ↓ 16/1 ↓ 14/1 ↓ 12/1 ↑ 20/1

PRICE MOVE

-0.15pp (-2.6%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

38th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE38th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

5 of 8 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 7th at Ballinrobe (IRE) on 11 Sep 2026 (-2.29pp); finished 3rd at Sligo (IRE) on 06 Aug 2026 (-3.33pp); finished 8th at Tramore on 07 Jul 2026 (-8.89pp); finished 3rd at Gowran Park (IRE) on 22 Apr 2026 (-2.83pp); and finished 7th at Navan (IRE) on 30 Mar 2026 (-6.67pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 2.6% • -0.15 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Navan (IRE), 30 Mar 2026 — 7th • open 5/1 → final 11/1 (-8.33pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

22/1 23 decimal Betfair Sportsbook

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday1m 4f 77y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 13 runners	16/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.15ppOpen → now	16/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.15pp
Downpatrick (IRE)14 Jun 20262m 2f 185y · Class — · Good · 12 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	13/2	+0.00ppOpen → 10am	13/2	+2.05pp10am → 1pm	11/2	+0.00pp1pm → SP	11/2	2nd	+2.05pp
Post-race comment
Sligo (IRE)03 May 20261m 5f 190y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 14 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	4/1	+0.00ppOpen → 10am	4/1	+10.77pp10am → 1pm	9/4	-7.67pp1pm → SP	10/3	2nd	+3.09pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday1m 4f 77y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 13 runners	16/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.15ppOpen → now	16/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.15pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

5 of 8 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: You Make Me Smile is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Sligo (IRE) · 03 May 2026 · 2nd · 1/3 known conditions match

×Track: Today Bellewstown · previous Sligo (IRE)×Trip (within ½f): Today 1m 4f 77y · previous 1m 5f 190y✓Ground: Yielding To Soft?Class: Data missing

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Both previous top-two finishes came with support of 3.33pp+.

At 3.33pp+: 2/3 finished 1st or 2nd (67%).

Today: -0.15pp — trigger not reached.

Possible next price: 20/1

8 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Zesty BelleDraw 13

Trainer: M O Quigley

Jockey: J M Sheridan

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer M O Quigley (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/15; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/15; first seen after 1pm 2/15.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 2 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.01pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

Market Form rating46/100 · Neutral

Last run23 days ago · 8 Sep 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

17:05Bellewstown

Opened 28/1Market avg 28/1

28/1 ↑ 33/1 ↓ 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 ↑ 33/1 ↓ 28/1 ↓ 25/1 ↑ 28/1 → 28/1

PRICE MOVE

-0.01pp (-0.2%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

Raw Open → Now price change: 0.2% • -0.01 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Naas (IRE), 03 Aug 2026 — 13th • open 25/1 → final 100/1 (-3.18pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

33/1 34 decimal BetWright

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday1m 4f 77y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 13 runners	28/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.01ppOpen → now	28/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.01pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
BellewstownToday1m 4f 77y · Class — · Yielding To Soft · 13 runners	28/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.01ppOpen → now	28/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.01pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Zesty Belle is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

N/A

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

2 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.

Today: -0.01pp

Possible next price: 25/1

No historical data

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Race market overview as at 02:31

Supported0 of 13 runners at +4pp or more
Drifting0 of 13 runners at −4pp or worse
Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.

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