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AscotDundalk (AW)Gowran ParkHexhamNewcastle (AW)Wolverhampton (AW)
ALLBACKED 💰DRIFTERS
01 · Strongest support
Racing silks
Cranachan
50
16:45 Ascot
+2.07pp
True move after NR adjustment · 6/5 → 11/10
02 · Repeat evidence
No repeat signal active
No upcoming runner currently matches a previous successful market pattern.
03 · Weak favourite
Favourites currently holding
No short-priced upcoming runner has weakened by at least 2 probability points.
Runner
Bookmaker move
Evidence
What to do next
13:50Ascot • 0m7f0y • Class 4 • Going: Good
6 runners
Market Intelligence
Strongest support: The Bitter Moose (+0.17 probability points)
Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

Racing silksSonDraw 13
Trainer: Tim Easterby
Jockey: Mr Thomas Easterby(3)
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Tim Easterby (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 151/1143; first seen between 10am and 1pm 66/1143; first seen after 1pm 34/1143.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 2/12; first seen between 10am and 1pm 2/12; first seen after 1pm 0/12.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.45pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 45/186 won (24.2%); Open→SP 47/195 won (24.1%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 34.1% (29/85).
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run13 days ago · 19 Sep 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 12 | Fixed-odds range: 3/1 → 9/1 | Avg: 11/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (50%)
13:50Ascot
Opened 17/2Market avg 8/1
17/2 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 17/2 ↓ 15/2 ↑ 8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 ↑ 17/2 ↓ 15/2 ↑ 17/2
PRICE MOVE
+0.45pp (+4.1%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
58th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE58th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
5 of 12 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 3rd at Beverley on 29 Aug 2026 (+7.02pp); finished 2nd at Carlisle on 19 Aug 2026 (+3.03pp); finished 6th at York on 25 Jul 2026 (+1.39pp); finished 13th at York on 10 Jul 2026 (+0.55pp); and finished 4th at Musselburgh on 30 Jun 2026 (+11.11pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 4.1% • +0.45 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Musselburgh, 30 Jun 2026 — 4th • open 7/2 → final 7/4 (+14.14pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
17/2 9.5 decimal 7Bet
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
AscotToday7f · Class 4 · Good · 18 runners17/2—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.45ppOpen → now8/1Current; SP pendingPending+0.45pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 5 of 12 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Son is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Haydock · 09 May 2026 · 2nd · 3/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Ascot · previous Haydock✓Trip (within ½f): 7f✓Ground: Good✓Class: Class 4
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
All 4 previous top-two finishes came with support of 0.9pp+.
At 0.9pp+: 4/8 finished 1st or 2nd (50%).
Today: +0.45pp — trigger not reached.
Possible next price: 9/1
12 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Racing silksZabeel AlkabeirDraw 5
Trainer: Gary & Josh Moore
Jockey: Mr Fletcher Yarham
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Gary & Josh Moore (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 52/507; first seen between 10am and 1pm 37/507; first seen after 1pm 21/507.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 2 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.04pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 22/77 won (28.6%); Open→SP 19/81 won (23.5%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 37.9% (11/29).
⬇ CLASS DROP
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run21 days ago · 11 Sep 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
13:50Ascot
Opened 9/1Market avg 9/1
9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 10/1 ↓ 9/1 → 9/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.04pp (+0.4%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
Raw Open → Now price change: 0.4% • +0.04 probability points
Previous market evidence

No previous positive open-to-final support in the recorded sample.

BEST FIXED ODDS
10/1 11 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
AscotToday7f · Class 4 · Good · 18 runners9/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.04ppOpen → now9/1Current; SP pendingPending+0.04pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. The horse drops from Class 3 to Class 4, but the market has not responded with meaningful support. Today’s move: Zabeel Alkabeir is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
2 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: +0.04pp
Possible next price: 9/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Racing silksRock OperaDraw 12
Trainer: Richard & Peter Fahey
Jockey: Mr Eireann Cagney
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Richard & Peter Fahey (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 76/608; first seen between 10am and 1pm 28/608; first seen after 1pm 15/608.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 2/9; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/9; first seen after 1pm 1/9.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.08pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 21/84 won (25%); Open→SP 24/79 won (30.4%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 35.5% (11/31).
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run29 days ago · 3 Sep 2026
Distance changeUp 0.9f from last run
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 9 | Fixed-odds range: 3/1 → 9/2 | Avg: 7/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (44%)
13:50Ascot
Opened 12/1Market avg 12/1
12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 ↓ 11/1 ↑ 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 ↓ 11/1 ↑ 12/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.08pp (+1.0%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
33th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE33rd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
6 of 9 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 10th at Southwell (AW) on 03 Sep 2026 (+2.46pp); finished 11th at Doncaster on 15 Aug 2026 (+7.07pp); finished 9th at York on 11 Jul 2026 (+5.38pp); finished 1st at Pontefract on 02 Jun 2026 (+2.80pp); finished 4th at Hamilton on 17 May 2026 (+2.31pp); and finished 3rd at Thirsk on 02 May 2026 (+1.52pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 1% • +0.08 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Doncaster, 15 Aug 2026 — 11th • open 8/1 → final 4/1 (+8.89pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
12/1 13 decimal 7Bet
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
AscotToday7f · Class 4 · Good · 18 runners12/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.08ppOpen → now12/1Current; SP pendingPending+0.08pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

6 of 9 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Rock Opera is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Pontefract · 02 Jun 2026 · 1st · 2/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Ascot · previous Pontefract×Trip (within ½f): Today 7f · previous 6f✓Ground: Good✓Class: Class 4
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
No positive support trigger.
This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.
Today: +0.08pp
Possible next price: 12/1
9 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Racing silksSigncastle CityDraw 9
Trainer: Richard Hannon
Jockey: Mr Jack Loughnane(7)
🟢 Needs Support (17%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Richard Hannon (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 94/764; first seen between 10am and 1pm 47/764; first seen after 1pm 34/764.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 2/12; first seen between 10am and 1pm 1/12; first seen after 1pm 0/12.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.35pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 29/121 won (24%); Open→SP 31/138 won (22.5%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 28.8% (19/66).
⬆ CLASS RISE
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run8 days ago · 24 Sep 2026
Distance changeDown 1f from last run
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 12 | Fixed-odds range: 5/6 → 17/2 | Avg: 9/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (33%)
13:50Ascot
Opened 16/1Market avg 16/1
16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 ↓ 14/1 → 14/1 ↑ 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.35pp (+5.6%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
58th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE58th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
5 of 12 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 4th at Newmarket on 24 Sep 2026 (+1.57pp); finished 2nd at York on 23 May 2026 (+0.76pp); finished 2nd at Bath on 29 Apr 2026 (+22.62pp); finished 10th at Southwell (AW) on 07 Apr 2026 (+2.31pp); and finished 2nd at Lingfield (AW) on 07 Feb 2026 (+13.89pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 5.6% • +0.35 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Bath, 29 Apr 2026 — 2nd • open 3/1 → final 5/6 (+29.64pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
16/1 17 decimal 7Bet
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
AscotToday7f · Class 4 · Good · 18 runners16/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.35ppOpen → now16/1Current; SP pendingPending+0.35pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 5 of 12 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. It is also stepping up from Class 5 to Class 4, which adds another test today. Today’s move: Signcastle City is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: York · 23 May 2026 · 2nd · 3/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Ascot · previous York✓Trip (within ½f): 7f✓Ground: Good✓Class: Class 4
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.Comparable moves have had few top-two finishes. Be cautious.
Did the early price move fade?

Recorded examples where 5pp+ early support was followed by a longer final price:

  • Lingfield (AW), 12 May 2026 — 3rd • open 11/2 → 1pm 7/2 → final 11/2
  • Lingfield (AW), 07 Feb 2026 — 2nd • open 11/1 → 10am 7/2 → final 4/1
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
All 3 previous top-two finishes came with support of 2.19pp+.
At 2.19pp+: 3/6 finished 1st or 2nd (50%).
Today: +0.35pp — trigger not reached.
Possible next price: 18/1
12 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Racing silksWho Wants MeDraw 17
Trainer: Iain Jardine
Jockey: Mr Lucas Murphy(5)
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Iain Jardine (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 45/472; first seen between 10am and 1pm 26/472; first seen after 1pm 9/472.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/5; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/5; first seen after 1pm 0/5.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.02pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 15/60 won (25%); Open→SP 11/54 won (20.4%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 26.1% (6/23).
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run48 days ago · 15 Aug 2026
Distance changeUp 1f from last run
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 3/1 → 11/1 | Avg: 7/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (60%)
13:50Ascot
Opened 25/1Market avg 25/1
25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 ↑ 28/1 ↓ 25/1 → 25/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.02pp (+0.5%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
40th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE40th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
3 of 5 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 1st at Ayr on 05 Jul 2026 (+2.20pp); finished 1st at Carlisle on 24 Jun 2026 (+1.67pp); and finished 6th at Hamilton on 17 May 2026 (+0.40pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 0.5% • +0.02 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Carlisle, 24 Jun 2026 — 1st • open 14/1 → final 11/1 (+1.67pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
28/1 29 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
AscotToday7f · Class 4 · Good · 18 runners25/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.02ppOpen → now25/1Current; SP pendingPending+0.02pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

3 of 5 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Who Wants Me is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Carlisle · 24 Jun 2026 · 1st · 2/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Ascot · previous Carlisle✓Trip (within ½f): 7f×Ground: Today Good · previous Good To Firm✓Class: Class 4
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (strong)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
No positive support trigger.
This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.
Today: +0.02pp
Possible next price: 25/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Racing silksThe Bitter MooseDraw 8
Trainer: Patrick Chamings
Jockey: Mr Frederick Tett
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Patrick Chamings (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 4/91; first seen between 10am and 1pm 6/91; first seen after 1pm 2/91.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/7; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/7; first seen after 1pm 0/7.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.17pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/9 won (11.1%); Open→SP 1/8 won (12.5%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
⬆ CLASS RISE
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run11 days ago · 21 Sep 2026
Distance changeUp 1f from last run
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (43%)
13:50Ascot
Opened 33/1Market avg 33/1
33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 ↑ 40/1 ↓ 33/1 ↑ 33/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.17pp (+5.7%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
71th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE71st HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
2 of 7 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 6th at Leicester on 21 Sep 2026 (+2.78pp); and finished 3rd at Lingfield (AW) on 20 Aug 2026 (+2.67pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 5.7% • +0.17 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Leicester, 21 Sep 2026 — 6th • open 16/1 → final 11/1 (+2.78pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
40/1 41 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
AscotToday7f · Class 4 · Good · 18 runners33/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.17ppOpen → now33/1Current; SP pendingPending+0.17pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 2 of 7 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. It is also stepping up from Class 5 to Class 4, which adds another test today. Today’s move: The Bitter Moose is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
7 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: +0.17pp
Possible next price: 40/1
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Course record
This horse is 0/2 at Ascot on our records. Today's market is 66% bigger than usual against an average course SP of 20.5.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Race market overview as at 05:16
  • Supported0 of 18 runners at +4pp or more
  • Drifting0 of 18 runners at −4pp or worse
  • Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
  • Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.
14:25Ascot • 0m7f0y • Class 2 • Going: Good
3 runners
Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

Racing silksPink LarkspurDraw 4
Trainer: John & Thady Gosden
Jockey: William Buick
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer John & Thady Gosden (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 74/369; first seen between 10am and 1pm 32/369; first seen after 1pm 17/369.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 1 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.07pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 33/92 won (35.9%); Open→SP 34/93 won (36.6%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 48.8% (21/43).
⬆ CLASS RISE
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run23 days ago · 9 Sep 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: 17/2 → 17/2 | Avg: 17/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.
14:25Ascot
Opened 7/4Market avg 7/4
7/4 → 7/4 → 7/4 → 7/4 → 7/4 → 7/4 → 7/4 → 7/4 → 7/4 → 7/4
PRICE MOVE
+0.07pp (+0.2%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
Raw Open → Now price change: 0.2% • +0.07 probability points
Previous market evidence

No previous positive open-to-final support in the recorded sample.

BEST FIXED ODDS
7/4 2.75 decimal 7Bet
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
AscotToday7f · Class 2 · Good · 5 runners7/4—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.07ppOpen → now7/4Current; SP pendingPending+0.07pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. It is also stepping up from Class 3 to Class 2, which adds another test today. Today’s move: Pink Larkspur is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Kempton (AW) · 09 Sep 2026 · 2nd · 1/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Ascot · previous Kempton (AW)✓Trip (within ½f): 7f×Ground: Today Good · previous Standard / Slow×Class: Today Class 2 · previous Class 3
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
1 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: +0.07pp
Possible next price: 7/4
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
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Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Racing silksLearningDraw 3
Trainer: Richard Hannon
Jockey: Pat Dobbs
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Richard Hannon (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 94/764; first seen between 10am and 1pm 47/764; first seen after 1pm 34/764.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 2 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.97pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 29/121 won (24%); Open→SP 31/138 won (22.5%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 28.8% (19/66).
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run14 days ago · 18 Sep 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: 8/1 → 8/1 | Avg: 8/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
14:25Ascot
Opened 15/8Market avg 15/8
15/8 ↓ 7/4 → 7/4 ↑ 15/8 → 15/8 ↓ 7/4 → 7/4 ↑ 2/1 ↓ 15/8 ↑ 15/8
PRICE MOVE
+0.97pp (+2.7%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
Raw Open → Now price change: 2.7% • +0.97 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Salisbury, 03 Sep 2026 — 4th • open 20/1 → final 11/1 (+3.57pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
2/1 3 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
AscotToday7f · Class 2 · Good · 5 runners15/8—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.97ppOpen → now15/8Current; SP pendingPending+0.97pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Learning is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Newbury · 18 Sep 2026 · 2nd · 3/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Ascot · previous Newbury✓Trip (within ½f): 7f✓Ground: Good✓Class: Class 2
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have usually held their position.
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
2 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: +0.97pp
Possible next price: 2/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
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Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Racing silksIndia's RidgeDraw 5
Trainer: Richard Hannon
Jockey: Sean Levey
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Richard Hannon (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 94/764; first seen between 10am and 1pm 47/764; first seen after 1pm 34/764.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 0 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.17pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 29/121 won (24%); Open→SP 31/138 won (22.5%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 28.8% (19/66).
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
14:25Ascot
Opened 12/1Market avg 12/1
12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 ↓ 11/1 → 11/1 ↑ 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.17pp (+2.1%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
Raw Open → Now price change: 2.1% • +0.17 probability points
BEST FIXED ODDS
12/1 13 decimal 7Bet
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
AscotToday7f · Class 2 · Good · 5 runners12/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.17ppOpen → now12/1Current; SP pendingPending+0.17pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: India's Ridge is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 14/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Race market overview as at 05:16
  • Supported0 of 5 runners at +4pp or more
  • Drifting0 of 5 runners at −4pp or worse
  • Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
  • Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.
15:00Ascot • 1m0f0y • Class 3 • Going: Good
3 runners
Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

Racing silksPrinclingDraw 9
Trainer: William Haggas
Jockey: Tom Marquand
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer William Haggas (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 100/599; first seen between 10am and 1pm 47/599; first seen after 1pm 48/599.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/4; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/4; first seen after 1pm 1/4.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.97pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 39/127 won (30.7%); Open→SP 51/161 won (31.7%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 34.2% (26/76).
⬇ CLASS DROP
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run84 days ago · 10 Jul 2026
Distance changeDown 2f from last run
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 3/10 → 3/10 | Avg: 3/10Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (50%)
15:00Ascot
Opened 3/1Market avg 3/1
3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 ↓ 11/4 → 11/4 ↑ 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.97pp (+3.7%)
NR adjusted
Genuine shortening after removing the measured NR price effect.
Raw Open → Now: +1.9% • +0.48pp
Measured NR price effect removed: -0.48pp
Latest confirmed post-NR price: 3/1 @ 05:15
NR @ 05:15: 3/1 → 3/1 (-0.48pp removed)
GENUINE NR-ADJUSTED MOVE: +0.97pp
Move evidence
50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
2 of 4 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 4th at Carlisle on 30 May 2026 (+1.67pp); and finished 1st at Wetherby on 26 Apr 2026 (+9.84pp).
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Wetherby, 26 Apr 2026 — 1st • open 4/7 → final 3/10 (+13.23pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
3/1 4 decimal 7Bet
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
AscotToday1m · Class 3 · Good · 11 runners3/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.97ppOpen → now3/1Current; SP pendingPending+0.97ppNR adjusted
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

2 of 4 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. The horse drops from Class 2 to Class 3, but the market has not responded with meaningful support. Today’s move: Princling is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Wetherby · 26 Apr 2026 · 1st · 1/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Ascot · previous Wetherby✓Trip (within ½f): 1m×Ground: Today Good · previous Good To Firm×Class: Today Class 3 · previous Class 4
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
4 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: +0.97pp
Possible next price: 10/3
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
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Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Ascot. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Racing silksHyggeDraw 6
Trainer: Gordon Elliott
Jockey: Colin Keane
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Gordon Elliott (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 61/1017; first seen between 10am and 1pm 67/1017; first seen after 1pm 36/1017.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/7; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/7; first seen after 1pm 1/7.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.32pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 35/113 won (31%); Open→SP 38/126 won (30.2%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 35% (21/60).
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run22 days ago · 10 Sep 2026
Distance changeUp 1f from last run
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 4/6 → 10/1 | Avg: 6/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (43%)
15:00Ascot
Opened 14/1Market avg 14/1
14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 ↓ 12/1 → 12/1 ↑ 14/1 → 14/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.32pp (+4.5%)
NR adjusted
Genuine shortening after removing the measured NR price effect.
Raw Open → Now: +2.3% • +0.16pp
Measured NR price effect removed: -0.16pp
Latest confirmed post-NR price: 14/1 @ 05:15
NR @ 05:15: 14/1 → 14/1 (-0.16pp removed)
GENUINE NR-ADJUSTED MOVE: +0.32pp
Move evidence
71th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE71st HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
2 of 7 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 1st at Laytown (IRE) on 10 Sep 2026 (+0.54pp); and finished 1st at Cork on 10 Jul 2026 (+3.16pp).
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Cork, 10 Jul 2026 — 1st • open 5/6 → final 4/6 (+5.24pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
14/1 15 decimal 7Bet
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
AscotToday1m · Class 3 · Good · 11 runners14/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.32ppOpen → now14/1Current; SP pendingPending+0.32ppNR adjusted
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 2 of 7 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Hygge is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Killarney (IRE) · 12 May 2026 · 1st · 2/3 known conditions match
×Track: Today Ascot · previous Killarney (IRE)✓Trip (within ½f): 1m✓Ground: Good?Class: Data missing
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
No positive support trigger.
This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.
Today: +0.32pp
Possible next price: 14/1
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
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Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Racing silksThe Angel KingDraw 7
Trainer: Ian Williams
Jockey: Charles Bishop
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Ian Williams (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 66/593; first seen between 10am and 1pm 45/593; first seen after 1pm 21/593.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/6; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/6; first seen after 1pm 0/6.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.32pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 28/98 won (28.6%); Open→SP 27/103 won (26.2%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 33.3% (16/48).
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run21 days ago · 11 Sep 2026
Distance changeUp 1f from last run
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: 4/1 → 18/1 | Avg: 11/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (33%)
15:00Ascot
Opened 14/1Market avg 14/1
14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 ↓ 12/1 → 12/1 ↑ 14/1 → 14/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.32pp (+4.5%)
NR adjusted
Genuine shortening after removing the measured NR price effect.
Raw Open → Now: +2.3% • +0.16pp
Measured NR price effect removed: -0.16pp
Latest confirmed post-NR price: 14/1 @ 05:15
NR @ 05:15: 14/1 → 14/1 (-0.16pp removed)
GENUINE NR-ADJUSTED MOVE: +0.32pp
Move evidence
67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
2 of 6 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 2nd at Sandown on 11 Sep 2026 (+15.30pp); and finished 11th at York on 20 Aug 2026 (+1.07pp).
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Sandown, 11 Sep 2026 — 2nd • open 8/1 → final 4/1 (+8.64pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
16/1 17 decimal Midnite
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
AscotToday1m · Class 3 · Good · 11 runners14/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.32ppOpen → now14/1Current; SP pendingPending+0.32ppNR adjusted
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 2 of 6 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: The Angel King is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Sandown · 11 Sep 2026 · 2nd · 1/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Ascot · previous Sandown×Trip (within ½f): Today 1m · previous 7f×Ground: Today Good · previous Good To Soft✓Class: Class 3
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
No positive support trigger.
This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.
Today: +0.32pp
Possible next price: 14/1
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Race market overview as at 05:16
  • Supported0 of 11 runners at +4pp or more
  • Drifting0 of 11 runners at −4pp or worse
  • Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
  • Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.
15:35Ascot • 1m6f34y • Class 1 • Going: Good
3 runners
Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

Racing silksGaliyanDraw 2
Trainer: Andrew Balding
Jockey: James Doyle
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Andrew Balding (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 142/885; first seen between 10am and 1pm 74/885; first seen after 1pm 41/885.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/6; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/6; first seen after 1pm 0/6.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +1.43pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 71/194 won (36.6%); Open→SP 71/207 won (34.3%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 37.3% (38/102).
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run20 days ago · 12 Sep 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Late PM
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: 5/2 → 11/4 | Avg: 5/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Late money horse (33%)
15:35Ascot
Opened 3/1Market avg 11/4
11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 ↑ 3/1 → 3/1 ↓ 11/4 ↑ 3/1
PRICE MOVE
+1.43pp (+5.4%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
83th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE83rd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
Only 1 of 6 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 4th at Newmarket on 16 Apr 2026 (+3.41pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 5.4% • +1.43 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Newmarket, 09 Jul 2026 — 2nd • open 10/3 → final 11/4 (+3.57pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
3/1 4 decimal 7Bet
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
AscotToday1m 6f 34y · Class 1 · Good · 6 runners3/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+1.43ppOpen → now11/4Current; SP pendingPending+1.43pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 1 of 6 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Galiyan is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Newmarket · 09 Jul 2026 · 2nd · 1/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Ascot · previous Newmarket×Trip (within ½f): Today 1m 6f 34y · previous 1m 5f×Ground: Today Good · previous Good To Firm✓Class: Class 1
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have usually held or strengthened.
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
No positive support trigger.
This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.
Today: +1.43pp
Possible next price: 10/3
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Ascot. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Racing silksGuildmasterDraw 1
Trainer: John & Thady Gosden
Jockey: William Buick
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer John & Thady Gosden (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 74/369; first seen between 10am and 1pm 32/369; first seen after 1pm 17/369.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/4; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/4; first seen after 1pm 0/4.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.06pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 33/92 won (35.9%); Open→SP 34/93 won (36.6%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 48.8% (21/43).
⬆ CLASS RISE
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run27 days ago · 5 Sep 2026
Distance changeUp 2.2f from last run
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Late PM
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Late money horse (75%)
15:35Ascot
Opened 25/1Market avg 25/1
25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 ↑ 28/1 ↓ 25/1 → 25/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.06pp (+1.5%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 1 of 4 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 8th at Ascot on 18 Jun 2026 (+1.49pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 1.5% • +0.06 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Ascot, 18 Jun 2026 — 8th • open 50/1 → final 33/1 (+0.98pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
28/1 29 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
AscotToday1m 6f 34y · Class 1 · Good · 6 runners25/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.06ppOpen → now25/1Current; SP pendingPending+0.06pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 1 of 4 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. It is also stepping up from Class 2 to Class 1, which adds another test today. Today’s move: Guildmaster is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This early support is unusual; the price has often drifted again later. (strong)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
4 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: +0.06pp
Possible next price: 25/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
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Course record
Course evidence at Ascot is limited (2 runs without making the frame). Today's market is close to its historical average against an average course SP profile of 23.5.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Racing silksGone ByDraw 5
Trainer: Ralph Beckett
Jockey: Hector Crouch
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Ralph Beckett (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 91/532; first seen between 10am and 1pm 38/532; first seen after 1pm 21/532.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/4; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/4; first seen after 1pm 0/4.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.05pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 27/109 won (24.8%); Open→SP 27/112 won (24.1%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 27.1% (16/59).
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run62 days ago · 1 Aug 2026
Distance changeUp 2.2f from last run
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 1/6 → 11/8 | Avg: 8/11Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (25%)
15:35Ascot
Opened 28/1Market avg 28/1
28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 ↑ 33/1 → 33/1 ↓ 28/1 ↑ 33/1 ↓ 25/1 ↑ 33/1 ↑ 33/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.05pp (+1.5%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 1 of 4 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 2nd at Ascot on 08 May 2026 (+10.34pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 1.5% • +0.05 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Ascot, 08 May 2026 — 2nd • open 11/8 → final 4/6 (+17.86pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
33/1 36 decimal 7Bet
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
AscotToday1m 6f 34y · Class 1 · Good · 6 runners28/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.05ppOpen → now28/1Current; SP pendingPending+0.05pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 1 of 4 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Gone By is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Ascot · 08 May 2026 · 2nd · 2/4 known conditions match
✓Track: Ascot×Trip (within ½f): Today 1m 6f 34y · previous 1m 1f 212y✓Ground: Good×Class: Today Class 1 · previous Class 2
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have usually held or strengthened.
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
No positive support trigger.
This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.
Today: +0.05pp
Possible next price: 40/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
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Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Ascot. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Race market overview as at 05:16
  • Supported0 of 6 runners at +4pp or more
  • Drifting0 of 6 runners at −4pp or worse
  • Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
  • Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.
16:10Ascot • 0m6f0y • Class 2 • Going: Good
10 runners
Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

Racing silksAnnafDraw 2
Trainer: Michael Appleby
Jockey: Jason Watson
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Michael Appleby (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 53/438; first seen between 10am and 1pm 21/438; first seen after 1pm 17/438.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/9; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/9; first seen after 1pm 0/9.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.16pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 13/63 won (20.6%); Open→SP 13/65 won (20%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 32.4% (11/34).
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run20 days ago · 12 Sep 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Late PM
Runs: 9 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (33%)
16:10Ascot
Opened 11/2Market avg 11/2
11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 ↓ 5/1 ↑ 6/1 ↓ 11/2 → 11/2
PRICE MOVE
+0.16pp (+1.0%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
3 of 9 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 4th at Doncaster on 12 Sep 2026 (+1.42pp); finished 7th at Ascot on 11 Jul 2026 (+1.67pp); and finished 3rd at Newcastle (AW) on 27 Jun 2026 (+1.19pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 1% • +0.16 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Doncaster, 12 Sep 2026 — 4th • open 25/1 → final 18/1 (+1.42pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
6/1 7 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
AscotToday6f · Class 2 · Good · 18 runners11/2—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.16ppOpen → now11/2Current; SP pendingPending+0.16pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 3 of 9 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Annaf is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.Comparable moves have had few top-two finishes. Be cautious.
Did the early price move fade?

No documented early-support reversal in this horse’s recorded checkpoint sample. The older wording referred to finishing results, not a verified intraday price fade.

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
9 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: +0.16pp
Possible next price: 11/2
9 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
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Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Ascot. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Racing silksIronwillDraw 11
Trainer: Stuart Williams
Jockey: Marco Ghiani
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Stuart Williams (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 47/380; first seen between 10am and 1pm 27/380; first seen after 1pm 15/380.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/8; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/8; first seen after 1pm 0/8.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.32pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 16/55 won (29.1%); Open→SP 20/57 won (35.1%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 45.2% (14/31).
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run19 days ago · 13 Sep 2026
Distance changeDown 1f from last run
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 8 | Fixed-odds range: 15/8 → 9/1 | Avg: 11/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (38%)
16:10Ascot
Opened 6/1Market avg 6/1
6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 ↓ 11/2 → 11/2 ↑ 13/2 ↓ 6/1 → 6/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.32pp (+2.2%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
4 of 8 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 3rd at Doncaster on 13 Sep 2026 (+0.65pp); finished 2nd at Goodwood on 01 Aug 2026 (+0.83pp); finished 1st at Newmarket (July) on 04 Jul 2026 (+8.89pp); and finished 5th at Newmarket on 16 Apr 2026 (+2.83pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 2.2% • +0.32 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Newmarket (July), 04 Jul 2026 — 1st • open 13/2 → final 15/8 (+21.39pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
13/2 7.5 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
AscotToday6f · Class 2 · Good · 18 runners6/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.32ppOpen → now6/1Current; SP pendingPending+0.32pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

4 of 8 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Ironwill is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Goodwood · 01 Aug 2026 · 2nd · 1/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Ascot · previous Goodwood×Trip (within ½f): Today 6f · previous 7f×Ground: Today Good · previous Good To Firm✓Class: Class 2
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have usually held or strengthened.
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
No positive support trigger.
This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.
Today: +0.32pp
Possible next price: 13/2
8 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
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Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Racing silksBolo NeighsDraw 5
Trainer: Ralph Beckett
Jockey: Rossa Ryan
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Ralph Beckett (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 91/532; first seen between 10am and 1pm 38/532; first seen after 1pm 21/532.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/8; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/8; first seen after 1pm 1/8.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.13pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 27/109 won (24.8%); Open→SP 27/112 won (24.1%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 27.1% (16/59).
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run55 days ago · 8 Aug 2026
Distance changeUp 1f from last run
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 8 | Fixed-odds range: 12/1 → 16/1 | Avg: 14/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Best at SP (38%)
16:10Ascot
Opened 9/1Market avg 9/1
17/2 ↑ 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 ↓ 17/2 ↑ 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.13pp (+1.3%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
63th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE63rd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
3 of 8 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 6th at Ascot on 25 Jul 2026 (+2.31pp); finished 8th at Chester on 13 Jun 2026 (+0.79pp); and finished 6th at Kempton (AW) on 11 Feb 2026 (+0.91pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 1.3% • +0.13 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Ascot, 25 Jul 2026 — 6th • open 12/1 → final 11/2 (+7.69pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
10/1 11 decimal Midnite
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
AscotToday6f · Class 2 · Good · 18 runners9/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.13ppOpen → now9/1Current; SP pendingPending+0.13pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 3 of 8 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Bolo Neighs is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Ascot · 08 May 2026 · 1st · 3/4 known conditions match
✓Track: Ascot✓Trip (within ½f): 6f✓Ground: Good×Class: Today Class 2 · previous Class 3
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.Comparable moves have had few top-two finishes. Be cautious.
Did the early price move fade?

No documented early-support reversal in this horse’s recorded checkpoint sample. The older wording referred to finishing results, not a verified intraday price fade.

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
No positive support trigger.
This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.
Today: +0.13pp
Possible next price: 10/1
8 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
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Course record
Course evidence at Ascot stands at 1 placed effort from 4 runs. Today's market is 19% shorter than usual compared with a long-term course average SP of 12.1.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Racing silksAnother AbbotDraw 4
Trainer: William Haggas
Jockey: Tom Marquand
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer William Haggas (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 100/599; first seen between 10am and 1pm 47/599; first seen after 1pm 48/599.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/7; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/7; first seen after 1pm 1/7.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.35pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 39/127 won (30.7%); Open→SP 51/161 won (31.7%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 34.2% (26/76).
⬆ CLASS RISE
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run15 days ago · 17 Sep 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 5/2 → 9/1 | Avg: 6/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (43%)
16:10Ascot
Opened 12/1Market avg 11/1
11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 ↑ 12/1 → 12/1 ↓ 11/1 ↑ 12/1 ↓ 11/1 ↑ 12/1 → 12/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.35pp (+4.3%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
71th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE71st HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
2 of 7 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 2nd at Yarmouth on 17 Sep 2026 (+4.08pp); and finished 1st at Windsor on 27 Jul 2026 (+3.42pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 4.3% • +0.35 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Windsor, 27 Jul 2026 — 1st • open 12/1 → final 6/1 (+6.59pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
14/1 15 decimal Midnite
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
AscotToday6f · Class 2 · Good · 18 runners12/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.35ppOpen → now11/1Current; SP pendingPending+0.35pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 2 of 7 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. It is also stepping up from Class 3 to Class 2, which adds another test today. Today’s move: Another Abbot is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Yarmouth · 17 Sep 2026 · 2nd · 2/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Ascot · previous Yarmouth✓Trip (within ½f): 6f✓Ground: Good×Class: Today Class 2 · previous Class 3
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
No positive support trigger.
This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.
Today: +0.35pp
Possible next price: 14/1
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
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Course record
No placed efforts from 2 previous runs at Ascot. The current market is 17% shorter than usual compared with a typical course SP of 15.0.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Racing silksFandomDraw 16
Trainer: Richard Hannon
Jockey: Pat Dobbs
🔴 Ignores MarketThis horse has won or placed despite drifting. Market weakness does NOT negatively impact performance. Can be a value angle when price weakens.
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Richard Hannon (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 94/764; first seen between 10am and 1pm 47/764; first seen after 1pm 34/764.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/10; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/10; first seen after 1pm 0/10.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.09pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 29/121 won (24%); Open→SP 31/138 won (22.5%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 28.8% (19/66).
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run6 days ago · 26 Sep 2026
Distance changeUp 1f from last run
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 10 | Fixed-odds range: 13/2 → 11/1 | Avg: 17/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (40%)
16:10Ascot
Opened 16/1Market avg 16/1
16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 ↑ 18/1 ↓ 14/1 ↑ 16/1 → 16/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.09pp (+1.5%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
70th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE70th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
3 of 10 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 24th at Goodwood on 01 Aug 2026 (+1.12pp); finished 3rd at Ascot on 11 Jul 2026 (+2.43pp); and finished 4th at Windsor on 29 Jun 2026 (+13.19pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 1.5% • +0.09 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Windsor, 29 Jun 2026 — 4th • open 11/2 → final 5/2 (+13.19pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
18/1 19 decimal BetMGM
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
AscotToday6f · Class 2 · Good · 18 runners16/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.09ppOpen → now16/1Current; SP pendingPending+0.09pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 3 of 10 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Fandom is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Thirsk · 31 May 2026 · 1st · 3/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Ascot · previous Thirsk✓Trip (within ½f): 6f✓Ground: Good✓Class: Class 2
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
No positive support trigger.
This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.
Today: +0.09pp
Possible next price: 16/1
10 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Course record
Course evidence at Ascot is limited (3 runs without making the frame). Today's market is 27% shorter than usual against an average course SP profile of 23.0.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Racing silksDiligentlyDraw 12
Trainer: Clive Cox
Jockey: Pierre-Louis Jamin
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Clive Cox (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 49/297; first seen between 10am and 1pm 13/297; first seen after 1pm 14/297.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 2/7; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/7; first seen after 1pm 0/7.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.06pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 12/49 won (24.5%); Open→SP 16/61 won (26.2%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 41.4% (12/29).
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run27 days ago · 5 Sep 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 13/2 → 15/2 | Avg: 7/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (43%)
16:10Ascot
Opened 16/1Market avg 16/1
16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 ↓ 14/1 → 14/1 ↑ 20/1 ↓ 16/1 → 16/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.06pp (+1.1%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
57th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE57th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
3 of 7 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 2nd at Windsor on 10 Aug 2026 (+1.76pp); finished 8th at Windsor on 11 May 2026 (+6.82pp); and finished 4th at Goodwood on 01 May 2026 (+6.82pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 1.1% • +0.06 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Windsor, 11 May 2026 — 8th • open 9/2 → final 11/4 (+8.48pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
20/1 21 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
AscotToday6f · Class 2 · Good · 18 runners16/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.06ppOpen → now16/1Current; SP pendingPending+0.06pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 3 of 7 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Diligently is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Windsor · 10 Aug 2026 · 2nd · 2/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Ascot · previous Windsor✓Trip (within ½f): 6f×Ground: Today Good · previous Good To Firm✓Class: Class 2
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Both previous top-two finishes came with support of 0.65pp+.
At 0.65pp+: 2/4 finished 1st or 2nd (50%).
Today: +0.06pp — trigger not reached.
Possible next price: 18/1
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Course record
Course evidence at Ascot is limited (2 runs without making the frame). Today's market is 72% bigger than usual against an average course SP profile of 9.8.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Racing silksIntense VisionDraw 6
Trainer: Oli Rix
Jockey: Jonny Peate
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Oli Rix (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 6/62; first seen between 10am and 1pm 2/62; first seen after 1pm 5/62.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/5; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/5; first seen after 1pm 0/5.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.04pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 2/8 won (25%); Open→SP 3/11 won (27.3%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 40% (2/5).
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run19 days ago · 13 Sep 2026
Distance changeDown 1f from last run
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (60%)
16:10Ascot
Opened 25/1Market avg 25/1
25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.04pp (+1.0%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
80th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE80th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
Only 1 of 5 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 10th at Doncaster on 13 Sep 2026 (+5.10pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 1% • +0.04 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Doncaster, 13 Sep 2026 — 10th • open 14/1 → final 13/2 (+6.67pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
28/1 29 decimal Midnite
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
AscotToday6f · Class 2 · Good · 18 runners25/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.04ppOpen → now25/1Current; SP pendingPending+0.04pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 1 of 5 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Intense Vision is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (strong)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
5 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: +0.04pp
Possible next price: 25/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Ascot. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Racing silksRay Mon DoughDraw 15
Trainer: Oliver Cole
Jockey: Hector Crouch
🟢 Needs Support (23%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Oliver Cole (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 21/136; first seen between 10am and 1pm 8/136; first seen after 1pm 6/136.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/6; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/6; first seen after 1pm 2/6.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.63pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 6/25 won (24%); Open→SP 6/26 won (23.1%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 30.8% (4/13).
⬆ CLASS RISE
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run27 days ago · 5 Sep 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 historical matches

1/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: 11/8 → 9/2 | Avg: 3/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Early money horse (50%)
16:10Ascot
Opened 33/1Market avg 28/1
28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 ↓ 25/1 ↑ 28/1 → 28/1 ↑ 28/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.63pp (+18.5%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
2 of 6 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 2nd at Lingfield on 18 May 2026 (+2.80pp); and finished 6th at Kempton (AW) on 30 Apr 2026 (+25.69pp).
1/2 placed when backed like this (50%).
When backed like this: 0/2 WON
Raw Open → Now price change: 18.5% • +0.63 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Kempton (AW), 30 Apr 2026 — 6th • open 11/4 → final 6/5 (+18.79pp).

All 2 comparable backed runs (1st or 2nd counts as placed):

  • Windsor, 17 Aug 2026 — 8th • open 5/2 → final 7/4
  • Lingfield, 18 May 2026 — 2nd • open 11/2 → final 9/2
BEST FIXED ODDS
33/1 34 decimal Midnite
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
AscotToday6f · Class 2 · Good · 18 runners33/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.63ppOpen → now28/1Current; SP pendingPending+0.63pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 2 of 6 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. When backed in a similar way previously, it finished first or second in 1 of 2 runs. It is also stepping up from Class 3 to Class 2, which adds another test today. Today’s move: Ray Mon Dough is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Lingfield · 18 May 2026 · 2nd · 2/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Ascot · previous Lingfield✓Trip (within ½f): 6f✓Ground: Good×Class: Today Class 2 · previous Class 4
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Both previous top-two finishes came with support of 2.79pp+.
At 2.79pp+: 2/4 finished 1st or 2nd (50%).
Today: +0.63pp — trigger not reached.
Possible next price: 33/1
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Racing silksWiltshireDraw 13
Trainer: William Haggas
Jockey: Clifford Lee
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer William Haggas (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 100/599; first seen between 10am and 1pm 47/599; first seen after 1pm 48/599.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/7; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/7; first seen after 1pm 0/7.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.32pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 39/127 won (30.7%); Open→SP 51/161 won (31.7%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 34.2% (26/76).
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run13 days ago · 19 Sep 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 historical matches

1/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 7/1 → 7/1 | Avg: 7/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Best at SP (43%)
16:10Ascot
Opened 33/1Market avg 33/1
28/1 ↑ 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 ↓ 28/1 ↓ 25/1 ↓ 22/1 ↑ 33/1 ↑ 33/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.32pp (+10.4%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
71th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE71st HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
2 of 7 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 1st at Newcastle (AW) on 03 Apr 2026 (+0.65pp); and finished 5th at Lingfield (AW) on 14 Feb 2026 (+3.33pp).
1/2 placed when backed like this (50%).
When backed like this: 1/2 WON
Raw Open → Now price change: 10.4% • +0.32 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Lingfield (AW), 14 Feb 2026 — 5th • open 5/1 → final 9/2 (+1.52pp).

All 2 comparable backed runs (1st or 2nd counts as placed):

  • Newcastle (AW), 03 Apr 2026 — 1st • open 8/1 → final 7/1
  • Lingfield (AW), 14 Feb 2026 — 5th • open 5/1 → final 9/2
BEST FIXED ODDS
40/1 41 decimal Midnite
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
AscotToday6f · Class 2 · Good · 18 runners33/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.32ppOpen → now33/1Current; SP pendingPending+0.32pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 2 of 7 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. When backed in a similar way previously, it finished first or second in 1 of 2 runs. Today’s move: Wiltshire is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Newcastle (AW) · 03 Apr 2026 · 1st · 2/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Ascot · previous Newcastle (AW)✓Trip (within ½f): 6f×Ground: Today Good · previous Standard✓Class: Class 2
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
The price has been unpredictable before and may move sharply again. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
7 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.
Today: +0.32pp
Possible next price: 40/1
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Racing silksOrion's BeltDraw 1
Trainer: Richard Hannon
Jockey: William Buick
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Richard Hannon (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 94/764; first seen between 10am and 1pm 47/764; first seen after 1pm 34/764.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 2 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.13pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 29/121 won (24%); Open→SP 31/138 won (22.5%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 28.8% (19/66).
↔ SAME CLASS
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run27 days ago · 5 Sep 2026
Distance changeDown 2f from last run
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
16:10Ascot
Opened 33/1Market avg 33/1
33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 ↓ 28/1 ↑ 33/1 ↑ 33/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.13pp (+4.6%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
Raw Open → Now price change: 4.6% • +0.13 probability points
Previous market evidence

No previous positive open-to-final support in the recorded sample.

BEST FIXED ODDS
40/1 41 decimal Midnite
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
AscotToday6f · Class 2 · Good · 18 runners33/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.13ppOpen → now33/1Current; SP pendingPending+0.13pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Orion's Belt is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.
2 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.
Today: +0.13pp
Possible next price: 40/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Ascot. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Race market overview as at 05:16
  • Supported0 of 18 runners at +4pp or more
  • Drifting0 of 18 runners at −4pp or worse
  • Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
  • Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.
16:45Ascot • 1m7f209y • Class 3 • Going: Good
4 runners
Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

Racing silksCranachanDraw 5
Trainer: Ralph Beckett
Jockey: Rossa Ryan
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Ralph Beckett (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 91/532; first seen between 10am and 1pm 38/532; first seen after 1pm 21/532.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/5; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/5; first seen after 1pm 0/5.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +2.07pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 27/109 won (24.8%); Open→SP 27/112 won (24.1%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 27.1% (16/59).
⬆ CLASS RISE
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run41 days ago · 22 Aug 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 5/6 → 11/2 | Avg: 7/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (40%)
16:45Ascot
Opened 6/5Market avg 11/10
11/10 → 11/10 → 11/10 → 11/10 → 11/10 → 11/10 → 11/10 ↑ 6/5 ↓ 11/10 → 11/10
PRICE MOVE
+2.07pp (+4.4%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILETHE STRONGEST MOVE RECORDED (100th percentile)
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest support recorded across 5 previous runs.
Raw Open → Now price change: 4.4% • +2.07 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Catterick, 22 Apr 2026 — 1st • open 10/11 → final 5/6 (+2.29pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
6/5 2.2 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
AscotToday1m 7f 209y · Class 3 · Good · 6 runners6/5—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+2.07ppOpen → now11/10Current; SP pendingPending+2.07pp
MARKET FORM READTHIS IS THE HORSE’S STRONGEST RECORDED SUPPORT

Across 5 previous runs, this is the horse’s strongest recorded support. It is also stepping up from Class 4 to Class 3, which adds another test today. Today’s move: Cranachan is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Chester · 22 Aug 2026 · 1st · 1/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Ascot · previous Chester✓Trip (within ½f): 1m 7f 209y×Ground: Today Good · previous Good To Soft×Class: Today Class 3 · previous Class 4
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
No positive support trigger.
This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.
Today: +2.07pp
Possible next price: 11/10
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Racing silksHot FussDraw 6
Trainer: Tom Dascombe
Jockey: Pierre-Louis Jamin
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Tom Dascombe (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 12/131; first seen between 10am and 1pm 12/131; first seen after 1pm 4/131.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/5; first seen between 10am and 1pm 1/5; first seen after 1pm 0/5.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.48pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 6/23 won (26.1%); Open→SP 6/24 won (25%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 40% (4/10).
⬇ CLASS DROP
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run175 days ago · 10 Apr 2026
Distance changeDown 4.1f from last run
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 10/1 → 25/1 | Avg: 18/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (40%)
16:45Ascot
Opened 3/1Market avg 3/1
3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 ↓ 11/4 ↑ 3/1 → 3/1 ↓ 5/2 ↑ 3/1 ↓ 11/4 ↑ 3/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.48pp (+1.9%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
80th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE80th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
Only 1 of 5 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 4th at Sandown on 03 Jan 2026 (+1.82pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 1.9% • +0.48 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Sandown, 03 Jan 2026 — 4th • open 9/2 → final 11/4 (+8.48pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
7/2 4.5 decimal Betfair Sportsbook
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
AscotToday1m 7f 209y · Class 3 · Good · 6 runners3/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.48ppOpen → now3/1Current; SP pendingPending+0.48pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 1 of 5 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. The horse drops from Class 1 to Class 3, but the market has not responded with meaningful support. Today’s move: Hot Fuss is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Windsor · 16 Jan 2026 · 1st · 1/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Ascot · previous Windsor✓Trip (within ½f): 1m 7f 209y×Ground: Today Good · previous Soft×Class: Today Class 3 · previous Class 2
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
No positive support trigger.
This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.
Today: +0.48pp
Possible next price: 3/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Racing silksVaguely RoyalDraw 4
Trainer: Ian Williams
Jockey: William Buick
🟢 Needs Support (30%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Ian Williams (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 66/593; first seen between 10am and 1pm 45/593; first seen after 1pm 21/593.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 3/12; first seen between 10am and 1pm 1/12; first seen after 1pm 0/12.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.18pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 28/98 won (28.6%); Open→SP 27/103 won (26.2%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 33.3% (16/48).
⬆ CLASS RISE
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run38 days ago · 25 Aug 2026
Distance changeDown 2.2f from last run
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 12 | Fixed-odds range: 7/2 → 7/1 | Avg: 5/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (33%)
16:45Ascot
Opened 6/1Market avg 6/1
6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 ↓ 11/2 ↑ 13/2 ↓ 6/1 → 6/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.18pp (+1.2%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
6 of 12 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 6th at Musselburgh on 25 Aug 2026 (+1.13pp); finished 1st at York on 24 Jul 2026 (+8.24pp); finished 3rd at Ripon on 17 May 2026 (+6.14pp); finished 3rd at Southwell (AW) on 23 Apr 2026 (+15.15pp); finished 9th at Lingfield (AW) on 03 Apr 2026 (+0.50pp); and finished 6th at Southwell (AW) on 04 Mar 2026 (+3.57pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 1.2% • +0.18 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Southwell (AW), 23 Apr 2026 — 3rd • open 9/2 → final 7/4 (+18.18pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
13/2 7.5 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
AscotToday1m 7f 209y · Class 3 · Good · 6 runners6/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.18ppOpen → now6/1Current; SP pendingPending+0.18pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

6 of 12 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. It is also stepping up from Class 4 to Class 3, which adds another test today. Today’s move: Vaguely Royal is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: York · 24 Jul 2026 · 1st · 1/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Ascot · previous York✓Trip (within ½f): 1m 7f 209y×Ground: Today Good · previous Good To Firm×Class: Today Class 3 · previous Class 4
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.Comparable moves have had few top-two finishes. Be cautious.
Did the early price move fade?

Recorded examples where 5pp+ early support was followed by a longer final price:

  • Musselburgh, 25 Aug 2026 — 6th • open 13/2 → 1pm 4/1 → final 9/2
  • Ripon, 17 May 2026 — 3rd • open 17/2 → 10am 5/1 → final 6/1
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
Both previous top-two finishes came with support of 2.49pp+.
At 2.49pp+: 2/5 finished 1st or 2nd (40%).
Today: +0.18pp — trigger not reached.
Possible next price: 6/1
12 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Racing silksShipshapeDraw 1
Trainer: Bernard Llewellyn
Jockey: Isobelle Chalmers(7)
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
PRO RACECARD ↗
Horse & Trainer Evidence
When has support appeared?

Trainer Bernard Llewellyn (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 22/124; first seen between 10am and 1pm 6/124; first seen after 1pm 4/124.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 2/9; first seen between 10am and 1pm 1/9; first seen after 1pm 0/9.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.07pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 4/23 won (17.4%); Open→SP 6/20 won (30%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
⬇ CLASS DROP
Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral
Last run20 days ago · 12 Sep 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 9 | Fixed-odds range: 11/8 → 13/2 | Avg: 3/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (33%)
16:45Ascot
Opened 17/2Market avg 17/2
17/2 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 17/2 → 17/2 → 17/2 → 17/2 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 9/1 ↓ 17/2 → 17/2
PRICE MOVE
+0.07pp (+0.7%)
Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.
Move evidence
44th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE44th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
5 of 9 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 2nd at Chester on 27 Jun 2026 (+2.56pp); finished 1st at Hamilton on 27 May 2026 (+3.99pp); finished 2nd at Thirsk on 02 May 2026 (+8.57pp); finished 1st at Southwell (AW) on 15 Apr 2026 (+6.82pp); and finished 2nd at Wolverhampton (AW) on 31 Mar 2026 (+4.29pp).
Raw Open → Now price change: 0.7% • +0.07 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Thirsk, 02 May 2026 — 2nd • open 4/1 → final 15/8 (+14.72pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS
9/1 10 decimal Bet365
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → 1pm1pmLast → SP/NowSP / currentFinishTotal pp
AscotToday1m 7f 209y · Class 3 · Good · 6 runners17/2—No checkpoint——No checkpoint—+0.07ppOpen → now17/2Current; SP pendingPending+0.07pp
MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

5 of 9 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. The horse drops from Class 2 to Class 3, but the market has not responded with meaningful support. Today’s move: Shipshape is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Chester · 27 Jun 2026 · 2nd · 2/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Ascot · previous Chester✓Trip (within ½f): 1m 7f 209y✓Ground: Good×Class: Today Class 3 · previous Class 4
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have usually held or strengthened.
HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER
No positive support trigger.
This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.
Today: +0.07pp
Possible next price: 17/2
9 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Race market overview as at 05:16
  • Supported0 of 6 runners at +4pp or more
  • Drifting0 of 6 runners at −4pp or worse
  • Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
  • Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.
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