Live Horse Racing Market Movement

13:50Ascot • 0m7f0y • Class 4 • Going: Good

18 runners

Market Intelligence

Strongest support: The Bitter Moose (+0.17 probability points)

Weakest support: Lequinto (-0.43 probability points)

Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

TexDraw 3

Trainer: George Baker

Jockey: Mr Simon Walker

🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer George Baker (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 14/141; first seen between 10am and 1pm 6/141; first seen after 1pm 6/141.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/7; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/7; first seen after 1pm 1/7.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.02pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

↔ SAME CLASS

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run28 days ago · 4 Sep 2026

Distance changeDown 1f from last run

No consistent price pattern yet

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Opening

Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 9/4 → 18/1 | Avg: 8/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

Early money horse (29%)

13:50Ascot

Opened 10/3Market avg 10/3

10/3 → 10/3 → 10/3 ↑ 7/2 ↓ 10/3 → 10/3 → 10/3 → 10/3 ↑ 7/2 ↓ 10/3

PRICE MOVE

-0.02pp (-0.1%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

71th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE71st HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

2 of 7 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 2nd at Brighton on 05 Aug 2026 (-4.95pp); and finished 12th at Kempton (AW) on 27 May 2026 (-3.33pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 0.1% • -0.02 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Brighton, 05 Aug 2026 — 2nd • open 7/4 → final 10/3 (-12.62pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

7/2 4.5 decimal Bet Victor

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
AscotToday7f · Class 4 · Good · 18 runners	10/3	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.02ppOpen → now	10/3Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.02pp
Ascot04 Sep 20261m · Class 4 · Good · 11 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	4/1	+9.94ppOpen → 10am	9/4	+2.56pp10am → 1pm	2/1	+0.00pp1pm → SP	2/1	1st	+12.50pp
Post-race comment
Brighton05 Aug 20267f 216y · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 9 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	7/4	-4.95ppOpen → 10am	9/4	-5.77pp10am → 1pm	3/1	+0.00pp1pm → SP	3/1	2nd	-10.71pp
Post-race comment
Ascot24 Jul 20267f · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 11 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	12/1	+0.55ppOpen → 10am	12/1	-2.43pp10am → 1pm	18/1	+2.43pp1pm → SP	12/1	1st	+0.55pp
Post-race comment
Leicester09 May 20267f · Class 5 · Good To Firm · 9 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	17/2	+1.24ppOpen → 10am	15/2	-0.65pp10am → 1pm	8/1	+4.27pp1pm → SP	11/2	2nd	+4.86pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
AscotToday7f · Class 4 · Good · 18 runners	10/3	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.02ppOpen → now	10/3Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.02pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 2 of 7 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Tex is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Ascot · 04 Sep 2026 · 1st · 3/4 known conditions match

✓Track: Ascot×Trip (within ½f): Today 7f · previous 1m✓Ground: Good✓Class: Class 4

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

Similar moves have usually held or strengthened.

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

No positive support trigger.

This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.

Today: -0.02pp

Possible next price: 10/3

7 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Course record
This runner has made the frame 2 times from 2 starts at Ascot. Historical course average SP is 8.0, while today's market is 46% shorter than usual.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

TolstoyDraw 4

Trainer: Brian Ellison

Jockey: Mr Matt Brown(3)

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Brian Ellison (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 32/351; first seen between 10am and 1pm 23/351; first seen after 1pm 14/351.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/6; first seen between 10am and 1pm 2/6; first seen after 1pm 1/6.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.03pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

⬆ CLASS RISE

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run21 days ago · 11 Sep 2026

Distance changeDown 1f from last run

No consistent price pattern yet

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Pre-Off

Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: 8/1 → 8/1 | Avg: 8/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

Early money horse (33%)

13:50Ascot

Opened 15/2Market avg 15/2

15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2

PRICE MOVE

-0.03pp (-0.3%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

2 of 6 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 17th at Ripon on 15 Aug 2026 (-0.90pp); and finished 14th at York on 24 Jul 2026 (-5.23pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 0.3% • -0.03 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: York, 24 Jul 2026 — 14th • open 8/1 → final 18/1 (-5.85pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

8/1 9 decimal Midnite

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
AscotToday7f · Class 4 · Good · 18 runners	15/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.03ppOpen → now	15/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.03pp
Doncaster11 Sep 20261m · Class 5 · Good · 13 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	10/1	+1.44ppOpen → 10am	17/2	+6.14pp10am → 1pm	5/1	-5.56pp1pm → SP	8/1	1st	+2.02pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
AscotToday7f · Class 4 · Good · 18 runners	15/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.03ppOpen → now	15/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.03pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 2 of 6 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. It is also stepping up from Class 5 to Class 4, which adds another test today. Today’s move: Tolstoy is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Doncaster · 11 Sep 2026 · 1st · 1/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Ascot · previous Doncaster×Trip (within ½f): Today 7f · previous 1m✓Ground: Good×Class: Today Class 4 · previous Class 5

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

Limited data: one similar run only.

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

6 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.

Today: -0.03pp

Possible next price: 15/2

6 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Norcross BrowDraw 18

Trainer: Charlie Clover

Jockey: Mr Henry Callan

🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Charlie Clover (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 26/102; first seen between 10am and 1pm 11/102; first seen after 1pm 2/102.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 4/11; first seen between 10am and 1pm 1/11; first seen after 1pm 0/11.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.00pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 13/32 won (40.6%); Open→SP 11/26 won (42.3%).
Watch for 20pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 60% (3/5).

↔ SAME CLASS

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run22 days ago · 10 Sep 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

No consistent price pattern yet

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Opening

Runs: 11 | Fixed-odds range: 4/5 → 18/1 | Avg: 5/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

10am plunger

Early money horse (36%)

13:50Ascot

Opened 8/1Market avg 8/1

8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 ↑ 17/2 ↓ 8/1 → 8/1

PRICE MOVE

+0.00pp (+0.0%)

No meaningful price change from the open.

Move evidence

55th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE55th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

5 of 11 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 1st at Haydock on 08 Aug 2026 (+2.78pp); finished 1st at Beverley on 28 Jul 2026 (+7.67pp); finished 1st at Brighton on 30 Jun 2026 (+18.28pp); finished 3rd at Newmarket (July) on 26 Jun 2026 (+8.18pp); and finished 6th at Newcastle (AW) on 21 Mar 2026 (+8.81pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 0% • +0.00 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Brighton, 30 Jun 2026 — 1st • open 7/4 → final 4/5 (+19.19pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

17/2 9.5 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
AscotToday7f · Class 4 · Good · 18 runners	8/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.00ppOpen → now	8/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.00pp
Newmarket (July)15 Aug 20267f · Class 5 · Good To Firm · 6 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	5/2	-2.78ppOpen → 10am	3/1	+1.67pp10am → 1pm	11/4	-1.67pp1pm → SP	3/1	2nd	-2.78pp
Post-race comment
Haydock08 Aug 20266f 212y · Class 5 · Good · 8 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	7/2	+2.78ppOpen → 10am	3/1	-1.91pp10am → 1pm	10/3	-3.09pp1pm → SP	4/1	1st	-2.22pp
Post-race comment
Beverley28 Jul 20267f 75y · Class 5 · Good To Firm · 7 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	10/3	+7.67ppOpen → 10am	9/4	+11.25pp10am → 1pm	11/8	+5.60pp1pm → SP	11/10	1st	+24.52pp
Post-race comment
Doncaster09 Jul 20267f 213y · Class 6 · Good To Firm · 7 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	10/11	-15.99ppOpen → 10am	7/4	+1.66pp10am → 1pm	13/8	-1.66pp1pm → SP	7/4	2nd	-15.99pp
Post-race comment
Brighton30 Jun 20266f 210y · Class 6 · Good To Firm · 6 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	7/4	+18.28ppOpen → 10am	5/6	+3.16pp10am → 1pm	8/11	+0.00pp1pm → SP	8/11	1st	+21.44pp
Post-race comment
Southwell (AW)17 Jan 20261m 13y · Class 5 · Standard · 9 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	10/1	-0.76ppOpen → 10am	11/1	-3.07pp10am → 1pm	18/1	-0.50pp1pm → SP	20/1	2nd	-4.33pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
AscotToday7f · Class 4 · Good · 18 runners	8/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.00ppOpen → now	8/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.00pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 5 of 11 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Norcross Brow is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Haydock · 08 Aug 2026 · 1st · 2/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Ascot · previous Haydock✓Trip (within ½f): 7f✓Ground: Good×Class: Today Class 4 · previous Class 5

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

Similar moves have usually held or strengthened.

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

No positive support trigger.

This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.

Today: +0.00pp

Possible next price: 8/1

11 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

SonDraw 13

Trainer: Tim Easterby

Jockey: Mr Thomas Easterby(3)

🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Tim Easterby (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 151/1143; first seen between 10am and 1pm 66/1143; first seen after 1pm 34/1143.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 2/12; first seen between 10am and 1pm 2/12; first seen after 1pm 0/12.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.45pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 45/186 won (24.2%); Open→SP 47/195 won (24.1%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 34.1% (29/85).

↔ SAME CLASS

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run13 days ago · 19 Sep 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

Usually attracts bookmaker support

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Opening

Runs: 12 | Fixed-odds range: 3/1 → 9/1 | Avg: 11/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

10am plunger

Early money horse (50%)

13:50Ascot

Opened 17/2Market avg 8/1

17/2 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 17/2 ↓ 15/2 ↑ 8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 ↑ 17/2 ↓ 15/2 ↑ 17/2

PRICE MOVE

+0.45pp (+4.1%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

58th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE58th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

5 of 12 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 3rd at Beverley on 29 Aug 2026 (+7.02pp); finished 2nd at Carlisle on 19 Aug 2026 (+3.03pp); finished 6th at York on 25 Jul 2026 (+1.39pp); finished 13th at York on 10 Jul 2026 (+0.55pp); and finished 4th at Musselburgh on 30 Jun 2026 (+11.11pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 4.1% • +0.45 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Musselburgh, 30 Jun 2026 — 4th • open 7/2 → final 7/4 (+14.14pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

17/2 9.5 decimal 7Bet

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
AscotToday7f · Class 4 · Good · 18 runners	17/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.45ppOpen → now	8/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.45pp
Ayr19 Sep 20267f 50y · Class 4 · Heavy · 9 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	11/1	+0.00ppOpen → 10am	11/1	+3.43pp10am → 1pm	15/2	+1.57pp1pm → SP	13/2	2nd	+5.00pp
Post-race comment
Carlisle19 Aug 20266f 195y · Class 4 · Good To Soft · 10 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	11/2	+3.03ppOpen → 10am	9/2	+8.48pp10am → 1pm	11/4	-3.57pp1pm → SP	10/3	2nd	+7.94pp
Post-race comment
Haydock09 May 20266f 212y · Class 4 · Good · 10 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	4/1	-4.62ppOpen → 10am	11/2	+0.00pp10am → 1pm	11/2	+4.62pp1pm → SP	4/1	2nd	+0.00pp
Post-race comment
Thirsk18 Apr 20267f · Class 4 · Good · 12 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	10/1	-0.76ppOpen → 10am	11/1	+1.67pp10am → 1pm	9/1	+2.50pp1pm → SP	7/1	2nd	+3.41pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
AscotToday7f · Class 4 · Good · 18 runners	17/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.45ppOpen → now	8/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.45pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 5 of 12 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Son is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Haydock · 09 May 2026 · 2nd · 3/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Ascot · previous Haydock✓Trip (within ½f): 7f✓Ground: Good✓Class: Class 4

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

All 4 previous top-two finishes came with support of 0.9pp+.

At 0.9pp+: 4/8 finished 1st or 2nd (50%).

Today: +0.45pp — trigger not reached.

Possible next price: 9/1

12 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

Kaleidoscope EyesDraw 1

Trainer: Bernard Llewellyn

Jockey: Mr Louis Burke(7)

🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Bernard Llewellyn (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 22/124; first seen between 10am and 1pm 6/124; first seen after 1pm 4/124.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/7; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/7; first seen after 1pm 0/7.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.13pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

⬆ CLASS RISE

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run5 days ago · 27 Sep 2026

Distance changeDown 1f from last run

Often drifts in the market

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Early PM

Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 9/2 → 6/1 | Avg: 5/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

Mid-market mover (43%)

13:50Ascot

Opened 8/1Market avg 8/1

8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 ↑ 17/2 ↓ 8/1 → 8/1

PRICE MOVE

-0.13pp (-1.2%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

43th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE43rd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

4 of 7 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 5th at Ffos Las on 21 Aug 2026 (-0.42pp); finished 1st at Ffos Las on 04 Aug 2026 (-2.75pp); finished 4th at Ffos Las on 30 Jun 2026 (-2.32pp); and finished 10th at Chepstow on 06 Jun 2026 (-1.31pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 1.2% • -0.13 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Ffos Las, 04 Aug 2026 — 1st • open 5/2 → final 9/2 (-11.23pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

10/1 11 decimal Midnite

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
AscotToday7f · Class 4 · Good · 18 runners	8/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.13ppOpen → now	8/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.13pp
Ffos Las27 Sep 20261m · Class 6 · Soft · 10 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	13/2	+2.05ppOpen → 10am	11/2	+0.00pp10am → 1pm	11/2	+4.62pp1pm → SP	4/1	1st	+6.67pp
Post-race comment
Chepstow29 Aug 20267f 16y · Class 6 · Good To Soft · 8 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	5/1	+0.00ppOpen → 10am	5/1	-3.33pp10am → 1pm	13/2	+0.00pp1pm → SP	13/2	2nd	-3.33pp
Post-race comment
Ffos Las04 Aug 20267f 80y · Class 6 · Good · 8 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	5/2	-2.75ppOpen → 10am	11/4	-6.67pp10am → 1pm	4/1	+5.00pp1pm → SP	3/1	1st	-4.41pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
AscotToday7f · Class 4 · Good · 18 runners	8/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.13ppOpen → now	8/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.13pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

4 of 7 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. It is also stepping up from Class 6 to Class 4, which adds another test today. Today’s move: Kaleidoscope Eyes is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Ffos Las · 04 Aug 2026 · 1st · 2/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Ascot · previous Ffos Las✓Trip (within ½f): 7f✓Ground: Good×Class: Today Class 4 · previous Class 6

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

This price often moves during the day, so keep checking it. (moderate)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

No positive support trigger.

This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.

Today: -0.13pp

Possible next price: 8/1

7 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

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Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Zabeel AlkabeirDraw 5

Trainer: Gary & Josh Moore

Jockey: Mr Fletcher Yarham

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Gary & Josh Moore (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 52/507; first seen between 10am and 1pm 37/507; first seen after 1pm 21/507.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 2 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.04pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 22/77 won (28.6%); Open→SP 19/81 won (23.5%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 37.9% (11/29).

⬇ CLASS DROP

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run21 days ago · 11 Sep 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

13:50Ascot

Opened 9/1Market avg 9/1

9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 10/1 ↓ 9/1 → 9/1

PRICE MOVE

+0.04pp (+0.4%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

Raw Open → Now price change: 0.4% • +0.04 probability points

Previous market evidence

No previous positive open-to-final support in the recorded sample.

BEST FIXED ODDS

10/1 11 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
AscotToday7f · Class 4 · Good · 18 runners	9/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.04ppOpen → now	9/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.04pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
AscotToday7f · Class 4 · Good · 18 runners	9/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.04ppOpen → now	9/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.04pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. The horse drops from Class 3 to Class 4, but the market has not responded with meaningful support. Today’s move: Zabeel Alkabeir is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

N/A

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

2 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.

Today: +0.04pp

Possible next price: 9/1

No historical data

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

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Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

DannickDraw 16

Trainer: Gary & Josh Moore

Jockey: Mr Hezekiah March(7)

🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Gary & Josh Moore (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 52/507; first seen between 10am and 1pm 37/507; first seen after 1pm 21/507.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/7; first seen between 10am and 1pm 2/7; first seen after 1pm 0/7.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.09pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

↔ SAME CLASS

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run28 days ago · 4 Sep 2026

Distance changeDown 1f from last run

Usually attracts bookmaker support

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Opening

Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 2/1 → 13/2 | Avg: 7/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

10am plunger

Early money horse (57%)

13:50Ascot

Opened 9/1Market avg 9/1

9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1

PRICE MOVE

-0.09pp (-0.9%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

86th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE86th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE

Only 1 of 7 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 2nd at Ascot on 04 Sep 2026 (-3.48pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 0.9% • -0.09 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Ascot, 04 Sep 2026 — 2nd • open 9/2 → final 13/2 (-5.53pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

11/1 12 decimal Midnite

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
AscotToday7f · Class 4 · Good · 18 runners	9/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.09ppOpen → now	9/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.09pp
Ascot04 Sep 20261m · Class 4 · Good · 11 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	9/2	-3.48ppOpen → 10am	11/2	-2.05pp10am → 1pm	13/2	+0.00pp1pm → SP	13/2	2nd	-5.53pp
Post-race comment
Lingfield (AW)25 Aug 20261m 1y · Class 5 · Standard · 9 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	9/2	+4.68ppOpen → 10am	7/2	+0.87pp10am → 1pm	10/3	+0.00pp1pm → SP	10/3	1st	+5.55pp
Post-race comment
Southwell (AW)23 Jul 20267f 14y · Class 5 · Standard · 13 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	11/4	+1.90ppOpen → 10am	5/2	-3.57pp10am → 1pm	3/1	+0.00pp1pm → SP	3/1	2nd	-1.67pp
Post-race comment
Lingfield (AW)13 Jul 20267f 2y · Class 6 · Standard · 10 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	11/2	+4.62ppOpen → 10am	4/1	+6.67pp10am → 1pm	11/4	+6.67pp1pm → SP	2/1	1st	+17.95pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
AscotToday7f · Class 4 · Good · 18 runners	9/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.09ppOpen → now	9/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.09pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 1 of 7 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Dannick is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Ascot · 04 Sep 2026 · 2nd · 3/4 known conditions match

✓Track: Ascot×Trip (within ½f): Today 7f · previous 1m✓Ground: Good✓Class: Class 4

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

No positive support trigger.

This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.

Today: -0.09pp

Possible next price: 9/1

7 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

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Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Ascot. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Kimeko GloryDraw 15

Trainer: Charles Hills

Jockey: Mr James Hills(5)

🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Charles Hills (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 30/237; first seen between 10am and 1pm 11/237; first seen after 1pm 9/237.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 2/10; first seen between 10am and 1pm 1/10; first seen after 1pm 0/10.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.03pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

↔ SAME CLASS

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run16 days ago · 16 Sep 2026

Distance changeDown 1f from last run

No consistent price pattern yet

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Opening

Runs: 10 | Fixed-odds range: 9/4 → 13/2 | Avg: 4/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

10am plunger

Early money horse (50%)

13:50Ascot

Opened 11/1Market avg 11/1

11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 ↑ 12/1 ↓ 11/1 → 11/1

PRICE MOVE

-0.03pp (-0.4%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

80th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE80th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE

2 of 10 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 4th at Newbury on 15 May 2026 (-1.03pp); and finished 2nd at Lingfield (AW) on 03 Jan 2026 (-1.10pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 0.4% • -0.03 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Lingfield (AW), 03 Jan 2026 — 2nd • open 11/2 → final 13/2 (-2.05pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

12/1 13 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
AscotToday7f · Class 4 · Good · 18 runners	11/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.03ppOpen → now	11/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.03pp
Goodwood28 Aug 20261m 1f 11y · Class 5 · Good To Firm · 7 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	5/2	+2.99ppOpen → 10am	9/4	-1.36pp10am → 1pm	5/2	+1.36pp1pm → SP	9/4	2nd	+2.99pp
Post-race comment
Salisbury21 Aug 20261m · Class 5 · Good · 7 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	6/1	+6.11ppOpen → 10am	4/1	+2.22pp10am → 1pm	7/2	-6.84pp1pm → SP	11/2	1st	+1.50pp
Post-race comment
Lingfield (AW)03 Jan 20261m 4f · Class 4 · Standard To Slow · 9 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	11/2	-1.10ppOpen → 10am	6/1	-1.79pp10am → 1pm	7/1	-1.97pp1pm → SP	17/2	2nd	-4.86pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
AscotToday7f · Class 4 · Good · 18 runners	11/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.03ppOpen → now	11/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.03pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 2 of 10 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Kimeko Glory is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Salisbury · 21 Aug 2026 · 1st · 1/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Ascot · previous Salisbury×Trip (within ½f): Today 7f · previous 1m✓Ground: Good×Class: Today Class 4 · previous Class 5

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

No positive support trigger.

This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.

Today: -0.03pp

Possible next price: 11/1

10 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

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Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Bold ImpactDraw 10

Trainer: Rod Millman

Jockey: Mr Patrick Millman

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Rod Millman (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 38/291; first seen between 10am and 1pm 24/291; first seen after 1pm 19/291.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/8; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/8; first seen after 1pm 0/8.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.06pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

↔ SAME CLASS

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run13 days ago · 19 Sep 2026

Distance changeDown 2f from last run

No consistent price pattern yet

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Opening

Runs: 8 | Fixed-odds range: 4/1 → 4/1 | Avg: 4/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

10am plunger

Early money horse (25%)

13:50Ascot

Opened 11/1Market avg 11/1

11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 ↑ 12/1 ↓ 11/1 → 11/1

PRICE MOVE

-0.06pp (-0.7%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

63th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE63rd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

3 of 8 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 1st at Windsor on 13 Jul 2026 (-1.10pp); finished 7th at Windsor on 25 May 2026 (-3.83pp); and had no recorded finishing position at Kempton (AW) on 28 Mar 2026 (-0.40pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 0.7% • -0.06 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Windsor, 25 May 2026 — 7th • open 10/1 → final 25/1 (-5.24pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

12/1 13 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
AscotToday7f · Class 4 · Good · 18 runners	11/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.06ppOpen → now	11/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.06pp
Windsor13 Jul 20261m 31y · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 8 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	11/2	-1.10ppOpen → 10am	6/1	+5.71pp10am → 1pm	4/1	+5.00pp1pm → SP	3/1	1st	+9.62pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
AscotToday7f · Class 4 · Good · 18 runners	11/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.06ppOpen → now	11/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.06pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 3 of 8 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Bold Impact is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Windsor · 13 Jul 2026 · 1st · 1/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Ascot · previous Windsor×Trip (within ½f): Today 7f · previous 1m 31y×Ground: Today Good · previous Good To Firm✓Class: Class 4

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.Comparable moves have had few top-two finishes. Be cautious.

Did the early price move fade?

No documented early-support reversal in this horse’s recorded checkpoint sample. The older wording referred to finishing results, not a verified intraday price fade.

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

7 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.

Today: -0.06pp

Possible next price: 11/1

8 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

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Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

DocumentingDraw 6

Trainer: Kevin & Lauren Frost

Jockey: Mr Lewis Kent(3)

🟢 Needs Support (25%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Kevin & Lauren Frost (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 17/114; first seen between 10am and 1pm 7/114; first seen after 1pm 6/114.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/5; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/5; first seen after 1pm 0/5.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.12pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

⬆ CLASS RISE

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run48 days ago · 15 Aug 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

No consistent price pattern yet

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Early PM

Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 6/1 → 7/1 | Avg: 13/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

10am plunger

Mid-market mover (40%)

13:50Ascot

Opened 11/1Market avg 11/1

11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1

PRICE MOVE

-0.12pp (-1.4%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

40th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE40th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

3 of 5 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 1st at Doncaster on 15 Aug 2026 (-0.91pp); finished 10th at Ascot on 11 Jul 2026 (-9.47pp); and finished 7th at Yarmouth on 21 Apr 2026 (-1.82pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 1.5% • -0.12 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Ascot, 11 Jul 2026 — 10th • open 4/1 → final 9/1 (-10.00pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

14/1 15 decimal Midnite

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
AscotToday7f · Class 4 · Good · 18 runners	11/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.12ppOpen → now	11/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.12pp
Doncaster15 Aug 20267f 6y · Class 5 · Good To Firm · 12 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	9/1	-0.91ppOpen → 10am	10/1	+3.41pp10am → 1pm	7/1	+2.88pp1pm → SP	11/2	1st	+5.38pp
Post-race comment
Newbury23 Jun 20267f · Class 5 · Good To Firm · 12 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	66/1	+7.60ppOpen → 10am	10/1	+4.24pp10am → 1pm	13/2	+9.76pp1pm → SP	10/3	2nd	+21.60pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
AscotToday7f · Class 4 · Good · 18 runners	11/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.12ppOpen → now	11/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.12pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

3 of 5 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. It is also stepping up from Class 5 to Class 4, which adds another test today. Today’s move: Documenting is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Doncaster · 15 Aug 2026 · 1st · 1/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Ascot · previous Doncaster✓Trip (within ½f): 7f×Ground: Today Good · previous Good To Firm×Class: Today Class 4 · previous Class 5

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

This price often moves during the day, so keep checking it. (moderate)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Both previous top-two finishes came with support of 2.49pp+.

At 2.49pp+: 2/2 finished 1st or 2nd (100%).

Today: -0.12pp — trigger not reached.

Possible next price: 11/1

5 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

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Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Ascot. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Rock OperaDraw 12

Trainer: Richard & Peter Fahey

Jockey: Mr Eireann Cagney

🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Richard & Peter Fahey (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 76/608; first seen between 10am and 1pm 28/608; first seen after 1pm 15/608.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 2/9; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/9; first seen after 1pm 1/9.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.08pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 21/84 won (25%); Open→SP 24/79 won (30.4%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 35.5% (11/31).

↔ SAME CLASS

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run29 days ago · 3 Sep 2026

Distance changeUp 0.9f from last run

No consistent price pattern yet

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Opening

Runs: 9 | Fixed-odds range: 3/1 → 9/2 | Avg: 7/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

10am plunger

Early money horse (44%)

13:50Ascot

Opened 12/1Market avg 12/1

12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 ↓ 11/1 ↑ 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 ↓ 11/1 ↑ 12/1

PRICE MOVE

+0.08pp (+1.0%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

33th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE33rd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

6 of 9 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 10th at Southwell (AW) on 03 Sep 2026 (+2.46pp); finished 11th at Doncaster on 15 Aug 2026 (+7.07pp); finished 9th at York on 11 Jul 2026 (+5.38pp); finished 1st at Pontefract on 02 Jun 2026 (+2.80pp); finished 4th at Hamilton on 17 May 2026 (+2.31pp); and finished 3rd at Thirsk on 02 May 2026 (+1.52pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 1% • +0.08 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Doncaster, 15 Aug 2026 — 11th • open 8/1 → final 4/1 (+8.89pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

12/1 13 decimal 7Bet

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
AscotToday7f · Class 4 · Good · 18 runners	12/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.08ppOpen → now	12/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.08pp
Pontefract21 Jun 20266f · Class 3 · Good · 6 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	3/1	+0.00ppOpen → 10am	3/1	+0.00pp10am → 1pm	3/1	+3.57pp1pm → SP	5/2	2nd	+3.57pp
Post-race comment
Pontefract02 Jun 20266f · Class 4 · Good · 9 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	11/2	+2.80ppOpen → 10am	9/2	+1.82pp10am → 1pm	4/1	+0.00pp1pm → SP	4/1	1st	+4.62pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
AscotToday7f · Class 4 · Good · 18 runners	12/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.08ppOpen → now	12/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.08pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

6 of 9 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Rock Opera is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Pontefract · 02 Jun 2026 · 1st · 2/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Ascot · previous Pontefract×Trip (within ½f): Today 7f · previous 6f✓Ground: Good✓Class: Class 4

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

No positive support trigger.

This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.

Today: +0.08pp

Possible next price: 12/1

9 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

Signcastle CityDraw 9

Trainer: Richard Hannon

Jockey: Mr Jack Loughnane(7)

🟢 Needs Support (17%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Richard Hannon (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 94/764; first seen between 10am and 1pm 47/764; first seen after 1pm 34/764.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 2/12; first seen between 10am and 1pm 1/12; first seen after 1pm 0/12.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.35pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 29/121 won (24%); Open→SP 31/138 won (22.5%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 28.8% (19/66).

⬆ CLASS RISE

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run8 days ago · 24 Sep 2026

Distance changeDown 1f from last run

No consistent price pattern yet

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Opening

Runs: 12 | Fixed-odds range: 5/6 → 17/2 | Avg: 9/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

10am plunger

Early money horse (33%)

13:50Ascot

Opened 16/1Market avg 16/1

16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 ↓ 14/1 → 14/1 ↑ 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1

PRICE MOVE

+0.35pp (+5.6%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

58th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE58th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

5 of 12 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 4th at Newmarket on 24 Sep 2026 (+1.57pp); finished 2nd at York on 23 May 2026 (+0.76pp); finished 2nd at Bath on 29 Apr 2026 (+22.62pp); finished 10th at Southwell (AW) on 07 Apr 2026 (+2.31pp); and finished 2nd at Lingfield (AW) on 07 Feb 2026 (+13.89pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 5.6% • +0.35 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Bath, 29 Apr 2026 — 2nd • open 3/1 → final 5/6 (+29.64pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

16/1 17 decimal 7Bet

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
AscotToday7f · Class 4 · Good · 18 runners	16/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.35ppOpen → now	16/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.35pp
York23 May 20267f · Class 4 · Good · 22 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	11/1	+0.76ppOpen → 10am	10/1	+0.00pp10am → 1pm	10/1	+0.91pp1pm → SP	9/1	2nd	+1.67pp
Post-race comment
Bath29 Apr 20261m · Class 5 · Firm · 6 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	3/1	+22.62ppOpen → 10am	11/10	+0.00pp10am → 1pm	11/10	+4.74pp1pm → SP	10/11	2nd	+27.36pp
Post-race comment
Lingfield (AW)07 Feb 20267f 1y · Class 5 · Standard · 9 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	11/1	+13.89ppOpen → 10am	7/2	+0.00pp10am → 1pm	7/2	+0.87pp1pm → SP	10/3	2nd	+14.76pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
AscotToday7f · Class 4 · Good · 18 runners	16/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.35ppOpen → now	16/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.35pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 5 of 12 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. It is also stepping up from Class 5 to Class 4, which adds another test today. Today’s move: Signcastle City is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: York · 23 May 2026 · 2nd · 3/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Ascot · previous York✓Trip (within ½f): 7f✓Ground: Good✓Class: Class 4

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.Comparable moves have had few top-two finishes. Be cautious.

Did the early price move fade?

Recorded examples where 5pp+ early support was followed by a longer final price:

Lingfield (AW), 12 May 2026 — 3rd • open 11/2 → 1pm 7/2 → final 11/2
Lingfield (AW), 07 Feb 2026 — 2nd • open 11/1 → 10am 7/2 → final 4/1

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

All 3 previous top-two finishes came with support of 2.19pp+.

At 2.19pp+: 3/6 finished 1st or 2nd (50%).

Today: +0.35pp — trigger not reached.

Possible next price: 18/1

12 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

Zoulu ChiefDraw 7

Trainer: Heather Main

Jockey: Mr Henry Main(3)

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Heather Main (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 9/103; first seen between 10am and 1pm 5/103; first seen after 1pm 3/103.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/6; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/6; first seen after 1pm 0/6.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.00pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 2/12 won (16.7%); Open→SP 2/13 won (15.4%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.

⬇ CLASS DROP

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run27 days ago · 5 Sep 2026

Distance changeUp 2f from last run

Usually attracts bookmaker support

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Early

Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

10am plunger

Mid-market mover (33%)

13:50Ascot

Opened 16/1Market avg 16/1

16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 ↑ 18/1 ↓ 16/1 → 16/1

PRICE MOVE

+0.00pp (+0.0%)

No meaningful price change from the open.

Move evidence

83th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE83rd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE

Only 1 of 6 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 8th at Sandown on 29 Aug 2026 (+7.54pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 0% • +0.00 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Sandown, 29 Aug 2026 — 8th • open 17/2 → final 5/1 (+6.03pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

18/1 19 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
AscotToday7f · Class 4 · Good · 18 runners	16/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.00ppOpen → now	16/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.00pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
AscotToday7f · Class 4 · Good · 18 runners	16/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.00ppOpen → now	16/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.00pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 1 of 6 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. The horse drops from Class 2 to Class 4, but the market has not responded with meaningful support. Today’s move: Zoulu Chief is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

N/A

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

6 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.

Today: +0.00pp

Possible next price: 16/1

6 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Ascot. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

Thapa VCDraw 14

Trainer: Mark Rimell

Jockey: Mr Harry Rimell(7)

🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Mark Rimell (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 16/79; first seen between 10am and 1pm 3/79; first seen after 1pm 3/79.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 3/12; first seen between 10am and 1pm 1/12; first seen after 1pm 0/12.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.00pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 2/15 won (13.3%); Open→SP 2/13 won (15.4%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 16.7% (1/6).

⬆ CLASS RISE

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run8 days ago · 24 Sep 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

No consistent price pattern yet

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Opening

Runs: 12 | Fixed-odds range: 7/4 → 7/2 | Avg: 11/4Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

10am plunger

Early money horse (42%)

13:50Ascot

Opened 20/1Market avg 20/1

20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 ↑ 22/1 ↓ 20/1 → 20/1

PRICE MOVE

+0.00pp (+0.0%)

No meaningful price change from the open.

Move evidence

50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

6 of 12 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 7th at Southwell (AW) on 24 Sep 2026 (+8.89pp); finished 6th at Lingfield (AW) on 25 Aug 2026 (+0.87pp); finished 1st at Doncaster on 18 Jul 2026 (+0.87pp); finished 3rd at Doncaster on 06 Jun 2026 (+7.50pp); finished 4th at Wolverhampton (AW) on 01 Jun 2026 (+2.78pp); and finished 3rd at Bath on 12 May 2026 (+18.18pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 0% • +0.00 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Bath, 12 May 2026 — 3rd • open 9/2 → final 15/8 (+16.54pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

22/1 23 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
AscotToday7f · Class 4 · Good · 18 runners	20/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.00ppOpen → now	20/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.00pp
Yarmouth28 Jul 20267f 3y · Class 6 · Good To Firm · 9 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	5/2	-0.84ppOpen → 10am	5/2	-1.90pp10am → 1pm	11/4	-3.57pp1pm → SP	10/3	1st	-6.32pp
Post-race comment
Doncaster18 Jul 20267f 6y · Class 6 · Good To Firm · 8 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	7/2	+0.87ppOpen → 10am	10/3	-3.09pp10am → 1pm	4/1	+3.09pp1pm → SP	10/3	1st	+0.87pp
Post-race comment
Bath13 Jun 20261m · Class 6 · Good · 11 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	9/4	+0.00ppOpen → 10am	9/4	+5.59pp10am → 1pm	7/4	-3.03pp1pm → SP	2/1	2nd	+2.56pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
AscotToday7f · Class 4 · Good · 18 runners	20/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.00ppOpen → now	20/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.00pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

6 of 12 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. It is also stepping up from Class 5 to Class 4, which adds another test today. Today’s move: Thapa VC is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Yarmouth · 28 Jul 2026 · 1st · 1/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Ascot · previous Yarmouth✓Trip (within ½f): 7f×Ground: Today Good · previous Good To Firm×Class: Today Class 4 · previous Class 6

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

No positive support trigger.

This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.

Today: +0.00pp

Possible next price: 20/1

12 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

LequintoDraw 2

Trainer: Tony Carroll

Jockey: Mr Ross Birkett

🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Tony Carroll (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 101/906; first seen between 10am and 1pm 52/906; first seen after 1pm 28/906.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 4/15; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/15; first seen after 1pm 0/15.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.43pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

↔ SAME CLASS

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run34 days ago · 29 Aug 2026

Distance changeUp 0.9f from last run

No consistent price pattern yet

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

2 historical matches

1/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening

Runs: 15 | Fixed-odds range: 3/1 → 10/1 | Avg: 6/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

10am plunger

Early money horse (40%)

13:50Ascot

Opened 20/1Market avg 22/1

22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1 ↓ 20/1 ↑ 25/1 ↓ 22/1 ↓ 20/1

PRICE MOVE

-0.43pp (-9.9%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

53th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE53rd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

7 of 15 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 5th at Brighton on 07 Aug 2026 (-0.95pp); finished 1st at Windsor on 29 Jun 2026 (-5.68pp); finished 3rd at Bath on 05 Jun 2026 (-5.00pp); finished 4th at Lingfield (AW) on 25 Mar 2026 (-2.31pp); finished 5th at Lingfield (AW) on 05 Mar 2026 (-0.64pp); finished 5th at Wolverhampton (AW) on 16 Feb 2026 (-1.67pp); and finished 2nd at Lingfield (AW) on 24 Jan 2026 (-1.57pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 9.9% • -0.43 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Bath, 05 Jun 2026 — 3rd • open 3/1 → final 9/2 (-6.82pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

25/1 26 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
AscotToday7f · Class 4 · Good · 18 runners	20/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.43ppOpen → now	22/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.43pp
Windsor20 Jul 20266f 12y · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 8 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	5/1	+8.33ppOpen → 10am	3/1	+1.67pp10am → 1pm	11/4	-1.67pp1pm → SP	3/1	2nd	+8.33pp
Post-race comment
Windsor29 Jun 20266f 12y · Class 5 · Good To Firm · 9 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	9/2	-5.68ppOpen → 10am	7/1	+1.79pp10am → 1pm	6/1	+5.71pp1pm → SP	4/1	1st	+1.82pp
Post-race comment
Windsor18 May 20265f 21y · Class 5 · Good · 10 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	7/1	+9.72ppOpen → 10am	7/2	+0.00pp10am → 1pm	7/2	+0.87pp1pm → SP	10/3	1st	+10.59pp
Post-race comment
Lingfield (AW)27 Apr 20266f 1y · Class 5 · Standard · 5 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	4/1	+0.00ppOpen → 10am	4/1	+0.00pp10am → 1pm	4/1	-3.33pp1pm → SP	5/1	2nd	-3.33pp
Post-race comment
Wolverhampton (AW)04 Apr 20266f 20y · Class 5 · Standard · 9 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	11/1	+0.76ppOpen → 10am	10/1	+2.02pp10am → 1pm	8/1	-2.02pp1pm → SP	10/1	2nd	+0.76pp
Post-race comment
Lingfield (AW)24 Jan 20265f 6y · Class 5 · Standard · 8 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	13/2	-1.57ppOpen → 10am	15/2	-3.43pp10am → 1pm	11/1	-1.67pp1pm → SP	14/1	2nd	-6.67pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
AscotToday7f · Class 4 · Good · 18 runners	20/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.43ppOpen → now	22/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.43pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 7 of 15 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Lequinto is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Windsor · 20 Jul 2026 · 2nd · 1/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Ascot · previous Windsor×Trip (within ½f): Today 7f · previous 6f 12y×Ground: Today Good · previous Good To Firm✓Class: Class 4

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

No positive support trigger.

This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.

Today: -0.43pp

Possible next price: 18/1

15 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Who Wants MeDraw 17

Trainer: Iain Jardine

Jockey: Mr Lucas Murphy(5)

🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Iain Jardine (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 45/472; first seen between 10am and 1pm 26/472; first seen after 1pm 9/472.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/5; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/5; first seen after 1pm 0/5.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.02pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 15/60 won (25%); Open→SP 11/54 won (20.4%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 26.1% (6/23).

↔ SAME CLASS

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run48 days ago · 15 Aug 2026

Distance changeUp 1f from last run

No consistent price pattern yet

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Opening

Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 3/1 → 11/1 | Avg: 7/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

Early money horse (60%)

13:50Ascot

Opened 25/1Market avg 25/1

25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 ↑ 28/1 ↓ 25/1 → 25/1

PRICE MOVE

+0.02pp (+0.5%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

40th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE40th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

3 of 5 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 1st at Ayr on 05 Jul 2026 (+2.20pp); finished 1st at Carlisle on 24 Jun 2026 (+1.67pp); and finished 6th at Hamilton on 17 May 2026 (+0.40pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 0.5% • +0.02 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Carlisle, 24 Jun 2026 — 1st • open 14/1 → final 11/1 (+1.67pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

28/1 29 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
AscotToday7f · Class 4 · Good · 18 runners	25/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.02ppOpen → now	25/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.02pp
Ayr05 Jul 20265f · Class 5 · Good · 7 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	5/2	+2.20ppOpen → 10am	9/4	-5.77pp10am → 1pm	3/1	+0.00pp1pm → SP	3/1	1st	-3.57pp
Post-race comment
Carlisle24 Jun 20266f 195y · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 6 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	14/1	+1.67ppOpen → 10am	11/1	-0.64pp10am → 1pm	12/1	+0.64pp1pm → SP	11/1	1st	+1.67pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
AscotToday7f · Class 4 · Good · 18 runners	25/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.02ppOpen → now	25/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.02pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

3 of 5 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Who Wants Me is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Carlisle · 24 Jun 2026 · 1st · 2/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Ascot · previous Carlisle✓Trip (within ½f): 7f×Ground: Today Good · previous Good To Firm✓Class: Class 4

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (strong)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

No positive support trigger.

This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.

Today: +0.02pp

Possible next price: 25/1

5 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

The Bitter MooseDraw 8

Trainer: Patrick Chamings

Jockey: Mr Frederick Tett

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Patrick Chamings (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 4/91; first seen between 10am and 1pm 6/91; first seen after 1pm 2/91.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/7; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/7; first seen after 1pm 0/7.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.17pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/9 won (11.1%); Open→SP 1/8 won (12.5%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.

⬆ CLASS RISE

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run11 days ago · 21 Sep 2026

Distance changeUp 1f from last run

No consistent price pattern yet

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: 10am

Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

10am plunger

Early money horse (43%)

13:50Ascot

Opened 33/1Market avg 33/1

33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 ↑ 40/1 ↓ 33/1 ↑ 33/1

PRICE MOVE

+0.17pp (+5.7%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

71th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE71st HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

2 of 7 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 6th at Leicester on 21 Sep 2026 (+2.78pp); and finished 3rd at Lingfield (AW) on 20 Aug 2026 (+2.67pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 5.7% • +0.17 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Leicester, 21 Sep 2026 — 6th • open 16/1 → final 11/1 (+2.78pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

40/1 41 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
AscotToday7f · Class 4 · Good · 18 runners	33/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.17ppOpen → now	33/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.17pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
AscotToday7f · Class 4 · Good · 18 runners	33/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.17ppOpen → now	33/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.17pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 2 of 7 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. It is also stepping up from Class 5 to Class 4, which adds another test today. Today’s move: The Bitter Moose is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

7 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.

Today: +0.17pp

Possible next price: 40/1

7 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

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Course record
No placed efforts from 2 previous runs at Ascot. The current market is 66% bigger than usual compared with a typical course SP of 20.5.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

ChirimiriDraw 11

Trainer: Gary & Josh Moore

Jockey: Mr Georges-Alexandre Ancenys(5)

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Gary & Josh Moore (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 52/507; first seen between 10am and 1pm 37/507; first seen after 1pm 21/507.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 0 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.04pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

13:50Ascot

Opened 50/1Market avg 50/1

50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 ↑ 66/1 ↓ 50/1 ↓ 33/1 ↑ 40/1 ↑ 50/1 → 50/1

PRICE MOVE

-0.04pp (-2.1%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

Raw Open → Now price change: 2.1% • -0.04 probability points

BEST FIXED ODDS

66/1 67 decimal Midnite

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
AscotToday7f · Class 4 · Good · 18 runners	50/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.04ppOpen → now	50/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.04pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
AscotToday7f · Class 4 · Good · 18 runners	50/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.04ppOpen → now	50/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.04pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Chirimiri is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

N/A

Possible next price: 50/1

No historical data

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

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Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Race market overview as at 05:16

Supported0 of 18 runners at +4pp or more
Drifting0 of 18 runners at −4pp or worse
Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.

14:25Ascot • 0m7f0y • Class 2 • Going: Good

5 runners

Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

Pink LarkspurDraw 4

Trainer: John & Thady Gosden

Jockey: William Buick

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer John & Thady Gosden (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 74/369; first seen between 10am and 1pm 32/369; first seen after 1pm 17/369.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 1 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.07pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 33/92 won (35.9%); Open→SP 34/93 won (36.6%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 48.8% (21/43).

⬆ CLASS RISE

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run23 days ago · 9 Sep 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: 17/2 → 17/2 | Avg: 17/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.

14:25Ascot

Opened 7/4Market avg 7/4

7/4 → 7/4 → 7/4 → 7/4 → 7/4 → 7/4 → 7/4 → 7/4 → 7/4 → 7/4

PRICE MOVE

+0.07pp (+0.2%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

Raw Open → Now price change: 0.2% • +0.07 probability points

Previous market evidence

No previous positive open-to-final support in the recorded sample.

BEST FIXED ODDS

7/4 2.75 decimal 7Bet

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
AscotToday7f · Class 2 · Good · 5 runners	7/4	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.07ppOpen → now	7/4Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.07pp
Kempton (AW)09 Sep 20267f · Class 3 · Standard / Slow · 6 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	5/1	+1.23ppOpen → 10am	9/2	-7.66pp10am → 1pm	17/2	+0.58pp1pm → SP	8/1	2nd	-5.84pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
AscotToday7f · Class 2 · Good · 5 runners	7/4	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.07ppOpen → now	7/4Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.07pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. It is also stepping up from Class 3 to Class 2, which adds another test today. Today’s move: Pink Larkspur is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Kempton (AW) · 09 Sep 2026 · 2nd · 1/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Ascot · previous Kempton (AW)✓Trip (within ½f): 7f×Ground: Today Good · previous Standard / Slow×Class: Today Class 2 · previous Class 3

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

N/A

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

1 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.

Today: +0.07pp

Possible next price: 7/4

No historical data

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

LearningDraw 3

Trainer: Richard Hannon

Jockey: Pat Dobbs

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Richard Hannon (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 94/764; first seen between 10am and 1pm 47/764; first seen after 1pm 34/764.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 2 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.97pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 29/121 won (24%); Open→SP 31/138 won (22.5%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 28.8% (19/66).

↔ SAME CLASS

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run14 days ago · 18 Sep 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: 8/1 → 8/1 | Avg: 8/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

14:25Ascot

Opened 15/8Market avg 15/8

15/8 ↓ 7/4 → 7/4 ↑ 15/8 → 15/8 ↓ 7/4 → 7/4 ↑ 2/1 ↓ 15/8 ↑ 15/8

PRICE MOVE

+0.97pp (+2.7%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

Raw Open → Now price change: 2.7% • +0.97 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Salisbury, 03 Sep 2026 — 4th • open 20/1 → final 11/1 (+3.57pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

2/1 3 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
AscotToday7f · Class 2 · Good · 5 runners	15/8	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.97ppOpen → now	15/8Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.97pp
Newbury18 Sep 20267f · Class 2 · Good · 4 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	10/1	+2.02ppOpen → 10am	8/1	-3.42pp10am → 1pm	12/1	-1.03pp1pm → SP	14/1	2nd	-2.42pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
AscotToday7f · Class 2 · Good · 5 runners	15/8	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.97ppOpen → now	15/8Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.97pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Learning is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Newbury · 18 Sep 2026 · 2nd · 3/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Ascot · previous Newbury✓Trip (within ½f): 7f✓Ground: Good✓Class: Class 2

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

Similar moves have usually held their position.

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

2 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.

Today: +0.97pp

Possible next price: 2/1

No historical data

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

ConcurrentDraw 2

Trainer: Andrew Balding

Jockey: Colin Keane

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Andrew Balding (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 142/885; first seen between 10am and 1pm 74/885; first seen after 1pm 41/885.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 1 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.00pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 71/194 won (36.6%); Open→SP 71/207 won (34.3%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 37.3% (38/102).

↔ SAME CLASS

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run29 days ago · 3 Sep 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.

14:25Ascot

Opened 3/1Market avg 3/1

3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1

PRICE MOVE

+0.00pp (+0.0%)

No meaningful price change from the open.

Move evidence

Raw Open → Now price change: 0% • +0.00 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Salisbury, 03 Sep 2026 — 5th • open 6/1 → final 9/2 (+4.29pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

3/1 4 decimal 7Bet

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
AscotToday7f · Class 2 · Good · 5 runners	3/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.00ppOpen → now	3/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.00pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
AscotToday7f · Class 2 · Good · 5 runners	3/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.00ppOpen → now	3/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.00pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Concurrent is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

N/A

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

1 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.

Today: +0.00pp

Possible next price: 3/1

No historical data

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

IbtekarDraw 1

Trainer: Ed Walker

Jockey: Kieran Shoemark

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Ed Walker (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 91/487; first seen between 10am and 1pm 51/487; first seen after 1pm 15/487.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 0 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.33pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

14:25Ascot

Opened 8/1Market avg 17/2

17/2 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 17/2 → 17/2 ↓ 8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 ↑ 9/1 ↓ 17/2 ↓ 8/1

PRICE MOVE

-0.33pp (-3.0%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

Raw Open → Now price change: 3% • -0.33 probability points

BEST FIXED ODDS

9/1 10 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
AscotToday7f · Class 2 · Good · 5 runners	8/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.33ppOpen → now	17/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.33pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
AscotToday7f · Class 2 · Good · 5 runners	8/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.33ppOpen → now	17/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.33pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Ibtekar is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

N/A

Possible next price: 8/1

No historical data

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

India's RidgeDraw 5

Trainer: Richard Hannon

Jockey: Sean Levey

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Richard Hannon (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 94/764; first seen between 10am and 1pm 47/764; first seen after 1pm 34/764.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 0 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.17pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 29/121 won (24%); Open→SP 31/138 won (22.5%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 28.8% (19/66).

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

14:25Ascot

Opened 12/1Market avg 12/1

12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 ↓ 11/1 → 11/1 ↑ 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1

PRICE MOVE

+0.17pp (+2.1%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

Raw Open → Now price change: 2.1% • +0.17 probability points

BEST FIXED ODDS

12/1 13 decimal 7Bet

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
AscotToday7f · Class 2 · Good · 5 runners	12/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.17ppOpen → now	12/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.17pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
AscotToday7f · Class 2 · Good · 5 runners	12/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.17ppOpen → now	12/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.17pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: India's Ridge is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

N/A

Possible next price: 14/1

No historical data

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

Race market overview as at 05:16

Supported0 of 5 runners at +4pp or more
Drifting0 of 5 runners at −4pp or worse
Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.

15:00Ascot • 1m0f0y • Class 3 • Going: Good

12 runners

Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

CockadeDraw 8

Trainer: John & Thady Gosden

Jockey: William Buick

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer John & Thady Gosden (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 74/369; first seen between 10am and 1pm 32/369; first seen after 1pm 17/369.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 2 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.89pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

⬆ CLASS RISE

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run104 days ago · 20 Jun 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: 8/11 → 8/11 | Avg: 8/11Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

15:00Ascot

Opened 5/2Market avg 5/2

5/2 ↑ 11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 ↓ 5/2 → 5/2 ↑ 11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4

PRICE MOVE

-1.89pp (-7.1%)

NR adjusted

Genuine drift after removing the measured NR price effect.

Raw Open → Now: -3.4% • -0.95pp

Measured NR price effect removed: +0.94pp

Latest confirmed post-NR price: 5/2 @ 05:15

NR @ 05:15: 5/2 → 5/2 (+0.94pp removed)

GENUINE NR-ADJUSTED MOVE: -1.89pp

Move evidence

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Newmarket (July), 20 Jun 2026 — 3rd • open 4/7 → final 5/6 (-9.05pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

11/4 3.75 decimal 7Bet

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
AscotToday1m · Class 3 · Good · 11 runners	5/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-1.89ppOpen → now	5/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-1.89ppNR adjusted
Windsor08 Jun 20261m 31y · Class 4 · Good To Soft · 11 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	7/4	+11.26ppOpen → 10am	11/10	+2.38pp10am → 1pm	EVS	-2.38pp1pm → SP	11/10	1st	+11.26pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
AscotToday1m · Class 3 · Good · 11 runners	5/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-1.89ppOpen → now	5/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-1.89ppNR adjusted
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. It is also stepping up from Class 4 to Class 3, which adds another test today. Today’s move: Cockade is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Windsor · 08 Jun 2026 · 1st · 1/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Ascot · previous Windsor✓Trip (within ½f): 1m×Ground: Today Good · previous Good To Soft×Class: Today Class 3 · previous Class 4

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

Limited data: one similar run only.

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

2 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.

Today: -1.89pp

Possible next price: 3/1

No historical data

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

PrinclingDraw 9

Trainer: William Haggas

Jockey: Tom Marquand

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer William Haggas (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 100/599; first seen between 10am and 1pm 47/599; first seen after 1pm 48/599.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/4; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/4; first seen after 1pm 1/4.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.97pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 39/127 won (30.7%); Open→SP 51/161 won (31.7%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 34.2% (26/76).

⬇ CLASS DROP

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run84 days ago · 10 Jul 2026

Distance changeDown 2f from last run

No consistent price pattern yet

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Opening

Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 3/10 → 3/10 | Avg: 3/10Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

Early money horse (50%)

15:00Ascot

Opened 3/1Market avg 3/1

3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 ↓ 11/4 → 11/4 ↑ 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1

PRICE MOVE

+0.97pp (+3.7%)

NR adjusted

Genuine shortening after removing the measured NR price effect.

Raw Open → Now: +1.9% • +0.48pp

Measured NR price effect removed: -0.48pp

Latest confirmed post-NR price: 3/1 @ 05:15

NR @ 05:15: 3/1 → 3/1 (-0.48pp removed)

GENUINE NR-ADJUSTED MOVE: +0.97pp

Move evidence

50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

2 of 4 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 4th at Carlisle on 30 May 2026 (+1.67pp); and finished 1st at Wetherby on 26 Apr 2026 (+9.84pp).

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Wetherby, 26 Apr 2026 — 1st • open 4/7 → final 3/10 (+13.23pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

3/1 4 decimal 7Bet

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
AscotToday1m · Class 3 · Good · 11 runners	3/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.97ppOpen → now	3/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.97ppNR adjusted
Wetherby26 Apr 20261m · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 8 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	4/7	+9.84ppOpen → 10am	4/11	+1.66pp10am → 1pm	1/3	+4.81pp1pm → SP	1/4	1st	+16.31pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
AscotToday1m · Class 3 · Good · 11 runners	3/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.97ppOpen → now	3/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.97ppNR adjusted
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

2 of 4 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. The horse drops from Class 2 to Class 3, but the market has not responded with meaningful support. Today’s move: Princling is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Wetherby · 26 Apr 2026 · 1st · 1/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Ascot · previous Wetherby✓Trip (within ½f): 1m×Ground: Today Good · previous Good To Firm×Class: Today Class 3 · previous Class 4

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

4 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.

Today: +0.97pp

Possible next price: 10/3

4 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Ascot. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

DrymeeDraw 1

Trainer: James Fanshawe

Jockey: James Doyle

🟢 Needs Support (17%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer James Fanshawe (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 70/313; first seen between 10am and 1pm 26/313; first seen after 1pm 11/313.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 2/5; first seen between 10am and 1pm 1/5; first seen after 1pm 0/5.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.19pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

⬆ CLASS RISE

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run35 days ago · 28 Aug 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

No consistent price pattern yet

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Opening

Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 6/4 → 3/1 | Avg: 9/4Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

10am plunger

Early money horse (40%)

15:00Ascot

Opened 5/1Market avg 5/1

5/1 → 5/1 ↑ 11/2 ↓ 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1

PRICE MOVE

-0.19pp (-1.1%)

NR adjusted

Genuine drift after removing the measured NR price effect.

Raw Open → Now: -0.4% • -0.06pp

Measured NR price effect removed: +0.13pp

Latest confirmed post-NR price: 5/1 @ 05:15

NR @ 05:15: 5/1 → 5/1 (+0.13pp removed)

GENUINE NR-ADJUSTED MOVE: -0.19pp

Move evidence

40th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE40th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

3 of 5 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 3rd at Newmarket (July) on 08 Aug 2026 (-4.58pp); finished 1st at Lingfield on 06 Jun 2026 (-1.10pp); and finished 7th at Kempton (AW) on 20 May 2026 (-2.80pp).

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Newmarket (July), 08 Aug 2026 — 3rd • open 9/4 → final 3/1 (-6.25pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

11/2 6.5 decimal Betfred

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
AscotToday1m · Class 3 · Good · 11 runners	5/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.19ppOpen → now	5/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.19ppNR adjusted
Sandown28 Aug 20261m · Class 4 · Good · 6 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	2/1	+14.29ppOpen → 10am	11/10	-7.62pp10am → 1pm	6/4	+2.02pp1pm → SP	11/8	1st	+8.68pp
Post-race comment
Newbury02 Jul 20261m · Class 5 · Good To Firm · 4 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	10/3	+7.67ppOpen → 10am	9/4	+0.00pp10am → 1pm	9/4	+5.59pp1pm → SP	7/4	1st	+13.27pp
Post-race comment
Lingfield06 Jun 20267f 135y · Class 4 · Soft · 12 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	11/2	-1.10ppOpen → 10am	6/1	+10.71pp10am → 1pm	3/1	+8.33pp1pm → SP	2/1	1st	+17.95pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
AscotToday1m · Class 3 · Good · 11 runners	5/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.19ppOpen → now	5/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.19ppNR adjusted
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

3 of 5 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. It is also stepping up from Class 4 to Class 3, which adds another test today. Today’s move: Drymee is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Sandown · 28 Aug 2026 · 1st · 2/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Ascot · previous Sandown✓Trip (within ½f): 1m✓Ground: Good×Class: Today Class 3 · previous Class 4

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

All 3 previous top-two finishes came with support of 6.66pp+.

At 6.66pp+: 3/3 finished 1st or 2nd (100%).

Today: -0.19pp — trigger not reached.

Possible next price: 5/1

5 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Collecting CoinDraw 3

Trainer: Jennie Candlish

Jockey: George Wood

🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Jennie Candlish (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 48/403; first seen between 10am and 1pm 22/403; first seen after 1pm 16/403.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/8; first seen between 10am and 1pm 1/8; first seen after 1pm 0/8.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.04pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run20 days ago · 12 Sep 2026

Distance changeUp 1f from last run

No consistent price pattern yet

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: 10am

Runs: 8 | Fixed-odds range: 11/1 → 11/1 | Avg: 11/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

10am plunger

Early money horse (38%)

15:00Ascot

Opened 13/2Market avg 13/2

13/2 → 13/2 ↑ 7/1 ↓ 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 ↑ 7/1 ↑ 15/2 ↓ 13/2 → 13/2

PRICE MOVE

-0.04pp (-0.3%)

NR adjusted

Genuine drift after removing the measured NR price effect.

Raw Open → Now: -0.6% • -0.08pp

Measured NR price effect removed: -0.04pp

Latest confirmed post-NR price: 13/2 @ 05:15

NR @ 05:15: 13/2 → 13/2 (-0.04pp removed)

GENUINE NR-ADJUSTED MOVE: -0.04pp

Move evidence

25th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE25th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

6 of 8 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 2nd at Chester on 22 Aug 2026 (-0.64pp); finished 1st at Chester on 25 Jul 2026 (-6.29pp); finished 6th at Curragh (IRE) on 26 Jun 2026 (-2.52pp); finished 11th at Cork (IRE) on 14 Jun 2026 (-3.17pp); finished 4th at Limerick (IRE) on 25 Apr 2026 (-3.33pp); and finished 5th at Naas (IRE) on 22 Mar 2026 (-0.83pp).

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Chester, 25 Jul 2026 — 1st • open 11/2 → final 11/1 (-7.05pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

15/2 8.5 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
AscotToday1m · Class 3 · Good · 11 runners	13/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.04ppOpen → now	13/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.04ppNR adjusted
Chester22 Aug 20267f 127y · Class 2 · Good To Soft · 13 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	11/1	-0.64ppOpen → 10am	12/1	+2.31pp10am → 1pm	9/1	+0.00pp1pm → SP	9/1	2nd	+1.67pp
Post-race comment
Chester25 Jul 20267f 127y · Class 4 · Good · 8 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	11/2	-6.29ppOpen → 10am	10/1	-0.76pp10am → 1pm	11/1	+0.76pp1pm → SP	10/1	1st	-6.29pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
AscotToday1m · Class 3 · Good · 11 runners	13/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.04ppOpen → now	13/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.04ppNR adjusted
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

6 of 8 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Collecting Coin is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Chester · 25 Jul 2026 · 1st · 2/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Ascot · previous Chester✓Trip (within ½f): 1m✓Ground: Good×Class: Today Class 3 · previous Class 4

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

Limited data: one similar run only.

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

No positive support trigger.

This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.

Today: -0.04pp

Possible next price: 13/2

8 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

A Major PayneDraw 11

Trainer: Michael Bell

Jockey: Hector Crouch

🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Michael Bell (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 54/280; first seen between 10am and 1pm 22/280; first seen after 1pm 10/280.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 4/7; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/7; first seen after 1pm 0/7.

Most often first apparent by 10am in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.49pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

⬆ CLASS RISE

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run33 days ago · 30 Aug 2026

Distance changeDown 1.9f from last run

Usually attracts bookmaker support

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Opening

Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 7/4 → 4/1 | Avg: 11/4Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

10am plunger

Early money horse (43%)

15:00Ascot

Opened 15/2Market avg 8/1

8/1 → 8/1 ↓ 15/2 ↑ 8/1 → 8/1 ↓ 15/2 ↑ 8/1 ↓ 15/2 ↑ 8/1 → 8/1

PRICE MOVE

-0.49pp (-4.4%)

NR adjusted

Genuine drift after removing the measured NR price effect.

Raw Open → Now: -4.9% • -0.55pp

Measured NR price effect removed: -0.05pp

Latest confirmed post-NR price: 8/1 @ 05:15

NR @ 05:15: 8/1 → 8/1 (-0.05pp removed)

GENUINE NR-ADJUSTED MOVE: -0.49pp

Move evidence

86th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE86th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE

Only 1 of 7 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 2nd at Newmarket on 15 May 2026 (-1.82pp).

Previous market evidence

No previous open-to-final drift in the recorded sample.

BEST FIXED ODDS

9/1 10 decimal Midnite

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
AscotToday1m · Class 3 · Good · 11 runners	15/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.49ppOpen → now	8/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.49ppNR adjusted
Goodwood30 Aug 20261m 1f 197y · Class 4 · Soft · 10 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	9/2	+2.14ppOpen → 10am	4/1	-1.82pp10am → 1pm	9/2	+0.00pp1pm → SP	9/2	1st	+0.32pp
Post-race comment
Windsor13 Jul 20261m 2f · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 7 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	5/2	+0.00ppOpen → 10am	5/2	+0.00pp10am → 1pm	5/2	+0.00pp1pm → SP	5/2	1st	+0.00pp
Post-race comment
Nottingham03 Jun 20261m 2f 50y · Class 5 · Good · 10 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	3/1	+9.72ppOpen → 10am	15/8	-1.39pp10am → 1pm	2/1	+0.00pp1pm → SP	2/1	1st	+8.33pp
Post-race comment
Newmarket15 May 20261m 2f · Class 5 · Good · 8 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	4/1	-1.82ppOpen → 10am	9/2	+0.00pp10am → 1pm	9/2	+0.00pp1pm → SP	9/2	2nd	-1.82pp
Post-race comment
Yarmouth30 Apr 20261m 2f 23y · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 5 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	3/1	+11.36ppOpen → 10am	7/4	-3.03pp10am → 1pm	2/1	-6.67pp1pm → SP	11/4	2nd	+1.67pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
AscotToday1m · Class 3 · Good · 11 runners	15/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.49ppOpen → now	8/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.49ppNR adjusted
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 1 of 7 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. It is also stepping up from Class 4 to Class 3, which adds another test today. Today’s move: A Major Payne is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Nottingham · 03 Jun 2026 · 1st · 1/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Ascot · previous Nottingham×Trip (within ½f): Today 1m · previous 1m 2f 50y✓Ground: Good×Class: Today Class 3 · previous Class 5

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

No positive support trigger.

This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.

Today: -0.49pp

Possible next price: 17/2

7 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Suspicious MindzDraw 12

Trainer: Seb Spencer

Jockey: Dale Swift

🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Seb Spencer (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 7/109; first seen between 10am and 1pm 7/109; first seen after 1pm 3/109.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/6; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/6; first seen after 1pm 1/6.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.05pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

↔ SAME CLASS

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run28 days ago · 4 Sep 2026

Distance changeUp 1f from last run

No consistent price pattern yet

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Opening

Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: 4/1 → 16/1 | Avg: 17/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

10am plunger

Early money horse (33%)

15:00Ascot

Opened 12/1Market avg 12/1

12/1 → 12/1 ↑ 14/1 ↓ 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 ↑ 14/1 ↓ 12/1 → 12/1

PRICE MOVE

-0.05pp (-0.7%)

NR adjusted

Genuine drift after removing the measured NR price effect.

Raw Open → Now: -0.7% • -0.05pp

Measured NR price effect removed: +0.00pp

Latest confirmed post-NR price: 12/1 @ 05:15

NR @ 05:15: 12/1 → 12/1 (+0.00pp removed)

GENUINE NR-ADJUSTED MOVE: -0.05pp

Move evidence

33th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE33rd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

4 of 6 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 2nd at Ascot on 04 Sep 2026 (-3.64pp); finished 1st at Curragh (IRE) on 27 Jun 2026 (-8.81pp); finished 7th at Fairyhouse (IRE) on 05 Jun 2026 (-5.56pp); and finished 2nd at Cork (IRE) on 24 Apr 2026 (-6.84pp).

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Curragh (IRE), 27 Jun 2026 — 1st • open 10/3 → final 9/1 (-13.09pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

14/1 15 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
AscotToday1m · Class 3 · Good · 11 runners	12/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.05ppOpen → now	12/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.05ppNR adjusted
Ascot04 Sep 20267f · Class 3 · Good · 8 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	9/1	-3.64ppOpen → 10am	16/1	-0.62pp10am → 1pm	18/1	+0.00pp1pm → SP	18/1	2nd	-4.26pp
Post-race comment
Doncaster01 Aug 20267f 6y · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 6 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	13/2	+3.33ppOpen → 10am	5/1	+1.52pp10am → 1pm	9/2	+4.04pp1pm → SP	7/2	1st	+8.89pp
Post-race comment
Curragh (IRE)27 Jun 20266f · Class — · Good To Firm · 20 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	10/3	-8.81ppOpen → 10am	6/1	-4.29pp10am → 1pm	9/1	-1.67pp1pm → SP	11/1	1st	-14.76pp
Post-race comment
Cork (IRE)24 Apr 20261m · Class — · Good To Yielding · 8 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	7/2	-6.84ppOpen → 10am	11/2	+2.80pp10am → 1pm	9/2	+0.00pp1pm → SP	9/2	2nd	-4.04pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
AscotToday1m · Class 3 · Good · 11 runners	12/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.05ppOpen → now	12/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.05ppNR adjusted
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

4 of 6 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Suspicious Mindz is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Ascot · 04 Sep 2026 · 2nd · 3/4 known conditions match

✓Track: Ascot×Trip (within ½f): Today 1m · previous 7f✓Ground: Good✓Class: Class 3

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

Limited data: one similar run only.

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

No positive support trigger.

This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.

Today: -0.05pp

Possible next price: 12/1

6 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Ascot. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

HenleinDraw 2

Trainer: Kevin Ryan

Jockey: Kevin Stott

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Kevin Ryan (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 42/440; first seen between 10am and 1pm 31/440; first seen after 1pm 9/440.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/5; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/5; first seen after 1pm 0/5.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.32pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

⬇ CLASS DROP

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run20 days ago · 12 Sep 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

No consistent price pattern yet

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: 10am

Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

Early money horse (60%)

15:00Ascot

Opened 12/1Market avg 12/1

12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1

PRICE MOVE

-0.32pp (-4.3%)

NR adjusted

Genuine drift after removing the measured NR price effect.

Raw Open → Now: -1.4% • -0.11pp

Measured NR price effect removed: +0.21pp

Latest confirmed post-NR price: 12/1 @ 05:15

NR @ 05:15: 12/1 → 12/1 (+0.21pp removed)

GENUINE NR-ADJUSTED MOVE: -0.32pp

Move evidence

40th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE40th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

3 of 5 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 12th at Goodwood on 28 Jul 2026 (-0.40pp); finished 22nd at Ascot on 17 Jun 2026 (-0.42pp); and finished 7th at Haydock on 25 Apr 2026 (-3.44pp).

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Haydock, 25 Apr 2026 — 7th • open 16/1 → final 33/1 (-2.94pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

14/1 15 decimal Midnite

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
AscotToday1m · Class 3 · Good · 11 runners	12/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.32ppOpen → now	12/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.32ppNR adjusted
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
AscotToday1m · Class 3 · Good · 11 runners	12/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.32ppOpen → now	12/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.32ppNR adjusted
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

3 of 5 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. The horse drops from Class 2 to Class 3, but the market has not responded with meaningful support. Today’s move: Henlein is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (strong)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

5 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.

Today: -0.32pp

Possible next price: 12/1

5 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Ascot. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

HyggeDraw 6

Trainer: Gordon Elliott

Jockey: Colin Keane

🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Gordon Elliott (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 61/1017; first seen between 10am and 1pm 67/1017; first seen after 1pm 36/1017.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/7; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/7; first seen after 1pm 1/7.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.32pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 35/113 won (31%); Open→SP 38/126 won (30.2%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 35% (21/60).

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run22 days ago · 10 Sep 2026

Distance changeUp 1f from last run

Often drifts in the market

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: 10am

Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 4/6 → 10/1 | Avg: 6/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

Early money horse (43%)

15:00Ascot

Opened 14/1Market avg 14/1

14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 ↓ 12/1 → 12/1 ↑ 14/1 → 14/1

PRICE MOVE

+0.32pp (+4.5%)

NR adjusted

Genuine shortening after removing the measured NR price effect.

Raw Open → Now: +2.3% • +0.16pp

Measured NR price effect removed: -0.16pp

Latest confirmed post-NR price: 14/1 @ 05:15

NR @ 05:15: 14/1 → 14/1 (-0.16pp removed)

GENUINE NR-ADJUSTED MOVE: +0.32pp

Move evidence

71th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE71st HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

2 of 7 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 1st at Laytown (IRE) on 10 Sep 2026 (+0.54pp); and finished 1st at Cork on 10 Jul 2026 (+3.16pp).

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Cork, 10 Jul 2026 — 1st • open 5/6 → final 4/6 (+5.24pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

14/1 15 decimal 7Bet

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
AscotToday1m · Class 3 · Good · 11 runners	14/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.32ppOpen → now	14/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.32ppNR adjusted
Laytown (IRE)10 Sep 20267f · Class — · Standard · 10 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	5/1	+0.54ppOpen → 10am	5/1	-6.67pp10am → 1pm	9/1	+0.53pp1pm → SP	17/2	1st	-5.60pp
Post-race comment
Cork10 Jul 20262m 1f 60y · Class — · Good · 14 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	5/6	+3.16ppOpen → 10am	8/11	-2.25pp10am → 1pm	4/5	-7.94pp1pm → SP	11/10	1st	-7.03pp
Post-race comment
Killarney (IRE)12 May 20261m 31y · Class — · Good · 13 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	6/1	-3.17ppOpen → 10am	8/1	-1.11pp10am → 1pm	9/1	-5.24pp1pm → SP	20/1	1st	-9.52pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
AscotToday1m · Class 3 · Good · 11 runners	14/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.32ppOpen → now	14/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.32ppNR adjusted
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 2 of 7 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Hygge is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Killarney (IRE) · 12 May 2026 · 1st · 2/3 known conditions match

×Track: Today Ascot · previous Killarney (IRE)✓Trip (within ½f): 1m✓Ground: Good?Class: Data missing

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

No positive support trigger.

This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.

Today: +0.32pp

Possible next price: 14/1

7 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

The Angel KingDraw 7

Trainer: Ian Williams

Jockey: Charles Bishop

🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Ian Williams (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 66/593; first seen between 10am and 1pm 45/593; first seen after 1pm 21/593.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/6; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/6; first seen after 1pm 0/6.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.32pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 28/98 won (28.6%); Open→SP 27/103 won (26.2%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 33.3% (16/48).

↔ SAME CLASS

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run21 days ago · 11 Sep 2026

Distance changeUp 1f from last run

Often drifts in the market

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Opening

Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: 4/1 → 18/1 | Avg: 11/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

10am plunger

Early money horse (33%)

15:00Ascot

Opened 14/1Market avg 14/1

14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 ↓ 12/1 → 12/1 ↑ 14/1 → 14/1

PRICE MOVE

+0.32pp (+4.5%)

NR adjusted

Genuine shortening after removing the measured NR price effect.

Raw Open → Now: +2.3% • +0.16pp

Measured NR price effect removed: -0.16pp

Latest confirmed post-NR price: 14/1 @ 05:15

NR @ 05:15: 14/1 → 14/1 (-0.16pp removed)

GENUINE NR-ADJUSTED MOVE: +0.32pp

Move evidence

67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

2 of 6 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 2nd at Sandown on 11 Sep 2026 (+15.30pp); and finished 11th at York on 20 Aug 2026 (+1.07pp).

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Sandown, 11 Sep 2026 — 2nd • open 8/1 → final 4/1 (+8.64pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

16/1 17 decimal Midnite

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
AscotToday1m · Class 3 · Good · 11 runners	14/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.32ppOpen → now	14/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.32ppNR adjusted
Sandown11 Sep 20267f · Class 3 · Good To Soft · 6 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	8/1	+15.30ppOpen → 10am	11/4	-8.48pp10am → 1pm	9/2	+0.00pp1pm → SP	9/2	2nd	+6.82pp
Post-race comment
Chester02 Aug 20267f 1y · Class 2 · Good · 10 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	16/1	-1.53ppOpen → 10am	22/1	+0.92pp10am → 1pm	18/1	-0.92pp1pm → SP	22/1	2nd	-1.53pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
AscotToday1m · Class 3 · Good · 11 runners	14/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.32ppOpen → now	14/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.32ppNR adjusted
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 2 of 6 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: The Angel King is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Sandown · 11 Sep 2026 · 2nd · 1/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Ascot · previous Sandown×Trip (within ½f): Today 1m · previous 7f×Ground: Today Good · previous Good To Soft✓Class: Class 3

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

Limited data: one similar run only.

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

No positive support trigger.

This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.

Today: +0.32pp

Possible next price: 14/1

6 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

Monarch's GoldDraw 4

Trainer: Kevin Philippart de Foy

Jockey: Sean Levey

🟢 Needs Support (40%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Kevin Philippart de Foy (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 33/224; first seen between 10am and 1pm 14/224; first seen after 1pm 10/224.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 2/8; first seen between 10am and 1pm 1/8; first seen after 1pm 0/8.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.09pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

↔ SAME CLASS

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run34 days ago · 29 Aug 2026

Distance changeUp 1f from last run

No consistent price pattern yet

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Opening

Runs: 8 | Fixed-odds range: 9/2 → 13/2 | Avg: 11/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

10am plunger

Early money horse (50%)

15:00Ascot

Opened 16/1Market avg 16/1

16/1 → 16/1 ↑ 18/1 ↓ 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 ↑ 18/1 ↑ 20/1 ↓ 16/1 → 16/1

PRICE MOVE

-0.09pp (-1.5%)

NR adjusted

Genuine drift after removing the measured NR price effect.

Raw Open → Now: -2.0% • -0.12pp

Measured NR price effect removed: -0.03pp

Latest confirmed post-NR price: 16/1 @ 05:15

NR @ 05:15: 16/1 → 16/1 (-0.03pp removed)

GENUINE NR-ADJUSTED MOVE: -0.09pp

Move evidence

63th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE63rd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

3 of 8 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 5th at Chester on 02 Aug 2026 (-4.24pp); finished 9th at Epsom on 05 Jun 2026 (-0.50pp); and finished 13th at Newcastle (AW) on 03 Apr 2026 (-1.03pp).

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Chester, 02 Aug 2026 — 5th • open 13/2 → final 17/2 (-2.81pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

20/1 21 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
AscotToday1m · Class 3 · Good · 11 runners	16/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.09ppOpen → now	16/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.09ppNR adjusted
Chester07 May 20267f 127y · Class 2 · Good · 12 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	20/1	+7.74ppOpen → 10am	7/1	+1.79pp10am → 1pm	6/1	+0.00pp1pm → SP	6/1	2nd	+9.52pp
Post-race comment
Southwell (AW)13 Mar 20266f 16y · Class 2 · Standard · 8 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	9/1	+8.18ppOpen → 10am	9/2	+0.00pp10am → 1pm	9/2	-1.52pp1pm → SP	5/1	2nd	+6.67pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
AscotToday1m · Class 3 · Good · 11 runners	16/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.09ppOpen → now	16/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.09ppNR adjusted
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 3 of 8 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Monarch's Gold is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Chester · 07 May 2026 · 2nd · 2/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Ascot · previous Chester✓Trip (within ½f): 1m✓Ground: Good×Class: Today Class 3 · previous Class 2

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Both previous top-two finishes came with support of 8.18pp+.

At 8.18pp+: 2/2 finished 1st or 2nd (100%).

Today: -0.09pp — trigger not reached.

Possible next price: 16/1

8 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

The LiffeyDraw 5

Trainer: Hayley Burton

Jockey: Marco Ghiani

🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Hayley Burton (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 11/83; first seen between 10am and 1pm 2/83; first seen after 1pm 0/83.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/10; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/10; first seen after 1pm 0/10.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.17pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

⬇ CLASS DROP

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run19 days ago · 13 Sep 2026

Distance changeUp 1.5f from last run

Often drifts in the market

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Pre-Off

Runs: 10 | Fixed-odds range: 5/2 → 33/1 | Avg: 12/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

Best at SP (40%)

15:00Ascot

Opened 20/1Market avg 22/1

22/1 → 22/1 ↑ 25/1 ↓ 22/1 ↓ 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 ↑ 28/1 ↓ 22/1 ↓ 20/1

PRICE MOVE

-0.17pp (-3.7%)

NR adjusted

Genuine drift after removing the measured NR price effect.

Raw Open → Now: -7.2% • -0.32pp

Measured NR price effect removed: -0.15pp

Latest confirmed post-NR price: 22/1 @ 05:15

NR @ 05:15: 22/1 → 22/1 (-0.15pp removed)

GENUINE NR-ADJUSTED MOVE: -0.17pp

Move evidence

50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

5 of 10 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 1st at Kempton (AW) on 02 Jul 2026 (-6.50pp); finished 1st at Dundalk (AW) (IRE) on 26 May 2026 (-7.29pp); finished 5th at Dundalk (AW) (IRE) on 27 Mar 2026 (-2.29pp); finished 1st at Dundalk (AW) (IRE) on 27 Feb 2026 (-9.23pp); and finished 6th at Dundalk (AW) (IRE) on 28 Jan 2026 (-0.64pp).

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Dundalk (AW) (IRE), 26 May 2026 — 1st • open 11/8 → final 5/2 (-13.45pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

28/1 29 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
AscotToday1m · Class 3 · Good · 11 runners	20/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.17ppOpen → now	22/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.17ppNR adjusted
Goodwood29 Jul 20267f · Class 3 · Good To Firm · 20 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	25/1	+0.92ppOpen → 10am	20/1	-0.41pp10am → 1pm	22/1	+0.00pp1pm → SP	22/1	2nd	+0.50pp
Post-race comment
Kempton (AW)02 Jul 20261m · Class 4 · Standard To Slow · 10 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	15/2	-6.50ppOpen → 10am	18/1	-2.49pp10am → 1pm	33/1	+1.07pp1pm → SP	25/1	1st	-7.92pp
Post-race comment
Dundalk (AW) (IRE)26 May 20261m · Class — · Standard · 10 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	11/8	-7.29ppOpen → 10am	15/8	-1.39pp10am → 1pm	2/1	+0.00pp1pm → SP	2/1	1st	-8.68pp
Post-race comment
Dundalk (AW) (IRE)27 Feb 20266f · Class — · Standard · 8 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	6/4	-9.23ppOpen → 10am	9/4	+3.95pp10am → 1pm	15/8	-10.91pp1pm → SP	10/3	1st	-16.19pp
Post-race comment
Dundalk (AW) (IRE)13 Feb 20261m · Class — · Standard · 12 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	2/1	+1.39ppOpen → 10am	15/8	-9.72pp10am → 1pm	3/1	-1.91pp1pm → SP	10/3	1st	-10.24pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
AscotToday1m · Class 3 · Good · 11 runners	20/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.17ppOpen → now	22/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.17ppNR adjusted
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

5 of 10 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. The horse drops from Class 2 to Class 3, but the market has not responded with meaningful support. Today’s move: The Liffey is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Goodwood · 29 Jul 2026 · 2nd · 1/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Ascot · previous Goodwood×Trip (within ½f): Today 1m · previous 7f×Ground: Today Good · previous Good To Firm✓Class: Class 3

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

The price has been unpredictable before and may move sharply again. (moderate)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

No positive support trigger.

This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.

Today: -0.17pp

Possible next price: 20/1

10 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Final Night

NON-RUNNERNR @ 05:15

Race market overview as at 05:16

Supported0 of 11 runners at +4pp or more
Drifting0 of 11 runners at −4pp or worse
Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.

15:35Ascot • 1m6f34y • Class 1 • Going: Good

6 runners

Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

InfraadDraw 4

Trainer: William Haggas

Jockey: Tom Marquand

🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer William Haggas (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 100/599; first seen between 10am and 1pm 47/599; first seen after 1pm 48/599.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 4/5; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/5; first seen after 1pm 0/5.

Most often first apparent by 10am in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.51pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

⬆ CLASS RISE

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run41 days ago · 22 Aug 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

Usually attracts bookmaker support

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Opening

Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 8/11 → 10/3 | Avg: 9/4Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

10am plunger

Early money horse (80%)

15:35Ascot

Opened 4/7Market avg 8/13

8/13 → 8/13 → 8/13 → 8/13 → 8/13 → 8/13 → 8/13 → 8/13 → 8/13 → 8/13

PRICE MOVE

-1.51pp (-2.4%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILESTRONGEST RECORDED DRIFT FOR THIS HORSE (100th percentile)

EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE

Largest drift recorded across 5 previous runs.

Raw Open → Now price change: 2.4% • -1.51 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: York, 22 Aug 2026 — 1st • open 11/4 → final 10/3 (-3.57pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

8/13 1.62 decimal 7Bet

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
AscotToday1m 6f 34y · Class 1 · Good · 6 runners	4/7	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-1.51ppOpen → now	8/13Current; SP pending	Pending	-1.51pp
York22 Aug 20261m 5f 188y · Class 2 · Good To Soft · 17 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	11/4	+1.90ppOpen → 10am	5/2	-8.57pp10am → 1pm	4/1	+3.09pp1pm → SP	10/3	1st	-3.57pp
Post-race comment
Goodwood29 Jul 20261m 3f 218y · Class 2 · Good To Firm · 8 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	7/2	+8.55ppOpen → 10am	9/4	-4.10pp10am → 1pm	11/4	+6.67pp1pm → SP	2/1	1st	+11.11pp
Post-race comment
Pontefract29 Apr 20261m 2f 5y · Class 3 · Good · 6 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	2/1	+21.31ppOpen → 10am	5/6	+3.16pp10am → 1pm	8/11	-2.25pp1pm → SP	4/5	1st	+22.22pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
AscotToday1m 6f 34y · Class 1 · Good · 6 runners	4/7	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-1.51ppOpen → now	8/13Current; SP pending	Pending	-1.51pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READTHIS IS THE HORSE’S STRONGEST RECORDED SUPPORT

Across 5 previous runs, this is the horse’s strongest recorded support. It is also stepping up from Class 2 to Class 1, which adds another test today. Today’s move: Infraad is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: York · 22 Aug 2026 · 1st · 1/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Ascot · previous York✓Trip (within ½f): 1m 6f 34y×Ground: Today Good · previous Good To Soft×Class: Today Class 1 · previous Class 2

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (strong)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

No positive support trigger.

This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.

Today: -1.51pp

Possible next price: 8/13

5 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

GaliyanDraw 2

Trainer: Andrew Balding

Jockey: James Doyle

🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Andrew Balding (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 142/885; first seen between 10am and 1pm 74/885; first seen after 1pm 41/885.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/6; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/6; first seen after 1pm 0/6.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +1.43pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 71/194 won (36.6%); Open→SP 71/207 won (34.3%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 37.3% (38/102).

↔ SAME CLASS

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run20 days ago · 12 Sep 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

Usually attracts bookmaker support

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Late PM

Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: 5/2 → 11/4 | Avg: 5/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

10am plunger

Late money horse (33%)

15:35Ascot

Opened 3/1Market avg 11/4

11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 ↑ 3/1 → 3/1 ↓ 11/4 ↑ 3/1

PRICE MOVE

+1.43pp (+5.4%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

83th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE83rd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE

Only 1 of 6 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 4th at Newmarket on 16 Apr 2026 (+3.41pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 5.4% • +1.43 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Newmarket, 09 Jul 2026 — 2nd • open 10/3 → final 11/4 (+3.57pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

3/1 4 decimal 7Bet

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
AscotToday1m 6f 34y · Class 1 · Good · 6 runners	3/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+1.43ppOpen → now	11/4Current; SP pending	Pending	+1.43pp
Newmarket09 Jul 20261m 5f · Class 1 · Good To Firm · 5 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	10/3	+0.00ppOpen → 10am	10/3	+3.57pp10am → 1pm	11/4	-1.67pp1pm → SP	3/1	2nd	+1.91pp
Post-race comment
Chester08 May 20261m 4f 63y · Class 2 · Good · 7 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	2/1	-2.56ppOpen → 10am	9/4	+7.25pp10am → 1pm	13/8	-7.25pp1pm → SP	9/4	1st	-2.56pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
AscotToday1m 6f 34y · Class 1 · Good · 6 runners	3/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+1.43ppOpen → now	11/4Current; SP pending	Pending	+1.43pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 1 of 6 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Galiyan is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Newmarket · 09 Jul 2026 · 2nd · 1/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Ascot · previous Newmarket×Trip (within ½f): Today 1m 6f 34y · previous 1m 5f×Ground: Today Good · previous Good To Firm✓Class: Class 1

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

Similar moves have usually held or strengthened.

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

No positive support trigger.

This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.

Today: +1.43pp

Possible next price: 10/3

6 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Ascot. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

Galilean QualityDraw 6

Trainer: K. R. Burke

Jockey: Clifford Lee

🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer K. R. Burke (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 23/262; first seen between 10am and 1pm 21/262; first seen after 1pm 12/262.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 2/7; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/7; first seen after 1pm 0/7.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.18pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

⬆ CLASS RISE

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run27 days ago · 5 Sep 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

Usually attracts bookmaker support

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Opening

Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: EVS → 12/1 | Avg: 4/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

10am plunger

Early money horse (43%)

15:35Ascot

Opened 5/1Market avg 5/1

5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 ↑ 11/2 ↓ 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 ↓ 9/2 ↑ 11/2 ↓ 5/1

PRICE MOVE

-0.18pp (-1.1%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

71th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE71st HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

2 of 7 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 1st at Wolverhampton (AW) on 29 May 2026 (-4.44pp); and finished 3rd at Chester on 07 May 2026 (-4.17pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 1.1% • -0.18 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Chester, 07 May 2026 — 3rd • open 5/1 → final 6/1 (-2.38pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

11/2 6.5 decimal Bet Victor

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
AscotToday1m 6f 34y · Class 1 · Good · 6 runners	5/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.18ppOpen → now	5/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.18pp
Haydock05 Sep 20261m 6f · Class 2 · Heavy · 8 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	2/1	+1.08ppOpen → 10am	2/1	+0.00pp10am → 1pm	2/1	-2.56pp1pm → SP	9/4	2nd	-1.49pp
Post-race comment
York22 Aug 20261m 5f 188y · Class 2 · Good To Soft · 17 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	18/1	+2.43ppOpen → 10am	12/1	-1.63pp10am → 1pm	16/1	+1.63pp1pm → SP	12/1	2nd	+2.43pp
Post-race comment
Ascot11 Jul 20261m 6f 34y · Class 3 · Good To Firm · 6 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	11/4	+13.33ppOpen → 10am	6/4	+0.00pp10am → 1pm	6/4	-1.83pp1pm → SP	13/8	1st	+11.50pp
Post-race comment
Wolverhampton (AW)29 May 20261m 4f 51y · Class 3 · Standard · 4 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	11/4	-4.44ppOpen → 10am	7/2	+6.35pp10am → 1pm	5/2	-5.48pp1pm → SP	10/3	1st	-3.57pp
Post-race comment
Southwell (AW)11 Apr 20261m 4f 14y · Class 4 · Standard · 2 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	2/1	+11.11ppOpen → 10am	5/4	+13.36pp10am → 1pm	8/11	-5.45pp1pm → SP	10/11	1st	+19.02pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
AscotToday1m 6f 34y · Class 1 · Good · 6 runners	5/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.18ppOpen → now	5/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.18pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 2 of 7 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. It is also stepping up from Class 2 to Class 1, which adds another test today. Today’s move: Galilean Quality is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Ascot · 11 Jul 2026 · 1st · 2/4 known conditions match

✓Track: Ascot✓Trip (within ½f): 1m 6f 34y×Ground: Today Good · previous Good To Firm×Class: Today Class 1 · previous Class 3

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

No positive support trigger.

This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.

Today: -0.18pp

Possible next price: 5/1

7 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Course record
Course record of 1/2 at Ascot. The average SP at this course is 12.8 and today's market has the horse trading 53% shorter than usual.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Level LookDraw 3

Trainer: Andrew Balding

Jockey: Callum Hutchinson

🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Andrew Balding (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 142/885; first seen between 10am and 1pm 74/885; first seen after 1pm 41/885.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 2/6; first seen between 10am and 1pm 1/6; first seen after 1pm 0/6.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.31pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

⬆ CLASS RISE

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run15 days ago · 17 Sep 2026

Distance changeDown 2.3f from last run

No consistent price pattern yet

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Opening

Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: 1/3 → 15/2 | Avg: 11/4Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

10am plunger

Early money horse (50%)

15:35Ascot

Opened 20/1Market avg 22/1

22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1 ↓ 20/1 ↑ 22/1 → 22/1 ↓ 20/1

PRICE MOVE

-0.31pp (-7.0%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

2 of 6 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 4th at Newmarket (July) on 17 Jul 2026 (-4.44pp); and finished 1st at Newcastle (AW) on 09 Jan 2026 (-2.88pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 7% • -0.31 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Newcastle (AW), 09 Jan 2026 — 1st • open 11/2 → final 15/2 (-3.62pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

22/1 23 decimal Bet Victor

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
AscotToday1m 6f 34y · Class 1 · Good · 6 runners	20/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.31ppOpen → now	22/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.31pp
Southwell (AW)17 Sep 20262m 102y · Class 4 · Standard · 4 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	8/13	+4.17ppOpen → 10am	1/2	+4.76pp10am → 1pm	2/5	+0.00pp1pm → SP	2/5	1st	+8.93pp
Post-race comment
Wolverhampton (AW)07 Sep 20261m 6f · Class 4 · Standard · 4 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	15/8	+12.90ppOpen → 10am	11/10	-2.16pp10am → 1pm	6/5	+2.16pp1pm → SP	11/10	1st	+12.90pp
Post-race comment
Chester02 Aug 20261m 4f 63y · Class 4 · Good · 7 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	9/2	+8.48ppOpen → 10am	11/4	+8.06pp10am → 1pm	15/8	+1.64pp1pm → SP	7/4	2nd	+18.18pp
Post-race comment
Newcastle (AW)09 Jan 20261m 2f 42y · Class 3 · Standard · 4 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	11/2	-2.88ppOpen → 10am	7/1	-0.74pp10am → 1pm	15/2	+4.90pp1pm → SP	5/1	1st	+1.28pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
AscotToday1m 6f 34y · Class 1 · Good · 6 runners	20/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.31ppOpen → now	22/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.31pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 2 of 6 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. It is also stepping up from Class 4 to Class 1, which adds another test today. Today’s move: Level Look is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Wolverhampton (AW) · 07 Sep 2026 · 1st · 1/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Ascot · previous Wolverhampton (AW)✓Trip (within ½f): 1m 6f 34y×Ground: Today Good · previous Standard×Class: Today Class 1 · previous Class 4

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

No positive support trigger.

This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.

Today: -0.31pp

Possible next price: 18/1

6 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Ascot. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

GuildmasterDraw 1

Trainer: John & Thady Gosden

Jockey: William Buick

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer John & Thady Gosden (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 74/369; first seen between 10am and 1pm 32/369; first seen after 1pm 17/369.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/4; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/4; first seen after 1pm 0/4.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.06pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 33/92 won (35.9%); Open→SP 34/93 won (36.6%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 48.8% (21/43).

⬆ CLASS RISE

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run27 days ago · 5 Sep 2026

Distance changeUp 2.2f from last run

No consistent price pattern yet

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Late PM

Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

10am plunger

Late money horse (75%)

15:35Ascot

Opened 25/1Market avg 25/1

25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 ↑ 28/1 ↓ 25/1 → 25/1

PRICE MOVE

+0.06pp (+1.5%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

Only 1 of 4 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 8th at Ascot on 18 Jun 2026 (+1.49pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 1.5% • +0.06 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Ascot, 18 Jun 2026 — 8th • open 50/1 → final 33/1 (+0.98pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

28/1 29 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
AscotToday1m 6f 34y · Class 1 · Good · 6 runners	25/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.06ppOpen → now	25/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.06pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
AscotToday1m 6f 34y · Class 1 · Good · 6 runners	25/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.06ppOpen → now	25/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.06pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 1 of 4 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. It is also stepping up from Class 2 to Class 1, which adds another test today. Today’s move: Guildmaster is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

This early support is unusual; the price has often drifted again later. (strong)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

4 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.

Today: +0.06pp

Possible next price: 25/1

4 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Course record
Course evidence at Ascot is limited (2 runs without making the frame). Today's market is close to its historical average against an average course SP profile of 23.5.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

Gone ByDraw 5

Trainer: Ralph Beckett

Jockey: Hector Crouch

🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Ralph Beckett (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 91/532; first seen between 10am and 1pm 38/532; first seen after 1pm 21/532.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/4; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/4; first seen after 1pm 0/4.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.05pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 27/109 won (24.8%); Open→SP 27/112 won (24.1%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 27.1% (16/59).

↔ SAME CLASS

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run62 days ago · 1 Aug 2026

Distance changeUp 2.2f from last run

Often drifts in the market

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Pre-Off

Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 1/6 → 11/8 | Avg: 8/11Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

Early money horse (25%)

15:35Ascot

Opened 28/1Market avg 28/1

28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 ↑ 33/1 → 33/1 ↓ 28/1 ↑ 33/1 ↓ 25/1 ↑ 33/1 ↑ 33/1

PRICE MOVE

+0.05pp (+1.5%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

Only 1 of 4 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 2nd at Ascot on 08 May 2026 (+10.34pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 1.5% • +0.05 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Ascot, 08 May 2026 — 2nd • open 11/8 → final 4/6 (+17.86pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

33/1 36 decimal 7Bet

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
AscotToday1m 6f 34y · Class 1 · Good · 6 runners	28/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.05ppOpen → now	28/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.05pp
Salisbury30 Jun 20261m 4f 5y · Class 3 · Good To Firm · 3 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	5/6	-10.20ppOpen → 10am	5/4	+0.00pp10am → 1pm	5/4	+1.01pp1pm → SP	6/5	1st	-9.19pp
Post-race comment
Ripon03 Jun 20261m 2f 190y · Class 3 · Good · 4 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	1/7	-4.39ppOpen → 10am	1/5	+2.14pp10am → 1pm	1/6	+2.25pp1pm → SP	1/7	1st	+0.00pp
Post-race comment
Ascot08 May 20261m 1f 212y · Class 2 · Good · 7 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	11/8	+10.34ppOpen → 10am	10/11	+5.45pp10am → 1pm	8/11	-5.45pp1pm → SP	10/11	2nd	+10.34pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
AscotToday1m 6f 34y · Class 1 · Good · 6 runners	28/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.05ppOpen → now	28/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.05pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 1 of 4 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Gone By is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Ascot · 08 May 2026 · 2nd · 2/4 known conditions match

✓Track: Ascot×Trip (within ½f): Today 1m 6f 34y · previous 1m 1f 212y✓Ground: Good×Class: Today Class 1 · previous Class 2

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

Similar moves have usually held or strengthened.

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

No positive support trigger.

This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.

Today: +0.05pp

Possible next price: 40/1

4 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Ascot. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

Race market overview as at 05:16

Supported0 of 6 runners at +4pp or more
Drifting0 of 6 runners at −4pp or worse
Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.

16:10Ascot • 0m6f0y • Class 2 • Going: Good

18 runners

Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

Far Above DreamDraw 9

Trainer: James Owen

Jockey: Kieran Shoemark

🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer James Owen (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 139/893; first seen between 10am and 1pm 80/893; first seen after 1pm 40/893.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 2/6; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/6; first seen after 1pm 0/6.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.02pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

↔ SAME CLASS

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run13 days ago · 19 Sep 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

No consistent price pattern yet

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Early PM

Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: 13/8 → 16/1 | Avg: 17/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

10am plunger

Early money horse (33%)

16:10Ascot

Opened 9/2Market avg 5/1

5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 ↓ 9/2 ↑ 11/2 ↓ 5/1 → 5/1

PRICE MOVE

-1.02pp (-5.9%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

2 of 6 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 2nd at York on 22 Aug 2026 (-1.40pp); and finished 1st at Newbury on 16 May 2026 (-1.97pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 5.9% • -1.02 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: York, 22 Aug 2026 — 2nd • open 10/1 → final 16/1 (-3.21pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

11/2 6.5 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
AscotToday6f · Class 2 · Good · 18 runners	9/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-1.02ppOpen → now	5/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-1.02pp
York22 Aug 20266f · Class 2 · Good To Soft · 20 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	10/1	-1.40ppOpen → 10am	12/1	-1.81pp10am → 1pm	16/1	+0.00pp1pm → SP	16/1	2nd	-3.21pp
Post-race comment
Newbury16 May 20266f · Class 2 · Good · 14 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	7/1	-1.97ppOpen → 10am	17/2	-0.53pp10am → 1pm	9/1	+0.53pp1pm → SP	17/2	1st	-1.97pp
Post-race comment
Goodwood01 May 20266f · Class 3 · Good · 9 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	5/1	+14.10ppOpen → 10am	9/4	+3.95pp10am → 1pm	15/8	-3.95pp1pm → SP	9/4	1st	+14.10pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
AscotToday6f · Class 2 · Good · 18 runners	9/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-1.02ppOpen → now	5/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-1.02pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 2 of 6 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Far Above Dream is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Newbury · 16 May 2026 · 1st · 3/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Ascot · previous Newbury✓Trip (within ½f): 6f✓Ground: Good✓Class: Class 2

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.Comparable moves have had few top-two finishes. Be cautious.

Did the early price move fade?

Recorded examples where 5pp+ early support was followed by a longer final price:

Ayr, 19 Sep 2026 — 11th • open 6/1 → 10am 11/4 → final 4/1

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

No positive support trigger.

This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.

Today: -1.02pp

Possible next price: 5/1

6 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Ascot. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

AnnafDraw 2

Trainer: Michael Appleby

Jockey: Jason Watson

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Michael Appleby (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 53/438; first seen between 10am and 1pm 21/438; first seen after 1pm 17/438.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/9; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/9; first seen after 1pm 0/9.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.16pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 13/63 won (20.6%); Open→SP 13/65 won (20%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 32.4% (11/34).

↔ SAME CLASS

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run20 days ago · 12 Sep 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

No consistent price pattern yet

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Late PM

Runs: 9 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

10am plunger

Early money horse (33%)

16:10Ascot

Opened 11/2Market avg 11/2

11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 ↓ 5/1 ↑ 6/1 ↓ 11/2 → 11/2

PRICE MOVE

+0.16pp (+1.0%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

3 of 9 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 4th at Doncaster on 12 Sep 2026 (+1.42pp); finished 7th at Ascot on 11 Jul 2026 (+1.67pp); and finished 3rd at Newcastle (AW) on 27 Jun 2026 (+1.19pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 1% • +0.16 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Doncaster, 12 Sep 2026 — 4th • open 25/1 → final 18/1 (+1.42pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

6/1 7 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
AscotToday6f · Class 2 · Good · 18 runners	11/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.16ppOpen → now	11/2Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.16pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
AscotToday6f · Class 2 · Good · 18 runners	11/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.16ppOpen → now	11/2Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.16pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 3 of 9 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Annaf is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.Comparable moves have had few top-two finishes. Be cautious.

Did the early price move fade?

No documented early-support reversal in this horse’s recorded checkpoint sample. The older wording referred to finishing results, not a verified intraday price fade.

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

9 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.

Today: +0.16pp

Possible next price: 11/2

9 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Ascot. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

IronwillDraw 11

Trainer: Stuart Williams

Jockey: Marco Ghiani

🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Stuart Williams (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 47/380; first seen between 10am and 1pm 27/380; first seen after 1pm 15/380.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/8; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/8; first seen after 1pm 0/8.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.32pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 16/55 won (29.1%); Open→SP 20/57 won (35.1%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 45.2% (14/31).

↔ SAME CLASS

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run19 days ago · 13 Sep 2026

Distance changeDown 1f from last run

No consistent price pattern yet

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Opening

Runs: 8 | Fixed-odds range: 15/8 → 9/1 | Avg: 11/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

10am plunger

Early money horse (38%)

16:10Ascot

Opened 6/1Market avg 6/1

6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 ↓ 11/2 → 11/2 ↑ 13/2 ↓ 6/1 → 6/1

PRICE MOVE

+0.32pp (+2.2%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

4 of 8 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 3rd at Doncaster on 13 Sep 2026 (+0.65pp); finished 2nd at Goodwood on 01 Aug 2026 (+0.83pp); finished 1st at Newmarket (July) on 04 Jul 2026 (+8.89pp); and finished 5th at Newmarket on 16 Apr 2026 (+2.83pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 2.2% • +0.32 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Newmarket (July), 04 Jul 2026 — 1st • open 13/2 → final 15/8 (+21.39pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

13/2 7.5 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
AscotToday6f · Class 2 · Good · 18 runners	6/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.32ppOpen → now	6/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.32pp
Goodwood01 Aug 20267f · Class 2 · Good To Firm · 13 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	7/1	+0.83ppOpen → 10am	13/2	-1.57pp10am → 1pm	15/2	-2.67pp1pm → SP	10/1	2nd	-3.41pp
Post-race comment
Newmarket (July)04 Jul 20267f · Class 3 · Good To Firm · 5 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	13/2	+8.89ppOpen → 10am	7/2	+11.11pp10am → 1pm	2/1	+0.00pp1pm → SP	2/1	1st	+20.00pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
AscotToday6f · Class 2 · Good · 18 runners	6/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.32ppOpen → now	6/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.32pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

4 of 8 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. Today’s move: Ironwill is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Goodwood · 01 Aug 2026 · 2nd · 1/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Ascot · previous Goodwood×Trip (within ½f): Today 6f · previous 7f×Ground: Today Good · previous Good To Firm✓Class: Class 2

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

Similar moves have usually held or strengthened.

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

No positive support trigger.

This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.

Today: +0.32pp

Possible next price: 13/2

8 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

YordanDraw 7

Trainer: Kevin Ryan

Jockey: Kevin Stott

🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Kevin Ryan (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 42/440; first seen between 10am and 1pm 31/440; first seen after 1pm 9/440.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 2/3; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/3; first seen after 1pm 0/3.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.74pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

⬆ CLASS RISE

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run30 days ago · 2 Sep 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

Usually attracts bookmaker support

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Early

Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: 2/9 → 7/1 | Avg: 11/4Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

Early money horse (33%)

16:10Ascot

Opened 7/1Market avg 15/2

15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 ↑ 8/1 ↓ 15/2 → 15/2

PRICE MOVE

-0.74pp (-6.2%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILESTRONGEST RECORDED DRIFT FOR THIS HORSE (100th percentile)

EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE

Largest drift recorded across 3 previous runs.

Raw Open → Now price change: 6.3% • -0.74 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Leicester, 29 Jul 2026 — 2nd • open 4/1 → final 7/1 (-7.50pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

9/1 10 decimal Midnite

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
AscotToday6f · Class 2 · Good · 18 runners	7/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.74ppOpen → now	15/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.74pp
Newcastle (AW)02 Sep 20266f 1y · Class 4 · Standard · 10 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	8/15	+11.13ppOpen → 10am	3/10	+8.55pp10am → 1pm	1/6	+1.49pp1pm → SP	1/7	1st	+21.17pp
Post-race comment
Southwell (AW)16 Aug 20266f 16y · Class 4 · Standard · 9 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	5/2	+6.15ppOpen → 10am	15/8	+7.29pp10am → 1pm	11/8	+3.44pp1pm → SP	6/5	1st	+16.88pp
Post-race comment
Leicester29 Jul 20267f · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 4 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	4/1	+0.00ppOpen → 10am	4/1	-1.82pp10am → 1pm	9/2	-9.09pp1pm → SP	10/1	2nd	-10.91pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
AscotToday6f · Class 2 · Good · 18 runners	7/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.74ppOpen → now	15/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.74pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READTHIS IS THE HORSE’S STRONGEST RECORDED SUPPORT

Across 3 previous runs, this is the horse’s strongest recorded support. It is also stepping up from Class 4 to Class 2, which adds another test today. Today’s move: Yordan is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Newcastle (AW) · 02 Sep 2026 · 1st · 1/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Ascot · previous Newcastle (AW)✓Trip (within ½f): 6f×Ground: Today Good · previous Standard×Class: Today Class 2 · previous Class 4

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

Similar moves have usually held or strengthened.

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

No positive support trigger.

This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.

Today: -0.74pp

Possible next price: 15/2

3 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

PiluDraw 8

Trainer: Roger Teal

Jockey: Joe Leavy

🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Roger Teal (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 24/178; first seen between 10am and 1pm 13/178; first seen after 1pm 4/178.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/6; first seen between 10am and 1pm 1/6; first seen after 1pm 0/6.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.36pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

⬆ CLASS RISE

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run15 days ago · 17 Sep 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

Usually attracts bookmaker support

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Opening

Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: 7/2 → 4/1 | Avg: 4/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

10am plunger

Early money horse (50%)

16:10Ascot

Opened 8/1Market avg 17/2

17/2 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 17/2 → 17/2 → 17/2 ↓ 8/1 → 8/1 ↑ 9/1 ↓ 17/2 → 17/2

PRICE MOVE

-0.36pp (-3.4%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

83th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE83rd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE

Only 1 of 6 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 6th at Newmarket on 02 May 2026 (-3.83pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 3.4% • -0.36 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Newmarket (July), 22 Aug 2026 — 1st • open 11/4 → final 4/1 (-7.03pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

9/1 10 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
AscotToday6f · Class 2 · Good · 18 runners	8/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.36ppOpen → now	17/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.36pp
Yarmouth17 Sep 20266f 3y · Class 3 · Good · 9 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	11/2	+1.04ppOpen → 10am	5/1	+3.33pp10am → 1pm	4/1	+0.00pp1pm → SP	4/1	1st	+4.38pp
Post-race comment
Newmarket (July)22 Aug 20266f · Class 4 · Good · 13 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	11/4	+1.54ppOpen → 10am	5/2	-11.90pp10am → 1pm	5/1	+3.33pp1pm → SP	4/1	1st	-7.03pp
Post-race comment
Leicester25 May 20266f · Class 3 · Good To Firm · 12 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	13/2	+3.33ppOpen → 10am	5/1	+6.43pp10am → 1pm	10/3	-0.87pp1pm → SP	7/2	2nd	+8.89pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
AscotToday6f · Class 2 · Good · 18 runners	8/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.36ppOpen → now	17/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.36pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 1 of 6 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. It is also stepping up from Class 3 to Class 2, which adds another test today. Today’s move: Pilu is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Yarmouth · 17 Sep 2026 · 1st · 2/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Ascot · previous Yarmouth✓Trip (within ½f): 6f✓Ground: Good×Class: Today Class 2 · previous Class 3

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

No positive support trigger.

This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.

Today: -0.36pp

Possible next price: 9/1

6 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

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Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Bolo NeighsDraw 5

Trainer: Ralph Beckett

Jockey: Rossa Ryan

🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Ralph Beckett (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 91/532; first seen between 10am and 1pm 38/532; first seen after 1pm 21/532.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/8; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/8; first seen after 1pm 1/8.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.13pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 27/109 won (24.8%); Open→SP 27/112 won (24.1%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 27.1% (16/59).

↔ SAME CLASS

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run55 days ago · 8 Aug 2026

Distance changeUp 1f from last run

Often drifts in the market

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Pre-Off

Runs: 8 | Fixed-odds range: 12/1 → 16/1 | Avg: 14/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

Best at SP (38%)

16:10Ascot

Opened 9/1Market avg 9/1

17/2 ↑ 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 ↓ 17/2 ↑ 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1

PRICE MOVE

+0.13pp (+1.3%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

63th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE63rd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

3 of 8 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 6th at Ascot on 25 Jul 2026 (+2.31pp); finished 8th at Chester on 13 Jun 2026 (+0.79pp); and finished 6th at Kempton (AW) on 11 Feb 2026 (+0.91pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 1.3% • +0.13 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Ascot, 25 Jul 2026 — 6th • open 12/1 → final 11/2 (+7.69pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

10/1 11 decimal Midnite

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
AscotToday6f · Class 2 · Good · 18 runners	9/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.13ppOpen → now	9/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.13pp
Ascot08 May 20266f · Class 3 · Good · 10 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	9/1	-1.67ppOpen → 10am	11/1	-0.64pp10am → 1pm	12/1	+0.00pp1pm → SP	12/1	1st	-2.31pp
Post-race comment
Lingfield (AW)17 Jan 20266f 1y · Class 3 · Standard · 7 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	12/1	+0.00ppOpen → 10am	12/1	-1.03pp10am → 1pm	14/1	-1.40pp1pm → SP	18/1	2nd	-2.43pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
AscotToday6f · Class 2 · Good · 18 runners	9/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.13ppOpen → now	9/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.13pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 3 of 8 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Bolo Neighs is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Ascot · 08 May 2026 · 1st · 3/4 known conditions match

✓Track: Ascot✓Trip (within ½f): 6f✓Ground: Good×Class: Today Class 2 · previous Class 3

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.Comparable moves have had few top-two finishes. Be cautious.

Did the early price move fade?

No documented early-support reversal in this horse’s recorded checkpoint sample. The older wording referred to finishing results, not a verified intraday price fade.

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

No positive support trigger.

This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.

Today: +0.13pp

Possible next price: 10/1

8 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Course record
Course evidence at Ascot stands at 1 placed effort from 4 runs. Today's market is 19% shorter than usual compared with a long-term course average SP of 12.1.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

First LegionDraw 17

Trainer: Richard Hannon

Jockey: Sean Levey

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Richard Hannon (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 94/764; first seen between 10am and 1pm 47/764; first seen after 1pm 34/764.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/6; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/6; first seen after 1pm 1/6.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.04pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

⬆ CLASS RISE

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run28 days ago · 4 Sep 2026

Distance changeDown 1f from last run

Usually attracts bookmaker support

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Opening

Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: 5/1 → 5/1 | Avg: 5/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

10am plunger

Early money horse (50%)

16:10Ascot

Opened 9/1Market avg 9/1

9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 ↑ 10/1 ↓ 9/1 → 9/1

PRICE MOVE

-0.04pp (-0.4%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

83th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE83rd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE

Only 1 of 6 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 4th at Newmarket on 02 May 2026 (-0.62pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 0.4% • -0.04 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Ascot, 04 Sep 2026 — 1st • open 7/2 → final 5/1 (-5.56pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

10/1 11 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
AscotToday6f · Class 2 · Good · 18 runners	9/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.04ppOpen → now	9/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.04pp
Ascot04 Sep 20267f · Class 4 · Good · 8 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	7/2	+0.00ppOpen → 10am	7/2	-6.09pp10am → 1pm	5/1	+0.54pp1pm → SP	5/1	1st	-5.56pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
AscotToday6f · Class 2 · Good · 18 runners	9/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.04ppOpen → now	9/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.04pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 1 of 6 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. It is also stepping up from Class 4 to Class 2, which adds another test today. Today’s move: First Legion is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Ascot · 04 Sep 2026 · 1st · 2/4 known conditions match

✓Track: Ascot×Trip (within ½f): Today 6f · previous 7f✓Ground: Good×Class: Today Class 2 · previous Class 4

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

6 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.

Today: -0.04pp

Possible next price: 9/1

6 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Ascot. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Another AbbotDraw 4

Trainer: William Haggas

Jockey: Tom Marquand

🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer William Haggas (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 100/599; first seen between 10am and 1pm 47/599; first seen after 1pm 48/599.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/7; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/7; first seen after 1pm 1/7.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.35pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 39/127 won (30.7%); Open→SP 51/161 won (31.7%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 34.2% (26/76).

⬆ CLASS RISE

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run15 days ago · 17 Sep 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

Often drifts in the market

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: 10am

Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 5/2 → 9/1 | Avg: 6/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

10am plunger

Early money horse (43%)

16:10Ascot

Opened 12/1Market avg 11/1

11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 ↑ 12/1 → 12/1 ↓ 11/1 ↑ 12/1 ↓ 11/1 ↑ 12/1 → 12/1

PRICE MOVE

+0.35pp (+4.3%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

71th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE71st HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

2 of 7 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 2nd at Yarmouth on 17 Sep 2026 (+4.08pp); and finished 1st at Windsor on 27 Jul 2026 (+3.42pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 4.3% • +0.35 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Windsor, 27 Jul 2026 — 1st • open 12/1 → final 6/1 (+6.59pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

14/1 15 decimal Midnite

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
AscotToday6f · Class 2 · Good · 18 runners	12/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.35ppOpen → now	11/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.35pp
Yarmouth17 Sep 20266f 3y · Class 3 · Good · 9 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	9/1	+4.08ppOpen → 10am	6/1	-5.19pp10am → 1pm	10/1	+0.91pp1pm → SP	9/1	2nd	-0.20pp
Post-race comment
Windsor27 Jul 20266f 12y · Class 3 · Good To Firm · 13 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	12/1	+3.42ppOpen → 10am	8/1	+1.39pp10am → 1pm	7/1	+7.50pp1pm → SP	4/1	1st	+12.31pp
Post-race comment
Yarmouth28 May 20266f 3y · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 8 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	13/8	-11.36ppOpen → 10am	11/4	+4.10pp10am → 1pm	9/4	-4.10pp1pm → SP	11/4	1st	-11.36pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
AscotToday6f · Class 2 · Good · 18 runners	12/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.35ppOpen → now	11/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.35pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 2 of 7 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. It is also stepping up from Class 3 to Class 2, which adds another test today. Today’s move: Another Abbot is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Yarmouth · 17 Sep 2026 · 2nd · 2/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Ascot · previous Yarmouth✓Trip (within ½f): 6f✓Ground: Good×Class: Today Class 2 · previous Class 3

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

No positive support trigger.

This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.

Today: +0.35pp

Possible next price: 14/1

7 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Course record
No placed efforts from 2 previous runs at Ascot. The current market is 17% shorter than usual compared with a typical course SP of 15.0.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

NorthcliffDraw 14

Trainer: Jane Chapple-Hyam

Jockey: Toby Moore(7)

🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Jane Chapple-Hyam (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 35/187; first seen between 10am and 1pm 14/187; first seen after 1pm 12/187.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 3/12; first seen between 10am and 1pm 5/12; first seen after 1pm 0/12.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.00pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 18/47 won (38.3%); Open→SP 17/53 won (32.1%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 34.6% (9/26).

⬆ CLASS RISE

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run13 days ago · 19 Sep 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

Usually attracts bookmaker support

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Opening

Runs: 12 | Fixed-odds range: 7/4 → 8/1 | Avg: 9/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

10am plunger

Early money horse (50%)

16:10Ascot

Opened 12/1Market avg 12/1

11/1 ↑ 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1

PRICE MOVE

+0.00pp (+0.0%)

No meaningful price change from the open.

Move evidence

17th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE17th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

10 of 12 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 1st at Newmarket on 19 Sep 2026 (+1.13pp); finished 3rd at Ascot on 05 Sep 2026 (+0.33pp); finished 2nd at Newmarket (July) on 14 Aug 2026 (+2.38pp); finished 2nd at Thirsk on 01 Aug 2026 (+1.19pp); finished 17th at Ascot on 11 Jul 2026 (+4.81pp); finished 6th at Windsor on 29 Jun 2026 (+3.17pp); finished 4th at Newmarket (July) on 19 Jun 2026 (+2.05pp); finished 1st at Chepstow on 29 May 2026 (+12.31pp); finished 8th at Southwell (AW) on 11 Apr 2026 (+9.49pp); and finished 11th at Lingfield (AW) on 25 Mar 2026 (+7.26pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 0% • +0.00 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Goodwood, 28 Aug 2026 — 2nd • open 5/1 → final 9/4 (+14.64pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

14/1 15 decimal William Hill

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
AscotToday6f · Class 2 · Good · 18 runners	12/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.00ppOpen → now	12/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.00pp
Newmarket19 Sep 20266f · Class 4 · Good · 9 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	13/2	+1.13ppOpen → 10am	6/1	+3.90pp10am → 1pm	9/2	+0.00pp1pm → SP	9/2	1st	+5.02pp
Post-race comment
Goodwood28 Aug 20266f · Class 5 · Good To Firm · 7 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	5/1	-0.74ppOpen → 10am	11/2	+9.62pp10am → 1pm	3/1	+3.57pp1pm → SP	5/2	2nd	+12.44pp
Post-race comment
Newmarket (July)14 Aug 20266f · Class 5 · Good To Firm · 12 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	6/1	+2.38ppOpen → 10am	5/1	-3.33pp10am → 1pm	13/2	-1.57pp1pm → SP	15/2	2nd	-2.52pp
Post-race comment
Thirsk01 Aug 20266f · Class 6 · Good · 9 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	10/3	+1.19ppOpen → 10am	3/1	+9.72pp10am → 1pm	15/8	+5.28pp1pm → SP	6/4	2nd	+16.19pp
Post-race comment
Chepstow29 May 20267f 16y · Class 6 · Good To Firm · 10 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	12/1	+12.31ppOpen → 10am	4/1	+0.00pp10am → 1pm	4/1	-3.33pp1pm → SP	5/1	1st	+8.97pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
AscotToday6f · Class 2 · Good · 18 runners	12/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.00ppOpen → now	12/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.00pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

10 of 12 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. It is also stepping up from Class 4 to Class 2, which adds another test today. Today’s move: Northcliff is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Newmarket · 19 Sep 2026 · 1st · 2/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Ascot · previous Newmarket✓Trip (within ½f): 6f✓Ground: Good×Class: Today Class 2 · previous Class 4

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

No positive support trigger.

This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.

Today: +0.00pp

Possible next price: 12/1

12 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Course record
This horse is 0/2 at Ascot on our records. Today's market is 41% bigger than usual against an average course SP of 9.3.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

GoldmoyneDraw 18

Trainer: James Owen

Jockey: George Wood

🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer James Owen (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 139/893; first seen between 10am and 1pm 80/893; first seen after 1pm 40/893.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 4/15; first seen between 10am and 1pm 2/15; first seen after 1pm 0/15.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.30pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

↔ SAME CLASS

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run13 days ago · 19 Sep 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

No consistent price pattern yet

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Opening

Runs: 15 | Fixed-odds range: 13/8 → 22/1 | Avg: 7/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

10am plunger

Early money horse (40%)

16:10Ascot

Opened 12/1Market avg 12/1

12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 ↑ 14/1 → 14/1 ↓ 12/1 → 12/1 ↓ 10/1 ↑ 14/1 → 14/1

PRICE MOVE

-0.30pp (-4.0%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

5 of 15 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 2nd at Ayr on 19 Sep 2026 (-2.04pp); finished 2nd at Newmarket (July) on 04 Jul 2026 (-1.11pp); finished 2nd at Doncaster on 20 Jun 2026 (-4.27pp); finished 9th at Newmarket on 16 Apr 2026 (-2.83pp); and finished 3rd at Musselburgh on 04 Apr 2026 (-3.33pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 4% • -0.30 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Musselburgh, 04 Apr 2026 — 3rd • open 9/1 → final 12/1 (-2.31pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

14/1 15 decimal 7Bet

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
AscotToday6f · Class 2 · Good · 18 runners	12/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.30ppOpen → now	12/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.30pp
Ayr19 Sep 20266f · Class 2 · Heavy · 23 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	16/1	-2.04ppOpen → 10am	25/1	+0.50pp10am → 1pm	22/1	+0.00pp1pm → SP	22/1	2nd	-1.53pp
Post-race comment
Newmarket (July)04 Jul 20267f · Class 2 · Good To Firm · 10 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	8/1	-1.11ppOpen → 10am	9/1	-0.91pp10am → 1pm	10/1	+0.00pp1pm → SP	10/1	2nd	-2.02pp
Post-race comment
Doncaster20 Jun 20267f 6y · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 11 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	11/2	-4.27ppOpen → 10am	8/1	+2.22pp10am → 1pm	13/2	-0.83pp1pm → SP	7/1	2nd	-2.88pp
Post-race comment
Lingfield (AW)20 Mar 20261m 1y · Class 4 · Standard · 10 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	9/2	+1.82ppOpen → 10am	4/1	+2.22pp10am → 1pm	7/2	-4.04pp1pm → SP	9/2	1st	+0.00pp
Post-race comment
Southwell (AW)11 Mar 20267f 14y · Class 5 · Standard · 9 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	10/3	+10.24ppOpen → 10am	2/1	-2.56pp10am → 1pm	9/4	-2.20pp1pm → SP	5/2	1st	+5.48pp
Post-race comment
Newcastle (AW)06 Mar 20267f 14y · Class 5 · Standard · 8 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	7/2	+11.11ppOpen → 10am	2/1	+3.03pp10am → 1pm	7/4	-3.03pp1pm → SP	2/1	1st	+11.11pp
Post-race comment
Southwell (AW)28 Feb 20267f 14y · Class 5 · Standard · 10 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	11/4	+13.33ppOpen → 10am	6/4	+4.44pp10am → 1pm	5/4	-2.43pp1pm → SP	11/8	1st	+15.35pp
Post-race comment
Newcastle (AW)22 Jan 20267f 14y · Class 5 · Standard · 12 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	11/2	-4.27ppOpen → 10am	8/1	+4.27pp10am → 1pm	11/2	+0.00pp1pm → SP	11/2	2nd	+0.00pp
Post-race comment
Newcastle (AW)10 Jan 20267f 14y · Class 6 · Standard · 11 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	9/4	+1.18ppOpen → 10am	9/4	-6.95pp10am → 1pm	3/1	+1.67pp1pm → SP	11/4	2nd	-4.10pp
Post-race comment
Newcastle (AW)29 Dec 20256f · Class 6 · Standard · 9 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	13/8	-1.66ppOpen → 10am	7/4	-3.03pp10am → 1pm	2/1	-2.56pp1pm → SP	9/4	1st	-7.25pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
AscotToday6f · Class 2 · Good · 18 runners	12/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.30ppOpen → now	12/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.30pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 5 of 15 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Goldmoyne is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Ayr · 19 Sep 2026 · 2nd · 2/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Ascot · previous Ayr✓Trip (within ½f): 6f×Ground: Today Good · previous Heavy✓Class: Class 2

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

No positive support trigger.

This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.

Today: -0.30pp

Possible next price: 16/1

15 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

FandomDraw 16

Trainer: Richard Hannon

Jockey: Pat Dobbs

🔴 Ignores MarketThis horse has won or placed despite drifting. Market weakness does NOT negatively impact performance. Can be a value angle when price weakens.

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Richard Hannon (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 94/764; first seen between 10am and 1pm 47/764; first seen after 1pm 34/764.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/10; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/10; first seen after 1pm 0/10.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.09pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 29/121 won (24%); Open→SP 31/138 won (22.5%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 28.8% (19/66).

↔ SAME CLASS

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run6 days ago · 26 Sep 2026

Distance changeUp 1f from last run

Often drifts in the market

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: 10am

Runs: 10 | Fixed-odds range: 13/2 → 11/1 | Avg: 17/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

10am plunger

Early money horse (40%)

16:10Ascot

Opened 16/1Market avg 16/1

16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 ↑ 18/1 ↓ 14/1 ↑ 16/1 → 16/1

PRICE MOVE

+0.09pp (+1.5%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

70th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE70th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

3 of 10 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 24th at Goodwood on 01 Aug 2026 (+1.12pp); finished 3rd at Ascot on 11 Jul 2026 (+2.43pp); and finished 4th at Windsor on 29 Jun 2026 (+13.19pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 1.5% • +0.09 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Windsor, 29 Jun 2026 — 4th • open 11/2 → final 5/2 (+13.19pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

18/1 19 decimal BetMGM

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
AscotToday6f · Class 2 · Good · 18 runners	16/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.09ppOpen → now	16/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.09pp
Haydock26 Sep 20265f · Class 2 · Heavy · 10 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	10/1	-2.42ppOpen → 10am	14/1	+3.33pp10am → 1pm	9/1	-2.31pp1pm → SP	12/1	2nd	-1.40pp
Post-race comment
Thirsk31 May 20266f · Class 2 · Good · 14 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	11/2	-2.88ppOpen → 10am	7/1	-0.74pp10am → 1pm	15/2	+2.52pp1pm → SP	6/1	1st	-1.10pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
AscotToday6f · Class 2 · Good · 18 runners	16/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.09ppOpen → now	16/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.09pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 3 of 10 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Fandom is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Thirsk · 31 May 2026 · 1st · 3/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Ascot · previous Thirsk✓Trip (within ½f): 6f✓Ground: Good✓Class: Class 2

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

No positive support trigger.

This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.

Today: +0.09pp

Possible next price: 16/1

10 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

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Course record
Course evidence at Ascot is limited (3 runs without making the frame). Today's market is 27% shorter than usual against an average course SP profile of 23.0.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

DiligentlyDraw 12

Trainer: Clive Cox

Jockey: Pierre-Louis Jamin

🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Clive Cox (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 49/297; first seen between 10am and 1pm 13/297; first seen after 1pm 14/297.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 2/7; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/7; first seen after 1pm 0/7.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.06pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 12/49 won (24.5%); Open→SP 16/61 won (26.2%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 41.4% (12/29).

↔ SAME CLASS

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run27 days ago · 5 Sep 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

No consistent price pattern yet

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Opening

Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 13/2 → 15/2 | Avg: 7/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

10am plunger

Early money horse (43%)

16:10Ascot

Opened 16/1Market avg 16/1

16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 ↓ 14/1 → 14/1 ↑ 20/1 ↓ 16/1 → 16/1

PRICE MOVE

+0.06pp (+1.1%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

57th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE57th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

3 of 7 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 2nd at Windsor on 10 Aug 2026 (+1.76pp); finished 8th at Windsor on 11 May 2026 (+6.82pp); and finished 4th at Goodwood on 01 May 2026 (+6.82pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 1.1% • +0.06 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Windsor, 11 May 2026 — 8th • open 9/2 → final 11/4 (+8.48pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

20/1 21 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
AscotToday6f · Class 2 · Good · 18 runners	16/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.06ppOpen → now	16/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.06pp
Windsor10 Aug 20266f 12y · Class 2 · Good To Firm · 16 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	9/1	+1.76ppOpen → 10am	15/2	+0.74pp10am → 1pm	7/1	+2.88pp1pm → SP	11/2	2nd	+5.38pp
Post-race comment
Windsor15 Jun 20266f 12y · Class 3 · Good To Firm · 12 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	8/1	+0.00ppOpen → 10am	8/1	+0.00pp10am → 1pm	8/1	-0.58pp1pm → SP	17/2	1st	-0.58pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
AscotToday6f · Class 2 · Good · 18 runners	16/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.06ppOpen → now	16/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.06pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 3 of 7 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Diligently is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Windsor · 10 Aug 2026 · 2nd · 2/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Ascot · previous Windsor✓Trip (within ½f): 6f×Ground: Today Good · previous Good To Firm✓Class: Class 2

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Both previous top-two finishes came with support of 0.65pp+.

At 0.65pp+: 2/4 finished 1st or 2nd (50%).

Today: +0.06pp — trigger not reached.

Possible next price: 18/1

7 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

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Course record
Course evidence at Ascot is limited (2 runs without making the frame). Today's market is 72% bigger than usual against an average course SP profile of 9.8.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

BadriDraw 10

Trainer: Michael Herrington

Jockey: Lewis Edmunds

🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Michael Herrington (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 35/263; first seen between 10am and 1pm 26/263; first seen after 1pm 9/263.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 4/15; first seen between 10am and 1pm 2/15; first seen after 1pm 1/15.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.02pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

↔ SAME CLASS

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run10 days ago · 22 Sep 2026

Distance changeUp 1f from last run

No consistent price pattern yet

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Opening

Runs: 15 | Fixed-odds range: 7/4 → 9/1 | Avg: 4/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

10am plunger

Early money horse (33%)

16:10Ascot

Opened 18/1Market avg 18/1

18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1

PRICE MOVE

-0.02pp (-0.5%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

5 of 15 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 17th at Doncaster on 12 Sep 2026 (-1.12pp); finished 13th at Windsor on 10 Aug 2026 (-1.24pp); finished 1st at Pontefract on 21 Jun 2026 (-3.17pp); finished 7th at Epsom on 06 Jun 2026 (-4.49pp); and finished 13th at Newcastle (AW) on 27 Mar 2026 (-2.50pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 0.5% • -0.02 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Epsom, 06 Jun 2026 — 7th • open 11/1 → final 33/1 (-5.39pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

20/1 21 decimal William Hill

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
AscotToday6f · Class 2 · Good · 18 runners	18/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.02ppOpen → now	18/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.02pp
Beverley22 Sep 20265f · Class 2 · Good · 6 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	13/2	+0.95ppOpen → 10am	6/1	+3.90pp10am → 1pm	9/2	+0.00pp1pm → SP	9/2	2nd	+4.85pp
Post-race comment
Pontefract16 Aug 20265f 3y · Class 2 · Good To Firm · 8 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	9/2	+1.82ppOpen → 10am	4/1	+5.00pp10am → 1pm	3/1	+3.57pp1pm → SP	5/2	2nd	+10.39pp
Post-race comment
Pontefract17 Jul 20265f 3y · Class 3 · Good To Firm · 7 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	11/4	+9.70ppOpen → 10am	7/4	+0.00pp10am → 1pm	7/4	-1.64pp1pm → SP	15/8	1st	+8.06pp
Post-race comment
Pontefract07 Jul 20266f · Class 2 · Good · 6 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	5/1	+14.10ppOpen → 10am	9/4	+0.00pp10am → 1pm	9/4	-2.20pp1pm → SP	5/2	1st	+11.90pp
Post-race comment
Pontefract21 Jun 20266f · Class 3 · Good · 6 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	6/1	-3.17ppOpen → 10am	8/1	+0.65pp10am → 1pm	15/2	-1.76pp1pm → SP	9/1	1st	-4.29pp
Post-race comment
Redcar25 May 20265f 217y · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 11 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	7/1	+4.17ppOpen → 10am	5/1	+1.52pp10am → 1pm	9/2	+5.63pp1pm → SP	10/3	1st	+11.31pp
Post-race comment
Newcastle (AW)20 Jan 20266f · Class 3 · Standard · 7 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	4/1	+3.09ppOpen → 10am	10/3	-4.91pp10am → 1pm	9/2	+1.82pp1pm → SP	4/1	2nd	+0.00pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
AscotToday6f · Class 2 · Good · 18 runners	18/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.02ppOpen → now	18/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.02pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 5 of 15 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Badri is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Pontefract · 07 Jul 2026 · 1st · 3/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Ascot · previous Pontefract✓Trip (within ½f): 6f✓Ground: Good✓Class: Class 2

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

Similar moves have usually held or strengthened.

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

No positive support trigger.

This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.

Today: -0.02pp

Possible next price: 18/1

15 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Purest TimeDraw 3

Trainer: Ian Williams

Jockey: Saffie Osborne

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Ian Williams (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 66/593; first seen between 10am and 1pm 45/593; first seen after 1pm 21/593.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/8; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/8; first seen after 1pm 1/8.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.41pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

⬆ CLASS RISE

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run19 days ago · 13 Sep 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

No consistent price pattern yet

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Early PM

Runs: 8 | Fixed-odds range: 14/1 → 14/1 | Avg: 14/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

LAST MINUTE BACKING (19.2%)

10am plunger

Best at SP (25%)

16:10Ascot

Opened 20/1Market avg 22/1

22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1 ↑ 25/1 → 25/1 ↓ 22/1 ↓ 20/1

PRICE MOVE

-0.41pp (-9.5%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

63th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE63rd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

3 of 8 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 9th at Ascot on 10 Jul 2026 (-0.78pp); finished 7th at Chester on 27 Jun 2026 (-6.67pp); and finished 1st at Windsor on 11 May 2026 (-1.40pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 9.5% • -0.41 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Chester, 27 Jun 2026 — 7th • open 5/1 → final 10/1 (-7.58pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

25/1 26 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
AscotToday6f · Class 2 · Good · 18 runners	20/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.41ppOpen → now	22/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.41pp
Windsor11 May 20266f 12y · Class 3 · Good To Firm · 9 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	14/1	-1.40ppOpen → 10am	18/1	+1.40pp10am → 1pm	14/1	+1.03pp1pm → SP	12/1	1st	+1.03pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
AscotToday6f · Class 2 · Good · 18 runners	20/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.41ppOpen → now	22/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.41pp
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MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 3 of 8 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. It is also stepping up from Class 4 to Class 2, which adds another test today. Today’s move: Purest Time is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Windsor · 11 May 2026 · 1st · 1/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Ascot · previous Windsor✓Trip (within ½f): 6f×Ground: Today Good · previous Good To Firm×Class: Today Class 2 · previous Class 3

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.Comparable moves have had few top-two finishes. Be cautious.

Did the early price move fade?

No documented early-support reversal in this horse’s recorded checkpoint sample. The older wording referred to finishing results, not a verified intraday price fade.

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

8 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.

Today: -0.41pp

Possible next price: 18/1

8 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Ascot. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Intense VisionDraw 6

Trainer: Oli Rix

Jockey: Jonny Peate

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Oli Rix (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 6/62; first seen between 10am and 1pm 2/62; first seen after 1pm 5/62.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/5; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/5; first seen after 1pm 0/5.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.04pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 2/8 won (25%); Open→SP 3/11 won (27.3%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 40% (2/5).

↔ SAME CLASS

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run19 days ago · 13 Sep 2026

Distance changeDown 1f from last run

No consistent price pattern yet

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: 10am

Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

10am plunger

Early money horse (60%)

16:10Ascot

Opened 25/1Market avg 25/1

25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1

PRICE MOVE

+0.04pp (+1.0%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

80th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE80th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE

Only 1 of 5 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 10th at Doncaster on 13 Sep 2026 (+5.10pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 1% • +0.04 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Doncaster, 13 Sep 2026 — 10th • open 14/1 → final 13/2 (+6.67pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

28/1 29 decimal Midnite

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
AscotToday6f · Class 2 · Good · 18 runners	25/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.04ppOpen → now	25/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.04pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
AscotToday6f · Class 2 · Good · 18 runners	25/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.04ppOpen → now	25/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.04pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 1 of 5 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. Today’s move: Intense Vision is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (strong)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

5 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.

Today: +0.04pp

Possible next price: 25/1

5 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Ascot. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

Ray Mon DoughDraw 15

Trainer: Oliver Cole

Jockey: Hector Crouch

🟢 Needs Support (23%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Oliver Cole (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 21/136; first seen between 10am and 1pm 8/136; first seen after 1pm 6/136.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 1/6; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/6; first seen after 1pm 2/6.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.63pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 6/25 won (24%); Open→SP 6/26 won (23.1%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 30.8% (4/13).

⬆ CLASS RISE

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run27 days ago · 5 Sep 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

Usually attracts bookmaker support

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

2 historical matches

1/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: 10am

Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: 11/8 → 9/2 | Avg: 3/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.

10am plunger

Early money horse (50%)

16:10Ascot

Opened 33/1Market avg 28/1

28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 ↓ 25/1 ↑ 28/1 → 28/1 ↑ 28/1

PRICE MOVE

+0.63pp (+18.5%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

2 of 6 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 2nd at Lingfield on 18 May 2026 (+2.80pp); and finished 6th at Kempton (AW) on 30 Apr 2026 (+25.69pp).

1/2 placed when backed like this (50%).

When backed like this: 0/2 WON

Raw Open → Now price change: 18.5% • +0.63 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Kempton (AW), 30 Apr 2026 — 6th • open 11/4 → final 6/5 (+18.79pp).

All 2 comparable backed runs (1st or 2nd counts as placed):

Windsor, 17 Aug 2026 — 8th • open 5/2 → final 7/4
Lingfield, 18 May 2026 — 2nd • open 11/2 → final 9/2

BEST FIXED ODDS

33/1 34 decimal Midnite

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
AscotToday6f · Class 2 · Good · 18 runners	33/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.63ppOpen → now	28/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.63pp
Leicester09 Aug 20266f · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 4 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	3/1	-5.00ppOpen → 10am	4/1	+8.57pp10am → 1pm	5/2	+9.60pp1pm → SP	13/8	1st	+13.17pp
Post-race comment
Lingfield18 May 20266f · Class 4 · Good · 6 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	11/2	+2.80ppOpen → 10am	9/2	+1.05pp10am → 1pm	4/1	-2.56pp1pm → SP	5/1	2nd	+1.28pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
AscotToday6f · Class 2 · Good · 18 runners	33/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.63ppOpen → now	28/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.63pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 2 of 6 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. When backed in a similar way previously, it finished first or second in 1 of 2 runs. It is also stepping up from Class 3 to Class 2, which adds another test today. Today’s move: Ray Mon Dough is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Lingfield · 18 May 2026 · 2nd · 2/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Ascot · previous Lingfield✓Trip (within ½f): 6f✓Ground: Good×Class: Today Class 2 · previous Class 4

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Both previous top-two finishes came with support of 2.79pp+.

At 2.79pp+: 2/4 finished 1st or 2nd (50%).

Today: +0.63pp — trigger not reached.

Possible next price: 33/1

6 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

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Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

WiltshireDraw 13

Trainer: William Haggas

Jockey: Clifford Lee

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer William Haggas (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 100/599; first seen between 10am and 1pm 47/599; first seen after 1pm 48/599.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/7; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/7; first seen after 1pm 0/7.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.32pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 39/127 won (30.7%); Open→SP 51/161 won (31.7%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 34.2% (26/76).

↔ SAME CLASS

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run13 days ago · 19 Sep 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

Often drifts in the market

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

2 historical matches

1/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening

Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 7/1 → 7/1 | Avg: 7/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.

Best at SP (43%)

16:10Ascot

Opened 33/1Market avg 33/1

28/1 ↑ 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 ↓ 28/1 ↓ 25/1 ↓ 22/1 ↑ 33/1 ↑ 33/1

PRICE MOVE

+0.32pp (+10.4%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

71th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE71st HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

2 of 7 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 1st at Newcastle (AW) on 03 Apr 2026 (+0.65pp); and finished 5th at Lingfield (AW) on 14 Feb 2026 (+3.33pp).

1/2 placed when backed like this (50%).

When backed like this: 1/2 WON

Raw Open → Now price change: 10.4% • +0.32 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Lingfield (AW), 14 Feb 2026 — 5th • open 5/1 → final 9/2 (+1.52pp).

All 2 comparable backed runs (1st or 2nd counts as placed):

Newcastle (AW), 03 Apr 2026 — 1st • open 8/1 → final 7/1
Lingfield (AW), 14 Feb 2026 — 5th • open 5/1 → final 9/2

BEST FIXED ODDS

40/1 41 decimal Midnite

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
AscotToday6f · Class 2 · Good · 18 runners	33/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.32ppOpen → now	33/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.32pp
Newcastle (AW)03 Apr 20266f · Class 2 · Standard · 14 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	8/1	+0.65ppOpen → 10am	15/2	+0.74pp10am → 1pm	7/1	+0.00pp1pm → SP	7/1	1st	+1.39pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
AscotToday6f · Class 2 · Good · 18 runners	33/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.32ppOpen → now	33/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.32pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 2 of 7 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. When backed in a similar way previously, it finished first or second in 1 of 2 runs. Today’s move: Wiltshire is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Newcastle (AW) · 03 Apr 2026 · 1st · 2/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Ascot · previous Newcastle (AW)✓Trip (within ½f): 6f×Ground: Today Good · previous Standard✓Class: Class 2

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

The price has been unpredictable before and may move sharply again. (moderate)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

7 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.

Today: +0.32pp

Possible next price: 40/1

7 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

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Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

Orion's BeltDraw 1

Trainer: Richard Hannon

Jockey: William Buick

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Richard Hannon (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 94/764; first seen between 10am and 1pm 47/764; first seen after 1pm 34/764.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Timing evidence for This horse: only 2 complete checkpoint runs; too few for a usual time.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.13pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 29/121 won (24%); Open→SP 31/138 won (22.5%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 28.8% (19/66).

↔ SAME CLASS

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run27 days ago · 5 Sep 2026

Distance changeDown 2f from last run

Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: - → - | Avg: -Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

16:10Ascot

Opened 33/1Market avg 33/1

33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 ↓ 28/1 ↑ 33/1 ↑ 33/1

PRICE MOVE

+0.13pp (+4.6%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

Raw Open → Now price change: 4.6% • +0.13 probability points

Previous market evidence

No previous positive open-to-final support in the recorded sample.

BEST FIXED ODDS

40/1 41 decimal Midnite

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
AscotToday6f · Class 2 · Good · 18 runners	33/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.13ppOpen → now	33/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.13pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
AscotToday6f · Class 2 · Good · 18 runners	33/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.13ppOpen → now	33/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.13pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Orion's Belt is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

N/A

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

2 tracked runs • 0 top-two finishes.

Today: +0.13pp

Possible next price: 40/1

No historical data

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

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Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Ascot. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

Race market overview as at 05:16

Supported0 of 18 runners at +4pp or more
Drifting0 of 18 runners at −4pp or worse
Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.

16:45Ascot • 1m7f209y • Class 3 • Going: Good

6 runners

Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

CranachanDraw 5

Trainer: Ralph Beckett

Jockey: Rossa Ryan

🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Ralph Beckett (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 91/532; first seen between 10am and 1pm 38/532; first seen after 1pm 21/532.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/5; first seen between 10am and 1pm 0/5; first seen after 1pm 0/5.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +2.07pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 27/109 won (24.8%); Open→SP 27/112 won (24.1%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 27.1% (16/59).

⬆ CLASS RISE

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run41 days ago · 22 Aug 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

No consistent price pattern yet

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: 10am

Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 5/6 → 11/2 | Avg: 7/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

Early money horse (40%)

16:45Ascot

Opened 6/5Market avg 11/10

11/10 → 11/10 → 11/10 → 11/10 → 11/10 → 11/10 → 11/10 ↑ 6/5 ↓ 11/10 → 11/10

PRICE MOVE

+2.07pp (+4.4%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILETHE STRONGEST MOVE RECORDED (100th percentile)

EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE

Strongest support recorded across 5 previous runs.

Raw Open → Now price change: 4.4% • +2.07 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Catterick, 22 Apr 2026 — 1st • open 10/11 → final 5/6 (+2.29pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

6/5 2.2 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
AscotToday1m 7f 209y · Class 3 · Good · 6 runners	6/5	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+2.07ppOpen → now	11/10Current; SP pending	Pending	+2.07pp
Chester22 Aug 20261m 7f 196y · Class 4 · Good To Soft · 9 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	5/1	-4.17ppOpen → 10am	7/1	+2.88pp10am → 1pm	11/2	+2.80pp1pm → SP	9/2	1st	+1.52pp
Post-race comment
Newmarket (July)17 Jul 20261m 4f · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 4 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	10/3	-3.09ppOpen → 10am	4/1	+0.00pp10am → 1pm	4/1	-3.33pp1pm → SP	5/1	2nd	-6.43pp
Post-race comment
Catterick22 Apr 20261m 4f 13y · Class 4 · Good · 5 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	10/11	+0.00ppOpen → 10am	10/11	+0.00pp10am → 1pm	10/11	+3.20pp1pm → SP	4/5	1st	+3.20pp
Post-race comment
Kempton (AW)02 Mar 20261m 3f 219y · Class 4 · Standard To Slow · 9 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	7/2	-4.04ppOpen → 10am	9/2	-1.52pp10am → 1pm	5/1	+5.56pp1pm → SP	7/2	2nd	+0.00pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
AscotToday1m 7f 209y · Class 3 · Good · 6 runners	6/5	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+2.07ppOpen → now	11/10Current; SP pending	Pending	+2.07pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READTHIS IS THE HORSE’S STRONGEST RECORDED SUPPORT

Across 5 previous runs, this is the horse’s strongest recorded support. It is also stepping up from Class 4 to Class 3, which adds another test today. Today’s move: Cranachan is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Chester · 22 Aug 2026 · 1st · 1/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Ascot · previous Chester✓Trip (within ½f): 1m 7f 209y×Ground: Today Good · previous Good To Soft×Class: Today Class 3 · previous Class 4

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

No positive support trigger.

This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.

Today: +2.07pp

Possible next price: 11/10

5 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

Hot FussDraw 6

Trainer: Tom Dascombe

Jockey: Pierre-Louis Jamin

🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Tom Dascombe (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 12/131; first seen between 10am and 1pm 12/131; first seen after 1pm 4/131.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/5; first seen between 10am and 1pm 1/5; first seen after 1pm 0/5.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.48pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 6/23 won (26.1%); Open→SP 6/24 won (25%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 40% (4/10).

⬇ CLASS DROP

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run175 days ago · 10 Apr 2026

Distance changeDown 4.1f from last run

No consistent price pattern yet

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Opening

Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 10/1 → 25/1 | Avg: 18/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

Early money horse (40%)

16:45Ascot

Opened 3/1Market avg 3/1

3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 ↓ 11/4 ↑ 3/1 → 3/1 ↓ 5/2 ↑ 3/1 ↓ 11/4 ↑ 3/1

PRICE MOVE

+0.48pp (+1.9%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

80th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE80th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE

Only 1 of 5 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 4th at Sandown on 03 Jan 2026 (+1.82pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 1.9% • +0.48 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Sandown, 03 Jan 2026 — 4th • open 9/2 → final 11/4 (+8.48pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

7/2 4.5 decimal Betfair Sportsbook

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
AscotToday1m 7f 209y · Class 3 · Good · 6 runners	3/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.48ppOpen → now	3/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.48pp
Cheltenham13 Mar 20262m 4f 56y · Class 2 · Soft · 24 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	40/1	+0.00ppOpen → 10am	40/1	+0.00pp10am → 1pm	40/1	+1.41pp1pm → SP	25/1	2nd	+1.41pp
Post-race comment
Windsor16 Jan 20262m · Class 2 · Soft · 14 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	15/2	+0.00ppOpen → 10am	15/2	-4.07pp10am → 1pm	12/1	+1.40pp1pm → SP	10/1	1st	-2.67pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
AscotToday1m 7f 209y · Class 3 · Good · 6 runners	3/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.48ppOpen → now	3/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.48pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 1 of 5 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. The horse drops from Class 1 to Class 3, but the market has not responded with meaningful support. Today’s move: Hot Fuss is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Windsor · 16 Jan 2026 · 1st · 1/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Ascot · previous Windsor✓Trip (within ½f): 1m 7f 209y×Ground: Today Good · previous Soft×Class: Today Class 3 · previous Class 2

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

No positive support trigger.

This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.

Today: +0.48pp

Possible next price: 3/1

5 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

Vaguely RoyalDraw 4

Trainer: Ian Williams

Jockey: William Buick

🟢 Needs Support (30%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Ian Williams (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 66/593; first seen between 10am and 1pm 45/593; first seen after 1pm 21/593.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 3/12; first seen between 10am and 1pm 1/12; first seen after 1pm 0/12.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.18pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 28/98 won (28.6%); Open→SP 27/103 won (26.2%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 33.3% (16/48).

⬆ CLASS RISE

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run38 days ago · 25 Aug 2026

Distance changeDown 2.2f from last run

No consistent price pattern yet

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Opening

Runs: 12 | Fixed-odds range: 7/2 → 7/1 | Avg: 5/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

10am plunger

Early money horse (33%)

16:45Ascot

Opened 6/1Market avg 6/1

6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 ↓ 11/2 ↑ 13/2 ↓ 6/1 → 6/1

PRICE MOVE

+0.18pp (+1.2%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

6 of 12 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 6th at Musselburgh on 25 Aug 2026 (+1.13pp); finished 1st at York on 24 Jul 2026 (+8.24pp); finished 3rd at Ripon on 17 May 2026 (+6.14pp); finished 3rd at Southwell (AW) on 23 Apr 2026 (+15.15pp); finished 9th at Lingfield (AW) on 03 Apr 2026 (+0.50pp); and finished 6th at Southwell (AW) on 04 Mar 2026 (+3.57pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 1.2% • +0.18 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Southwell (AW), 23 Apr 2026 — 3rd • open 9/2 → final 7/4 (+18.18pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

13/2 7.5 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
AscotToday1m 7f 209y · Class 3 · Good · 6 runners	6/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.18ppOpen → now	6/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.18pp
York24 Jul 20262m 56y · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 13 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	15/2	+8.24ppOpen → 10am	4/1	+2.22pp10am → 1pm	7/2	+0.87pp1pm → SP	10/3	1st	+11.33pp
Post-race comment
Chester11 Jul 20261m 6f 87y · Class 4 · Good · 6 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	9/1	-0.91ppOpen → 10am	10/1	+5.19pp10am → 1pm	6/1	+1.10pp1pm → SP	11/2	1st	+5.38pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
AscotToday1m 7f 209y · Class 3 · Good · 6 runners	6/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.18ppOpen → now	6/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.18pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

6 of 12 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. It is also stepping up from Class 4 to Class 3, which adds another test today. Today’s move: Vaguely Royal is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: York · 24 Jul 2026 · 1st · 1/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Ascot · previous York✓Trip (within ½f): 1m 7f 209y×Ground: Today Good · previous Good To Firm×Class: Today Class 3 · previous Class 4

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.Comparable moves have had few top-two finishes. Be cautious.

Did the early price move fade?

Recorded examples where 5pp+ early support was followed by a longer final price:

Musselburgh, 25 Aug 2026 — 6th • open 13/2 → 1pm 4/1 → final 9/2
Ripon, 17 May 2026 — 3rd • open 17/2 → 10am 5/1 → final 6/1

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Both previous top-two finishes came with support of 2.49pp+.

At 2.49pp+: 2/5 finished 1st or 2nd (40%).

Today: +0.18pp — trigger not reached.

Possible next price: 6/1

12 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

Just An HourDraw 2

Trainer: Rod Millman

Jockey: George Wood

🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Rod Millman (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 38/291; first seen between 10am and 1pm 24/291; first seen after 1pm 19/291.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 3/9; first seen between 10am and 1pm 1/9; first seen after 1pm 0/9.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.84pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

⬆ CLASS RISE

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run11 days ago · 21 Sep 2026

Distance changeUp 2f from last run

No consistent price pattern yet

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Opening

Runs: 9 | Fixed-odds range: 7/2 → 4/1 | Avg: 7/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

10am plunger

Early money horse (56%)

16:45Ascot

Opened 6/1Market avg 13/2

13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 ↑ 7/1 ↓ 13/2 → 13/2

PRICE MOVE

-0.84pp (-6.2%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

78th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE78th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

2 of 9 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 1st at Ffos Las on 21 Sep 2026 (-1.59pp); and finished 6th at Salisbury on 14 May 2026 (-2.02pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 6.2% • -0.84 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Salisbury, 14 May 2026 — 6th • open 8/1 → final 11/1 (-2.78pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

7/1 8 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
AscotToday1m 7f 209y · Class 3 · Good · 6 runners	6/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.84ppOpen → now	13/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.84pp
Ffos Las21 Sep 20261m 6f · Class 4 · Soft · 9 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	10/3	-1.59ppOpen → 10am	7/2	+0.00pp10am → 1pm	7/2	+0.00pp1pm → SP	7/2	1st	-1.59pp
Post-race comment
Nottingham26 Apr 20261m 6f · Class 4 · Good · 6 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	4/1	+3.09ppOpen → 10am	10/3	+0.00pp10am → 1pm	10/3	-0.87pp1pm → SP	7/2	2nd	+2.22pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
AscotToday1m 7f 209y · Class 3 · Good · 6 runners	6/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.84ppOpen → now	13/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.84pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

Just 2 of 9 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse. It is also stepping up from Class 4 to Class 3, which adds another test today. Today’s move: Just An Hour is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Nottingham · 26 Apr 2026 · 2nd · 1/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Ascot · previous Nottingham×Trip (within ½f): Today 1m 7f 209y · previous 1m 6f✓Ground: Good×Class: Today Class 3 · previous Class 4

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

No positive support trigger.

This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.

Today: -0.84pp

Possible next price: 13/2

9 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

ShipshapeDraw 1

Trainer: Bernard Llewellyn

Jockey: Isobelle Chalmers(7)

🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer Bernard Llewellyn (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 22/124; first seen between 10am and 1pm 6/124; first seen after 1pm 4/124.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 2/9; first seen between 10am and 1pm 1/9; first seen after 1pm 0/9.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.07pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 4/23 won (17.4%); Open→SP 6/20 won (30%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.

⬇ CLASS DROP

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run20 days ago · 12 Sep 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

No consistent price pattern yet

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Opening

Runs: 9 | Fixed-odds range: 11/8 → 13/2 | Avg: 3/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

10am plunger

Early money horse (33%)

16:45Ascot

Opened 17/2Market avg 17/2

17/2 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 17/2 → 17/2 → 17/2 → 17/2 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 9/1 ↓ 17/2 → 17/2

PRICE MOVE

+0.07pp (+0.7%)

Shortening: the market price is shorter than at the open.

Move evidence

44th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE44th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

5 of 9 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 2nd at Chester on 27 Jun 2026 (+2.56pp); finished 1st at Hamilton on 27 May 2026 (+3.99pp); finished 2nd at Thirsk on 02 May 2026 (+8.57pp); finished 1st at Southwell (AW) on 15 Apr 2026 (+6.82pp); and finished 2nd at Wolverhampton (AW) on 31 Mar 2026 (+4.29pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 0.7% • +0.07 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous support: Thirsk, 02 May 2026 — 2nd • open 4/1 → final 15/8 (+14.72pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

9/1 10 decimal Bet365

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
AscotToday1m 7f 209y · Class 3 · Good · 6 runners	17/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.07ppOpen → now	17/2Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.07pp
Chester27 Jun 20261m 7f 196y · Class 4 · Good · 7 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	9/4	+2.56ppOpen → 10am	2/1	+3.03pp10am → 1pm	7/4	+1.80pp1pm → SP	13/8	2nd	+7.40pp
Post-race comment
Chester13 Jun 20261m 4f 63y · Class 4 · Good To Soft · 8 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	7/2	-2.22ppOpen → 10am	4/1	+0.00pp10am → 1pm	4/1	+0.00pp1pm → SP	4/1	1st	-2.22pp
Post-race comment
Hamilton27 May 20261m 5f 16y · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 4 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	13/8	+3.99ppOpen → 10am	11/8	-2.02pp10am → 1pm	6/4	+4.44pp1pm → SP	5/4	1st	+6.42pp
Post-race comment
Thirsk02 May 20261m 6f · Class 5 · Good To Firm · 5 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	4/1	+8.57ppOpen → 10am	5/2	+2.20pp10am → 1pm	9/4	+11.25pp1pm → SP	11/8	2nd	+22.02pp
Post-race comment
Southwell (AW)15 Apr 20261m 6f 21y · Class 5 · Standard · 8 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	9/2	+6.82ppOpen → 10am	3/1	+0.00pp10am → 1pm	3/1	+0.00pp1pm → SP	3/1	1st	+6.82pp
Post-race comment
Wolverhampton (AW)31 Mar 20261m 5f 218y · Class 6 · Standard · 10 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	9/1	+4.29ppOpen → 10am	6/1	+0.00pp10am → 1pm	6/1	-2.52pp1pm → SP	15/2	2nd	+1.76pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
AscotToday1m 7f 209y · Class 3 · Good · 6 runners	17/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	+0.07ppOpen → now	17/2Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.07pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

5 of 9 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. The horse drops from Class 2 to Class 3, but the market has not responded with meaningful support. Today’s move: Shipshape is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Chester · 27 Jun 2026 · 2nd · 2/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Ascot · previous Chester✓Trip (within ½f): 1m 7f 209y✓Ground: Good×Class: Today Class 3 · previous Class 4

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

Similar moves have usually held or strengthened.

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

No positive support trigger.

This horse has previously finished 1st or 2nd without shortening from its opening price.

Today: +0.07pp

Possible next price: 17/2

9 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

Must BelieveDraw 3

Trainer: George Baker

Jockey: Jack Dace(5)

PRO RACECARD ↗

Horse & Trainer Evidence

When has support appeared?

Trainer George Baker (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 14/141; first seen between 10am and 1pm 6/141; first seen after 1pm 6/141.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

This horse (5pp+ support from open): by 10am 0/5; first seen between 10am and 1pm 1/5; first seen after 1pm 0/5.

No clear usual support time in this sample.

Complete historical open, 10am, 1pm and final/SP checkpoints only. This records market prices, not who placed a bet.

Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.59pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp+ trainer drift band.
The move has not reached the first tracked trainer drift band, so no trainer drift strike-rate comparison is being applied.
Watch for -5pp: that is the first point at which the matching trainer drift record becomes relevant.

⬆ CLASS RISE

Market Form rating50/100 · Neutral

Last run28 days ago · 4 Sep 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

Often drifts in the market

📊 Market Behaviour Rating

Best Time: Late PM

Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 9/2 → 9/2 | Avg: 9/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.

No clear bookmaker move yet.

Late money horse (40%)

16:45Ascot

Opened 17/2Market avg 9/1

9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 ↑ 10/1 ↓ 9/1 → 9/1

PRICE MOVE

-0.59pp (-5.9%)

Drifting: the market price is longer than at the open.

Move evidence

40th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE40th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

3 of 5 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 2nd at Kempton (AW) on 04 Sep 2026 (-1.06pp); finished 3rd at Kempton (AW) on 12 Aug 2026 (-2.43pp); and finished 8th at Goodwood on 05 Jun 2026 (-6.29pp).

Raw Open → Now price change: 5.9% • -0.59 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous drift: Goodwood, 05 Jun 2026 — 8th • open 11/2 → final 12/1 (-7.69pp).

BEST FIXED ODDS

11/1 12 decimal Midnite

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Each change compares adjacent checkpoints; measured non-runner effects are removed from today’s moves.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
AscotToday1m 7f 209y · Class 3 · Good · 6 runners	17/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.59ppOpen → now	9/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.59pp
Kempton (AW)04 Sep 20261m 7f 218y · Class 5 · Standard / Slow · 8 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	7/1	-1.06ppOpen → 10am	15/2	+6.42pp10am → 1pm	9/2	+4.04pp1pm → SP	7/2	2nd	+9.40pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → 1pm	1pm	Last → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Total pp
AscotToday1m 7f 209y · Class 3 · Good · 6 runners	17/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	—	-0.59ppOpen → now	9/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.59pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET FORM READNO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YET

3 of 5 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse. It is also stepping up from Class 5 to Class 3, which adds another test today. Today’s move: Must Believe is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Kempton (AW) · 04 Sep 2026 · 2nd · 1/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Ascot · previous Kempton (AW)✓Trip (within ½f): 1m 7f 209y×Ground: Today Good · previous Standard / Slow×Class: Today Class 3 · previous Class 5

WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT

This matches its usual pattern; support has often arrived later. (moderate)

HISTORICAL DELIVERY TRIGGER

Limited evidence — no reliable trigger yet.

5 tracked runs • 1 top-two finish.

Today: -0.59pp

Possible next price: 9/1

5 runs (Market Form)

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Race market overview as at 05:16

Supported0 of 6 runners at +4pp or more
Drifting0 of 6 runners at −4pp or worse
Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.

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