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Live Horse Racing Market Movement | DC Network
MARKET FORM® By DC Network
Horse Racing Market Data.
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NEW UPGRADES View the movement timeline: Click any horse to see when significant price changes occurred. Follow the next move: Select Notify Me to receive price-movement alerts directly on your device.
LIVE MARKET PRESSURE ⓘ
Odds database updated: 21:00:26 • LIVE
🔥 BEST BACKED
Harswell Ruby
07:50 Thirsk
+45.5% (12.000 → 6.536)
Strongest market support today
♻️ REPEAT SIGNAL
National Honour
06:08 Thirsk
100% repeat strike (1 runs)
⭐ STRONG FAV
Final Objective
05:33 Thirsk
+14% (1.360 → 1.17)
Strong favourite being backed
⚠️ WEAK FAV
Royal Strike
05:33 Thirsk
-51.2% (6.000 → 9.071)
Market weakness — confidence dropping
STRONGEST SUPPORT: Harswell Ruby (45.5%) 07:50 Thirsk    WEAK FAVOURITE: Derrygarran Lad (-188.6%) 07:18 Thirsk | 4/1 14/1    ⚡ HORSES ARE BEING BACKED IN THE SAME WAY AS A PREVIOUS WIN!     ⚠️ EMERGING SET UP AND REPEAT WINNER SIGNALS SHOULD BE TAKEN SERIOUSLY     ⭐ LIVE TERMINAL NOW ORDERED BY RACE FAVOURITE                                                                                                                              
Runners Today
52
Shown After Filters
52
Active Signals (15%+)
40
Live Alerts
31
LIVE ALERTS
National Honour Heavy sustained support (39.5%)Alert: 21:03 | Race: 06:08 Thirsk | Open EVS - Now 1/5
Work Like Hell Heavy sustained support (37%)Alert: 21:03 | Race: 06:08 Thirsk | Open 15/2 - Now 9/2
Harswell Ruby Heavy sustained support (45.5%)
Mixed historical results • 1/6 WON (2/6 placed incl. wins)
Alert: 21:03 | Race: 07:50 Thirsk | Open 11/1 - Now 11/2
Full Meeting View →
CorkEpsomNewburyNewmarket (July)ThirskTramoreYarmouth
ALLBACKED 💰DRIFTERS
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Runner
Bookmaker move
Evidence
What to do next
05:33Thirsk • 0m6f0y • Class 4
11 runners
Market Intelligence
Strongest support: Blue Faith (+0.52 probability points)
Weakest support: Knightbolt (-6.40 probability points)
LAST 5 MINUTE MOVES
Royal Strike → 9.5 → 8 (15.8%)
Knightbolt → 15 → 12 (20%)
Hope Of Acklam → 34 → 26 (23.5%)
Melody Man → 34 → 23 (32.4%)
Blue Faith → 34 → 26 (23.5%)
Les Invincibles → 51 → 34 (33.3%)
Pivotal Star → 51 → 34 (33.3%)
Five Star George → 51 → 34 (33.3%)
Novah → 81 → 51 (37%)

Trainer: Hamad Al Jehani
Jockey: James Doyle
Trainer market read
Today's move is +11.94pp, placing it in this yard's 10pp+ band.
At 10pp+: Open→1PM 3/7 won (42.9%); Open→SP 4/8 won (50%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
⬇ CLASS DROP
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: 14/1 → 14/1 | Avg: 14/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Late money horse (67%)
05:33Thirsk
Opened 4/11Market avg 1/6
1/6 → 1/6 → 1/6 → 1/6 → 1/6 → 1/6 → 1/6 ↓ 1/8 ↑ 1/6 ↓ 1/7
PRICE MOVE
+11.94pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 1 of 3 previous comparable moves was stronger.
Price change: 14% • +11.94 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
1/5 1.2 decimal LiveScore Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This early support is unusual; the price has often drifted again later. (strong)
Gamble exhaustion: Some further shortening may remain, but the move is entering its exhaustion zone.
After a 10–12pp move: 46% shortened another 1pp • 44% another 2pp • 32% another 3pp • 21% another 5pp (n=480)
Possible next price: 1/8
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: K. R. Burke
Jockey: Pierre-Louis Jamin
Trainer market read
Today's move is -5.64pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 8/19 won (42.1%); Open→SP 8/19 won (42.1%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 50% (4/8).
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.
LAST MINUTE BACKING (15.8%)
05:33Thirsk
Opened 5/1Market avg 8/1
7/1 ↑ 9/1 ↓ 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 ↓ 13/2 ↑ 17/2 ↑ 10/1 ↓ 9/1 ↓ 7/1
PRICE MOVE
-5.64pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 51.2% • -5.64 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
10/1 11 decimal Midnite
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 15/2
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Richard & Peter Fahey
Jockey: Oisin Orr
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.74pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 15/62 won (24.2%); Open→SP 17/55 won (30.9%).
Watch for 15pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 36.4% (4/11).
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
05:33Thirsk
Opened 12/1Market avg 11/1
9/1 ↑ 11/1 ↓ 9/1 ↑ 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 ↑ 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 ↓ 10/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.74pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 8.8% • +0.74 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
14/1 15 decimal Ladbrokes
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 10/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Kevin Ryan
Jockey: Shane Gray
Trainer market read
Today's move is -6.40pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 16/48 won (33.3%); Open→SP 17/41 won (41.5%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 58.8% (10/17).
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
LAST MINUTE BACKING (20%)
05:33Thirsk
Opened 13/2Market avg 14/1
12/1 ↑ 14/1 ↓ 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 ↓ 11/1 ↑ 14/1 ↑ 16/1 ↓ 14/1 ↓ 11/1
PRICE MOVE
-6.40pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 92.4% • -6.40 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
16/1 17 decimal Midnite
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 11/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Michael & David Easterby
Jockey: Joanna Mason
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.18pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 10/57 won (17.5%); Open→SP 8/58 won (13.8%).
Watch for 15pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 40% (2/5).
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
LAST MINUTE BACKING (23.5%)
05:33Thirsk
Opened 33/1Market avg 33/1
28/1 ↑ 33/1 ↓ 28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 ↓ 25/1 ↑ 33/1 ↑ 40/1 ↓ 33/1 ↓ 25/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.18pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 5.8% • +0.18 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
40/1 41 decimal Midnite
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 25/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: John & Sean Quinn
Jockey: James Sullivan
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.89pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 5/21 won (23.8%); Open→SP 5/22 won (22.7%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 33.3% (2/6).
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
LAST MINUTE BACKING (32.4%)
05:33Thirsk
Opened 25/1Market avg 33/1
25/1 ↑ 50/1 ↓ 25/1 ↓ 22/1 → 22/1 ↓ 20/1 ↑ 33/1 ↑ 40/1 ↑ 50/1 ↓ 22/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.89pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 29.9% • -0.89 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
50/1 51 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 25/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Michael Appleby
Jockey: Tom Eaves
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.52pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 12/52 won (23.1%); Open→SP 10/51 won (19.6%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 34.6% (9/26).
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.
LAST MINUTE BACKING (23.5%)
05:33Thirsk
Opened 40/1Market avg 33/1
25/1 ↑ 40/1 ↓ 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 ↑ 33/1 ↑ 50/1 ↓ 40/1 ↓ 25/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.52pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Limited data: 1 similar run only. Not a proven betting pattern.
Price change: 17.6% • +0.52 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
50/1 51 decimal Midnite
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 25/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Christopher Kellett
Jockey: Mark Winn
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.80pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/1 won (100%); Open→SP 1/1 won (100%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
LAST MINUTE BACKING (33.3%)
05:33Thirsk
Opened 33/1Market avg 50/1
40/1 ↑ 50/1 ↓ 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 ↑ 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 ↓ 33/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.80pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 37.6% • -0.80 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
66/1 67 decimal Betfred
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 28/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Michael & David Easterby
Jockey: Billy Garritty
Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.73pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 10/57 won (17.5%); Open→SP 8/58 won (13.8%).
Watch for 15pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 40% (2/5).
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
LAST MINUTE BACKING (33.3%)
05:33Thirsk
Opened 25/1Market avg 50/1
40/1 ↑ 50/1 ↓ 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 ↑ 50/1 ↑ 66/1 ↓ 50/1 ↓ 33/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.73pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 82.1% • -1.73 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
66/1 67 decimal Midnite
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 28/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Julie Camacho
Jockey: Tom Kiely-Marshall(5)
Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.56pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 11/31 won (35.5%); Open→SP 10/35 won (28.6%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 43.8% (7/16).
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
LAST MINUTE BACKING (33.3%)
05:33Thirsk
Opened 28/1Market avg 50/1
40/1 ↑ 66/1 ↓ 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 ↑ 50/1 ↑ 80/1 ↓ 66/1 ↓ 33/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.56pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 82.8% • -1.56 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
80/1 81 decimal Midnite
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 28/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Nigel Tinkler
Jockey: Faye McManoman
Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.09pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 7/28 won (25%); Open→SP 11/39 won (28.2%).
Watch for 15pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 33.3% (1/3).
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
LAST MINUTE BACKING (37%)
05:33Thirsk
Opened 40/1Market avg 66/1
66/1 ↑ 80/1 ↓ 66/1 ↓ 66/1 → 66/1 ↓ 50/1 ↑ 80/1 ↑ 100/1 ↓ 80/1 ↓ 50/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.09pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 80.3% • -1.09 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
100/1 101 decimal Midnite
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 50/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
06:08Thirsk • 0m7f0y • Class 3
6 runners
LIMITED DATA — 1 SIMILAR RUNThis is one previous example only. It is an early clue, not a proven repeat pattern.

Trainer: Charlie Appleby
Jockey: James Doyle
Trainer market read
Today's move is +32.64pp, placing it in this yard's 20pp+ band.
At 20pp+: Open→1PM 4/5 won (80%); Open→SP 3/5 won (60%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
⬆ CLASS RISE
Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: 6/4 → 6/4 | Avg: 6/4Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.
06:08Thirsk
Opened EVSMarket avg 1/5
2/9 ↓ 1/5 ↑ 2/9 ↓ 1/5 ↑ 2/9 → 2/9 → 2/9 ↓ 1/5 → 1/5 → 1/5
PRICE MOVE
+32.64pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Limited data: 1 similar run only.
Price change: 39.5% • +32.64 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
2/9 1.22 decimal Star Sports
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Gamble exhaustion: Some further shortening may remain, but the move is entering its exhaustion zone.
After a 15pp+ move: 43% shortened another 1pp • 38% another 2pp • 27% another 3pp • 17% another 5pp (n=474)
Possible next price: 2/11
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: James Tate
Jockey: Daniel Tudhope
Trainer market read
Today's move is +6.90pp, placing it in this yard's 5pp+ band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 11/36 won (30.6%); Open→SP 13/35 won (37.1%).
Watch for 15pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 37.5% (6/16).
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
06:08Thirsk
Opened 15/2Market avg 9/2
9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 ↓ 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 ↑ 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2
PRICE MOVE
+6.90pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 37% • +6.90 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
5/1 6 decimal Ladbrokes
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 5/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Kevin Ryan
Jockey: Tom Eaves
Trainer market read
Today's move is -3.11pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 16/48 won (33.3%); Open→SP 17/41 won (41.5%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 58.8% (10/17).
⬆ CLASS RISE
Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.
06:08Thirsk
Opened 10/1Market avg 16/1
16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 ↓ 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 ↑ 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1
PRICE MOVE
-3.11pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 51.9% • -3.11 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
18/1 19 decimal Betfred
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 18/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Tim Easterby
Jockey: David Allan
Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.73pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 27/127 won (21.3%); Open→SP 29/134 won (21.6%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 27.4% (17/62).
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.
06:08Thirsk
Opened 20/1Market avg 33/1
33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 ↓ 28/1 → 28/1 ↑ 28/1 ↑ 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.73pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 57.1% • -1.73 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
33/1 34 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 33/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Michael Dods
Jockey: Sean Kirrane
Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.10pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 8/44 won (18.2%); Open→SP 9/51 won (17.6%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 35% (7/20).
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
LAST MINUTE BACKING (19.6%)
06:08Thirsk
Opened 28/1Market avg 40/1
50/1 ↓ 25/1 ↑ 50/1 ↓ 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 ↑ 50/1 → 50/1 ↓ 25/1 ↑ 40/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.10pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 46.6% • -1.10 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
50/1 51 decimal Midnite
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 40/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
06:08 Thirsk Varzi NR @ 16:53
Last fixed odds: 9/4
06:43Thirsk • 0m5f0y • Class 4
9 runners
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
REPEAT WINNER SIGNAL
TURF PROFILE
Triggered at 17:15
Now 4% bigger than the trigger move

This horse has previously delivered under similar market conditions, but the live terminal is live and the move may have faded out - confirmed signals are on the 10am and 1pm page.
⚠️ Signal fading — move now below trigger

Trainer: George Scott
Jockey: Daniel Tudhope
Trainer market read
Today's move is +7.09pp, placing it in this yard's 5pp+ band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 19/48 won (39.6%); Open→SP 20/42 won (47.6%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
3 qualifying historical matches

3/3 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 9 | Fixed-odds range: 7/4 → 7/2 | Avg: 11/4Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Strong bookmaker support, backed up by a good historical record.
Late money horse (33%)
Late support match
06:43Thirsk
Opened 11/4Market avg 2/1
2/1 ↓ 15/8 ↑ 2/1 ↓ 15/8 → 15/8 ↑ 15/8 ↑ 2/1 → 2/1 ↓ 15/8 ↑ 2/1
PRICE MOVE
+7.09pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
89th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
Only 1 of 9 previous comparable moves was stronger.
100% repeat place strike (3 qualifying runs)
Repeat pattern record: 3/3 placed • 2/3 won
When backed like this: 1/2 WON
Price change: 21% • +7.09 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
2/1 3 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 2/1
9 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Thirsk. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Ruth Carr
Jockey: William Pyle
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.27pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 11/61 won (18%); Open→SP 12/66 won (18.2%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 28% (7/25).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 12 | Fixed-odds range: 5/4 → 14/1 | Avg: 13/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (33%)
06:43Thirsk
Opened 7/2Market avg 7/2
10/3 ↑ 7/2 → 7/2 ↓ 10/3 → 10/3 → 10/3 ↑ 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2
PRICE MOVE
+0.27pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 4 of 12 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 1.2% • +0.27 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
7/2 4.5 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 7/2
12 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Thirsk. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Geoff Oldroyd
Jockey: P J McDonald
Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.40pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/8 won (12.5%); Open→SP 2/8 won (25%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 33.3% (1/3).
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
06:43Thirsk
Opened 4/1Market avg 9/2
9/2 ↓ 4/1 ↑ 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 ↓ 4/1 → 4/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.40pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 7.5% • -1.40 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/2 5.5 decimal Midnite
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 7/2
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
LIMITED DATA — 1 SIMILAR RUNThis is one previous example only. It is an early clue, not a proven repeat pattern.

Trainer: Paul Midgley
Jockey: David Nolan
Trainer market read
Today's move is +2.05pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 5/29 won (17.2%); Open→SP 5/32 won (15.6%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 16.7% (2/12).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 qualifying historical matches

1/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 8 | Fixed-odds range: 10/3 → 25/1 | Avg: 11/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening and the past evidence is positive.
Early money horse (38%)
06:43Thirsk
Opened 13/2Market avg 11/2
11/2 ↓ 5/1 ↑ 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 ↓ 5/1 ↑ 11/2
PRICE MOVE
+2.05pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 4 of 8 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Limited data: 1 similar run only.
Price change: 13.3% • +2.05 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
6/1 7 decimal Unibet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have usually held their position.
Possible next price: 11/2
8 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Course evidence at Thirsk stands at 1 placed effort from 2 runs. Today's market is 32% shorter than usual compared with a long-term course average SP of 9.5.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟢 Needs Support (22%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

Trainer: Tim Easterby
Jockey: David Allan
Trainer market read
Today's move is -3.48pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 27/127 won (21.3%); Open→SP 29/134 won (21.6%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 27.4% (17/62).
↔ SAME CLASS
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 historical matches

0/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 11/4 → 5/1 | Avg: 4/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
This horse is usually backed but is drifting today. That change is a warning sign.
Early money horse (57%)
06:43Thirsk
Opened 15/2Market avg 11/1
11/1 ↓ 10/1 ↑ 12/1 ↓ 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 ↓ 10/1 → 10/1 ↑ 11/1
PRICE MOVE
-3.48pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 7 of 7 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 42% • -3.48 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
12/1 13 decimal Octobet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 11/1
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
This horse is 0/3 at Thirsk on our records. Today's market is 42% bigger than usual against an average course SP of 8.5.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Paul Midgley
Jockey: Luke Morris
Trainer market read
Today's move is -2.13pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 5/29 won (17.2%); Open→SP 5/32 won (15.6%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 16.7% (2/12).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 historical matches

0/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 3/1 → 7/1 | Avg: 5/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
Early money horse (43%)
06:43Thirsk
Opened 10/1Market avg 14/1
14/1 ↓ 11/1 ↑ 12/1 ↑ 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 ↓ 11/1 ↑ 12/1
PRICE MOVE
-2.13pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
57th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 3 of 7 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 30.5% • -2.13 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
14/1 15 decimal Midnite
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 10/1
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Thirsk. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🔴 Ignores MarketThis horse has won or placed despite drifting. Market weakness does NOT negatively impact performance. Can be a value angle when price weakens.

Trainer: Michael Appleby
Jockey: Tom Eaves
Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.80pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 12/52 won (23.1%); Open→SP 10/51 won (19.6%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 34.6% (9/26).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
5 historical matches

1/5 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 10 | Fixed-odds range: 3/1 → 7/1 | Avg: 9/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
Early money horse (50%)
06:43Thirsk
Opened 12/1Market avg 16/1
14/1 ↑ 22/1 ↓ 11/1 ↑ 14/1 ↑ 22/1 ↓ 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 ↑ 22/1 ↓ 20/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.80pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
70th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 3 of 10 previous comparable moves were stronger.
When drifting like this: failed 4/5Historical Drift Profile

29 Jul 26 | Goodwood | Open: 25/1 → Final: 33/1 | SP: 40/1 | Fin: 15
11 Jun 26 | Catterick | Open: 3/1 → Final: 7/1 | SP: 8/1 | Fin: 1
01 Jun 26 | Wolverhampton (AW) | Open: 7/2 → Final: 13/2 | SP: 11/2 | Fin: 6
24 Jan 26 | Lingfield (AW) | Open: 14/1 → Final: 20/1 | SP: 22/1 | Fin: 5
06 Jan 26 | Southwell (AW) | Open: 8/1 → Final: 14/1 | SP: 16/1 | Fin: 7
Price change: 30.5% • -1.80 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
22/1 23 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 28/1
10 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Paul Midgley
Jockey: Paul Mulrennan
Trainer market read
Today's move is -5.30pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 5/29 won (17.2%); Open→SP 5/32 won (15.6%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 16.7% (2/12).
⬇ CLASS DROP
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 9 | Fixed-odds range: 3/1 → 9/1 | Avg: 6/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
Early money horse (22%)
06:43Thirsk
Opened 11/1Market avg 33/1
33/1 ↓ 25/1 ↑ 28/1 ↑ 33/1 → 33/1 ↑ 33/1 ↓ 33/1 → 33/1 ↓ 25/1 ↑ 33/1
PRICE MOVE
-5.30pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 9 of 9 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 174.7% • -5.30 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
33/1 36 decimal 7Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 33/1
9 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Thirsk. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Tristan Davidson
Jockey: Shane Gray
Trainer market read
Today's move is -5.80pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 13/31 won (41.9%); Open→SP 12/33 won (36.4%).
Watch for 15pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 50% (3/6).
⬆ CLASS RISE
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 11 | Fixed-odds range: 9/4 → 13/2 | Avg: 5/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
Early money horse (36%)
06:43Thirsk
Opened 11/1Market avg 40/1
40/1 ↓ 33/1 → 33/1 ↑ 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 ↓ 33/1 ↑ 40/1
PRICE MOVE
-5.80pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 11 of 11 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 229.2% • -5.80 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
40/1 41 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.
Possible next price: 40/1
11 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
07:18Thirsk • 0m7f0y • Class 4
8 runners
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Edward Bethell
Jockey: Daniel Tudhope
Trainer market read
Today's move is +15.68pp, placing it in this yard's 15pp+ band.
At 15pp+: Open→1PM 5/10 won (50%); Open→SP 5/11 won (45.5%).
Watch for 20pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 50% (3/6).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

1/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 4/1 → 9/1 | Avg: 13/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening and similar moves have produced good results before.
Late money horse (50%)
Late support match
07:18Thirsk
Opened 15/8Market avg EVS
EVS → EVS → EVS ↓ 10/11 → 10/11 → 10/11 ↑ EVS → EVS → EVS → EVS
PRICE MOVE
+15.68pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest comparable move in 4 previous runs.
Limited data: 1 similar run only. Not a proven betting pattern.
Price change: 31.1% • +15.68 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
11/10 2.1 decimal Unibet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This early support is unusual; the price has often drifted again later. (moderate)
Gamble exhaustion: Some further shortening may remain, but the move is entering its exhaustion zone.
After a 15pp+ move: 43% shortened another 1pp • 38% another 2pp • 27% another 3pp • 17% another 5pp (n=474)
Possible next price: 11/10
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: K. R. Burke
Jockey: James Doyle
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.35pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 8/19 won (42.1%); Open→SP 8/19 won (42.1%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 50% (4/8).
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.
07:18Thirsk
Opened 4/1Market avg 4/1
9/2 ↓ 7/2 ↑ 9/2 ↓ 4/1 ↑ 9/2 ↓ 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 ↓ 7/2 ↑ 4/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.35pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 1.8% • -0.35 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/2 5.5 decimal BestOdds
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 4/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Michael Herrington
Jockey: Tom Eaves
Trainer market read
Today's move is +2.61pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 10/43 won (23.3%); Open→SP 11/47 won (23.4%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 30.4% (7/23).
↔ SAME CLASS
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: 2/1 → 10/3 | Avg: 11/4Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Early money horse (67%)
07:18Thirsk
Opened 8/1Market avg 13/2
6/1 ↓ 11/2 ↑ 6/1 ↑ 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 ↓ 6/1 ↑ 13/2 ↓ 11/2 ↑ 6/1
PRICE MOVE
+2.61pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
33th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 4 of 6 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 19% • +2.61 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
7/1 8 decimal Unibet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (strong)
Possible next price: 11/2
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Roger Fell
Jockey: Oisin Orr
Trainer market read
Today's move is -2.24pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 6/29 won (20.7%); Open→SP 6/29 won (20.7%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 30.8% (4/13).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 9/1 → 9/1 | Avg: 9/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
Best at SP (40%)
07:18Thirsk
Opened 13/2Market avg 8/1
8/1 ↓ 15/2 ↑ 8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 ↓ 15/2 ↑ 8/1
PRICE MOVE
-2.24pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
40th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 3 of 5 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 20.2% • -2.24 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
17/2 9.5 decimal Unibet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
The price has been unpredictable before and may move sharply again. (moderate)
Possible next price: 8/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Thirsk. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Julie Camacho
Jockey: Ryan Sexton
Trainer market read
Today's move is -13.07pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 11/31 won (35.5%); Open→SP 10/35 won (28.6%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 43.8% (7/16).
⬆ CLASS RISE
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: 7/4 → 10/1 | Avg: 6/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
This horse is usually backed but is drifting today. That change is a warning sign.
Early money horse (67%)
07:18Thirsk
Opened 4/1Market avg 14/1
12/1 ↑ 14/1 ↓ 12/1 ↑ 14/1 ↓ 12/1 ↑ 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1
PRICE MOVE
-13.07pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 3 of 3 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 188.6% • -13.07 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
16/1 17 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (strong)
Possible next price: 14/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🔴 Ignores MarketThis horse has won or placed despite drifting. Market weakness does NOT negatively impact performance. Can be a value angle when price weakens.

Trainer: Scott Dixon
Jockey: Luke Morris
Trainer market read
Today's move is -4.22pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 4/30 won (13.3%); Open→SP 5/36 won (13.9%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 20% (3/15).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
3 historical matches

2/3 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 7/1 → 20/1 | Avg: 14/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Early money horse (25%)
07:18Thirsk
Opened 17/2Market avg 14/1
16/1 ↓ 14/1 ↑ 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 ↓ 14/1 ↑ 16/1 ↓ 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1
PRICE MOVE
-4.22pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 2 of 4 previous comparable moves were stronger.
When drifting like this: failed 1/3Historical Drift Profile

01 Aug 26 | Doncaster | Open: 14/1 → Final: 20/1 | SP: 18/1 | Fin: 2
04 Apr 26 | Cork (IRE) | Open: 9/2 → Final: 10/1 | SP: 11/1 | Fin: 4
22 Mar 26 | Naas (IRE) | Open: 9/2 → Final: 7/1 | SP: 13/2 | Fin: 2
Price change: 66.9% • -4.22 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
16/1 17 decimal Star Sports
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 14/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Ollie Pears
Jockey: Harry Russell
Trainer market read
Today's move is -10.18pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/14 won (7.1%); Open→SP 1/10 won (10%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
⬆ CLASS RISE
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
4 historical matches

1/4 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 10/11 → 18/1 | Avg: 15/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
Best at SP (43%)
07:18Thirsk
Opened 11/2Market avg 18/1
18/1 ↑ 20/1 ↓ 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 ↑ 20/1 ↓ 18/1
PRICE MOVE
-10.18pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 7 of 7 previous comparable moves were stronger.
When drifting like this: failed 3/4Historical Drift Profile

08 Jul 26 | Catterick | Open: 6/1 → Final: 20/1 | SP: 25/1 | Fin: 3
16 Jun 26 | Beverley | Open: 9/2 → Final: 10/1 | SP: 12/1 | Fin: 5
02 May 26 | Doncaster | Open: 7/1 → Final: 12/1 | SP: 14/1 | Fin: 7
15 Apr 26 | Beverley | Open: 12/1 → Final: 18/1 | SP: 12/1 | Fin: 2
Price change: 195.6% • -10.18 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
22/1 23 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
The price has been unpredictable before and may move sharply again. (moderate)
Possible next price: 18/1
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Thirsk. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Mark Walford
Jockey: Jack Garritty
Trainer market read
Today's move is -4.03pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 7/46 won (15.2%); Open→SP 8/44 won (18.2%).
Watch for 15pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 20% (2/10).
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 9/4 → 9/4 | Avg: 9/4Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
This horse is usually backed but is drifting today. That change is a warning sign.
Early money horse (75%)
07:18Thirsk
Opened 11/1Market avg 22/1
22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1 ↓ 20/1 ↑ 22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1
PRICE MOVE
-4.03pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
25th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 3 of 4 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 93.8% • -4.03 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
28/1 29 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (strong)
Possible next price: 25/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
07:50Thirsk • 0m7f218y • Class 5
15 runners
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
REPEAT WINNER SIGNAL
TURF PROFILE
Triggered at 20:25
Now 5.7% bigger than the trigger move

This horse has previously delivered under similar market conditions, but the live terminal is live and the move may have faded out - confirmed signals are on the 10am and 1pm page.
⚠️ Signal fading — move now below trigger

Trainer: Phillip Makin
Jockey: Paul Mulrennan
Trainer market read
Today's move is +8.50pp, placing it in this yard's 5pp+ band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 2/12 won (16.7%); Open→SP 3/13 won (23.1%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 25% (1/4).
⬇ CLASS DROP
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 qualifying historical matches

2/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Mid
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: 5/2 → 15/2 | Avg: 9/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Mid-market mover (33%)
07:50Thirsk
Opened 11/4Market avg 15/8
15/8 ↓ 7/4 ↑ 15/8 → 15/8 → 15/8 ↑ 15/8 ↓ 15/8 → 15/8 ↓ 7/4 → 7/4
PRICE MOVE
+8.50pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
83th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
Only 1 of 6 previous comparable moves was stronger.
100% repeat place strike (2 qualifying runs)
Repeat pattern record: 2/2 placed • 1/2 won
Price change: 24.2% • +8.50 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
15/8 2.9 decimal 7Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have usually held or strengthened.
Gamble exhaustion: Some further shortening may remain, but the move is entering its exhaustion zone.
After a 8–10pp move: 46% shortened another 1pp • 38% another 2pp • 30% another 3pp • 20% another 5pp (n=1525)
Possible next price: 13/8
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Previous course evidence shows 2 placed efforts from 2 runs at Thirsk. Compared with an average course SP of 3.9, today's price is 27% shorter than usual.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟢 Needs Support (47%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

Trainer: Roger Fell
Jockey: Joanna Mason
Trainer market read
Today's move is +6.97pp, placing it in this yard's 5pp+ band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 6/29 won (20.7%); Open→SP 6/29 won (20.7%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 30.8% (4/13).
↔ SAME CLASS
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
6 historical matches

2/6 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 10 | Fixed-odds range: 5/2 → 3/1 | Avg: 11/4Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Early money horse (70%)
Late move vs early profile
07:50Thirsk
Opened 11/1Market avg 11/2
11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2
PRICE MOVE
+6.97pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 5 of 10 previous comparable moves were stronger.
2/6 placed when backed like this (33%).
When backed like this: 1/6 WON
Price change: 45.5% • +6.97 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
6/1 7 decimal Ladbrokes
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (strong)
Possible next price: 11/2
10 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Course evidence at Thirsk stands at 1 placed effort from 3 runs. Today's market is 104% bigger than usual compared with a long-term course average SP of 3.2.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🔴 Ignores MarketThis horse has won or placed despite drifting. Market weakness does NOT negatively impact performance. Can be a value angle when price weakens.

Trainer: David O'Meara
Jockey: Daniel Tudhope
Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.81pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 17/78 won (21.8%); Open→SP 20/79 won (25.3%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 34.5% (10/29).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 12 | Fixed-odds range: 15/2 → 17/2 | Avg: 8/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is drifting and is not attracting bookmaker support.
Early money horse (42%)
07:50Thirsk
Opened 7/1Market avg 17/2
9/1 ↓ 15/2 ↑ 9/1 ↓ 17/2 → 17/2 → 17/2 → 17/2 ↓ 8/1 ↓ 15/2 ↑ 8/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.81pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
33th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 8 of 12 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 17% • -1.81 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/1 10 decimal Octobet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 15/2
12 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Richard & Peter Fahey
Jockey: Ethan Tindall(5)
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.04pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 15/62 won (24.2%); Open→SP 17/55 won (30.9%).
Watch for 15pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 36.4% (4/11).
⬇ CLASS DROP
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 9 | Fixed-odds range: 3/1 → 6/1 | Avg: 5/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (44%)
07:50Thirsk
Opened 9/1Market avg 9/1
9/1 ↓ 17/2 ↑ 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 ↓ 17/2 ↑ 9/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.04pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
33th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 6 of 9 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 0.4% • -0.04 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
10/1 11 decimal Unibet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 9/1
9 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🟢 Needs Support (21%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

Trainer: Tim Easterby
Jockey: David Allan
Trainer market read
Today's move is -3.26pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 27/127 won (21.3%); Open→SP 29/134 won (21.6%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 27.4% (17/62).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
3 historical matches

0/3 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 3/1 → 9/2 | Avg: 7/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
Early money horse (43%)
07:50Thirsk
Opened 7/1Market avg 10/1
9/1 ↑ 11/1 ↓ 9/1 ↑ 10/1 ↓ 9/1 ↑ 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 ↑ 11/1 ↓ 10/1
PRICE MOVE
-3.26pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
14th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 6 of 7 previous comparable moves were stronger.
When drifting like this: failed 3/3Historical Drift Profile

07 Jul 26 | Pontefract | Open: 18/1 → Final: 28/1 | SP: 33/1 | Fin: 5
22 May 26 | Pontefract | Open: 5/1 → Final: 10/1 | SP: 12/1 | Fin: 8
26 Apr 26 | Wetherby | Open: 10/1 → Final: 16/1 | SP: 16/1 | Fin: 8
Price change: 35.3% • -3.26 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
11/1 12 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 10/1
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Harriet Bethell
Jockey: P J McDonald
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.26pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 7/13 won (53.8%); Open→SP 6/11 won (54.5%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 83.3% (5/6).
⬇ CLASS DROP
Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.
07:50Thirsk
Opened 11/1Market avg 11/1
10/1 ↑ 11/1 ↓ 10/1 ↑ 11/1 ↓ 10/1 ↑ 11/1 → 11/1 ↓ 10/1 ↑ 11/1 → 11/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.26pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 3% • +0.26 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
11/1 12 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 11/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: David & Nicola Barron
Jockey: Oisin Orr
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.96pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 5/19 won (26.3%); Open→SP 5/27 won (18.5%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 historical matches

0/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Early
Runs: 9 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is drifting and is not attracting bookmaker support.
Mid-market mover (33%)
07:50Thirsk
Opened 12/1Market avg 14/1
14/1 ↓ 12/1 ↑ 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 ↓ 12/1 ↑ 14/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.96pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
56th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 4 of 9 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 14.3% • -0.96 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
16/1 17 decimal Betfred
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 14/1
9 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
This horse is 0/2 at Thirsk on our records. Today's market is 35% bigger than usual against an average course SP of 11.0.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Seb Spencer
Jockey: Dale Swift
Trainer market read
Today's move is -2.35pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 2/11 won (18.2%); Open→SP 3/10 won (30%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 33.3% (1/3).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
Early money horse (25%)
07:50Thirsk
Opened 11/1Market avg 16/1
16/1 ↓ 14/1 ↑ 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 ↓ 14/1 ↑ 16/1
PRICE MOVE
-2.35pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
25th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 3 of 4 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 39.3% • -2.35 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
16/1 17 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 16/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Thirsk. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🔴 Ignores MarketThis horse has won or placed despite drifting. Market weakness does NOT negatively impact performance. Can be a value angle when price weakens.

Trainer: Geoffrey Harker
Jockey: William Pyle
Trainer market read
Today's move is -2.55pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/6 won (0%); Open→SP 0/7 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
⬆ CLASS RISE
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 historical matches

1/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 8 | Fixed-odds range: 14/1 → 22/1 | Avg: 18/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
Early money horse (50%)
07:50Thirsk
Opened 11/1Market avg 16/1
16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1
PRICE MOVE
-2.55pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
25th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 6 of 8 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 44.1% • -2.55 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
18/1 19 decimal Ladbrokes
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 16/1
8 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Thirsk. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🔴 Ignores MarketThis horse has won or placed despite drifting. Market weakness does NOT negatively impact performance. Can be a value angle when price weakens.

Trainer: Ruth Carr
Jockey: James Sullivan
Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.10pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 11/61 won (18%); Open→SP 12/66 won (18.2%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 28% (7/25).
⬆ CLASS RISE
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 9 | Fixed-odds range: 6/1 → 7/1 | Avg: 13/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Best at SP (33%)
07:50Thirsk
Opened 16/1Market avg 20/1
20/1 ↓ 18/1 ↑ 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 ↓ 18/1 ↑ 20/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.10pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
56th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 4 of 9 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 23.1% • -1.10 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
22/1 23 decimal Betfred
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.
Possible next price: 20/1
9 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Declan Carroll
Jockey: Zak Wheatley
Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.26pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 3/18 won (16.7%); Open→SP 4/21 won (19%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 11/1 → 14/1 | Avg: 12/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
Early money horse (20%)
07:50Thirsk
Opened 16/1Market avg 20/1
22/1 ↓ 12/1 ↑ 22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1 ↓ 20/1 ↑ 22/1 → 22/1 ↓ 12/1 ↑ 20/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.26pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
60th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 2 of 5 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 27.3% • -1.26 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
22/1 23 decimal Midnite
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 20/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Michael Dods
Jockey: Sean Kirrane
Trainer market read
Today's move is -4.07pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 8/44 won (18.2%); Open→SP 9/51 won (17.6%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 35% (7/20).
⬇ CLASS DROP
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
3 historical matches

3/3 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 10 | Fixed-odds range: 5/6 → 8/1 | Avg: 9/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
Early money horse (50%)
07:50Thirsk
Opened 11/1Market avg 22/1
20/1 ↑ 25/1 ↓ 20/1 ↑ 22/1 ↓ 20/1 → 20/1 ↑ 22/1 → 22/1 ↑ 25/1 → 25/1
PRICE MOVE
-4.07pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
30th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 7 of 10 previous comparable moves were stronger.
When drifting like this: failed 0/3Historical Drift Profile

15 Jun 26 | Wetherby | Open: 10/3 → Final: 11/2 | SP: 15/2 | Fin: 1
20 May 26 | Ayr | Open: 11/4 → Final: 9/2 | SP: 9/2 | Fin: 1
07 May 26 | Southwell (AW) | Open: 5/2 → Final: 9/2 | SP: 11/2 | Fin: 2
Price change: 95.5% • -4.07 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
25/1 26 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 33/1
10 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Grant Tuer
Jockey: Oliver Stammers
Trainer market read
Today's move is -6.50pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 7/24 won (29.2%); Open→SP 5/24 won (20.8%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 36.4% (4/11).
⬇ CLASS DROP
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 historical matches

0/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 10/3 → 20/1 | Avg: 12/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Late money horse (29%)
07:50Thirsk
Opened 17/2Market avg 25/1
22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1 ↑ 25/1 ↓ 22/1 ↑ 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 ↓ 22/1 ↑ 25/1
PRICE MOVE
-6.50pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
14th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 6 of 7 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 161.3% • -6.50 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
25/1 26 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 25/1
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Brian Ellison
Jockey: Ben Robinson
Trainer market read
Today's move is -2.66pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 5/34 won (14.7%); Open→SP 3/31 won (9.7%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 16.7% (2/12).
⬇ CLASS DROP
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
3 historical matches

0/3 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Late PM
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Late money horse (67%)
07:50Thirsk
Opened 14/1Market avg 25/1
22/1 ↑ 28/1 ↓ 22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1 ↓ 20/1 ↑ 22/1 ↑ 25/1 ↑ 28/1 → 28/1
PRICE MOVE
-2.66pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
33th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 2 of 3 previous comparable moves were stronger.
When drifting like this: failed 3/3Historical Drift Profile

27 Jul 26 | Southwell (AW) | Open: 20/1 → Final: 33/1 | SP: 33/1 | Fin: 5
27 Jun 26 | Newcastle (AW) | Open: 50/1 → Final: 100/1 | SP: 100/1 | Fin: 10
23 May 26 | York | Open: 13/2 → Final: 10/1 | SP: 12/1 | Fin: 22
Price change: 66.2% • -2.66 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
33/1 34 decimal Ladbrokes
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This matches its usual pattern; support has often arrived later. (strong)
Possible next price: 40/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Simon Whitaker
Jockey: Luke Morris
Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.83pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/1 won (0%); Open→SP 0/3 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
⬆ CLASS RISE
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 historical matches

0/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: 12/1 → 12/1 | Avg: 12/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Early money horse (67%)
07:50Thirsk
Opened 20/1Market avg 33/1
33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 ↑ 33/1 ↓ 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.83pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
33th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 2 of 3 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 62.2% • -1.83 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
33/1 36 decimal 7Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (strong)
Possible next price: 33/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Thirsk. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
08:20Thirsk • 1m4f8y • Class 6
3 runners
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Sir Mark Prescott Bt
Jockey: Luke Morris
Trainer market read
Today's move is -6.27pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 14/34 won (41.2%); Open→SP 14/35 won (40%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 4/7 → 7/4 | Avg: 6/5Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Best at SP (60%)
08:20Thirsk
Opened 2/9Market avg 1/3
3/10 ↑ 2/5 ↓ 3/10 ↓ 2/7 → 2/7 ↑ 1/3 → 1/3 ↑ 4/11 ↑ 2/5 ↓ 4/11
PRICE MOVE
-7.23pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
20th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 4 of 5 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 9.7% • -7.23 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
2/5 1.4 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
The price has been unpredictable before and may move sharply again. (strong)
Possible next price: 2/5
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Philip Kirby
Jockey: Tom Kiely-Marshall(5)
Trainer market read
Today's move is +4.19pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 9/42 won (21.4%); Open→SP 8/41 won (19.5%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 35% (7/20).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: 7/2 → 6/1 | Avg: 9/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Early money horse (33%)
08:20Thirsk
Opened 7/2Market avg 5/2
11/4 ↓ 5/2 ↑ 11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 ↓ 5/2 ↑ 11/4 ↓ 5/2 → 5/2 → 5/2
PRICE MOVE
+5.43pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
83th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
Only 1 of 6 previous comparable moves was stronger.
Price change: 19.6% • +5.43 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
11/4 3.75 decimal Star Sports
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have usually held their position.
Possible next price: 5/2
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Jedd O'Keeffe
Jockey: Jack Garritty
Trainer market read
Today's move is -2.35pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 4/10 won (40%); Open→SP 3/9 won (33.3%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 40% (2/5).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 historical matches

0/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
Best at SP (50%)
08:20Thirsk
Opened 12/1Market avg 18/1
18/1 ↓ 14/1 ↑ 18/1 → 18/1 ↑ 20/1 ↓ 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 ↓ 14/1 ↑ 18/1
PRICE MOVE
-2.37pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 2 of 4 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 44.5% • -2.37 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
20/1 21 decimal BestOdds
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
The price has been unpredictable before and may move sharply again. (moderate)
Possible next price: 18/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
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Updated 21:03
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