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Repeat Winning Market Behaviour.

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LIVE MARKET PRESSURE ⓘ
Odds database updated: 21:00:02 • LIVE
🔥 BEST BACKED
Fan Mail
07:51 Southwell (AW)
+49.2% (15.000 → 7.617)
Strongest market support today
♻️ REPEAT SIGNAL
Moostar
07:16 Southwell (AW)
100% repeat strike (1 runs)
⭐ STRONG FAV
Baarberini
06:41 Southwell (AW)
+40.9% (3.250 → 1.92)
Strong favourite being backed
⚠️ WEAK FAV
Distillation
05:04 Southwell (AW)
-21.1% (2.630 → 3.184)
Market weakness — confidence dropping
STRONGEST SUPPORT: Fan Mail (49.2%) 07:51 Southwell (AW)    WEAK FAVOURITE: Hoosthat (-3138.8%) 06:41 Southwell (AW) | 7/4 80/1    ⚡ HORSES ARE BEING BACKED IN THE SAME WAY AS A PREVIOUS WIN!     ⚠️ EMERGING SET UP AND REPEAT WINNER SIGNALS SHOULD BE TAKEN SERIOUSLY     ⭐ LIVE TERMINAL NOW ORDERED BY RACE FAVOURITE                                                                                                                              
Runners Today
83
Shown After Filters
83
Active Signals (15%+)
60
Live Alerts
44
LIVE ALERTS
Baarberini Heavy sustained support (40.9%)Alert: 21:03 | Race: 06:41 Southwell (AW) | Open 9/4 - Now 10/11
Hear The Drums Heavy sustained support (46.2%)
Limited data (1 run)
Alert: 21:03 | Race: 05:04 Southwell (AW) | Open 7/1 - Now 10/3
Dingwall Heavy sustained support (39.8%)Alert: 21:03 | Race: 09:00 Southwell (AW) | Open 8/1 - Now 9/2
Fan Mail Heavy sustained support (49.2%)
Limited data (1 run)
Alert: 21:03 | Race: 07:51 Southwell (AW) | Open 14/1 - Now 13/2
French Duke Heavy sustained support (43.1%)Alert: 21:03 | Race: 08:26 Southwell (AW) | Open 12/1 - Now 13/2
Titainium Heavy sustained support (37.5%)Alert: 21:03 | Race: 09:00 Southwell (AW) | Open 16/1 - Now 10/1
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ALLBACKED 💰DRIFTERS
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Runner
Bookmaker move
Evidence
What to do next
05:04Southwell (AW) • 1m14y • Class 6
10 runners
Market Intelligence
Strongest support: Hear The Drums (+10.71 probability points)
Weakest support: Mist of Time (-6.59 probability points)
🟢 Needs Support (8%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

Trainer: Mark Usher
Jockey: Robert Havlin
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: 15/2 → 11/1 | Avg: 9/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Mid-market mover (67%)
05:04Southwell (AW)
Opened 13/8Market avg 9/4
2/1 ↑ 9/4 → 9/4 ↓ 13/8 ↑ 9/4 → 9/4 → 9/4 → 9/4 ↓ 2/1 ↑ 9/4
PRICE MOVE
-6.62pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 21.1% • -6.62 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/4 3.25 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This price often moves during the day, so keep checking it. (strong)
Possible next price: 9/4
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Richard & Peter Fahey
Jockey: Oisin Orr
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening, but similar moves have not converted well before.
Early money horse (33%)
Late move vs early profile
05:04Southwell (AW)
Opened 7/1Market avg 10/3
3/1 ↑ 10/3 → 10/3 ↑ 7/2 ↓ 10/3 → 10/3 → 10/3 → 10/3 ↓ 3/1 ↑ 10/3
PRICE MOVE
+10.71pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Limited data: 1 similar run only. Not a proven betting pattern.
Price change: 46.2% • +10.71 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
7/2 4.5 decimal BetMGM
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.
Gamble exhaustion: Moves of this size have usually been close to exhaustion; chasing the shortened price carries extra risk.
After a 10–12pp move: 37% shortened another 1pp • 24% another 2pp • 20% another 3pp • 12% another 5pp (n=1082)
Possible next price: 10/3
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Gay Kelleway
Jockey: Jack Callan
⬇ CLASS DROP
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Early money horse (40%)
05:04Southwell (AW)
Opened 17/2Market avg 13/2
6/1 ↑ 13/2 ↓ 6/1 ↑ 9/1 ↓ 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1
PRICE MOVE
+3.17pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 23.2% • +3.17 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/1 10 decimal BetMGM
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
Possible next price: 6/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Tony Coyle & Kaine Wood
Jockey: David Nolan
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
This horse is usually backed but is drifting today. That change is a warning sign.
Early money horse (50%)
05:04Southwell (AW)
Opened 5/1Market avg 7/1
13/2 ↑ 15/2 → 15/2 ↓ 4/1 ↑ 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 ↓ 7/1 ↓ 13/2 ↑ 15/2
PRICE MOVE
-4.47pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 36.7% • -4.47 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
8/1 9 decimal Unibet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 15/2
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Southwell (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Ismail Mohammed & Jose Santos
Jockey: Dominique Van Der Kraats(7)
⬇ CLASS DROP
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Early money horse (67%)
05:04Southwell (AW)
Opened 14/1Market avg 10/1
12/1 ↓ 9/1 ↑ 10/1 ↓ 17/2 ↑ 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 ↑ 11/1 ↑ 12/1 ↓ 10/1
PRICE MOVE
+2.54pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 27.6% • +2.54 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
12/1 13 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (strong)
Possible next price: 10/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Southwell (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🔴 Ignores MarketThis horse has won or placed despite drifting. Market weakness does NOT negatively impact performance. Can be a value angle when price weakens.

Trainer: Georgina Nicholls
Jockey: Pierre-Louis Jamin
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: 4/1 → 9/1 | Avg: 13/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Best at SP (33%)
05:04Southwell (AW)
Opened 15/2Market avg 11/1
10/1 ↑ 11/1 → 11/1 ↑ 12/1 ↓ 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 ↓ 10/1 ↑ 11/1
PRICE MOVE
-3.52pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
When drifting like this: failed 2/4Historical Drift Profile

21 Jul 26 | Wolverhampton (AW) | Open: 13/2 → Final: 10/1 | SP: 12/1 | Fin: 7
14 Jun 26 | Doncaster | Open: 11/1 → Final: 18/1 | SP: 18/1 | Fin: 13
14 Jan 26 | Lingfield (AW) | Open: EVS → Final: 4/1 | SP: 7/2 | Fin: 2
07 Jan 26 | Lingfield (AW) | Open: 5/1 → Final: 9/1 | SP: 12/1 | Fin: 2
Price change: 42.7% • -3.52 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
14/1 15 decimal Grosvenor Sports
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 11/1
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: William Knight
Jockey: Luke Morris
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Late money horse (33%)
05:04Southwell (AW)
Opened 6/1Market avg 12/1
11/1 ↑ 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 ↓ 11/1 ↑ 12/1
PRICE MOVE
-6.59pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 85.7% • -6.59 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
14/1 15 decimal Grosvenor Sports
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 12/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Gemma Tutty
Jockey: Connor Beasley
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Early money horse (40%)
Late move vs early profile
05:04Southwell (AW)
Opened 20/1Market avg 12/1
12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 ↑ 14/1 ↓ 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1
PRICE MOVE
+2.85pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 37.5% • +2.85 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
14/1 15 decimal BetMGM
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
Possible next price: 12/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Martin Keighley
Jockey: Harry Vigors(5)
⬇ CLASS DROP
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Early money horse (33%)
05:04Southwell (AW)
Opened 18/1Market avg 33/1
40/1 ↓ 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 ↑ 33/1 ↓ 33/1 → 33/1 ↑ 40/1 ↓ 33/1
PRICE MOVE
-2.39pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 83% • -2.39 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
40/1 41 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.
Possible next price: 33/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Craig Lidster
Jockey: Alex Jary(3)
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Late money horse (60%)
05:04Southwell (AW)
Opened 28/1Market avg 40/1
40/1 ↓ 33/1 ↑ 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.96pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
When drifting like this: failed 5/5Historical Drift Profile

25 Jul 26 | Newcastle (AW) | Open: 12/1 → Final: 50/1 | SP: 50/1 | Fin: 9
18 May 26 | Redcar | Open: 25/1 → Final: 50/1 | SP: 28/1 | Fin: 10
02 May 26 | Doncaster | Open: 25/1 → Final: 66/1 | SP: 40/1 | Fin: 6
07 Apr 26 | Pontefract | Open: 66/1 → Final: 100/1 | SP: 100/1 | Fin: 8
19 Mar 26 | Newcastle (AW) | Open: 50/1 → Final: 80/1 | SP: 22/1 | Fin: 8
Price change: 38.5% • -0.96 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
50/1 51 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This matches its usual pattern; support has often arrived later. (strong)
Possible next price: 40/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
05:34Southwell (AW) • 1m14y • Class 6
9 runners
🟢 Needs Support (10%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

Trainer: Kevin & Lauren Frost
Jockey: William Pyle
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 4/5 → 8/1 | Avg: 9/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Late money horse (43%)
05:34Southwell (AW)
Opened 10/3Market avg 10/3
11/4 ↑ 10/3 → 10/3 ↑ 9/2 ↓ 10/3 → 10/3 → 10/3 → 10/3 ↓ 11/4 ↑ 3/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.37pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 1.6% • +0.37 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/2 5.5 decimal BetMGM
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This early support is unusual; the price has often drifted again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 11/4
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Southwell (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Steph Hollinshead
Jockey: Clifford Lee
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 80/1 → 80/1 | Avg: 80/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (50%)
05:34Southwell (AW)
Opened 10/3Market avg 10/3
7/2 → 7/2 ↓ 10/3 ↓ 3/1 ↑ 10/3 → 10/3 → 10/3 → 10/3 ↑ 7/2 ↓ 10/3
PRICE MOVE
-0.12pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 0.5% • -0.12 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
7/2 4.5 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 10/3
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Warren Greatrex
Jockey: Harry Vigors(5)
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 12/1 → 12/1 | Avg: 12/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Late money horse (40%)
05:34Southwell (AW)
Opened 7/2Market avg 4/1
7/2 ↑ 4/1 ↓ 10/3 ↑ 9/2 ↓ 4/1 → 4/1 ↓ 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 ↑ 4/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.93pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 9.5% • -1.93 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/2 5.5 decimal BetMGM
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This matches its usual pattern; support has often arrived later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 4/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Roger Fell
Jockey: Kevin Stott
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: 18/1 → 18/1 | Avg: 18/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Mid-market mover (33%)
05:34Southwell (AW)
Opened 10/3Market avg 9/2
5/1 ↓ 4/1 ↑ 9/2 ↓ 7/2 ↑ 4/1 ↑ 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 ↑ 5/1 ↓ 9/2
PRICE MOVE
-4.46pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 23.9% • -4.46 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
5/1 6 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 9/2
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Southwell (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: J S Moore
Jockey: Ashley Lewis(3)
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening, but similar moves have not converted well before.
Early money horse (67%)
05:34Southwell (AW)
Opened 8/1Market avg 6/1
13/2 ↓ 5/1 ↑ 11/2 ↑ 7/1 ↓ 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 ↑ 6/1 ↑ 13/2 ↓ 6/1
PRICE MOVE
+3.63pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Limited data: 1 similar run only. Not a proven betting pattern.
Price change: 24.6% • +3.63 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
7/1 8 decimal BetMGM
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (strong)
Possible next price: 13/2
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: John Mackie
Jockey: Callum Hutchinson
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.
05:34Southwell (AW)
Opened 20/1Market avg 12/1
10/1 ↑ 11/1 ↑ 12/1 ↑ 22/1 ↓ 11/1 ↑ 12/1 → 12/1 ↓ 11/1 ↓ 10/1 ↑ 12/1
PRICE MOVE
+2.78pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 36.8% • +2.78 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
22/1 23 decimal BetMGM
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 12/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Ivan Furtado
Jockey: Silvestre De Sousa
⬇ CLASS DROP
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
05:34Southwell (AW)
Opened 9/1Market avg 18/1
18/1 ↓ 16/1 ↑ 18/1 ↓ 12/1 ↑ 16/1 ↑ 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1
PRICE MOVE
-4.49pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 81.3% • -4.49 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
20/1 21 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 18/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
No placed efforts from 2 previous runs at Southwell (AW). The current market is 73% shorter than usual compared with a typical course SP of 67.0.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Andi Brown
Jockey: Luke Morris
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is drifting and is not attracting bookmaker support.
Early money horse (67%)
05:34Southwell (AW)
Opened 33/1Market avg 40/1
50/1 ↓ 33/1 ↑ 40/1 ↓ 33/1 → 33/1 ↑ 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 ↑ 50/1 ↓ 40/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.44pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 17.6% • -0.44 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
50/1 51 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (strong)
Possible next price: 40/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
05:34 Southwell (AW) Alice's Influence NR @ 12:11
Last fixed odds: 15/2
06:06Southwell (AW) • 1m14y • Class 5
11 runners
🔴 Ignores MarketThis horse has won or placed despite drifting. Market weakness does NOT negatively impact performance. Can be a value angle when price weakens.

Trainer: Ivan Furtado
Jockey: Silvestre De Sousa
⬆ CLASS RISE
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 4/1 → 22/1 | Avg: 12/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is drifting and is not attracting bookmaker support.
Early money horse (40%)
06:06Southwell (AW)
Opened 11/4Market avg 10/3
3/1 ↑ 10/3 → 10/3 ↑ 7/2 ↓ 10/3 → 10/3 → 10/3 → 10/3 ↓ 3/1 ↑ 10/3
PRICE MOVE
-3.55pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 15.3% • -3.55 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
7/2 4.5 decimal BetMGM
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 10/3
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
This runner has made the frame 1 times from 3 starts at Southwell (AW). Historical course average SP is 40.8, while today's market is 89% shorter than usual.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Michael Herrington
Jockey: Jason Hart
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 13 | Fixed-odds range: 6/4 → 28/1 | Avg: 10/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Early money horse (38%)
06:06Southwell (AW)
Opened 9/2Market avg 10/3
3/1 ↑ 10/3 → 10/3 ↓ 3/1 ↑ 10/3 → 10/3 ↑ 7/2 ↓ 10/3 ↓ 3/1 ↑ 10/3
PRICE MOVE
+4.79pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 20.8% • +4.79 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
7/2 4.5 decimal Star Sports
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 10/3
13 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Course record of 4/7 at Southwell (AW). The average SP at this course is 8.1 and today's market has the horse trading 46% shorter than usual.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Ed Walker
Jockey: Ashley Lewis(3)
⬇ CLASS DROP
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: 5/1 → 5/1 | Avg: 5/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
06:06Southwell (AW)
Opened 9/2Market avg 7/2
10/3 ↑ 4/1 ↓ 10/3 ↑ 5/1 ↓ 4/1 ↓ 10/3 ↑ 4/1 ↓ 10/3 → 10/3 ↑ 7/2
PRICE MOVE
+2.95pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 13.9% • +2.95 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
5/1 6 decimal BetMGM
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 7/2
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟢 Needs Support (17%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

Trainer: Roger Fell
Jockey: Joanna Mason
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 9 | Fixed-odds range: 7/2 → 13/2 | Avg: 9/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
Early money horse (33%)
06:06Southwell (AW)
Opened 5/1Market avg 13/2
11/2 ↑ 7/1 → 7/1 ↓ 13/2 ↑ 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 ↓ 13/2 ↓ 11/2 ↑ 13/2
PRICE MOVE
-3.51pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 26.7% • -3.51 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
7/1 8 decimal Star Sports
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have usually held or strengthened.
Possible next price: 6/1
9 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Southwell (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Edward Bethell
Jockey: Connor Beasley
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 11/2 → 11/2 | Avg: 11/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is drifting and is not attracting bookmaker support.
Early money horse (25%)
06:06Southwell (AW)
Opened 6/1Market avg 7/1
8/1 ↓ 13/2 → 13/2 ↓ 11/2 ↑ 13/2 ↑ 7/1 ↓ 13/2 ↑ 7/1 ↑ 8/1 ↓ 15/2
PRICE MOVE
-1.63pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 12.9% • -1.63 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
8/1 9 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 8/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Southwell (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: James Tate
Jockey: Clifford Lee
⬆ CLASS RISE
Runs: 10 | Fixed-odds range: 13/8 → 18/1 | Avg: 10/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Early money horse (30%)
06:06Southwell (AW)
Opened 11/2Market avg 8/1
9/1 ↓ 15/2 ↑ 8/1 ↓ 11/2 ↑ 15/2 ↑ 8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 ↑ 9/1 ↓ 8/1
PRICE MOVE
-4.02pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 35.4% • -4.02 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/1 10 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have usually held their position.
Possible next price: 8/1
10 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Southwell (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Jedd O'Keeffe
Jockey: Jack Garritty
⬆ CLASS RISE
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 7/1 → 7/1 | Avg: 7/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
Early money horse (40%)
06:06Southwell (AW)
Opened 8/1Market avg 18/1
20/1 ↓ 16/1 ↑ 18/1 ↓ 11/1 ↑ 16/1 ↑ 18/1 ↓ 16/1 ↑ 18/1 ↑ 20/1 ↓ 18/1
PRICE MOVE
-5.60pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 101.5% • -5.60 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
20/1 21 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 18/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Ollie Sangster
Jockey: Luke Morris
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 11/8 → 4/1 | Avg: 11/4Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Early money horse (60%)
06:06Southwell (AW)
Opened 22/1Market avg 18/1
18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 ↑ 22/1 ↓ 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.86pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 16.5% • +0.86 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
22/1 23 decimal BetMGM
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (strong)
Possible next price: 18/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Tony Coyle & Kaine Wood
Jockey: David Nolan
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (33%)
06:06Southwell (AW)
Opened 25/1Market avg 28/1
33/1 ↓ 25/1 → 25/1 ↑ 28/1 ↓ 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 ↑ 33/1 ↓ 28/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.22pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 6.2% • -0.22 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
33/1 34 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 33/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Ross Burdon
Jockey: Jonny Peate
⬆ CLASS RISE
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Early money horse (25%)
06:06Southwell (AW)
Opened 28/1Market avg 50/1
66/1 ↓ 50/1 → 50/1 ↓ 40/1 ↑ 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 ↑ 66/1 ↓ 50/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.54pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 80.9% • -1.54 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
66/1 67 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 50/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Simon Whitaker
Jockey: Tom Eaves
⬇ CLASS DROP
Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.
06:06Southwell (AW)
Opened 40/1Market avg 80/1
100/1 ↓ 80/1 ↑ 100/1 ↓ 40/1 ↑ 80/1 ↑ 100/1 ↓ 80/1 ↑ 100/1 ↓ 100/1 → 100/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.34pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 122% • -1.34 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
100/1 126 decimal Midnite
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 100/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
06:41Southwell (AW) • 1m14y • Class 4
8 runners
Baarberini🚨 STABLE INTENT GAMBLE TARGET

Trainer: James Horton
Jockey: Daniel Muscutt
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.
06:41Southwell (AW)
Opened 9/4Market avg 10/11
5/6 ↑ 10/11 ↓ 5/6 ↑ 11/8 ↓ 10/11 → 10/11 → 10/11 ↓ 5/6 → 5/6 ↑ 10/11
PRICE MOVE
+21.31pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 40.9% • +21.31 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
11/8 2.38 decimal BetMGM
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Gamble exhaustion: Some further shortening may remain, but the move is entering its exhaustion zone.
After a 15pp+ move: 48% shortened another 1pp • 40% another 2pp • 31% another 3pp • 20% another 5pp (n=898)
Possible next price: 10/11
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: George Boughey
Jockey: Jack Callan
⬇ CLASS DROP
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: 4/1 → 4/1 | Avg: 4/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
This horse is usually backed but is drifting today. That change is a warning sign.
06:41Southwell (AW)
Opened 6/4Market avg 9/4
9/4 ↑ 5/2 ↓ 9/4 ↓ 2/1 ↑ 5/2 ↑ 5/2 ↓ 9/4 → 9/4 → 9/4 → 9/4
PRICE MOVE
-9.64pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 31.8% • -9.64 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
5/2 3.5 decimal 7Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 2/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Southwell (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Richard Hughes
Jockey: Kevin Stott
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
06:41Southwell (AW)
Opened 7/1Market avg 13/2
8/1 ↓ 13/2 ↓ 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 ↑ 7/1 ↓ 13/2 ↑ 8/1 ↓ 7/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.66pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 5% • +0.66 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
8/1 9 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 8/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Georgina Nicholls
Jockey: Harry Vigors(5)
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
06:41Southwell (AW)
Opened 11/2Market avg 11/1
12/1 → 12/1 ↓ 11/1 ↓ 17/2 ↑ 11/1 ↑ 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1
PRICE MOVE
-7.34pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 91.3% • -7.34 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
12/1 13 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 12/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Andrew Balding
Jockey: Callum Hutchinson
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
06:41Southwell (AW)
Opened 7/1Market avg 14/1
12/1 ↑ 14/1 ↑ 16/1 ↓ 10/1 ↑ 14/1 → 14/1 ↑ 16/1 → 16/1 ↓ 12/1 ↑ 16/1
PRICE MOVE
-6.06pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 94.2% • -6.06 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
16/1 17 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 18/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: David O'Meara
Jockey: Daniel Tudhope
⬇ CLASS DROP
Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.
06:41Southwell (AW)
Opened 14/1Market avg 22/1
22/1 ↑ 25/1 ↓ 22/1 → 22/1 ↑ 25/1 → 25/1 ↓ 22/1 ↑ 25/1 ↓ 22/1 → 22/1
PRICE MOVE
-2.48pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 59.3% • -2.48 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
25/1 26 decimal Midnite
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 20/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero
Jockey: David Nolan
⬇ CLASS DROP
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: 28/1 → 28/1 | Avg: 28/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
06:41Southwell (AW)
Opened 13/2Market avg 28/1
40/1 ↓ 28/1 → 28/1 ↓ 20/1 ↑ 28/1 ↑ 28/1 ↓ 28/1 → 28/1 ↑ 40/1 ↓ 33/1
PRICE MOVE
-10.07pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 308.9% • -10.07 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
40/1 41 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have usually held their position.
Possible next price: 33/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: William Muir & Chris Grassick
Jockey: Jason Hart
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.
06:41Southwell (AW)
Opened 7/4Market avg 80/1
100/1 ↓ 80/1 → 80/1 → 80/1 → 80/1 → 80/1 ↑ 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1
PRICE MOVE
-35.24pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 3138.8% • -35.24 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
100/1 126 decimal LiveScore Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 100/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
07:16Southwell (AW) • 6f17y • Class 5
10 runners
🟢 Needs Support (31%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

Trainer: Adam Kirby
Jockey: James Doyle
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 11 | Fixed-odds range: 5/2 → 4/1 | Avg: 10/3Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening, but similar moves have not converted well before.
Early money horse (36%)
07:16Southwell (AW)
Opened 11/4Market avg 9/4
9/4 → 9/4 → 9/4 ↑ 11/4 ↓ 9/4 → 9/4 → 9/4 → 9/4 → 9/4 → 9/4
PRICE MOVE
+3.79pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Limited data: 1 similar run only. Not a proven betting pattern.
Price change: 12.5% • +3.79 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
11/4 3.75 decimal BetMGM
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.
Possible next price: 9/4
11 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Tim Easterby
Jockey: David Allan
⬇ CLASS DROP
Runs: 8 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Best at SP (38%)
07:16Southwell (AW)
Opened 5/1Market avg 7/2
10/3 ↑ 7/2 ↓ 10/3 → 10/3 → 10/3 → 10/3 ↑ 7/2 ↓ 10/3 → 10/3 ↑ 7/2
PRICE MOVE
+5.90pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 26.1% • +5.90 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
7/2 4.5 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.
Possible next price: 7/2
8 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
LIMITED DATA — 1 SIMILAR RUNThis is one previous example only. It is an early clue, not a proven repeat pattern.

Trainer: James Owen
Jockey: Silvestre De Sousa
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 9 | Fixed-odds range: 15/8 → 4/1 | Avg: 11/4Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening and the past evidence is positive.
Mid-market mover (22%)
07:16Southwell (AW)
Opened 5/1Market avg 4/1
4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 ↑ 13/2 ↓ 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1
PRICE MOVE
+2.56pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Limited data: 1 similar run only.
Price change: 13.3% • +2.56 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
13/2 7.5 decimal BetMGM
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 4/1
9 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Southwell (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Iain Jardine
Jockey: Andrew Mullen
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 9 | Fixed-odds range: 5/2 → 20/1 | Avg: 9/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
Early money horse (44%)
07:16Southwell (AW)
Opened 3/1Market avg 11/2
11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 ↓ 5/1 ↑ 11/2 ↑ 6/1 ↓ 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2
PRICE MOVE
-9.58pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 62.1% • -9.58 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
6/1 7 decimal 7Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 5/1
9 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
This runner has made the frame 3 times from 3 starts at Southwell (AW). Historical course average SP is 10.8, while today's market is 40% shorter than usual.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Liam Bailey
Jockey: Jack Garritty
⬇ CLASS DROP
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is drifting and is not attracting bookmaker support.
Early money horse (67%)
07:16Southwell (AW)
Opened 9/1Market avg 10/1
11/1 ↓ 9/1 ↑ 11/1 ↓ 13/2 ↑ 9/1 ↑ 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.20pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 13.7% • -1.20 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
12/1 13 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (strong)
Possible next price: 11/1
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Gay Kelleway
Jockey: Jack Callan
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 15/2 → 15/2 | Avg: 15/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
Early money horse (57%)
07:16Southwell (AW)
Opened 6/1Market avg 14/1
14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 ↓ 12/1 → 12/1 ↑ 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1
PRICE MOVE
-7.50pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 110.5% • -7.50 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
16/1 17 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 14/1
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Southwell (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Grant Tuer
Jockey: Oliver Stammers
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 11/1 → 11/1 | Avg: 11/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Mid-market mover (50%)
07:16Southwell (AW)
Opened 16/1Market avg 16/1
16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 ↓ 14/1 ↑ 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.05pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 0.8% • +0.05 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
18/1 19 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This price often moves during the day, so keep checking it. (moderate)
Possible next price: 16/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
This runner has made the frame 1 times from 2 starts at Southwell (AW). Historical course average SP is 8.0, while today's market is 111% bigger than usual.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Paul Midgley
Jockey: David Nolan
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 3/1 → 25/1 | Avg: 14/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Late money horse (50%)
07:16Southwell (AW)
Opened 11/1Market avg 20/1
20/1 ↓ 16/1 ↑ 22/1 ↓ 14/1 ↑ 16/1 ↑ 18/1 ↑ 22/1 ↓ 20/1 → 20/1 ↑ 22/1
PRICE MOVE
-3.40pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 68.9% • -3.40 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
22/1 23 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This matches its usual pattern; support has often arrived later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 28/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Southwell (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Ruth Carr
Jockey: James Sullivan
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 13/8 → 11/1 | Avg: 13/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
Early money horse (43%)
07:16Southwell (AW)
Opened 10/1Market avg 20/1
20/1 ↓ 18/1 ↑ 22/1 ↓ 11/1 ↑ 18/1 ↑ 20/1 ↑ 22/1 → 22/1 ↓ 20/1 ↑ 22/1
PRICE MOVE
-4.37pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 92.4% • -4.37 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
25/1 26 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 25/1
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
No placed efforts from 2 previous runs at Southwell (AW). The current market is 40% bigger than usual compared with a typical course SP of 15.2.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Liam Bailey
Jockey: Daniel Tudhope
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
This horse is usually backed but is drifting today. That change is a warning sign.
Early money horse (33%)
07:16Southwell (AW)
Opened 20/1Market avg 50/1
50/1 ↓ 40/1 ↑ 50/1 ↓ 28/1 ↑ 40/1 ↑ 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1
PRICE MOVE
-2.68pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 128.9% • -2.68 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
66/1 67 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 50/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Southwell (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
07:51Southwell (AW) • 6f17y • Class 5
9 runners

Trainer: Richard & Peter Fahey
Jockey: Ethan Tindall(5)
⬇ CLASS DROP
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 6/1 → 6/1 | Avg: 6/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Mid-market mover (29%)
07:51Southwell (AW)
Opened 13/2Market avg 9/2
9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 ↓ 4/1 ↑ 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2
PRICE MOVE
+4.68pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 26% • +4.68 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
5/1 6 decimal LiveScore Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 9/2
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Southwell (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟢 Needs Support (33%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

Trainer: Liam Bailey
Jockey: Daniel Tudhope
⬇ CLASS DROP
Runs: 12 | Fixed-odds range: 17/2 → 10/1 | Avg: 9/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (33%)
07:51Southwell (AW)
Opened 5/1Market avg 9/2
4/1 ↑ 9/2 → 9/2 ↑ 6/1 ↓ 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 ↓ 4/1 ↑ 9/2
PRICE MOVE
+1.35pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 7.5% • +1.35 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
6/1 7 decimal BetMGM
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have usually held their position.
Possible next price: 9/2
12 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
No placed efforts from 2 previous runs at Southwell (AW). The current market is 84% shorter than usual compared with a typical course SP of 35.0.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Mike Murphy
Jockey: Luke Morris
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (33%)
07:51Southwell (AW)
Opened 9/2Market avg 5/1
9/2 ↑ 5/1 → 5/1 ↓ 10/3 ↑ 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 ↓ 9/2 ↑ 5/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.10pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 6.5% • -1.10 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
11/2 6.5 decimal Unibet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 5/1
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
This horse is 0/3 at Southwell (AW) on our records. Today's market is 30% shorter than usual against an average course SP of 8.3.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Steph Hollinshead
Jockey: Dougie Costello
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: 4/1 → 18/1 | Avg: 9/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
This horse is usually backed but is drifting today. That change is a warning sign.
Early money horse (67%)
07:51Southwell (AW)
Opened 11/4Market avg 11/2
13/2 ↓ 11/2 → 11/2 ↓ 4/1 ↑ 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 ↑ 13/2 ↓ 11/2
PRICE MOVE
-11.36pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 74.2% • -11.36 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
13/2 7.5 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (strong)
Possible next price: 11/2
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
This runner has made the frame 2 times from 2 starts at Southwell (AW). Historical course average SP is 11.5, while today's market is 43% shorter than usual.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Julie Camacho
Jockey: Clifford Lee
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: 12/1 → 12/1 | Avg: 12/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
07:51Southwell (AW)
Opened 6/1Market avg 6/1
6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 ↑ 7/1 ↓ 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.20pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 1.4% • -0.20 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
7/1 8 decimal BetMGM
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have usually held their position.
Possible next price: 6/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Tim Easterby
Jockey: David Allan
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 11 | Fixed-odds range: 7/1 → 7/1 | Avg: 7/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening, but similar moves have not converted well before.
Early money horse (27%)
Late move vs early profile
07:51Southwell (AW)
Opened 14/1Market avg 13/2
6/1 ↑ 7/1 ↓ 13/2 ↑ 15/2 ↓ 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 ↓ 6/1 ↑ 13/2
PRICE MOVE
+6.46pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Limited data: 1 similar run only. Not a proven betting pattern.
Price change: 49.2% • +6.46 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
8/1 9 decimal Grosvenor Sports
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 13/2
11 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Course evidence at Southwell (AW) is limited (3 runs without making the frame). Today's market is 21% shorter than usual against an average course SP profile of 9.6.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Paul Midgley
Jockey: Jason Hart
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 6/1 → 6/1 | Avg: 6/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
Early money horse (25%)
07:51Southwell (AW)
Opened 6/1Market avg 17/2
15/2 ↑ 17/2 → 17/2 ↑ 11/1 ↓ 17/2 → 17/2 → 17/2 ↓ 8/1 ↓ 15/2 ↑ 8/1
PRICE MOVE
-3.72pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 35.2% • -3.72 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
11/1 12 decimal BetMGM
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have usually held their position.
Possible next price: 15/2
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Southwell (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Michael Dods
Jockey: Daniel Muscutt
⬆ CLASS RISE
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 9/1 → 9/1 | Avg: 9/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Mid-market mover (29%)
07:51Southwell (AW)
Opened 17/2Market avg 12/1
10/1 ↑ 12/1 → 12/1 ↓ 11/1 ↑ 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 ↓ 10/1 ↑ 11/1
PRICE MOVE
-2.55pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
When drifting like this: failed 2/3Historical Drift Profile

27 Mar 26 | Newcastle (AW) | Open: 4/1 → Final: 6/1 | SP: 7/1 | Fin: 7
14 Mar 26 | Southwell (AW) | Open: 6/1 → Final: 9/1 | SP: 8/1 | Fin: 1
28 Feb 26 | Southwell (AW) | Open: 10/1 → Final: 14/1 | SP: 14/1 | Fin: 4
Price change: 31.9% • -2.55 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
12/1 13 decimal Midnite
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 10/1
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Course record of 1/5 at Southwell (AW). The average SP at this course is 9.9 and today's market has the horse trading 27% bigger than usual.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Edward Smyth-Osbourne
Jockey: Ashley Lewis(3)
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
07:51Southwell (AW)
Opened 14/1Market avg 25/1
22/1 ↑ 25/1 ↑ 28/1 ↓ 22/1 ↑ 28/1 ↑ 28/1 ↓ 28/1 ↓ 25/1 ↓ 22/1 ↑ 28/1
PRICE MOVE
-2.99pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 81.1% • -2.99 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
28/1 31 decimal 7Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 25/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Southwell (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
08:26Southwell (AW) • 1m3f24y • Class 2
13 runners
LIMITED DATA — 1 SIMILAR RUNThis is one previous example only. It is an early clue, not a proven repeat pattern.

Trainer: Simon & Ed Crisford
Jockey: Oisin Orr
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: 7/1 → 7/1 | Avg: 7/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening, but similar moves have not converted well before.
08:26Southwell (AW)
Opened 9/2Market avg 10/3
7/2 ↓ 10/3 → 10/3 ↑ 7/2 → 7/2 ↓ 10/3 → 10/3 → 10/3 ↑ 7/2 ↓ 10/3
PRICE MOVE
+4.67pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Limited data: 1 similar run only.
Price change: 20.4% • +4.67 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
7/2 4.5 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have usually held their position.
Possible next price: 10/3
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Roger Varian
Jockey: C Y Ho
⬆ CLASS RISE
Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: 11/4 → 11/4 | Avg: 11/4Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.
08:26Southwell (AW)
Opened 7/2Market avg 7/2
7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 ↑ 5/1 ↓ 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2
PRICE MOVE
-0.67pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 3.1% • -0.67 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
5/1 6 decimal BetMGM
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 7/2
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: John & Thady Gosden
Jockey: Robert Havlin
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
08:26Southwell (AW)
Opened 3/1Market avg 4/1
7/2 ↑ 4/1 → 4/1 ↑ 7/1 ↓ 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 ↓ 7/2 ↑ 4/1
PRICE MOVE
-5.52pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 28.3% • -5.52 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
7/1 8 decimal BetMGM
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 4/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Hamad Al Jehani
Jockey: James Doyle
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
08:26Southwell (AW)
Opened 12/1Market avg 13/2
13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 ↓ 9/2 ↑ 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2
PRICE MOVE
+5.82pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 43.1% • +5.82 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
7/1 8 decimal Ladbrokes
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 13/2
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: George Boughey
Jockey: Jack Callan
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
08:26Southwell (AW)
Opened 13/2Market avg 7/1
15/2 ↓ 7/1 → 7/1 ↓ 13/2 ↑ 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 ↑ 15/2 → 15/2
PRICE MOVE
-1.06pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 8.7% • -1.06 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
8/1 9 decimal Betfred
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 8/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🟢 Needs Support (31%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

Trainer: Liam Bailey
Jockey: Luke Morris
⬆ CLASS RISE
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 4/5 → 11/4 | Avg: 6/4Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
This horse is usually backed but is drifting today. That change is a warning sign.
Early money horse (100%)
08:26Southwell (AW)
Opened 7/1Market avg 11/1
11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 ↑ 12/1 ↓ 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1
PRICE MOVE
-4.26pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 51.7% • -4.26 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
12/1 13 decimal BetMGM
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (strong)
Possible next price: 11/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
LIMITED DATA — 1 SIMILAR RUNThis is one previous example only. It is an early clue, not a proven repeat pattern.
⚠️ Signal fading — move now below trigger

Trainer: Charlie Johnston
Jockey: Andrew Mullen
⬆ CLASS RISE
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 11/1 → 11/1 | Avg: 11/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Late money horse (50%)
08:26Southwell (AW)
Opened 8/1Market avg 14/1
12/1 ↑ 16/1 ↓ 14/1 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 16/1 ↓ 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 ↓ 12/1 ↑ 14/1
PRICE MOVE
-4.23pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Limited data: 1 similar run only.
When drifting like this: failed 3/3Historical Drift Profile

17 Jul 26 | Newbury | Open: 9/2 → Final: 10/1 | SP: 9/1 | Fin: 4
04 Jul 26 | Sandown | Open: 12/1 → Final: 18/1 | SP: 16/1 | Fin: 7
12 Jun 26 | York | Open: 12/1 → Final: 33/1 | SP: 28/1 | Fin: 13
Price change: 61.5% • -4.23 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
16/1 17 decimal BestOdds
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This matches its usual pattern; support has often arrived later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 14/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Tim Easterby
Jockey: Duran Fentiman
⬆ CLASS RISE
Runs: 8 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening, but similar moves have not converted well before.
Early money horse (38%)
08:26Southwell (AW)
Opened 18/1Market avg 14/1
16/1 ↓ 14/1 → 14/1 ↓ 9/1 ↑ 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 ↑ 16/1 → 16/1 ↓ 14/1
PRICE MOVE
+1.49pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Limited data: 1 similar run only. Not a proven betting pattern.
Price change: 22.1% • +1.49 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
16/1 17 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.
Possible next price: 14/1
8 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
LIMITED DATA — 1 SIMILAR RUNThis is one previous example only. It is an early clue, not a proven repeat pattern.

Trainer: Michael Bell
Jockey: Jason Hart
⬆ CLASS RISE
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: 4/1 → 4/1 | Avg: 4/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Strong bookmaker support, backed up by a good historical record.
Early money horse (33%)
08:26Southwell (AW)
Opened 22/1Market avg 16/1
14/1 ↑ 16/1 → 16/1 ↑ 33/1 ↓ 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 ↓ 14/1 ↑ 16/1
PRICE MOVE
+1.26pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Limited data: 1 similar run only.
Price change: 22.5% • +1.26 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
33/1 34 decimal BetMGM
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 16/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Chris Dwyer
Jockey: Silvestre De Sousa
⬆ CLASS RISE
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 6/5 → 13/2 | Avg: 4/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
This horse is usually backed but is drifting today. That change is a warning sign.
Early money horse (60%)
08:26Southwell (AW)
Opened 8/1Market avg 22/1
22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1 ↓ 18/1 ↑ 22/1 ↓ 20/1 ↑ 22/1 ↑ 25/1 ↓ 22/1 → 22/1
PRICE MOVE
-6.77pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 155.9% • -6.77 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
25/1 26 decimal Midnite
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (strong)
Possible next price: 25/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Southwell (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: John Butler
Jockey: Connor Beasley
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
08:26Southwell (AW)
Opened 16/1Market avg 40/1
50/1 ↓ 40/1 → 40/1 ↓ 20/1 ↑ 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 ↑ 50/1 ↓ 40/1
PRICE MOVE
-3.37pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 134.5% • -3.37 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
50/1 51 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 40/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Daniel & Claire Kubler
Jockey: Ebrahim Nader
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
08:26Southwell (AW)
Opened 33/1Market avg 50/1
66/1 ↓ 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 ↑ 66/1 ↓ 50/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.06pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 56.3% • -1.06 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
66/1 67 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 50/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
08:26 Southwell (AW) King's Code NR @ 12:15
Last fixed odds: 11/1
09:00Southwell (AW) • 1m3f24y • Class 6
13 runners

Trainer: Sir Mark Prescott Bt
Jockey: Luke Morris
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening, but similar moves have not converted well before.
Early money horse (67%)
09:00Southwell (AW)
Opened 4/1Market avg 10/3
7/2 ↓ 10/3 ↓ 3/1 ↑ 9/2 ↓ 3/1 ↑ 10/3 ↓ 3/1 ↑ 10/3 ↑ 7/2 ↓ 3/1
PRICE MOVE
+3.69pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Limited data: 1 similar run only. Not a proven betting pattern.
Price change: 15.6% • +3.69 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/2 5.5 decimal BetMGM
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (strong)
Possible next price: 11/4
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Patrick Morris
Jockey: David Nolan
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 15 | Fixed-odds range: 11/4 → 10/1 | Avg: 7/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening, but similar moves have not converted well before.
Early money horse (40%)
09:00Southwell (AW)
Opened 9/2Market avg 4/1
9/2 ↓ 4/1 → 4/1 ↓ 11/4 ↑ 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 ↑ 9/2 ↓ 4/1
PRICE MOVE
+2.09pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
0/4 placed when backed like this (0%).
Price change: 10.3% • +2.09 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/2 5.5 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
Possible next price: 4/1
15 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Southwell (AW). Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
REPEAT WINNER SIGNAL
TURF PROFILE
Triggered at 10:11
Now 29.8% shorter than the trigger move

This horse has previously delivered under similar market conditions, but the live terminal is live and the move may have faded out - confirmed signals are on the 10am and 1pm page.

Trainer: Tim Easterby
Jockey: David Allan
⬇ CLASS DROP
Runs: 9 | Fixed-odds range: 2/1 → 8/1 | Avg: 5/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Early money horse (22%)
Late move vs early profile
09:00Southwell (AW)
Opened 8/1Market avg 9/2
4/1 ↑ 9/2 → 9/2 ↑ 8/1 ↓ 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 ↓ 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1
PRICE MOVE
+7.35pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
100% repeat place strike (2 qualifying runs)
Repeat pattern record: 2/2 placed • 0/2 won
Price change: 39.8% • +7.35 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
8/1 9 decimal BetMGM
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 7/2
9 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟢 Needs Support (8%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

Trainer: Nick Scholfield
Jockey: Daniel Muscutt
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: 6/4 → 9/2 | Avg: 3/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
This horse is usually backed but is drifting today. That change is a warning sign.
Early money horse (67%)
09:00Southwell (AW)
Opened 11/4Market avg 13/2
13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 ↓ 10/3 ↑ 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2
PRICE MOVE
-12.95pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 94.4% • -12.95 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
7/1 8 decimal Betfred
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (strong)
Possible next price: 13/2
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Iain Jardine
Jockey: Andrew Mullen
⬇ CLASS DROP
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 25/1 → 25/1 | Avg: 25/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Late money horse (60%)
09:00Southwell (AW)
Opened 9/1Market avg 9/1
17/2 ↑ 9/1 ↓ 17/2 ↑ 14/1 ↓ 17/2 ↑ 9/1 ↓ 17/2 → 17/2 → 17/2 → 17/2
PRICE MOVE
+0.10pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 1% • +0.10 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
14/1 15 decimal BetMGM
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This early support is unusual; the price has often drifted again later. (strong)
Possible next price: 8/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Joey Ramsden
Jockey: Jason Hart
⬇ CLASS DROP
Runs: 12 | Fixed-odds range: 5/4 → 13/2 | Avg: 3/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening, but similar moves have not converted well before.
Early money horse (33%)
09:00Southwell (AW)
Opened 12/1Market avg 9/1
9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 ↑ 11/1 ↓ 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1
PRICE MOVE
+2.13pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Limited data: 1 similar run only. Not a proven betting pattern.
Price change: 21.7% • +2.13 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
11/1 12 decimal BetMGM
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have usually held or strengthened.
Possible next price: 9/1
12 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Course record of 1/4 at Southwell (AW). The average SP at this course is 8.6 and today's market has the horse trading 19% bigger than usual.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Grant Tuer
Jockey: Oliver Stammers
⬇ CLASS DROP
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
09:00Southwell (AW)
Opened 16/1Market avg 10/1
8/1 ↑ 17/2 ↑ 9/1 ↑ 20/1 ↓ 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 ↓ 17/2 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 9/1
PRICE MOVE
+3.52pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 37.5% • +3.52 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
22/1 23 decimal Grosvenor Sports
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.
Possible next price: 9/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🔴 Ignores MarketThis horse has won or placed despite drifting. Market weakness does NOT negatively impact performance. Can be a value angle when price weakens.

Trainer: Sara Ender
Jockey: Jonny Peate
⬇ CLASS DROP
Runs: 9 | Fixed-odds range: 6/1 → 20/1 | Avg: 12/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Late money horse (33%)
09:00Southwell (AW)
Opened 9/4Market avg 12/1
14/1 ↓ 12/1 → 12/1 ↓ 15/2 ↑ 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 ↑ 14/1 ↓ 12/1
PRICE MOVE
-23.04pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 297.9% • -23.04 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
14/1 15 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 12/1
9 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Course evidence at Southwell (AW) stands at 1 placed effort from 3 runs. Today's market is 60% shorter than usual compared with a long-term course average SP of 32.0.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: John Mackie
Jockey: Connor Beasley
⬇ CLASS DROP
Runs: 8 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening, but similar moves have not converted well before.
Early money horse (50%)
09:00Southwell (AW)
Opened 18/1Market avg 16/1
16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 ↓ 14/1 ↑ 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.64pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Limited data: 1 similar run only. Not a proven betting pattern.
Price change: 10.9% • +0.64 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
18/1 19 decimal Betfred
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
Possible next price: 16/1
8 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Faye Bramley
Jockey: Tom Eaves
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Early money horse (67%)
09:00Southwell (AW)
Opened 8/1Market avg 28/1
25/1 ↑ 28/1 → 28/1 ↑ 33/1 ↓ 28/1 ↑ 28/1 ↓ 28/1 ↓ 22/1 ↑ 25/1 ↑ 28/1
PRICE MOVE
-7.60pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 216.7% • -7.60 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
33/1 34 decimal BetMGM
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (strong)
Possible next price: 25/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Patrick Morris
Jockey: James Sullivan
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Early money horse (20%)
09:00Southwell (AW)
Opened 33/1Market avg 80/1
80/1 → 80/1 → 80/1 ↓ 66/1 ↑ 80/1 → 80/1 → 80/1 ↓ 66/1 ↑ 80/1 → 80/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.68pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 132.6% • -1.68 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
100/1 101 decimal Betfred
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 80/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
09:00 Southwell (AW) Meet Me In Meraki NR @ 12:15
Last fixed odds: 15/2
09:00 Southwell (AW) Blackwaterfoot NR @ 10:14
Last fixed odds: 25/1
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