MARKET FORM® By DC Network
Horse Racing Market Data.
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Live Horse Racing Market Movement | DC Network
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Repeat Winning Market Behaviour.

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LIVE MARKET PRESSURE ⓘ
Updated: 21:08 • LIVE
🔥 BEST BACKED
Shaman Champion
05:30 Southwell (AW)
+53.3% (15.000 → 7.000)
Strongest market support today
♻️ REPEAT SIGNAL
Glenna
02:30 Southwell (AW)
100% repeat strike (2 runs)
⭐ STRONG FAV
Humphrey
03:00 Southwell (AW)
+11.1% (2.250 → 2.000)
Strong favourite being backed
⚠️ WEAK FAV
Desert Belle
02:30 Southwell (AW)
-33.3% (3.000 → 3.750)
Market weakness — confidence dropping
STRONGEST SUPPORT: Shaman Champion (53.3%) 05:30 Southwell (AW)    WEAK FAVOURITE: Roosike (-366.7%) 04:30 Southwell (AW) | 4.500 21.000    ⚡ HORSES ARE BEING BACKED IN THE SAME WAY AS A PREVIOUS WIN!     ⚠️ EMERGING SET UP AND REPEAT WINNER SIGNALS SHOULD BE TAKEN SERIOUSLY     ⭐ LIVE TERMINAL NOW ORDERED BY RACE FAVOURITE                                                                                                                              
Runners Today
99
Shown After Filters
99
Active Signals (15%+)
83
Live Alerts
71
LIVE ALERTS
Flash Kozo Heavy sustained support (50%)
Limited data (2 runs)
Alert: 21:08 | Race: 02:30 Southwell (AW) | Open 9.000 - Now 4.500
Storm Free Heavy sustained support (50%)
Limited data (1 run)
Alert: 21:08 | Race: 05:00 Southwell (AW) | Open 6.500 - Now 3.250
Shaman Champion Heavy sustained support (53.3%)Alert: 21:08 | Race: 05:30 Southwell (AW) | Open 15.000 - Now 7.000
Ziggy's Avenger Heavy sustained support (52.6%)
Limited data (1 run)
Alert: 21:08 | Race: 03:30 Southwell (AW) | Open 19.000 - Now 7.000
Padua Heavy sustained support (50%)Alert: 21:08 | Race: 05:30 Southwell (AW) | Open 13.000 - Now 6.500
Full Meeting View →
AyrGalwayRiponSouthwell (AW)Windsor
ALLBACKED 💰DRIFTERS
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Horse / Race
Market Pressure ?General consensus market price used for signals and pressure detection — not the best bookmaker price.
Move
Signal
Best Price
Expected Move
Timing / Momentum
02:30Southwell (AW) • 1m6f21y • Class 5
9 runners
Market Intelligence
Strongest support: Flash Kozo (50%)
Weakest in market: Wave Power (-285.7%)
🟢 Needs Support (14%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.
REPEAT WINNER SIGNAL
TURF PROFILE
Triggered at 07:43
Now 3.6% bigger than the trigger move

This horse has previously delivered under similar market conditions, but the live terminal is live and the move may have faded out - confirmed signals are on the 10am and 1pm page.
⚠️ Signal fading — move now below trigger

Trainer: Tom Ward
Jockey: Sean Levey
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 4 | Range: 3.00 → 10.00 | Avg: 6.50Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Positive move market interest building, monitor closely
Early money horse (75%)
02:30Southwell (AW)
Open 4.200 - Now 3.400
3.25 → 3.25 → 3.25 → 3.25 → 3.25 → 3.25 ↓ 3 ↑ 3.25 → 3.25 → 3.25
19%
100% repeat place strike (2 qualifying runs)
Repeat pattern record: 2/2 placed • 1/2 won
When backed like this: 0/2 WON
Abs move: +19% (+5.6pp)
STEAM
3.400
Early money profile — likely to continue strengthening (strong)
📊 Momentum Projection → 3.25
4 runs (Market Form)
Best time: Open was biggest
Weakening late
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Sir Mark Prescott Bt
Jockey: Luke Morris
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 5 | Range: 2.38 → 3.75 | Avg: 2.96Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Significant drift market is against this horse
Early money horse (60%)
02:30Southwell (AW)
Open 3.000 - Now 3.750
3.75 ↓ 3.25 ↑ 3.75 → 3.75 → 3.75 ↓ 3.5 → 3.5 ↑ 3.75 → 3.75 ↓ 3.5
-33.3%
Abs move: +33.3% (-6.67pp)
DRIFT
4.000
Against early profile — may recover later (strong)
📊 Momentum Projection → 3.5
5 runs (Market Form)
📊 Course Market Form
Course evidence at Southwell (AW) stands at 1 placed effort from 1 run. Today's market is 60% bigger than usual compared with a long-term course average SP of 2.5.
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
Flash Kozo🚨 STABLE INTENT GAMBLE TARGET | STABLE SR: 45.5%

Trainer: Harry Eustace
Jockey: Kaiya Fraser
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 4 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Positive move but historically weak — market confidence questionable
Early money horse (50%)
Late move vs early profile
02:30Southwell (AW)
Open 9.000 - Now 4.500
4 → 4 → 4 ↑ 4.33 ↓ 4 ↑ 4.33 → 4.33 → 4.33 → 4.33 ↓ 4
50%
0% place strike (2 runs)
0/2 placed when backed like this
When backed like this: 0/2 WON
Abs move: +50% (+11.11pp)
Built 07:18 → 07:18
STEAM
4.500
Early money profile — likely to continue strengthening (moderate)
📊 Momentum Projection → 3.7
4 runs (Market Form)
📊 Course Market Form
This horse is 0/2 at Southwell (AW) on our records. Today's market is close to its historical average against an average course SP of 4.1.
Best time: Open was biggest
Weakening late

Trainer: Peter Chapple-Hyam
Jockey: Billy Loughnane
⬆ CLASS RISE
Runs: 3 | Range: 4.33 → 4.33 | Avg: 4.33Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Weak and typically weak market confidence is low, hard to support
Early money horse (33%)
02:30Southwell (AW)
Open 4.330 - Now 8.500
7.5 ↓ 6 ↑ 7.5 → 7.5 ↑ 8 → 8 → 8 → 8 → 8 ↑ 8.5
-96.3%
Abs move: +96.3% (-11.33pp)
DRIFT
8.500
Historically strong follow-through
📊 Momentum Projection → 9.03
3 runs (Market Form)
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late

Trainer: David Menuisier
Jockey: Robert Havlin
⬇ CLASS DROP
Runs: 3 | Range: 81.00 → 81.00 | Avg: 81.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Weak and typically weak market confidence is low, hard to support
Mid-market mover (33%)
02:30Southwell (AW)
Open 6.000 - Now 14.000
9 ↓ 7.5 ↑ 9 → 9 ↑ 9.5 ↓ 9 → 9 ↑ 9.5 → 9.5 ↑ 12
-133.3%
Abs move: +133.3% (-9.52pp)
DRIFT
14.000
Holds position historically
📊 Momentum Projection → 16
3 runs (Market Form)
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late

Trainer: Mike Murphy
Jockey: Kieran O'Neill
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 5 | Range: 4.00 → 4.00 | Avg: 4.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Weak and typically weak market confidence is low, hard to support
Mid-market mover (40%)
02:30Southwell (AW)
Open 17.000 - Now 21.000
17 ↓ 12 ↑ 17 → 17 → 17 → 17 ↓ 15 ↑ 17 → 17 ↑ 19
-23.5%
Abs move: +23.5% (-1.12pp)
DRIFT
21.000
Mid-market mover — likely to fluctuate (moderate)
📊 Momentum Projection → 21.24
5 runs (Market Form)
📊 Course Market Form
This horse is 0/2 at Southwell (AW) on our records. Today's market is 42% bigger than usual against an average course SP of 14.8.
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
🔴 Ignores MarketThis horse has won or placed despite drifting. Market weakness does NOT negatively impact performance. Can be a value angle when price weakens.

Trainer: Sara Ender
Jockey: Jonny Peate
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 8 | Range: 7.00 → 21.00 | Avg: 14.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Weak and typically weak market confidence is low, hard to support
Late money horse (38%)
02:30Southwell (AW)
Open 15.000 - Now 26.000
26 ↓ 19 ↑ 26 ↑ 29 → 29 ↓ 23 ↑ 29 → 29 → 29 → 29
-93.3%
When drifting like this: failed 5/6Historical Drift Profile

27 Jun 26 | Newcastle (AW) | Open: 6 → Final: 10 | SP: 11.00 | Fin: 8
21 May 26 | Southwell (AW) | Open: 10 → Final: 21 | SP: 21.00 | Fin: 1
16 May 26 | Doncaster | Open: 9 → Final: 12 | SP: 12.00 | Fin: 4
26 Apr 26 | Nottingham | Open: 11 → Final: 17 | SP: 17.00 | Fin: 4
28 Mar 26 | Doncaster | Open: 34 → Final: 51 | SP: 51.00 | Fin: 6
Abs move: +93.3% (-2.82pp)
DRIFT
29.000
N/A
📊 Momentum Projection → 36.57
8 runs (Market Form)
📊 Course Market Form
Course record of 1/2 at Southwell (AW). The average SP at this course is 31.0 and today's market has the horse trading close to its historical average.
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late

Trainer: Tim Easterby
Jockey: Sean Kirrane
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 2 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Weak and typically weak market confidence is low, hard to support
02:30Southwell (AW)
Open 29.000 - Now 41.000
34 ↓ 26 ↑ 41 ↓ 34 ↑ 41 ↓ 34 ↑ 41 → 41 → 41 → 41
-41.4%
Abs move: +41.4% (-1.01pp)
DRIFT
41.000
N/A
📊 Momentum Projection → 49.44
No historical data
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late

Trainer: Liam Bailey
Jockey: Ray Dawson
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 2 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Weak and typically weak market confidence is low, hard to support
02:30Southwell (AW)
Open 21.000 - Now 67.000
67 ↓ 41 ↑ 67 ↑ 81 ↓ 67 → 67 ↓ 51 ↑ 67 → 67 ↑ 81
-285.7%
Abs move: +285.7% (-3.27pp)
DRIFT
81.000
N/A
📊 Momentum Projection → 97.93
No historical data
📊 Course Market Form
Course evidence at Southwell (AW) is limited (1 runs without making the frame). Today's market is 98% bigger than usual against an average course SP profile of 41.0.
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
03:00Southwell (AW) • 1m4f14y • Class 3
14 runners

Trainer: John & Thady Gosden
Jockey: Robert Havlin
⬇ CLASS DROP
Runs: 1 | Range: 1.67 → 1.67 | Avg: 1.67Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Positive move market interest building, monitor closely
03:00Southwell (AW)
Open 2.250 - Now 2.000
1.8 ↑ 1.83 → 1.83 ↑ 1.91 → 1.91 ↓ 1.83 ↑ 1.91 → 1.91 ↓ 1.83 ↓ 1.73
11.1%
Abs move: +11.1% (+5.56pp)
Built 00:03 → 07:10
N/A
2.000
Historically strong follow-through
📊 Momentum Projection → 1.64
No historical data
Best time: Open was biggest
Weakening late
Kokbastau🚨 STABLE INTENT GAMBLE TARGET | STABLE SR: 39.2%

Trainer: Roger Varian
Jockey: Ray Dawson
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 1 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
🟢🟢 STRONG EARLY MONEY ANGLE
When horses priced 3–6 shorten 30–40% early → profitable at SP
Historically profitable behaviour
1092 Runs • 33.2% Wins • 1.6% ROI (SP)
WATCH
No strong market signal
03:00Southwell (AW)
Open 5.000 - Now 4.500
4.5 ↓ 4 ↑ 4.5 → 4.5 ↑ 5 ↓ 4 → 4 ↑ 5 ↓ 4.33 ↑ 5
0%
Abs move: +0% (+2.22pp)
N/A
5.000
Weak historical follow-through
📊 Momentum Projection → 6.25
No historical data
Best time: Open was biggest
Weakening late

Trainer: William Haggas
Jockey: Tom Marquand
Runs: 0 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
03:00Southwell (AW)
Open 7.000 - Now 7.000
6.5 ↓ 5 ↑ 6 ↑ 7 ↓ 6.5 → 6.5 ↑ 7 ↓ 6.5 → 6.5 → 6.5
0%
Abs move: +0% (+0pp)
N/A
7.000
N/A
📊 Momentum Projection → 6.5
No historical data
Best time: Open was biggest
Weakening late

Trainer: Andrew Balding
Jockey: P J McDonald
⬆ CLASS RISE
Runs: 2 | Range: 12.00 → 12.00 | Avg: 12.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Significant drift market is against this horse
03:00Southwell (AW)
Open 9.000 - Now 14.000
10 ↓ 7.5 ↑ 10 ↑ 11 → 11 ↓ 10 ↑ 11 → 11 ↓ 9.5 ↑ 11
-55.6%
Abs move: +55.6% (-3.97pp)
DRIFT
14.000
Historically strong follow-through
📊 Momentum Projection → 12.1
No historical data
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
EMERGING REPEAT SETUPOnly one historical match so far.

Early signs of a repeatable pattern, but limited sample.
⚠️ Signal fading — move now below trigger

Trainer: K. R. Burke
Jockey: Sam James
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 2 | Range: 2.50 → 5.50 | Avg: 4.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Significant drift market is against this horse
03:00Southwell (AW)
Open 8.000 - Now 17.000
13 ↓ 9.5 ↑ 13 ↑ 15 ↓ 13 → 13 ↓ 12 ↑ 13 → 13 ↑ 15
-112.5%
100% repeat place strike (1 qualifying runs)
Repeat pattern record: 1/1 placed • 0/1 won
Abs move: +112.5% (-6.62pp)
DRIFT
17.000
Historically strong follow-through
📊 Momentum Projection → 17.31
No historical data
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late

Trainer: John & Thady Gosden
Jockey: Kieran O'Neill
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 1 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Weak and typically weak market confidence is low, hard to support
03:00Southwell (AW)
Open 11.000 - Now 26.000
26 ↓ 21 ↑ 29 ↓ 23 → 23 ↓ 21 ↓ 19 ↑ 23 ↑ 29 ↓ 23
-163.6%
Abs move: +163.6% (-5.24pp)
DRIFT
29.000
Weak historical follow-through
📊 Momentum Projection → 25.19
No historical data
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late

Trainer: Patrick Neville
Jockey: Julian Pietropaolo(7)
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 1 | Range: 2.63 → 2.63 | Avg: 2.63Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Significant drift market is against this horse
03:00Southwell (AW)
Open 9.500 - Now 34.000
23 ↓ 15 ↑ 23 ↑ 26 ↓ 23 → 23 ↓ 21 ↑ 23 ↑ 26 → 26
-257.9%
Abs move: +257.9% (-7.59pp)
DRIFT
34.000
Historically strong follow-through
📊 Momentum Projection → 29.39
No historical data
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late

Trainer: James Owen
Jockey: Luke Morris
⬆ CLASS RISE
Runs: 1 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Weak today but usually backed negative signal, something may be wrong
03:00Southwell (AW)
Open 19.000 - Now 34.000
23 ↓ 15 ↑ 23 ↑ 26 ↓ 23 → 23 ↓ 21 ↑ 23 → 23 ↑ 26
-78.9%
Abs move: +78.9% (-2.32pp)
DRIFT
34.000
N/A
📊 Momentum Projection → 29.39
No historical data
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late

Trainer: Ralph Beckett
Jockey: Hector Crouch
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 2 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Significant drift market is against this horse
03:00Southwell (AW)
Open 15.000 - Now 71.000
34 ↓ 23 ↑ 34 ↑ 41 → 41 ↓ 34 ↓ 29 ↑ 34 → 34 ↑ 41
-373.3%
Abs move: +373.3% (-5.26pp)
DRIFT
71.000
Weak historical follow-through
📊 Momentum Projection → 49.44
No historical data
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late

Trainer: David Menuisier
Jockey: Jack Doughty
⬆ CLASS RISE
Runs: 1 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Weak and typically weak market confidence is low, hard to support
LAST MINUTE BACKING (16.6%)
03:00Southwell (AW)
Open 51.000 - Now 201.000
151 → 151 ↑ 201 ↓ 151 ↑ 201 ↑ 251 ↓ 151 ↓ 101 ↑ 126 → 126
-392.2%
Abs move: +392.2% (-1.46pp)
DRIFT
251.000
N/A
📊 Momentum Projection → 63.25
No historical data
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late

Trainer: Edward Smyth-Osbourne
Jockey: Georgia Dobie
Runs: 0 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
03:00Southwell (AW)
Open 46.000 - Now 401.000
201 ↓ 101 ↑ 201 ↑ 251 ↑ 401 ↓ 201 → 201 → 201 ↑ 251 → 251
-771.7%
Abs move: +771.7% (-1.92pp)
DRIFT
401.000
N/A
📊 Momentum Projection → 313.44
No historical data
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late

Trainer: Nick Littmoden
Jockey: Jonny Peate
⬆ CLASS RISE
Runs: 2 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Significant drift market is against this horse
03:00Southwell (AW)
Open 61.000 - Now 401.000
151 ↓ 101 ↑ 201 → 201 → 201 → 201 ↓ 151 ↑ 201 ↓ 151 ↑ 201
-557.4%
Abs move: +557.4% (-1.39pp)
DRIFT
401.000
Weak historical follow-through
📊 Momentum Projection → 201
No historical data
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late

Trainer: Kevin & Lauren Frost
Jockey: William Pyle
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 1 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Weak today but usually backed negative signal, something may be wrong
03:00Southwell (AW)
Open 61.000 - Now 401.000
126 ↓ 81 ↑ 151 → 151 → 151 → 151 → 151 → 151 → 151 ↑ 201
-557.4%
Abs move: +557.4% (-1.39pp)
DRIFT
401.000
Weak historical follow-through
📊 Momentum Projection → 267.56
No historical data
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late

Trainer: Jack Jones
Jockey: Ross Coakley
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 3 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Weak and typically weak market confidence is low, hard to support
Early money horse (33%)
03:00Southwell (AW)
Open 71.000 - Now 401.000
201 ↓ 126 ↑ 251 → 251 ↓ 201 → 201 ↑ 251 ↓ 201 ↑ 251 ↑ 301
-464.8%
Abs move: +464.8% (-1.16pp)
DRIFT
401.000
Weak historical follow-through
📊 Momentum Projection → 450.75
3 runs (Market Form)
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
03:30Southwell (AW) • 1m3f23y • Class 5
14 runners

Trainer: Sir Mark Prescott Bt
Jockey: Luke Morris
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 1 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No strong market signal
03:30Southwell (AW)
Open 2.880 - Now 2.620
2.63 ↓ 2.5 ↓ 2.38 ↑ 2.5 ↓ 2.38 ↑ 2.63 ↓ 2.38 ↑ 2.5 ↑ 2.63 ↓ 2.38
8.7%
Abs move: +8.7% (+3.45pp)
Built 09:19 → 09:19
N/A
2.630
Weak historical follow-through
📊 Momentum Projection → 2.15
No historical data
Best time: Open was biggest
Weakening late
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
EMERGING REPEAT SETUPOnly one historical match so far.

Early signs of a repeatable pattern, but limited sample.
⚠️ Signal fading — move now below trigger

Trainer: Hugo Palmer
Jockey: Kevin Stott
⬆ CLASS RISE
Runs: 3 | Range: 2.10 → 10.00 | Avg: 6.05Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Weak and typically weak market confidence is low, hard to support
Early money horse (33%)
03:30Southwell (AW)
Open 5.500 - Now 6.500
6 ↑ 6.5 ↓ 5.5 ↑ 6.5 ↑ 7 → 7 ↓ 6.5 → 6.5 ↑ 7 ↓ 6.5
-27.3%
100% repeat place strike (1 qualifying runs)
Repeat pattern record: 1/1 placed • 1/1 won
Abs move: +27.3% (-2.8pp)
DRIFT
7.000
Historically strong follow-through
📊 Momentum Projection → 6.04
3 runs (Market Form)
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
Ziggy's Avenger🚨 STABLE INTENT GAMBLE TARGET | STABLE SR: 26.3%

Trainer: Michael Bell
Jockey: Hector Crouch
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 5 | Range: 3.50 → 3.50 | Avg: 3.50Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Positive move but historically weak — market confidence questionable
Early money horse (40%)
Late move vs early profile
03:30Southwell (AW)
Open 19.000 - Now 7.000
8 ↑ 8.5 ↓ 6.5 ↑ 8.5 ↓ 8 ↓ 7 ↑ 7.5 ↓ 7 → 7 → 7
52.6%
0% place strike (1 runs)
0/1 placed when backed like this
Abs move: +52.6% (+9.02pp)
Built 15:27 → 15:27
STEAM
9.000
Early money profile — likely to continue strengthening (moderate)
📊 Momentum Projection → 7
5 runs (Market Form)
📊 Course Market Form
Course evidence at Southwell (AW) is limited (1 runs without making the frame). Today's market is 91% shorter than usual against an average course SP profile of 101.0.
Best time: Open was biggest
Weakening late

Trainer: Warren Greatrex
Jockey: Edward Greatrex
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 1 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Weakening not attracting support
03:30Southwell (AW)
Open 9.000 - Now 10.000
9 → 9 ↓ 8 ↑ 8.5 ↑ 9.5 ↑ 10 ↓ 9 ↓ 8 ↑ 10 ↓ 9
-11.1%
Abs move: +11.1% (-1.11pp)
N/A
10.000
N/A
📊 Momentum Projection → 8.1
No historical data
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late

Trainer: Richard & Peter Fahey
Jockey: Oisin Orr
⬇ CLASS DROP
Runs: 3 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Weak and typically weak market confidence is low, hard to support
Late money horse (33%)
03:30Southwell (AW)
Open 6.500 - Now 14.000
11 → 11 ↓ 9.5 ↑ 10 ↑ 13 ↓ 12 ↓ 11 ↑ 12 → 12 ↓ 11
-115.4%
Abs move: +115.4% (-8.24pp)
DRIFT
14.000
Weak historical follow-through
📊 Momentum Projection → 10.08
3 runs (Market Form)
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late

Trainer: Tom Ward
Jockey: Sean Levey
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 2 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Significant drift market is against this horse
03:30Southwell (AW)
Open 10.000 - Now 15.000
15 ↓ 13 ↓ 11 ↑ 13 ↑ 15 → 15 → 15 ↓ 13 ↑ 15 → 15
-50%
Abs move: +50% (-3.33pp)
DRIFT
15.000
Weak historical follow-through
📊 Momentum Projection → 15
No historical data
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late

Trainer: Edward Bethell
Jockey: Billy Loughnane
⬇ CLASS DROP
Runs: 2 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Weak and typically weak market confidence is low, hard to support
03:30Southwell (AW)
Open 8.500 - Now 19.000
11 → 11 ↓ 9.5 ↑ 11 → 11 ↑ 12 → 12 → 12 → 12 → 12
-123.5%
Abs move: +123.5% (-6.5pp)
DRIFT
19.000
N/A
📊 Momentum Projection → 12
No historical data
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late

Trainer: Hughie Morrison
Jockey: Tom Marquand
⬇ CLASS DROP
Runs: 3 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Weak today but usually backed negative signal, something may be wrong
Early money horse (33%)
03:30Southwell (AW)
Open 12.000 - Now 19.000
13 ↓ 12 ↓ 10 ↑ 12 ↑ 13 ↑ 15 ↓ 13 ↓ 12 ↑ 15 ↓ 13
-58.3%
Abs move: +58.3% (-3.07pp)
DRIFT
19.000
Weak historical follow-through
📊 Momentum Projection → 11.27
3 runs (Market Form)
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late

Trainer: Ivan Furtado
Jockey: Silvestre De Sousa
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 5 | Range: 6.00 → 6.00 | Avg: 6.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Significant drift market is against this horse
Mid-market mover (40%)
03:30Southwell (AW)
Open 21.000 - Now 31.000
23 → 23 ↓ 19 ↑ 23 → 23 ↑ 26 → 26 ↓ 23 ↑ 26 ↓ 23
-47.6%
Abs move: +47.6% (-1.54pp)
DRIFT
31.000
Mid-market mover — likely to fluctuate (moderate)
📊 Momentum Projection → 20.35
5 runs (Market Form)
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late

Trainer: Edward Smyth-Osbourne
Jockey: Georgia Dobie
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 2 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Weak today but usually backed negative signal, something may be wrong
03:30Southwell (AW)
Open 26.000 - Now 41.000
19 → 19 → 19 ↓ 17 ↑ 19 ↑ 21 → 21 → 21 → 21 → 21
-57.7%
Abs move: +57.7% (-1.41pp)
DRIFT
41.000
Weak historical follow-through
📊 Momentum Projection → 21
No historical data
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late

Trainer: Hughie Morrison
Jockey: P J McDonald
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 1 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Significant drift market is against this horse
03:30Southwell (AW)
Open 15.000 - Now 56.000
34 → 34 ↓ 26 ↑ 34 → 34 ↑ 41 ↓ 34 → 34 ↑ 41 ↓ 34
-273.3%
Abs move: +273.3% (-4.88pp)
DRIFT
56.000
N/A
📊 Momentum Projection → 28.2
No historical data
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late

Trainer: Simon & Ed Crisford
Jockey: Josephine Gordon
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 4 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Weak and typically weak market confidence is low, hard to support
Early money horse (25%)
03:30Southwell (AW)
Open 15.000 - Now 61.000
26 → 26 ↓ 23 ↑ 29 ↓ 26 ↑ 34 → 34 → 34 → 34 → 34
-306.7%
When drifting like this: failed 4/4Historical Drift Profile

14 Jul 26 | Wolverhampton (AW) | Open: 12 → Final: 41 | SP: 29.00 | Fin: 6
16 Mar 26 | Wolverhampton (AW) | Open: 5.5 → Final: 8 | SP: 9.00 | Fin: 4
17 Feb 26 | Wolverhampton (AW) | Open: 17 → Final: 41 | SP: 41.00 | Fin: 4
19 Jan 26 | Kempton (AW) | Open: 15 → Final: 21 | SP: 19.00 | Fin: 4
Abs move: +306.7% (-5.03pp)
DRIFT
61.000
N/A
📊 Momentum Projection → 34
4 runs (Market Form)
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
Carwyn🚨 STABLE INTENT GAMBLE TARGET | STABLE SR: 6.9%

Trainer: Patrick Morris
Jockey: Donagh Murphy(7)
⬇ CLASS DROP
Runs: 3 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Positive move but historically weak — market confidence questionable
Early money horse (33%)
03:30Southwell (AW)
Open 101.000 - Now 81.000
51 → 51 ↓ 41 ↑ 51 ↓ 41 ↑ 67 → 67 → 67 → 67 → 67
19.8%
0% place strike (1 runs)
0/1 placed when backed like this
Abs move: +19.8% (+0.24pp)
N/A
81.000
Weak historical follow-through
📊 Momentum Projection → 67
3 runs (Market Form)
Best time: Open was biggest
Weakening late

Trainer: David Menuisier
Jockey: Jack Doughty
⬇ CLASS DROP
Runs: 2 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Weak and typically weak market confidence is low, hard to support
LAST MINUTE BACKING (26.4%)
03:30Southwell (AW)
Open 34.000 - Now 91.000
51 → 51 → 51 ↑ 67 ↓ 51 ↑ 67 ↑ 91 ↓ 51 ↑ 67 → 67
-167.6%
Abs move: +167.6% (-1.84pp)
DRIFT
91.000
Weak historical follow-through
📊 Momentum Projection → 67
No historical data
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
04:00Southwell (AW) • 1m0f13y • Class 6
14 runners

Trainer: William Haggas
Jockey: Tom Marquand
⬇ CLASS DROP
Runs: 3 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Weak and typically weak market confidence is low, hard to support
Early money horse (67%)
04:00Southwell (AW)
Open 3.250 - Now 4.500
4 ↓ 3.75 → 3.75 → 3.75 ↑ 4.33 ↓ 4 ↓ 3.75 ↓ 3.5 ↑ 4 ↓ 3.75
-38.5%
Abs move: +38.5% (-8.55pp)
DRIFT
4.500
Against early profile — may recover later (strong)
📊 Momentum Projection → 3.52
3 runs (Market Form)
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late

Trainer: Hughie Morrison
Jockey: Billy Loughnane
⬇ CLASS DROP
Runs: 3 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Weakening not attracting support
Early money horse (33%)
04:00Southwell (AW)
Open 4.500 - Now 4.500
4.5 ↓ 4.33 ↓ 4 ↑ 4.33 → 4.33 ↑ 4.5 → 4.5 → 4.5 → 4.5 → 4.5
-11.1%
Abs move: +11.1% (+0pp)
N/A
5.000
Weak historical follow-through
📊 Momentum Projection → 4.5
3 runs (Market Form)
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late

Trainer: Roger Varian
Jockey: Ray Dawson
⬇ CLASS DROP
Runs: 3 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Weak and typically weak market confidence is low, hard to support
Mid-market mover (33%)
04:00Southwell (AW)
Open 7.000 - Now 9.000
6.5 ↑ 7 ↓ 5.5 ↑ 6.5 ↑ 7 ↑ 8 ↓ 7 → 7 ↑ 8 ↓ 6.5
-28.6%
Abs move: +28.6% (-3.17pp)
DRIFT
9.000
Weak historical follow-through
📊 Momentum Projection → 5.28
3 runs (Market Form)
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late

Trainer: David Menuisier
Jockey: Sean Levey
⬇ CLASS DROP
Runs: 3 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Weakening not attracting support
Early money horse (67%)
04:00Southwell (AW)
Open 7.500 - Now 9.000
7 → 7 → 7 → 7 → 7 ↑ 7.5 ↓ 7 → 7 ↑ 7.5 → 7.5
-20%
Abs move: +20% (-2.22pp)
DRIFT
9.000
Against early profile — may recover later (strong)
📊 Momentum Projection → 7.5
3 runs (Market Form)
📊 Course Market Form
This horse is 0/1 at Southwell (AW) on our records. Today's market is 29% bigger than usual against an average course SP of 7.0.
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late

Trainer: John Mackie
Jockey: P J McDonald
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 7 | Range: 3.25 → 3.25 | Avg: 3.25Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Weakening not attracting support
Late money horse (57%)
04:00Southwell (AW)
Open 7.500 - Now 9.000
7.5 ↑ 8 ↓ 6.5 ↑ 8 ↑ 9 ↓ 8.5 ↓ 8 ↑ 9 ↓ 8.5 ↓ 8
-20%
Abs move: +20% (-2.22pp)
DRIFT
9.000
Typical pattern — likely to strengthen late (moderate)
📊 Momentum Projection → 7.53
7 runs (Market Form)
📊 Course Market Form
This horse is 0/4 at Southwell (AW) on our records. Today's market is 93% shorter than usual against an average course SP of 136.3.
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late

Trainer: Clive Cox
Jockey: Georgia Dobie
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 2 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No strong market signal
04:00Southwell (AW)
Open 10.000 - Now 9.000
9 → 9 ↓ 7.5 ↑ 9 → 9 ↑ 9.5 ↓ 9 → 9 ↑ 9.5 → 9.5
5%
Abs move: +5% (+1.11pp)
N/A
9.500
Weak historical follow-through
📊 Momentum Projection → 9.5
No historical data
Best time: Open was biggest
Weakening late
🟢 Needs Support (12%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

Trainer: Tim Easterby
Jockey: Sean Kirrane
⬇ CLASS DROP
Runs: 7 | Range: 1.83 → 3.00 | Avg: 2.30Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Weak today but usually backed negative signal, something may be wrong
Early money horse (43%)
04:00Southwell (AW)
Open 7.500 - Now 10.000
9 → 9 ↓ 7.5 ↑ 9 ↑ 9.5 → 9.5 ↓ 9 → 9 ↑ 9.5 ↓ 9
-33.3%
Abs move: +33.3% (-3.33pp)
DRIFT
10.000
Against early profile — may recover later (moderate)
📊 Momentum Projection → 8.53
7 runs (Market Form)
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late

Trainer: Ivan Furtado
Jockey: Silvestre De Sousa
⬇ CLASS DROP
Runs: 4 | Range: 5.00 → 5.00 | Avg: 5.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No strong market signal
Late money horse (50%)
04:00Southwell (AW)
Open 23.000 - Now 21.000
23 ↓ 21 → 21 → 21 ↓ 19 ↑ 23 → 23 → 23 → 23 → 23
0%
Abs move: +0% (+0.41pp)
N/A
23.000
Typical pattern — likely to strengthen late (moderate)
📊 Momentum Projection → 23
4 runs (Market Form)
📊 Course Market Form
This horse is 0/2 at Southwell (AW) on our records. Today's market is 56% shorter than usual against an average course SP of 52.7.
Best time: Open was biggest
Weakening late

Trainer: Edward Smyth-Osbourne
Jockey: Alistair Rawlinson
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 1 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Weak and typically weak market confidence is low, hard to support
04:00Southwell (AW)
Open 19.000 - Now 34.000
34 ↓ 29 ↓ 23 ↑ 29 ↑ 34 → 34 → 34 → 34 → 34 → 34
-78.9%
Abs move: +78.9% (-2.32pp)
DRIFT
34.000
N/A
📊 Momentum Projection → 34
No historical data
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late

Trainer: Martin Dunne
Jockey: Luke Morris
Runs: 0 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
04:00Southwell (AW)
Open 21.000 - Now 41.000
34 → 34 ↓ 23 ↑ 34 → 34 → 34 → 34 → 34 → 34 → 34
-95.2%
Abs move: +95.2% (-2.32pp)
DRIFT
41.000
N/A
📊 Momentum Projection → 34
No historical data
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late

Trainer: Stuart Williams
Jockey: Jack Doughty
⬇ CLASS DROP
Runs: 2 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Weak and typically weak market confidence is low, hard to support
04:00Southwell (AW)
Open 17.000 - Now 46.000
34 → 34 ↓ 26 ↑ 34 ↑ 41 → 41 ↓ 34 → 34 ↑ 41 ↓ 34
-200%
Abs move: +200% (-3.71pp)
DRIFT
51.000
N/A
📊 Momentum Projection → 28.2
No historical data
📊 Course Market Form
No placed efforts from 1 previous runs at Southwell (AW). The current market is 325% bigger than usual compared with a typical course SP of 12.0.
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late

Trainer: Tom Dascombe
Jockey: William Cox
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 2 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Weak and typically weak market confidence is low, hard to support
04:00Southwell (AW)
Open 34.000 - Now 56.000
51 ↓ 41 ↓ 34 ↑ 51 → 51 ↓ 41 ↓ 34 ↑ 41 ↓ 34 ↑ 51
-64.7%
Abs move: +64.7% (-1.16pp)
DRIFT
56.000
Weak historical follow-through
📊 Momentum Projection → 63.44
No historical data
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late

Trainer: Steph Hollinshead
Jockey: Dougie Costello
⬇ CLASS DROP
Runs: 3 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Weak and typically weak market confidence is low, hard to support
Early money horse (33%)
04:00Southwell (AW)
Open 41.000 - Now 71.000
67 ↓ 51 ↓ 41 ↑ 51 → 51 ↑ 67 → 67 → 67 → 67 → 67
-73.2%
Abs move: +73.2% (-1.03pp)
DRIFT
71.000
Weak historical follow-through
📊 Momentum Projection → 67
3 runs (Market Form)
📊 Course Market Form
No placed efforts from 2 previous runs at Southwell (AW). The current market is 60% shorter than usual compared with a typical course SP of 176.0.
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
04:00 Southwell (AW) Mehmas Engine NR @ 06:28
Last price: 81.000
04:30Southwell (AW) • 0m7f15y • Class 2
12 runners
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Andrew Balding
Jockey: P J McDonald
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 2 | Range: 2.75 → 15.00 | Avg: 8.88Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Positive move market interest building, monitor closely
04:30Southwell (AW)
Open 1.800 - Now 1.440
1.53 ↓ 1.44 ↑ 1.57 ↓ 1.4 ↑ 1.5 ↑ 1.57 ↓ 1.4 ↑ 1.5 → 1.5 ↑ 1.53
12.8%
Abs move: +12.8% (+13.89pp)
Built 16:22 → 16:22
STEAM
1.570
Historically strong follow-through
📊 Momentum Projection → 1.49
No historical data
Best time: Open was biggest
Weakening late
Bullrider🚨 STABLE INTENT GAMBLE TARGET | STABLE SR: 38.6%

Trainer: George Boughey
Jockey: Billy Loughnane
⬆ CLASS RISE
Runs: 1 | Range: 5.00 → 5.00 | Avg: 5.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
🟢🟢 STRONG EARLY MONEY ANGLE
When horses priced 3–6 shorten 30–40% early → profitable at SP
Historically profitable behaviour
1092 Runs • 33.2% Wins • 1.6% ROI (SP)
WATCH
No strong market signal
04:30Southwell (AW)
Open 3.500 - Now 3.750
2.88 ↓ 2.75 ↓ 2.5 ↑ 2.63 ↑ 3 ↓ 2.88 ↓ 2.75 ↓ 2.63 ↑ 2.88 ↑ 3
-7.1%
Abs move: +7.1% (-1.9pp)
N/A
3.750
N/A
📊 Momentum Projection → 3.13
No historical data
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
EMERGING REPEAT SETUPOnly one historical match so far.

Early signs of a repeatable pattern, but limited sample.
⚠️ Signal fading — move now below trigger

Trainer: Richard Hughes
Jockey: Hector Crouch
⬆ CLASS RISE
Runs: 2 | Range: 4.00 → 4.00 | Avg: 4.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Significant drift market is against this horse
04:30Southwell (AW)
Open 4.500 - Now 21.000
11 → 11 ↓ 9.5 ↑ 10 ↑ 12 ↓ 11 → 11 ↓ 10 ↑ 11 ↑ 12
-366.7%
100% repeat place strike (1 qualifying runs)
Repeat pattern record: 1/1 placed • 0/1 won
Abs move: +366.7% (-17.46pp)
DRIFT
21.000
Historically strong follow-through
📊 Momentum Projection → 13.09
No historical data
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late

Trainer: Michael Bell
Jockey: Ross Coakley
Runs: 0 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
04:30Southwell (AW)
Open 9.000 - Now 41.000
23 → 23 ↓ 17 ↑ 23 ↑ 26 ↓ 23 ↓ 21 → 21 ↑ 23 ↑ 26
-355.6%
Abs move: +355.6% (-8.67pp)
DRIFT
41.000
N/A
📊 Momentum Projection → 29.39
No historical data
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late

Trainer: K. R. Burke
Jockey: Sam James
⬆ CLASS RISE
Runs: 1 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Weak today but usually backed negative signal, something may be wrong
04:30Southwell (AW)
Open 17.000 - Now 81.000
41 ↑ 51 ↓ 34 ↑ 51 → 51 ↓ 41 → 41 ↓ 34 ↑ 41 → 41
-376.5%
Abs move: +376.5% (-4.65pp)
DRIFT
81.000
N/A
📊 Momentum Projection → 41
No historical data
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late

Trainer: Tom Ward
Jockey: Sean Levey
Runs: 0 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
04:30Southwell (AW)
Open 29.000 - Now 81.000
34 ↑ 41 ↓ 34 ↑ 41 ↑ 51 ↓ 41 → 41 ↓ 34 ↑ 41 → 41
-179.3%
Abs move: +179.3% (-2.21pp)
DRIFT
81.000
N/A
📊 Momentum Projection → 41
No historical data
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late

Trainer: Craig Lidster
Jockey: Ben Robinson
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 1 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Significant drift market is against this horse
04:30Southwell (AW)
Open 41.000 - Now 91.000
41 ↑ 51 ↓ 41 ↑ 51 → 51 ↓ 41 → 41 → 41 → 41 ↑ 67
-122%
Abs move: +122% (-1.34pp)
DRIFT
91.000
Weak historical follow-through
📊 Momentum Projection → 109.49
No historical data
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late

Trainer: Ivan Furtado
Jockey: Silvestre De Sousa
⬆ CLASS RISE
Runs: 1 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Weak today but usually backed negative signal, something may be wrong
04:30Southwell (AW)
Open 41.000 - Now 91.000
51 ↑ 67 ↓ 51 ↑ 67 ↑ 81 ↓ 67 → 67 ↓ 51 ↑ 67 → 67
-122%
Abs move: +122% (-1.34pp)
DRIFT
91.000
Weak historical follow-through
📊 Momentum Projection → 67
No historical data
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late

Trainer: Stuart Williams
Jockey: Pat Cosgrave
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 2 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Weak and typically weak market confidence is low, hard to support
04:30Southwell (AW)
Open 23.000 - Now 101.000
41 ↑ 51 ↓ 41 → 41 ↑ 51 ↓ 41 → 41 → 41 → 41 ↑ 51
-339.1%
Abs move: +339.1% (-3.36pp)
DRIFT
101.000
N/A
📊 Momentum Projection → 63.44
No historical data
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late

Trainer: David Loughnane
Jockey: William Pyle
⬆ CLASS RISE
Runs: 1 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Weak today but usually backed negative signal, something may be wrong
04:30Southwell (AW)
Open 41.000 - Now 126.000
41 ↓ 34 ↑ 51 ↑ 81 ↓ 51 ↓ 41 ↓ 34 ↑ 41 → 41 ↓ 34
-207.3%
Abs move: +207.3% (-1.65pp)
DRIFT
126.000
Weak historical follow-through
📊 Momentum Projection → 28.2
No historical data
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late

Trainer: Mark Loughnane
Jockey: Ray Dawson
⬆ CLASS RISE
Runs: 1 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Weak and typically weak market confidence is low, hard to support
04:30Southwell (AW)
Open 61.000 - Now 151.000
151 → 151 → 151 ↑ 201 ↓ 126 ↑ 201 → 201 ↓ 151 ↑ 201 → 201
-229.5%
Abs move: +229.5% (-0.98pp)
DRIFT
201.000
N/A
📊 Momentum Projection → 201
No historical data
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late

Trainer: Ismail Mohammed & Jose Santos
Jockey: Sean D Bowen
⬆ CLASS RISE
Runs: 2 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Weak today but usually backed negative signal, something may be wrong
04:30Southwell (AW)
Open 51.000 - Now 201.000
126 → 126 ↓ 101 ↑ 151 → 151 → 151 → 151 ↓ 126 ↑ 151 → 151
-294.1%
Abs move: +294.1% (-1.46pp)
DRIFT
201.000
Weak historical follow-through
📊 Momentum Projection → 151
No historical data
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
05:00Southwell (AW) • 0m7f14y • Class 4
12 runners
Storm Free🚨 STABLE INTENT GAMBLE TARGET | STABLE SR: 41.2%

Trainer: James Tate
Jockey: Hector Crouch
⬇ CLASS DROP
Runs: 3 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Positive move but historically weak — market confidence questionable
Early money horse (67%)
Late move vs early profile
05:00Southwell (AW)
Open 6.500 - Now 3.250
3.25 ↓ 2.63 → 2.63 ↑ 2.88 ↑ 3 → 3 ↓ 2.88 → 2.88 ↑ 3 → 3
50%
0% place strike (1 runs)
0/1 placed when backed like this
Abs move: +50% (+15.38pp)
Built 07:10 → 07:18
STEAM
3.250
Early money profile — likely to continue strengthening (strong)
📊 Momentum Projection → 3
3 runs (Market Form)
Best time: Open was biggest
Weakening late

Trainer: Richard & Peter Fahey
Jockey: Oisin Orr
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 2 | Range: 1.91 → 1.91 | Avg: 1.91Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Weak today but usually backed negative signal, something may be wrong
05:00Southwell (AW)
Open 2.380 - Now 4.000
4 ↓ 3.5 → 3.5 → 3.5 ↓ 3.4 → 3.4 ↑ 3.5 → 3.5 → 3.5 ↓ 3.25
-68.1%
Abs move: +68.1% (-17.02pp)
DRIFT
4.000
Holds position historically
📊 Momentum Projection → 3.11
No historical data
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
Breakdancer🚨 STABLE INTENT GAMBLE TARGET | STABLE SR: 16.7%

Trainer: Simon & Ed Crisford
Jockey: Silvestre De Sousa
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 1 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Weak and typically weak market confidence is low, hard to support
05:00Southwell (AW)
Open 5.500 - Now 7.500
4.5 ↑ 6.5 ↓ 6 ↓ 5.5 ↑ 7 ↓ 6.5 ↓ 5.5 ↑ 6 ↑ 6.5 ↓ 6
-36.4%
Abs move: +36.4% (-4.85pp)
DRIFT
7.500
N/A
📊 Momentum Projection → 5.54
No historical data
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late

Trainer: Zoe Hawkins
Jockey: Alfie Redman(7)
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 4 | Range: 12.00 → 12.00 | Avg: 12.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Weak and typically weak market confidence is low, hard to support
Early money horse (25%)
05:00Southwell (AW)
Open 7.500 - Now 9.000
9 → 9 ↓ 7.5 ↑ 9 ↑ 9.5 → 9.5 ↓ 9 ↑ 9.5 → 9.5 ↓ 9
-26.7%
Abs move: +26.7% (-2.22pp)
DRIFT
9.500
Weak historical follow-through
📊 Momentum Projection → 8.53
4 runs (Market Form)
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late

Trainer: Heather Main
Jockey: Billy Loughnane
⬆ CLASS RISE
Runs: 5 | Range: 6.00 → 6.00 | Avg: 6.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No strong market signal
Early money horse (40%)
05:00Southwell (AW)
Open 13.000 - Now 14.000
10 ↑ 11 ↓ 9.5 ↑ 11 ↑ 12 → 12 ↓ 11 ↑ 12 → 12 ↓ 11
-7.7%
Abs move: +7.7% (-0.55pp)
N/A
14.000
Against early profile — may recover later (moderate)
📊 Momentum Projection → 10.08
5 runs (Market Form)
📊 Course Market Form
At Southwell (AW) this horse has recorded 1 placed effort from 2 runs. The current market is 65% bigger than usual against an average course SP profile of 8.5.
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late

Trainer: Richard Hannon
Jockey: Sean Levey
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 3 | Range: 15.00 → 15.00 | Avg: 15.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Weak today but usually backed negative signal, something may be wrong
Early money horse (67%)
05:00Southwell (AW)
Open 10.000 - Now 16.000
12 ↑ 13 ↓ 10 ↑ 13 ↑ 15 ↓ 13 → 13 ↓ 12 ↑ 13 → 13
-60%
Abs move: +60% (-3.75pp)
DRIFT
16.000
Against early profile — may recover later (strong)
📊 Momentum Projection → 13
3 runs (Market Form)
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late

Trainer: James Owen
Jockey: Luke Morris
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 3 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Weak today but usually backed negative signal, something may be wrong
Early money horse (33%)
05:00Southwell (AW)
Open 7.000 - Now 21.000
12 ↑ 15 ↓ 13 ↑ 15 → 15 ↑ 17 ↓ 15 ↑ 17 → 17 ↓ 15
-200%
Abs move: +200% (-9.52pp)
DRIFT
21.000
Weak historical follow-through
📊 Momentum Projection → 13.24
3 runs (Market Form)
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late

Trainer: George Boughey
Jockey: Jack Doughty
⬆ CLASS RISE
Runs: 5 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Weak and typically weak market confidence is low, hard to support
Early money horse (40%)
05:00Southwell (AW)
Open 13.000 - Now 21.000
21 → 21 ↓ 17 ↑ 23 ↓ 21 ↑ 23 → 23 ↓ 21 ↑ 23 → 23
-76.9%
When drifting like this: failed 3/3Historical Drift Profile

26 Jun 26 | Yarmouth | Open: 11 → Final: 26 | SP: 26.00 | Fin: 7
08 May 26 | Ascot | Open: 15 → Final: 67 | SP: 51.00 | Fin: 11
20 Mar 26 | Lingfield (AW) | Open: 9 → Final: 13 | SP: 13.00 | Fin: 5
Abs move: +76.9% (-2.93pp)
DRIFT
23.000
Against early profile — may recover later (moderate)
📊 Momentum Projection → 23
5 runs (Market Form)
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late

Trainer: Mark Walford
Jockey: Jack Garritty
⬆ CLASS RISE
Runs: 3 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Significant drift market is against this horse
Mid-market mover (67%)
05:00Southwell (AW)
Open 19.000 - Now 46.000
34 → 34 ↓ 29 ↑ 41 ↓ 34 ↑ 41 → 41 ↓ 34 ↑ 41 → 41
-142.1%
Abs move: +142.1% (-3.09pp)
DRIFT
46.000
Mid-market mover — likely to fluctuate (strong)
📊 Momentum Projection → 41
3 runs (Market Form)
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late

Trainer: Ian Williams
Jockey: Sean D Bowen
⬇ CLASS DROP
Runs: 1 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Weak and typically weak market confidence is low, hard to support
05:00Southwell (AW)
Open 29.000 - Now 51.000
34 ↑ 41 ↓ 29 ↑ 41 ↑ 51 ↓ 41 → 41 ↓ 34 ↑ 41 → 41
-75.9%
Abs move: +75.9% (-1.49pp)
DRIFT
51.000
N/A
📊 Momentum Projection → 41
No historical data
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late

Trainer: Brian Ellison
Jockey: Ben Robinson
⬇ CLASS DROP
Runs: 2 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Weak and typically weak market confidence is low, hard to support
05:00Southwell (AW)
Open 21.000 - Now 61.000
26 ↑ 34 ↓ 29 → 29 ↑ 34 → 34 → 34 → 34 → 34 → 34
-190.5%
Abs move: +190.5% (-3.12pp)
DRIFT
61.000
N/A
📊 Momentum Projection → 34
No historical data
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late

Trainer: Warren Greatrex
Jockey: Edward Greatrex
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 2 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Significant drift market is against this horse
05:00Southwell (AW)
Open 34.000 - Now 67.000
51 → 51 → 51 ↑ 67 ↓ 41 ↑ 67 ↓ 51 ↑ 67 → 67 → 67
-97.1%
Abs move: +97.1% (-1.45pp)
DRIFT
67.000
N/A
📊 Momentum Projection → 67
No historical data
📊 Course Market Form
This horse is 0/1 at Southwell (AW) on our records. Today's market is 931% bigger than usual against an average course SP of 6.5.
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
05:30Southwell (AW) • 7f14y • Class 4
11 runners

Trainer: James Tate
Jockey: Hector Crouch
⬆ CLASS RISE
Runs: 2 | Range: 3.75 → 3.75 | Avg: 3.75Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No strong market signal
05:30Southwell (AW)
Open 5.500 - Now 4.500
5.5 ↓ 4.33 → 4.33 → 4.33 ↑ 4.5 ↓ 4.33 ↑ 4.5 ↑ 5 ↓ 4.33 ↑ 4.5
0%
Abs move: +0% (+4.04pp)
N/A
5.500
N/A
📊 Momentum Projection → 4.68
No historical data
📊 Course Market Form
Course record of 1/1 at Southwell (AW). The average SP at this course is 3.5 and today's market has the horse trading 57% bigger than usual.
Best time: Open was biggest
Weakening late
Cogitate🚨 STABLE INTENT GAMBLE TARGET | STABLE SR: 24.5%

Trainer: Eve Johnson Houghton
Jockey: Charles Bishop
⬇ CLASS DROP
Runs: 5 | Range: 8.00 → 8.00 | Avg: 8.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Positive move market interest building, monitor closely
Early money horse (40%)
Late move vs early profile
05:30Southwell (AW)
Open 8.000 - Now 5.500
5.5 ↓ 5 ↓ 4.5 → 4.5 → 4.5 → 4.5 → 4.5 → 4.5 → 4.5 → 4.5
31.3%
Abs move: +31.3% (+5.68pp)
STEAM
5.500
Early money profile — likely to continue strengthening (moderate)
📊 Momentum Projection → 4.5
5 runs (Market Form)
Best time: Open was biggest
Weakening late
Padua🚨 STABLE INTENT GAMBLE TARGET | STABLE SR: 23.8%

Trainer: Hughie Morrison
Jockey: Billy Loughnane
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 2 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Positive move market interest building, monitor closely
05:30Southwell (AW)
Open 13.000 - Now 6.500
5.5 → 5.5 ↓ 5 ↑ 5.5 ↓ 5 ↑ 5.5 → 5.5 → 5.5 → 5.5 ↑ 6
50%
Abs move: +50% (+7.69pp)
Built 08:18 → 08:18
STEAM
6.500
Weak historical follow-through
📊 Momentum Projection → 6.55
No historical data
Best time: Open was biggest
Weakening late
Shaman Champion🚨 STABLE INTENT GAMBLE TARGET | STABLE SR: 30%

Trainer: Clive Cox
Jockey: P J McDonald
⬇ CLASS DROP
Runs: 3 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Positive move market interest building, monitor closely
Best at SP (67%)
05:30Southwell (AW)
Open 15.000 - Now 7.000
5.5 ↑ 6 → 6 → 6 → 6 ↑ 6.5 ↓ 5 ↑ 5.5 ↑ 6.5 → 6.5
53.3%
Abs move: +53.3% (+7.62pp)
Built 00:03 → 08:18
STEAM
7.000
Unstable profile — price likely volatile (strong)
📊 Momentum Projection → 6.5
3 runs (Market Form)
Best time: Open was biggest
Weakening late

Trainer: Stuart Williams
Jockey: Sean Levey
⬇ CLASS DROP
Runs: 7 | Range: 29.00 → 29.00 | Avg: 29.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Weakening not attracting support
Mid-market mover (43%)
05:30Southwell (AW)
Open 8.500 - Now 10.000
8.5 → 8.5 ↓ 7.5 ↑ 8.5 ↑ 9 ↓ 8.5 → 8.5 ↑ 9 ↓ 8.5 ↑ 9
-17.6%
Abs move: +17.6% (-1.76pp)
DRIFT
10.000
Mid-market mover — likely to fluctuate (moderate)
📊 Momentum Projection → 9.53
7 runs (Market Form)
📊 Course Market Form
At Southwell (AW) this horse has recorded 1 placed effort from 2 runs. The current market is 51% shorter than usual against an average course SP profile of 20.3.
Best time: 10am was biggest
Weakening late

Trainer: Michael Herrington
Jockey: Alistair Rawlinson
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 3 | Range: 4.00 → 4.00 | Avg: 4.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Weakening not attracting support
Early money horse (67%)
05:30Southwell (AW)
Open 9.500 - Now 10.000
9 ↑ 9.5 ↑ 10 ↓ 9 → 9 → 9 → 9 → 9 ↑ 9.5 ↓ 9
-15.8%
Abs move: +15.8% (-0.53pp)
DRIFT
11.000
Against early profile — may recover later (strong)
📊 Momentum Projection → 9
3 runs (Market Form)
📊 Course Market Form
Previous course evidence shows 1 placed efforts from 1 runs at Southwell (AW). Compared with an average course SP of 4.5, today's price is 144% bigger than usual.
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
EMERGING REPEAT SETUPOnly one historical match so far.

Early signs of a repeatable pattern, but limited sample.
⚠️ Signal fading — move now below trigger

Trainer: Michael Dods
Jockey: Sean Kirrane
⬆ CLASS RISE
Runs: 6 | Range: 4.33 → 4.33 | Avg: 4.33Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Weak today but usually backed negative signal, something may be wrong
Early money horse (50%)
05:30Southwell (AW)
Open 8.000 - Now 12.000
12 ↓ 11 ↓ 10 ↑ 11 ↑ 13 ↓ 12 → 12 ↑ 13 ↓ 12 → 12
-62.5%
100% repeat place strike (1 qualifying runs)
Repeat pattern record: 1/1 placed • 1/1 won
Abs move: +62.5% (-4.17pp)
DRIFT
13.000
Against early profile — may recover later (moderate)
📊 Momentum Projection → 12
6 runs (Market Form)
📊 Course Market Form
This runner has made the frame 1 times from 1 starts at Southwell (AW). Historical course average SP is 4.0, while today's market is 225% bigger than usual.
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
🔴 Ignores MarketThis horse has won or placed despite drifting. Market weakness does NOT negatively impact performance. Can be a value angle when price weakens.

Trainer: Sir Mark Prescott Bt
Jockey: Luke Morris
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 6 | Range: 3.75 → 34.00 | Avg: 13.31Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Weak and typically weak market confidence is low, hard to support
Late money horse (33%)
05:30Southwell (AW)
Open 8.500 - Now 17.000
10 ↑ 11 ↓ 9.5 ↑ 10 ↑ 12 ↓ 11 → 11 ↑ 12 ↓ 11 → 11
-100%
When drifting like this: failed 1/3Historical Drift Profile

02 Jul 26 | Kempton (AW) | Open: 3.75 → Final: 10 | SP: 9.50 | Fin: 2
17 Apr 26 | Wolverhampton (AW) | Open: 9 → Final: 29 | SP: 29.00 | Fin: 5
07 Apr 26 | Southwell (AW) | Open: 17 → Final: 34 | SP: 34.00 | Fin: 2
Abs move: +100% (-5.88pp)
DRIFT
17.000
Historically strong follow-through
📊 Momentum Projection → 11
6 runs (Market Form)
📊 Course Market Form
Course record of 1/1 at Southwell (AW). The average SP at this course is 34.0 and today's market has the horse trading 50% shorter than usual.
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
EMERGING REPEAT SETUPOnly one historical match so far.

Early signs of a repeatable pattern, but limited sample.
⚠️ Signal fading — move now below trigger

Trainer: Tom Dascombe
Jockey: Tom Marquand
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 3 | Range: 5.00 → 5.00 | Avg: 5.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Weak and typically weak market confidence is low, hard to support
Early money horse (33%)
05:30Southwell (AW)
Open 11.000 - Now 19.000
26 ↓ 17 ↓ 15 ↑ 17 ↑ 19 → 19 → 19 → 19 → 19 → 19
-136.4%
100% repeat place strike (1 qualifying runs)
Repeat pattern record: 1/1 placed • 0/1 won
Abs move: +136.4% (-3.83pp)
DRIFT
26.000
N/A
📊 Momentum Projection → 19
3 runs (Market Form)
📊 Course Market Form
This runner has made the frame 1 times from 1 starts at Southwell (AW). Historical course average SP is 4.3, while today's market is 500% bigger than usual.
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late

Trainer: Ian Williams
Jockey: Sean D Bowen
⬇ CLASS DROP
Runs: 1 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Weak and typically weak market confidence is low, hard to support
05:30Southwell (AW)
Open 19.000 - Now 46.000
34 ↑ 41 ↓ 34 ↑ 41 ↑ 51 ↓ 41 → 41 → 41 → 41 → 41
-168.4%
Abs move: +168.4% (-3.09pp)
DRIFT
51.000
Weak historical follow-through
📊 Momentum Projection → 41
No historical data
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
05:30 Southwell (AW) Comic Hero NR @ 08:04
Last price: 4.500
06:05Southwell (AW) • 6f16y • Class 5
13 runners

Trainer: James Owen
Jockey: Luke Morris
⬇ CLASS DROP
Runs: 5 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No strong market signal
Early money horse (40%)
06:05Southwell (AW)
Open 3.500 - Now 2.750
2.63 ↓ 2.5 ↑ 2.63 ↓ 2.5 ↑ 2.63 → 2.63 ↑ 2.75 ↓ 2.63 ↑ 2.75 ↑ 3.5
0%
Abs move: +0% (+7.79pp)
Built 15:58 → 15:58
N/A
3.500
Against early profile — may recover later (moderate)
📊 Momentum Projection → 4.66
5 runs (Market Form)
Best time: Open was biggest
Weakening late
Fifty Nifty🚨 STABLE INTENT GAMBLE TARGET

Trainer: Martin Dunne
Jockey: Silvestre De Sousa
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 3 | Range: 0.00 → 0.00 | Avg: 0.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Positive move market interest building, monitor closely
Early money horse (33%)
06:05Southwell (AW)
Open 11.000 - Now 9.000
7.5 ↓ 6.5 ↑ 7 ↑ 8.5 ↓ 8 → 8 → 8 → 8 ↓ 7.5 ↓ 7
18.2%
Abs move: +18.2% (+2.02pp)
STEAM
9.000
Weak historical follow-through
📊 Momentum Projection → 6.13
3 runs (Market Form)
Best time: Open was biggest
Weakening late
EMERGING REPEAT SETUPOnly one historical match so far.

Early signs of a repeatable pattern, but limited sample.
⚠️ Signal fading — move now below trigger

Trainer: Bryan Smart
Jockey: Ben Robinson
⬇ CLASS DROP
Runs: 8 | Range: 7.00 → 7.00 | Avg: 7.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Positive move with strong historical backing — worth attention
Early money horse (63%)
06:05Southwell (AW)
Open 13.000 - Now 10.000
10 ↓ 9 ↑ 10 ↑ 11 → 11 ↓ 10 → 10 ↑ 11 ↓ 10 → 10
15.4%
100% repeat place strike (1 qualifying runs)
Repeat pattern record: 1/1 placed • 0/1 won
Abs move: +15.4% (+2.31pp)
N/A
11.000
Early money profile — likely to continue strengthening (strong)
📊 Momentum Projection → 10
8 runs (Market Form)
📊 Course Market Form
Previous course evidence shows 1 placed efforts from 3 runs at Southwell (AW). Compared with an average course SP of 9.7, today's price is 14% bigger than usual.
Best time: Open was biggest
Weakening late

Trainer: Mark Loughnane
Jockey: Billy Loughnane
⬇ CLASS DROP
Runs: 5 | Range: 4.33 → 4.33 | Avg: 4.33Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Weakening not attracting support
LAST MINUTE BACKING (15%)
Best at SP (40%)
06:05Southwell (AW)
Open 10.000 - Now 12.000
9 ↓ 8 ↑ 9 ↑ 10 → 10 ↓ 9 ↑ 10 → 10 → 10 ↓ 8.5
-20%
Abs move: +20% (-1.67pp)
DRIFT
12.000
Unstable profile — price likely volatile (moderate)
📊 Momentum Projection → 8.03
5 runs (Market Form)
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late

Trainer: Michael Herrington
Jockey: Connor Planas
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 6 | Range: 8.50 → 8.50 | Avg: 8.50Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Weak today but usually backed negative signal, something may be wrong
LAST MINUTE BACKING (15.8%)
Early money horse (33%)
06:05Southwell (AW)
Open 5.500 - Now 13.000
9 ↓ 8 ↑ 9 ↑ 10 → 10 ↓ 9 ↑ 9.5 ↑ 10 ↓ 9.5 ↓ 8
-136.4%
Abs move: +136.4% (-10.49pp)
DRIFT
13.000
Weak historical follow-through
📊 Momentum Projection → 7.11
6 runs (Market Form)
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
EMERGING REPEAT SETUPOnly one historical match so far.

Early signs of a repeatable pattern, but limited sample.
⚠️ Signal fading — move now below trigger
Beyond Borders🚨 STABLE INTENT GAMBLE TARGET | STABLE SR: 35.7%

Trainer: Gemma Tutty
Jockey: Kaiya Fraser
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 5 | Range: 8.50 → 10.00 | Avg: 9.25Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Positive move market interest building, monitor closely
Early money horse (40%)
06:05Southwell (AW)
Open 23.000 - Now 15.000
13 ↓ 12 ↑ 13 → 13 ↑ 15 ↓ 13 → 13 ↑ 15 → 15 ↓ 13
26.1%
100% repeat place strike (1 qualifying runs)
Repeat pattern record: 1/1 placed • 1/1 won
Abs move: +26.1% (+2.32pp)
STEAM
17.000
Early money profile — likely to continue strengthening (moderate)
📊 Momentum Projection → 13
5 runs (Market Form)
Best time: Open was biggest
Weakening late
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Paul Midgley
Jockey: David Nolan
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 3 | Range: 4.00 → 26.00 | Avg: 15.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Weak and typically weak market confidence is low, hard to support
Late money horse (67%)
06:05Southwell (AW)
Open 9.000 - Now 16.000
15 ↓ 13 ↑ 15 → 15 ↑ 17 ↓ 13 → 13 ↑ 17 ↓ 15 → 15
-88.9%
Abs move: +88.9% (-4.86pp)
DRIFT
17.000
Typical pattern — likely to strengthen late (strong)
📊 Momentum Projection → 17.31
3 runs (Market Form)
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
EMERGING REPEAT SETUPOnly one historical match so far.

Early signs of a repeatable pattern, but limited sample.
⚠️ Signal fading — move now below trigger

Trainer: Paul Midgley
Jockey: Robert Havlin
⬇ CLASS DROP
Runs: 5 | Range: 10.00 → 10.00 | Avg: 10.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Weakening not attracting support
Early money horse (40%)
06:05Southwell (AW)
Open 15.000 - Now 17.000
11 ↑ 13 ↓ 12 ↓ 11 ↑ 13 ↓ 12 → 12 ↓ 11 ↑ 12 ↑ 13
-13.3%
100% repeat place strike (1 qualifying runs)
Repeat pattern record: 1/1 placed • 1/1 won
Abs move: +13.3% (-0.78pp)
N/A
17.000
Against early profile — may recover later (moderate)
📊 Momentum Projection → 14.08
5 runs (Market Form)
📊 Course Market Form
No placed efforts from 1 previous runs at Southwell (AW). The current market is 67% shorter than usual compared with a typical course SP of 51.0.
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late

Trainer: Kevin Ryan
Jockey: Kevin Stott
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 3 | Range: 6.00 → 6.00 | Avg: 6.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Weak today but usually backed negative signal, something may be wrong
Early money horse (33%)
06:05Southwell (AW)
Open 8.500 - Now 19.000
12 ↓ 11 ↑ 12 ↑ 13 ↑ 15 ↓ 12 → 12 ↑ 15 ↓ 13 → 13
-123.5%
Abs move: +123.5% (-6.5pp)
DRIFT
19.000
N/A
📊 Momentum Projection → 14.08
3 runs (Market Form)
📊 Course Market Form
No placed efforts from 1 previous runs at Southwell (AW). The current market is 46% bigger than usual compared with a typical course SP of 13.0.
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Richard & Peter Fahey
Jockey: Oisin Orr
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 6 | Range: 5.50 → 10.00 | Avg: 7.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Significant drift market is against this horse
LAST MINUTE BACKING (23.5%)
Early money horse (50%)
06:05Southwell (AW)
Open 9.000 - Now 21.000
15 ↓ 12 ↑ 15 ↑ 17 ↓ 15 → 15 ↑ 17 ↓ 15 → 15 ↓ 13
-133.3%
Abs move: +133.3% (-6.35pp)
DRIFT
21.000
Against early profile — may recover later (moderate)
📊 Momentum Projection → 11.27
6 runs (Market Form)
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
EMERGING REPEAT SETUPOnly one historical match so far.

Early signs of a repeatable pattern, but limited sample.
⚠️ Signal fading — move now below trigger

Trainer: Alan Brown
Jockey: Ray Dawson
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 5 | Range: 13.00 → 13.00 | Avg: 13.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Significant drift market is against this horse
Early money horse (60%)
06:05Southwell (AW)
Open 15.000 - Now 26.000
23 ↓ 21 ↑ 23 → 23 ↑ 26 ↓ 23 ↑ 26 → 26 → 26 ↑ 29
-93.3%
100% repeat place strike (1 qualifying runs)
Repeat pattern record: 1/1 placed • 1/1 won
Abs move: +93.3% (-2.82pp)
DRIFT
29.000
Against early profile — may recover later (strong)
📊 Momentum Projection → 36.57
5 runs (Market Form)
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late

Trainer: Jamie Osborne
Jockey: William Carver
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 9 | Range: 17.00 → 17.00 | Avg: 17.00Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Weak and typically weak market confidence is low, hard to support
Late money horse (44%)
06:05Southwell (AW)
Open 11.000 - Now 34.000
26 ↓ 23 ↑ 26 ↑ 29 → 29 ↓ 26 ↓ 23 ↑ 29 ↓ 26 ↓ 23
-209.1%
When drifting like this: failed 6/7Historical Drift Profile

23 Jun 26 | Ffos Las | Open: 9 → Final: 21 | SP: 17.00 | Fin: 4
06 Jun 26 | Lingfield | Open: 11 → Final: 23 | SP: 23.00 | Fin: 3
20 May 26 | Kempton (AW) | Open: 23 → Final: 41 | SP: 41.00 | Fin: 9
26 Mar 26 | Chelmsford City (AW) | Open: 19 → Final: 41 | SP: 29.00 | Fin: 7
16 Feb 26 | Wolverhampton (AW) | Open: 3.5 → Final: 7 | SP: 8.00 | Fin: 8
Abs move: +209.1% (-6.15pp)
DRIFT
34.000
Typical pattern — likely to strengthen late (moderate)
📊 Momentum Projection → 20.35
9 runs (Market Form)
📊 Course Market Form
This horse is 0/1 at Southwell (AW) on our records. Today's market is 162% bigger than usual against an average course SP of 13.0.
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
🟢 Needs Support (7%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.
REPEAT WINNER SIGNAL
TURF PROFILE
Triggered at 05:09
Now 96.3% bigger than the trigger move

This horse has previously delivered under similar market conditions, but the live terminal is live and the move may have faded out - confirmed signals are on the 10am and 1pm page.
⚠️ Signal fading — move now below trigger

Trainer: Iain Jardine
Jockey: Josephine Gordon
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 8 | Range: 3.50 → 11.00 | Avg: 6.67Average and range reflect prices when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Significant drift market is against this horse
Early money horse (50%)
06:05Southwell (AW)
Open 19.000 - Now 34.000
21 ↓ 17 ↑ 21 → 21 ↑ 26 ↓ 21 → 21 ↑ 26 ↓ 23 ↓ 21
-78.9%
100% repeat place strike (3 qualifying runs)
Repeat pattern record: 3/3 placed • 1/3 won
When drifting like this: failed 3/3Historical Drift Profile

15 Jun 26 | Carlisle | Open: 11 → Final: 19 | SP: 17.00 | Fin: 5
04 Jun 26 | Hamilton | Open: 4.5 → Final: 8.5 | SP: 8.50 | Fin: 7
26 Jan 26 | Wolverhampton (AW) | Open: 21 → Final: 29 | SP: 34.00 | Fin: 4
Abs move: +78.9% (-2.32pp)
DRIFT
34.000
Against early profile — may recover later (moderate)
📊 Momentum Projection → 21
8 runs (Market Form)
📊 Course Market Form
Course evidence at Southwell (AW) stands at 2 placed efforts from 2 runs. Today's market is 635% bigger than usual compared with a long-term course average SP of 4.6.
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
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Updated 05:59
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