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Repeat Winning Market Behaviour.

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LIVE MARKET PRESSURE ⓘ
Odds database updated: 21:00:24 • LIVE
🔥 BEST BACKED
First Mate
02:30 Salisbury
+65.5% (29.000 → 10)
Strongest market support today
♻️ REPEAT SIGNAL
Golden Brown
03:00 Salisbury
100% repeat strike (2 runs)
⭐ STRONG FAV
Easy Answer
02:30 Salisbury
+12.9% (4.000 → 3.486)
Strong favourite being backed
⚠️ WEAK FAV
Regional Rock
03:00 Salisbury
-17.6% (4.000 → 4.702)
Market weakness — confidence dropping
STRONGEST SUPPORT: First Mate (65.5%) 02:30 Salisbury    WEAK FAVOURITE: Mythical Bird (-58.2%) 05:00 Salisbury | 4/1 7/1    ⚡ HORSES ARE BEING BACKED IN THE SAME WAY AS A PREVIOUS WIN!     ⚠️ EMERGING SET UP AND REPEAT WINNER SIGNALS SHOULD BE TAKEN SERIOUSLY     ⭐ LIVE TERMINAL NOW ORDERED BY RACE FAVOURITE                                                                                                                              
Runners Today
46
Shown After Filters
46
Active Signals (15%+)
29
Live Alerts
19
LIVE ALERTS
So Darn Hot Heavy sustained support (37%)
Limited data (1 run)
Alert: 21:03 | Race: 03:00 Salisbury | Open 4/1 - Now 9/4
Scommessa Sicura Heavy sustained support (36.5%)Alert: 21:03 | Race: 03:30 Salisbury | Open 15/8 - Now 5/6
First Mate Heavy sustained support (65.5%)Alert: 21:03 | Race: 02:30 Salisbury | Open 28/1 - Now 9/1
Velociraptor Heavy sustained support (42.4%)Alert: 21:03 | Race: 03:30 Salisbury | Open 12/1 - Now 13/2
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BeverleyFfos LasGowran ParkKempton (AW)Salisbury
ALLBACKED 💰DRIFTERS
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Runner
Bookmaker move
Evidence
What to do next
02:30Salisbury • 0m6f0y • Class 4
10 runners
Market Intelligence
Strongest support: First Mate (+6.55 probability points)
Weakest support: Arctic Tsar (-1.68 probability points)

Trainer: Michael Bell
Jockey: Callum Shepherd
Trainer market read
Today's move is +3.69pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 15/58 won (25.9%); Open→SP 15/58 won (25.9%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
⬇ CLASS DROP
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
02:30Salisbury
Opened 3/1Market avg 5/2
11/4 ↓ 9/4 ↑ 11/4 ↓ 5/2 → 5/2 ↑ 5/2 → 5/2 → 5/2 ↓ 9/4 ↑ 5/2
PRICE MOVE
+3.69pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 12.9% • +3.69 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
11/4 3.75 decimal Octobet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 5/2
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Ralph Beckett
Jockey: Hector Crouch
Trainer market read
Today's move is +2.83pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 20/80 won (25%); Open→SP 18/76 won (23.7%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 27.3% (12/44).
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
02:30Salisbury
Opened 10/3Market avg 11/4
11/4 ↑ 3/1 ↓ 11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 ↑ 3/1 ↓ 11/4
PRICE MOVE
+2.83pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 10.9% • +2.83 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
3/1 4 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 11/4
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Andrew Balding
Jockey: Oisin Murphy
Trainer market read
Today's move is +5.86pp, placing it in this yard's 5pp+ band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 57/148 won (38.5%); Open→SP 56/153 won (36.6%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 41% (34/83).
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
02:30Salisbury
Opened 9/2Market avg 3/1
7/2 ↓ 11/4 ↑ 7/2 ↓ 3/1 ↑ 10/3 → 10/3 ↓ 3/1 → 3/1 ↓ 11/4 ↑ 3/1
PRICE MOVE
+5.86pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 24.4% • +5.86 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
7/2 4.5 decimal Octobet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 11/4
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Eve Johnson Houghton
Jockey: Tom Marquand
Trainer market read
Today's move is +6.55pp, placing it in this yard's 5pp+ band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 14/56 won (25%); Open→SP 12/52 won (23.1%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 35% (7/20).
⬇ CLASS DROP
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
02:30Salisbury
Opened 28/1Market avg 9/1
9/1 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 9/1 → 9/1 ↑ 10/1 → 10/1 ↓ 9/1 ↑ 10/1 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 9/1
PRICE MOVE
+6.55pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 65.5% • +6.55 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
10/1 11 decimal Midnite
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 8/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Ralph Beckett
Jockey: Sean Levey
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.60pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 20/80 won (25%); Open→SP 18/76 won (23.7%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 27.3% (12/44).
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
02:30Salisbury
Opened 11/1Market avg 12/1
12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.60pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 7.7% • -0.60 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
12/1 13 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 12/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Salisbury. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Ed Walker
Jockey: Kieran Shoemark
Trainer market read
Today's move is +1.94pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 34/98 won (34.7%); Open→SP 31/93 won (33.3%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 36.4% (20/55).
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
02:30Salisbury
Opened 20/1Market avg 14/1
16/1 ↓ 7/1 ↑ 16/1 ↓ 14/1 ↑ 16/1 → 16/1 ↓ 14/1 → 14/1 ↓ 7/1 ↑ 14/1
PRICE MOVE
+1.94pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 28.9% • +1.94 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
18/1 19 decimal Unibet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 12/1
Limited data: 1 similar run only.
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Salisbury. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Marcus Tregoning
Jockey: Rob Hornby
Trainer market read
Today's move is +1.72pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 2/11 won (18.2%); Open→SP 2/12 won (16.7%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 33.3% (2/6).
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening, but similar moves have not converted well before.
02:30Salisbury
Opened 28/1Market avg 18/1
18/1 ↑ 20/1 ↓ 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 ↑ 20/1 ↓ 18/1
PRICE MOVE
+1.72pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Limited data: 1 similar run only. Not a proven betting pattern.
Price change: 33.3% • +1.72 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
22/1 23 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.
Possible next price: 18/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Salisbury. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Charlie Fellowes
Jockey: David Probert
Trainer market read
Today's move is +1.19pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 5/25 won (20%); Open→SP 6/22 won (27.3%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
02:30Salisbury
Opened 28/1Market avg 20/1
18/1 ↑ 25/1 ↓ 18/1 ↑ 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 ↑ 25/1 ↓ 20/1
PRICE MOVE
+1.19pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 25.6% • +1.19 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
28/1 29 decimal Unibet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 20/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Clive Cox
Jockey: Joe Leavy
Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.68pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 7/38 won (18.4%); Open→SP 11/45 won (24.4%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 35% (7/20).
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
02:30Salisbury
Opened 16/1Market avg 22/1
22/1 ↑ 28/1 ↓ 22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1 ↓ 20/1 ↑ 22/1 → 22/1 ↑ 28/1 ↓ 22/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.68pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 39.9% • -1.68 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
28/1 29 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 25/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Salisbury. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
02:30 Salisbury Flick Of An Eye NR @ 09:50
Last fixed odds: 10/3
03:00Salisbury • 0m6f0y • Class 3
7 runners

Trainer: Ed Walker
Jockey: Kieran Shoemark
Trainer market read
Today's move is +11.76pp, placing it in this yard's 10pp+ band.
At 10pp+: Open→1PM 21/48 won (43.8%); Open→SP 20/55 won (36.4%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening, but similar moves have not converted well before.
Early money horse (20%)
Late move vs early profile
03:00Salisbury
Opened 4/1Market avg 9/4
2/1 → 2/1 → 2/1 ↑ 9/4 ↓ 2/1 ↓ 15/8 ↑ 9/4 ↓ 2/1 → 2/1 ↑ 9/4
PRICE MOVE
+11.76pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest comparable move in 5 previous runs.
Limited data: 1 similar run only. Not a proven betting pattern.
Price change: 37% • +11.76 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/4 3.25 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Gamble exhaustion: Some further shortening may remain, but the move is entering its exhaustion zone.
After a 10–12pp move: 46% shortened another 1pp • 39% another 2pp • 30% another 3pp • 19% another 5pp (n=1131)
Possible next price: 11/4
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Ralph Beckett
Jockey: Hector Crouch
Trainer market read
Today's move is -3.73pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 20/80 won (25%); Open→SP 18/76 won (23.7%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 27.3% (12/44).
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: 1/3 → 1/3 | Avg: 1/3Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is drifting and is not attracting bookmaker support.
03:00Salisbury
Opened 3/1Market avg 7/2
4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 ↓ 10/3 ↑ 4/1 → 4/1 ↓ 7/2 → 7/2 ↑ 4/1 ↓ 7/2
PRICE MOVE
-3.73pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 17.6% • -3.73 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
4/1 5 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 3/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: David Evans
Jockey: Oisin Murphy
Trainer market read
Today's move is -2.37pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 6/33 won (18.2%); Open→SP 5/32 won (15.6%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
⬆ CLASS RISE
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

1/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 11 | Fixed-odds range: 6/5 → 11/2 | Avg: 9/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is drifting and is not attracting bookmaker support.
Early money horse (27%)
03:00Salisbury
Opened 7/2Market avg 4/1
4/1 ↑ 9/2 ↓ 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 ↑ 9/2 ↓ 4/1
PRICE MOVE
-2.37pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
18th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 9 of 11 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 11.9% • -2.37 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/2 5.5 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have usually held or strengthened.
Possible next price: 4/1
11 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Salisbury. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🟢 Needs Support (6%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.
REPEAT WINNER SIGNAL
TURF PROFILE
Triggered at 16:08
Now 19.9% bigger than the trigger move

This horse has previously delivered under similar market conditions, but the live terminal is live and the move may have faded out - confirmed signals are on the 10am and 1pm page.
⚠️ Signal fading — move now below trigger

Trainer: Ed Walker
Jockey: Rob Hornby
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.76pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 34/98 won (34.7%); Open→SP 31/93 won (33.3%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 36.4% (20/55).
⬇ CLASS DROP
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 qualifying historical matches

2/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Mid
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: 2/5 → 10/11 | Avg: 4/6Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (33%)
03:00Salisbury
Opened 6/1Market avg 13/2
11/2 ↑ 7/1 ↓ 11/2 ↑ 13/2 ↓ 6/1 ↑ 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 ↑ 7/1 ↓ 13/2
PRICE MOVE
-0.76pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 3 of 3 previous comparable moves were stronger.
100% repeat place strike (2 qualifying runs)
Repeat pattern record: 2/2 placed • 1/2 won
Price change: 5.6% • -0.76 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
7/1 8 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 13/2
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Salisbury. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Oliver Cole
Jockey: Tom Marquand
Trainer market read
Today's move is -3.24pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 5/19 won (26.3%); Open→SP 5/21 won (23.8%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 33.3% (4/12).
⬆ CLASS RISE
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 historical matches

0/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 4/1 → 9/2 | Avg: 4/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Best at SP (50%)
03:00Salisbury
Opened 5/1Market avg 13/2
7/1 ↓ 6/1 ↑ 7/1 ↓ 13/2 ↑ 7/1 → 7/1 ↓ 13/2 ↓ 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1
PRICE MOVE
-3.24pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 2 of 4 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 24.1% • -3.24 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
15/2 8.5 decimal Unibet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
The price has been unpredictable before and may move sharply again. (moderate)
Possible next price: 5/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Richard Hannon
Jockey: Sean Levey
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.37pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 24/101 won (23.8%); Open→SP 26/114 won (22.8%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 29.8% (17/57).
⬆ CLASS RISE
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 8 | Fixed-odds range: 14/1 → 14/1 | Avg: 14/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (25%)
03:00Salisbury
Opened 9/1Market avg 17/2
17/2 ↑ 9/1 ↓ 17/2 → 17/2 → 17/2 → 17/2 → 17/2 → 17/2 ↑ 9/1 ↓ 17/2
PRICE MOVE
+0.37pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
63th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 3 of 8 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 3.6% • +0.37 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/1 10 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 17/2
8 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Simon & Ed Crisford
Jockey: David Probert
Trainer market read
Today's move is -4.26pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 9/39 won (23.1%); Open→SP 10/46 won (21.7%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
03:00Salisbury
Opened 9/1Market avg 16/1
14/1 ↑ 18/1 ↓ 14/1 ↑ 18/1 ↓ 14/1 → 14/1 ↑ 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1
PRICE MOVE
-4.26pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 74.3% • -4.26 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
18/1 19 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 22/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
03:30Salisbury • 1m0f0y • Class 1
8 runners
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
LIMITED DATA — 1 SIMILAR RUNThis is one previous example only. It is an early clue, not a proven repeat pattern.

Trainer: Andrew Balding
Jockey: Oisin Murphy
Trainer market read
Today's move is +19.98pp, placing it in this yard's 15pp+ band.
At 15pp+: Open→1PM 22/47 won (46.8%); Open→SP 20/49 won (40.8%).
Watch for 20pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 51.9% (14/27).
⬆ CLASS RISE
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 qualifying historical matches

1/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Mid
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 7/4 → 10/1 | Avg: 4/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Early money horse (25%)
Late move vs early profile
03:30Salisbury
Opened 15/8Market avg 5/6
5/6 ↑ 10/11 ↓ 5/6 ↓ 4/5 → 4/5 → 4/5 ↑ 5/6 ↓ 4/5 ↑ 10/11 ↓ 5/6
PRICE MOVE
+19.98pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest comparable move in 4 previous runs.
Limited data: 1 similar run only.
Price change: 36.5% • +19.98 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
10/11 1.91 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have usually held or strengthened.
Gamble exhaustion: Some further shortening may remain, but the move is entering its exhaustion zone.
After a 15pp+ move: 44% shortened another 1pp • 38% another 2pp • 27% another 3pp • 18% another 5pp (n=472)
Possible next price: 5/6
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🔴 Ignores MarketThis horse has won or placed despite drifting. Market weakness does NOT negatively impact performance. Can be a value angle when price weakens.

Trainer: Charlie Appleby
Jockey: Connor Planas
Trainer market read
Today's move is -10.13pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 23/49 won (46.9%); Open→SP 24/59 won (40.7%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 51.9% (14/27).
⬆ CLASS RISE
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: 9/4 → 16/1 | Avg: 9/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
03:30Salisbury
Opened 6/4Market avg 9/4
9/4 ↑ 5/2 ↓ 9/4 → 9/4 → 9/4 → 9/4 → 9/4 → 9/4 ↑ 5/2 ↓ 9/4
PRICE MOVE
-10.13pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 33.9% • -10.13 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
11/4 3.75 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 9/4
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Hugo Palmer
Jockey: David Probert
Trainer market read
Today's move is +5.67pp, placing it in this yard's 5pp+ band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 19/62 won (30.6%); Open→SP 19/67 won (28.4%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 37.5% (9/24).
⬆ CLASS RISE
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: 10/11 → 10/11 | Avg: 10/11Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
03:30Salisbury
Opened 12/1Market avg 13/2
17/2 ↓ 4/1 ↑ 17/2 ↓ 6/1 ↑ 8/1 ↓ 6/1 ↑ 13/2 ↓ 6/1 ↓ 4/1 ↑ 15/2
PRICE MOVE
+5.67pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 42.4% • +5.67 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
17/2 9.5 decimal Octobet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 9/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Marco Botti
Jockey: Marco Ghiani
Trainer market read
Today's move is +1.87pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 12/47 won (25.5%); Open→SP 13/41 won (31.7%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 34.5% (10/29).
⬆ CLASS RISE
Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: 20/1 → 20/1 | Avg: 20/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.
03:30Salisbury
Opened 16/1Market avg 12/1
12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1
PRICE MOVE
+1.87pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 24.2% • +1.87 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
12/1 13 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 12/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: S Woods
Jockey: Tom Marquand
Trainer market read
Today's move is -2.47pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 3/13 won (23.1%); Open→SP 3/15 won (20%).
Watch for 15pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 25% (1/4).
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: 10/1 → 10/1 | Avg: 10/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
03:30Salisbury
Opened 12/1Market avg 18/1
18/1 ↑ 22/1 ↓ 18/1 → 18/1 ↓ 16/1 ↑ 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 ↑ 22/1 ↓ 16/1
PRICE MOVE
-2.47pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 47.3% • -2.47 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
22/1 23 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 14/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: David Evans
Jockey: Callum Shepherd
Trainer market read
Today's move is -2.60pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 6/33 won (18.2%); Open→SP 5/32 won (15.6%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
⬆ CLASS RISE
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 historical matches

0/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 12/1 → 12/1 | Avg: 12/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
LAST MINUTE BACKING (19.6%)
Best at SP (75%)
03:30Salisbury
Opened 20/1Market avg 50/1
33/1 ↑ 50/1 ↓ 33/1 ↑ 40/1 → 40/1 ↑ 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 ↓ 40/1
PRICE MOVE
-2.60pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 2 of 4 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 120.6% • -2.60 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
50/1 51 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
The price has been unpredictable before and may move sharply again. (strong)
Possible next price: 33/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
03:30 Salisbury Dandyman Dan NR @ 10:30
Last fixed odds: 16/1
📊 MARKET FORM PROFILE
Profile
Drifter
Runs
5
Best Time
Pre-Off
Confidence
40%
03:30 Salisbury Rafe's Da Man NR @ 09:19
Last fixed odds: 15/2
📊 MARKET FORM PROFILE
Profile
Drifter
Runs
4
Best Time
Pre-Off
Confidence
50%
04:00Salisbury • 0m6f0y • Class 4
7 runners

Trainer: Clive Cox
Jockey: Hector Crouch
Trainer market read
Today's move is +8.03pp, placing it in this yard's 5pp+ band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 7/38 won (18.4%); Open→SP 11/45 won (24.4%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 35% (7/20).
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
04:00Salisbury
Opened 11/8Market avg EVS
EVS → EVS → EVS ↓ 10/11 ↑ EVS ↓ 10/11 ↑ EVS → EVS → EVS → EVS
PRICE MOVE
+8.03pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 16.1% • +8.03 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
11/10 2.1 decimal BetWright
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.
Gamble exhaustion: Some further shortening may remain, but the move is entering its exhaustion zone.
After a 8–10pp move: 54% shortened another 1pp • 46% another 2pp • 41% another 3pp • 31% another 5pp (n=401)
Possible next price: 11/10
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Salisbury. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Andrew Balding
Jockey: Oisin Murphy
Trainer market read
Today's move is -3.00pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 57/148 won (38.5%); Open→SP 56/153 won (36.6%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 41% (34/83).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 5/2 → 5/2 | Avg: 5/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (50%)
04:00Salisbury
Opened 5/4Market avg 11/8
5/4 ↑ 11/8 ↓ 5/4 ↑ 6/4 ↓ 11/8 ↑ 6/4 → 6/4 ↓ 11/8 → 11/8 ↑ 6/4
PRICE MOVE
-3.00pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 2 of 4 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 7.2% • -3.00 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
6/4 2.5 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 6/4
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Clive Cox
Jockey: Tom Marquand
Trainer market read
Today's move is -4.32pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 7/38 won (18.4%); Open→SP 11/45 won (24.4%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 35% (7/20).
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
04:00Salisbury
Opened 11/2Market avg 8/1
15/2 ↑ 8/1 ↑ 17/2 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 17/2 ↓ 8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1
PRICE MOVE
-4.32pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 39% • -4.32 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
17/2 9.5 decimal BestOdds
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 8/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Zoe Hawkins
Jockey: Callum Shepherd
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.45pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/2 won (0%); Open→SP 0/4 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (67%)
04:00Salisbury
Opened 18/1Market avg 20/1
20/1 → 20/1 ↓ 18/1 ↑ 20/1 ↓ 18/1 ↑ 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.45pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
33th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 2 of 3 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 9.3% • -0.45 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
22/1 23 decimal Betfred
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (strong)
Possible next price: 20/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: J S Moore
Jockey: Taylor Fisher
Trainer market read
Today's move is -2.35pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 2/12 won (16.7%); Open→SP 2/12 won (16.7%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 20% (1/5).
⬆ CLASS RISE
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: 10/3 → 10/3 | Avg: 10/3Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
04:00Salisbury
Opened 14/1Market avg 22/1
22/1 ↑ 25/1 ↓ 20/1 ↑ 22/1 → 22/1 ↓ 20/1 ↑ 22/1 → 22/1 ↑ 25/1 ↓ 22/1
PRICE MOVE
-2.35pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 54.4% • -2.35 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
25/1 26 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 25/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Joe Tickle
Jockey: Sean Levey
Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.80pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 3/14 won (21.4%); Open→SP 5/16 won (31.3%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 40% (2/5).
⬆ CLASS RISE
Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.
LAST MINUTE BACKING (23.9%)
04:00Salisbury
Opened 28/1Market avg 66/1
50/1 ↑ 66/1 ↓ 40/1 ↑ 66/1 ↓ 50/1 ↑ 66/1 ↓ 66/1 → 66/1 → 66/1 ↓ 50/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.80pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 109% • -1.80 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
66/1 71 decimal 7Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 33/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Eve Johnson Houghton
Jockey: Oliver Carmichael(7)
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.19pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 14/56 won (25%); Open→SP 12/52 won (23.1%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 35% (7/20).
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is drifting and is not attracting bookmaker support.
04:00Salisbury
Opened 80/1Market avg 100/1
100/1 ↓ 80/1 → 80/1 ↑ 100/1 ↓ 80/1 ↑ 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 ↓ 80/1 ↑ 100/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.19pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 18% • -0.19 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
100/1 101 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 100/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
04:30Salisbury • 1m1f201y • Class 1
7 runners
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Ed Walker
Jockey: Kieran Shoemark
Trainer market read
Today's move is +5.49pp, placing it in this yard's 5pp+ band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 34/98 won (34.7%); Open→SP 31/93 won (33.3%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 36.4% (20/55).
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: 11/4 → 9/1 | Avg: 6/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
04:30Salisbury
Opened 7/4Market avg 11/8
11/8 → 11/8 → 11/8 → 11/8 → 11/8 → 11/8 ↑ 6/4 ↓ 11/8 → 11/8 → 11/8
PRICE MOVE
+5.49pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 13.1% • +5.49 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
6/4 2.5 decimal Star Sports
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 11/8
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟢 Needs Support (5%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

Trainer: John & Thady Gosden
Jockey: Oisin Murphy
Trainer market read
Today's move is +5.70pp, placing it in this yard's 5pp+ band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 27/73 won (37%); Open→SP 27/78 won (34.6%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 45.9% (17/37).
⬆ CLASS RISE
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: 5/6 → 6/5 | Avg: EVSFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening and the past evidence is positive.
04:30Salisbury
Opened 15/8Market avg 6/4
6/4 → 6/4 → 6/4 ↓ 11/8 ↑ 6/4 ↓ 11/8 ↑ 6/4 → 6/4 → 6/4 → 6/4
PRICE MOVE
+5.70pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Limited data: 1 similar run only. Not a proven betting pattern.
Price change: 14.1% • +5.70 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
6/4 2.5 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have usually held or strengthened.
Possible next price: 13/8
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Sir Mark Prescott Bt
Jockey: Luke Morris
Trainer market read
Today's move is -5.79pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 13/33 won (39.4%); Open→SP 13/33 won (39.4%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
04:30Salisbury
Opened 5/1Market avg 8/1
8/1 ↓ 7/1 ↑ 8/1 ↑ 17/2 ↓ 15/2 ↑ 17/2 → 17/2 → 17/2 ↓ 7/1 ↑ 17/2
PRICE MOVE
-5.79pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 53.3% • -5.79 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/1 10 decimal Unibet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 17/2
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🟢 Needs Support (56%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

Trainer: Henry Candy
Jockey: Rob Hornby
Trainer market read
Today's move is -2.69pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 3/12 won (25%); Open→SP 3/13 won (23.1%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 50% (2/4).
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: 3/1 → 16/1 | Avg: 9/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
This horse is usually backed but is drifting today. That change is a warning sign.
04:30Salisbury
Opened 7/1Market avg 9/1
17/2 ↑ 12/1 ↓ 17/2 → 17/2 ↑ 9/1 ↓ 17/2 → 17/2 ↑ 9/1 ↑ 12/1 ↓ 9/1
PRICE MOVE
-2.69pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 27.5% • -2.69 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
12/1 13 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 10/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Salisbury. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Ralph Beckett
Jockey: Hector Crouch
Trainer market read
Today's move is -3.68pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 20/80 won (25%); Open→SP 18/76 won (23.7%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 27.3% (12/44).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 9/4 → 9/4 | Avg: 9/4Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
This horse is usually backed but is drifting today. That change is a warning sign.
Early money horse (50%)
04:30Salisbury
Opened 8/1Market avg 12/1
11/1 ↑ 18/1 ↓ 11/1 ↑ 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 ↑ 18/1 ↓ 12/1
PRICE MOVE
-3.68pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 4 of 4 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 49.6% • -3.68 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
18/1 19 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 12/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Richard Hannon
Jockey: Joe Leavy
Trainer market read
Today's move is -3.88pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 24/101 won (23.8%); Open→SP 26/114 won (22.8%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 29.8% (17/57).
⬆ CLASS RISE
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 historical matches

2/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: 7/1 → 14/1 | Avg: 10/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
This horse is usually backed but is drifting today. That change is a warning sign.
Early money horse (33%)
04:30Salisbury
Opened 12/1Market avg 25/1
22/1 ↑ 33/1 ↓ 22/1 ↑ 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 ↑ 33/1 ↓ 25/1
PRICE MOVE
-3.88pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
33th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 4 of 6 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 101.9% • -3.88 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
33/1 34 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.
Possible next price: 25/1
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Archie Watson
Jockey: Tom Marquand
Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.55pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 8/29 won (27.6%); Open→SP 7/30 won (23.3%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 25% (4/16).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
3 historical matches

0/3 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Early money horse (67%)
04:30Salisbury
Opened 40/1Market avg 100/1
80/1 → 80/1 → 80/1 ↑ 100/1 ↓ 80/1 ↑ 100/1 ↓ 100/1 → 100/1 ↓ 80/1 ↑ 100/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.55pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 1 of 3 previous comparable moves was stronger.
When drifting like this: failed 3/3Historical Drift Profile

30 Jul 26 | Galway (IRE) | Open: 18/1 → Final: 50/1 | SP: 50/1 | Fin: 9
07 Jul 26 | Pontefract | Open: 33/1 → Final: 50/1 | SP: 33/1 | Fin: 5
17 Jun 26 | Ascot | Open: 33/1 → Final: 100/1 | SP: 66/1 | Fin: 14
Price change: 173.8% • -1.55 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
100/1 151 decimal 7Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (strong)
Possible next price: 100/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
05:00Salisbury • 1m1f201y • Class 4
7 runners

Trainer: Roger Varian
Jockey: Oisin Murphy
Trainer market read
Today's move is -3.44pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 25/64 won (39.1%); Open→SP 28/67 won (41.8%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 43.6% (17/39).
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is drifting and is not attracting bookmaker support.
05:00Salisbury
Opened 2/1Market avg 9/4
9/4 → 9/4 → 9/4 ↑ 5/2 ↓ 9/4 ↑ 5/2 ↓ 9/4 → 9/4 → 9/4 → 9/4
PRICE MOVE
-3.44pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 11.5% • -3.44 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
11/4 3.75 decimal LiveScore Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 2/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Daniel & Claire Kubler
Jockey: Tom Marquand
Trainer market read
Today's move is +3.25pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 4/22 won (18.2%); Open→SP 6/19 won (31.6%).
Watch for 15pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 42.9% (3/7).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 10 | Fixed-odds range: 3/1 → 12/1 | Avg: 13/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening, but similar moves have not converted well before.
Early money horse (30%)
05:00Salisbury
Opened 4/1Market avg 10/3
10/3 ↑ 7/2 ↓ 10/3 ↓ 3/1 ↑ 10/3 ↓ 3/1 ↑ 10/3 ↑ 7/2 → 7/2 ↓ 10/3
PRICE MOVE
+3.25pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
80th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
Only 2 of 10 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Limited data: 1 similar run only. Not a proven betting pattern.
Price change: 14% • +3.25 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
7/2 4.5 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 7/2
10 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Sir Mark Prescott Bt
Jockey: Luke Morris
Trainer market read
Today's move is +4.70pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 13/33 won (39.4%); Open→SP 13/33 won (39.4%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
⬇ CLASS DROP
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: 13/2 → 13/2 | Avg: 13/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
05:00Salisbury
Opened 6/1Market avg 9/2
9/2 ↓ 4/1 ↑ 9/2 ↓ 4/1 ↑ 9/2 ↓ 4/1 ↑ 9/2 → 9/2 ↓ 4/1 ↑ 9/2
PRICE MOVE
+4.70pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 24.7% • +4.70 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/2 5.5 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 5/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Jim Boyle
Jockey: Pat Cosgrave
Trainer market read
Today's move is -2.09pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 2/18 won (11.1%); Open→SP 1/17 won (5.9%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 14.3% (1/7).
↔ SAME CLASS
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is drifting and is not attracting bookmaker support.
Early money horse (67%)
05:00Salisbury
Opened 9/2Market avg 5/1
11/2 ↓ 5/1 ↑ 11/2 ↓ 5/1 ↑ 11/2 ↓ 5/1 ↑ 11/2 → 11/2 ↓ 5/1 → 5/1
PRICE MOVE
-2.09pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
33th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 2 of 3 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 13% • -2.09 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
11/2 6.5 decimal Midnite
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (strong)
Possible next price: 5/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Hughie Morrison
Jockey: Rob Hornby
Trainer market read
Today's move is -7.36pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 5/22 won (22.7%); Open→SP 5/18 won (27.8%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 historical matches

0/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 7/2 → 7/2 | Avg: 7/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
Early money horse (40%)
05:00Salisbury
Opened 4/1Market avg 7/1
7/1 ↓ 6/1 ↑ 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 ↓ 6/1 ↑ 7/1
PRICE MOVE
-7.36pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
20th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 4 of 5 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 58.2% • -7.36 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
7/1 8 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 7/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Richard Hannon
Jockey: Sean Levey
Trainer market read
Today's move is -5.71pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 24/101 won (23.8%); Open→SP 26/114 won (22.8%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 29.8% (17/57).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
6 historical matches

0/6 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 12 | Fixed-odds range: 6/5 → 8/1 | Avg: 7/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Early money horse (25%)
05:00Salisbury
Opened 5/1Market avg 8/1
8/1 ↓ 15/2 ↑ 8/1 ↑ 17/2 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 17/2 ↓ 8/1 → 8/1 ↓ 15/2 ↑ 8/1
PRICE MOVE
-5.71pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
25th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 9 of 12 previous comparable moves were stronger.
When drifting like this: failed 6/6Historical Drift Profile

13 Jul 26 | Windsor | Open: 13/2 → Final: 11/1 | SP: 12/1 | Fin: 3
03 Jul 26 | Doncaster | Open: 10/1 → Final: 14/1 | SP: 16/1 | Fin: 6
12 Jun 26 | Goodwood | Open: 4/1 → Final: 13/2 | SP: 9/1 | Fin: 5
03 Apr 26 | Lingfield (AW) | Open: 14/1 → Final: 22/1 | SP: 25/1 | Fin: 9
27 Feb 26 | Lingfield (AW) | Open: 7/1 → Final: 18/1 | SP: 16/1 | Fin: 8
Price change: 52.1% • -5.71 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
17/2 9.5 decimal 7Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 15/2
12 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
05:00 Salisbury Miss Tonnerre NR @ 17:50
Last fixed odds: 15/2
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