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Live Horse Racing Market Movement | DC Network
MARKET FORM® By DC Network
Horse Racing Market Data.
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NEW UPGRADES View the movement timeline: Click any horse to see when significant price changes occurred. Follow the next move: Select Notify Me to receive price-movement alerts directly on your device.
LIVE MARKET PRESSURE ⓘ
Odds database updated: 20:59:52 • LIVE
🔥 BEST BACKED
Back In Black
03:10 Newbury
+55.7% (29.000 → 12.857)
Strongest market support today
♻️ REPEAT SIGNAL
Tabletalk
01:25 Newbury
100% repeat strike (1 runs)
⭐ STRONG FAV
Scoville
02:35 Newbury
+10.8% (3.500 → 3.121)
Strong favourite being backed
⚠️ WEAK FAV
Kinswoman
01:55 Newbury
-15.3% (4.330 → 4.991)
Market weakness — confidence dropping
STRONGEST SUPPORT: Back In Black (55.7%) 03:10 Newbury    WEAK FAVOURITE: Coppull (-41.1%) 03:10 Newbury | 4/1 6/1    ⚡ HORSES ARE BEING BACKED IN THE SAME WAY AS A PREVIOUS WIN!     ⚠️ EMERGING SET UP AND REPEAT WINNER SIGNALS SHOULD BE TAKEN SERIOUSLY     ⭐ LIVE TERMINAL NOW ORDERED BY RACE FAVOURITE                                                                                                                              
Runners Today
60
Shown After Filters
60
Active Signals (15%+)
37
Live Alerts
21
LIVE ALERTS
Symbol Of Honour Heavy sustained support (44.3%)Alert: 21:02 | Race: 03:10 Newbury | Open 5/1 - Now 9/4
Runman Heavy sustained support (35.5%)Alert: 21:02 | Race: 04:55 Newbury | Open 5/1 - Now 11/4
Gambling Man Heavy sustained support (39.9%)Alert: 21:02 | Race: 03:42 Newbury | Open 17/2 - Now 9/2
Wild Thoughts Heavy sustained support (46.3%)
Limited data (2 runs) • 2/2 WON
Alert: 21:02 | Race: 04:55 Newbury | Open 10/1 - Now 5/1
Back In Black Heavy sustained support (55.7%)Alert: 21:02 | Race: 03:10 Newbury | Open 28/1 - Now 12/1
Wine Dark Sea Heavy sustained support (42.2%)
Limited data (1 run) • 1/1 WON
Alert: 21:02 | Race: 01:25 Newbury | Open 12/1 - Now 13/2
Full Meeting View →
DoncasterDundalkLingfield (AW)Market RasenNewburyNewmarket (July)PerthRiponTramore
ALLBACKED 💰DRIFTERS
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Runner
Bookmaker move
Evidence
What to do next
01:25Newbury • 1m5f61y • Class 1
6 runners
Market Intelligence
Strongest support: Wine Dark Sea (+5.61 probability points)
Weakest support: Dubai Honour (-1.16 probability points)

Trainer: William Haggas
Jockey: Tom Marquand
Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.16pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 27/91 won (29.7%); Open→SP 36/119 won (30.3%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 31.1% (19/61).
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
01:25Newbury
Opened 7/4Market avg 15/8
13/8 ↑ 2/1 ↓ 13/8 ↑ 15/8 → 15/8 ↓ 7/4 ↑ 15/8 ↓ 7/4 ↑ 2/1 → 2/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.16pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 3.3% • -1.16 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
2/1 3 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 9/4
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
LIMITED DATA — 1 SIMILAR RUNThis is one previous example only. It is an early clue, not a proven repeat pattern.

Trainer: Tom Clover
Jockey: Saffie Osborne
Trainer market read
Today's move is +8.85pp, placing it in this yard's 5pp+ band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 8/27 won (29.6%); Open→SP 10/29 won (34.5%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 44.4% (8/18).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 qualifying historical matches

1/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: 2/1 → 10/1 | Avg: 6/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Early money horse (33%)
01:25Newbury
Opened 10/3Market avg 9/4
9/4 ↓ 2/1 ↑ 9/4 → 9/4 → 9/4 → 9/4 → 9/4 → 9/4 ↓ 2/1 → 2/1
PRICE MOVE
+8.85pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest comparable move in 3 previous runs.
Limited data: 1 similar run only.
Price change: 27.7% • +8.85 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
5/2 3.5 decimal PricedUp Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Gamble exhaustion: Some further shortening may remain, but the move is entering its exhaustion zone.
After a 8–10pp move: 45% shortened another 1pp • 38% another 2pp • 30% another 3pp • 20% another 5pp (n=1525)
Possible next price: 7/4
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: George Scott
Jockey: William Buick
Trainer market read
Today's move is +5.94pp, placing it in this yard's 5pp+ band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 19/49 won (38.8%); Open→SP 20/43 won (46.5%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
⬆ CLASS RISE
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: 9/4 → 15/2 | Avg: 9/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Early money horse (33%)
01:25Newbury
Opened 6/1Market avg 4/1
4/1 ↓ 7/2 ↑ 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 ↓ 7/2 ↑ 4/1
PRICE MOVE
+5.94pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 1 of 3 previous comparable moves was stronger.
Price change: 29.4% • +5.94 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/2 5.5 decimal PricedUp Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 4/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟢 Needs Support (24%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.
REPEAT WINNER SIGNAL
TURF PROFILE
Triggered at 12:35
Now 11.1% bigger than the trigger move

This horse has previously delivered under similar market conditions, but the live terminal is live and the move may have faded out - confirmed signals are on the 10am and 1pm page.

Trainer: Harry Charlton
Jockey: Hector Crouch
Trainer market read
Today's move is +5.61pp, placing it in this yard's 5pp+ band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 10/30 won (33.3%); Open→SP 9/29 won (31%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 46.2% (6/13).
⬆ CLASS RISE
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 qualifying historical matches

2/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: 5/6 → 12/1 | Avg: 13/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening in a way that has worked for this horse before. Check the sample size before relying on it.
Early money horse (67%)
Late move vs early profile
01:25Newbury
Opened 12/1Market avg 13/2
13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 ↑ 7/1 ↓ 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2
PRICE MOVE
+5.61pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 1 of 3 previous comparable moves was stronger.
100% repeat place strike (2 qualifying runs)
Repeat pattern record: 2/2 placed • 2/2 won
Price change: 42.2% • +5.61 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
7/1 8 decimal Star Sports
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (strong)
Possible next price: 13/2
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Faye Bramley
Jockey: Rob Hornby
Trainer market read
Today's move is +1.14pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 10/18 won (55.6%); Open→SP 10/23 won (43.5%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 66.7% (8/12).
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: 28/1 → 28/1 | Avg: 28/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
01:25Newbury
Opened 11/1Market avg 10/1
10/1 ↓ 17/2 ↑ 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 ↓ 17/2 ↑ 9/1
PRICE MOVE
+1.14pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 12% • +1.14 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
11/1 12 decimal PricedUp Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 8/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
01:25 Newbury Mount Atlas NR @ 12:37
Last fixed odds: 4/1
📊 MARKET FORM PROFILE
Profile
Supported
Runs
4
Best Time
Opening
Confidence
75%
01:55Newbury • 0m5f34y • Class 3
13 runners

Trainer: William Haggas
Jockey: Tom Marquand
Trainer market read
Today's move is -3.06pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 27/91 won (29.7%); Open→SP 36/119 won (30.3%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 31.1% (19/61).
⬇ CLASS DROP
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 11/10 → 11/10 | Avg: 11/10Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is drifting and is not attracting bookmaker support.
Early money horse (50%)
01:55Newbury
Opened 10/3Market avg 4/1
4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1
PRICE MOVE
-3.06pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 4 of 4 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 15.3% • -3.06 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/2 5.5 decimal Unibet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 4/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Robert Cowell
Jockey: Marco Ghiani
Trainer market read
Today's move is +4.20pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 6/26 won (23.1%); Open→SP 8/28 won (28.6%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
⬇ CLASS DROP
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
3 historical matches

0/3 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 9 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening, but similar moves have not converted well before.
Early money horse (33%)
01:55Newbury
Opened 6/1Market avg 9/2
9/2 ↓ 4/1 ↑ 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 ↓ 4/1 → 4/1
PRICE MOVE
+4.20pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 3 of 9 previous comparable moves were stronger.
0/3 placed when backed like this (0%).
When backed like this: 0/3 WON
Price change: 22.7% • +4.20 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
5/1 6 decimal PricedUp Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.
Possible next price: 7/2
9 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Christopher Mason
Jockey: Gina Mangan
Trainer market read
Today's move is +1.80pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 5/11 won (45.5%); Open→SP 4/9 won (44.4%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 100% (4/4).
⬇ CLASS DROP
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 15/2 → 15/2 | Avg: 15/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Early money horse (50%)
01:55Newbury
Opened 13/2Market avg 11/2
11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2
PRICE MOVE
+1.80pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest comparable move in 4 previous runs.
Price change: 11.9% • +1.80 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
13/2 7.5 decimal PricedUp Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
Possible next price: 11/2
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
LIMITED DATA — 1 SIMILAR RUNThis is one previous example only. It is an early clue, not a proven repeat pattern.
⚠️ Signal fading — move now below trigger

Trainer: Harry Charlton
Jockey: Callum Rodriguez
Trainer market read
Today's move is +1.12pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 10/30 won (33.3%); Open→SP 9/29 won (31%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 46.2% (6/13).
⬆ CLASS RISE
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: 6/1 → 6/1 | Avg: 6/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
01:55Newbury
Opened 17/2Market avg 15/2
7/1 ↑ 15/2 ↓ 7/1 ↑ 15/2 → 15/2 ↑ 8/1 ↓ 15/2 ↑ 8/1 ↓ 15/2 ↑ 8/1
PRICE MOVE
+1.12pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Limited data: 1 similar run only.
Price change: 9.6% • +1.12 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
17/2 9.5 decimal Betfred
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 8/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Ed Walker
Jockey: Ashley Lewis(3)
Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.18pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 34/102 won (33.3%); Open→SP 31/96 won (32.3%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 35.7% (20/56).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 historical matches

0/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Early
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 22/1 → 22/1 | Avg: 22/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is drifting and is not attracting bookmaker support.
Mid-market mover (25%)
01:55Newbury
Opened 15/2Market avg 17/2
8/1 ↑ 9/1 ↓ 8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 ↑ 17/2 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 17/2 ↑ 9/1 ↓ 17/2
PRICE MOVE
-1.18pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 1 of 4 previous comparable moves was stronger.
Price change: 11.1% • -1.18 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/1 10 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 17/2
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: David O'Meara
Jockey: William Buick
Trainer market read
Today's move is +2.96pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 17/78 won (21.8%); Open→SP 20/79 won (25.3%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 34.5% (10/29).
⬇ CLASS DROP
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 historical matches

1/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 12 | Fixed-odds range: 13/2 → 18/1 | Avg: 10/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Bookmakers have shortened this price clearly. The market is positive, but the historical evidence is mixed.
Early money horse (50%)
Late move vs early profile
01:55Newbury
Opened 14/1Market avg 9/1
9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 ↑ 10/1 → 10/1 ↓ 9/1 ↑ 10/1 ↓ 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1
PRICE MOVE
+2.96pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
83th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
Only 2 of 12 previous comparable moves were stronger.
1/2 placed when backed like this (50%).
When backed like this: 1/2 WON
Price change: 30.7% • +2.96 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
11/1 12 decimal PricedUp Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
Possible next price: 9/1
12 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: George Scott
Jockey: P J McDonald
Trainer market read
Today's move is -2.78pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 19/49 won (38.8%); Open→SP 20/43 won (46.5%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
⬆ CLASS RISE
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: 7/2 → 7/2 | Avg: 7/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
Early money horse (67%)
01:55Newbury
Opened 8/1Market avg 11/1
11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1
PRICE MOVE
-2.78pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 3 of 3 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 33.3% • -2.78 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
12/1 13 decimal PricedUp Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (strong)
Possible next price: 11/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Richard Hannon
Jockey: Pat Dobbs
Trainer market read
Today's move is -2.99pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 24/101 won (23.8%); Open→SP 26/114 won (22.8%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 29.8% (17/57).
⬆ CLASS RISE
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 7/2 → 9/2 | Avg: 4/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
Early money horse (43%)
01:55Newbury
Opened 8/1Market avg 11/1
12/1 ↓ 10/1 ↑ 12/1 ↓ 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 ↑ 12/1 ↓ 11/1 ↓ 10/1 ↑ 11/1
PRICE MOVE
-2.99pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
14th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 6 of 7 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 36.9% • -2.99 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
12/1 13 decimal Star Sports
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 11/1
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Newbury. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Roger Teal
Jockey: Seamus Cronin(5)
Trainer market read
Today's move is +1.26pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 3/20 won (15%); Open→SP 4/19 won (21.1%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Early money horse (67%)
01:55Newbury
Opened 16/1Market avg 12/1
14/1 ↓ 12/1 ↑ 14/1 ↓ 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 ↑ 14/1 → 14/1 ↓ 12/1 → 12/1
PRICE MOVE
+1.26pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 1 of 3 previous comparable moves was stronger.
Price change: 17.6% • +1.26 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
14/1 15 decimal Midnite
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (strong)
Possible next price: 12/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Newbury. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: William Knight
Jockey: Taylor Fisher
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.69pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 11/44 won (25%); Open→SP 11/48 won (22.9%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 25% (6/24).
⬇ CLASS DROP
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Late PM
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: 13/8 → 11/2 | Avg: 7/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Best at SP (50%)
01:55Newbury
Opened 18/1Market avg 16/1
16/1 ↓ 14/1 ↑ 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 ↓ 14/1 ↑ 16/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.69pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
83th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
Only 1 of 6 previous comparable moves was stronger.
Price change: 11.7% • +0.69 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
18/1 19 decimal PricedUp Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
The price has been unpredictable before and may move sharply again. (moderate)
Possible next price: 16/1
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
LIMITED DATA — 1 SIMILAR RUNThis is one previous example only. It is an early clue, not a proven repeat pattern.
⚠️ Signal fading — move now below trigger

Trainer: Richard Hughes
Jockey: Saffie Osborne
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.90pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 16/60 won (26.7%); Open→SP 17/66 won (25.8%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 28% (7/25).
⬆ CLASS RISE
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 qualifying historical matches

1/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 11 | Fixed-odds range: 9/4 → 4/1 | Avg: 10/3Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is drifting and is not attracting bookmaker support.
Early money horse (27%)
01:55Newbury
Opened 16/1Market avg 20/1
18/1 ↑ 20/1 ↓ 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 ↑ 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.90pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
55th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 5 of 11 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Limited data: 1 similar run only.
Price change: 18.1% • -0.90 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
20/1 21 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 20/1
11 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Ian Williams
Jockey: David Probert
Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.09pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 24/81 won (29.6%); Open→SP 23/86 won (26.7%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 31.1% (14/45).
⬆ CLASS RISE
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

0/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
This horse is usually backed but is drifting today. That change is a warning sign.
Early money horse (33%)
01:55Newbury
Opened 28/1Market avg 40/1
50/1 ↓ 40/1 ↑ 50/1 ↓ 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.09pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
17th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 5 of 6 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 46.2% • -1.09 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
50/1 51 decimal Octobet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.
Possible next price: 40/1
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
01:55 Newbury Seven Questions NR @ 08:15
Last fixed odds: 16/1
📊 MARKET FORM PROFILE
Profile
Neutral
Runs
7
Best Time
Opening
Confidence
43%
02:35Newbury • 0m7f0y • Class 2
8 runners

Trainer: William Haggas
Jockey: Tom Marquand
Trainer market read
Today's move is +3.47pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 27/91 won (29.7%); Open→SP 36/119 won (30.3%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 31.1% (19/61).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Mid-market mover (33%)
02:35Newbury
Opened 5/2Market avg 2/1
15/8 ↑ 9/4 ↓ 15/8 ↑ 9/4 ↓ 15/8 ↓ 7/4 ↑ 5/2 ↓ 9/4 → 9/4 → 9/4
PRICE MOVE
+3.47pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 1 of 3 previous comparable moves was stronger.
Price change: 10.8% • +3.47 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
5/2 3.5 decimal Star Sports
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 11/4
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Eve Johnson Houghton
Jockey: Charles Bishop
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.49pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 14/56 won (25%); Open→SP 12/53 won (22.6%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 35% (7/20).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: 11/1 → 11/1 | Avg: 11/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (67%)
02:35Newbury
Opened 4/1Market avg 4/1
9/2 ↓ 7/2 ↑ 9/2 ↓ 4/1 ↑ 9/2 → 9/2 ↓ 4/1 → 4/1 ↓ 7/2 ↑ 4/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.49pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
33th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 4 of 6 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 2.5% • -0.49 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/2 5.5 decimal 7Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (strong)
Possible next price: 7/2
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🟢 Needs Support (23%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

Trainer: Clive Cox
Jockey: Hector Crouch
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.89pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 8/39 won (20.5%); Open→SP 12/46 won (26.1%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 38.1% (8/21).
↔ SAME CLASS
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 7/2 → 4/1 | Avg: 7/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (80%)
02:35Newbury
Opened 5/1Market avg 11/2
11/2 ↓ 9/2 ↑ 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 ↓ 9/2 ↑ 5/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.89pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 5 of 5 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 5.7% • -0.89 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
6/1 7 decimal BetWright
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (strong)
Possible next price: 9/2
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Previous course evidence shows 1 placed efforts from 2 runs at Newbury. Compared with an average course SP of 4.0, today's price is 57% bigger than usual.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Richard Hannon
Jockey: Pat Dobbs
Trainer market read
Today's move is +1.22pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 24/101 won (23.8%); Open→SP 26/114 won (22.8%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 29.8% (17/57).
⬆ CLASS RISE
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
3 historical matches

0/3 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 8 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (50%)
02:35Newbury
Opened 7/1Market avg 13/2
15/2 ↓ 5/1 ↑ 15/2 ↓ 6/1 ↑ 13/2 ↑ 7/1 ↓ 13/2 ↓ 6/1 ↓ 5/1 ↑ 11/2
PRICE MOVE
+1.22pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 2 of 8 previous comparable moves were stronger.
0/3 placed when backed like this (0%).
When backed like this: 0/3 WON
Price change: 8.9% • +1.22 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
8/1 9 decimal BetWright
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
Possible next price: 9/2
8 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Stuart Williams
Jockey: Marco Ghiani
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.16pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 12/45 won (26.7%); Open→SP 13/43 won (30.2%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 37% (10/27).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Pre-Off
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Late money horse (50%)
02:35Newbury
Opened 17/2Market avg 17/2
9/1 ↓ 15/2 ↑ 9/1 ↓ 17/2 → 17/2 → 17/2 ↑ 9/1 ↓ 8/1 ↓ 15/2 ↑ 8/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.16pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 1 of 4 previous comparable moves was stronger.
Price change: 1.5% • +0.16 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/1 10 decimal Star Sports
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This early support is unusual; the price has often drifted again later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 15/2
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Andrew Balding
Jockey: P J McDonald
Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.89pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 58/151 won (38.4%); Open→SP 57/157 won (36.3%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 40.5% (34/84).
↔ SAME CLASS
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 15/2 → 15/2 | Avg: 15/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is drifting and is not attracting bookmaker support.
Early money horse (100%)
02:35Newbury
Opened 7/1Market avg 17/2
8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 ↑ 17/2 → 17/2 → 17/2 → 17/2 → 17/2 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 17/2
PRICE MOVE
-1.89pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 4 of 4 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 17.9% • -1.89 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/1 10 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (strong)
Possible next price: 17/2
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Newbury. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
LIMITED DATA — 1 SIMILAR RUNThis is one previous example only. It is an early clue, not a proven repeat pattern.

Trainer: Richard Hannon
Jockey: Seamus Cronin(5)
Trainer market read
Today's move is +1.77pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 24/101 won (23.8%); Open→SP 26/114 won (22.8%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 29.8% (17/57).
⬆ CLASS RISE
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 qualifying historical matches

1/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 11 | Fixed-odds range: 13/2 → 14/1 | Avg: 10/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening, but similar moves have not converted well before.
Early money horse (36%)
02:35Newbury
Opened 14/1Market avg 11/1
11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 ↓ 10/1 → 10/1 ↑ 11/1 ↓ 10/1 → 10/1 ↑ 11/1 ↑ 12/1
PRICE MOVE
+1.77pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
91th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
Only 1 of 11 previous comparable moves was stronger.
Limited data: 1 similar run only.
Price change: 21% • +1.77 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
12/1 13 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have usually held their position.
Possible next price: 14/1
11 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Newbury. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: John Gallagher
Jockey: Daniel Muscutt
Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.52pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 3/12 won (25%); Open→SP 3/13 won (23.1%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 25% (1/4).
⬇ CLASS DROP
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 6 | Fixed-odds range: 11/2 → 11/2 | Avg: 11/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
This horse is usually backed but is drifting today. That change is a warning sign.
Early money horse (33%)
02:35Newbury
Opened 16/1Market avg 22/1
22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1 ↓ 20/1 ↑ 22/1 ↓ 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 ↑ 22/1 ↑ 25/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.52pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 6 of 6 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 34.9% • -1.52 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
28/1 29 decimal Bet365
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have often faded. Be cautious.
Possible next price: 33/1
6 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
03:10Newbury • 0m7f0y • Class 1
9 runners
LIMITED DATA — 1 SIMILAR RUNThis is one previous example only. It is an early clue, not a proven repeat pattern.

Trainer: Charlie Appleby
Jockey: William Buick
Trainer market read
Today's move is +13.23pp, placing it in this yard's 10pp+ band.
At 10pp+: Open→1PM 13/24 won (54.2%); Open→SP 15/28 won (53.6%).
Watch for 20pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 66.7% (4/6).
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: 7/2 → 7/2 | Avg: 7/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
03:10Newbury
Opened 5/1Market avg 9/4
5/2 ↓ 9/4 ↑ 5/2 ↓ 9/4 ↑ 5/2 ↓ 9/4 → 9/4 → 9/4 → 9/4 → 9/4
PRICE MOVE
+13.23pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Limited data: 1 similar run only.
Price change: 44.3% • +13.23 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
11/4 3.75 decimal BetWright
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Gamble exhaustion: Moves of this size have usually been close to exhaustion; chasing the shortened price carries extra risk.
After a 12–15pp move: 39% shortened another 1pp • 26% another 2pp • 21% another 3pp • 13% another 5pp (n=729)
Possible next price: 9/4
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Newbury. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: William Haggas
Jockey: Tom Marquand
Trainer market read
Today's move is +2.63pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 27/91 won (29.7%); Open→SP 36/119 won (30.3%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 31.1% (19/61).
⬆ CLASS RISE
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 4/5 → 5/2 | Avg: 13/8Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Early money horse (50%)
03:10Newbury
Opened 9/2Market avg 4/1
7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 ↑ 4/1 ↓ 7/2 ↑ 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 ↓ 7/2 ↑ 4/1
PRICE MOVE
+2.63pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 2 of 4 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 12.7% • +2.63 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
4/1 5 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
Possible next price: 4/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Newbury. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Andrew Balding
Jockey: David Probert
Trainer market read
Today's move is -4.90pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 58/151 won (38.4%); Open→SP 57/157 won (36.3%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 40.5% (34/84).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 historical matches

1/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Late PM
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 11/8 → 11/8 | Avg: 11/8Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Early money horse (25%)
03:10Newbury
Opened 3/1Market avg 4/1
4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1
PRICE MOVE
-4.90pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 2 of 4 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 24.4% • -4.90 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
4/1 5 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 4/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Clive Cox
Jockey: Hector Crouch
Trainer market read
Today's move is -5.82pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 8/39 won (20.5%); Open→SP 12/46 won (26.1%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 38.1% (8/21).
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: 5/1 → 5/1 | Avg: 5/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
This horse is usually backed but is drifting today. That change is a warning sign.
Early money horse (67%)
03:10Newbury
Opened 4/1Market avg 6/1
6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1
PRICE MOVE
-5.82pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 3 of 3 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 41.1% • -5.82 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
13/2 7.5 decimal Unibet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (strong)
Possible next price: 6/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Dr & Insole
Jockey: Saffie Osborne
Trainer market read
Today's move is -3.74pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 0/0 won (0%); Open→SP 0/0 won (0%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Often drifts in the market
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 historical matches

1/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Early
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: 11/1 → 11/1 | Avg: 11/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Early money horse (33%)
03:10Newbury
Opened 6/1Market avg 17/2
8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 ↑ 17/2 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 17/2 ↑ 9/1 ↓ 17/2 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 17/2
PRICE MOVE
-3.74pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 3 of 3 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 35.5% • -3.74 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/1 10 decimal Star Sports
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Similar moves have usually held their position.
Possible next price: 17/2
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
LIMITED DATA — 1 SIMILAR RUNThis is one previous example only. It is an early clue, not a proven repeat pattern.

Trainer: James Fanshawe
Jockey: Daniel Muscutt
Trainer market read
Today's move is +4.33pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 22/69 won (31.9%); Open→SP 19/67 won (28.4%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 30.6% (11/36).
⬆ CLASS RISE
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 qualifying historical matches

1/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 7/4 → 9/2 | Avg: 3/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Early money horse (40%)
Late move vs early profile
03:10Newbury
Opened 28/1Market avg 12/1
12/1 ↓ 11/1 ↑ 12/1 → 12/1 ↑ 14/1 ↓ 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 ↓ 11/1 ↑ 12/1
PRICE MOVE
+4.33pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
80th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
Only 1 of 5 previous comparable moves was stronger.
Limited data: 1 similar run only.
Price change: 55.7% • +4.33 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
14/1 15 decimal BestOdds
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
Possible next price: 12/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Newbury. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Marco Botti
Jockey: Pat Dobbs
Trainer market read
Today's move is -3.08pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 12/47 won (25.5%); Open→SP 14/42 won (33.3%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 36.7% (11/30).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 historical matches

0/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 10/3 → 10/3 | Avg: 10/3Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price has drifted clearly. Bookmaker support is against this horse.
Early money horse (60%)
03:10Newbury
Opened 17/2Market avg 12/1
12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1
PRICE MOVE
-3.08pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 5 of 5 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 41.4% • -3.08 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
14/1 15 decimal LiveScore Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (strong)
Possible next price: 12/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Jack Channon
Jockey: Rob Hornby
Trainer market read
Today's move is -2.15pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 5/29 won (17.2%); Open→SP 10/31 won (32.3%).
Watch for 20pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 33.3% (1/3).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 historical matches

0/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 4 | Fixed-odds range: 18/1 → 18/1 | Avg: 18/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
The price is drifting and this horse often weakens in the market. Support is hard to justify.
Late money horse (50%)
03:10Newbury
Opened 18/1Market avg 33/1
28/1 → 28/1 → 28/1 ↑ 33/1 ↓ 28/1 ↑ 33/1 ↓ 33/1 → 33/1 ↓ 28/1 ↑ 33/1
PRICE MOVE
-2.15pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
25th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 3 of 4 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 68.8% • -2.15 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
33/1 36 decimal 7Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This matches its usual pattern; support has often arrived later. (moderate)
Possible next price: 33/1
4 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Newbury. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Ed Walker
Jockey: Kieran Shoemark
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.22pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 34/102 won (33.3%); Open→SP 31/96 won (32.3%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 35.7% (20/56).
⬆ CLASS RISE
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: 7/1 → 7/1 | Avg: 7/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (33%)
03:10Newbury
Opened 33/1Market avg 33/1
40/1 ↓ 33/1 ↑ 40/1 ↓ 33/1 ↑ 40/1 ↓ 33/1 ↓ 33/1 ↑ 40/1 ↓ 33/1 → 33/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.22pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
33th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 2 of 3 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 8% • -0.22 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
40/1 41 decimal Midnite
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 33/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
03:42Newbury • 0m7f0y • Class 2
13 runners

Trainer: Owen Burrows
Jockey: Callum Rodriguez
Trainer market read
Today's move is -3.86pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 2/23 won (8.7%); Open→SP 4/23 won (17.4%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
03:42Newbury
Opened 5/2Market avg 3/1
3/1 ↓ 5/2 ↑ 3/1 ↑ 10/3 ↑ 7/2 ↑ 4/1 ↓ 10/3 ↑ 7/2 ↓ 5/2 ↑ 11/4
PRICE MOVE
-3.86pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 15.6% • -3.86 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
4/1 5 decimal 7Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 7/4
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Ed Walker
Jockey: George Downing
Trainer market read
Today's move is +8.22pp, placing it in this yard's 5pp+ band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 34/102 won (33.3%); Open→SP 31/96 won (32.3%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 35.7% (20/56).
⬆ CLASS RISE
Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.
03:42Newbury
Opened 11/2Market avg 10/3
10/3 ↓ 3/1 ↑ 10/3 → 10/3 → 10/3 → 10/3 → 10/3 → 10/3 ↓ 3/1 → 3/1
PRICE MOVE
+8.22pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 34.8% • +8.22 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
10/3 4.33 decimal Midnite
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Gamble exhaustion: Moves of this size have usually been close to exhaustion; chasing the shortened price carries extra risk.
After a 8–10pp move: 35% shortened another 1pp • 28% another 2pp • 22% another 3pp • 14% another 5pp (n=1341)
Possible next price: 11/4
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Amanda Perrett
Jockey: Rob Hornby
Trainer market read
Today's move is +6.97pp, placing it in this yard's 5pp+ band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 2/10 won (20%); Open→SP 2/13 won (15.4%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 50% (2/4).
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.
03:42Newbury
Opened 17/2Market avg 9/2
5/1 ↓ 9/2 ↑ 5/1 ↓ 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 ↑ 5/1 ↓ 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2
PRICE MOVE
+6.97pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 39.9% • +6.97 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
11/2 6.5 decimal Betfred
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 9/2
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Course record
Limited data: this runner has one previous run at Newbury. Do not treat that single result as a reliable course pattern.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Brian Meehan
Jockey: Tom Marquand
Trainer market read
Today's move is -2.47pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 1/7 won (14.3%); Open→SP 2/8 won (25%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 33.3% (1/3).
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
03:42Newbury
Opened 6/1Market avg 15/2
15/2 ↑ 8/1 ↓ 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 → 15/2 ↓ 7/1 ↑ 15/2 ↑ 8/1 → 8/1
PRICE MOVE
-2.47pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 20.9% • -2.47 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
8/1 9 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 17/2
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Andrew Balding
Jockey: P J McDonald
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.34pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 58/151 won (38.4%); Open→SP 57/157 won (36.3%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 40.5% (34/84).
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
03:42Newbury
Opened 9/1Market avg 9/1
9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 ↑ 10/1 ↓ 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 ↑ 10/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.34pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 3.6% • -0.34 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
10/1 11 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 11/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Eve Johnson Houghton
Jockey: Charles Bishop
Trainer market read
Today's move is -3.02pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 14/56 won (25%); Open→SP 12/53 won (22.6%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 35% (7/20).
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
03:42Newbury
Opened 17/2Market avg 12/1
12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 ↑ 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 ↓ 12/1 → 12/1
PRICE MOVE
-3.02pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 40.2% • -3.02 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
14/1 15 decimal Midnite
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 10/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Richard Hannon
Jockey: Seamus Cronin
Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.73pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 24/101 won (23.8%); Open→SP 26/114 won (22.8%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 29.8% (17/57).
⬆ CLASS RISE
Runs: 1 | Fixed-odds range: 15/8 → 15/8 | Avg: 15/8Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
Limited data: this is based on one previous run, so it is not a proven pattern yet.
03:42Newbury
Opened 11/1Market avg 14/1
14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 ↑ 16/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.73pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 26.2% • -1.73 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
18/1 19 decimal Betfred
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 18/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Ralph Beckett
Jockey: Hector Crouch
Trainer market read
Today's move is -5.24pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 20/82 won (24.4%); Open→SP 18/78 won (23.1%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 26.1% (12/46).
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
03:42Newbury
Opened 15/2Market avg 14/1
14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 ↑ 16/1
PRICE MOVE
-5.24pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 80.2% • -5.24 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
18/1 19 decimal Betfred
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 18/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Harry Charlton
Jockey: Saffie Osborne
Trainer market read
Today's move is +2.68pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 10/30 won (33.3%); Open→SP 9/29 won (31%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 46.2% (6/13).
↔ SAME CLASS
Runs: 2 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
LAST MINUTE BACKING (19%)
03:42Newbury
Opened 33/1Market avg 16/1
20/1 ↓ 14/1 ↑ 20/1 ↓ 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 ↑ 20/1 ↓ 16/1 ↓ 14/1 ↑ 16/1
PRICE MOVE
+2.68pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
Price change: 47.7% • +2.68 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
20/1 21 decimal Star Sports
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Possible next price: 16/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Charles Hills
Jockey: David Probert
Trainer market read
Today's move is -2.28pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 12/25 won (48%); Open→SP 11/27 won (40.7%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 55.6% (5/9).
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
03:42Newbury
Opened 20/1Market avg 40/1
40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1
PRICE MOVE
-2.28pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 91.7% • -2.28 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
40/1 41 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 40/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Hughie Morrison
Jockey: Pat Dobbs
Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.14pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 5/22 won (22.7%); Open→SP 5/18 won (27.8%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
03:42Newbury
Opened 28/1Market avg 40/1
40/1 ↑ 50/1 ↓ 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 ↑ 50/1 → 50/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.14pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 49.5% • -1.14 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
50/1 51 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 66/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Ollie Sangster
Jockey: Daniel Muscutt
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.92pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 15/46 won (32.6%); Open→SP 21/46 won (45.7%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
AVOID
03:42Newbury
Opened 33/1Market avg 50/1
50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.92pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 45.8% • -0.92 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
50/1 51 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 50/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: William Muir & Chris Grassick
Jockey: Marco Ghiani
Trainer market read
Today's move is -0.24pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 4/16 won (25%); Open→SP 6/16 won (37.5%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 66.7% (4/6).
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
03:42Newbury
Opened 50/1Market avg 50/1
50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 ↑ 66/1 ↓ 50/1 ↑ 66/1 ↓ 50/1 ↑ 66/1 ↓ 50/1 ↑ 66/1
PRICE MOVE
-0.24pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 13.9% • -0.24 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
80/1 81 decimal Betfred
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 66/1
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
04:20Newbury • 1m4f0y • Class 4
6 runners
🟢 Needs Support (19%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.
REPEAT WINNER SIGNAL
TURF PROFILE
Triggered at 16:13
Now 2.9% shorter than the trigger move

This horse has previously delivered under similar market conditions, but the live terminal is live and the move may have faded out - confirmed signals are on the 10am and 1pm page.

Trainer: Emma Lavelle
Jockey: Marco Ghiani
Trainer market read
Today's move is +12.03pp, placing it in this yard's 10pp+ band.
At 10pp+: Open→1PM 7/14 won (50%); Open→SP 8/20 won (40%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
↔ SAME CLASS
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
3 qualifying historical matches

3/3 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Early
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: 9/4 → 5/1 | Avg: 7/2Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
BACK
The price is shortening in a way that has worked for this horse before. Check the sample size before relying on it.
Early money horse (33%)
04:20Newbury
Opened 5/2Market avg 6/4
6/4 ↓ 11/8 ↑ 6/4 ↓ 11/8 ↑ 13/8 ↓ 11/8 → 11/8 ↑ 6/4 ↓ 11/8 ↑ 6/4
PRICE MOVE
+12.03pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest comparable move in 3 previous runs.
100% repeat place strike (3 qualifying runs)
Repeat pattern record: 3/3 placed • 1/3 won
When backed like this: 1/3 WON
Price change: 29.6% • +12.03 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
13/8 2.63 decimal BestOdds
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Gamble exhaustion: Some further shortening may remain, but the move is entering its exhaustion zone.
After a 12–15pp move: 44% shortened another 1pp • 36% another 2pp • 29% another 3pp • 19% another 5pp (n=1004)
Possible next price: 13/8
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Richard Hannon
Jockey: Seamus Cronin(5)
Trainer market read
Today's move is +0.74pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 24/101 won (23.8%); Open→SP 26/114 won (22.8%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 29.8% (17/57).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 6/1 → 28/1 | Avg: 16/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (60%)
04:20Newbury
Opened 10/3Market avg 10/3
3/1 ↑ 7/2 ↓ 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 ↑ 10/3 ↓ 3/1 ↑ 10/3 ↑ 7/2 ↓ 3/1
PRICE MOVE
+0.74pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
40th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 3 of 5 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 3.1% • +0.74 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
7/2 4.5 decimal SportingIndex
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (strong)
Possible next price: 11/4
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Harry Charlton
Jockey: Callum Rodriguez
Trainer market read
Today's move is -3.09pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 10/30 won (33.3%); Open→SP 9/29 won (31%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 46.2% (6/13).
⬇ CLASS DROP
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 5 | Fixed-odds range: 11/10 → 18/1 | Avg: 10/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is drifting and is not attracting bookmaker support.
Early money horse (60%)
04:20Newbury
Opened 3/1Market avg 7/2
7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 ↓ 10/3 ↑ 7/2 ↓ 10/3 ↑ 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 ↑ 4/1
PRICE MOVE
-3.09pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
40th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 3 of 5 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 14.1% • -3.09 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
4/1 5 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (strong)
Possible next price: 5/1
5 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
🟢 Needs Support (41%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

Trainer: Faye Bramley
Jockey: William Buick
Trainer market read
Today's move is -2.04pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 10/18 won (55.6%); Open→SP 10/23 won (43.5%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 66.7% (8/12).
↔ SAME CLASS
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: 11/8 → 15/8 | Avg: 13/8Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is drifting and is not attracting bookmaker support.
Early money horse (67%)
04:20Newbury
Opened 9/2Market avg 5/1
9/2 ↑ 5/1 ↓ 9/2 ↑ 11/2 ↓ 9/2 ↑ 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 ↓ 5/1 → 5/1
PRICE MOVE
-2.04pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
33th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 2 of 3 previous comparable moves were stronger.
Price change: 12.7% • -2.04 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
11/2 6.5 decimal Midnite
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This is weaker than its usual early pattern; the price may shorten again later. (strong)
Possible next price: 9/2
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A

Trainer: Sir Mark Prescott Bt
Jockey: Dylan Hogan
Trainer market read
Today's move is -1.68pp (drifting). The first supported band is 5pp+.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 14/34 won (41.2%); Open→SP 14/36 won (38.9%).
No higher tracked band currently improves this yard's Open→SP strike rate.
Runs: 0 | Fixed-odds range: N/A → N/A | Avg: N/AFractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
LAST MINUTE BACKING (16.7%)
04:20Newbury
Opened 17/2Market avg 10/1
9/1 ↑ 11/1 ↓ 9/1 ↑ 11/1 ↓ 9/1 ↑ 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 ↓ 9/1
PRICE MOVE
-1.68pp
Drifting: bookmaker support is weakening.
Price change: 19% • -1.68 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
DRIFT
BEST FIXED ODDS
12/1 13 decimal William Hill
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
N/A
Possible next price: 15/2
No historical data
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
04:20 Newbury Nicator NR @ 10:22
Last fixed odds: 10/1
📊 MARKET FORM PROFILE
Profile
Neutral
Runs
4
Best Time
Opening
Confidence
50%
04:55Newbury • 1m2f0y • Class 3
5 runners

Trainer: Ed Walker
Jockey: Kieran Shoemark
Trainer market read
Today's move is +6.78pp, placing it in this yard's 5pp+ band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 34/102 won (33.3%); Open→SP 31/96 won (32.3%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 35.7% (20/56).
⬆ CLASS RISE
Usually attracts bookmaker support
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: 13/8 → 13/8 | Avg: 13/8Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Early money horse (67%)
04:55Newbury
Opened 5/2Market avg 15/8
15/8 ↓ 7/4 ↑ 15/8 ↓ 7/4 → 7/4 → 7/4 ↑ 15/8 → 15/8 ↓ 7/4 → 7/4
PRICE MOVE
+6.78pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 1 of 3 previous comparable moves was stronger.
Price change: 19.2% • +6.78 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
2/1 3 decimal Unibet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (strong)
Possible next price: 7/4
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
LIMITED DATA — 1 SIMILAR RUNThis is one previous example only. It is an early clue, not a proven repeat pattern.

Trainer: William Haggas
Jockey: Tom Marquand
Trainer market read
Today's move is +2.41pp. It remains below the first tracked 5pp support band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 27/91 won (29.7%); Open→SP 36/119 won (30.3%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 31.1% (19/61).
⬇ CLASS DROP
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 qualifying historical matches

1/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: 10am
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: 2/9 → 4/1 | Avg: 2/1Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
No clear bookmaker move yet.
Early money horse (67%)
04:55Newbury
Opened 5/2Market avg 9/4
9/4 → 9/4 → 9/4 → 9/4 → 9/4 → 9/4 → 9/4 → 9/4 → 9/4 → 9/4
PRICE MOVE
+2.41pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest comparable move in 3 previous runs.
Limited data: 1 similar run only.
Price change: 7.8% • +2.41 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
N/A
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/4 3.25 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (strong)
Possible next price: 9/4
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
LIMITED DATA — 1 SIMILAR RUNThis is one previous example only. It is an early clue, not a proven repeat pattern.

Trainer: John & Thady Gosden
Jockey: William Buick
Trainer market read
Today's move is +9.18pp, placing it in this yard's 5pp+ band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 27/74 won (36.5%); Open→SP 27/78 won (34.6%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 45.9% (17/37).
⬇ CLASS DROP
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
1 qualifying historical matches

1/1 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Late PM
Runs: 3 | Fixed-odds range: 1/7 → 1/7 | Avg: 1/7Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
WATCH
The price is shortening. Bookmaker support is building, so keep watching.
Early money horse (33%)
Late move vs early profile
04:55Newbury
Opened 5/1Market avg 11/4
3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 ↓ 11/4 ↑ 3/1 → 3/1 ↓ 11/4 → 11/4 ↑ 3/1 → 3/1
PRICE MOVE
+9.18pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 1 of 3 previous comparable moves was stronger.
Limited data: 1 similar run only.
Price change: 35.5% • +9.18 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
10/3 4.33 decimal Unibet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
Limited data: one similar run only.
Gamble exhaustion: Moves of this size have usually been close to exhaustion; chasing the shortened price carries extra risk.
After a 8–10pp move: 35% shortened another 1pp • 28% another 2pp • 22% another 3pp • 14% another 5pp (n=1341)
Possible next price: 3/1
3 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

Trainer: Richard Spencer
Jockey: Saffie Osborne
Trainer market read
Today's move is +7.83pp, placing it in this yard's 5pp+ band.
At 5pp+: Open→1PM 9/35 won (25.7%); Open→SP 12/36 won (33.3%).
Watch for 10pp+: the yard's Open→SP strike rate rises to 35.3% (6/17).
↔ SAME CLASS
No consistent price pattern yet
📊 Market Behaviour Rating
2 historical matches

2/2 finished 1st or 2nd
Best Time: Opening
Runs: 7 | Fixed-odds range: 1/4 → 11/2 | Avg: 11/4Fractional bookmaker prices recorded when this horse finished 1st or 2nd.
BACK
Strong bookmaker support, backed up by a good historical record.
Early money horse (43%)
Late move vs early profile
04:55Newbury
Opened 10/1Market avg 5/1
9/2 ↑ 5/1 ↓ 9/2 ↑ 5/1 ↓ 9/2 ↑ 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 ↑ 11/2
PRICE MOVE
+7.83pp
Shortening: bookmaker support is increasing.
57th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 3 of 7 previous comparable moves were stronger.
2/2 placed when backed like this (100%).
When backed like this: 2/2 WON
Price change: 46.3% • +7.83 probability points
LIVE SIGNAL
STEAM
BEST FIXED ODDS
11/2 6.5 decimal Quinn Bet
WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT
This horse often keeps shortening after early support. (moderate)
Possible next price: 6/1
7 runs (Market Form)
TIMING & CONTEXT
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
04:55 Newbury Dream Camp NR @ 15:25
Last fixed odds: 13/2
📊 MARKET FORM PROFILE
Profile
Neutral
Runs
4
Best Time
Opening
Confidence
50%
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